Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Valspar Championship | March 20, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

PGA Valspar Championship | March 20, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:00
Yeah, all systems gone clear for lifting. What's up everyone, Tyler Tamberlin
0:38
here aka Totag and Tambo back for another golf show here on the Ship at
0:42
Nation YouTube station. Got my guy Hoopster here with me. Is always gonna
0:45
break down all things vous for our championship. Got a lot to get to
0:49
though. Off the top, it's giveaway day. We got tons of contests,
0:52
giveaways, members giving back. A huge week for the Nation last week
0:56
on Saturday, I believe it was Round two of the players. We had
0:59
two men members win first, second, and third in the Round two showdown.
1:03
Showdouts late for eighty thousand plus. So Hoop, I'll bring you in
1:07
man. Huge week last week. We'll get to it here in a little
1:10
bit, all the stuff we've got going on and what we're gonna give away.
1:11
But how you doing, my friend? What's going on? Yeah?
1:14
Big week within the community just continues. A nice little stretch here, a
1:18
little heater for you know, the Ship at Nation team, the Ship at
1:21
Nation members community. It's been a hell of a ride. Continue looking to
1:25
continue on and build onto that momentum, roll right into some of these majors,
1:29
I mean, Masters is right around the corner. I mean, golf
1:32
just doesn't stop week after week. Big contest. That's one thing you know
1:36
you're getting week in and week out with PGA, regardless of the event.
1:38
You know you're getting a big contests. And like we talked about a lot,
1:42
draftings done a good good job with these prize pools, going to a
1:45
little more balanced structure, which you love to see. So you know,
1:48
this week the field is much different obviously than last week at the Players,
1:53
but there's a lot to talk about. We have some weather to discuss.
1:56
We can talk about the field, but at the five k range, which
1:57
I know a lot of people like talking about in terms of strategy and roster
2:00
construction. And uh yeah, we'll see if we can get get back to
2:05
the winter circle this week. And Jimmy stangers in the field as well,
2:07
So we're gonna have lots of conversation when we get down there. Coming up
2:10
another one. I saw someone post in our discord earlier, get all the
2:13
little extra tidbits in there over at ship a Nation, But he said it's
2:15
a you know, coming back with his buddy to a hometown venue. All
2:20
these other factors shout up to our guy, go collect first, in four
2:23
rocket ship emojis. He's fired out. You got the only way this,
2:27
the only way the Stanger thing works is if you shit on him. So
2:29
like you can't, you can't come on here and say you're in on Stanger.
2:31
You gotta like you gotta take some shots at him. Then then it's
2:34
guaranteed to work. All right, probably not in on Stangers, So good
2:37
luck. Everybody can congrats on the this week fire way, folks, fire
2:40
Way. The only reason I was kind of in is because our boy Skyhook
2:45
DFS always posts the ownership out each week over on X or Twitter, whatever
2:47
you want to call it, and love to see that he has a Stanger
2:50
bet in at one hundred and fifty to one this week. So definitely interested
2:53
in that. Yeah that's funny. How funny how that works when your boy
2:57
Hoop, your business partner over here recommends Stanger in his face and basically laugh
3:00
them off the stage. But when others promote mister Stager, Oh yeah,
3:04
I'm in now, I'm in now. Yeah, nothing against you that we
3:07
we were in on other things together and that one is just the one thing
3:09
in justin here. He must already watched the Mayo show that literally just came
3:14
out. He's fast getting on the content. But Mayo had me going for
3:16
opening up a new business this week for Jim tanned Laundry, and it's gonna
3:21
be uh tan and lean with tambaline. He said. Let me get the
3:23
business plan down. We'll get you in there, get you into the gym,
3:27
get your tanning bed out, do all those things. But lots to
3:30
get you guys. Appreciate you, Nick our guy. I'm back. We're
3:31
back, baby, Let's go interesting week, Hoop said it. Lots of
3:35
good contests over all draftings. Know that Heavy Irons is back. I do
3:38
not have tickets to it this time, so I won't be playing in that
3:40
one. But the five point fifty five is still strong, going to be
3:44
in there. Got a lot of the you know, the main stuff,
3:46
the two hundred k op top, the fifty camp top and the two hundred
3:49
dollars single entry, the two fifty four max, a bunch of lower stakes,
3:53
the ten dollars one, ten dollars eighteen, all that that's going on.
3:55
So lots of good stuff out there as far as the contests are concerned.
3:59
But Hoop, we got a few giveaways, so let me get started
4:02
here. Just get in and out of this. But I want to make
4:04
sure we present it all. I know everyone wants to marketing out within ten
4:08
minutes or less, so we'll make sure we take care of you guys and
4:11
get that done. One thing I will say though, for this week,
4:14
the marketing kind of sells itself because it's pretty easy to break down. First
4:17
off, shout out to our guy b Wald. The first giveaway of the
4:20
day. Giveaways will be tonight. There'll be a couple live in the chat
4:24
here right now, so stay tuned. But the first one is. All
4:27
you gotta do is go over on x at toteg and tambo repost and like
4:31
the tidbits. Right now, they're at around one hundred and four k views.
4:34
It's going to be a free monthly giveaway for PGA from our guy b
4:38
Wald. Let people know what's going on with the brand, all that stuff.
4:41
If it gets to two hundred k views, I'll throw in another free
4:44
month as well. So just first off on that one. That's the first
4:47
note there. Sorry, hoop, I'm going around two different places. Second
4:50
one, let's keep it moving. The easiest thing is to subscribe to the
4:55
YouTube channel down below. If you haven't already. Even if you're watching this
4:58
on playback, you can get them. But the real thing just dials into
5:01
our own x at ship at nation. Go over there. We're almost at
5:05
five thousand followers, so go follow us over there tonight or early this afternoon.
5:11
We're gonna post out the giveaway for the annual membership that our guy Mark
5:15
is giving away. If you scroll back down here. Uh, just last
5:18
week we were talking about it, but Mark took down first and third and
5:23
then our guy shout out the picket does all our tennis stuff in the community
5:26
run channel in our discord got second, said it sucked to not win,
5:30
but then he found out first third. So over eighty thousand between these two
5:33
members and Mark the winner wanted to give away a five ZHO nine annual.
5:38
So make sure you're subscribe. We're gonna post out the giveaway like this later
5:42
on on the discord so that you guys know what's going on with that,
5:45
or sorry, not on the discord, on our Twitter or x whatever you
5:47
want to call it. Where we put it out there and there's a way
5:49
to get in. It's gonna be very easy to get into that draw.
5:53
And then we did hit our six thousand members while I was away Hoop,
5:57
so we got six thousand subscribers now on YouTube, so we're gonna go for
6:00
seven thousand next, but six thousand we are giving away a two ninety nine
6:05
PGA annual. Here's the contest live right now that we're gonna do, and
6:11
if you're not in, you could get in later in the comments. We're
6:14
gonna draw it tonight. But just a note, it's gonna be one frin
6:17
down member for someone that's been watching on YouTube and watching all the free shows.
6:21
Very simple. We want to hear in the chat right now, if
6:25
you're a non member, how many hours do you think you've watched of ship
6:29
it nation content, the free content, and what sports and content are you
6:33
most interested in getting access to? Again, how many hours you think you've
6:38
watched the free content on YouTube because you're obviously subscribed to be in here and
6:42
all this stuff. And then also what sports and content you're most interested in
6:46
on ship atnation dot com. Now, if you're watching this on playback,
6:49
I know everybody can catch this live, leave it in the comments. There
6:53
is no comment section while we're recording live, but make sure you put that
6:56
in the comments, we will draw that later this evening. Get that out
6:59
to you. I'll come tattoo on social media. Let you know what's going
7:01
on if you're a member in the chat right now or later in the comments
7:06
watching this on playback, let us know how many hours you've watched and what
7:11
your favorite thing is because you're already a remember using all the great content over
7:14
at ship at nation dot com and what that looks like for you. Who
7:17
what am I missing? That was a couple of the big giveaways. I
7:21
do like Greg's comment fifty and golf just straight to the point. I respect
7:27
that first in and then just straight to the point, absolutely love that.
7:31
I do like that first did and Greg, if you don't win the draw
7:35
later on, hit me up info at ship atnation dot com. I'll get
7:40
you a free week just for your diligence, man, just for getting out
7:43
there and put yourself out there right away. So and Jason knows, Yeah,
7:46
it's a guess. It's a guess, but try and try and peggett.
7:48
I'm actually curious what some people will say. Tod says about four hours
7:51
a week and football, So let's see Sean two hundred hours. Rio's NBA
7:58
showdowns content is legendary. It is lot that's like a secret that's a secret
8:01
weapon. That's a secret weapon because not if people you know, follow NBA
8:05
Showdown stuff. And every single night Rio's in there grinding so phenomenal, you
8:11
know, phenomenal work on his end. One more, okay, because we
8:15
got less and two minutes to get the marketing out of the way this week,
8:16
and it sells itself. This is important. So on the screen behind
8:20
me you see the pricing. That's pretty standard stuff. Fourteen a week,
8:24
thirty nine a month, two ninety nine annual. But you can take them
8:26
all down by fifteen percent. Not the weekly, it's a monthly or annual
8:31
only, but just of note Masters. Fifteen ends tonight because this promo was
8:35
really for the players. It was you joined for the players, stay for
8:37
the Masters that got you the classic slate content. If you joined last week
8:41
at this deal, it's not like the deal got any better. The reason
8:45
it's going away is because it's pretty straightforward. If you join for the bows
8:48
bar tonight right now today, whenever you're watching this, you will get coverage
8:52
right through to RBC Heritage actually the week after the Masters that you'll be covered
8:58
for but that will include the Masters and all the Master's Showdown content, which
9:01
is important. Obviously, after this the codes will change a bit. You'll
9:05
still be able to get fifteen percent off, but just on the all access
9:09
package only, so that would be another one go ahead. It's like that
9:13
we're playing the prices, right, you know. The first one in was
9:16
fifty Bill comes in, He's like, hey, you know what, I
9:18
watched fifty one and I want golf and football, So this is a this
9:22
is good stuff. A couple other notes just add on we're going to be
9:26
doing formally announced, Yeah, but we're gonna be doing some some giveaways to
9:31
people that have our logos on DraftKings and FanDuel and win some contests. So
9:33
you might want to get over there and get those logos changed. And what's
9:37
nice too, like it looks you don't need to be a member either.
9:41
You don't do not need to be a member for this portion of it.
9:43
Just get the ship at nation, fly this flag, be proud of it,
9:46
get these logos to the top, and we're gonna have some giveaways in
9:50
regards to people winning contests with our logo up top. Yeah, this is
9:54
worth it to go an extra minute off our marketing piece. I will talk
9:58
about it because we'll give the numbers. Not afraid of it. Lots of
10:00
people do it a free roll or a giveaway thing, all this stuff.
10:03
Well, you guys know we love the giveaways here, so this is part
10:05
of the community and giving back. The setup is quite simple. You get
10:09
the logo. It doesn't matter if you're a member or non member. The
10:11
key is back to the original standpoint that I told you of, ex.
10:16
Twitter whatever, getting on there at ship Nation. Anybody that's flying the flag
10:20
and has our logo up and tags us on Twitter with anything got to be
10:24
profit. Don't put me up your three dollars turned into four dollars because it's
10:28
like that. I'm not shaming that, I'm saying it's like, not just
10:31
to get into contest. We want to make it so like if you have
10:33
something you're happy about or you're thrilled about, you can throw it up on
10:37
there and it just be proud to rock the logo. We're gonna do a
10:39
two hundred and fifty dollars draw every single month for somebody out of the people
10:43
that tag us on Twitter at ship Nation and do that. We're also going
10:48
to do an additional two hundred and fifty for anybody that tags us with the
10:52
win of five thousand dollars or more. Doesn't gonna be a first place prize
10:56
for that one. It's just anything five thousand dollars or more with the logo.
10:58
We're to do a separate which will be likely a smaller draw. Less
11:01
people are winning the big money obviously overall when you put the grand scheme of
11:05
things where they'll be in the draw for up to five hundred dollars two draws
11:09
of two point fifty. We will put the notes on our page. If
11:11
you're looking for it. It's just ship nation dot com. Go to the
11:15
three dots, click logos and boom, you'll be there. You'll be good
11:18
to go. And the last one hoop. If you guys didn't know,
11:22
not many other sites do this, but just the way that you can make
11:24
some money, we want to tell you guys about this. If you go
11:26
back here where was I to ship at nation dot com and go to this
11:31
drop down again and click affiliates, you can actually become an affiliate. So
11:35
not only when you're posting those screenshots excited about your stuff. You can let
11:39
friends, family, other followers. If you're doing content out there and you
11:41
want to make some money, hit us up for a sponsorship or something like
11:45
that. But you can also do affiliates. Go here register you simply fill
11:48
out this quick form and apply. You can actually make twenty percent on anything
11:54
that you bring in for the company. So if you get someone to sign
11:56
up for a monthly for sixty nine dollars whatever the discount is plus the commission,
12:01
you'll get twenty percent and that money stays with you. So a lot
12:05
of stuff that we went through there, hoop, and I think we're ready
12:05
to get into it. Anything else I missed before we get there? Uh
12:09
No, I think you hit on I made some notes here to make sure
12:13
we hit on everything, and I think we got through it all. Did
12:16
you mention the Monday First Look Show? Well, we'll mention it on the
12:20
Monday First Look Show. It's gonna be more giveaways to go with the Monday
12:24
First Look, but we'll go from there. Obviously all that stuff. One
12:26
quick note I forgot too is if anybody's looking for education courses that you get
12:31
when you sign up, the MLB course came out last night. We'll post
12:33
a tweet out on that later go collect. My guy got it right there,
12:37
thank you. Yeah, it's about supposed to be an hour and a
12:39
half. It ended up being almost two hours. And I was supposed to
12:41
just be hosting, and we ended up throwing some extras in there. So
12:43
that should be a good course as well if you're looking to get into MLB
12:46
starting next week on the twenty eighth. All right, let's dive in Hoop.
12:50
That's all the good stuff out of the way. Let's talk valspar and
12:52
you mentioned it off the top. Mayo and I did the show earlier,
12:56
kind of tried to weigh out some scenarios. I know not everybody can catch
12:58
each show, but sounds like you've looked at the weather as well. And
13:03
everyone that's talking about the weather is talking about Friday, of course, because
13:05
if you pull up Friday and have a look at it, it looks insane.
13:09
It looks heavy rain, all those things. If anybody's there, it's
13:11
local, let us know what you're seeing. But wh what are you seeing
13:13
with the weather? How a you're going to be handling that? I think
13:16
Thursday's pretty much a non factor. I mean, it looks like it's gonna
13:20
be nice all throughout and then Friday, it all kind of goes to shit
13:24
with the winds kind of picking up throughout the day and we're looking at you
13:26
know, fifteen mile an hour winds, steady with gusts potentially into the thirties,
13:33
and then it does seem like it picks up Friday afternoon a little bit.
13:37
Now, the problem is there is rain involved here, and that throws
13:41
a wrench kind of in everything when you go to plan, and if you're
13:45
somebody that wants just a distinct advantage like okay, I gotta go AMPM or
13:48
PMM, this rain thing throws a factor. And then one thing about the
13:52
rain that concerns me even more, which is a legitimate concern, is how
13:56
the PJA has just mismanaged these weather situations all year round in terms of maybe
14:03
adjusting tea times like they've they've fucked this up all season long. I have
14:07
no clue what's going to happen on Friday, to be honest with you,
14:09
and it can. It will definitely most what they decide will impact who gets
14:13
the advantage and who doesn't. So I think the best way to do it,
14:18
for sure, play both sides of it, you know, do some
14:20
AMPM stacks, do some pm am stacks and go that route because there is
14:26
a scenario where one side does get a pretty significant advantage. Now, the
14:30
one thing that's going to balance everything out is Thursday looks good all throughout Thursday
14:33
morning and afternoon. So fifty percent of the field before, fifty percent of
14:37
the golf time before the cut, it's going to be pretty fair both ways.
14:43
You know. Friday is the big day and how they handle it.
14:45
Saturday is supposed to be just as bad in terms of the wind and the
14:48
rain. So it's really hard to say this tea time, uh, you
14:52
know, the early tea times on Thursday, of the advantage of the afternoon.
14:54
It's hard to say that. The one thing you can do just go
14:56
back to what you always talk about, you know, play in these wave
15:00
stacks and maybe one of these sides you know, gets the advantage. Very
15:03
very hard at this point to pinpoint which side gets advantage or if there is
15:09
even advantage, it might not be an advantage of them for me personally playing
15:13
twenty teams this week, but I've been doing playing it straight up. Yeah,
15:18
So Sean says, this too always comes through any sites giveaway as much.
15:22
Yet hospitality is what the ah and ship it stands for. We're always
15:26
trying to give back as much as possible as but whatever we can. Andrew
15:28
brings this up hoop and you know, I love this. It'll be in
15:31
the slate plan later. I typically do this anyway, but because the weather
15:33
is so set up in the sense of Friday, kind of whatever Friday dictates
15:37
everything because like, whatever happens on that, it's almost like who gets the
15:41
early morning Saturday where they could end up getting screwed. It's gonna be cold,
15:45
it's gonna be coming off that rain, wet, all that stuff.
15:46
I just don't know how that's gonna be a good scenario. So it is
15:50
a perfect week to build in sets. Mayo and I talked to it earlier,
15:52
but what the point was was if you go AM PM, it's like
15:58
you're hoping for the best case scenario that the AM still goes pretty good on
16:00
Thursday, and then that you get the best time on Friday or Saturday,
16:06
whenever it gets pushed to. Now, the only thing about that is is
16:10
that the other thing about Thursday, as much as there's no wind throughout the
16:12
day, it's a significant temperature increase and we've seen how bad some of these
16:17
rounds have gone early mornings out on these courses where if you've got a setup
16:21
of Thursday afternoon and you come out and it plays a stroke easier, and
16:25
then they do end up getting it in in the morning before this rain hits
16:29
or it just gets pushed off or whatever. So I actually like PMAM better,
16:33
but I'm not gonna go away from running ampms because of the sense that
16:37
that could actually happen. So Jason says, if doing enough lineups, would
16:41
you make even smaller pods of tea times. Yeah, you could definitely look
16:44
at that as well, but it like really late probably on Friday, and
16:48
really early, and hope it's just the best of both scenarios. Don't hate
16:51
that, think that's a good one. Nick says, y'all have the same
16:53
amount. No, I will say that I did bring this up as well
16:56
earlier, but I do stick to my motto if you play lighter, play
17:00
tighter, and that's the setup of meaning if I am going amp I'm like
17:03
someone talked about earlier. They're playing in the eighteen max, the ten dollars
17:07
eighteen max, and they want to run nine and nine and I'm okay with
17:11
that because that's just your committing to what you have with what you have,
17:12
not nine and nine is the eighteen max. But what I'm saying is that
17:17
you could go that way, I would still just run it. On either
17:19
side. You're gonna have a bigger than usual twenty max pool for what many
17:22
will suggest, but because you're running it within sets, you're probably still staying
17:26
tighter within those sets. So I definitely think that. I think that's another
17:30
way to look at it. Single entry is always the same answer for me.
17:36
I think you go to hoop strategy. Again, it depends on what
17:37
your bank roll, risk adverse, all that stuff is. But I think
17:41
you just play who you want on that and just you know, play it
17:44
straight up because that's your one lineup, your one money. Or you say
17:47
I'm gonna commit to a side and take the stand that I think, no
17:49
matter what, late PM, early am is gonna be the spot, and
17:53
you gravitate towards that. You just take your risk. That's the thing.
17:56
I don't have a cutoff time for rules like weather's gonna change overnight even too,
18:00
so I mean i'd be waking up early morning tomorrow. We'll be in
18:03
the discord early as always hitting that stuff up if we have any of that,
18:07
who anything else you want to add on the weather before we continue.
18:10
In terms of the cutoff, I mean this is a tournament where it's a
18:11
very distinct difference in tea times. I mean there's the last morning tea time
18:18
is like nine, almost like ten eastern, and then the afternoon tea time
18:22
started like twelve forty five eastern. So there's a big, big gap in
18:26
the times. And you can see him on the PGA Tour website that we
18:29
have them up on the on the solver as well. So if you're you're
18:32
partnered, if you have Austin and have the solve, the tea times are
18:36
right in there. But there's this is a tournament where it's a distinct separation
18:38
in tea times. I think, you know he's going to step further to
18:41
what we talked. He's saying it's twelve in the afternoon's five or two.
18:48
They want to have separation there, and it's that's through that. Yeah,
18:52
that's going to be very difficult. I will say too. I know Colin's
18:56
been in here forever. Colin, just like earlier with Greg, if you
18:59
don't. Don't win the giveaway tonight. Hit me up at info at ship
19:03
at nation dot com with a screenshot of your YouTube. I'll get you a
19:04
free week no matter what, because you definitely have been here for those hours.
19:08
I believe it, man, because I've been here for a lot of
19:10
those hours, hoop has and we see you all the time out there,
19:12
so I appreciate it calling all your support. So hopefully this stuff is helpful.
19:17
I mean, we'll get back into it, shout out to bring the
19:18
noise. I always appreciate you being in here with us as well. Let's
19:22
go to these tiers then, whop anything else to talk about with this tournament
19:26
that you care about from the stats perspective. I know you're not always big
19:27
on stats, but just like course history roster construction. You mentioned the five
19:33
K range actually, so maybe talk a little bit about that as well and
19:36
tying into roster construction in general, and then we'll get to these tiers.
19:40
Yeah, I have a five K range back in the mix, and the
19:41
majority of this field is priced in the five ks, which I'm not thrilled
19:47
with. Like if you have the five K, I like the five k
19:48
being there. Yeah, cutter keep we'll be here as well. Yeah,
19:52
I have some options, but like the five K range. Yeah, I
19:56
like the five k being there, but I don't want like the whole,
20:00
you know, the entire field being five k. So in terms of roster
20:03
construction this week, we talked about on the First Look show, like,
20:06
I don't know really what the reward is for going heavy in the five K
20:08
range this week. In previous week, so it was very clear you get
20:11
more Scotti Scheffler, who's the best player in the world by a pretty wide
20:15
margin at this point. This week, you just don't get the upside of
20:19
that in the five K range. So we'll talk about it when we get
20:22
in there. But I just don't know if the reward is there this week.
20:26
I have some of the guys in my pool, there's no doubt about
20:27
it, but it's going to be small in terms of overall ownership in the
20:32
five K range for me this week. I might have a lower number of
20:37
players in the five K range this week. If no one touches that,
20:38
we'll see. But I'm not going to go there much. I will say
20:41
this. I talked with Mayo, I talk with others about this too,
20:44
But who one hundred and sixteen guys. I think you mentioned it maybe when
20:47
we did the first look on Monday, like it's just they're getting a little
20:49
lazy with it. Yeah, it's not the right way to do it.
20:53
It's just not the right to do it in the seventh K range. And
20:56
you can still get away with lineups that don't you need to touch the sixes,
21:00
let alone the fives. It really from that perspective, it's a bit
21:03
annoying. But another good part is, you know, if you are willing
21:07
to get it after some of these guys in this five and six K range,
21:08
you will be unique because people just don't need to go down there very
21:11
often. So it's though, like you said, it's like they're just taking
21:15
anyone that's I don't know, two hundred to one or worse in this tournament
21:18
center right her price between fifty nine hundred and in five thousand in our pricing
21:22
spectrum, which I just don't I don't like that. Yeah, it gave
21:26
them a little bit of an out right, that's all I don't like.
21:27
It's like, let's just pile everybody in there now, and it's I would
21:32
rather them extend it a little bit, but who cares, it's whatever.
21:33
And again they didn't make Xander twelve five or Burns twelve like it should have
21:38
been like twelve and eleven or twelve and eleven five and then drop it from
21:42
there. But I don't know either way, It's fine. There's plenty to
21:45
use up top. With that said, let's get into the guys up top
21:48
and we've got what do you want to go? Jordan's speed up? Just
21:51
talk about those four start let's go. Yeah. I think it's a conversation
21:56
to have, like just all those guys ten k and above and there's only
22:00
four of them this week, and you know, if you're gonna have the
22:02
five k range, I think you just really you just need more guys in
22:06
the ten k range because you're looking at the ownership on some of these guys
22:10
up here, and uh, I can't pull it up right now, but
22:11
it's looking to be massive, like you know, Xander, Sam Burns.
22:15
It's just easy to play them. You know, Xander at eleven to two,
22:19
coming off the second place finish last week, disappointing finish. I'd say
22:23
where Scott he tracked him down. You just can't, you know, find
22:26
a way to get the win. Does that affect him this week? I
22:29
don't think so. Does it affect how I view him for my lineups?
22:33
No, he's like six and a half to one to win this event.
22:34
He's you know, probably the best golfer in this field. I have no
22:38
problem going to him. I mean it's a scenario this week, a situation
22:44
where he could finish even as low as like tenth and still still be the
22:48
guy you need. There's a lot of volatility in this upper range, and
22:51
you know, Justin Thomas has been good, but a lot of miscuts.
22:53
Sam Burns ys he's been good at this course, but these aren't like typical
22:57
high end you know, ten point eight K, ten point nine K type
23:02
golfers. So you know, Xander could have like a tenth place finish and
23:06
still be the guy that you need up here. So you know, definitely
23:08
like him. Sam Burns has all the course history, he's won here,
23:14
ten to nine, big boy price tag. He's been playing well. I've
23:15
been on it's just been a couple of bad rounds and it's been the fourth
23:19
round four the last two weeks with the Arnold Palmer shot the seventy eight and
23:23
then last week at the Players shot a seventy six in round four to take
23:27
him out of contention. But prior to that, you know, he was
23:30
in these tournaments, so you know that's like what four four, so t
23:36
six, tenth, third, tenth, and then the thirtieth and forty fifth,
23:40
which in my eyes could have been much better if he didn't ship the
23:41
bed round four. So I'm fine sticking with him at the ten nine.
23:45
Justin Thomas missed the cut last week, but you know, when he makes
23:48
the cut, he's been in contention third six, twelve, twelve. I
23:52
think the course sets up well for him. I like him out the ten
23:55
four. Maybe the miscut kind of scares some people off. And then the
23:59
guy that I'll just be off is Jordan Speed. His game's just been pretty
24:03
erratic, not much consistency. Ten to two for Jordan Speed is just too
24:07
much. And if Speed is the guy that beats me this week, that's
24:11
fine. We'll fire him back up, fire up, you know, some
24:14
some more lineups next week and see if we can get there. But I
24:15
won't be on Speed. The other three I think are solid plays. You
24:19
know, I'm hoping JT goes a little overlooked because of that misscut probably not
24:23
because it's easy to get to him. But I like those those three and
24:27
there is no keeper cut in this range because to me, it's it's very
24:32
cut and dry in terms of what I'm doing, and I don't want to,
24:33
you know, waste time with you or the listeners here. Cut and
24:37
dry. See what he did there, folks, he's catching up. We'll
24:40
watch the MLB course too. He had a nice one in there. Overblown
24:42
the wind and something gets overblown, he said. Shout out to Jason the
24:47
guy Baderbert. He says he's breaking it right down, putting the math on
24:49
us. Ten months equals forty three weeks. They get two hundred hours plus
24:52
including the awesome free education courses. Love those the mostly Yeah. Shout out
24:56
to Jason, but he did not. Ten months. Yeah. We're two
24:59
months away now from our one year anniversary as gonna be our first year doing
25:03
MLB for a full season, So just lots of good stuff going on here
25:06
and more giveaways and Phase three and Phase four of our rollout still to come.
25:11
So we're working on some more things behind the scenes that we're pretty excited
25:14
about. I think you guys are gonna be pretty excited about as well excited
25:18
for that. Once we get to more news, we will let you guys
25:19
know. Eugene says don't like Burns AMPM. He doesn't play well Thursday Friday
25:25
generally. Anyways. One note, though, someone did bring this up Hoop
25:26
is if it's gonna play a little bit harder and then I'll go into my
25:30
stuff and move on. But the years that Burns won, the course was
25:33
playing a little bit easier for this course. I mean, this course always
25:36
plays tough, but I did think that was kind of interesting. I think
25:40
Xander is priced wrong, like again, doesn't matter. I don't care about
25:44
him choking. If he wants to come second year again, I'll be fine
25:45
with that. Thank you. Xander, get me a second place. Eleven
25:48
two does not need to win if there's all those guys around him. What
25:52
if JT. Speith missed the cut again and Burns just doesn't crush like he
25:55
usually does, like there you go, then it could be a fifteenth place
25:57
and he could be used because of the guys that go. It's just one
26:00
of the worst things that get talked about in PGADFS. That's just not true.
26:03
He does not need to win. And the point that Andrew brought up
26:07
earlier. Scotty was twelve k last week at six to one in a strong
26:11
field. Xander is eleven to two at six to one in a week field.
26:15
Like it doesn't even make any sense how they're pricing it. So if
26:18
Burns and Xander were the same ownership, I don't care about the course history.
26:22
I would still just play Xander and just expect him to beat this field
26:26
more times than not over a long term period, which I know it's one
26:30
week, it's one event, but I do got to think about it that
26:32
way, and that's where you'll sort of find your way through some of these
26:34
tournaments and find different plays. The other thing. One thing I will say
26:37
you you you shit on Speed. That I get it, but former winner
26:41
pretty decent here games off, but so with some of the other guys,
26:44
and you don't have to play these guys up here. But Speed does have
26:48
a PMT time and I like those pmams anyway. So I'm trying to get
26:52
him to struggle through find his way around. And also if everybody's gonna be
26:56
scrambling, let's say that win does pick up over the week. All I
27:00
need from Speet is the main cut to feel good about it, because if
27:03
he gets that and the weekend looks tougher and windy and struggling and all that
27:07
stuff, or sorry, scrambling and all that stuff, then he's the perfect
27:11
guy for that, because if everybody's gonna be It's almost like when the greens
27:14
are easy and they say, well the greens are hard story, and they
27:15
say, if everyone's gonna struggle putting, then I'm okay playing some of these
27:19
weaker putters. Well, if everyone's gonna struggle with hitting greens over the weekend
27:23
and maybe even Friday, Saturday, Saturday could be round two, et cetera,
27:27
then I'm gonna be fine with Speed for that reason. So plus,
27:30
Justin Thomas hates kids, including your own, so I can't play him.
27:34
And then Burn's just gonna be very very owned for this spot, which is
27:38
whatever. That's fine cash game play. You could play them, tournaments,
27:41
you can get different with them. I just prefer Xander, and then I'm
27:45
gonna take Speed over JT. Majority I'm not not playing any of these guys
27:48
and saying that that's my two that I want to talk about. Up top,
27:52
It's move into this nine K range t hoop. It's a little smaller
27:53
as well. With the way they did things this week, only six guys
27:56
Harmon down to Minwoo, what do you got. It's like they refuse to
28:00
price anyone the same, like no one can have the same price tag except
28:03
like a couple of guys, which I don't know. The whole thing's kind
28:07
of annoying. Harmon up top ninety eight hundred, playing well, played well
28:11
last week. The course sets up, you know, good for his game.
28:15
Solid option there. Cam Young is a guy that definitely stands out to
28:17
me at ninety six, like if he's you know, game is at the
28:22
top, if it's at the peak, like, he could be much more
28:26
expensive. He could be in that ten k range with those guys. It's
28:29
been playing well. He just is putting like shit. And I'm not saying
28:32
that the putting is going to turn around this week, but he's hitting the
28:34
irons very very well right now. I like Cam Gung a lot at ninety
28:38
six hundred. He could just be a lot more expensive in this field.
28:41
Sung Jay, like, man, whatever, you can have him if you
28:45
want to play him. I am not going to Sung Jay. I'm off
28:48
that situation. You know. Tony Fino, I think is interesting. It's
28:52
the same thing. Man, The dude can't putt, and like him not
28:55
putting is even more frustrating because it just looks awful and he's got the thing
28:59
all cock. It just looks terrible with with with female. But he had
29:03
a lot of close iron shots last week. Forty fifth is not great.
29:07
He's making the cuts like I can, I can, I can be on
29:08
Tony Final. We touched on Nick Taylor on the First Look show, and
29:14
you know, he's a name that looks out of place here at first glance.
29:18
You look at him ninety one hundred, like, oh my god,
29:19
I don't want to play ninety pay ninety one hundred for Nick Taylor. But
29:22
man, like, out of all these guys in the nine k range,
29:26
you know, excluding like Brian Harmon, he's been playing the best golf and
29:32
he has wins like he can win as well, and I think the course
29:36
that's up solidly for him. So I'm in on Nick Taylor and then the
29:40
keeper cut option is going to be the last guy in this range at nine
29:44
k min Wu Lee who just kind of it's hard to peg him, Like,
29:47
what what course is going to play good at? Which week? It
29:48
seems like it's Boom or bond Bus, which is probably good for like GPP.
29:52
So he's going to be the cutter keep option in this range. Really
29:56
struggling to decide on him. Yeah, us know a mimou lee in the
30:00
chat cut or keep, help Hoop build his player pool. Alex asked about
30:06
shut out to my guy Alex Han, he says, if I do the
30:08
dollar a day deal, does that come with the discord as well? It
30:11
is if you right now, Masters fifteen ends today, it gets you fifteen
30:15
percent off the monthly which drops it down to like thirty two dollars or thirty
30:18
three dollars, basically a dollar a day. But that's gonna get you the
30:22
valspar this week and all the showdown stuff, and then the same for Houston
30:26
Open, Bolario, Texas Open, the Masters and it would actually include right
30:30
through the classic content for RBC Heritage, so you would get everything there that
30:36
that goes with that code ends today, Masters plural fifteen m as t ers
30:41
one five. You put it on the monthly PGA and it'll drop it down
30:45
and that price will stay locked in as long as you keep it. So
30:47
if you want to have it set up there, speaking to keep it.
30:49
Nobody wants to keep it here. This is cut cut, cut cut,
30:52
keep keep speaking, Alex. He did say keep though, but nobody else.
30:56
Sean said, Key, there's a couple in there. But I mean,
30:59
we don't even got to put the vote up for that one. That's
31:00
a clear Well you do have a couple of votes. You could make it
31:03
a little closer. I'm going to be keeping so no surprise, opposite what
31:07
everybody else is doing. It's not just to go opposite. I think somebody
31:10
said it earlier, like talent wise, this range and even the eight K
31:14
range is you could argue it all day like, it's just some of these
31:17
guys are the same dude. For example, the Nick Taylor. One guy
31:18
gets shit on all week long. I already gave the JT stuff, not
31:22
going to go into it again. He's basically been better than JT at all
31:25
the same events this year. He was better than him last year, actually
31:27
picking up some wins. Career wise, JT way better so far. But
31:30
I'm saying, like that's the whole point, and it is what it is.
31:33
But Cam Young hasn't even won yet. We prop this guy up every
31:36
single week. I like him this week too, But five hundred bucks less
31:38
gets you a guy with four wins and two of them in the last year
31:41
and a half or whatever. Like this guy, Nick Taylor is playing good
31:44
golf. If it does turn into grinding it out, he can do that.
31:47
He can make some of these big putts. The guy's gonna be on
31:49
the President's Cup team, like all this stuff that he's got going in his
31:52
favor. So I definitely am in on him. I do like your Harmon
31:56
call Harmon's interesting because they call him the little big game hunter. That was
32:00
the nickname besides the actual nickname that people were talking about at the Open.
32:02
I think it was Cockfight or something like that, which is pretty interesting.
32:07
But the thing is it's weird. Man, if you go to look he
32:09
plays so good in the strongest fields, but when he's one of the better
32:14
players, like if you're beating the strongest players in the strongest fields. Adam
32:15
Scott is an example of this. Back at least a year ago and beyond,
32:21
Adam Scott would play only the toughest, hardest events. He would go
32:23
into them and finish thirtieth and people would say he sucks when he's at like
32:28
the Windham championship and he's one of the best guys. He would be almost
32:30
in a playoff there or crushing that because he would beat up on weaker fields,
32:35
which, by the way, it's an interesting note for Tony Finow,
32:37
who's also in this range, is that what we always say about Tony he
32:40
shows up to the events with the weaker fields and just pounds on them.
32:43
That's kind of what you could see a guy here like him do. So
32:46
for Brian Harmon, he should do that, he just hasn't done it.
32:50
And my guy go collect knows Jason Tatum in NBA, he really likes when
32:54
he's going against the best, he steps up. Doesn't when he doesn't have
32:59
to try and prove that he's the best guy in the league. He steps
33:01
down and lets Jalen Brown and some of those other guys step up. So
33:04
I do think it's kind of interesting to say it that way. But for
33:07
me Harman, Nick Taylor, Midwu and then you know, I'm not going
33:13
off Sung Jay, So you can't talk me in or out of that one.
33:15
I don't need to put that one up. I'm sticking with them here.
33:17
Keep shock, Yeah, we keep playing this guy. He did.
33:22
I think I told you on the first look, he just did the worst
33:23
thing possible. He came like and like, didn't give you any insight on
33:27
where he's kind of at. And then he comes thirtieth or whatever. You're
33:30
like, Ah, it's not really good enough, it's not really bad.
33:31
But then this field is weak, so we'll have to wait and see.
33:35
Let's talk about this eight K range. Let's go Keith Mitchell down to Patrick
33:37
Rogers. Get a few extra guys here. Looks like we got ten guys,
33:42
but min Wu was the cut for you. I will say that,
33:45
yeah, the chat side cut, but you had a pretty strong arm argument
33:50
to keep. We have two guys, all right, we didn't have one
33:52
in the time. There's two options in the a K range, so have
33:57
your be ready to pump both those out. Will do one at a time.
34:00
Keith Mitchell up top. I've been playing. Keith just completely fell apart
34:05
over the weekend at the players. He made the cut, had been playing
34:07
really well. And then go seventy six, seventy six, round three.
34:10
In round four, I'll give him the pass and come back to him.
34:15
Seba has been very consistent and you kind of like him at these more difficult
34:19
tracks. You know, the only issue with him is you just don't really
34:23
see the top end finishes. I guess he did have the second at the
34:25
American Express, but the thirteenth last week, So maybe maybe we're starting to
34:30
see a turn in his game a little bit. And I think this track
34:31
could set up well for him. The eighty eight hundred dollars price tag you
34:35
don't love, but he's been playing solid golf and I think he will make
34:37
a cut this week. And you know, it's just a matter if you
34:40
can move up a little bit from like twenty fifth, you know, twentieth
34:44
place and and really get into contention. Eric Cole, I'm gonna give him
34:49
a pass as well. He's had some miss cuts recently, two out of
34:52
the last three, but again, I think this course can set up well
34:54
for him. Keithan Bradley think interesting for tournaments. You know, he's a
34:59
big her name in this eight k range. There's a lot of guys that
35:01
are typically much much cheaper than the eight k range. Keegan tends to be
35:07
around here, and you know, I don't think he's gonna get a ton
35:09
of ownership. Doug gim though, is a very interesting talking point because the
35:14
guy is just on an absolute heater T sixteen or better in five straight tournaments.
35:21
Had that sixteenth last week at the Players only eighty four hundred. Another
35:25
guy you can throw in the same category as game is gonna be mckneely.
35:30
I've been playing McNeely basically all season long and the results have been amazing.
35:34
Thirty seven, thirty, ninth, sixth, thirteenth, forty first, and
35:37
then ninth last week at the Players. Really like matv McNeely at eighty one.
35:43
Patrick Rodgers at ak is definitely a cut for me. I'm a little
35:46
bit bitter from last week. I had a really good Scottie Scheffler Harmon Ludwig
35:53
Ludvig team and it had Patrick Rodgers' only miscut, so I'll be off on
35:59
him for a while. But the first keeper cutting this range is going to
36:01
be Bo Hostler, and then the second is going to be Adam Hadwin.
36:06
The only reason I'm considering these guys is because I just think there's a pretty
36:08
drastic fall off when you get into the seven k range, which we'll talk
36:12
about. But Hostler and had one or two guys I'm kind of on the
36:15
fence on, and you know, I don't know how much room I have
36:17
in my player plour on my teams, but the RD around the average roster
36:22
spot and you know, kind of bloom or bust performances recently, So kind
36:27
of torn on those two. Do the Hostler win first guys that was around
36:31
because you were talking about Doug gam and Doug Gamms obviously on a heater right
36:36
now. Whether it continues or not, we'll have to find out. He's
36:37
always played pretty good at the players, so I thought that was a possibility
36:42
either way. But some of the guys here the pop for me, Like
36:45
this is the thing about the setup if it turns into like the grinder zone,
36:49
like that's where somebody talked about earlier, where you could pick it up
36:52
a little bit. Is if you have like Keegan Bradley, see beez Adam
36:55
Hadwin. I think all these guys can grind, and some of the seven
36:59
K's as well, So I'm probably keeping both when the votes come out for
37:02
you. But I definitely like had When more than Hostler. It's pretty close.
37:07
I just prefer had When over Haustler. If i'm picking one. They're
37:10
both of note they're both PM guys and they're both pretty close for me,
37:15
So the answer sometimes when you're doing that can be played both, but I
37:19
definitely think it's interesting from that perspective. Rye over gim is probably how I
37:22
would side as well. Just a note there for those wondering, but you
37:25
can definitely put them into some lineups. Mayo and I were doing lineups today
37:29
and we pretty much avoided them completely in those ones. So I'll have them
37:31
some, but not enough to talk about here. I do like those grinders
37:35
though, like if you put in a Sebez, Keegan Bradley, Adam Hadwin,
37:38
Rye, those types of guys could really come through here. And I'll
37:42
talk more on roster construction in the slate plan over a ship and nation of
37:45
course, but just want to make sure we go through that there. Let's
37:47
see these numbers. A lot of scissor emojis coming out here, so scissors,
37:53
Like, did I tell you about JT talking shit last week? Because
37:59
I know you already never really love it. I know you like him this
38:00
week, but he was talking shit about the Gooch asterisk. Yeah that's right.
38:05
Yeah, the live account with the scissor mode you got them said,
38:07
okay, buddy, you don't got nothing to put an asterisk on you didn't
38:09
even make the cut, so I thought, well that was good. All
38:15
right, what do you see? What do you see here? Yeah,
38:17
it looks like it's gonna be a cut for Hostler. Uh and then the
38:22
head when we'll be starting on while we go to the seven K range,
38:25
you guys can start letting us know, let's take off with this seven K
38:30
range here. Who only fifteen guys, Like I said, but you can
38:31
break it up however you want. I mean, there's fifteen guys. You
38:35
talked through it. What do you like here? Yeah, I mean I
38:37
do think there's a pretty significant drop off coming from the eights down to the
38:42
sevens, you know, Sepstraca, Yeah, I don't know. Like Taylor
38:45
Moore continues to make cuts, and you know at at this event, like
38:50
you're gonna want guys that make cuts, Well, you want guys that make
38:52
cuts every week. But this is a difficult course of making a cut and
38:55
getting that six or six. It's very important this week because when there's there's
38:59
water and danger on the course of all utility definitely goes up and makes the
39:01
six of six is a little more difficult. Andrew Putnam a couple solid finishes,
39:07
have the eight that the Arnold Palmer you know, didn't have a great
39:13
finish at the Players, but fifty third he made the cut. He was
39:15
super super cheap last week. I don't know exactly, you can't remember what
39:19
the price tag but was, but he was very way down three sixty two.
39:22
He's way down there. Terry Montgomery, I think you know another guy
39:25
that continues to make cuts, grinds him out a good putter which can go
39:30
a long way at more difficult courses. I think he's interesting. I never
39:34
played Billy Horsel, so like if he's always a cut for me, regardless
39:38
of the situation. I think Brendan Todd is interesting. Lucas Glover at seventy
39:45
three missed the cut last week, but prior to that had three straight lake
39:50
T thirty finishes. I had one bad round he's tried seventy five round one
39:53
at the Players. Did followed up with the sixty nine. Obviously not enough,
39:58
but I think he could bounce back at this course. But I'm really
40:01
interested in like this lower seven k range. Like I'm gonna take a chance
40:05
on Daniel Berger. I know, you know he's got the injury thing.
40:08
Isn't fully back, but seventy two hundred for Daniel Berger like he's going to
40:12
get back at some point, like and I'll take my chances. Adam shank
40:15
I always like him. Seventy one. Batilla at seventy one I think is
40:21
a fine option, cheap price tag Davis Thompson have been playing a lot of
40:23
and then then my guy Rio at seven k flats. I'm way, way,
40:28
way way more interested in the lower sevens, but the keeper cut option
40:34
in this seven k range, it's gonna be Supstraka. Not too sure what
40:37
to do with him sixteenth last week. I don't know, he's a guy.
40:42
I'm just kind of torn on there. We solve that one. I
40:45
already voted keep that guy. I mean this is especially when the thing is
40:47
turns into a grind like man, this is I don't see a scenario where
40:52
we don't keep him. But let let people comment on a sex straca keeper
40:54
cut. But I'm definitely keeping it in. I think he's in a good
40:58
spot here. I think it also changes up a little bit, like some
41:00
of these guys Taylor Montgomery. If again, if it gets tougher and people
41:05
it just comes out of making Putts and who does that. I think it
41:07
could be him, Brendan Todd. He can grind it out there. Like
41:09
again, people are liking Horsell. I don't mind him, but I think
41:13
also Brendan Todd makes a lot of sense there as well. He's kind of
41:15
right between Horseheal Glover Rider. A lot of people are going there, Burger,
41:20
You're you're playing for upside right, like you're just taking a shot on
41:22
him at seventy two hundred saying hopefully he is back. It doesn't look like
41:27
he has been. It was one event of the three or four. But
41:29
man, yeah, and Andrew knows, like a lot of these guys a
41:34
lot of support. He's getting steam for sure. You can land on a
41:37
mail and I did the lineups earlier, so you definitely have to keep that
41:38
in mind when you're building. But so are gimm and Uh and Rye up
41:44
above. So you can skip this whole range of seventy six hundred up to
41:49
eighty five and get different that way and use like Keegan Bradley or something up
41:52
there and drop down. But my point would be in this range, you
41:55
gotta know, because the guys that stand out on paper are definitely getting the
41:59
ownership because you said it like Shank is going to stand out, Lucas Glover
42:02
is gonna stand out, Stepstraka is going to stand out. All these guys
42:06
are going to look good in projections, on paper, all of those things.
42:09
So that's why sometimes building in the sets can be different. Like again,
42:15
more people are going PM AM, Stepstraca is in the AM. That
42:17
would cut into his ownership a little bit. If you go down to Glover,
42:22
he's in the PM. Shank another guy in the AM. So sometimes
42:25
when it happens like that, you could definitely set it up. But I
42:28
think, like Pam says here, he's built for this course. That's what
42:30
everybody thinks, and I tend to agree. That's why I teased it earlier
42:34
that I'm just gonna say keep them in. But I definitely think it's interesting
42:37
just to note that that, like how quickly everybody was on it, myself
42:40
included, it makes sense the price seems low for what you're getting, so
42:45
something to note there. I still think Putnam, Todd, Glover, Shank,
42:51
you know, a few of these guys are interesting, but there is
42:53
something to be said for just you know, running a balance build and skipping
42:57
over the Straka gim Rye range as well. I think that's another interesting way
43:00
to go about it. Who was the Oh yeah, we just did it
43:05
with Strocker. We're not going to keep going there. Take us through the
43:07
sixth k range then, Hoop, because we're going to talk more in here
43:10
than the five k. We'll get to that later. But what are you
43:13
doing with the six k range? First thoughts? Yeah, I mean a
43:15
lot of goal. I mean, sixty nine hundred below is what probably like
43:19
eighty percent of this field is priced, like way way down here. You
43:22
know, Victor Perez has had a couple solid finishes as of late sixteenth at
43:28
the Cognizant and then third in Puerto Rico, which obviously a very Yeah,
43:34
we don't even need to ask that question. We know the answer there.
43:37
Mister Stanger, sixty nine hundred, I mean a seven day golfer. Just
43:43
just think back, just think back to the day when when when Hoop said
43:46
that mister Stanger was the most disrespected had the most disrespectful price in the field,
43:52
Tampa made fun of me, basically kicked me off the stage here and
43:55
then T thirty eight, T thirty five, T three at Rico and then
44:00
t thirty five at the Players. Mister Stanger is the real deal. Be
44:05
a big part of what I'm doing this week. And that's not even there's
44:07
no joke about that. I'll be all over Stanger Joel Damon, Yeah,
44:13
yeah, there's like I have the ultimate like presidential veto power when it comes
44:17
to anything to do with mister Stanger. We're on them. We're going heavy
44:21
on him. Damon the guy typically don't love to play, but back to
44:27
back decent finishes. You know, forty ninth at Puerto Rico is not great,
44:30
but the eleventh at the Players, I don't mind a little bit of
44:34
Damon Chessin Hadley we talked about in the first look show. I don't like
44:37
him in strong fields. I like him in weaker fields, and this is
44:40
a weaker field event and you don't have to be long, So courses where
44:44
you don't have to be long and there's a weak field, I'm in on
44:46
Hadley and we fit that criteria this week. Sixty seven for Hadley. Novak
44:52
very popular last week, did not have a good result, but prior to
44:55
that three straight top tens. We'll give him another chance. Mister spencon at
45:00
sixty six, definitely going to be there. Mister Neismith at sixty five hundred,
45:05
I think he's a fine option. Bud Cawley somewhat interesting at sixty four,
45:10
you know, the long layoff, came back, made the cut at
45:14
the Phoenix Open, and then twenty first at the Cognizant. I don't mind
45:19
taking a chance on him at sixty four, and then you get down into
45:22
the lower six k range and gets pretty dusty in a hurry. One guy.
45:28
I don't know anything about him, and you might know more. Hayden
45:31
Springer at sixty one hundred, he's made to what three cuts in a row,
45:36
thirty third at the Farmers thirty eighth in Mexico, and then he was
45:38
part of that T three group in Puerto Rico. But sixty one hundred for
45:44
him and then Schmid at six k flat was solid last week? Can he
45:51
do it again this weekend? It was tenth at the Puerto Rico so too
45:52
straight salad weefs for Smid. Yeah, kind of where a map plicarious on
45:59
Springer? What's his? Yeah, Like that's the thing. This is this
46:01
they've been setting up. Course is a lot easier this year. There's no
46:05
question but the same Puerto Rico. I can promise you that it's like a
46:08
top ten hardest court, Like this is a very hard course, so I
46:12
would just wipe out anything from there and just not care. So that's nice.
46:16
But that field was like a corn furry tour field at a resort,
46:21
very easy course, and that's where you're getting these names pop up. It's
46:23
an added bonus if they had a good result out there, But realistically we'll
46:28
be looking for a little bit more from my guys down here, so you
46:30
know, and in some of the stronger fields, or at least little bit
46:35
more improved fields, Like there's guys down in the same range that you can
46:37
play Novak or Kevin You or who's somebody else out here. I just saw
46:42
Taylor Pendrith, Adam Spence and Lee Hodges. There are some guys that have
46:45
shown up and feels like this in one. Then there's guys like Matthew nee
46:50
Smith who we've seen show up in the past, and then now he's got
46:52
good history here twenty six last week, kh Lee a couple you know,
46:57
he's had some good results in the top thirty and a fourth a couple events
47:00
ago, and then has a nineteenth tier last year, Like there's actual like
47:04
actual guys. Matt Wallace is one that Mayo talked me into. I made
47:07
fun of him and then said, okay, I agree, but Matt Wallace
47:10
is sixty what is he sixty four hundred? Yeah, sixty four hundred.
47:15
I didn't want to circle back on Lee Hodges. Sorry, sorry to cut
47:19
you off, but yeah, I'm interested in Lee Hodges for sure. Yeah,
47:22
I think he's fine. Hadley who you brought up. Even so,
47:24
like if anybody can notice here, I'm gonna I didn't have as much because
47:29
there's nowhere to really go, Like seven gay ranges fifteen guys. Ak range
47:31
is small, nine K ranges minuscules top is just four guys. So I'm
47:35
gonna play more of these six K guys. And I again, I did
47:37
the whole show with Mayo already. That's kind of the benefit of the way
47:40
we do these shows. Now we got to see the builds. There was
47:44
a literal argument to be made to just cut off sixty nine hundred and below,
47:49
and you could make phenomenal lineups projections wise, we even split it my
47:52
wave. So if you're like, oh, but I was going AMPM,
47:54
like you just did not need to go down there. So if you're willing
47:59
to put two or three of these guys in, especially these ones up top,
48:01
whether it's your guys Stanger or Damon or d Tree who used to be
48:06
ten thousand just a few weeks ago, in a field like this, Mackenzie,
48:08
Hughes, Webb, Simpson, Hadley not naming them all or playing them
48:13
all. But I'm saying, if those guys are all your seven K guys,
48:15
being that they cut the range down to just fifteen, then why would
48:20
you not put two or three of them into a lineup together? And you
48:22
don't just have to automatically hop up the zander at that point. You can,
48:25
But I'm saying there's lineup construction to be looked at tonight. And I
48:30
think that's my biggest take here. Someone said you got to go back to
48:32
Spencon. Which Canadian boys did you like in this field? So there's Taylor,
48:37
there's Hadwin, there's spenceing Silverman. There's a bunch of them there.
48:42
But was there any Canadians that stood out? Well? Yeah, I mean
48:45
definitely like Taylor, I'm always on Spencing. There's someone I clicked on earlier
48:51
that I didn't know was Canadian. I clicked on his name and I was
48:53
like, maybe it's Silverman, Silverman, Silverman. I didn't know that he
48:57
was a Canadian fellow. But I don't mind, and I don't mind him.
49:00
And he's a guy that like again, Puerto Rico sixteen or like forty
49:05
second, but actually the other events that he's played thirteenth, sixteenth, eighteenth,
49:09
three of his last four before that, so it's like he's actually shown
49:13
up in similar fields to this versus you know, just showing up in one
49:17
Puerto Rico event for example. Yeah, yeah, yeah, anybody else in
49:22
this range you want to talk about the the bottom range of like Hego or
49:25
Wallace who I mentioned, Carson Young, Rice Scarnet, JJ Spahn, Woo,
49:30
any of those guys down there that you like here go go. Yeah,
49:34
I can't. You know, I've been playing a lot of Higo.
49:36
He had the WD last week. I'm just off off of him. Yeah,
49:39
I think I rattled off most of the guys that I have interest in.
49:42
But man, I just I really don't want to be down here all
49:45
that often. I mean, some of these guys I want to play,
49:46
But I'm not saying I'm going like full balance builds. But man, I
49:52
think there's just a big drop off, big drop off when you get down
49:54
here. I'm gonna play some of these guys, no doubt about it,
49:57
but I can avoid it in like if you're handbuilding or something, you can
50:00
avoid this range. Like I'd definitely recommend doing it. Our guys down here
50:04
and play, don't don't you know get a twist And there's guys that I'm
50:07
definitely going to play, but I don't love it. And then we'll get
50:09
to the five K range. It's even worse. Yeah, well let's do
50:13
that. Then let's go to this five K range. And I got two
50:15
guys and there's no no bias here but kind of. But it's the lower
50:20
range of the tournament. Justin lower is down here at fifty seven hundred,
50:24
so I can play him. And then another guy, great first name,
50:28
Tyler Duncan fifty eight hundred. Fine with him. After that, man,
50:31
like you know, we had some Zach Blair I guess went in there,
50:35
But that was the two I wanted to talk about. Will a couple others
50:37
slip through the cracks? Maybe the lineups I built with Mayo today, like
50:42
Zach Blair was in on some of those. I know we talked about him
50:45
some. Troy Merritt is down here, but I don't know, Like,
50:49
I really don't love the the Aaron Wise is fifty nine hundred, but man,
50:52
haven't seen him for a while. So what's the situation with you down
50:57
here? Some people wanted to get talked into some guys, but I I
51:00
have a real hard time getting down in this range. Yeah, it's not
51:02
enjoyable down here. I have like five names of guys that I am considering
51:07
playing now. I haven't built any teams yet, and I could end up
51:10
playing zero down here. It's very likely that I end up playing zero of
51:14
these guys, and the five that I see is potentially playable. You know,
51:20
this Ricky Castillo guy coming off the corn Ferry Tour. He's had a
51:22
lot of success there, but this is a big step up in course difficulty
51:29
for sure. But he's fifty nine hundred. Troy Merritt, that's just more
51:32
of a I kind of always played Troy Merritt thing, and you know,
51:36
it's not a comfortable feeling. Nico Etcheveria has been playing pretty well. Fifty
51:40
seven hundred. Peter Malnatty at fifty six, and then I did have Zach
51:46
Blair as one of the guys at fifty six. But again, if I
51:50
can avoid this range, like I'm gonna do it. I haven't built any
51:52
teams yet, but it is not a comfortable feeling. The previous weeks with
51:58
the five K range, we were able to you're able to get legitimate guys
52:00
down there. I felt this week it's a massive risk and I just don't
52:05
know what the reward is up top by playing some of these guys. So
52:08
I want to avoid as much as possible. Yeah, let me just talk
52:12
real quick on that, because I don't have anything else to say in this
52:14
range. But the Ricky Castillo thing is a great example to talk about here
52:17
because there's two ways to talk about it. One is, obviously you talked
52:21
about the range of what he's been doing on the corn Ferry Tour or whatever,
52:22
and all the great results that people are seeing, like fifth, thirteen,
52:25
seventh, fifth twentieth, been crushing it. Oh, he's coming out
52:29
first try. If he makes the cut, I'm good. Remember you're not
52:31
like you just it's not all you need. He's fifty nine hundred bucks.
52:35
That's very helpful if he makes a cut. Now, people say, I
52:37
would say, like, bet him top forty, and then people say,
52:39
but I can't get the payoff of winning a large field GVP. Well,
52:44
when you have him in your one or two lineups, you still have a
52:46
six game parlay essentially that you're building. Where there's one leg, you need
52:51
five more legs to be the nuts basically. So I'm fine with it.
52:55
I'm fine with that argument of you saying, but I'm not going to get
52:59
the payoff of it, And that's fine. You could put one hundred and
53:02
eighty bucks on a top forty at like whatever it is. Somebody look it
53:06
up. It's gotta be good. Though I don't know what his top forty
53:07
is right now, but I'm just saying that's not just a mad cut.
53:09
That's a little bit more, but it's kind of what you'd be hoping for
53:13
fifty nine hundred. You're fine. But secondly, the other way is then
53:15
say, okay, play the ten dollars eighteen max and stop talking be about
53:20
it. Put them in all eighteen and get every combo you can with him
53:22
because you think it's his week. Then find out don't one line if you're
53:25
doing one lineup with them, then it's probably one lineup with your five favorite
53:30
plays. How often do those lineups work? I know anybody out there watching
53:34
a lot of members over at Hibernation, we don't just talk about plays and
53:37
picks and all that stuff. We're breaking down actual thoughts and process in the
53:40
discord all the time. It comes down to the same thing. My worst
53:45
lineup that I thought was gonna suck ended up crushing. My best lineup was
53:49
a two of six or a three of six. It's just because it doesn't
53:51
always go the way you think it's gonna go. So even when you do
53:52
it that way, it feels good in your mind, but it doesn't mean
53:57
it's gonna work out. So I would just say, more times than not,
53:59
it's not going to And I think you get a much bigger payout just
54:01
doing it that way instead. Yeah, one other thing i'd like to see,
54:05
which I don't even know what the possibility of this is, but like
54:07
why are there so many guys in these PGA tour events, Like why do
54:12
you need one hundred and forty four? Like it just waters down the overall
54:15
product. Mean, this isn't a conversation about like dfs or anything, but
54:19
the fact that this many guys essentially based on the odds, we're looking at
54:23
like I don't know, eighty seventy percent of the field that DraftKings are saying
54:29
they have no chance of winning the event because their price just all the way
54:31
down at the bottom. And that's correlated directly to the odds. Like these
54:36
fields are just so watered down, like on these non elite or what do
54:40
they call them, premus signature events, like cut down the number of guys.
54:44
There's too many shitty dudes in the field each week, But everybody says
54:47
the opposite. That's funny you have that take, because everyone said after these
54:50
signature events where it's like one hundred guys or eighty guys down to a fifty
54:53
eighty guys with fifty plus ties and anyone within ten makes the cut, everyone
54:58
says that's not enough. Just the other side of it is, though,
55:00
like you said, is that you know this kind of that's the storyline,
55:02
right Hoop, is that what if a guy comes up with one of these
55:07
guys there's never any consistency from these days, not like they have good finishes
55:12
and then they get to the top. These guys just aren't good and they're
55:15
in the field every week. Like just there should not be more than like
55:17
eighty guys in a PGA Tour event ever, in my opinion, So guys
55:22
like Stanger that just always come thirty fifth and thirty eighth just kind of should
55:25
be He should be part of the eighty for sure. Yeah. Of course
55:30
the Puerto Rico Open he crushes, So yeah, you got to keep a
55:32
guy like him in there. But I know, there's just too many dudes,
55:36
man, there's just too many guys in these golf events in my opinion.
55:39
Well it does show too. When you're talking again, we talk strategy
55:42
a lot. But just like your playerpool composition, which is part of the
55:45
course over at chip at nation dot com, if you check that out,
55:47
that's kind of the angle too, right where you set it up and you
55:50
could say, uh, you know, for you, it's very easy to
55:53
make your player pool and set it up that way because you know exactly what
55:57
you're gonna do. For a smaller pool, you're just starting with nobody,
56:00
cutting a bunch of guys off. And if you guys do join, you
56:02
go to education PGA, you get the full access to this course. Where
56:07
we break this all down. Hoop and I did it. It's two hours
56:09
long, but we have a whole segment in the process around all this stuff.
56:14
Goal's mindset, creating your own process, bankroll management, contest selection.
56:17
So if you like strategy talk player pool was the main part of that.
56:21
And who if you just made it easy on yourself, right, that's kind
56:22
of the key. So many people, Oh, you can't do this,
56:25
you can't do that. It's like, well, all right, I need
56:28
a sprinkle of this guy, I need a sprinkle of that guy. And
56:30
it's like, or you could just cut all those guys out, build a
56:32
pool of dudes you think can actually be in the mix over the weekend,
56:36
and when it goes your way, you're gonna have a higher six to six
56:38
percentage, or a week that it's low six to six, you're gonna have
56:40
more five of six is with upside and cash a bunch and have some outs
56:45
to get to the top with your other six to sixes. So lots of
56:46
different ways that you can talk about it when it comes to that, yeap,
56:50
certainly, yeah, no doubt. All right, So guys, we'll
56:53
recap the giveaways quicker at the end. Remember first big note, last chance
56:58
to use Masters fifteen. It's plural msters fifteen. I saw Alex said he
57:02
hopped in and got in the mix with us and joined back in thirty three
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a day for the contest. If you're watching, we got the comments,
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give away a two ninety nine annual membership to somebody that's a non member that
57:32
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Later there's gonna be a giveaway. It will look something like this with the
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three and Phase four are coming up next. Anything else from you who have
58:58
any final thoughts before we get out of here. No looking forward to this
59:01
week. I mean again, keep this momentum going. We had the big
59:05
wins and showed on last week a lot of people hit on the main slate,
59:08
and yeah, I mean the goal is always to get those lugos to
59:10
the top of the leaderboard. If you don't have the logo up, get
59:14
out over there, get the logo for DraftKings Fan Duel, get it uploaded
59:17
whatever site you're on, and you'll be eligible to win some prizes obviously.
59:22
So let's get those luggos to the top of the leaderboard this week. Yeah,
59:27
definitely a good thing. Go to get the logo tag us on Twitter
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everybody watching. I think Andrew earlier I will comment on this quick just at
1:00:00
the end. James did do a stream last week. We're still waiting for
1:00:05
an update from James. A little bit more news. All still thinking about
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him. Talked about that it was awesome to see him back. I know
1:00:09
I was away, but still got to watch him do that. He did
1:00:12
a chat extra over at our site in the discord, so shout out to
1:00:15
James. We're all thinking about you men, hoping that you can get back
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here sooner than later. But he did mention that he won't be doing another
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stream until the Masters, so keep that in mind. We'll cover you guys
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as much as we can over these slates throughout the next few weeks. Thanks
1:00:29
so much for watching. We appreciate you guys as always for whop for myself
1:00:32
to tag and tambo led ship it man mist with my mother Miste