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Tuesday MLB + WNBA Bets 7/8/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: brons haack. Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: who even knows?
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: even know what day it is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have with you, as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: Month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: towed back with you for better off dead Tuesday whatever?
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: July eighth, is that what day it is? Obviously I
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: have to ask every time, because that's my thing. Now, Yesterday,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: the slump certainly continued. I with an oh and two
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: day Yesterday made me look like a total idiot. The
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: under did not get there with Dodgers Milwaukee, however, it
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: was a nine to one Milwaukee winym Moto didn't even
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: get past the first inning. There was a lot to
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: that game, man, that I think just went way way
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: haywire early in that game, and you had terrible fielding
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: by the Dodgers. I think there were at least two
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: unearned runs that came home in the first inning. So
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden it becomes a five run first inning,
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: and the over under is already done. It's already over
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: at that point, and from that point on. Only five
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: more runs are scored in the entire game, so if
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: you take the first inning out of it, it probably
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: would have gone under basically, and Freddy Peralta basically he
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: shut out the Dodgers for the entire time he was
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: in there.
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: They only scored one run.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: As that part of the handicap continued, Dodgers being just
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: terrible offensively right now that continued. I still don't really
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: think I handicapped that game wrong, man. It was just
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: a bad sequence of events in the first inning and
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: it just ended the whole thing terrible. And then Texas
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: and Anaheim I got more wrong than.
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: That, is, both starting pitchers struggled.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: In that game. It still looked like it was kind
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: of there for a little while. We got into like
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: the fifth inning, and it was still I think right
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: there on the on the not I think it was
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: right on the seven. At that point it was four
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: to three. It's like, let's just have the bullpens just
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: save this for us. But of course you can't ask
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's bullpen to do anything for you, though, so that
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: wound up being a loss. I apologize man own to yesterday,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: as I do clarify on the show I'm not betting
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: any of these right now because I'm trying to remain
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: risk tolerant. But I am giving out plays that I
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: think are the best of the day that I would
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: be betting if I was still betting, which I have
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: been doing for a long time now.
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: Andrew, good morning to you as well.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: Yes, sir, man, So this is, yeah, the anniversary of
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: the passing of Andrew's mother, which sucks. Yes, man, Yeah,
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: I don't really know what else is say man, But oh,
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: she wouldn't like me.
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, Maybe she maybe she would.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know her, But I mean,
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: you like me for some reason. Yes, I am a
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: super offensive and people think that I'm a terrible person
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: because of it, but I'm not really so I don't know, man,
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: It's a it's a mixed bag. But shout out to
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: your your mom. Man, All right, wnba, here we got.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be recommending a plan either. Is I
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: only have one play for the entire board today. It
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: is a baseball full game money line side, which I
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: will get to. It's not gonna take me that long
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: to get to it either. So just to make you
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: aware of that, but WNBA, we'd start by talking about
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: these two games. Here, we do have Chicago at Washington.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: Washington's up from four and a half to seven, seventy
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: five percent of tickets, only seventy one percent of the cash,
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: So Washington they're public. I mean, Chicago's not a very
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: good team. It looks like because the public is actually
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: kind of going against Washington here. It looks like maybe
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: there's an injury and this game is actually for some
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: reason at eleven thirty in the morning Eastern, so we
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: get this random early game in the WNBA here, there
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: must be some injuries on.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: The Chicago side.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: I would guess it looks like, yeah, Cardozo is out,
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: and we already knew vander Slute was out. She's out
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: for the rest of the season, so that's not gonna
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: have an impact on the line right now. But Cardoso
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: being out I think is probably the reason why the
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: line moved more towards Washington. I think for that reason,
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: maybe looking towards Chicago is maybe the lean in this game,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: because it is that injured player spot for Chicago now
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: where they might step it up for their injured player there,
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: step up their effort that first game without Cardos, So
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: if that is our first game out, I'm not even sure.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: Washington is returning over from a road trip, which, as
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: I always point out in other sports, isn't really the
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: greatest spot to be in because you do have to
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: kind of get back to home life and whatever. They
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: did come off two straight losses though, so I don't know.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, again, to me, it looks like maybe a
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: slight lean to Chicago. Chicago is coming off a close
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: loss to Minnesota though, so both teams did just loose
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: to Minnesota, but Chicago actually played them really close. Minnesota
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: very good team, so Chicago could be in a little
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: bit of a hangover spot, and they're playing a fourth
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: straight road game, so I don't really love this for
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: Chicago either. Let me just see, I think Cardoso actually
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: didn't play in this game either. It looks like so
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: I think that's not really They're not going to really
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: be in an injured player theory spot in this game
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: because it's not gonna be the first game.
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: Without her, so it's a stay away for sure.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: And then the Aces are at the Liberty here and
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: the Aces just stomped Connecticut, which I mean everybody does.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: Connecticut's a dorm at in the WNBA right now, Vegas
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: having these really crazy disparate results where they got absolutely
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: crushed by Indiana without Caitlin Clark, then bounce back with
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: an easy win over Connecticut. Now they're playing a fourth
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: straight road game, although at least the travel is short
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: from Mohegan Sun over to New York City here. But
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, the aces are very
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: difficult to predict right now.
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: They just yeah, I don't know what else to say
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: about it.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: Sometimes they have bad deepfense, sometimes they have bad rebounding.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: The Liberty are certainly the better of these two teams here,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: but the Liberty haven't been playing their best basketball recently,
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: and they have lost a bunch of recent games. Have
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: lost five of their last seven games, including a loss
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: last time out on this floor to Seattle. So in
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: one way, maybe they're gonna want to bounce back from this,
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: and it might be a little bit more of a
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: difficult spot for Vegas because they are playing another road
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: game in a row here. Liberty are the better team
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: and they are up from five to six here, so
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: probably that would.
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: Be the way to lean here the Liberty.
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: But I'm laughing at you, Scott, thank you, thank you
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: for thank you for hanging out.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: Man. Good morning as well.
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: I'm totally out of it, man, I've not showered, I'm
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: wearing the clothes that I slept and you know it's
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: all good.
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna filate today.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: Yes, sir, I don't know what the trophy means, but
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir.
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: You're the king man, not me. All right. Yeah, so
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: those are the leads a WNBA.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: Nobody really cares, but I do think again, w NBA
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: is a way to make some money.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: I'm just being kind of sparing with the WNBA plays
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: that I give out on the show. But I have
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: been winning overall in the WNBA this year, so there
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: is that at least.
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: Major League Baseball, Man, Baseball, Because it's a Tuesday.
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: Everything is in the evening.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Still, we have Mets Baltimore's the earliest game up, and
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: these teams were both off yesterday. Baltimore was returning home
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. And you know, I always say
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: teams that were turn home from road trips, especially when
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: Baltimore just swept Atlanta, could be a little bit of
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for them when you return home. Man,
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: and especially teams that aren't that good like Baltimore, and
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: they return home from a road trip a lot of
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: times they can be a little bit distracted having to
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: get back to family life. But they are facing the Mets,
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: so this is a good team that they're playing, so
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: maybe they won't be totally unfocused against the Mets. The
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: Mets are coming off an even bigger series though. I mean,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: the Mets are coming off the series against the Yankees.
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: That's a huge series, and they lost their newfound win
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: streak in the last game against the Yankees. They're now
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip, but usually is a focused spot
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: when you're coming off a series against the Yankees, man,
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: and you're stepping down in class to face Baltimore. I
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: don't really necessarily know if the Mets are really going
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: to be that focused, man, because that Yankee series is
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: a lot bigger than the Baltimore series. But the Mets,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: then again, I mean, they've been struggling so much recently
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: they probably do want to show up and play better.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: Clay Holmes is pitching for the Mets today. He does
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: have good numbers two point nine to ninety RA one
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: point two four, whip a little bit high though, and
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: I still don't really trust Holmes. He's been pretty good
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: on the road two point seven to ninety RA. But
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: if you look at what he's done recently, man, I
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: mean it doesn't look good to me. His last three starts,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: he's had at least four walks a piece in all
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: of them.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, that looks terrible to me.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: He has fourteen walks over the last three starts compared
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: to only eight strikeouts. I mean that ratio is totally unsustainable.
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: It's terrible. So Holmes right now is just walking so
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: many guys that it's crazy that he's not giving up
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: more runs. You put guys on base, obviously, Uh, damage
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: is going to be done against you. Man, even if
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: you are Clay Holmes, you're reducing a lot of ground
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: balls whatever.
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: Like, I don't see how this can continue.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, he only gave up two to one and
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: three earned runs in those three starts. But again, you're
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: skating on thin ice every time you walk that many guys.
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: So I think Holmes is not in good form right now.
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: He's not pitching well right now. He does have good
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: numbers against Baltimore, though, in forty seven at bats sixteen
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: to three strike a walk ratio, two thirteen average allowed,
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: five p thirty seven ops. So maybe Holmes will benefit
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: from the match up here. And Baltimore is sending Brandon
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: Young to the mound, and he's a complete wildcard, very
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: difficult to predict. He is a talented young pitcher's kind
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: of had a delayed uh like start to the major
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: to his major league career due to some injuries. I
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: believe he has a seven point oh two ERA and
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: one point nine to eight WHIP this year, which obviously
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: those numbers are pretty bad. Seven point eight to eighty
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: R at home. He's only made four starts so far
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: this season O Baltimore's lost each of the last three.
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: He hasn't gone more than four and two thirds innings
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: in any of them. Strikeout walk ratio is not good,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: to eleven walks is terrible. The strikeout rad is okay,
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: but he's putting way too many guys on base man
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: and fifteen strikeouts in sixteen to two thirds is fine,
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: but eleven walks horrible.
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: So I don't really know that we could trust.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: Young, and last two times out he didn't do well
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: against Texas either time. Texas a pretty weak offense even
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: though Texas did benefit from having seen him the first time,
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: they got to face him again and knew what he
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: was gonna throw at them. But I just don't know
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: if we can really trust Brandon Young right now, even
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: though we do know that the Mets have never seen
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: him before. So sometimes that is an advantage to a
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: young pitcher that has good stuff, which I do think
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: Young does, so maybe a slight advantage there just because
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: the Mets haven't seen him. But the Mets are good offense, man,
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna be the best offense I think
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: that he's faced so far. So I'm I mean, this
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: is a complete stay away from me. There are way
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: too many conflicting factors.
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: In this game.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the Mets, it looks like
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: with eighty two percent, takes ninety one percent of the cash,
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: even though they dropped from minus one point thirty to
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: minus one to nineteen. So again it's difficult to read
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the market here too, because the money line moved against
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: where the cash percentage is. We do know the Mets
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: are gonna be public, but possibly the I mean, the
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: public's not always wrong, so possibly they will have that game, right.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: I probably would trust Homes even though he's been pitching
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: awful recently, just because of his matchup numbers, because it's
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: a return home spot for Baltimore slight lean to the Mets.
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: I guess a home I mean, young, you don't know
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: what you're gonna get out of him, so probably you're
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: gonna trust Homes a little bit more.
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: Two acre n D bear? What's up? Man? Is that
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: nefhlum death bear?
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I don't even know, man, I don't know what any
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: of these acronyms stand for anymore. Tampa Detroit, You guys,
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: I told you we weren't gonna have to wait that long.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: This is the one play I'm gonna give out today,
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: and it is the Tampa bay Rays money line. I
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: like Tampa in this game. And I mean, first of all,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: Detroit used more of their relief pitchers yesterday. Detroit had
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: a bullpen game yesterday, man, And I know a lot
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: of times in Major League Baseball a team actually does
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: well the game after they use a bullpen game. Detroit
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: is very used to being in the spot because they
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: used bullpen games a lot.
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: But I just don't love it, man.
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, you have two decent bullpens matching up here
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: in Tampa's is the more rested bullpen after yesterday with
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: Boz got them deeper into the game than I think.
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: Montero made the start for Detroit, so it wasn't really
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: a full bullpen game because Montero I think got through
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: about four innings for them or whatever. But Detroit had
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: to use more of their bullpen. Tampa saved more of theirs.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: It was a five to one loss for Tampa yesterday,
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: so none of the high leverage relief guys had to
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: come out of the bullpen for Tampa. So I think
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: it sets up nicely for Tampa's bullpen. And I'm looking
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: at these starting pitchers and I think there's only one
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: way to go here, man, and that is to look
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: for Ryan Pepio to outpitch Jack Flaherty here, especially based
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: on what they've done recently. Pepio, he keeps getting shit
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: on lot by professional betters that I listened to, man,
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: and I just I don't agree with them.
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: I don't really understand why.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: Yeah, he has some bad starts in there, but overall
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: he's pretty good three point three four ERA one point
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: one to five whip, especially given the fact that he's
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: had like multiple Tommy John surgeries, and his throwing elbow
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: looks like it has an ear growing off of it,
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: like he went to some mad scientists or something.
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: I like Pepio, though he's not that much worse on
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: the road.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: Three point eight six ERA good start last time out.
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: Gave up two runs against the A's nine strikeouts, three walks.
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Was a little bit high, But Pepio, I mean, you
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: kind of know what you're gonna get. Like he's consistently
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: walking like a couple of guys in every start. He's
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: getting high strikeout rates for the most part. He had
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: one really bad game in there against Baltimore. We didn't
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: even make it through the second inning. But if you
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: take that out, all the rest of his numbers are good. Man,
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: I had a three point seven to six ERA in June,
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: even if you include that one really bad start. All
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: the other starts he didn't alown more than three earned
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: runs in any them. He has an alum more than
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: two earned runs in any start except the one at
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: Fenway Park Fenway Park, excuse me, besides the Baltimore one,
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, and except for the Fenway Park when he's
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: allowed two or fewer earned runs at all starts going
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: all the way back to mid May. Basically, so Pepio
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: he is good. And the fact that he bounce back
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: from that awful Baltimore start shows me that that was
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: kind of a blip because he came back and he
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: struck out the a's at a high rate there. So
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: I think Pepio is not in bad form at all
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: right now. He's had really high strike out numbers in
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: all of the other games besides that Baltimore one recently,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: so he does have command of his pitches. Thirty six
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: to ten strike a walker issue in June is not
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: that bad, and that's even factoring in the fact that
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: he only had one strike out against Baltimore. So I
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: like how Pepio's pitching right now, and his numbers are
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: really good against Detroit and fifty five at bats eighteen
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: to eight strike a walker issues, so again, it's kind
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: of too many walks, although three of them are win
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: Seal Perez. I don't even know who that is, but
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: he's walked him three times. Overall, he's held Detroit to
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: a one to eighty two batting average and six oh
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: six ops, so very low batting average. A low ops
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: as well, So I like how this looks for Pepio
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: in this game. Man. I like the way he's been
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: pitching recently. I like the matchup, and I don't like
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: Jack Flaherty and his numbers are not very good this
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: year four point eight four ERA, one point two to
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: four whip. He's been better at home for sure, a
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: three point eight three ERA, but Pepio is road era.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: I think it's actually better than Flowerty's home he are in.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: And yes, I know we're fading Detroit, who is really
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: good at home. I understand that although Tampa's actually, I
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: believe not a bad road team. Uh yeah, they're twenty
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: one and seventeen on the road, so Tampa's above five
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: hundred on the road, as they don't really have that
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: much of a home advantage playing in Steinbrenner Field, Tigers
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: definitely have a big home advantage.
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: But I think they are beatable in this game. Man.
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: Flaherty has not really been pitching that well.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: He had two starts where he got absolutely drilled in
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: June against Cincinnati and against this Tampa team by the way,
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: so Tampa also just saw him and then he did
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: a little bit better. His last two times out against
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: the A's and Washington kind of stepping down in class.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: But he walked six guys over eleven innings, so that
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: doesn't bode well either. Even though I know he had
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: sixteen strikeouts in those two starts, which is good. His
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: strike out rate has been high, but his walk rate
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: has been way too high. And June he had a
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: twenty eight to sixteen strike out walk ratio, which is
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: very bad. High strike out rate again, but very high
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: walk rate six point eight four ERA, and he let
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: five home runs in that span, so it wasn't good.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: And yes, I'll give him maybe a little bit of
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: a pass for the Tampa game because that was at
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: Steinberger Field, which is a very good hitting park, but
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: he did not do well in that game. And that
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: does also mean that Tampa just saw Flarerty, so they're
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: very familiar with them and they beat them up the
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: last time I saw him, although yes, Pepio did just
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: see Detroit, which I believe.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: Was not the same game or was it. Let me see, No,
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: it was.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: A different one of the games, so these pitchers didn't
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: match up against each other. So yeah, both opposing offenses
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: to just see these starting pitchers. But I mean, these
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers have been around for a long time, so
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: they're not really mysterious to the opposing offenses. I just
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: think this is a matchup thing where Pepio just consistently
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: does well against Detroit and Flaherty has consistently done badly
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: against Tampa Bay. If you look at his numbers against Tampa,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: forty two at bats, three point thirty three average allowed,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: nine to sixty four ops, thirteen to six strike a
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is not that impressive either. The strikeout rate
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: is high again but a high walk rate. He has
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: just not been good against Tampa. So the matchup numbers
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: kind of dictate this one. I think that Pepio has
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: the upper hand of the matchup, and he's the pitcher
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: it's been pitching better. Money looks like it might be
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: coming in a Detroit a little bit sixty percent to
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: take it, sixty six percent in the cash, but they
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: are down from minus one thirty to minus one twenty six,
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: and they are the public side. When I looked earlier
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: this morning, they had less of the cash percentage. Action
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: Network has some strong market indicators on Tampa today, so
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: that's what I'm going with man, I like the matchup
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: for it. I like the bullpen situation for Tampa. I
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: think the offenses are somewhat comparable as well, So I
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: think Tampa can get this game. They're getting an underdog
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: price here. I think they have a slight matchup advantage here.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: So we're going with Tampa in that game. Man, Holy shit,
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: we got a lot of people in the chat here.
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: Thanks everybody for hanging out. Hintchy, what's up man, I'll
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: try to shut everybody out fishing. What's up man? Emily
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: is in here too, what's up, Emily?
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: Oh?
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you have blonde hair. I don't mind it. Actually,
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: it's not bad points for the Crown. I have no idea.
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know these. It seems like the whatever's in
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: the chat is like everything's going backwards here, man, So
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: I might I might miss some shout outs here, Lucas,
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: that is correct.
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: Sports will thank you, sir.
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: Lucas doesn't love me though, so I'm feeling not like
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: an asshole today, so I won't say anything mean right now.
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: Anyway.
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah, let's let's keep going here. Oh you got slept together?
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: Road chat? Whoa I missed out on all the all
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: the gay gayness that went on to bro Grove. Man,
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: you should have you should have had me come come
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: join you. All right, Oh Emily, you change your your picture?
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: Now come on, go back to the blonde? What or
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: was that? The Twitter one was the I don't even know, man,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: No it was YouTube, I don't know. All right, let's
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: get back to this baseball here. Seattle at Yankees, Yankees
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: returning over from a road trip. They only went to Toronto, though,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: and they were in New York the last time, so
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: is it really a return home spot?
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: Not really.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: I mean they were already back in New York City,
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: so they're already able to be back home like with
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: their families and whatever, So it's not really a return
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: home spot for the Yankees. They had lost five or
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: six games in a row, excuse me, and then finally
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: won against the Mets, so the Yankees did at least
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: break their losing streak there. Seattle is starting a road
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: trip here, and a lot of times you are folk
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: when you start a road trip. They are coming off
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: shutting out Pittsburgh for an entire series. But I mean
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: it's Pittsburgh, so it's not very impressive, and you probably
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: are going to be focused when you're facing the Yankees.
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: Logan Gilbert is pitching for.
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: Seattle three point four ERA point nine to five whip
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: nice numbers, but he's been significantly worse away from Seattle,
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: which a lot of Seattle pitchers just pitch way better
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: at home because it's a pitcher friendly park. He has
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: a six ERA on the road, which worries maybe though Gilbert,
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: he's coming back from injury. He was injured for like
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: two months, and he's been decent since he came back
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: from injury. I did have a twenty three to two
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio in June, although he had a five
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: point eight seven ERA, but the strikeout walk numbers tell
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: me that he was actually doing well.
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: He gave up a.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: Bunch of home runs, most of them at Wrigley Field,
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: which I think that kind of is a little bit
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: of an outlier. I think he is still pitching well
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: right now. He did not make it five innings last
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: time out against Kansas City, which is a little bit concerning.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: He walked three guys against that battle lineup, but he
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: only gave up one run. He struck out seven, So
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: I think Gilbert, I mean, he's still in decent form.
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: Here at least up against the.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: Yankees, though let me see, Yankees have a really good offense. Obviously,
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: his numbers are not great in fifty eight at bats
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: to seventy six average, seven to ninety four ops, seventeen
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: to five strike up walk ratio is pretty good, but
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: Gilbert only has like mediocre numbers against the Yankees, really,
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: and he's going up against Will Warren, who does not
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: have good numbers on the season five point oh two ERA,
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: one point four to two whip, although Warren is way
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: better at home, so the splits are very much in
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: favor of Warren against Gilbert here three point three to
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: five home. The RA hasn't been pitching well recently though,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: he got bombed in his last start against Toronto, although
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: he actually was doing okay prior to that. High strikeout
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: rate but high walk rate though two point eight sixty
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: RA and five starts in June. The Yankees won four
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: of those starts thirty four to eleven strike at walk ratio, though,
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: like I said, it's a lot of strikeouts but a
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: lot of walks, and last time out he had four
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: of each strikeouts and walks, which isn't that great. He
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: got blasted by Toronto for eight runs. So either that's
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: a blip or he's in bad form right now. Kind
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: of have to decide which is the case. He does
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: have good numbers in a very small thirteen at bats
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: sample size against Seattle, with five strikeouts, one walk, one
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: fifty four average four ninety seven ops. So overall, I
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: think the lean is to the Yankees in this one,
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: and the money seems to agree with it fairly strongly.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: They're up for minus one twenty to minus one thirty one,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the money on them the cash
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: and fifty seven percent it's on Seattle. Very weird to
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: see the public fading the Yankees. I mean, you don't
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: see that very often, and the money actually coming in.
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: On the Yankees. You still get a pretty cheap price.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: On the Yankees, given the fact that they're at home,
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: and I think it's because Warren Zra is terrible and
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: Gilbert's is good. Other than that, yeah, I mean slightly
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: into the Yankees. And of course the Yankees do have
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: the better offense, even though I do think Seattle has
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen, and I think the starting pitching matchup
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: does work out fairly well for.
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: The Yankees in this one. Calorad is good though, that's true.
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: Yes, and yeah, Toronto, Toronto is definitely hot right now, man,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, they haven't lost their win streak yet.
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: Right, Well, we'll get to Toronto shortly.
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: I guess Colorado at my Boston Red Sox the Red
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: Sox one yesterday, nine to three. Both teams used some
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers yesterday. I mean, Colorado's bullpen is obviously the
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: worst of the two. Colorado's offense is obviously the worst.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: Red Sox get to face one of the pitchers who's
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: not that bad in Colorado's rotation here, though Kyle Freeland
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: is not terrible. His numbers are bad though still five
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: point four ninety RRA, one point five to eight whip
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: that's not good. He has been better on the road though,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: four point five ERA, so he's at least serviceable on
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: the road. Over his last four starts, he's only allowed
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: more than three on runs once and only failed to
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: reach six innings once. That actually goes back guys last
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: five starts. It only happened once at Milwaukee. He got
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: beat up a little bit, but he's not pitching that horribly.
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: Although he doesn't strike a lot of guys out. He
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: does walk too many guys, So I guess just try
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: to figure out what you can from that a very
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: small fourteen at bat sample size against the Red Sox
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: for zero strike out walker ratio, and he's held them
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: to two fourteen average of five to seventy one ops.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: But maybe dial that back.
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: A little bit because Walker Buehler is in those stats
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: one for six with three strikeouts, so the numbers are
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit they're not quite as good as
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: they look given that, because obviously Bueller is a pitcher,
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: we should not include him in those stats. I wish
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: that ESPN would take the pictures out of these on
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: numbers man, because when it's a small sample size like this,
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: it really affects the numbers. But the Red Sox aren't
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: very familiar with Freelance, so you have to kind of
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: figure out is that going to be much of an
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: advantage to Freeland when he's not really that good. Red
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: Sox haven't seen him before. BeO is pitching for the
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: Red Sox three point four to two ERA, still a
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: way too high one point three to eight whip. He's
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: been worse at home three point six ERA, although I know,
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: his ERA is still not bad. Bao is just somehow
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: escaping man because he's an extreme ground ball pitcher, so
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: he walks way too many guys. His strikeout rates not
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: that good, but he just kind of gets away with
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: that man. And he hasn't allowed more than three or
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: runs going all the way back to mid May and
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: any stars, and he's been going deeper into starts. He's
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: gone at least five innings in every start going back
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: to the start of June, so he is actually pitching better.
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Twenty three to ten strike out walker showing June. Still
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: too many walks two point eight seven e RA definitely,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: I mean that's pretty good obviously. And then his one
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: start this month, five inning performance gave up two runs
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: against Cincinnati, so he is pitching okay. He's facing a
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: really weak Colorado offense and they're only one for ten
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: off in lifetime one hundred average, five hundred ops, two
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: strike ups, no walks, and Maniac does have a home
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: run off him. So Red Sox, I mean, obviously they're
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: gonna be a big favorite. I mean, Colorado is just
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: historically bad and the money has come in on the
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: Red Sox a little bit after minus two twenty five
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: to minus two forty ninety four percent tickets, ninety eight
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash.
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, I could see this being an under. To
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: be honest.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: You have eighty one percent of tickets eighty two percent
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over, but the total has
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: dropped significantly from nine and a half juice to the
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: over and to nine juice to the under. If you
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: do like the under, you gotta get it before it
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: drops below the nine man, because nine is a key
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: number in baseball. When you have a four to four tie,
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: that's what breaks the time. I know nine is a
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: high number. So the books are kind of telling you
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: that think this is gonna be a high scoring game,
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: but with a lot of unfamiliarity with these pitchers and
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: these pictures not being that bad and Colorado's offense really
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: being bad, and under might kind of makes sense maybe
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings as well, because maybe you
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: don't want to deal with the bullpens in this game.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't think it's a very strong lean whatsoever.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: All right, let me see, let me see, Yes, you
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: two will, thanks for hanging out. I don't think that's true, Lucas,
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: But all right, I will agree with you here. Yes,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: this is true, that's what happened. Actually, yeah, I just
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: wasn't feeling it, man, so I declined the offers from
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Lucas there. Miami at Cincinnati. Cincinnati is in a spot
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: where they returned home yesterday, and as I point out,
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: teams in return home spots tend to be at a disadvantage.
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: They tend to be distracted us. I know some of
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: those teams won yesterday. Cincinnati was not one of those teams.
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: But when a team does return home and they do
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: bad that first time, Cincinnati losing that first game to
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: Miami pretty embarrassing.
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: A lot of times, they'll do better, excuse me, better.
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: Than next time out that second game back at home.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: They're already kind of settled back in at home and
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: they'll refocus and play better in the second game. But
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: is Cincinnati gonna do that here? I don't know, because
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati they used more of their bullpen yesterday. I know
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: both bullpens are pretty bad, but I think Miami actually
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: has a little bit of a bullpen rest edge here.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: And you have to try to figure out Yuri Perez
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: from Miami here and met him. He's a very young pitcher,
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: he is still talented. He's been dealing with injuries that
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: have kind of derailed the start to his major league career.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: Has a four point five ERA this year, but at
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: one point one to eight whip is pretty good. He's
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: been bad on the road though, six point three to
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: five roadyr. And we are talking about Great American Ballpark here,
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: which is a hitter friendly ballpark. Perez wasn't pitching well
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: in his first four starts this year. He was kind
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: of just working his way through it, walking too many
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: guys whatever, didn't make it five innings in any of them.
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: But now, all of a sudden, his.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: Most recent start, six innings, shutout against Minnesota, which I
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: know they're not a good offense, but so six innings,
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: one hit aloud, seven strikeouts, one walk. So, all of
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: a sudden, Perez had an excellent start. And maybe that's
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: a sign that he is getting back to his old form.
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: Because when he was a really young pitcher in the league,
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: back when he was like twenty years old, he was
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: actually putting up really good numbers. He has the ability
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: to do so, and maybe it's coming back, man. So
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: maybe Perez is actually returning to form. Here his numbers
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: against Cincinnati are all over the place. It's a small
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: sixteen at bats ample size two fifty average allowed as low,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: but a one thousand and eighty one OPS means he
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: is giving up some hard hits and some walks. Three walks,
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: six strikeouts, two home runs to Stevenson an En carnassion Strand.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: I hate that name, but yeah, way too long of
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: a name.
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: Man, shorten it man. Let's just call him es anyway.
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah, So Juri Perez, though, I I would lean towards
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: him actually doing pretty well in this game. Though that
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: would be my feeling. I think he's just trending in
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: the right direction. Is sample size against Cincinnati is kind
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: of too small to really think that much about. Nick
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: Martinez is pitching for it the Reds. He's been okay.
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: Four point two ERA, one point one seven whip. He's
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: been better at home as well, three point four to
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: two ERA at home. He's pitching decent.
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: Recently.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: He had one really bad outing I think this one
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota, and then they actually send him to the bullpen.
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: He came out of the bullpen twice and then they
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: returned him to the starting rotation. He's had two starts
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: since then. And he's done pretty well with an eight
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: to two strike out walk ratio gun at least six
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: to two thirds in both starts. Struggled a little bit
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: more against the Red Sox, but still had a decent start.
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: Against them and got the win in that game.
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: He actually got the win in both starts since returning
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: from the bullpen, where a lot of times when you
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: send a guy to the bullpen, it kind of sends
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: a message I think can kind of get things right,
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: work with like some different pitching coaches work their way back.
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: So Martinez actually isn't pitching that bad either, and he
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: has good numbers against Miami and a forty one at
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: bat sample size eleven to two strike out walk ratio
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: two twenty average five hundred ops.
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: So what does that mean for this game? What do
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: we want to do with it?
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: As far as the market read, we see Cincinnati down
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: for minus one twenty five to one seventeen, but sixty
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: seven percent tickets ninety two percent of the cash coming
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: in on Cincinnati. Again, I do think it is a
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: good situational spot for Cincinnati, and they do at least
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: have the way better offense. But I think maybe an
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: under might be a way to look, or maybe go
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: under first five innings and just go with the starting
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup to be a good starting pitching matchup here.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: But the total is high at nine and we see
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent and take as ninety seven percent of
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: cash on the over.
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: Would totally agree with that, although once you talk about
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: the full game, you're getting into like some bad bulp
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: end pitching and whatever, so maybe you know, maybe the
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: over in the full game doesn't make sense, but I
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: think with those starting pitchers you might see some struggling
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: to score earlier on in the game. Fishing Cubert, whoever
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: you are, thanks for hanging out at least Man, Okay,
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: your slugging percentage is almost you're almost batting a thousand
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: with what is that gorilla women?
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: Basically all right, it's it's black women. I think.
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: Don't get me banned, man, do not get me banned
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: from this channel here? All right, Chicago and Minnesota Cubs.
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: I should specify at Minnesota here. Both these teams were
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: off yesterday as well. Minnesota is just staying at home.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Cubs are starting a road trip and they're coming off
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: blasting the Saint Louis Cardinals in two out of three games.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: So the Cubs coming off a divisional game, they might
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: be in for a little bit of a letdown spot here,
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: feeling a little bit high on themselves. Again, when teams
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: are coming off having a day off, obviously, it does
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: mean the bullpens are rested. So I tend to look
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: towards unders in games where the bullpens arresting. I don't
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: know if we want to do that here though, a
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: very high total. But Choteimna got pitching for the Cubs.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: I mean he is one of their best pitchers. Two
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: point seven to eighty RA one whip which is quite
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: good as well, and he's been really good on the
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: road with a point nine to eight roady Ira. He
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: has some really extreme home road splits. He's only made
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: two starts since coming back from injury, went five and
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: then five and a third inning. He's had a shutout
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: against Saint Louis his first time back. Gave up three
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: runs against Cleveland, which isn't that great. Some How we
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: give up three home runs and that was at Wrigley.
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: Must have been win blowing out. Imanagas had some issues
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: at home. I think with the home run ball this year,
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: and that was one of those games. But he didn't
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: give up any runs besides the home runs, and he
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: had four strikeouts, no walks, so it wasn't really that
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: bad of a start for Emanaga. So I think he's
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: just continuing where he left off. He's good, so I
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: wouldn't really have much of a problem if you wanted
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: to back e Monaga.
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: On some way in this game.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: Seventeen career at bats against Minnesota, five strikeouts, no walks.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: Royce Lewis does have a home run, but he sell
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: him to a one to eighteen average four to seventy
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: one ohps. So Imanaga has good numbers against a weak
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: Minnesota offense, and he is the way more talented pitcher
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: over Simeon Woods Richardson. I apologize to Woods Richardson here,
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: but that's just true. Four point four to one ERA
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: for him, a one point three to four whip. He's
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: in better at home though, three point eight to two
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: homey ram. He's pitched well his last two outings, going
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: five innings in each oil line one run over those
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: ten innings, and he did have a nine to three
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: strike at walk ratio, so he is starting to pitch
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit better. Actually, his last four starts have
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: all been fairly good, only allowing four earned runs across
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: the last four starts, So he's actually starting to pitch
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit better after he was kind of He
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: had a bad strike out walk ratio for a lot
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: of the year. Last year he was a pretty effective
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: pitcher though, so I was thinking, well, he's just not
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: that good.
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: Maybe the league is figuring him out.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: But over the last four starts, like I said, he
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: is actually pitching a little bit better. Up against the
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: Chicago Cubs, though, might be a different story because the
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: Cubs are good offense. They only have five at bats
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: against him, but they do have a four hundred average
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: one walk, no strikeouts, nine hundred ops, so Woods Richardson
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: it is possibly struggles here. My first reaction was, well,
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: I want to lead to the Cubs here because they
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: have the better starting pitcher, but the market is completely
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: against that. And I kind of understand that with the
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: fact that the Cubs they're maybe in a letdown spot
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: coming off that series against Saint Louis Man they have
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the ticket so the public is
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: all over the Cub here. Fifty four percent of the
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: cash on Minnesota, though, Cubs down for minus one forty
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: one twenty five, so strong market reads on Minnesota here. Yeah,
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: I mean the Cubs, Like I said, I mean I
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: would not want to do that. I mean, the Cubs
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: do still have a pitching advantage in this game that
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to really deal with, and I think
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: the Cubs have the better bullpend as well, and obviously
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: have the better offense, so that would worry me.
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: A little bit.
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: Although Minnesota is good at home, so at least there
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: is that they have a really bad losing record on
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: the season, but they have a winning record at home.
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: Cubs do have a winning road record, but Minnesota's home
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: record is better than that, so maybe professional money kind
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: of just thinking, well, Minnesota is better than the record indicates,
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: So maybe there's just value taking them as a home
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: underdog here, don't I don't particularly love the matchup though,
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: Dodgers in Milwaukee the game I got wrong yesterday, isn't
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: that great. We have an interesting pitching matchup in this one.
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: Dodgers use a lot of their bullpen yesterday. Man, the
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Dodgers' bullpen has been a mess recently in the offense
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: has been a mess that the Dodgers are just not
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: looking good right now. They are about to get Glass
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: Noo back though, so that's gonna help their starting pitching
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: rotation and maybe that'll help rescue their bullpen a little
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: bit because their bullpend they're overworked, they're not playing well.
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee's bullpen is actually better than the Dodgers' bullpen at
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: this point in Milwaukee has the more rested bullpen after yesterday,
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: so Milwaukee actually has a bullpen edge. The starting pitching
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: matchup is definitely interesting with Kershaw, who is basically a DEI.
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: All Star what do we call All Star.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: On nomination not nomination. He's been named to the team,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: so it's kind of a he's a DEI All Star
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: player now basically because they just gave it to him.
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: Just he's a legend All Star selection now.
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: I mean he's not doing badly though, but I mean
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: it's just kind of ridiculous when he's only pitched like
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: for half of the season or whatever, a little bit
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: less than you had other guys that are probably more
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: deserving of making that All Star team. Kershaw has been
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: okay though, three point four to three ERA one point
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: two to five whip better on the road as well,
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: one point five R on the road in Milwaukee. Their
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: offense isn't as good at home, although I know they
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: put up a lot of offense yesterday.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: Kershaw.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, as of late, everything's been going right for
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: him for the most part. He's pitching better. Besides his
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: last start, where he gave up four runs against the
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: White Sox somehowl, though it wasn't even that bad. He
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: went six innings, three strikeouts, one walk. Prior to that,
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: he had a lumber than two hour in runs and
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: four straight starts. Dodgers have won six straight starts for Kershaw,
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: although most of those starts he wasn't facing very good offenses.
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: But he is pitching better two point two eighty R
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: in June across five starts, twenty three to seven strico
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: walk ratio there against the Brewers over his career sixty
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: one at bats two forty six average a little bit
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: high eight fifteen ops though, because they have four home
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: runs off him. Yelich is a nine for thirty two
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: with a double, two on runs, four walks, nine strike
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: outs thown. Overall, Kershaw has a seventeen to seven story
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio against him, but overall, I think his
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: numbers are decent. Against Milwaukee, He's going up against the
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: rookie flame thrower Jacob Mizzierowski, who is pitching well except
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: for his last start. He has a three point two
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: ERA point nine two whip. But should we be worried
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: about his starting against the Mets because he finally faced
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: a good offense. That was the best offense he faced,
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: and he ran into it man after he was pitching.
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: Really well prior to that.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee I mean excusing the Mets tagged him for five runs.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: He did not do well in that game. He walked
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: three guys gave up two of them runs. His walk
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: numbers are too high. He has a high strikeout ray
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: twenty one and nineteen to two thirds innings, but ten
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: walks is not good. So maybe Mizierowski is struggling against
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: good offenses. And yes, the Dodgers are a good offense. However,
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers' offense is playing very poorly right now, and
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: they haven't seen Missierowski before, so I kind of lean
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: towards him bouncing back in this game. Man facing a
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: cold offense right now that has never seen him before,
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: which is usually an advantage to its ouented young pitcher,
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: especially a guy who's as good as Mizzierowski is. He
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: does throw really hard. So this game kind of looks
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: like an under type of game. But I would not
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: want to deal with the Dodgers' bullpen, especially, I mean,
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: neither bullpen is that good, so I'd be looking under
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: probably in the first five innings in this game. Although
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: the total is up from eight to eight and a
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: half here, seventy six percent of tickets nineteen percent of
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over, so the money is coming
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: in on the over. I don't really agree with that
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: money also coming in on the Dodgers to bounce back
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: from an embarrassing game yesterday, But the Dodgers have been
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: just playing bad baseball recently. The rout for minus one
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: ten to minus one twenty one, sixty nine percent of
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: the cash on them, fifty seven percent of tickets coming
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: in on the Brewers. It kind of surprises me the
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: public actually doesn't even want the Dodgers. Here with Kershaw
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: on the mound, the public still doesn't want the Dodgers.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: That kind of surprises me that would be the case.
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: To me, honestly, with the Dodgers being a road favorite,
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: to me, I would almost start thinking, well, maybe there's
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: some value you playing the rookie hurler here in missierous game,
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: in this game, and with Milwaukee having the offense that's
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: in way better form right now and the better bullpen, like,
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: maybe there are some reasons to look towards Milwaukee at
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: a price like this, But the money seems to.
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: Disagree with me. There, We're gonna stay away completely.
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: And then I will point out that a lot of
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: times when a pitcher is named to the All Star team,
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: they kind of do bad in that first start. Though
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: usually a lot of times the one start between being
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: named to the All Star teams, I know the All
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: Star Game is coming up this weekend. If the pitcher
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: starts after they get named to the All Star team,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: between getting named to the All Star Game and playing
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: in the All Star Game, they tend to kind of
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: like they have a less focused appearance a lot of times.
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: But I think that happens more with a guy who's
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: named to his first All Star Game. So we will
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: talk about that with one pitcher I believe is pitching
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: today being named to their first All Star team and
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: when that happens sometimes they get distracted in that game
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: that they pitch after they get named to the All
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: Star team. But for Kershaw, I mean, he's been on
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: the All Star Team almost every year of his career probably,
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: so he's been there, done that, So I don't think
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: it's gonna really affect him. So I don't think that's
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: gonna be a factor here. Mulang, what's up man?
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: Not Malaanga? Mlang was the name.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: Of the that Taliban guy right who I tried to
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: get a Tower game back in the day.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: Was that Mulang as well?
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong about that, but that's what it reminds
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: me of. Bo. Was like, I was trying to get
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: that guy to come on Tower Gang. But what's up man?
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out everybody, all right? That that Taliban
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: guy I had the I asked him to come on
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: a nine to eleven.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: Special that we did.
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: He actually had the link and he said he was
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: gonna do it, but he never showed up, So that
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: would have been interesting if it happened. He was a
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: shit poster on Twitter, which is even more hilarious. Pirates
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: at Kansas City Kansas City kind of surprised me with
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: a nine run outburst and a win in a return
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: home spot yesterday. It's a Pittsburgh team that isn't really
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: a team you're gonna necessarily focus on.
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: So Kansas City did win that game yesterday.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: Kansas City does have the better bullpend, so we do
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: have to give them that, obviously. Zach is in here,
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: of course, waiting for me to talk about the Royals.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: They're facing Pittsburgh again here. The pitching matchup actually looks
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: pretty good in this one, man, So already I'm gonna
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: tell you I'm kind of leaning towards an undering this game.
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: Mitch Keller is pitching for Pittsburgh, and he's flying under
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: the raidar Man because he gets overshadowed by Schmes. But
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: he's putting together a nice season three point six four
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: ERA and one point one to nine whip for the Pirates.
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: He's been better on the road to three point one
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: six road ERA. He's been good recently, seven strikeouts, one
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: walk in a seven in. He shut out last time
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: out against Saint Louis as in alum more than three
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: earned runs in any start going all the way back
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: to early June, pretty much he's been good for a
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: bunch of starts in a row. Now he actually got
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: wins in his last two starts too, so finally he
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: got some run support behind him and got some wins
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: to So Keller is pitching well and he's facing a
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: week Kansas City offense. But Kansas City actually does well
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: against him. In forty at bats, they have eight strikeouts,
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: ten walks, so the eight of the walks of Jonathan India,
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: who absolutely wrecks him. So if you want player props,
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: India has really good numbers against Keller eight for eighteen,
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: two doubles, a home run, eight walks, two strikeouts. But overall,
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: Keller's a lot of three twenty five average one thousand
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: and sixty six ops to the Royals. But all of
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: it is basically Jonathan India. So that's the thing. When
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: it's one guy, you can kind of pitch around him
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: a little bit. So I actually don't think Keller necessarily
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: matches up that badly against this bad Kansas City offense.
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: I think he might do okay in this game.
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: And he's up against Seth Lugo, who continues to defy
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: the analytics guys and pitch well, and I keep telling
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: you he's not bad. I mean the rest of his numbers.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: I look at the numbers as an old school guy. Man,
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, his whip is good, his strikeout walk
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: ratio is good. But I mean, there aren't really many
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: reasons to dislike Lugo here, man, I mean, fuck the analytics.
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: Advanced analytics two point sixty five ERA, one point zero
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: nine whip obviously good numbers. He's been good at home
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: two point four two ERA at home. He's pitching well recently.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: He's allowed zero or one earned run in every start
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: going all the way back to June twelfth, when he
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: shut out the Yankees, and the game before that he
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: only loved two earned runs against the White Sox. He
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: actually hasn't a lot more than four earned runs in
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: any start all season. Last few starts. He's had seven
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: or more strikeouts in the last four starts in all
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: of them. He did walk five guys in one start
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: against the Dodgers, but other than that, his walk numbers
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: weren't high either. He's pitching well right now, man. He
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: had a one point two six ERA in June with
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: a thirty one to eleven strike out walk ratio gave
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: up one run in his start in July at Seattle,
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: seven strikeouts, two walks, went six and a third. Lugo,
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: he's in good form, man, and he's facing a weak
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: Pirates offense. Fifty at bats against him as a ten
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: to two strikeout walk ratio, two forty average, six H
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: nine ops. Reynolds does have a home run off him,
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: and Fam does damage against him seven point fifteen, two
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: doubles and two RBIs. But Lugo overall, I think he's
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: gonna do well here, man. I think both starting pitchers
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: will do well. I like Kansas City's bullpen at least,
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: so I think an under either in the first five
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: inninges or even full game. I mean Pittsburgh, Yeah, their
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: bullpen isn't that good, so maybe you want to exclude them,
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: But I would say under. Either way you want to
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: do it, I think is okay.
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: In this game.
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: Totals down from May and a half to eight now,
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of tickets are on the under, seventy
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the under. And again I
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: think you can go first five inning or full game
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: on that. And I would not disagree either way on that.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: Trading Brady Singer for India was the right movie. Yeah,
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: India is hitting pretty well. Brady Singer's struggling with the
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: Reds right now, though he's he's moving from a more
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: pitcher friendly park in Kansas City to a very hitter
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: friendly park in Great America Ballparks. That's kind of an issue.
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: Brady Singer. By the way, if we remember, he's from Leesburg, Florida, right,
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: he's the guy from Leesburg, and we as Nefflin desk
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: squad Brohemian growth people.
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: We do not like.
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: We do not like Leavesburg for canceling the show on us,
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: but obviously we went and did the show somewhere else. Stacks,
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: what's up man?
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: All right?
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: Yeah, shout out to the Joke Joint and Alex there
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: in central Florida for hosting that event two years in
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: a row. Now. He's a cool dude. I like him, man,
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: even though he's got a lot of quirks. He's like
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: a GTA character. Probably belongs to some sort of you know,
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: cartel or something based based on how he looks, but
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Toronto, the hero of the Blue Jays.
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: I said I was gonna get to him. They're at
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: the Chicago White Sox. White Sox returnover from a road
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: trip yesterday and lost, I mean as expected, probably because
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: Toronto is obviously the better team.
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: Toronto.
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: They're still on that wind streak, Man, huge win streak
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: right now. They've won eight nine games in a row.
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: Whatever this is now facing a bad White Sox team,
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: so I don't know that the windstre he is just
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: gonna end right here, Man, Toronto is a hot team.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: They have the better offense here, they have the better
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: bullpend here, and they may have the better starting pitcher
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: as well, with Bassett on the mound of those numbers
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: have been getting a lot worse four point three to
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: two ERA one point three to nine WHIP.
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: That's not good.
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: He's been worse on the road significantly six point three
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: to eight road ERA, so that's not good. He had
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: one really bad start at Fenway, he got absolutely lit up,
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: But if you throw that start out, he hasn't a
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: lot more than four urn runs in any start going
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: all the way back to the beginning of June. So
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: besides that Red Sox start, he is pitching pretty well overall,
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: although he's walked a lot of guys in the last
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: two starts, so that is a question. Seven walks compared
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: to twelve strikeouts of the last two starts, so that's
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: an issue. Although he did strike out nine against the Yankees,
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: so maybe it was just a blip against the Red Sox.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: He just did really bad in that game against the
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: Red Sox. And he's facing the White Sox here after
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: facing the Red Sox and the Yankees. This is a
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: step down in class to face this White Sox offense
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: man and he has done well against him in forty
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: seven career at bats thirteen to three strikeout walker. As
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: you know Ben and tend he does have a home
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: run off him, but basically nobody else does damage against
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: him in this lineup two thirteen average, five thirty seven
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: oh ps. So I do think Bassett matches up pretty
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: well here. He should probably put together a good game
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: against this bad offense. Aaron Savali is pitching for the
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: White Sox. They got him not that long ago in
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: a trade. Four point sixty RA, one point four to
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: nine whip On the season, he hasn't been very good.
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: He does have a two point six to three home
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: the RA this year, and that includes his time with
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee and with the White Sox. You only had one
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: home start so far since the White Sox got him.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: He gave him one run in four innings against San Francisco,
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: walked four guys, which isn't very good. So he kind
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: of struggled against a pretty weak San Francisco lineup. Hasn't
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: really been that great otherwise with the White Sox. Yeah,
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: they've lost all four of his games so far. I
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: did okay against the Dodgers last time they lost the game.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: He went five innings, allowed two earned runs, four strikeouts,
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: two walks. He's he was serviceable in that game. His
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: numbers against Toronto are not good though, sixty four at bats,
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: six to eight strike a walk ratio, five home runs allowed.
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: Vlad Guerrero five for fourteen with two home runs and
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: two walks, two ninety seven average, nine to twenty two
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: oh ps overall. When I mentioned player props that usually
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: specify hits plus runs plus RBIs, I prefer over total
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: bases because you can get you can get walks mixed
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: in there and still get something out of it at least.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: But yeah, nine to twenty two ops very high, two
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: ninety seven batting average against so Savali doesn't do well
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: against this Toronto offense.
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: I think Toronto probably is the right side here.
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: The Rougher minutus one seventy to minus one eighty eight
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of tickets only eighty seven percent of
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: the cash though, So Toronto is public and less of
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on them, and you do have
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: to pay a large price for them. So I'm not
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: really willing to recommend that as a player or anything.
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: And the White Sox are at least in that spot
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: where when a team return home from a road trip
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: and they do bad that first time, they tend to
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: bounce back and do better in the second game.
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: Nate, what's up man, Thanks for hanging out.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: So at least the White Sox are in that somewhat
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: positive situational spot. Washington is at Saint Louis. Both teams
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: were off yesterday. Saint Louis is returning home from going
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: to Pittsburgh or actually Cleveland, Pittsburgh and Chicago, so they
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: didn't really travel that far, but they've been away from
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: home for a while, so Saint Louis is in a
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: return home spot. So I'm like, oh, that's not a
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: good spot, because you do fall into distractions a lot
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: of times in your return home. You have to get
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: back to family life. Probably won't be paying attention to
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: this Washington team. It's in total disarray. So initially I
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: was like, well, we're looking to fade Saint Louis here, right,
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: And Washington just fired their manager, and you know, I
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: like to talk about the fired coach spot, where when
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: a team is just in disarray, they shake things up
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: they fire.
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: This works for like any sport.
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: If they fire their coach or in this case, their manager,
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: and if the team wasn't gelling with them, they didn't
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: like them, sometimes that's the team and the team will
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: be more willing to play for like this next guy
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: that comes in and for Washington, Miguel Cairo is gonna
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: be the interim I think he must have been on
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: their coaching staff and they elevated him to the manager position.
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: But to me, it seems like the players might respect
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: him because he played in the Majors man so he
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: knows the deal, so he understands the players, so it
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: might be a good move for Washington. So I was like, oh,
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: I kind of like Washington in this spot, right, Maybe
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: they'll get a spark out of fire and their manager
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: shaking things up.
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: Here that all seems good.
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: Plus players tend to play better because they want to
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: prove that they're not the problem and that the coaching
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: was the problem. So the players can be motivated for
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: multiple reasons. But then I looked at the starting pitching
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: matchup and I'm like, I can't do it, man, And
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: Washington's bullpen is awful. I mean, Saint Louis's bullpen is
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: at great, but Saint Louis has the better offense and
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen still because Washington's bullpen very bad. And
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: I look at the starting pitching matchup and I'm like, man,
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: when you want to fade Saint Louis in a return
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: home spot and play Washington and the fire maner spot,
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: this is like, this is a pitching matchup you do
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: not want to see. Like if it was anybody other
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: than Sonny Gray pitching for Saint Louis, I would probably
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: be recommending a play fading Saint Louis here, but unfortunately
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: it's Sonny Gray, so I don't think we can do it.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: Jake Irvin is pitching for the Nationals, and he hasn't
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: been that good this year. Four point seven to one ERA,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: one point two to nine whip. He's been worse on
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: the road, very significantly, five point seven to nine road ERA,
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: so that doesn't bode well for him either. Hasn't been
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: pitching well recently. He had a seven point oh one
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: ERA in June.
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: That's bad. Twenty four to.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: Ten strike a walk race SiO not terrible, but still
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: too many walks. He's walked multiple guys in every start
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: but one, going all the way back to the beginning
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: of June.
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: He's just not pitching that well. Man.
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: He had an okay start last time out and actually
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: won his last three starts. Even though he got shelled
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: against Anaheim, they somehow still won that one. And then
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: he gave up three runs against Detroit, walk three guys
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: and they still won that one. So he's been getting support,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: man in his last three starts, so Washington has at
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: least been hitting behind him. But other than that, I
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: don't like how Irvin matches up here. Man. He doesn't
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: have good numbers against the Cardinals either. I don't think
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: when I looked at this earlier today. Yeah, in thirty
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: at bats three thirty three average a lot. He's allowed
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: home runs to Contreras and Burlson nine to ninety four ops.
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: Those are not good numbers. Not a three strike a
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is fine, but Irvin is bad on the road.
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: He's bad against Saint Louis, so I don't trust Irvin here.
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: It hasn't been pitching particularly well either, so that's the problem.
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: It looks like it's a good spot situationally to play
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: Washington here, but I don't think he can do it.
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: Again, he's up against Sonny Gray, who is pretty much
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: still the best starting pitcher. Saint Louis has three point
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: five to one ERA one point oh eight WHIP, and
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: he is significantly better at home, so the splits are
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: against Irvin in favor of Gray as well two point
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: seven to six home y RA. He's pitching well recently too,
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: as he's been racking up a lot of stre He
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: had a twenty five to three strikeout walk ratio in
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: June two point five to five ERA. Last time out,
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: he did give up four runs against Pittsburgh, which isn't
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: very good, but he went six and a third in
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: He's only gave up five hits, one walk, six strikeouts,
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: so I wouldn't say that was a bad start. I
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: think he just got a little bit unlucky in that one,
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: and he was coming off a complete game, one hit
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: shutout with eleven strikeouts against Cleveland, although he didn't even
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: throw that many pitches in that game. He's actually pitching
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: efficiently with his pitches. He's not throwing a lot of pitches,
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: so as an older guy, they're actually doing a good
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: job managing his pitch gun, and he's doing a good
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: job getting his team deep into games. He is still
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: pitching well, man. Yeah, I mean the Cardinals has still
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: won eight out of his last ten starts, So I
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: don't really want to fade Sonny Gray here. Man. His
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: numbers are pretty good against Washington one hundred and one
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: at bats. They are really familiar with him, but he
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: has a twenty one to five strike out walk ratio
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: against him, a two forty eight average allowed, and six
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: thirty nine ohps. So Gray has been good against them.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: So I just don't want to do it, man. Even
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: though the situation was making me like, oh, I want
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: to play Washington here, I don't want to do it.
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: Although you could argue Saint Louis is favored too heavily.
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: They're up for minus one seventy to minus two point five.
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: But I think they do have every advantage in this game.
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: They have eighty percent to take as ninety three percent
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: of the cash, so it looks like the money is
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: actually still coming in at Saint Louis. There not gonna
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: be anything I recommend to play on. Houston return home
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: from a road trip and they lost yesterday to Cleveland,
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: which I mentioned that on my show yesterday. Man, maybe
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: I should have given it out of the play. I
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: just didn't love the pitching matchup and whatever. But Houston
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: return home from a road trip and swept the Dodger,
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: so they were in a bad distracted spot, letdown spot.
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: They got caught by Cleveland yesterday. Man, So now I
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: think it's a better spot for Houston. And bounced back
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: because again, a good team like Houston, they're pretty good
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: at home too, and when very good at home actually,
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: and when they return home and they suffer a loss
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: like that because they were distracted a lot of times,
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: they bounce back and return return to focus in the
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: next game, which I think might happen here. Houston does
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpend as well. Cleveland used more of
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: their bullpen yesterday. The matchup looks like it very much
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: favors Houston as well. Joey Cantillo is pitching for Cleveland.
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: He's got a three point four to one ERA this year,
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: one point three to nine whip. He hasn't made that
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: many appearances. He has been good on the road, one
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: point eighty r on the road. But again, actually he's
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: made more appearances than I thought, just because I don't
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: pay attention to the bullpens. Really, he's been coming out
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: of a bullpend basically all season, and he made a
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: start last time out. They let him go three and
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: a third innings and he didn't allow any runs against
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: the Cubs, which is pretty good. Although he did walk
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: three guys struck out five. Overall, it was still a
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: decent performance against a hard hitting lineup. So Cantillo did
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: okay in that game. But he's not gonna go very
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: deep into this game, man. So I think Cleveland having
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: a starter that's probably only gonna get you like three
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: four innings or whatever in this game, and then they
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: have to turn it over to the worst of the
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: two bullpends here, the bullpend that had to be used
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: a little bit yesterday. That was like the greatest spot
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: for Cleveland. Hear Man man like how the matchup like
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: looks here, and Cantillo actually isn't that good against Houston
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: in ten at bats is a small sample size with
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: three hundred average allowed, eight sixty four oh ps not
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: that good. Four to one strike a walk ratio is fine,
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: but he's going up against Hunter brown Man. Hunter Brown
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: has been amazing all year one point eight two ERA
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: point nine whip. He's been better at home too, with
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: a one point zero one ERA. He's been almost unhittable
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: at home. And he's doing really good recently as well.
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: Allowed two or fewer earned runs in every start going
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: all the way back to late May. Had a one
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: point one to nine ERA in June, although he walked
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: to many guys thirty nine to twelve strike a walk ratio,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: but he got his walk numbers under control after two
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: wild starts, has not had more than two walks in
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: any of his last three starts. Houston has won his
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: last seven starts, so obviously, I mean, I don't think
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: we have to Bill labor this very much.
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's pitching really well.
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: He's had a really high strikeout rate as late as well,
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: with whatever that is thirty something strikeouts over his last
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: four starts and only four walks, so a great strike
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio there. He's pitching really well, and he
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: has good numbers against Cleveland as well. Thirty four at bats,
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: thirteen to seven strike out walk ratio. That's too many walks,
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: but other than that, good numbers two thirty five, two
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: thirty five average excusing six sixty ops. So the matchup
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: looks very good for Houston. The situation looks good for Houston.
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: My only hesitation is what I just talked about a
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: little while ago. Hunter Brown is a first time All
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: Star man, so he might have an unfocused appearance here.
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: I guess a Cleveland team that this Houston team kind
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: of knows they're not a very good team whatever. Even
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: I know Houston lost last night, it did break a
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: Houston win streak though, so sometimes that type of loss
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: will hang you over a little bit into the next game.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: And again, like I talked about, Brown actually might struggle
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: a little bit because because he got named to the
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: All Star team again, it's a little bit of a
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: distraction for a young guy like him that isn't used
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: to this. Holy crap, I'm on the All Star team.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: Now I get to pitch in the All Star Game
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: this weekend. It kind of becomes like a look ahead
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: spot man, a little bit of a distraction. So he
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: is in that situation here, So something to watch for here.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: Ninety three percent of tickets, only eighty seven percent of
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: cash on Houston. They're down for minus one ninety to
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: minus one eighty six.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: So Houston is.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: A big favorite here and I think deservedly so, but
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: the money is fading them, and maybe for some of
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: the reasons that I just said, even though I do
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: think Houston has the advantage basically all across the board
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: here with the better starting pitching, the better bullpen, and
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: the better hitting. But again, it's all about price as well,
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: and it's about this Hunter Brown situation. Man, if he
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: has a distracted start, it doesn't do well here. It
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: could throw off the game for Houston Texas at Anaheim.
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately I got this one wrong.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: Yes should I had the under and Anaheim actually won
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: despite it being a return home spot as well. But
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: at least for Anaheim, they're in a close battle in
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: the division with Texas, so it was still a big game.
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: So I didn't think they're really going to be distracted
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: in that game. I liked the under which, of course
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: it didn't happen today. I mean, we're still dealing with
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: a terrible Anaheim bullpend. Both bullpens got used yesterday, so
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: I don't love the bullpen scenario for either of these teams.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: Here starting pitching, we have Evaldi pitching for Texas. He's
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: having a really good season one point seven to five ERA,
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: point eighty five whip. He's been really good on the
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: road as well, one point four to four road ERA.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: He was injured and he came back. He's had two
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: starts since he came back from injury.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: He only went three innings against Seattle, worked his way back,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: and last time out five shutout innings against Baltimore, so
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: he looks like he is back. He pitched really well
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: against Baltimore, five strikeouts, one walk, two hits, very nice
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: outing from him, So I think we could say Evaldi
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: is back here against Anaheim. He's done well in the
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: past seventy nine at bats two point fifteen average, five
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: to eighty two ol ps. So Anaheim has some very
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: weak offensive numbers and a pretty big sample size against him.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: Only one to ten strike a walk ratio is too
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: many walks. But it's four walks a piece from Darna
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: and Trout, So the two heavy hitters that Anaheim has
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: have been walked a lot, so maybe Eavaldi pitching around
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: them a little bit. Overall, I expect him to do
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: well in the start. He's up against Soriano, who's a
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: lot harder to predict. Jose Soriano for Anaheim three point
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: seven to two ERA, one point four to two whip.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: He's way worse.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: At home five point five seven home ERA, which doesn't
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: bode well. Did well last time out, seven inning, seven
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: strikeout shutout against Atlanta, only allowed three hits, two walks.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: He's actually pitching pretty well as of late, even though
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: he got wrecked by Washington in the start. Before that,
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: He's allowed zero or one and run of four his
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: other four recent starts besides that one, so he is
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: in pretty good form. And he is facing a pretty
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: weak Texas offense here. But Texas actually hits Soriano well.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: In thirty three at bats five to four streke, a
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: walker ratio three ninety four average Seeger is four to
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: five on the home run off him nine to seventy
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: five ops, so Soriano doesn't look like he matches up well,
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: he's not good at home, So I think Texas is
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: the way to look in this game. Money The money
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: line's gone down on them though, for minus won twenty
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: five to minus one thirteen eighty six percent tickets, ninety
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Texas, so they are public
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: looks like they have the cash percentage even though the
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: money line has moved significantly against them. So I'm not
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: gonna recommend touching this one, but I think Texas has
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching edge, the bullpen edge. Probably not the
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: hitting edge in this one, but I think the pitching
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: edge is definitely on their side, so that is still
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: kind of the way I'm leaning there. Arizona at San
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: Diego a big divisional series here. Arizona took the first
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: game yesterday six to three. San Diego used a lot
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: of their bullpen. Again, Man, San Diego. The San Diego bullpen,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: it's a good bullpen. It's better than Arizona's bullpen, but
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: the rest scenario kind of negates that a little bit,
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: so I don't love either bullpen here.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: Merril Kelly is pitched Arizona.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: We have some pretty good pitchers on the hill today
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: for both sides. Three point five to five yr one
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: point zero nine whip. He's actually been Arizona's best starter
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: this year. With Burns sideline for the rest of the season.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: Are shelved for the rest of the season. Kelly's been
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: very similar at home in a way, it doesn't really matter,
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: pitching pretty well either way.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: He's pitching well recently as well. Two point seven to
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: ninety RRA.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: In June, thirty six to eight strike a walk ratio,
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: and then he followed that up with one start in
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: July where he gave up three runs at six And
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: he's at San Francisco, which isn't that great because that's
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: not a good offense. Three to three strike a walk
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: race is not that good. But I'm not going to
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: say that Kelly's all of a sudden, like totally out
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: of form or anything like that. He's in a pitcher
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: friendly park here, and he has okay numbers against San Diego,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: very large sample size, so they are familiar with him.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: One seventy two, one hundred and seventy two at bats.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: He's allowed nine home runs, which is too many, but
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: a lot of them are tattis, so again, some player
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: prop potentially are tatis. Ten for twenty eight with four
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: home runs and three walks against, but also ten strikeouts,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: so he's like literally hit or miss against him overall
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: thirty seven to fourteen strikeout walk ratio. Not a great ratio,
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: too many walks, but Kelly has held San Diego to
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: a two thirty eight average and a slightly high seven
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: to fifty five ops. But it still looks like Kelly
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: might be able to do okay here, and he's going
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: up against Nick Pavetta, who's having a really good season,
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: especially in a pitcher friendly park like San Diego's. Is
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: good season three point two five ERA, one point zero
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: four whip. I still didn't think the Red Sox should
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: have kept them though, because he was he had too
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: high of a price tag man, and he is a
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: lot worse at Fenway Park than he is in San Diego,
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: so I don't think his numbers would be this good
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: with the Red Sox. Man. I mean, it's all about
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: a lot of it is about like location and where
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: you're pitching. And you can see he has a four
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: point zero ninety round the road, so he has not
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: been that good on the road, but at home in
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: this picture friendly park, Yeah, two point five to five
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: ra so he's been good at home.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: He's been good recently.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: He just came off a sick strikeout, zero walk, one run,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: seven hit, six inning performance at Philly, so he held
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: a really good Philly offense down on the road. Start
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: before that seven innings shut out with ten k's no
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: walks against Washington, so two really good starts in a
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: row after he had a rough outing inexplicably against a
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: bad Kansas City office before that. So Pavetta was actually
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: in bad form across like four starts, but he's kind
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: of returned to four men. And his one good start
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: in the mix when he was pitching badly was against Arizona,
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: so I know Arizona did just see him. So that's
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of an advantage to Arizona's hitters
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: because they just saw him, so they might do better
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: next time out. But that was the one start he
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: did well in when he was in that. Like Funk,
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: he went seven innings at Arizona as well, at a
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: hitter friendly park, had nine strikeouts, one walk, only allowed
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: two runs, So I think maybe that does bode well
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: for Pavetta here. And even though when to line up
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: has seen a guy before. Sometimes they'll do better against
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: him the next time out if they're recently familiar with them.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: But it's a veteran that matches up well against them,
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: I don't think that that's necessarily the case. And that
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: is what we have with Pavetta here against Arizona. They
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: have seventy nine at bats against them, twenty one to
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: eight strike a walk ratio. Both home runs that he's
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: allowed are both Swarez and those will. He only has
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: three hits in fourteen at bats, so he hasn't even
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: done that well against him. Paveta's held him to a
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: one sixty five hours and five oh seven ops. So
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: even though Arizona has the better offense, I think it's
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: negated a little bit by a Paveta having really good
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: numbers against them. I'm thinking under those is probably the
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: way to look at this game. I think both starting
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: pitchers look pretty good in this game. Sixty nine percent
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: of the tickets seventy percent of the cash on the over,
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: but the totals dropped a little bit from eight to
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: eight juste to the under so pitcher friendly park here,
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: public is gonna have a tendency to go over with
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: d Backs.
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: Padres game like this.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: So again I like the starting pitchers in this one,
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: so I think under makes sense. But if you want
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: to take the bullpens out because Arizona's bullpen's not good,
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: san Diego's bullpen is very overworked right now, under in
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: the first five innings maybe makes sense here. And as
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: far as the side, San Diego's up for minus one
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: twenty to minus one thirty seventy two percent of tickets,
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: only sixty nine percent of the cash, so it looks
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: like some of the money's coming in against San Diego.
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: We have Philly against San.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: Francisco at San Francisco, and San Francisco was in a
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: return home spot yesterday, and I really didn't like the
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup for San Francisco yesterday, but I got it
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: wrong yesterday.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: San Francisco actually had good pitching yesterday. They won the game.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: It wasn't really a return home spot for them, though,
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: because they were already close to home playing the A's
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: prior to that. But it was a good game for
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: the Giants. But now the Giants they have the better
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: bullpen over Philadelphia. But the Giants did have to use
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: some of their bullpen yesterday. The problem is Philadelphia's bullpen
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: is most certainly going to be the first bullpen in
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: this game because Taiwan Walker is listed as the starter.
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: That's not good for Philadelphia three point six four eras
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: fine one point three to three went not good. He's
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: been good on the road two point one adra. But
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: the problem is Walker is basically an open our man.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's been going one two winnings. He was
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: pitching deeper into games early in the season, but recently
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: they're letting him go between one and three innings basically
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: every time out. So I think that's probably what's gonna
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: happen here. Walker will probably just start the game and
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: then Phillies are gonna turn it over to their bullpen,
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: and their bullpen's not that good, so that might be
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: an issue. So I don't love that a Walker against
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. They have good numbers against him in eighty
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: four career at bats fourteen to six strike a Walker
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: race here two ninety eight average, seven to forty nine ohps.
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: Walker hasn't done that well against San Francisco, and he's
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: up against Robbie Ray, who's been quite good this season.
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: Two point six eighty Ray one point zero nine whip.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: Although we do have to see is Ray an All
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: Star here? Let me see? What do we have? Do
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: we have news on him? Let me see. I don't know.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: That's one thing to keep in mind, though, Ray, because
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: he hasn't had that great of a career. So if
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: this is Ray's first All Star appearance, if he's named
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: the All Star team at the age of thirty three,
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: that is something to keep in mind. Man, if it's
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: his first All Star game, he might be a little
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: bit distracted in this game. He is also coming off
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: a complete game against Arizona where he threw over one
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: hundred pitches. But he is pretty consistently throwing around one
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: hundred pitches, So I don't know if that's really gonna
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: throw him off. But a lot of times when you
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: have a great game like that, a complete game did
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: allow two runs, but at seven strikeouts, one walk, Yeah,
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: he's in good form.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: But he might be a.
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: Little bit tired and in line for a little bit
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: of a regression here. But Ray, I mean he's a
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: pitching well basically all season, man. I mean he's allowed
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: more than three or in runs once all season.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: It was four.
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: Runs that he allowed in that game, But it was
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: against Philadelphia way back in April, so his worst start
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: of the season was against Philadelphia. So there are maybe
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: some reasons to fade Ray here as well. He's up
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: against Philly here, obviously, seventy nine career at bats. He's
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: not okay against them, two fifty three average, seven to
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: sixty two ops is getting into a little bit high territory,
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: thirty one to eleven strikeout walk ratio not great. He's
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: allowed three on run, two of them to Harper. Bryce
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: Harper is six for twelve the two one runs and
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: four walks off, and so Bryce Harper does hit him
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: particularly well. Given all that, I mean, the money looks
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: like it's coming in on San Francisco a little bit,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: even though they're down for minus one forty five to
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: minus one forty three, seventy two percent of tickets, eight
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: to nine percent of the cash. The money kind of
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: coming into San Francisco. But I'm actually thinking an over
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: makes sense here because Philadelphia is basically going with a
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: bullpend game, and I don't think we'd trust Walker at
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: all Ray if he was named to the All Star Game,
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: and he might be a little bit distracted. His one
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: really bad start this year was against Philadelphia.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: Could be looking at an.
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: Over in this game, Man, fifty per tickets, eighty three
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash comming on the over. We have
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia's bullpend's not good. San Francisco's is, but it's overworked.
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: Totals up from seven and a half to eight.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: You're a pretty significant move.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: Actually, both of them juiced to the over, so the
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is coming in towards the over,
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: and I actually kind of agree with that. And then
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: finishing this off, Atlanta starting a road trip and flying
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: cross count to face the A's. They are coming off
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: a sweep, so this might be a decent spot for
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: Atlanta to try to break this losing.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: Momentum and bounce back.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: You lose at home to a bad team like Baltimore, Man,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: maybe one of the best things you could do is
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: just forget about that, just go on the road. Even
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: though I know an East Coast team having to go
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: out to the West to play a late night game
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: does mess with their biological cloud, but at least they
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: had yesterday off maybe to try to adjust to the
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: time zone. The A's coming off the big Battle of
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: the Bay. At least some they're staying at home so
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: they don't have any travel, but maybe they'll be in
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a hangover spot after a big
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: series against the Giants. Fuent does this pitching for the
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: Atlanta Braves. He's a really young pitcher right now, but
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: he has struggled so far. Man ninety ra one point
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: eighty three whip hasn't been good. He's only made it
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: five innings once, which was actually his first starting against
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: the weakest offense he faced Miami, struggled since then, not
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: being able to even make it four innings, and his
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: other two starts hasn't been that great. Man. So I
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: think we're just waiting on Fuentes because he's a recently
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: talented pitcher, But I don't know that he's gonna be
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: able to do well here, especially in this crazy hit
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: her friendly park here uh in Sacramento.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, he might struggle here.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: Man, even though he does have supposedly an advantage and
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: that the A's have never seen him before, but that
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: advantage has not helped Fluentz so far this season. He's
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: up against Jeffrey Springs, who actually hasn't pitched that bad
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: this year for the A's four point seven ERA and
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: one point two to three whip. He has been worse
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: in this stadium though, four point seven to three e RA,
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: which is not that great. But recently he's actually pitched
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: pretty consistently. He's gone at least five innings in every
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: start going all the way back to the beginning of June.
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: Had a two point.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: Ninety RA in June with a twenty six to five
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio, has an alunger than three earned
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: runs in any of those starts, and last time out
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: he did have three walks against Tampa, give up two
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: on the runs, but that was it that hit her
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: unfriendly Tampa Parc. Although I know this is also unfriendly park,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: or that's a hitter friendly park, excuse me in Tampa
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: picture on friendly park, and I know this park is
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: also pitcher unfriendly, but I don't know that start was
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: really that bad for Springs and because of the environment
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: that it was in, Springs is at least more used
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: to pitching in this park. I'll think it's Atlanta has
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: good numbers two and twenty five at bats, eight to two,
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio, two hundred average, five thirty nine ohps,
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: so I don't hate the A's in this game, man,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: even though it looks like it should be a focus
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: spot for Atlanta, Atlanta flip from plus one oh four
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: to minus one sixteen. There a road favorite. But does
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: Atlanta really deserve to be a road favorite with a
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: very unproven rookie on the hill here? I'm not sure
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: that they do fifty four percent tickets sixty percent of
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on the A's. The A's definitely
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: have the worst bullpend though, so obviously I had to
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: factor that, and and maybe they have the worst of
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: the two offenses too, although I think it's close. The
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: big advantage for the for Atlanta is the bullpen, although
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: I don't love Atlanta's bullpend either, and they might be
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: in this game earlier than the A's bullpen is so
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: for me, slightly into the A's in that one, Nate,
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: what's up man?
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: Yet?
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: Nick Fuent does he may very well be a glowy?
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know about d Da Fuent?
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 2: Does?
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: Do you think he's a glowy as well? For Atlanta here?
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for me, man. The only play
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: I've given out Tampa Bay Rays on the money line, man,
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: and hopefully the market is gonna kind of shift back
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: and start agreeing with me, which it actually is. Again,
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: by the way, the line is continuing to drop on Detroit.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: I don't have the screen up anymore, but Detroit is
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of tickets only fifty six percent of
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: cash now, so I like Tampa. That's the one play
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out on the show today. Thanks for
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: hanging out, everybody. Learn to Toad is where I'm at
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: on Twitter. Better Off Dead is on the audio platform
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: so please check it out there. Subscribe, you know we're
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: on YouTube here, obviously subscribe, comment you know, like do
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: a do whatever.
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: You can give me some numbers. Baby.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: We're monetized on the audio platforms, so there are ad
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: roles in there, but hopefully we can monetize I mean
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: it is monetized. Hopefully we can actually get some decent
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: money out of it, which it all depends on the
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: amount of impressions over there. Man. It's on all the
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: audio platforms on Instagram as well, so you can check
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: out short form.
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: Videos there that I'm putting out and covered in.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: Yuke is my YouTube YUK channel, which I'm gonna I
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: keep saying, I'm gonna try to start doing something with that,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: and start doing like Patreon content for that which I
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: will keep people in the loop on that, I guess,
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: because that should be coming at some point. Thanks guys,
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: Happy Tuesday, and let's get this one win today.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: Man. Peace,