Latest / THE DAILY BRIEF / Oil price tumbles as Trump says Iran deal already signed
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: After four months of war, the US and Iran have
- 0:03Speaker 1: electronically signed a framework that could bring an end to
- 0:06Speaker 1: the conflict in the Middle East. Bart There's confusion tonight
- 0:10Speaker 1: over what exactly is in the deal. What is clear
- 0:13Speaker 1: is the agreement will include a sixty day extension of
- 0:16Speaker 1: the ceasefire, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz as
- 0:20Speaker 1: both sides removed their blockades, and a plan for further
- 0:24Speaker 1: negotiations for Iran's nuclear program. Barta's world leaders arrived in
- 0:28Speaker 1: France for the g seventh Summit of major industrial nations.
- 0:32Speaker 1: It's also unclear whether all sides involved in the conflict
- 0:35Speaker 1: will comply with the terms of the ceasefire. Israel's Prime
- 0:39Speaker 1: Minister Benjamin Netanyahu insists his country will retain the freedom
- 0:43Speaker 1: to act against attacks, including from the Iranian backed group Hezbollah.
- 0:48Speaker 1: In Lebanon, from where Jeremy Bowen has sent this report, the.
- 0:53Speaker 2: Main road down from Beirut towards the southern war zone
- 0:56Speaker 2: was jammed all day. More than a million Lebanese people
- 0:59Speaker 2: were forced from their homes in the south by Israel's offensive,
- 1:02Speaker 2: and they want to get back, even if they only
- 1:06Speaker 2: have rubble to greet them. When they arrive at the
- 1:11Speaker 2: other end of the Mediterranean. Donald Trump is in France
- 1:13Speaker 2: for the g seventh Summit. His war with Iran looks
- 1:16Speaker 2: to be a strategic defeat for America, but as he
- 1:19Speaker 2: told President Macran of France, for him, it's mission accomplished.
- 1:24Speaker 3: The deals all say, and the strain has already partially opened.
- 1:28Speaker 3: As you know, they're doing a little hunting for a
- 1:31Speaker 3: couple of minds they've already found. But it's essentially ships
- 1:37Speaker 3: are starting to go out now. On Friday will be
- 1:40Speaker 3: completely opened.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Hopes are high that the shipping stuck in the Gulf
- 1:45Speaker 2: will soon move, though marine insurance rates are still high.
- 1:49Speaker 2: Realistic considering the dealers fragile. Back in Lebanon, in Nabatea,
- 1:55Speaker 2: a major town in the south, they were clearing rubble
- 1:58Speaker 2: and preparing flags for a religious festival. The town has
- 2:02Speaker 2: been under daily Israeli bombardment. The central market is in ruins.
- 2:07Speaker 2: This felt more like a chance to inspect the damage
- 2:10Speaker 2: of pausing the war, not yet an end to it.
- 2:14Speaker 2: The Lebanese army returned. They have a big rollerhead if
- 2:16Speaker 2: the country is to be stabilized. Though away from the cameras,
- 2:20Speaker 2: his Bula operatives are still here too, and the Israeli
- 2:24Speaker 2: Army is not far away awaiting orders. The biggest test
- 2:28Speaker 2: of the ceasefire could come here in Lebanon. Iran insists
- 2:31Speaker 2: that a deal in the Gulf depends on a ceasefire
- 2:35Speaker 2: in this country. In Israel, the Prime Minister Benjamin Etya,
- 2:39Speaker 2: who is under pressure from hardliners in his cabinet as
- 2:42Speaker 2: well as political opponents, to continue the offensive against his bulla.
- 2:47Speaker 2: He has to find a balance between offending President Trump
- 2:52Speaker 2: and responding to political pressure at home. Only a few
- 2:56Speaker 2: months away from a general election. They were defiant, declaring
- 3:02Speaker 2: victory and their faith in his blah and their sheer
- 3:05Speaker 2: Muslim religion. The level of damage here to civilian property
- 3:10Speaker 2: echoes the scorched of tactics Israel used in Gaza. Where
- 3:17Speaker 2: is his bla? Said Mohammad Arab, a shopkeeper. He's calling
- 3:21Speaker 2: all this destruction aggression and state terror. He wants Europe
- 3:25Speaker 2: to boycott Israel. This isn't war, Mohammad said, It's a
- 3:28Speaker 2: crime against people, systematic destruction. We went upstairs to the
- 3:34Speaker 2: remains of his home, above the wreckage of his shop.
- 3:38Speaker 2: This was his children's playrooms. This war like all wars,
- 3:44Speaker 2: is not just about grand strategy. It's also about the
- 3:47Speaker 2: destruction of thousands of individual dreams and years of work.
- 3:56Speaker 2: Lebanon's curses that bigger countries fight their wars. Iran and
- 4:01Speaker 2: the US haven't made peace. They've extended a ceasefire to
- 4:04Speaker 2: negotiate on Iran's nuclear plans and the other big issues
- 4:08Speaker 2: that exploded into war and could do so again. Lebanon,
- 4:12Speaker 2: the Middle East and the rest of the world can
- 4:15Speaker 2: take a breath, perhaps not for long. Jeremy Bowen, BBC
- 4:20Speaker 2: News in South Lebanon.
- 4:23Speaker 1: Well, oil prices and the markets have reacted quickly to
- 4:26Speaker 1: news of a piece steel and there's hope of more
- 4:28Speaker 1: positive economic news for UK consumers. Darshini David has been going.
- 4:33Speaker 4: Through the numbers well, as we've been saying over the
- 4:36Speaker 4: last one hundred days, the fate of our economic wellbeing
- 4:40Speaker 4: hangs on this. The Strait of Homers, that crucial waterway.
- 4:45Speaker 4: Now traffic today remains hugely down on where it was
- 4:48Speaker 4: last year, and with hundreds of ships stuck there and
- 4:51Speaker 4: edgy facilities damaged, getting things back to normal will take
- 4:55Speaker 4: some time. Past The oil price is down to just
- 4:58Speaker 4: over eighty dollars per barrel on hopes of lasting peace.
- 5:02Speaker 4: That's still above where we were before the war, but
- 5:05Speaker 4: it's way down on that recent peak and it may
- 5:07Speaker 4: fall further, which goes well for prices at the pump.
- 5:10Speaker 4: Diesel hit its peak back in April. It's already fallen
- 5:14Speaker 4: by about fourteen pence. Petrol will fall too. It's the
- 5:18Speaker 4: same story with gas prices now they have fallen from
- 5:20Speaker 4: the peak of just a few months ago, but all
- 5:24Speaker 4: of this is nowhere near the highest scene after Russia
- 5:27Speaker 4: invaded Ukraine in twenty twenty two, so potentially good news
- 5:32Speaker 4: for your energy bills. They're due to go up modestly
- 5:35Speaker 4: next month, so a typical household is set to spend
- 5:38Speaker 4: over eighteen hundred pounds per year, but now there's hopes
- 5:42Speaker 4: they won't rise much more in the autumn. Good news
- 5:45Speaker 4: as we think about winter, but some prices will still
- 5:50Speaker 4: head higher food, for example, where it takes months for
- 5:53Speaker 4: higher costs, including that a fertilizer to reach shelves, but
- 5:57Speaker 4: with those fertilizer supplies possibly covering in time for the
- 6:01Speaker 4: planting season in the southern Hemisphere, the extent of those
- 6:04Speaker 4: price rises should be limited, and because the world's oil
- 6:08Speaker 4: reserves are being depleted. There were concerns about supply disruptions
- 6:12Speaker 4: for energy and jet fuel. Those will now retreat. Our
- 6:17Speaker 4: economy has already been more resilient than expected. The hope
- 6:21Speaker 4: now is that this has been a short spell of
- 6:24Speaker 4: economic turbulence rather than another crisis. But it all hangs
- 6:29Speaker 4: on that fragile piece