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Construction & Big Dog Picks | NFL Week 5 Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:10
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the favorites presented by draft Kings. The crown
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: is yours. We are an action network podcast. I'm your host,
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: Brandon Kravitz joined by the first lady, Kendra Middleton, Emerson Lott. See,
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: you'll be joining us in a bit week five, full
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: breakdown preview. Our five official plays. Two and three in
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: the contest last week. We'll see if we can get
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: back to our winning ways or just any winning ways, Kendra.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: Any winning ways we'll do at this point.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel decent, but at the same time, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: have no reason to feel decent.
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: So we'll just, you know what? It's in God's hands.
• 0:47
  Speaker 4: Exactly.
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: Let Jesus take the wheel. Let's talk about the Eagles
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: for a moment before we get to our card and
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: Evan's trends. They are falling apart at the seams. Lane
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: Johnson announced his retirement.
• 0:59
  Speaker 4: Stephen A.
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: Smith has done four podcasts about it at this point.
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: And Cam Juergens has been traded. Saquon Barkley is out.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: I like the angle that you sent in our group
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: chat yesterday. Let's not worry about London. Let's worry about
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: what happens after the fact. Nick Sirianni, his seat has
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: to be scorching. All of the turmoil, all of the
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts regression. all of the coordinators that they've run.
• 1:29
  Speaker 4: Through the last few years. I would just be.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: Surprised at this point if he makes it through the season.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: So I don't want to steal your thunder here. What's
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: the way to back this?
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: I texted you guys yesterday that if we were going
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: to get in on the Sirianni firing, it had to
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: be now or never.
• 1:47
  Speaker 3: We know how he will do it.
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: But the thing is, is that their schedule gives them
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: Some better odds of this happening coming up than I
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: would have anticipated at the beginning of the season. Obviously,
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure which version of the Eagles we're going
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: to get this week. We're going to talk about this
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: later when we preview this game. I just I'm unsure
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: if we're going to get them punting on the season
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: or a version of the Eagles that feels like underdogs
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: right now that's going to overperform. But the thing is,
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: you can't really fire someone after a London game because
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: the excuse of travel and whatnot is. The Panthers game
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: is who they have next on deck. Panthers coming off
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: of a buy. It is in Philly. But after that,
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: they have three consecutive divisional games. which if you don't
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: go at least two and one through those divisional teams
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: against potentially a really injured Jaden Daniels, if he stays
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: healthy this week, obviously they're not going to have a
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: healthy Giants team that they're going to play. So I
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: think the window is the value is not going to
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: get any better. If this is something you like, like
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: me and Kravitz, it's really truly now or never. And
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: I know that there are other coaches, but those coaches
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: don't have a One, I think owners who are as
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: willing and able to fire as the Eagles do, or
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: they have other excuses that factor into why they're not performing, i.e.
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: Dan Quinn.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: And that is the part of this that I think
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: does need to be looked at before you go fire away.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: But part of the reason that we like it is
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: because of how aggressive the Eagles are, as opposed to.
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: Some of these other organizations.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: I mentioned this on one of our last podcasts and
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: talking to people that cover the Buccaneers. This is just
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: not something the Bucs do. The Bucs didn't fire Greg
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: Sciano in the middle of the season, and he was
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: a joke. So Todd Bowles is a heavy favorite to
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: be the first coach fired.
• 3:30
  Speaker 4: He's not going to be. At least it's not likely.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: D'Amico Ryans I worry about a little bit. They're 0-4.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: If they lose to the Titans, I think there could
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: be a surprise there. He's pretty low on the board,
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: but just looking around, Aaron Glenn still feels too new.
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: Sirianni is the most likely candidate, 8% right now.
• 3:50
  Speaker 4: To be the first coach fired.
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah. The thing with Todd Bowles for me is that
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: now he has the excuse of the quarterback. So I
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: think that that also buys him some time in that conversation.
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: I can't agree with you about D'Amico just because you
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: can't fire a guy who's performed as well as he
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: has through his first few years in the league, who's
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: getting off to an 0-4 start with a lot of
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: injury issues, especially now that the injury issues are piling up.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: I do agree about the Titans. I think the conversation
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: starts after the Titans. But if they are going to
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: do it, I also don't think that they're a team
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: who's going to until after the year is over.
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: I don't want to see Dan Quinn lose his job.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: There's something about Dan Quinn that I really like.
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: Stop. Stop.
• 4:28
  Speaker 3: No.
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: Matt LaFleur would be another one, and Jim Harbaugh. I'll
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: keep an eye out for him if the Chargers lose again.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: They could just clean out the entire staff at that point.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: All right, Evan, the floor is yours. Welcome to the show.
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: We've got two-minute trends here. Do you like the Nick
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: Sirianni angle first and foremost?
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: I think it's just too short at the moment. I
• 4:54
  Speaker 5: think this would have been something to look into if
• 4:55
  Speaker 5: you didn't like the Eagles entering the season. I just
• 4:57
  Speaker 5: think now it's like, it kind of doesn't matter. I
• 4:59
  Speaker 5: think the more interesting one is LaFleur. I think it's
• 5:01
  Speaker 5: kind of fascinating with that game at home. Like if
• 5:03
  Speaker 5: they just got blown out by a backup, but again,
• 5:06
  Speaker 5: hard to see them firing him. But I think this year,
• 5:08
  Speaker 5: very fascinating market. So something I'm kind of watching week
• 5:12
  Speaker 5: to week. All right. The three trends I am looking at,
• 5:15
  Speaker 5: and then I'll give you a fun bonus one. Six
• 5:17
  Speaker 5: plus point favorites this season, 15-6 straight up, but just
• 5:20
  Speaker 5: 6-13-2 against the spread. Would be the worst start for
• 5:23
  Speaker 5: those bigger favorites since 2010, so not your best start.
• 5:27
  Speaker 5: And six outright losses already through four weeks, which is intriguing.
• 5:32
  Speaker 5: Kind of in the same vein, teams who entered the
• 5:35
  Speaker 5: season with a double-digit win total this year so far,
• 5:38
  Speaker 5: facing teams not in that group, 17-11 straight up, 11 losses,
• 5:41
  Speaker 5: but 7-19-2 against the spread. Second worst start ATS last
• 5:48
  Speaker 5: 20 years for those double digit win totals this early
• 5:52
  Speaker 5: in the season. So not your best start. And then
• 5:55
  Speaker 5: this final one division dogs, you had mentioned it before
• 5:58
  Speaker 5: a little bit with home, but if you just look
• 5:59
  Speaker 5: overall nine and eight straight up division dogs above 500
• 6:03
  Speaker 5: straight up, but 12 and five against the spread third,
• 6:07
  Speaker 5: third best start since the merger against the spread best
• 6:11
  Speaker 5: in 2010. And it's just the second season above 500
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: straight up through four games. So, Division dogs, bad teams,
• 6:19
  Speaker 5: big favorites, just not the best start early in the season.
• 6:23
  Speaker 5: And then this is just a fun one I've seen
• 6:25
  Speaker 5: in a few places. BetLabs has used it as well.
• 6:27
  Speaker 5: But as a three-plus point favorite, Drake May 14-0 straight
• 6:32
  Speaker 5: up in his career. No losses. And minus three and
• 6:36
  Speaker 5: a half this week. The other one, which is just ridiculous,
• 6:39
  Speaker 5: if you look at that stat, three-plus point favorites, Bo
• 6:42
  Speaker 5: Nix is 16-1. But he's also on the road here.
• 6:47
  Speaker 5: So you have a little bit of a contradicting situation.
• 6:49
  Speaker 5: I think he's 2-10 ATS, lost 12 in his road starts.
• 6:53
  Speaker 5: And you can look at the numbers. They're not fantastic.
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: But those are the trends of the week.
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: Evan, I have a question.
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: I texted our group. I texted our group chat yesterday,
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: and I probably should have texted you privately, and I'm
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: not sure if this is something that.
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: You've looked into.
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: But does it feel to you, without obviously available analytics,
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: unless you can pull them up quickly, that there have
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: been more players with two touchdowns per game this season
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: compared to other years? We were texting about this yesterday.
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: It feels like Every major player has at least a
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: two touchdown game. And even some of the like quieter
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: players like Cody White has had a two touchdown game.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: Like it just feels like this is and maybe this
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: is a recency bias thing after watching Thursday night football.
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: But it just it feels like a lot.
• 7:39
  Speaker 5: I can 110% check this for you. It's just not
• 7:42
  Speaker 5: going to be as fast as at this moment.
• 7:44
  Speaker 3: I will say next week. That's on me.
• 7:46
  Speaker 4: Yeah. Yeah.
• 7:47
  Speaker 5: Betting and fantasy football does always tell me that I
• 7:50
  Speaker 5: feel things stronger than maybe they had in the past.
• 7:53
  Speaker 5: Just cause it's thrown in my face all the time,
• 7:56
  Speaker 5: but something I can easily look up.
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: We can pin this for next week.
• 7:59
  Speaker 4: It's definitely happening.
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: Is it happening more than in previous seasons is something
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: I'd be really up in the, up in the air about,
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: but I did pull some of the names that have
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: done it already this season.
• 8:10
  Speaker 4: And have done it multiple times.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Guys like Jameer Gibbs and Kenneth Walker and Derrick Henry
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: and JSN. Like, we've seen the stars have really shined.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: Bijan Robinson is another one.
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: Brian Robinson.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: And what's crazy, too, is that meat is being left
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: on the bone. Because, and this has been a big
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: story this week, the referees are out of control. 17
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: touchdowns have been called back due to offensive penalties.
• 8:34
  Speaker 5: So.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: There's actually a higher ceiling here for, I don't know
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: about the double touchdowns, but there's at least a higher
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: ceiling for touchdowns. Evan, before we cut you loose, one
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: of the games I know we're going to discuss here,
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: as could we discuss all of them, is the game
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: in London. The line has moved four points from the open.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville 7-0 ATS is a favorite of three plus points
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: since last season began. But is it too late to
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: back the Jacksonville Jaguars with that sort of movement?
• 9:04
  Speaker 5: Yeah, so I'll just give you one blanketed stat. This
• 9:06
  Speaker 5: uses my data plus BetLabs' data. But to me, this
• 9:09
  Speaker 5: was the easiest way to try to comprehend this type
• 9:13
  Speaker 5: of line movement. So if you look at our look-ahead data,
• 9:16
  Speaker 5: we had the Eagles before lines came out, before we
• 9:19
  Speaker 5: knew anything about this matchup, as minus one and a
• 9:21
  Speaker 5: half in this matchup. So that was the look-ahead line.
• 9:24
  Speaker 5: Jacksonville now sitting minus seven and a half. So you're
• 9:27
  Speaker 5: at a full nine-point move. So the note I put
• 9:30
  Speaker 5: into my primer was this. Whether it's cluster injuries or
• 9:32
  Speaker 5: season results, Line movement hasn't helped teams in the past.
• 9:36
  Speaker 5: When a team doesn't start a backup quarterback, so you've
• 9:39
  Speaker 5: got Jalen Hurts out there, but still sees their line
• 9:42
  Speaker 5: get six plus points better from the look ahead to
• 9:44
  Speaker 5: closing line, which this is at nine already. They are
• 9:47
  Speaker 5: just eight and 50 straight up and 1938 and one
• 9:52
  Speaker 5: against the spread versus the closing number over the last
• 9:55
  Speaker 5: four seasons. So this week, this is the Eagles and
• 9:58
  Speaker 5: based off the closing lines, it could be the packers
• 10:01
  Speaker 5: but right now that's sitting at five and a half
• 10:03
  Speaker 5: and it could be the chargers which is at exactly
• 10:07
  Speaker 5: six points at the moment so obviously some line movement
• 10:10
  Speaker 5: uh dictating results a little bit but either way it
• 10:13
  Speaker 5: would definitely be the eagles considering where we are.
• 10:16
  Speaker 4: Wow evan you were in your bag with that one Birkin.
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: That was really good. Evan Abrams, ladies and gentlemen, go.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: And check out the primer on Action Network and actionnetwork.com.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: More of the favorites coming up are nominated plays and
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: vetoes used with expert precision.
• 10:33
  Speaker 4: But first, a word. From DraftKings.
• 10:36
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• 10:38
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• 11:00
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• 11:02
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• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Time to welcome back our special guest picker, one of
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: our faves, the one and only Emerson Latzia, the face
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: of DraftKings, the mustard to our glizzy.
• 11:16
  Speaker 4: What's up, my friend? What's up, dude?
• 11:18
  Speaker 6: Just being basic, sipping on my... Is that a PSL? Yeah,
• 11:23
  Speaker 6: it's a PSL, but for the guys, for my brothers
• 11:28
  Speaker 6: in Christ watching, this is pumpkin protein cold foam.
• 11:34
  Speaker 7: Yeah, that's right.
• 11:35
  Speaker 3: Ooh, he likes the protein cream on top.
• 11:38
  Speaker 4: Oh, yes, daddy.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: I can't believe Starbucks got people to pay extra for protein.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: Talk about just having all of us over a barrel.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Now we go to Starbucks for our protein.
• 11:52
  Speaker 4: Hold on.
• 11:53
  Speaker 6: It is one of my wife's, like, she has a
• 11:55
  Speaker 6: lot of complaints about me, but one of her biggest ones,
• 11:58
  Speaker 6: it's like, I'm.
• 11:58
  Speaker 7: A marketer's dream.
• 11:59
  Speaker 6: Like, I will fucking fall for anything. You could sell
• 12:04
  Speaker 6: me anything. And so once they were like, yo, we're
• 12:07
  Speaker 6: putting protein in our cold film, I'm like, done. Fucking done.
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: Not to be a conspiracy theorist, but Starbucks and Dunkin'
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: are actually now just banks with their app combined. There
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: is over a billion with a B dollars preloaded into
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: their apps.
• 12:25
  Speaker 4: Well, you know what? Bank of America should start selling
• 12:28
  Speaker 4: coffee then. Let's catch up.
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: Just pick something already. If you don't like it, you
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: can just veto it.
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: We got two teams on by this week. No Chiefs,
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: no Panthers. So we'll keep them.
• 12:42
  Speaker 4: Off to the side.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: I decided to do the responsible thing today and review
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: the contest lines before we started yapping about them on
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: the podcast. And I just want to throw this out
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: there before we go game by game. The Falcons, who
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: are the Sunday night game against the Ravens, are plus
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: two and a half in the contest. So should we
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: just take the freebie and throw them in before we
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: even get because it's the last game. And I feel
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: as though it would be a mistake to not just
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: take the free dub. And if we get to five
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: before we get there, then there would be a debate.
• 13:18
  Speaker 3: We should talk about it. Okay.
• 13:21
  Speaker 7: Let's talk this out. Let's talk it out.
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: Well, let's start with Thursday night football. Then we'll get there.
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: There's a nice tease for you.
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: To hang till the end. Bucks Cowboys in Dallas.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: Dallas laying eight and a half total at 47 and
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: a half. The Buccaneers have lost four one score games.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: They are minus 20 in terms of point differential. That's
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: the fifth best game. for an own four team of
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: all time, but is it enough for us to get to.
• 13:47
  Speaker 4: The window on Jalen Daniels? Do we dare Kendra?
• 13:52
  Speaker 3: I do kind of like the Bucs.
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: They were someone I was going to nominate, but wanted
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: to talk to you guys about it just because the
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: number feels really inflated for, and I get that it's
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: a backup quarterback, but the Cowboys defense does suck. They're
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: coming off of a huge, you know, people, I talked
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: about this last week. A lot of people who are,
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: you know, probably more casual football fans don't see the
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: Cowboys and Houston being rivals, but it is an in-state rivalry.
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: Like that's a game that people get up for because
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: people in Texas take Texas seriously. And I think that
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: it's a good spot to buy on the books right now,
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: just because at the end of the day, we talk
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: constantly about how there are really good teams in the
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: NFL and there are bad teams in the NFL. I
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: think the Cowboys, if their defense got a little bit better,
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: could be a good team in the NFL, but this
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: is still professional football. And this is a huge number
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: for a professional football team.
• 14:37
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 14:38
  Speaker 6: I mean, Kendra has kind of got me convinced. Like
• 14:41
  Speaker 6: I was, I've been on the fence a Because I
• 14:44
  Speaker 6: look at Dallas, I know that offensive firepower they have
• 14:47
  Speaker 6: that can create separation. But I think, and I know
• 14:53
  Speaker 6: it's only game one, this may be my peg of
• 14:56
  Speaker 6: the week to where I see the Buccaneers with.
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: A little backdoor cover.
• 15:01
  Speaker 4: I agree. Early peg of the week, yes. Here's the thing.
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: The favorites typically do well historically on Thursday Night Football.
• 15:09
  Speaker 4: The ugly dogs.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: in prime time this year have been tremendous and you know,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: the world is going to be on the Dallas Cowboys here.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I'll pull up the public percentages right now, fading the
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: public in general. I think great idea this year. It's
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: been even more profitable. 72% of the bets.
• 15:29
  Speaker 4: Are on the Dallas Cowboys.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: And in contest, we actually get this at plus nine
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: and a half.
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: Yep.
• 15:35
  Speaker 3: Send it. Book it.
• 15:36
  Speaker 4: Books.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: When we have this much agreement, we just can't overthink it.
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: It's got to go in there.
• 15:42
  Speaker 4: Look at us Thursday. And you know what? Thursday night.
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: We got something to cheer for tonight. We can spread
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: our balls off together. I can listen to the noise
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: in my apartment while I watch the game.
• 15:54
  Speaker 7: Yeah. So what's going on there? You have construction?
• 15:57
  Speaker 5: Yeah.
• 15:58
  Speaker 3: They're jackhammering all of the floor.
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: Over the next three weeks, they're jackhammering all of the
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: floors out of the shared space on the other side
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: of my wall. And it's going on every single day.
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: But the construction is going to go on through February.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: And they didn't think that my Karen ass would say
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: anything or look up the law.
• 16:14
  Speaker 3: So I'm PMSing, you guys. I don't care if the
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: pod listeners know that.
• 16:18
  Speaker 6: I'm sorry.
• 16:18
  Speaker 3: You've all touched a woman before, I hope.
• 16:20
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 16:21
  Speaker 7: No, it happens.
• 16:23
  Speaker 6: You know, you just got to make sure you have
• 16:25
  Speaker 6: fresh tampons and pads and stuff like that and take
• 16:28
  Speaker 6: care of yourself.
• 16:29
  Speaker 7: It's natural.
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: Emerson, thank you.
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: I forgot to order them on the internet, so I'm
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: going to shout out Amazon Prime. If you want to
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: sponsor us, I'm ordering that right now.
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: Anyways, next.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: We love it. And we're betting your football game tonight.
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: So hopefully Jalen Daniels jackhammers this Cowboys defense.
• 16:47
  Speaker 4: Plus nine and a half.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: Peg of the week first in the contest for us. Kumbaya.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Let's go to one. We got the Eagles against the Jags.
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: Jags minus seven. It is minus six and a half
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: in the contest. And Emerson has lost his load here.
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: The Eagles are hogging the headlines ahead of this one.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Lane Johnson retires. Saquon Barkley is out. Bigsby is out.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: Devante Smith is out. Cam Juergens got traded. I mean,
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: it would be quicker for me to tell you who
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: is playing for this team. Can the Jags stomp them out?
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: Guys, you are our Jags faithful.
• 17:26
  Speaker 6: I'm on a flight to London tonight, 7 o'clock. I
• 17:29
  Speaker 6: have like 30 Jag shirts in my luggage behind me
• 17:33
  Speaker 6: on the floor. I'm not going there.
• 17:35
  Speaker 4: Can you move over a little bit so we can
• 17:37
  Speaker 4: see the Trevor Lawrence one behind you? Over in the corner.
• 17:39
  Speaker 4: Can you see it?
• 17:40
  Speaker 5: Here.
• 17:40
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I can see it.
• 17:42
  Speaker 7: Can you see it back there? Right next to my
• 17:44
  Speaker 7: golf clubs?
• 17:46
  Speaker 4: Tough. Yeah.
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 17:48
  Speaker 7: So it's like we were texting a little bit yesterday.
• 17:52
  Speaker 7: Like this should be a game, right?
• 17:54
  Speaker 6: You look at it like on paper, especially with all
• 17:56
  Speaker 6: those injuries.
• 17:57
  Speaker 7: I mean, you got, you have guys for the Eagles
• 18:00
  Speaker 7: who are just.
• 18:00
  Speaker 4: Like, yeah, fuck this.
• 18:02
  Speaker 7: I'm, I'm done.
• 18:03
  Speaker 6: I'm out of here. I'm going to go focus on
• 18:05
  Speaker 6: my family and my mental health because this playing for
• 18:07
  Speaker 6: this team is not good.
• 18:09
  Speaker 7: For my mental health.
• 18:10
  Speaker 6: Like on paper, you would think the Jags are going
• 18:12
  Speaker 6: to should just absolutely destroy, annihilate, tongue-punch their balloon knot
• 18:20
  Speaker 6: for four freaking quarters. I'm still a little nervous, though,
• 18:24
  Speaker 6: because we're not usually, like, we haven't been in this
• 18:27
  Speaker 6: position a lot, Kendra. Like, our team is good. We're
• 18:30
  Speaker 6: going to London, where we've been playing since, what, 2013.
• 18:35
  Speaker 6: You would think that, like, you know, we're okay over there.
• 18:39
  Speaker 6: I think our record is fairly decent. The good news
• 18:42
  Speaker 6: is Trevor Lawrence has a great record in Tottenham Hotspur, 2-1.
• 18:48
  Speaker 6: Guy's thrown like four touchdowns. He has a great pass already.
• 18:53
  Speaker 6: I do think the Jags cover. I don't want this
• 18:57
  Speaker 6: more than 7, though, because.
• 19:00
  Speaker 7: I'm still nervous. This does have backdoor.
• 19:02
  Speaker 6: Cover concern for me, but I hope I'm wrong, and yes,
• 19:06
  Speaker 6: I am taking the Jags to cover.
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: I have two questions.
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: I don't think we should put this in the contest
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: because I think that there are better games and we
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: already have one in pocket. But my thing with this
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: is I don't want to touch this for two reasons.
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: When the Jaguars had back-to-back games in London in 2024,
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: the first game they played against the Bears, they got
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: their shit rocked. The second game against the Patriots, they
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: played a lot better. I know that they have a
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: routine and London is their second home.
• 19:31
  Speaker 3: People love to call it whatever.
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: But I am worried with the two-game stance with history
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: how that first game goes. My second thing is I'm between,
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: is this the type of classic Eagles game where they
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: are cornered and they somehow come out, show out, because
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: that feels like something that the Eagles consistently do. or
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: are they punting on this season because of the injuries
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: with the trade with the retirement I really can't decide
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: yeah I'm totally.
• 19:58
  Speaker 6: With you I I'm Like I would obviously, I would
• 20:01
  Speaker 6: pick the Jags to cover. I mean, I think a
• 20:03
  Speaker 6: lot of that is more of like my heart than
• 20:05
  Speaker 6: my head, but like you said, I'm probably not going
• 20:08
  Speaker 6: to mess with this game. I want to sit there
• 20:09
  Speaker 6: in the stands and I just really like want to
• 20:11
  Speaker 6: enjoy it because I could see it going either way.
• 20:14
  Speaker 6: And as you've already pointed out, history says like Jags
• 20:18
  Speaker 6: in that first game, maybe not great.
• 20:20
  Speaker 7: Also Texans coming up next week.
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: Not saying it's a huge, yeah, I'm not saying it's
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: a huge look ahead spot, but it Divisional.
• 20:28
  Speaker 4: Exactly.
• 20:28
  Speaker 7: Divisional game in London.
• 20:30
  Speaker 4: I don't know, man.
• 20:31
  Speaker 6: There are better games on the board.
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: You would be buying ultimately high on the Jaguars and
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: the Eagles have their backs against the wall. Yes, that
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: team feels like poison right now. I'm not exactly telling
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: you you should go and bet the Eagles. The favorites
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: have done really well in London. They cover at a
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: high rate, but this one that Evan threw in the
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: primer this week fascinates me.
• 20:52
  Speaker 4: In games where the favorite is off of a win.
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: That's the Jags. And the dog is off of a loss.
• 20:57
  Speaker 4: That's the Eagles.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: The favorite still covers 65% of the time, but they
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: win 90% of the time. I think taking the Jags
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: in a teaser, if you're of that variety, that's the
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: way to go by the number back down closer to
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: where it was in the first place and pair it
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: with somebody else.
• 21:14
  Speaker 4: Let's move.
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: Wait, I do have a bet in this game. One second.
• 21:18
  Speaker 4: What is it?
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: Over on DraftKings, you can get the Jags. First sack,
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: minus 120. I think that that is an incredible bet.
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: I know that the Jaguars have had a really hard
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: time getting home this season, but with all of the
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: injuries and what's going on with their offensive line, I
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: think that that is, if you can't get home on
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: this injured Eagles team, you're not going to get home.
• 21:38
  Speaker 3: Has to be this week.
• 21:39
  Speaker 7: I love that bet. Good call, Kendra.
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: Bears Packers Packers plus two and a half. The line
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: is on the move as we speak. It's down to
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: one and a half, but a contest locks at two
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: and a half. The Bears have been without Caleb Williams
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: for the last two weeks. They've managed to win both
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: games by double digits. They're three and one on the season.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: The Packers are off of a win in Tampa, but
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: they still feel broken. I wanted the cheese heads all week.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: Right before we started talking, I bet them at two
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: and a half.
• 22:13
  Speaker 5: Nice.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: I think this is a good time to buy them
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: home dogs in division against the bears. This never happens.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: We're getting a golden opportunity here to fade a team
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: that I think might be at their apex backup court.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: It's still, I know Ben Johnson has been doing a
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: marvelous job. He's still working with backup quarterbacks. They were
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: terrible in the red zone against the jets. The Jets
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: offense just stinks, so they couldn't keep pace. They probably
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: should have covered that game. I like the Packers plus
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: the points. Not an official nomination for me because there's
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: others that I love this week, but I do like
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: the Packers.
• 22:49
  Speaker 4: Plus the points.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: I can, I ask you what you like about the
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: Packers because I can tell you what I like about
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: the lions and that it's Ben Johnson is on a
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: mission to put up points and win with whoever is
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: available to him at quarterback. And the fact that he's
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: been able to do that with three different guys through
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: four weeks of the season, I'm not ready to fade
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: Ben Johnson. If anything in this game, I want the over,
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: but I'm curious what you like about what, what makes
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: you feel good about this Packers team right now?
• 23:15
  Speaker 3: Because for me, it's absolutely nothing.
• 23:16
  Speaker 4: Well, exactly. I mean, and that's part of it too.
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: I think we got to be in the business of
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: buy lows for teams that aren't completely dead in the water.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: The Packers defense has been good 18 or less against
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: the jets and the bucks. And I know that the
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: bears are a different animal offensively, but again, we're talking
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: about this isn't a Caleb Williams led bears team. Ben
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Johnson's having to put together an offense with duct tape
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: and glue. And I do worry about the Packers offense stinks,
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: but the fact that you get them at home as
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: dogs and a Bears team that's a little overvalued right now,
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: that's what I like about them.
• 23:51
  Speaker 6: I think I saw a tweet from DraftKings or maybe
• 23:53
  Speaker 6: it was an Instagram post. The last time Chicago was
• 23:57
  Speaker 6: favored in Green Bay, Rex Grossman and Brett Favre were
• 24:02
  Speaker 6: the quarterbacks.
• 24:03
  Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
• 24:04
  Speaker 6: So Green Bay getting points. At Lambeau to me because.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: 2006, that was the last time that the bears were,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: were favorites in Lambeau.
• 24:12
  Speaker 6: Like you factor in the Caleb Williams, like injury. I
• 24:15
  Speaker 6: don't know. Green Bay getting points at Lambeau. It is
• 24:17
  Speaker 6: like super attractive to me. So, and what approximately, let
• 24:21
  Speaker 6: me see. I have the number here. 89% of the
• 24:23
  Speaker 6: money on the spread is backing Chicago. Like I'm going Packers.
• 24:27
  Speaker 6: I'm going Packers plus two and a half.
• 24:29
  Speaker 4: And they finally started to run the ball. Well, too.
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: I like the way that Marshawn Lloyd looked last week
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: in the bucks have a good run defense. So that's
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: not nothing. Lucas Van Ness didn't practice on Wednesday. I
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: kind of need him to play. I would say to
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: bet it, but I already bet it. So we're in
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: pocket with the Packers.
• 24:46
  Speaker 4: Not in the contest.
• 24:50
  Speaker 3: We can keep it as a maybe.
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: I will say I do think that if Caleb Williams
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: were playing in this game, I don't know if you
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: guys remember last year when they nicknamed him the Great
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: One and people were bringing in cheese graters. That would
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: be some A-plus content this week if we were able.
• 25:04
  Speaker 6: To get it.
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah.
• 25:06
  Speaker 4: Maybe he'll, um, maybe he'll do something gimmicky on the sidelines.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: Let's go Bengals dolphins, dolphins catching six and a half
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: at home total at 42 and a half contest line
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: is seven and a half.
• 25:19
  Speaker 4: So appealing.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: Uh, the Bengals started the season two and of they've
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: dropped two cents to the Steelers and the Jags, their opponent,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: Miami just covered their first spread of the season. How
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: cute Jamar chase status is up in the air. T
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: Higgins status is up in the air. That's why the
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: line is what it is. I don't think the Dolphins
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: are getting tremendous action here. This is very much injury related.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: I don't want to touch this game. The Dolphins are
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: probably the quote unquote sharp side, but burrow off of
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: a loss against a team that can't score. I don't
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: know how the Dolphins keep pace here.
• 25:53
  Speaker 4: So I'm kind of caught in limbo.
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: Yeah, my fear is also they have the buy on
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: deck and that they might just be able, like their
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: goal is probably just to survive this game, get a
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: win and stay healthy and get to the buy. That's
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: kind of my thing is I don't think that they're
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: going to go out here and try and blow doors
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: against a bad team to prove anything. I think that
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: they're in like stay healthy mode. What I am going
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: to offer up for this game is a Mike Gusecki
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: anytime as.
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: A revenge spot.
• 26:19
  Speaker 4: I wrote that down too. That's great.
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what I've got.
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: But the thing is, books literally, because of everything going
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: on with the Bengals receivers, are not offering props right
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: now for anyone other than an anytime touchdown for Gesicki.
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: I was looking at receptions. I was looking at yards. Nothing.
• 26:35
  Speaker 4: I'm down for it.
• 26:36
  Speaker 6: Getting below that key number of seven, though, that kind
• 26:38
  Speaker 6: of makes Cincinnati a little more appealing for me.
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: Agree, but it's not in the contest. If it were
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: a six and a half in contest, I'd say we
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: should send it.
• 26:46
  Speaker 4: Okay. I don't think we can buy it.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: We can't buy the Bengals at seven and a half,
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: but I mean, I can see this game. This game
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: just reeks of close at the half, maybe even close.
• 26:57
  Speaker 4: Halfway through the third, and then the Bengals win 20
• 26:59
  Speaker 4: to six.
• 27:00
  Speaker 5: Agree.
• 27:02
  Speaker 4: So let's move to the Texans and the Titans. This
• 27:06
  Speaker 4: is an interesting one. So the Texans are seven and
• 27:10
  Speaker 4: a half point favorites on the road. Contest line is
• 27:13
  Speaker 4: six and a half.
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: The start for the Texans has been very frustrating. They
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: have led in the final two minutes in three of
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: their four losses. I have lost a considerable amount of
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: money betting on the Houston Texans. This should be a
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: smash spot. CJ Stroud interceptions for you. Texans spread for me.
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Nothing is working. We have them on bet IR, but
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: this is a smash spot for the Houston Texans. We
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: should be adding the Texans minus six and a half
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: to this contest.
• 27:48
  Speaker 4: Will we is a different question, but we should.
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: Their entire defense is on the injury report, though, Kravis.
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: I get that the Titans suck, but they are hurt.
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: Even on offense, Collins and Dell were both limited in
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: practice this week.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: Well, Dell hasn't played yet. I think him being limited
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: is a good sign. We might actually see Tank Dell
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: make his debut. Collins has to play in order for
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: us to feel good about this because C.J. Stroud, he
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: looks like a third string quarterback when Nico Collins isn't
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: on the field. And I think he looks pretty, he
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: looks like prime Bryce young when, when, uh, when, when
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: Collins is out there, it's just a complete, completely different
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: offense with him. Uh, the David Montgomery signing for a
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: quick aside, what a waste of cash that was just
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: send him back to Detroit.
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: They need him.
• 28:36
  Speaker 6: They need Tennessee has attracted 66% of the money despite
• 28:40
  Speaker 6: receiving only 39% of the bets here. So that discrepancy
• 28:44
  Speaker 6: combined with the extra half point, it kind of makes
• 28:47
  Speaker 6: the Titans my new ETS selection here.
• 28:51
  Speaker 4: So let me give you the, let me give you
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: the trend.
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: Let me give you the trend on this from our
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: stat sound, Evan Abrams, before you go smash and keys
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: on the Titans, the Titans are three and 15 ATS
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: against the AFC South over the last four seasons. With
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: Cam Ward at quarterback, the Titans are 2-6 ATS after
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: they cover the spread, which they did last week against
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: the Baltimore Ravens.
• 29:15
  Speaker 4: Good job, Kendra. They are not bettable. Not bettable.
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: No.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: And that offense is just, it's horrendous. The Texans have
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: been susceptible to big plays. That's the reason they've lost.
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: Look at the quarterbacks they've given up. Big yardage to
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott, Josh Allen. Cam Ward is not
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: those guys. This is Texans or nothing.
• 29:39
  Speaker 6: You could not pay.
• 29:40
  Speaker 7: Me to watch this game.
• 29:41
  Speaker 4: Like, seriously.
• 29:43
  Speaker 6: You couldn't pay me to do it. I would rather
• 29:46
  Speaker 6: have somebody drop a fat deuce in a brown paper
• 29:50
  Speaker 6: bag and light it on fire on my stoop, and
• 29:54
  Speaker 6: then I will stomp it out with my boots. That
• 29:57
  Speaker 6: is what I would rather have happen to me than
• 30:00
  Speaker 6: watch a single play in this game.
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: I am going to watch the entire thing, but also
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: seven and a half. In division feels like I get that.
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: Don't get me wrong.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: I know that both of these teams are bad, but
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: seven and a half in a divisional game when we
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: know divisional games are just built different. It's tough.
• 30:19
  Speaker 4: All right. Not, not in, not in. We are in
• 30:22
  Speaker 4: bet purgatory with that one.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: Let's go to the Colts and the Steelers Steelers minus
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: two and a half total at 44 and a half. Really,
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: really bad schedule spot for the Colts here off of
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: a London game on the road against the Steelers team
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: with 10 days to prep. Yet 68% of the tickets
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: are on the Colts here. I don't want to bet
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: the Steelers. You don't want to bet the Steelers. I
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: feel like we got to bet the Pittsburgh Steelers.
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: Did you know this is only the second time in
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: history that a team has played a road game after
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: an international game?
• 30:58
  Speaker 4: Did not know that. How did it go the last time?
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 31:02
  Speaker 4: Okay.
• 31:02
  Speaker 7: Has that happened to the Jags?
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: I would assume it would probably be us.
• 31:07
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 31:08
  Speaker 7: Why not us?
• 31:10
  Speaker 6: Why not us?
• 31:10
  Speaker 4: I don't know.
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: I feel like it is a stealer's spot. But the
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: thing is, is that I just don't trust Aaron Rodgers, man.
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: The Colts are also getting Keenan Allen.
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: Back this week.
• 31:20
  Speaker 4: Same.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 31:21
  Speaker 6: Pittsburgh has injury concerns, too, in the secondary. I feel
• 31:24
  Speaker 6: like the Colts' chances of keeping this close are winning outright.
• 31:28
  Speaker 7: Georgia Bean, what do you think, sweetie pie?
• 31:30
  Speaker 4: All right, dog's checking in. Yeah. The fact that the
• 31:33
  Speaker 4: dog is checking in, I think, leans me back to
• 31:35
  Speaker 4: the Colts, though. Yeah, that's right. Plus two and a half.
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: I think construction's on lunch, boys. We're getting lucky.
• 31:41
  Speaker 4: This is great. Bad news for Aaron Rodgers.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: Dating back to 2022, Aaron Rodgers has started five games
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: on extended prep time coming off of a loss. His
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: teams are 0-5 ATS.
• 31:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah, now.
• 31:54
  Speaker 7: Aaron Rodgers is 87 years old.
• 31:56
  Speaker 4: So what is he doing with his extra time? I
• 31:58
  Speaker 4: thought he was a student of the game.
• 32:00
  Speaker 7: Yeah, doing drugs.
• 32:04
  Speaker 3: Kissing his computer wife.
• 32:06
  Speaker 6: His computer wife?
• 32:07
  Speaker 7: Yeah, probably cranking his hog. Who the hell knows?
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: His wife is literally Karen from SpongeBob.
• 32:12
  Speaker 4: I'm convinced. We don't know who it is, right?
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: It's a computer.
• 32:21
  Speaker 4: Okay.
• 32:21
  Speaker 6: Is this like that movie with Chalk Queen Phoenix and
• 32:24
  Speaker 6: he falls in love with Siri?
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: I think that that's exactly what's happening.
• 32:28
  Speaker 4: That's kind of been Kendra's theory all along with this.
• 32:33
  Speaker 6: Listen, all I know is, and I don't know this
• 32:35
  Speaker 6: from experience.
• 32:37
  Speaker 4: Okay.
• 32:37
  Speaker 6: But I know there are very, there are lifelike dolls
• 32:40
  Speaker 6: out there, you know?
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: Yes.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: So it's only going to get worse with AI Emerson.
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: It's about to get really weird out there.
• 32:46
  Speaker 7: More like gay.
• 32:48
  Speaker 4: I got them. All right. Next Raiders, Patriots, Patriots minus
• 32:53
  Speaker 4: three and a half.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: This is a fascinating game.
• 32:56
  Speaker 4: I love the Raiders this year.
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: Me too!
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: We are a Raiders podcast here. That is one of
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: our teams from the beginning of the season. We've been
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: talking about this team since May, people, okay?
• 33:06
  Speaker 3: They're so fun.
• 33:08
  Speaker 4: You're late to the party.
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: But the Patriots have dug themselves out of the mud
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: with a win over the Bills. I think this is
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: one of those games that's going to tell us a
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: lot about whoever comes out on top. Does the plus
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: three and a half on the Raiders feel too easy
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: to everyone out there? The Raiders are not only three
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: and one, they are four and oh ATS. They're the
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: only team to cover the spread every week this season
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: against the closing line. I feel like it's too easy.
• 33:40
  Speaker 6: Yeah. So is betting Drake made a throw a touchdown
• 33:44
  Speaker 6: or throw an interception rather.
• 33:46
  Speaker 7: To throw an interception.
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: Last week he had one. That was not on him.
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: Was that Romeo Dobbs?
• 33:52
  Speaker 4: I don't care.
• 33:52
  Speaker 7: I don't care who it's on. It's an interception.
• 33:56
  Speaker 4: Drake Bay.
• 33:57
  Speaker 7: Bet it, baby.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: I know that the Patriots are on BetIR, but I
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: would like to nominate the Raiders for your consideration because
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: of a few things. One, we're getting points with a
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: team that's 4-0. And I get that the Patriots finally
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: won a.
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: Game last week.
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: But the thing is, is that when the Raiders opened
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: the season on the road in New England last year,
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: It was one of it. Was that the only game
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: they won last year? Did they win another game? But
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: they played really well here in New England. I don't
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: think that it's something that they have, you know, any
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: kind of weird reservation about being able to perform here
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: because they did it literally a year ago. The other
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: thing is that the Patriots, their injury report is terrible. disgusting.
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: Every single player is on it. Who is going to
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: be there starting running back this week? Is it going
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: to be Travion? Because he is not playing well. Josh
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: McDaniels doesn't seem like he can scheme anything right now.
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: And the Raiders are just rolling like Kirk cousins.
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: I get that.
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: He looks like his interceptions when they, when he has one,
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: they're ugly, but those tight ends are doing him insane favors.
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: I don't think that this is the time to fade
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: the Raiders, even though it seems like the Patriots have
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: gotten back on track here.
• 35:10
  Speaker 3: It's more so, once again, just the injury thing.
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: But I don't trust Vrabel to manage injuries the same
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: way that Kyle Shanahan is able to.
• 35:18
  Speaker 4: Nope, nope, nope.
• 35:20
  Speaker 6: I'm totally with you. That horny toad is distracted. This
• 35:24
  Speaker 6: is a letdown spot. Raiders 3-1. You're getting more than
• 35:27
  Speaker 6: a field goal against a Patriots team. As you have
• 35:29
  Speaker 6: already mentioned, Kendra, with defensive injury concerns, that makes Las Vegas...
• 35:34
  Speaker 6: An attractive underdog for me.
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: And still no A.J.
• 35:37
  Speaker 3: Brown, so can they put up points?
• 35:39
  Speaker 4: Say it, BK, you coward. Say it. Go ahead. Don't
• 35:42
  Speaker 4: be moaning and groaning. I'm going to.
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: I just didn't want to interrupt anybody. I am using
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: my veto on this. Gosh, that's such a fraud. I
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: think the pads to the right side here. And I
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: love the Raiders, but this kind of feels like if
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: you're on the Raiders now, you're just too late to
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: the party, that.
• 36:01
  Speaker 4: We can sense an implosion game coming. You're getting points.
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: I get it, but the Raiders defense. So one of
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: the things that has been vulnerable for them, 29th and
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: red zone defense, that's really helpful for the Patriots. They
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: cannot score in the red zone. They're finally going to
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: go up against the defense that will just let anybody
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: do it.
• 36:20
  Speaker 4: That's helpful.
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: Mike Rabel, 17 and four ATS in October since 2020,
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: he's the most profitable coach.
• 36:27
  Speaker 4: In the NFL.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: Their injury report was thick last week against a better
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: team in the Buffalo bills. I think this is a
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: good time to buy the New England Patriots.
• 36:36
  Speaker 4: I like the Pats.
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: Can I give out another play?
• 36:39
  Speaker 7: Being cocktober, dude.
• 36:41
  Speaker 4: I didn't even think about that.
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: I'm going to give out Cody White over one and
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: a half receptions. And I wanted Efton Chisholm's receptions, but
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: they're unavailable. So I'm going to go with him to
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: have a touchdown as well. Vrabel in his press conferences
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: this week was very vocal about how disrespected Efton Chisholm
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: was after that.
• 37:01
  Speaker 3: Touchdown, which.
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, to be honest, like he is just a
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: glorified practice squad guy, not to be a dick.
• 37:08
  Speaker 3: It's true.
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: So I think that they're probably going to try to
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: go back to the well. They don't really have a
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: ton of other options anyway. So I put a very, very, very,
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: very teeny tiny sprinkle on an Efton Chisholm anytime touchdown
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: just because there weren't other options for me. But I
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: do love Cody White over one and a half receptions.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: Have they already sold out of Efton Chisholm jerseys at
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: the team shop?
• 37:26
  Speaker 4: It's just such a New England guy.
• 37:29
  Speaker 3: Really, he is.
• 37:30
  Speaker 5: Yeah.
• 37:31
  Speaker 4: Browns-Jets, Jets minus two and a half.
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: Back at home after playing the last two on the road,
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: the Browns off of a Thursday night tilt against Pittsburgh.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: This game should be gross in theory, but the Browns
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: have some mojo. Are we buying the Watson resurgence?
• 37:49
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I think I'm kind of torn on him.
• 37:51
  Speaker 4: You're the Browns girl on the show.
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: I am, but I think that I'm kind of torn
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: on him and Geno in the same way.
• 37:58
  Speaker 3: I feel like I'm just waiting for both of them
• 38:00
  Speaker 3: to implode.
• 38:01
  Speaker 4: Emerson, talk us into a side. I'm really twisted up
• 38:05
  Speaker 4: on this game.
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: I don't want to buy high on the Browns. I
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: certainly don't want to lay points with the Jets.
• 38:11
  Speaker 4: I know, man. I'm in the middle with this one.
• 38:14
  Speaker 6: Does this have all the makings of one of those
• 38:16
  Speaker 6: classic rock fights for you guys? It kind of feels
• 38:21
  Speaker 6: like points are going to be at a premium here.
• 38:24
  Speaker 6: I think I would take the Browns. Plus, what do
• 38:27
  Speaker 6: we have the number as?
• 38:27
  Speaker 7: One and a half?
• 38:28
  Speaker 4: Two and a half.
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: It is one and a half, so money coming in
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: on the Browns. If there's still a two and a
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: half out there on the Browns, I do think that
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: that's a good bet. I would be okay with putting
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: the Browns in the contest.
• 38:40
  Speaker 6: Yeah, it's freaking disgusting, but I don't trust either offense
• 38:45
  Speaker 6: to run away with this thing.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: I like the under, and I also have Geno Smith
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: over ten and a half rushing yards.
• 38:51
  Speaker 3: He's averaging nine. Browns will get after him. He's going
• 38:53
  Speaker 3: to have to run around a bit.
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: All right.
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: I want to remind everybody out there that we have
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: one of the five that are in contests.
• 38:59
  Speaker 4: We started hot.
• 39:01
  Speaker 7: Yeah, we did.
• 39:02
  Speaker 4: We've really cooled off since then.
• 39:04
  Speaker 7: Remind everyone, too. It's the peg of the week.
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: This isn't home for the Browns, though.
• 39:09
  Speaker 3: If this were home, I think I'd feel differently.
• 39:12
  Speaker 4: Well, for sure. The Browns at home are the Browns
• 39:14
  Speaker 4: of the dog pounder. Different team. I don't want to
• 39:17
  Speaker 4: buy high on Cleveland. I don't. The Jets are a
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: sketchy bunch.
• 39:22
  Speaker 6: Last time I checked, I think 84% of the bats
• 39:25
  Speaker 6: were backing the Browns to cover.
• 39:28
  Speaker 4: And that is not.
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: I think the two and a half is a good
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: number on the Browns. This is where I'm twisted up.
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: That is a good, if that is out there, that
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: is a good solid bet to make per the numbers. However,
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: you do not want to bet the Browns when they're
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: getting 80% of the bets.
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: That is not a way to make money in this
• 39:45
  Speaker 4: betting life. Let's go to the.
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: Giants at the Commanders. Commanders minus three and a half.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: This is the line that makes the least sense of
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: all the lines this week. Jaden Daniels is on the
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: mend here. He's going to play. He practiced in full
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: on Wednesday. The left arm is going to be in
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: a brace. I'm not sure how that's going to limit him.
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: He's certainly not going to be at 100%. The guy
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: can't land on one of his arms.
• 40:08
  Speaker 4: The Giants.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: have a chance to move to four and one here.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: And they're catching three and a half points in a
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: division game against the team. That's flying back from London.
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: I don't get this.
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: You and me, we're here.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: I pride myself on getting every number. It's like one
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: thing that I do well in life is understanding how
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: every line lands where it is.
• 40:29
  Speaker 4: And this one baffles me.
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: I had the exact same thought. I'm all over the Giants.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: Love the Giants this week. I get that they are
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: having some serious question marks with Jameis, but this feels
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: like a Giants spot. Also, the Commanders, breaking news, they
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: have a substation next to their field.
• 40:52
  Speaker 4: Really?
• 40:53
  Speaker 3: Yes.
• 40:54
  Speaker 4: That explains a lot.
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: It does.
• 40:56
  Speaker 4: What do you mean?
• 40:57
  Speaker 7: What are we talking about?
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: You know how the 49ers have the substation that's causing
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: all of their injuries?
• 41:04
  Speaker 4: No, I don't.
• 41:07
  Speaker 3: Oh, Emerson.
• 41:09
  Speaker 6: Maybe I've been reading my book too much and not
• 41:12
  Speaker 6: up on the news. Can you just tell me real quick?
• 41:16
  Speaker 4: It's only been out there for like two years, Emerson.
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: The electromagnetic fields are causing all of the 49ers players
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: for their muscle.
• 41:25
  Speaker 3: To just fall off the bone.
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: Oh.
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: So the commanders also have a ton of injuries and
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: so many injuries. I put the injury report in our notes,
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: but they have so many injuries.
• 41:36
  Speaker 3: I am all over the Giants.
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: I know that it is yucky, but I am with Kravitz.
• 41:41
  Speaker 3: Are we nominating the Giants?
• 41:43
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I like it. I like it.
• 41:45
  Speaker 6: What's the number at?
• 41:46
  Speaker 7: Three and a half?
• 41:47
  Speaker 3: Three and a half.
• 41:48
  Speaker 7: Yeah, absolutely.
• 41:49
  Speaker 6: More than a field goal in a divisional game?
• 41:53
  Speaker 7: That's appealing.
• 41:54
  Speaker 3: Especially because.
• 41:56
  Speaker 6: Yeah, go ahead.
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: Jaden does not play well against the Giants in his career.
• 42:01
  Speaker 4: And they don't play well at home as favorites.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: Washington, 39-58-3 against the spread as a home favorite since 2000.
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: That is the worst mark in the NFL. Profitable strategy
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: to fade the Commanders as favorites at home.
• 42:15
  Speaker 6: Is he just going to have, and this is a
• 42:18
  Speaker 6: question from a guy who has him in a couple
• 42:19
  Speaker 6: of fantasy leagues as well. Is he going to have
• 42:21
  Speaker 6: just like a massive brace on that non-throwing arm? Like
• 42:24
  Speaker 6: one of the ones that Gronk used to wear?
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: You remember Kurt Warner? I think he's the most vivid
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: memory years ago wearing.
• 42:33
  Speaker 4: That big brace. Yeah.
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: But if I'm not mistaken, the brace has a curve
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: to it. Which means he can't run properly.
• 42:41
  Speaker 6: Yeah, girl.
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 42:42
  Speaker 7: You need a little curve in there.
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: It has to keep it bent so that it prevents
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: him from getting another. Yeah.
• 42:48
  Speaker 6: Yeah.
• 42:49
  Speaker 3: Yep. Yeah, girl.
• 42:50
  Speaker 4: Now you're talking his language.
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: All right, let's move to the next one. We got
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: two games in pocket here. Bucks plus nine and a half.
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: Giants plus three and a half. The dogs are barking.
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: Vikings at Saints. Saints plus one and a half. The
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: dog is back. The saints had the big dome coming
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: on Monday night football. They got waxed by the Atlanta Falcons.
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: If you can't get up for that game, what makes
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: us think you're going to get up for a 1
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: PM against Kyler Murray and the Vikings. But guys, before
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: you chime in, I bet this game at halftime on
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: Monday night football.
• 43:25
  Speaker 4: This is such.
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: A saints spot embarrassed in prime time against a team
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: with they're perhaps the worst. 4-0 team of my lifetime.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: Second worst success rate on offense in the league. 156
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: pass yards per game. Worst in the NFL. Yes, their
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: defensive numbers look great. They've gone up against the Packers,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: the Bucks, and the Dolphins, and the Bears in a rainstorm.
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: The Saints are my favorite nominee.
• 43:55
  Speaker 4: Plus one and a half. Veto.
• 43:58
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I don't know, man.
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: Dude, the Saints do not play well at home. I'm
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: sorry you would think with an environment like that, they
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: would be a better home team. But if you look
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: at their injury report, it's disgusting as well. Like Caden Ellis,
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: Noah Fant, Devon Godshout, Anthony Jennings was on there this week.
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave, Tyler Shuck was limited. Like, I
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: don't want anything to do with that. I know that
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: the Vikings are due for a come-to-Jesus moment, but good Lord.
• 44:22
  Speaker 3: This is not.
• 44:24
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, Minnesota still has injury concerns. It's a pretty...
• 44:29
  Speaker 6: Pretty decent defense, which I trust way more than the Saints.
• 44:33
  Speaker 6: I'm leaning towards Minnesota covering here.
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: Vikings are nothing, but I'm vetoing this crap.
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: Goodbye.
• 44:39
  Speaker 4: Trust is overrated.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: Home dogs against undefeated teams last 172 times, 61% against
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: the spread. That would be the New Orleans Saints.
• 44:51
  Speaker 7: Is Jefferson going to be available?
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: He, I did put his status here.
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: He was limited in practice. So I would assume.
• 44:59
  Speaker 4: Yes.
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 45:01
  Speaker 6: I mean, New Orleans just surrendered 45 fricking points, right?
• 45:04
  Speaker 6: To Atlanta.
• 45:05
  Speaker 4: But I mean, that was against the best team in
• 45:06
  Speaker 4: the NFL.
• 45:07
  Speaker 3: Oh my God.
• 45:09
  Speaker 6: Shut up, dude.
• 45:11
  Speaker 7: What's going on with you?
• 45:13
  Speaker 4: Next.
• 45:15
  Speaker 6: Atlanta's won us some money here on this show though.
• 45:19
  Speaker 7: I mean, I'll give you that.
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: And cost us some money.
• 45:23
  Speaker 4: You know what's crazy about the Falcons?
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: Is that you all called me a fucking lunatic in
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: the offseason when I bought this team.
• 45:30
  Speaker 4: And they've been the best team in the NFL the
• 45:31
  Speaker 4: last two weeks.
• 45:32
  Speaker 7: Dude, they haven't been the best team.
• 45:33
  Speaker 6: They have been the best team in the NFL the
• 45:36
  Speaker 6: last two weeks.
• 45:37
  Speaker 4: That is undeniable.
• 45:38
  Speaker 7: Okay, let's go the first four weeks of the season.
• 45:41
  Speaker 7: It's the Jaguars.
• 45:42
  Speaker 6: All right, whatever. Let's go the next game.
• 45:44
  Speaker 4: Broncos, Chargers.
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: Chargers plus three and a half is my favorite moment
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: of the show. 42 and a half is the total.
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Two of the least healthy teams going head to head
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: here in the late window. The Broncos are likely without
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: Patrick Sertan and Riley Moss in the secondary.
• 45:59
  Speaker 4: That's a really important part of their overall team success.
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: And the Chargers, shockingly, are without their two offensive linemen
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: that are one of the keys to their success when
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: they have it, which they haven't had any this year.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: Rashawn Slater, Joe Alt, they're going to be out. The
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: Chargers have been disgustingly bad. But I will remind you,
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: before anybody tries to sell me on the Broncos, That
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: road Bo Nix is not good. The Broncos are plus
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: 11 this year at home. They are minus 31 on
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: the road. Chargers or nothing, people.
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: Dude, have you seen the Chargers injury report, dude?
• 46:36
  Speaker 4: Oh, it's disgusting. Both of them.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 46:38
  Speaker 7: Oh, God.
• 46:41
  Speaker 6: I mean, dude, if this, yeah, if this was home,
• 46:43
  Speaker 6: like Bo Nix and the mile high is so different
• 46:47
  Speaker 6: than Bo Nix on the road.
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: Oh, I will bet Bo Nix all day long with
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: every dollar in my account when he's at mile high,
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: but I want no part of the road and the chargers.
• 46:57
  Speaker 4: I get it. This is one.
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: I like the chargers. I bet the chargers. I'm not
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: sure I want to put my reputation on the chargers.
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: So I like this as a contest play, but I mean,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: I've already been vetoed once and, um, I, I'm not
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: going to fight for this one, but I do, I
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: do like the chargers this week.
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: I just, I've bet on the chargers so much. I like, yeah,
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: they're just so hurt.
• 47:23
  Speaker 3: How are they going to put up points?
• 47:24
  Speaker 4: That's my game away. I will say they are a
• 47:27
  Speaker 4: non cover away from, from prison for me.
• 47:30
  Speaker 6: Yeah, dude.
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: Same.
• 47:31
  Speaker 7: I hate this team. I've said it multiple times that
• 47:34
  Speaker 7: I've joined you guys like this season.
• 47:36
  Speaker 6: I can't stand them. The best thing about that team,
• 47:40
  Speaker 6: as I've also said, almost every week, I know where
• 47:42
  Speaker 6: you're going with this are the cutaways of Madison beer.
• 47:45
  Speaker 6: Jumping up and down in her little suite in LA.
• 47:52
  Speaker 7: That's it.
• 47:53
  Speaker 6: Other than that, all of these guys on the Chargers roster,
• 47:58
  Speaker 6: they are all frauds. They are frauds. This team is
• 48:02
  Speaker 6: a fraud. They are all cowards.
• 48:06
  Speaker 7: And I am sick of them taking my money.
• 48:09
  Speaker 3: You're a boob guy, aren't you?
• 48:11
  Speaker 7: I'm a whatever I can get guy.
• 48:14
  Speaker 6: Fair.
• 48:14
  Speaker 7: You know? Doesn't matter the time of the month, Kendra.
• 48:18
  Speaker 7: If wifey wants it, wifey will get it.
• 48:20
  Speaker 6: If she came in right now and said, get off
• 48:21
  Speaker 6: the podcast, let's make love, I would do it.
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: I think that we would encourage you.
• 48:27
  Speaker 4: Absolutely. We support that decision.
• 48:30
  Speaker 7: That's why I love you guys. And I know Gifford
• 48:33
  Speaker 7: would support me. I know EZE would support me. Dude,
• 48:37
  Speaker 7: it's natural. You just want it.
• 48:40
  Speaker 4: Oh, all right.
• 48:41
  Speaker 6: So I don't, yeah, sorry, dude. My lost my train
• 48:44
  Speaker 6: of thought thinking of my wife naked.
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: Justin Herbert and Bo Nix have faced each other three times.
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: The chargers are three and O against the spread in
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: those situations, Justin Herbert and Bo Nix.
• 48:57
  Speaker 4: So let's, um, So no, no on the chargers. I just,
• 49:01
  Speaker 4: I don't know. We have three, we need three. We
• 49:04
  Speaker 4: need three more people. We're running out of games. Lions, Cardinals,
• 49:09
  Speaker 4: Cardinals are plus five and a half.
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: The Lions off of a road loss in prime time
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: to the Carolina Panthers. What a sweet victory that was
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: for yours. Truly Cardinals off of a road loss. loss
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: to Jameis and the Giants. This is a double buy
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: low here. The Lions have a buy week on deck,
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: so I'm sure they're going to want to empty the
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: clip and get a win here. Any takers or are
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: we backing the birds?
• 49:33
  Speaker 3: I could be convinced on the Lions.
• 49:37
  Speaker 6: Yeah.
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 49:38
  Speaker 6: I mean, Arizona does have some offensive line concerns, right?
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: Harris Johnson is out for the game. He is easily
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: their best offensive lineman and the Lions defense is bad,
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: but they do get after the quarterback pressure. Yeah, they
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: are number two in the league in sacks. So this
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: could be a bad matchup for Arizona.
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I also just don't know how the Cardinals are
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: going to keep up with the Lions scoring wise. That's
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: the biggest difference for me here.
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: So here's, here's how the Lions defense is atrocious. They
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: allow 32 points per game. But they are dead last
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: against tight ends in the NFL.
• 50:12
  Speaker 4: Trey McBride.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this is more of a Trey McBride
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: McBride props game than anything else.
• 50:19
  Speaker 4: I do like the Cardinals, but I need that six.
• 50:24
  Speaker 4: I'm not bad. Five and a half.
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 50:25
  Speaker 7: Has this gone from four and a half to five
• 50:27
  Speaker 7: and a half? I think like over.
• 50:28
  Speaker 4: Four and a half in the contest.
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: So if we're taking the Lions, we are getting the
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: best of it for a contest play.
• 50:36
  Speaker 7: Yeah, I like the Lions at four and a half.
• 50:39
  Speaker 4: I'll do that. I'll allow it.
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: I also have Tesla over two and a half receptions.
• 50:48
  Speaker 3: His catches have gone up every week.
• 50:50
  Speaker 6: Week one, zero.
• 50:50
  Speaker 3: Week two, two. Week three, three.
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: Week four and week four catches. And he had a
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: recalled touchdown last week. So I think they try and
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: feed him this week.
• 50:57
  Speaker 7: Good get right spot for Detroit boys and lady.
• 51:01
  Speaker 3: Yes, lady boy.
• 51:02
  Speaker 4: I'll go to Thailand. All right. We got a third
• 51:06
  Speaker 4: one in there. We got two left. We'll get the
• 51:08
  Speaker 4: bucks plus.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: Nine and a half. The giants plus three and a half.
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: The lions minus four and a half, four, nine, 49ers
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: Seahawks Seahawks laying two and a half at home. Total
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: sitting at 45 and a half.
• 51:18
  Speaker 4: This is a big one. Niners.
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: One of three unbeaten teams in the NFL. Brock Purdy
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: looks like an MVP. That was one that we handed
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: out in the off season as well. Historic levels of efficiency,
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: but the Seahawks are allowing just one 44 through the
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: air per game.
• 51:34
  Speaker 4: This is strength.
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: On strength, Shanahan McDonald.
• 51:38
  Speaker 4: Who do we like?
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: I haven't bet it, but I think Seattle is the
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: answer here.
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: I got got by the 49ers last week with the.
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: Broncos, and their injuries do have to catch up to
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: them at some point, but it's like the coaching mismatch
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: here for me.
• 51:55
  Speaker 3: For some reason.
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: Shanahan cannot play this Eagles team well. I don't know
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: what it is. He does not perform well against this
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: version of.
• 52:07
  Speaker 3: The Seattle Seahawks.
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: So I don't know how you fade the consistency of
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: that stat alone. And to be honest, Seattle has to
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: start on an upward trajectory at some point. Sam Darnold's back.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: They need to get back on track. I know that
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: they also have some injuries, but this defense against this
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: many injuries, it's not like... the Broncos defense who got
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: super injured last week and just couldn't, you know, hold
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: out towards the end of the game. This is a
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: well-coached and deep, deep team on the depth chart.
• 52:38
  Speaker 6: Yeah.
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: So I think that it's, I don't, I haven't bet
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: this game, but it's Seattle or nothing for me. I
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: very much could be convinced to back the Seahawks here.
• 52:45
  Speaker 7: Okay, I agree with her. And let me give you
• 52:48
  Speaker 7: guys a little sneak peek.
• 52:49
  Speaker 6: One of my commercials that will be airing this weekend,
• 52:52
  Speaker 6: I update it every week with a new game.
• 52:54
  Speaker 7: And this week, one of.
• 52:55
  Speaker 4: My commercial spots. You can't wait to watch it 1,700 times.
• 52:58
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I know you're watching it pantless, buddy. So one
• 53:03
  Speaker 6: of the spots I read was this, 3-2-1. The Niners
• 53:06
  Speaker 6: are off to an unbeaten start while also going 3-1
• 53:09
  Speaker 6: against the spread. Now they face Seattle, who they've struggled
• 53:12
  Speaker 6: with as of late, going 1-3 straight up. And against
• 53:16
  Speaker 6: the spread in their last four matchups. So I am
• 53:20
  Speaker 6: going Seattle.
• 53:21
  Speaker 4: Okay.
• 53:23
  Speaker 3: You know what? We can come by off for a moment.
• 53:25
  Speaker 4: Yeah, we are. We are Kumbaya for a moment. I
• 53:29
  Speaker 4: agree with both of you. Okay.
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: I was going to say if me, if you don't
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: like this and you're on the edge, I would be
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: willing to give you your Falcons if you met us
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: in the middle, but we all agree.
• 53:39
  Speaker 4: Oh, I should have negotiated then.
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: Well, this is why that's my job on this podcast
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: and not yours.
• 53:45
  Speaker 7: God, it's just one second. I totally forgot to read
• 53:48
  Speaker 7: the promo. 3, 2, 1.
• 53:49
  Speaker 6: Right now, new DraftKings Sportsbook customers bet $ 5 and get
• 53:52
  Speaker 6: $ 150 in total bonus bets. Just download the app and
• 53:55
  Speaker 6: use the promo code when you sign up.
• 53:57
  Speaker 7: The crown is yours.
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: And if you miss that, I'll be back in five
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: minutes with this ad read again.
• 54:03
  Speaker 3: Period.
• 54:04
  Speaker 7: Buckle up. Grab the KY jelly.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: One other thing that I wanted to add to the cap,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: not that we need to... beat a dead horse here.
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: Cause we're on the Seahawks minus two and a half.
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: That is making its way into our contest. This is
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: the first true road game for San Francisco this year.
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: They had the Australia game, which the Rams basically said,
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: we forgot how to travel.
• 54:26
  Speaker 4: They handed the game.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: They have admitted that then they had the dolphins, the
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: Cardinals and the Broncos all at home. It's just, it's
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: felt too easy for them. They haven't gotten punched in
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: the mouth yet. And there is an injury on this
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: team that I don't think is reflected in the point spread.
• 54:42
  Speaker 4: That is huge.
• 54:43
  Speaker 3: I know. I know what you're going to say. Kyle.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: Kyle is checking this offense. Him not being there is
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: going to hurt this run game. Big time league. High 42%
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: of their drives ended in touchdowns. Not going to happen
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: on the road in Seattle. I just wonder how they
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: respond to that. I like the Seahawks as well. Let's
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: move to Sunday night football. Ravens at Falcons. Falcons are
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: now three and a half point favorites. The contest line
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: is plus two and a half. This is a gift
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: from the gods. Lamar Jackson status is up in the air.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: He's probably not going to play. The line tells us
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: he's not playing in this game. So, I mean, do
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: I even need to sell anyone on this? Plus Michael
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: Penix and Bijan Robinson in primetime. The guy averages 145 scrimmage.
• 55:28
  Speaker 4: Yards per game in primetime. Insane numbers. He's awesome. They're awesome.
• 55:34
  Speaker 4: All of the Falcons.
• 55:35
  Speaker 3: You can have it.
• 55:37
  Speaker 7: Yeah, I'm, I'm, I'm fine with it.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: I am.
• 55:40
  Speaker 6: Falcons have scored 80 points their last two games and
• 55:43
  Speaker 6: especially without like Lamar Jackson.
• 55:45
  Speaker 5: Okay.
• 55:45
  Speaker 4: I will say I'm not betting the Falcons at minus
• 55:48
  Speaker 4: three and a half.
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: This is a, this is a gift. This is a
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: contest gift. I wish that I had gotten in on
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: this early. I am not personally at least yet betting
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: on this football game, but this is just.
• 55:59
  Speaker 4: A contest gift.
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: For those of you who are watching this podcast and
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: not listening to it, you just saw me yell at
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: the dog because I left my little tiny leftover bit
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: of matcha in the windowsill and I just heard him
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: licking it. And you can see him scamper and run
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: across the couch in the background. If you rewind this,
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: you literally see me like cuss at him and then
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: him just run across the.
• 56:22
  Speaker 3: Couch in the back.
• 56:23
  Speaker 4: Big, big dog episode.
• 56:25
  Speaker 3: Big dog episode.
• 56:27
  Speaker 7: A lot of tongue punching. That's for sure.
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: All right, we've got our five Bills Rams on Monday
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: Night Football. The Rams are three-point favorites, sky-high total at 54.5.
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: Could be a Super Bowl preview. We'll save it for
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: Monday's show. Our contest is full. Make sure that you're
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: listening on Monday. We'll give a same-game parlay and a
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: bet for that game. Let's recap the action presented by DraftKings,
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: where the crown is yours. We've got the Bucs, plus
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: 9.5 on Thursday Night Football. Giants, plus 3.5. on the
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: road against the commanders lions minus four and a half
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: on the road in Arizona, Seattle minus two and a
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: half at home against their division rival, San Francisco 49ers
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: and the Falcons on Sunday night football with a gift
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: at plus two and a half, go and find it
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: on draft Kings where the crown is yours.
• 57:17
  Speaker 4: You have another read. You want to throw our way
• 57:19
  Speaker 4: Emerson before we cut you loose.
• 57:21
  Speaker 7: I absolutely do not.
• 57:23
  Speaker 6: Plenty of reads that'll be on your television. And I'm
• 57:26
  Speaker 6: very excited to be in London. I will send you
• 57:29
  Speaker 6: guys updates on Sunday as I'm sitting in the stands
• 57:34
  Speaker 6: watching our boys.
• 57:35
  Speaker 3: Where are you staying? I have lots of London recs.
• 57:40
  Speaker 6: I'm staying in some Marriott hotel because I'm a points whore.
• 57:45
  Speaker 3: Okay.
• 57:46
  Speaker 6: And what I like about this hotel that I'm staying
• 57:48
  Speaker 6: in is- Oh, I'm sorry. I was about to really
• 57:52
  Speaker 6: dive into how I like the hotel I'm at because
• 57:55
  Speaker 6: the sauna and cold plunge is included in your stay.
• 57:58
  Speaker 6: You don't have to pay extra for the spa stuff.
• 58:00
  Speaker 6: And so I can sit in the sauna and make friends.
• 58:03
  Speaker 6: But yeah, I'm around that main park. I've only been
• 58:06
  Speaker 6: to London once and I had to do a bunch
• 58:07
  Speaker 6: of wedding shit when I was there. So tomorrow, I'm
• 58:10
  Speaker 6: just going to be hitting the ground running. But yeah,
• 58:12
  Speaker 6: text me.
• 58:13
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I've gone to the Rex. I lived there.
• 58:15
  Speaker 7: We're going to go.
• 58:17
  Speaker 6: My friend who I'm going with, we're going to a
• 58:19
  Speaker 6: Brentford game, but it's an away game.
• 58:21
  Speaker 3: So we're going to go to a Brentford game.
• 58:23
  Speaker 6: Dude, we're going to go to Birmingham and watch him
• 58:25
  Speaker 6: just absolutely destroy Aston Villa on Saturday.
• 58:31
  Speaker 7: Yeah, I can't wait, dude. Yeah, thanks so much, guys.
• 58:34
  Speaker 7: I really appreciate it.
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: Have fun, and we love you, too, and enjoy your
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: Bonvoy points. The favorites will return on Monday as we
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: recap week five of the NFL, a preview of Monday
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Night Football, Bills, Rams. You can catch it right here
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: on the Action Network YouTube page or wherever you download
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: your favorite podcasts.
• 58:53
  Speaker 4: Our show has been presented by DraftKings. The crown is yours.
• 59:07
  Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you, please gamble responsibly.
• 59:10
  Speaker 6: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,
• 59:14
  Speaker 6: help is available 24-7 at 1-800-GAMBLER.