Latest / Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning / Did The College Football Playoff Committee Just Change The Stakes For Ohio State vs. Texas?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to Buckeyes tomorrow morning for Thursday, August twenty first,
- 0:03Speaker 1: I'm your host, Tom or the Texas game. In nine days,
- 0:08Speaker 1: we are under double digits, single digits. Now, we're just
- 0:12Speaker 1: one day away from double digits for the game against
- 0:14Speaker 1: Michigan one hundred days exactly on that one, we'll be
- 0:17Speaker 1: in double digits tomorrow. We're getting there on both fronts.
- 0:22Speaker 1: If you want to get somewhere for lunch, I would
- 0:24Speaker 1: suggest the good folks at Grateful Griddle is Columbus's favorite
- 0:27Speaker 1: food truck. They are serving up Smashburger, Score Bay sandwhich is,
- 0:30Speaker 1: and good vibes Booker catering. Today at gratefulgriddleoh dot com
- 0:34Speaker 1: got a little bit of a sort of administrative college
- 0:37Speaker 1: football playoff stuff. There was an announcement on Wednesday morning
- 0:42Speaker 1: that could have a fairly significant impact on that game
- 0:45Speaker 1: between Ohio State and Texas in just nine days. I'm
- 0:48Speaker 1: joined by Tony Gerderman of bucke Huddle dot com. He
- 0:51Speaker 1: saw the press release put it on our message board
- 0:55Speaker 1: with essentially the title you can just call this the
- 0:58Speaker 1: Kurtz Signetti rule. Tony, what have the good folks the
- 1:02Speaker 1: college football playoff done? Now?
- 1:04Speaker 2: What they've done and is to impose some new or
- 1:11Speaker 2: put more weight on some analytical data points that they
- 1:15Speaker 2: have where they they've i'll quote it. A change for
- 1:20Speaker 2: the upcoming season include enhancements to the tools that the
- 1:24Speaker 2: selection committee uses to assess schedule strength and how teams
- 1:28Speaker 2: perform against their schedule. The current schedule of metrics schedule
- 1:32Speaker 2: strength metric, has been adjusted to apply greater weight to
- 1:36Speaker 2: games against strong opponents. An additional metric, record strength, has
- 1:41Speaker 2: been added to the selection Committee's analysis to go beyond
- 1:45Speaker 2: beyond a team's schedule strength to assess how a team
- 1:49Speaker 2: performed against that schedule. This metric rewards teams defeating high
- 1:54Speaker 2: quality opponents while minimizing the penalty for losing to such
- 1:58Speaker 2: a team. These changes will provide minimal reward for defeating
- 2:04Speaker 2: a lower quality opponent while imposing a greater penalty we're
- 2:09Speaker 2: losing to such a team. And that's the gist.
- 2:14Speaker 1: So first of all, I award you seven and a
- 2:16Speaker 1: half out of ten for your reading of that. There
- 2:20Speaker 1: was no by law number and were you know, letter
- 2:22Speaker 1: combination at the start to read, So I feel like
- 2:25Speaker 1: that probably hurt hurt your strength of record there on
- 2:28Speaker 1: that that reading through no fault of your own, it is.
- 2:33Speaker 1: This is one of these things where it's like, yeah,
- 2:35Speaker 1: I get it, I like it. I think this may
- 2:37Speaker 1: be percepts I incentivize as people to schedule differently. I
- 2:42Speaker 1: would question the whether this is something that you should
- 2:45Speaker 1: be releasing nine days from week one when it's probably
- 2:50Speaker 1: a little too late to schedule, you know, change how
- 2:53Speaker 1: you're scheduling stuff, Like you could have given this, you know,
- 2:54Speaker 1: you could have announced this twelve months ago that this
- 2:58Speaker 1: was coming for this year and maybe allowed people to
- 3:01Speaker 1: you know, change their schedules to benefit that or to
- 3:05Speaker 1: address that. But that's neither here nor there. It will
- 3:09Speaker 1: in fact have quite an impact, it sounds like, on
- 3:12Speaker 1: the Ohio State Texas game, because this is something we've
- 3:15Speaker 1: sort of talked about in the past where the team
- 3:17Speaker 1: that wins that game functionally is probably just about in
- 3:21Speaker 1: the college football playoff. But now it seems like the
- 3:23Speaker 1: team that loses that game maybe doesn't lose too much
- 3:28Speaker 1: for scheduling it. Which this is one of these things
- 3:31Speaker 1: that we've talked about with the SEC for years, and
- 3:33Speaker 1: the SEC always you know, every SEC win is worth
- 3:35Speaker 1: one and a half and every SEC loss is only
- 3:37Speaker 1: worth half. So you know, so SEC teams end up
- 3:40Speaker 1: with ten wins in eight games somehow, So this is
- 3:43Speaker 1: this time. It seems like it's going to benefit Ohio
- 3:45Speaker 1: State and Texas. That's good, and it seems like it's
- 3:50Speaker 1: maybe going to incentivize teams to schedule more good games
- 3:54Speaker 1: like this that you would maybe want to watch rather
- 3:57Speaker 1: than Ohio State Akron or Texas Texas Southern.
- 4:01Speaker 2: In theory, Tom, but this was this, these rules, these
- 4:05Speaker 2: adjustments were made after quote, you know, months of discussions
- 4:09Speaker 2: and talking. So who's to say there won't be more
- 4:12Speaker 2: changes and tweaks next year and the year after that
- 4:14Speaker 2: because they tweak it every year. They look at different
- 4:17Speaker 2: things every year. And I think for me, when I
- 4:20Speaker 2: saw this, the first thing I thought was this is retel.
- 4:23Speaker 2: This is this is an adjustment because Indiana made the
- 4:25Speaker 2: playoffs and Alabama did last year, except of course Alabama
- 4:28Speaker 2: lost games that they shouldn't have. But in the future,
- 4:31Speaker 2: when they only lose one of those games, then this
- 4:34Speaker 2: would get them in. So I view this. I love
- 4:38Speaker 2: to view it as hey, this is incentive for non
- 4:40Speaker 2: conference scheduling. I see this as a just an adjustment
- 4:45Speaker 2: that will make sure that a one loss Indiana team
- 4:50Speaker 2: maybe doesn't keep a two loss SEC team out with
- 4:54Speaker 2: some legitimate wins which Alabama had last year, that third
- 4:58Speaker 2: loss really kept them out. And so to me, this
- 5:02Speaker 2: is a way to allow the committee to use these
- 5:05Speaker 2: strengths to these adjustments and weight them as they want,
- 5:08Speaker 2: because remember, they have their different things that they can
- 5:11Speaker 2: choose to put the most weight behind. And so for me,
- 5:15Speaker 2: I just see this as an opportunity to put the
- 5:19Speaker 2: team that you'd rather have in there as opposed to
- 5:22Speaker 2: the one that you're kind of not grandfathered into, but like, well,
- 5:25Speaker 2: they just have the one loss and it be a
- 5:28Speaker 2: bad look. So I think this for me is it
- 5:32Speaker 2: gives the certainly benefits the CC scheduling because we know
- 5:37Speaker 2: there are more quality teams there, and so I think, right,
- 5:42Speaker 2: But the thing is, and that's the other thing, are
- 5:46Speaker 2: where are these metrics coming from? Are these ESPN metrics?
- 5:49Speaker 2: You know all of these things, these are propriet, proprietary things.
- 5:51Speaker 2: Where Okay, what have you adjusted and what is this
- 5:56Speaker 2: based off of? And how much of this is based
- 5:58Speaker 2: off of the preseason rankings and then your schedule to
- 6:01Speaker 2: strength because of the eight conference S games times, and
- 6:03Speaker 2: I'll stop talking. But there's a lot of ways that
- 6:05Speaker 2: this can be tweaked in a way to benefit and
- 6:10Speaker 2: the SEC and not to be a conspiracy theorist, but
- 6:13Speaker 2: I see this as something that benefits the SEC.
- 6:16Speaker 1: Well, it all depends on what you're putting in. And
- 6:19Speaker 1: there's an old computer programming phrase garbage in, garbage out,
- 6:23Speaker 1: And you can put in whatever metrics you want to
- 6:26Speaker 1: and you can tailor that to whatever outcome you want
- 6:28Speaker 1: to get. Now, a team like Ohio State ESPN probably
- 6:31Speaker 1: wants Ohio State in the College Football Playoff as much
- 6:34Speaker 1: as they want a bunch of their precious SEC teams
- 6:36Speaker 1: in there. So this is probably something, especially with the
- 6:39Speaker 1: way Ohio State schedules non conference They got upcoming series
- 6:42Speaker 1: with Texas and Alabama and Georgia, and so this would
- 6:45Speaker 1: sort of incentivize you to keep those on the books
- 6:47Speaker 1: and would probably benefit Ohio State against all of those teams.
- 6:52Speaker 1: But also I'm very leery of the more subjective it
- 6:56Speaker 1: gets with the College Football Playoff Committee. The more I
- 6:59Speaker 1: kind of get a little concerned about, well, are you
- 7:02Speaker 1: going to get pushed into something or other. I'm also
- 7:05Speaker 1: very interested in how this would have impacted last year's
- 7:11Speaker 1: sort of set up because you know, you look at
- 7:13Speaker 1: Ohio State. Ohio State had a road win over Penn State,
- 7:18Speaker 1: they had a home win over Indiana, they had wins
- 7:21Speaker 1: over two College Football playoff teams. They had a road
- 7:24Speaker 1: one point loss against the number one team in the country,
- 7:27Speaker 1: but they had a bad loss against Michigan, So then
- 7:30Speaker 1: they were behind Penn State, even though Penn State's best
- 7:33Speaker 1: win was Mumble Mumble Voice Trails Off, and they also
- 7:36Speaker 1: had two losses, including a home loss to Ohio State.
- 7:40Speaker 1: And if you watch those teams in the playoffs, it
- 7:42Speaker 1: was pretty obvious which of those teams was the better team.
- 7:45Speaker 1: But Ohio State was behind Penn State and it was basically, well,
- 7:48Speaker 1: they had one bad loss and so therefore that was
- 7:50Speaker 1: the deciding factor. So I would be interested to know
- 7:53Speaker 1: whether under these guidelines now, because Ohio State had better
- 7:57Speaker 1: wins than Penn State had, would that have given them
- 7:59Speaker 1: more credit and with that have vaulted them over Penn State.
- 8:02Speaker 1: And then Ohio State is playing SMU and Boise State
- 8:08Speaker 1: in their first two games instead of having to play
- 8:09Speaker 1: Tennessee and Oregon in their first two games. Now it
- 8:12Speaker 1: all worked out for Ohio State. But there's plenty of
- 8:15Speaker 1: ways it could maybe not have worked out for Ohio State,
- 8:17Speaker 1: So it'd be interesting to see whether that changes anything
- 8:21Speaker 1: big picture. To me, I think the most interesting piece
- 8:24Speaker 1: of this is something that you and I have talked
- 8:26Speaker 1: about a bunch on these different shows, and you know,
- 8:28Speaker 1: eight eight conference games and nine conference games, and you know,
- 8:31Speaker 1: all these conferences want to fight and they want to
- 8:33Speaker 1: tell you, oh, you know, we're going to do whatever
- 8:35Speaker 1: we're going to do. You can incentivize whatever change you
- 8:39Speaker 1: want to incentivize in college football by changing the criteria
- 8:43Speaker 1: for the College Football Playoff. You want to incentivize teams
- 8:46Speaker 1: to schedule great non conference games, great, you just you
- 8:49Speaker 1: just potentially did that. You want to incentivize teams to
- 8:53Speaker 1: play more quality games, and you know, perhaps adding a
- 8:57Speaker 1: ninth conference game for the SEC you can get You
- 9:00Speaker 1: probably have just done that to a certain degree. If
- 9:03Speaker 1: you want to incentivize teams to not schedule terrible non
- 9:06Speaker 1: conference opponents where it's going to be sixty three nothing
- 9:08Speaker 1: in the second quarter, you know this is this is
- 9:10Speaker 1: a lot like teams in college basketball, where you can
- 9:14Speaker 1: game the quad one wins and your RPI and all
- 9:18Speaker 1: that stuff, and you see teams that have figured out
- 9:20Speaker 1: how to gain the system and they schedule that way.
- 9:24Speaker 1: If you're trying to get teams to play more interesting
- 9:26Speaker 1: opponents out of conference in conference, maybe even get conferences
- 9:30Speaker 1: to sort of do a little bit of a tiered scheduling,
- 9:32Speaker 1: where hey, Maryland and Rutgers in Northwestern and you're not
- 9:36Speaker 1: officially every year rivals, but you know, you're kind of like,
- 9:40Speaker 1: why don't you guys go play in the corner and
- 9:41Speaker 1: Ohio State will play Oregon in Texas and Oregon and
- 9:44Speaker 1: Penn State and pick a team USC whatever a little
- 9:49Speaker 1: more often. That wouldn't be a bad thing either. You know.
- 9:53Speaker 2: I keep wondering about the incentivizing and as opposed to punishing,
- 9:59Speaker 2: you know, wishing programs for not doing this, and is
- 10:03Speaker 2: that would that be the more effective way to get people?
- 10:06Speaker 2: Would that be the more effective incentivizing I guess it
- 10:09Speaker 2: depends on what decade you were you grew up parenting,
- 10:12Speaker 2: whether you know it's like by kindness or by by
- 10:15Speaker 2: the paddle or whatever. But one way or another, they
- 10:20Speaker 2: need to do something to fix these the non conference stuff.
- 10:24Speaker 2: And you and I have talked about I think my
- 10:27Speaker 2: I think the best way to do that is with
- 10:29Speaker 2: the auto bid so you don't get punished for it.
- 10:31Speaker 2: Then it's like, well, if you don't get punished from
- 10:32Speaker 2: playing games, what's the point of playing them? Because they're
- 10:34Speaker 2: fun to watch? Like what you know, it's it's fun
- 10:37Speaker 2: to watch.
- 10:37Speaker 1: One fun and enjoyment. You say, I, boy, I this
- 10:40Speaker 1: is this is an entirely new thought. I don't know.
- 10:43Speaker 2: Yes, I know, and I'm I'm one of the only
- 10:46Speaker 2: people out there. I've I'm alone on a lot of islendce. Tom,
- 10:49Speaker 2: I don't know if you know that about me. But
- 10:51Speaker 2: I if we could get back to the way non
- 10:56Speaker 2: conference scheduling used to be, which was big verse is big,
- 11:01Speaker 2: that would be great for everybody. And whether that's through
- 11:04Speaker 2: this or through some other form of you know, let's
- 11:08Speaker 2: do it, let's figure it out, let's try to incentivize it.
- 11:11Speaker 2: But also, Tom, the other thing is everybody needs seven
- 11:15Speaker 2: home games every year. So then it becomes more difficult
- 11:18Speaker 2: to do that because I can't give up a home
- 11:21Speaker 2: gate because we've rev share and all of the different
- 11:25Speaker 2: sports and this building and that building now and the
- 11:28Speaker 2: way that they the salaries are now, so you can
- 11:32Speaker 2: you can do so much of that. But you can't
- 11:34Speaker 2: do it like it was. You can't do like the
- 11:36Speaker 2: Big ten. Probably can't do three Power five, Power four
- 11:39Speaker 2: opponents and non conference anymore because to be able to
- 11:42Speaker 2: get everything scheduled, I don't know that you can get
- 11:44Speaker 2: everybody getting the seven home games they need. But you know,
- 11:47Speaker 2: whatever you can do to incentivize better non conference scheduling,
- 11:51Speaker 2: and let's be real, like, you don't need three Power
- 11:55Speaker 2: four games to make it better. Just two is fine.
- 11:58Speaker 2: You know, one for a lot of programs is fine.
- 12:01Speaker 1: Right, yeah, if you can, if you can get you know,
- 12:03Speaker 1: the Big Ten, for example, they get nine conference games,
- 12:06Speaker 1: So every other year you're going to have five home
- 12:08Speaker 1: conference games. That means that year you can go on
- 12:11Speaker 1: the road in non conference and play a power conference
- 12:13Speaker 1: team and you still have your seven home games. And
- 12:15Speaker 1: then the other year, when you've got four conference games
- 12:18Speaker 1: at home, you can play the home half of the
- 12:20Speaker 1: home and home of that power conference opponent. And if
- 12:23Speaker 1: you're playing nine conference games and one Power conference team
- 12:27Speaker 1: out of out of conference, great, that works out fantastic.
- 12:30Speaker 1: Then you've got your you know, then you've got your
- 12:34Speaker 1: your ten power conference games and you can go play
- 12:38Speaker 1: your in state MAC opponent, Texas can play it's in
- 12:40Speaker 1: state Texas opponent, LSU can go play Louisiana, hyphen whatever
- 12:44Speaker 1: they want to play. And that's all absolutely fine. The
- 12:48Speaker 1: SEC four home conference games every year, you got four
- 12:53Speaker 1: non conference games every year. You can play three of
- 12:56Speaker 1: those at home, get your seven games, and then you
- 12:59Speaker 1: play a home and home home with a power conference team,
- 13:02Speaker 1: and a at the at home and home and home
- 13:05Speaker 1: with a power conference team on the road, and you
- 13:08Speaker 1: still get your end power conference games. And then everyone's
- 13:11Speaker 1: all sort of in the same boat. You want to
- 13:13Speaker 1: play eight conference games, that's fine. Do that by all means,
- 13:16Speaker 1: just get to the same number of power conference games.
- 13:18Speaker 1: We will see how this all plays out. This year
- 13:21Speaker 1: going to be, you know, a fun and interesting twist
- 13:24Speaker 1: to see how much you know. This is a great
- 13:26Speaker 1: and fun and easy thing to say in August. What
- 13:29Speaker 1: are they saying on November I think fourth this year,
- 13:31Speaker 1: which is the first college football player frankinsrevial. Well, we'll
- 13:34Speaker 1: all find out together. We'll be there with a live
- 13:36Speaker 1: show for that. But whichweet Before we get there, we
- 13:39Speaker 1: got a lot more to talk about. We got Buckeyes,
- 13:41Speaker 1: we got Texas, Longhorns nine days away. Tony is going
- 13:46Speaker 1: to be headed over to the Woody Hayes Athletic Center
- 13:47Speaker 1: shortly for Ohio State tight end interviews, wrapping up our
- 13:51Speaker 1: summer fall camp interview series with the different position groups,
- 13:56Speaker 1: and then we turn to game week next week, Week
- 14:00Speaker 1: zero college football coming up on Saturday. Game week for
- 14:02Speaker 1: the Buckeyes and Texas Longhorns starting in just a few days. Boy,
- 14:07Speaker 1: oh boy, if you have not become a member of
- 14:08Speaker 1: bucke Huddle dot com, what are you waiting for? The
- 14:12Speaker 1: season is here? It is time we have fuck coverage
- 14:15Speaker 1: of the Buckeyes, coverage of the you know, rather significant
- 14:19Speaker 1: one versus two matchup to opening the season, and then
- 14:21Speaker 1: WHI should be a really fun fall in Columbus, Ohio.
- 14:24Speaker 1: Join us there at buckey Huddle dot Com. That'll do
- 14:27Speaker 1: it for today. Thank you guys all for joining us.
- 14:28Speaker 1: Have a great day. We'll talk to you tomorrow.