Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / The Parlay Show: NFL Week 2 and Some College Football

Transcript

The Parlay Show: NFL Week 2 and Some College Football · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:02
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites on Chad Millman of the Action Network,
0:07
Speaker 1: and this is the Parlay Show. Sunday Night Football is on,
0:12
Speaker 1: the second week of college football is done, the first
0:14
Speaker 1: week of the NFL is in the books. I'm with
0:18
Speaker 1: Jeff Schwartz of the Action Network Paula Duca of the
0:20
Speaker 1: Action Network, and we're going to give you your first
0:23
Speaker 1: look at how to gamble in the week ahead. PAULI,
0:29
Speaker 1: what's going on? Brother? How are you doing? Chad? I'm good. Jeff,
0:33
Speaker 1: how are you today? Fantastic? It was. It was an
0:37
Speaker 1: odd day of football today, longest game ever with a
0:40
Speaker 1: four hour rain delay, and the most football god version
0:44
Speaker 1: of Cleveland Brown football we could ever asked for. That
0:48
Speaker 1: was stunning, and we're gonna get to all of it.
0:49
Speaker 1: Here's how we're gonna do the show coming up quickly.
0:51
Speaker 1: We're going to recap how we did this past week,
0:55
Speaker 1: like what really happened to our plays on Saturday and Sunday.
0:59
Speaker 1: More importantly, we're gonna look ahead and the goal of
1:02
Speaker 1: this show is to lay out each of our three
1:05
Speaker 1: favorite beds for this upcoming week. They can literally be
1:09
Speaker 1: on anything spread money line, NFL W n B A
1:13
Speaker 1: MLB Futures props whatever. At the end of this show,
1:17
Speaker 1: we're going to have a nine team parlay that we
1:21
Speaker 1: are going to put together. We're all gonna put some
1:22
Speaker 1: money in. It's gonna be twenty bucks apiece. The payouts
1:26
Speaker 1: going to be nine dollars if we win our nine
1:30
Speaker 1: team parlay. Oh boy, there's so much promise in this
1:36
Speaker 1: premise and having done the test shows that we've done
1:39
Speaker 1: a few times now, all I know for sure is
1:42
Speaker 1: that Jeff, you and I thought Luduca was bringing trash
1:47
Speaker 1: and if we were listening to Luduca, we'd be undefeated,
1:50
Speaker 1: because Luduca was all over the Ravens this week, all
1:55
Speaker 1: over the Ravens, and his college football takes have been ridiculous.
1:58
Speaker 1: He was like, he was all over. He loved who
2:02
Speaker 1: was it a couple of weeks ago. He loved He
2:03
Speaker 1: loved like, hold on, I'm driving the mic over here.
2:06
Speaker 1: He loved you, He loved University of Central Florida in
2:09
Speaker 1: the first game against Yukon in the first week. He
2:12
Speaker 1: loved like Tulane Wake in the under like I don't
2:18
Speaker 1: even know where he's pulling these things out of. But
2:19
Speaker 1: if we were listening to l. Duke instead of sort
2:21
Speaker 1: of going into our analytics crap holes. You can tell
2:26
Speaker 1: what kind of day had he probably probably will be
2:29
Speaker 1: better off. I will say I tailed a lot of
2:34
Speaker 1: Pulse pics, which was great. I had a great college
2:36
Speaker 1: football weekend. My pro weekend was was mas of right now,
2:39
Speaker 1: hopefully the Packers and the over can do really well
2:42
Speaker 1: in the sun of football game. But Paul has been
2:44
Speaker 1: on fire with his picks on this part. Lay and
2:47
Speaker 1: that that Ravens game today was amazing because I could
2:52
Speaker 1: never have imagined the Ravens would cover the over by
2:56
Speaker 1: themselves in a football game in twenty eighteen. Well there
3:00
Speaker 1: could I mainly because I only bet the under after
3:03
Speaker 1: you said you gotta bet the under in this game.
3:05
Speaker 1: And you know what else I bet this weekend after
3:08
Speaker 1: I had said on the radio in Columbus that I
3:11
Speaker 1: was going to bet u c l A plus thirty.
3:15
Speaker 1: You texted and they said on the air, They're like,
3:18
Speaker 1: you know, Jeff Schwartz really likes Oklahoma in this game.
3:20
Speaker 1: I'm like, he's crazy. That's too many points. So I
3:24
Speaker 1: texted you and You're like, Oklahoma is going to kill
3:26
Speaker 1: them in this game. So I decided to put money
3:28
Speaker 1: down in Oklahoma, and they didn't cover. They did not
3:31
Speaker 1: later late back Door cover um by By. I was
3:36
Speaker 1: thirteen and three this weekend for cultural by the way,
3:39
Speaker 1: so we can talk about all the ones I lost,
3:41
Speaker 1: but I also had a great weekend outside of the
3:44
Speaker 1: once I gave up on the podcast. You guys are
3:46
Speaker 1: talking over here and meanwhile you, I was gonna say,
3:49
Speaker 1: you and I are doing all the talking and Laduca
3:51
Speaker 1: is doing all the winning. Well, no, here's the thing.
3:54
Speaker 1: I said, Baltimore and you guys convinced me so much
3:58
Speaker 1: to play the under. I bet the under. I didn't
4:00
Speaker 1: even bet Baltimore because of you two guys. Oh well,
4:04
Speaker 1: I did bait the ray. I did bet the Ravens
4:06
Speaker 1: at minus seven. I did, but I didn't use him
4:13
Speaker 1: in any place that matters. You know, I didn't use
4:17
Speaker 1: them in like the super contest. I want a sports
4:21
Speaker 1: center this morning, and I didn't use the Ravens there
4:24
Speaker 1: I could use them. Here's here's what I think. I
4:27
Speaker 1: want to quickly recap. These are like the themes that
4:29
Speaker 1: I'm taking away from the day, and then we're gonna
4:31
Speaker 1: get into um the Parley Meet of the show, the
4:35
Speaker 1: Parley Party number one. This new roughing the passer rule
4:39
Speaker 1: where you can't sort of throw your body weight onto
4:42
Speaker 1: the quarterback is going to kill somebody this year. And
4:46
Speaker 1: I don't mean a quarterback, I mean a better like
4:48
Speaker 1: people are going to go insane on this particular penalty
4:52
Speaker 1: because it's gonna happen. It happened like three or four
4:55
Speaker 1: times today, and every single time it was integral to
5:00
Speaker 1: sort of swinging a game and the direction and momentum
5:03
Speaker 1: it was going for a for a better Jeff, Yeah,
5:07
Speaker 1: it's gonna be This is the Aaron Rodgers rules sent
5:10
Speaker 1: You're right. We don't want to get quarterbacks in their
5:11
Speaker 1: color bones banged up. And I understand the spear of
5:14
Speaker 1: the rule, except it's very hard to enforce. I can't
5:16
Speaker 1: imagine telling uh defensive player to go full speed try
5:24
Speaker 1: to tackle a quarterback, but do it very gently. I
5:27
Speaker 1: guess what they want the guys to do, and we've
5:28
Speaker 1: seen a couple of times today is when you go
5:31
Speaker 1: to tackle the quarterback, you have to either roll to
5:34
Speaker 1: a side as you tackle him, or you have to
5:38
Speaker 1: like put your hands out. I you have to do
5:39
Speaker 1: something to not just pull your fullwary. They don't want
5:41
Speaker 1: your two ft off the ground, lifting and driving the
5:44
Speaker 1: quarterback in the ground. And and I agree. You know,
5:47
Speaker 1: everyone was worried about the helmet rule and it was
5:49
Speaker 1: fine today. They were barely anyone I got ejected. He
5:51
Speaker 1: should have been ejected. That that's the hit they want
5:53
Speaker 1: to out of the game. Um. But the other stuff,
5:56
Speaker 1: UM that that that's your right. Chet. It's been painful
5:58
Speaker 1: to watch today, and I hope that um they look
6:02
Speaker 1: at what they've you know, the rule to have in
6:04
Speaker 1: place to try to fix it. Paul Listen I said
6:08
Speaker 1: before chaff I gotta give Jeff credit because he was
6:11
Speaker 1: right on the helmet rule that they would stop calling
6:13
Speaker 1: it as much as they were calling it during the preseason.
6:16
Speaker 1: Same thing they would do in baseball when they tried
6:18
Speaker 1: to speed up the game. They would make a stay
6:19
Speaker 1: in the box during spring training and then during the
6:22
Speaker 1: season it didn't didn't happen. But you're right, I mean,
6:25
Speaker 1: and a lot of them are crucial calls. When they're
6:27
Speaker 1: getting called, and they're always a quarterback. You never get
6:30
Speaker 1: see it get called when a wide receiver gets driven
6:32
Speaker 1: to the ground or a quarterback gets driven to the ground. Well,
6:36
Speaker 1: it's always the uh running back it's always the quarterback
6:40
Speaker 1: is the issue. And you know it had extended four
6:45
Speaker 1: four or five drives key drives on third downs to
6:48
Speaker 1: not first dounds. Well, it is it's only for the
6:51
Speaker 1: quarterback the rule. And secondly, it's typically is gonna be
6:54
Speaker 1: on the third down because that's the time you rushed
6:56
Speaker 1: the past of the best, and that's when quarterbacks hold
6:58
Speaker 1: the ball a little bit longer and you're blitzing and
7:00
Speaker 1: all this stuff. So that's the worst part about this.
7:03
Speaker 1: In Chad's right, you might see more scoring because of
7:06
Speaker 1: this rule because first and you know, there's a third
7:08
Speaker 1: and fifteen is becoming a first down because of this rule.
7:12
Speaker 1: All right, let's get onto the parlay party. Okay, Um, Jeff,
7:17
Speaker 1: you can go first. As you look at the week ahead,
7:19
Speaker 1: what is catching your eye right now? Well, I'm going
7:22
Speaker 1: back to the well with the Giants there there plus
7:24
Speaker 1: three against Dallas right now. I actually opened it three
7:26
Speaker 1: and a half. It's already been been bent down to
7:29
Speaker 1: two plus three to the Giants today. I thought looked
7:31
Speaker 1: looked pretty solid on defense, especially which which I thought
7:34
Speaker 1: they would I if you read the Trench Reporter Action
7:37
Speaker 1: Network dot Com, I had the under that game there.
7:40
Speaker 1: Their defensive line is no joke. And when they played
7:42
Speaker 1: the Cowboys the last two years, UM, with that defensive line,
7:46
Speaker 1: they have shut down Zekie Elliott and they will do
7:48
Speaker 1: it again this weekend. And offensively, I thought Eli looked good.
7:51
Speaker 1: There were too many drop passes for the Giants wide receivers.
7:53
Speaker 1: Sae Kwon. Barkley had that huge touchdown run and Dallas
7:56
Speaker 1: was embarrassing. Today they look like they have no plan again. Um,
8:00
Speaker 1: they look out of whack. Offensive line didn't play very well.
8:03
Speaker 1: DAC look lost no wide receivers. Dan Bailey got cut
8:06
Speaker 1: and the rookie kicker comes in and this is a kick.
8:08
Speaker 1: So a rivalry game here. I like the Giants plus three.
8:12
Speaker 1: He's always tough. Cowboys in Giants no living club. When
8:15
Speaker 1: we played him when I was there, we lost by
8:17
Speaker 1: one point in Dallas, we lost by I think they
8:19
Speaker 1: think they lost by three last year in Dallas. UM,
8:23
Speaker 1: the games typically become close because there are rivals. They
8:26
Speaker 1: play so and they play so much with each other.
8:29
Speaker 1: I mean, I like, listen what bark Barkley showed us today,
8:33
Speaker 1: what we thought he was right, sort of the real deal,
8:36
Speaker 1: sort of the game breaker that they have Eli Um.
8:40
Speaker 1: He missed Beckham one time in the end zone for
8:42
Speaker 1: a big touchdown UM and a couple of other throws.
8:45
Speaker 1: They still have some issues up front. Um. But Dallas, God,
8:48
Speaker 1: they were awful today. And I just don't know if
8:51
Speaker 1: they have any real options. It's cold, Beasley, really your option,
8:55
Speaker 1: your number one option. I could I could drive with
9:00
Speaker 1: this pick Chad. The Giants really broke my heart today.
9:04
Speaker 1: Well that Chad like six inches. I was like six
9:09
Speaker 1: inches to get a two point conversion. Really, they really
9:14
Speaker 1: broke my heart in so many ways today. Like I
9:18
Speaker 1: wanted to marry this pick. I was so all over
9:21
Speaker 1: the Giants to plus four. I think I doubled down
9:23
Speaker 1: on him like plus three and a half, Like I
9:26
Speaker 1: was so I was so deep in love with what
9:30
Speaker 1: the Giants were gonna do. And the fact that I
9:32
Speaker 1: thought the Jacks were overrated and the Jacks did not
9:35
Speaker 1: look good offensively at all. Blake Bortles looked horrible, Uh,
9:38
Speaker 1: Leonard wore not left the game with a hamstring injury.
9:41
Speaker 1: And but on defense, they were just they were fierce,
9:45
Speaker 1: like they were amazing. And so I've just got to
9:49
Speaker 1: take into account that Odell drew a few penalties on
9:53
Speaker 1: Jalen Ramsey, and they even made some great plays and
9:57
Speaker 1: ran some great roots. See Kwan Berkley was everything we
10:00
Speaker 1: thought he would be. Um, there are a couple of
10:02
Speaker 1: drop passes like there are a couple of key drop passes,
10:04
Speaker 1: especially late in the game for Eli, that I thought
10:08
Speaker 1: really really hurt the Giants. So I'm gonna go with you, Jeff.
10:11
Speaker 1: I'm gonna double down on the Giants again, and I
10:14
Speaker 1: will go Giants plus three. I will not throw a
10:17
Speaker 1: challenge flag on this pick. We got one of our
10:23
Speaker 1: nineteen parlay. By the way, Chad, two negatives do make
10:26
Speaker 1: it positive. And anybody that says root over route, I'm
10:29
Speaker 1: in Okay, Missouri is at Perdue Okay minus seven. Now
10:37
Speaker 1: Perdue has played two games. They've lost, both of them
10:41
Speaker 1: at home. They lost to Northwestern, who put up thirty
10:44
Speaker 1: one on them in the first half. Okay. Northwestern proceeded
10:48
Speaker 1: to score seven points against Duke. Okay, did they bounce back? No.
10:53
Speaker 1: They were fifteen point favorite against Eastern Michigan and lost
10:58
Speaker 1: outright in the Eastern Michigan quarterback Tyler Wiggers through three
11:02
Speaker 1: twelve yards. Now they got to face a quarterback and
11:05
Speaker 1: Drew Lock who's now throwing eight t ds no interceptions.
11:10
Speaker 1: He drew out for three yards against Wyoming. Okay, now
11:15
Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan, who did beat Perdue's a four point underdog
11:21
Speaker 1: against Buffalo, who beat Temple. Temple lost to Villanova. Are
11:25
Speaker 1: we still on basketball? This basketball? Are we talking about
11:27
Speaker 1: football here? Missouri is gonna blow out Perdue. Perdue is awful,
11:32
Speaker 1: but Missouri minus seven, we might be talking about football.
11:36
Speaker 1: But like, you totally lost me. We went from Missouri
11:40
Speaker 1: to Purdue, to Eastern Michigan to Villanova to Temple. I
11:44
Speaker 1: agree with everything you said. Uh. I was all over
11:47
Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan this weekend at minus at plus sixteen and
11:50
Speaker 1: a half. That was one of the games where I
11:52
Speaker 1: was watching win probability in the Action Network gap and
11:54
Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, this feels good. This feels so good.
11:57
Speaker 1: And then today when I was watching Tennessee, I'm like,
11:59
Speaker 1: this is painful, like this really really hurts um. But
12:04
Speaker 1: I love this pick. It's a great pick. Jeff Schwartz,
12:06
Speaker 1: what do you think of this pick? It's fantastic pick.
12:08
Speaker 1: I took Missouri against Wyoming. They they covered, no problem.
12:11
Speaker 1: I took to win the second half of that game
12:13
Speaker 1: as well. They covered that. Uh, Missouri, you get an
12:16
Speaker 1: SEC team going to play a Big ten team. As
12:19
Speaker 1: you see, teams got a lot of speed, and you
12:21
Speaker 1: got Drew lock who's probably behind Herbert and Will Grier
12:24
Speaker 1: the third quarterback right now. Um so I love this pickball.
12:28
Speaker 1: Drew Lack is coming out of nowhere to me, Like,
12:31
Speaker 1: I don't think I heard his name more than five
12:33
Speaker 1: times heading into the season, and since the season started,
12:36
Speaker 1: I feel like I hear his name every single weekend.
12:39
Speaker 1: I think Missouri's is pretty legit. And you know, Wyoming
12:44
Speaker 1: had a game on them to three games, and I
12:46
Speaker 1: know Wyoming lost early in the season, a tough game,
12:50
Speaker 1: but they're okay Wyoming, and Missouri just buried them from
12:54
Speaker 1: the bell and Vegas is gonna start giving them love.
12:58
Speaker 1: But I think Missouri is better than people inc Alright,
13:01
Speaker 1: guess what you got two picks? We got two picks
13:04
Speaker 1: in our in our nineteen part Like here is my pick, Okay,
13:08
Speaker 1: here we go. I am going to take hold on.
13:11
Speaker 1: Let me pull up my oh god, hold on, let
13:14
Speaker 1: me pull up what you have it on your your kindle?
13:18
Speaker 1: I have it in thee like a like an actual
13:23
Speaker 1: Notebook guy, what's going on here? Exactly? You know what?
13:26
Speaker 1: You know what? Jeff? Jeff knows me. Jeff understands who
13:30
Speaker 1: I am deep down. No, no, no, no. The Notebook
13:33
Speaker 1: is his favorite movie, Jeff, he doesn't have a notebook.
13:36
Speaker 1: Notebook is actually never seen. See. Paul knows me. Paul
13:40
Speaker 1: knows me deep down, he understands who I am. The
13:43
Speaker 1: Notebooks are really good movie. Is that like your Is
13:47
Speaker 1: that like your one? You're like one um guilty pleasure movie. No,
13:52
Speaker 1: I would say that my guilty pleasure movie is The
13:55
Speaker 1: American President. I will watch it any time of day,
13:59
Speaker 1: anytime it's on. Uh, you name it, I'm gonna watch it.
14:03
Speaker 1: Come on Clueless. Wow, that's so good too that you
14:11
Speaker 1: know what? That was just on like two weeks ago,
14:14
Speaker 1: and it locked me in. I was like done for
14:15
Speaker 1: a better hour and standing up, standing up in my
14:19
Speaker 1: kitchen watching it on television like I was doing the dishes,
14:23
Speaker 1: and like I just like turned it on in the
14:24
Speaker 1: kitchen and just stood in front of television and my
14:27
Speaker 1: elbows propped up on the counter for the next ninety minutes.
14:31
Speaker 1: I didn't move. It's one of those incredible stairs. Is
14:37
Speaker 1: the radio host I am Chad, you get Europe. You're up.
14:41
Speaker 1: It's time to talk about football. This game is interesting
14:44
Speaker 1: to me. B y U and Wisconsin. B y U
14:48
Speaker 1: is at Wisconsin. Wisconsin is a twenty three point favorite.
14:51
Speaker 1: There's a couple of reasons why I like b y
14:54
Speaker 1: U plus three in this game. Okay, Number one, First
14:59
Speaker 1: and foremost, Colin Wilson, who is our college football expert
15:02
Speaker 1: at Action Network. He's amazing. He puts out early in
15:05
Speaker 1: the morning on Sundays what he thinks the lines should be,
15:09
Speaker 1: and he thought this line should be Wisconsin by sixteen
15:12
Speaker 1: and a half. So basically, what I'm seeing is that
15:14
Speaker 1: I'm getting seven and a half points based on Colin
15:17
Speaker 1: Wilson's line in this game. So I like that. I
15:20
Speaker 1: like being in that position. Number one, um Number two,
15:23
Speaker 1: I fundamentally think Wisconsin has become a public team and
15:28
Speaker 1: the bookmakers are always gonna shade Wisconsin to be a
15:31
Speaker 1: little bit higher than they probably should be. So even
15:34
Speaker 1: if say Colin's wrong and they're powered in this game
15:36
Speaker 1: at Wisconsin three touchdown favorite, I think they're over inflating
15:41
Speaker 1: the line. Number three, who do we think B by
15:45
Speaker 1: us right now? Is b y U the team that
15:49
Speaker 1: beat up in Arizona when everyone without Arizona might be good.
15:52
Speaker 1: Are theyd A team that lost to Cal this past
15:54
Speaker 1: weekend traveling to Cal is Cal talking about sort of
15:57
Speaker 1: the transitive property that probably was just doing, Like is
16:00
Speaker 1: Cow better than people think because they beat U n
16:03
Speaker 1: C and then they beat B y U. So are
16:05
Speaker 1: we getting discounted because Cal actually might be pretty good?
16:08
Speaker 1: And by you should have been losing to that team
16:10
Speaker 1: instead of being a road favorite in that game. So
16:14
Speaker 1: I'm going with B y U plus twenty three. I'm
16:17
Speaker 1: flying with this. I like to under this. I know
16:19
Speaker 1: college totals aren't really out yeah at the time of
16:21
Speaker 1: of recording, but um, I'm with you on this game.
16:25
Speaker 1: I thought B y U played well in their in
16:27
Speaker 1: their first game when they beat Arizona, but now we
16:29
Speaker 1: know Arizona might not be as good as we thought. UM,
16:31
Speaker 1: close game against Cal this weeken Cal is better than
16:34
Speaker 1: people give them credit for there now to know. Um,
16:37
Speaker 1: it just feels like Wisconsin because of Jonathan Taylor, might
16:41
Speaker 1: be the Heisman favorite because they return a lot of starters.
16:44
Speaker 1: They have a very senior laden unit, best offensive line
16:47
Speaker 1: probably the nation. Senior quarterback that they're getting a lot
16:49
Speaker 1: of love, but they haven't really shown that yet. I
16:51
Speaker 1: like to underhear. I mean, I like to underhear. But
16:53
Speaker 1: but your plus b y U is a good take
16:55
Speaker 1: as well. Yeah, I actually like this too. They sort
16:59
Speaker 1: of play the same aisle. So um And if you
17:03
Speaker 1: watched the game last week with Wisconsin played New Mexico,
17:06
Speaker 1: New Mexico was in that game in the first half,
17:08
Speaker 1: and that actually had chances, a couple of chances to
17:11
Speaker 1: take a two touchdown lead, and then Wisconsin turned on
17:14
Speaker 1: the Jets, bigger, stronger team. I get it in the
17:16
Speaker 1: second half. But I think b YU might be a
17:18
Speaker 1: little bit better than New Mexico. And I think they
17:21
Speaker 1: can slow this game down enough where twenty three points
17:25
Speaker 1: is a lot of points, and I think they'll be
17:27
Speaker 1: able to at least score some in here. And and yeah,
17:31
Speaker 1: I'm with much schwartzy after watching some of the Pack
17:34
Speaker 1: twelve games, I think Cow's okay. So and that was
17:36
Speaker 1: a good game, you know, I went down to the
17:37
Speaker 1: fourth quarter. Um, b YU had a chance to win
17:40
Speaker 1: that game late and and actually missed a couple of
17:42
Speaker 1: field goals. So I I'm not I actually liked this
17:46
Speaker 1: pick I think it. Wisconsin is a tiny bit over it,
17:49
Speaker 1: and fellas, we got three games and we got three picks.
17:54
Speaker 1: Right now, we like the Giants plus three against Dallas,
17:57
Speaker 1: Missouri minus seven against Purdue b y U plus twenty
18:00
Speaker 1: three against Wisconsin. Jeff Schwartz year end. Yeah, you know,
18:08
Speaker 1: I gotta dilemma here in the pro game. I the
18:12
Speaker 1: one I wanted to go with. I looked at the
18:14
Speaker 1: stats for recently, and I don't know if I can
18:17
Speaker 1: take the picks. I'm gonna go with the one I
18:18
Speaker 1: feel most comfortable with here. Um Philly minus three at Tampa.
18:23
Speaker 1: Tampa is not very good today's game, Okay, scored forty
18:28
Speaker 1: eight points against New Orleans. If you were a LAS
18:29
Speaker 1: year New Orleans fis started the oh and two as well.
18:31
Speaker 1: I believe they started oh and two now the last
18:34
Speaker 1: four seasons obviously their own one now this year. For
18:37
Speaker 1: the last three seasons, they they have not started the
18:39
Speaker 1: year well. So I don't think we can look at
18:40
Speaker 1: at game one and say this is what Tampa is
18:44
Speaker 1: gonna be or this is when New Orleans is gonna be.
18:45
Speaker 1: Ryan Fitzpatrick had the best game of his life. He
18:48
Speaker 1: had months to prepare for this game, knowing that he'd
18:50
Speaker 1: be the starter and Philly. Look, I know I'm not
18:53
Speaker 1: high Nick Foles, and I made that very public and
18:55
Speaker 1: I'm still not very hot on him. But they have
18:58
Speaker 1: better position players across the board. The Tampa better offensive line,
19:02
Speaker 1: much better defensive line. They're better at tight end, They're better,
19:06
Speaker 1: I mean, they're better everywhere. So I just don't see
19:09
Speaker 1: how the Eagles are. Are we given three points here?
19:15
Speaker 1: I don't know? Man, Wow, you know what you sound like?
19:19
Speaker 1: A beaten man? What do you say, Paul from at first? Paul? Well,
19:25
Speaker 1: here's the crazy ahead, Paul looking right in front of me,
19:29
Speaker 1: our courageous producer over here in matt Ford. What does
19:31
Speaker 1: that say, Matt Eagles? When of us three at the bucks? Okay,
19:36
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl champions, there's still the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Chad,
19:41
Speaker 1: I'm wish Swarts you on this. Okay, here's what I'm
19:44
Speaker 1: not gonna like. They're they're playing a way better team. Listen.
19:46
Speaker 1: They beat the Falcons, who chat who Jeff loved? And
19:49
Speaker 1: and basically a toss up game. Again, the Falcons had
19:52
Speaker 1: a chance to win the game. But come on, you
19:55
Speaker 1: think Ryan Fitzpatrick is really into Sean Jackson and they're
19:59
Speaker 1: gonna go off again. No defense, Nope, nope. Here's what
20:01
Speaker 1: I think I'm projecting. Okay, because this is what I
20:05
Speaker 1: didn't do this week, and it burned me in that
20:09
Speaker 1: a I almost never never play uh road favorites, and
20:16
Speaker 1: I did it this week with Tennessee and I got burned.
20:19
Speaker 1: I did it this week with Pittsburgh, and I got burned.
20:22
Speaker 1: I also almost never played teams that are getting it
20:27
Speaker 1: the action, and I feel like what we're going to
20:31
Speaker 1: get with this Eagles Bucks game is the action coming
20:36
Speaker 1: in on a road favorite. That to me is like
20:39
Speaker 1: the intersection of the kiss of death. It's exactly it's
20:44
Speaker 1: exactly what you don't want to be. So you're worried
20:46
Speaker 1: that Randa Barber is going to come back and shoot
20:49
Speaker 1: off the cannon for the Tampa Bay Bucker Buccaneers opener,
20:52
Speaker 1: and that's going to inspire them. Counterpoint getting the one
20:57
Speaker 1: right now minus three and the gates the one moving
21:00
Speaker 1: way up on eight percent of the people. Uh take
21:04
Speaker 1: the Eagles, all right, So let's go with the Eagles
21:07
Speaker 1: minus three. I put it down to chang it to
21:10
Speaker 1: chang that thing. Is it my turn? Whose turn? Is it?
21:14
Speaker 1: Is it? I don't even know my turn. Okay, another
21:22
Speaker 1: college game, New Mexico at New Mexico State. Okay, we're
21:29
Speaker 1: gonna go into Mexico minus six. Where's our takeout the
21:32
Speaker 1: trash sound effect? Wow? Did you just call me oscar
21:36
Speaker 1: to the garuch you got? I don't even give you
21:39
Speaker 1: an explanation, and you already want to trash my pick.
21:42
Speaker 1: Give me the explanation. Okay, New Mexico State. Three games,
21:46
Speaker 1: they scored a total of thirty points. New Mexico two games,
21:52
Speaker 1: they scored sixty two against Incarnate Word, which is by
21:57
Speaker 1: the way around the corner in San Antonio, Texas to
21:59
Speaker 1: the river walk. You can get yourself some nice margarita. Okay.
22:05
Speaker 1: Then they were in the first half, only gave up
22:08
Speaker 1: ten points to Wisconsin halfway through the third quarter before
22:12
Speaker 1: Wisconsin obviously took over. So now they got to play
22:15
Speaker 1: in New Mexico State team that's god awful and they're
22:19
Speaker 1: not going to run over. New Mexico is a way
22:21
Speaker 1: better team. And you just lay the points here and
22:25
Speaker 1: it's night night, you guys laughed at the Baltimore Ravens.
22:28
Speaker 1: So they were up forty to nothing this week I
22:32
Speaker 1: don't hear any Oh you guys all, I got really quiet,
22:34
Speaker 1: real quick. Did you go to the back? Did you
22:37
Speaker 1: go did you go put hair spray? I don't even know.
22:39
Speaker 1: I don't even know what to say. You have no
22:42
Speaker 1: response to any of that. It's the real grand rivalry
22:45
Speaker 1: between New Mexico and Mexico State. It begin SHOT's say
22:50
Speaker 1: I have I have no I don't even know sure,
22:53
Speaker 1: I guess I have no idea. I can't even tell
22:55
Speaker 1: you any about the thing about these teams that the
22:58
Speaker 1: Lobos know that. I mean, if you say, if you
23:02
Speaker 1: say so, if you say this is gonna work, and don't,
23:04
Speaker 1: I don't. I can't even throw a challenge. Fact, I
23:06
Speaker 1: don't know what I'm challenging. The New Mexico State aggies
23:16
Speaker 1: and New Mexican laughing um. Right now, this line has
23:23
Speaker 1: dropped from seven, from New Mexico being favored by seven
23:28
Speaker 1: and a half to New Mexico being favored by six.
23:33
Speaker 1: Let me tell you what I'm gonna do. I am
23:35
Speaker 1: going all in on the Paul La Duca Express. So
23:41
Speaker 1: we're on New Mexico State. Is that what we're saying,
23:44
Speaker 1: We're in New Mexico. Oh, I mean like whatever it takes. Wow,
23:53
Speaker 1: we're on New Mexico minus six. Is that what you're saying? Yeah?
23:57
Speaker 1: And can we get some clinical help for you soon.
24:00
Speaker 1: I feel like the line is going it's clearly going
24:02
Speaker 1: in the other direction. Yeah, but that's because you're reading
24:05
Speaker 1: it that way. There's only one way to read it.
24:10
Speaker 1: It's opened at seven and a half, now is it six?
24:13
Speaker 1: It's going in the other direction. Yeah, that's fine that
24:16
Speaker 1: everybody else lose. That's why there's big buildings in Vegas.
24:21
Speaker 1: I feel like the wise guys are playing New Mexico
24:24
Speaker 1: State here. Okay, so the Challenge flag then wow, Schwartz
24:29
Speaker 1: with like like the half like I'm almost got a
24:31
Speaker 1: turtle head coming out, like Mexico State plus eight and
24:36
Speaker 1: a half. Um, I don't even know. I can't. I
24:40
Speaker 1: don't think I thought a Challenge five chat because I
24:42
Speaker 1: don't even know anything about this matchup. Like, out of
24:44
Speaker 1: all the games this weekend, he chooses the most obscure one.
24:48
Speaker 1: They have the lineup for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds who
24:51
Speaker 1: are playing you of A and the Kevin are the
24:54
Speaker 1: uh the Kevin someone, I mean Wildcats. I went to
24:58
Speaker 1: Arizona State and I even want bet Arizona. But the
25:00
Speaker 1: line is not up yet. But I was gonna give
25:03
Speaker 1: you that one. But I figured the Southern Utah Thunderbirds
25:05
Speaker 1: would have thrown Millman for a real big loop. This
25:09
Speaker 1: game has in the Mountain West. I'm looking at her
25:17
Speaker 1: app right now in the Mountain West. This has the
25:20
Speaker 1: second most bets so far of any game in the
25:25
Speaker 1: Mountain West. New Mexico States scored thirty points in three games.
25:30
Speaker 1: You myself, Ford Schwartz and his brother can score thirty
25:35
Speaker 1: points in the college level. Right now, you put me
25:37
Speaker 1: at flanker. I'm catching three or four passes for Matt
25:46
Speaker 1: Forward as the priest of the podcast. Yeah, he came
25:50
Speaker 1: on the podcast Your k Chad, Seriously, I mean, your
25:54
Speaker 1: son's got Your son's got you rattled. Matt Ford was
25:58
Speaker 1: on the podcast earlier. You don't have to reintroduce him
26:02
Speaker 1: when Yeah, he said, I told you Matt read this
26:07
Speaker 1: Philadelphia minus three. You guys don't even remember that. Both
26:10
Speaker 1: of you guys are shot. I'm the crazy one. All right?
26:17
Speaker 1: Is it my turn? Is it? Am? I? We're taking
26:21
Speaker 1: New Mexico minus six. I'm looking forward to your take on.
26:24
Speaker 1: Like Jockson stated against Tennessee Western. You're that line's not up.
26:34
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is a five. The Pittsburgh Steelers are a five
26:36
Speaker 1: point favorite against the Kansas City Chiefs. That line feels
26:40
Speaker 1: huge to me. Patrick Mahomes maybe the greatest quarterback. Yes,
26:49
Speaker 1: there's no way I'm taking the Pittsburgh Steelers in this game.
26:52
Speaker 1: I'm going with the Kansas City Chiefs plus five. Um,
26:58
Speaker 1: while you're balking at the Shwarts, he know you're you're
27:00
Speaker 1: you're Chiefs fan here with your brother. I am a
27:03
Speaker 1: chief you know I love my homes. I've been on
27:05
Speaker 1: the one problem that I have with this with this
27:07
Speaker 1: game and why I personally probably well, I'm generally not
27:11
Speaker 1: touching them the Chiefs as you're just because my brothers
27:15
Speaker 1: on the team and I'd rather not like what I
27:17
Speaker 1: watch game as a fan. UM is, Pittsburgh kind of
27:22
Speaker 1: owns the Chiefs. UM the last three years they've played
27:27
Speaker 1: um and they do something on offense where the Chiefs
27:30
Speaker 1: have had trouble blocking it. They basically run the same
27:32
Speaker 1: run play over and over again from the same personnel grouping,
27:36
Speaker 1: and the Chiefs cannot find a way to stop it
27:38
Speaker 1: because that they're what they do on defense. But the
27:40
Speaker 1: games have been close. Pittsburgh has won by two the
27:43
Speaker 1: last time, at six the last time, so the games
27:46
Speaker 1: are relatively close normally, so that that gives me some
27:50
Speaker 1: positivity towards this here. Um, but I just the Chiefs
27:55
Speaker 1: just don't play well as the Steelers. That's not really
27:58
Speaker 1: logical reasoning. You were so all in like the first
28:02
Speaker 1: the first part of the argument was amazing. The Steelers
28:05
Speaker 1: run a particular play that the Chiefs can't stop. That
28:09
Speaker 1: makes sense. Like when you were saying that, I was
28:11
Speaker 1: thinking myself, I hope he throws a challenge flag and
28:14
Speaker 1: then you backtracked on me. Have been close, but I
28:19
Speaker 1: just I can't pull the trigger on the Chiefs. I
28:26
Speaker 1: don't feel very confident in this because I don't know. Well,
28:28
Speaker 1: I guess Mahomes and be on the road. I steel
28:31
Speaker 1: has got embarrassed last week or this week, I should say, Um,
28:35
Speaker 1: I don't know. I just have a weird feeling about
28:37
Speaker 1: this game, but not enough to challenge. What do you think, Paul?
28:42
Speaker 1: It's a tough challenge because you know me, I like
28:44
Speaker 1: Mahomes and I still think Kansas City's got the most
28:46
Speaker 1: talented team or one of the most talented teams in
28:49
Speaker 1: the a f C. And they proved it today that
28:52
Speaker 1: the warrior is is the points that the Kansas City
28:55
Speaker 1: defense can give up points. Where's the Pittsburgh offense at
28:59
Speaker 1: where's leaving on Bell gonna be? He's not playing? I mean,
29:04
Speaker 1: they did not look good, but you're right, like, what's
29:08
Speaker 1: going to really happen in this game? But I think
29:11
Speaker 1: the Chiefs we're gonna be the surprise team all year.
29:13
Speaker 1: So I'm down with this because I like it. Let's
29:15
Speaker 1: do it then, Chiefs plug points? Yes, what do you
29:19
Speaker 1: what do you think is happening in that stealer's locker
29:21
Speaker 1: room with regard to Levy on Bell? Is he like
29:24
Speaker 1: just a jerk? So I explained this other day. Uh,
29:28
Speaker 1: I'll have to do it here. So I think what
29:29
Speaker 1: happened was, well, I know what happened the offensive alignment.
29:32
Speaker 1: We're told that he would be back on Wednesday, and
29:36
Speaker 1: he was not back on Wednesday. I think they tried
29:37
Speaker 1: to get in contact with him and they couldn't do it,
29:40
Speaker 1: and so they went ahead and obviously spoke out. And
29:42
Speaker 1: that's unusual for offensive alignment to go out and be
29:44
Speaker 1: so vocal, especially when they talk about someone's money. The
29:48
Speaker 1: problem I have with this a couple of things is people,
29:50
Speaker 1: of course, when I jumped in the Steeler's offensive line,
29:53
Speaker 1: but they're not talking about his money. They've been rooting
29:55
Speaker 1: for him to get paid this entire time. They've been
29:58
Speaker 1: rooting for him to get paid on social media, um um,
30:00
Speaker 1: on regular media. They've they've been churing for him to
30:04
Speaker 1: get his money. They wanted to get paid. However, where
30:07
Speaker 1: we're at now with the franchise tag rules and the
30:10
Speaker 1: start of the season, he cannot get paid any differently anymore.
30:14
Speaker 1: He is stuck on the one year franchise tag. They're
30:16
Speaker 1: not gonna trade him. First of all, they're not gonna
30:18
Speaker 1: increase his franchise tag, which actually can't happen. They're not
30:20
Speaker 1: gonna do it. And the offensive alignment took took offense
30:24
Speaker 1: to his agent coming out and basically saying like, yeah,
30:26
Speaker 1: he's sitting out now to preserve his body for next season.
30:31
Speaker 1: And if you're in that locker room and you're one
30:32
Speaker 1: of those offensive a linement who wants to win now,
30:35
Speaker 1: I think it's hard for them to cheer for levy
30:37
Speaker 1: On Belle to sit out so he's healthy to play
30:39
Speaker 1: for another team. In twenty nineteen when they can win
30:41
Speaker 1: with him now in so I get why they're angry
30:45
Speaker 1: about it. People made a huge deal about it. I
30:47
Speaker 1: don't know if it's that big, if it's that that
30:50
Speaker 1: crazy of a deal, But that's why I think the
30:52
Speaker 1: steam's offensive a lignement are upset. I'm pretty sure I
30:54
Speaker 1: know because I know they read my article I wrote
30:56
Speaker 1: and they and they agreed with it. Come with you.
31:02
Speaker 1: Here's the problem, Chad. When you have a guy like that,
31:04
Speaker 1: you're you hate as answering the questions. I think that's
31:08
Speaker 1: part of it that's going in the locker room because
31:09
Speaker 1: you're answering Levyan bell questions and you get sick and
31:12
Speaker 1: tired of it when you guy have guys that are
31:14
Speaker 1: like problems or a guy strikes out with the bases
31:16
Speaker 1: loaded and he leaves and I'm answering his questions, like bro,
31:19
Speaker 1: I didn't even play today, and that's what sends up happening.
31:21
Speaker 1: That's what's going on in that clubhouse right now. That's
31:24
Speaker 1: actually that's that's really interesting. Like part of it becomes
31:28
Speaker 1: people become resentful, like why are you we we just
31:30
Speaker 1: played a game, we didn't play that well, But like
31:34
Speaker 1: why are you ask me about Levyan Bell and whether
31:36
Speaker 1: or not he could have helped us win this game?
31:38
Speaker 1: Only thirty times? I gets sick and tired of it.
31:43
Speaker 1: I used to half of my problems were answering I'd
31:46
Speaker 1: had problems with guys I got taken out of context
31:49
Speaker 1: or whatever, like go ask those guys. I didn't play today.
31:51
Speaker 1: I used to tell the guys, why are you asking
31:53
Speaker 1: me a question? I am not even playing today? Exactly. Yeah.
31:58
Speaker 1: I almost got beat up in a lot horm ones
32:00
Speaker 1: by Antonio Freeman. Really please please do Uh. This was
32:06
Speaker 1: in the like the late nineties, mid nineties whatever. I
32:08
Speaker 1: just got out in college. I just gotten out of
32:10
Speaker 1: college and I was working at Sports Illustrated and I
32:12
Speaker 1: was covering a Packers Cowboys playoff game. And I can't
32:16
Speaker 1: remember if it was like to go to the super
32:18
Speaker 1: Bowl or no, it might have been um in the
32:21
Speaker 1: divisional playoffs and maybe it's maybe he was an actually
32:25
Speaker 1: title game. But anyways, uh breat far through interception. Uh,
32:28
Speaker 1: Larry Brown intercepted the pass. That was when he went
32:31
Speaker 1: on and had that great game in the Super Bowl
32:34
Speaker 1: against the Steelers and had a couple interceptions in that
32:36
Speaker 1: game too. Intercepted this pass. And my assignment was too
32:40
Speaker 1: for Sports Illustrated, was to break down the play like
32:43
Speaker 1: it happened a couple of times. So I had to
32:44
Speaker 1: go to the locker room and break down the play
32:45
Speaker 1: and get interviews and you figure out what it was.
32:48
Speaker 1: First guy seeing the locker room as Antonio Freeman, and
32:51
Speaker 1: I had seen like on the sideline. I knew he
32:53
Speaker 1: was standing directly next to Homeward Um when the play
32:58
Speaker 1: happened and when the play was called. So I went
33:00
Speaker 1: up to him, and I had been in the Packers
33:01
Speaker 1: locker room like eighty five times that year because I
33:04
Speaker 1: had done a story about Lollroy Butler and the Packers were,
33:07
Speaker 1: you know, one of the better teams and they were
33:09
Speaker 1: starting to blow up, and so I was just you know,
33:12
Speaker 1: when you're working for Supports Illustrated, you go to where
33:14
Speaker 1: the national game is and um, like I was a reporter,
33:17
Speaker 1: I was like helping Peter King like on every story
33:19
Speaker 1: that he did, and UM, I go up to Freeman
33:22
Speaker 1: and I'm like, listen, I know you were in the field,
33:24
Speaker 1: but I saw you standing next to home Green. Can
33:26
Speaker 1: you tell me the name of the play that was
33:28
Speaker 1: called that Larry Brown sort of picked up ret five
33:31
Speaker 1: and he looks at me goes, I wasn't on the field,
33:33
Speaker 1: and I'm like, I know, but you were standing next
33:37
Speaker 1: to home grin and you're on the team, so I
33:39
Speaker 1: figured you would't know what the play. Can you just
33:40
Speaker 1: sort of give me the name of the play and
33:41
Speaker 1: tell me what's supposed to happen? He goes, what are
33:44
Speaker 1: you doing a news chronicle? And I'm like, yeah, I'm
33:48
Speaker 1: doing a news chronicle and he just looked at me
33:54
Speaker 1: like he wanted to kill me. And someone actually had
33:57
Speaker 1: to step in, like I think it was the Packers
33:59
Speaker 1: pr guy like stepped in between us. I wasn't stepping
34:03
Speaker 1: up to him. He was like going to kill me. Um.
34:08
Speaker 1: And then like he separated it and like it didn't
34:10
Speaker 1: like elevate into anything. He just sort of said, okay,
34:13
Speaker 1: you know, let's move on and um. Then I went
34:16
Speaker 1: spoke to Adam Timmerman, who was alignment for the Packers,
34:20
Speaker 1: and he gave me everything I needed and it all
34:22
Speaker 1: worked out fine. But I never had forgotten the time
34:24
Speaker 1: that Antonio Freeman wanted to kill me because I asked
34:28
Speaker 1: him about to play. After the game. I hated going
34:31
Speaker 1: into locker rooms. Hated it. It's so stupid. It's so stupid.
34:39
Speaker 1: I we used to do this thing at the magazine.
34:41
Speaker 1: We let like fans like comeing, like you know, do
34:44
Speaker 1: stories and like called the fan isshu and stuff. So
34:47
Speaker 1: like I had a buddy of mine do a story
34:49
Speaker 1: actually the Giants game, Jeff, and he went in after
34:52
Speaker 1: like for the locker room. He was asking the questions
34:54
Speaker 1: and and he goes, I gotta tell you, this is
34:57
Speaker 1: stupidest thing. Like if I had a bad day it
34:59
Speaker 1: were okay, I don't want someone coming to ask me
35:02
Speaker 1: questions about it. Like fifteen minutes after I leave the office,
35:05
Speaker 1: as you're showering naked and changing at the same time
35:09
Speaker 1: and trying to leave and get ice and like find
35:12
Speaker 1: like antwer text messages and phone calls and I forgot
35:15
Speaker 1: your plans. Yeah, it's kind of tough the faith. But
35:18
Speaker 1: you know, my favorite part about it was is when
35:19
Speaker 1: you get sixty guys in your locker and you got
35:23
Speaker 1: one guy with his cassette in the back called Chad Milman,
35:26
Speaker 1: and one guy asked a question in front, and then
35:29
Speaker 1: Chad Milman in the back asked the same question, and
35:33
Speaker 1: you just answered it. Four other times and then like
35:35
Speaker 1: you just started want to start killing people after you
35:37
Speaker 1: just went over four with three strikeouts and the guys
35:39
Speaker 1: all all up in your grill. And I remember one time, Um,
35:44
Speaker 1: I was in Colorado and I struck out with the
35:46
Speaker 1: bases loaded, and the reporter goes, you know what was
35:50
Speaker 1: your thought process when you went to home played. I
35:52
Speaker 1: was like, you know what my thought process was, I
35:55
Speaker 1: cannot wait to swing at these three sliders in the
35:57
Speaker 1: dirt and strike out with the bases loaded. That was
35:59
Speaker 1: my exact quote to him. It's fantastic. Yeah, so uh
36:03
Speaker 1: And then it's like, seriously, that was what do you
36:06
Speaker 1: think my thought process was? Like you know some of
36:08
Speaker 1: the questions they get asked you understanding, Like, guys, there
36:13
Speaker 1: should be like a knockout card you should have, Like
36:15
Speaker 1: I've always said this because this will help people stop
36:18
Speaker 1: being mean other people. You should have one time a
36:20
Speaker 1: month be able just to lay somebody out and they
36:22
Speaker 1: gotta stand there and take it and then the card
36:25
Speaker 1: goes away, so you can't be addicted people like this.
36:27
Speaker 1: If you're addict to somebody, you're gonna get knocked out
36:29
Speaker 1: like ten times a month. Right, you should have a
36:32
Speaker 1: knockout card. If I was the president, you'd have a
36:33
Speaker 1: knockout card. You can knock out one guy a month. Well,
36:36
Speaker 1: our president may have a knockout card. So my last
36:42
Speaker 1: pick on this part of life we ever get to,
36:44
Speaker 1: ever get to it is the fighting Herm Edwards Sun
36:48
Speaker 1: Devils minus three and a half. Yes, I'll tell you
36:51
Speaker 1: why do you want me to sing the fight song?
36:53
Speaker 1: I'll tell you why. Stereo State Seo State, Um, there
36:56
Speaker 1: are three and a half point favorites. I'll tell you
36:59
Speaker 1: for reasons. So Sano State. The problem they give teams
37:02
Speaker 1: is they run a three three five defense, which is
37:04
Speaker 1: very unique. It's a defense that's going to to start
37:08
Speaker 1: making sway in college football because it's a defense that
37:11
Speaker 1: helps against spread offenses and you can attack from multiple
37:14
Speaker 1: different angles all over the place. You can rush six
37:17
Speaker 1: six defenders at all times. The three front guys at
37:20
Speaker 1: three linebackers. You have a one of the five defensive
37:23
Speaker 1: backs at three three five is a guy that they
37:25
Speaker 1: call um you know Arizona State. They call him like
37:27
Speaker 1: the like the double player or something like that. Sparky player,
37:32
Speaker 1: thank you, the sparky player. He can come from wherever
37:33
Speaker 1: because Arizona State, by the way, runs the same same
37:38
Speaker 1: three the same three three five defense that Santa State
37:41
Speaker 1: runs because they're DC from Santa State is at Arizona State.
37:45
Speaker 1: So I think Arizona State will be uniquely ready for
37:47
Speaker 1: this contest. They already blew out U T. S A.
37:49
Speaker 1: They obviously be Michigan State this weekend. And the worry
37:53
Speaker 1: that I think people are gonna have as well, they've
37:54
Speaker 1: started to and oh they're gonna, you know, feel good
37:57
Speaker 1: about themselves and not come out this weekend. I don't
37:59
Speaker 1: think her Edwards team is going to be that type
38:02
Speaker 1: of team that everything that they've done so far has
38:04
Speaker 1: shown that that's not who they are. And so I love,
38:08
Speaker 1: I love Arizona State. Here they might be the favorite
38:10
Speaker 1: to win the South. Right now on the Patrol Conference, Poli, listen,
38:16
Speaker 1: my numbers retired. There. I am in the ring on
38:19
Speaker 1: honor at Arizona State. Um, yes, I am. I'm in
38:23
Speaker 1: the Hall of Fame right right in between Barry Bonds
38:26
Speaker 1: and Reggie Jackson. You heard of them too. Their last
38:28
Speaker 1: great football team was Jake the Snake Plumber, Okay, and
38:32
Speaker 1: they got beat by Ohio State in basically the Rose Bowler.
38:37
Speaker 1: They win the national championship that year. They have not
38:39
Speaker 1: had anybody since brock Oswilder was a joke when he
38:43
Speaker 1: was there, anyway, he just got drafted because he was tall.
38:46
Speaker 1: They finally actually got a guy that actually is thinking
38:48
Speaker 1: about defense in the pact. Weell with herm Edwards. I
38:51
Speaker 1: think this is actually a great play. Sparky is finally
38:55
Speaker 1: going in the right direction, even though horm Edwards doesn't
38:58
Speaker 1: even know what a sun double is, which is pretty amazing.
39:01
Speaker 1: By the way, do you know what a sun double is?
39:04
Speaker 1: I don't know. Her doesn't know. He's the head coach.
39:06
Speaker 1: Sun double actually is a I've been in the middle
39:09
Speaker 1: of one. It's actually in the middle of a desert.
39:12
Speaker 1: It's like a mini little tornado of dust. So tell
39:15
Speaker 1: her medwords. It doesn't mean the devil. Okay, Wow, it's
39:20
Speaker 1: very educational on this. I I am national geographic as well. Chad. Okay,
39:25
Speaker 1: I did not know that. I honestly thought, like, is
39:28
Speaker 1: it an insect? Is it? I actually I had no idea.
39:34
Speaker 1: Do you like this pic Chen? I love it. That
39:39
Speaker 1: sounded like you're so happy now. It sounds like he
39:43
Speaker 1: doesn't want to have to argue this pick because we
39:44
Speaker 1: both are so passionate about it. He's just like whatever,
39:47
Speaker 1: I don't care just to put it in i'm a
39:49
Speaker 1: on her med words. I love her med words. I did, actually,
39:53
Speaker 1: i'm i'm I love it because, Um, as much as
39:57
Speaker 1: I like to make fun of Luduca, I forget that
40:01
Speaker 1: he was a phenomenal athlete and that like he is,
40:05
Speaker 1: he's one of might be one of the best catchers
40:08
Speaker 1: who ever played baseball. And I don't say that like
40:10
Speaker 1: there's a lot of great catchers in the Hall of
40:11
Speaker 1: Fame or whatever, but like, you know, he's not a
40:14
Speaker 1: big guy, and he was a really good athlete. You know.
40:17
Speaker 1: Got you see me eye to eye and you just
40:20
Speaker 1: like look and you go, wow, how much did Paul
40:23
Speaker 1: pay you to say that? By the way, Paul, it's okay,
40:25
Speaker 1: I got I look right over your head. That's okay.
40:30
Speaker 1: But when I stand on my wallet, were right eye,
40:33
Speaker 1: if you stand on top of Paul's shoulder, it's true.
40:38
Speaker 1: It's true. Um, But it is cool that PAULA Duca
40:41
Speaker 1: has his number retired at Arizona State. I appreci Chef
40:46
Speaker 1: is your number retired at Oregon. I don't think it's
40:49
Speaker 1: even a mention me in Oregon. There's no mention of
40:54
Speaker 1: me yet. You bet on Marcus Mariota today, Chad See,
40:57
Speaker 1: I know didn't go well for me. All right, Um,
41:02
Speaker 1: Jeff Schwartz, you went with the Arizona State. It's probably Ducastern. Okay,
41:06
Speaker 1: we'll go to the NFL for this one. We saw
41:11
Speaker 1: what the Buffalo Bills brought to you today. I mean
41:14
Speaker 1: a forties seven to three loss. I told you guys,
41:18
Speaker 1: the Ravens were gonna bury him. They did. The Bills
41:22
Speaker 1: are awful and and and the crazy part about it
41:25
Speaker 1: is that they didn't put Josh Allen in, which I don't.
41:27
Speaker 1: I don't understand Schwarts. You maybe at some point, yeah,
41:31
Speaker 1: at some point. But now they have the Chargers coming
41:34
Speaker 1: into town. Okay, now this game opened at nine, it's
41:37
Speaker 1: already gone down to seven and a half. I don't
41:39
Speaker 1: want any part of the line. I want the under
41:42
Speaker 1: The Chargers defense just got torched by Casey. Now they're
41:46
Speaker 1: going to go into the two into Buffalo and play
41:50
Speaker 1: way better after getting torched. You know, after a week
41:52
Speaker 1: one when whenever defense gets torched and a good defense,
41:54
Speaker 1: they're gonna play better in week two. Buffalo is a
41:57
Speaker 1: disaster and they'll play a little bit better. They had
42:00
Speaker 1: a lot of turnovers and Baltimore scored forty seven points
42:03
Speaker 1: on him by default. I don't see the Chargers scoring
42:05
Speaker 1: forty seven points. And this under and over is inflated
42:08
Speaker 1: because of what you saw at forty four. You gotta
42:11
Speaker 1: jump on it now. This is a straight under game
42:13
Speaker 1: because the game should have went under today under forty
42:15
Speaker 1: two even dropped under forty one against Baltimore. Um Baltimore
42:19
Speaker 1: covered him and it covered him itself. So to me,
42:21
Speaker 1: I think this is a good underplay. Are you worried
42:24
Speaker 1: that Chargers can score a lot of points. Possibly. I
42:28
Speaker 1: don't know if they're gonna put up forty seven again
42:30
Speaker 1: like Baltimore did. I just see this game now being
42:33
Speaker 1: a little bit closer. Buffalo has to play a little
42:36
Speaker 1: bit at home after being just embarrassed. So we're under
42:41
Speaker 1: forty four and a half. That's what you're going with. Yes,
42:45
Speaker 1: here's where we are so far. These are eight picks.
42:49
Speaker 1: Giants plus three versus Dallas MISSOO minus seven versus Purdue
42:53
Speaker 1: b y U plus twenty three versus Wisconsin. The Eagles
42:56
Speaker 1: minus three over Tampa day uh New Mexico minus six
43:00
Speaker 1: over New Mexico State Kansas City Chiefs plus five at
43:05
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Arizona State minus three and a half. I've already
43:08
Speaker 1: forgotten who they're playing state, San Diego State, that's right
43:14
Speaker 1: with the with the three five and then uh San
43:17
Speaker 1: Diego Buffalo NFL game under forty four and a half.
43:21
Speaker 1: Are you guys ready? Are you guys ready for the
43:23
Speaker 1: last pick? Are you ready? Are you ready for the
43:27
Speaker 1: to be thunderstruck by the bold stallion choice that I'm making? Wow,
43:36
Speaker 1: I can't wait. It's riveting. Jacksonville minus one and a
43:43
Speaker 1: half against the New England Patriots. I learned my lesson today.
43:53
Speaker 1: I literally put all of my scrolla on the Houston
43:57
Speaker 1: Texans had no chance of covering. I literally Deshaun Watson
44:02
Speaker 1: first snap of the game, he fumbles and everybody's waiting
44:06
Speaker 1: for him to come back, including me. I'm so John
44:10
Speaker 1: Doe to play them. It's a joke. And now you're
44:13
Speaker 1: asking me for Blake Bortles to beat Tom Brady. I mean,
44:19
Speaker 1: like that's lake ports play the percentages, Polly. I'm asking
44:27
Speaker 1: you to play a an incredible defense at home, a
44:33
Speaker 1: defense that that made Tom Brady struggle last year on
44:38
Speaker 1: the road. I'm asking you to play them at home
44:41
Speaker 1: in the Florida Heat. The Patriots did not get challenged today,
44:46
Speaker 1: and people are gonna think, oh my god, they're so good.
44:48
Speaker 1: They beat the Texans. We were all fooled by the Texans.
44:50
Speaker 1: Maybe they're gonna turn around and be a better team,
44:53
Speaker 1: but they were not a good team today. The Patriots
44:55
Speaker 1: did not get challenged today. They're gonna go into Jacksonville.
44:59
Speaker 1: It is gonna be a much much harder game. Give
45:03
Speaker 1: me the home team as a short favorite in the
45:07
Speaker 1: Florida Heat with one of the best defenses in the NFL.
45:11
Speaker 1: I promise you this will not be the game that
45:15
Speaker 1: keeps us from retiring to Dell Boca. This stuff shorts you.
45:20
Speaker 1: There's a lot of heavy breathing over there. I think
45:24
Speaker 1: that what's you want? The one is that now short
45:27
Speaker 1: season seems confused? Right now? Don't matter? Um, I just
45:35
Speaker 1: I just have a general rule against against uh betting
45:42
Speaker 1: four Blake Bottles against Tom Brady, oh Man. Um is
45:49
Speaker 1: now New England is a one and a half point favorite.
45:51
Speaker 1: Right now, there is no way I i'ven't read the
45:54
Speaker 1: point spread wrong. Now even more convinced, there is no
45:58
Speaker 1: no no way. Jacksonville doesn't cover it in this game.
46:03
Speaker 1: If not win out right, well then we can blame
46:05
Speaker 1: you if we lose. Now, sure your favorite movie isn't
46:07
Speaker 1: cash me if you can. I don't know what it means.
46:11
Speaker 1: I don't know what that means. What does it mean?
46:14
Speaker 1: Am I like trying to scam you guys? Yeah? Your
46:18
Speaker 1: your cell job is so good, Like you've passed the
46:20
Speaker 1: bar exam, you become a doctor. You're selling this like
46:23
Speaker 1: unbelievable right now, like like to the point that, like
46:26
Speaker 1: I I'm almost on the Jacksonville bandwagon with Blake Ports
46:30
Speaker 1: who they turned. I mean, oh my god, you call
46:34
Speaker 1: it a cell job. He I have gray hair because
46:36
Speaker 1: of guys like Blake Bortles. You know that. You call
46:39
Speaker 1: it a cell job. I call it leadership. Here we go,
46:42
Speaker 1: Our nineteen parlay, Our nineteen parlay in nineteen thousand dollars
46:48
Speaker 1: out something brazy odds Giants plus three versus the Dallas Cowboy,
46:54
Speaker 1: Missouri minus seven, b y U plus twenty three versus
46:59
Speaker 1: Wisconsin Philadelphia Eagles minus three over Tampa Bay, New Mexico
47:05
Speaker 1: minus six over New Mexico State, Kansas City plus five
47:11
Speaker 1: versus the Pittsburgh Steelers, Arizona State where Paula Duca's number
47:16
Speaker 1: is retired minus three and a half against San Diego State,
47:21
Speaker 1: Los Angeles Chargers, Buffalo Bills under forty four and a half,
47:26
Speaker 1: the Jacksonville Jaguars plus one and a half versus the
47:31
Speaker 1: New England Patriots. That is nine team er, ladies and gentlemen.
47:36
Speaker 1: This has been the favorites the Parley Show. You can
47:40
Speaker 1: check us out again on Wednesday the Favorites when I
47:42
Speaker 1: will have Bob Scucci, bookmaker for the Orleans and all
47:45
Speaker 1: the Point gaming books on the podcast, will break down
47:47
Speaker 1: where the markets are going and what the wise guys
47:49
Speaker 1: are doing. Thank you, download, subscribe, resubscribe, rate and review.
47:55
Speaker 1: This has been the favorites from the Action Networks, the
48:02
Speaker 1: pat