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STRAT | Society & Supply Shocks

On this episode of STRAT, Mark Mansfield and Hal Kempfer tackle the issue of a fragmenting world order, where relative influence and leadership is shifting rapidly and framed by a US and China bilateral relationship tilting towards conflict. They look at various potential scenarios:

• There is no scenario where the US and China become fully cooperative.

• Most nations’ cost-benefit analysis’ support a world order where US leadership remains preferable to China or other non-aligned players.

• The extremes of either a UNIPOLAR or BIPOLAR world – i.e., an old Cold War style scenario, will morph…

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