Latest / Earn Your Leisure / Troy's Stock Picks for 2025
Transcript
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- 1:51Speaker 2: You know, I don't know if you're ready to do this.
- 1:53Speaker 2: Byal Troy, you had your stocks for next year. Ah, yeah, man,
- 1:57Speaker 2: let's do that. Let's do that.
- 1:58Speaker 1: Yeah, Square.
- 2:09Speaker 2: First and foremost won't get me a game. All right,
- 2:16Speaker 2: let's do it. You all ready? Yes? All right? All right?
- 2:19Speaker 1: So last week I told you that TSM was one
- 2:21Speaker 1: of my Obviously TSM we were looking at it had
- 2:25Speaker 1: a great day today.
- 2:25Speaker 2: Shout out to TSM and everybody that's in that position.
- 2:28Speaker 1: Uh. I don't think that it's slowing down. It passed
- 2:31Speaker 1: a key threshold. When we talked about supporting resistance on
- 2:33Speaker 1: the call, it was at two o two, So we
- 2:35Speaker 1: saw a run up to ten today, which is a
- 2:37Speaker 1: great sign leading into the next year. That's on my list.
- 2:40Speaker 1: It was my stocking year last year. Somebody was in
- 2:42Speaker 1: the comments like, you name it, that's your stocking year again. Yeah,
- 2:44Speaker 1: I did, because they got still the story, all right. Yeah,
- 2:48Speaker 1: so I asked some questions. All right, I think the
- 2:50Speaker 1: obvious are on here, uh ASML obviously when we talk
- 2:55Speaker 1: about everything here I and it being at the centerpiece of.
- 2:59Speaker 2: This this revolution, I don't.
- 3:02Speaker 1: I mean, they have monopoly, and we've always talked about
- 3:05Speaker 1: having a monopoly, like what Amazon, This is a monopoly, right,
- 3:08Speaker 1: This space cannot thrive without that machinery that is provided
- 3:12Speaker 1: to TSM, which is going to manufacture the chips as well.
- 3:14Speaker 1: Even with Amazon saying that they're going to produce their
- 3:17Speaker 1: own chip, they've hired TSM as a manufacturer.
- 3:21Speaker 2: So, okay, it's still the cycle. So we got to
- 3:24Speaker 2: go to the stock. Pick your Amazon.
- 3:27Speaker 1: It's good the Okay, at this point that's always gonna
- 3:30Speaker 1: be my stock, all right, so that that one doesn't count.
- 3:32Speaker 2: Uh, Broadcom is in my stocks of the year. I
- 3:35Speaker 2: got a bunch.
- 3:36Speaker 1: I got usually it's five, but I said, you know what,
- 3:38Speaker 1: there's just so many that I'm going to go through
- 3:40Speaker 1: more broad coom obviously from connectivity standpoint, inside of the
- 3:44Speaker 1: data centers and what its partnership and inside of working
- 3:47Speaker 1: with Nvideo is on there Lily. I mean basically we
- 3:51Speaker 1: speak about this all the time. We saw what happened
- 3:54Speaker 1: last week and if you weren't paying attention, uh Novo
- 3:58Speaker 1: had their first trial with their their weight loss specific
- 4:01Speaker 1: drug and it didn't do as well. We saw a
- 4:03Speaker 1: noble pullback that increased the stock price for Lily. I
- 4:07Speaker 1: think Lily is the problem with that pullback that they
- 4:10Speaker 1: had was that the demand was so hot that they
- 4:12Speaker 1: couldn't figure out how to match the demand.
- 4:15Speaker 2: I think they saw that that issue.
- 4:16Speaker 1: They're going to outpace with more capacity, more spending inside
- 4:19Speaker 1: of infrastructure to meet the demand. So Lily's on my
- 4:22Speaker 1: list as well. We got in Nvidia of course. I
- 4:25Speaker 1: think in Video still has an incredible year. Blackwell, we
- 4:28Speaker 1: talked about Rubin. I mean that's an obvious one. I
- 4:32Speaker 1: have AMD as well. I have AMD a good year
- 4:37Speaker 1: for a number of reasons. Obviously, we talk about being
- 4:39Speaker 1: number one and number two and I still stand by it.
- 4:42Speaker 1: Right Sometimes being number two in the space is it's okay.
- 4:45Speaker 1: Obviously they're well behind in video when it comes to
- 4:50Speaker 1: the GPU market. I think in video has like eighty
- 4:52Speaker 1: seven percent market year. But that next tier, which is
- 4:55Speaker 1: like fifteen to seventeen percent, it's AMD. There isn't like
- 4:59Speaker 1: another three and better. So it is AMD. But what
- 5:02Speaker 1: they have done is they've kicked Intel to the curve
- 5:04Speaker 1: in terms of the CPU market, and so you have
- 5:07Speaker 1: number one.
- 5:07Speaker 2: Now is AMD in that market.
- 5:09Speaker 1: We saw some pullback with Micron last week because of
- 5:12Speaker 1: the sales of computers and smartphones, which is a bigger story, right,
- 5:18Speaker 1: Like when we talk about Apple, what does that look like?
- 5:21Speaker 1: So those things are the things we should be looking at.
- 5:23Speaker 1: What computer sales are looking like, what smartphones are looking like,
- 5:25Speaker 1: because all these things play a role. I think AMD
- 5:28Speaker 1: is at a key threshold. As more corporate accounts the
- 5:32Speaker 1: Amazons of the world, the Metas of the world, the
- 5:34Speaker 1: microsource of the world apples. The more Blackwell sells out,
- 5:38Speaker 1: you're going to need a replacement.
- 5:42Speaker 2: You need a second tier.
- 5:43Speaker 1: Now from everything that they've said, the M one three
- 5:47Speaker 1: hundred x, which is a MD's new GPU. They said
- 5:52Speaker 1: it's super powerful and super efficient. If it performs at
- 5:55Speaker 1: it even somewhere close to where Blackwell is, you're going
- 5:59Speaker 1: to see an up taking their sales. So AMD's on
- 6:01Speaker 1: the list as well. Let's see where else did we
- 6:04Speaker 1: go that was those cases. I have Micron as well
- 6:09Speaker 1: from a memory standpoint, and it's interesting. I've just read
- 6:12Speaker 1: CNBC's Market Companies of twenty twenty five. They had a
- 6:16Speaker 1: list of which ones had the most profitability likelihood.
- 6:20Speaker 2: Micron was in there.
- 6:21Speaker 1: It had thirty six percent increase. Also in there was
- 6:25Speaker 1: Western Digital. What are those two things have in common?
- 6:27Speaker 1: They talk about the memory space, right, so we always
- 6:30Speaker 1: talk about data stores, data storage, data storage. These two
- 6:33Speaker 1: companies focused on memory, which will be one of the
- 6:36Speaker 1: stories of twenty twenty five as well. Micro strategy of course,
- 6:40Speaker 1: right when we're talking about this bitcoin and I'm glad
- 6:43Speaker 1: we had that class when we talked about the life
- 6:44Speaker 1: cycle of bitcoin and appreciation that twenty nine percent average
- 6:48Speaker 1: the fourth year of the cycle being the best. Well,
- 6:51Speaker 1: if that stays consistent, then MicroStrategy is something that we
- 6:54Speaker 1: definitely have to have on our list. And then the
- 6:56Speaker 1: last three of all energy companies that have to deal
- 6:59Speaker 1: with power the future of the AI revolution VRT write
- 7:04Speaker 1: these down, v R T, UH vs T and GeV
- 7:09Speaker 1: and g EV was a branch off from General Electric.
- 7:12Speaker 1: This is more focusing on data centers. You've seen the
- 7:15Speaker 1: energy flow going into data centers. We talked about Microsoft
- 7:18Speaker 1: with their purchase of Constellation, we talk about Amazon. Everybody's
- 7:22Speaker 1: trying to figure out how they're going to create their
- 7:25Speaker 1: own energy source to now power the next revolution. So
- 7:28Speaker 1: energy is one of those big stories for me, definitely
- 7:30Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five.
- 7:32Speaker 2: Those are my picks for the Andkava shout out to Kava.
- 7:36Speaker 1: And the more I have conversation with people, the less
- 7:38Speaker 1: they are familiar with Cava, which is very interesting to
- 7:41Speaker 1: me because if we watched their I guess the fairest
- 7:44Speaker 1: comparison with the Chipotle, right, Chipotle is fast, casual Mexican grill.
- 7:50Speaker 1: Cava is fast casual Mediterranean.
- 7:53Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 7:54Speaker 1: To valuate polar store to store evaluations, it is pretty interesting,
- 7:59Speaker 1: which tells me that there's room for expansion. I think
- 8:02Speaker 1: Chipotle has over thirty three hundred stores across America. Cava
- 8:07Speaker 1: is trying to add fifty six stores fifty six. I
- 8:10Speaker 1: think they have like three hundred and fifty stores in existence.
- 8:12Speaker 1: They're supposed to be adding to fifty eight by the
- 8:14Speaker 1: end of this year, which is this week.
- 8:16Speaker 2: That expansion story.
- 8:17Speaker 1: Is going to lead to more and more and more
- 8:19Speaker 1: wealth inside of the company.
- 8:21Speaker 2: Most important thing they have zero zero zero zero debt.
- 8:27Speaker 2: Zero debt my favorite number, growing expanding, zero debt. It's
- 8:33Speaker 2: a blueprint. That's a blueprint. Yeah, take over my stock
- 8:35Speaker 2: of twenty cove.
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