Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 388 - 11/4/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 388 - 11/4/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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Hello and welcome. To episode 388.
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Of the all. Systems go sports betting.
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Podcast powered by Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh.
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Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
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Happy Tuesday, another day here in the arena.
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Guys. And we got a full slate of
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college sports. To talk about here for today.
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I'm going to focus. Completely on.
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College basketball for today. Had a nice.
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Start yesterday as we. Had a good.
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Dog to fave Buffalo. Money line.
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Short favorite here come. Through for the team if you
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watch. That game on ESPN?
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Plus Buffalo. Is down by like. 15 points very
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early. Clawed their way back, had a
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very good. Ending for that game to come.
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Through for the team so. New sport begins, Want to know
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to start? We will take it.
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I was looking. At the board though today and
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pretty much. Every spread.
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Is like the favorite. -10 -, 15 - 20 minus. 30 so big numbers.
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I tend to stay. Away from big numbers.
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Because either it's a. Blowout or maybe the dog.
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Covers by a point. But didn't.
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Find too much in terms of the. Sides for the games today,
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there's 20 games overall. But I did find. 3 totals.
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And I'm going to focus on. Something that we saw.
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Yesterday do very well. If you paid attention.
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Was it overs or unders? It did very well.
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And then number. Two.
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Really. Trying to compare Ken Palm to
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rhythm. To the betting market.
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So. If Ken Palm is.
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Predicting A1. 50 and rhythm has a one. 50.
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Two and the total. Is 145.
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Hey. We're going to lean.
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Over. If Ken Palm.
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Has a, you know. 150 and rhythm as a 152 and the total is 158.
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Hey, markets, leaning down. Let's go under.
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So I want. To kind of talk through.
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Different ways to use. Different analytics to.
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Hopefully help us cash. Some bets here for today so.
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A three pack. Lined up all totals here for
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tonight. And then?
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Because it's a Tuesday. We ought to talk about an early
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college football. Slate Early Sharp.
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Report here I wrote for. Visen.com earlier.
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Today, but we're already. Up to week 11 which is crazy but
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I did notice 3 sharp line moves. And I tell you what guys, I was
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looking at all the most. Heavily bet games the.
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Popular Games. And nothing was.
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Really lining up. Either you'd have a good line
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move. But rhythm or the splits would
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say take the other side or vice versa.
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So I. Did land on three plays.
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Where kind of the market? The movement.
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And the rhythm edges all lined up.
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On the same. Side with some good.
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Smart signal. Green Star plays so 3 college
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football games. That I've already.
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Bet in pocket. I'll give you the breakdowns for
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today, so 3. College hoops plays for tonight
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and three. Early college football games for
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this weekend. Now looking back toward last
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night, guys. 1 and 2 -, 1.3. Units, it started off.
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Great with Buffalo coming. Through dog to favorite.
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But then. Unfortunately, next two bets
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couldn't get either of them. The Cowboys over 50. 3 1/2 came
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up short. There was an.
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Opportunity there. And, you know, it was really.
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Frustrating to me when you're playing an over.
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These idiot coaches that refused to just take.
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Three points and they always go for it.
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And yeah, you might get it and pick.
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It up and you might maybe you. Score, but a lot of times it
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feels like. They don't pick it up and.
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Then you leave. Points on the.
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Board. So Dallas did it two different
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times with Schottenheimer. Which is just stupid.
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But. Dallas second overall scoring.
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Offense. They couldn't get anything.
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Going and that's the way. It's been here recently with the
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NFL because I was. Talking about hey.
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If you're playing the side, it's got to be the Cardinals because
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Cardinals were super. Contrarian.
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Kind of that 3 1/2 line freeze. Maybe some RLM in favor of
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Arizona? But I just.
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Been hit by SO. Many of these sharp.
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Dogs in prime time. Getting well, you know, taken to
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the woodshed. Old Yellard that.
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Hey, I talked myself out of a. Play that I should.
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Have been on officially with Arizona, so maybe you.
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Did play Arizona. If so, great hit.
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Unfortunately, that total came up short because Dallas's
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offense. Couldn't really do.
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Anything and then to make matters.
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Worse in the NBA. Had a pretty sharp play there
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with the. Heat in the Clippers under 220.
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7 1/2. Again, you had good movement.
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Good. Splits, good rhythm system
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matches and they just scored and scored and scored and did not
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did not stop scoring. So unfortunately that flew over,
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ended up. One or 239.
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Again with I think. 1/4 they scored like 80 points so.
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Not not fun there. But either way, guys going to
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see if we can again. You know, focus on college
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hoops. And again.
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I don't want to abandon some of these.
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College football. Games, you know, weeknight.
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I know there's two games here for.
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Tonight, not too much. Jumped out to me.
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Either way, so. We're going to see if we can,
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hopefully. Capitalize on some college.
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Hoops as we started off our season.
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On a winning note last night. So that being said.
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I want to start off with the three college plays for this.
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Upcoming weekend and then. I'll give you the three college
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basketball plays here for tonight.
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So three games. Overall first one I.
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Want to hit on is Florida? And Kentucky.
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Now this one's interesting because this is.
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One of the more heavily backed. Games of the weekend.
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We got a pretty sharp line move. In favor of Kentucky.
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Now setting the. Stage here this is a 7. 30 game.
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Primetime game. Coming up on Saturday.
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Night Florida comes in. 3:00 and 5:00.
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Just hung tough against Georgia last week.
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They lost. 24 to 20 did. Cover as A7.
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Point home, dog. Got lucky there because.
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I was thinking about. The seven half all week of
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Florida and I, I didn't. End up playing it.
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I noticed that. The Georgia guy could have
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scored. And and ended up laying down.
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At the goal line. Which was great if you bet
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Florida, terrible if you bet Georgia, great if you.
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Bet the under. Terrible.
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You bet the over. But either way, you're in
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Kentucky. They're.
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Three and five as well. They just had a big upset win.
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Over Auburn, 2:50 one outright. As an 11 1/2.
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Point Rd. Dog so.
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What have you seen across the market?
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Here, well, the Gators opened as a. 3 1/2 point Rd. favorite and
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the public says this line is too short.
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Gators all day Gators. At DraftKings.
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Are getting 73% of spread bets so.
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Very heavily. Bet popular play toward Florida.
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However, Gators open -3 1/2. You would think 3 out of four
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tickets in their favor. Maybe they're up to four or
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five. Nope, they're actually creeping
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back. Down toward. 3 So if you.
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Look at all the 3 1/2's toward Kentucky.
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They're juiced Kentucky. +3 and F -, 120.
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And a lot of. Books down to three.
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So that was my. First indication that jumped.
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Out to me, hey. Everyone's been in Florida.
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But this line is. Staying the same.
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Or dropping toward Kentucky. Tells me we got.
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Some line. Freeze or some sneaky.
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RLM on the Wildcats. Now you look at the splits.
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DraftKings, Kentucky. Very, very.
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Contrarian Only 27. Percent of spread bets.
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And a heavily bet primetime game, so.
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Just from a contrarian. Angle, even if you throw away
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that. Sharp line freezing RLM.
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It's a good bet against the public.
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Play but also like the splits. At DraftKings.
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Only 27. Percent of tickets, but 59% of
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spread dollars. Are on the Wildcats.
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You go to Circa. 60%. Of spread bets on.
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Kentucky 90. Percent of spread dollars.
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So both books are showing a. Low bets, higher dollar.
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Split. In favor of Kentucky.
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Now Kentucky. Has got the contrarian.
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Opportunity. The line freeze the.
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Low Low bets, higher dollars, some RLM.
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But also just home conference. Dogs the built in familiarity
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we. Talked a lot of.
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Divisional dogs in. Baseball or the NFL?
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But home conference dogs? The rivalry aspect, the
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familiarity. They are 70. 3 and 61.
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Against the Spread 54. Percent 4%.
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ROI this year? They're 185 and 150. 5 ATS, 54%
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with A4. Percent ROI since. 2024.
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If you. Specifically, focus on the.
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SEC So two teams in the. SEC play each other, it's a
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conference. Game take the dog getting.
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Three points or more? That team is 53.
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And 35 against the spread. 60%. 15% ROI since. 2024.
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You also have Kentucky. In a correlative betting.
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Dog low total spot. So it's a pretty low total of.
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43 1/2. So.
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A few amount of expected points scored.
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Makes it harder for the favorite to cover.
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And oh, by the. Way this one was incredible.
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And what really kind of? Led me to jump.
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On the hook. There, Kentucky 3 1/2.
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Rhythm. Believe it or not.
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Has Kentucky favored? To win this game.
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Rhythm has a smart. Signal Kentucky minus. 3 point.
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One and Kentucky. -1.9. So that really sold me.
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Again. Without rhythm I would.
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Have still liked the sharp contrarian.
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Kentucky play, but the fact that rhythm.
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Is saying actually Kentucky should win this game?
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That really sent me over the edge to to make this bet here on
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Kentucky, so I did jump. On Kentucky.
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Wildcats. I got them plus 3 1/2.
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At -1. 18 that's still. Available at FanDuel, but 3 1/2
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-. 120 at Fanatics and ESPN. Bet and a bet MGM and.
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Caesars and DK. They're down to three.
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So if you're going to play. Kentucky with me.
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You got to get that hook now. FanDuel minus plus 3 and F -,
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118. ESPN bet Fanatics also 3 1/2 -,
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120 But let's go Wildcats. Next one for you.
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Southern Miss in Arkansas. State this one's interesting.
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Interesting to me as. Well, it's a 12.
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O'clock game it's. Not the most heavily bet game.
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But it. Looks pretty sharp with a good
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rhythm edge. Now Southern Miss comes in six
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and two just took. Down UL Monroe 49 to 21 last
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week. Easily covered as a. 14 point
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home favorite. You know Arkansas.
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State 5:00 and 4:00. They just upset Troy, 20.
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Three to 10. They won outright as a. 7 1/2.
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Point Rd. Dog so.
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What we seen across the market here.
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Well, Southern Miss Open. This game as a. 5 1/2 point Rd.
9:17
favorite and the public is laying the points here.
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With Southern Miss. They're six and two.
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They have the better record. It's a.
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Spread under a touchdown. However.
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Even though you're getting nearly 60.
9:27
Percent of spread bets. At DraftKings on Southern.
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Miss Southern Miss is actually. Fallen -5 1/2.
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Down to -4 1/2. So take a step back.
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Public school in Southern. Miss Why is the line falling
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away from Southern? Miss Why is it?
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Moving toward Arkansas State. If nearly 2/3.
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Of bets are. On Southern Miss, well, that
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tells me we got. Smart reverse line movement.
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Sharp money taking Arkansas. State in the points.
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Now Arkansas State is. Contrarian at DraftKings
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heavily. Heavily bent.
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You know, national. Public book only getting.
9:56
About 30 or 1/3 of bats or. Around 40% of.
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Tickets, but if you. Look at circa 83.
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Percent of spread bets. 90. 4% of spread dollars are on
10:05
Arkansas. State.
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So I know it can be confusing. When you compare DraftKings to
10:09
Circa. But just remember, DraftKings is
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where you find the public. Because it's available in. 40
10:14
plus states. And a lot of.
10:15
Recreational betters. Use DraftKings.
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So again at DraftKings. Public Southern Miss.
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But Circa tells you where. The smart.
10:22
Money's at because Circa is out in.
10:23
Vegas they cater to. Sharp betters.
10:24
They have high limits. 83. Percent bets 94% dollars that.
10:28
Tells me the big. Wise guys in the desert.
10:31
Are looking toward Arkansas State.
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You look at the Sunbelt 2. Teams in the Sunbelt play each
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other. Take the.
10:35
Home conference dog. Those teams are 10 and six
10:38
against the spread this year. 63.
10:40
Percent and again Arkansas. State +5.
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And a half to 4 1/2. Rhythm has Arkansas State.
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Plus 2.8 and. Plus 1.1.
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So once again, the. Market.
10:52
And the rhythm recommendations. Are kind of aligning.
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Here telling us to take the points of the Arkansas State.
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So I did. Jump on Arkansas State.
10:59
Got the red. Wolves plus 4 1/2.
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At -110 and again grab the -110 it should.
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Be pretty easily available, but I do see a couple.
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Books -115 -, 113. So I'm going red wolves plus 4
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1/2. Last bet for me as of now.
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For this upcoming weekend. Let's go to a 730.
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Game on Saturday night and it's. One of the least heavily backed
11:22
games that is not. Popular at all?
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But man, it looks pretty sharp. Nevada at Utah State.
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Now Nevada, they're one and seven.
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I used to call. It Nevada.
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It wasn't until I would. Visit Vegas for work.
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Then I. Learned it, it's called.
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Nevada. But Nevada?
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1:00 and 7:00. Just lost to Boise State. 24 to
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3. I remember.
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Because I was an. Idiot and took that over.
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I should have taken. The plus 21 1/2.
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They covered or actually pushed. 21 if that was the closing line.
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On the other hand, Utah State. 4:00 and 4:00.
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Just lost to new. Mexico. 33 to 14.
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Did not. Cover as a three.
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Point Rd. Dog.
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So what have you seen across the?
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Market here. Well, Utah.
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State opened around an. 11 1/2 point home favorite.
12:01
And even though it's a. Very low back game and public
12:03
really isn't participating I. Can tell the.
12:05
Very low ticket count. We've seen a clear move.
12:09
Toward Nevada. Nevada went from plus. 11 1/2
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now down to plus 9 1/2. And actually see a couple books.
12:15
Down to 9 or. Even 8 1/2.
12:17
So it's notable to me that this is not a.
12:19
Popular game, you know. They're they're not 2
12:21
powerhouses. It's not on ESPN.
12:23
I believe it's CBS. Sports Network.
12:26
But it's a low back game yet. A big line move.
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So it tells me, even though the public doesn't.
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Care about this one? Looks like pros have taken the
12:32
points with. Nevada.
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Nevada is only. Getting 29.
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Percent of spread bets, which? Again, makes them a bet against
12:38
the. Public opportunity as well, and
12:40
a heavily bet primetime game. And I know Nevada looks
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terrible. You're like man, you're taking.
12:44
The points with a. One in 17, but they've actually.
12:46
Hung tough their last two Rd. Games they lost to New Mexico.
12:50
24 to 22 on the road, but they got 13 1/2 in.
12:54
Covered. They lost to Fresno.
12:56
State 20 to 17. But they were plus. 12 in
12:59
covered. So maybe they.
13:00
Can cover this number for us? Hopefully on Saturday.
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Night and the. Angle, to me, is hopefully Utah
13:06
State's defense. Is not very good and.
13:08
Can give up points to Nevada so Nevada can keep it close because
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Nevada. Defensively is giving up. 29.
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Points per game. That's 91st in college.
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Football. They're giving up 300 and. 66
13:19
yards. Per game, that's 64th.
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So. 91st in scoring 64th. In yards allowed.
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But Utah State. They're giving up 35.3 points
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per game. That ranks 121st.
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They're giving up four. 144 yards per game, that ranks
13:33
128th. So again, Nevada does have the.
13:36
Better defense, The last. Two times they've gone.
13:38
On the road, they've hung tough, lost but covered.
13:41
I jumped on Nevada. Plus the.
13:42
Points I got Nevada. Plus 9 1/2, again, that's your
13:46
best price right now. I got plus 9 and F -, 110.
13:50
I think it's. Yeah -110 at at Bet MGM, but.
13:54
Fanduel's down to 8 1/2. ESPN bets down to 8 1/2.
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This line is falling. So if you like Nevada.
13:59
I would grab it now and oh by the.
14:00
Way I have two. Rhythm system matches on.
14:02
Nevada one has Nevada Plus. Six and the other. 1 is a green.
14:07
Star recommendation +6. .7. So it's a gross. 1.
14:11
Maybe Utah State wins. What can they win?
14:13
By 9 or less. Or 88 or.
14:15
Less I guess. So we can all cash.
14:17
I did take Nevada plus 9 1/2. Again, rhythms got around a six
14:21
or seven point game. So Kentucky.
14:23
Plus. 3 1/2. Arkansas State Plus. 4 1/2.
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Nevada plus 9 1/2 now. For some sweats for.
14:31
Tonight, let's talk some college hoops.
14:33
Because it's a good start last night.
14:35
And I was also. Really annoyed because I live in
14:38
Massachusetts and there. Was a there were two dog to
14:41
fave. Games I really like.
14:42
So Buffalo. Came through.
14:43
For us, which was fantastic. But also Florida Atlantic,
14:46
Florida. Atlantic went from plus 1 1/2 to
14:48
-2 and I went. To go bet it and I couldn't find
14:51
it. At any of my books I'm like,
14:53
what the hell? And I remembered oh.
14:54
Massachusetts has a law, sports gambling law, where you can't
14:58
bet on. In state team so I I couldn't
15:00
bet for Atlantic. Because BC is involved.
15:04
In the game and I live in Massachusetts.
15:06
So just kind of. Frustrating, but maybe you also.
15:09
Cash with FAUI know, I know they were.
15:11
Down they had to force OT and they won in overtime but that
15:14
was a dog to fade that also. Came through anyway.
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I got 3 plays for tonight so my angle here is.
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Number one. There were no.
15:22
Spreads that were like. Less than 10 like.
15:24
All these spreads are huge. Tonight, there's a couple.
15:26
That are like 7 or 8. But still big big.
15:29
Numbers so. I gravitated to the.
15:31
The totals, not the. Sides and I was basically going
15:35
through every game looking at OK, which direction of the line.
15:38
Move with the total. Did it go up or down?
15:41
Looking at the splits. And then looking at.
15:43
Both Ken Palm and rhythm so. With Ken Palm of.
15:47
Course you got to. Pay 20 bucks.
15:49
Again, I'm not touting for Ken Palm.
15:51
It's. Just a great resource.
15:52
I'm not, you know. Getting anything by
15:54
recommending? It to you.
15:56
But you go to the fan. Match tab.
15:57
And when I tell you what Ken Palm predicts?
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For the total, you got to add up the 2 scores, so you add up the
16:02
final score. So if he's got.
16:04
A final score of. You know. 80 to 60.
16:08
That would mean that his. Projected total.
16:10
Would be a. 140 so. Again, you're not going to see
16:14
the number in front of you. Just got to add up the 2 scores
16:16
so people have asked. Me that.
16:17
But anyway, I'm looking for discrepancies.
16:20
I'm looking for situations where we have a big.
16:22
Difference between what rhythm? And Ken Palmer predicting.
16:25
And what the betting? Market is offering, so here's
16:28
the first one. That I landed on.
16:29
Eastern Illinois and Valparaiso, now Eastern Illinois.
16:34
Valpo. Is an 8.
16:35
O'clock game here for tonight. This total hasn't moved a ton.
16:39
You know, opened. Around 1:40.
16:40
Four, it's still around. 144. There's a 143 1/2 out there
16:45
there's. A 144.
16:46
And a half out there so. It really hasn't moved a lot,
16:50
but let me take a step back actually.
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Before I give you these plays. I'm leaning toward overs.
16:55
Because we saw overs do very. Well, last night.
16:58
And a lot of these games are not.
16:59
Neutral sites you don't. Have to worry about that.
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Overs in games. That were not added games or
17:03
extra. Games.
17:04
They were 32. And 21 last.
17:06
Night 60 percent, 15% ROI. So I wanted to.
17:09
Give the backdrop of. Of these overs doing well.
17:12
But anyway, Eastern Illinois. Valpo.
17:14
There's a 140. 3 1/2. Out there one 44140. 4 1/2.
17:18
Now I played. The Eastern.
17:20
Illinois Valpo over 1. 43 1/2. At -1. 15 and again.
17:25
A lot of books are a. Little higher, but over. 140. 3
17:28
1/2 -, 115 that's available at. DraftKings right now.
17:31
There's. Also bet MGM but.
17:33
FanDuel and. ESPN Better 140.
17:36
Four and a. Half anyway the.
17:37
Reason why I play the over. Couple things. 1.
17:40
Is that? It's a relatively.
17:41
Short spread It's one of the few games of the short.
17:43
Spread, so it's a -7 half Valpo. They're down to around 6 1/2 for
17:47
five. And a half looks.
17:48
Like some Eastern? Illinois money there so.
17:50
Competitive hopeful spread with short spread toward the dog.
17:54
But really this is a. Discrepancy play because.
17:58
Over 140. 3 1/2. Ken, Ken.
18:01
Palm is predicting 1. 50. And rhythm is predicting. 144.
18:07
.9 now. The 1:44. .9 with rhythm.
18:10
Doesn't seem amazing, but it is a green.
18:12
Star recommended play so. If we can.
18:15
Get over 143 1/2. And Ken Palms got a one. 50 that
18:19
is. A what?
18:20
6 1/2 point edge rhythms about a one.
18:23
Point edge but. It is.
18:23
A green star. Recommended Play.
18:25
So that's a. Discrepancy play for me.
18:27
Basically Ken Palm. Overs are doing well.
18:29
Ken Palm and Rhythm both are saying take the over.
18:32
And we can still get a one. 40. 3 1/2.
18:34
On the over at DraftKings. So I did play Valpo Eastern
18:38
Illinois over 143 1/2. Next one. 830 game, Robbie.
18:43
MO and Iowa. Now this one is really, really
18:47
falling. I was a big favorite.
18:49
Their favorite? By like 22.
18:50
And a half but. Some of these books opened.
18:52
As high as like 1? 44140. 2 Now there was a ton of
18:56
money that. Hit this under.
18:57
Fully admit. Because it's under.
19:00
Or the total I should say. Is all the way.
19:01
Down to 130. 6 1/2. So it's really, really tumbled.
19:04
So you can look at it one of two ways It's.
19:06
Clear. That there was some.
19:08
Sharp under money that came through.
19:09
But a lot of that sharp under money is probably.
19:11
You know, under 144, Wonder 142, under 139.
19:16
Now you're down to 130. 6 1/2. If you play the.
19:19
Under, yes, you're kind of with. That line move.
19:21
But you're also kind of getting the.
19:22
Worst of the number. So I'm going to buy low.
19:24
And take this Iowa. Robbie, MO Over 130. 6 1/2 Now
19:29
you can pretty much find that number everywhere.
19:30
It's pretty universal. What I like about this over is.
19:34
That you're buying low. On a huge dip.
19:36
Number. Two, we have Kenpom.
19:39
Predicting. A 142.
19:42
So you can get. Over 130. 6 1/2 Kenpom.
19:44
'S got a 142. Bit of an edge.
19:47
Rhythm has a one. 42.5. And a 141.9.
19:51
So again. Around a 140. 2 again.
19:54
DraftKings 70. 1% of bets, 82% dollars over Circa. 50% bets.
19:59
78% dollars over and there is a 6% sharp mush edge from juice.
20:04
Reel on this over as well. So this total is.
20:07
Really. Really tanked but think.
20:08
Of it this way if this lands one. 38 We.
20:12
Cash are over, but also the sharps that got.
20:15
You know, under one 4139 1/2. 142 they.
20:18
Cash as well. So there's actually pretty good
20:20
middle opportunity here, like if you got under 142 and you can
20:24
also go come back, go over 136. But anyway, Ken Palm and Rhythm
20:29
have. Around a 142 we can get over
20:31
136. And 1/2.
20:32
Buying low on a big dip. I'm on the.
20:34
Over 130. 6 1/2. With Iowa and.
20:37
Robert. Morris Last bed of the night, LA
20:40
Tech. And Nevada 10:00.
20:42
Tonight. This total really hasn't.
20:44
Moved. It open 130. 6 1/2 it's pretty
20:46
much. Still 136.
20:48
And a half, it's pretty much. Right where it opened.
20:51
But here's another discrepancy play.
20:54
You can get. Over let me just.
20:57
Find this number. Cuz I know it.
21:00
Moved it. Actually just moved because I
21:02
put in the. Over 134.
21:04
And a half. Wow.
21:04
This just moved. I was like 1. 36 1/2 Where did
21:07
that come from? This got down to.
21:09
Over under 134 1/2. And I played the over.
21:13
So if you do. Follow on the juicer lap, you
21:16
would have gotten that. It looks like that was maybe
21:18
some steam from the pod. I don't.
21:20
Know cuz it's backup. To 136.
21:23
You can get a 135 1/2. ESPN bat but.
21:26
Ken Palm is predicting. 142. Rhythm is predicting 137.3.
21:32
So again, these totals move but. It was 136 1/2.
21:36
Down to 134 1/2. Now it's creeping back up.
21:39
But that is a. Rhythm Green Star recommended.
21:42
Over and Ken Palms got a one. 42.
21:44
And that line is. Dropping toward law tech?
21:46
So it was Nevada. -11 now it's. Down to 8 1/2 or 9.
21:51
So I did. Play that lot.
21:52
Wow, I'm kind of surprised by that.
21:54
Over 130. 4 1/2. Again, that's what I put but in
21:57
about. Two hours ago, now it's up to
22:00
over one 36136 1/2. So again, got to jump on them
22:04
quick. But maybe you did get the over
22:07
134 1/2. Lot Tech, Nevada.
22:10
So over 134 1/2 now around 1:30. 6 La Tech, Nevada.
22:13
Robbie MO, Iowa. Over 136 1/2 you.
22:16
Can still find that. Anywhere Eastern Illinois.
22:18
Valpo over 140. 3 1/2 DraftKings bet MGM have that number.
22:24
So 3 totals see. If we can get.
22:26
Two out of three. Each got a winning.
22:28
Day. That, of course, is always the
22:30
goal. So that about does it for
22:32
episode. 1388. Of the all systems go sports
22:36
betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
22:38
This is the part of the. Pod where we wrap.
22:39
Things up and now we start first by.
22:41
Saying thank you, thank you for listening, thank.
22:44
You for taking the time out of your day to pull up a chair to
22:46
the virtual. Bar and sweat some sharp
22:48
data-driven breakdowns. With me if you'd.
22:50
Like to help me grow the pod? Recommend it to a friend.
22:53
Please could you give it a? Five star review on.
22:55
Spotify or iTunes, click the follow button as well.
22:58
That would also be great. But seriously guys, I really.
23:01
Appreciate it if you. Want to help?
23:02
Me grow it too. When I.
23:03
Tweet out the pod. Hey give it a retweet, give it a
23:05
like that would be. Awesome as well.
23:08
Next. If you enjoy the.
23:09
Style of betting breakdown, Data-driven, sharp, contrarian
23:12
betting. Focusing on line movement.
23:14
Bet bet. Split system matches taking a
23:16
contrarian approach. If this style of betting has.
23:19
Appealed to you, it's giving you a.
23:20
Blueprint. To attack the betting market.
23:22
It's giving you an. Overarching, you know, guiding.
23:24
Philosophy and you. Want to learn more?
23:26
About data-driven betting, we have someone.
23:28
In your life, who maybe could use?
23:29
Some data-driven tips or you just want to support?
23:31
The team. I would love.
23:32
For you. To go to Amazon.
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Dot com. And type in the.
23:36
NFL sharp betting playbook. Or the everything.
23:38
Guide to sports betting. Two books that I've written.
23:40
Very proud of both. Obviously NFL sharp betting
23:43
playbook is my new. One and it kind of.
23:46
Goes throughout the. Course of a season.
23:48
In the course of a full year, so a lot of great system splits and
23:51
insights in there as well. But if you want to pick up one
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or both of them. You'll make my day.
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You'll learn a little. Bit more about betting and.
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I tell you what guys, now that it's November.
23:59
You know, we got Thanksgiving coming up.
24:01
Christmas isn't. Far away Hanukkah.
24:03
You need a stocking. Stuffer Hey Pick.
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Up the NFL. Sharp betting playbook but.
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Grab one or both. Bring them to the sports book
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I'll sign them for. You I'll buy a.
24:10
Beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games together.
24:14
Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
24:16
My 2. Favorite sports betting apps?
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Rhythm great for their. AI back models and predictions.
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For game bets. And player props.
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As well as juice rail where you can.
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Get the all systems go. Official best bet picks for
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$4.90. $0.09 a week. Remember La Tech Nevada, I put.
24:29
In over 134 and. 1/2 now it's 136.
24:32
So if you. Want to support the the.
24:34
The pod and tip. Your podcast host.
24:36
Hopefully get some some. Closing line value there I
24:39
noticed I think with Buffalo -150 I want to say they closed
24:42
like -180. Last night too, so.
24:44
You'll get the Robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush.
24:46
Indicators the arbitrage plays. The shop for the best line
24:49
futures. All available to you.
24:51
When you download. Juice Reel so.
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Download Rhythm. Download Juice.
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Reel give them a 5 star. Review in the app.
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Store. Next you have a live odds page
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if you don't. Have one, you need one.
25:01
Especially with college hoops back.
25:03
You know, there's some nights where.
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There's 203040 games. Saturday.
25:06
There's like 100. Games.
25:08
Obviously. College.
25:09
College. Football as well NBA.
25:12
We got everything going. On NFL, of course.
25:14
You got to be able to track the market you want to.
25:16
Be a day driven. Better you need access.
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To the market. To track the market so.
25:20
Odds logic is the. Best live odds page around It
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lets you track the. Market in real time lines move.
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Like The Jets, they traded away their two big guys, Sauce
25:29
Gardner, Quinn and Williams. And I immediately.
25:31
Saw that Jets? Line really jump up.
25:34
The Jets went from. I want to say.
25:36
They were like minus. 2. To now they're getting.
25:40
To against. Cleveland, But you can.
25:42
Track all this with the odds logic Live odds page shop for
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the best price. Identify Steam.
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Compare open a current. Find the juice liability if you
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want to give odds logic a shot. Just go to.
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Oddslogic.com slash. Josh 123 that'll give you a 7
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day free trial and 50% off your first month of service.
26:01
Next. Have you given Novig?
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A shot yet? Novig is a betting.
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Exchange. Not a sports book.
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But you get better juice prices because you don't have to pay
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the big, big prices that the odds makers force on you.
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So instead of paying -1. 15 -, 120.
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You're paying like -1 O 5 -, 1 O 8 plus one O 2.
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So you can win at the exact same rate, but you're.
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Going to get more money back because you're paying less
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juice. So download the Novig app and
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Up to 25. Bucks.
26:38
So that about does it guys, as always whether I see.
26:40
You at the. Borgata in Atlantic.
26:42
City Twin River in. Rhode Island.
26:43
The Brooklyn. New Hampshire.
26:44
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun. Down in Connecticut at the
26:47
Encore in Boston Plain Ridge Park.
26:49
Casino MGM Springfield or the. Nash and my.
26:52
Neck of the woods. On the border of Massachusetts.
26:54
And New Hampshire. Or out in the desert, where the
26:56
true grinders get down. Or Billy Walter.
26:58
Sends his number runners. Where the lowest juice possible
27:00
is found at the South. Point where Sweat.
27:02
And sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium.
27:04
Swimming pool when? You catch a big ticket.
27:06
At circa wherever maybe you're. Going to walk up to me.
27:09
Show me the Buffalo ticket. Was nice to get that college
27:11
football winner because. I tell you what guys the way.
27:14
Football's been going. Recently.
27:16
I might really. Gravitate toward college hoops,
27:18
which is kind of one of my favorite sports to bet.
27:21
But either way, guys, show me a Buffalo.
27:23
Ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
27:25
you. We'll post about the book and
27:26
root for some points tonight with these totals.
27:28
So as always, guys coming off A1.
27:30
And two or A2. And 1A.
27:31
Three and O, or an O and three a great.
27:33
Week a terrible. Week A.
27:34
Hot streak. A cold streak.
27:36
Grinding in the middle, whatever.
27:37
The case may be. Never.
27:38
Get too high or too low? Again, over the course of a
27:41
year. You got 52 weeks, there's going
27:43
to be weeks where you're down. Weeks where you're up.
27:45
Weeks where you're grinding. So you just got to stick with
27:48
it. Continue to think long term.
27:50
Continue to make data-driven plays.
27:52
And if we can do that? Find games that fit our model
27:55
against the public. With the house, with the pros.
27:57
Flat bet Avoid. Parlays and get that.
27:59
Closing line. Value if we can do that.
28:01
We're going to be successful sports bettors.
28:03
So have a great. Tuesday night, everybody be.
28:06
Right back at it tomorrow for a big Wednesday edition.
28:09
That'll be episode 3. 89. Of the all systems go.
28:12
Sports betting podcast. Powered by rhythm.
28:15
Good luck. Everybody and have.
28:16
A great Tuesday night.