Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 42: Week 10 College Football Betting Preview

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Episode 42: Week 10 College Football Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

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Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls. At your favorite time of week,
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you download the Crazy Seat, you get you something cold to drink and snuggle
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up, and you get to watch it some action. Baby, unless you're
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driving to work in this Thursday morning, I'm marking. I'm here in the
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college football podcasting studio and Scottie is back on the road in a fantastic looking
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hotel room. How the hell are you, brother, man, I'm good,
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got gonna gotta get back at it for the end of the year.
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We're not getting much not getting much help from the economy, so you gotta
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earn it today, baby, gotta get out and work. Where are you
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today? I'm in Omaha, Nebraska, Corn, baby Corn. I love
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it. Yeah, Corn, gotta love. I like Omah. I think
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this is a good little town. But it should be should be uh,
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I should supposed to be cold tonight, nasty cold. So I'm gonna eat
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and go snuggle up and watch a little World series and watch a little maction
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down at the bar. Nothing with that. I love the hall man,
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I spend I spend four or five days in the high every year for the
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college World Series. And if you need any meth there's some good meth in
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the hot too, so I've been told. Obviously it was a lot in
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certain parts of the hot. Western Omahawk can get a little rough. Just
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putting it out there to you. We were at a bar one time in
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the hot and the lady goes, we're out here last night. We're like
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no. She was like, somebody got shot out front. I'm like,
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well, that's a good icebreaker for conversation, but you know, we'll move
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on from there. So anyway, Scott Scott Scott Scott. Last week was
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rough, bro. I mean, I felt like I walked around the corner
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and somebody beat me with a yardstick, just multiple times. I looked up
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at one point and one of my accounts was down several grand already, and
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I was like, son of a bitch, we hadn't even gotten too the
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late slate yet, I'm not even sure what's going on, and uh,
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it was just a It's that was rough man, rough week. Rough week.
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It was brutal. The you know, my my, my, my
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Zona Zona Cardinals baby bailing me out late night. But man, you can't
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when you lose that many games, you keplan. You know, it's hard
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to win money. You know, it's uh that was just a that was
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a rough week all the way around. Uh. I felt like some of
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the games I wasn't that far off, and I felt like some of them
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I just was dead ass wrong. I mean, we had a couple of
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backdoor covers. BC not trying to score late, you know, I mean,
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just you know, just all around. I mean, South Alabama has
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just fallen off. That team's a total mystery. And they're getting the quarterback
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back this week though, And so I think this week though I leaned Troy.
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I really do lean Troy in that game, but getting the quarterback back
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could be interesting. Troy's defense is still solid. It's not what it was
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last year, but I would lean Troy in that spot. Yeah, I
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don't. I don't disagree, Like I've wanted that line all year. And
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they've just been such a mess, you know. I mean, I've been
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been a bigger mess defensively than I thought they were gonna be, so kind
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of kind of frowning on that a little bit. But uh boy, let
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me tell you something. My Mississippi State Bulldogs are a hot mess. I
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mean hot mess. I mean I'm motivated. That's a bad football team.
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And man, I love Zach Carnett. I mean just as a dude.
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He's a nice guy. You know, he's got a good mentality for State.
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Uh And I don't a lot of our fan base thinks he's over his
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head. I don't necessarily think that's the case. This is a shitty of
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team Missisippi State's put on a field from a talent standpoint in a decade and
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a half. I mean it goes back to Sylvester crewm and oh four and
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five. Since State was just bad. There's not an NFL player on that
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roster. I mean not a single one. And man, you look around
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and it is just ugly. They're slow, they're just and the fan base
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just wants to blame it on the coach. I'm like, we better write
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a check. I will tell you what if I can get somebody from Waco,
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maybe be David Randa's last stand, I'll meet you in Shreveport. Uh
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And we can take both of our three or four win teams and play there
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and still not get to a winning record at the end of the season,
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a chance to get Bowl eligible, you know, because here's the thing got
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Kentucky at home. Look, I don't think they're gonna win this game this
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weekend, but at the end of the day, could they absolutely because Kentucky's
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not very good either. They're a very flawed football team offensively. I still
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think they're good enough to win this game, but they couldn't win that game
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that They got a bad Southern team left on their schedule, So they'll win
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that game if if what happens this weekend goes like I think it's going to,
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they're gonna be playing a Texas A and M team that may not have
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a head coach. It could be interesting. That's a definite hot seat.
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You know. It's funny the about that Texas A and M and Jimbo Fisher
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have become so irrelevant so quickly each of the last several seasons, I mean,
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other than the COVID year when they won what ten games or something like
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that, that I don't even think nationally people are even interested anymore at this
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point. I mean, you still like, are they gonna pay him seventy
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million? Blah blah blah, And it's like at this point people are just
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kind of like, oh God, can we just get Yeah, everybody's just
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glad they aren't the ones that owe the money. I mean that that teams.
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That team's a mess. Yeah, I mean, I just look.
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How about Lane Kiffin this week, tweaking them? Be'st what he say,
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best three lost football team in the country. I mean retards of the press
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conference, I mean, what a tweaker. I mean, say what you
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want, because look, he he doesn't back up all the smack he talks
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in a lot of these games. But I think he feels really good about
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his chances this weekend. So that's the reason he's talking. He's talking smack.
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I just I think, honestly, he's auditioning for that job. I
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really do. I think I think he wants that job. I think he
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thinks he can get enough talent out there to really compete for a national title.
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So it's it is going to be. It's gonna be interesting. How
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about the Texas quarterback last week coming out and doing a good job, Blake
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Murphy. I thought looked good. I thought he played a pretty good football
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game. That was I was one of the only games I won that I
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didn't put on the board. Uh, actually the games I didn't put on
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the board were the biggest winners I had all weekend. Malik Murphy. I
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thought did pretty good. I wasn't overly. You know, this week's gonna
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be the test when they played K State. We'll get into that a little
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bit more. Uh, But you know, you've got that roll in and
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and and the Big twelve is either going to pop a team in there or
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gonna become very irrelevant very quickly over the next couple of weeks. And I
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actually think it's going to be more of the second after OU last week.
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Just oh you had. OU's window of looking good last week was from the
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time the rain delay ended until halftime, and then after that they just did
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not look good to me. I mean, Dylan Gabriel only had nineteen attempts
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and I was like, what are we doing here? And I don't know.
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I just sometimes I think the entire game all day, and that offensive
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line is really thin. The Tooyer came back and played in it, but
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they just they don't have a lot of depth. And then you've got Oe
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you this week with Bedlam, which I hear it could be the end.
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Sadly, I think it's the second longest rivalry consecutive that's ever been played,
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like one hundred and thirteen games or something like that. But uh in the
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linebacker, which stems there are games they need to keep intact with rivalry is
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conferences are re aligning. Bedlum is certain to one of them, you know
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that needed. But just like Texas and Texas, A and M needed to
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stay in place, you know, there are rivalries they need to try to
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fix, uh in this deal. And sadly there's gonna be something that go
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away. I mean, look Oregon, Oregon State's probably gonna go away.
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Yeah, you know, Washington, Washington State's going away. You know,
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there's been some games there are actually you know, pretty to me, pretty
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fun to watch, you know, so, I you know, I hate
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to see that. Are you excited about the su you cow permanent rivalry that
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we're going to get in the ACC? Yeah, I mean that's gonna be
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super awesome, isn't it. I mean, I mean, what in the
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hell does the ACC doing speaking of? How about Jimbo going off on the
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caller this week? Oh, debo devo, what I say, Jimbo?
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How about Dabbo going off on the caller? Man? First off, everything
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he said was one hundred percent right, damn it irrelevant? Yeah, and
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everybody thought they were bats when they hired him. I guarantee you that he's
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right. That dude was cutting that higher and boom, He's won two Natties
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in seven years. I mean, look good, not good, and they've
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got to adjust. We all know it's about the portal. We all know
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it's about not you know, they're trying to develop kids. Man, you
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just don't get that option anymore at a school like Clemson. If you want
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to win, you got to go out and you got to get players,
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and you got to buy guys in a portal. And at the end of
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the day, this seems not as talented as it was there there they had
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to do dudes running all over the field. They don't have those dudes right
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now. And I also think the offense Gabo has put his arms around so
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understand some of the frustration. It doesn't look any different with a new coordinator.
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It looks like Brad Scott's still running that offense from you know what was
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that a decade ago now and that's how he'd been gone. I don't know
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what they're this weekend against Notre Dame. If Shipley doesn't play, I'm assuming
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he's in the concussion protocol after taking that hit last week and you know,
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Notre Dame. Say what you want to about them, but they lose their
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tight end, their biggest wide receiver. In this one's gonna be a interesting
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game. But I don't know, you know, I don't know how many
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people are gonna watch it because there's no national relevance to it. But I
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don't know how Clemson is going to move the ball. Because we've talked about
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this for two years. There's no separation. I really thought when they brought
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in Garrett Riley from that TCU offense last year that you'd see some creativity.
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It would open up the offense. I mean because Garrett Riley did he have
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some NFL talent on the roster at t Yeah he did, obviously we saw
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it he was playing, but not that much. And they put up a
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high flying, high scoring offensive guy in the National Championship. You watch that
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Clemson offense and it's not the same. And I know those kids are great
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out higher than what the Frogs had, and so that one's confusing to me.
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I don't know. And then if you go to out West in USC,
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I have no idea what's going on on that season out there. And
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I mean this weekend against Washington. I would say Washington's gonna wood shit this
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team. But Washington's they're banged up, and I think Pennix is in healthy.
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But Caleb Williams, it's like there's nothing, there's no motion, there's
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no nothing there, and it's just like snap the ball and y'all go run
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around and I'm gonna pretend I'm Patrick Mahomes and put my costume on and throw
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its side arm and off my back foot and all that other bullshit, and
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it's like, well, yeah, you're gonna look like Pat Mahomes when he
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had the flu last week because he can't get it done like that. And
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so I just I don't know. It's it's interesting to me and about what
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you got going on out at USC. I can't figure it out. The
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team. If if Washington's the team that played the first five weeks of the
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season, they're gonna gas. Cand these guys, if they're the team they
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played the last three weeks weeks, they're gonna get gas. I mean,
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I could, I mean USC plus three, I don't hate it, have
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it not played it, but I would lean that way. The over under
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totals so high. I haven't touched it, but I did take a look
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at it. So yeah, I like said the board this week is interesting
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to watch. Uh, there's a lot of games I'm really excited about I
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have. I think I'm dialed in on a couple that I really like,
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and we're gonna dive into those and try to get some extract some value,
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Scott, try to extract some value. Mark. All I needed was maction
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to get back midweek to get my mind right. I've lost three mac picks
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in a row, but it all ended last night maybe last night on my
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mac picks, and I like one tonight too, so should should be fun.
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Let's get this rolling. Then, first game on the max board this
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weekend, you got two of them tonight, Bowling Green at home against Testicle
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Tech. That's ball State for those of you that are new to the podcast,
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and I neurmy use that before over a Bowling Green's laying five pretty much
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painted across the board. Over under here is a wopping thirty nine. Obviously,
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if you're playing midweek myction, you got to take a look at the
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weather. I'm seeing four and a half's pop up across the number. Haven't
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looked at the splits yet, to see what they're taking. Looks like we're
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getting some ball State money on this one, Scottie, how are we gonna
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play it? We gotta hurry. I like Bowling Green, man, I
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think I think this king's kind of turned into corner within league play. I
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do expect a really good fight from ball State here, but I think Bowling
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Green gets it done. Don't pay attention to this number coming down to ball
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State's got turnover problems. I like Bowling Green here. I think they get
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it done, and I candidly think they get it done comfortably. Oh.
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I like it. We won't dive into too much detail because I gotta get
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this podcast out so people can get it. You'll have to put that on
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your twater or your exert whatever it is. Now. Next game, I
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want to go to, Scottie. Uh. Game three thirty one, three
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thirty two on Saturday, Jacksonville State will be traveling to Columbia, South Carolina.
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This is a battle of the cocks ass kicking chickens. Baby, I'm
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excited about this one. I'm going heavy on South Carolina here. Uh.
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And here's why South Carolina. This team is better than what their record depicts.
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This by a lot of I think a lot of metrics that are out
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there that are putting out power ratings grading out teams. One of the things
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that I don't think they do a great job at is looking at strength to
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schedule. South Carolina's probably played the toughest schedule in the country if you go
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look at it, and that's why their record is what it is. But
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I think this team is better than it was last year. I think they're
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about to go on a little bit of a run here to the Indian season
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and this is that SEC weird you know game you're supposed to crush somebody at
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the end of the season when you get to November, and they got Jacksonville
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State, who's already Bowl eligible in the event that teams don't qualify and they
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get to go. I love what rich Rod's done here, but Jacksonville State
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has stepped up in class twice, once against Liberty and once against the Coastal
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team that's pretty mean, and they couldn't get it done. I think South
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Carolina is able to really dominate this game, get a big win for their
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momentum, keep everything moving forward. The other thing I like about this is
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Jacksonville State plays with ay shit ton of tempo if you haven't watched them yet,
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And I think that's actually going to create more opportunities for South Carolina.
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Get me the South Carolina Cockapoos game cocks to cover fifteen and a half on
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this one. We've seen this line move up from thirteen to fifteen and a
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half as the week's rolled off. Yeah, I think the South Carolina drills
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these guys at SEC usually kicks these teams around. I mean, even as
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bad as State is offensively playing a MAC team. A couple of weeks,
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aguys drilled Western Michigan. I mean that they didn't cover that number, but
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they were comfortably out there and that number, but they would have been very
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close to covering this number in stay leak walking. The difference is South Carolina
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needs a win they have and that team clearly not quick because they played hard
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last week, I mean really hard to look good. You hear you know
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their coach comes in, which was a great line from Beamber this week,
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talking about his kid, telling him how bad they suck and how bad a
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year they're having and all of that. It was, I mean awesome.
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If y'all have not seen that g watch him from his press conference talking about
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his kid, Hazen h It's awesome. You know, there's two things that
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about that. It makes him to me so likable and it is so real
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life your kids. Your kids are brutally honest with you and just lay it
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out there, you know. I mean, he's just basically like that.
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You've got a nice style. You know, we're terrible. What was wrong
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with you? You know? That's so awesome. But I think the difference
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is that I think that motivates those guys, and I think they realize how
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bad they need to win. This team can still get more eligible even though
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they got six losses, because they can win these games that they got left
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on their schedule. So it's not like they can't. They're not a great
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football team. They're not a terrible football team either. I agree with you.
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They played a really, really tough schedule at this point, and so
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I agree with you. I like South Carolina, Scotty. Let's go to
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Magnolia State, Oxford, Mississippi, Texas, A and M will be traveling
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out to play this one over under here. Opened at fifty seven and a
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half, Mississippi was laying five. Line has slid down to fifty four.
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Oh, missus laying three at home, which basically makes them a one point
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favorite if you're shading one and a half for home field advantage being in the
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grove Saturday morning at eleven. How do you feel about this one? My
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brother, man, I like old miss and I don't think A and M's
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offense is gonna be able to keep up. That defense is good, but
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man Kiffin figures it out and finds a way to score. And he always
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to me, you can always tell in games like this if he thinks he's
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gonna win or thinks he's got a legit shot to win, he starts talking
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smack. And he just laid it right on out there about you know,
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their best three three loss team in the country. I mean just laying it
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out. I mean just laying at all of them are four losses, whatever,
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they got three or four losses whatever, he said the but when you
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talk about this team is five and A and M's five and three straight up.
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But they've really lost to probably the three best teams they played. And
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you know, they still got a pretty heavy back in coming. You know,
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it's still got LSU out there. I just they have they looked awful
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on the road at Miami. They got Alabama at home and that loss.
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I just think I think this may be a little much Rebels unfortunately have them
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at eleven am. This was a night game, and I would think Old
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Mismay boat race these dudes. But that does help paying them a little bit.
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But I just don't think they've got enough to keep up with the backup
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quarterback in Johnson. I like miss here. I think they spread it around.
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Dark's playing really well. I like what he's doing. Offensive line playing
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a little bit better. Judkins starting to starting to be more of what we
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expected. I think he was banged up too early in the year, and
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I think they just weren't talking about it like that kid. And I just
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think Old miss is too much praying him. And I think this could be
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the swan song for young Jumbo Fisher. I'm not positive he's the football coach
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if they lose this ball game. When Starkle goes to College Station next when
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missip State goes to College Station next week, I like where you're headed here.
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I agree with you. Jackson Dart has proven to be He is matured
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and gotten so much better since he showed up on campus last year. I
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went into this season thing and Spencer Sanders would have the job. I love
18:45
watching Dark play plays with a ton of emotion, a lot of fire,
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and you could tell by watching him and Kiffin that they are aligned with how
18:53
things are going. I like the Rebels here, Rebels win this game.
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Something weird happened in Tuscaloosa. You got three way time for first place in
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the SEC West, and that's not something people were talking about, uh,
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not even just a few weeks ago at this point in time. So I'm
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gonna roll with the ReBs. Let's get it done. And that's by Can
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you still think? Are they the ReBs? Still? Are they the Black
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Bears? Do we even know what their mascot is? It? What their
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mascot is? The Black Bears? The Black Bear? Remember when they you
19:19
know, they asked the student body when they had to get rid of Colonel
19:22
reb to vote for a mascot, and they actually elected a And I'm not
19:27
a Star Wars person, so if I'm wrong on this, you can correct
19:30
me on tour, but they voted for a general Skinndar Agbar, who is
19:33
a Star Wars character, was gonna be the new I got whack. That
19:38
got whacked down, I think pretty fast as well as sure that would have
19:42
been Hayes City. And but I will tell you I think the Black Bears
19:47
equally as bad. I mean, it's a you know, couldn't we look,
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man, I understand the connotation with the rebels and the Confederacy and all
19:56
of that is bad and you want to and you want to move away from
20:00
that. Can't we take on the you know, the tough guy rebel like,
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uh, you know, the guy who doesn't follow the rules. Can't
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we accept it? We can we switch to that instead of the black Bear?
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And then they got the land shark. I can't figure out the land
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sharks have got more people on the sideline and you know, freake gear,
20:21
it looks like a Halloween deal every every Saturday, they're running around their sharks
20:26
through bears. You know, if we just had actbar to mix in,
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it really would it would look like Halloween every Saturday. It's like an aquarium
20:33
in a zoo had a baby and it's called them on this football game?
20:37
All right? Moving on to James Madison and Georgia State, two teams that
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we have been on quite a bit this season. In a Sun Belt match
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up, I'm bummed. The sun Belt is back on Saturday and these games
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won't get watched like when they were sitting alone earlier in the week. Over
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under here opened up at fifty one and a half, it slid all the
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way up to fifty four and a half. Line open James Madison, mind
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six, it's now minus five and a half as they're laying this on the
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road. Keep in mind in most Sun Belt games, you're not getting a
21:06
huge home build advantage. Now, I will tell you if you play in
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James Madison up at Harrison Virginia, Harrisonburg, Virginia or like app State,
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but there you can get some home field advantage on these. I'm not sure
21:15
with Georgia State in this one, but I like not the bandwagon Scottie.
21:21
I like the little purple wagon named James Madison right here. Brother the Dukes
21:26
minus five and a half in the spot. Their defense is sick. So
21:30
I have no idea how you're seeing this Georgia State total move up fifty to
21:34
fifty four and a half. I agree with you. I think Georgia State,
21:38
for their passing game to work, has to be able to run the
21:41
ball. Their quarterbacks extremely athletic, he's really good. I mean really good.
21:45
Yes, And I love this Georgia State team. I mean that the
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sun Belt is so much better than the MAC this year, it's not even
21:55
measurable. But I'm gonna go James Madison here in the Dukes laying five and
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a half team seen have gotten it done. Last week they had a cross
22:02
state rival in Old Domino. They got the win, but led a clunker
22:04
won at twenty to seventeen. Georgia State's coming off a bye after their Georgia
22:08
Southern game a couple of weeks ago. But I just think this James Madison
22:12
team has got their eye on the prize and with them not being able to
22:15
play for the Sunbelt Championship or go both, but does have the chance to
22:18
go bowling. I think it's very important to this team to make a good
22:22
showing every single week. I think they get it done. Let's go with
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the little purple wagon James Madison ball All right, Mark, So you're ready
22:30
for an interesting bit here? Come on, So James Madison can go bowling?
22:36
If yes, the group of five ad large team which they got a
22:41
legit shot. I know now what I will tell you about this football team
22:45
is I don't think this is an undefeated football team. The only thing that
22:48
scares me about this game paper says they ought to cover this number. I
22:52
think they'll a better football team. I don't know how Georgia State's going to
22:55
run the football against this front. They have been stingy, averaging one point
23:00
six shards carry only giving up forty nine yards game on it drank I mean,
23:03
and they played some good run teams. I mean, Marshall's a good
23:06
run team and they stumped those dudes. So I think that's gonna be really
23:10
tough for Georgia State. But having set all of that, the only thing
23:17
that scares me about this game sooner or later, James Madison's gonna lose.
23:21
They're losing to somebody. And where is it left on the schedule. This
23:26
is certainly one of those games that could do it on the road. So
23:30
it's my only concern about this football game. Looking at it, I think
23:33
James Madison's gonna get it done because I think the defense gets it done.
23:37
Next game, Scottie, I want to go to the Big twelve matchup,
23:41
Old Big eight matchup Iowa State in Kansas. I'm excited for this one.
23:45
This is an interesting game. Last week, if you saw it, obviously
23:49
you did. Kansas get the big wins, storm the field, tears down
23:52
the goal post, beats Oklahoma for the first time in forever, I guess
23:56
since Fat Suit was there. As far as I can remember that they won
24:00
that game. And you come in here against an Iowa State team who really
24:03
nobody's paid much attention to all season long. You heard the gambling scandal that
24:08
went on early. They lost their quarterback, a couple of other players haven't
24:11
really watched him. But if you haven't watched this Iowa State team, we
24:15
ran him last week against Baylor. They're getting right one three in a row,
24:19
covered against TCU, covered against Cincinnati, covered against Baylor. All not
24:25
great teams, but I really think this is an Iowa State team has figured
24:29
some things out. They're gonna be at home this week. They're laying a
24:32
short number in two and a half against a Kansas team that is coming off
24:34
the biggest emotional win they have had in just forever. Lance Leopold at Kansas
24:41
is a fucking badass. If you have an open coaching job and you aren't
24:47
at least making a phone, and Kansas has got a lot of money.
24:48
But if you haven't at least made a phone call to this guy to talk
24:52
to him, then I have no idea what you're doing, because this guy
24:55
can get it done. I like Iowa State in this one, laid a
24:59
sh short number Kansas coming off that gigantic emotional win. And the other thing
25:03
this year, Kansas has not been great on the road. They were in
25:07
Stillwater last couple of weeks ago, they lost thirty nine thirty two. They
25:11
had to go down to Austin they lost fourteen to forty. I would put
25:15
Iowa State on par with Ohio Oklahoma State in this where they are in their
25:19
season right now, because both these teams are improving. But on the road,
25:22
Kansas has really struggled this season, And so give me the Clones getting
25:27
it done. Matt Campbell is not dead. I'm taking Iowa State minus two
25:32
and a half at home against the Jayhawks. I like Iowa staying here,
25:37
but cauled. I also think a big emotional went like that, and when
25:41
you're building a program, it's hard to come back on the road and duplicate
25:44
that kind of performance. That might be the biggest win Kansas has had in
25:49
twenty five years it's been. I mean it's when they've had since Bat fifteen
25:56
years ago, So I mean there is I just don't expect them to bounce
26:02
right back and play well. I also am going to throw a teak in
26:07
there, bring a core back back at some point and that may miss some
26:11
things up and I think it may be Saturday because he's close to healthy.
26:17
And and while it's a great player, what you know, what does that
26:22
do to that football team? What you said about Kansas as football coach.
26:26
I don't care how much money they got. It's a terrible job. And
26:32
yeah, you ought to be offering him a job. But I'll go you
26:33
one further on the on the flip side of this ball game of Matt Campbell
26:37
is still at always stay then he's nuts. It's time for that. You
26:41
can move. You've already proven what you can do, because take a good
26:44
job because there be some open and you need to get while it getting is
26:48
good because what he's doing is very very hard to repeat there and the same
26:52
thing's truefully pulled there. Although he's done it everywhere he's been, He's done
26:56
a great job. So I like, I like, I will stay here.
26:59
I think they get it on. Defense is gonna get it done home.
27:03
It's a tough place to play whether it's be pretty good up here this
27:07
week, so for this time of the year. So I actually like I
27:11
was staying here to win this ball game in a close, close ball game.
27:17
But I think they get it done. Scotti, next one, I
27:21
want to go to. Last game on the board, game three sixty seven,
27:23
three sixty eight opened as a pick them Ucla traveling down to Tucson.
27:32
Besides the old pass hole, this has got to be the closest college football
27:36
stadium in the country to the border. Over under here is fifty one.
27:40
UCLA's laying three. Obviously, UCLA's defense is strong, and they've shifted over
27:45
to Chase Garber's excuse me, Ethan Garber's playing quarterback there, and Arizona's gone
27:49
back to their backup quarterback. Was it Lewis Fafita? I think that's how
27:53
you pronounced his last name. There's a lot of quarterback there's a lot of
27:56
backup quarterbacks out there, so I'm trying to catch up. But he's done
27:59
all the job. Jed Fish has done a whole of a job at Arizona.
28:03
How we playing this one. You know, at the end of the
28:07
day, it's Arizona team that's getting it done, and I think they get
28:11
it done again. They're my upset play. I think they win this ball
28:15
game straight up. I like UCLA. They're doing some good things. Should
28:19
have closed out that ball game last weekend. Did not very disappointed they didn't
28:23
get to cover there. But I think Arizona gets it done. This might
28:27
be the best three loss football team in the country. There's no doubt.
28:30
Had they made the quarterback change when they played Mississippi State, they'd have won
28:34
that game. They are a better football team now. They pound State and
28:38
they still almost lost it with I think six turnovers in that ball game.
28:42
Should have won that ball game that got an overtime loss to them and an
28:45
overtime loss to USC They should have won that ball game too, I'll be
28:49
honest. I think officiating at a gigantic part of that game. They had
28:53
some crucial plays that went against them late in the game, and then they
28:56
lost to Washington. And we're always inside that spread ball game was never really
29:03
in doubt, but they always kept it pretty close and pretty competitive. And
29:07
I like this football team. I just think they get it done. I
29:11
think they win this ball game. I think they win it by a touchdown.
29:15
I think this football team's playing really, really well and Fishing done a
29:18
great job turning this football program round. He has done a great job.
29:22
I mean, like next year in the Big Twelve, when when you bring
29:25
in prime winningham you know fit it fit. I mean it's there's gonna be
29:30
some teams in there next year, so it's pretty exciting on what they're gonna
29:34
get in there. I'm gonna ride with you, Arizona. Give me the
29:37
number, give me the upset. I'll play them on the money line.
29:40
Scotty, last game I want to go to. It's gonna be six point
29:42
thirty. It's gonna be in Morgantown. If you haven't been to a game
29:45
in Morgantown at night, let me just tell you it's an odd spot.
29:49
And you know who ain't welcome in Morgantown on a Saturday night. That's gonna
29:56
be the storm in Mormons and the boys in special underwear. Because by you,
30:00
soaks, maybe this team cannot get it done. West Virginia is physical,
30:06
they can pound the rock, they can play defense. Oh and by
30:10
the way, they got a little billboard material for the defense this week.
30:12
That's because Keaton Slovas, the quarterback at BHYU, was at Pitt and the
30:18
last time Pitt played West Virginia, I don't know if you remember or not,
30:21
that Pitt got the wind and Slovas's big comment after the game was fuck
30:25
West Virginia and they've got that thing hanging up there. I look for West
30:29
Virginia to be physical. This BYU team is not very good. Their five
30:33
and three record is completely fugazy. I think the physicality of West Virginia gets
30:37
it done. It gets his team Bowl eligible, which is more than anybody
30:41
predicted as the season got started. And I just can't see by you traveling
30:45
from Provo to Morgantown. I'm assuming you're going Salt Lake to Pitt and then
30:52
you got to drive down to get there. It's gross. It's gonna be
30:56
gross. Gimme West Virginia all day long in this one ten. Look,
31:02
this is a long trip. I mean, this is a long trip.
31:07
And I just think West Virginia is playing good football. I think they win
31:11
this game, but what they're gettings, they're starting to get pretty darn good
31:15
quarterback play. Yeah, is what is what they're starting to get and they
31:18
certainly had it last week. At the end of the day, they're better
31:22
football team by you's got some problems. I think this West Virginia defense is
31:26
able to shut them down on the road, and I think their offense does
31:30
enough to win this ball game by I think what maybe three touchdowns. Yeah,
31:33
I think they're gonna blow them out. I think they're just gonna suffocate
31:37
this team and beat on them and beat on them and beat on them.
31:40
I mean, you take away that crazy Houston game, which was a toss
31:42
up, and they want it. They've they had been great, but they
31:45
have They've gotten better as the season goes on. I think they get this
31:48
win to get Bowl eligible. I like it. I got no faith in
31:52
BYU whatsoever. Scottie. That's the board that we built out for this weekend.
31:56
There's some big games. We're gonna rapid fire a couple of them to
31:59
put them out there. LSU Alabama obviously six point thirty seven o'clock on the
32:04
CBS night game. Give me the Tigers in this one. Baby, suck
32:07
that Tiger, Dick. I think you're gonna get a big do Sumason Smith
32:10
and Harold Perkins rushing the quarterback. They're out. They've got three defensive backs
32:15
out in this game. Two of Marty on the team anymore when it's hurt.
32:19
And then I think Wingo, the run stopper that they've got, he's
32:22
out. So I think LSU is gonna be balls to the walls trying to
32:27
get it done in this one and realizes that they can't leave those kids alone
32:30
in the back end and they're gonna have to get after it. And I'm
32:34
gonna roll with the Tigers in this one. I think you may have the
32:36
tide. I like the Tide. I don't you know, but I mean
32:40
we all know. First bamaa lose much, but they certainly they don't lose
32:45
many times back to back. I don't think they're going to at home.
32:47
I think they're gonna get done because LSU's got some flaws, but I think
32:52
they're right playing this game. Maybe over Yeah, because Bama's starting to score
32:57
points. I think they are gonna hit some big shots down field. Yeah.
33:00
Wide receiver crew is better than I think the Alabama than than Alabama's getting
33:07
credit for. Uh, They're gonna hit. I think they're gonna hit some
33:10
big shots get it down the field. Uh, and I think that really
33:15
gets a big number out there. L s U has moved the ball and
33:17
scored on everybody. But man, that defense has got some has got some
33:22
problems, and I think Alabama's able to exploit that at home as they continue
33:28
to get better. They're coming off of by week two, and I think
33:31
just every day Milroad gets better. You know that that he gets to work
33:37
in this system. I think that's exactly what we're gonna see on Saturday.
33:40
So yes, I'm the opposite of you. I like Obama here, but
33:43
I think Over might be the right pot. What you got else was You
33:47
know what, man, don't we have to talk about the Oregon Ducks.
33:51
They just keep woodshedding everybody. They're big. There's PAC twelve teams that are
33:55
just hanging up win totals just left and right. I mean, look,
34:00
Arizona, it's seven and one against the spread. Guess who else is the
34:02
Oregon Ducks? Baby, they got col coming in at home. Oregon's a
34:07
tough place to play. I think this could be smoke show. I like
34:12
work over. I like the over in this game. Yeah, I don't
34:15
disagree. It's only fifty seven and a half. It's because how good that
34:16
Oregon defense is is why it's as low as it is. Oregons may be
34:21
the best team in the Pact twelve, even though they lost to Washington.
34:25
I got to see Washington this weekend. I mean, at the end of
34:29
the day, if they're the team, just like I said that played those
34:31
first four or five weeks, they win this game going away at USC But
34:37
I don't know that they are, so I got to see where they're at.
34:39
They have not looked good to me the last couple of weeks where this
34:44
Oregon teams look great, and they looked great on the road at Washington,
34:46
they just didn't find They just didn't get it done, but easily could have.
34:52
I think you've got to be looking to bet on Oregon and just they
34:55
just keep getting it done. Yeah, I could see that. I kind
35:00
of like UCF laying for at Cincy. Uh, this is by far the
35:05
best team that's moved in. They're only three and five, but I think
35:07
with Reese Plumbley back, they get this win again. Since Cincinnati is terrible,
35:12
they're way over classed. But you know, that's that's about all I
35:15
got this week but Scottie, I don't know what you're I like oak State
35:20
too. Oh that's an interesting spot. I've plus six. I just think
35:25
that's it. I think that's a good number. They're at home. Oklahoma's
35:30
flagged. We saw it last week. Now. I do think they'll play
35:31
better. But look, this team didn't look good against Cincinnati. They didn't
35:36
look good against UCF. Oklahoma State looks like they're starting to get right.
35:40
And I think, you know, this may be the you know, there's
35:45
some there's some some rumbling that this may be Gundhy's last ride, you know,
35:51
so the I expect this, this is the last time they're gonna play
35:53
this ball game for a long time. I kind of like oach date.
35:58
You know what I'm gonna have on Saturday TV one at two thirty Central time
36:02
where I live in Texas. That'll be the game being played at Wrigley Field.
36:07
Baby, Iowa Northwestern over under thirty and a half and Iowa was laying
36:15
five and a half. Baby, you bring it on, You bring it
36:17
all on. Deacon Hill, a quarterback in Iowa, is going with fends
36:22
now, just taking that weight off his shoulder, knowing he'll be unemployed as
36:25
the offensive coordinator. At the end of the season. I think this thing's
36:28
gonna be wide open. I mean, old school Jack Pardy running gun offense
36:32
is just gonna be wide open for Iowa this weekend. You better get ready
36:36
for some fireworks, baby, that's what I'm telling you. He think's going
36:38
over. That's stellar number of thirty and a half. I mean, holy
36:45
shit, dude, they nearly scored thirty and a half last night in the
36:47
World Series game. Yeah, that's yeah, no kidding the three. I'll
36:52
give you one other game that I like, especially if they laid a clunker
36:55
last week. Texas State kind of laid an egg. I kind of like
37:00
Georgia Southern going down there. I think they may have a chance to get
37:05
right over under it. Seventy and a half in this game. That is
37:08
a boog number, So clearly everybody thinks there's gonna be some points. I
37:14
think George something may be able to get it done in the ball game like
37:16
that. I know another game you got your eyeball on. You just didn't
37:20
want to bring it up because our man who came from the MAC, they
37:24
were worried he couldn't get it done. In the ACC team is not as
37:29
good as it could be. But when you roll out in the press game
37:31
or when you roll out in the postgame interview on the field, and you
37:35
let them know that North Carolina State, you know, is not just a
37:39
basketball school, and Steve Smith can kiss my ass, you know, Dave
37:45
Dorn is ready to rock and roll. Baby. We got to love it.
37:47
And they're getting four against swagger Wagon coming in. Swagger Wagon's got some
37:53
issues too. They come in six and two and NC State five and three.
37:58
I do have some a little bit of love for this game too,
38:00
So uh, I will tell you I don't love this board. But what's
38:06
gonna happen for me this weekend is I'm gonna play a lot more games than
38:10
I normally do, and I'm gonna play them lighter than I do. There's
38:15
a couple of games I like, and I'll bet those on a normal manner.
38:17
But I just feel like there's there's just I don't love this board,
38:22
and so I'm gonna get, you know, some stuff like we just talked
38:25
about within c State getting forward home. We should have we should have ridden
38:29
in last week. That's on me. I even told you I was like
38:31
they Onumson's gone in here and lost when it got good football teams. What
38:36
am I doing? We said this before we started recording. I said,
38:39
what am I doing? Not taking this game? Well, that was exactly
38:43
what happened, So not gonna make that mistake again. I like in c
38:45
State and backing it up home. They get these two wins back to back
38:50
and see ganny wins for a team that looked awful the first month of the
38:53
season. Hey, not that we didn't talk about the news, but I
38:57
just got a new shirt made. If they once one hit me up Twitter.
39:00
It's the Ohio State Red and just in white within sign language, it
39:06
just says Michigan sucks. And I figure it'll be a fantastic shirt to wear
39:09
wear that weekend for that game. That is a fantastic idea. We look
39:19
out in the world. I couldn't wait to see how this is gonna play
39:22
out, because at the end of the day, there ain't no doubt.
39:25
And they did it, they knew they were doing it. And if it's
39:28
really illegal, what do you do? I mean, you saw that they've
39:31
literally taken the stance that we said you would take two weeks ago on the
39:36
pot were like, hey, we're not listening to the outside media where you
39:39
know, this is our boat, just know his best love, it's our
39:44
family. Oh yeah, exactly what we said they were gonna do. And
39:46
here he is. I love I love the footage. I mean, everybody's
39:50
on Twitter. Oh yeah, look he's up. He's passing this out there.
39:52
Everybody, every talking ahead in the media brought it up. Some of
39:55
them actually acknowledge the fact that they's going to touch down the play. But
39:59
then when you find the dude standing on the Central Michigan sideline watching the game,
40:06
and I'm like, okay, he's does he have a photographic memory?
40:08
It's like, what's he doing if he's still on the sideline, like watching
40:10
hands signals? Like I don't know because I don't even know who they're playing
40:13
in that game. I need to go back and watch it. They're playing
40:15
Michigan's what it is, ye playing Michigan's. Yeah, does he have I
40:21
have wondered that, does the guy have a photographic memory or does he watch
40:24
their signs? Because he wasn't making notes, No, No, he was
40:29
standing there just watching. It's interesting. Look, I'm wondering if the kid
40:32
gonna take the tack out slights going to the games. I didn't have to
40:36
be at the ball games like watching them. Yeah, I just I mean
40:39
could be like me. I went to the James Madison, you know,
40:43
in North Dakota State National championship with the snow I just like watching football.
40:47
But yeah, we have fatials? Would that be? That's the states time
40:52
out? And what Here's what I really can't wait. What if they've had
40:55
more than one? Because I don't think any I think they just identified this
41:00
guy. How hell do we know they didn't have more than one? They
41:05
were buying tickets to multiple games. You know how fabulous would be if they
41:09
just had What's great about the whole story is the only team they didn't watch
41:15
last year with and they lost. I mean that's just like red flag,
41:20
red flag, you know. So I think it's hilarious. But anyway that
41:23
that'll that'll rap, that'll wrap us up for the night. I have a
41:27
feet and you see the NFL, so they're going to honor any suspension the
41:30
ability. That's bullshit, I agree with you, but they're saying the well,
41:37
think about it like this is you know, if the NCAA is in
41:42
charge of doing an investigation and giving out a suspension that could be two years
41:47
from now. I mean, give me a break if you're gonna get anything
41:51
out of I mean the College Football Playoff. Basically said, yeah, that's
41:53
the NCAA's business. We're not really paying attention to that. They often said,
41:58
we don't give a ship. It's like, look, we're here to
42:00
put the four best teams we can't on the field. Pay everybody twenty million
42:04
dollars, sell a lot of tickets, make a lot of ads, and
42:07
get us a national championship. You guys go, you guys with the NCAA.
42:10
Y'all go play in your own sandbox over there. Y'all go do your
42:14
own thing, because y'all have obviously can't manage football, so we had to
42:17
take that over from you. There is a joke, but anyway, it's
42:21
comical, folks. That being said, get the hell out of here,
42:24
Bowling Green minus five and a half to get your Wednesday started. Talk to
42:28
you next week. Have a good one bye.