Latest / The Front / How Japan beat Germany to sell us warships
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: From The Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Christian Amiot.
- 0:06Speaker 1: It's Wednesday, August six, twenty five. Jim Chalmers will shift
- 0:13Speaker 1: the focus of his upcoming Productivity roundtable from tax reform
- 0:17Speaker 1: and government spending to slashing red tape. The Treasurers met
- 0:21Speaker 1: with dozens of chief executives and industry leaders in the
- 0:23Speaker 1: run up to the August summit, where he hopes to
- 0:26Speaker 1: boost productivity and speed up housing approvals. There was never
- 0:35Speaker 1: any doubt about it. Japan was always going to win
- 0:39Speaker 1: a major contract to build warships for the Australian Defense Force. Today,
- 0:44Speaker 1: Defense correspondent Ben Packham unpacks the ten billion dollar deal
- 0:48Speaker 1: set to shape the next generation of the ADF.
- 0:53Speaker 2: Sold.
- 0:56Speaker 1: A multi billion dollar auction has been held for the
- 0:59Speaker 1: future of Australia's warship fleet and the winner is Japan.
- 1:03Speaker 2: Woll Japan has won a fierce battle to build a
- 1:06Speaker 2: new fleet of Australian warships, winning a ten billion dollar
- 1:09Speaker 2: contract with the Albanesi.
- 1:11Speaker 1: Government Mitsubishi heavy Industries through the Kitchen Sink at an
- 1:15Speaker 1: Australian Defense Force bid to beat German shipbuilder This and
- 1:19Speaker 1: Krupp Marine systems. The Australians Foreign Affairs and Defense correspondent
- 1:23Speaker 1: Ben Packham broke the story, Ben, what do we know
- 1:28Speaker 1: about how that bidding process played out?
- 1:30Speaker 3: The Germans were outclassed.
- 1:32Speaker 2: Their ship was outclassed, and as Richard Miles and Pat
- 1:37Speaker 2: Conry have said, the Japanese ship, the mcgami, was far
- 1:42Speaker 2: and away the best ship out of.
- 1:45Speaker 3: The two options in that sense.
- 1:47Speaker 2: Well, no doubt the German company TKMS put in as
- 1:51Speaker 2: strong a bid as it could. It's Miko, a two
- 1:54Speaker 2: hundred vessel, was simply not as good as the mcgami.
- 2:01Speaker 1: So what is so good about this ship?
- 2:04Speaker 3: Now?
- 2:05Speaker 2: The Japanese ship has more vertical launch missile cells, It
- 2:09Speaker 2: has a stealthy design which the German ship doesn't. It
- 2:13Speaker 2: has a smaller crew of ninety compared to one hundred
- 2:17Speaker 2: and twenty for the German ship. Now that's really important
- 2:21Speaker 2: for the Australian Navy, which like the rest of the
- 2:24Speaker 2: Defense force, is struggling with a workforce crisis. It also
- 2:27Speaker 2: lowers their sort of lifetime costs of crewing that ship.
- 2:31Speaker 3: The Japanese ship also has a claimed.
- 2:34Speaker 2: Operational life of forty years compared to thirty years for
- 2:38Speaker 2: the German vessel. So look, the MGAMI really did win
- 2:43Speaker 2: hands down on the actual ship. There was other aspects
- 2:48Speaker 2: to the bid, including its industrial plan, how it intends
- 2:52Speaker 2: to transfer production to Australia, and even though the Japanese
- 2:57Speaker 2: vessel is a larger vessel and on paper should be
- 3:01Speaker 2: more costly, the government said that ultimately they were on
- 3:06Speaker 2: par and over the life cycle because of that smaller
- 3:09Speaker 2: crew and the longer life span of the Japanese ship,
- 3:13Speaker 2: the MCGAMI was actually the cheaper option.
- 3:16Speaker 1: It's the cheaper option now, but what about in future.
- 3:21Speaker 2: The ten billion dollar figure that we've been given that
- 3:23Speaker 2: is only for the first three vessels and the redevelopment
- 3:30Speaker 2: of the Henderson shipyards to get them ready to switch
- 3:33Speaker 2: production to WA. So that's just ships one to three,
- 3:37Speaker 2: plus some infrastructure and so forth. So really we're probably
- 3:42Speaker 2: looking at at least three times that for the full eleven.
- 3:47Speaker 2: They do get cheaper as you go along, but also
- 3:50Speaker 2: the ones that we produce in Western Australia are going
- 3:52Speaker 2: to be more expensive, at least initially to build than
- 3:56Speaker 2: the ones that are built in Japan, but it's not
- 3:59Speaker 2: clear exactly how much they will cost each.
- 4:04Speaker 1: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries will build eleven upgraded MGAMI frigates over
- 4:08Speaker 1: the next decade or so. The first three will be
- 4:11Speaker 1: built in Japan, with the remainder to be built at
- 4:14Speaker 1: Western Australia's Henderson Shipbuilding Precinct by ostel Ben You wrote
- 4:19Speaker 1: for The Australian that this is the most consequential defense
- 4:22Speaker 1: procurement decision since Labour won the twenty twenty two election.
- 4:26Speaker 2: Why is that this is really the first defense program
- 4:30Speaker 2: that labor fully owns. It has also inherited a couple
- 4:34Speaker 2: of botched naval programs from the former government, in particular
- 4:39Speaker 2: the Hunter class frigate program, which has suffered just some
- 4:44Speaker 2: terrible cost blowouts and schedule blowouts.
- 4:48Speaker 3: The cost of those ships.
- 4:50Speaker 2: Is running at something like nine billion dollars per hull
- 4:54Speaker 2: and we will not see the first one of those
- 4:57Speaker 2: in service until twenty thirty four. Now that's largely the
- 5:01Speaker 2: result of changes being made to the design they wanted
- 5:04Speaker 2: to change for Australian requirements. Now, whenever you do that,
- 5:07Speaker 2: it just causes problems. And the government in this case
- 5:11Speaker 2: was very clear it wanted a ship that was in
- 5:15Speaker 2: service and that was not going to be modified in
- 5:20Speaker 2: any way.
- 5:21Speaker 3: The government and Defense are very confident.
- 5:24Speaker 2: That this will be a pretty smooth build, in particular
- 5:28Speaker 2: with the first three ships that are going to be
- 5:31Speaker 2: built in Japan. When production shifts to Australia, that's going
- 5:35Speaker 2: to be the real challenge. Japan is a very efficient
- 5:38Speaker 2: shipbuilding nation, but Japan has not actually built ships off
- 5:44Speaker 2: shore before, and it's never dealt with the Australian supply chain,
- 5:50Speaker 2: Australian workforce capacity constraints, or the Australian Department of Defense,
- 5:56Speaker 2: which can be very meddlesome and impose requirements that can
- 6:03Speaker 2: slow things down. Now, I suspect that Defense will get
- 6:06Speaker 2: out of the way. You know, they're under orders to
- 6:08Speaker 2: just let the company do its thing.
- 6:12Speaker 3: Let's hope that's what happens.
- 6:15Speaker 1: The Albanesi government has given Mitsubishi Heavy Industries a deadline
- 6:18Speaker 1: of twenty twenty nine to deliver the first vessel under
- 6:22Speaker 1: the new agreement. Ben You and I spoke back in
- 6:26Speaker 1: twenty twenty three when the landmark Defense Strategic Review was
- 6:29Speaker 1: released by the Albanesi government. I recall you said at
- 6:33Speaker 1: that time that the overarching message to the ADF when
- 6:36Speaker 1: it came to defense procurement was to stop letting the
- 6:40Speaker 1: good be the enemy of the perfect. That they were
- 6:42Speaker 1: spending so long fitting new technologies that they were out
- 6:46Speaker 1: of date by the time they finally arrived in the field.
- 6:49Speaker 1: This new deal seems fast by comparison. Is this a
- 6:53Speaker 1: sign that Defense Force is turning things around?
- 6:55Speaker 2: Well, it's a sign that the Albanesi government doesn't want
- 6:58Speaker 2: to repeat of what's happened four. I think probably Defense
- 7:02Speaker 2: has got the message here, and because we're getting it
- 7:04Speaker 2: off that Japanese production line, we're going to be getting
- 7:07Speaker 2: the first one quite quickly and certainly by Australian standards.
- 7:11Speaker 3: Now, to sweeten the deal.
- 7:13Speaker 2: Japan offered Australia a ship that was already in its
- 7:17Speaker 2: production schedule. The Misubishi Heavy industries have famously never missed
- 7:23Speaker 2: a deadline, certainly not in their current operation, but they
- 7:27Speaker 2: haven't delivered a ship built in Australia yet, so that
- 7:30Speaker 2: will be a challenge. It should also be noted that
- 7:34Speaker 2: even though the government wants ships four to eleven to
- 7:38Speaker 2: be built in Australia, Pat Conroy, the Defense Industry Ministers,
- 7:43Speaker 2: said today that Australian industry really needs to prove that
- 7:46Speaker 2: it's up to this and get into a position where
- 7:48Speaker 2: it can do that. Now that's a message to Ostel,
- 7:52Speaker 2: which has been named the government sovereign shipbuilder. They're located
- 7:56Speaker 2: over in wa They've got a lot on their plate.
- 7:59Speaker 2: And the other issue with getting things going over there
- 8:04Speaker 2: is there hasn't been a lot of redevelopment yet or
- 8:08Speaker 2: works going on at Henderson, and there's going to have
- 8:12Speaker 2: to be a lot happen there to get that precinc
- 8:17Speaker 2: really up to speed.
- 8:20Speaker 3: Well, to build a whole.
- 8:21Speaker 2: Range of things, including to sustain nuclear submarines for the
- 8:27Speaker 2: US and the UK that are going to be rotating
- 8:30Speaker 2: through there. And there's a whole lot of sort of
- 8:32Speaker 2: regulatory stuff that needs to happen over there, and you've
- 8:36Speaker 2: got multiple levels of government that have to agree to everything,
- 8:40Speaker 2: so that's going to be a huge task. So you know,
- 8:43Speaker 2: none of this is guaranteed, and if I was a
- 8:46Speaker 2: betting man, I'd be saying the precinct there is not
- 8:48Speaker 2: going to be ready for the fourth ship and that
- 8:51Speaker 2: they might have to build another three in Japan, which personally,
- 8:55Speaker 2: I don't think would be such a bad outcome, especially
- 8:58Speaker 2: for the Navy because it'll get six ships in quick
- 9:02Speaker 2: time that it would otherwise not get as quickly.
- 9:09Speaker 1: Coming up what this mega deal means for Australia's relationship
- 9:13Speaker 1: with Japan. Next week will mark the eightieth anniversary of
- 9:29Speaker 1: victory over Japan in the Pacific. August fifteen is known
- 9:33Speaker 1: as VP Day and it commemorates Japan's surrender and the
- 9:37Speaker 1: end of World War II in the region. Australia joined
- 9:41Speaker 1: her allies and an outburst of rejoicing the Lake of
- 9:43Speaker 1: witch mersites have never seen before.
- 9:45Speaker 3: The pendub emotion of six years poured out as a flood.
- 9:49Speaker 3: Freedom was really.
- 9:50Speaker 1: Their Eight decades later, it's Japan and Australia who've united
- 9:55Speaker 1: against the growing military might of China in the Pacific.
- 10:00Speaker 1: Japanese troops have this year commenced training in the top
- 10:03Speaker 1: end alongside Australians and US Marines, and Ben Packham says
- 10:08Speaker 1: the new deal to supply mcgami class frigates is another
- 10:11Speaker 1: positive step in Australia's geostrategic relationship with Japan.
- 10:16Speaker 3: Talk about a turnaround.
- 10:17Speaker 2: Historically, you know, the contest was between Germany and Japan,
- 10:22Speaker 2: our two wartime foes to build us these ships. So,
- 10:26Speaker 2: I mean, it really does show how things can change.
- 10:29Speaker 2: But Importantly, we have a special strategic partnership with Japan.
- 10:33Speaker 2: It's known as our quasi Ally, Japan is one of
- 10:37Speaker 2: the powers with the US that is really going to
- 10:39Speaker 2: be critical in deterring any conflict with China, particularly over Taiwan.
- 10:46Speaker 2: Japan has a highly capable military obviously the US does
- 10:50Speaker 2: two and the closer that we can all work together
- 10:54Speaker 2: in terms of integrating our capabilities, training together, doing exercises together,
- 11:00Speaker 2: and integrating our defense industries so that they work more seamlessly.
- 11:05Speaker 3: That is going to serve us well in that.
- 11:08Speaker 2: Longer term challenge to respond to China's massive military growth
- 11:16Speaker 2: and its desire to be the dominant power in the
- 11:19Speaker 2: Indo Pacific.
- 11:31Speaker 1: Ben Packham is the Australian's Foreign Affairs and Defense correspondent.
- 11:34Speaker 1: You can read all his reporting and analysis of the
- 11:37Speaker 1: future of the Australian Defense Force at the Australian dot
- 11:40Speaker 1: com dot au