Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / 60 Minutes Interview Crashes Crypto️🔥Buy The Dip?
Transcript
- 0:06Speaker 1: My name is Paul Barren. Welcome back in the tech path.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Let me get into a couple of details here today.
- 0:10Speaker 1: One of course, is going to be our sponsor, and
- 0:13Speaker 1: that is I Trust Capital. Just make sure and check
- 0:15Speaker 1: it out. Go over to I trustcapital dot com. One
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- 0:46Speaker 1: over to a couple of the notes today and I'm
- 0:49Speaker 1: going to go and start in with the KOBEEC letter.
- 0:52Speaker 1: There's a couple of things that are going to be
- 0:53Speaker 1: happening this week that you need to be aware of.
- 0:55Speaker 1: We're going to have the New York Fed the consumer
- 0:58Speaker 1: inflation expectations on Monday, today most likely I haven't seen
- 1:01Speaker 1: them yet.
- 1:02Speaker 2: OPEK is going to get their report out.
- 1:04Speaker 1: The CPI data on Wednesday is a big one, and
- 1:06Speaker 1: then of course we get the follow up on the PPI.
- 1:08Speaker 1: Remember that the FOMC meeting, that's the meeting for Chair
- 1:14Speaker 1: Powell when he gives you the interest rate. That's next week,
- 1:17Speaker 1: So we'll be covering that live and that could be
- 1:20Speaker 1: a big factor going into right before the Santa rally.
- 1:24Speaker 1: If we do get one other things jobless claims that'll
- 1:28Speaker 1: come out on Thursday, that's the one I'm kind of
- 1:29Speaker 1: looking for, we could get a surprise there. So a
- 1:32Speaker 1: lot of things happening this week.
- 1:34Speaker 2: They could affect the markets.
- 1:35Speaker 1: Generally not necessarily great for what's happening, but hey, it's
- 1:39Speaker 1: going to We're going to see some moves. And when
- 1:42Speaker 1: you think about what the market is doing right now,
- 1:44Speaker 1: many people are pointing to the sixty minutes video that
- 1:48Speaker 1: had Brad Garlinghouse and of course Ripple.
- 1:52Speaker 2: It wasn't a.
- 1:52Speaker 1: Shining representation of crypto in general. And I think this
- 1:57Speaker 1: is always in many cases by the mainstream media look
- 2:00Speaker 1: at as a way to strategy create strategy against crypto.
- 2:04Speaker 1: A lot of things were not said. A lot of
- 2:06Speaker 1: things were not revealed, including the biggest I thought was
- 2:08Speaker 1: the fact that Ripple won their case and was deemed
- 2:11Speaker 1: by courts not a security. That really didn't come out
- 2:15Speaker 1: as much as it should have in the interview.
- 2:17Speaker 2: But here's garling House.
- 2:19Speaker 1: Crypto made its debut on sixty minutes. No doubt that
- 2:21Speaker 1: these technologies will continue to become a more mainstream. A
- 2:24Speaker 1: few things I did and I want to comment after watching,
- 2:28Speaker 1: and a couple of things he says, is this to
- 2:31Speaker 1: say that crypto has no utility? Exactly what the naysayer
- 2:34Speaker 1: said about the Internet. There were a lot of things
- 2:37Speaker 1: within it where sixty minutes was jumping to a lot
- 2:39Speaker 1: of conclusion than they added Johnrey Stark, which has been
- 2:42Speaker 1: not a crypto proponent for quite a while and is
- 2:45Speaker 1: now more of a consultant. So interesting that they brought
- 2:47Speaker 1: him in. Other things I want to hit on real quick.
- 2:50Speaker 1: And that was this right here by Perry Ann coming
- 2:53Speaker 1: from the Digital Chamber, and she said tonight's sixty minutes
- 2:56Speaker 1: Crypto segment a missed opportunity. Her statement was this evening
- 3:00Speaker 1: we got a thirteen minute feature on sixty minutes. Unfortunately
- 3:03Speaker 1: it fell short of being informed and balanced. That's the
- 3:06Speaker 1: problem right now. The real question, and I'd love to
- 3:10Speaker 1: know what you guys think is does sixty minutes and
- 3:14Speaker 1: is it still relevant to people that would most likely
- 3:18Speaker 1: invest in crypto now?
- 3:19Speaker 2: And I remember that maybe sixty.
- 3:21Speaker 1: Minutes is most likely getting into the boomer and possibly
- 3:25Speaker 1: even gen X as a demographic, my demographic gen X.
- 3:29Speaker 1: If you look at that, and then you look at
- 3:31Speaker 1: really where the growth of investment is coming from, did
- 3:35Speaker 1: it really matter what sixty minutes was saying. I don't know,
- 3:37Speaker 1: you guys, let me know down in the comments blow
- 3:39Speaker 1: did it matter or was it just a polished look
- 3:42Speaker 1: that we should have had in one of the bigger
- 3:45Speaker 1: news outlets out there. Taking a look at XRP. Let
- 3:50Speaker 1: me just jump up here to the XRP chart over
- 3:53Speaker 1: the weekend. You can kind of see a little bit
- 3:55Speaker 1: of a dip right here, but that was, of course
- 3:57Speaker 1: after the falloff we had earlier in the week. So
- 3:59Speaker 1: there is ripple or excuse me, XRP coming down almost
- 4:03Speaker 1: twenty percent and then that nice seven percent right now.
- 4:06Speaker 2: Many people will look at this and say, hey, well.
- 4:08Speaker 1: Paul, this is a great DCA opportunity When you're looking
- 4:11Speaker 1: at trying to average out some of your investments, Maybe
- 4:14Speaker 1: now is the time to take a look at some
- 4:17Speaker 1: of these, including if you're looking at Bitcoin or even ethereum,
- 4:20Speaker 1: most of which the market is down. If you look
- 4:22Speaker 1: at the most of the losers, you get near at
- 4:24Speaker 1: almost ten percent down on the market. Double digit stacks
- 4:28Speaker 1: had been moving down. TIA was down over ten. There's
- 4:31Speaker 1: quite a bit there that has been moving downward. Now
- 4:34Speaker 1: the question right now, I think, is still what's it
- 4:37Speaker 1: going to look like coming into the next phase. And
- 4:40Speaker 1: one of the things that people are looking at is
- 4:42Speaker 1: bitcoin as a long term Holders now are starting to sell.
- 4:46Speaker 1: So about eight hundred and twenty eight thousand bitcoin we're
- 4:48Speaker 1: sold in US thirty days. Many people saying, well, hey,
- 4:51Speaker 1: this was a time for us to rotate in get
- 4:53Speaker 1: a little profit.
- 4:54Speaker 2: And new people are coming in.
- 4:55Speaker 1: Whether it's through the ETFs or through direct access. So
- 4:58Speaker 1: it's a game of musical chairs. Enjoy the ride, where
- 5:01Speaker 1: be prepared when the music stops. And that's one of
- 5:03Speaker 1: the things you have to look for. Many people may
- 5:05Speaker 1: look at bitcoin and say, hey, it doesn't really matter.
- 5:07Speaker 1: It's hit over one hundred k. The likelihood even if
- 5:10Speaker 1: a mass retlacement occurs, I'm going to still be up
- 5:15Speaker 1: because I was in bitcoin much earlier. For many people
- 5:17Speaker 1: holding more than a year, they're going to be safe,
- 5:19Speaker 1: possibly even through this next crash. So there's a lot
- 5:24Speaker 1: still positive there for bitcoin. One thing to consider though,
- 5:27Speaker 1: is bitcoin's climb in terms of its value, and now
- 5:31Speaker 1: bitcoin has overtaken the Australian dollar. That's the world's tenth
- 5:35Speaker 1: largest currency right now, Bitcoin holding number ten. So if
- 5:39Speaker 1: it continues to grow, which I think it will, we've
- 5:41Speaker 1: got a lot happening here. Micro's strategy bought another twenty
- 5:44Speaker 1: one thousand, and bitcoin guy never stops. He truly believes
- 5:47Speaker 1: in this, and I think when you look at that
- 5:49Speaker 1: and when you look at the potential for other major companies,
- 5:53Speaker 1: because that's his big I think his big soapbox right
- 5:56Speaker 1: now is to get major companies Fortune five hundred to
- 5:59Speaker 1: come in and put bitcoin on their balance sheet. Many
- 6:02Speaker 1: people think, including consultants, saying that Amazon should come in
- 6:06Speaker 1: and invest about five percent of its assets into bitcoin.
- 6:09Speaker 1: If you look at some of the other ones that
- 6:10Speaker 1: they're picking on right here, which would be huge, eighty
- 6:13Speaker 1: eight billion of Amazon's five hundred and eighty five billion
- 6:16Speaker 1: in assets comprised of cash and cash equivalents which are
- 6:20Speaker 1: not earning the kind of returns that investors like. And
- 6:23Speaker 1: you look at this also, Amazon isn't adequately protecting the
- 6:27Speaker 1: billions of dollars of shareholder value in these assets. And
- 6:31Speaker 1: again that's even with five percent of just going into bitcoin.
- 6:34Speaker 1: So there's a lot of people pushing to this. Microsoft
- 6:37Speaker 1: is also being looked at another five trillion in there.
- 6:40Speaker 1: You've got government bitcoin reserves that could play into this.
- 6:43Speaker 1: The potential for this coming on strong into the first
- 6:48Speaker 1: of the year is real, and a lot of people
- 6:50Speaker 1: are looking at that. One other thing that is playing
- 6:52Speaker 1: out right here, Apple, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, All these ten
- 6:56Speaker 1: companies held eight hundred and eleven billion in cash zero bitcoin.
- 7:01Speaker 1: So there is the trough of potential inbound investments into
- 7:05Speaker 1: bitcoin holdings if in fact they come in and look
- 7:08Speaker 1: at who's in the top list now micro Strategy holding
- 7:11Speaker 1: twenty six billion right now, All right, a couple other
- 7:15Speaker 1: things I want to hit on.
- 7:16Speaker 2: Crypto is a movement.
- 7:18Speaker 1: This is I think the source and the kind of
- 7:20Speaker 1: the heartbeat of what's been happening. I BIT officially pass
- 7:24Speaker 1: fifty billion in assets under management.
- 7:26Speaker 2: First time.
- 7:26Speaker 1: This is a huge ETF, biggest etf ever in the
- 7:29Speaker 1: history of ETFs. A bitcoin ETF two hundred and twenty
- 7:32Speaker 1: eight days to reach that. You put it in the
- 7:35Speaker 1: perspective of gold that took five and a half years
- 7:37Speaker 1: to achieve a fifty billion dollar AUM, so pretty significant
- 7:42Speaker 1: speed there. And of course prices have risen thirty two
- 7:44Speaker 1: percent over the past month and a historic one hundred
- 7:48Speaker 1: thousand dollars has now been hit. So people are looking
- 7:50Speaker 1: at it and we are witnessing history. If you really
- 7:53Speaker 1: think about assets in general, is this the time in
- 7:56Speaker 1: which digital assets have finally taken over? Are we living
- 8:00Speaker 1: through that social media moment, that mobile moment of digital
- 8:05Speaker 1: assets starting to take place in the world stage. I
- 8:08Speaker 1: think we might be. Here's Kyle Lubs coming in right.
- 8:11Speaker 1: Here's stablecoin market cap just crossed two inund bill fuel
- 8:14Speaker 1: by DeFi yields crushing traditional finance rates. This is the
- 8:18Speaker 1: thing that I think will cause people a little bit
- 8:21Speaker 1: of pause, is that we're getting DeFi yields that are
- 8:24Speaker 1: out pacing traditional finance. This is where it gets very
- 8:28Speaker 1: interesting on the more aggressive and a little higher risk
- 8:31Speaker 1: investor that are willing to go after a consistent yield
- 8:35Speaker 1: that also plays into the benefit of digital assets. Bitcoin
- 8:38Speaker 1: also highly likely that could be in a super cycle.
- 8:41Speaker 1: This is coming in from Alex Krueger. A couple of
- 8:43Speaker 1: points he hits on here in the article. He compared
- 8:46Speaker 1: this to a dramatic change to golds transformation in the seventies,
- 8:49Speaker 1: and that was when Nixon basically flipped over to the
- 8:51Speaker 1: gold standard in seventy one and we saw that massive surge.
- 8:55Speaker 1: So that was Breton Woods, all of the shift during
- 8:57Speaker 1: that time. All of this could be playing right now.
- 9:01Speaker 1: Kruger anticipates a major local top around March of twenty
- 9:05Speaker 1: twenty five.
- 9:05Speaker 2: Where do you think it's gonna land? Where do you
- 9:06Speaker 2: think bitcoin would be by March?
- 9:09Speaker 1: It's still almost four months away, not quite about three
- 9:12Speaker 1: and a half months away. Let me know down in
- 9:13Speaker 1: the comments. Make sure it's subscribed to the channel if
- 9:15Speaker 1: you haven't done that already. It does help us out.
- 9:19Speaker 1: And also it's on our trace to get to one
- 9:21Speaker 1: hundred or excuse me, one million subs, So just check
- 9:25Speaker 1: us out over there and hit that subscribe button.
- 9:28Speaker 3: All right.
- 9:28Speaker 1: I want to go to a clip real quick because
- 9:29Speaker 1: this is Mark Youso and Mark has been on our
- 9:32Speaker 1: show many times. In fact, I feel still feel that
- 9:34Speaker 1: he probably got the hundred K number right.
- 9:37Speaker 2: It was within days of it.
- 9:39Speaker 1: And if you listen to this clip, the key he's
- 9:41Speaker 1: talking about is the cycle for twenty twenty five and
- 9:44Speaker 1: want to expect tick a.
- 9:45Speaker 2: Look, I am.
- 9:47Speaker 3: Still a believer that the four year cycle exists. I
- 9:50Speaker 3: know there are some now saying that you know, because
- 9:53Speaker 3: of Trump and because of the bigcoin strategic reserve, and
- 9:57Speaker 3: you know, there's going to be this massive movement toward
- 10:01Speaker 3: accumulating bitcoin and the four year cycle is going to
- 10:04Speaker 3: go out the window. I'm gonna bet that humans are
- 10:09Speaker 3: going to human. So to me, fair value is right
- 10:12Speaker 3: around that that six digit level. I figured we would
- 10:16Speaker 3: blow through that that six digit number and then humans
- 10:20Speaker 3: would human. The humans would come in and they'd start
- 10:22Speaker 3: to lever up, and we'd see a parabolic move probably
- 10:26Speaker 3: to one twenty maybe even one p fifty this time
- 10:30Speaker 3: in twenty five. It'll be April ish and that would
- 10:33Speaker 3: kind of make sense. A year after the having then
- 10:37Speaker 3: the question is do we get the passage of the
- 10:41Speaker 3: strategic bitcoin reserve? Could that push us well past that
- 10:46Speaker 3: that one hundred and fifty K range it's certainly possible,
- 10:51Speaker 3: and then unfortunately we have another bear market starting mid
- 10:55Speaker 3: year twenty twenty five, and we enter crypto winter again.
- 11:01Speaker 1: All right, so many people are looking at this as
- 11:03Speaker 1: being the heat of the bull run, and you look
- 11:07Speaker 1: at some of the other assets that could be moving.
- 11:09Speaker 1: First of all, address what Yusko said, because many people
- 11:12Speaker 1: will say, what do you think, Paul? You look at
- 11:14Speaker 1: two things here, and I think that what we're in
- 11:17Speaker 1: right now.
- 11:18Speaker 2: I don't know that I.
- 11:18Speaker 1: Would call it a supercycle, but I'd also not necessarily
- 11:22Speaker 1: call it the traditional cycle. So I feel like there's
- 11:25Speaker 1: still going to be a nice run up. The question
- 11:28Speaker 1: is is do we get the retracement down. I don't
- 11:30Speaker 1: think the retracement goes as deep as it has, and
- 11:33Speaker 1: that's pretty much been the cycle overall. We haven't seen
- 11:36Speaker 1: as deep a cuts into the market, but even this
- 11:39Speaker 1: time around, I think as we start to see governments
- 11:41Speaker 1: and larger companies starting to hold it, I don't know
- 11:44Speaker 1: that we get the kind of retracement at least on Bitcoin.
- 11:46Speaker 1: Now all coins not necessarily going to be the case,
- 11:50Speaker 1: but there's going to be some major wins in all coins,
- 11:54Speaker 1: and of course the leader of the pack on that
- 11:56Speaker 1: is going to be Ethereum, Ethereum spot ETFs now shattering
- 12:00Speaker 1: records at eight hundred and thirty seven million on inflows.
- 12:03Speaker 1: Two points I want to hit at right here. This
- 12:05Speaker 1: is led by Blackrocks eth a fund which was five
- 12:08Speaker 1: hundred and seventy three mil. And the other point I'm
- 12:10Speaker 1: going to hit on is you get into cycles again
- 12:13Speaker 1: with ethereum. Many people look at the all coin cycle
- 12:17Speaker 1: and also when Eth moves and how it triggers other
- 12:21Speaker 1: tokens to also look at liquidity. The other factor you
- 12:24Speaker 1: have to kind of compare to is Bitcoin's dominance in
- 12:27Speaker 1: comparison to Eth. That's also flipping around a little bit.
- 12:30Speaker 1: So very interesting things happening right now. The ethereum chart
- 12:33Speaker 1: signals right now some traders are saying, hey, we might
- 12:36Speaker 1: see a new high that could be as early as
- 12:38Speaker 1: next week. That would be impressive if we saw a
- 12:42Speaker 1: forty eight hundred dollars eight by next week. Some cryptocombinators
- 12:45Speaker 1: are saying a mayor's re test, it's all time high
- 12:49Speaker 1: within the next seven days. I'm not necessarily in that camp.
- 12:53Speaker 1: There is one factor that we'll play into this, and
- 12:56Speaker 1: this is going to be next week's FOMC meeting. If
- 12:59Speaker 1: we get into the rake cut and we don't get
- 13:01Speaker 1: necessarily get a bad CPI number and a bad jobs number,
- 13:05Speaker 1: we could be in a nice little win at a
- 13:09Speaker 1: perfect timing scenario of where ethereum is on the chart,
- 13:12Speaker 1: and especially where Ethereum is in this cycle. So very
- 13:16Speaker 1: interesting things happening. All coin season. Index has retraced back down.
- 13:20Speaker 1: If you look at how this is kind of looked at,
- 13:23Speaker 1: we were in it right there at about eighty eight,
- 13:26Speaker 1: retracing back down here to seventy one right now, and
- 13:29Speaker 1: that of course is based on the current charts of
- 13:31Speaker 1: where all coins are going. And I'd love to see
- 13:34Speaker 1: what are you guys playing. Are you buying this dip
- 13:35Speaker 1: right now? Is this a potential opportunity for you to
- 13:38Speaker 1: go in on maybe some tokens you have an ad
- 13:41Speaker 1: exposure to. We just did a big video on Polka dot.
- 13:44Speaker 1: Check it out, because there's some things over there that
- 13:47Speaker 1: are happening and brewing with.
- 13:48Speaker 2: The TikTok situation.
- 13:49Speaker 1: So are there some potentials there other potentials that could
- 13:52Speaker 1: play into this. Remember Salana still retracing back down to
- 13:56Speaker 1: around two twenty. I don't know if that's a position
- 13:59Speaker 1: for an entry that would necessarily not be one that
- 14:01Speaker 1: I would look at. But interestingly enough, you look at
- 14:05Speaker 1: where sol NFTs are rallying today, So that's a factor
- 14:08Speaker 1: that could be playing into this with more sol NFTs
- 14:12Speaker 1: starting to play into it, and you think about there's
- 14:15Speaker 1: clinosaurs flying up, tnsaurians, et cetera. You think about the
- 14:18Speaker 1: NFT cycle because remember we still have a potential for
- 14:21Speaker 1: NFTs coming through this bull run and it is yet
- 14:25Speaker 1: to actually occur.
- 14:26Speaker 2: So there's a lot happening out there.
- 14:28Speaker 1: Definitely some things that could be perfect for even short
- 14:32Speaker 1: term trades. You know, if you're looking at a small
- 14:35Speaker 1: swing trades, or maybe you're just looking at doing some
- 14:37Speaker 1: quick in and outs. These are the kind of days
- 14:39Speaker 1: that actually you like, and that is where there's a
- 14:41Speaker 1: lot of volatility in the markets. You guys are not
- 14:44Speaker 1: in the diamond circle, might sure and jump in on
- 14:46Speaker 1: that right now. It's a great place to get additional
- 14:47Speaker 1: content from us, and also catch me out there on
- 14:51Speaker 1: X at Paul Baron. We'll catch you next time right
- 14:53Speaker 1: here on Techpath