Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Twitter, China, And Crypto (Podcast)
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside
- 0:04Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring
- 0:06Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along
- 0:11Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast
- 0:15Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and
- 0:18Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Let's get over to
- 0:23Speaker 1: Dan Ives right now web Bush Securities. He's a managing
- 0:26Speaker 1: director there and a senior equity analyst and a bowl. Um,
- 0:31Speaker 1: I guess Dan, for you, this must be the perfect
- 0:34Speaker 1: time to go in and buy right. We had a
- 0:36Speaker 1: big drop on Friday, big drop today? Um are, Is
- 0:41Speaker 1: there is there ever point at which you're gonna say,
- 0:43Speaker 1: you know what? This is over for now and let's
- 0:47Speaker 1: make Tesla, Apple, Microsoft all neutrals until m until the
- 0:52Speaker 1: crash is over. Yeah. Look, the fundamentals dictated change and
- 0:58Speaker 1: shift in terms of cloud, cybersecurity, electric vehicles, spending, like
- 1:04Speaker 1: we've done in many names. Then you turn cautious. But
- 1:07Speaker 1: it's like me and you have talked about for for years.
- 1:11Speaker 1: We're in the first second inning of what I view
- 1:14Speaker 1: is the fourth in Dushia revolution. So I don't throw
- 1:17Speaker 1: in the towel because of a macro and rates going higher.
- 1:21Speaker 1: I view it is just a painful digestion period, but
- 1:24Speaker 1: not the end of what I view is tex stocks
- 1:27Speaker 1: in the long term movement higher. Dan, Here's what I
- 1:30Speaker 1: don't understand. You're seeing to have the sensitivity to rates,
- 1:34Speaker 1: have the sensitivity to simply risk off moves. The heavyweights
- 1:38Speaker 1: lead the SMP five hundred to records, they also lead
- 1:40Speaker 1: the sell off and you can see that um really
- 1:42Speaker 1: in any of these red days that we see. But
- 1:44Speaker 1: I'm curious if the likes of Apple, Microsoft, Tesla essentially
- 1:49Speaker 1: boast this ability to have very strong supply chains that
- 1:53Speaker 1: whether a lot of these issues that other companies are having,
- 1:58Speaker 1: then where's the problem? Why are these stocks selling off
- 2:01Speaker 1: so much? Look, I think you're seeing everyone head for
- 2:06Speaker 1: the elevator at the same time, risk off scary headlines,
- 2:10Speaker 1: reads moving higher in Fleah, So you're seeing the risk
- 2:14Speaker 1: off track all at the same time. And that's why
- 2:16Speaker 1: I like text doctors over sohow relative to growth that
- 2:19Speaker 1: I've seen the last six years. And you can't paint
- 2:23Speaker 1: a Netflix, a Zoom, a Facebook Slash Meta with the
- 2:28Speaker 1: same brush as an Apple Microsoft, cybersecurity and cloud and
- 2:34Speaker 1: it just speaks like that's why this is the most
- 2:36Speaker 1: important earning season probably the last seventy years in terms
- 2:39Speaker 1: of proving that the quote unquote massive slowdown off of
- 2:43Speaker 1: a cliff is not happening across the board. That's sort
- 2:47Speaker 1: of our thesis here in terms as we go through
- 2:50Speaker 1: what's really a key week for tech. By the way,
- 2:52Speaker 1: you don't cover Twitter that I know of, at least
- 2:56Speaker 1: I can't see a rating on Twitter. Um, what are
- 2:59Speaker 1: you think about the possibility of Elon must coming in
- 3:02Speaker 1: and purchasing this company. Look, we've taught it's a game
- 3:06Speaker 1: of highest takes boker, And bottom line is the board
- 3:10Speaker 1: was looking at the altar, waiting for a white night,
- 3:13Speaker 1: a second bidder. They never came. Then Must details his financing.
- 3:19Speaker 1: It's not antics. At that point clock Stock twelve board
- 3:23Speaker 1: had to go to negotiation table, and that's why it
- 3:25Speaker 1: looks like a deal is going to happen, and it
- 3:27Speaker 1: just looked as a public company for dociary. I mean,
- 3:31Speaker 1: they ultimately thought that a second bidder would come, and
- 3:36Speaker 1: I think in the streetside it's very skeptical at first,
- 3:40Speaker 1: but now you know, really like a glad path to
- 3:42Speaker 1: get the deal done. Dan, speaking of Twitter, and I
- 3:46Speaker 1: know it's not your coverage universe, but stick with me here.
- 3:49Speaker 1: One of the questions around Twitter when Jack Dorsey wasn't
- 3:51Speaker 1: charged was when he also created Square now known as
- 3:55Speaker 1: Block I believe, and one of the concerns from a
- 3:58Speaker 1: lot of investors was it would essentially split his attention.
- 4:01Speaker 1: He can't give one enough of his leadership, and that's
- 4:06Speaker 1: perhaps why he moved from Twitter to Square now known
- 4:11Speaker 1: as Block. You do cover Tesla? Is that a risk
- 4:14Speaker 1: when it comes to Tesla? I think it's to perceive
- 4:18Speaker 1: the risk and and it is a real risk relative
- 4:21Speaker 1: to how it does. Must dive and deep end to
- 4:26Speaker 1: the pool with Twitter in terms of Issy a chairman,
- 4:28Speaker 1: because we we've that would be more of the role.
- 4:30Speaker 1: It's not gonna be CEO, who have others that would
- 4:34Speaker 1: ultimately as a private company, really try to transform Twitter.
- 4:39Speaker 1: But I think it does take attention at a time
- 4:43Speaker 1: that we're really going through just such an important time
- 4:46Speaker 1: for Tessa in terms of easy the shift among consumers.
- 4:51Speaker 1: You have the Giga factory build out in Berlin, Austin,
- 4:54Speaker 1: you have some of the issues clearly in China, which
- 4:57Speaker 1: is the hearts and longs, the Tesla story. And that's
- 4:59Speaker 1: why long perception you have to sell Pestler's shares is
- 5:03Speaker 1: why the stock down look as a testa holder. Your
- 5:06Speaker 1: dream is not for Musque to buy Twitter. It's a negative.
- 5:11Speaker 1: And I think that's why you see that reaction because
- 5:13Speaker 1: again the eyes of many you're trading in caviare for
- 5:18Speaker 1: a pretzel on Broadway descriptive. Yeah, I'm hungry. I like it.
- 5:25Speaker 1: But if he stays chairman, I understand. And you know,
- 5:27Speaker 1: we've obviously seen him do a couple of different jobs
- 5:30Speaker 1: with much greater success, arguably greater than Jack Dorsey. Right,
- 5:35Speaker 1: SpaceX and Twitter at the same time. Dan, great to
- 5:37Speaker 1: have you on. Thanks so much for joining us. Dan ives.
- 5:39Speaker 1: They are Managing director Senior equity analyst at Wedbush Security,
- 5:48Speaker 1: Andy Marsh plug Power, speaking of CEO and president of
- 5:52Speaker 1: plug Power. But it's not it doesn't do what you
- 5:55Speaker 1: think it does. Andy, I bet you a million people
- 5:59Speaker 1: think that you, um, you're all about e V technology,
- 6:03Speaker 1: but you're really about hydrogen and fuel cell technology. Right,
- 6:07Speaker 1: tell us our outline for us the difference, Well, I
- 6:11Speaker 1: think the mayor Hi match great being here. I think
- 6:14Speaker 1: The major difference matter is, and I would separate is
- 6:18Speaker 1: it's be these and be these run on batteries or
- 6:22Speaker 1: as the Corvette as a hybrid unit with batteries and
- 6:28Speaker 1: there were, and a fuel cell runs on hydrogen and
- 6:32Speaker 1: plug power. With our recent deal with walmart's going to
- 6:35Speaker 1: be generating twenty tons of green hydrogen too for them,
- 6:39Speaker 1: and a you know, a kilogram is a thousand tons
- 6:43Speaker 1: as one ton, and that's about thirty three to one
- 6:46Speaker 1: hours of electricity. So we generate hydrogen, we provide the
- 6:50Speaker 1: fuel cells which make vehicles run like last mile vehicles
- 6:54Speaker 1: and Class eight trucks. Yeah, that's another important difference, right
- 7:00Speaker 1: not um, you're not gonna be well, who knows what
- 7:03Speaker 1: happens and when Corvette comes out fully electric, but for
- 7:06Speaker 1: now you're not powering corvettes. You're powering what fork lifts
- 7:11Speaker 1: or trucks that get things, not the eighteen wheelers, but
- 7:14Speaker 1: the final destination trucks. Right With our JB with Renault,
- 7:21Speaker 1: which is called i DA, we planned it over the
- 7:24Speaker 1: next four or five years deploy over a hundred thousand
- 7:28Speaker 1: vehicles and they will run on duel cells. They will
- 7:32Speaker 1: be powered by fuel cells and batteries will be hybridge,
- 7:36Speaker 1: and that vehicle will be will be provided will be
- 7:39Speaker 1: powered by green hydrogen, which is generated by plug power.
- 7:43Speaker 1: We're building out five hundred tons of capacity here in
- 7:46Speaker 1: the United States as well as in Europe with our
- 7:49Speaker 1: partner Acciona, which is the largest provider of renewable electricity,
- 7:54Speaker 1: which will be used to create green hydrogen. So you
- 7:59Speaker 1: mentioned your deal with Smart. I'm curious, who's coming next?
- 8:04Speaker 1: Great question. You know, if you look at our chart
- 8:07Speaker 1: of customers, it includes people like Amazon, Home Depot and others.
- 8:12Speaker 1: I would expect that, like any company, we leverage our
- 8:16Speaker 1: present relationships to build out our business with new products,
- 8:20Speaker 1: and today I would think they're probably the prime candidates
- 8:25Speaker 1: to who comes next? If you have Amazon in Walmart,
- 8:28Speaker 1: I mean who else is there that's You've got the
- 8:31Speaker 1: whole market tied up? Why? Andy? Why you know the
- 8:36Speaker 1: stock has been in one sense beloved a darling the company.
- 8:41Speaker 1: I'll say, Um, I remember when Matt Winkler put you
- 8:44Speaker 1: guys in an op ed about the importance of what
- 8:47Speaker 1: you do. And on the on the other hand, um,
- 8:51Speaker 1: it's been a tough run for the stock for shareholders
- 8:53Speaker 1: over the last year. You've come down, you know over
- 8:58Speaker 1: the from the high year down about half. Why do
- 9:01Speaker 1: you think or what's the market getting wrong? Well, I
- 9:05Speaker 1: think that one item I think that's really critical matter
- 9:08Speaker 1: is that we have a very strong balance sheet. We
- 9:12Speaker 1: have over four billion dollars of cash in the bank
- 9:15Speaker 1: to build our plan. We won't be going to the market.
- 9:18Speaker 1: I think then you take on fat top of that
- 9:21Speaker 1: that there's three advantages to hydrogen. One is that the
- 9:27Speaker 1: world is committed to producing their CEO two footprint, and
- 9:31Speaker 1: the folks of Bloomberg believes hydrogeneral of it. The second
- 9:35Speaker 1: item is that you know, we're creating jobs. I've been
- 9:38Speaker 1: sitting here with Mackenzie today reviewing the job creation that
- 9:42Speaker 1: plug Power and us in the hydrogen industry will will produce.
- 9:46Speaker 1: It's going to be significant. And I think the third
- 9:49Speaker 1: item is that hydrogen and fuel cells are critical to
- 9:53Speaker 1: national security. We're substitute for natural gas. I think that
- 9:58Speaker 1: in the market, opportunities are large. You know, we can
- 10:01Speaker 1: survive this short term dip in the stock price because
- 10:06Speaker 1: the prospects long term are extremely positive and we have
- 10:10Speaker 1: the balance sheet to support it. Balance sheet to support it.
- 10:14Speaker 1: Talk to us a little bit about your cash, your debt.
- 10:17Speaker 1: One of the big I think rescuers maybe for lack
- 10:20Speaker 1: of a better term, when it comes to stock prices
- 10:22Speaker 1: right now, is the amount of cushion, the amount of
- 10:24Speaker 1: liquidity a company has talked to us about yours. Yeah,
- 10:28Speaker 1: at the moment, we have over four billion dollars of cash.
- 10:32Speaker 1: I foresee no need in the mid term to have
- 10:37Speaker 1: to be going to the market at all for cash.
- 10:39Speaker 1: And when I talk mid term, I'm talking three to
- 10:42Speaker 1: four years, all right, So very interesting set up there. Um.
- 10:49Speaker 1: Is hydrogen power fuel cell gonna be used for electric
- 10:54Speaker 1: corvettes eventually? Does it go beyond I mean not the
- 10:56Speaker 1: corvette specifically, but Andy, you get my meaning, to to
- 11:00Speaker 1: go beyond the last mile vehicles that you currently power.
- 11:04Speaker 1: Absolutely and I think you know, Plug spend a lot
- 11:06Speaker 1: of time looking at Class eight vehicles and just to
- 11:09Speaker 1: give you a feel, Walmart has about ten thousand Class
- 11:14Speaker 1: eight vehicles. Moving to a hydrogen power Class eight vehicles.
- 11:18Speaker 1: We reduced their carbon output by two three tons per
- 11:23Speaker 1: year per truck. That's a big number. Is to help
- 11:26Speaker 1: them reach their goal of one giga ton per year reduction.
- 11:31Speaker 1: So yes, we'll be there, Andy, Thanks so much. For
- 11:34Speaker 1: joining US. Andy Marsh there is the CEO and president
- 11:37Speaker 1: of Plug Power and UH as we have been discussing.
- 11:42Speaker 1: They deal with hydrogen and fuel cell technology. They put,
- 11:45Speaker 1: for example, UM the power into lift trucks for Walmart
- 11:50Speaker 1: and for Amazon and for a number of other big companies.
- 11:54Speaker 1: So UM plug Power. The ticker is p L Eugene
- 11:58Speaker 1: right now is trading at twenty one dollars and nineties
- 12:01Speaker 1: cents on the NAZ deck. Now let's talk China. I mean,
- 12:08Speaker 1: this is the driver between everything we've seen happen today
- 12:13Speaker 1: in equity markets, the fallout in commodities with oil down
- 12:18Speaker 1: five per cent UM, even the UH fixed income markets.
- 12:22Speaker 1: I mean, on Friday we were talking about which economists
- 12:27Speaker 1: could predict more rate rises from the Fed, right, I mean,
- 12:32Speaker 1: no Mura said fifty basis points now and then seventy
- 12:34Speaker 1: seventy five. Everyone else was saying fifty. Um. It was
- 12:39Speaker 1: like a contest. And now investors are clamoring to buy
- 12:42Speaker 1: ten year debt. I mean, if you think the Fed's
- 12:45Speaker 1: gonna raise rates that much, do you want to buy
- 12:47Speaker 1: today's paper? Um? I guess you do if you are
- 12:51Speaker 1: looking at what's coming out of only if you're freaked
- 12:54Speaker 1: out about the possibility that she Jin Ping is gonna
- 12:58Speaker 1: stick to his COVID zero Paul to see the economy
- 13:01Speaker 1: be damned. Damien sass Hour joins us now from Bloomberg Intelligence.
- 13:05Speaker 1: Is that what we're looking at, Damien, Well, look, I
- 13:07Speaker 1: mean it's very difficult to kind of think about where
- 13:09Speaker 1: US treasury yields are going. I mean, I don't put
- 13:11Speaker 1: any stock and where anyone is saying the dollar or
- 13:14Speaker 1: treasuries are going to go from here. But look, I
- 13:15Speaker 1: mean if you just look at where we are relative
- 13:17Speaker 1: only a few months ago, I could not model a
- 13:20Speaker 1: scenario in which you're going to get a positive toll
- 13:21Speaker 1: to return out of US fixed income. I just couldn't
- 13:23Speaker 1: do it. But today, given where yields are, it's definitely
- 13:26Speaker 1: a lot more plausible. And so look, if you're looking
- 13:28Speaker 1: for safe havens in a world in which there are none,
- 13:31Speaker 1: met um U s treasury is the long end of
- 13:33Speaker 1: the curve is starting to look a little bit appealing.
- 13:36Speaker 1: I'm very curious about the mobility data coming out of China.
- 13:40Speaker 1: This is something that I think a lot of uh
- 13:43Speaker 1: Chinese strategist or China strategists like yourself, um are are
- 13:47Speaker 1: looking at. But what I don't understand is that if
- 13:51Speaker 1: you have this mobility data that is really just a
- 13:54Speaker 1: function of COVID lockdowns, what is the read through into
- 13:57Speaker 1: exports for China, because that seems to be the ripple
- 14:00Speaker 1: effect for the rest of the world. Well, I mean
- 14:02Speaker 1: that you're hitting right on the screws. I mean, I'm cretty.
- 14:04Speaker 1: I mean, if you want to talk about export data,
- 14:06Speaker 1: this is the real reason that you want has come off.
- 14:07Speaker 1: It's because of the move in the Japanese yen, right,
- 14:09Speaker 1: I mean, we saw the Japanese yen has gotten absolutely
- 14:12Speaker 1: crushed this month. And what that does is it makes
- 14:14Speaker 1: Japanese exports that's that much more attractive relative to Asian
- 14:17Speaker 1: peers like South Korea, like China, and certainly our friends
- 14:20Speaker 1: in Beijing took stock of this. And look, I mean
- 14:23Speaker 1: twenty three big figure move on a dollar u on
- 14:26Speaker 1: just this month. I mean that is a very very
- 14:29Speaker 1: big move. And this is an economy where they have
- 14:31Speaker 1: made it an absolute mandate to keep the volatility of
- 14:34Speaker 1: dollar yuan to to a minimum. And look they're they're
- 14:37Speaker 1: they're basically repricing it, They're basically rerating it. And look
- 14:41Speaker 1: this is nothing new for China watchers, It's nothing new
- 14:43Speaker 1: for emergeny market investors. This happens once every what three
- 14:46Speaker 1: or five years, and you know, on the back of
- 14:48Speaker 1: it you see something like China high yield debt basically
- 14:51Speaker 1: lose fifty percent of its value, which we have, or
- 14:53Speaker 1: the equity market lose of its value year to date. Look,
- 14:56Speaker 1: you have to you have to weather that storm. This
- 14:58Speaker 1: is just the way it is when you're investing in
- 15:00Speaker 1: and A. But look, if you are looking at the
- 15:02Speaker 1: technicals and I hate to look at technicals and and
- 15:05Speaker 1: use that as a as as a sort of a
- 15:06Speaker 1: written with which to invest, I mean, you look at
- 15:09Speaker 1: margin lending, it's it's it's at a very low level.
- 15:11Speaker 1: If you look at um, if you look at liquidity levels,
- 15:14Speaker 1: you know, I mean they're they're they're they're starting to improve.
- 15:16Speaker 1: So you know, you're starting to see you know, some
- 15:18Speaker 1: people kind of bottom feeding into Chinese equities. But for me,
- 15:21Speaker 1: you know, the risk is just not there. I mean,
- 15:23Speaker 1: despite the light investor positioning, I mean, there's just so
- 15:25Speaker 1: much risk behind it. And given what's going on here
- 15:28Speaker 1: with the A d R listings in the US and
- 15:29Speaker 1: the fact that many of then me get you know,
- 15:31Speaker 1: pushed out to Hong Kong. It's just not a recipe
- 15:34Speaker 1: for success of them. I mean I read in a
- 15:35Speaker 1: Bloomberg story a couple of hours ago that in Shanghai
- 15:41Speaker 1: workers in hasmat suits fanning out over the weekend to
- 15:45Speaker 1: install steal fences around buildings with positive COVID cases. Well,
- 15:50Speaker 1: what's the imagery to me is shocking. But my question
- 15:53Speaker 1: is how does the PBOC react, you know, how does
- 15:58Speaker 1: the um fiscal stimulus piece uh coming sort of balance
- 16:05Speaker 1: that on the teeter totter of COVID zero versus economic growth. Well,
- 16:10Speaker 1: China has been very successful with the total social financing
- 16:12Speaker 1: and injecting fiscal stimulus into the economy and doing it
- 16:15Speaker 1: in the right way. But you're absolutely right this economy,
- 16:17Speaker 1: I mean, investors have been waiting waiting for Godot I guess,
- 16:20Speaker 1: waiting for the PBOC to come in and start cutting
- 16:22Speaker 1: rates and for me, you know, what they have not
- 16:24Speaker 1: been able to achieve is, you know, to really get
- 16:27Speaker 1: in front of the curve, to really show that the
- 16:28Speaker 1: monetary support is sufficient to offset the GDP decline. So
- 16:31Speaker 1: what are we calling for, as we were calling for
- 16:34Speaker 1: last year, We're calling for more triple our cuts. I
- 16:36Speaker 1: think we're calling for something on the order of seventy
- 16:37Speaker 1: five BIPs of cuts this year. We're also calling for
- 16:39Speaker 1: another thirty BIPs of cuts to the medium to lending,
- 16:42Speaker 1: the medium term lending facility. This is all good, but
- 16:45Speaker 1: certainly it just doesn't look like it's going to be enough.
- 16:48Speaker 1: And if you just look at the reserves in China
- 16:50Speaker 1: three point one three point two trillion, it's they've got
- 16:52Speaker 1: tons of cushion there. One would think that they'd rather
- 16:56Speaker 1: not dip into that in order to supplement the economy,
- 16:58Speaker 1: that they'd rather you know, in age and monetary easing
- 17:01Speaker 1: in order to do it. But look, the verdict is
- 17:03Speaker 1: still at right now you've got China U S yield
- 17:05Speaker 1: differentials in verted. You should not see that. It's something
- 17:08Speaker 1: we rarely see. It's obviously being driven by US treasury
- 17:11Speaker 1: yields on one hand, but rest assured you know the
- 17:14Speaker 1: dollar you on cross rate follows that. Very few I
- 17:16Speaker 1: think that bounces back by the way I do. I
- 17:19Speaker 1: absolutely do. I think if if it's right now, basically
- 17:21Speaker 1: ideas you can get more buying US tenure treasuries than
- 17:24Speaker 1: you can buying ten year debt in China, I think
- 17:27Speaker 1: I think that China's hand is being forced here by
- 17:29Speaker 1: the market. I think they're going to have to slash
- 17:30Speaker 1: rates in order to protect their economy. I mean, look,
- 17:33Speaker 1: you know it's a very different economy, right, and so
- 17:35Speaker 1: you know it remains to be seen. But if you
- 17:38Speaker 1: just look at all the health care signs, you look
- 17:40Speaker 1: at the entre offshore are China un basis where at
- 17:43Speaker 1: three hundred bits, that's like a two and two and
- 17:45Speaker 1: a half standard deviation move or something like that. If
- 17:47Speaker 1: you look at one month delta risk reversals on dollar
- 17:50Speaker 1: you on, I mean they are screaming of dollar call buying.
- 17:53Speaker 1: You know, you've got Cinepeg, You've got PetroChina. You know
- 17:56Speaker 1: their big energy exporters all uh purchase protection against the
- 18:01Speaker 1: rising dollars. So you know, the concern is there, and
- 18:03Speaker 1: I think Beijing is finally getting the getting the hints hopefully, Damien.
- 18:06Speaker 1: Thanks so much for joining us, Damian Sassaur. They're from
- 18:09Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence. By the way, dropping a pop culture reference.
- 18:12Speaker 1: You can't do that with Critty. She's only what have
- 18:16Speaker 1: you seen waiting for good? But to class she hasn't
- 18:21Speaker 1: seen Armageddon and she hasn't seen waiting for good. Have confused? Confused?
- 18:27Speaker 1: Know what you're from Texas? That has nothing to do
- 18:30Speaker 1: with it. You know what I've seen top gun and
- 18:31Speaker 1: that's all that matters. Point, fair point, Damian, Thanks so
- 18:35Speaker 1: much for joining us. We had so much to talk
- 18:44Speaker 1: about with Shinali Bastik. I was thinking about you this
- 18:46Speaker 1: weekend because well I read your story The Mooch, which
- 18:50Speaker 1: I loved, and then the plot can saga continues unbelievable.
- 18:56Speaker 1: If you don't know Gabe plotting is the I guess
- 18:59Speaker 1: he is considered like genius hedge fund manager who ran
- 19:03Speaker 1: Melvin Capital and got destroyed by Wall Street bets and
- 19:07Speaker 1: the kind of uh bro vests on Reddit, and now
- 19:12Speaker 1: he came out with the He had the gall last
- 19:15Speaker 1: week to come out and say, you know what, I'm
- 19:17Speaker 1: gonna start charging my investors more. Yeah, is that right? Basically,
- 19:22Speaker 1: so he was going to reboot his fund and now
- 19:24Speaker 1: he's going back to the drawing board. He apologized. He
- 19:26Speaker 1: said he we hear the phrase reboot a lot, but
- 19:29Speaker 1: all I was reading was two and twenty. Yeah. Yeah,
- 19:32Speaker 1: I mean that's the thing. You can't just reboot by
- 19:35Speaker 1: pretending everything else didn't happen in the past. That that is,
- 19:38Speaker 1: if I had to draw this down to one line,
- 19:40Speaker 1: it's that. And the reason I wanted to kind of
- 19:42Speaker 1: draw these stories together is that actually Anthony Scaramucci's firm,
- 19:46Speaker 1: Skybridge was an investor in Melvin Capital. So yeah, really
- 19:50Speaker 1: that's cool. So yeah, well that's the thing. These companies
- 19:53Speaker 1: are very intertwined. And when it comes to Gay plot again,
- 19:56Speaker 1: he's the next generation of fund managers, right, it's him,
- 19:58Speaker 1: It's stand sometime, it's all of these younger stars that
- 20:01Speaker 1: are hitting their first big sets of issues. And if
- 20:04Speaker 1: you look at Gay Platkin, he got caught up last
- 20:07Speaker 1: year in that Reddit saga in the short squeeze, then
- 20:10Speaker 1: this year in the market draw downs, a lot of
- 20:13Speaker 1: pain among him and his peers. By the way, I
- 20:15Speaker 1: take back the term bro investors. That was not fair.
- 20:19Speaker 1: There are a lot of good bros in the world,
- 20:21Speaker 1: and I don't mean to to to smear their good
- 20:26Speaker 1: name with bets. Well here's the problem. But the mooch
- 20:33Speaker 1: fits I mean, right, well, here's the thing. I mean,
- 20:36Speaker 1: there's some bros involved, yes, of course, but however, a
- 20:38Speaker 1: lot of these are you know, privy fund funds that
- 20:41Speaker 1: are privy to big institutional investors that are very unbrolike
- 20:44Speaker 1: and in fact don't love the bro behavior. So it
- 20:48Speaker 1: is definitely like this idea that you know, I'll even
- 20:52Speaker 1: read from our story Sussex Partners selects hedge funds on
- 20:55Speaker 1: behalf of clients big institutional investors. He they set told
- 20:58Speaker 1: Bloomberg that resetting high watermarks at new higher levels, it
- 21:02Speaker 1: ain't gonna cut it right, So you can't just start
- 21:05Speaker 1: over here after after some batt It's not hard for
- 21:08Speaker 1: me to believe that Scaramucci and Melvin are in bed together.
- 21:13Speaker 1: I was shocked that when I first heard, I think
- 21:16Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago, that Assault was going to
- 21:19Speaker 1: go down to the Bahamas and hang out with my
- 21:21Speaker 1: boy Sam Bankman Freed. These two people don't seem like
- 21:26Speaker 1: peas in a pod, right, Anthony Scaramucci, who worked for
- 21:31Speaker 1: Donald Trump for eleven days, he was too Trump to
- 21:35Speaker 1: stay with the Trump administration. He's getting together the opposite.
- 21:39Speaker 1: Actually super genius with this incredible like m I T Havenford, Loss,
- 21:46Speaker 1: Sand Bankman Freed and by the way, liberal Biden donor,
- 21:52Speaker 1: they's hanging out with the Mouci Yeah, this is interesting.
- 21:54Speaker 1: I think that that's you know, because Anthony Scaramucci had
- 21:57Speaker 1: spent some time in the Trump White House. There's this
- 21:59Speaker 1: concept that he is, you know, trumpy, I guess. But
- 22:02Speaker 1: the thing is, now, in addition to setting up this
- 22:05Speaker 1: new conference, you know, we know Sam Bank from Freed
- 22:07Speaker 1: is a huge Democratic donor and a huge donor to politics.
- 22:10Speaker 1: We know that Anthony Scaramucci actually is part of a
- 22:13Speaker 1: pack that's actually donating money or contributing money to both
- 22:17Speaker 1: Democrats and Republicans. I guess they all they all pay
- 22:20Speaker 1: off politicians on both sides of the Aisland. The idea
- 22:23Speaker 1: here that they have is to really contribute to especially
- 22:28Speaker 1: Democratic politicians who are pro crypto. They think it's going
- 22:31Speaker 1: to be a single issue vote into the midterms, into
- 22:34Speaker 1: the next set of elections. So you know, yes, they
- 22:37Speaker 1: have their pack that's on the side. But in addition
- 22:39Speaker 1: to that, this week they were going to have a
- 22:41Speaker 1: thousand people. Now it's closer to two thousand people heading
- 22:44Speaker 1: down to the Bahamas in order to talk about crypto,
- 22:48Speaker 1: pump up the crypto industry and really get more people
- 22:51Speaker 1: excited about crypto. As Skybridge. By the way, he told
- 22:54Speaker 1: me Anthony told me that Skybridge has really been gaining
- 22:57Speaker 1: from cryptocurrencies as some of these other hedge funds don't
- 23:00Speaker 1: do as well. They bought bitcoin at they're better than fire?
- 23:05Speaker 1: Are you going to fight? What not to fire that already?
- 23:12Speaker 1: Are you are not? Going? So my furious because I'm
- 23:16Speaker 1: going to milk in next week and so that there's
- 23:19Speaker 1: a lot of conferences going on. You've got to wonder
- 23:21Speaker 1: how long this goes on for. Remember, people are still
- 23:23Speaker 1: worried about COVID. I'm checking to see if I need
- 23:25Speaker 1: to good test which people are still worried about COVID investors,
- 23:29Speaker 1: anybody that's meeting up in large groups right now? A
- 23:32Speaker 1: lot of people are. And by the way, have you
- 23:33Speaker 1: guys tried to get an uber in New York? It's
- 23:35Speaker 1: like seventy bucks to get forty blocks. So it is,
- 23:40Speaker 1: you know, hard to get around because people are meeting
- 23:42Speaker 1: in mass and you know, next week it's time to
- 23:46Speaker 1: do that little COVID check to see how many people
- 23:49Speaker 1: went to these confermes. You're going to milk in. You
- 23:51Speaker 1: pretty you just went to this oil conference that I
- 23:55Speaker 1: loved you at. What was that did a month ago?
- 23:56Speaker 1: Sara week Sarah week. What's your next conference? Uh? TVD
- 24:01Speaker 1: the powers that you have not told me. I'll be.
- 24:04Speaker 1: But do we not have anyone going to the Bahamas?
- 24:06Speaker 1: I don't know. So no, no, But you know, frankly, like,
- 24:11Speaker 1: here's the thing, my this is, this is a Twitter
- 24:14Speaker 1: People communicate of course through Twitter messages, and so my
- 24:18Speaker 1: my Twitter message inbox is chock full of everyone who's
- 24:21Speaker 1: in the Bahamas. So I do feel like I'm getting by.
- 24:24Speaker 1: I'll go, I'll be not the Tan. You should go.
- 24:27Speaker 1: You have a crypto show tomorrow? Yeah, and what when
- 24:30Speaker 1: does this conference kick off tomorrow? Oh? So maybe I'll
- 24:33Speaker 1: just fly in after your show, my show. Um, if
- 24:37Speaker 1: anybody out there is listening with a private jet and
- 24:39Speaker 1: you're on your way feeling a little generous, is it?
- 24:45Speaker 1: Are we? Are we going to hit a crypto winter here?
- 24:48Speaker 1: I mean we're off what we were off another three
- 24:49Speaker 1: percent this morning. Now, it's a great question. There's a
- 24:51Speaker 1: lot of questions about at the Lunar Project and the
- 24:54Speaker 1: buying of cryptocurrencies. There's a lot of questions around what
- 24:57Speaker 1: is the next leg, you know, what's going to push
- 25:00Speaker 1: crypto actually higher. There was so much adoption last year
- 25:03Speaker 1: people are really excited about the Lightning network. We're talking
- 25:06Speaker 1: to Jack Maller's later today of strike. That's a big form.
- 25:10Speaker 1: You know, if I told you that payments volumes surpassed
- 25:13Speaker 1: Visa on the bitcoin network last year, you don't see
- 25:15Speaker 1: it in the price today. And so I just you
- 25:19Speaker 1: just reminded me about. Um. What I loved about your
- 25:23Speaker 1: interview with Scaramucci is he pointed out that he was
- 25:27Speaker 1: in a meeting like forever ago in Washington, d C.
- 25:31Speaker 1: With somebody from Treasury who was like, we should think
- 25:35Speaker 1: about doing the digital dollar, and he was like how
- 25:37Speaker 1: and they said, put it on the blockchain and he
- 25:39Speaker 1: was like, oh oh, that a wake up call for him.
- 25:44Speaker 1: And I thought that was just a brilliant little blurb
- 25:47Speaker 1: from that from that story, So I recommend uh you
- 25:50Speaker 1: all always read Shnali's reporting. Do you have a newsletter
- 25:53Speaker 1: I do every Friday? And how do we subscribe to that?
- 25:57Speaker 1: You can subscribe on the terminal and you can also
- 26:00Speaker 1: subscribe on my LinkedIn and you can just email me
- 26:03Speaker 1: I'll put you on the letter. All right, Very cool,
- 26:05Speaker 1: many many options, Very very cool. All right. Snollie Bassett
- 26:08Speaker 1: covers Wall Street for US. Thanks for listening to the
- 26:14Speaker 1: Bloomberg Markets podcast, you can subscribe and listen to interviews
- 26:18Speaker 1: of Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm
- 26:22Speaker 1: Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at Matt Miller three. Put
- 26:26Speaker 1: on fall Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney Before
- 26:29Speaker 1: the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg
- 26:32Speaker 1: Radio