Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 4 Showdown - CJ Cup Byron Nelson | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process | 05/24/26
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: Fall system's gone clear. You lift good evening, Happy Friday,
- 0:37Speaker 1: Happy to Morral Day. Weekend. I should have said that
- 0:39Speaker 1: yesterday or Thursday. But hope you guys are having a
- 0:42Speaker 1: nice weekend. It is raining on the East coast of
- 0:45Speaker 1: the United States where I am not. Hopefully the weather
- 0:47Speaker 1: is good where you guys are gearing up with a
- 0:49Speaker 1: little ghost energy sour strips pretty solid if you've never
- 0:53Speaker 1: had it, would recommend what is your energy drink of choice?
- 0:56Speaker 1: As a new coffee guy, I'm trying to weed off
- 0:58Speaker 1: of the energy drinks, but they come and go and
- 1:01Speaker 1: then and then there's one next to me, so I'm
- 1:03Speaker 1: gonna drink it. It's just what I'm gonna do. So
- 1:05Speaker 1: some stuff at the top. If I do switch my
- 1:08Speaker 1: screen and the volume cuts out, please let me know
- 1:11Speaker 1: in the comments so I could fix that as soon
- 1:13Speaker 1: as possible. And yeah, that's basically it. I'm here to
- 1:16Speaker 1: talk Ron four showdown. I'm here to recap round three.
- 1:19Speaker 1: I know we had a nice round three. So I
- 1:21Speaker 1: saw you guys in Discord some nice rounds using this
- 1:24Speaker 1: slate plan in the stone, all that great stuff. We
- 1:26Speaker 1: got some nice shout out. Austin Thatch wrote shout out
- 1:29Speaker 1: Scotty Scheffer, Rios and they will get there. But let's
- 1:32Speaker 1: bring the screen up. So if the audio goes out,
- 1:36Speaker 1: please let me know. Right here. Round three we seen
- 1:39Speaker 1: we saw Steven Yeger, Scotty Scheffler, Wyndham Clark, Max Grazerman,
- 1:44Speaker 1: Blades Brown realist today, yes, Ros Benson and Austin eck
- 1:47Speaker 1: wrote shoot rounds of sixty five or better. I see
- 1:52Speaker 1: no comments, so it looks like the audio is okay.
- 1:55Speaker 1: But basically, anyone, no matter who you are, could have
- 2:00Speaker 1: shot a low round today. And that's kind of what
- 2:01Speaker 1: I was getting at within the show yesterday. You don't
- 2:05Speaker 1: need to have a certain skill set to have a
- 2:07Speaker 1: nice round at this golf course. It's very easy, and
- 2:10Speaker 1: we saw guys kind of do it in multiple ways. Scotti,
- 2:12Speaker 1: Shreffler was all green, Yeager was approaching around the green.
- 2:16Speaker 1: Grazerman and Blades Brown were all green. By all greens,
- 2:19Speaker 1: I said this once we'll set again. All green means
- 2:22Speaker 1: they do everything well, gaining a little bit of strokes
- 2:25Speaker 1: in every single category. Rio yistat today was accuracy and
- 2:28Speaker 1: putting Yes presents and was distance and putting. Austin Ecro
- 2:31Speaker 1: was just pure around the green, so we kind of
- 2:33Speaker 1: luck boxed our way to that Austin ecro round, but
- 2:35Speaker 1: we were on him in the slate plan, so you
- 2:38Speaker 1: could see all these guys had and then there's a
- 2:40Speaker 1: world where you could have gotten to. I guess all
- 2:41Speaker 1: of these guys based on how they are priced, but
- 2:44Speaker 1: so many guys shot sixty five better and they did
- 2:46Speaker 1: it in different ways, so there's not really, Like I said,
- 2:50Speaker 1: there's no specific skill set that I was looking for yesterday.
- 2:53Speaker 1: It was the bill that I was looking for was
- 2:55Speaker 1: low owned tee to green golfers, and that kind of
- 2:58Speaker 1: came to fruition in some regards. So hopefully you got
- 3:00Speaker 1: some of those low owned golfers. I will say we
- 3:03Speaker 1: were wrong about the wave split. Let me bring up
- 3:05Speaker 1: the screen again and see I was pretty heavy with
- 3:08Speaker 1: that morning. I may maybe I was not. I wasn't
- 3:11Speaker 1: aware of when they were going to go out in
- 3:13Speaker 1: terms of the tea times. They kind of all went
- 3:15Speaker 1: out in one specific spot. But I thought this green number,
- 3:18Speaker 1: this AM number, was gonna come more to fruition than
- 3:20Speaker 1: it did. I guess better golfers went off in the PM,
- 3:23Speaker 1: and I guess minus two point one versus minus two
- 3:26Speaker 1: point four isn't much of a split at all. So
- 3:29Speaker 1: I'm not gonna crud myself completely for that, because if
- 3:32Speaker 1: the the weather, or if the tea times were I
- 3:34Speaker 1: guess more normal than this, could have came through more
- 3:37Speaker 1: for us. So but I did kind of target some
- 3:40Speaker 1: more early guys and they didn't necessarily come truition as
- 3:43Speaker 1: much as I thought they would be. In terms of tomorrow,
- 3:45Speaker 1: I'm not really seeing a wave split at all. Seven
- 3:48Speaker 1: am to seven pm looks fairly similar. I guess you
- 3:52Speaker 1: could say that earlier you go out there's this barely
- 3:55Speaker 1: any less gusts, but guys aren't going to go out
- 3:56Speaker 1: that early anyway, and it's gonna be temper around sixty
- 4:00Speaker 1: six seventy degrees all day, eighty degrees midday. It's nothing
- 4:04Speaker 1: really to write home about. I don't care if you
- 4:06Speaker 1: want to play guys in the morning. I don't care
- 4:07Speaker 1: if you want to play guys midday, afternoon, whatever. Uh,
- 4:10Speaker 1: probably more towards the afternoon because the better golfers are
- 4:13Speaker 1: in that afternoon. But there's no form of weather that's
- 4:15Speaker 1: going to hold you back from scoring. So I'm not
- 4:17Speaker 1: really looking at the wave split at all for tomorrow.
- 4:20Speaker 1: In terms of the contest selection for tomorrow, I want
- 4:22Speaker 1: to take a look at this fifteen k long drive,
- 4:25Speaker 1: one hundred dollars single entry as well as the five
- 4:27Speaker 1: to five five. The five to five to five. I
- 4:29Speaker 1: never talked about the five five five because it's a
- 4:32Speaker 1: big boy contest. I know a lot of people aren't
- 4:34Speaker 1: entering five and fifty five dollars worth one lineup, but
- 4:37Speaker 1: there's twenty k up top, which is kind of low.
- 4:40Speaker 1: We've seen that contest havea up to one hundred k
- 4:42Speaker 1: up top and it's a but it's a really, really,
- 4:44Speaker 1: really solid structure. I think it's like twentieth place plays
- 4:48Speaker 1: pays ten ten percent of that top prize in the
- 4:51Speaker 1: five five to five. So I really like that five
- 4:53Speaker 1: by five if you want to get in that big
- 4:55Speaker 1: dog and Sunday Sundays where I think we separate the best.
- 4:58Speaker 1: So if there's a day for it, but if you
- 4:59Speaker 1: just to spend one hundred dollars, this one hundred dollars
- 5:01Speaker 1: single entry, twenty five hundred up top, and then two
- 5:05Speaker 1: hundred and fifty is to twentieth place. So this is
- 5:08Speaker 1: an absolutely blessed payout structure in my opinion, not top heavy,
- 5:12Speaker 1: very very fair, and how many people get paid out?
- 5:15Speaker 1: Forty people get paid out. That's roughly what twenty forty
- 5:18Speaker 1: divided by one sixty six forty divided by one sixty
- 5:21Speaker 1: six equals twenty four. So twenty four percent of the
- 5:25Speaker 1: field gets paid out. That's exactly what I'm looking for.
- 5:27Speaker 1: And that tenth place mark gets well over ten percent
- 5:31Speaker 1: of the top So I think this is great payout structure.
- 5:33Speaker 1: I think there's a great contest for tomorrow before we
- 5:37Speaker 1: get into some of the players that we're looking for.
- 5:38Speaker 1: Some of the strategy with the strategy is going to
- 5:40Speaker 1: be huge for tomorrow. I want to touch on some
- 5:42Speaker 1: of the site tools and give us a shout out
- 5:44Speaker 1: for what we did yesterday. So the Stone got us
- 5:48Speaker 1: on Rio hisat tune as well as a slate plan.
- 5:51Speaker 1: He was a pivot. You didn't even have to do anything.
- 5:54Speaker 1: You went over there, looked at the color and you're like,
- 5:56Speaker 1: all right, Rio stot today, let's put him in the playerpool.
- 5:58Speaker 1: Outside of that, we have have the PGA showdown projections.
- 6:03Speaker 1: They will be up. They were up last night ten
- 6:05Speaker 1: twenty five. Give it a few hours, give it four
- 6:07Speaker 1: hours and they will be up. As always, we are sweaty, tryhards.
- 6:10Speaker 1: We do not rush anything in terms of the data
- 6:12Speaker 1: on our site. It will it will be last, and
- 6:15Speaker 1: we're okay with it being last. We want it to
- 6:16Speaker 1: be right. We don't want it to be first. Showdown
- 6:20Speaker 1: slate plan as well. The slate plan was great. It
- 6:22Speaker 1: got us on Scotti Scheffler, it got us on Rio
- 6:25Speaker 1: Hussa today, and it got us on Austin Ekrot. So
- 6:28Speaker 1: we can give ourselves a clap for that. Hopefully you
- 6:30Speaker 1: use a few names from those slate plans, Hopefully use
- 6:32Speaker 1: a few names from the productions, and hopefully you use
- 6:34Speaker 1: the few names from the stone. If you want to join,
- 6:38Speaker 1: go over to join the nation. You look at that
- 6:40Speaker 1: banner at the top. You can get the first week
- 6:42Speaker 1: for free. If you just want the single sport PGA
- 6:45Speaker 1: just the content bang, you want the optimizer, which I
- 6:48Speaker 1: think you do want the optimizer, this one right here,
- 6:50Speaker 1: ten percent off after that first week is free. Use
- 6:53Speaker 1: code boots. All right, now it's time to talk about
- 6:56Speaker 1: some some real important stuff. Talk some strategy for four.
- 7:00Speaker 1: Talk some golfers that we are going to be on
- 7:03Speaker 1: in round four. Also answer the question is what are
- 7:07Speaker 1: we gonna do up top. I'm gonna save that up
- 7:09Speaker 1: top segment for the end for the player that I'm on,
- 7:12Speaker 1: because I'm going to answer the player that I'm on
- 7:15Speaker 1: with a golfer who's going to be at the top
- 7:16Speaker 1: of the pricing, and it's might not be you think
- 7:19Speaker 1: it is like, or it might be I get I
- 7:20Speaker 1: guess you'll have to You'll have to wait and see.
- 7:22Speaker 1: So I'm gonna first before I share my screen, talk
- 7:25Speaker 1: about some of the strategy for round four. As you
- 7:27Speaker 1: guys know, round four showdown scoring is different than round one,
- 7:31Speaker 1: two and three. Placement points are in order. If you
- 7:34Speaker 1: come in first, you get more placement points. If you
- 7:36Speaker 1: come in second, third, all the way to tenth, fifteenth
- 7:38Speaker 1: you get x amount of placement points. So more than
- 7:41Speaker 1: just birdies, bodie aboridens, everything is important. It's matters where
- 7:44Speaker 1: you finished in round four. So that's gonna ask. We're
- 7:46Speaker 1: gonna ask the question how far is too far back?
- 7:49Speaker 1: And I don't think there's a real answer to that.
- 7:51Speaker 1: I think the guys at top are separate enough for
- 7:55Speaker 1: the guys who were like in seventh to tenth and
- 7:57Speaker 1: not feel any pressure of being in the top ten,
- 8:00Speaker 1: but you never know. It's a weak field, so they might.
- 8:02Speaker 1: But I really don't think this is honestly a I
- 8:06Speaker 1: think you guys have to make your own decision. I
- 8:07Speaker 1: feel like I'm pretty good with saying, all right, this week,
- 8:09Speaker 1: we're gonna play Garber since oie the top ten. This
- 8:11Speaker 1: week we're gonna play chasers from from tenth to twentieth.
- 8:14Speaker 1: I don't think there's a right answer this week. I
- 8:16Speaker 1: think we will really just want to stick to our
- 8:18Speaker 1: guns of low owned tee to green guys and maybe
- 8:21Speaker 1: have a little mix of where they are in little word,
- 8:23Speaker 1: because you can shoot that sixty four. You could shoot
- 8:26Speaker 1: that sixty two and vault your way from thirty fifth
- 8:29Speaker 1: to third. You can do that this week. So low
- 8:32Speaker 1: owned tee to green is what we're gonna be looking for.
- 8:35Speaker 1: So let's start at the bottom of the players and
- 8:38Speaker 1: kind of work our way up because I want to
- 8:40Speaker 1: finish with that question at the top, that who we're
- 8:43Speaker 1: gonna start a lineup with. I think that's the big
- 8:45Speaker 1: question of the pod, big question of what everyone's thinking,
- 8:48Speaker 1: and that's gonna be the player that I am on.
- 8:50Speaker 1: So let's start our screen. Let's look at some low
- 8:52Speaker 1: owned tee to green guys. We will start around this
- 8:55Speaker 1: like T fifty six range. Look a look at look
- 8:58Speaker 1: at Fabian Domez. Gomez not doing much great but not
- 9:03Speaker 1: doing anything poorly, and he's he's hitting the ball well.
- 9:05Speaker 1: He is currently in a tie for fiftieth and he
- 9:09Speaker 1: is about even on off the tee, gaining a little
- 9:12Speaker 1: bit on approach, and about even around the green. This
- 9:15Speaker 1: is about as solid a profile as someone who could
- 9:17Speaker 1: be in the atticker fiftieth could ever be. He's gonna
- 9:20Speaker 1: be like negative person owned. Why not play Fabian Gomez?
- 9:23Speaker 1: What's his what's his price? Actually? Because he will be
- 9:26Speaker 1: in my slate. Let's see baby in Gomez because this
- 9:29Speaker 1: is very interesting, very interesting, babyan Gomez, baby in sixty
- 9:35Speaker 1: two hundred dollars. You want to play Scotty pay him
- 9:37Speaker 1: with Fabian Gomez? Why can't he have a nice round four?
- 9:40Speaker 1: Let's look up top a little bit more. This is
- 9:42Speaker 1: another nice profile. John Parry ball striking it. This is
- 9:45Speaker 1: te the green bang green bang, green bang green, and
- 9:49Speaker 1: he's not putting that badly. This is probably not the
- 9:52Speaker 1: cumulative numbers, so let's put the cumultive numbers on. So
- 9:55Speaker 1: Paris probably losing like one point like almost two strokes putting. Yeah,
- 10:00Speaker 1: about two strokes putting. That's not the end of the world.
- 10:03Speaker 1: I'm not that scared of it. He's ball striking it
- 10:05Speaker 1: really well. I really like that from John Pari. Right here,
- 10:09Speaker 1: Luke Klan doing everything okay, And the thing that he's
- 10:12Speaker 1: not doing great is the driver. We know how good
- 10:14Speaker 1: of a driver Luke lann is, but he's gaining strokes
- 10:17Speaker 1: T to green. This is plus two point three on approach,
- 10:20Speaker 1: plus point four around the green. That's almost three strokes
- 10:24Speaker 1: tea green through three rounds with the dead even putter.
- 10:27Speaker 1: If he finds the putter, if he finds the driver
- 10:29Speaker 1: in round four, he could turn this. He could have
- 10:31Speaker 1: a minus five day minus five day easily, easily. So
- 10:35Speaker 1: this is a great profile as well. A j Ewart.
- 10:37Speaker 1: We were on him early in the week and he's
- 10:39Speaker 1: kind of he's all right T thirty nine, he's one
- 10:42Speaker 1: more round to pay off, but we were on aj Ewart,
- 10:44Speaker 1: so hopefully he can keep going in the right direction.
- 10:46Speaker 1: These profiles in the middle are very weird because there's
- 10:48Speaker 1: a lot of red here. Not something I would really chase.
- 10:50Speaker 1: I would play this guy right here. He's doing everything
- 10:53Speaker 1: we want. Is he going to be low on? Let's
- 10:55Speaker 1: see what this golfer is? Plus one off the t,
- 10:57Speaker 1: plus one and a half on approach, plus one around
- 10:58Speaker 1: the green, even putter. This is a perfect profile. Who
- 11:01Speaker 1: is this Patrick Rodgers? Patrick Rodgers, were not scared to
- 11:05Speaker 1: play him. We play him a ton and we know
- 11:07Speaker 1: he can go nuclear. I do not hate that at all.
- 11:10Speaker 1: Another great profile, barely losing strokes on the green ball,
- 11:13Speaker 1: striking it very very well. Tee to greening the hell
- 11:16Speaker 1: out of it. This te to green stuff this week
- 11:18Speaker 1: is huge. It is Chris Kirk. I could promise you
- 11:22Speaker 1: we're gonna be on Chris Kirk tomorrow. So these are
- 11:25Speaker 1: this is what I'm looking for. And as we get
- 11:26Speaker 1: to the top, this is a great profile. They are
- 11:28Speaker 1: currently at fourteen under. They are plus two and a
- 11:31Speaker 1: half of the te plus one point six cent approach,
- 11:34Speaker 1: really really solid around the green, minus eight on the greens.
- 11:38Speaker 1: If they could find this minus eight minus point eight, sorry,
- 11:41Speaker 1: minus pointed if they can, I'm not saying they're gonna
- 11:43Speaker 1: be plus point it tomorrow. I mean they could be
- 11:45Speaker 1: plus point eight for tomorrow and get to a zero
- 11:47Speaker 1: for the for the tournament. Who is this It's kenz Herada,
- 11:52Speaker 1: kenz Herada. I don't mind that at all. Kind of
- 11:54Speaker 1: played with some pressure today and didn't play He didn't
- 11:58Speaker 1: play good. He didn't play good. But I don't mind
- 12:00Speaker 1: the profile as what I'm getting at h. Well, more
- 12:03Speaker 1: golfer before we get to the one golfer that I
- 12:05Speaker 1: am on. I mean, you guys know how much I've
- 12:08Speaker 1: been on Zach Boshu, how much I've been praising this
- 12:11Speaker 1: guy's game, Like he impresses me so so so much.
- 12:16Speaker 1: You probably don't really know his game or name too much,
- 12:19Speaker 1: but Zach Boche if I could still his name, b
- 12:23Speaker 1: au Bauh. There we go, the kid, Like when I
- 12:27Speaker 1: see him at Boots, he impresses me like he's making
- 12:33Speaker 1: a ton of bird, he's making some eagle, making one eagle,
- 12:36Speaker 1: and he's currently solo seventh, so I don't sixty seven,
- 12:40Speaker 1: sixty four, sixty six. He's gonna shoot sixty seven again tomorrow, Like,
- 12:43Speaker 1: I don't mind that at all, And he's his price
- 12:46Speaker 1: is probably really solid still, seventy five hundred dollars is
- 12:49Speaker 1: going up a little bit. So this kind of reminds
- 12:51Speaker 1: me of like Nico Archiveria before he started to win,
- 12:55Speaker 1: he was always priced so low and then he just wouldn't.
- 12:58Speaker 1: He would slowly start to get up and then he'd
- 13:00Speaker 1: pop for something great. So get on, Zach Buschow. But
- 13:03Speaker 1: that's gonna lead me to the player that I'm on,
- 13:05Speaker 1: and the question what are we gonna do at the top.
- 13:08Speaker 1: Looking at the top of the pricing, we have Scotty Scheffler,
- 13:11Speaker 1: Seawu Kim, Jordan Spieth, Brooks, Koepka, and I'll bring up
- 13:14Speaker 1: the pricing real quick. But everyone's gonna select Scotty Scheffler
- 13:19Speaker 1: or seaw Kim. Everyone is going to do it after
- 13:22Speaker 1: seeing what they saw today from Seawu Kim. I assume
- 13:27Speaker 1: the world is just gonna go to Scotty Scheffler round
- 13:29Speaker 1: fourst goring only two shokes back and just pencil it
- 13:33Speaker 1: in for a Scotty Scheffer win. We'll get those brodies,
- 13:36Speaker 1: we'll get those finishing position points, and we will be
- 13:38Speaker 1: happy and find some golfers to play with them. And
- 13:40Speaker 1: there's there's a world where we can do that. But
- 13:43Speaker 1: I do not think Seawu Kim is going to get
- 13:45Speaker 1: the ownership he deserves for one leading the golf tournament
- 13:50Speaker 1: for two being like a respected good golfer, and three
- 13:53Speaker 1: for just having Scotty Scheffler behind him. Scotty's gonna pull
- 13:56Speaker 1: so much ownership from Sea Wu that he's not gonna
- 13:59Speaker 1: get like the first place golfer usually gets a ton
- 14:01Speaker 1: of ownership most of the time. Sure, people are gonna
- 14:04Speaker 1: click see Woo, but it's not gonna be nearly enough.
- 14:08Speaker 1: It's not gonna be. What I'm trying to get at
- 14:10Speaker 1: is he should be far more owned than he will
- 14:12Speaker 1: be tomorrow. See Wo Kim is the one golfer that
- 14:15Speaker 1: I'm gonna be playing tomorrow. Obviously he's doing everything well.
- 14:19Speaker 1: He stumbled early, but I believe Seawoo Kim has the
- 14:24Speaker 1: the agenda, the dog, the ignorance to just face to
- 14:27Speaker 1: face and beat SCOTTYE. Scheffler. He doesn't have to beat him.
- 14:30Speaker 1: He can lose his Scotty by one tomorrow and still
- 14:32Speaker 1: win the golf tournament. But we know, if see Who's
- 14:35Speaker 1: gonna win this golf tournament, he's gonna have to make birdies.
- 14:37Speaker 1: So those birdies will come, those placement points will come,
- 14:40Speaker 1: and it should really free you up for your lineup.
- 14:43Speaker 1: While obviously I want low owned te the Green guys,
- 14:46Speaker 1: but the ownership is subjective and the relative to each range. Obviously,
- 14:51Speaker 1: Seawou is gonna be owned, but he's gonna be low
- 14:53Speaker 1: owned for his range. Low owned for a first place golfer,
- 14:58Speaker 1: and I really think we need to take advantage of
- 14:59Speaker 1: that because everyone is going to play Scotti. So see
- 15:02Speaker 1: what Kim is the one golfer that I am on.
- 15:05Speaker 1: Head over to the site, look at the full slate plan,
- 15:07Speaker 1: look at the showdown projections, look at the stone, look
- 15:12Speaker 1: at all of that stuff, and we will be happy.
- 15:15Speaker 1: We'll have another great day. We had it. Awesome, awesome,
- 15:17Speaker 1: awesome round three. As always, the song of the day
- 15:20Speaker 1: for Round four is going to be Gravity by wage
- 15:24Speaker 1: War shirkcing Florida. Great band, check them out. And as always,
- 15:28Speaker 1: you have any questions, you know where to find me.
- 15:30Speaker 1: I know some people were hitting me up on Twitter.
- 15:32Speaker 1: Let's do it. Let's have another great round four and
- 15:34Speaker 1: let's ship it. I'll catch you guys Monday. For the
- 15:38Speaker 1: Byron Nelson, I think no, the colonial Charles Brob peace out.
- 15:41Speaker 1: Catch you guys then,