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Episode 296 - 6/10/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 296 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
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Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
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guys, as we roll through the early portion of our week.
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And once again, it's going to be a big Major League Baseball day.
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Huge slate today, guys, 15 games overall.
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We would have to wait another day until the NBA Finals.
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I did notice for tomorrow night, we do have the Thunder around
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A5, 5 1/2 point favorite. They did take up a little bit -5
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up to 5 1/2. We did see that total kind of
1:01
tick up a bit 227 1/2 up to two 28228 1/2.
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And then also we got to wait a couple days here for the next
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NHL Stanley Cup Final game, which I'm kicking myself because
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I was leaning Florida last night over thought it paralysis by
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analysis and of course the Florida Panthers role.
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So if anyone who played that one, Congrats if you did have
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Florida because they did have that line moving.
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They're like -135 up to around -140 - 145.
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But also, if you were leaning under 6 1/2, wow, late, late
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goal at the very end by Florida to win 6 to 1, that was a
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Backbreaker bad beat. If you did have the under there
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or I guess if you had the over, hey, that was a great hit for
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you late. But remember, anytime you have a
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bad beat, someone out there has a great, great backdoor cover
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win and vice versa. So again, what goes around comes
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around. But a couple days here until
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until our next playoff games in both the NBA and the NHL.
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Now looking toward today, guys that do have a four pack of
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sweats for you that surprise you?
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No, we've been grinding 3 plays. The reason why I picked 3 plays
2:02
is 1. You know, let's not overexert
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ourselves. Let's not make too many bets
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because the more bets you make, yeah, you could win them all and
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have a great day, but also you could lose them all or struggle
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and have the juice basically chip away at your winnings.
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And anytime you got three, it's always, hey, you win 1, you lose
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one. That last one, you can still
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have a winning day. But I did see 3 plays here on
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some short favorites after the dogs.
2:25
We'll get to them in a second. They let us down all yellow
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style in particular, two teams that I'm like exactly one team
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I'm disgusted by, but three pack of MLB money lines.
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And then I do have a total for you.
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There's a game where I thought we had a pretty good number
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because it was kind of going back and forth, 99 and a half,
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9/9 and 1/2 with a couple teams here.
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Hopefully can put up some runs tonight.
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So 4 pack overall. We could try to get maybe three
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of these. That would be a fantastic night.
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Now looking back toward last night again, I've been grinding
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favorites all year having pretty good success.
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Maybe it's slowed down a little bit cuz dogs been barking quite
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a bit since May 1st and I said you know what dogs are barking.
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We got three dogs with good sharp mush edges with good line
3:07
moves and what do you know all three lose.
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So that's why baseball is one of the most frustrating sports to
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bet on. I'll give you a couple examples.
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One was the Brewers just didn't even show up.
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They actually were up 1 nothing. Then they got rolled and they
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lost seven O 1. But the Cubs let me down because
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they actually took a lead in extra innings and Pete Crow
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Armstrong hit a double and all they had to do was nail it down
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to win the game. And then what happens?
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They blow it and lose an extra innings the very next half
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inning. But the one that really hurt was
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the Mariners because the Mariners were down 4 nothing in
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the 9th inning. I'm like, OK, there's a loss
3:40
there. They stormed back a lot of runs
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with two outs to tie it up 4:00 to 4:00 to go to extra innings
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only to get walked off against on a Grand Slam by Josh Naylor.
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So Mariners, Cubs, both extra in games, both losses.
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Hey, that's brutal. You'd expect at least one of
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those to go our way and then a no show by the Brew Crew.
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So either way, guys, beating some closing lines.
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Couple sharp bets here didn't come through.
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But it's just ironic. You know, you see these dogs
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cashing and then when you're mostly a favorite better and you
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jump on the dogs, they all lose for you.
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So I guess that's that's betting.
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What are you going to do? But anyway, guys looking for a
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bounce back night 4 pack overall.
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Let's not waste any more time. Dive right into our sweats and
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hopefully have a winning bounce back day for today.
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So first game on the board for me.
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Let's go to a 6:40 PM Eastern Time.
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First pitch in Pittsburgh where the Pirates are hosting the
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Miami Marlins, setting the stage for this one.
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The Pirates are 27 and 40 on the year, but had a big win last
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night 2:50, easily cashing as a -, 125 home favorite for the
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rematch tonight. We have the Marlins going with
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or 24 and 40 on the year with their record, but they're going
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to go with the ready Sandy Alcantara.
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Remember, he used to be amazing, not so great this year after
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Tommy John coming back from injury.
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Two and seven, 7.89 ERA. Meanwhile, the Buckos are going
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to go with the fellow ready Mitch Keller, one and eight
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record gross with a 4.13 ERA. It's been pretty competitive.
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What do we see across the market here when we open this game?
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Pittsburgh around a -, 135 home favorite with the Miami Marlins
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are on the plus. 1/15 Rd. Dog.
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What are we seeing across the board here?
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Well, nothing but steam on the Pirates.
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I'm going Buckos tonight. Let's go, Pirates, guys.
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Pirates have been moving up -135 up to -145.
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I think you can still get a -, 140 at BET MGM.
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That's the number that I jumped on.
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But again, some books as high as -145 even -150 aside from that
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line move in their favor, pretty good bet splits on the Pirates
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at DraftKings, 80% bets, nearly 85% dollars are on the buckos.
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And then at circa over 90% of money line bets and dollars are
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on Pittsburgh. So both DraftKings and circa
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pretty heavy. You know, one way pro and Joe
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bet split in favor of another Bucks victory at home.
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Do have some system matches here.
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One just generally speaking, non division favorite, lack of
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familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
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You also have a non division home favorite off a win, getting
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$0.05 of line movement or more in their direction.
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Those teams are 97 and 5265% with a 3% ROI.
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Now this total has been kind of bopping back and forth, 88 and a
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half, but a lot of books are down to 8.
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And that's notable because that would match as a correlative
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betting favorite low total. So the fair amount of expected
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runs scored more likely to come from quote UN quote, that better
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team was expected to win. Now if we dive into these
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pictures a little bit, Keller, again, he's one and eight.
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You can't help that, but you know, look at Paul Skeens, the
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guy's incredible and he's got a losing record as well.
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One and eight. Again, not great, but he's given
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up 3 earned runs or less and ten of his 13 starts this year.
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So he's kept them in these games.
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A lot of these losses are with his offense not doing anything.
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You know, Alcantara, again, he was unhittable.
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Cy Young few years ago, got hurt.
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Well, he has been getting lit up here this year.
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I hope that continues tonight. He's given up 4 earned runs or
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more and eight of his 12 starts this season.
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And by the way, on the road, he's O and four with a 12.81
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ERA. So again, he's been really
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struggling overall, but especially on the road.
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They're on the road tonight with the Marlins.
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Now, Pittsburgh has played pretty well as of late.
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They've gone six and four. Their last 10.
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They're hitting 251 over that time span, 2.86 team ERA.
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And their last 10 games for the Marlins, 2 and 8, they're only
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hitting 2:28 with an ERA of 4.19 home Rd. splits.
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You know, Pittsburgh is 18 and 18 at home.
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I mean, they're 500 home team. They're obviously terrible on
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the road, but they're at home tonight.
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And Miami, by the way, 10 and 20 on the road.
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That's the fifth worst Rd. record in Major League Baseball.
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Then a little cherry on top here, popped open the juicer
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lap, 8% sharp mush edge in favor of the Pirates.
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So we got a good steam move. Hopefully an advantage here in
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favor of Keller against Alcantara.
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Couple system matches correlative betting favorite low
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total. I'm going to bank on hopefully
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Miami racking up another Rd. loss.
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Let's go pirates keep the good vibes going.
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I got Pittsburgh -140 at bet MGM next one for you 7:10 PM Eastern
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Time first pitch not far from where I'm at.
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Let's check out a Fenway Park matchup tonight Tampa Bay at
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Boston Now this one if you watched last night, I was I
8:19
didn't have any action on it, but I do have the Red Sox over
8:21
win total, which I must say isn't looking great though so
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far over 85 1/2. But who knows you know maybe
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they'll get hot a lot of time left did actually call Brom and
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Anthony who was the number one prospect in baseball.
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People are really excited about that around me in New England.
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But anyway, it was a crazy game. You did see Tampa Bay win
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yesterday and went into extras back and forth.
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It was pretty entertaining. They won 7:50 as around a kind
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of like a pick em play or a - 1 O 5 Rd. dog.
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So for tonight, 7:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, we have Tampa
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Bay going with Ryan Pepio. He's three and five with a 3.2 O
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ERA. The Red Sox are going with Lucas
8:58
Giolito one and one 6.42 ERA. Now, what do we see across the
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market here? Well, in terms of the money
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line, you know, it's basically a pick em type game.
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You do have the Red Sox going to -110 -, 115 at some shops, but
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I'm looking at the total in this one, and I'm rooting for more
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runs. Give me the over 9 now.
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It's very important to get the over 9 because a lot of books
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are at 9 1/2 and coming back down to 9.
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So as always, shopping for the best price.
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You know, it's huge for money lines.
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But you know, if you lay a -, 120 or a - 125, you win the
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game. You still win the bet.
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But if I get a nine, you get a nine and a half, You know, you
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could win or push. I could lose or push.
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So it's very important here, especially with totals.
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And once we get back to football, again, key numbers are
9:43
massive. But anyway, in this spot, we
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open the total at 9 and it was 9 / -, 120.
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So juice to the over. It got up to 9 1/2 throughout
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the day. A lot of books have come back
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down to 9, but they're still juicing up the over.
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So it's either stayed the same or risen off the opening price.
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That tells me liability here is on the over.
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Now if you look at DraftKings really good bet split to the
10:04
over 63% of bets, but 83% of dollars on this over.
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So kind of tells me public is leaning over.
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But you also have some heavy smart money at DraftKings going
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over with that low bets higher dollars bet split.
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The weather isn't like crazy great for an over.
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It's not, you know, 90° perfect weather wind blowing out, but it
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is mid 60s winds are kind of swirling looks like they might
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open blowing in, but they're kind of swirling where it may
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start to be blowing out around 5 mph later in the game.
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So maybe get some good some good pushes where you get some balls
10:35
to hit the monster, go over the monster or maybe get pushed out
10:39
over the bullpen and right. But aside from that, if you look
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at just this head to head matchup, Red Sox and Rays have
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played four games the overs 3 and 1.
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Pepeo did face Boston earlier this year is back in mid-april.
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He went six innings but gave up six runs in a seven to four
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loss. G Alito again, the guy's been
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terrible 10.47 ERA at home. So he's getting lit up,
11:03
especially at home. And then if you look at these
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two offenses, runs per game, Boston is averaging 4.9, seven
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runs per game. That's actually fifth most in
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baseball. Tampa Bay is averaging 4.5 runs
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per game, that's 11th. So both are kind of, you know,
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top ten, top 11 and run scored. Red Sox are also hitting 262 at
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home. That's 7th best.
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They've scored 181 runs at home. That's third best.
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I did notice our friends at Rhythm, I was looking at just
11:29
figuring, hey, what does Rhythm have predicted for this total?
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Well, they actually have a predicted over as well close to
11:35
10 runs in this game. So I always take it when rhythm
11:37
is kind of leaning in the same direction.
11:39
We are also mentioned the Red Sox defense terrible.
11:42
You're due for probably at least one or two Little League
11:44
blunders each game. But if you add it all up here,
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guys total open 9. It's either stayed the same or
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risen juice liability over bet splits to the over 2 pitchers
11:54
who again hopefully will give up some runs and again, two teams
11:58
that are pretty good at scoring runs as well.
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So again, shop around, there's a lot of nines that are juiced up
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really high to the over. There are some 9 1/2's out
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there. I found at DraftKings over 9 -,
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113. That was the lowest juice that I
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found. So that's what I'm doing over
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nine runs -113 at DraftKings. Let's get some runs.
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Tampa Bay and Boston tonight. Next bet for you, 7:45 PM
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Eastern Time, first pitch, let's go to an interleague matchup.
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Toronto Blue Jays at the Saint Louis Cardinals going in this
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one. We have the Blue Jays 36 and 30.
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They won last night's interleague series opener 5 to 4
12:33
in extra innings cashed as a plus one O 5 Rd. dog.
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Thank God I didn't have Saint Louis because when you know what
12:38
Ryan Helsley Hellboy or maybe that was Jeremy Hellickson.
12:42
I'm dating myself. But the guy throws 1,000,000
12:44
miles an hour but blew blew the save last night.
12:46
So brutal. But anyway, Blue Jays in the
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match up rematch tonight. They're going to go with the
12:51
ready Chris Bassett. He is 6 and three with a 3.56
12:55
ERA this year. Cardinals same record, 36 and
12:58
30. They're going to go to the ready
13:00
veteran Miles Michaelis, four and two, 3.96 ERA.
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So what do you see across the market here?
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Well, this game open Toronto around a -, 120 Rd. favorite.
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Saint Louis around a + 105 home dog and the public doesn't know
13:12
where to go. Again, Toronto won last night,
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both teams same record. So it's 5050 down the middle at
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DraftKings and what do we always talk about?
13:20
5050 line theoretically in a vacuum shouldn't move at all.
13:24
You would assume the odds makers have no reason to move it up or
13:27
down because the action is even. So when you have a 5050 bet
13:30
split, and again, this is raw tickets, not money, you wouldn't
13:34
again not expect a line move. But if you see a line move in a
13:37
5050 split, that's meaningful to me.
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It tells me that even though the tickets are even, smart money is
13:42
taking a position. It looks like it's pretty clear
13:44
here it's taking the position on Saint Louis because the
13:48
Cardinals who opened as a dog getting plus one O 5 have now
13:51
flipped to a -, 115 home favorite.
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So what do we see there? Woo woo, 5050 line move, dog to
13:58
fave line move tells me a lot of big money pouring in here on
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Saint Louis at DraftKings, only 50% of money line bets, but 69%
14:07
of money line dollars around the Cardinals.
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And then at circa very notable bet split here, only 38% bets,
14:13
but 90% dollars coming in on Saint Louis.
14:16
So a lot of wise guy money out in the desert leaning toward the
14:19
Cardinals as well. We have inter league favorite,
14:22
lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the better team
14:24
who's expected to win, but then also home favorites getting line
14:28
movement in their favorite in the second game of a series
14:30
after they lost the first one. They're 33 and 2062 percent, 3%
14:35
ROI this year, in particular, the Cardinals in this spot, 13
14:39
and 572 percent, 37% ROI when they're at home getting at least
14:44
$0.05 of line movement in their direction.
14:46
And then Saint Louis is also 10 and 567 percent, 26% ROI at home
14:52
following a loss. So kind of these the situational
14:55
spot for Saint Louis, they've typically done well in.
14:58
Also, if you look at Chris Bassett, he's been really good
15:01
at home 5 and O 2.48 ERA, but on the road 1 and 3 ERA of 4.86.
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Meanwhile, Michaelis, he's given up two earned runs or less in
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six of his last nine starts. And you also have Michaelis with
15:17
the Cardinals 7 and O. So the Cardinals are 7 and O.
15:20
They've won seven straight starts made by Michaelis.
15:22
St. Louis doesn't hurt.
15:23
They're 22 and 12 at home this year.
15:25
That's the 7th best home team in baseball.
15:27
Toronto, they won last night, but they're still just 14 and 17
15:30
on the road. And then lastly, pop open Juice
15:33
Reel, 30% sharp mush edge in favor of Saint Louis.
15:38
So dog to fave line move, 5050 line move, situational angle at
15:43
home with a line move as well as a favorite off a loss or yeah,
15:46
what was that home off a loss that all those are all matching
15:50
up with Saint Louis as well as a 30% sharp mush.
15:53
And so I'm going Cardinals, let's go.
15:55
Saint Louis, you got them at -115 Last bed of the night,
16:00
Seattle Mariners, Arizona Diamondbacks.
16:02
I'm going right back to the scene of the crime after the
16:05
Mariners gave me a thought or a chance we could come back only
16:09
to blow it about an inning later.
16:12
So for this one here tonight, we have the Mariners who are coming
16:15
into this game with the record of, let me find it for you, 33
16:20
and 32. They're going to start the ready
16:22
Logan Evans. He's three and one 2.83 ERA.
16:26
He'll be opposed by the ready Brandon Fodd, who's seven and
16:30
four with a 5.51 ERA. Now, what do we see across the
16:33
market here? Will this game open up basically
16:35
a pick em -110. Both sides did see one shot by
16:38
believe was Seattle slightly favored -115 but we saw kind of
16:41
a pitching change here. No one was scratched or
16:44
anything. But originally you're supposed
16:46
to have Brian Wu, the righty start for Seattle, who's been
16:49
good this year, five and three, three-point O 7 ERA.
16:52
But he was pushed back. And the Mariners brought up a
16:56
guy from AAA who we mentioned a second ago, Logan Evans.
17:01
And as soon as basically Wu was removed and Logan Evans was
17:05
inserted as a starter, all movement hammered Arizona.
17:09
Arizona got bet up around -110 up to now -130 I jumped on
17:15
Arizona -125 a little bit earlier at Bet MGM, but that was
17:19
notable to me because anytime you have a pitching change, you
17:22
would assume they're just going to fade whoever's in there
17:24
because they weren't expected to be in there.
17:25
But whether it's a call up or a guy making his debut, you know,
17:29
it's always notable to me. Let's just see how the market
17:31
reacts. Let's see what the sharps do.
17:34
And as soon as Evans was inserted over Woo, that's when
17:38
you saw that big steam hit Arizona, get them jacked up -110
17:42
up to -130 I really like the bet split at Circa.
17:45
Only 17% of money line bets are on Arizona, but they're getting
17:49
38% of money line dollars. And maybe the reason there is
17:52
Brandon Fodd again. He's got a high ERA, but really
17:54
it's kind of skewed because his last time out, I think he didn't
17:57
get a single out like 0.0 innings pitched.
18:00
I believe it was against, I think Atlanta and gave up like
18:03
eight runs. So one bad start can balloon
18:05
your ERA. And you know, what does the
18:07
public remember? Oh, he just got lit up his last
18:09
start, but it's a little to me that even though he got lit up
18:12
his last start, he has been decent at home.
18:14
He's four and two with a 4.15 ERA.
18:17
He's three and two with a 6.69 ERA on the road.
18:21
You do have some advantages here for Arizona.
18:23
The interleague favorite, lack of familiarity, benefiting quote
18:26
UN quote, the better team, but then also non division home
18:29
favorite off a win, $0.05 of line movement or more.
18:32
Remember that system matched with who was it?
18:35
It was, I think about Pittsburgh earlier in the pod, but that is
18:39
a 65% system of the 3% ROI. I'm going to bank on Arizona's
18:43
bats to get to Evans. Maybe that's the angle that the
18:46
sharps like you bring up a guy from AAA, Hopefully he gets his
18:49
his face ripped off again. Maybe he's a great guy.
18:51
I hope you have a great career, Evans, But not tonight.
18:54
Arizona's hitting 252 on the year, 93 homers, 331 runs
18:59
scored. Seattle's only hitting 240 with
19:01
84 homers and 286 runs scored. Timing backs, by the way,
19:06
hitting 257 against righties this year.
19:08
That's the fifth best in baseball.
19:10
Mariners are only hitting 239 this year against righties that
19:13
ranks 22nd. So we have again basically a
19:17
pick em game pitching change for Seattle line got steam toward
19:21
Arizona. Good bet splits as well as good
19:25
system matches and hopefully the offense here of Arizona can keep
19:28
it rolling and fod, can you pitch a gem tonight?
19:31
Can you at least keep a give me a quality start, But I'm going
19:34
to take a shot in Arizona here. I got a -, 125 and I think we
19:37
have a good luck charm. We'll be sitting somewhere in
19:39
the stands tonight. Our buddy da Rouche, my guy, big
19:42
podcast pro batter who will be at the game and and cheering
19:46
like hell for the snakes for us. So let's go snakes.
19:50
So Pittsburgh, Saint Louis, Arizona and the Red Sox over 9.
19:53
See if we can get three of those.
19:54
That'll be a nice, nice night. So that being said, wrapping up
19:58
the pod here as always with a few thoughts.
20:00
Couple reminders First off as always.
20:03
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alerted as soon as it drops each day.
20:41
That's the best way to listen to it as soon as it comes out.
20:44
If you want to recommend the pod to a friend, colleague, family
20:47
member, someone else who's into data-driven betting or needs to
20:49
be introduced to data-driven betting, that would be much
20:52
appreciated as well. Next, if you enjoy this style of
20:57
betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting.
21:00
Again, we're making data-driven plays based on what the market
21:02
is telling us, not what our gut instinct or bias is telling us.
21:06
And if this style of betting has appealed to you, you see the
21:09
value in it, you want to learn more about it or you again, no
21:11
one someone else who could use some data-driven insights.
21:14
You know what I would love for you guys to do?
21:16
Go to Amazon.com, type in the everything guide to sports
21:19
betting. It's my baby, first book ever
21:21
wrote, very proud of it. But it's got everything I've
21:23
learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
21:26
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
21:28
action, how to go contrarian, how to place a bet in person or
21:32
online, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
21:34
It's great for brand new betters, especially then while
21:37
you're at it, while you're on Amazon.com, then I'd love for
21:40
you guys to type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
21:44
That's my new baby. The due date is August 12th.
21:46
Cannot wait. It's two months and two days
21:49
from today. I cannot believe it.
21:51
But I'd love for you guys to support the team, pre-order a
21:53
copy, make me happy, make my publisher happy, and who knows,
21:57
maybe I'll see you at a book signing somewhere before you
21:59
know it. Hint, hint.
22:00
Got some things lined up here, which I'm excited about.
22:04
But again, if you want to bring one or both of those books to
22:07
the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
22:08
Buy your beer or ginger ale. Or maybe I'll take a shot after
22:12
after the Mariners and Cubs both lost and extras for us last
22:15
night. But I appreciate you guys.
22:17
Seriously, if you've already bought, it means a lot to me.
22:20
Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
22:23
My two favorite sports betting apps because they're all about
22:25
just what we love, looking at data and information and really
22:28
applying AI artificial intelligent insights to our
22:32
advantage. So Rhythm great for their AI
22:33
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
22:37
Got WNBA locked and loaded in the Rhythm app right now.
22:40
NBA Finals game bets and player props, MLB props.
22:43
They have the power trends, which are brand new, which are
22:45
great. So again, download Rhythm and
22:48
start start playing around with it.
22:50
Then also download juice reel. Juice reel is another fantastic
22:54
app which has got so many great resources.
22:56
You know, rhythm is great because it's it gives you and it
22:58
lets you act like a pro looking at models and predictions.
23:01
And then juice reel is just like an all-encompassing app that'll
23:04
help you in a lot of ways. First off, you sync your sports
23:07
books to rhythm. As soon as you bet it at FanDuel
23:09
or DraftKings, it goes right to the app tracks your action.
23:13
You can get a running report card of your performance.
23:15
Learn more about yourself as a better learn your strengths and
23:17
weaknesses. It breaks it down by bet type,
23:20
by sport. It's got got a one thing I
23:23
always look at is like it has a calendar and each day is a
23:25
little box. Like I, I remember my grandma
23:28
when she had all her pills. She would have that little
23:30
plastic thing that said Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday,
23:32
Thursday, Friday, each day I had the pills.
23:34
This it kind of reminds me of it, but it gives you your
23:36
performance each day. So you can see like, oh, I got
23:39
some green, a lot of green boxes this week.
23:41
I'm doing well or oh, red, I'm struggling.
23:43
So it really keeps you honest. But then also if you want to
23:46
support the pod, I would love for you guys to sign up to get
23:49
the official all systems go Best bet picks exclusively from Juice
23:53
Reel cost $4.99 a week. Again, this pod is free so
23:58
hopefully you feel like I'm giving you a dollar's worth of
24:00
insights each day. If that's the case, please sign
24:02
up for those ASG Podcast best bets.
24:05
You can click the link that I put out when I tweet out the
24:07
pod. Usually do it about an hour
24:09
after that from at Josh under score insights on Twitter or you
24:13
can just download juice real go to buy sell bottom right corner
24:17
search ASG under score podcast boom start following them right
24:21
there. But then also you got the AI
24:23
backed best bet pics from Robo Jackson the sharp mush
24:26
indicators the arbitrage plays the shop for the best line
24:29
futures and great game breakdowns with actual bets and
24:32
dollars on each side based upon who has downloaded the app.
24:35
So download rhythm, download juice real, give him a five star
24:38
review while you're at it. Lastly, do you have a live odds
24:41
page? You need a live odds page.
24:45
Here's a PSA. You got to have a live odds
24:47
page. If you're not betting with a
24:48
live odds page, I don't know what you're doing because it's
24:50
very difficult to win without one because First off, you're
24:53
flying blind. You got to know what the line
24:55
opened at for every game, what it is right now, how it moved
24:58
shop for the best price. Like that Red Sox Tampa Bay
25:01
game. There's nine and a halfs out
25:02
there. But with the odds logic live
25:04
odds page, I found a nine with the best juice price.
25:07
You can also set up your notifications.
25:10
You can get the steam indicators.
25:12
They light up in red as soon as the lines getting steamed.
25:15
There's so many great features of odds logic and I would love
25:17
for you guys to test it out for yourself.
25:19
Don't just take my word for it first.
25:21
I hope you know anything I talked about an app or you know
25:24
anything betting related. Hope you know that I'm not just
25:26
showing for it. It's because I believe in it.
25:28
I only partner with things that I believe in and I myself use.
25:32
But it's a great live odds odds page, crisp and clean.
25:34
And if you want to give it a shot, you got to use this
25:36
special link, odds logic.com/josh 123.
25:42
That'll give you 7 day free trial and then 50% off your
25:44
first month of service. So that about does it today
25:47
guys. As always, final thoughts here,
25:49
whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
25:52
Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods or Mohegan
25:55
Sundown in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
25:58
Park Casino or MGM Springfield or of course, the Nash and
26:01
National New Hampshire close to me.
26:03
We're out in the desert where the true grinders get down,
26:05
where Billy Walter sends his number runners, where the lowest
26:07
juice possible is found at the South Point or sweat and sharp
26:10
can train plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
26:12
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
26:15
to me. You're going to show me a
26:17
Mariners and a Cubs ticket. Brewers, you just suck so bad.
26:19
I don't even care. But Mariners and Cubs,
26:21
especially the Mariners, we're just going to laugh, take a shot
26:25
and RIP those tickets up, recycle them and get right back
26:28
at it here for tonight guys and sweat some games together.
26:31
So as always, O and three, three and O, we've been on both sides
26:34
of that one, one and two, two and one again, whether you're
26:37
hot, cold, a terrible night like last night, a great night,
26:40
somewhere in the middle. We're always grinding, never
26:43
getting too high or too low. When we're when we're hot, we're
26:45
never as good as we think. When we're cold and things don't
26:47
go our way and we go O and three, we're never as bad as we
26:50
think. But here's the thing, we got to
26:51
stick to the model, stick to the blueprint, regardless of recent
26:54
performance because you can, you always want to kind of see the
26:57
forest amongst the trees. You can all be always get bogged
27:00
down in the daily grind of bedding.
27:02
We really just got to stick with the model and the blueprint and
27:05
and really be disciplined with our bankroll and stay to the
27:07
stay true to the model long term.
27:09
And you guys might know it by now, but the model goes a little
27:12
bit like this against the public with the house, with the pros,
27:15
flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
27:18
If we can do that long term, I'm confident we're going to be
27:21
successful sports bettors. So have a great Tuesday
27:24
everybody. Let's get some runs at Fenway,
27:27
let's get some some of these favorites to come through.
27:29
And regardless, we'll be right back at it tomorrow for episode
27:33
297 on a big Wednesday hump day edition of the All Systems Go
27:37
sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
27:39
Good luck everybody and have a great Tuesday night.