Latest / The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast / Property Rights and the UCLA School of Economics with David Henderson | Hoover Institution
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- 0:09- This is the Capitalism and Freedom
- 0:10in the Twenty-First Century Podcast, an official podcast
- 0:13of the Hoover Institution Economic Policy Working group,
- 0:15where we talk about economics, markets, and public policy.
- 0:18I'm Jon Hartley, your host Today.
- 0:20My guest is David Henderson,
- 0:21who is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution
- 0:24and an emeritus professor
- 0:25of Economics at the Naval Postgraduate School.
- 0:28He's also an editor
- 0:29of the Concise Encyclopedia Economics. Welcome, David.
- 0:33- Thanks, John. - So great to have you on
- 0:35and really wanna talk about your amazing career
- 0:39in economics and in in communicating economics
- 0:43to the public, which I think you do so well.
- 0:45Thank you. And I wanna start with where you grew up,
- 0:49like when you grew up in Canada,
- 0:50you grew up in Manitoba, Canada.
- 0:52- Yeah. - How did you first get interested in economics
- 0:54and make your way to study at UCLA with Harold Deitz, who's,
- 0:58you know, a legendary figure in study of property rights,
- 1:03the Nirvana approach.
- 1:04Tell us more about your, your early life
- 1:07and how you got interested in economics.
- 1:09- Oh, okay. So like you, I'm a Canadian.
- 1:11I grew up in two small towns in Canada
- 1:14that you've never heard of.
- 1:15And I went to the University of Winnipeg.
- 1:18I started when I was 16 because I'd skipped a grade
- 1:21and my birthday's in November.
- 1:22So I was about a year and a half of, ahead of most people.
- 1:26And it was a three year degree in Canada.
- 1:28And there's a reason that matters.
- 1:30I was a math major and I was really good at it.
- 1:33I ended up winning the gold medal in math at the University
- 1:35of Winnipeg at graduation.
- 1:38Math didn't grab me though in,
- 1:40in any really fundamental way.
- 1:42And so what, anyway, my first year I read The Fountainhead
- 1:47by Ay Rand and it just, I was obnoxious for six months,
- 1:52you know, kind
- 1:53of thinking you should be self-interested about everything.
- 1:55And my mother wants me to go get metaphor,
- 1:58and I say, that's altruistic, you know?
- 2:00But anyway, I got past that
- 2:02and started reading more of what she was recommending.
- 2:06People like La Van Mes and so on.
- 2:08So I, while I was doing math part of the day,
- 2:11I was educating myself in other parts,
- 2:13reading Henry Haslet Economics in one lesson.
- 2:16And I started feeling comfortable enough
- 2:18with the economic reasoning that I got in arguments
- 2:23with my calculus professor, my favorite professor there
- 2:26who was a British socialist.
- 2:28And I remember one time I kind
- 2:30of backed him into a corner pleasantly,
- 2:33but he said to me, David, you won this argument,
- 2:37but I'm an eco, I'm a calculus professor.
- 2:40Why don't you go to the economics department
- 2:42and see how they handle your arguments?
- 2:43And I thought, you know, you're absolutely right.
- 2:46Now, this happened in my second year,
- 2:48and as I said, it's a three-year degree.
- 2:50So I didn't start an economics course until my third year.
- 2:54And at University of Winnipeg,
- 2:56it was the whole year you did one course starting in the
- 2:59fall and writing your exam in May.
- 3:03And I knew halfway through that whatever I wanted
- 3:06to be in life.
- 3:07It was not an economist because it was so boring.
- 3:11We learned the Keynesian Cross model.
- 3:13We learned about perfect competition
- 3:15where everyone produces the same thing.
- 3:18No advertising, no, no differentiation.
- 3:21It just sounded perfect. Competition sounded boring to me.
- 3:25And then my libertarian club that I joined had,
- 3:29we used our whole annual budget on hiring someone from the
- 3:33University of Chicago.
- 3:34We tried to get Milton Freeman, we couldn't afford him,
- 3:37and we were recommended to try Harold Descents.
- 3:41And he gave three talks in two days.
- 3:45And it just opened my eyes to what you could do
- 3:48with economics and be at a good school,
- 3:50namely University of Chicago.
- 3:52So he had one talk, one talk in which he talked about
- 3:54how property rights can help solve the problem of pollution.
- 3:58He talked about how free markets raise the cost
- 4:02of discriminating on racial grounds, making it expensive
- 4:05to discriminate and
- 4:07therefore causing less
- 4:08of it than I than if you don't have free markets.
- 4:10And this was just so exciting to me.
- 4:13And I, I calculated, I must have spent between 10
- 4:15and 15 hours with him, both in the talks at lunches,
- 4:20driving him to the airport
- 4:21and we drove him to the Winnipeg Airport and he turned to me
- 4:25and said, you ought to come to Chicago
- 4:27and get a PhD in economics or business.
- 4:30And with my typical Canadian humility, which wasn't put on,
- 4:34I said, I don't know if I'm good enough.
- 4:37And he said, you're good enough.
- 4:39And what I learned later was that if you didn't think,
- 4:41if he didn't think you were good enough, he said that too.
- 4:44I heard from other people.
- 4:46So anyway, that's what got me kind of in that direction.
- 4:51I went down to visit him af two weeks
- 4:54after graduating in May of 1970.
- 4:58He recommended that I get all the past issues at the Journal
- 5:01of Law and Economics.
- 5:02So I did, and I was gonna start at the University
- 5:07of Western Ontario in the fall of 1970,
- 5:11because that was recommended to me as the best kind
- 5:15of undergraduate program.
- 5:17I wasn't gonna get a degree just as a year of advanced
- 5:20undergrad courses and maybe a, a grad course or two.
- 5:24And then something pretty awful happened that summer.
- 5:29My brother was 22, I was 19, and he committed suicide.
- 5:33And I didn't want to go anywhere.
- 5:35I just wanted to stay around my friends.
- 5:36So I contacted the University of West Ontario,
- 5:39explained the situation, could I come down a year later?
- 5:41And since they weren't giving me money
- 5:43or anything, that was fine.
- 5:45And then I spent from eight to 12 every morning
- 5:49working my way through back issues of the Journal
- 5:52of Law and Economics.
- 5:53And that was just eye-opening.
- 5:55And every time I read an article
- 5:56by someone I thought was really good,
- 5:58I wrote the person's name and where the person was.
- 6:02And five college universities kept coming up, Chicago, UCLA,
- 6:06duke, university of Virginia,
- 6:09and VPI, which is now Virginia Tech.
- 6:11I applied at all of them, got accepted, all of them.
- 6:15And UCLA gave me the best offer.
- 6:18So I ended up going to UCLA.
- 6:20By then, Demsetz had moved to UCLA.
- 6:23Anyway, that's, that's how I got into it.
- 6:26- Wow. And and Arm Alkin w was there at that time.
- 6:30- Yeah. And I kept writing his name down.
- 6:32So when I was in my second year at the University
- 6:36of Winnipeg, I read this article he'd written called The
- 6:39Economic and Social Impact of Zero Tuition.
- 6:43And it was just so beautiful, just such good reasoning.
- 6:46And he laid out how the
- 6:51idea of subsidizing people to college to go
- 6:55to college doesn't make sense when the fact that they can go
- 6:58to college means they're already kind
- 7:00of gonna be in the upper rungs of the income distribution.
- 7:03And his analogy was, if some, if an oil,
- 7:06if someone's sitting on a, if on a patch of oil
- 7:09and doesn't have the money to drill you,
- 7:11don't give him the money.
- 7:13At worst you'll lend him the money
- 7:15because he's gonna be a wealthy guy once he drills.
- 7:18So your brain is like the patch of oil.
- 7:21And I, and so there was this, there was this commission
- 7:24to look into what they should do about university financing.
- 7:28And I just wrote it out, not even using a typewriter,
- 7:31just wrote out that argument, quoting him, also,
- 7:33putting it in my own words
- 7:35and submitting to this, this committee, why should they,
- 7:39why they should be charging us higher tuition
- 7:41and not subsidizing us.
- 7:43So that was my first attempt
- 7:44to kind lay out some economic reasoning.
- 7:48- That's fascinating. I know at some level, UCLA has been,
- 7:52in many respects, a home
- 7:54for many Chicago School of Commerce.
- 7:55At one point, I think they were calling it
- 7:57Chicago West. Well,
- 8:00- When Sam Peltzman, who I went
- 8:01to visit when I first got there,
- 8:03'cause I, he was there as last year
- 8:05before he went back to Chicago,
- 8:06he had a bumper sticker on his door, the University
- 8:09of Chicago at Los Angeles.
- 8:11- Oh, that's great. That's so funny.
- 8:13- Yeah, yeah.
- 8:15- Well, I'm, I'm curious, you know, like one,
- 8:17I I know many other legends of economics legends have been
- 8:22through there as well.
- 8:23Certainly, you know, Hoover's very own John Hogan,
- 8:29as well as now past John Ian and, and Eddie Lazier.
- 8:34Eddie Lazier attended as, as an undergrad.
- 8:38And John Ian and John Hogan were there for their PhDs.
- 8:41Many Hoover, Hoover luminaries have, have been
- 8:43through UCLA as well.
- 8:45Yeah. So I'm just curious, what, if you could define, like,
- 8:48you know, what did they mean, you know,
- 8:51what were the ideas about property rights
- 8:53that folks like Harold Demsetz
- 8:55and Arm Elian we're coming up with?
- 8:56Explain like what exactly, you know,
- 8:59is the Nirvana approach?
- 9:01Yeah. And, and and what exactly does that mean?
- 9:03- I'll start with Elgin and then go to Demsetz.
- 9:05So the way I once summarized Elgin's work is you tell me
- 9:10the rules and I will predict behavior.
- 9:13And so, you know,
- 9:15you tell me the particular property rights regime
- 9:17or absence of property rights, and I will predict behavior.
- 9:21And one of the things that was so great about Elsin is that,
- 9:26you know, the, the,
- 9:27the profession had become pretty mathematical by then.
- 9:30I went there in 72 and he didn't do that.
- 9:33He could do math, he was good at it,
- 9:35but he thought you could be rigorous with words.
- 9:39And I learned that when, when he graded me, how I,
- 9:42I would just use words very loosely
- 9:44and he would kind of write in the margin, no, that's,
- 9:47you know, you don't want to minimize this and maximize that
- 9:50'cause you can't do those at the same time, you know,
- 9:52stuff like, and, and so he just,
- 9:55that was just a great thing to learn from him.
- 9:58Dem sets was along the same lines.
- 10:01Dem sets wrote a piece in the a ER papers and proceedings.
- 10:05It would never be published now to called towards a theory
- 10:09of property rights.
- 10:11And it was, it's one of the most read articles in the a ER.
- 10:16And you know, it's just all about
- 10:19how in Canada when the various Indian tribes
- 10:24were, were catching beaver.
- 10:27And they didn't, you know, they,
- 10:28they wanna make sure they didn't,
- 10:30someone didn't encroach on them
- 10:31and they had a kind of a kind of property rights set up.
- 10:34So he did all of that stuff.
- 10:36Also, I, there was this book on the UCLA economics school
- 10:41that I did with a fellow economics,
- 10:43a fellow graduate student at UCLA.
- 10:46And it was published by Fraser Institute.
- 10:49And I pointed out that if you look at the timing of the,
- 10:53of this article he wrote where he, he talked about
- 10:57what happens when you have things in common.
- 10:59It proceeded by a year, the famous article, tragedy
- 11:04of the Commons by his name's not coming to me,
- 11:09it's the most read article in Science magazine ever.
- 11:13And, and so anyway, he, he, he, he beat him by a year,
- 11:17but he didn't come up with that term.
- 11:19So it's just those kinds of insights that,
- 11:22and so dem sets, it's the same thing.
- 11:24You tell me the rules, you tell me the property rights,
- 11:28and I will start predicting behavior.
- 11:32- Garrett Harden's fascinating.
- 11:33- Garrett Hardin was the author of the Peace and Science.
- 11:36- That's fascinating. I know that this is sort of also a, a,
- 11:39a big, really critical to what I would say is the, you know,
- 11:44founding of of new institutional economics, which, you know,
- 11:48folks like Drone Edge, Moog
- 11:49and others are, are, I think part of, in just arguing,
- 11:51you know, how much property rights,
- 11:53having good property rights is, is essential
- 11:56for economic growth.
- 11:58Yeah. And it's interesting, you know, how many others I,
- 12:00I guess, have gone through UCLA over the years,
- 12:02whether it's, you know, Jerry Jordan who became president
- 12:05of the Cleveland Fed, I think Bill Sharp,
- 12:09you know, for the sharp ratio.
- 12:10He, he went through UCLA,
- 12:12- Walter Williams got his PhD a couple years ahead of me.
- 12:16We didn't overlap.
- 12:17He left just, you know, months before I got there.
- 12:20So yeah, there were a lot of a, a lot of heavy hitters.
- 12:25Could I get into the dem sets and the nva? Absolutely.
- 12:28So, so he wrote an article in the Journal
- 12:30of Law Economics called Information
- 12:32and Efficiency, another Approach.
- 12:34And what it was, was essentially a critique of this piece
- 12:38by Kenneth Aero, where he basically was saying, you know,
- 12:43Kenneth Aero is using what he called the Nirvana approach.
- 12:46You look at problems with the free market and then you say,
- 12:50therefore we need government,
- 12:52but you don't examine how government works.
- 12:56So people now call it the Nirvana fallacy,
- 12:58but it was really Nirvana approach
- 13:00and it consisted of three fallacies, according to dem sets,
- 13:04the grasses greener fallacy,
- 13:06the people could be different fallacy
- 13:08and the free lunch fallacy.
- 13:10And he laid out how Arrow did all of committed all
- 13:14of those fallacies in, in his famous article.
- 13:17So that was, that was huge.
- 13:19And that was one of the ones that, that
- 13:22we highlighted in our Fraser book on the UCLA school.
- 13:25- That that's fascinating. It's amazing how at some level,
- 13:29economists have been become so obsessed with market failure
- 13:34and at some level kind of forgotten about
- 13:35government failure.
- 13:36Yeah. And, and I, I think at some level you have to sort
- 13:39of balance those two up.
- 13:40But I think it, in economics 1 0 1 classes, I think very,
- 13:44very few actually teach any concept of government failure.
- 13:49Or, you know, what if you overcorrect
- 13:51for these externalities, what, what kinds of dangers?
- 13:54What if you can't really measure social marginal costs?
- 13:57What, what happens from the, the government intervention
- 14:00that that's maybe overdoing it in, in response?
- 14:05- And what happens if the government officials don't have
- 14:07the right incentives?
- 14:09And the way I've often put it,
- 14:11and this is quite in line with dem sets, is okay,
- 14:14you laid out how incentives in the free market can lead
- 14:18to bad results.
- 14:19When I'm not taking account on negative externalities,
- 14:21I over pollute, et cetera, you forget to even look
- 14:26at the incentives the government officials have.
- 14:29And so it's just like, it, it it, it's just basic.
- 14:33You know, George Stigler who picked up on,
- 14:36he was a colleague of dem sets at Chicago
- 14:38before Demes was at UCLA
- 14:42and George Stigler said, you know,
- 14:43when you're looking at free markets versus government, it,
- 14:46it, most pe most economists are
- 14:50kinda like the judge in a beauty contest
- 14:52who sees contestant one and that's it.
- 14:55And on that basis gives the award
- 14:57to contestant two in words.
- 15:00You aren't even examining the way, the way government works.
- 15:04So that was a, a big thing with dem sets.
- 15:08- Well, well that's, that's quite something.
- 15:10So, so I wanna, I wanna get back to some of your career
- 15:14and yeah, you, you were a professor at University
- 15:18of Rochester and you also were part
- 15:23of the Cato Institute very early on.
- 15:25I think a lot of people aren't, may not realize
- 15:28that the Cato Institute actually started in San Francisco
- 15:31on, on the West Coast.
- 15:32Yes. I mean, tell us about some of those early days and,
- 15:37and, and what it was like being an economist at, you know,
- 15:41at a time that was so before the Reagan revolution.
- 15:44Yes. You know, free markets, you know, wasn't totally
- 15:49something that I'd say was maybe fully embraced
- 15:51by the GOP at that point.
- 15:52I mean, the Nixon saw, you know, a lot
- 15:56of different things from price controls to you name it,
- 16:00you know, which is very, very different from sort the,
- 16:03I'd say free market policies of the, of,
- 16:06of the Reagan administration.
- 16:07I'm curious, what, what was that time like for you
- 16:10and you, you obviously also went
- 16:12to serve in the legendary Reagan CEA
- 16:14that many others had worked in, including
- 16:17Hoover's very own John Cochrane as well
- 16:19as Paul Friedman and Larry Summers.
- 16:21And, and Marty Feldstein was the chair for part of it
- 16:26as well as Bill Kin.
- 16:27And who, tell us about that sort of early career in,
- 16:32in economic policy for you.
- 16:34- Well, I want to start by talking about
- 16:37how I decided that I wanted to do more popular writing
- 16:41and less academic writing.
- 16:44I was at University of Rochester
- 16:47and I was doing academic articles
- 16:48and having trouble getting them published.
- 16:51'cause I was trying the top five journals.
- 16:53Shouldn't have done that. But anyway, I did.
- 16:56And I remember I was on a call with a friend of mine one day
- 16:59and I was talking about this article,
- 17:00this academic article I was working on.
- 17:03And then I told him about this piece I'd done on the minimum
- 17:07wage for Libertarian review.
- 17:09And he said, David, I wanna point something out to you.
- 17:13When you talked about your minimum wage article,
- 17:17you sounded like the young, vigorous excited David,
- 17:20I've come to know and love when you talked about your
- 17:23academic work.
- 17:25You sounded like an 80-year-old man who is about to die.
- 17:30And, and I sat with that for a week
- 17:32and thought, you know, he is right.
- 17:33And a friend of mine named Roy Childs, who was editor
- 17:36of Libertarian Review, we were talking on the phone then a
- 17:38week or two later, and he said there was an opening at the
- 17:41Cato Institute for a policy analyst.
- 17:44So I applied for it, I got it.
- 17:46I was not a very good bargainer.
- 17:49And that's a whole story about the wage i,
- 17:51the salary I accepted.
- 17:52But anyway, it got me writing every week
- 17:56for a general audience.
- 17:58And then I went back to kind of thinking about elsin.
- 18:01It's like, how do you write clearly
- 18:03and accurately for an general audience, even to under, even
- 18:08to explain kind of complicated points.
- 18:10And I got pretty good at that.
- 18:13And so I was writing, I was applying,
- 18:15I was every once in a while submitting things
- 18:17to the Wall Street Journal and not even hearing back from
- 18:20them or hearing back that it was a no, you know,
- 18:22that's when you sent things in letters.
- 18:23You remember letters tell, you sent them them Anyway.
- 18:29But also, I, I should go back to one other thing
- 18:31'cause this is all kind of setting the stage for
- 18:33how I decided to specialize in, in writing
- 18:36for a general audience.
- 18:37Fines Welch, who was this famous labor economist at UCLA,
- 18:41he's the one who John Cogan and John Razin studied under.
- 18:45I didn't, but I was sitting in his labor economics class
- 18:49and he one day asked us to guess the number of readers,
- 18:53number of average, the average number of readers
- 18:55of a journal article in an academic journal.
- 18:57And we started a hundred and worked our way down.
- 19:00And finally the answer was four.
- 19:03And I went home that night
- 19:04and said, do I want to spend my life writing articles
- 19:07that four people will read?
- 19:09Let's say I'm three times the average quality.
- 19:11So it's 12, let's say it's a non-linear relationship,
- 19:15so it's 30 like still.
- 19:17So that was actually when I started submitting articles
- 19:20to the Wall Street Journal when I was a graduate student.
- 19:22And I kept getting rejections.
- 19:24But anyway, that set the stage.
- 19:26So Reagan gets elected
- 19:28and there's a whole story there about, so, okay, when I was,
- 19:33when I was the editor of Policy analysis, I wrote a,
- 19:38a defense of all these deregulating economists,
- 19:42people like Murray Weidenbaum
- 19:45because the, the Village Voice had a really
- 19:48scurrilous attack on them.
- 19:49And I wrote a, my editorial was titled A Reply to the Voice.
- 19:53And I sent copies to every, every economist
- 19:57who was pushing deregulation just
- 20:00so they would know if someone was defending them.
- 20:02And Murray Weidenbaum wrote back a nice note.
- 20:05He was like, Mr. Deregulation at the time.
- 20:08So one day I'm driving home, I quit Cato
- 20:11and ended up work teaching at Santa Clara University.
- 20:14I'm driving home from San Santa Clara to, to San Francisco.
- 20:18And I find out on the radio that Wheaten Baum's just chose,
- 20:22been chosen as the chairman.
- 20:24So I get home, I call his office to remind him who I am.
- 20:28'cause I wanted to be a senior economist
- 20:30and they say he is gone home for the day.
- 20:33So I just called the the St.
- 20:35Louis phone book (314) 555-1212.
- 20:39And got his number at home called him.
- 20:41And this is funny, it funny in a funny kind of way.
- 20:45His wife answered, and I later kind of friends with her,
- 20:48but she answered
- 20:49and I said, I heard Murray's gonna be the
- 20:51chairman of the council.
- 20:52And she goes, he is.
- 20:55So he had, he'd accepted without telling her that's like,
- 21:00that wouldn't work in my marriage.
- 21:02But anyway, so he called me back
- 21:05and then he said, yeah, he'd be back in touch.
- 21:07And then they were dealing with the budget and tax policy.
- 21:11He had no time to be back in touch.
- 21:13Meanwhile, Kogan,
- 21:14John Kogan we talked about had become Assistant Secretary
- 21:17of Labor and he hired me to be one of his assistants.
- 21:21That's how I got closer to Kogan.
- 21:23It's also how I got closer to John Raisin,
- 21:25who became a very good friend when we,
- 21:28'cause we knew each other in graduate school,
- 21:29but he was a year ahead of me
- 21:31and, you know, we didn't know each other well anyway,
- 21:34so I went there
- 21:35and then once I was there, Weinbaum invited me over
- 21:39for an interview for Senior Economist, made me the offer
- 21:42and I was gonna be working under him.
- 21:44And Bill Neon, bill Neon was one of the members.
- 21:48But then Murray quit in July of 82.
- 21:53I was coming in in August.
- 21:55So he and I overlapped for only a few weeks.
- 21:57That was another interesting story.
- 22:00I had left the labor department on a Friday.
- 22:03My wife to be had moved from Santa Clara where we'd met.
- 22:06She was a, an English composition lecturer.
- 22:09And we're planning out our, our next, our our week
- 22:13of vacation before I start that job.
- 22:16And I get a call from Murray
- 22:18and he says he's talked to Marty Feldstein his replacement,
- 22:21and Marty has asked him
- 22:22to invite all the people he's made offers to not to come.
- 22:27Well, I'd been a summer intern at the Council
- 22:29of Economic Advisors in, in 73 under Herb Stein
- 22:34and, and Nixon.
- 22:35And so I knew the kind of the, the rule,
- 22:37the gentleman's rules, which is the person making the offer.
- 22:41It's good no matter who comes in and replaces him.
- 22:44So I said to Murray, could you please tell Marty I
- 22:47respectfully declined his, his invite.
- 22:50I'm coming. So I got there and,
- 22:53and overlapped with Murray for two weeks
- 22:57and then Marty came in
- 22:59and so it, it kind of worked out well.
- 23:00That was another thing, like I, I looked around, I,
- 23:03I knew he was bringing in Paul Krugman,
- 23:06he was bringing in Larry Summers.
- 23:07And I thought, well, they're not health economists.
- 23:10And I looked around,
- 23:11there was no one doing health economics, it seemed to me.
- 23:14And I hadn't done it,
- 23:15but I'd read a lot of it and I liked it.
- 23:18So I spent two weeks just boning up on health economics
- 23:22to be ready to make my pitch to Marty.
- 23:25And so I would, you know, I'd, there was, you know,
- 23:29health Economist named Joe Newhouse, everyone's heard of.
- 23:32And I'd read his work
- 23:33and I'd call him up to ask him a question about it
- 23:37and he'd take my call.
- 23:38'cause I'm calling from the Council Economic Advisors.
- 23:40And I could tell by the way he answered
- 23:42that was not a dumb question.
- 23:45And so anyway, Marty, the day
- 23:48after Labor Day was his first day,
- 23:50and he had all of us in this little room,
- 23:52maybe these like 12, 15 senior economists,
- 23:55junior economists like John Cochran
- 23:59and Greg Manchu, I mean, you know, all these people
- 24:02that turned out to be heavy hitters.
- 24:05And Marty said, I want you to go around the table
- 24:09and say your name and where you came from.
- 24:11And I thought, you know what? I'm gonna,
- 24:13I'm gonna take a chance here.
- 24:14So when it got to me, I said,
- 24:16David Henderson labor department,
- 24:18and I'd like to be the health economist.
- 24:20And I see Larry and Paul just kind of whispering
- 24:24and laughing like, who the hell's this guy?
- 24:27I go back to my office an hour later, I get a call,
- 24:30the chairman would like to see you.
- 24:32It was his, it was Marty's secretary.
- 24:35And I went down there
- 24:37and Marty says, I hear you're somewhat
- 24:39of a health economist.
- 24:40And I thought, do not over promise.
- 24:43I said, well, two weeks worth, but I'm a fast learner.
- 24:46And he goes, you got it.
- 24:47So I was the health health economist under Very good.
- 24:51- Well what, I mean, what was it like, I guess you,
- 24:55you people like Paul Krugman, Larry Summers, I mean,
- 24:59I'm sure there were probably others
- 25:00around I maybe Greg Manchu came later and, and
- 25:03- No, he was there as a junior.
- 25:04Okay. He was there as a junior. Yeah.
- 25:07- And was it clear
- 25:09that these folks were all pretty ascendant, I guess,
- 25:12and in macroeconomics at the time and, and
- 25:14- Paul Crewman was already known for his thing
- 25:18that helped win him the Nobel Prize,
- 25:20which is the monopolistic competition thing.
- 25:22Like I, I think it kind of,
- 25:24the way I think he posed the question is why is it when we
- 25:27talk about specialization across countries, why is it
- 25:30that Sweden produces cars and United States produces cars
- 25:34and Japan produces cars?
- 25:35Like what's this specialization thing?
- 25:37And he had this whole model
- 25:39and that was, that was part of, of it.
- 25:41And people knew about it.
- 25:42And so I had a friend who was a,
- 25:45for a fellow UCLA graduate a couple years ahead of me,
- 25:48Ted Frack who visited me, and we were in the cafeteria
- 25:52and he looks over and he sees Paul
- 25:53and he gives me a nice summary of what Paul had written,
- 25:57you know, and so yeah,
- 25:59and everyone knew Larry was really sharp,
- 26:02very different personalities by the way.
- 26:04Like Paul kind of kept to himself. Larry was outgoing.
- 26:08If you wanted to go into his office
- 26:09and talk about something, he was very welcoming in a way
- 26:12that say Paul wasn't.
- 26:13But anyway, so it, it was an interesting group.
- 26:19One thing, by the way, Marty and Bill did not get along.
- 26:22And so the health economics was fine. That was Marty.
- 26:27But I, Marty made me an offer to stay a second year
- 26:32and I wanted to accept,
- 26:33because I could always say no, no,
- 26:35he didn't just inherit me.
- 26:36He wanted me. So I accepted.
- 26:39And then Ben Zeer had been the energy economist left, and I,
- 26:44and I asked if I could take on that portfolio
- 26:46'cause Energy was dialing down.
- 26:49Reagan had done the good thing by ending the price controls.
- 26:51And I felt like I can handle both.
- 26:53And Marty and Bill said yes.
- 26:55And it was on tho that issue
- 26:57where I was answering to both of them.
- 26:59And I had to learn how to do
- 27:02that without getting in the middle
- 27:04and getting both of them disliking me.
- 27:06And I, I think I ended up doing that pretty well.
- 27:09- That's fascinating. And
- 27:10and what a, what a time to be there during the,
- 27:12the Reagan CEA
- 27:13and Yeah, you know, through a, you know, there are a couple
- 27:17amazing tax reforms that, you know,
- 27:21brought marginal rates down substantially
- 27:23and was the one change
- 27:26to the business tax code really in, in 30 years.
- 27:29And, and it wasn't until the Tax, tax
- 27:31and jobs act of, of 2017 that
- 27:36the US was able to, to cut the corporate tax rate again.
- 27:39I wanna just talk a little bit about, you know,
- 27:42your interest in getting into, you know,
- 27:45communicating economics to the public.
- 27:46And I know we talked a little bit before about shifting
- 27:49from, you know, writing academic articles,
- 27:51which maybe a few people read to, you know, writing more,
- 27:55more for, for the public.
- 27:56I mean, I think you were very early in, you know,
- 27:59communicating to the public online and,
- 28:03and you know, you've been involved with Econ Log,
- 28:07you have a Substack now.
- 28:09Yes. You have the Concise Encyclopedia of economics,
- 28:12which you, you've been working on for, for a long time.
- 28:14I'm curious, you know, what piqued your interest in,
- 28:17in these various groups and and how did that all start?
- 28:22- So it really started with writing for Fortune.
- 28:26When I was at the Council of Economic Advisors,
- 28:29ed Meese was a, you know,
- 28:31major figure in the Reagan administration.
- 28:34And he asked either Bill Neon or,
- 28:38or Marty, I can't remember who as a favor, could,
- 28:41could he kind of assign one of his senior economists
- 28:44for a few hours to help him with this speech?
- 28:47He was making critical of industrial policy.
- 28:50And I thought, yeah, I'm very critical of industrial policy.
- 28:54And when I started researching it, I went, oh my God,
- 28:56like I've learned so much.
- 28:58And one of the big things was
- 29:00what I ended up calling the myth of meaty, that meaty,
- 29:04the Ministry of International Trade
- 29:05and Industry in Japan didn't plan the economy that much.
- 29:09And to the extent they tried, they failed.
- 29:12And so I wrote some of these things up for Ed Mesa's office
- 29:16and I thought this would be a great article.
- 29:18And meanwhile, I was talking to the Washington Bureau chief
- 29:21for Fortune, whom I'd met at a conference a few years
- 29:24earlier, and he'd said,
- 29:25when you get an idea right up a couple of paragraphs.
- 29:27And I did, he sent it up to New York
- 29:30and they said, yeah, let's get David, let's get Henderson
- 29:33to do this, this, this piece on it.
- 29:37And they offered me an amount of money I'd never heard of.
- 29:41This is in 1980 $3.
- 29:43They offered me three grand with a 10% kill fee, 300.
- 29:47So kill fee, meaning if they don't use it
- 29:49'cause they don't know who I am.
- 29:51And a two week deadline I thought,
- 29:53don't bargain about money, bargain about time.
- 29:55So I asked for three weeks and I just kept writing
- 29:58and rewriting and honing again.
- 30:00I got the economics, I got the facts.
- 30:03The whole thing was make this sucker sing.
- 30:06And the first two paragraphs were so powerful
- 30:10and I, I don't know, I don't think I can kind of quote them,
- 30:13but I can kind of, okay.
- 30:15In 1954,
- 30:17a small Japanese electronics firm asked the Ministry
- 30:21of International Trade and Industry meaty for permission
- 30:24to buy $25,000 in US dollars in order
- 30:28to buy technology from Western Electric Meaty.
- 30:32Turned it down, the company tried again, meaty,
- 30:36turned it down the third time it, it, it,
- 30:40it approved it.
- 30:43They bought the technology, it was the transistor
- 30:46and the company Sony went on to great, you know,
- 30:50great profits, something like that.
- 30:52And, and so I, I said it really well, but I real,
- 30:55and I remember when the fact checker couldn't find that,
- 30:58I went, oh my God, there goes my paragraph.
- 31:01So I tracked down the executive at Western Electric
- 31:05who was way beyond retirement, who had made the deal.
- 31:09And, and I showed her, no, he, here's
- 31:11what he said, and you can call him.
- 31:13And I saved that paragraph.
- 31:15And anyway, so that's what kind of led me there.
- 31:17And then we were moving out here
- 31:19to the Naval Postgraduate School
- 31:21and to be able to ever afford a house, I needed
- 31:24to write four to six book reviews
- 31:27or whatever for Fortune every, every year.
- 31:30And I made a deal with Dan Salman,
- 31:31he was a great, great editor.
- 31:34And, and so I did that for a few years.
- 31:37And then in 1990, time, time
- 31:42and Warner merged became Time Warner
- 31:44and they wanted to do a joint project, some kind
- 31:46of encyclopedia of economics.
- 31:49And they asked Dan Salman,
- 31:50he was very economically literate, very good writer.
- 31:54And he said, I can't do it. And they said, well, who can?
- 31:56He said, David Henderson. He, they said, who else?
- 31:59And he said, no one else.
- 32:01So they contacted me, he contacted me to tell me.
- 32:04So by the time the, the editor at Fortune
- 32:07Woman named Ann Morrison called me, I'd had two weeks
- 32:11to really think it out, an outline.
- 32:13And then when she called me, I just cord dumped.
- 32:15I just told her everything. She goes, well,
- 32:18we're looking at some one other proposal,
- 32:19but I think this is it.
- 32:21And so anyway, that's what led to, led to it.
- 32:24And I got really good people in there.
- 32:26I got Paul Krugman, I got Larry Summers, I got James Tobin.
- 32:31I, I, and, and I wanted it to be mainstream,
- 32:34even if it's a little bit of a free market kind
- 32:36of tint to it.
- 32:39It's the kind of things
- 32:40that economists across the board except sometimes in
- 32:44macro could agree to.
- 32:46And I think it was very successful in that respect.
- 32:49And then it, it sold really well for that kind of book,
- 32:52over 10,000 copies and closer to 15.
- 32:55But it, that's not the kind
- 32:57of book Warner Books should, should have.
- 32:59And so probably would've sold 30 if it
- 33:01had been the right publisher.
- 33:03Anyway, the rights reverted to me
- 33:05and then later on Liberty Fund came along
- 33:07and said, how about we put it online
- 33:12and then how about you do a second edition?
- 33:14So we called it the Concise Encyclopedia
- 33:17of Economics first edition,
- 33:19and then the new edition,
- 33:20which was way more work than I expected,
- 33:23was the second edition.
- 33:25So that's kind of how that worked out.
- 33:27- Well that's amazing. And you know, to your credit, I mean,
- 33:30working with people like Ed Ed me, it's amazing
- 33:34'cause he really transformed the consider of legal movement.
- 33:40He, the Reagan, DOJ in the OLP
- 33:44or when he was Attorney General, you know, he
- 33:46was really began this process of hiring or, or
- 33:51or appointing originalist judges.
- 33:54And I think that was a huge turning point, certainly
- 33:57for the conservative legal movement.
- 33:59And there's a great book, recent book called The,
- 34:02the Me Revolution by Gary Lawson
- 34:04and Steve Calabresi, that that documents
- 34:07and details all this.
- 34:08But that's really one that the conservative legal movement
- 34:11started to get into your and totally makes sense that,
- 34:12that he'd be interested in, in account like yourself helping
- 34:17to, to write a speech on, on industrial policy, which,
- 34:20which again is very timely and,
- 34:23and relevant again today.
- 34:26Well, I I really wanna thank, well,
- 34:27can I add one more thing about that?
- 34:29- Because I got going on industrial policy
- 34:31and I don't, I'm not, I don't want to take too much credit,
- 34:34but I do know that there was this discussion
- 34:36of whether we should have a chapter on industrial policy in
- 34:40the 19, in the 1984 economic report of the President,
- 34:43which was the major thing we put out.
- 34:46And I remember arguing strongly for it and, and,
- 34:50and we ended up doing it.
- 34:51And I wrote big hunks of that, of that chapter. Yeah,
- 34:57- That, that's fascinating.
- 34:58I, I I guess in terms of arguments against,
- 35:02I mean industrial policies obviously in the,
- 35:04the news again today,
- 35:05and I'm curious if you have any sort of thoughts.
- 35:07I mean obviously a, you know, many economists are, are,
- 35:12are, are post-industrial policy, you know,
- 35:14because of these arguments about picking winners and losers.
- 35:17I mean, one I guess challenge that, that I sort of have
- 35:20with industrial policy is like c certainly, you know, one,
- 35:26and this is, this is less of a challenge, you know, the at,
- 35:29at some level if there's some sort of foreign
- 35:35foreign policy case
- 35:36or defense security case that trump's you know,
- 35:39economic concerns, you know, absolutely.
- 35:42I mean, there was a time when, you know,
- 35:43the US didn't trade much with the, with the USSR,
- 35:46that's why they called, you know,
- 35:49they called the SSR blocked the,
- 35:52they called it the second world.
- 35:54And you know, they called, you know, Africa, the poor world,
- 35:56the third world and, and you know,
- 35:58the free world was the first world and,
- 35:59and so they didn't really trade or communicate right.
- 36:03And of course, you know, that that might not be in the best
- 36:05interest, but there may be national security concerns, why,
- 36:09why one may wanna do that, why one may wanna
- 36:12use government subsidies to reshore chips and so forth.
- 36:16But, you know, apart from that, you know, I I, I think
- 36:20at some level, I, I think for, for the folks that,
- 36:21that wanna really get on industrial policy, I,
- 36:26I think one challenge there is
- 36:29that I don't think there's necessarily enough ideas
- 36:33that I think people have to, to even subsidize.
- 36:36Yeah. I mean, at, at some level, you know,
- 36:38one could make the case that
- 36:41industry subsidies would be superior to simply just tariffs
- 36:45for, for I think that there, there's some reasons why one
- 36:50might wanna do that just in the sense that you're,
- 36:52you're not increasing prices on, on your own,
- 36:55your own population.
- 36:58But I, I'm just curious, you know, I've always thought
- 37:00that maybe education policy is the,
- 37:02is the best industrial policy in capital policy,
- 37:04but I'm, I'm just curious what your thoughts are now, given
- 37:08that industrial policy is kind of reignited this, the,
- 37:13the interest of, of, of economic policy people.
- 37:17I'm curious where you stand on these sorts of arguments
- 37:19and what your, what your favorite arguments are.
- 37:22- So the industrial policy being pushed in the early
- 37:25eighties is very different.
- 37:27A very different motive from the policy being pushed down In
- 37:30the early eighties, there was this idea
- 37:32that the government could choose winners,
- 37:34that somehow they could make good decisions.
- 37:37And that's why the myth of media was
- 37:39so important in offsetting that view that it was a myth.
- 37:44So you had Mondale who'd made it a major part
- 37:46of his campaign in 1984 against Reagan.
- 37:49And I saw him, I saw Mondale coming,
- 37:52and that's another reason I was pushing
- 37:54for having this chapter.
- 37:55This is how we can help our president
- 37:57and be saying things that we believe and that are important.
- 38:01So now it's more 'cause,
- 38:04and it wasn't about national security, not really,
- 38:07now it's a different kind of argument.
- 38:09It's a messier argument that somehow we need to subsidize,
- 38:14as you say, say computer chips
- 38:16or whatever in order
- 38:17that we don't depend on certain supply chains that are,
- 38:20that could be at risk in a conflict.
- 38:22And that's a messier one.
- 38:24And it's, I still don't think the government has really good
- 38:28information or really good incentives.
- 38:30So I would still argue against that kind
- 38:33of industrial policy, but it's a different argument.
- 38:37I mean, the argument is the same,
- 38:39but I'm arguing against a different thing.
- 38:43- Yeah, absolutely.
- 38:44And, and that's, that's a, a, a great historical context to,
- 38:49to our, our comparison to draw on.
- 38:51Well David, I really wanna thank you for coming on.
- 38:54This is a real honor interviewing you,
- 38:55learning about the history of property rights,
- 38:58Harold Demsetz, arm akin there thinking that UCLA,
- 39:02what your journey has been like as a, an economist,
- 39:05as an academic, as a policy maker, as a a communicator.
- 39:09I really wanna thank you for coming on.
- 39:10This has been a real honor.
- 39:12- Well, you're welcome. Can I also just push for a minute,
- 39:14my substack Absolutely.
- 39:16David R. Henderson substack dot Substack
- 39:19and I call it I blog to differ.
- 39:21And anyway, so it's been a real riot doing that
- 39:24for about the last year and a half.
- 39:26- Well, thanks so much for David for coming on.
- 39:28- Thanks. - This is The Capitalism and Freedom
- 39:31in the 21st Century podcast, an official podcast
- 39:33of the Hoover Institution Economic Policy Working Group,
- 39:35where we talk about economics, markets, and public policy.
- 39:38I'm Jon Harley, your host. Thanks so much for joining us.