Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / Commanders vs 49ers NFL DFS Showdown | MNF Week 6 Showdown Shippers | Picks, Plays & Process
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for liftoff.
- 0:36Speaker 2: What's up, everyone? Tyler Tamblyn here, a.k.a. Toe Tag and Tambo,
- 0:39Speaker 2: back for another edition of Showdown Shippers, Monday Night Football
- 0:42Speaker 2: edition here on the Ship It Nation YouTube station. Make
- 0:45Speaker 2: sure to smash that thumbs up, subscribe to the channel.
- 0:47Speaker 2: Got Hoop, got Title here with me as usual. I'm
- 0:49Speaker 2: going to be breaking down all things Commanders at the 49ers.
- 0:53Speaker 2: And before everyone says this game... is horrible and there's
- 0:56Speaker 2: no way this team can beat this team and et cetera,
- 0:58Speaker 2: et cetera. I don't want to hear it. We just
- 1:00Speaker 2: watched the Arizona Cardinals beat the Rams yesterday. We've seen
- 1:04Speaker 2: the Bucks beat the Dallas Cowboys when that couldn't happen.
- 1:06Speaker 2: We've seen the Broncos beat the Seahawks when that couldn't happen.
- 1:09Speaker 2: I could go on, but the Rams one hoop has
- 1:11Speaker 2: to be the craziest. I'll bring you in my friend.
- 1:13Speaker 2: We still got one more game with week six ready
- 1:15Speaker 2: to go. Yeah.
- 1:16Speaker 1: I mean, there's been a lot of that this year
- 1:18Speaker 1: where it looks like Team A has no chance against
- 1:21Speaker 1: Team B, and then it happens. And there's two of
- 1:23Speaker 1: them yesterday, even the Colts and the Titans. But yeah,
- 1:28Speaker 1: the Rams and Cardinals definitely take the cake. I'm definitely
- 1:33Speaker 1: not a conspiracy theorist, but man, it sure looked like
- 1:36Speaker 1: the Rams were trying to lose that football game. They
- 1:39Speaker 1: didn't do anything that made sense if they're trying to
- 1:43Speaker 1: win the game. It was like almost everything was completely ass-backwards.
- 1:47Speaker 1: They did not look like the same rams team like
- 1:51Speaker 1: it was really really bad la tourable and um you
- 1:55Speaker 1: know crushed a a lot of people for showdown and
- 1:59Speaker 1: or not for showdowns for survivor contest number one and
- 2:02Speaker 1: then crushed a lot of people that were sitting on
- 2:04Speaker 1: a nice afternoon stack at a lot of teams that
- 2:07Speaker 1: looking good in the afternoon game or in the morning
- 2:10Speaker 1: games and then the afternoon hits and you're like all
- 2:12Speaker 1: right i'm sitting on a ram stack got some cardinal
- 2:15Speaker 1: bringbacks and Nothing really happened, ever. So it was pretty
- 2:20Speaker 1: disappointing from that perspective. But you got a pretty good
- 2:24Speaker 1: one here tonight, for sure.
- 2:26Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot to talk about with this one. And
- 2:27Speaker 2: we're going to do it as usual when we get
- 2:28Speaker 2: to it before I bring Title in. We are going
- 2:30Speaker 2: to talk about, you know, the captain position. We're going
- 2:32Speaker 2: to go down to roster construction, the composition for those lineups.
- 2:35Speaker 2: We'll go position by position, a little fan duel at
- 2:37Speaker 2: the end. But, Title, you're no stranger to big upsets.
- 2:40Speaker 2: We saw, what, a minus 3,000 in MMA recently or
- 2:43Speaker 2: something like that go down?
- 2:44Speaker 1: Yep.
- 2:45Speaker 2: Stuff happens in these sports that we watch and these
- 2:47Speaker 2: crazy games that we play. How you doing, my friend?
- 2:49Speaker 2: What's going on?
- 2:50Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you couldn't have said it better. We
- 2:52Speaker 3: talked about it with the Buccaneers-Cowboys game. And, like, toward
- 2:55Speaker 3: the end, of course, it happened. But I was like, yeah,
- 2:58Speaker 3: you look at the odds. NFL's efficient. It was 85%–
- 3:01Speaker 3: or it was 80-20.
- 3:01Speaker 1: Like, you see 20%.
- 3:01Speaker 3: What the Rams was, they were minus 850, 89%. 89%
- 3:03Speaker 3: means 11% on the other side. And, yeah, that happens sometimes. Yeah. Yeah, conspiracy, Ray,
- 3:15Speaker 3: who knows? We'll never know. But upsets happen. These are
- 3:19Speaker 3: grown men at the highest level playing against each other.
- 3:21Speaker 3: And yeah, so today, whether you think commanders have no chance, well,
- 3:25Speaker 3: they're a lot less favorites than the Ram just were yesterday.
- 3:28Speaker 3: Let's see, minus 395 is 79.8%. Literally what we just had,
- 3:35Speaker 3: it's Cowboys buck. So 20% of the time you will
- 3:37Speaker 3: see the commanders win if you believe these odds are efficient.
- 3:40Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm excited for this one. some injury news
- 3:43Speaker 3: to talk about, no crossy merits, and obviously everyone's going
- 3:46Speaker 3: to load up on San Fran. So excited to talk
- 3:49Speaker 3: this one through.
- 3:50Speaker 2: Me too.
- 3:51Speaker 1: One of the craziest plays from that Rams game too,
- 3:53Speaker 1: it just popped in my head and I wanted to
- 3:55Speaker 1: bring it up, was what were they, third and one
- 3:57Speaker 1: or fourth and one? And they got all the weapons
- 3:59Speaker 1: in the world. You got Kyron, you got Blake Corum,
- 4:03Speaker 1: you got Hookah, you have Devontae Adams.
- 4:06Speaker 2: They handed off.
- 4:08Speaker 1: To their third string tight end and he gets absolutely...
- 4:12Speaker 1: Stuff like that. That's when I knew that game was done. Like,
- 4:16Speaker 1: all right, this is this. This is never going to
- 4:19Speaker 1: get going. This game is dead on arrival.
- 4:22Speaker 2: Remember, I posted to the even the app tried to
- 4:25Speaker 2: speed it up after that bad first quarter. It's at
- 4:27Speaker 2: halftime on ESPN and they tried to speed this thing up.
- 4:30Speaker 2: But the Davis Allen one, I forget who the commentary was.
- 4:33Speaker 2: when they said, you know, so-and-so, that sounds like a
- 4:36Speaker 2: good idea on a Wednesday practice in the afternoon. But
- 4:39Speaker 2: then when you're in a game and you go run
- 4:41Speaker 2: it out there, he's like, Davis Allen's like, yeah, I
- 4:43Speaker 2: could do that. Then it gets game time. No, I
- 4:45Speaker 2: can't do that. That's not very good. That was bad execution.
- 4:49Speaker 2: And Sixberg says, your eyes ain't lying. I'm just putting
- 4:51Speaker 2: in an accent on this guy, Hoop. These games are
- 4:54Speaker 2: far from organic these days. So you never know. Parabay,
- 4:58Speaker 2: NBA streets are coming back. We appreciate you. Said the
- 5:01Speaker 2: Rams were minus 1,000 when he got it. So minus
- 5:04Speaker 2: three took them, and that's the only thing that sunk
- 5:05Speaker 2: his parlay. Yeah, so wild stuff happening in the streets today.
- 5:09Speaker 2: Title said it. There's already some injuries with this game.
- 5:11Speaker 2: We are waiting on some news, and we'll get to that.
- 5:13Speaker 2: We'll bring it all up here in just a moment.
- 5:16Speaker 2: But I want to bring it up quickly from yesterday.
- 5:17Speaker 2: We had a huge day for the Ship It Nation community,
- 5:20Speaker 2: and it impacts the upcoming week for Ship It Games
- 5:23Speaker 2: and for the Golden Shipper and for anybody who's a
- 5:25Speaker 2: member at Ship It Nation. If you're not, you can
- 5:27Speaker 2: still get in at any time and become part of
- 5:29Speaker 2: this fun. But first off, Max DeSoto, you guys can
- 5:33Speaker 2: rebuttal it in a second. We talked about a little take-down, break-down,
- 5:35Speaker 2: just a crazy sweat today. The cool part is though,
- 5:38Speaker 2: he still came away with 52 K that he won
- 5:40Speaker 2: off tickets. And then I loved his attitude and discipline
- 5:43Speaker 2: this morning, right back in the discord saying, Hey, loaded
- 5:45Speaker 2: up my contest for next week, 160 bucks right back
- 5:48Speaker 2: at it. After winning 52 K said, you know, I'll
- 5:50Speaker 2: figure it out when I want to treat myself, but
- 5:52Speaker 2: I'm going to play normal even after winning 52 K.
- 5:55Speaker 2: And that's how you stay in the game. So shout
- 5:57Speaker 2: out to Max. I know the Tucker beat was bad there,
- 6:00Speaker 2: but it's, it's part of the game. It is what
- 6:02Speaker 2: it is. Rick 10. Um, awesome story here. One 75,000
- 6:06Speaker 2: yesterday is going to donate a $ 1, 500 ticket on November 1st,
- 6:10Speaker 2: the week eight, uh, mid season main event with 1.5
- 6:13Speaker 2: million up top. We'll talk about that in a second.
- 6:16Speaker 2: Tom Brady is gray. I only seen his 50 K
- 6:18Speaker 2: score in the five 55 face mask. We found them
- 6:21Speaker 2: on the takedown breakdown, had another 150 K more for
- 6:24Speaker 2: 200 K plus in the luxury box came second and
- 6:28Speaker 2: fourth in that tournament.
- 6:30Speaker 1: And T.
- 6:30Speaker 2: Jones won the stiff arm. A lot of shippers. We
- 6:33Speaker 2: don't always see that. First, first, first. Obviously, it was
- 6:35Speaker 2: close for Max DeSoto, but a great week. But back
- 6:38Speaker 2: to Rick 10 really quickly. The big deal here is
- 6:41Speaker 2: in shipping games where we're giving away $ 50, 000 plus in
- 6:44Speaker 2: cash and prizes, you have to win your way in.
- 6:47Speaker 2: And the Golden Shipper rewards a Golden Shipper ticket to first, second,
- 6:51Speaker 2: and third place out of the $ 4. 99 that play in it.
- 6:55Speaker 2: Then the top 50 get in. Of the top 50,
- 6:57Speaker 2: the top 10 play in an online final where the
- 7:00Speaker 2: winner will ultimately get at least $ 12, 000 cash and prizes.
- 7:04Speaker 2: But this week, just going back to Rick's message here,
- 7:08Speaker 2: he said... would like to donate a ticket to the $ 1, 500
- 7:12Speaker 2: on November 1st. So anybody who's a Ship It Nation member,
- 7:15Speaker 2: anybody who gets in this week, tonight, you could get
- 7:17Speaker 2: in today and get into this stuff. But the Golden
- 7:20Speaker 2: Shipper this week, not only will the top three get
- 7:22Speaker 2: a Golden Ship It ticket, but first place will win
- 7:27Speaker 2: a $ 1, 500 ticket on behalf of Rick to play in
- 7:30Speaker 2: the week eight mid-season main event with 1.5 million up top.
- 7:34Speaker 2: And the prizes are crazy after that. It's like, I
- 7:36Speaker 2: think it's a mil or, 500, 400, 300, 250, 250.
- 7:38Speaker 2: Like it's a lot of really big boy scores on
- 7:41Speaker 2: the site over there. So check it out. Thanks to Rick.
- 7:44Speaker 2: We appreciate you, man. I think it's gonna be an
- 7:45Speaker 2: awesome event this week. And that's what the community is
- 7:48Speaker 2: all about. Boys, any thoughts there on the week that
- 7:50Speaker 2: was Ship It Nation, the Billy Sweat, anything else?
- 7:53Speaker 3: Man, I almost take a little blame. Literally six seconds
- 7:57Speaker 3: before that Tucker touchdown, I pull up the contest online,
- 8:01Speaker 3: pull up the 555, scrolling a bit. And I say
- 8:04Speaker 3: out loud to my boys, the only thing he's fading
- 8:07Speaker 3: is a trey tucker bomb literally seconds before that play
- 8:11Speaker 3: snapped and of course you knew when the ball was
- 8:13Speaker 3: in the air that it was trey tucker he's the
- 8:15Speaker 3: only one that's down there and my heart all of
- 8:18Speaker 3: our hearts just sunk for him um another one of
- 8:20Speaker 3: my friends i played poker with and made him 50k
- 8:22Speaker 3: on fan duel it i mean that's the game we
- 8:24Speaker 3: play i won our member so that's obviously i'm cheering
- 8:27Speaker 3: for really really sad there but then a couple minutes
- 8:30Speaker 3: later i can't help but think uh how happy I
- 8:32Speaker 3: am for whoever that was on the other side of that.
- 8:35Speaker 3: That's the game we play. I was stone dust all day,
- 8:37Speaker 3: so I wasn't cheering for much besides him up top.
- 8:39Speaker 3: But phenomenal attitude, like you said. I mean, that takes discipline. Yeah,
- 8:44Speaker 3: I mean, you took it probably better than mine, and
- 8:46Speaker 3: mine was a lot less in week two just for
- 8:49Speaker 3: a couple days. So, yeah, props to you. 50K is
- 8:52Speaker 3: still an amazing, amazing score. So, yeah, I felt really bad, though.
- 8:56Speaker 2: For sure. Hoop, did you see that? Were you following
- 8:58Speaker 2: along with any of this stuff yesterday too? It was
- 8:59Speaker 2: pretty crazy.
- 9:00Speaker 1: Yeah, that team was up there forever. I mean, I
- 9:02Speaker 1: was in the contest. I think I had, I don't know,
- 9:05Speaker 1: 20 teams, but nothing that was in contention. So I
- 9:08Speaker 1: was popping in and out, and it was up there
- 9:11Speaker 1: for a while, and I didn't know exactly what the
- 9:14Speaker 1: fade was or anything like that. But, yeah, I saw
- 9:18Speaker 1: in Discord the tone changed after that touchdown. It's unfortunate.
- 9:22Speaker 1: It's a game we play. all been there and, you know,
- 9:26Speaker 1: you got to put yourself in position and to, to,
- 9:29Speaker 1: to win that, that sort of money and hope it
- 9:32Speaker 1: goes your way because like so many things can happen just,
- 9:35Speaker 1: you know, continue building strong lineups and you know, getting
- 9:39Speaker 1: yourself to that spot to potentially win is all you
- 9:41Speaker 1: can do. Putting yourself in those positions as often as
- 9:44Speaker 1: possible and hopefully closes something out one day big like that,
- 9:48Speaker 1: but a good attitude after you know, a lot of
- 9:50Speaker 1: people would have taken it way worse.
- 9:53Speaker 3: And when you think about it more, or sorry, when
- 9:55Speaker 3: you just think about it more like, cause it's all
- 9:57Speaker 3: into like how the things go. Like what if that
- 9:59Speaker 3: Steelers game was in the afternoon and then it went
- 10:02Speaker 3: to OT and then he got Bernard there. Like you
- 10:04Speaker 3: have to run so good to get up to that.
- 10:07Speaker 3: And again, it's hard for the human brain. Cause you're like, how,
- 10:10Speaker 3: how the timing goes in your segments. I always, that's,
- 10:13Speaker 3: that's one thing I always think of in these scenarios.
- 10:16Speaker 3: It's all sequential.
- 10:17Speaker 1: And when things happen, like if Trey Tucker is, if
- 10:20Speaker 1: they were in the new Eastern game and does that,
- 10:23Speaker 1: you know, and he's the one trailing and then you
- 10:25Speaker 1: need Bernard to, you know.
- 10:27Speaker 3: Get to fit for 50 K like you feel way different.
- 10:30Speaker 3: The human brain.
- 10:31Speaker 1: That's the dirty part about the game. Once you get
- 10:33Speaker 1: to the top and you're sitting there and you see
- 10:36Speaker 1: I'm winning that million dollars, it changes, but it's like, yeah,
- 10:39Speaker 1: you flip everything and then you never really are in
- 10:42Speaker 1: the driver's seat in that, in that position. It's, it's
- 10:45Speaker 1: tough to think about it like that mentally, but, You know,
- 10:48Speaker 1: I always kind of try to.
- 10:49Speaker 3: It's true.
- 10:51Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 10:51Speaker 2: Title said it's about human nature. I know people say,
- 10:53Speaker 2: don't count your chickens till they hatch that type of thing.
- 10:55Speaker 2: And you shouldn't, and you try not to, but when
- 10:57Speaker 2: you're sitting up top with a million dollars and it's like, damn,
- 11:01Speaker 2: you don't think about anything about the people behind you.
- 11:03Speaker 2: You just think about yourself and you only think about
- 11:05Speaker 2: what can hurt you. Tucker hurts you. But on the
- 11:08Speaker 2: flip side of it, you don't, when you win, You
- 11:11Speaker 2: also don't be like, oh, sucks for that guy in second.
- 11:13Speaker 2: If he only had got that touchdown from this guy,
- 11:15Speaker 2: he would have got, you're like, screw that, I won.
- 11:18Speaker 2: But when you're the person up there, you got to
- 11:19Speaker 2: remember too, I said this on the takedown breakdown this morning,
- 11:21Speaker 2: it's like he had Rodgers and Jermie in that lineup,
- 11:24Speaker 2: Jermie Bernard. And it's like, you needed the 55, like
- 11:27Speaker 2: Bellman pointed out, you needed the 55 field goal which
- 11:30Speaker 2: is fine, but Boswell had missed another one. So you
- 11:32Speaker 2: get that. Then you get to OT. What if they
- 11:34Speaker 2: don't get the ball and don't go down and score?
- 11:36Speaker 2: And don't tell me like, who knows? Like they get
- 11:37Speaker 2: the ball. I guess like, what if they don't score?
- 11:39Speaker 2: My point being, you still need a lot of things
- 11:41Speaker 2: to go your way to what title said. And so
- 11:43Speaker 2: great run at it. Phenomenal job. And there, there he is.
- 11:47Speaker 2: Shout out the Hoopster. Yeah, that was another thing I
- 11:53Speaker 2: said too. Like Tyler said, when you see that ball
- 11:56Speaker 2: in the air and you just know it's Tucker, and
- 11:57Speaker 2: he did his Tucker thing too, by the way, which
- 11:59Speaker 2: is like the little slide and run catch where you're like,
- 12:01Speaker 2: is that good? So we're hoping it's not. But then
- 12:05Speaker 2: what if Metcalf got the touchdown instead of Bernard at
- 12:08Speaker 2: the end? He's sitting up there and probably stays up
- 12:10Speaker 2: there because everybody had Bernard in front of him and
- 12:13Speaker 2: nobody had Metcalf. So either way. congrats on his son's
- 12:16Speaker 2: youtube love.
- 12:17Speaker 1: That that's awesome but that's the that's you know prime
- 12:19Speaker 1: example right there people see oh bernard's the the go-to
- 12:22Speaker 1: popular play on the slate i don't want to play
- 12:25Speaker 1: him i'm going to find somebody else like you got
- 12:27Speaker 1: to dig deeper into these things and we talked about
- 12:29Speaker 1: it on the show like you aaron rogers been in
- 12:31Speaker 1: the nfl for what 20 some years i mean and
- 12:35Speaker 1: what's the one thing he always finds these little gadgety
- 12:38Speaker 1: guys and he'll just go to him and go to
- 12:41Speaker 1: him and go to him we talked about on the
- 12:42Speaker 1: show what did he do yesterday He just went to
- 12:45Speaker 1: him and he went to him and he kept going
- 12:46Speaker 1: to him and he had this massive game. So it's like, man,
- 12:50Speaker 1: like you got to dig into all these little situations
- 12:54Speaker 1: and see what's right and wrong. It's a hell of
- 12:57Speaker 1: a game. Yeah.
- 12:58Speaker 2: Fun game we play. I like this one from two
- 12:59Speaker 2: tunes in the Olympics. The silver medalist is often more
- 13:02Speaker 2: discounted than the bronze medals because silver thinks how close
- 13:05Speaker 2: they were to gold. But bronze just thinks like I
- 13:07Speaker 2: made the podium. Thank God. Like I've got something out
- 13:11Speaker 2: of this.
- 13:11Speaker 3: Right.
- 13:12Speaker 2: It's crazy. The difference that I mean, I'm sure there's
- 13:14Speaker 2: some bronze medal winners out there that are still thinking
- 13:16Speaker 2: about that one thing that happened that could have went
- 13:19Speaker 2: their way and they get to the top. But certainly
- 13:20Speaker 2: a good point for sure.
- 13:21Speaker 3: So.
- 13:22Speaker 2: All right, Hoop, give us your grand scheme overview for
- 13:24Speaker 2: this one. We got the Commanders at the 49ers. I'll
- 13:29Speaker 2: bring it up on DFSOS.com just so we can have
- 13:31Speaker 2: the news. If you guys want to check it out,
- 13:33Speaker 2: go to DFSOS.com, use code SHIPIT. But we will get
- 13:36Speaker 2: the latest news on pretty much everyone, but you can
- 13:39Speaker 2: start it off. We got Evans, right, who we're expecting
- 13:42Speaker 2: to play. Schefter was just on an interview recently and
- 13:44Speaker 2: said that. Who else are we waiting on?
- 13:46Speaker 1: Diggs?
- 13:47Speaker 2: I think we're good.
- 13:48Speaker 1: Evans and digs are definitely the big one. I expect
- 13:50Speaker 1: Evans to play dig seems more, yeah, more questionable, but
- 13:55Speaker 1: everyone kind of has him projected in. So, you know,
- 13:58Speaker 1: probably at this point, you know, assume that they're both in.
- 14:01Speaker 1: And then if anything changes, we'd make the adjustments, but
- 14:04Speaker 1: no Crosby, Crosby, is it Crosby merit?
- 14:08Speaker 2: Is that Bill?
- 14:10Speaker 1: We'll just call him. Bill is out. So that opens
- 14:14Speaker 1: up some opportunity, obviously for Rashad white. And Austin Eckler
- 14:18Speaker 1: is back in our lives. Not the same Austin Eckler
- 14:20Speaker 1: as years ago, but he is he's playing tonight and
- 14:23Speaker 1: he'll have a role and he has a legitimate projection
- 14:26Speaker 1: on the slate. So, you know, just looking at it's
- 14:29Speaker 1: to like pass catching backs are the primary guys for
- 14:33Speaker 1: the commanders tonight, which is definitely interesting. The 49ers look
- 14:38Speaker 1: like what probably the best team in the NFL. I mean,
- 14:41Speaker 1: there's some other ones there. The Chiefs are up there,
- 14:42Speaker 1: but the 49ers been steady. And it's their, you know,
- 14:46Speaker 1: main core of guys, you know, you got McCaffrey, Purdy, Evans, Kittle.
- 14:51Speaker 1: It just adds, it just seems like a very stable situation,
- 14:54Speaker 1: the 49ers offense. So, you know, in terms of DFS, like,
- 15:00Speaker 1: I think it's, I think it's a good one, a
- 15:01Speaker 1: lot of different ways to go. And the one thing that,
- 15:04Speaker 1: you know, has me excited is the two pass catching backs,
- 15:07Speaker 1: you know, the primary running back is going to be
- 15:10Speaker 1: Rashad White for, the commanders, and he's primarily a pass-catching guy.
- 15:15Speaker 1: So I think that is an interesting dynamic for the slate,
- 15:19Speaker 1: not only for him, but for Jaden Daniels. You have
- 15:22Speaker 1: Jaden Daniels, that quarterback who came back, he's got the
- 15:25Speaker 1: elbow thing, ran the ball nine times. I know that
- 15:27Speaker 1: was an overtime game against the Giants, but to see
- 15:31Speaker 1: him out running is good. And then it really doesn't
- 15:34Speaker 1: have a running back that he can hand it off
- 15:37Speaker 1: to 20 times. So I think boost Jaden Daniels as well,
- 15:41Speaker 1: overall in terms of what we can expect from him tonight.
- 15:44Speaker 1: He's got a pass catch, you know, a couple of
- 15:46Speaker 1: pass catching running backs. He ran it nine times. Like
- 15:49Speaker 1: he's a guy that could have a big game. He
- 15:51Speaker 1: had him, you know, his best game in probably two
- 15:53Speaker 1: seasons last time out. Again, it was overtime, but I
- 15:56Speaker 1: think he was there before overtime anyway. It really, I
- 15:58Speaker 1: don't think really the overtime situation boosted him all that much.
- 16:02Speaker 1: I think we have a, A pretty interesting game. You know,
- 16:05Speaker 1: the 49ers down, you know, a lot of wide receivers.
- 16:08Speaker 1: So you have to imagine it's going to be a
- 16:10Speaker 1: lot of McCaffrey, a lot of Evans, a lot of Kittle.
- 16:14Speaker 1: And who'd they bring in? Yeah, Brandon Cooks back, 4K flat.
- 16:17Speaker 1: So it's a dynamic slate. It's an interesting one.
- 16:21Speaker 2: Another piece of news that's still not even fully out
- 16:23Speaker 2: and updated yet, but it just came out that I
- 16:25Speaker 2: saw on the, like, Google News or whatever you look
- 16:28Speaker 2: it up. They do have Christian Kirk likely to play now.
- 16:32Speaker 2: So before I wasn't thinking that was going to be
- 16:34Speaker 2: the case, he's still an IR tag on DraftKings at 3K.
- 16:37Speaker 2: But I think a lot of people are hoping for
- 16:39Speaker 2: Brandon Cook's night or cowing or whoever they're cheering for.
- 16:42Speaker 2: This could be the case as well. So we'll wait
- 16:44Speaker 2: and see. But yeah, we'll know probably till lock to
- 16:47Speaker 2: see if he's activated anyway or till inactives come out
- 16:50Speaker 2: or whatever to see what happens with that. But he's
- 16:52Speaker 2: been on the off the 21 day list or whatever
- 16:56Speaker 2: since Thursday. And now it sounds like they could need
- 16:58Speaker 2: him tonight. So we'll have to wait and see. But Title,
- 17:01Speaker 2: anything you want to add there to any of this
- 17:02Speaker 2: stuff before we hop into the captains?
- 17:04Speaker 3: Yeah, I definitely would not build teams right now. Like
- 17:07Speaker 3: Jeremy McNichols, stone minimum, probably going to be up to
- 17:11Speaker 3: the active roster behind Eckler and Rashad White. Probably gets
- 17:14Speaker 3: a couple snaps. Yeah, like you said with Christian Kirk.
- 17:17Speaker 3: I mean, right now on DraftKings for receiving yards, all
- 17:20Speaker 3: they have on the 49ers side is Kittle, Evans, and McCaffrey.
- 17:23Speaker 3: No one else. Because they don't really know what's going
- 17:25Speaker 3: to go on right now. So see who's active. If
- 17:28Speaker 3: there's any more coach speak that comes up, about it
- 17:30Speaker 3: the nice thing is on the 49ers side outside of
- 17:33Speaker 3: Evans like all those wide receivers are really cheap so
- 17:36Speaker 3: if you have a lean there use check will also
- 17:37Speaker 3: be back today for the 49ers yeah I think it's
- 17:41Speaker 3: a slate you can leave a decent amount of money
- 17:43Speaker 3: though you obviously have Jaden Daniels and Christian McCaffrey Purdy
- 17:48Speaker 3: but and like Mike Evans Terry McLaurin can Antonio Williams
- 17:51Speaker 3: outscore them in a vacuum maybe George Kittle also up
- 17:55Speaker 3: there but I think there's enough value with guys that
- 17:56Speaker 3: are going to be on the field mixing around that
- 17:58Speaker 3: you can't leave a little bit of money And then, yeah,
- 18:01Speaker 3: Keelan Black. Like in closer games, McCaffrey's got a bulk
- 18:05Speaker 3: of the work. If it's 7, 14, 21 that the
- 18:09Speaker 3: Niners are up, I do expect to see a little
- 18:11Speaker 3: more Black there. So I think that's interesting as well.
- 18:14Speaker 3: A lot of different options at running back today on
- 18:16Speaker 3: both sides.
- 18:17Speaker 2: Great slate if you want to try and win all
- 18:18Speaker 2: the money. Just you might need a lot of different
- 18:20Speaker 2: lineups and outs to be able to get there. But, man,
- 18:22Speaker 2: it's like this is wild. By the way, did you
- 18:26Speaker 2: meet Eckler when we were in Vegas yesterday?
- 18:28Speaker 3: No, I didn't. You guys did right before.
- 18:30Speaker 2: What's that?
- 18:32Speaker 3: You guys did it right before I got there. You
- 18:33Speaker 3: sent the picture. I didn't see him, but I know
- 18:35Speaker 3: big Marley did.
- 18:36Speaker 2: Yeah. Big Marley got a picture with them. Our buddy
- 18:40Speaker 2: stat got a picture with them as well. It came
- 18:42Speaker 2: off the elevator and buddy was just right there. And
- 18:43Speaker 2: it was so from the booth to the backfield, he's
- 18:45Speaker 2: back in the mix. We got Eckler rolling through.
- 18:47Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 18:48Speaker 2: Like you said, McNichols is something else to think about
- 18:50Speaker 2: when we get there, but yeah, Hoop, I'll start with
- 18:53Speaker 2: you on the captains. I guess like title said, when
- 18:56Speaker 2: you think about this slate and when you're going to build,
- 18:58Speaker 2: we got to wait in actives, but I think the
- 19:00Speaker 2: captain conversation can still be had in a pretty solid
- 19:03Speaker 2: way here because it's also like being declared George Kittle day.
- 19:07Speaker 2: I've seen a couple of different times, whether Evans plays
- 19:09Speaker 2: or doesn't, that probably just would push them up. even
- 19:11Speaker 2: more didn't we have a slate like this last year
- 19:13Speaker 2: where kittle was 8k and everyone's like oh he's too
- 19:15Speaker 2: cheap it's way too cheap for george kittle and he
- 19:17Speaker 2: just got boosted to some massive captain ownership and then
- 19:20Speaker 2: didn't play well at all so anything could happen it's
- 19:22Speaker 2: totally new slate but give us your thoughts at captain hoop.
- 19:26Speaker 1: Uh yeah so for me when i when i look
- 19:28Speaker 1: at this you know their slates were all really consolidated
- 19:32Speaker 1: condense it only pick a few guys probably a slate
- 19:36Speaker 1: and again a lot of this could change like title
- 19:38Speaker 1: was saying depending on what we get with the the news,
- 19:41Speaker 1: but as of now, I plan to spread it out
- 19:44Speaker 1: quite a bit. like I'm open to a lot of
- 19:45Speaker 1: these guys up top like if play you know if
- 19:49Speaker 1: you're building multiple lineups like I would want exposure to
- 19:52Speaker 1: all the main Sam Fran guys they all have the
- 19:54Speaker 1: ability to just absolutely go off and be the guy
- 19:58Speaker 1: you need up top Purdy, McCaffrey, Evans, Kittle uh good
- 20:03Speaker 1: with all of them um you know I'd Personally, I
- 20:06Speaker 1: think I like Purdy the best, and he's going to
- 20:08Speaker 1: get some ownership, but he's looked so damn good this year,
- 20:11Speaker 1: like so, so, so good. And their team has looked good.
- 20:16Speaker 1: Their projectors scored a lot of points. So he's probably
- 20:20Speaker 1: my favorite right now. I do agree with the Kittle stuff.
- 20:23Speaker 1: I love Kittle here, especially with them banged up at
- 20:26Speaker 1: wide receiver. Kittle's looked great, and it seems like a
- 20:31Speaker 1: big primetime guy gets up for these primetime game. So
- 20:35Speaker 1: I'm good with him. I think Evans with the questionable
- 20:38Speaker 1: tag has a chance to maybe come down a little
- 20:41Speaker 1: bit in ownership, which would be good because when he plays,
- 20:43Speaker 1: I mean, he typically, as long as he stays healthy
- 20:45Speaker 1: during the game, because he has been known to leave games,
- 20:47Speaker 1: like he's, he's still got it. And that's been very
- 20:51Speaker 1: evident this season. And then Christian McCaffrey, if he's going
- 20:54Speaker 1: to be the most popular, he's probably the one I'm
- 20:57Speaker 1: least excited about just because they're doing the right thing
- 21:01Speaker 1: with them and, and not, always giving him this full,
- 21:05Speaker 1: massive workload. I mean, the workload has been so smart.
- 21:09Speaker 1: I mean, honestly, like I respect the hell out of
- 21:11Speaker 1: the 49ers for doing this because it's got to be
- 21:13Speaker 1: hard to do. But last week, 11 carries, three receptions,
- 21:19Speaker 1: 15 for three the week before, 15 for four. It
- 21:23Speaker 1: appears that the limit for him is like 20 touches
- 21:26Speaker 1: a game. And the reason he has been so valuable
- 21:29Speaker 1: in fantasy over the last few years is the volume.
- 21:32Speaker 1: Like they would give him like 30 touches. Well, if
- 21:34Speaker 1: he's going to get 20 or below, definitely less appealing
- 21:38Speaker 1: for sure. So if he's going to be the most popular,
- 21:41Speaker 1: he's probably my least favorite of the main 49er guys,
- 21:45Speaker 1: like of the Purdy's, the Mike Evans and the Kittles
- 21:48Speaker 1: of the world on the Washington side. You know, definitely
- 21:53Speaker 1: want some Jaden Daniels. Like I talked about not having
- 21:56Speaker 1: a true running back that he can hand it off
- 21:58Speaker 1: to 20 times. You know, both the main running backs
- 22:01Speaker 1: are going to be past catching primary running backs. So,
- 22:05Speaker 1: you know, factor that with the nine rush attempts last
- 22:09Speaker 1: time out. I really like Daniels up top. I'd be
- 22:13Speaker 1: fine getting some scary Terry up there. So I like
- 22:16Speaker 1: all the main guys again, you know, just, kind of
- 22:21Speaker 1: going through and seeing if there's any cheaper guys. I
- 22:23Speaker 1: don't necessarily think I love the cheap guys. I'd be
- 22:26Speaker 1: fine with Rashad White. We're showing what sort of– we're
- 22:31Speaker 1: showing like 8% ownership for Rashad White. But if he
- 22:35Speaker 1: finds the box, if he scores a touchdown, he's a
- 22:39Speaker 1: guy that could definitely pick up four or five catches
- 22:40Speaker 1: and go along with it. So if he gets a touchdown,
- 22:43Speaker 1: five catches, you're already sitting at 11 fantasy points. for
- 22:47Speaker 1: a guy that's 6,600, you know, 50 yards. Now you're
- 22:50Speaker 1: almost at, you know, 16, 17 range. I think what
- 22:54Speaker 1: white is a guy to consider as well. So probably
- 22:57Speaker 1: stick them with all those main guys. I'll likely get
- 22:59Speaker 1: exposure to everyone. But like I said, the one I'm
- 23:03Speaker 1: least excited about is definitely Christian McCaffrey, just because of
- 23:05Speaker 1: the limited workload, which is smart. They're five and oh,
- 23:08Speaker 1: they're rolling right now. I have to imagine that continues
- 23:11Speaker 1: on and I don't see any reason to change it.
- 23:13Speaker 1: So it's kind of my initial thoughts, but it'll be
- 23:15Speaker 1: more of a, spread it out sort of night for
- 23:18Speaker 1: me opposed to nailing down a few guys a couple.
- 23:21Speaker 2: A couple good ones here we got the dad crew
- 23:22Speaker 2: so a good dad joke brock been pretty good over
- 23:26Speaker 2: here we'll see yeah that's a good one.
- 23:28Speaker 1: Ross we gotta say actually his title not now that
- 23:30Speaker 1: you are officially a father you're more into the are
- 23:32Speaker 1: you more into the dad jokes or still just too.
- 23:35Speaker 3: My kids still can't even talk so like i gotta
- 23:37Speaker 3: wait yeah.
- 23:39Speaker 1: But it's just just the fact that you are a
- 23:41Speaker 1: father you start to It just happens as soon as
- 23:44Speaker 1: you're a father. It doesn't matter.
- 23:46Speaker 3: It hasn't happened yet.
- 23:48Speaker 1: I guess.
- 23:49Speaker 2: You know what, though? You can't even really read the
- 23:51Speaker 2: cursive on that hat, so it says the Dad Club Collective.
- 23:54Speaker 3: Yeah. Got good eyes.
- 23:57Speaker 2: You guys got to know. That's where I'm getting this from.
- 23:59Speaker 2: I can't come up with that in the shower title.
- 24:02Speaker 3: That one you can't.
- 24:04Speaker 2: I don't know what hat you're going to wear.
- 24:05Speaker 3: That one you can't.
- 24:07Speaker 2: We got the Dag Club here. Yeah, you got that? Okay,
- 24:09Speaker 2: we got it. Another one is CMC Sneaky. Right now,
- 24:13Speaker 2: he's showing as the top captain. So we'll see. Now, look,
- 24:16Speaker 2: people are a little gun-shy right now, even though I
- 24:18Speaker 2: think everyone expects Evans to play, and I think he does.
- 24:21Speaker 2: I still think that's capping his ownership just a little bit,
- 24:24Speaker 2: where it may not be correct. Meaning, once it's clear
- 24:27Speaker 2: and he's good to go, as everyone expects... Everyone just
- 24:29Speaker 2: wants that leeway to say, oh, now I'm good to go,
- 24:32Speaker 2: even though I feel like you're good right now anyway.
- 24:34Speaker 2: So we'll see. It is Mike Evans. He also could
- 24:36Speaker 2: come back on the field and go right back off again,
- 24:38Speaker 2: the way he does stuff some games. But title, I'll
- 24:40Speaker 2: kick it over to you. I want to talk about
- 24:43Speaker 2: captain because when you have a slate like this, with
- 24:47Speaker 2: so many guys we said, and whoever it ends up being.
- 24:49Speaker 1: Okay.
- 24:50Speaker 2: Somebody says it, Brandon cooks night. We don't know if
- 24:52Speaker 2: Christian Kirk plays. I mean, he should be the slot
- 24:54Speaker 2: guy for Debo, but if Christian Kirk plays, maybe they
- 24:56Speaker 2: use him more and it cuts into cooks, but it
- 24:58Speaker 2: still could be cooked. So my point would be these
- 25:02Speaker 2: guys we're talking about are cowing 2,200, 3k for Kirk
- 25:06Speaker 2: 4k for, um, cooks on the other side, Antonio Williams, 4,200
- 25:10Speaker 2: Berks 32, like waiting on digs news, all this stuff.
- 25:13Speaker 2: you are going to have to get captain, right? I
- 25:15Speaker 2: know that sounds so obvious. I'm just saying, but you
- 25:17Speaker 2: got to be thinking about that when you're building it.
- 25:19Speaker 2: It's not like there's such a massive gap. We don't
- 25:22Speaker 2: have a B genre at Gibbs or some high price
- 25:24Speaker 2: up top and ownership. It's, it's going to be spread
- 25:27Speaker 2: out once we get to lock and you can kind
- 25:29Speaker 2: of play whatever you want. You need that best captain
- 25:31Speaker 2: on the slate. Yeah.
- 25:33Speaker 3: And that's why I think right now I'm kind of
- 25:35Speaker 3: more condensed. I think it's mainly five guys for me.
- 25:39Speaker 3: The two on the, on Washington is Jaden Daniels and
- 25:42Speaker 3: then Rashad white. Jaden Daniels looked great last week. Man,
- 25:45Speaker 3: he still has that burst and willingness to run. In
- 25:48Speaker 3: any game script, they could be down 14. They could
- 25:50Speaker 3: be down 20. He can be up at captain. You
- 25:53Speaker 3: can play him in so many different ways, which is
- 25:55Speaker 3: the appealing part of him. You can play Jaden Daniels'
- 25:59Speaker 3: captain with just one pass catcher and then four San
- 26:02Speaker 3: Fran people, two-four, and he can rush two touchdowns that way.
- 26:06Speaker 3: Rashad White, mainly just because he's the cheapest of the ones.
- 26:10Speaker 3: When I get to the Niners, Purdy, CMC Mike Evans
- 26:13Speaker 3: kid like I'm not getting really contrarian there so he's
- 26:17Speaker 3: 6600 at flex 9900 captain that's a good discount from
- 26:21Speaker 3: the other guys that I'm playing which is the main
- 26:23Speaker 3: appeal for him but also kind of game script it
- 26:25Speaker 3: doesn't matter if they're down 14 he's going to be
- 26:27Speaker 3: on the field he can catch passes out of the
- 26:29Speaker 3: backfield um his touchdown prop is let's see plus 110
- 26:34Speaker 3: which is the best on on um on the commanders
- 26:38Speaker 3: Terry plus 215 Jaden plus 225 It's just too cheap
- 26:43Speaker 3: for his role, I think, or at least his expected role.
- 26:45Speaker 3: I don't know how much they're going to roll out
- 26:47Speaker 3: Austin Eckler more than last week, but still has to
- 26:50Speaker 3: be capped. And then McNichols. So I think Rashad White
- 26:53Speaker 3: finally gets a great role, can catch the ball, can
- 26:57Speaker 3: get a touchdown. Great price. So I'm going to play
- 26:59Speaker 3: some of him at captain. And then, yeah, for the
- 27:01Speaker 3: Niners stuff, CMC is just a monster. He can get
- 27:04Speaker 3: it done in so many ways. Seven net point favorites
- 27:06Speaker 3: looks really good for him. 40, his receiving yards, over 40,
- 27:10Speaker 3: like he's favored to have. They're just going to dump
- 27:12Speaker 3: it and check it down to him a lot. Minus
- 27:15Speaker 3: 270 to score in a tier of his own. I'm
- 27:17Speaker 3: definitely playing a bunch of him. Kittle, Mike Evans. I
- 27:20Speaker 3: do think Mike Evans probably goes back in ownership due
- 27:24Speaker 3: to the game time decision, the scare and all that.
- 27:26Speaker 3: He was banged up. I mean, he's always banged up.
- 27:28Speaker 3: But last week, he had 29 DraftKings points. They just
- 27:31Speaker 3: continued to pepper Mike Evans, even if he's not 100%.
- 27:35Speaker 3: If he's out there, Purdy loves him. And I'm definitely
- 27:39Speaker 3: have interest at 9,600. I don't like that 9% we
- 27:42Speaker 3: have could be like 7% or something. Kittle, I think,
- 27:45Speaker 3: is a monster as well. Purdy is the one where
- 27:48Speaker 3: like if he's captain, it feels like what? He throws
- 27:51Speaker 3: one to McCaffrey, throws one to Kittle or Evans and
- 27:54Speaker 3: then like a random. And he definitely can spread it out.
- 27:56Speaker 3: But if like if it was last week, it's Mike
- 27:59Speaker 3: Evans on the winner. McCaffrey on his days, it's McCaffrey
- 28:03Speaker 3: on the winner. I'm curious to hear your guys take
- 28:05Speaker 3: on the Purdy stuff because he's played great and I
- 28:07Speaker 3: like him. But then it's like, man, 19% owned. That's a,
- 28:11Speaker 3: I prefer CMC.
- 28:12Speaker 2: I don't fully believe it just yet. And I don't
- 28:14Speaker 2: know if I fully agree on the big Mike stuff
- 28:16Speaker 2: yet either. You could be very well, very well be right.
- 28:19Speaker 2: I just think like, man, the Q tag always holds
- 28:22Speaker 2: people off until it doesn't. And when, when people start
- 28:25Speaker 2: hearing about Kittle steaming and by the time we get
- 28:27Speaker 2: to lock, they're like, you know what? Why would I
- 28:29Speaker 2: play Kittle for 12, three? And I can just move
- 28:31Speaker 2: some of those shares to big Mike. He had 30
- 28:33Speaker 2: points last week almost or something. I just, but then
- 28:35Speaker 2: that pulls from Purdy. It's all interconnected. I'm just saying,
- 28:38Speaker 2: I think you're, You're right. Where do you.
- 28:40Speaker 3: Think it goes? You think Purdy goes back?
- 28:42Speaker 2: I think Purdy comes back for sure.
- 28:44Speaker 3: I could see McCaffrey going up a little bit. I mean,
- 28:48Speaker 3: he is 11-8. It is the big price. People like
- 28:50Speaker 3: to click it.
- 28:51Speaker 2: I'm just thinking about the sentiment right now, even in chat.
- 28:53Speaker 2: People are already asking, would CMC be good leverage? Could
- 28:58Speaker 2: CMC be sneaky? I don't know if people are following
- 29:00Speaker 2: it to say he's actually going to be owned. So
- 29:03Speaker 2: it's really, really tricky. to get it right on the
- 29:06Speaker 2: ownership percentages tonight without knowing all this stuff. But I'm
- 29:09Speaker 2: just trying to think about like human psychology and sentiment
- 29:11Speaker 2: around that. I think we're here. All I'm hearing at
- 29:15Speaker 2: least and seeing on X and posted and all this
- 29:17Speaker 2: stuff is kiddo, kiddo, kiddo, kiddo, like everything about kiddo,
- 29:21Speaker 2: because he gets even better if somehow big Mike was
- 29:23Speaker 2: out and he's already in a great matchup and Washington
- 29:26Speaker 2: gives it up to tight ends. And he's only 12,
- 29:27Speaker 2: three up top and gets you everything you want. So
- 29:31Speaker 2: I do feel like he's coming up some, it could
- 29:33Speaker 2: be at the expense of big Mike, But it could
- 29:35Speaker 2: be both of them at the expense a little bit
- 29:38Speaker 2: of Purdy first and then potentially. just mcafree stays where
- 29:41Speaker 2: he is because he still projects well and he's going
- 29:44Speaker 2: to be up there no matter what i think.
- 29:46Speaker 1: Go ahead go ahead let's say one other name i
- 29:50Speaker 1: wanted to throw in the mix uh was a chig
- 29:53Speaker 1: if if digs is out i mean six targets uh
- 29:56Speaker 1: last game like he's got multiple touchdown upside he could
- 29:59Speaker 1: get six for 70 and a touchdown and he is
- 30:04Speaker 1: i mean what's the the price is very very cheap
- 30:08Speaker 1: he is 4600 up top yeah 69 up top like
- 30:12Speaker 1: uh he could be you know wide receiver to him
- 30:14Speaker 1: and antonio williams so like if digs is out i
- 30:18Speaker 1: i would expand it a little bit to some of
- 30:19Speaker 1: those cheap commanders guys maybe playing from behind as well.
- 30:24Speaker 2: Go ahead title what'd you have.
- 30:25Speaker 3: I was just gonna ask uh And I have no
- 30:28Speaker 3: clue what the answer is. Those people that you see
- 30:30Speaker 3: on Twitter that are talking, it feels like so many
- 30:33Speaker 3: of those are best ball people or people that just
- 30:36Speaker 3: like to just make their names known. How many 150-maxers
- 30:39Speaker 3: and stuff do you think care at all? How many
- 30:41Speaker 3: people are 150-max?
- 30:43Speaker 2: Not very many. Yeah. Good point there. I think, though,
- 30:46Speaker 2: the critical piece of that, though, is– nobody and that's
- 30:50Speaker 2: like i said that from the human psychology perspective nobody
- 30:52Speaker 2: likes um confirmation bias more than like somebody just like
- 30:57Speaker 2: they're looking for it from anywhere so it doesn't matter
- 30:59Speaker 2: that it's actually a best ball conversation or a i
- 31:02Speaker 2: talk about it but i don't actually ever play one
- 31:05Speaker 2: thing you won't ever have a problem with at shiva
- 31:06Speaker 2: nation we all play the game we talk about but
- 31:08Speaker 2: just other places are not like that but i'm saying
- 31:10Speaker 2: i i do think the thought process around that is
- 31:13Speaker 2: just there's a bit more safety factor to Kittle tonight
- 31:16Speaker 2: because he's in a great spot no matter what and
- 31:19Speaker 2: affordable at 12-3. He's not 14-4 like Mike or 16-17
- 31:23Speaker 2: like Purdy and those guys, 15 like Daniels. He's only 12-3.
- 31:27Speaker 2: But then what if somehow there's more, like the GTD
- 31:30Speaker 2: just goes on and on and on all day and
- 31:32Speaker 2: we don't get anything until inactives, then people probably stay
- 31:35Speaker 2: down on Big Mike. That's the difference.
- 31:37Speaker 3: Yeah, I do agree. I do think Big Mike stays...
- 31:40Speaker 3: stays or if anything goes back a little bit after that.
- 31:43Speaker 2: It's tough speaking of uh the lineups last night we
- 31:45Speaker 2: had two people split the the prize up top and
- 31:49Speaker 2: the 1v1 in the everybody that finished third lineup was
- 31:55Speaker 2: pickens for dac and by the way that's a lamb
- 31:58Speaker 2: captain so it was lamb captain it was pickens florinoy
- 32:04Speaker 2: and then it was love golden and pierre strong and the.
- 32:09Speaker 3: One golden the captain No surprise. Lamb was captain on the,
- 32:14Speaker 3: on the optimal yesterday.
- 32:15Speaker 2: Crazy man.
- 32:16Speaker 3: Wow.
- 32:18Speaker 2: Yeah. We checked it earlier. I couldn't, I was thinking
- 32:20Speaker 2: the same. I was like, forget the news of that.
- 32:22Speaker 2: Like nobody played a quarterback in. And obviously that's why
- 32:24Speaker 2: two people shipped it as opposed to.
- 32:27Speaker 3: I mean, golden could add 95 points. Holy moly.
- 32:30Speaker 2: That was, he was, he was my, my best guy
- 32:32Speaker 2: last night that didn't come through in the end for
- 32:35Speaker 2: what we needed.
- 32:35Speaker 1: But it needs a nades pep talk to get in
- 32:38Speaker 1: and get him going.
- 32:40Speaker 3: You need something. And then Christian Watson too. I mean,
- 32:42Speaker 3: I know that was deflected a bit, but.
- 32:44Speaker 2: I know totally, but people ask this cause like, again,
- 32:46Speaker 2: it goes back to the theory and we're talking about
- 32:48Speaker 2: captains right now and the way it can all work.
- 32:49Speaker 2: Like look at the points Golden scored. But when you
- 32:53Speaker 2: have Flournoy and Strong, it's like conditional ownership that Blickle
- 32:57Speaker 2: and I will talk about sometimes. Once you put those
- 32:58Speaker 2: two cheapies into the lineup together and they both do
- 33:01Speaker 2: enough on that late Flournoy touchdown or whatever, well, those
- 33:06Speaker 2: lineups just more likely have Lamb in the captain. He
- 33:08Speaker 2: did just enough. But 48.4K with a Lamb captain and
- 33:13Speaker 2: Pickens in the flex, as opposed to 50K flat with
- 33:18Speaker 2: Lamb captain and Prescott in the flex, all the rest
- 33:21Speaker 2: is the same.
- 33:22Speaker 3: When you win, how much do you win? That's what
- 33:24Speaker 3: we talk about.
- 33:25Speaker 2: Crazy, right? That's what people are talking about. It was
- 33:28Speaker 2: actually funny too, side note, but just if you guys
- 33:30Speaker 2: saw it, did you see the $ 20 Millie maker winner
- 33:32Speaker 2: yesterday had pennix naked?
- 33:34Speaker 3: Yeah, naked.
- 33:35Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 33:36Speaker 2: So I never, we don't, this is the fun and
- 33:38Speaker 2: takedown breakdown and going through it all. But the lineup
- 33:40Speaker 2: everyone thinks he should have is with Jameis, right? Because
- 33:43Speaker 2: you've already got Neighbors and Likely in there. Like, why
- 33:45Speaker 2: would you not just have Jameis and you have Penix?
- 33:47Speaker 2: And so everyone says that and talks about it. Again,
- 33:50Speaker 2: like you said, Tyne, a lot of people talk about it,
- 33:52Speaker 2: but they ain't about it. They don't actually play, so
- 33:53Speaker 2: they're just commenting on shit. You go look in his portfolio.
- 33:57Speaker 2: He only played 17 lineups, and his second best lineup
- 34:00Speaker 2: was the flip-flop from Penix and Chiefstee, which won him
- 34:04Speaker 2: all the money. to Winston and Patriots D, which was
- 34:08Speaker 2: the perfect 1v1, $ 100 up, $ 100 down. He played the
- 34:12Speaker 2: lineup everyone's bitching at that he should have played. Could
- 34:15Speaker 2: have played. Couldn't have got Chiefs D into it. But
- 34:18Speaker 2: because they only see the winner up top with Penn State.
- 34:20Speaker 1: I just love how people are so critical of winning
- 34:23Speaker 1: lineups and like, oh, well, you played an early guy
- 34:28Speaker 1: in the flex. Well, guess what? The guy doesn't give
- 34:30Speaker 1: a fuck because he won a million dollars.
- 34:31Speaker 3: All right?
- 34:31Speaker 1: How about that? How about that? Exactly.
- 34:35Speaker 3: You know all about that.
- 34:36Speaker 1: Yeah, I used to never do that shit. Now I
- 34:38Speaker 1: do it because I don't care. I'm not going to
- 34:39Speaker 1: go– I'm usually not late swapping. I just build teams
- 34:42Speaker 1: and let them roll for the most part.
- 34:43Speaker 3: You know about winning a milli too and people critiquing
- 34:46Speaker 3: your lineup.
- 34:46Speaker 1: It's fine. Yeah, I played too many guys in one game. Well,
- 34:50Speaker 1: guess what? They scored 90 fucking points in the game.
- 34:52Speaker 1: Of course you needed all those dudes.
- 34:55Speaker 2: What was Hoop's criticism though?
- 34:56Speaker 1: The 3-4?
- 34:57Speaker 3: 3-4? Yeah, just you play too many in one game.
- 35:00Speaker 2: You play four from one side and not their quarterback,
- 35:03Speaker 2: but three from the other. By the way, I don't
- 35:05Speaker 2: know titles. You know this guy's name is Dave Alpha.
- 35:08Speaker 2: So he's a poker pro. I think his X account
- 35:11Speaker 2: says he has like 10 bracelets and one ring. His
- 35:13Speaker 2: hand in mob is like two milli. Like he's up there.
- 35:16Speaker 2: Who knows what ones he won and whatnot. But anyway,
- 35:19Speaker 2: it's his username. So I'm not really outing him. It's
- 35:21Speaker 2: his damn name on there. But he won the 555
- 35:24Speaker 2: milli with two entries. he played Jeremy Bernard versus the
- 35:30Speaker 2: Bucks D. And then in the other lineup, he hand
- 35:33Speaker 2: built to say, it looks like a hand build. His
- 35:34Speaker 2: second one, he played Kendrick Bourne for Jeremy Bernard, which
- 35:39Speaker 2: the reason that's interesting is like he played the same
- 35:42Speaker 2: lineup and just swapped the one V one. He ended
- 35:43Speaker 2: up winning the Millie, but he jams this lineup. He
- 35:46Speaker 2: picks one of them. And he jams it in the
- 35:48Speaker 2: luxury box. The $ 100 single entry plays one in the
- 35:52Speaker 2: five max with power sweep. It's a five max, plays
- 35:55Speaker 2: one for 100K up top. Doesn't even play them both
- 35:57Speaker 2: in everything else. Just plays them everywhere. Wins 1.6 million
- 36:01Speaker 2: and a live final seat on top. of the 1.6
- 36:04Speaker 2: million total and the lineup he chose of the two
- 36:07Speaker 2: was the one with jeremy versus his defense as opposed
- 36:10Speaker 2: to born not thinking who gives a shit my point
- 36:12Speaker 2: especially on a guy like jeremy but think about when
- 36:14Speaker 2: you are picking one to go everywhere you only have
- 36:17Speaker 2: two you'd think they'd pick the other one it was
- 36:19Speaker 2: the difference in an additional 600k and a live final
- 36:22Speaker 2: seat just a hell of a day so so cool.
- 36:24Speaker 3: He's got to be waking up feeling like the king
- 36:26Speaker 3: i mean in showdown the guy that would one of
- 36:28Speaker 3: those two chops he also shipped the 333 uh solo
- 36:30Speaker 3: for 100k too I'm assuming you're buying PGM, right? I
- 36:36Speaker 3: think so, yeah, with the same exact lineup.
- 36:38Speaker 2: He's been around forever, crushing all different sports, but very– I.
- 36:41Speaker 3: Mean, no wonder why somebody lost money because a couple
- 36:45Speaker 3: people won all the cheese.
- 36:46Speaker 1: Yeah. It's not– Yeah, the math is pretty easy to
- 36:52Speaker 1: figure out after that.
- 36:54Speaker 3: Yeah, waking up and, yeah, you feel like the freaking man.
- 36:57Speaker 3: You are the man. Good for them.
- 36:59Speaker 2: Nobody wants shiz. Yeah, well, because I want all of it.
- 37:02Speaker 2: That's why. Definitely. Yeah, there's crazy stuff happens down the stretch,
- 37:07Speaker 2: but we'll keep it moving. I'll say just quickly here,
- 37:09Speaker 2: like one thing I like who brought it up earlier
- 37:11Speaker 2: and I just saw something with it now. was if
- 37:14Speaker 2: you are going to go with this other team, can
- 37:15Speaker 2: do stuff. Like, look, title won $ 117, 000 on the Super
- 37:19Speaker 2: Bowl a couple years ago with a worthy 2-4. Worthy captain,
- 37:23Speaker 2: another chief in the flex, and then four Eagles when
- 37:26Speaker 2: the Eagles blew him out. So he can still play
- 37:28Speaker 2: in a blowout. We saw Lamb be the captain last
- 37:30Speaker 2: night when Golden already had tons of points and could
- 37:32Speaker 2: have had even more. I think Terry McLaurin, with or
- 37:35Speaker 2: without digs, tonight is still interesting. And what I love most,
- 37:38Speaker 2: I just found it when I was naming off those
- 37:40Speaker 2: captain prices and saying like, why people like Kittle, he's
- 37:43Speaker 2: 300 bucks less than Kittle. So, and you can still
- 37:46Speaker 2: have Kittle in the flex, but it's like, he's, there's
- 37:48Speaker 2: no way that's, that's a number I feel accurate about.
- 37:50Speaker 2: If he comes in at three to 5%, there's just
- 37:53Speaker 2: no chance really. And we might even get digs out.
- 37:55Speaker 2: So we'll, we'll see on that one. But I think
- 37:58Speaker 2: that is somewhat interesting as just a differentiator. I actually
- 38:01Speaker 2: don't have a lot of interest in too much on
- 38:05Speaker 2: that side. Maybe, you know, McLaurin Daniels, just cause he's
- 38:08Speaker 2: got legs and can move, look at the stone. He
- 38:10Speaker 2: can be a captain optimal. Maybe his number stays around
- 38:13Speaker 2: what it is, but in a game where the commanders
- 38:15Speaker 2: are in it, it's just, it's not as likely based
- 38:18Speaker 2: on look at the spread, the total, all the stuff
- 38:20Speaker 2: on the other side. But I do like all the regulars.
- 38:23Speaker 2: I don't have too much different to be honest on
- 38:25Speaker 2: the 49ers. And I think like title said, I'll end
- 38:27Speaker 2: up being a little tighter at captain tonight and just
- 38:30Speaker 2: hoping to have more combinations of what is most likely
- 38:33Speaker 2: to be the right captain. If you don't know who's
- 38:36Speaker 2: most likely to be the right captain, you can use
- 38:37Speaker 2: the stone. It tells you over 10,000 simulations. who pops
- 38:41Speaker 2: up the most. And when you're like, well, but it
- 38:43Speaker 2: could be Malik Turner night. He shows a 0.1. Well,
- 38:47Speaker 2: we don't even know he's 200 bucks. And my point being,
- 38:49Speaker 2: it's just, I'm going to play the guys that we
- 38:51Speaker 2: actually think it can be. So the 49ers have like
- 38:54Speaker 2: four of those guys, maybe a fifth. If you want
- 38:56Speaker 2: to plug in one of these randoms, the other side
- 38:58Speaker 2: has one or two guys that we think, and that's
- 39:01Speaker 2: where I'm going to stick to tonight. So it looks
- 39:03Speaker 2: like a good slate just to try and stick to
- 39:05Speaker 2: that and see what happens after a title. Anything else
- 39:07Speaker 2: you want to add?
- 39:08Speaker 3: Nope.
- 39:10Speaker 2: This guy I've been in here today asking about this too, man.
- 39:13Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 39:13Speaker 2: But if it's George Kittle day, you should be in
- 39:15Speaker 2: good shape. If you got George Kittle and need 13 points,
- 39:18Speaker 2: hopefully it works out, right? A lot of people in
- 39:20Speaker 2: DFS tonight are going to be hoping that as well.
- 39:22Speaker 2: So hoop, anything else you want to add at the captain?
- 39:24Speaker 2: If not, you know, Daniels in the flex, Purdy in
- 39:28Speaker 2: the flex is going to be very popular because the
- 39:30Speaker 2: captains were pairing up top are really going with them
- 39:32Speaker 2: outside of maybe McCaffrey. And then maybe, maybe it'll be
- 39:35Speaker 2: a little lighter tonight because everyone saw people win without
- 39:37Speaker 2: Dak last night. They try and get cute. But the
- 39:40Speaker 2: one thing I will say is it was posted out
- 39:42Speaker 2: earlier since 2020, there's only been 1.29% of the time
- 39:45Speaker 2: of all the showdown winners ever. that have had a
- 39:52Speaker 2: lineup like that was last night with no, with no,
- 39:55Speaker 2: not just no quarterback in the flex that's happened. It's
- 39:57Speaker 2: about with the alpha wide receiver with two more wide
- 40:01Speaker 2: receivers in the flex and get there. It just doesn't
- 40:04Speaker 2: happen very often. So like title says, not how often
- 40:07Speaker 2: you win. It was just what you win when you are.
- 40:08Speaker 2: It's not what you win. It's not how often you win.
- 40:10Speaker 2: It's what you win when you are right. And that's
- 40:12Speaker 2: the main thing is that's what happened last night.
- 40:14Speaker 3: 162K.
- 40:14Speaker 1: How pathetic are the Cowboys? I know we've done a
- 40:16Speaker 1: lot of side talk, but just want to throw it.
- 40:19Speaker 1: They're just so pathetic. You have the absolute direct path
- 40:23Speaker 1: to winning your division. You've got a dead quarterback. I
- 40:27Speaker 1: shouldn't joke about it, but a very ill quarterback that's
- 40:29Speaker 1: out for the season and hurts. You have the Giants
- 40:33Speaker 1: lost their starting quarterback, and you have the Commanders. And
- 40:36Speaker 1: you've got the Cowboys basically fully healthy and just get
- 40:39Speaker 1: their ass kicked. Like, just such a shitty organization.
- 40:42Speaker 3: Like, it's– I mean, we could talk about just for
- 40:46Speaker 3: a split second how the Eagles let a guy on
- 40:48Speaker 3: 36 hours of staying up. I mean, if I ever
- 40:51Speaker 3: stay up for that long, I mean, I'm seeing different things.
- 40:54Speaker 3: To go out there and play an NFL game is
- 40:56Speaker 3: absolutely insane.
- 40:58Speaker 2: That is crazy. Yeah, to me it's more like the
- 41:02Speaker 2: doctors are telling you don't go to sleep because you've
- 41:05Speaker 2: got to make sure nothing happens. We're going to stick
- 41:07Speaker 2: with you or even like whatever the ruling is or
- 41:10Speaker 2: what they're saying. But then they're like, clear, good to go.
- 41:13Speaker 3: Play the game today. Like hallucinating. I mean, what are
- 41:17Speaker 3: you doing?
- 41:17Speaker 1: You get a concussion or you stand up and you're
- 41:22Speaker 1: a little wobbly. All right, done for two weeks. You
- 41:24Speaker 1: have blood clots in your lungs. Stay awake. for as
- 41:28Speaker 1: long as you can and then go play in an
- 41:30Speaker 1: NFL game. Like how asked.
- 41:32Speaker 3: In London when the time zones are already like, Oh
- 41:34Speaker 3: my gosh, I, whoever made.
- 41:36Speaker 2: That decision should be absolutely can only 24 hours sleep
- 41:41Speaker 2: because of the time change. We tried to convince him
- 41:46Speaker 2: of something totally fake, but I don't know. That's, that's
- 41:49Speaker 2: definitely wild to me. It's unfortunate for Jalen hurts, obviously
- 41:52Speaker 2: just the key to that team and everything that they do.
- 41:54Speaker 2: And just as like fun to watch when he's at his,
- 41:56Speaker 2: you know, at his highest level, it's just, that's, something
- 41:59Speaker 2: you can't be messing.
- 41:59Speaker 1: Around with yeah i wouldn't be surprised if they had
- 42:03Speaker 1: some inclination that there's something going on for you know
- 42:06Speaker 1: longer than this because they made those moves the dude
- 42:09Speaker 1: retired and then they traded the other offense like they
- 42:11Speaker 1: had in my eyes they had to have known that
- 42:14Speaker 1: there was something going on here prior to that game
- 42:18Speaker 1: because they made those moves out of nowhere like to
- 42:20Speaker 1: me that's the only thing that makes sense but who
- 42:22Speaker 1: knows if we'll ever find out.
- 42:24Speaker 2: I mean, so many, uh, today hoop that I got
- 42:28Speaker 2: to get that tinfoil hat. Did you hear about the, uh,
- 42:31Speaker 2: the Andy Dalton denied them and said, I'm just going
- 42:34Speaker 2: to stick. He must've knew about those doctors over there.
- 42:37Speaker 2: And he said, no, no, no. I messed with that.
- 42:38Speaker 2: I'll play for the Falcons instead of the Eagles. Forget this.
- 42:42Speaker 3: I'll go over there.
- 42:42Speaker 1: It's all starting to make sense. No.
- 42:45Speaker 2: Last one though.
- 42:46Speaker 3: Title.
- 42:46Speaker 2: Maybe you saw this time.
- 42:47Speaker 3: Hoop.
- 42:48Speaker 2: You probably saw it too, but you guys both being
- 42:49Speaker 2: in the survivor streets, the grandissimo.
- 42:52Speaker 3: Uh, Oh my gosh.
- 42:54Speaker 2: The 100K entry buy-in fee that was down.
- 42:58Speaker 3: The value had to be 533 or something.
- 43:03Speaker 1: 535.
- 43:03Speaker 3: 500 something.
- 43:03Speaker 2: Now, the only, it's not really fair or still right.
- 43:07Speaker 2: I'm just saying the note. He had the Rams. but
- 43:10Speaker 2: he said he was, he did come on before the
- 43:12Speaker 2: game starter. Like as the game started saying he's taking
- 43:14Speaker 2: the Rams.
- 43:15Speaker 3: I wonder if he's taking legal action. I wonder how it,
- 43:17Speaker 3: he might've got the nuts scenario. He might've been bounce
- 43:20Speaker 3: if the proxy did it right. And I was still
- 43:21Speaker 3: win a lawsuit. I don't know how, how it's all
- 43:24Speaker 3: going to go down, but something.
- 43:26Speaker 2: He won't even say though. That's pretty crazy. Like why not?
- 43:29Speaker 3: Well, that's probably because he's the probably things are going,
- 43:32Speaker 3: I mean, 535 K that's, that's not, that's there's things
- 43:36Speaker 3: going on right there. And that's the tough part about
- 43:38Speaker 3: that is, what if someone in that contest pays that
- 43:40Speaker 3: proxy 20 K to not put in the pick? Like,
- 43:44Speaker 3: I mean, you know what I'm saying? I mean, that's,
- 43:47Speaker 3: you never know what's going on. So when it's 500
- 43:49Speaker 3: something thousand, these people are smart if you're entering or
- 43:52Speaker 3: they got money. I don't know. There's probably things going
- 43:55Speaker 3: on behind the scenes right now that, that no one knows.
- 43:57Speaker 2: It's pretty wild. That was like when the, they were
- 43:59Speaker 2: doing the a hundred K circa draft and everyone saw
- 44:03Speaker 2: the board and was like, someone let loan me a
- 44:05Speaker 2: hundred K so I can get in this next year.
- 44:07Speaker 3: It looked terrible.
- 44:08Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 44:09Speaker 2: That you from all players across the board, you can
- 44:11Speaker 2: critique like they don't care. They're there for the, what
- 44:13Speaker 2: the lady tell me in title and Marley. She's like, yeah,
- 44:16Speaker 2: one night buddy ordered two of these and it was
- 44:18Speaker 2: like 150 K whatever. Remember the menu at circus swim.
- 44:21Speaker 2: And it was like the big, it was like, like
- 44:24Speaker 2: 10 bottles of Dom and a bunch of other random shit.
- 44:26Speaker 2: It wasn't even that good. It was like nothing, but
- 44:28Speaker 2: they charge 150 K for it or something. And they're like, yeah,
- 44:31Speaker 2: one night buddy just rented the place out and bought
- 44:32Speaker 2: two of these. Like, yeah, that's got more money than
- 44:35Speaker 2: brains most likely, but is what it is. Enjoy your life.
- 44:38Speaker 2: All right. Back to it. Hoop, anything else you want
- 44:41Speaker 2: to talk about at the quarterback position? Purdy, Daniels, any
- 44:45Speaker 2: of this stuff?
- 44:46Speaker 1: Not too much for me. Both obviously good plays, high upside.
- 44:51Speaker 1: In the flex, you're going to want as much as
- 44:53Speaker 1: you can get. Again, you can look at the optimal rates.
- 44:56Speaker 1: The optimal rates are going to have these guys at
- 44:58Speaker 1: a fairly high number. Nothing more to really add.
- 45:01Speaker 2: This is, yeah, Nick was with us. 100K, it was 100K,
- 45:04Speaker 2: but you have to get it sprayed on you. That's
- 45:06Speaker 2: the deal. So not only do you got to overpay
- 45:08Speaker 2: for all this shit, you have to let them douse
- 45:10Speaker 2: you in it and just burn your eyes out and
- 45:12Speaker 2: all this stuff. But this is another one. More tinfoil
- 45:16Speaker 2: in that game yesterday.
- 45:17Speaker 3: Hoop?
- 45:18Speaker 2: Kyron got benched. What about Coram? Coram, did you see that?
- 45:22Speaker 2: This is total tin ball. I'm not this guy. I
- 45:24Speaker 2: don't even care. And I had, I actually had a
- 45:26Speaker 2: bunch of stuff on Coram because I talked about on
- 45:27Speaker 2: leverage lane, but he got stopped at eight carries and
- 45:31Speaker 2: 42 yards with five minutes and 56 seconds left in
- 45:34Speaker 2: the third quarter. Never played again. The rest of that game,
- 45:37Speaker 2: just cruising along and his numbers were eight and a
- 45:39Speaker 2: half and 42 and a half. That's crazy. It's random.
- 45:42Speaker 1: There's something, I don't know. There's something so weird about
- 45:45Speaker 1: that game. Just right from the beginning. It just, it,
- 45:48Speaker 1: it was off. It just seemed very, very straight.
- 45:51Speaker 2: Commanders will win. Shit is rigged.
- 45:53Speaker 1: Yeah. If we're going full conspiracy theory this week, build teams,
- 45:57Speaker 1: build teams for the commanders. When right. Could happen. Yeah. Title.
- 46:01Speaker 2: I'll take it over to you. Just any, any thoughts?
- 46:03Speaker 2: I mean, with the, the guys up top, Evans, Kittle,
- 46:06Speaker 2: et cetera, Purdy's in the flex. I guess the bigger
- 46:09Speaker 2: question for me is on Daniel's. Like, let's say you're
- 46:11Speaker 2: running a five, one, uh, kid a lineup do you
- 46:13Speaker 2: want day you can afford daniels do you want them
- 46:15Speaker 2: or are you thinking like hey i'd rather drop down
- 46:17Speaker 2: and get a pass catcher you know how are you
- 46:19Speaker 2: handling the quarterback position in the flex from that type
- 46:22Speaker 2: of perspective.
- 46:23Speaker 3: Yeah i still want a lot of jayden daniels there's
- 46:25Speaker 3: so many outcomes where no like their offense struggles right
- 46:29Speaker 3: on 21 nothing at half or whatever and then he
- 46:31Speaker 3: breaks off a 40 yard run or gets a qb
- 46:33Speaker 3: sneak and he doesn't carry anyone with them because it's
- 46:36Speaker 3: spread out like they're mixing receivers different running backs in
- 46:40Speaker 3: but 12 was enough on the Washington side, even at
- 46:43Speaker 3: that price, probably not the most likely outcome. If I
- 46:45Speaker 3: knew he had 12, I'd have zero, but I still
- 46:48Speaker 3: am good with Jane Daniels and five ones in anything
- 46:51Speaker 3: due to his, his legs.
- 46:52Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 46:53Speaker 2: And I think also too, there's something to be said
- 46:54Speaker 2: just for, you know, my two cents to finalize the
- 46:56Speaker 2: quarterback stuff is that, um, without, I mean, you can
- 47:00Speaker 2: call whoever you want over there, a running back, but
- 47:02Speaker 2: he could also be like the running back, the quarterback
- 47:04Speaker 2: and everything all in one and just doing everything. So, uh,
- 47:07Speaker 2: him in the flex, leaving money, whatever you got to do,
- 47:10Speaker 2: like even in a five, one, something like that. I'm,
- 47:11Speaker 2: I'm more than fine with it for this slate specifically. So,
- 47:16Speaker 2: all right, let's go to running back title. I'll kick
- 47:18Speaker 2: it to you. We had a little bit of a
- 47:19Speaker 2: conversation around McCaffrey. You mentioned Kalen black. Well, you know,
- 47:22Speaker 2: we got Eckler on the other side, talk about Jeremy McNichols.
- 47:24Speaker 2: We'll wait on it. The stone man. Like we, we
- 47:26Speaker 2: do have, a bunch of running backs on this slate,
- 47:28Speaker 2: much like wide receiver.
- 47:30Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 47:30Speaker 3: I'll start with the Washington side because are they going
- 47:34Speaker 3: to call up Jeremy McNichols? It's a pretty big question.
- 47:36Speaker 3: $ 200 a man. I was tilted yesterday. Savion had way
- 47:41Speaker 3: so much Savion and it was such a good play.
- 47:43Speaker 3: And then Pierre strong outscores them, but he was stone men.
- 47:45Speaker 3: Now we have another stone men play player. That's going to,
- 47:49Speaker 3: if he is called up, he's going to rotate in
- 47:51Speaker 3: a little bit. Even if he gets two, three points,
- 47:54Speaker 3: is that enough? I don't know. I do like Rashad white.
- 47:56Speaker 3: quite a bit. I think the price is too cheap
- 47:58Speaker 3: for his role. And then Austin Eckler as well. And
- 48:01Speaker 3: I mean, we saw it last, what was it? Monday
- 48:04Speaker 3: or one of those last days we were talking about,
- 48:06Speaker 3: can you play these two running backs together? They were
- 48:07Speaker 3: in the winning lineup. Who was it? Showdown.
- 48:11Speaker 2: Was it Denver?
- 48:14Speaker 3: Yeah, Dobbins and Harvey.
- 48:15Speaker 1: Dobbins and Harvey.
- 48:18Speaker 3: We're both there, which was another, whoever won first, they
- 48:22Speaker 3: won a good amount of money. It wasn't chopped too much.
- 48:24Speaker 3: I do think Rashad White and Austin Eckler could be
- 48:27Speaker 3: ones that you play in the flex as well. Again,
- 48:29Speaker 3: if they're trailing dump-offs, if the 49ers get a lot
- 48:32Speaker 3: of pressure, both these guys can get there at that
- 48:34Speaker 3: price tag. So I think both are interesting. And then
- 48:37Speaker 3: if Jeremy McNichols play, I like these Washington running backs
- 48:40Speaker 3: quite a bit at their price, which then when we
- 48:43Speaker 3: go to, So receivers, I think you're going to see,
- 48:46Speaker 3: I don't like the price tags as much at wide receivers.
- 48:48Speaker 3: So especially because I am wanting so many of these
- 48:51Speaker 3: San Fran studs, it's a little harder to play Terry
- 48:54Speaker 3: and Diggs and all of that. And I can go
- 48:57Speaker 3: any Terry Diggs team and just play Rashad White. And
- 49:00Speaker 3: you see our projection 13.9 for White, 11.8 for Terry, 9.2
- 49:05Speaker 3: for Diggs. So you're saving thousands of dollars and getting
- 49:08Speaker 3: a better projection. Obviously their ownership will be higher because
- 49:10Speaker 3: of it, but I have more flexibility to get different.
- 49:13Speaker 3: On the San Fran side, it's just two guys. It's
- 49:16Speaker 3: McCaffrey and Black. You can also play them together. Again,
- 49:19Speaker 3: McCaffrey and Black. dominates early. They get out to a
- 49:21Speaker 3: big lead. Black comes in later, but I do want
- 49:24Speaker 3: a decent amount of Caelan Black. Again, Hoops talked about it.
- 49:28Speaker 3: The first two games, it was really, not really close,
- 49:31Speaker 3: but it was relatively close in terms of snap share.
- 49:34Speaker 3: The last three weeks, McCaffrey's separated a little bit. I
- 49:37Speaker 3: do think because that overseas game week one played a role,
- 49:40Speaker 3: but if they get out 14 or they have a
- 49:42Speaker 3: comfortable enough lead, you are going to see black play
- 49:45Speaker 3: a decent bit. So I think that's a good price
- 49:47Speaker 3: at 3,800. See what his TD prop is. Not as
- 49:52Speaker 3: good as I thought plus 400, but again, when you
- 49:54Speaker 3: build those teams, I think it should tell more of
- 49:56Speaker 3: a story that they're leading the game. So yeah, that's
- 49:59Speaker 3: all I got to run it back.
- 50:01Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 50:02Speaker 2: Yeah. Like Sticksburg says this, like just 25 yards allowed.
- 50:05Speaker 2: And then LSU, Nick said, yeah, Darnold, Nick's percent, Willis
- 50:08Speaker 2: and Stafford. The quarterback is like who brought this up
- 50:11Speaker 2: a lot in the past couple of weeks looking at
- 50:13Speaker 2: this type of stuff. And it's, you know, who would
- 50:16Speaker 2: have thought that the Rams would lose the game without
- 50:19Speaker 2: giving up a touchdown? Like what happened before any other
- 50:22Speaker 2: time or all this other crazy stuff? Like just other
- 50:24Speaker 2: stuff can happen. It's a guy that can run and
- 50:27Speaker 2: can get loose. And like you said, like Nick said,
- 50:28Speaker 2: he hasn't really played a lot of guys in that spot.
- 50:30Speaker 2: So who about kicking over to you running back? Anything
- 50:33Speaker 2: else you want to add there?
- 50:34Speaker 1: Yeah, nothing really to add. I really like the Washington guys.
- 50:38Speaker 1: I really like Rashad White and Austin Eckler. And, you know,
- 50:44Speaker 1: on the Sam Fran side, like, I don't know, I
- 50:47Speaker 1: guess maybe I'm just a little down on McCaffrey because
- 50:50Speaker 1: of the workload. Yeah, I mean, it is tough. But, man,
- 50:56Speaker 1: like I could see myself being a little underweight on
- 50:58Speaker 1: McCaffrey tonight. And then with Black, like, he's in there
- 51:03Speaker 1: and he's getting carries, but it's like, he's got to
- 51:06Speaker 1: find the end zone really to, to pay it off.
- 51:08Speaker 1: I mean, he really hasn't had a big game yet
- 51:12Speaker 1: this season. Now it obviously could happen at any point,
- 51:14Speaker 1: but fantasy points the last four weeks, 2.5, 1.7, 1.3, 1.6.
- 51:22Speaker 1: It's pretty much touchdown or bus for him. And I
- 51:27Speaker 1: don't think he scored a touchdown this year. Was it,
- 51:29Speaker 1: did he score the first week? Um, He did not
- 51:34Speaker 1: score a touchdown in week one. So he's no touchdowns
- 51:38Speaker 1: this year. He'd need to me like he needs a touchdown.
- 51:40Speaker 1: So let me just, I'll just rank these guys considering
- 51:44Speaker 1: salary and ownership, white Eckler McCaffrey, then black on those four. Yeah.
- 51:50Speaker 2: I think another thing too, that, um, title brought up,
- 51:53Speaker 2: I don't have too much else to add at the
- 51:55Speaker 2: running back stuff, but I would say a couple notes, one, like, uh,
- 51:59Speaker 2: not even a running back, but just a $ 200 guy
- 52:01Speaker 2: yesterday savvy on Williams. Cause we're talking about McNichols and
- 52:03Speaker 2: he ends up playing did well, still not anywhere. Um,
- 52:08Speaker 2: we talk about Florida, Pierre strong, like the other for
- 52:10Speaker 2: cheap running backs, like an Eckler or a Kalen black
- 52:13Speaker 2: or anything, even when they have the big game, it's
- 52:15Speaker 2: in the flex. So like, I know like a lot
- 52:17Speaker 2: of people, I'm just tying together two conversations, our earlier
- 52:19Speaker 2: captain one in this it's like crazy stuff. can happen
- 52:23Speaker 2: and you still have to still have the proper construction
- 52:26Speaker 2: elsewhere so it's like when people say oh i'll just
- 52:28Speaker 2: go to that it capped it if i knew sky
- 52:30Speaker 2: was gonna have this game i'll just jam in all
- 52:31Speaker 2: the studs well then all the studs aren't needed as
- 52:34Speaker 2: a matter of fact the lamb who had a horrible
- 52:35Speaker 2: game versus reality and two cheapies got there but it
- 52:39Speaker 2: just ends up being the build that way so i
- 52:41Speaker 2: would still try and build accordingly without trying to get
- 52:44Speaker 2: too cute cute you know, you can say what you
- 52:47Speaker 2: want about it, but like the guy taking Dak out
- 52:49Speaker 2: and putting in pickings and hoping that works out, at
- 52:52Speaker 2: least you win all the money when you win, but
- 52:54Speaker 2: it's like, it's not that crazy. Their projection would have
- 52:56Speaker 2: been similar. It's just not similar to play a captain
- 52:59Speaker 2: like lamb without his quarterback. So that's kind of where
- 53:01Speaker 2: you get different, but playing the cheapest guys up top
- 53:04Speaker 2: and hoping that you get perfect on all the rest
- 53:06Speaker 2: and then still end up somewhere different. That's like in
- 53:09Speaker 2: a unique way. It's not very common. So just think
- 53:12Speaker 2: about that when you're putting it out there. wait and
- 53:14Speaker 2: see if, if McNichols is 200 bucks, like, yeah, that
- 53:17Speaker 2: end plays, that's definitely something.
- 53:19Speaker 1: There's been a couple of comments about this, about McCaffrey's workload.
- 53:22Speaker 1: And it's a clear, it's a clear thing that they're
- 53:25Speaker 1: going to continue. I mean, he hasn't had more than
- 53:27Speaker 1: 20 touches this season. Like there's a reason for it.
- 53:30Speaker 1: Like he's had injuries in the past. Like they are
- 53:33Speaker 1: clearly limiting him even in, in closer sort of games,
- 53:36Speaker 1: I think. So I would anticipate 20 touches or below that,
- 53:41Speaker 1: For McCaffrey, he's great. He can still get there. But again,
- 53:44Speaker 1: the reason he's been like the stud the past few
- 53:47Speaker 1: years is because they would give him 30 touches. He
- 53:50Speaker 1: would absolutely go off. He had the chance to go
- 53:53Speaker 1: off without scoring a touchdown because he'd catch 10 passes
- 53:56Speaker 1: for 90 yards and then run for another 80. So
- 53:59Speaker 1: I think they're clearly trying to limit him early on
- 54:02Speaker 1: in the season, and it makes sense. And I was referring,
- 54:06Speaker 1: we were talking about Black.
- 54:07Speaker 2: Not we're talking about people saying they want to just
- 54:10Speaker 2: because of the McCaffrey limited carries that we would want
- 54:13Speaker 2: to play black, especially if they get up in the
- 54:16Speaker 2: game or whatever it might be, look at the spread,
- 54:17Speaker 2: all that again, those are when you build your lineup
- 54:19Speaker 2: accordingly to how the slate's going to play out. Peter
- 54:23Speaker 2: says it's best here. Peter Porker, love that. And the
- 54:25Speaker 2: Spider-Man outfit says McCaffrey gets about 15 to 18. They're
- 54:28Speaker 2: resting him earlier in the season. Watch, as soon as
- 54:30Speaker 2: I type that, he gets 30 touches. That is what
- 54:33Speaker 2: ends up happening. Brock Bauer's day yesterday, quite disrupted by
- 54:36Speaker 2: Michael Mayer day, and it's not even Halloween yet. And
- 54:39Speaker 2: what do you have, six for 97 before Brock even
- 54:42Speaker 2: had a catch? Maybe it was crazy.
- 54:44Speaker 1: I'll say there is a 0% chance McCaffrey has 30
- 54:46Speaker 1: touches tonight, even in an overtime game.
- 54:49Speaker 3: Don't ever say zero.
- 54:51Speaker 1: Zero. I'm saying zero.
- 54:52Speaker 2: Yeah, you're unlikely to get 30, but he's being sarcastic
- 54:57Speaker 2: as well. I mean, the point is when people are
- 54:58Speaker 2: saying 16, 20, I guess the big thing is too,
- 55:01Speaker 2: you know, I hear this a lot when people are
- 55:02Speaker 2: using their optimizers, even our partnership, when they got to say, oh,
- 55:05Speaker 2: SaberSim gave me this. Well, if you inputted the projections
- 55:09Speaker 2: that have this, and that's what we're seeing, you can
- 55:11Speaker 2: use that and go with it, but you're allowed to
- 55:13Speaker 2: adjust them. Like if you know better, like they say, IKB,
- 55:16Speaker 2: I know better, or some say, I know ball. If
- 55:18Speaker 2: you want to put your spin on it and drop
- 55:20Speaker 2: McCaffrey down from 22 fantasy points to 17, and you
- 55:22Speaker 2: want to give a couple to Kalen Black and you
- 55:27Speaker 2: want to give, you know, a couple to between Mike
- 55:30Speaker 2: Evans and Kittle and Cooks or whatever you decide, you're
- 55:33Speaker 2: allowed to do that. And then you will get more
- 55:35Speaker 2: unique lineups and it will no longer give you high
- 55:37Speaker 2: ownership on McCaffrey. But then you could be mad. What
- 55:40Speaker 2: was the one last year? We'll never live down hoop.
- 55:42Speaker 2: It was like MBS. You're like, uh, him and it's
- 55:45Speaker 2: like oh man what's gonna be like 48 of this
- 55:46Speaker 2: guy you're like i definitely don't want that and yeah
- 55:49Speaker 2: no the truth was you didn't want that much but
- 55:52Speaker 2: people are like damn i should have just trusted it
- 55:54Speaker 2: because then he goes off with.
- 55:55Speaker 1: It yeah you know it is important though to put
- 55:58Speaker 1: your i mean i think it's always important to put
- 56:00Speaker 1: your input put your touch on it if you think
- 56:03Speaker 1: something's gonna happen that the projections are picking up go
- 56:07Speaker 1: for it the odds of winning are very slim anyway
- 56:10Speaker 1: so like you might as well if you're going down
- 56:11Speaker 1: you might as well go down swinging with your own stuff.
- 56:14Speaker 2: Yeah, it's certainly really hard to make your own projections
- 56:17Speaker 2: that are good and have success and people win millions
- 56:20Speaker 2: of dollars with and all this stuff. That's really hard.
- 56:22Speaker 2: But when you start with a good set and you've
- 56:25Speaker 2: got it already, when you say, listen, I don't care what,
- 56:28Speaker 2: title says, or, you know, I don't care what Tambo says.
- 56:30Speaker 2: I'm a title. I think Mike Evans is going to
- 56:32Speaker 2: go down to six or seven. I'm going to put that.
- 56:34Speaker 2: And that's going to be what you're running off of now. And,
- 56:36Speaker 2: and I don't care what hoop says. I think McCaffrey
- 56:38Speaker 2: is going to be great tonight. He's going to get
- 56:39Speaker 2: 25 points and I'm going to put that. We'll do that.
- 56:41Speaker 2: You're allowed to, right? We want you to find your
- 56:43Speaker 2: own process and put it together. We're talking about how
- 56:46Speaker 2: things can play out in the right way to build
- 56:48Speaker 2: and to be able to put yourself in the position
- 56:49Speaker 2: to hopefully ship one of these big ones. And if
- 56:52Speaker 2: you saw the top of the show, the people from yesterday,
- 56:54Speaker 2: it's happening a lot. It's not a, you know, fly
- 56:56Speaker 2: by night thing. We've been here for three and a
- 56:58Speaker 2: half plus years. Lots of people are finding success using these.
- 57:01Speaker 2: Use that to your advantage. If you've got a better
- 57:02Speaker 2: take on it, add it into the mix before you
- 57:05Speaker 2: build and finalize. All right, title. I'm going to kick
- 57:07Speaker 2: it over to you at wide receiver. We know what
- 57:09Speaker 2: we're waiting on. We know there's possibilities here. Diggs, Evans,
- 57:14Speaker 2: Christian Kirk, you know, another thing there. So there's a
- 57:16Speaker 2: lot going on at wide receiver tonight too.
- 57:19Speaker 3: Yeah, most definitely. Diggs news is for sure important. If
- 57:22Speaker 3: he's out, I mean, Traylon Burks led the receiving room
- 57:26Speaker 3: last week in snaps. Then it went Antonio Williams, then
- 57:31Speaker 3: Scary Terry, then Demi Brown. I'm going to play all
- 57:34Speaker 3: of them probably regardless, even if Diggs is in. If
- 57:37Speaker 3: Diggs is in, he's my least favorite. I mean, that's
- 57:38Speaker 3: a big boy price tag. He will be low owned
- 57:41Speaker 3: when I will play him. It'll be in a lot
- 57:43Speaker 3: chalkier lineups, probably in shade of Daniel Captain's teams to
- 57:46Speaker 3: get different. But he's by far my least favorite. My favorite,
- 57:49Speaker 3: Antonio Williams, for sure, at 4,200. the rookie gadget guy.
- 57:53Speaker 3: I think as the weeks go, we've seen it with
- 57:55Speaker 3: Bernard Amari Cooper yesterday for the jets. These rookies tend
- 57:59Speaker 3: to get better, especially at the receiver position, get more
- 58:02Speaker 3: trust from their quarterback. And it's the price tag. Again,
- 58:04Speaker 3: I'm going to be playing these studs at captain. So
- 58:06Speaker 3: I need to save money. So Antonio Williams, my favorite.
- 58:09Speaker 3: And then to be honest, probably trailing Berks and Demi Brown,
- 58:12Speaker 3: their single digit ownership, even if digs plays, they're going
- 58:15Speaker 3: to be in a little bit and I need salary relief.
- 58:17Speaker 3: So I like those two, a decent bit. And then, yeah,
- 58:21Speaker 3: I mean, I like Terry more than digs, but probably
- 58:24Speaker 3: will be underway. Do prefer Terry and flex more than
- 58:27Speaker 3: the captain. I know you, you might disagree. I just,
- 58:31Speaker 3: I struggled to see his 25 point outbreak. And I
- 58:34Speaker 3: think you probably need something like that. If not more
- 58:36Speaker 3: today at captain with how I expect the 49ers to
- 58:39Speaker 3: move the ball and score implied for 30 points on
- 58:42Speaker 3: the 49ers side. Again, Mike Evans news is important. I'm
- 58:45Speaker 3: going to be in on Mike Evans though. The dude
- 58:47Speaker 3: battles injuries his whole career. I battled it last week.
- 58:50Speaker 3: And when he's in, he plays. He gets pepper with targets.
- 58:53Speaker 3: He's minus 120 to score the second best touchdown prop
- 58:56Speaker 3: in this game. And they definitely love him down below. Also,
- 58:59Speaker 3: I think his captain ownership can moonwalk back. And I
- 59:02Speaker 3: think his flex could as well. And I think he's
- 59:04Speaker 3: the most leverage from McCaffrey because if McCaffrey is not
- 59:07Speaker 3: getting the goal line touchdowns, it's either Kittle or Mike.
- 59:10Speaker 3: And now that they have Mike out there when he's
- 59:12Speaker 3: on an Island, it's kind of like Devante and stuff
- 59:14Speaker 3: that slant fade routes pretty good. So after that, give
- 59:18Speaker 3: me value, give me cooks, give me cow wing. Um,
- 59:22Speaker 3: those two mainly, like, I don't know, I'm not really
- 59:25Speaker 3: sure how much this Watkins guy is going to get in.
- 59:27Speaker 3: He played 22 snaps last week, but it did seem
- 59:29Speaker 3: pretty obvious that Cowling was above him. A little Watkins
- 59:33Speaker 3: is fine, though. But, yeah, Cooks. I like Brandon Cooks
- 59:36Speaker 3: a decent bit today. With all that being said, now, yeah,
- 59:39Speaker 3: the Christian Kirk stuff. Oh, man. I mean, I'm going
- 59:43Speaker 3: to have to play some of him at 3K, too. Again,
- 59:45Speaker 3: I didn't have him initially in before this show.
- 59:48Speaker 1: So, shoot.
- 59:49Speaker 3: Watkins definitely goes way down. Cooks, Cowling, Kirk. I don't know.
- 59:56Speaker 3: Do you guys have any, have any takes there? I mean,
- 59:58Speaker 3: we saw cooks and cowing play last week. Maybe they ease,
- 1:00:01Speaker 3: ease Kirk in a little more at three K. I
- 1:00:04Speaker 3: could be wrong though. I wish I had props.
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: I'm thinking, but I do think what's critical is like, again,
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: you never want to rule yourself out, but I think he's,
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: he would be eating into cooks in that slot role
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: with out. So it's like, to me, what's the world
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: where both of those guys get there together and just
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: rack it up over the middle. Like, man, that'd have
- 1:00:23Speaker 2: to be, I don't even know what type of game.
- 1:00:26Speaker 3: I don't love them together.
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: Yeah, it's going to be hard to play them together.
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: And at 3K, 4K, you can kind of just rotate
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: that in and out. So we'll see, but you'd think
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: that Kirk would be eased in at least a little bit.
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: He just came off the window Thursday. So we'll see
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: what that looks like. Hoop, you got anything you want
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: to add there? Anything else you got now you can
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: take over wide receiver?
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely the most news-dependent position on the slate, wide receiver.
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: I mean, I do think you know, Mike Evans does
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: play the questionable tag and the price tag. I think we'll,
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: we'll keep his ownership in check in flex and captain
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: kind of what, uh, you know, title alluded to. I
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: think it's so true. And it's somewhat uncomfortable. I mean,
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: he's 9,600, like he's right there with the quarterbacks. He's
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: close with, uh, McCaffrey. So I think it has to
- 1:01:16Speaker 1: be held in check for Evans. I think he's phenomenal
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: play on the slate up top and in the flex. Um,
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: After that for San Fran, it's a little dicey, especially
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: if Kirk comes back. But these are guys that if
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: you're playing a lot of pretty captain teams, these are
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: guys you're going to want exposure to because if you
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: aren't playing pretty captain, you want them to spread it out.
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: So you're going to want to play some Cooks and
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: Cowling and Kirk as well. What's the– Kirk's what, three? Yeah,
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: it's three Ks. Not like a full-on punt sort of
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: price tag. On the Washington side, definitely need to see
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: what's going on with Diggs. Everyone has Diggs projected in.
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: If for some reason he's out, Antonio Williams, Trelon Burks,
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: their projection number is coming way, way up. And then
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: it's just a matter of how quickly does the field
- 1:02:09Speaker 1: react to it all. And it's usually slower than they should.
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: Like the field, whenever we get the, not slate changing,
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: but like a big wide receiver two ruled out or
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: wide receiver one ruled out. And then the secondary guys
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: get these big boosts. Like the ownership never gets to
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: that crazy amount because a lot of people build stuff
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: they like and they just stick with it. So I
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: think it'd be a good opportunity on Williams and Traylon Burks,
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: assuming Williams We don't get the news right until the
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: hour and a half before, and then he is out.
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: If he's in, nothing really changes there, and I don't
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: like him either. He's got a real price tag. He
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: has to do something big time at $ 8, 400, and I
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: wouldn't be all that interested in him. I'd still prefer
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: those other cheap guys, but it is the spot where
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: we need We're going to need a little more news
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: to hammer it all down. And like we kind of said,
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: you definitely want to wait to build lineups today because
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: of this.
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: Yeah, Diggs might go. I mean, the latest– I think
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: he probably plays, yeah. He was limited on Friday and
- 1:03:09Speaker 2: then back at practice Saturday. So people are starting to
- 1:03:11Speaker 2: think that he's going to go. So we'll wait and see.
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: But I still like how title broke it down before
- 1:03:16Speaker 2: in your additions. Like, again, Williams, Burks, we kind of
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: know what's going on there. The other side, Cooks versus
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: Cooks versus Kirk. We'll wait and see if Kirk even goes.
- 1:03:26Speaker 2: He could still be ruled inactive. We'll see once we
- 1:03:29Speaker 2: get closer to Locke. So we won't know that until
- 1:03:31Speaker 2: we get there. But if he's out, then it opens
- 1:03:33Speaker 2: up even more. I think Evans is in. So it'd
- 1:03:35Speaker 2: be like Evans, Cooks, Cowing at that point, the majority
- 1:03:38Speaker 2: for me, and then move it around from there. Let's
- 1:03:41Speaker 2: go to tight end title and we'll start with the
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: Kittle conversation. But Chig, who brought up earlier, is on
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: the other side. And then somebody else said, we'll wait
- 1:03:47Speaker 2: for the Luke Farrell. Or some might say Luke Farrell.
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: We'll see if he scores a touchdown tonight, but Kittle
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: is definitely the popular one here.
- 1:03:56Speaker 3: Yeah, I think for a good reason. I don't plan
- 1:03:59Speaker 3: on having too strong. I mean, it's really hard to
- 1:04:01Speaker 3: go really, really overweight. You're almost like 80% plus with
- 1:04:05Speaker 3: them with the ownership, but I definitely don't want to
- 1:04:07Speaker 3: take a strong underweight stand. I think that's pretty good.
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: I want him in both spots. Chig, yeah, more of
- 1:04:12Speaker 3: a flex play for me. I was hoping he, like,
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: he's been on the field quite a bit, 71% last time,
- 1:04:17Speaker 3: and With Diggs coming back, maybe a little more target
- 1:04:21Speaker 3: share is gone. His receiving prop is only like 21
- 1:04:23Speaker 3: and a half, though, which was a little disappointing for me.
- 1:04:26Speaker 3: But I'll be playing him.
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: That's a bet. That's a bet. There you go. What's
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: the bet? The over.
- 1:04:31Speaker 3: He wants the over receiving yards.
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: Yeah, Chig over. 21 is the number?
- 1:04:36Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so.
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: Oh, I thought that was going to be for the
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: first quarter.
- 1:04:43Speaker 3: Let's see.
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: Bookmaker hoop is always good.
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: The last guy we did this to got hurt, though. Actually,
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: it was the 49ers guy that got hurt right away. Remember?
- 1:04:53Speaker 3: He was dribbling literally first game. Yeah, it was. I remember.
- 1:04:58Speaker 3: Too much. 25 plus is minus 111. Sounds a little off.
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: That's a lock. That's a lock.
- 1:05:06Speaker 3: There you go. Luke Farrell, though, yeah. I mean, I
- 1:05:08Speaker 3: think he's going to be a couple percent owned. He's
- 1:05:12Speaker 3: on the field 60% of the time. More of a
- 1:05:13Speaker 3: blocking guy. But, you know, when they get to the
- 1:05:15Speaker 3: red zone, random stuff can happen. Maybe four points is enough.
- 1:05:18Speaker 3: There's enough studs on this slate that I think it
- 1:05:21Speaker 3: could be a stars and scrubs build where maybe four
- 1:05:23Speaker 3: is enough there. We haven't seen in a long time though,
- 1:05:26Speaker 3: but that's really just 40 plus teams you're making to
- 1:05:29Speaker 3: get different. Most people here aren't doing that. So you
- 1:05:31Speaker 3: don't have to worry about him.
- 1:05:33Speaker 2: Let me ask you this before I moved to hoop
- 1:05:35Speaker 2: on the tight end stuff. How much do you just
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: start thinking the more we talk through this site, that
- 1:05:39Speaker 2: it's like one of those nice, Nice casino lottery pulls
- 1:05:43Speaker 2: on the old slot machine tonight. And we're just going
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: to build the best lineups to have the chance at winning.
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: And then just be like, whatever happens, happens. Because I
- 1:05:50Speaker 2: really think it's just going to come down to the captain.
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: It always does. I get what people say, but when
- 1:05:54Speaker 2: I say it like that, just so people know it's,
- 1:05:56Speaker 2: it's not the obvious statement of like, yes, you have
- 1:05:58Speaker 2: to get the right captain. The point is how did
- 1:06:01Speaker 2: lamb end up as the winning captain last night in
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: a lineup that still pays out over 150 K. That's
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: what I'm thinking about. So what I'm saying is if
- 1:06:09Speaker 2: you can get after that, how the hell would you
- 1:06:10Speaker 2: know right now if like Luke Farrell jams in instead
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: of Kalen Black or if it's use check instead of it? Like, man,
- 1:06:17Speaker 2: it's just going to be so random at that point.
- 1:06:19Speaker 2: I think you need to set yourself up for success
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: with good builds. captain pool. It's a little bit tighter.
- 1:06:23Speaker 2: Maybe again, some might say I'd spread it out for
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: that reason. I actually think there's so many flex options here.
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: I explained already on this show. Why, uh, even when
- 1:06:32Speaker 2: you think like Sav Williams or, uh, you know, who's
- 1:06:35Speaker 2: the other guys, Pierre strong, like they're going to have
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: these big games. Yeah, they are, but they're still not
- 1:06:38Speaker 2: going to end up up top very often. In matter
- 1:06:41Speaker 2: of fact, a guy like golden doesn't even end up
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: in the top and crushes. So weird shit happens. My
- 1:06:46Speaker 2: point being if you really know that and people, I'm
- 1:06:48Speaker 2: going to spread it out to a million different captains.
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: It's like, well, then it gets tricky to have the
- 1:06:52Speaker 2: combination even possibly to be in the, in the chamber
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: for yourself. So I think that's what I'm thinking about.
- 1:06:56Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't tell you, are you thinking the
- 1:06:59Speaker 2: same or what?
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:07:01Speaker 3: Yeah. Especially like, I feel good that it's going to
- 1:07:03Speaker 3: probably be, and again, definitely could be wrong, but I
- 1:07:06Speaker 3: feel good about like five captains and it's kind of
- 1:07:08Speaker 3: obvious captains, but at least they're not like Bijan range
- 1:07:11Speaker 3: or something. They're all kind of eating into each other.
- 1:07:14Speaker 3: And then there's a lot of, Dylan Burks, Antonio Williams,
- 1:07:17Speaker 3: Rashad White, Eckler. I guess Rashad White I shouldn't have
- 1:07:21Speaker 3: threw in there. But there's enough 3K, 4K, just a
- 1:07:24Speaker 3: lot of roulette stuff going on there where I feel
- 1:07:26Speaker 3: good about just mixing and matching those a lot more.
- 1:07:29Speaker 3: And then certain builds. Who's my captain? Jaden Daniels is
- 1:07:32Speaker 3: my captain. All right, the Burks and Antonio Williams makes
- 1:07:35Speaker 3: a little more sense in those builds. So based on
- 1:07:37Speaker 3: what I'm doing at captain, I feel good about that spot.
- 1:07:40Speaker 3: And then I can try and tell a better story
- 1:07:43Speaker 3: in my flex while still leaving Usually probably a decent
- 1:07:47Speaker 3: bit of money because I do think there's enough cheap
- 1:07:48Speaker 3: options that are going to be on the field and
- 1:07:50Speaker 3: have the opportunity to do something. That receiver position is really,
- 1:07:53Speaker 3: really tough, but I think... It's going to determine the slate.
- 1:07:56Speaker 3: Like what you said, the.
- 1:07:58Speaker 2: Popular captains don't matter as much when the flex options
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: are abundant. Like there's so many of them for a
- 1:08:03Speaker 2: regular showdown. It's like people always say, Oh, I do
- 1:08:04Speaker 2: better in showdown. Yeah. There's one game and a much
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: smaller pool to choose from, but tonight is different. It's
- 1:08:09Speaker 2: not like these guys that are all just so obvious
- 1:08:12Speaker 2: and this, that, and the other, you still got to
- 1:08:13Speaker 2: build it accordingly, leave certain money, whatever it might be
- 1:08:16Speaker 2: to put yourself in that position. I won't delete. I
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: call it delete. I won't X out like the 1%
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: on captains. I get, but I'm saying my core is,
- 1:08:23Speaker 2: five to six captains will be owned in a decent share.
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: And to title's point, nobody's getting like the 40% or
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: 35% captain ownership tonight, like a Gibbs Slade or a
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: Bijon Slade or something. So you'll still be able to
- 1:08:35Speaker 2: get good leverage on all your captains and then spin
- 1:08:38Speaker 2: the wheel for the flex position and make it make sense,
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: but get what you get and roll from there. Hoop,
- 1:08:43Speaker 2: tight end for you. Any thoughts here?
- 1:08:47Speaker 1: I think my thoughts are pretty clear. I really like
- 1:08:51Speaker 1: I know there's obviously going to be some ownership and
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: you guys know my thoughts on jig tonight. I think
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: I like, I hope the ownership holds true too. I mean,
- 1:08:59Speaker 1: we got it. Uh, uh 15 percent like uh i'm
- 1:09:04Speaker 1: gonna make the call that chig is on the optimal
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: lineup tonight all.
- 1:09:07Speaker 2: Right okay that's a bold call i like that right
- 1:09:10Speaker 2: yeah a lot of o's in that name too that
- 1:09:12Speaker 2: could be zeros on the posts on x and things
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: like that when it doesn't work out but the one
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: interesting thing to me, the last thing that will kickers
- 1:09:19Speaker 2: and D's I'll stay with you, but just the, the
- 1:09:21Speaker 2: Kittle stuff, like I said earlier, we on the stone,
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: we do all the simulations, use our data. That's been
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: pretty solid. And we use that to go figure this
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: stuff out. It doesn't mean it's going to work out
- 1:09:29Speaker 2: or be right or whatever. I'm just noting the numbers.
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: Kittle is only showing up optimal anywhere on this slate
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: less than half the time. Like, I think a lot
- 1:09:39Speaker 2: of people out there right now are just hand-building lineups
- 1:09:41Speaker 2: and throwing Kittle into them and whatever, whatever, and feeling
- 1:09:44Speaker 2: good about it. He's not even showing, I mean, he's
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: 45% of the time he's on the optimal lineup. So that's,
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: you know, pretty, pretty interesting when it seems like people
- 1:09:52Speaker 2: are pegging him to be in there, like, you know,
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: all kinds of the time, at least from what I'm seeing.
- 1:09:56Speaker 2: So we'll wait and see how it actually shakes out.
- 1:09:58Speaker 2: But first run, just thinking about it, we obviously got
- 1:10:00Speaker 2: to get more news on this site while the updated
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: version closer to lock, but it's, it's less than I
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: would have expected to be honest. So hoop kickers and
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: D's anything there.
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: Oh, let's check out our kickers here. We got Mr.
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: We're watching. Pinheiro. Let's see. What do we got so far?
- 1:10:18Speaker 4: 11, 5, 8, 6, 7. So it's at 5, 6, 7, 8,
- 1:10:23Speaker 4: and 11. He's missed, though. 1 out of 2, 1
- 1:10:26Speaker 4: out of 2, 1 out of 1, 2 out of 3.
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: Eh, not a ton of excitement there, but we'll play him.
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: And then Stevens.
- 1:10:35Speaker 4: Stevens has been solid. 6. 9, 11, 7, 8.
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: So both guys, pretty high floor. You know, 150, 60
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: yarder at the end of the half could make the difference. Yeah,
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: I like these guys tonight. Then defense, in for some
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: 49ers defense. Not a ton of interest in the Commanders.
- 1:10:54Speaker 2: Title, your thoughts here?
- 1:10:57Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Commanders defense, definitely the one I have
- 1:10:59Speaker 3: least interest in. But I think I'll be playing a
- 1:11:01Speaker 3: decent amount of 49ers defense. It feels like these defenses keep,
- 1:11:06Speaker 3: like they're over, They're under-owned relative to projection, I think,
- 1:11:11Speaker 3: most of these slates. At least that's what I've kind
- 1:11:13Speaker 3: of– I don't go back and back test and, like,
- 1:11:15Speaker 3: look at all ownerships, but I have looked at the
- 1:11:17Speaker 3: defenses one a decent bit on showdowns, and people are
- 1:11:20Speaker 3: hesitant to click it unless it's, like, a really, really
- 1:11:22Speaker 3: obvious spot. So in a game total this big, I
- 1:11:25Speaker 3: do think 49ers might be, yeah, 15%. That sounds pretty
- 1:11:29Speaker 3: good to me. Any Pinero team, any Stevens team, any,
- 1:11:34Speaker 3: I guess, Chig team, rashad white you can go 49ers
- 1:11:37Speaker 3: defense we saw yesterday packers had a pretty good uh
- 1:11:40Speaker 3: pretty good day cowboys almost got there as well only
- 1:11:43Speaker 3: takes one.
- 1:11:45Speaker 2: Who people are already hitting the line man they like
- 1:11:47Speaker 2: you the bet 365 is up to 26 and a
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: half now let's go on uh on chig.
- 1:11:52Speaker 1: We're gonna have to get t-shirts too after he wins
- 1:11:54Speaker 1: us all the money tonight we're gonna get it getting
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: chiggy with a t-shirt.
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: I want to see what his line is by, by lock.
- 1:12:01Speaker 2: His line's going to be back down to like 21
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: or something.
- 1:12:04Speaker 1: The real, the real sharp money comes in. Like, all right, yeah, let's,
- 1:12:07Speaker 1: let's pop.
- 1:12:08Speaker 2: These people piling in. Give us more, give us more,
- 1:12:11Speaker 2: give us more. Everyone hits the under title, just piles
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: in on the under, and.
- 1:12:17Speaker 1: Then we're good. Right.
- 1:12:19Speaker 3: At NBA.
- 1:12:20Speaker 2: We got some NBA coming up next year. Well, when
- 1:12:22Speaker 2: is it tomorrow?
- 1:12:23Speaker 3: Tomorrow. Yeah. 10 a.m. 1 p.m.
- 1:12:26Speaker 1: Eastern.
- 1:12:27Speaker 3: I draft Kings put it on the, early uh game
- 1:12:30Speaker 3: at three eastern so rio and i will be going
- 1:12:32Speaker 3: live at 1 p.m talking some hoops nice i won't
- 1:12:35Speaker 3: be betting the under no.
- 1:12:37Speaker 2: No they're getting rid of those because the the nba
- 1:12:39Speaker 2: players definitely like to no tinfoil hat needed for the
- 1:12:42Speaker 2: nba they do it they're caught yeah they're bad bad
- 1:12:47Speaker 2: actors so we got that hoop anything you saw for
- 1:12:50Speaker 2: fan duel here before.
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: We get out of here wild price is over there
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: the cowing guy is seventy six hundred dollars Jordan Watkins, 7,200. Watkins, 7,200.
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: Those are pretty wild.
- 1:13:04Speaker 3: It was because they priced it like Mike Evans was
- 1:13:06Speaker 3: going to be.
- 1:13:07Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah. I get that. But, man, that's– well,
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: I guess when Mike Evans is in, those guys are
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: clearly– Terry McLaurin at 84 kind of sticks out a
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: little bit. Rashad White, 56, way too cheap. I mean,
- 1:13:23Speaker 1: one of the worst prices of the year. Chig, 3,600.
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: It's load up. Both sites, double shipper, DK. Yeah, I'll
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: just get them both. Get them on DK, get them
- 1:13:34Speaker 1: on FanDuel. I will say Keon Black at 3,400 on
- 1:13:39Speaker 1: FanDuel where, you know, just score a touchdown, probably good enough.
- 1:13:44Speaker 1: Like definitely prefer him here opposed to DK. Where is
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: Austin Ackler? 4K, that's fair. Brandon Cooks, 4,400 seems cheap.
- 1:13:56Speaker 1: Antonio Williams 52 it's probably right where he should be
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: but yeah like those 49ers guys are definitely overpriced but
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: then we got some underpriced dudes as well here so.
- 1:14:10Speaker 2: Yeah they got the same Diggs McLaurin thing going on
- 1:14:13Speaker 2: too right McLaurin's cheaper Diggs is right there so.
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: Yeah yeah tough Diggs at 9k yeah tough click over
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: on FanDuel for sure.
- 1:14:22Speaker 2: I wonder over there though like Purdy and CMC, it's
- 1:14:27Speaker 2: a little bit more like Purdy to CMC on DraftKings
- 1:14:30Speaker 2: is $ 1, 500 savings. Like if you go drop down from
- 1:14:33Speaker 2: McCaffrey to Purdy over there though, it's 300 bucks at
- 1:14:37Speaker 2: the MVP. So anything you saw their title, I just,
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: that's the one I thought of that stood out a
- 1:14:40Speaker 2: little bit.
- 1:14:41Speaker 3: McNichols is still a min price over there at 1K.
- 1:14:44Speaker 3: I have to monitor if he's going to get called up.
- 1:14:46Speaker 3: Luke Farrell's really cheap. Again, I'm more willing to punts
- 1:14:50Speaker 3: on fan duel. Even if you expect almost a zero
- 1:14:53Speaker 3: on some slates, not today, you probably a zero. You won't,
- 1:14:56Speaker 3: won't really cut it. Cause you do have a min
- 1:14:58Speaker 3: price guy that if he is active, it's going to
- 1:14:59Speaker 3: have some sort of projection. Christian Kirk is three K
- 1:15:02Speaker 3: over there. But yeah, otherwise like, I mean, Rashad white's
- 1:15:05Speaker 3: going to be mega, mega, mega owned. He is by
- 1:15:08Speaker 3: far the one that is most mispriced.
- 1:15:11Speaker 2: Yeah. I think it's going to be a fun slate.
- 1:15:12Speaker 2: Like I said, it's, it's figured out what you're doing
- 1:15:15Speaker 2: up top, build your lineups down from there accordingly, but,
- 1:15:19Speaker 2: even if you get comfortable with the first two spots
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: into those lineups, there's three more to fill. And that's
- 1:15:24Speaker 2: where I think the wheel starts spinning a little bit.
- 1:15:26Speaker 2: So just make sure you've got your stuff accordingly in
- 1:15:28Speaker 2: your optimizer, whatever it is you're using to make sure
- 1:15:31Speaker 2: that you're actually planning it and thinking about what the
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: rest of that looks like and then go from there.
- 1:15:35Speaker 2: But it should be a real potential tonight for, you know,
- 1:15:39Speaker 2: outright shippers, uniques, real low chops, things like that. If
- 1:15:42Speaker 2: it goes the other way, so be it. But I
- 1:15:44Speaker 2: think there's definitely the opportunity at least. So, All right.
- 1:15:48Speaker 2: Anything else from you guys? Anything else you want to
- 1:15:49Speaker 2: talk about before we get out of here?
- 1:15:51Speaker 3: Congrats to the winners.
- 1:15:52Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:15:52Speaker 3: I mean, Tom Brady's great. Rick, I only talked about
- 1:15:55Speaker 3: the tough beat yesterday. But yeah, a lot of great
- 1:15:58Speaker 3: wins in the community. So, hey, and if you're dust
- 1:16:00Speaker 3: like me, still got tonight.
- 1:16:02Speaker 2: That's what I'm saying. My goal is to just win
- 1:16:05Speaker 2: something big before week seven for the first time forever, maybe.
- 1:16:08Speaker 2: So it's like I've been very close. This is my
- 1:16:10Speaker 2: best week one to six ever while still losing. But
- 1:16:13Speaker 2: still got tonight. So I can't wait.
- 1:16:16Speaker 3: I like it.
- 1:16:17Speaker 2: Let's get it done. All right. Appreciate you guys. Thanks
- 1:16:19Speaker 2: so much for watching. For Tidal, for Hoop, for myself, ToeTag,
- 1:16:22Speaker 2: and Tambo, good luck in your contest tonight. Let's ship it.