Latest / Masters in Business / King Street's Brian Higgins On Navigating Distressed Markets
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News.
- 0:09Speaker 2: This is Master's in Business with Barry red Holds on
- 0:13Speaker 2: Bloomberg Radio.
- 0:16Speaker 1: I'm Barry Ridults. You're listening to Masters in Business on
- 0:19Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. This week on the podcast What Can I Say?
- 0:23Speaker 1: Brian Higgins has put together an amazing track record handling
- 0:28Speaker 1: distressed and stressed debts as well as other forms of credit,
- 0:33Speaker 1: real estate, collateralized obligations. King Street is a fascinating firm.
- 0:39Speaker 1: It was formed in nineteen ninety five. Over the course
- 0:42Speaker 1: of the past I don't know, twenty five years, they've
- 0:45Speaker 1: put together really an impressive track record. They have already
- 0:50Speaker 1: returned about eighty percent of the net gains they've had
- 0:55Speaker 1: to their limited partners. Really, there are a few people
- 0:59Speaker 1: in the world who have a better sense of distress, asset, credit,
- 1:03Speaker 1: real estate, and how to not only do the fundamental research,
- 1:08Speaker 1: but tactically trade around the positions. As an example, institutional
- 1:13Speaker 1: investors mentioned King Street in twenty twenty two, perhaps the
- 1:18Speaker 1: worst year for hedge funds since eight o nine. They
- 1:23Speaker 1: were down three point eight percent. Their benchmarks were down,
- 1:26Speaker 1: you know, fixed income was fifteen percent, equities was twenty
- 1:29Speaker 1: something percent. To be low single digits is really just
- 1:34Speaker 1: a testament to their performance. U there are a few
- 1:39Speaker 1: people who are more knowledgeable about fixed income, credit, real
- 1:45Speaker 1: estate and distressed investing than Brian Higgins. I found this
- 1:50Speaker 1: conversation to be fascinating, and I think you will also,
- 1:54Speaker 1: with no further ado, King Streets Brian Higgins.
- 1:58Speaker 2: Well, thank you very much, Barry me.
- 2:00Speaker 1: I appreciate you being here. I've been looking forward to
- 2:02Speaker 1: this conversation for a while. Let's jump right into it.
- 2:06Speaker 1: You get a bachelor's in business administration from Villanova University.
- 2:10Speaker 1: What was investing always the career plan?
- 2:13Speaker 2: Well, actually I started out electrical engineering.
- 2:16Speaker 1: Me too. That's funny you say that first first.
- 2:18Speaker 2: Two years electrial engeering. You graduate from high school. I'm
- 2:21Speaker 2: good at math and science, and you know, I always
- 2:24Speaker 2: had an idea with go into business, but I felt
- 2:26Speaker 2: that electrical engeering would be a good foundation, and that's
- 2:30Speaker 2: what I started at. But after two years it was
- 2:33Speaker 2: sort of not very interesting, and I was intrigued by
- 2:37Speaker 2: the markets at the time. In the mid eighties, you
- 2:39Speaker 2: had a lot of stuff going on in terms of
- 2:40Speaker 2: the merger boom, and Wall Street was rocking, and I said, hey,
- 2:45Speaker 2: this is sort of interesting. I was probably the only
- 2:48Speaker 2: electrical engeering major that had a subscription to the Wall
- 2:51Speaker 2: Street Journal. So my roommate, who was a mechanical engineer,
- 2:56Speaker 2: said to me, what are you doing. Why don't you
- 2:58Speaker 2: just switch over to finance, which I said.
- 3:01Speaker 1: Sure, makes makes a lot of sense. So you come
- 3:03Speaker 1: out of Villanova, you end up at First Boston in
- 3:06Speaker 1: nineteen eighty seven in the special Situations fund and distressed
- 3:10Speaker 1: securities group.
- 3:11Speaker 2: Yeah, we started out. I started out banking the two
- 3:13Speaker 2: year banking program, which merchant banking was the group I
- 3:16Speaker 2: was in. My co founder was an analyst. He came
- 3:20Speaker 2: out of Yale. He was in the Bankruptcy Advisory group.
- 3:22Speaker 2: So we're in the analyst program together, sixty five of us.
- 3:27Speaker 2: And after two years I went down to trade distress Proprietarily,
- 3:31Speaker 2: I got promoted to associate without going to business school.
- 3:34Speaker 2: I had done an undergraduate business and felt that, you know, hey,
- 3:37Speaker 2: I can do this, but I want to get some
- 3:39Speaker 2: different just rather being the analyst that never left. I
- 3:42Speaker 2: want to get some markets experience, but you know, stay
- 3:44Speaker 2: in the proprietary side. So there was a proprietary trading
- 3:49Speaker 2: group that was forming and I was joined that, and
- 3:53Speaker 2: it was an interesting time in high yield as you know,
- 3:57Speaker 2: shortly thereafter Drexel, which goes from one day issuing commercial
- 4:01Speaker 2: paper and the next day they go bankrupt.
- 4:04Speaker 1: So what was it like trading distress securities in the
- 4:07Speaker 1: late eighties that had to be you know, a pretty
- 4:11Speaker 1: let's call it target rich environment.
- 4:13Speaker 2: Well, I would say it was interesting because the Marcus
- 4:18Speaker 2: sophistication that we have today in terms of really the
- 4:22Speaker 2: fluidity of capital, structures, of trading desks, et cetera, seamlessness
- 4:26Speaker 2: which you had, you had. It was interesting. You'd see
- 4:28Speaker 2: things go from say the investment grade market to the
- 4:31Speaker 2: high yield market. There was a big disconnect as they
- 4:35Speaker 2: move positions that started to trade wider. The buyers didn't
- 4:39Speaker 2: have the ability to go cross assets and a cross
- 4:43Speaker 2: let's say ratings as they are today. You know, mutual
- 4:46Speaker 2: funds were very siloed and now they're a bit wider mandates.
- 4:50Speaker 2: So it was yes, you had you know, ni CE
- 4:54Speaker 2: ratings changed for insurance companies post Drexel, and so there
- 4:58Speaker 2: was a number of less liquid markets that made for
- 5:02Speaker 2: quite wide spreads. You had a default cycle, so you
- 5:06Speaker 2: had trading with the crude and trading flat, and so
- 5:09Speaker 2: there was certainly a number of different movements, but there
- 5:12Speaker 2: was certainly downside of these things. So one had to
- 5:17Speaker 2: be very rigorous in your investing, in your analysis to
- 5:23Speaker 2: do the investing.
- 5:24Speaker 1: So you're at a big bank in eighty seven, you know,
- 5:28Speaker 1: obviously there were a lot of market dislocations later that year.
- 5:31Speaker 1: What was that experience like for you? It was.
- 5:36Speaker 2: Interesting. I mean, it certainly was indoctrination into the world
- 5:40Speaker 2: of finance. You go from you know, these big parties
- 5:43Speaker 2: during the summer as you welcome to the new analysts,
- 5:46Speaker 2: to the market crash obviously in October of eighty seven.
- 5:50Speaker 2: I think the volatility that ensued and then you know
- 5:53Speaker 2: the world's going to end, and then you know it
- 5:56Speaker 2: comes back. I think that just spoke to the resiliency markets,
- 6:00Speaker 2: but also the certainly the volatili and fragility of certain
- 6:04Speaker 2: sectors that one has to be mindful of. And you know,
- 6:08Speaker 2: I think ultimately there was a number of opportunities that
- 6:10Speaker 2: came out. I had no money back in eighty seven,
- 6:12Speaker 2: but certainly, you know, some of the maging directors and
- 6:15Speaker 2: other people that had some money, they made quite a
- 6:19Speaker 2: quite a bit of profits on some of the left
- 6:23Speaker 2: for dead Microsoft and others that were just you know,
- 6:27Speaker 2: sold to very low levels.
- 6:28Speaker 1: So that sort of this location sounds like it was
- 6:31Speaker 1: a formative experience.
- 6:33Speaker 2: Sure, and you know, many of these things I look at,
- 6:36Speaker 2: you know growing up, you know, gas lines in the
- 6:39Speaker 2: seventies and you know, we had real recessions back of
- 6:42Speaker 2: the seventies and eighties. These days, you know, it sounded
- 6:45Speaker 2: like an old, cranky, old guy. But when you you know,
- 6:48Speaker 2: that's the challenge of prosperity that it doesn't really prepare
- 6:54Speaker 2: oneself investors too, right, you know, if you always have
- 6:57Speaker 2: the FED put, if you always have you know just
- 7:00Speaker 2: QI forever, that that does have a lot of complacency.
- 7:04Speaker 2: And you see it as you've gone from active to
- 7:07Speaker 2: passive investing, people are like, well, why do I pay
- 7:09Speaker 2: you know for active investing? I could just you know,
- 7:11Speaker 2: it's easy. And now is dispersion has increased in fixed income.
- 7:15Speaker 2: I think it's brings back, you know, the active investing.
- 7:18Speaker 2: But you know, structurally there's there's a lot of money
- 7:21Speaker 2: that's gone into to pass investing, which we believe will
- 7:25Speaker 2: sew the seeds for the opportunity set for some time
- 7:28Speaker 2: going forward.
- 7:29Speaker 1: And arguably, passive doesn't work nearly as well on the
- 7:33Speaker 1: fixed income side as it does on equities.
- 7:36Speaker 2: Well, I mean again passive. You know it's nowadays if
- 7:40Speaker 2: you look at the big banks, they're doing portfolio trading
- 7:44Speaker 2: with large swaths of their institutional clients. And so someone
- 7:48Speaker 2: will say I want give me a triple B single
- 7:51Speaker 2: A exposure and these industries, and they go out and
- 7:54Speaker 2: dial it up or down in terms of exposure.
- 7:57Speaker 1: Uh.
- 7:57Speaker 2: That creates opportunities within the trading market. So uh for
- 8:02Speaker 2: our long short credit hedge fund, you know there's there's
- 8:05Speaker 2: this locations and opportunities to trade, uh, to make money
- 8:08Speaker 2: in those situations. But I mean, you know it's in
- 8:14Speaker 2: these these markets as we as we pivot going forward. Again,
- 8:19Speaker 2: if if you're saying I'm gonna earn five and change percent,
- 8:23Speaker 2: you know my cash and you know, fixed income no
- 8:26Speaker 2: problem to Fault rates are near zero. Now, fault rates
- 8:30Speaker 2: are kind of skewed a bit because you do have
- 8:32Speaker 2: perhaps in high yield. If you look at you know,
- 8:34Speaker 2: these liability management exercises and other restructurings out of court,
- 8:39Speaker 2: it doesn't default, but then there's a lesser consideration you
- 8:42Speaker 2: get for your your claim. Uh, so it does factor enter.
- 8:45Speaker 2: But you know, you've had a very benign default environment
- 8:49Speaker 2: as we've had a lot of money printed for quite
- 8:51Speaker 2: some time. If you look at the Fed's balance sheet,
- 8:53Speaker 2: the M two that has been printed, you know there's
- 8:57Speaker 2: there's been a great tailwind. Huh.
- 9:00Speaker 1: Really interesting. So let's fast forward to nineteen ninety five.
- 9:04Speaker 1: What led you guys to depart and co found King Street.
- 9:09Speaker 2: So going from you know, First Boston banking, trading, distress proprietarily,
- 9:14Speaker 2: then we started internal hedge fund at First Boston and
- 9:18Speaker 2: that was from ninety one to ninety four, so I
- 9:20Speaker 2: think about I already had started, in effect helped form
- 9:23Speaker 2: to these businesses. And so at the end of ninety four,
- 9:27Speaker 2: again many issues with First Boston, which became Credit Swiss,
- 9:31Speaker 2: became ubs. They've I think I had five CEOs I
- 9:35Speaker 2: worked under for the seven eight years I was there,
- 9:38Speaker 2: and so we said we could do this, and my
- 9:41Speaker 2: co founder and myself we left around a few months
- 9:45Speaker 2: apart in ninety four form King Street started trading in
- 9:48Speaker 2: ninety five. We never thought we'd start with the princely
- 9:52Speaker 2: sum of four million dollars, which is what we started with.
- 9:55Speaker 2: We thought, oh, we're gonna start with fifty. All these
- 9:57Speaker 2: people are like, yeah, I'll give you five, I'll get
- 9:59Speaker 2: you ten. You know, no problem in encouraging us to leave,
- 10:02Speaker 2: So be it. We started with fort One of the
- 10:05Speaker 2: first million dollars came from Jimmy Kine, who was chairman, yeah, chairman,
- 10:09Speaker 2: CEO of Bear Stearns. I had met him through another
- 10:11Speaker 2: friend of mine, Vince TC, and know him through golf
- 10:15Speaker 2: and got to be friendly with him, and he heard
- 10:18Speaker 2: what I was doing and he said, you know, I'm
- 10:20Speaker 2: happy to give you a million dollars of my money
- 10:23Speaker 2: to manage, and you can use my name in marketing,
- 10:27Speaker 2: and so you know, it was it was quite comical
- 10:30Speaker 2: because I have back then a list of references. Right.
- 10:33Speaker 2: It felt like I was going for a job interview
- 10:36Speaker 2: asking for money back then. And we were two guys
- 10:38Speaker 2: twenty nine years old, as you know. My brother called
- 10:41Speaker 2: us two guys capital and we would you go around
- 10:44Speaker 2: all the usual suspects, begging for something, and we ended up,
- 10:48Speaker 2: as I said, with four million. But you know, Jimmy
- 10:50Speaker 2: took a personal pride and he took and people say,
- 10:54Speaker 2: you mean I can call this guy he's CEO Bear
- 10:56Speaker 2: Stearns said, I said, yeah, yeah, call him up. So
- 10:58Speaker 2: he call him up and then immediately he'd called me opposite.
- 11:00Speaker 2: You know, how did I do you get the money yet?
- 11:02Speaker 2: So you know, it was it was, it was very humbling.
- 11:04Speaker 2: It was a very sweet, you know mentor of mine
- 11:08Speaker 2: as an Irish Catholic kid. You know, it's nice to
- 11:10Speaker 2: have a rabbi such as such as Jimmy and Vince
- 11:14Speaker 2: you know, introduced us. And also Vince was incredibly helpful
- 11:18Speaker 2: so having to you know, fathers of King Street, if
- 11:22Speaker 2: you will, And they asked for nothing in return except
- 11:25Speaker 2: the satisfaction that they received by seeing us grow and prosper,
- 11:28Speaker 2: which was again very very fortunate and blessed to have
- 11:33Speaker 2: that those two people in my life.
- 11:35Speaker 1: So from four million dollars you eventually grow assets over
- 11:38Speaker 1: time to twenty six twenty seven billion dollars. That's an
- 11:42Speaker 1: incredible track record over twenty five years. And I also
- 11:48Speaker 1: can't help but notice it's been reported by places like
- 11:52Speaker 1: Institutional Investor that you guys have distributed about eighty percent
- 11:57Speaker 1: of those gains, which is really impressive. It tells me
- 12:02Speaker 1: that you're concerned about scaling up too large. Tell us
- 12:07Speaker 1: a little bit about why you kept the firm at
- 12:09Speaker 1: a fairly modest size in terms of capital that you're trading.
- 12:15Speaker 2: Well, I think there's opportunities that EBB and flow, and
- 12:18Speaker 2: I think it's important to have the right structure, and
- 12:21Speaker 2: so we have a number of business lines. We have
- 12:24Speaker 2: our Cloudwise loan obligation business COLO business that is super
- 12:29Speaker 2: interesting business. It does help feed into our long short
- 12:33Speaker 2: credit business, which is our long standing business that we
- 12:36Speaker 2: started in nineteen ninety five. We also have a number
- 12:39Speaker 2: of drawdown businesses, drawdown meeting, drawdown credit, distress businesses, and
- 12:44Speaker 2: those have longer duration attached to them, which is commensurate
- 12:49Speaker 2: with the opportunities we're investing in. We also have a
- 12:52Speaker 2: real estate business that we so used to be. The
- 12:55Speaker 2: credit headphone business had what's called side pockets. A couple
- 12:59Speaker 2: of years ago. We remove them and it's just the
- 13:01Speaker 2: liquid long short credit business. And the side pockets come
- 13:04Speaker 2: in the form of these draw down fund structures. That
- 13:06Speaker 2: is something the industry has gravitated towards the last say
- 13:10Speaker 2: ten years, and.
- 13:12Speaker 1: Meaning as each of those things mature, they get paid
- 13:14Speaker 1: out to the correct right LPs.
- 13:16Speaker 2: Right, so you got three or three or one year
- 13:18Speaker 2: extension perhaps which three are investing through harvesting and then
- 13:22Speaker 2: payout traditional but they can vary, and so that's really
- 13:27Speaker 2: having different buckets and one has to you know, it
- 13:31Speaker 2: gets complicated because you have different investors in different buckets,
- 13:33Speaker 2: and then there are different vintages and then they say, okay,
- 13:36Speaker 2: I need distributions and you know which ventures you do,
- 13:39Speaker 2: and the timing they can be, oh, I don't have
- 13:41Speaker 2: money this year for next year. So there's there's a
- 13:44Speaker 2: whole planning that goes on in terms of when you
- 13:46Speaker 2: launch different funds. But it for for us in the
- 13:50Speaker 2: long shore credit business, there's lots of lots of opportunities
- 13:53Speaker 2: as a number of the people that we used to
- 13:56Speaker 2: see all the time in the markets are no longer
- 13:58Speaker 2: around and so that we believe has shrunk the competition,
- 14:04Speaker 2: if you will, in the long shore credit trading business
- 14:07Speaker 2: for stress to stress, and I think also it's it's
- 14:10Speaker 2: where are we in the cycle? Do we ever do
- 14:12Speaker 2: we believe that there will ever be a credit cycle?
- 14:15Speaker 2: Do we think we'll ever have defaults again? Or you know,
- 14:19Speaker 2: will we continue to grow? Depending on your math, we're
- 14:21Speaker 2: I have two trillion of deficits and you know, then
- 14:24Speaker 2: all these other amounts of debt around the world in
- 14:28Speaker 2: the government side that is being printed to uh support
- 14:31Speaker 2: global economies. I think at a certain point we see
- 14:35Speaker 2: this competition for capital, if you will, between you know
- 14:38Speaker 2: what the public sector, uh, the government sector, in the
- 14:41Speaker 2: in the private sector is trying to you know. So
- 14:44Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be hard for rates to go
- 14:45Speaker 2: low because there's still you know, a lot of depths
- 14:49Speaker 2: that's spending out there. I mean, think about the deaths
- 14:50Speaker 2: thats we have when it's pretty much full employment, economy
- 14:54Speaker 2: is still pretty strong.
- 14:56Speaker 1: What are we one point eight trillion a year?
- 14:58Speaker 2: I mean to some say two. You know, it always
- 15:01Speaker 2: I see different numbers all the time. So it's always
- 15:04Speaker 2: kind of like who's math, if you.
- 15:05Speaker 1: Will, huh really interesting. And it seems like everybody and
- 15:10Speaker 1: their brother managed to refinance both household and corporations in
- 15:14Speaker 1: the twenty tens when rates were low, except Uncle Sam
- 15:18Speaker 1: couldn't couldn't get around to it.
- 15:20Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know you say that the I joke,
- 15:24Speaker 2: the greatest asset and many people's portfolio is their thirty
- 15:29Speaker 2: year two three percent mortgage, right, And so affordability has
- 15:34Speaker 2: been problematic because of the supply, you know, we're short
- 15:39Speaker 2: whatever five million homes, but the you know, the affordability
- 15:43Speaker 2: is still because of that and other factors, has been difficult.
- 15:48Speaker 2: So I mean, I think they're they're you know, it's
- 15:51Speaker 2: a very it's a complicated landscape on the consumer.
- 15:54Speaker 1: Side, to say the least. I mentioned earlier the Institutional
- 15:58Speaker 1: Investor Lifetime Achievement Award you and your co founding partner received.
- 16:04Speaker 1: Tell us what that meant to you. That is not
- 16:07Speaker 1: something that many people get tagged with. I think there
- 16:12Speaker 1: have been forty recipients of that from Institutional Investor. Tell
- 16:16Speaker 1: us what that meant?
- 16:17Speaker 2: That sort of recognition, It's an incredible honor and an
- 16:23Speaker 2: honor shared by all the current and past, you know,
- 16:28Speaker 2: people that worked at King Street and so we are
- 16:32Speaker 2: some of the effort that has put forth over the
- 16:37Speaker 2: thirty years, not just the partners, but and also the
- 16:40Speaker 2: investors that believed in us and continue to believe in us,
- 16:44Speaker 2: and counterparties, et cetera. And it sounds tripe, but it
- 16:48Speaker 2: is very appropriate and true that, you know, we're just
- 16:52Speaker 2: beneficiaries of, you know, some amazing people that we lucky
- 16:57Speaker 2: to deem us worthy over the years. It's very humbling,
- 17:02Speaker 2: it's very exciting, and it also you know, it's interesting
- 17:05Speaker 2: because you know there's there's always well why now, why
- 17:08Speaker 2: are you doing these podcasts? Or why would you do that?
- 17:11Speaker 2: And I guess it's it's really we have a story
- 17:15Speaker 2: to tell and I'm very proud of King Street and
- 17:18Speaker 2: the people, and I think it's a great opportunity. And
- 17:23Speaker 2: it also is a sign of the times where we are.
- 17:25Speaker 2: And I think evolution personally and professionally as a firm
- 17:29Speaker 2: as an institution is so critical and I think that's
- 17:33Speaker 2: part of our staying power, is our desire to continuous improvement.
- 17:38Speaker 2: And you know, you look back and people might say, well,
- 17:42Speaker 2: why do you focus on the past? Well, you know,
- 17:44Speaker 2: focus on the past so that there is a future.
- 17:47Speaker 2: I think the Lifetime Achievement Award is it is kind
- 17:50Speaker 2: of I thought they give it to dead guys whatever,
- 17:52Speaker 2: But you know, we're not dead yet and don't plan
- 17:55Speaker 2: it ever being so we're we're excited about the going forward.
- 17:59Speaker 1: Like that concept you don't know where you're going unless
- 18:02Speaker 1: you understand where you've already been. It makes a lot
- 18:04Speaker 1: of sense. Let's talk a little bit about what you
- 18:08Speaker 1: guys do you mentioned earlier stressed and distressed. I know
- 18:14Speaker 1: that they're two very different things, but there's some nuance
- 18:17Speaker 1: there help us understand the distinction between stressed assets and
- 18:21Speaker 1: distressed assets.
- 18:23Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it is kind of nuance in a way.
- 18:26Speaker 2: I think, you know, distressed assets, you know, you're you're
- 18:31Speaker 2: on your way to default most times or restructuring. Stressed assets,
- 18:37Speaker 2: you know, can be out of favor assets. I think
- 18:40Speaker 2: you're splitting hairs. You know. Some would say, oh, triple
- 18:42Speaker 2: C bucket, that's all distressed, and if you look in
- 18:46Speaker 2: single B, double B, oh, that's stressed. You know. I
- 18:49Speaker 2: think it also depends on where we are on the
- 18:51Speaker 2: cycle what can be stressed distressed. And also if you
- 18:56Speaker 2: look at a stressed infrastructure situation, that might not be
- 19:01Speaker 2: that wide in terms of total spread. So let's say
- 19:05Speaker 2: you have you know, a thousand basis points over the
- 19:09Speaker 2: treasury is a say, a distress situation. And then if
- 19:13Speaker 2: you look at something that normally trades say one hundred over,
- 19:16Speaker 2: but it's trading at two hundred over and that could
- 19:20Speaker 2: be stressed. Now you would say, well, that's in high yield.
- 19:24Speaker 2: That's nothing we can see a you know, twenty fifty
- 19:27Speaker 2: hundred and two hundred spread widening or tightening, you know
- 19:29Speaker 2: in high yield. Now that is I'm giving a historical perspective.
- 19:34Speaker 2: It seems like the last couple of years, this is
- 19:37Speaker 2: not your father's high yield market when they you know,
- 19:40Speaker 2: high yield meant junk bonds, and these days high yield
- 19:43Speaker 2: is trying to be an investment grade market given the
- 19:46Speaker 2: security five ye these days you had the FED come
- 19:51Speaker 2: in and push a lot of the banks and say, hey,
- 19:53Speaker 2: you can't have a ton of leverage on the high
- 19:55Speaker 2: yield issuance, and so they kind of help create the
- 19:59Speaker 2: private credit market, if you will, or it went into
- 20:02Speaker 2: loans and so and lack of covenant protection. But the
- 20:08Speaker 2: the quality of the higher market is dramatically different than
- 20:12Speaker 2: you know, once I came up.
- 20:14Speaker 1: So it sounds like it's not so much that there's
- 20:18Speaker 1: any real distinction other than a spectrum of risk of
- 20:22Speaker 1: your debt is going to have a higher yield but
- 20:25Speaker 1: greater risk that comes along with it, and stressed distressed
- 20:29Speaker 1: are just different points along that spectrum.
- 20:31Speaker 2: Is that fair? H? I think that's fair. I mean again,
- 20:33Speaker 2: I'm sure some would have their own classification system as
- 20:37Speaker 2: it were I would, I would just liken it and
- 20:40Speaker 2: too you know, distressed as you know, real operational issues
- 20:45Speaker 2: or financial issues that as I say, inevitably preponderance of
- 20:50Speaker 2: outcomes is to a restructuring or a bankruptcy out of
- 20:54Speaker 2: quart or others, and so versus the stress which is
- 20:57Speaker 2: not always heading that way.
- 20:59Speaker 1: So let's delve into not your father's high yield market.
- 21:04Speaker 1: How does the high yield market differ today than when
- 21:07Speaker 1: you begin in the nineties, and how much credit or
- 21:11Speaker 1: blame lay at the feet of the Federal Reserve.
- 21:14Speaker 2: Well, I wouldn't say it's the Fed. I think the
- 21:17Speaker 2: markets have evolved dramatically. And if you look at markets
- 21:22Speaker 2: around the world, you know, the US capital markets or
- 21:25Speaker 2: the envy of the world, because the banks have had
- 21:28Speaker 2: less and less responsibility, if you will, meaning they're twenty
- 21:31Speaker 2: five percent banking a traditional banks and seventy five percent
- 21:35Speaker 2: capital markets, which would be you know, all sorts of bonds,
- 21:38Speaker 2: private and public. You go to Europe, it's seventy five
- 21:41Speaker 2: percent banks. You go to developing markets, it's ninety five
- 21:44Speaker 2: hundred percent banks. And so they're more susceptible boom and
- 21:47Speaker 2: buck bus because there's that lack of you know, cushion
- 21:51Speaker 2: and you know, and the more systemic in terms of
- 21:54Speaker 2: their issues when when the economy turns. But if you
- 21:58Speaker 2: go back to the question on you know, a high
- 22:00Speaker 2: yield and how it's differentiated, there was just a lot
- 22:03Speaker 2: more leverage back then. I remember doing the Allied Federated deal. Now,
- 22:08Speaker 2: granted the ristory rate was higher, but you had you know,
- 22:12Speaker 2: sixteen percent loans, seventy percent loans, You had you know,
- 22:17Speaker 2: eight times ten times leverage, right, So so you have
- 22:21Speaker 2: less leverage, you know, lower spread going in as they said,
- 22:25Speaker 2: higher quality and then and the greater leverage is being
- 22:29Speaker 2: found at times in some of the private credit or
- 22:33Speaker 2: or other loans. But I think this extreme leverage is
- 22:39Speaker 2: not as prevalent as it once was, and so I
- 22:41Speaker 2: would I would argue that, you know, the markets have
- 22:44Speaker 2: been more rational in terms of their approach to leverage
- 22:47Speaker 2: than ever before, at least you know, my almost forty
- 22:51Speaker 2: years doing this.
- 22:52Speaker 1: So you also talked about the US markets versus you know,
- 22:56Speaker 1: Europe and emerging markets. How much credit it goes to
- 23:02Speaker 1: places like the FDIC or the SEC or is it
- 23:06Speaker 1: just the full faith and credit of the US government
- 23:10Speaker 1: standing on top of a very healthy macro economy.
- 23:14Speaker 2: In terms of the market construct comparing us versus the
- 23:19Speaker 2: rest of the world. I think, you know, there's a
- 23:22Speaker 2: lot of credit due to the innovation, open regulation, but
- 23:26Speaker 2: also involving regulation, and also it helps having these large banks.
- 23:31Speaker 2: If you look at there hasn't been the big bang
- 23:35Speaker 2: in Europe as they said it was going to be. Right,
- 23:37Speaker 2: you look at the wrestling going on between you to
- 23:40Speaker 2: credit and commerce bank, and you look at the German
- 23:44Speaker 2: banks and some of the issues the stagnant aspect of
- 23:47Speaker 2: that economy. If you look at savings products over there,
- 23:50Speaker 2: there's not the full depth and breadth of products that
- 23:54Speaker 2: we have.
- 23:55Speaker 1: Even money market you don't have money market funds to
- 23:58Speaker 1: the same degree you have in here.
- 23:59Speaker 2: Correct. Lot of times they do it with you know, okay,
- 24:02Speaker 2: like you have japan Post, you have Italian Post, you
- 24:05Speaker 2: have Deutsche Post, you have you know, the regulatory environment
- 24:10Speaker 2: for asset management in Europe is quite onerous and is
- 24:14Speaker 2: difficult to passport. I mean, they have that these days,
- 24:17Speaker 2: but there's still the reality is there's still a lot
- 24:20Speaker 2: of inflexibility within the regulatory framework that and look, I
- 24:25Speaker 2: you know, I've spent a fair amount of time with
- 24:27Speaker 2: regulators and central bankers and participated in a number of
- 24:30Speaker 2: forums and meetings on the topic. It does get complicated
- 24:36Speaker 2: because Europe is Europe, but it's still a number of
- 24:39Speaker 2: different countries within that. The US having this large, deep
- 24:43Speaker 2: market does help. And look, I think we do have
- 24:46Speaker 2: the innovation, sophistication, and I think the beneficiarrea is the
- 24:52Speaker 2: world being able to buy sophisticated products that really are
- 24:56Speaker 2: solution providers in all way shapes of form.
- 25:00Speaker 1: I want to delve a little deeper into what makes
- 25:03Speaker 1: King Street so unique, not just its performance, but the
- 25:08Speaker 1: way you guys approach the world. You combine a fundamental
- 25:13Speaker 1: approach with very disciplined and opportunistic trading approach, which is
- 25:19Speaker 1: you know, usually those are two totally different animals. It's
- 25:21Speaker 1: interesting to see, especially in credit and stressed and distressed
- 25:26Speaker 1: see those two married. Tell us a little bit about
- 25:30Speaker 1: how that set of strategies evolved and what sort of
- 25:35Speaker 1: opportunities it's created for you.
- 25:37Speaker 2: I think going back to history, which is nineteen eighty nine, Well,
- 25:42Speaker 2: so you can go back to A seven with the crash,
- 25:44Speaker 2: seeing the importance of tactical trading, go back to A nine,
- 25:48Speaker 2: the formation of the distress the prop group, the distressed
- 25:50Speaker 2: securities group on the trading desk, but being part of
- 25:56Speaker 2: that when you had very wide bits spreads and you
- 25:59Speaker 2: could see that execution and entering an exit position, there
- 26:04Speaker 2: was a massive amount of differentiation and performance that could
- 26:08Speaker 2: be created if one were to be able to trade
- 26:11Speaker 2: it tactically. So for example, if things go quite wide
- 26:16Speaker 2: and spreads where they can trade ten bond points wide,
- 26:19Speaker 2: being able to buy on the bid side versus the
- 26:21Speaker 2: as side. If it's fifty sixty market, for example, that's
- 26:26Speaker 2: twenty percent differential. So just your entry point is massive.
- 26:30Speaker 2: And also we call ourselves short long investors.
- 26:33Speaker 1: And people say as opposed to long short.
- 26:35Speaker 2: Correct because many of our biggest longs start out as shorts.
- 26:41Speaker 2: And why that's important is.
- 26:43Speaker 1: Meaning you cover the short and then go long correct
- 26:45Speaker 1: at the end of the At the end of the
- 26:47Speaker 1: short trade, it's like, oh, if it's good enough to cover,
- 26:50Speaker 1: maybe we want to completely reverse our original views.
- 26:54Speaker 2: Right, And so initially there's always the and we could
- 26:58Speaker 2: sit there a bit of time and it could expensive
- 27:00Speaker 2: carrying shorts, so you have to be mindful of that.
- 27:03Speaker 2: It can take some time. However, it does enable us
- 27:07Speaker 2: to have done a fair amount of work in advance,
- 27:09Speaker 2: and so let's say something breaks, hopefully we've been short
- 27:13Speaker 2: it and we have a fair amount of institutional knowledge
- 27:15Speaker 2: about that situation, and then we can cover it or wait,
- 27:20Speaker 2: it's going to get worse, because you know, oftentimes management
- 27:24Speaker 2: comes out and they say, okay, they find some guy,
- 27:27Speaker 2: they shoot him and say that was the bad guy,
- 27:28Speaker 2: and now we're back and you're like, wait a minute,
- 27:30Speaker 2: that guy, you know was the janitor. What do you
- 27:33Speaker 2: mean or are we going to execute on this or that?
- 27:36Speaker 2: And you say they've tried to execute you know, for
- 27:38Speaker 2: the last three years, I have able to do it,
- 27:40Speaker 2: so it really having a bit of perspective is important,
- 27:45Speaker 2: and then you can then time it appropriately. Now we're
- 27:48Speaker 2: not market timers, but it does give us, I think,
- 27:51Speaker 2: a relative value perspective. So coupling the trading and understanding, okay,
- 27:57Speaker 2: a lot of sellers are coming out, there's more coming out.
- 28:01Speaker 2: Having that supply demand question answered is important as well.
- 28:06Speaker 1: So I want to put some flesh on the bones
- 28:09Speaker 1: of what it looks like combining the tactical with the fundamental.
- 28:12Speaker 1: And I'm going to quote numbers from institutional investor because
- 28:16Speaker 1: I know as a regulated entity, I know what I
- 28:19Speaker 1: cannot say. I know you can't give specific numbers, but
- 28:22Speaker 1: I could cite what institutional investor had observed. Twenty twenty
- 28:27Speaker 1: two was the worst year for hedge funds since two
- 28:29Speaker 1: thousand and nine. The S and P five hundred and
- 28:31Speaker 1: down twenty percent, bonds down fourteen percent. King Street, according
- 28:37Speaker 1: to II, was down only three point eight percent, a
- 28:41Speaker 1: massive outperformance to either the SMP or the Bloomberg AG.
- 28:47Speaker 1: Tell us what it was like trading in twenty twenty two,
- 28:50Speaker 1: first time in forty years stocks and bonds were down
- 28:53Speaker 1: double digits together.
- 28:55Speaker 2: I would say it's set the table going back to
- 28:57Speaker 2: say twenty twenty if you look in the pandemic when
- 29:00Speaker 2: you know world's going to end, and then you know,
- 29:02Speaker 2: a lot of equity injected, and then then we had
- 29:05Speaker 2: the vaccine news came out, everything rallied, but there was
- 29:09Speaker 2: so much stimulus being put and I think, you know,
- 29:13Speaker 2: just let's say, I don't like losing money ever, and
- 29:17Speaker 2: is my co founders say, you know, relative performance, but
- 29:21Speaker 2: you can't eat your relatives. So it's just important to
- 29:25Speaker 2: from our perspective, contextualize that. And so we are very disciplined.
- 29:30Speaker 2: I think one of the things that we looked to
- 29:32Speaker 2: was like, hey, let's go up in quality, up in liquidity,
- 29:35Speaker 2: and that was a concern. I think one of the
- 29:38Speaker 2: things took us by surprise was okay, you know how
- 29:42Speaker 2: much inflation really rooted and how quickly and how high
- 29:45Speaker 2: it went. So I'd say, you know, that was something
- 29:47Speaker 2: we missed. Again, we always try to focus on what
- 29:50Speaker 2: we did wrong and we correct those. Hopefully then the
- 29:54Speaker 2: going gets better going forward trading in twenty two, as
- 29:57Speaker 2: I said, I wouldn't say it's too differentiated, but again,
- 30:01Speaker 2: you know, an absence of a true distress cycle, I
- 30:03Speaker 2: think that it loses the sort of meaning. But if
- 30:06Speaker 2: you look at you know, in twenty twenty there was
- 30:08Speaker 2: a number of things that is really for me at
- 30:11Speaker 2: more signature important time.
- 30:14Speaker 1: So I want to talk about a few specific investment
- 30:17Speaker 1: strategies that King Street does. In twenty seventeen, you launched
- 30:22Speaker 1: a collateralized loan obligation business. Tell us a little bit
- 30:25Speaker 1: about that strategy.
- 30:27Speaker 2: So we've been investing in clos, mezzanine and opportunistically for
- 30:31Speaker 2: a number of years, equity and et cetera. We've always
- 30:35Speaker 2: had this credit expertise, and we felt that as a
- 30:39Speaker 2: compliment for our investors and to benefit our launch short
- 30:44Speaker 2: credit business. To have the CLO strategy was we think
- 30:48Speaker 2: a distinctive manage and so we've had a terrific growth
- 30:53Speaker 2: and successful business launch and continue to grow from strength
- 30:56Speaker 2: to strength there in both the US and Europe issues
- 31:00Speaker 2: during twenty twenty, there was a number of opportunities that
- 31:04Speaker 2: came out to rescue finance a number of the companies
- 31:07Speaker 2: we had relationships with, and so it has proven very
- 31:11Speaker 2: complementary to our business. We describe our business in terms
- 31:16Speaker 2: of overlapping circles, and that is that we will have
- 31:20Speaker 2: different fund strategies and there might be a bond or
- 31:24Speaker 2: a loan situation that we might see in different funds
- 31:27Speaker 2: if they meet the investment criteria liquidity duration that we
- 31:32Speaker 2: are looking for in that particular strategy, and so there
- 31:34Speaker 2: is real synergistic effects and ability to analyze these situations
- 31:42Speaker 2: quite rigorously.
- 31:43Speaker 1: Let's talk about another overlapping business line, real estate. What
- 31:47Speaker 1: do you guys do in the real estate.
- 31:49Speaker 2: So we've been doing real estate, as we mentioned, first
- 31:52Speaker 2: real estate finance and then real estate buying the equity
- 31:55Speaker 2: or buying actual properties for quite some time a number
- 31:59Speaker 2: of years ago. Go again, as I mentioned earlier, the
- 32:02Speaker 2: demise if you will, the stop doing side pockets and
- 32:06Speaker 2: you set up separate real estate funds. And so we've
- 32:09Speaker 2: set up a number of funds. We've also invested in
- 32:12Speaker 2: some specialties such as student housing in Europe. We've done
- 32:18Speaker 2: last mile logistics, We've done movie studios. We've also done
- 32:22Speaker 2: a number of financings as the banks have pulled back,
- 32:25Speaker 2: has created great opportunities in that. And then more recently,
- 32:30Speaker 2: we bought a data center business that specializes in AI
- 32:35Speaker 2: and high performance compute, which is quite an exciting business.
- 32:38Speaker 1: That's cul of war. I was reading about that and saying, wow,
- 32:42Speaker 1: this seems to be a little off of what I
- 32:46Speaker 1: was expecting. Liquid cooled, AI, data center, liquid cooled, what's
- 32:52Speaker 1: that about?
- 32:53Speaker 2: So to give you the history, So years ago we
- 32:57Speaker 2: started focusing on growth lending, growth financing. You know, it's
- 33:01Speaker 2: funny VC distress. There's a lot of similarities between the two.
- 33:05Speaker 2: You know, you don't know what's going to happen with
- 33:08Speaker 2: the company, is it going to make it not make it?
- 33:10Speaker 2: So for example, Airbnb in door dash and twenty twenty
- 33:14Speaker 2: we lent them money prior to their IPOs. Now, the
- 33:18Speaker 2: v on the LTV loan to value the value oftentimes
- 33:23Speaker 2: the disparity because when you ask a tech person what's
- 33:26Speaker 2: this company worth, generally it's it's very very high numbers,
- 33:30Speaker 2: which we don't always support from our valuation. But if
- 33:34Speaker 2: the loan percentage is quite small five ten percent, then
- 33:39Speaker 2: there's a margin of safety, and we have a lot
- 33:41Speaker 2: of covenants to protect ourselves. And you say, we did
- 33:44Speaker 2: some of that. We looked at GPU financing, which GPU
- 33:48Speaker 2: is the Navidia chip, that's what they produce, and so
- 33:53Speaker 2: we looked at some financings there. Couldn't get quite comfortable
- 33:56Speaker 2: the depreciation curve because you know, Navidia comes out of every
- 34:00Speaker 2: the other day with a new chip, and so we said,
- 34:03Speaker 2: why lend your money if every two years you're going
- 34:05Speaker 2: to have a new chip, and so worry about the
- 34:07Speaker 2: value eroding on that chip. And so even though we
- 34:11Speaker 2: over earning in terms of financing, now there'll be situations
- 34:13Speaker 2: and opportunities that will make sense to lend in that sector.
- 34:17Speaker 2: However that's we then you know, said, wow, this data
- 34:20Speaker 2: center business is going to have legs for quite some time.
- 34:22Speaker 2: We looked at the hyperscale business insanely competitive and said, okay,
- 34:28Speaker 2: can't make a mark or find an edge there. And
- 34:31Speaker 2: that's when we came up with colo Oar, which was
- 34:34Speaker 2: selling itself. They had been doing liquid cooling for thirteen years.
- 34:38Speaker 2: They started company thirteen years the company ten years ago,
- 34:41Speaker 2: operational in a co location business in Santa Clara, California,
- 34:45Speaker 2: in the heart of all these tech bohemoths, and they've
- 34:49Speaker 2: been DGX certified by Navidia for over five years. Liquid cooling,
- 34:54Speaker 2: the way we do it is it's full true liquid cooling.
- 34:57Speaker 1: Meaning it's more efficient, more productive.
- 35:00Speaker 2: Yeah, so just think about just the construct right, So
- 35:02Speaker 2: you have the whole data center, you have three foot
- 35:04Speaker 2: raise floors, you have an intake outtake of water that's
- 35:09Speaker 2: ambient water temperature, goes, flows around and goes to the rack.
- 35:14Speaker 2: Many will do liquid cooling to the rack, but separately,
- 35:17Speaker 2: and that's very expensive because in effect you're retrofitting. Ninety
- 35:20Speaker 2: five plus percent of the data centers are air cooled.
- 35:24Speaker 2: As we know, air water is three thousand times more
- 35:27Speaker 2: effective cooling than air. And so the PUE, which is
- 35:32Speaker 2: the efficiency rating that they utilize, we're like one point
- 35:35Speaker 2: three and many are one point five six, et cetera.
- 35:39Speaker 2: So it's very efficient. You can have a denser facility
- 35:43Speaker 2: and it can handle the AI chips. The other metrics
- 35:45Speaker 2: that people use is the killowatz per cabinet, and so
- 35:49Speaker 2: we can host up to two hundred and fifty kilowats
- 35:52Speaker 2: per cabinet, where you know five ten twenty is these
- 35:55Speaker 2: traditional data centers air cooled and so as Winning Gretzky
- 36:00Speaker 2: used to say, I skate where the puck is going
- 36:02Speaker 2: to be and the chips are all about, we need
- 36:06Speaker 2: liquid cooling. Also, as we look to satisfy the future
- 36:10Speaker 2: which will be inferenced versus the l M, the big
- 36:13Speaker 2: training models, there will be a need for the data center.
- 36:17Speaker 2: So we're having a number of conversations and across many
- 36:20Speaker 2: different verticals. Our real estate group is executing, plus the team.
- 36:25Speaker 2: It's super exciting and and it's again it's it's something
- 36:29Speaker 2: that evolved out of our overlapping circles with the financing.
- 36:33Speaker 2: You know, we we don't. There's always a method to
- 36:36Speaker 2: it that we evolve into.
- 36:39Speaker 1: Huh, really fascinating. So let's let's start out talking about
- 36:44Speaker 1: why we're even talking. For for most of King Street's history.
- 36:50Speaker 1: You've been a quiet firm. You You quoted one of
- 36:54Speaker 1: your colleagues as saying, Hey, it's the spouting well that
- 36:57Speaker 1: gets harpoons. Tell us why we're even having this conversation now.
- 37:03Speaker 2: Evolution is so important, self improvement, evolution. I think markets change,
- 37:08Speaker 2: and I think it's important to adapt to survive. As
- 37:11Speaker 2: the trite saying, we might say, we look at the
- 37:16Speaker 2: opportunities that we're facing, the business that we're building and
- 37:21Speaker 2: have built, and they're quite excited about it. And I
- 37:23Speaker 2: think it's important to communicate for our investors, for perspective,
- 37:29Speaker 2: partners and people that to attract the best and make
- 37:33Speaker 2: sure we have the best partners, to make sure our
- 37:36Speaker 2: story's out there. It's gotten incredibly noisy, if you will,
- 37:39Speaker 2: when everyone's out there. So to do nothing, I think
- 37:44Speaker 2: would be a disservice to the people in the business
- 37:48Speaker 2: and our and our partners. Really, as you know, the
- 37:52Speaker 2: opportunities you know come to you know, as they say,
- 37:56Speaker 2: squeaky will gets the grease and so one has to.
- 38:00Speaker 2: You know, relationships are great. However, at times people you
- 38:04Speaker 2: know would say, oh, King Street, they still in business,
- 38:06Speaker 2: you know, because if if you're you're not out there
- 38:09Speaker 2: with your LinkedIn presence or or I think it's just
- 38:12Speaker 2: a sign. Look we're not on Instagram, so uh, no
- 38:15Speaker 2: tiktoks from no no TikTok videos.
- 38:18Speaker 1: You know, really really interesting. You know, there's some quotes
- 38:24Speaker 1: of yours that I really like. One of the things
- 38:26Speaker 1: you had said recently was what kills you in investing
- 38:30Speaker 1: is a full sense of bravado, I have all the answers,
- 38:34Speaker 1: I could beat this market, or that sort of approach.
- 38:38Speaker 1: We say, the work is never done and knowledge reduces risk.
- 38:43Speaker 2: Explain, well, it's it's from our perspective fairly simple. As
- 38:52Speaker 2: investors that focus on out of favor, distress, bankruptcy, we
- 38:57Speaker 2: see failure every day, and we would be incredibly delusional
- 39:04Speaker 2: to think that without and and sometimes it's no fault
- 39:09Speaker 2: of the companies, right, it's it's some unforeseen act. It's
- 39:13Speaker 2: you know, some fraud was perpetrated on it, you know.
- 39:18Speaker 2: But it's incumbent upon us to be tireless in our effort,
- 39:23Speaker 2: as there's multitude of competitors out there globally that we
- 39:30Speaker 2: go up against every day, and if we're not grinding
- 39:33Speaker 2: it out, then you know there's there's going to be
- 39:38Speaker 2: a shortfall, and we we don't plan on having that.
- 39:41Speaker 1: Early in your career, someone would ask you what drives you,
- 39:44Speaker 1: and your response would be paranoia and insecurity along the
- 39:49Speaker 1: same lines.
- 39:50Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, look paranoid insecurity it's it's it's I
- 39:54Speaker 2: try to be humorous and colorful because investors come in
- 39:58Speaker 2: and to own on you know that it doesn't always
- 40:03Speaker 2: keep their attention. I think it's important to look at
- 40:08Speaker 2: you know, we also talk about probability and you know proportionality,
- 40:13Speaker 2: and so if you take those four things right, So
- 40:16Speaker 2: the paranoid insecurity is like, Okay, did I do enough work?
- 40:20Speaker 2: Does someone else know what can happen that I'm not seeing?
- 40:24Speaker 2: It keeps that drive to continue to ask those questions.
- 40:27Speaker 2: As we said, knowledge produces risk because you know, these
- 40:30Speaker 2: is a moving picture. This is not a still life photograph.
- 40:35Speaker 2: And so there's many different variables that happen through a business,
- 40:41Speaker 2: through a cycle, through you lifetime owning, investment, and markets
- 40:45Speaker 2: to change. So if you think about the number of variables,
- 40:48Speaker 2: one would be kidding oneself to think that they can
- 40:50Speaker 2: rest in their laurels. If you will, the work just
- 40:54Speaker 2: begins when that investment is made and so in the
- 40:59Speaker 2: paranoid it's ccurity. The only paranoid survivors, they say. And
- 41:02Speaker 2: so we have to say, did I do enough work?
- 41:05Speaker 2: Was there something I missed? Keeping one up at night
- 41:08Speaker 2: that constantly looking at it? I think if you look
- 41:12Speaker 2: at any piece of work, you know, an artist or
- 41:15Speaker 2: whomever it is, they put some work, they do some work,
- 41:18Speaker 2: they put it down, they come back, they look at
- 41:19Speaker 2: it from another light and oh I missed that. Let me,
- 41:22Speaker 2: let me continue to refine it. And so investments, in
- 41:25Speaker 2: our mind are are bodies of work that need to
- 41:28Speaker 2: be continually refined because the elements, if you will, continue
- 41:34Speaker 2: to challenge it. And then you look at probability and proportionality.
- 41:38Speaker 2: One has to be careful on that right because if
- 41:40Speaker 2: you say, well, you know this hurricane is going to happen,
- 41:46Speaker 2: you know the tragic hurricanes that we've had currently and
- 41:50Speaker 2: just recently. Okay, if you had said never going to happen,
- 41:54Speaker 2: we haven't had for a while, and if it happens,
- 41:56Speaker 2: it's it doesn't create much damage. Well, what's the probability
- 42:00Speaker 2: that that could could outcome? Now, if you look at
- 42:03Speaker 2: geological faults and you're buying a piece of property, and
- 42:06Speaker 2: you're building a data center, for example, and you say, well,
- 42:08Speaker 2: one in one point six million or billion years that
- 42:12Speaker 2: you know, I feel good about that, right. But if
- 42:15Speaker 2: you're down in Florida and you're saying I'm not going
- 42:18Speaker 2: to buy flood insurance now, question can you get it
- 42:20Speaker 2: these days for it? Right? But like, think about the
- 42:24Speaker 2: people the tragedy happened in North Carolina up and then
- 42:27Speaker 2: you know, they didn't think they'd need flood insurance.
- 42:28Speaker 1: They were deep inland and at a fairly high elevation,
- 42:32Speaker 1: and yet they still got flooded out.
- 42:33Speaker 2: Right. So these are things in terms of proportionality and probability,
- 42:38Speaker 2: and proportionality is okay. You can create a scenario with
- 42:41Speaker 2: any investment where you'd never make the investment. You could say, well,
- 42:45Speaker 2: that could happen, and then you could say to certain,
- 42:47Speaker 2: well it's one in a million years and it's two
- 42:49Speaker 2: percent of the business. Is that really going to cause
- 42:52Speaker 2: you to pass on that investment? So that's the constant
- 42:55Speaker 2: interplay that we feel is critical to arrive. You know,
- 43:00Speaker 2: the best decision you can make, and again the best
- 43:01Speaker 2: things you make today tomorrow look at it again and say,
- 43:05Speaker 2: oh I screwed up.
- 43:07Speaker 1: You mentioned earlier you wanted to be a little public
- 43:10Speaker 1: because you want to attract and retain the best employees.
- 43:14Speaker 1: King Street has about two hundred and fifty people working
- 43:17Speaker 1: for them, seventy of whom have been with the firm
- 43:21Speaker 1: for ten or more years. That's pretty unusual in the
- 43:24Speaker 1: hedge fund world. Tell us a little bit about the
- 43:26Speaker 1: ten year club you guys created.
- 43:29Speaker 2: Well, it really again, as I said at the outset,
- 43:33Speaker 2: it's celebrating the people that comprise King Street, as I
- 43:39Speaker 2: thought from the beginning, and talk to other people in leadership.
- 43:44Speaker 2: Remember that your greatest asset goes down the elevator every
- 43:48Speaker 2: day and you hope they come back up the next day,
- 43:50Speaker 2: and so one has to again celebrate the teamwork. And
- 43:57Speaker 2: that's the approach that we have a King Street talked
- 44:00Speaker 2: about the overlapping circles and the ability to work on
- 44:05Speaker 2: different aspects of the business. But it's very much a
- 44:08Speaker 2: team and we look at the what what the operation team,
- 44:12Speaker 2: the investment team, and the training team. There's a lot
- 44:15Speaker 2: of collaboration that is constantly occurring, and people get paid
- 44:20Speaker 2: on the well being of the overall firm, and so
- 44:23Speaker 2: it forces that teamwork and collaboration, and I think it's
- 44:28Speaker 2: important to celebrate events. You know, we we have outings,
- 44:34Speaker 2: we have different groups celebating our women, our diversity, our
- 44:39Speaker 2: charitable pursuits, or holiday party. We still have the old
- 44:42Speaker 2: school holiday party that we do every year. I think
- 44:46Speaker 2: the summer outings, et cetera. These are all we believe
- 44:51Speaker 2: part of the building culture. You know, everyone the month end,
- 44:54Speaker 2: everyone's birthday gets celebrated with you know, we had them
- 44:59Speaker 2: happen to every day. So we say, wait, we'll just
- 45:01Speaker 2: to once a month all the February birthdays you know which,
- 45:04Speaker 2: and then you get to vote on it. So the
- 45:06Speaker 2: little things that I think create the family, and you
- 45:10Speaker 2: spend a lot of time with people, and if there's
- 45:13Speaker 2: not that recognition of individuality and the effort put forth,
- 45:21Speaker 2: then it's a miss. We believe it's again to celebrate together.
- 45:27Speaker 2: What we've achieved is critical.
- 45:30Speaker 1: I've heard a number of executives complain or at least
- 45:34Speaker 1: raise the issue. It was very difficult to either create
- 45:38Speaker 1: or maintain a corporate culture during the pandemic work from
- 45:42Speaker 1: home remote. How have you guys navigated that and how
- 45:46Speaker 1: important is corporate culture to a fund like yours?
- 45:51Speaker 2: Well, culture is becomes what it becomes. It's you just
- 45:58Speaker 2: everyone hopes that they're culture is sustainable and constructive and
- 46:03Speaker 2: not toxic, and so we strive to make sure there's
- 46:10Speaker 2: that communication openness. We do a lot of surveys. We've
- 46:15Speaker 2: always trying to better our scores. It's self improvement we
- 46:17Speaker 2: focus on. If you go back to a pandemic, it
- 46:20Speaker 2: was hard, right because you're on zoom and so you
- 46:22Speaker 2: know holiday party on zoom or you know scavenger hunts
- 46:27Speaker 2: on zoom. It was how do we create these ties
- 46:31Speaker 2: that bind us over what It was incredibly challenging personally
- 46:36Speaker 2: and professionally for a lot of people. And frankly, the markets,
- 46:41Speaker 2: as we all know back in the twenty twenty as
- 46:43Speaker 2: our reference earlier, were brutal and working incredible amount of hours.
- 46:48Speaker 2: The family challenges that people had with their kids at
- 46:51Speaker 2: home were trapped in different places and so and the
- 46:53Speaker 2: sicknesses and loss of life. So those are obviously in
- 47:00Speaker 2: any regular time important, but we believe, you know, corporate
- 47:03Speaker 2: culture has to play its role, uh and not to replace,
- 47:08Speaker 2: but to be a part of it, to be supportive
- 47:12Speaker 2: of of people. But it's it's and also think about
- 47:15Speaker 2: like there's there's We have offices, as you've indicated in
- 47:19Speaker 2: the US and Europe and Asia Middle East. How do
- 47:24Speaker 2: we create that consistency, How do we create that that
- 47:29Speaker 2: fabric that runs throughout And it's a lot of times
- 47:33Speaker 2: we'll do our similar uh, you know, furniture and the like,
- 47:37Speaker 2: so they feel like, oh, this feels like a King
- 47:39Speaker 2: Street office. Things of that nature. Similar events and uh
- 47:42Speaker 2: and the swag, if you will, that binds people.
- 47:46Speaker 1: So your your co founder and partner of Francis BEYONDI
- 47:50Speaker 1: retired a couple of years ago. Two questions about Francis
- 47:56Speaker 1: First is he is he still sitting on the Yelle
- 47:58Speaker 1: investment committee or has he fully retired from asset management?
- 48:03Speaker 1: And then second, you know, what was that transition? Like,
- 48:06Speaker 1: suddenly your co founder is no longer there every day?
- 48:10Speaker 1: How did you adjust to that?
- 48:12Speaker 2: Well, I believe the website's correct. He's still at Yale.
- 48:16Speaker 2: I know I've spoken to him recently, but I know
- 48:20Speaker 2: he's got a lot of pursuits and quite busy and
- 48:24Speaker 2: with his family, and I think he's enjoying a well
- 48:27Speaker 2: deserved time. He and I had an incredible twenty five
- 48:32Speaker 2: years together. We call ourselves you know old married couple
- 48:35Speaker 2: or you know brothers of King Street whatever they call
- 48:38Speaker 2: us and two Guys Capital, two guys Capitol, right, so,
- 48:41Speaker 2: which is funnily enough, my brother named that. We grew
- 48:44Speaker 2: up in New Jersey and in East Brunswick and there
- 48:46Speaker 2: was a two guys which.
- 48:49Speaker 1: Is giant Alexander Kolder on the outside of that building.
- 48:54Speaker 1: Am I remembering that correctly? In Hackensack?
- 48:56Speaker 2: Well, well, I was from I grew up in East Buswick,
- 48:59Speaker 2: so I don't know about the Hackensack one, but in
- 49:01Speaker 2: the one it was a discount store and went bankrupt
- 49:05Speaker 2: in the eighties, which Fernado was part of the Portfolo
- 49:09Speaker 2: became then the so if it's funny history. But my
- 49:14Speaker 2: brother recently gave me a shirt you know, two Guys Capital,
- 49:17Speaker 2: and we've got on a website somewhere. But anyway, so
- 49:21Speaker 2: I had a saving events there, but no so, as
- 49:24Speaker 2: I said earlier, having this team and this partners with
- 49:28Speaker 2: us over thirteen years on average and having mds thirty
- 49:33Speaker 2: eight plus mds with us over ten years on average,
- 49:36Speaker 2: we've had a very deep, deep bench and fortunate to
- 49:41Speaker 2: have incredible depth and breadth to the organization where we
- 49:44Speaker 2: didn't miss a beat, and you know that's that's something
- 49:48Speaker 2: I think testament to the culture that fran and I
- 49:52Speaker 2: built the first twenty five years, which we hopeful we'll
- 49:56Speaker 2: continue for many, many years to come.
- 49:59Speaker 1: Let's jump to our favorite questions that we ask all
- 50:02Speaker 1: of our guests, starting with what have you been watching
- 50:06Speaker 1: these days? What's been keeping you entertained?
- 50:09Speaker 2: Well, I've been watching the Mets a bit lately. I
- 50:12Speaker 2: went to my first Mets game and.
- 50:14Speaker 1: In October, which I can't remember the last time you
- 50:16Speaker 1: could watch the Mets in October having grown up online.
- 50:19Speaker 2: Yeah, well, yeah, I mean I grew up in New
- 50:22Speaker 2: Jersey and my first Met game was nineteen sixty nine,
- 50:25Speaker 2: which when they went in the World Series. Yeah, from
- 50:28Speaker 2: a despicable like worst team ever. I think Chicago White
- 50:32Speaker 2: Sox had taken that over. But anyway, so we went,
- 50:36Speaker 2: you know there, watch some of that. Also, I'm a
- 50:39Speaker 2: Knicks fan. Is went to Villanova and they call him
- 50:41Speaker 2: the Nova Knicks. Funny story. Years ago, I was fortunate
- 50:46Speaker 2: enough Jay Wright, who was the coach of Villanova, invited
- 50:49Speaker 2: me to speak to the team before the start of
- 50:53Speaker 2: the season. They were in New York, and you know,
- 50:57Speaker 2: talking to the team, and I, you know, I said
- 51:00Speaker 2: to him, guys, I'm really really nervous here. You know,
- 51:03Speaker 2: twenty eighteen, they were reigning national champions and if you
- 51:07Speaker 2: guys don't win the championship like they're, don't look at
- 51:10Speaker 2: me and blame me. And they were kind of looking
- 51:12Speaker 2: at me quizzically. And I picked one of the young players,
- 51:18Speaker 2: young freshmen, and I sat down right across from right
- 51:22Speaker 2: up in his face, and I said, you know, look,
- 51:23Speaker 2: I'm really nervous. I got this big meeting and you
- 51:27Speaker 2: got to help me, you know, can you what do
- 51:31Speaker 2: you say to me? You know? And he had like
- 51:34Speaker 2: deer in the headlights. Look, he was eighteen year old kid.
- 51:36Speaker 2: He was sort of like this, you know, old guy
- 51:39Speaker 2: with supposedly you know, successful guy coming in begging me
- 51:43Speaker 2: for advice, you know. And he said like quizzically, like
- 51:49Speaker 2: you can do it. And I said yeah. And it
- 51:53Speaker 2: was funny watching the faces of all the older upper
- 51:55Speaker 2: class and they were laughing because they knew I was
- 51:57Speaker 2: just trying to see and I said, and I said,
- 52:01Speaker 2: it was interesting because Jay Wright had called me like
- 52:03Speaker 2: four times in advance because it was so but you
- 52:07Speaker 2: go back to leadership and culture. It was so important
- 52:10Speaker 2: with you want to make sure I was what message
- 52:12Speaker 2: I was going to give, And I said to the team,
- 52:15Speaker 2: I said, see, you all can be leaders. You all
- 52:17Speaker 2: can inspire. And when you're on the court and Jay
- 52:20Speaker 2: is you know fifty hundred feet away, who's going to
- 52:23Speaker 2: inspire and lead each other? And you can't just rely
- 52:26Speaker 2: on the coach. You got to look to each other
- 52:28Speaker 2: for leadership and to sponsor. And that's what when I
- 52:32Speaker 2: talked to my team and how do we have the culture?
- 52:34Speaker 2: How do we continually have that leadership If the partner
- 52:37Speaker 2: is not in the room, who's going to take that
- 52:39Speaker 2: mantle and who's going to push forward? And so on
- 52:43Speaker 2: the things that I ingest. I got to have a
- 52:46Speaker 2: lot of intake to have outtake, right because I got
- 52:48Speaker 2: to do a lot of meetings. So I got to
- 52:50Speaker 2: find that time to refill the tank with information. And
- 52:54Speaker 2: so you know, on stuff I'll watch, whether it's if
- 52:58Speaker 2: it's not sports, it will be some you know, mindless
- 53:02Speaker 2: spies things I like sort of because it's I like
- 53:04Speaker 2: to travel and see things around the world and different
- 53:06Speaker 2: cultures and understand that and history, and so that usually
- 53:10Speaker 2: wraps up and say a spy things.
- 53:13Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you a recommendation only because I watched
- 53:16Speaker 1: this on the flight back from Europe and it's dead
- 53:19Speaker 1: center of what you're talking about. The Ministry of Ungentlemanly
- 53:23Speaker 1: Warfare is essentially Churchill's Special Teams creation as a way
- 53:31Speaker 1: of fighting Nazi submarines during World War Two. If you
- 53:36Speaker 1: like global spy stuff and history, this is right in
- 53:40Speaker 1: your sweet timet.
- 53:41Speaker 2: I wrote it down and we'll put it on the
- 53:44Speaker 2: list for sure.
- 53:45Speaker 1: Absolutely, and again we're recording this in October. I can't
- 53:50Speaker 1: remember the last time I was this excited about a
- 53:52Speaker 1: next season, Like, even injured, really distinguished themselves last year's playoffs.
- 53:59Speaker 1: You know you could see, hey, if they were full strength,
- 54:02Speaker 1: they could have gone pretty deep into uh to the finals.
- 54:07Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm super excited for this season and and sort
- 54:11Speaker 2: of seeing what they could do as well.
- 54:14Speaker 1: So you mentioned some of your mentors. Tell us about
- 54:17Speaker 1: the people who helped shape your career.
- 54:21Speaker 2: Well, you know, I mentioned Jimmy Kine and Vince.
- 54:24Speaker 1: Tc They were the Vince Tincy was where.
- 54:27Speaker 2: Vincent tc uh is on the number of boards to
- 54:31Speaker 2: this days. He was Banking Commissioner State of New York.
- 54:36Speaker 2: He was Urban Development chair. He had been a tax lawyer,
- 54:40Speaker 2: he was the commodities trader. So he had this incredible
- 54:43Speaker 2: varied career and life and quite successful entrepreneur, and so
- 54:48Speaker 2: he's always a wealth information contacts and always great great
- 54:51Speaker 2: advice and perspective. And Jimmy of course ran Barons Stearns
- 54:55Speaker 2: obviously unfortunate ending to a storied career, but he was
- 55:02Speaker 2: very helpful in giving great advice.
- 55:04Speaker 1: Right legendary CEO of Bear Stearns. Let's talk about some books.
- 55:09Speaker 1: What are your favorites? What are you reading currently?
- 55:12Speaker 2: I would say book wise, just let's say a genre
- 55:15Speaker 2: books because I listened to them. I'm not a big
- 55:19Speaker 2: reader because I read so much in terms of research
- 55:22Speaker 2: and consultants and sell side and our own internal research,
- 55:26Speaker 2: plus the papers, et cetera. And I try to ingest
- 55:30Speaker 2: a lot there and then content deeper content on the
- 55:34Speaker 2: weekends and then you know, just number of emails et
- 55:37Speaker 2: cetera you go through. So I'll listen to different whether
- 55:43Speaker 2: it's leadership or let's self help type things, but it's
- 55:48Speaker 2: more about I think, the self improvement and so how
- 55:51Speaker 2: do you get the most out of life if you will?
- 55:54Speaker 2: There's I love hacks if you will, in terms of
- 55:58Speaker 2: health hacks or you know, efficiency hacks. I think that's
- 56:02Speaker 2: qurrically important technology to utilize to its followers. So that
- 56:06Speaker 2: that's sort of the focal point. Let's talk and bye
- 56:11Speaker 2: on that. Just sorry is I found that blinkst is
- 56:14Speaker 2: a great thing to utilize because the website, well, blinkest
- 56:18Speaker 2: is sort of the reader's digest version of books, because
- 56:23Speaker 2: most books they have a concept, interesting concept, and they
- 56:26Speaker 2: spend two three hundred pages saying same thing seven different ways,
- 56:30Speaker 2: you know, you know, trying to convince you that that
- 56:33Speaker 2: versus blink is like, all right, here's the concept. You're like, okay,
- 56:35Speaker 2: it makes sense. Interesting.
- 56:37Speaker 1: And next, one of my partners likes to say most
- 56:41Speaker 1: books should be magazine articles, most magazine articles should be tweets,
- 56:45Speaker 1: and most tweets should be deleted. And that's his same
- 56:48Speaker 1: same sort of concepts as blinkst. So now we're down
- 56:52Speaker 1: to our final two questions. What sort of advice would
- 56:56Speaker 1: you give to a recent college grad interested in a
- 57:00Speaker 1: career and either stressed or distressed investing.
- 57:04Speaker 2: Well, there's the critical importance of analytical rigor, and so
- 57:12Speaker 2: if you're recent college gradu you can't necessarily go back
- 57:15Speaker 2: and take the courses that would be helpful. And so
- 57:18Speaker 2: it's if you see some of the Ivy League kids,
- 57:22Speaker 2: they don't have the accounting background. For example. I think
- 57:27Speaker 2: critical thinking is important. I think having some understanding of
- 57:32Speaker 2: the legal framework as that's become has always become such
- 57:36Speaker 2: a big deal to get into let's say stress distress
- 57:41Speaker 2: out of favor. Look, there hasn't been as much interest,
- 57:46Speaker 2: frankly because the tech world has been such a you know,
- 57:50Speaker 2: robust world, and so it's important again, as I said,
- 57:55Speaker 2: to work in the in the credit business to understand
- 57:59Speaker 2: the those covenants, understand those companies, to get a generalist
- 58:03Speaker 2: type experience, because one never knows is it the utility sector,
- 58:07Speaker 2: is that the energy sector, Is it the TMT sector
- 58:12Speaker 2: that will have issues or asbestos or you know, different issues,
- 58:16Speaker 2: and then you're like, oh, I'm an expert in this.
- 58:18Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, if you understand
- 58:19Speaker 2: casual generation, you understand balance sheets, you understand legal framework accounting,
- 58:25Speaker 2: then you can kind of learn most valuations frameworks.
- 58:30Speaker 1: Really interesting and our final question, what do you know
- 58:33Speaker 1: about the world of distressed credit today you wish you
- 58:37Speaker 1: knew back in nineteen eighty seven when you were first
- 58:40Speaker 1: getting started.
- 58:43Speaker 2: Well, I guess having the hindsight is twenty twenty perspective
- 58:46Speaker 2: on markets in general. I think it's important, you know,
- 58:51Speaker 2: pivoting globally. Also, the let's say, the broad product suite
- 58:57Speaker 2: that we now have, I think are are are super interesting, informative.
- 59:04Speaker 2: I I I never would have thought that we would
- 59:08Speaker 2: rebound so easily and quickly in so many different difficult times.
- 59:13Speaker 2: And that that kind of me speaks to the resiliency,
- 59:17Speaker 2: you know, of of markets and and the resilt you know,
- 59:21Speaker 2: the commitment that the governments et cetera had to uh,
- 59:25Speaker 2: you know, bail us out time and time again. And
- 59:28Speaker 2: so now thirty five plus trillion debt we got, you know,
- 59:32Speaker 2: massive amount of debt and to show for it since
- 59:35Speaker 2: eight Uh you know, we'll see how it all works out.
- 59:39Speaker 2: But I think it's it's really the the sophistication UH
- 59:45Speaker 2: and innovative nature of let's say, security design UH has
- 59:52Speaker 2: been enabled to have the flexibility of capital that has
- 59:56Speaker 2: been transformative certainly for the US count markets and then
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: then finds its way into other markets. But it enables
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: you know, people say traffickers and tragedy. You know, it's
- 1:00:08Speaker 2: it's interesting. We had, you know, one of one of
- 1:00:10Speaker 2: the investors going to allocate ESG and he said, well,
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: you know, distress, it's not ESG friendly. I said, well,
- 1:00:17Speaker 2: we're one hundred percent of ESG. We're trying to have
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: companies help companies survive and you know they have Batty
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: is Chusco. We're trying to transform them into into productive
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: companies that are you know, doing better think about environment.
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: They might have had some spill that they had a
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: big liability from, or the governance was bad. That's why
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: they were, you know, in distress because it's some guy
- 1:00:39Speaker 2: who's stealing money or what have you. So you know,
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: there's a number of things that we've been able to
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: prove bon bringing new management or cleaning up environmental issues
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: that then the company valuation reabount it.
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: Thank you, Brian for being so generous with your time.
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: We have been speaking with Brian Higgins. He is co
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: founder and managing partner at King Street. If you enjoy
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: this conversation, check out any of the past five hundred
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: or so discussions we've had over the past ten years.
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: You can find those at iTunes, Spotify, Bloomberg YouTube, wherever
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: you find your favorite podcast, and be sure and check
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: out my new podcast, At the Money, short ten minute
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: conversations with experts about specific topics involving your money, earning it,
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: spending it, and most importantly, investing it. At the Money
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: wherever you find your favorite podcasts or in the Masters
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: and Business feed. I would be remiss if I did
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: not thank the crack team that helps put these conversations
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: together each week. John Wasserman is my audio engineer. Anna
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: Lucas my producer. Sean Russo is my head of research.
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: Sage Bauman is the head of Bloomberg Podcasts. I'm Barry Retults.
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: You've been listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio.
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: What Baths