Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Is The 2025 BEAR market over?! PREPARE FOR 2026 | EP 1409
Transcript
- 0:01Yo 2025 was arguably the most bullish year for bitcoins
- 0:06fundamentals in its history, but not for the price.
- 0:11To understand to understand what comes next in 2026, we need to
- 0:15understand why 2025 surprised everyone.
- 0:19In 2025, we saw a new all time high the the election of the
- 0:24first Bitcoin pro Bitcoin present The strategic Bitcoin
- 0:29reserve executive order U.S. states creating strategic
- 0:33Bitcoin reserves. The fight between core and
- 0:36knots. The fight for bitcoin's soul.
- 0:39The SEC. The CFTC alignment with Bitcoin
- 0:43ending Operation Choke .2 point O The freedom of Ross Ulbricht.
- 0:48The persecution of the samurai wallet developers.
- 0:52A boom in Bitcoin treasury companies.
- 0:55Nation state accumulation sovereign wealth funds
- 0:58accumulating Bitcoin Wall Street products launch for Bitcoin
- 1:02genius act pass 3 green one red meme officially broken.
- 1:07Let's dive deep into each one of these in a little bit more
- 1:11detail. But before we dive into our our
- 1:152026 predictions and what could potentially come next for
- 1:19Bitcoin anyways, I'm going to open it up here with my brother
- 1:23in arms. 2025 was a crazy the year not only for Bitcoin but
- 1:28here for us here at simply Bitcoin as well.
- 1:32It's been a wild ride and today is the last episode of 2025.
- 1:37So if you guys are in Australia, happy New Years already, if you
- 1:40guys are going to celebrate your new year later on today, happy
- 1:44New Years tomorrow we will be taking the day off.
- 1:47But before that, let's get into today's show.
- 1:51So let's start going down memory lane. 2025 started off extremely
- 1:56strong Opti. I believe that was the euphoric,
- 1:59the euphoric phase of the cycle. We were dropping live streams in
- 2:03January. We had over 1000 people just on
- 2:06YouTube alone watching us thousands of people across all
- 2:09platforms, and we had all these hopes because Operation Choke .2
- 2:14point O was officially over. We had the election of the 1st
- 2:19pro Bitcoin president Donald J Trump.
- 2:24And I'll be honest with you, like from a Bitcoiners
- 2:28perspective, no, you know what? F that it's New Year's from an
- 2:32American perspective, first generation American and someone
- 2:36who was like voted for the GOP. I got to say I'm just
- 2:41disappointed overall, right? He built a coalition that was so
- 2:46strong. You had moderate Democrats, RFK
- 2:49Junior, Tulsi Gabbard, of course, you had Donald Trump
- 2:53going in there. And yes, a lot of good things
- 2:56were done from a regulatory perspective.
- 2:58We did get Ross free. Was it better than Kamala?
- 3:03You could say it was, but I think what what 2025 proved was
- 3:08that the swamp, the administrative state, it doesn't
- 3:12matter. The best team that you can
- 3:15build. I think it's so entrenched that
- 3:19I think the only way we're going to get out of this is through
- 3:24individuals taking Bitcoin into self custody.
- 3:26I don't think politicians are going to come and save the day.
- 3:31You can't build a better coalition that Donald Trump had
- 3:34at the beginning of the year. He had Elon Musk going in there
- 3:38auditing the government and Doge got ran out of town.
- 3:43Elon got ran out of town. Not to mention Trump's meme coin
- 3:49launch, right the day that he was inaugurated, that really
- 3:52didn't help the case. So let's talk about that, man,
- 3:56because I think a lot of people had high hopes.
- 3:58The industry sunk a lot of money into getting this person
- 4:02elected. And 2025 just proved that.
- 4:06Look like, you know, I, I think the people that we elect into
- 4:11office aren't really the people who are calling the shots.
- 4:14They're not really the ones that have influence in Washington.
- 4:19And, you know, Bitcoin does fix this, but at least we tried the
- 4:23traditional route, like we tried, you know what you're
- 4:27supposed to do. And it doesn't matter how good
- 4:30the team was, they were only to they were only able to
- 4:34accomplish so much. And the clarity Act hasn't been
- 4:38passed yet, I might add. The only act that was passed,
- 4:42and it was passed quite fast was the stablecoin act and as much
- 4:48as. I wonder why?
- 4:49And as much as I I I like, you know, as much as I like, you
- 4:55know, some of these companies behind these stable coins
- 4:58because they're Bitcoiners, of course the government is going
- 5:02to pass that because it's a continual, it's a continuation
- 5:07of the dollar. Like it allows them to expand
- 5:10the dollar worldwide across borders, which that translates
- 5:15to their ability to print even more money.
- 5:17Opti So yeah, man, I mean you were a little bit more black
- 5:21pilled in the beginning of the year, but at least me I had to
- 5:25go and experience it because I got to say it has been quite a
- 5:30disappointment disappointing year from that perspective.
- 5:36And the last thing I'll say though too also is maybe I would
- 5:39feel different if the price was making all time highs.
- 5:43Maybe I would tell you a totally different story.
- 5:45But first pro Bitcoin president and we have our first red year
- 5:50in the year after the having like that's not cool, bro, you
- 5:54know So anyways, overall, definitely some pluses, but the
- 6:00most the most important thing, which is number go up not so
- 6:05good. Yeah.
- 6:06I mean, first of all, just kind of looking back, look throughout
- 6:11the year we we kept kind of mentioning a a very similar
- 6:14theme where 2025 just seemed, it seemed like we just had bullish
- 6:18news after bullish news. And every time we got bullish
- 6:20news, the price would drop and we were all wondering like, what
- 6:23the hell is going on? This should be making Bitcoin
- 6:27RIP right now. Again, you know, rehashing some
- 6:30of the stuff we got a lot more. And I'm again, I said it in the
- 6:34throughout the whole year, I'm not the biggest fan of
- 6:36regulatory clarity, but that's what the industry asked for.
- 6:39Price would dump. I know we got the SEC kind of on
- 6:42our side, CFTC kind of on our side.
- 6:45Of course, the Trump administration on our side,
- 6:47Scott Besson hanging out at Bitcoin bars.
- 6:50Like everything was kind of going in our direction in terms
- 6:54of a lot of the foundations built for Bitcoin to take the
- 6:58next step forward. I know there was a kind of
- 7:01conversation going on earlier in the year where Bitcoiners were,
- 7:05I think maybe mad about the institutions coming in.
- 7:08They were looking at the space and being like, oh, Bitcoin's
- 7:11selling out. This is not what we wanted, you
- 7:13know, cypherpunk, revolution, etcetera, etcetera.
- 7:16And then there was the other faction that was basically
- 7:18saying, I think Bitcoiners knew that this was the inevitable way
- 7:21that Bitcoin would take over. Now, of course, even though we
- 7:24got a bunch of good news, especially all starting with
- 7:28Trump announcing their pro, you know, in quotes pro Bitcoin term
- 7:33here. It really sparked the wave
- 7:36around the world. We we literally saw other nation
- 7:40states start to make moves, sovereign wealth funds start to
- 7:42make move, you know, Wall Street go full force into it.
- 7:45And so I I really do believe it does feel like a maybe crossing
- 7:50the Rubicon moment like this is Bitcoin entering the mainstream.
- 7:53This is Bitcoin growing up maturing as a money, as an
- 7:58asset. And at the same time, what we
- 8:01did see, which is one of the more bullish things and and I am
- 8:04going to touch on kind of the the the politics around Bitcoin
- 8:08this year. But what we did see that I
- 8:10thought was extremely bullish throughout the year was how
- 8:14resilient the Bitcoin price was. Obviously, we did hit an all
- 8:18time high. There's been a lot of theories
- 8:20on why Bitcoin, you know, barely broke out past all time highs
- 8:25and you know why we are currently stuck in this 80 to 90
- 8:28UK range. But on the flip side, what we
- 8:32did see this year was literally hundreds of thousands, again,
- 8:37hundreds of thousands, if not like 1,000,000 coins hitting the
- 8:41exchanges either from OG sellers going into Wall Street products
- 8:45or maybe them just kind of locking in some games knowing it
- 8:49was going to top at 1:26. And at the same time, Bitcoin
- 8:52has been essentially a stable coin all year.
- 8:55If you look at the past in bitcoins price movement and bear
- 9:00markets and like huge sell offs, Bitcoin has dwarfed all of that
- 9:05this year and still maintained a very strong price base.
- 9:09So even though we didn't see Bitcoin go absolutely parabolic
- 9:14this year, which is, you know, I'm, I was wrong.
- 9:16I'll eat my cake on that one. You know, I know there's a lot
- 9:20of Bitcoiners that will kind of cope with the idea like one
- 9:23Bitcoin equals one Bitcoin, bro. I'm like, yeah, that's cool, but
- 9:25my purchasing power is down like what?
- 9:27You know, yeah, one Bitcoin equals one Bitcoin, but I'd like
- 9:30my purchasing power to increase over time.
- 9:33And we didn't see that this year.
- 9:34I, I think I saw this morning what we're down like 7% on the
- 9:38year or something like that. I, I can Fact Check that, but
- 9:41essentially it does feel like 2025 was the bear market this
- 9:45year. Now it will be completely
- 9:47unprecedented if we see another red candle on 2026, which would
- 9:52fundamentally break every Bitcoin model.
- 9:54And then we really have no clue what's going on here.
- 9:56We, we're really going to be scrambling to understand what is
- 10:00happening in Bitcoin. But personally, I, I'm not, I'm
- 10:03not so convinced that's going to happen.
- 10:05And so again, Bitcoin has eaten up so much selling this year and
- 10:12we're still roughly hanging out around 100K, which we've never
- 10:16seen that happen before. If we saw the amount of Bitcoin
- 10:19dumped in the past, like we would be at like 1K if there
- 10:23wasn't this incredible amount of Bitcoin buying from these very
- 10:28big institutions, from the very people that you may not like,
- 10:31but they're here, they want to acquire Bitcoin.
- 10:34I fundamentally believe they were trying to shake you out of
- 10:36your Bitcoin position. And I think it worked for the
- 10:39most part on a lot of people. I, I think they did a very good
- 10:41job of entering the market, 100K, getting a 2030% discount.
- 10:46And now we'll see what happens going into 2026, but before, you
- 10:50know, we do start making our 2026 predictions, the politics
- 10:55stuff. Look, you guys know me, at the
- 10:58beginning of the year, I was, I was way more skeptical around
- 11:02Bitcoin and politics than Nico was.
- 11:04And then kind of as we saw all this news start to roll out, I
- 11:09did get a little more bullish. You know, I did get a little
- 11:11hopeful. I'm like, oh, this sounds good.
- 11:13All of this sounds really good. I'm totally on board with people
- 11:17embracing Bitcoin because that's what I want to see.
- 11:19I want to see more people using Bitcoin and I thought for, you
- 11:23know, maybe the first half of the year, like, oh, more people
- 11:26are going to wake up to the fact that they need Bitcoin.
- 11:29What did we see happen this year?
- 11:30It seemed like retail was nowhere to be found.
- 11:33Wall Street entered the space. Retail completely checked out.
- 11:37And you can argue there's probably a few different, you
- 11:40know, reasons for that. I think the main 1 was the last
- 11:44couple of cycles, they probably all got absolutely wrecked with
- 11:46shit coins. And not only that, the economy
- 11:49is kind of struggling for most people.
- 11:51So they're looking at Bitcoin like, yo, I'm not trying to get
- 11:54rug pulled. I can barely feed my family
- 11:56right now. Like, what are we talking about?
- 11:57I, I'm not going into this thing.
- 12:00So again, retail or yeah, retail has been gone.
- 12:03Institutions have been eating up all the Bitcoin, and so it
- 12:07really kind of made me wonder around the summertime of all
- 12:10right, well, is all of this actually good for Bitcoin?
- 12:13I think that's kind of the big question that we're all asking
- 12:15ourselves. It's like, is it good to have
- 12:18politicians start to embrace Bitcoin?
- 12:21And you guys saw me like I think it was like a month ago or no,
- 12:24actually like 2 weeks ago, I like completely crashed out.
- 12:27I was like, yo, I'm tired of Bitcoin and politics.
- 12:29Like they haven't done anything good for us, though obviously I
- 12:33was being a little harsh. They have done some good things,
- 12:35but. But it's, it's been on the edges
- 12:38and it like it's been on the edges and it really like it's
- 12:45been on the edges and it comes with conditions, right?
- 12:48It's conditional, right? And I have some really
- 12:51interesting like source material from you guys from Davidson,
- 12:57which again, pro Bitcoin candidate in the house or or
- 13:02house representative and he has some takes.
- 13:05And then I have a take from Marjorie Taylor Green Marjorie
- 13:07Taylor Green's not going to be running for re election next
- 13:10year. She essentially got pressured
- 13:12outside of the house. And Marjorie Trailer Green was
- 13:15one of the strongest kind of like America first proponents,
- 13:18right? Like she was extremely popular,
- 13:20extremely vocal. A lot of people knew her.
- 13:24And let's check out these two posts because I think a lot of
- 13:27the shenanigans that have happened this year, they've been
- 13:32promoted to the industry as being positive for the industry.
- 13:36But once you look underneath the hood, it isn't all that great.
- 13:41So let's start off with this one.
- 13:42What's going on in crypto? Flat or declining markets?
- 13:46Definitely a vibe shift. A few thoughts.
- 13:49Markets have stalled in my opinion, because the
- 13:51disintermediation use case has been effectively destroyed.
- 13:55In America, an account based industry offers no distinct
- 13:59advantage over the status quo. A toxic combination of
- 14:03regulatory and legal malfeasance combined with legislative
- 14:07inertia have caused capital flight and user avoidance in
- 14:11America. In 2025, Genius Act became law
- 14:15providing a federal framework for stablecoins.
- 14:19This is an account based approach favored by banks that
- 14:23prevents non banks from paying interest, fails to protect self
- 14:27custody, and by design enables a wholesale CBDC.
- 14:31The wholesale part is cosmetic on the bank and all of the other
- 14:36characteristics of a CBDC are being built.
- 14:39While the massive deficits that undermine the undermine the
- 14:42value of the dollar continue unabated.
- 14:45Stable coins offer the hope of more demand for U.S.
- 14:48Treasuries, which may help lower interest rates and more broadly
- 14:52distribute the monetization of federal interest payments on our
- 14:55massive debt and deficits. Meanwhile, the broader digital
- 15:00asset market still awaits passage of the Clarity Act by
- 15:04the Senate. Along with providing some overly
- 15:08cumbersome legal clarity for tokenization, tokenized
- 15:11commodities, tokenized securities, and tokenized real
- 15:14world assets, Clarity promises to fix some of the deficiencies
- 15:19ingenious by protecting self custody and incorporating other
- 15:23House provisions. Ultimately, if the Senate even
- 15:26passes a bill, I expect any nod to individual freedom will be
- 15:30cosmetic and pose no meaningful change to the account based
- 15:35regime. The future of money will
- 15:37determine the future. Without massive divine
- 15:40intervention. That future looks permissioned,
- 15:43surveilled and debased. Remember, the promise of Bitcoin
- 15:47was not an illiquid inflating asset, but a rather
- 15:50permissionless peer-to-peer payment system.
- 15:53With Bitcoin, no third party can could condition your access to
- 15:57your money and you can move it anywhere at the speed of light.
- 16:01Account based huddle dominance has led to some useful
- 16:04innovations, but they are highly threatened as already noted, and
- 16:09punctuated by men in jail for writing software to protect self
- 16:14custody and privacy. At some point the industry and
- 16:18government will offer digital ID to grant permission to their
- 16:21permission network for money. Do not be deceived.
- 16:25This is a 'cause this is a cosmetic illusion of freedom
- 16:29designed to enable more surveillance, coercion and
- 16:31control. We need to reject this global
- 16:35globalist surveillance state and return to 1st principles.
- 16:39No government grants you permission to transact and no
- 16:42government should infringe this right without probable cause and
- 16:46due process. Returning to this condition
- 16:49requires either wholesale rejection of a third party
- 16:52doctrine or strong legal protection, privacy,
- 16:55decentralized computing architecture like Bitcoin or Z
- 16:58cash that build trust in ways that limit surveillance and
- 17:02always protect self custody. I've pushed for such a future
- 17:06since 2017, but most of the momentum looks like account
- 17:10based dominance with some cosmetic nods to individual
- 17:14freedom. Now I want to talk about this.
- 17:16What does he mean by account based dominance?
- 17:20The whole point, The reason that Bitcoin is so powerful is it's
- 17:25peer-to-peer technology is its ability for individuals to take
- 17:29self custody. The way the government has power
- 17:33is it relies on intermediaries to be enforcers, right?
- 17:37When you have an account, right, you have an account with a third
- 17:42party. The way that I always describe
- 17:43it to people is like a bank account is essentially a two of
- 17:47three multi state where you hold one key, the state holds another
- 17:51key, and the bank holds another key.
- 17:54So you basically always need to ask permission from the other
- 17:59key holders to use that two of three multi sig setup.
- 18:02And that's how they get so much power over your life.
- 18:05Now, what's moving forward in Europe, what's moving forward in
- 18:09Australia is they're tying this digital ID.
- 18:12Australia just announced this, by the way, where in order just
- 18:16to access Google, you need to have a digital ID, right?
- 18:19And that's exactly what's moving forward.
- 18:21Now, what's what's disappointing about the Trump administration
- 18:25is regardless of all of the lawsuits and all the lawfare
- 18:31that he had to endure, regardless of all of that BS
- 18:36that we saw over the last four years, regardless of Operation
- 18:40Choke .2 Point O, regardless of the fact that the Bitcoin
- 18:44industry donated 10s of millions of dollars helping him get
- 18:48elected. We're still in this situation,
- 18:53which tells me, by the way, that the people we elect aren't
- 19:00really the ones making these very strong and powerful
- 19:04decisions. And it seems like there is so
- 19:07much momentum heading down this path that it's like, it's like
- 19:13the elections are like, you know, it's it.
- 19:15It's basically like, look, we're going to placate you guys.
- 19:19You know, we're going to make you guys feel good.
- 19:21Like you guys have power. You guys have the ability to
- 19:23determine your own fate, but what I'm seeing is like, like,
- 19:28you couldn't have built a better coalition even if you tried and
- 19:33it still failed. Like, think about this year.
- 19:36We had more wars. We had more involvement on
- 19:43foreign policy than putting America first and putting the
- 19:48American people first. We essentially saw a growth in
- 19:52the swamp, not a decrease in the swamp.
- 19:55The federal spending hasn't been cut like so then.
- 20:01But that's what he ran on. That's why we all voted for him,
- 20:06right? And then that leads me to the
- 20:09inevitable conclusion that, like, I don't think it's Trump.
- 20:16I think it's a system that is so entrenched.
- 20:21And it's so powerful because it's power, it's literally
- 20:24funded by this endless money printer that I don't think we
- 20:27have any chance of really, really getting out of this
- 20:34system without opting out, without using Bitcoin.
- 20:41Bitcoin is really the only way to fix this.
- 20:44And when this inevitable, the fiscal situation blows up, I
- 20:55can't help but to look they wouldn't be chasing these
- 20:59coercive mechanisms and coercive means, as Jeff Booth likes to
- 21:04put it, the reason the system is coercive because it's a system
- 21:08based on theft, essentially. It needs coercion in order to
- 21:11function. The reason they keep doubling
- 21:13down on this is because again, like the system keeps getting
- 21:18worse and worse and worse and worse.
- 21:20Like they expect you to go along, you know, be a good
- 21:25citizen and pay your taxes. But simultaneously, you know, if
- 21:30it wasn't for a 23 year old with a camera, you know, there was
- 21:35literally 10s of millions of dollars worth of fraud that was
- 21:38happening. And of course I'm talking about,
- 21:41you know, what was happening in, in, in Minnesota.
- 21:43Right here is a post by MTG. Very sad she's leaving.
- 21:48Another thing I'll say too is you had Bo Hines in the White
- 21:51House, he resigned. You had Senator Lummis, huge fan
- 21:57of hers. She's not running for re
- 21:59election. You have MTG big fan of hers.
- 22:03She's not running for re election.
- 22:04Like I'm telling you guys, like there's so many like little data
- 22:08points that you're looking at that you're like what's going on
- 22:11here, right? So MTGC is very important.
- 22:14Read that. Most Americans have no idea.
- 22:17No idea happened this past year in Congress.
- 22:20I voted no on Genius Act because it hands power over to banks and
- 22:24and federal regulatory framework of stablecoins but opens the
- 22:29back door for a central bank digital currency.
- 22:32I voted yes on Clarity Act because it protects self
- 22:34custody, allowing you to control your keys and stops a third
- 22:38party bank or exchange from freezing or seizing your
- 22:41accounts. But the Clarity Act is stalled
- 22:44in the Senate. Is that a coincidence?
- 22:47Like President Trump, I know you got the question.
- 22:54I want to see the samurai wallet guys get, you know, released,
- 22:58right? I want to see the Clarity Act
- 23:01get passed. Why is it that the Genius Act
- 23:04gets passed before the Clarity Act, right?
- 23:07It all comes down to incentives. Genius becomes law clarity and
- 23:12other good legislative good legislation like anti CBDC have
- 23:16not. The real dangers lies in digital
- 23:19IDCBDC and no self custody. You think you want to run a a
- 23:24revolt over a Somali scam daycare centers and continue
- 23:28funding of foreign wars? If the government puts digital
- 23:31ID and CBDC and control your keys you won't be able to refuse
- 23:34to pay. You'll only be able to comply or
- 23:38go away. Like this is where it's heading,
- 23:43like the whole world is heading in this direction.
- 23:46And it's interesting because we, the American people, explicitly
- 23:52voted not to head in this direction.
- 23:56But the people in charge behind the scenes, the bureaucrats,
- 24:03they have so much power that I think I would even go on a limb
- 24:07that they purposely sabotage Trump's first year to get the
- 24:12Republicans out of power in the House in 2026.
- 24:16Because what did they do? They would have won 2026 with
- 24:20flying colors if they just did all the things they promised
- 24:24instead of focusing on more wars, more spending more this,
- 24:29more that. I was promised number go up.
- 24:33I was promised that Bitcoin was going to go to the moon.
- 24:36Dude, we were promised 150 early early in this presidency.
- 24:40And none of that happened, right?
- 24:42So again, it goes back to kind of first principles.
- 24:46It goes back to the early days of Bitcoin where we were, you
- 24:50know, back in 20/17/2018 where we had no approval from the
- 24:55powers that be. But we need to go back to that.
- 24:59We need to go back to the idea of self custody.
- 25:01We need to go back to the idea of really reclaiming back your
- 25:05financial sovereignty using Bitcoin the way it's meant to be
- 25:09used, which is peer-to-peer, which is you're taking self
- 25:13custody of your, of your keys. They're for your wealth, they're
- 25:17for your future. If you don't do that, you're
- 25:20going to like it. It seems like this election had
- 25:23no, no consequence. And I'm not blaming Trump.
- 25:26I think there's a tremendous bureaucratic system, the deep
- 25:30state, the administrative state that puts a tremendous, it, it,
- 25:34it, it, it literally boxes him in.
- 25:38Like, it's like he's a figurehead.
- 25:40And he's definitely better than the previous figurehead and from
- 25:43the regulatory perspective, but there's only so much he could
- 25:45do. That's my theory of the case.
- 25:48Man, I don't know. So I finally got you to the dark
- 25:52side. I guess, like I guess I guess
- 25:55I'm taking the black pill because like dude, like we, you
- 25:59could not have sent a better coalition into government even
- 26:04if you tried and it still didn't do anything.
- 26:07Yeah, Nikka, while you were going right there, it kind of
- 26:11sparked 2 ideas. The first one is obviously I'm
- 26:18a, you know, peer-to-peer self custody maxi.
- 26:20I I believe that that's the way I think what this year did kind
- 26:24of show us is that most people really either they don't
- 26:28understand what self custody is, they're afraid to do it, or they
- 26:31just don't care. And I think that is one of the
- 26:35more kind of black pill observations that we saw this
- 26:39year is like Wall Street comes in, everyone just starts buying
- 26:44ETFs and, you know, buying Bitcoin treasury companies.
- 26:47And the whole year we've been screaming, it's like, yo, all
- 26:50you need to do is buy Bitcoin and take it in the cold storage,
- 26:53hold the keys for yourself. And, and everyone's like, yeah,
- 26:56yeah, cool story, bro. I want to buy these Bitcoin
- 26:58treasuries. I want to buy these ETFs.
- 27:00And, you know, maybe it's because that's just what they're
- 27:03familiar with. Maybe it's because they don't
- 27:05understand what the implications are where they can actually get
- 27:08hurt doing it. Or, you know, people just want
- 27:11convenience and they're lazy and they just like they don't want
- 27:15to kind of take those quote UN quote unnecessary risk and do
- 27:19something that they're unfamiliar with.
- 27:20I don't know, the whole year we've been watching and being
- 27:23like, man, why is everyone buying all this stuff?
- 27:26They should just be buying Bitcoin directly.
- 27:27Like where's the spot Bitcoin? Of course, we had the paper
- 27:30Bitcoin summer meme going on all year long and, you know, it was
- 27:35a good meme because that's exactly what happened.
- 27:37Now, the second part of it is I think the kind of silver lining
- 27:42of all of this, like all the things that Nico kind of laid
- 27:45out, you know, the more optimistic view of what we saw
- 27:49happen in 2025, I think is that many people are waking up to the
- 27:55fact that the institutions are losing trust right now.
- 27:58A lot of people are losing trust in these institutions.
- 28:01And it's it's really, you know, overall, probably probably going
- 28:04to be a lot more pain before it's better.
- 28:06But from a Bitcoiners perspective, from someone that's
- 28:09been doing this since 2017, or rather, I've been doing this
- 28:12since I was like 18 before I even found Bitcoin, I was never
- 28:15really the biggest fan in the institution.
- 28:17I never really trusted any of the official kind of narratives
- 28:22institutions, kind of the official Overton Window
- 28:26perspective of things. I've always been the contrarian
- 28:28black sheep of my friend saying like, bro, this is all fake,
- 28:31this is all broken. And what I did see throughout
- 28:35the year was many, you know, for lack of better terms, just like
- 28:39normie's looking at everything and they're they're going
- 28:43through the kind of the initial phase of, you know, like denial.
- 28:47They're like, no, but we can fix this.
- 28:49Like if we just have more government, we can fix this.
- 28:52If we just vote the right people in place, we can fix this.
- 28:55If if only the the smart right people were in control of the
- 28:58money, we can fix this. And I think by the end of the
- 29:01year, a lot of people are waking up to like, it's either that the
- 29:06system is so broken, it's unfixable, or the system is
- 29:10designed in such a way that we, the people lose out.
- 29:13And that's not just in America, that's just in general,
- 29:15globally, around the world. And so like the more optimistic
- 29:19view of this, in my opinion, if maybe 2025, not just in terms of
- 29:24Bitcoin, like 2025 in terms of Bitcoin, I think it was
- 29:27definitely a foundational year. It was definitely a year that
- 29:31things changed. But from like a global
- 29:34consciousness perspective, maybe 2025 was the year that people
- 29:40essentially wake up on on a mass scale to not only the
- 29:44corruptions, but the cracks in the system and that things need
- 29:47to change. I think that's been kind of one
- 29:49of the bigger things I've seen definitely from both sides of
- 29:52the aisle in politics, Like people that are really
- 29:54political, they're like, yo, even if we get our people in
- 29:59this, nothing's going to change. Like what's the point of this?
- 30:02We need something different. And so that's kind of my more
- 30:05like silver lining take on all this.
- 30:07I think a lot of people are finally waking up to just what
- 30:11where we actually are right now. And I think next year might be
- 30:16more in alignment of people waking up to what are the steps
- 30:20that we actually need to, you know, prosper, live better to
- 30:24actually change things. And of course, from our
- 30:26perspective, we think it is mainly not mainly obviously it's
- 30:30one of the pillars is Bitcoin. It's like you need a better
- 30:33money it. Is it is the only pillar guys
- 30:36and, and I'll say this like 2025 was the year that essentially we
- 30:45discovered, you know, the, the, the, the collective
- 30:48consciousness except for Opti, I guess.
- 30:52We did 42 IQ wins. I'm I was ahead of the curve.
- 30:55I. Have completely lost faith in
- 30:59the ability for elections to actually change the direction of
- 31:05the country like it. It's impossible.
- 31:09The system is too entrenched. It's powered by the money
- 31:13printer that misaligns the incentives.
- 31:18Bitcoin fixes this, but not in the traditional sense.
- 31:21Bitcoin fixes this only if the majority of people who are
- 31:26buying Bitcoin as individuals are taking that Bitcoin and
- 31:30taking it into self custody. If enough of us do that, we will
- 31:35fundamentally change the system without having to even go
- 31:39through the system, right? Which is why you see them
- 31:44scrambling and running at full speed to really launch the
- 31:48central bank digital currency system tied to the digital ID.
- 31:53And then what they want you to do is because they don't even
- 31:56want you accessing the Internet without having your ID tied to
- 32:00that, right? And the reason they don't want
- 32:03you doing that is because, again, they're getting
- 32:05embarrassed on social media left and right.
- 32:08You see politicians basically, you know, say a certain
- 32:11narrative about what's going on and then and then all of a
- 32:16sudden they're getting debunked on the Internet by, by, you
- 32:19know, 23 year olds or 24 year olds with a, with an X handle
- 32:22and a large following, right? They don't even want that.
- 32:25They want to go back to the old world where essentially they
- 32:28were able to control the narrative with the legacy media
- 32:31outlets. I think one of the things that
- 32:33we've learned over the last four to five years is that legacy
- 32:36media is not in the business of telling people what the news is.
- 32:41They're in the business of narrative control, right?
- 32:45And This is why social media has become so popular.
- 32:48This is why Joe Rogan has become so popular.
- 32:50This is why individual podcasters have become so
- 32:53popular. Now, I think we've made
- 32:55tremendous progress there in that disintermediation.
- 32:59But the battle to come is the disintermediation of money.
- 33:03And I think right now, this year, we've actually regressed
- 33:08more than the progress that we were making under the Biden
- 33:12administration because at least during the Biden administration,
- 33:14we understood that we were being attacked.
- 33:18We thought we Trojan horse them. What in reality happened?
- 33:23We got Trojan horse as an industry.
- 33:26There has never been a year today than less people taking
- 33:31self custody than less people using individual wallets.
- 33:34The ETF, it's a it's a Trojan horse for slavery, right?
- 33:40The Bitcoin treasury companies again, it's what is Simon Dixon
- 33:45call of this. These are tools.
- 33:48Financial mass destruction. Financial mass destruction and I
- 33:52think Bitcoiners and I'll, I'll be first to say this, right, we
- 33:57got bamboozled this year. We we got in the room in DC, but
- 34:02I don't think people realize how powerful DC is.
- 34:05I don't think people realize how much influence DC has, right?
- 34:11And there's only a couple of people in the House, I don't
- 34:14even know in the Senate. In the Senate, again, we lost
- 34:17the Bitcoin senator. We lost her.
- 34:20She's not running for re election next year.
- 34:22Like, it's a big disappointment, very, very big disappointment.
- 34:27And, and, and again, I'm not blaming Senator Lummus.
- 34:29I think she's done such an, she's done such an incredible
- 34:33job and, and work for our industry.
- 34:35But again, she's going like, it's like she's pushing a stone,
- 34:41She's trying to push it. She's, she's not only trying to
- 34:44climb at Mount Everest, she has literally £100 on her back while
- 34:49trying to climb Mount Everest at the same time.
- 34:51Like that's the task at hand, right?
- 34:55And, and the way that the Senate is, is structured, the way that
- 34:58the House is structured, it's like it's not just about having
- 35:01one pro Bitcoin candidate. You need the majority of
- 35:05Bitcoin, you need majority of Bitcoin candidates.
- 35:07And it's deeper than that. You need the majority of these
- 35:13politicians being actual Bitcoiners because I think what
- 35:21happened and I think the clash that happened was it's it's not
- 35:25about being pro Bitcoin, it's about being a bitcoiner because
- 35:30if you're not if you're not a bitcoiner, you fundamentally
- 35:34believe that the dollar system still works.
- 35:37And that's the problem. That's the problem.
- 35:40And I think that's what we learned this year, man.
- 35:43You know, so if we are to get like a, a synopsis of 2025, like
- 35:49what, what the hell happened? It's that I think we've come to
- 35:53the inevitable conclusion that, listen, you're not going to
- 35:57change this system from within. It's not going to happen.
- 36:01It's too powerful, it's too structured, it's too entrenched,
- 36:05it's too well funded. It does not matter.
- 36:09It's going to do whatever it can and will do in order to ensure
- 36:14that it still has a complete control and monopoly over money.
- 36:19That's what's that's the inevitability.
- 36:21That's what's going to happen. That's what this year proved.
- 36:25And it also proved that it doesn't matter who you elect in
- 36:28how powerful the coalition is. It doesn't matter.
- 36:31I mean, you saw this, you saw Dan Bongino going into the FBI
- 36:36and everyone was super pumped because, you know, this guy was
- 36:41basically saying all the quiet part out loud on his podcast and
- 36:45we're like, oh man, this is so awesome.
- 36:47I'm so pumped. This is going to be fantastic.
- 36:50This is going to be great. And then within 2-3 months
- 36:53later, you know, he's on a legacy media outlet and he's
- 36:56getting interviewed. He looks like he has that 1000
- 36:59yard stare and he's like, what are you talking about?
- 37:01There is no list. It's like, and then, and then
- 37:05six to seven months later, guess what?
- 37:07They released a list. So there was a list, right?
- 37:10Like, oh, and then when the list gets released, it's retracted
- 37:14like again, like it, it, it, it's, it's comical, man.
- 37:18But again, I, I can't, it can't be, I, I, I, I can't question
- 37:26the morality of Dan Bongino. I can't question the morality of
- 37:32Donald Trump after everything that he went through.
- 37:34I can't question the morality of RFK Junior.
- 37:38I can't question their, their, their principles.
- 37:40I can't question their ethics. I think they get in there, man.
- 37:44And that system is so entrenched, it's so bureaucratic
- 37:49that they just can't, they can't fight against it.
- 37:53That I think that's what happens, bro.
- 37:55It's inevitable. There's this very famous like
- 37:58clip of Vladimir Putin when they asked him about American
- 38:02politics. And he's basically like, look,
- 38:04here's what ends up happening. You get these amazing
- 38:07candidates, they get elected. They're they have so they have
- 38:10such high hopes for changing the country.
- 38:12And then all of a sudden they get a knock on the door and
- 38:16these men in suits come in and they say, actually, this is how
- 38:19things actually work. This is how things actually
- 38:21function. Right.
- 38:22Yeah, that was a crazy glib. So like, I, I think this is
- 38:25exactly what happened to the Trump administration as well,
- 38:28man. Because think about it, what
- 38:30changed from January to now? Like, how did you like, unless
- 38:34you're trying to make the argument that he essentially
- 38:36lied to us the entire time. He lied to get elected.
- 38:40You maybe you could make that argument.
- 38:42I just might make that argument anyway.
- 38:46Anyway, before we before we go to the next segment, Nico let
- 38:50let's do, let's do a quick. What do you think's going to
- 38:55happen in 2026? I'm feeling bullish for 2026.
- 38:59I I don't think we're going to have a a red year.
- 39:01We might see some volatility in Bitcoin, but I think we're going
- 39:04to end the year positive. I think that someone saying Nico
- 39:10getting on the Simon Dixon Choo Choo train absolutely man.
- 39:13I mean Simon Dixon ogi think he's way ahead of us on the on
- 39:18this end. For me, it's a black pill year.
- 39:20Opti's been black pilled since. I've been, I've been very not
- 39:26black pilled, I've been very orange pilled all year long.
- 39:29I just wasn't the biggest fan of politics.
- 39:33OK, so 2026, where do you think we're going, Nico?
- 39:37I think we, I think the four year cycle's intact and I think
- 39:44that by mid next year we might start seeing Bitcoin start
- 39:47crawling up to higher highs. That's my base case.
- 39:52I don't think we're going to have a 80 to 70% drawdown
- 39:55because this cycle never peaked on euphoria, it peaked on
- 39:59apathy. So year end on red or?
- 40:02Yeah, a year end, year end's on green, bro, because we're
- 40:05starting at such a low base, we're starting at 87,000.
- 40:09So if you're trying to tell me like next year Bitcoin is going
- 40:13to be lower than 87,000 by the end of the year, I don't think
- 40:17that's going to be the case. But we're starting from such a
- 40:19low bar, bro. Like, you know, look guys, 2026,
- 40:25I mean, 2025 was a bear market year.
- 40:29Facts, right? Like we got our asses handed to
- 40:32us by gold and silver and the, and the stock market.
- 40:38There's no other way to sugarcoat that.
- 40:40Like that's the reality. So yeah, base case next year, I,
- 40:45I definitely believe we're going to be above $87,000, right?
- 40:49Because that like again the the year's almost over, bro.
- 40:52I'm I'm going to stay bullish. I think we're going to break all
- 40:54time high next year. I'm just I'm being contrary at
- 41:02this point if he's gonna be embarrassed.
- 41:03Hey, we're breaking all time high next year.
- 41:05You heard it here first, alright?
- 41:06Everybody, we still have a great show in front of us.
- 41:09We got some clips for you guys. We got this interesting story
- 41:13coming out of Iran. And then the culture, we're
- 41:17gonna go down memory lane, talk about how it was for simply
- 41:21Bitcoin as a media company. And what we've experienced is
- 41:24the UPS and the downs. So we're gonna be right back in
- 41:27just a bit. Today's episode is brought to
- 41:31you by Bitcoin Well Infinite. If you're a serious Bitcoin
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- 43:39Hi everybody, we are back at the time of recording the Bitcoin
- 43:42prices $87,820. The block height is 930, 307
- 43:49market cap 1.75 trillion. Bitcoin versus gold market cap
- 43:535.69%, declining from all time high -30.4%.
- 43:59So interesting clip for you guys.
- 44:04I have a clip from Ray Dalio and Ray Dalio in one of his latest
- 44:09interviews says that BTC is unlikely to be held by central
- 44:12banks. So I'm going to play the clip
- 44:15and then I have a clip from Jamie Dimon.
- 44:17So let's check it out. View crypto and the world of
- 44:21Bitcoin. Bitcoin is limited in supply and
- 44:26it's perception of money. It is a form of money.
- 44:29It's perceived as money, as a store hold of wealth that is
- 44:34unlikely to be significantly held by central banks and many
- 44:39others because of a number of problems it has.
- 44:44It can't. Transactions could all be
- 44:47followed in Bitcoin. One can monitor what the
- 44:50transactions are, governments can monitor what the
- 44:53transactions are, and governments can interfere with
- 44:56those transactions, just like we talked about earlier when we
- 45:00talked about, you know, gold is the only asset that you can have
- 45:04that they can't mess with and control.
- 45:07You've got it. OK, That's not true of Bitcoin.
- 45:10And then there are. What's this boomer talking
- 45:13about? And here's a video of Jamie
- 45:18Dimon. Blockchain is real.
- 45:20It's been around for quite a while, but now it's becoming
- 45:23more effective, more efficient, because people are finding ways
- 45:25to do it faster and cheaper. Permission or not permission,
- 45:29smart contracts I think will probably be real.
- 45:34Yo what year are we in dude? It's like 2016 all over again.
- 45:39Here's the thing. Those.
- 45:40Are that's crazy. Those are.
- 45:41The people in power. These are the smartest dudes in
- 45:43the room. These.
- 45:44Are the people in power? These are the people that have
- 45:46all the influence and like, this is what they're saying.
- 45:50You know all I heard because it was like Charlie Brown.
- 45:54All I heard was Ray Dalio say Bitcoin is money.
- 45:57That, you know, everything else was bullshit.
- 46:00That's all I heard. But no.
- 46:03But Ray Dalio's interesting because he's like you.
- 46:05The problem with Bitcoin is that it's completely transparent.
- 46:09I know that's more like a feature, not a bug bro.
- 46:12So what are you saying you need? Off and then you can stop
- 46:15transactions like and you. And then you can't stop gold
- 46:19transactions. Yeah, you could totally like,
- 46:22you know, attack a ship transporting gold.
- 46:25That's like literally what war does.
- 46:28Yeah, yeah, no comment. Yeah, it's crazy.
- 46:31All right, guys, look. So.
- 46:34You know, I'm boomer friendly. I'm a boomer friendly person.
- 46:37I love boomers, but dude, we got to get the boomers out in
- 46:41control right now. They don't understand what is
- 46:42coming, bro. It's like it's like boomers on
- 46:45Facebook with the AI slop. Like I think it's real, bro.
- 46:49It's like we're seeing the same thing happening in in finance
- 46:53right now. They they fundamentally don't
- 46:55understand the technology that that is coming.
- 46:58Though I do think Jamie Dimon, I actually, I do think they
- 47:02understand it. They just don't understand like
- 47:04the tech aspect of it. I think they understand the
- 47:06concepts of it. And Jamie Dimon, I think it's
- 47:10more interesting in, in the sense that it, if you listen to
- 47:13what he's saying, he's basically saying like blockchain all the
- 47:16things, tokenize all the things. It's like we're, we're back to a
- 47:1920/16/2017 shit coin cycle. But just from a Wall Street
- 47:23level, like it's, it's absolutely insane.
- 47:26We, we, we saw they want to tokenize all the things now.
- 47:30And as Bitcoiners, we're just sitting here like, bro, just
- 47:35just use Bitcoin, just just use normal tools, but have Bitcoin
- 47:39be the money and that we're good to go, like, and we win, OK, And
- 47:43we all live better. It's not that difficult.
- 47:47Yeah, anyways, I do want to give a shout out to thank you for the
- 47:51754 Sats that have been zapped to us on on Primal.
- 47:57So shout out to shout out to Jason and and Vampire.
- 48:03But yeah, Speaking of vampires, these people are vampires.
- 48:06Bro. You know, and they have all the
- 48:10power, they have all the wealth and just, you know, it's, it's
- 48:17crazy, It's crazy. But at least this year kind of
- 48:20exposed incentives. And I think that's the kind of
- 48:23the silver lining out of all of this out of going through all
- 48:25this. Anyways, on a more positive
- 48:27note, we got an interesting case study.
- 48:30Is it really that much more positive though?
- 48:32Yeah. Of course, on a more positive
- 48:34note, we got a more we we have a very interesting case study,
- 48:39specifically what's going on with Iran.
- 48:43The Iranian economy is not doing so hot.
- 48:46So what does the government do? Capital controls are kind of
- 48:49like, you know, doubling down on all of that stuff.
- 48:52And this is where Bitcoin shines.
- 48:54This is what it's all about, right?
- 48:56This is what it's all about. This is what Bitcoin was made
- 48:59for. And I want to go back to those
- 49:02fundamentals because those fundamentals are what Orange
- 49:05pulled me originally. I remember seeing Andreas
- 49:09Antonopoulos and all his lectures, They're still up
- 49:12online. You could find them and they
- 49:14were so good. And it was all about freedom.
- 49:17It was freedom, money. It was about taking back your
- 49:20sovereignty, reclaiming back your freedom through Bitcoin in
- 49:24self custody. And I think that this year, a
- 49:27lot of those, a lot of that message was forgotten.
- 49:30And we're bringing it back. We're bringing it back.
- 49:33So we're going to continue beating the battle drum and
- 49:38continue to remind you guys why Bitcoin and self custody is so
- 49:41important and why it's so empowering for you as an
- 49:45individual. Anyways, we're going to be right
- 49:46back in just a bit. I want to give a shout out to
- 49:49our partner Leaden. The.
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- 52:37All right everybody, let's get into today's article.
- 52:40Let's check this out. Iran's currency woes spark
- 52:44violent violence and protest in Tehran, Iran Iranian authorities
- 52:49aggressive measures Wednesday in an attempt to halt the nosedive
- 52:53of the country's currency, making arrests, vowing to stamp
- 52:57out sidewalk money changers and warning merchants against
- 53:01fueling the mounting public anger over the economy.
- 53:04There were unconfirmed reports of sporadic violence.
- 53:07Associated Press photos showed riot police blocking a street
- 53:11with the charred hulks of of a garbage can and a motorcycle
- 53:14that had been set on fire. Smoke was rising from the area
- 53:18in central Tehran near the main bazaar.
- 53:20The sweeping responses to the freefall of the rile, which has
- 53:24lost more than a third of its a third of its value in a week,
- 53:28underscored the worries for Iranian leaders after months of
- 53:32dismissing the Wet's economic squeeze seeking to rein in
- 53:36Tehran's nuclear program. A declining currency causes
- 53:40shifts in an economy, such as making imported imported goods
- 53:44more expensive. Although the currency crisis is
- 53:48blamed on a combination of factors, including internal
- 53:51government policies, the rush to dump Rios Rios appears to
- 53:57reflect an underlying perception that international sanctions
- 54:01have deepened problems such as runaway inflation and soaring
- 54:05prices for imports, and that the only safe hedge is to grab
- 54:09dollars or EUR. If the economic turmoil
- 54:12intensifies, it could boost pressure on the ruling system
- 54:16before elections next June to pick president, the next
- 54:20president's successor. That has the potential to hinder
- 54:24nuclear talks with the West until after the elections.
- 54:27One of the president's main critics, Parliament speaker, has
- 54:32led to the calls to blame the currency crisis mostly on
- 54:35allegedly misguided government monetary policies.
- 54:39Anyways, look, I'm going to tie this with Bitcoin like we always
- 54:47do if you're in Iran. I've spoken to Iranian
- 54:51bitcoiners also, regardless of the country being sanctioned or
- 54:58going through any type of, you know, political situation, you'd
- 55:04be OK cuz you have Bitcoin. You wouldn't have to deal with
- 55:081/3 of loss of your purchasing power.
- 55:10You wouldn't have to deal with the fear of your account getting
- 55:13frozen because of your political opinions, your political views.
- 55:18You'd be able to interact with the global economy seamlessly.
- 55:22This is what Bitcoin fixes. This is what Bitcoin is for.
- 55:25I recently received a wire transfer from another country
- 55:30and it took seven days. It was.
- 55:33Wild. That it took that long.
- 55:36So again, I'm going to pass it on to Opti.
- 55:41Opti, I want to hear your thoughts on this bro, because
- 55:44like, you know, you hear stories like that and it's like Bitcoin
- 55:50fixes this. But as Bitcoiners, have we
- 55:52underestimated human nature? Like is Fiat like is is
- 55:57operating on Fiat and using Fiat part of the human condition?
- 56:03Like is this going to be a multi generational thing for people to
- 56:07understand Bitcoin and adopt Bitcoin and start using Bitcoin?
- 56:11Because I honestly think like, it reminds me of that the meme
- 56:15of like the Indian guru and he was like, democracy is by the
- 56:20people, for the people of the people.
- 56:24But the problem is that the people are regarded right?
- 56:28Like, is that like, you know, like Bitcoin is amazing 'cause
- 56:32it has absolute scarcity, it's censorship resistant.
- 56:38You could take self custody. But the problem with Bitcoin is
- 56:43that the people are regarded right.
- 56:45The same thing apply. Yeah, no, 100%.
- 56:50And look, obviously when we cover currency devaluations,
- 56:55when we cover hyperinflation, when we cover these stories
- 56:58around the world, we, we always think of them as as just humans.
- 57:03And you, you're always just like feeling for people that are in
- 57:08this position because of their governments, because of, you
- 57:14know, as they said in that article, really bad monetary
- 57:17policies, government, you know, policies that really accentuated
- 57:21these problems and hurt more people than they did good who
- 57:24just wanted like the fundamental Bitcoin thesis is like a small
- 57:28group of people cannot control the, the economy.
- 57:30They they just don't have enough information to control and make
- 57:33the right decisions to control a perfect outcome, though they
- 57:37will obviously continue to try. This is why we are bitcoiners.
- 57:41This is why we have outsourced our monetary policy to an
- 57:44algorithm. And we know how much there be we
- 57:47we all know when the schedule is, is playing out, there is a
- 57:51sense of peace knowing that, hey, no one's going to mess with
- 57:55this. Now, what I do find the most
- 57:59interesting about this is not necessarily that they lost a
- 58:02third of their, you know, currency value in a week, which
- 58:05is absolutely devastating. You know, we've heard about this
- 58:08stuff going on around the world in, in recent history and of
- 58:12course, in ancient history. Like this is, as Nico was kind
- 58:17of alluding to, a problem that humanity has been dealing with
- 58:20constantly throughout the, you know, our entire history of
- 58:24humanity. The thing that is probably the
- 58:27most frustrating when you see stuff like this happen is like,
- 58:30we have the tool now. Like we have something that
- 58:34fixes this. We have something that you can
- 58:36opt out to, something that will. It's literally designed to
- 58:40oppose this very thing. And obviously there is still a
- 58:45lot of pushback from normal people.
- 58:46There's still a lot of misunderstanding.
- 58:49There's still a learning curve that people need to kind of get
- 58:53to before they understand Bitcoin though.
- 58:55I have heard rumors and I obviously I, I never been there,
- 59:00but I have heard rumors that there is like a growing, you
- 59:04know, Bitcoin Iranian kind of community out there.
- 59:09So they are trying and I just, it's very unfortunate to see
- 59:14scenarios like this when it's on a mass scale, when you're out
- 59:18here trying as best as we can to get as many people on the exit
- 59:22route on the safety boat as possible.
- 59:25And like literally this is This is why we Bitcoin because this
- 59:28isn't just something that's going to happen in the Middle
- 59:30East. If this year was any indicator
- 59:33of what's going to happen everywhere around the globe is
- 59:37that we are all probably going to be in some form of global
- 59:41hyperinflationary scenarios right now.
- 59:43We are all going down the same path.
- 59:46As Lynn Alden always says, there's no stopping this train.
- 59:49As Larry Leopard always says, it's like the big print is
- 59:52coming. Though I think a lot of people
- 59:55underestimate just how big of a print actually is needed to just
- 1:00:00paper over. The scenario that we currently
- 1:00:02find ourselves, the bind that we currently find ourselves in.
- 1:00:05And so, Nico, you did ask a question, you know, is humanity,
- 1:00:13is this just a, a part of, of human nature here that.
- 1:00:19I think I'm convinced that like, most people want like they don't
- 1:00:24really care about freedom. I mean, if this year was any
- 1:00:28indication of that, I agree. I think like most people.
- 1:00:30Though though they do care about economics, even though economics
- 1:00:33is boring I think I think. Most people like they like
- 1:00:37they're willing to give up that freedom if it means that they
- 1:00:41have perceived safety. And I think that this is where
- 1:00:44we are, where we are Like people are asking the chat saying, hey,
- 1:00:48Nico, so does this mean elections don't matter?
- 1:00:50I say elections still do matter for sure.
- 1:00:53But like the like if before in the beginning of the year, I
- 1:00:59would say elections maybe hold 30 to 40% of importance.
- 1:01:05I would say taking Bitcoin into self custody is the most
- 1:01:09important vote you can make. And I think that I'm going to
- 1:01:13put 80 to 90% of importance on that and 20 to 10% on elections
- 1:01:20because I think that the system is too far gone for you to fix,
- 1:01:25fix it with a, a, a specific candidate going in there and
- 1:01:31changing things. I think the system is so
- 1:01:33entrenched that you're just, it's just not going to change.
- 1:01:36And I think that it's so addicted to the money printer.
- 1:01:42It's so that like it, it's just not incentivized to change.
- 1:01:47Like you had Elon Musk, someone who literally invented self
- 1:01:52landing rockets and self driving cars and literally, literally
- 1:01:58they ran him out of town, right? So again, like I think elections
- 1:02:03do matter, but instead of putting so much importance on
- 1:02:06them and we, we will talk about the midterms.
- 1:02:10Like it's not like it's not like they don't matter.
- 1:02:12Of course they matter. We we ultimately did get Ross
- 1:02:15free. So some good things did come out
- 1:02:18of that, but I think that this is a long term process.
- 1:02:23It's going to take many decades. It's also going to take changing
- 1:02:27the culture and it's also going to take more people wanting
- 1:02:31freedom. Like that's the reality of this
- 1:02:33situation because I don't think any of these politicians would
- 1:02:37be able to do what they're doing with the central bank, digital
- 1:02:41currencies, if people actually really gave a flying F about
- 1:02:45sovereignty, about freedom, about speech.
- 1:02:49I think that if the majority of people actually cared about
- 1:02:52those things, then we wouldn't be in the situation that we are
- 1:02:55in now. And a lot of what a lot of
- 1:02:57people have to understand, especially about the United
- 1:03:01States, America, and like free countries around the world, is
- 1:03:05that throughout most of human history, that wasn't the norm.
- 1:03:11The norm was always there was always a ruler, there was always
- 1:03:15a strong man, there was always a dictator, there was always a
- 1:03:18king, and he made the rules and you went along with the rules.
- 1:03:23The problem is that how the current system functions is that
- 1:03:28it hides behind the legitimacy of democracy, right?
- 1:03:36So essentially, oh, this is a democracy, therefore it's
- 1:03:40legitimate. Therefore we can do whatever you
- 1:03:44want, but we can do whatever we want because essentially we're
- 1:03:48doing it for your own good. What we've learned this year is
- 1:03:52that this system, it might be democratic on paper, but those
- 1:03:59elections really don't hold that much weight in terms of who's in
- 1:04:05power and who makes the rules. the United States is definitely
- 1:04:09not as bad as Europe, where like literally the president, Ursula
- 1:04:15von whatever, she's like an unelected bureaucrat.
- 1:04:18It's not as bad as it is in Europe, but it's still pretty
- 1:04:21bad. Like elections matter for sure.
- 1:04:25To answer your question bro, but I think that the only way we're
- 1:04:30really going to fundamentally change the system is by more
- 1:04:34people becoming bitcoiners and more people taking self custody
- 1:04:38of their Bitcoin. If not, I think it's just things
- 1:04:44are just going to get continue to get worse.
- 1:04:46That's my that's my honest opinion, man.
- 1:04:48I mean, we played you guys a video of of one of the
- 1:04:52Rothschilds literally saying how much control they have over the
- 1:04:56governments yesterday. And like five years ago that was
- 1:04:59essentially labeled a conspiracy theory, right?
- 1:05:02So yeah, anyways, let's get to the culture.
- 1:05:05We're going to do a simply Bitcoin 2025 recap, go down
- 1:05:09memory lane. We're going to be right back in
- 1:05:11just a bit. I want to give a shout out to
- 1:05:13our partner Hive Digital Technologies.
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- 1:05:51I want to give a shout out to our partner Bitcoin Ben dot IO.
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- 1:07:02freedom. All right everybody, we are back
- 1:07:122025 man, what a year for simply Bitcoin wide shot dude.
- 1:07:18Well, you were talking. What a what a year for simply
- 1:07:21Bitcoin. We broke 100K on YouTube thanks
- 1:07:26to you guys. So many notable interviews.
- 1:07:31Paolo Arduino, CEO of Tether Senator Lummus, in the beginning
- 1:07:36of the year, never interviewed AUS senator or gone to
- 1:07:43Washington, DC with the goal of interviewing AUS senator.
- 1:07:48So that was a crazy experience. And then interviewing, you know,
- 1:07:52so many notable people throughout the year, Jack Cruz,
- 1:07:55which you haven't dropped that episode yet, dude.
- 1:07:58Wait are? We gonna get the Jack Cruz
- 1:08:00interview in 2026? We are gonna get in 2026 and
- 1:08:03it's gonna be on the simply Bitcoin website.
- 1:08:05We'll, we'll keep you guys. We'll keep you guys informed.
- 1:08:09But you know, so many incredible, so many incredible
- 1:08:15experiences, so many interviews, so many location interviews.
- 1:08:19The Jeff Booth interview that we did for you guys, 300,000 views
- 1:08:23on YouTube, you know, building out the studio which apparently
- 1:08:28we launched at the top. Literally at the.
- 1:08:30Top of the bull market? We should have known.
- 1:08:33You know, Michael Saylor's 100K party, which again, we should
- 1:08:39have known the election of, of Donald Trump, watching the
- 1:08:43inauguration, a lot of high hopes and you know, simply
- 1:08:48Bitcoin as a business, we've grown tremendously thanks to you
- 1:08:52guys, thanks to our partners, shout out to our partners.
- 1:08:55We would not be air, we would not be on air without our
- 1:08:58partners and without you guys watching us.
- 1:09:00So we really appreciate it. It's been really a breakout year
- 1:09:04for us. Maybe the price hasn't broken
- 1:09:08out, but for us as a media company, bootstrapped, you know,
- 1:09:13we, it's, it's definitely come a long way.
- 1:09:14We're also five years old, man. Dude, we're boomers.
- 1:09:17We're. Five years old, five years, five
- 1:09:19years we've been doing this, and it's been quite a journey this
- 1:09:24year. And I don't know how 2026 is
- 1:09:27gonna top it, man, you know? So I'll wait and see, you know?
- 1:09:32And so many conferences, so many.
- 1:09:35So much traveling. That's how it's gonna change.
- 1:09:37Less conferences, yeah. So we're not, we're not gonna be
- 1:09:40travelling as much next year. We're definitely gonna be
- 1:09:44travelling way less next year. We're gonna be focusing mostly
- 1:09:49on making content and we're also working on some things with our
- 1:09:54website that you guys are going to absolutely love.
- 1:09:58But yeah, it's been an incredible year.
- 1:10:00So much accomplished. Again, the big highlights for me
- 1:10:03are the the location interviews, the Lugano interviews that you
- 1:10:07guys have been seeing on the channel.
- 1:10:09A lot of fun and interviewing some pretty notable people that
- 1:10:13was pretty effing cool as well And then finally the build out
- 1:10:16of the studio, which again that to me and Opti from like a
- 1:10:20psychological perspective felt so important because like we
- 1:10:24actually feel like we're going to work now every day while
- 1:10:27we're prepping the show like backstage in our green room that
- 1:10:30we. Wait, should we?
- 1:10:31Should we do the before and after?
- 1:10:35Remember, remember we we have a picture of, we have a picture of
- 1:10:38the old setup that we were using.
- 1:10:40Yeah, it was literally it was. It was.
- 1:10:41Literally like a green screen. Like before, it was a green
- 1:10:44screen. Like how it started, it was a
- 1:10:46green screen, you know, in my room.
- 1:10:51Literally green screens in our mother's basements.
- 1:10:53Yeah, literally. And then it became a green
- 1:10:57screen in my living room. And then it like actually, you
- 1:11:03know, manifested into a studio where we are now.
- 1:11:06So that was pretty surreal. So again, yeah.
- 1:11:12And then Opti has the power of of the Switcher now.
- 1:11:15Dangerous so. He hey, hey, don't touch my
- 1:11:17soundboard. Get out of here.
- 1:11:22If he upgraded, get out of here. Upgraded from the soundboard to
- 1:11:26actual. Dude, you know I can, you know I
- 1:11:28can do this. Guys.
- 1:11:29I should have done this a long time ago.
- 1:11:31Just no, Nico, mute him. No, I'm trolling.
- 1:11:36I'm trolling. All right, My, my kind of take
- 1:11:41away here. How could I forget Bro we were
- 1:11:45literally at the NASDAQ. This year?
- 1:11:47Oh yeah, NASDAQ crazy. Like Opti's picture behind him.
- 1:11:51Opti's picture behind him. Like, you know, getting.
- 1:11:55Looking looking like the president over here.
- 1:11:58Getting to be a part. Of look at it.
- 1:12:00Look at that stud. Getting to be a part.
- 1:12:02Look at that jawline on that picture.
- 1:12:06Getting to be a part of, you know, the launch of a of a
- 1:12:12publicly trade of a public like shout out to Hive, of course,
- 1:12:15Hive digital technologies go follow them.
- 1:12:18Go check them on the NASDAQ Hive.
- 1:12:22Getting to be a part of the ceremony and being on TV while
- 1:12:25they rang the bell. And what got us there was being
- 1:12:29Youtubers was effing crazy, bro. Like that was wild.
- 1:12:34That was a crazy experience. So yeah, I mean it's been a wild
- 1:12:38ride. It's been a wild year for us.
- 1:12:41Unfortunately, the the price didn't follow the wild ride that
- 1:12:45we. There's always next year.
- 1:12:47There's always next. Year.
- 1:12:49There's always next year. All right, 2025 recap the then
- 1:12:55cons. I was not the happiest at all
- 1:12:59these conferences. That was not fun.
- 1:13:02So hopefully next year we do less conferences.
- 1:13:05I'd love seeing you guys at the conferences, but working the
- 1:13:08conferences, bro, I, I'm sure if you guys saw me at the
- 1:13:11conferences, I'd be like laying on the floor midday, just like
- 1:13:15my back's hurting. It's like 12 hour days, Yeah.
- 1:13:19So you know that that was probably the low point for me is
- 1:13:22going to too many conferences. But it was fun.
- 1:13:24It it was good work. What, what I'm personally most
- 1:13:28proud of is is basically us launching the studio and from
- 1:13:33our, you know, company view, we like, we like 3X our views this
- 1:13:39year from last year. And you know, I, I don't want to
- 1:13:42be as optimistic next year that will 3X our views from here next
- 1:13:47year. But I do want to do a double, I
- 1:13:49would like to double our views. So I'm, I'm going to do kind of,
- 1:13:52you know, a neutrally bullish take on where we will be next
- 1:13:56year. Obviously, if we get some good
- 1:13:58price action next year, 2026, I, I think, I think we can blow all
- 1:14:03the expectations out of the water.
- 1:14:05As you guys saw throughout the year, you know, the Bitcoin
- 1:14:07being a stable coin all year long, it was kind of rough.
- 1:14:11We really had no clue what was going on.
- 1:14:13We, we were trying to rationalize and cope a lot of
- 1:14:15the times about what was happening.
- 1:14:17But Bitcoin literally going sideways or rather, you know,
- 1:14:20sideways in town all year long. That, that was a, a rough
- 1:14:24journey to say the least, especially just probably 'cause
- 1:14:28we were expecting it to be a parabolic year.
- 1:14:30But from a company perspective over here, it's simply Bitcoin.
- 1:14:35I think it's, it's pretty crazy to just look at what we did at
- 1:14:38the beginning of the year to what we're doing now at the end
- 1:14:40of the year. And it's been up and to the
- 1:14:43right or up and to the right. You know, we, we're just, we're
- 1:14:46gaining views. Ruston's been killing it,
- 1:14:48Dante's killing it. We added Sophie to the, to the
- 1:14:51roster. You know Oceans is is locking in
- 1:14:55making some really cool content. You know Nico and I spazzing out
- 1:14:59here in the studio like it's it's been an amazing year.
- 1:15:04I think this year Nico and you might have to Fact Check mirror,
- 1:15:08but I think this year we have been the most watched Bitcoin
- 1:15:13YouTube throughout the whole year yeah, that's official.
- 1:15:17We are literally. The most watched Bitcoin only
- 1:15:20YouTube channel on planet Earth for 2025.
- 1:15:25Let's go that. Was a.
- 1:15:27Very. So we, we wanna, we wanna
- 1:15:28maintain the dominance next year.
- 1:15:31I might be less humble next year if we continue to dominate.
- 1:15:34I know I, I, I wasn't that humble this year, but yeah, that
- 1:15:40feels really good, man. Like from a, from a, what we've
- 1:15:43done as a media brand this year. It's just felt really awesome.
- 1:15:48I mean, obviously, you know, creating a studio at the top was
- 1:15:50probably not the smartest idea, but at least it feels good
- 1:15:52coming to work every single day. We've added some awesome team
- 1:15:56members. Our views throughout all of our
- 1:15:59content has like minimum 3X. That's just YouTube 3X.
- 1:16:03I'm sure. I didn't even look at what
- 1:16:05happened on Twitter and Auster Rumble, you know, shout out to
- 1:16:07the guys over at Rumble. Rumble has been doing really
- 1:16:10strong shout. Out to Rumble The Rumble channel
- 1:16:14is blowing the F. Yeah, exactly.
- 1:16:17And so I really just want to continue what we've been doing
- 1:16:20this year, get better. And look, you guys, I, I, you
- 1:16:23know, you guys know, I'm, I'm in the chat with you guys.
- 1:16:26So I see all the criticism in the chat.
- 1:16:29You know, give me some time and I'll work through everything.
- 1:16:32I'm going to try to iterate on everything we've been doing, try
- 1:16:36to get, you know, our titles better, our thumbnails better,
- 1:16:40the show better, you know, maintain the bullishness here
- 1:16:44and hopefully really break out of just the Bitcoin echo chamber
- 1:16:48that we've kind of like really secured this year.
- 1:16:52So next year, that's my hope. I want to, you know, double
- 1:16:55everything we've been doing. Just keep doing what we're doing
- 1:16:58and shouts out to the Twitter team.
- 1:16:59You guys have been killing it. It.
- 1:17:01We've had a lot of shakes up this year, but I think we really
- 1:17:04solidified our our team members and I just want to give a huge
- 1:17:08shout out to every one of us over here at simply Bitcoin.
- 1:17:11You guys don't see everyone behind the scenes.
- 1:17:14We got a huge team and they're all fucking bad asses.
- 1:17:18They're all on the mission. They're all ride or die.
- 1:17:21Nico and I just gave them some rifles.
- 1:17:23They went up the hill and few of them metaphorically metaphoric.
- 1:17:26Metaphoric. And the ones that that made it
- 1:17:29to the top, they're goats. So shout out to all of them.
- 1:17:33But really before I go, because again, guys, we are going to
- 1:17:36take tomorrow off. I don't know if you guys can
- 1:17:39hear, but I am kind of sick and you know, I still might go out,
- 1:17:42have a couple of drinks tonight, celebrate New Year.
- 1:17:46But before I go, I really, really, really, really from the
- 1:17:51bottom of my heart want to give a huge shout out to every single
- 1:17:54one of you guys that is watch any any second of simply Bitcoin
- 1:17:58content throughout the year. Like Nico said a minute ago, we
- 1:18:01wouldn't be here without you guys.
- 1:18:02Like you guys in the chat that hang out with me every single
- 1:18:05day. You know even if you're trolling
- 1:18:07me, you still feel like family. Like you guys, you guys are here
- 1:18:12with us everyday. The diehards.
- 1:18:14I literally I love you guys. I appreciate you guys you know
- 1:18:18keep trolling us, keep talking shit in the chat.
- 1:18:22It means the world to me. All the love you guys have given
- 1:18:25me this year. Like, you know, Nico and I have
- 1:18:27said it before, like you guys changed our lives and you know,
- 1:18:30I, I want to do the best I can to deliver you guys value every
- 1:18:36single day. You know, sometimes we're not
- 1:18:38perfect, we're human. Some days are better than
- 1:18:40others, but you guys keep showing up every single day.
- 1:18:44That's what makes it worth it, guys.
- 1:18:46So help us spread the message that's gets more people to stack
- 1:18:49Bitcoin, have more people take Bitcoin into custody.
- 1:18:52Like we are going to win, guys. We are, we're going to win.
- 1:18:56It's just it's going to take some work.
- 1:18:58You know, like Nico said it in the last segment, I do believe
- 1:19:01this is a generational movement. This isn't just going to happen
- 1:19:05in four or five years. I think if you're here today, if
- 1:19:09you're, you know, at any age, I think we're going to be doing
- 1:19:14this for forever. I think maybe in like 30-40
- 1:19:17years we can look back and and realize like, Oh yeah,
- 1:19:20everyone's using Bitcoin. But as I said, at some point in
- 1:19:23the middle of the year, I'm like, guys, I think at this
- 1:19:26point we all got to lock in and realize like, we're doing this
- 1:19:30forever. This is our lives now.
- 1:19:32There is no like 05 years. It's over.
- 1:19:35We won. I think this is going to be, you
- 1:19:38know, for decades to come. So let's just hope we can we can
- 1:19:42make it over the finish line the next 5/10/20 plus years guys.
- 1:19:47So anyways, again, peace love, I love you guys, Happy New Years,
- 1:19:51all that good stuff. You guys really mean the world
- 1:19:53to us. Absolutely.
- 1:19:55I mean, I, I can't, I can't top that.
- 1:19:57So guys, happy New Year. We love you guys.
- 1:20:00We appreciate you guys. Thank you guys so much.
- 1:20:03We wouldn't be here without you. The last SBSB Live episode for
- 1:20:082025. What you we'll catch you guys.
- 1:20:12Wait, wait, last thing, Niko, are you going to be so bearish
- 1:20:16next year? Let's see what happens.
- 1:20:21Before. We'll catch you guys next year.
- 1:20:24Take it easy, everybody. Today's episode was brought to
- 1:20:27you by bitcoinwell.com, a Bitcoin only platform on a
- 1:20:30mission to enable financial independence.