Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 30 - 4/24/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 30 - 4/24/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello and welcome to episode 30 of the All
0:22
Systems Go Sports Bedding Podcast, powered by Rhythm.
0:26
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum.
0:32
What's going on everyone? Happy
0:34
Wednesday, another day here in the arena guys and now
0:37
we are coming up on around 24 hours. I
0:40
guess you could make it 26 -27 hours, something like
0:43
that to be exact. But anyway, we're a day away
0:45
from the NFL Draft, so I have a lot of NFL Draft
0:48
updates for you. I was looking at the card
0:51
that I'm holding for my NFL Draft portfolio, in
0:54
which I've already made, let's see, 7 or 8 bets. I
1:01
can't even keep track. But anyway, I'm going to give
1:03
you updates on the bets that I've mentioned on the
1:06
pod and where they stand now. Hint
1:08
hint, I'm looking at 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 of them, we're
1:10
getting closing line value, 2 of them where it's gone
1:13
a little bit away from us, so hopefully we get lucky
1:16
here and get them anyway. But
1:17
then I'm going to add on 4 more, including first
1:20
cornerback, first linebacker, a head to head, as well
1:24
as one player in particular going under their draft
1:26
position here. So a lot of NFL Draft updates
1:29
to talk about on today's pod. As
1:31
well as, I can tell you, just in Boston, we're on
1:34
pins and needles over here because I'm a big listener
1:36
of Boston Sports Talk Radio. I'm
1:38
one of those crazy people that when I'm doing yard
1:40
work or in the car, I love it. I
1:42
watch it on TV. Felger and Maz is my favorite
1:44
Boston Sports Talk radio program. But
1:47
the buzz in New England is that J .J. McCarthy
1:50
is the guy for the Patriots. So
1:52
do the Patriots. Take him at 3, I hope not,
1:54
because I have a lot of bets that are contingent
1:56
upon Drake May going 3, but do they trade down and
1:59
then come back up and take J .J. McCarthy,
2:02
but the buzz in New England, which is where I
2:04
am, diehard New Englander here, is that J .J.
2:07
McCarthy might be the guy for the
2:08
Pats. Is it a smokescreen? Is
2:09
it real? We shall see. We're
2:11
going to find out tomorrow night. But
2:12
anyway guys, I got a 6 pack for you. So
2:14
I have 4 Major League Baseball bets. Excited
2:16
to share with you today. One
2:18
NBA draft. Here we have the draft on the
2:20
mind. One NBA player prop as well as
2:23
one NHL player prop. So a 6 pack and a ton of
2:26
NFL draft talk on today's episode 30 of the All
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Systems Go Pod presented by Rhythm. Now
2:31
looking back toward last night, after a great night
2:33
Monday, couldn't get any breaks last night. 1 -4
2:36
minus 3 .18 units. The only winner there was
2:39
Valerie Nishushkin, who went over 2 .5 shots on goal, I
2:42
believe he finished with 5. But
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the Cardinals got blown out. The
2:45
Phillies got blown out. The Orioles getting rolled there
2:48
by the Angels. I didn't see that coming. And
2:50
then Nasreed, again all good things must come to
2:52
an end. We started 4 -0 with our
2:54
rhythm. NBA playoff prop bets. Suffered
2:58
our first loss last night with Nasreed. I
3:00
believe you only landed on 7. So
3:02
it didn't even really come close to Nasreed over 15
3:04
half. But you may have softened the
3:06
blow a little bit last night if you were like me
3:08
and cashed a big futures bet on Tyrese Maxi, the
3:12
most improved player. Now this is a bet that I
3:15
placed quite a while ago. I
3:18
got him at plus 100. This was a bet that I made
3:21
when I was doing a podcast with JJ Eretic, where I
3:24
threw it to him and he was leaning on Maxi. The
3:27
data was leaning Maxi, low bets higher dollars. Maxi
3:30
ends up winning it, taking home that award. And
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that's one thing that I love about futures bets is
3:34
that if you can cash a few here and there, when
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you go 1 -4 minus 3 .18 units, you claw back a
3:40
unit or two and it gives you something of rooting
3:42
interest to look forward to long term. So
3:44
for those of us who had Maxi most improved, I was
3:46
getting nervous because Kobe White was coming up real
3:48
close to Maxi. And even Jalen Williams, the
3:51
guy from OKC, I believe went to Santa Clara. He
3:54
was kind of up in the, kind of rising there late
3:57
as well. But it was great to see Maxi
3:59
come through for the futures betters who took
4:01
Maxi most improved, including myself. And
4:03
I know my buddy Darush cashed bigly on Tyrese
4:05
Maxi. So poor one out for Tyrese
4:08
Maxi. Big, big year. And
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we nailed him for most improved player. Now,
4:12
that being said, let's dive right in. I
4:14
want to start off with some NFL draft updates. So
4:16
I'm going to give you my card. And
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then I'm going to give you four more bets that you
4:20
are more than welcome to ride with me or fade or
4:22
follow whatever you want. But
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this is what I'm adding to my card now. First,
4:26
my card currently, let's look at some bets that
4:28
we've made. I want to give an update
4:29
here. Jaden Daniels, to go second
4:32
overall to the commanders, he is now minus 5 .50. And
4:35
you're going to see this between now and tomorrow.
4:37
These numbers are going to get,
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they're going to skyrocket. And
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then you're going to, if you didn't get them early,
4:40
you're going to miss them because they're just
4:42
unbeddable. But it's a great sign that
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Jaden Daniels is now minus 5 .50. On
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yesterday's pot, he was minus 400 to go second
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overall. Because we did mention on the pot
4:51
a one, two, three exacta. Williams
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won Daniels two, May three. We
4:55
got that at minus 145 on the pot. I
4:57
just checked now. It's minus 300, baby. So
5:01
that's what you love to see. Some
5:02
closing line value. Byron Murphy mentioned him.
5:05
Defensive tackle from Texas. I
5:07
believe we mentioned that. Was
5:08
it on Monday? I think so. But
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under 14 and a half. Under 14 and a half, we got
5:14
Murphy at minus 150. He's now down to 13 and a half
5:18
at under minus 240. So we're looking good with
5:20
Murphy. Michael Pennecks we're looking good
5:22
with under 32 and a half. Draft
5:24
position at minus 120. Now it's minus 320. So
5:28
great to see Pennecks with a ton of steam to go in
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the first round. Brooks, first running back. Got
5:33
him at plus 110. He is now minus 130. So
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also a good angle there with some CLV. Brock
5:40
Bowers mentioned him under 12 and a half minus 140.
5:44
Now it's minus 250. So
5:45
those are all looking great. Now
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the two that are giving me a little bit of concern
5:48
here. One is Dallas Turner, first
5:50
defensive lineman edge. He is still the favorite, but
5:54
I got him at plus 100. He's
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now plus 140. And Byron Murphy is creeping
5:58
up. He's plus 165 and a lot too.
6:01
From UCLA is plus 175. So
6:03
Turner is still the favorite. It's
6:05
just that the numbers going away away from us a little
6:07
bit. And some of these guys are
6:09
kind of making up some grounds. Hopefully
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we just get lucky with Turner. The
6:12
one that I'm getting a little even more nervous
6:13
about is second offensive lineman selected. Foo
6:17
Aga from Oregon State got him at plus 210. He's
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now plus 235. And actually he got leapfrogged
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by JC Latham from Alabama. He's
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now the favorite to be the second offensive lineman at
6:29
plus 140. So Turner, still the favorite.
6:33
Line's going away from us a bit.
6:34
Foo Aga, I'm starting to get
6:35
worried about that one. That
6:36
may not happen based on this line move. But
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here we are going to add a few more, or at least
6:40
I'm going to add a few more. First
6:42
one that I'm adding for today is the first corner
6:45
selected, cornerback, CB. And
6:48
I'm going with Quinn Yon Mitchell. Now
6:50
Quinn Yon Mitchell, I believe he's from Toledo.
6:52
Could be the first Toledo player,
6:54
you know, top first round in quite a while. I
6:56
don't know if it's ever, but he could make some
6:58
history here because he's from a smaller school. But
7:00
he is rising up the draft boards. And
7:03
I noticed that for Quinn Yon Mitchell, he was kind
7:05
of neck and neck with Terri on Arnold from
7:07
Alabama for a first corner selected. But
7:09
Quinn Yon Mitchell was a minus 125 favorite the
7:12
other day. I just saw him shoot up to
7:14
minus 165. So Quinn Yon Mitchell is
7:16
getting some steam. I need to have a little bit
7:18
of a source play. Someone who's dialed in, tapped in,
7:21
who said Quinn Yon Mitchell is going to be the first
7:23
cornerback selected. He may even go as high as
7:25
top 15. So Quinn Yon Mitchell, add him
7:27
to the list. I got Quinn Yon Mitchell
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first corner selected at minus 165. I
7:33
also added a first linebacker selected, Junior
7:36
Colson. Junior Colson from the champion,
7:39
Michigan Wolverines here. He is regarded as the top
7:42
linebacker in the draft and the line is moving in his
7:45
favor. Junior Colson the other day was
7:48
plus 125. He was he opened as the
7:50
favorite. He's been the favorite. He
7:51
was plus 125 the other day. Now
7:53
he's plus 100. So does that does he flip to
7:56
a minus number soon? I'm thinking that's the
7:57
direction that we're leaning. So
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I got down on Junior Colson out of Michigan.
8:02
First linebacker selected at plus
8:04
100. And then here are two more for
8:06
you. I mentioned Tarion Arnold, who
8:09
was neck and neck with Quinn Yon Mitchell. And
8:10
now Mitchell, who I bet to be the first corner
8:12
selected, got the steam. But
8:14
there's a matchup ahead to head. Tarion
8:16
Mitchell versus Jared Verce, the defensive lineman or
8:19
edge rusher from Florida State, I believe. But
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the other day, Tarion Arnold was a minus 115.
8:26
Short favorite to be selected
8:27
before verse. Now Tarion Arnold is minus 160.
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So this is the way I play
8:32
these NFL draft props. I screenshot. I
8:34
got a million screenshots on my phone. It's
8:36
all me and the wife or the dog and all these NFL
8:38
draft screen screenshots. But
8:40
anyway, I screenshot them. I
8:42
track them. I go with the sharp move and
8:44
try to get numbers before they get too expensive. But
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I added Tarion Arnold to be selected before Jared
8:49
Verce at minus 160. Then last one for you. I
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believe it's a Marius Mims, this big guy who was got
8:57
a believe I read something he's got a bigger wind
8:59
span than Yanis. He his draft position is 22
9:02
and a half. But the other day it was under
9:05
plus 120. Now it's 22 and a half under
9:08
minus 160. So there's a lot of steam on
9:11
a Marius Mims to be drafted between one and 22.
9:15
You know, it's got to be under
9:16
22 and a half. So I added that to the list.
9:19
There's a lot of teams with a lot
9:20
of who need offensive line help. Tackle,
9:22
I believe he can play guard as well. But
9:25
there's a lot of movement on steam on Mims. So
9:27
I added Mims under 22 and a half at minus 160. So
9:31
additions to today's pod and my portfolio continues
9:34
to grow. Quinion Mitchell, first corner minus
9:38
165. Junior Colson, first linebacker
9:41
plus 100. Tarion Arnold to be selected
9:43
before Jared Verce minus 160. And
9:46
a Marius Mims under 22 and a half at minus 160. So
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I wanted to want to give you those updates because
9:51
seriously between if you've never done the draft, this
9:53
is, you know, this is just a ride in the bike once
9:56
again, but if you're new to it, these numbers are
9:58
going to really, really move between today and
10:00
tomorrow leading up to the draft. So
10:01
those are some additions to our portfolio. Now
10:05
let's keep on cruising. Let's
10:06
get to our plays for tonight looking for a
10:08
bounce back night. After not much went our way
10:10
after a good Monday, a down Tuesday. Let's
10:12
get back to a good Wednesday, hopefully. So
10:15
four pack of MLB plays for you. First
10:17
one on the board for me. This
10:18
is a 610 PM Eastern time first pitch. My
10:21
Boston Red Sox against the Cleveland Guardians. And
10:23
I'm betting against my team. Give
10:24
me the Guardians in this one, guys. We
10:27
saw the Guardians who are now 17 and six. I
10:29
think they're off to the best start in franchise
10:30
history. They won last night's game four
10:33
to one. They're actually trailing late. Sox,
10:35
I think booted a ball and Jose Ramirez had a big
10:38
hit. But the Guardians won that
10:40
game. Four to one is a minus 120
10:42
home favorite. Tonight's matchup. The
10:44
Red Sox are going with Cooper Criswell, who's oh
10:47
and one with a 4 .26 era. They
10:49
picked him up from the scrap heap in Tampa Bay.
10:51
The Guardians meanwhile are
10:53
going with the veteran, righty Carlos Carrasco,
10:55
who's one in one with a 3 .44 era. Now,
10:58
what I like about this one is the steam toward
11:00
Cleveland. You know, Cleveland opened this
11:02
game around minus 130 minus 135. Any
11:06
130 is up to 135 and some 135 is up to minus 140.
11:10
So basically one sided movement
11:12
in favor of Cleveland. Now, Cleveland's getting around
11:14
75 % of bets and dollars combination here of both
11:18
public and sharp support. The
11:20
Guardians are matching some systems here. One
11:22
would be a non division favorite lack of
11:24
familiarity, benefiting the better team, as well as a
11:27
correlative betting value play favorite low total. So
11:30
the lines movement toward Cleveland and this total
11:32
dipped a ton. It was eight and a half all
11:34
the way down to seven and a half. So
11:36
anytime you see the line go toward the favorite and
11:38
toward the under and baseball, that's a good
11:40
thing because the fewer amount of expected run
11:41
scored are more likely to come from quote unquote,
11:44
that better team was expected to win the game.
11:47
Now, Cleveland has the better
11:48
bats, 30257 versus 227 for Boston. The
11:52
Guardians are four and one against the Red Sox this
11:54
year. And the Red Sox are really
11:56
getting injured a ton. I can't believe they're still
11:58
above 500. They're 13 and 11, but they had
12:01
Tristan Kossas just got hurt. Obviously
12:04
Trevor Storys been out for the year. Rafael
12:05
Devers. I don't know why he's not on
12:07
the DL IL now, but he's been banged up. A
12:10
bunch of pitchers are hurt. I
12:12
think it's a good opportunity here to take a
12:14
really good Cleveland team at home at a decent price.
12:17
So I got Cleveland, got the
12:19
Guardians at minus 135. Next
12:22
one, talk about steam. Let's
12:24
go red legs. I'm on the Reds tonight. I
12:26
was on the Phillies first two games of the series.
12:28
They won for me and for those
12:30
of you who played it as well on Monday, got rolled
12:32
yesterday. And now there's so much steam
12:34
on sincey. I cannot deny the Red Legs
12:36
tonight. Give me the Red Legs. I
12:38
got the Reds at minus 130. Now
12:40
they're as high as minus 140. So
12:41
I love the fact that they continue to get steamed
12:43
throughout the day. Take a step back here. This
12:45
is the third game of the four game series. Phillies
12:47
15 and nine again, took that opener seven nothing
12:50
as a minus 115. Road favorite, the Reds 13 and
12:53
10. Bounce back with an eight one win
12:55
yesterday, which I'm not happy about because I was
12:57
on Philly there, but the Reds cash plus 115. Now
13:01
the pitching matchup tonight, Spencer Turnbull,
13:03
two and oh, one point two three he's going with the
13:06
for the the Phills. The Reds are going with Nick
13:09
Lodolo. Let's go Nick Lodolo. Any
13:12
any Kid Cudi fans out there, Mr. Solo
13:14
Lodolo Lodolo is two and oh, 0 .75 era. Young
13:18
lefty has been great. Hopefully
13:19
that continues. But what I like is this was
13:22
basically a pick them game. This
13:23
was around minus 110 both sides. Immediately
13:26
got steamed up to sincey minus 120 minus 130. Now
13:29
there's highs minus 140. So no let up here whatsoever.
13:33
No buyback on Philly. Just
13:35
big steam here on the Red Legs. Reds
13:37
are only getting 40 % of bets. That's
13:39
what I like even more. Publix
13:40
on Philly. Yet lines going to the Reds.
13:43
So some good sharp RLM on the
13:44
Red Legs. They would match. I
13:46
guess they would no longer match the sweet spot. Short
13:48
favorite minus 130 or less. But
13:51
they would and I did notice some under money
13:53
here. Eight and a half are getting
13:55
really juiced up, but they're looking like they're
13:57
down to eight. So you might be missing some
13:59
of that value. But the Phillies are one of
14:01
the best under teams in baseball. Seventh
14:03
best overall. But guys, this one is all
14:05
about the big steam on the Red Legs. I'm
14:06
going Reds. I got a minus 130. Now
14:09
you're as high as minus 140. Keep
14:11
on cruising. This is a late addition for me,
14:13
but there's been a ton of steam and no let up. And
14:16
it's on the Brew Crew. Who's
14:18
ready to brew some beer tonight? Let's
14:19
go Brew Crew. I'm on Milwaukee. Now
14:21
Milwaukee. This is the third game of the
14:24
series. They've lost the first two.
14:25
Pittsburgh won the first two games.
14:27
But man, there is a ton of
14:28
dog to fave sharp line movement on Milwaukee. First
14:32
off, the pitching matchup. Bryce
14:33
Wilson is going for Milwaukee. He's
14:35
two and oh, three point two nine era. He'll
14:37
be opposed by Josh Fleming of Pittsburgh lefty. You
14:40
should pitch for the race. He's
14:41
one and oh, one point seven four era to start
14:43
the year. But this is all about the line
14:45
move. We open this game. Pittsburgh
14:48
has a favorite like minus 115. You've
14:50
now flipped all the way to Milwaukee minus 120. My
14:54
even minus 125 at some shops. So
14:56
Milwaukee went from a dog plus 105 to now laying a
15:00
buck minus 125. So that is a big, big steam
15:03
move on Milwaukee. It tells us it took tells us
15:06
that there's a lot of money that came in on the
15:08
brew crew to flip that number. Now
15:10
the brew crew are getting around 65 % of bets, but
15:13
75 % of the money. So good bet split there. They
15:17
do have the better pitching staff. Three
15:19
point three seven era versus three point eight
15:21
seven. They do have the better bats as
15:22
well. They're hitting two sixty three
15:24
versus only two forty one for Pittsburgh. And
15:26
a lot of system matches on Milwaukee. Favorites
15:29
awful loss this year. Ninety
15:30
two and fifty five sixty three percent six percent
15:33
ROI road favorites. Sixty four percent thirteen
15:37
percent ROI short favorites minus 130 or less. That
15:40
sweet spot play fifty seven percent with a six percent
15:43
ROI. They're all matching and popping on
15:46
Milwaukee. So I'm going brew crew here.
15:48
I believe Christian yellow
15:49
just still hurt, but hopefully it won't matter.
15:51
A lot of steam on Milwaukee.
15:52
Let's get a wind sale. Let's
15:53
go brew crew. Chopper on. I
15:55
got the brewers at minus 120. Then
15:58
last better than I for you. I
16:00
tell you I keep betting this team. They
16:01
keep getting sharp money and they've cashed at a
16:04
pretty good rate. Going right back to him. Toronto
16:06
Jays. Let's go blue Jays guys. Blue
16:09
Jays are on the road at KC. Now
16:11
if we look at kind of how this is developed. This
16:13
is the third game of a four game series. The
16:16
Jays are 13 and 11. They won the opener five to
16:18
three. Remember that was a pod play on
16:19
Monday at minus 120. The Royals bounce back
16:22
yesterday. They're 14 and 10 now. They
16:24
won three to two as a plus 105 home dog for the
16:28
rematch tonight. We have Toronto going with
16:30
ready. Yari El Rodriguez. Oh
16:32
no 2 .35. ERA. Meanwhile, the Royals are
16:35
going with ready Alec Marsh. Who
16:37
is two and oh 3 .22 ERA. Now
16:40
to me, this is just a classic road favorite steam
16:42
move play on Toronto because this game opened
16:45
Toronto very short round minus 115 road favorite.
16:49
Now this morning they got up
16:51
to minus 130. I'm seeing some minus 135 is
16:53
out there. So it's great to see this
16:55
line continue to tick up in favor of Toronto. Now
16:59
the Jays, what I like as well in terms of the Jays
17:01
is that it's not like they're getting 80 90
17:03
percent of bets. This is a 50 50 bet split. So
17:06
public doesn't know whether to go Jays, go Royals. You
17:09
know, hey, Royals are at home. They've
17:10
been a spunky good team so far. A
17:12
bit of a surprise, you know, but then again, the
17:15
Jays have been red hot here recently. So
17:17
what do you do? Public doesn't know what to do,
17:19
but always remember this. If
17:20
you look at a bet split, that's 50 50. I'm
17:22
talking tickets, always mentioning tickets first
17:26
because that's where the public is. 50 50, a line
17:28
shouldn't move at all, but yet it's 50 50 in the
17:31
lines skyrocketing toward Toronto. So
17:33
it tells us that the smarter sharper wagers are
17:35
on the Jays. Jays would match favorites off
17:38
the loss, road favorites, shorts, sweet spot, short
17:40
road favorites, minus 130 or less, all matching here
17:45
on Toronto. So I'm going with the Jays.
17:47
Good sharp steam. I
17:49
got the Jays at minus 130. Now
17:52
to finish up the pod, got a couple prop bets for
17:55
you. So let's go to the NBA first
17:57
because I got to tell you something, guys. I
17:59
got my mom and dad, the grandparents. Well,
18:03
they're my mom and dad, but now that my sister has
18:05
kids, they're considered the grandparents, but they're
18:08
coming to visit. They're actually going to be here
18:10
in about an hour and they're spending a couple
18:11
days with us. It's my dad's 73rd birthday
18:14
tomorrow. And he is all excited and I
18:18
can't wait to watch the Celtics heat and the Bruins
18:21
Leafs, more so Bruins Leafs. Celtics
18:23
are a 15 point favorite. So
18:24
it's really about the Bruins for us tonight. But
18:28
we are going out to dinner tonight. Or
18:30
actually, I'm going to try to get them to order in
18:32
so we can just hang out and watch the game. But
18:35
really excited to watch the Bruins and the Celtics with
18:37
my dad because I grew up. Obviously,
18:40
if you've heard me mention anything on the pod before,
18:42
my dad is my favorite person in the world, raised
18:44
me to be a diehard Boston sports fan. You
18:47
know, I've been I've watched a million games of
18:49
them, but as I get older, you don't hang out as
18:51
much. You know, we don't get to
18:53
sweat games as much. I don't see him as often. So
18:55
when he comes to visit or I get to see him on the
18:57
holidays, man, we get pretty excited. A
19:00
couple of bees fans tonight to sweat the game. So
19:02
I'm really excited about both the Celtics heat, but
19:04
really the Bruins because they got a win tonight
19:06
against the Leafs. But anyway, I say that because
19:08
I got a couple of prop bets that involve both the
19:11
Bruins and the Celtics. So the first one for you,
19:14
we're going to go to Rhythm, who has been great
19:17
for us again. They couldn't have predicted
19:18
Nasrede, completely a no show last night. But
19:21
what are you going to do? But
19:22
I believe we're four and one here still with our
19:23
rhythm prop bets for the NBA. But
19:26
there's one that caught my eye tonight, the heat and
19:28
the Celtics. And it is Peyton Prichard, the
19:32
the backup point guard here. Now,
19:34
if you remember him in NCA, he was great at
19:36
Oregon. But Peyton Prichard, he jumped
19:39
out to me for our rhythm NBA prop of the day over
19:42
10 and a half points in rebounds. So
19:45
he's got to get us some combination of 11 points in
19:48
rebounds. You get 11 points, no rebounds
19:50
we cash. You know, six points, five
19:52
rebounds we cash, we just got to get 11 or more.
19:55
But what I like about this one
19:56
is that rhythm rhythm is predicting Peyton Prichard
20:00
with 13 .8 points in rebounds. So
20:03
if we're getting over 10 and a half, that's near,
20:05
you know, a little more than three points of
20:06
actionable value. Now, the betting market kind of
20:08
agrees because if you look at Peyton Prichard, his
20:11
over 10 and a half points in rebounds, it's minus 120
20:13
minus 125 across the market. So
20:16
that's a good sign as well. Now
20:18
he's come off the bench, but I think one thing to
20:20
know about, you know, got to kind of research the
20:22
teams a little bit, but you get to the post
20:24
season, your bench gets shortened. You're
20:26
only going to bring, you know, two or three guys
20:28
off the bench, maybe four at the max. The
20:30
Celtics only bring in three guys off the bench. It's
20:32
Horford, Hauser, and it's Peyton Prichard. Peyton
20:35
Prichard in game one played 24 minutes. He
20:38
had eight points and four rebounds. So
20:40
he landed on 12. But if you look at Peyton
20:41
Prichard, his last 10 games, he's seven and three
20:44
to the over. So he's had 11 or more points
20:47
and rebounds in seven of his last 10 games. And
20:50
I don't want to jinx him, but at home he's 10 and
20:52
one or sorry, he's nine and one his last 10,
20:54
cashing that over 10 and a half points and rebounds.
20:57
So it's a short rotation, but
21:00
Peyton Prichard's been getting pretty good minutes
21:02
off the bench. You know, hit a couple of
21:04
threes, grab a couple of boards. You
21:06
know, that's how we're going to cash this one.
21:08
But Rhythm is projecting a big
21:10
night from Prichard. And hopefully he helps us cash
21:13
a ticket. So I'm going Peyton Prichard
21:14
over 10 and a half points and rebounds. I
21:17
got it at minus 120. Now to finish up the pot, I
21:22
was mentioning my dad a second ago, but neither of
21:24
us can wait for tonight where I'm pins and needles.
21:26
If you're a bees fan, Stanley
21:27
Cup playoffs, I mean, this is as good as it gets.
21:30
Bruins Leafs in Toronto tonight.
21:33
And I was considering, you
21:35
know, basically like it's minus one, 10 both sides.
21:37
The total is six juiced under.
21:39
Do you go under, you know, or
21:41
the Bruins in a good bounce back spot? I
21:43
didn't find an edge either way. I'll
21:44
be rooting like crazy with my dad for the Bruins
21:47
here. But I did find one angle here
21:49
tonight. Now I'm going with the Leafs
21:51
guy. I'm going with a player prop
21:53
on the Leafs. This reminds me a lot of
21:54
Valerie Nashushkin, who cashed for us last night
21:57
over two and a half shots. But
21:58
I'm going with the son of Max Domi. I'm
22:01
going with the son of Tide, Tide Domi. If
22:04
you remember him, he was a tough guy. I'm
22:06
going with Max Domi over one and a half shots on
22:09
goal. Now it's just up a little bit.
22:11
It's over minus 160. I
22:13
think it's just up for a good reason. Now
22:15
Max Domi, he had three shots in game one. He
22:19
had two shots in game two. He's
22:21
gone over one and a half. So
22:23
basically he's had two or more shots in eight of his
22:25
last nine games. In particular, he played, he
22:28
skates on the top line. So he's on the top line with
22:30
Austin Matthews and Tyler Bertuzzi. So
22:33
if Matthew is getting a lot of attention, two
22:35
pretty good scores, also two good passers. He
22:37
gets a lot of ice time. The
22:39
average is about 15 minutes a game. He
22:41
also gets a lot of power play time. And
22:43
he's again gone over this number eight of his last
22:45
nine. So I'm taking a shot here on
22:47
Max Domi to go over one and a half shots on goal.
22:51
I got that at minus 160. But
22:54
of course, more importantly, let's go bees. Let's
22:56
go Bruins. But yeah, let's go Domi over
22:59
one and a half shots on goal as well. But
23:01
that about does it for today's episode of the All
23:03
Systems Go Pod episode 30. Now,
23:06
if you enjoy this pod, if the pod has helped you to
23:09
become a sharper, better to learn how to read the
23:12
market. Again, we try to liken ourselves
23:14
to those guys on Wall Street who are tracking the
23:17
market, making, making sharp, sharp trades. We're
23:19
trying to make sharp bets. But
23:21
as this style of betting, hopefully made you a
23:23
better, better. Are you learning to read line
23:25
movement? Looking at system matches, looking
23:28
at bet splits, not parlaying, flat betting. If
23:31
any of that is the case, or if you think I'm a
23:33
decent guy, you want to make my day, make me
23:35
happy, then there are a couple of things I'm going
23:37
to ask of you. I do this every pod, but I
23:38
think it's important. First off, can you do me a
23:41
favor to help grow this podcast? Something
23:43
very easy you can do. It'll
23:44
take two seconds. Just give this pod a five star
23:47
review. Whether you're on Spotify or
23:49
iTunes, boom, review the pod, give it five stars.
23:53
Chef's kiss. That
23:54
would mean a lot to me to help to help grow the pod.
23:57
Of course, secondly, if you
23:59
are kind of a new better, or maybe you're a
24:02
intermediate better, or maybe you just want to
24:04
learn about data driven sharp betting, well, guess
24:07
what? I wrote a book. I
24:09
wrote a book a few years ago. It's
24:10
called the everything guide to sports betting. So
24:12
if you want to pick up a copy, support the team,
24:14
learn more about data driven betting, or give it
24:16
as a gift to that person in your life who you know
24:18
bets on sports, but maybe they parlay everything, they
24:22
bet their favorite teams no matter what. We
24:24
got to give them some sense here so they can
24:26
make sharp bets and learn how to read the market. If
24:28
you want to go to amazon .com and type in the
24:30
everything guide to sports betting, pick up a copy of
24:34
my book for you or for a friend. It
24:35
would mean a lot to me, guys. It's
24:36
got everything I've learned in the industry, how lines
24:39
are set, how and why they move, how to read line
24:40
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place
24:43
a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best
24:45
line, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
24:48
It's all included in the
24:49
everything guide to sports betting. So
24:50
pick up a copy, give it as a gift, support the
24:53
team. And when I bump into you at
24:55
the book, I'm going to buy you a beer. I'm
24:57
going to sign the book for you. And
24:58
then lastly, I'm asking a lot of you guys, but can
25:01
you do one more thing for me? If
25:03
you haven't done it yet, can you go download the
25:05
rhythm app? Rhythm, which is the number one AI
25:08
backed sports betting app for data back picks and
25:11
props. It's fantastic. It
25:13
gives us a lot of great edges in the NBA for
25:14
player props. Golf is huge now. They
25:16
just added golf. Can't wait for football to
25:19
return. Eventually they're going to add all
25:20
sports. And now they're working hard on
25:22
MLB, hopefully for next year. Golf
25:25
or mentioned golf, but hockey shots on goal.
25:28
That's another, another thing in
25:29
the pipeline. Baseball, obviously, as I mentioned,
25:32
but the rhythm app is great. And
25:33
it kind of helps you to add one more element to
25:36
kind of your toolbox. So maybe you do your regular
25:38
cap on the game and then you say, Oh, what does
25:40
rhythm have? And they kind of help you to
25:41
push you in one direction. Because
25:43
maybe they back up what you were thinking, or maybe
25:45
you hold off and say, Oh, I love team A, but rhythm
25:48
says a great angle to take team B. But
25:50
either way, rhythm will help you win. I've
25:52
seen it firsthand. But I want you to give it a
25:54
shot with a seven day free trial. We
25:57
got to sign up in a specific way. You
25:59
can just go to my Twitter page, give me a follow at
26:02
Josh underscore insights. I have a pinned tweet at the
26:06
top of my page that mentions rhythm with a link
26:08
to sign up a custom link. Click
26:10
that so that rhythm knows that I refer you or you
26:12
can just click. If you're in Spotify, I don't
26:14
know if it's iTunes because I usually do Spotify, but
26:16
I know Spotify has a link in the bio that says sign
26:19
up for rhythm. So you can click that as
26:20
well, but make it easy. Sign
26:22
up through that link on my Twitter page. And
26:24
then you can start making data back picks on your
26:27
own and cash in some tickets. But
26:29
that about does it, everyone. One
26:30
more day, one final day to the NFL draft. Let's
26:33
see if we can have a big Wednesday. Let's
26:35
go Bruins. Let's catch some tickets here. My
26:37
parting words as always, whether I see you at the
26:40
Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island,
26:42
the Brook in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan's son
26:46
in my neck of the woods. Or
26:48
of course, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, Encore, or
26:50
out in the desert where the true grinders get down
26:52
where Billy Walters sends his number runners with the
26:54
lowest juice possible is found at the South Point
26:56
or jumping in the stadium swim pool. At
26:58
Circa, getting a victory burger at the end of the
27:00
night, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to
27:02
me. You're not going to show me
27:04
cards, fills, orials or Nasreed. None
27:07
of them showed up for us, which is disappointing. But
27:09
show me an Ashushkin overticket, two and a half
27:11
shots on goal. And most importantly, if you
27:13
had Tyrese Maxi, like I assume if you're listening
27:16
to this pot, you may listen to my previous
27:17
podcast, but that was something that we mentioned,
27:20
which took a while, but it was worth the wait as Maxi
27:22
took home the award for most improve. But
27:25
anyway, guys, stay sharp. Stay
27:27
contrarian. Bet against the public. Place
27:29
yourself on the side of the house. Always
27:30
be with the smart money. Never
27:32
against it. Well, smart money when every
27:33
time, of course not. But always remember, we are
27:35
playing a long game. If we can consistently find
27:38
that sweet spot, games that are simultaneously against
27:41
the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
27:44
avoid parlays and get some closing line value. If
27:46
we can do that, we're going to be successful
27:47
sports betters. So enjoy the sweats, everyone.
27:50
Have a great Wednesday. The
27:52
draft is tomorrow, baby. Cannot
27:53
wait. JJ McCarthy. Is
27:55
that going to be my next quarterback for my Patriots?
27:58
We shall see. But
27:59
I need Drake May to go third, so don't screw this
28:01
up, Patriots. But have a great night,
28:04
everyone. Good luck. And
28:05
I'll see you tomorrow for episode 31 of the All
28:07
Systems Go Sports betting podcast, powered by Rhythm.
28:11
Have a great night.