Latest / Toadstool Sports / Sunday BEST BETS | The Slump Definitely Continues | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/5/26

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Sunday BEST BETS | The Slump Definitely Continues | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/5/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm man, a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chips, the black coffee on the felt man, you
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: look like a mess. Three teen poulette turned the dust
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: in your head.
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they.
• 0:32
  Speaker 3: Made you this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 4: But don't you go quiet? Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 5: Your name steal mean something on somebody for show?
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: Put the glass down, baby, look at me, now.
• 0:50
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on nothing.
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: Nice, now, hold on, hold on, let me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 5: But it all get the crown, hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: And stay with me. Now, what's up? Everybody?
• 1:29
  Speaker 6: It's towed back with you with toad Stool Sports for Sunday,
• 1:34
  Speaker 6: July fifth. Hopefully everybody had a good July fourth, better
• 1:38
  Speaker 6: than I was on the show yesterday. We were one
• 1:42
  Speaker 6: and three on the show, not one and four, one
• 1:45
  Speaker 6: and three. This run is still, you know, sixty one percent,
• 1:49
  Speaker 6: which is still way higher than you should even expect
• 1:53
  Speaker 6: to be so. But I told you there was gonna
• 1:55
  Speaker 6: be some massive regression, Like I was running at sixty
• 1:58
  Speaker 6: seven percent for a large run and that just can't continue.
• 2:04
  Speaker 6: The Texas play was a no play because Kumar Rocker
• 2:07
  Speaker 6: did not start in the game, so they lost but
• 2:10
  Speaker 6: it was no play because they they went with cow
• 2:13
  Speaker 6: Quantrill last minute instead, So as you know, probably when
• 2:19
  Speaker 6: I don't specify, I am saying specify, both starting pitchers
• 2:23
  Speaker 6: must start.
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: So that was a no play.
• 2:25
  Speaker 6: Cincinnati was a loss, and Cincinnati a Hunter Green was
• 2:28
  Speaker 6: bad at the beginning of the game.
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati came back and took the lead.
• 2:32
  Speaker 6: Still like easily within the first five innings, and then
• 2:35
  Speaker 6: he threw the lead back again.
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: He was not good, dude.
• 2:38
  Speaker 6: I don't know what else to tell you. I thought
• 2:40
  Speaker 6: he was ready to go. That was not the case.
• 2:44
  Speaker 6: It looked like, you know, after that first inning, it
• 2:46
  Speaker 6: looked like he was starting to settle down, and then
• 2:48
  Speaker 6: they took the lead. It's like, Okay, they're gonna get
• 2:50
  Speaker 6: this done. Nope, they did not. The only correct play
• 2:54
  Speaker 6: was the first five under in White Sox Indians, which
• 2:58
  Speaker 6: I believe that full game is stilling on as well.
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: Burke was really good, a lot.
• 3:02
  Speaker 6: Of strikeouts there. I think Messic was also good. On
• 3:04
  Speaker 6: the other side, we lost Tampa Bay Houston under. I
• 3:09
  Speaker 6: don't know what to tell you with that man. Both
• 3:11
  Speaker 6: starting pitchers were worse than I thought. Hunter Brown was awful.
• 3:14
  Speaker 6: I don't know what happened in that game yesterday. It's
• 3:17
  Speaker 6: just I don't know how you can predict that, dude.
• 3:19
  Speaker 6: I mean, those are two really good starters. You're gonna
• 3:22
  Speaker 6: tell me that Hunter Brown is gonna have one of
• 3:24
  Speaker 6: his worst starts of the last few years in that game.
• 3:28
  Speaker 6: I wouldn't have thought so obviously. And then France didn't
• 3:32
  Speaker 6: get it done. I mean, they we needed the team
• 3:35
  Speaker 6: to they won, but we needed the team total over.
• 3:38
  Speaker 6: They did not really get going on offense until the
• 3:40
  Speaker 6: second half.
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, they should have.
• 3:41
  Speaker 6: Won that game more easily than they did. Like, they
• 3:44
  Speaker 6: did have a pretty big statistical edgend of the game,
• 3:47
  Speaker 6: but they didn't have enough scoring chances to really do
• 3:50
  Speaker 6: what we needed him to do there.
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: I guess they still could have.
• 3:54
  Speaker 6: They had like I think they had six or seven
• 3:56
  Speaker 6: shots on goal, which I thought they would have more
• 3:59
  Speaker 6: than that. I thought there was gonna be an offensive
• 4:01
  Speaker 6: barrage in that game, and they scored their only goal
• 4:06
  Speaker 6: fairly late in the game. But their offense really just
• 4:08
  Speaker 6: didn't turn on until the second half. Like the first half,
• 4:11
  Speaker 6: there was just nothing going on. So yeah, I thought
• 4:15
  Speaker 6: they were gonna come out faster in the first half,
• 4:18
  Speaker 6: so I don't know what else to tell you. Move
• 4:21
  Speaker 6: on to today. I'm trying to be a little bit
• 4:23
  Speaker 6: selective here. I have three plays today, two Baseball, one
• 4:26
  Speaker 6: World Cup. I don't know how it's gonna work out,
• 4:30
  Speaker 6: but we'll see. Hopefully, hopefully we can get at least
• 4:33
  Speaker 6: two and one here and get a winning day out
• 4:35
  Speaker 6: of this.
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: Baseball we do have. We have a play.
• 4:39
  Speaker 6: I have a play in the first game here, mets Atlanta.
• 4:41
  Speaker 6: All the games are on Peacock today, so I don't
• 4:43
  Speaker 6: know what the deal is here. It's an NBC Sunday special,
• 4:47
  Speaker 6: I guess. And there were like two night games this
• 4:49
  Speaker 6: time because the night game is a Peacock event now,
• 4:53
  Speaker 6: and of course the Red Sox have to be involved
• 4:56
  Speaker 6: in a second straight Sunday night game, so that's really great.
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: Although at least they did win.
• 5:01
  Speaker 6: On Monday in a horrible spot this week, so whatever.
• 5:05
  Speaker 6: But all these games around NBCNBC Sports and Peacock, so
• 5:09
  Speaker 6: they're all watchable if you have Peacock best bet first game,
• 5:18
  Speaker 6: and you probably know what this is gonna be. I
• 5:20
  Speaker 6: was going back and forth as to whether I wanted
• 5:22
  Speaker 6: to go full game or first five on this. I'm
• 5:24
  Speaker 6: gonna just go first five and isolate where I think
• 5:27
  Speaker 6: the biggest edges here. We're gonna play the Mets on
• 5:30
  Speaker 6: the money line in the first five. And I know
• 5:32
  Speaker 6: nobody's gonna like this one, but you know what I do,
• 5:35
  Speaker 6: I do really contrarian stuff, and I like this starting.
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: Pitching matchup here.
• 5:40
  Speaker 6: I also like the spot because Atlanta has already won
• 5:42
  Speaker 6: two games in the series.
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: They won yesterday in a blowout fourteen to three. Now,
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: this is not the end of the series.
• 5:49
  Speaker 6: These teams are actually playing again tomorrow, so it's a
• 5:51
  Speaker 6: wrap around series to Monday. But you gotta think the
• 5:55
  Speaker 6: Mets are gonna show up motivated after losing both games
• 5:58
  Speaker 6: in the series to one of their divisional rivals here,
• 6:02
  Speaker 6: plus getting absolutely destroyed yesterday, I think there's actually some
• 6:06
  Speaker 6: value on the Mets. Nobody's gonna want to play the Mets.
• 6:09
  Speaker 6: I think really people are gonna look at this number
• 6:11
  Speaker 6: and think, like, how could the Mets possibly be like
• 6:14
  Speaker 6: this small of an underdog here? Basically where you're not
• 6:16
  Speaker 6: even getting plus money on the Mets here. Well, obviously
• 6:19
  Speaker 6: part of it is the starting pitching, but the oddsmakers
• 6:22
  Speaker 6: are also telling you there is not as much of
• 6:25
  Speaker 6: a gap between these two teams, as you might think
• 6:27
  Speaker 6: based on their records, and of course Atlanta before this series,
• 6:30
  Speaker 6: they still weren't playing well. So, I mean, I know
• 6:33
  Speaker 6: the Mets weren't either, but we're gonna go with this.
• 6:36
  Speaker 6: I think the odds makers are telling you something. I mean,
• 6:38
  Speaker 6: it looks way too easy to play the Braves here.
• 6:41
  Speaker 6: Braves are public seventy four percent of the tickets on them,
• 6:44
  Speaker 6: eighty one percent of the cash on the Mets, So
• 6:46
  Speaker 6: it looks like a huge pros versus Joe's game here.
• 6:50
  Speaker 6: This is gonna be an early one. This is at
• 6:52
  Speaker 6: twelve thirty pm Eastern. I'm gonna exclude the bullpens. I
• 6:57
  Speaker 6: think the Mets are to disadvantage in the bullpen. Atlanta
• 6:59
  Speaker 6: has the best bullpen in baseball, and they only use
• 7:02
  Speaker 6: one guy yesterday, so I will avoid the bullpens, even
• 7:05
  Speaker 6: though I do think the Mets bullpen is good as well.
• 7:08
  Speaker 6: It was a blowout yesterday, so the Mets didn't use
• 7:10
  Speaker 6: their better relievers, although I don't know if I really
• 7:13
  Speaker 6: want to want to trust this bullpen against Atlanta's. Mets
• 7:17
  Speaker 6: only used two guys yesterday though, but Atlanta's the number
• 7:21
  Speaker 6: one bullpen, like I said, and it's not even really
• 7:23
  Speaker 6: that close. The Mets are number three, although I don't
• 7:26
  Speaker 6: think they're quite that good. Atlanta's offense has not been
• 7:29
  Speaker 6: as good at home and not as good recently, although
• 7:32
  Speaker 6: they did explode yesterday. But their offense has been bad recently.
• 7:36
  Speaker 6: They're at fifteenth overall and the Mets are twenty ninth
• 7:40
  Speaker 6: right now. So the Mets got out of that bottom
• 7:42
  Speaker 6: spot again. But this is all about backing Nolan McLain.
• 7:46
  Speaker 6: He's the mets best starter. I think he's the better
• 7:49
  Speaker 6: starter in this game. Three point seven to eighty ra
• 7:52
  Speaker 6: one point one to two Whip really good on the road,
• 7:55
  Speaker 6: two point four to nine Roadie, I ray, he's considerably
• 7:58
  Speaker 6: better on the road of Actually, his home stats actually
• 8:01
  Speaker 6: suggested his era is misleadingly high at home as well.
• 8:04
  Speaker 6: Mcclan was good in his last out and he shut
• 8:06
  Speaker 6: out Toronto for six innings. He's been good for the
• 8:10
  Speaker 6: last entire month, except that his walk rate was a
• 8:12
  Speaker 6: little bit high at the beginning of the month, and
• 8:15
  Speaker 6: yes that did include a start against Atlanta where he
• 8:17
  Speaker 6: only lasted four innings.
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: He wasn't very efficient.
• 8:20
  Speaker 6: He gave up four walks, but the Mets actually won
• 8:24
  Speaker 6: that game, although they had to do it kind of
• 8:26
  Speaker 6: later in the game. He didn't get a win in
• 8:28
  Speaker 6: the game at least because he didn't go five innings, but.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: He held him to two runs on three hits.
• 8:33
  Speaker 6: So you know, as long as he gets this walk
• 8:36
  Speaker 6: number down a bit, he should be good here.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: His strike out rate.
• 8:39
  Speaker 6: Has gone back up after that game as well, so
• 8:42
  Speaker 6: he's been striking guys out again recently. Walk rate has
• 8:45
  Speaker 6: gone down. He's a good pitcher man. He's got a
• 8:49
  Speaker 6: low hit rate, his walk rate is pretty low as well,
• 8:52
  Speaker 6: strike out rate is high.
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: Everything that you like to see him, and.
• 8:55
  Speaker 6: Of course I know it'll be the Braves seeing him again.
• 8:58
  Speaker 6: So a lot of times these pitchers that are young
• 9:00
  Speaker 6: like McLain, they'll they'll be better in their first appearance
• 9:04
  Speaker 6: against an offense because that offense hasn't seen them before.
• 9:07
  Speaker 6: The Braves, I think, have seen him twice already now though,
• 9:10
  Speaker 6: because I believe he pitched last year or two, right, Yeah,
• 9:14
  Speaker 6: I believe the Braves have seen him more than once.
• 9:16
  Speaker 6: They have twenty three at bats against him, but they
• 9:18
  Speaker 6: have not had success against him. No extra base hits,
• 9:21
  Speaker 6: eight strikeouts, three walks, one seventy four average four forty
• 9:25
  Speaker 6: three ops. So I like those numbers here, and we're
• 9:28
  Speaker 6: gonna fade Martine Perez, who I've just kind of been
• 9:32
  Speaker 6: waiting for Perez to regress a little bit because I mean,
• 9:37
  Speaker 6: I mean his obviously, Nolan McClain has the much higher
• 9:40
  Speaker 6: ceiling here. Perez is a much older guy who's never
• 9:42
  Speaker 6: been like a strikeout guy. He's a guy that gets
• 9:45
  Speaker 6: you to hit into soft contact. He's pitched well this year.
• 9:49
  Speaker 6: There's no doubt about that three point two seven e
• 9:51
  Speaker 6: RA one point one six whip. He is good at
• 9:54
  Speaker 6: home to two point three to seven home the RA,
• 9:57
  Speaker 6: but he does seem to be kind of falter.
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: Ring a little bit here.
• 10:01
  Speaker 6: Wasn't really as good over the month of June. He
• 10:03
  Speaker 6: had a nineteen to twelve strike out walk ratio in June.
• 10:06
  Speaker 6: In twenty five and a third innings still only allowed
• 10:08
  Speaker 6: twenty two hits. But that walk number, that's a little
• 10:11
  Speaker 6: concerning man. He doesn't really strike guys out, and now
• 10:14
  Speaker 6: he's started to put guys on base.
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: He just had two pretty easy opponents.
• 10:19
  Speaker 6: To face against San Diego in San Diego and Saint Louis.
• 10:23
  Speaker 6: Well Saint Louis is a mediocre offense, and I guess, yeah,
• 10:27
  Speaker 6: you could argue they are better on the road, so
• 10:29
  Speaker 6: that was a road game for Saint Louis there. But
• 10:32
  Speaker 6: I still don't think it's a good sign that Perez
• 10:34
  Speaker 6: was bad and both those outings. He was good against
• 10:37
  Speaker 6: the Mets earlier in the month, went to New York
• 10:40
  Speaker 6: and shut them down for five and a third innings,
• 10:43
  Speaker 6: only gave up one in run. That was his one
• 10:45
  Speaker 6: good start over the past month. So yeah, I know,
• 10:48
  Speaker 6: but I think it's a bad sign that he wasn't
• 10:50
  Speaker 6: good recently in San Diego, which is like a pretty
• 10:52
  Speaker 6: ideal pitching matchup. Really, Perez, he's got a low hit rate,
• 10:57
  Speaker 6: his walk rate is a little bit too high, or
• 11:00
  Speaker 6: maybe even more than a little bit too highest strikeout
• 11:02
  Speaker 6: rate is also low.
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's not really fooling anyone.
• 11:05
  Speaker 6: And his numbers are not good against the Mets, even
• 11:08
  Speaker 6: though he did pitch well against them last time out.
• 11:11
  Speaker 6: Sixty four at bats against them, nine to twelve strikeout
• 11:15
  Speaker 6: walk ratio.
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: That's not good, not at all.
• 11:19
  Speaker 6: Three twenty eight batting average allowed eight to fifty six ops.
• 11:22
  Speaker 6: They got a couple guys in here to do a
• 11:24
  Speaker 6: pretty decent amount of damage In double digit at bats. Boba, Schett,
• 11:28
  Speaker 6: and Lindor both do some damage against him. Juan Soto
• 11:32
  Speaker 6: also does as well, So the better hitters in this
• 11:35
  Speaker 6: lineup all do some damage against him. Yeah, let's go
• 11:38
  Speaker 6: with the Mets first five. I think that's all I
• 11:42
  Speaker 6: had to say about that. So yeah, I mean, I
• 11:44
  Speaker 6: think you get the motivational edge, you get a starting
• 11:46
  Speaker 6: pitching edge with this starting pitching matchup. I consider full
• 11:50
  Speaker 6: game because I think the motivation might continue, and I
• 11:53
  Speaker 6: think maybe if the starting pitching works out the way
• 11:55
  Speaker 6: we think it will, Atlanta's bullpen will have to come
• 11:58
  Speaker 6: into the game first. But I'll still just focus on
• 12:02
  Speaker 6: the starting pitching, where I think we have the biggest edge.
• 12:04
  Speaker 6: So that's play number one, Dirty Sock, what's up? Thanks
• 12:07
  Speaker 6: for hanging out? Yes TOEF, I'm an OAF whatever Braves
• 12:14
  Speaker 6: money line?
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: God that that that that.
• 12:18
  Speaker 6: Seems like kind of a biased play to me. Who
• 12:21
  Speaker 6: are the pitchers? I don't even remember who the pitchers were,
• 12:23
  Speaker 6: what the pitching matp oh it was against Mania whatever,
• 12:27
  Speaker 6: I mean, I don't know. I was completely wrong about
• 12:29
  Speaker 6: that game. I thought that game had a chance to
• 12:31
  Speaker 6: go under. It was all about what you thought Manaia
• 12:33
  Speaker 6: was gonna do. Yeah, well, this is the thing the Mets.
• 12:38
  Speaker 6: I told you the Mets are underrated, Like the record
• 12:42
  Speaker 6: is not indicative of the talent that they have. The
• 12:45
  Speaker 6: same goes for the Red Sox. You know, like you
• 12:48
  Speaker 6: can't just look at the record and say this is
• 12:49
  Speaker 6: what this team is. Like, this team has talent. Uh.
• 12:53
  Speaker 6: But I mean when that happens, uh, usually it is
• 12:57
  Speaker 6: a managerial problem. And both of those teams fired their
• 13:00
  Speaker 6: manager during the season. So yeah, I mean, I think
• 13:04
  Speaker 6: you could see those teams make a run here. I mean,
• 13:08
  Speaker 6: I hate the Yankees a lot more than I hate
• 13:10
  Speaker 6: the Mets. The Mets are just like, I don't know,
• 13:12
  Speaker 6: the Mets are just like a team that you just pity.
• 13:17
  Speaker 6: But yes, the Mets are the play there all right,
• 13:21
  Speaker 6: First five though, Pittsburgh Washington. Most of the games are
• 13:25
  Speaker 6: gonna be in the afternoon here. This has been a well,
• 13:29
  Speaker 6: I was gonna say it's been a high scoring series.
• 13:31
  Speaker 6: I expected this to be a high scoring series. Yesterday's
• 13:33
  Speaker 6: game was not as high scoring. These teams have split
• 13:36
  Speaker 6: the series so far, so this will be the last
• 13:38
  Speaker 6: game of the series. It is the rubber match here.
• 13:41
  Speaker 6: I expect both teams to show up. Pittsburgh got the
• 13:43
  Speaker 6: game yesterday seven to one, which, oh, I was right
• 13:48
  Speaker 6: about that, so of course I didn't put that one
• 13:50
  Speaker 6: on my card, and I was completely correct about it.
• 13:53
  Speaker 6: I said Pittsburgh would win behind Brax and Ashcraft against
• 13:57
  Speaker 6: Zach lttel or I think it was Lttel my high
• 14:00
  Speaker 6: an opener. I don't know Pittsburgh's four relief pitchers Washington.
• 14:04
  Speaker 6: If this Patriot even low used two.
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: One of them was their opener, they'll pom Quist.
• 14:11
  Speaker 6: But even though Pittsburgh has a rest disadvantage there, Washington's
• 14:14
  Speaker 6: bullpen is pretty bad. They're twenty six, Pittsburgh twenty second.
• 14:19
  Speaker 6: I don't like either bullpen, but Pittsburgh's is still the
• 14:22
  Speaker 6: less bad of the two. Both offenses are good, so
• 14:25
  Speaker 6: again bad bullpen's good offenses. It does seem like that
• 14:29
  Speaker 6: is pretty run conducive. Pittsburgh two number two in offense,
• 14:33
  Speaker 6: Washington number four in offense. This pitching matchup here, you know,
• 14:38
  Speaker 6: I mean, I think both of these guys do have
• 14:40
  Speaker 6: some talent. They're both pretty young. Bubba Chandler is the
• 14:43
  Speaker 6: younger of the two. Chandler hasn't really figured it out
• 14:46
  Speaker 6: yet though four point six two ERA, one point three
• 14:50
  Speaker 6: to nine whip.
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: He's a little bit better on the road four point
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: five to six roadyra.
• 14:56
  Speaker 6: His strikeout rate, you know, has been okay. His walk
• 14:59
  Speaker 6: rate is really his issue. Though he's pitched okay, I guess,
• 15:03
  Speaker 6: like over the past month, but he's got to get
• 15:04
  Speaker 6: his walk rate down. I think he's better, Like, he's
• 15:08
  Speaker 6: better than he looks, but it's just because he's issuing
• 15:11
  Speaker 6: so many walks here.
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: That's why his ray is bad.
• 15:15
  Speaker 6: He's got a low hit rate, really high walk rate,
• 15:18
  Speaker 6: which again is a huge problem. He's walking more than
• 15:20
  Speaker 6: one guy every two winnings. You cannot do that. And
• 15:23
  Speaker 6: his strikeout rate is okay. Yeah, I mean again, I
• 15:28
  Speaker 6: think he's got some talent. He does actually have good
• 15:30
  Speaker 6: numbers against Washington. Five hitters have seen him twelve at bats.
• 15:34
  Speaker 6: He only have one hit a single from Cruise, four strikeouts,
• 15:38
  Speaker 6: no walks, eighty three average one sixty seven ops. Ken
• 15:42
  Speaker 6: Chandler pitch well here he could. I think he's pretty
• 15:47
  Speaker 6: unpredictable man. Like again, he's got a pretty high ceiling
• 15:50
  Speaker 6: in my opinion, but he walks.
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: Everybody, So what do you like. I don't know what
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: you can expect.
• 15:54
  Speaker 6: And if you walk guys against the lineup like Washington,
• 15:57
  Speaker 6: they're gonna make you pay more often than not.
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: So I don't like that.
• 16:01
  Speaker 6: Then we have a persona non grata in Boston pitching
• 16:05
  Speaker 6: for the Nationals here, Cade Cavali, who we're all pissed
• 16:10
  Speaker 6: at him up here because I still don't think he
• 16:12
  Speaker 6: should have done that, like sit down, boy, against a
• 16:15
  Speaker 6: guy that's ten years your elder in the major leagues,
• 16:19
  Speaker 6: like a young guy like Cavali.
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: Again, he hasn't earned his stripes in the league yet.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: I know he's twenty seven, but he hasn't been in
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: the league that long, hasn't done anything yet. And you're
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: gonna bark like that when you strike out a guy
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: who's in his thirties and he's been in the majors
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: for over a decade and he's you know, proven himself
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: in the majors, you're not supposed to do that.
• 16:39
  Speaker 6: So Contrera's was correct to take exception with that. Contrera's
• 16:44
  Speaker 6: suspension that he's currently appealing is obviously he's gonna get
• 16:49
  Speaker 6: that suspension cut down because seven games is ridiculous.
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: Cavali also got seven, but he's.
• 16:54
  Speaker 6: A starting pitcher, so that just means he's gonna miss
• 16:56
  Speaker 6: one start. But he's appealing to so he's pitching today. Now.
• 17:01
  Speaker 6: As far as this game, yeah, Cavali is actually I
• 17:03
  Speaker 6: think he's a decent pitcher. Three point six' ninety, ra
• 17:06
  Speaker 6: one point three to three whip is still not that,
• 17:08
  Speaker 6: good but he's getting. Better he's been a little bit
• 17:11
  Speaker 6: better at home three point six to four home era
• 17:14
  Speaker 6: really good in his last two, starts one at home
• 17:17
  Speaker 6: Against philly and then he struck out thirteen against The
• 17:20
  Speaker 6: Red sox in seven, innings threw one hundred, pitches though
• 17:24
  Speaker 6: he allowed only one hit and nowhere in runs in
• 17:27
  Speaker 6: that one in a win against The Red, sox he dominated.
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: Them, now it was his.
• 17:31
  Speaker 6: First time throwing one hundred pitches all season and possibly
• 17:35
  Speaker 6: in HIS i don't know if it was in his entire.
• 17:37
  Speaker 6: Career it actually might have. Been so that worries to,
• 17:40
  Speaker 6: me man that this could be a letdown spot for,
• 17:42
  Speaker 6: him because that was like his best performance of his,
• 17:45
  Speaker 6: career you know WHAT i. Mean he had a huge
• 17:47
  Speaker 6: amount of, strikeouts had a one hit, Performance he got
• 17:50
  Speaker 6: into an altercasion with a team that has a lot
• 17:53
  Speaker 6: of weight behind their, name The Red, sox and he
• 17:55
  Speaker 6: threw one hundred PITCHES i think for the first time
• 17:57
  Speaker 6: in his, career and now he's coming off of.
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: That that would.
• 18:00
  Speaker 6: Worry me a little, bit even though he is pitching
• 18:02
  Speaker 6: well right. Now so, yes he is in good. Form
• 18:05
  Speaker 6: DO i really.
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: Want to fade him right? Now? No not.
• 18:08
  Speaker 6: REALLY i, mean he threw almost one hundred pitches in
• 18:10
  Speaker 6: a couple other, games SO i don't know how big
• 18:12
  Speaker 6: of a deal that really.
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: Is his hit rate is still a little bit too.
• 18:16
  Speaker 6: High his walk rate is actually pretty, low so he's
• 18:19
  Speaker 6: actually two hit able is really his. Problem his strikeout
• 18:22
  Speaker 6: rate is. High he's definitely got strikeout. Stuff he has
• 18:26
  Speaker 6: not been good Against pittsburgh in a small sample size
• 18:29
  Speaker 6: twelve at, bats but most of their hitters have faced
• 18:32
  Speaker 6: him four seventeen average oneye seventeen ops two to three
• 18:37
  Speaker 6: strikeout walk, ratio so he doesn't match up well Against. Pittsburgh,
• 18:40
  Speaker 6: Here chandler actually has the better matchup. NUMBERS i, Mean
• 18:43
  Speaker 6: i'm leaving this game. ALONE i think there are just
• 18:45
  Speaker 6: too many conflicting factors. Here the money is coming in
• 18:49
  Speaker 6: On washington seventy one percent of tickets eighty seven percent
• 18:52
  Speaker 6: of the cash on them at minus one thirty four
• 18:57
  Speaker 6: based on the pitching. MATCHUP i don't. KNOW i might
• 19:00
  Speaker 6: slightly want to buck that and lean in buck the
• 19:03
  Speaker 6: bucks The pirates and leans slightly Towards, PITTSBURGH i, Think but.
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: It's a difficult.
• 19:11
  Speaker 6: CALL i, Mean cavali is the one is the picture
• 19:13
  Speaker 6: that's at least in the better. Form money is also
• 19:16
  Speaker 6: playing the over.
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: At nine and a.
• 19:18
  Speaker 6: HALF i don't know what to do about. THAT i,
• 19:20
  Speaker 6: MEAN i could see the argument for, it. OBVIOUSLY i
• 19:23
  Speaker 6: mean this entire series is kind of an over, argument
• 19:26
  Speaker 6: LIKE i, said with good hitting and bad. Bullpens BUT
• 19:29
  Speaker 6: i don't think i'd want to really do it in
• 19:31
  Speaker 6: that starting pitching. Matchup, money by the, way is backing
• 19:34
  Speaker 6: the under quite a bit in The Mets braves game
• 19:37
  Speaker 6: with a total at, nine which just SEEMS i don't,
• 19:40
  Speaker 6: know that total seems too high to me in that.
• 19:42
  Speaker 6: GAME A nolan McClain game with a total at nine
• 19:45
  Speaker 6: with two pretty good bullpens and one starting pitcher THAT
• 19:50
  Speaker 6: i think is a bit more questionable than the. Other,
• 19:52
  Speaker 6: OBVIOUSLY i gave up The mets as a play and
• 19:54
  Speaker 6: that's my focus in that. Game that total JUST i
• 19:57
  Speaker 6: don't know what's going on with that. Total the the odds,
• 20:00
  Speaker 6: makers they know what they're.
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: Doing. Man the last TIME i said, THAT i forget
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: which game it. Was it was like two days.
• 20:05
  Speaker 6: AGO i think there was a total of, nine AND
• 20:07
  Speaker 6: i was just, like what the hell is? That AND
• 20:09
  Speaker 6: i was right to get that game went, under it landed.
• 20:12
  Speaker 6: Eight whichever game that. WAS i can't remember what it was.
• 20:14
  Speaker 6: Though this kind of reminds me of that, Though Like
• 20:18
  Speaker 6: i'm looking at this And i'm, like what's going on with?
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: That but the odds makers know what they're.
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: Doing.
• 20:22
  Speaker 6: Man they're not just gonna throw up a high total like,
• 20:24
  Speaker 6: that you, know if they really think it's gonna be
• 20:27
  Speaker 6: a low scoring.
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: Game BUT i don't. Know, uh that game that feels like.
• 20:31
  Speaker 6: That total is too high to me, Though but that
• 20:33
  Speaker 6: would also worry me IF i was gonna play the.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: Under oh, Yeah Chris, sale, dude you.
• 20:38
  Speaker 6: Can you cannot play a money line on a game
• 20:41
  Speaker 6: like that With. Chrisale you're paying way too much money for.
• 20:44
  Speaker 6: It have you learned nothing from my? SHOW i don't
• 20:47
  Speaker 6: care if they want or, Not like you're paying way
• 20:49
  Speaker 6: too much of a price For.
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: Chrissale if you're.
• 20:51
  Speaker 6: Gonna play that, game do like a run line or. Something,
• 20:56
  Speaker 6: kyle what's?
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: Up?
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: Man all?
• 20:59
  Speaker 6: Right baltimore At cincinnati this? GAME i, mean this is
• 21:06
  Speaker 6: not a good pitching. Matchup i'll tell you That cincinnati's
• 21:08
  Speaker 6: trying to avoid getting swept here at, home and you
• 21:11
  Speaker 6: KNOW i talk about when a team is at home
• 21:13
  Speaker 6: trying to avoid getting swept a lot of times they
• 21:16
  Speaker 6: will show, motivation they'll show. Up Is baltimore gonna have
• 21:20
  Speaker 6: a look ahead? HERE i don't know who are they playing?
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: NEXT i.
• 21:22
  Speaker 6: Forget this is WHY i Have tuesday schedule. Up they're
• 21:25
  Speaker 6: playing The, cubs so that might be a look. AHEAD i,
• 21:29
  Speaker 6: mean they might have more, attention you, know on The
• 21:32
  Speaker 6: cubs at this point than on The reds Because baltimore
• 21:35
  Speaker 6: has already won this. Series The reds are kind of.
• 21:37
  Speaker 6: Crappy reds don't have a good. Bullpen The reds only
• 21:41
  Speaker 6: us two guys out of it. Yesterday baltimore use. Four
• 21:47
  Speaker 6: let's See baltimore fourteenth in. BULLPEN i think they're maybe
• 21:52
  Speaker 6: a little worse than. That their era is not that.
• 21:54
  Speaker 6: Good reds are definitely worse. Though The reds are twenty.
• 21:57
  Speaker 6: Eighth they're not a good. Bullpen baltimore's also the better offensive.
• 22:01
  Speaker 6: Team they're number. Seventeen The reds are number twenty. Two
• 22:05
  Speaker 6: baltimore is going With Kyle. BRADISH i Think bradish probably
• 22:08
  Speaker 6: has the higher ceiling out of these two starting, pitchers.
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: But his whip indicates that HIS ra is not where
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: it should. Be HIS era three point seven to.
• 22:20
  Speaker 6: Seven his whip is one point four to, five which
• 22:22
  Speaker 6: is definitely too. High that indicates THE era should be
• 22:25
  Speaker 6: higher than it. Is he's not as good on the
• 22:27
  Speaker 6: road four point one five road, era so some thing's
• 22:30
  Speaker 6: not looking good for him. Here he did have a
• 22:33
  Speaker 6: couple of really good starts recently Against seattle And, anaheim
• 22:36
  Speaker 6: both on the, road But anaheim's really just not playing
• 22:40
  Speaker 6: well right, now and they're not a good team and
• 22:42
  Speaker 6: they don't hit as well at, home and of Course
• 22:44
  Speaker 6: seattle's a pitcher friendly. Park Then bradish did struggle way
• 22:48
  Speaker 6: more in his last start Against washington and walked five
• 22:51
  Speaker 6: guys in four, innings but he only allowed one hit
• 22:54
  Speaker 6: and three earned. Runs but, still you can't walk that many, guys.
• 22:57
  Speaker 6: Man his walk number has been too high recently and
• 23:01
  Speaker 6: all of his starts that weren't those two good ones
• 23:04
  Speaker 6: over the month Of, june he failed to make it
• 23:06
  Speaker 6: five innings in all of. Them his hit rate is
• 23:09
  Speaker 6: fine on the, season his walk rate is definitely too.
• 23:11
  Speaker 6: High strike out rate is actually fairly. High so his
• 23:15
  Speaker 6: issue is the. Walks you, know, again a lot of
• 23:18
  Speaker 6: guys have that. Issue reds don't have much experience against,
• 23:22
  Speaker 6: him only three hitters of face and. Him they do
• 23:24
  Speaker 6: have twenty four at, bats, though and they have hit
• 23:26
  Speaker 6: him well three thirty three, average eight sixty ops seven
• 23:30
  Speaker 6: to one strike out walk. RATIO i don't think it
• 23:33
  Speaker 6: looks particularly good For, braddish even though he is a
• 23:35
  Speaker 6: little bit unfamiliar to, them he's been around for a.
• 23:38
  Speaker 6: While this is not an ideal place to pitch. Either
• 23:41
  Speaker 6: it's more of a hit or friendly. BALLPARK i don't
• 23:44
  Speaker 6: THINK i would want to Trust Nick ludolo on the
• 23:46
  Speaker 6: side of The reds either. Though five point zero FIVE,
• 23:49
  Speaker 6: era one point four to seven. Whip he's really bad
• 23:52
  Speaker 6: at home this year six point three HOMEY.
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: Ra that's not.
• 23:56
  Speaker 6: Good he didn't give up any runs in his last
• 23:58
  Speaker 6: two starts Against.
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee but he walked four guys and a.
• 24:02
  Speaker 6: Lot one hit both guys in their last, start gave
• 24:05
  Speaker 6: up four walks and one, hit But lodolo shut Out
• 24:09
  Speaker 6: milwaukee over those five. Innings also shut Out milwaukee in
• 24:12
  Speaker 6: the previous start over four. Innings But i'm pretty sure
• 24:16
  Speaker 6: that he has good matchup numbers Against. Milwaukee SO i
• 24:18
  Speaker 6: don't know what it, is but he just matches up
• 24:21
  Speaker 6: well Against, MILWAUKEE i think. SO i do not think
• 24:23
  Speaker 6: he's gonna fare as well in this. Game he wasn't
• 24:26
  Speaker 6: pitching well prior to those. Games his walk rate has
• 24:30
  Speaker 6: been pretty much too. High his hit rate is too
• 24:33
  Speaker 6: high as. Well his strike out rate is not particularly.
• 24:35
  Speaker 6: High nothing to really like about him. Here his numbers
• 24:39
  Speaker 6: Against baltimore aren't too bad. Though in twenty three at,
• 24:42
  Speaker 6: bats he does have a really low two seventeen batting average.
• 24:45
  Speaker 6: Against but HIS ops is right there in the, middle
• 24:48
  Speaker 6: like an AVERAGE ops seven to forty. Eight it's really
• 24:51
  Speaker 6: close to that seven point fifty threshold. There eight to
• 24:54
  Speaker 6: five strike out walk. Ratio that's not very. Good i'm
• 24:58
  Speaker 6: gonna lean over in. THIS i, mean it's not gonna
• 25:01
  Speaker 6: make my card or anything like. That money is backing
• 25:04
  Speaker 6: the UNDER i don't really understand, that understand it sixty
• 25:07
  Speaker 6: one percent of, tickets seventy four percent of the cash
• 25:10
  Speaker 6: on the under totals nine and a. HALF i, mean
• 25:13
  Speaker 6: obviously it's high for a. REASON i, mean you do
• 25:16
  Speaker 6: not have very elite starting pitchers, here to say the,
• 25:20
  Speaker 6: least and you don't have good bullpens here.
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: EITHER i would prefer the over over anything else in that.
• 25:25
  Speaker 6: Game nine and a half also kind of signals to
• 25:28
  Speaker 6: you the oddsmakers think it'll be a higher scoring. Game
• 25:31
  Speaker 6: fifty nine percent of the tickets are On, baltimore seventy
• 25:33
  Speaker 6: percent of the cash on The, reds so you know
• 25:36
  Speaker 6: The reds are trying to avoid the.
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: Sweep SO i could see the argument for.
• 25:39
  Speaker 6: It lodolo also has the better matchup, numbers even though
• 25:42
  Speaker 6: it's a small sample. Size if you want to base
• 25:45
  Speaker 6: anything off of, that you, KNOW i could see the
• 25:48
  Speaker 6: argument For. CINCINNATI i would not play them full, game,
• 25:51
  Speaker 6: THOUGH i do not want to Back cincinnati's, bullpens So
• 25:54
  Speaker 6: i'd Lean cincinnati first five, slightly BUT i prefer the
• 25:57
  Speaker 6: over to anything else in that. Game, cincinnati you're getting
• 26:01
  Speaker 6: him at a cheap, price About pickham. Price you probably
• 26:04
  Speaker 6: have to pay a little bit more first five because
• 26:08
  Speaker 6: everybody knows their bullpen is Trash minnesota and The. Yankees
• 26:13
  Speaker 6: this is a split series at this. One The yankees
• 26:15
  Speaker 6: have not been playing good baseball recently and they got
• 26:18
  Speaker 6: shelled By. Minnesota SO i don't know what The yankees
• 26:20
  Speaker 6: were doing THEY i forget who that. Was they they
• 26:23
  Speaker 6: brought in some like Spot, starter WHO i told you
• 26:26
  Speaker 6: wasn't really that particularly good of a prospect or. ANYTHING
• 26:29
  Speaker 6: i don't know what they were doing yesterday in that,
• 26:31
  Speaker 6: game but it was not good for The. Yankees that was,
• 26:36
  Speaker 6: Yeah brendan beck On Zebbie matthews wasn't particularly good on
• 26:40
  Speaker 6: the other side, either so that game soared over the.
• 26:43
  Speaker 6: Total But minnesota did most of that damage and won
• 26:46
  Speaker 6: eleven to. Four and this does not look like a
• 26:49
  Speaker 6: terrific pitching matchup for The yankees here, Either so it
• 26:53
  Speaker 6: even though The yankees usually Beat, Minnesota i'm pretty, sure
• 26:56
  Speaker 6: which is not, Surprising minnesota does have a starting pitching vantage.
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: Here they do not have a bullpen, advantage.
• 27:02
  Speaker 6: Though they use four relief pitchers, yesterday The yankees also
• 27:06
  Speaker 6: used a.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: Lot they use, five but The yankees have a better.
• 27:09
  Speaker 6: Bullpen yankees have the second best bullpen he array right
• 27:13
  Speaker 6: now in the rank fourth and bullpen they're. Good The
• 27:17
  Speaker 6: mets bullpen is not excuse The twins bullpen is not
• 27:21
  Speaker 6: good at, all number twenty, nine and there are arguments
• 27:25
  Speaker 6: still that they're worse than The. Royals yankees are a sixth,
• 27:29
  Speaker 6: Offensively minnesota, seventh tied With Tampa bay because they did explode,
• 27:34
  Speaker 6: yesterday But yankees are the better. Offense these are both
• 27:38
  Speaker 6: pretty capable. Offenses, however AS i alluded, To minnesota does
• 27:42
  Speaker 6: have a starting pitching edge here because they Have Joe ryan.
• 27:45
  Speaker 6: Going although he's on my shit list right now because
• 27:48
  Speaker 6: he fucked us in his last. Start he blew up
• 27:52
  Speaker 6: in the fourth inning and cost us that first five
• 27:55
  Speaker 6: play On minnesota that last time he was out. There
• 27:58
  Speaker 6: he's good, though three point six to, one one point eight.
• 28:01
  Speaker 6: Whip he's a little bit worse on the. Road four
• 28:04
  Speaker 6: point h. Nine Roady Ray, again he wasn't good last
• 28:08
  Speaker 6: time out Against. Houston he was pitching well into the
• 28:11
  Speaker 6: fourth inning and then he just imploded in the fourth
• 28:13
  Speaker 6: inning and that cost us that. Game i'm pretty pissed about.
• 28:17
  Speaker 6: That he had a three to nothing lead behind him
• 28:19
  Speaker 6: in that. Game come, on. Man other than, that he's
• 28:22
  Speaker 6: pitched WELL i know it looks like he allowed some
• 28:24
  Speaker 6: runs there against The, dodgers but he's he had a
• 28:27
  Speaker 6: lot of strikeouts. There AS i mentioned in that handicap
• 28:29
  Speaker 6: for The houston, Game ryan was pitching, well. Man he
• 28:32
  Speaker 6: had a lot of. Strikeouts he's still over that month Of.
• 28:35
  Speaker 6: June he was a little bit too, hittable but he
• 28:38
  Speaker 6: had a really good strikeout, rate really low walk. Rate
• 28:41
  Speaker 6: so he was better in that month than his era would.
• 28:43
  Speaker 6: Suggest but we know he's a good pitcher. MAN i,
• 28:45
  Speaker 6: mean he's been around for a. While he's got a
• 28:47
  Speaker 6: low hit, rate low walk, rate high strikeout. Rate all
• 28:50
  Speaker 6: those numbers are. Good he is also good against The.
• 28:53
  Speaker 6: Yankees his sixty five at bats two thirty one average
• 28:56
  Speaker 6: allowed six sixty five ops.
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: Twenty one to three strikeout walk rate, here that is very.
• 29:01
  Speaker 6: Good so, Yeah ryan does pitch well against The yankees,
• 29:05
  Speaker 6: typically or at least against the current lineup they, have
• 29:08
  Speaker 6: which does not Include Aaron. Judge, Still yankees are going
• 29:11
  Speaker 6: With Ryan, weathers who was obviously not as good As Joe.
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: Ryan The battle of the Two Ryans.
• 29:18
  Speaker 6: Weathers he's not terrible, though four point EIGHTY ra one
• 29:22
  Speaker 6: point two to one. Whip he is better at home
• 29:24
  Speaker 6: three point seven to four home the ra so he
• 29:27
  Speaker 6: is in the better of his splits.
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: Here he really struggled in his last start Against.
• 29:31
  Speaker 6: Detroit maybe he can give him a little bit of
• 29:33
  Speaker 6: a pass, though because obviously the fielding was terrible behind.
• 29:36
  Speaker 6: Him three of the five runs he gave up were.
• 29:39
  Speaker 6: Unearned he was out of the game really quickly in that,
• 29:42
  Speaker 6: one and he had just Faced detroit the start prior to,
• 29:44
  Speaker 6: that So detroit had recent familiarity with, him so it
• 29:48
  Speaker 6: wasn't really as easy a task in that second game for.
• 29:52
  Speaker 6: Him but he wasn't pitching well at the beginning Of
• 29:54
  Speaker 6: june either, though so he was getting a little bit.
• 29:57
  Speaker 6: Worse his hit rate is still pretty low on the,
• 30:00
  Speaker 6: season though his walk rate's still pretty. Low strike got
• 30:03
  Speaker 6: rate is still pretty, high so his across the.
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: Board numbers are still pretty.
• 30:07
  Speaker 6: Good over the course of the, Season twins haven't really
• 30:10
  Speaker 6: seen much of. Them they only have four hitters who
• 30:12
  Speaker 6: have faced, him but they do have some success three
• 30:14
  Speaker 6: hundred batting, average although THE ops.
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: Is not very.
• 30:17
  Speaker 6: High it's seven hundred three zero strike got walk razier
• 30:21
  Speaker 6: and the rest of The twins haven't seen him, before
• 30:23
  Speaker 6: so he might have a little bit of an unfamiliarity edge,
• 30:26
  Speaker 6: here SO i don't really think he's gonna pitch poorly.
• 30:29
  Speaker 6: Here you could definitely make the argument for a first
• 30:32
  Speaker 6: five play On minnesota because it Is Joe, ryan and
• 30:35
  Speaker 6: the money is agreeing with. That sixty six percent of
• 30:38
  Speaker 6: tickets on The, yankees fifty six percent of the cash
• 30:40
  Speaker 6: On minnesota.
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: For the for the full, Game yankees re minus one
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: thirty something for the full.
• 30:47
  Speaker 6: Game minnesota is gonna be less of a good price
• 30:51
  Speaker 6: in the first, five, obviously but you'll probably still get
• 30:54
  Speaker 6: them as an underdog in the first. FIVE i would
• 30:56
  Speaker 6: agree With minnesota in the first five in this. ONE
• 30:58
  Speaker 6: i Think Joe ryan can out Pitch Ryan weathers. Here
• 31:03
  Speaker 6: but you, KNOW i think the under makes some sense here,
• 31:07
  Speaker 6: too and the money seems like it does agree with,
• 31:08
  Speaker 6: that ALTHOUGH i would only make that a first five play,
• 31:11
  Speaker 6: too because you can't Back minnesota's, bullpen, man you can't do,
• 31:15
  Speaker 6: it and The yankees bullpen's a little bit used after.
• 31:18
  Speaker 6: Yesterday sixty percent of tickets on the, over sixty six
• 31:21
  Speaker 6: percent of the cash on the over total eight and a,
• 31:24
  Speaker 6: half so the money is indicating towards the under there,
• 31:29
  Speaker 6: AGAIN i could see the argument for, it BUT i
• 31:30
  Speaker 6: would do it first. Five SO i Like minnesota first
• 31:34
  Speaker 6: five probably the best actually in that. Game BUT i
• 31:37
  Speaker 6: think under in the first five also makes sense in that.
• 31:40
  Speaker 6: Game All, Right White Sox, Cleveland i'm not gonna give
• 31:43
  Speaker 6: you an under in this. One cleveland won the first
• 31:47
  Speaker 6: two games of the series and then lost. Yesterday so
• 31:51
  Speaker 6: this is a four game series And cleveland is two
• 31:53
  Speaker 6: and one in the series right. Now it's a big
• 31:55
  Speaker 6: series for both, teams so both teams should continue.
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: To show up. Here White sox used two relief.
• 32:00
  Speaker 6: Pitchers indians used four, yesterday and they use their better
• 32:04
  Speaker 6: relievers because it was a save. Situation i'm pretty sure
• 32:07
  Speaker 6: So White, sox you, know their bullpen is a little
• 32:11
  Speaker 6: bit better with the rest situation, here But cleveland is
• 32:14
  Speaker 6: the better.
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: Bullpen. Generally they're, sixteenth The White sox are.
• 32:17
  Speaker 6: Twentieth they're both like decent, bullpens THOUGH i would Say
• 32:22
  Speaker 6: cleveland is a little bit, better but they're also less,
• 32:24
  Speaker 6: rested so these are pretty even bullpens here in my.
• 32:26
  Speaker 6: Opinion right, Now White sox are definitely the better. Offense
• 32:29
  Speaker 6: they're tied in, Tenth cleveland twenty. Eighth and again still
• 32:33
  Speaker 6: Without Jose. Ramirez White sox Have Chris murphy listed as a.
• 32:37
  Speaker 6: STARTER i looked into. It i'm pretty Sure Eric fetti
• 32:41
  Speaker 6: is gonna be pitching in this. GAME i Think murphy
• 32:43
  Speaker 6: is gonna be an opener in front Of. Fetti so
• 32:45
  Speaker 6: if you're gonna play this game, again WHAT i would
• 32:47
  Speaker 6: do IS i would Pick biby must start For cleveland
• 32:51
  Speaker 6: and don't specify a starting pitcher for The White. Sox
• 32:53
  Speaker 6: AND i believed we had the same pitching. Matchup i'm
• 32:56
  Speaker 6: pretty sure the last Time biby was on the, mound
• 32:59
  Speaker 6: IF i remember, CORRECT i THINK i Gave cleveland out
• 33:01
  Speaker 6: as a. Play If i'm not, MISTAKEN i think they
• 33:03
  Speaker 6: did win that, game AND i think it was it
• 33:07
  Speaker 6: was the same. SETUP i THINK i said Pick biby must,
• 33:09
  Speaker 6: start don't specify A White sox, pitcher Because i'm pretty
• 33:12
  Speaker 6: sure we know That murphy is an opener, here and.
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: Then Eric fetti is coming in after.
• 33:17
  Speaker 6: That i'm almost positive that's what they're, doing Because fetti
• 33:20
  Speaker 6: would be next up in their rotation if you want
• 33:23
  Speaker 6: to consider him to be in the. Rotation, MURPHY i,
• 33:25
  Speaker 6: MEAN i don't think we need to go into him
• 33:27
  Speaker 6: really because he's only gonna go one inning here pretty.
• 33:29
  Speaker 6: Much but three point seven to NINETY, ra one point
• 33:32
  Speaker 6: three to seven whip. Whatever, yeah he pitched Against. Cleveland,
• 33:37
  Speaker 6: uh he pitched two days. Ago he also pitched three days.
• 33:40
  Speaker 6: Ago AND i think the GAME i was thinking, Of,
• 33:43
  Speaker 6: oh it was TWO i guess it was two starts
• 33:46
  Speaker 6: to go for whatever this was when it came, Out
• 33:48
  Speaker 6: BUT i think it was a play. In, yeah this
• 33:50
  Speaker 6: previous series that was in Late. JUNE i think that's
• 33:53
  Speaker 6: What i'm.
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: Remembering it feels more recent than.
• 33:55
  Speaker 6: That, man although this always throws me off Because murphy
• 33:59
  Speaker 6: pitches in so many, games so, Whatever but, yeah his
• 34:03
  Speaker 6: numbers are good Against cleveland, though SO i think it
• 34:05
  Speaker 6: is fairly Likely murphy is gonna have a clean first,
• 34:08
  Speaker 6: inning but then you're gonna Be i'm assuming looking At.
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: Eric fetti after, that and he is not.
• 34:14
  Speaker 6: Good SO i Think cleveland is pretty fatable, here or excuse,
• 34:18
  Speaker 6: me The White sox are pretty fatable. Here feedti almost
• 34:22
  Speaker 6: positive he's coming into pitch in this. Game four point
• 34:25
  Speaker 6: four to one E ra one point four to three
• 34:27
  Speaker 6: whip not. Good not good on the. Road five point
• 34:30
  Speaker 6: seven to Nine Roady ray he last. Pitch, yeah this
• 34:33
  Speaker 6: is the GAME i was thinking. Of i'm pretty SURE
• 34:35
  Speaker 6: i gave out a winner On cleveland On june twenty.
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: Fourth that was a similar.
• 34:39
  Speaker 6: Setup i'm pretty Sure murphy opened the game and Then
• 34:41
  Speaker 6: fedi pitched four innings after.
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: That he wasn't.
• 34:44
  Speaker 6: Good he only allowed one in and, run but he
• 34:46
  Speaker 6: wasn't very. Good he walked three, guys give up five.
• 34:49
  Speaker 6: Hits he got lucky to only.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: Allow one or and run. There, yeah two.
• 34:54
  Speaker 6: Strikeouts whatever WE i think IF i did give out
• 34:58
  Speaker 6: that play we barely. WANTED i mean, obvious we barely.
• 35:00
  Speaker 6: Wonted cleveland won an extra, innings BUT i think that
• 35:03
  Speaker 6: was a win for us on the. Show fetti does
• 35:06
  Speaker 6: not have good numbers Against cleveland two ninety nine, average
• 35:09
  Speaker 6: allowed eight sixty five ops and eighty seven at, bats
• 35:13
  Speaker 6: bad strikeout walk ratio to ten. Ten SO i do
• 35:16
  Speaker 6: not like how The White sox pitching looks in this.
• 35:18
  Speaker 6: GAME i would rather Back tan Or biby, here who
• 35:21
  Speaker 6: was the better pitcher.
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: Here HE'S i know his record looks.
• 35:25
  Speaker 6: Like ass but again that's because he gets no run
• 35:28
  Speaker 6: support this. Season he got a ton last year and
• 35:31
  Speaker 6: this year he's getting. None three point six to NINETY,
• 35:33
  Speaker 6: rra one point one to one whip that's pretty. Good
• 35:36
  Speaker 6: he's good at home three point four to five HOMEY.
• 35:39
  Speaker 6: Ra he's in pretty good form over the past month or.
• 35:42
  Speaker 6: So had a really low hit rate In. June his
• 35:45
  Speaker 6: strikeout rate wasn't particularly, high but he also wasn't putting
• 35:48
  Speaker 6: guys on.
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: Base had a one point eight to NINETY ra in that.
• 35:51
  Speaker 6: Month shut out The White, sox by the, way in
• 35:54
  Speaker 6: THAT i think that that was the. GAME i gave
• 35:56
  Speaker 6: up that play on six shutout innings and we still
• 35:59
  Speaker 6: had to win the game in x extra. Innings come, on,
• 36:01
  Speaker 6: MAN i mean my play was clearly correct in that.
• 36:04
  Speaker 6: Game biby six shutout. Innings he was way better Than
• 36:07
  Speaker 6: fetti in that. One that was that same. Game biby,
• 36:12
  Speaker 6: overall low hit, rate pretty low walk rate. Too strikeout
• 36:15
  Speaker 6: rate not really high, Though but against The White sox
• 36:19
  Speaker 6: he does do really. Well fifty seven at bats one
• 36:21
  Speaker 6: fifty eight, average allowed four toh one.
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: Ops that's really.
• 36:24
  Speaker 6: Good thirteen to five strike out walk ratio is not very.
• 36:27
  Speaker 6: Good all the rest of his numbers against The White
• 36:30
  Speaker 6: sox are. Good THOUGH i could only Back cleveland in this.
• 36:33
  Speaker 6: Game you, KNOW i, MEAN i, know maybe their bullpen
• 36:37
  Speaker 6: edge is a little bit erased. There the money is
• 36:40
  Speaker 6: not Playing cleveland, here the money's back in The White.
• 36:43
  Speaker 6: SOX i don't get, it, MAN i really. Don't seventy
• 36:45
  Speaker 6: four percent of tickets On, cleveland sixty nine percent of
• 36:48
  Speaker 6: the cash on.
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: Them cleveland's the heaviest.
• 36:50
  Speaker 6: Favorite they've been in this series in this, game AND
• 36:53
  Speaker 6: i think it's because It's Eric fetti.
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: On the other. Side minus one forty eight basically is
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: the price. Here.
• 37:00
  Speaker 6: Now i'm surprised, though BECAUSE i would think the, public
• 37:02
  Speaker 6: As i've said all, SERIES i would think the public
• 37:05
  Speaker 6: would look at this and, think how AM i getting
• 37:07
  Speaker 6: The White sox as an underdog? Here like the public loves,
• 37:09
  Speaker 6: offense so they like The White sox Over. CLEVELAND i don't, know,
• 37:14
  Speaker 6: man but apparently not in this. GAME i don't really get.
• 37:17
  Speaker 6: It but, YEAH i Like cleveland in this. ONE i
• 37:21
  Speaker 6: could see the argument for going first five BECAUSE i
• 37:23
  Speaker 6: Think cleveland has the bigger advantage in the first.
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: Five.
• 37:26
  Speaker 6: Here they might have a slightly better, bullpen but it's
• 37:30
  Speaker 6: also not, rested so the bullpens are a little bit
• 37:33
  Speaker 6: of a toss up first five and they can get
• 37:35
  Speaker 6: the biggest edge With cleveland With biby against probably about
• 37:39
  Speaker 6: four innings Of Eric fetti there if he doesn't get
• 37:42
  Speaker 6: knocked out before.
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: Then the money is also on the over here at
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: eight and a.
• 37:45
  Speaker 6: HALF i don't know about the over, MAN i mean,
• 37:52
  Speaker 6: YEAH i MEAN i don't have a great feel for
• 37:54
  Speaker 6: the for the total. THERE i, mean both, BULLPENS i don't, know.
• 37:57
  Speaker 6: MAN I cleveland's bullpen isn't exactly a good, shit but
• 38:00
  Speaker 6: the bullpens aren't really that, bad AND i like one
• 38:03
  Speaker 6: of the two starting pitchers, Obviously SO i don't have
• 38:05
  Speaker 6: a good feel for the total. There all, Right, Uh
• 38:09
  Speaker 6: Saint louis At chicago The. Cubs The cubs are trying
• 38:12
  Speaker 6: to avoid getting swept. Here they've gotten outscored in this
• 38:16
  Speaker 6: series twenty to. ONE i, mean of, course most of
• 38:19
  Speaker 6: that was that one game where they got, annihilated but
• 38:21
  Speaker 6: they scored nothing in yesterday's. Game what is going on
• 38:25
  Speaker 6: at The, cubs, DUDE i don't. KNOW i don't know
• 38:27
  Speaker 6: what the deals was that that was against Lay hey,
• 38:31
  Speaker 6: too wasn't. It The cubs couldn't even get any runs
• 38:33
  Speaker 6: Against Kyle lahey Lay he on the, Road like, you
• 38:37
  Speaker 6: what are you, doing, man DON'T i don't know what's going.
• 38:40
  Speaker 6: On h The cubs should be motivated. HERE i, mean
• 38:43
  Speaker 6: we're looking at The cubs are the better, team and
• 38:46
  Speaker 6: they're at home trying to avoid a, sweep and you,
• 38:48
  Speaker 6: KNOW i like to look at at a team in
• 38:50
  Speaker 6: that situation when they're trying to avoid getting swept and
• 38:53
  Speaker 6: they're at home and the the better, team although it
• 38:55
  Speaker 6: does mean you'll have to lay like a favorite price
• 38:57
  Speaker 6: if you want The cubs, here but this is the
• 38:59
  Speaker 6: last game of the, series so they're trying to avoid
• 39:01
  Speaker 6: the sweep. HERE i don't know IF i love the
• 39:04
  Speaker 6: pitching setup for The cubs, here though The cubs bullpen
• 39:09
  Speaker 6: they are the better, one but they use four league pitchers.
• 39:12
  Speaker 6: Yesterday Saint louis also did use. Four Though cubs we
• 39:16
  Speaker 6: have ranked twelfth in Whip. PIER i think they're a
• 39:20
  Speaker 6: little bit better than, that though maybe. Not Saint louis
• 39:23
  Speaker 6: is twenty, first although they're more of a mediocre era at.
• 39:28
  Speaker 6: Least BUT i think The cubs are the better, Bullpen
• 39:31
  Speaker 6: cubs are the better. Offense they're ranked fifth here despite
• 39:35
  Speaker 6: what's been going on in this. Series Saint louis is,
• 39:37
  Speaker 6: sixteenth So even after what's gone on in this, Series
• 39:40
  Speaker 6: cubs still are the better offensively ranked. Team cubs get
• 39:44
  Speaker 6: to go up Against Matthew libertore in this. One he
• 39:46
  Speaker 6: is not good For Saint. Louis five point three to THREE,
• 39:50
  Speaker 6: era one point five to five.
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: Whip that is not.
• 39:53
  Speaker 6: Good he's slightly worse on the road five point four
• 39:56
  Speaker 6: or five roady. Ra he pitches a little bit better
• 39:59
  Speaker 6: In Saint louis's pitcher friendly. Park he looks like he
• 40:03
  Speaker 6: was good last time out Against atlanta one, run allout
• 40:05
  Speaker 6: on one hit in five, innings but he also walked
• 40:08
  Speaker 6: four guys and he had nine. Strikeouts that was a
• 40:11
  Speaker 6: weird start from him because he usually does.
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: Not strike guys.
• 40:14
  Speaker 6: Out but all the rest of his starts over the
• 40:16
  Speaker 6: entire month Of june were. Bad So i'm not about
• 40:20
  Speaker 6: to say that he's actually good right. NOW i don't think.
• 40:23
  Speaker 6: So he's allowed a really high hit rate on the.
• 40:25
  Speaker 6: Season his walk rate is too, high his home run
• 40:28
  Speaker 6: rate is not. Good he's an extreme fly ball. Pitcher
• 40:31
  Speaker 6: his strikeout rate is. Okay numbers against The cubs are
• 40:35
  Speaker 6: actually not that, bad and seventy four at bats two
• 40:37
  Speaker 6: forty three average seven to five ops eighteen to ten
• 40:41
  Speaker 6: strikeout walk ratio is not good, Though but you gotta
• 40:44
  Speaker 6: think The cubs are gonna find some offense here Against.
• 40:47
  Speaker 6: LIBRATORRE i, mean he's not very, good but The cubs
• 40:50
  Speaker 6: are gonna go With avi Or asad. Here his numbers
• 40:53
  Speaker 6: have been good so far this. Season he's been working
• 40:56
  Speaker 6: out of the bullpen for a lot of.
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: It.
• 40:58
  Speaker 6: Though he's also From, mexico so he might be, distracted,
• 41:02
  Speaker 6: dude Because mexico's soccer team is. PLAYING i think during this,
• 41:06
  Speaker 6: game If i'm not, mistaken wins this, game nobody's gonna
• 41:10
  Speaker 6: think about.
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: This but this game is at two thirty.
• 41:12
  Speaker 6: Pm The World cup game is on at Four, no,
• 41:18
  Speaker 6: sorry it's on at eight.
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: Pm never Mind mexico's in the evening.
• 41:22
  Speaker 6: GAME i was gonna say he's gonna be distracted because he's.
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: From mexico and his team is playing in The World.
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: Cup pier.
• 41:29
  Speaker 6: BUT i don't, know, MAN i don't know if he's
• 41:31
  Speaker 6: gonna be distracted by that or.
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: Not but it's happening at. Night this game is during the.
• 41:35
  Speaker 6: Day he's got a four point five to THREE era
• 41:37
  Speaker 6: one point one two. Whip some of that is from
• 41:40
  Speaker 6: working out of the. Bullpen he is pretty good at home.
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: Though two point seven to eight home E. Ra but
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: if you look at what he's done, recently this is
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: not a good. Sign.
• 41:49
  Speaker 6: Dude he was not really good in his last two
• 41:51
  Speaker 6: starts Against San diego and The. Mets you, know if
• 41:55
  Speaker 6: you can't do well against those, offenses there's something. WRONG
• 41:59
  Speaker 6: i know he pitched well his first two. Times they
• 42:01
  Speaker 6: brought it. Well they brought him in WHEN i forget
• 42:04
  Speaker 6: who it, was one of The cubs starters got knocked
• 42:07
  Speaker 6: out due to an. INJURY i forget who it. Was
• 42:10
  Speaker 6: in the First San francisco, game they brought in a.
• 42:13
  Speaker 6: Sod he pitched. Well he pitched well again Against San
• 42:15
  Speaker 6: francisco after that when he joined the starting. Rotation but
• 42:19
  Speaker 6: he hasn't been good since. Then you, know he's got
• 42:22
  Speaker 6: a low strike out. Rate he hasn't been that good
• 42:24
  Speaker 6: at home against The rockies was the other game in. There,
• 42:27
  Speaker 6: LIKE i just think he matches up well against The,
• 42:29
  Speaker 6: giants and The giants are not a good.
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: OFFENSE i don't trust The sod.
• 42:32
  Speaker 6: Here he's given up two of them runs a piece
• 42:35
  Speaker 6: in each of his last three. Starts The colorado one
• 42:38
  Speaker 6: was not in course. Field this is not, good. Dude
• 42:41
  Speaker 6: it's not a good. Sign his hit rate is pretty,
• 42:44
  Speaker 6: low his walk rate is pretty. Low i'll give him all.
• 42:46
  Speaker 6: That he does not fool, guys he doesn't strike them.
• 42:49
  Speaker 6: Out his home run rate is definitely too. High numbers
• 42:53
  Speaker 6: Against Saint louis are not. Good thirty eight at bats
• 42:55
  Speaker 6: to eighty nine, average eight thirty three, ops ten to
• 42:59
  Speaker 6: three strike out walk.
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: RATIO i Think i'm.
• 43:02
  Speaker 6: Gonna lean over in this. GAME i think that's probably
• 43:05
  Speaker 6: the better way to play. This this is a total of,
• 43:07
  Speaker 6: eight which might mean there is a little bit of
• 43:09
  Speaker 6: wind blowing in In, wrigley BECAUSE i don't think libratre
• 43:12
  Speaker 6: versus A sod is going to usually have a total
• 43:15
  Speaker 6: as low as. EIGHT i wouldn't, think uh, so maybe
• 43:18
  Speaker 6: there is some wind blowing in. Here BUT i think
• 43:20
  Speaker 6: the over makes the most sense. Here seventy three percent of,
• 43:23
  Speaker 6: tickets seventy six percent of the cash on the, Over
• 43:26
  Speaker 6: so maybe a slight market lean towards the. Over the
• 43:29
  Speaker 6: big market lean is On Saint, louis, though WHICH i
• 43:32
  Speaker 6: don't THINK i could agree with. That seventy seven percent
• 43:35
  Speaker 6: of tickets on The, cubs eighty six percent of the
• 43:37
  Speaker 6: cash On Saint. LOUIS i, MEAN i understand wanting to
• 43:40
  Speaker 6: fade A, sod which is WHY i like the over.
• 43:42
  Speaker 6: Here BUT i think both pictures are. Fadable on The.
• 43:45
  Speaker 6: Cubs they gotta somehow get a win here man in this.
• 43:48
  Speaker 6: SERIES i, MEAN i know it's not an ideal pitcher
• 43:51
  Speaker 6: on the mound for. Them, Uh they're favored at about
• 43:54
  Speaker 6: minus one forty. Something maybe that's part of the reason
• 43:56
  Speaker 6: why the money is On Saint, louis just because the
• 43:59
  Speaker 6: price is too high on The. Cubs but you're still
• 44:02
  Speaker 6: talking about the better team at home trying to avoid a.
• 44:05
  Speaker 6: Sweep SO i would slightly lean towards The cubs finding
• 44:08
  Speaker 6: some way to get it done. There BUT i think
• 44:10
  Speaker 6: the over makes way more sense in that game than anything.
• 44:13
  Speaker 6: Else philadelphia At Kansas. City this is a weird. Series
• 44:18
  Speaker 6: this is a wrap round. Series well it's not really
• 44:21
  Speaker 6: a wrap around. Series, well the rap round series would
• 44:23
  Speaker 6: go From friday To. Monday this is a three game.
• 44:26
  Speaker 6: Series it's Going saturday To, monday and they were off
• 44:29
  Speaker 6: On friday because of The World. Cup very weird. SERIES
• 44:34
  Speaker 6: i think they were off because of The World cup
• 44:36
  Speaker 6: was In Kansas.
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: CITY i guess.
• 44:37
  Speaker 6: Now Kansas city lost yesterday six to. One luzardo was
• 44:41
  Speaker 6: good in the game. Yesterday he is good on the,
• 44:43
  Speaker 6: road AS i, mentioned BUT i wasn't sure what he
• 44:45
  Speaker 6: would do in that. Game Kansas, city they have a bad,
• 44:48
  Speaker 6: bullpen in, fact worse than. Baseball they used three. Relievers
• 44:53
  Speaker 6: philly also used. Three Kansas city clearly at a bullpen.
• 44:56
  Speaker 6: Disadvantage philadelphia is, fifteenth the middle of the pack. Bullpen,
• 45:02
  Speaker 6: offensively neither team has been that. Good philadelphia has been
• 45:05
  Speaker 6: getting a little bit. Better they're nineteenth right, now tied With.
• 45:08
  Speaker 6: Detroit Kansas city is twenty, second tied with The. Reds
• 45:14
  Speaker 6: this pitching, matchup, Though Aaron nola's pitching For philadelphia man
• 45:18
  Speaker 6: and he has not been good LIKE i don't know
• 45:20
  Speaker 6: if this guy's ever gonna recover from his injuries at this.
• 45:23
  Speaker 6: Point we faded him in his last start on the.
• 45:26
  Speaker 6: Show we got a win by fading, him although both
• 45:28
  Speaker 6: pitchers wound up being bad in that, game But nola
• 45:31
  Speaker 6: was so.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: BAD i think that Was nola.
• 45:33
  Speaker 6: Against, ashcraft If i'm not, mistaken which seemed like a
• 45:36
  Speaker 6: mismatch to.
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: Me so that's WHY i give Up.
• 45:38
  Speaker 6: Pittsburgh of, course neither pitcher was, good But nola was
• 45:42
  Speaker 6: horrible in that, game so we still got the. Win
• 45:45
  Speaker 6: nola has not been, good. Dude six point zero FOUR,
• 45:47
  Speaker 6: era one point four to nine. Whip he's been a
• 45:50
  Speaker 6: little bit better on the road five point Four Roady,
• 45:53
  Speaker 6: ray which is still not.
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: Good this was that.
• 45:55
  Speaker 6: Start he gave up seven or in runs eight runs
• 45:58
  Speaker 6: Against pittsburgh last time out of four.
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: Third he's not a good. Form he's not pitching.
• 46:02
  Speaker 6: Well his strike out rate is, good but all the
• 46:04
  Speaker 6: rest of his numbers are bad over the past. Month
• 46:08
  Speaker 6: high hit, rate high walk. Rate over the course of the,
• 46:10
  Speaker 6: season he has a high hit. Rate his walk rate
• 46:13
  Speaker 6: actually isn't too. Bad strike out rate is actually pretty
• 46:16
  Speaker 6: good as, well so he's just way too hittable and
• 46:18
  Speaker 6: he's giving up a lot of home, runs so that's
• 46:21
  Speaker 6: not good.
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: Either his numbers Against Kansas city are not.
• 46:25
  Speaker 6: Good in eighty nine at, bats his numbers are actually
• 46:27
  Speaker 6: kind of crazy because he has a ridiculously good thirty
• 46:31
  Speaker 6: one to one strike out walk ratio against, Him so you, think,
• 46:34
  Speaker 6: well that's complete, Domination like those are amazing. Numbers Yet
• 46:38
  Speaker 6: Kansas city has a two ninety two batting average in
• 46:41
  Speaker 6: ninety eighteen ops off, Him so that tells me, that
• 46:44
  Speaker 6: like he's just throwing pitches right over the plate pretty
• 46:47
  Speaker 6: much like sometimes his fastball is going by these, guys
• 46:50
  Speaker 6: sometimes it's.
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: Not and coming off.
• 46:52
  Speaker 6: Of, injury you, know it looks at surgery or, whatever
• 46:55
  Speaker 6: it looks like probably his fastball is limited. Now so
• 46:59
  Speaker 6: that's not a good. SIGN i Think Kissas city could
• 47:00
  Speaker 6: definitely put up some offense. Here Kansas city's going With
• 47:04
  Speaker 6: luinder Of, vila who is a really young.
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: PITCHER i think he's a real wild card.
• 47:08
  Speaker 6: Here he's From, venezuela SO i don't know if he's
• 47:11
  Speaker 6: gonna have something in his head about the earthquake scenario
• 47:14
  Speaker 6: that's going on there or. Not it might motivate him,
• 47:18
  Speaker 6: though Like contrera's is from there for Other Red Sox Wilson,
• 47:22
  Speaker 6: contreras whatever the hell his name. Is it like that
• 47:26
  Speaker 6: scenario pumped them up and he's been playing, better so
• 47:28
  Speaker 6: maybe A vila will go out there and.
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: Pitch. Well his numbers don't look.
• 47:32
  Speaker 6: GOOD i, know five point four, ram one point six
• 47:35
  Speaker 6: to seven. Whip he's been really bad at home twelve
• 47:38
  Speaker 6: point seventy nine homey. Ram but it's been a really
• 47:41
  Speaker 6: small sample, size and it's clearly being skewed because he
• 47:44
  Speaker 6: had one really bad start at home Against houston where
• 47:48
  Speaker 6: he give up eight runs in less than an. Inning
• 47:51
  Speaker 6: that outing is skewing all of his, numbers, Dude so
• 47:54
  Speaker 6: he's not quite as bad as. That, HOWEVER i will
• 47:57
  Speaker 6: admit his walk rate is just, Enormous like he's got
• 48:01
  Speaker 6: to figure that.
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: Out his hit.
• 48:04
  Speaker 6: Rate is a little bit too. High his strikeout rate is,
• 48:06
  Speaker 6: okay but his walk rate is a huge. Issue like
• 48:09
  Speaker 6: if his walk rate was anywhere near, normal he would
• 48:12
  Speaker 6: actually be a pretty good. PITCHER i think that walk
• 48:16
  Speaker 6: rate is just. Insane SO i don't want to back him,
• 48:19
  Speaker 6: here BUT i definitely understand wanting to Fade nola. Here
• 48:23
  Speaker 6: but this walk rate is just. Ridiculous thirty walks in
• 48:27
  Speaker 6: forty six to two thirds. Innings come, on, Man philadelphia
• 48:31
  Speaker 6: has three hitters who have seen, him which kind of
• 48:33
  Speaker 6: surprises me that anybody's faced him. Before because he's young
• 48:36
  Speaker 6: and he's in the opposite, league The American. League they're
• 48:40
  Speaker 6: combined zero for, two often with a walk and no.
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: Strikeouts what does that? MEAN i don't.
• 48:45
  Speaker 6: Know.
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: Man the money is back In Kansas city, here.
• 48:49
  Speaker 6: AND i was you KNOW i was thinking about it
• 48:53
  Speaker 6: because Fading nola does make a lot of sense. Here
• 48:56
  Speaker 6: the starting pitching matchup to, me looks like it does
• 48:58
  Speaker 6: actually Favor Kansas. City uh eighty nine percent of tickets On,
• 49:02
  Speaker 6: philly sixty one percent of the cash on The, royals
• 49:05
  Speaker 6: so the money there's a huge market disparity. There so
• 49:09
  Speaker 6: the market read looks like it's very strong On Kansas.
• 49:11
  Speaker 6: City it's also back in the over in this, game
• 49:14
  Speaker 6: AND i, LIKE i THINK i like the over best
• 49:17
  Speaker 6: in this. Game BUT i think if you Play Kansas,
• 49:19
  Speaker 6: city you should play them first. Five there's no way
• 49:22
  Speaker 6: that you can Back Kansas city's. Bullpen in my, Opinion
• 49:25
  Speaker 6: you're gonna get them as an underdog either in the
• 49:27
  Speaker 6: first five or full. Game So philly's about minus one
• 49:32
  Speaker 6: one forty or so on the full. Game you Know
• 49:35
  Speaker 6: Kansas city, again you'll get them as a dog in
• 49:37
  Speaker 6: the first. Five so if you want to Take Kansas
• 49:39
  Speaker 6: city first five money, LINE i agree with, that BUT
• 49:43
  Speaker 6: i think the over is a little bit better. Here
• 49:45
  Speaker 6: sixty three percent of, tickets ninety percent of the cash
• 49:47
  Speaker 6: on the. OVER i don't trust either starter. HERE i
• 49:50
  Speaker 6: think both starters could give something up. Here and Then
• 49:53
  Speaker 6: Kansas city's bullpen coming. IN i, mean they're probably gonna
• 49:56
  Speaker 6: give something up. Here and you, Know Koppman stadium is
• 50:00
  Speaker 6: no longer a pitcher of Friendly stadium now that they
• 50:02
  Speaker 6: move the walls in totals at, TEN i think that
• 50:05
  Speaker 6: total is actually kind of. Reasonable uh, here like, YEAH
• 50:09
  Speaker 6: i like the over there in that.
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: One all, Right.
• 50:13
  Speaker 6: Detroit And, texas this will be a play for, Me Kumar,
• 50:16
  Speaker 6: rocker WHO i was trying to play on. Yesterday luckily
• 50:19
  Speaker 6: that wound up being a no. Play AS i mentioned
• 50:21
  Speaker 6: at the top of the, show because assume That i'm
• 50:24
  Speaker 6: telling you to play both of the starting select both
• 50:27
  Speaker 6: of the starting pitchers must.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: Start assume that UNLESS i say.
• 50:30
  Speaker 6: OTHERWISE i always say that on the show because the
• 50:33
  Speaker 6: starting pitching has a lot to do with how we handicap,
• 50:35
  Speaker 6: this you, Know so UNLESS i, say LIKE i don't
• 50:38
  Speaker 6: care who's starting for this other like With White sox,
• 50:41
  Speaker 6: Today i'm saying not to not specify A White sox
• 50:44
  Speaker 6: starter if you want to play that, game because you
• 50:47
  Speaker 6: know it's gonna be Either fetti's starting Or fetti behind an.
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: Opener.
• 50:50
  Speaker 6: Right this is the way that you have to handicap baseball, now,
• 50:53
  Speaker 6: Man But rocker got pushed back to. TODAY i don't
• 50:57
  Speaker 6: know Why texas did, that but, whatever this is gonna
• 51:00
  Speaker 6: be a play for me today AND i am gonna
• 51:06
  Speaker 6: steal Back rocker, here But i'm not gonna Back texas
• 51:09
  Speaker 6: on the. Side i'm gonna give out the under seven
• 51:11
  Speaker 6: and a half this. TIME i like both starting pitchers,
• 51:14
  Speaker 6: here AS i, said like this is you, know this
• 51:16
  Speaker 6: series just feels like an under, series you know WHAT i.
• 51:20
  Speaker 6: Mean AND i believe we did lose on the under
• 51:23
  Speaker 6: in the first game of this, series Which i'm not happy.
• 51:25
  Speaker 6: ABOUT i don't know what happened. There yesterday went way.
• 51:28
  Speaker 6: Under even though Cal quantrell was on the mound For.
• 51:32
  Speaker 6: Texas he was not, good but you, KNOW i, mean
• 51:35
  Speaker 6: the game still went way. Under Jack flaherty was shockingly
• 51:38
  Speaker 6: good in the game. YESTERDAY i don't know what to tell, you.
• 51:41
  Speaker 6: MAN i Thought flaherty would suck. Yesterday So i'm glad
• 51:44
  Speaker 6: that we took a no play on that BECAUSE i
• 51:46
  Speaker 6: did not Expect flaherty to be really good in the game.
• 51:49
  Speaker 6: Yesterday but today is a new, matchup, Man it's a new,
• 51:52
  Speaker 6: game AND i think this is an under game. HERE
• 51:56
  Speaker 6: i like both bullpens well enough, here and we're getting
• 51:59
  Speaker 6: the number, seven seven and a half.
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: Here texas used three elite pitchers, yesterday.
• 52:04
  Speaker 6: But they were losing the, game so they didn't use
• 52:07
  Speaker 6: their best, relievers so their best relievers are available. Today
• 52:11
  Speaker 6: detroit actually didn't use their better relievers. Either they Used
• 52:15
  Speaker 6: Keeter montero's than one of their. Starters they used him
• 52:19
  Speaker 6: to finish the. Game they use him as a closer basically,
• 52:22
  Speaker 6: yesterday SO i thought that was.
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: Interesting but, Yeah, detroit they're arrested.
• 52:26
  Speaker 6: Bullpen at least they only use him And, holton who's
• 52:29
  Speaker 6: another like long relief type of, guy and they only
• 52:31
  Speaker 6: use them for four, pitches so he's.
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: Obviously still available today.
• 52:34
  Speaker 6: Too he had a pitch for a, while So detroit
• 52:37
  Speaker 6: has a pretty clean bullpen coming into this. Game i'm
• 52:40
  Speaker 6: fine with going with both bullpens, here especially when we're
• 52:42
  Speaker 6: getting the key number, there the, hook the seven and a,
• 52:46
  Speaker 6: Half AS i always, say seven is key in. Baseball
• 52:49
  Speaker 6: all the odd numbers are key because some team has
• 52:51
  Speaker 6: to break a. Tie, now as far as the, Bullpen's
• 52:54
  Speaker 6: texas is ranked. Eighth they're a good, bullpen even though
• 52:57
  Speaker 6: they've been struggling a little bit, recently BUT i like
• 52:59
  Speaker 6: their bull it's. Good we're gonna pitch a friendly park here.
• 53:03
  Speaker 6: Too texas is notorious for playing low scoring games at.
• 53:06
  Speaker 6: Home detroit they're nineteenth in, bullpen BUT i think they're
• 53:11
  Speaker 6: better than. That their eerra is right around, four and,
• 53:14
  Speaker 6: YEAH i don't mind, that especially given that they're pretty rested,
• 53:17
  Speaker 6: here SO i think we're okay with. That the hitting
• 53:20
  Speaker 6: is not particularly good on either, Side rangers, Eighteenth detroit.
• 53:24
  Speaker 6: Nineteenth detroit's not as good on the. Road LIKE i, Said,
• 53:29
  Speaker 6: texas you, know they they pitch better at home and
• 53:32
  Speaker 6: they don't hit well at. Home and also we're gonna
• 53:35
  Speaker 6: back both starting. Pitchers Casey mize is pitching For. DETROIT
• 53:39
  Speaker 6: i think he's. Good he's got some strong numbers.
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 53:42
  Speaker 6: Man he missed some part of the season with an,
• 53:45
  Speaker 6: injury but he's been good since he came. Back two
• 53:47
  Speaker 6: point six three E r point nine to seven whip
• 53:50
  Speaker 6: that's solid. Stuff and, REALLY i think both pitchers in
• 53:53
  Speaker 6: this game today are actually kind of under the. Radar
• 53:56
  Speaker 6: like nobody the public doesn't Bat Casey myz, dude you
• 54:00
  Speaker 6: know WHAT i, Mean they don't know who he. Is
• 54:02
  Speaker 6: he is a little bit worse on the road three
• 54:03
  Speaker 6: point one to Nine, rodio but that's still not. Bad,
• 54:06
  Speaker 6: obviously he's been, good LIKE i, said since coming back
• 54:09
  Speaker 6: from injury he missed almost a.
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: Month, well actually he kind of struggled a little bit Against.
• 54:14
  Speaker 6: Houston then he had to face The yankees, twice which
• 54:17
  Speaker 6: is not, easy and he did give up four runs
• 54:20
  Speaker 6: the first time against, him but he had six strikeouts
• 54:22
  Speaker 6: in one, walk so he was actually better in that
• 54:25
  Speaker 6: game than it. Looked and then he just aced The
• 54:28
  Speaker 6: yankees the last. Time he went seven to one hit
• 54:30
  Speaker 6: shutout innings with ten strikeouts and no walks against The,
• 54:34
  Speaker 6: yankees and he did all that with eighty eight, pitches
• 54:37
  Speaker 6: so he didn't overextend himself at.
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: All so that's a good, sign, MAN i.
• 54:42
  Speaker 6: THINK i, MEAN i guess you could make the argument
• 54:44
  Speaker 6: he'd be in a letdown off of doing that to The.
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: Yankees i'm not so sure about.
• 54:47
  Speaker 6: That and, AGAIN i like the fact that he really
• 54:49
  Speaker 6: didn't throw that many pitches, there and he's been good
• 54:52
  Speaker 6: over those three.
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: Starts his command has been on point nineteen.
• 54:56
  Speaker 6: Strikeouts two, walks that's good, stuff and fewer than one
• 54:59
  Speaker 6: hit for. Inning he's got a really low hit rate
• 55:02
  Speaker 6: on the. Season his walk rates also, low strike got
• 55:05
  Speaker 6: rate is. High all those numbers are, good and he's Facing,
• 55:08
  Speaker 6: texas who is a major step down from The. Yankees
• 55:12
  Speaker 6: he's got thirty five at bats against, them seven, strikeouts one,
• 55:15
  Speaker 6: walk two twenty nine average allowed in five thirty six.
• 55:19
  Speaker 6: Ops so, yeah he's got good numbers Against. Texas SO
• 55:23
  Speaker 6: i Think maz should pitch well. Here and again we're
• 55:26
  Speaker 6: Backing Kumar, rocker WHO i was going to back.
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: Yesterday.
• 55:29
  Speaker 6: ROCKER i know his whip isn't very good three point
• 55:32
  Speaker 6: eight three E ra one point three to four. Whip,
• 55:35
  Speaker 6: uh he is not quite as good at home with
• 55:38
  Speaker 6: a FOUR era at, home but it's but if you
• 55:41
  Speaker 6: dig into his numbers a little.
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: Bit he's not really worse at.
• 55:44
  Speaker 6: Home like his hit rate is about the, same his
• 55:47
  Speaker 6: opponent batting average is actually lower at. Home his walk
• 55:51
  Speaker 6: rate is about the same as. Well his strike out
• 55:54
  Speaker 6: rate is a little bit. Lower maybe that's a little,
• 55:56
  Speaker 6: concerning BUT i believe last year he was better at
• 55:59
  Speaker 6: home in a bigger. Stay, yeah last year he was
• 56:01
  Speaker 6: much much better at home than he was on the,
• 56:04
  Speaker 6: road although it actually wasn't that much bigger of a sample,
• 56:06
  Speaker 6: Size but, YEAH i Think rocker is debatably better at.
• 56:10
  Speaker 6: Home he's been good in his last two, starts AS
• 56:13
  Speaker 6: i pointed out, yesterday eleven innings to earn runs a
• 56:16
  Speaker 6: lot on nine, hits fourteen strikeouts in one walk Against
• 56:19
  Speaker 6: miami In. TORONTO i, know you, KNOW i, mean those
• 56:22
  Speaker 6: offices are not. Great miami's is probably debatably better Than detroit's,
• 56:28
  Speaker 6: them so you, know that wasn't too. Bad so he
• 56:31
  Speaker 6: was struggling a little bit going into those two, starts
• 56:33
  Speaker 6: but he looks like he's back in form right. Now
• 56:36
  Speaker 6: he does have a decent hit rate on the. Season
• 56:38
  Speaker 6: his walk rate is too, HIGH i, know and his
• 56:40
  Speaker 6: strike out rate is a little bit. Low his problem
• 56:43
  Speaker 6: is really the, walks But i'm hoping he gets that under.
• 56:46
  Speaker 6: CONTROL i know he did pitch In detroit earlier this.
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: Year and he was not.
• 56:50
  Speaker 6: Good two, winnings gave up five runs on seven, hits two,
• 56:54
  Speaker 6: strikeouts no. WALKS i understand he wasn't good in that,
• 56:57
  Speaker 6: Outing but AS i pointed out, yesterday he's got good
• 57:00
  Speaker 6: numbers Against. Detroit it's twenty one at, bats which isn't
• 57:03
  Speaker 6: not a huge sample, size but they only have one
• 57:06
  Speaker 6: extra base hit a home run From dingler one ninety
• 57:09
  Speaker 6: batting average in five twenty four, ohps so he does
• 57:12
  Speaker 6: do well against. Them So i'm gonna back the under
• 57:14
  Speaker 6: in this, game, MAN i think the starting pitching lines
• 57:17
  Speaker 6: up well enough for. It the money seems to, agree
• 57:20
  Speaker 6: AND i, know, dude yesterday we had we had market
• 57:22
  Speaker 6: agreement on all of my plays, YESTERDAY i think except
• 57:26
  Speaker 6: for the soccer play, maybe but it's hard for me
• 57:28
  Speaker 6: to read the soccer. Market ALL i have Is Action
• 57:32
  Speaker 6: network to go on with, that SO i don't. Know
• 57:34
  Speaker 6: although it's a paid, tool BUT i use it to
• 57:39
  Speaker 6: track my, bets you.
• 57:40
  Speaker 5: Know WHAT i.
• 57:40
  Speaker 6: Mean like IT'S i think it's the best bet, tracker
• 57:42
  Speaker 6: although they do have some issues with their desktop, site
• 57:45
  Speaker 6: but their app is.
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: Better the mobile.
• 57:47
  Speaker 6: App sixty eight percent of the tickets on the, over
• 57:50
  Speaker 6: sixty five percent of the cash on the under in this,
• 57:52
  Speaker 6: Game so we are agreeing with the. Market i'd rather
• 57:55
  Speaker 6: agree with the market than, not, Man SO i like
• 57:58
  Speaker 6: that the market's in agreement with me on this total
• 58:01
  Speaker 6: is seven and a.
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: Half LIKE i, said just right across the.
• 58:03
  Speaker 6: Board seven and a, half pretty much straight, Up And
• 58:06
  Speaker 6: i'm sure you can find a pretty good number on
• 58:08
  Speaker 6: this money also is back In. Detroit for whatever that's,
• 58:12
  Speaker 6: Worth it's basically A pickham.
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: Price detroit kind of a slight.
• 58:16
  Speaker 6: Favorite sixty nine percent of, tickets eighty eight percent of
• 58:19
  Speaker 6: the cash On.
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: DETROIT i probably don't.
• 58:21
  Speaker 6: DISAGREE i think myz is just a little bit more
• 58:27
  Speaker 6: proven Than Rocker miz is probably a little bit more
• 58:29
  Speaker 6: advantageous to back. Here detroit also arrested, bullpenal THOUGH i
• 58:33
  Speaker 6: don't know if i'd want to Fade texas bullpen, though
• 58:36
  Speaker 6: so Maybe detroit first five makes some, Sense but OBVIOUSLY
• 58:39
  Speaker 6: i prefer the.
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: Under so that is my. Play. Though that's my last.
• 58:42
  Speaker 6: Baseball play UNLESS i decide to add one totally on the.
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: Fly Here Tampa bay And, houston.
• 58:50
  Speaker 6: This series has been a split series so, far With
• 58:54
  Speaker 6: houston winning yesterday to end a losing. Streak these teams
• 58:58
  Speaker 6: will move on to play different opponents come. Up Tampa
• 59:00
  Speaker 6: bay does play The yankees, next SO i don't know
• 59:03
  Speaker 6: if they're gonna look ahead or. Not they probably won't look,
• 59:05
  Speaker 6: ahead because these teams. Will we'll both still try to
• 59:08
  Speaker 6: win this. Series in my, opinion yesterday we got. SCREWED i,
• 59:13
  Speaker 6: mean both starting pitchers were just way worse THAN i
• 59:15
  Speaker 6: thought they would. BE i, mean that was an ace matchup, Yesterday,
• 59:18
  Speaker 6: Dude i'm pissed that that went so, poorly Especially Hunter.
• 59:23
  Speaker 6: Brown houston had to use four relief pitchers. Yesterday Tampa
• 59:26
  Speaker 6: bay also used. Four NOW i KNOW i backed the
• 59:29
  Speaker 6: bullpens in yesterday's game with that. Play both bullpens have
• 59:33
  Speaker 6: been pitching okay. Recently Tampa bay still not great on the,
• 59:37
  Speaker 6: season even though the ranked, ninth THEIR eerra is not that.
• 59:40
  Speaker 6: Good houston has been getting. Better houston is at, eighteenth
• 59:44
  Speaker 6: which is a lot better than where they were at
• 59:46
  Speaker 6: the beginning of the. Season BUT i don't THINK i
• 59:48
  Speaker 6: want to back the bullpens in this one because there's
• 59:52
  Speaker 6: just a lack of rest there and they're both kind of.
• 59:54
  Speaker 6: Mediocre they were more rested coming into yesterday's. Game If
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 6: houston is fourteenth in, offense so they've fallen off there
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 6: a little. Bit Tampa bay is tied in seventh with The.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 6: TWINS i don't Think Tampa bay is quite that good on,
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 6: offense but. Whatever the starting pitching matchup is.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: INTERESTING.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 6: Griffd jackson is pitching For Tampa bay at least, well,
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 6: actually they're undecided right, now SO i don't know what they're.
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 6: DOING i think it still is probably gonna Be, jacks
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 6: but a lot of times they put an opener in
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 6: front of, him So i'm guessing that's what they're doing.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 6: Here they're either gonna go With jacks straight out or
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 6: they're gonna put an opener in front of him and
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 6: then he's gonna come. IN i think that's what they're gonna,
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 6: do but it's it makes it a little bit hard
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 6: to predict Because i'm not. Sure i'm more sure About
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 6: fetti pitching for all The White sox coming in after an.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 6: OPENER i, Mean jacks has a three point four FIVE
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 6: vrra one points two seven whip that's not, bad especially
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 6: for a thirty one year old converted. Reliever he's actually
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 6: pitched pretty well three point twenty four roady Ra Tampa, Bay,
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 6: dude they're.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: Pitching coaching is. GOOD i don't.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 6: Know they seem to get the most out of their.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 6: Pitchers jackson's pitched pretty.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: Well.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 6: Man over the last month or, So he's been. Good
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 6: really low walk rate, here high strikeout. Rate hit rate
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 6: was okay over the course of the, month pretty much
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 6: the same over the course of the. Season strike out
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 6: rate not too, high but. Decent walk rate maybe a.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: Little bit high, there hit rate fairly. Low, yeah overall
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: he's been.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 6: Good numbers Against houston are fairly good in twenty at
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 6: bats two fifty, average seven hundred, ops seven to zero
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 6: strikeout walk. Ratio of, Course i'm assuming he's still pitching
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 6: in this, game either starting or coming in after an,
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 6: opener and still going a starter's. Workload we will See
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 6: houston's going With Peter, lambert who has had a good season.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 6: Here Man, AGAIN i think this guy maybe always had,
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 6: talent but.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: Just being with The rockies just kind of ruined the
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: start of his.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 6: Career he's been good a three point five ONE, era
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 6: one point one to eight, whip a little bit worse
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 6: at home three point seventy five home ray not good recently,
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 6: though he's walked too many guys in his last couple.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 6: Outings his walk rate is a little bit of an.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 6: Issue didn't really do too well here on the road
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 6: Against toronto and at home Against. Minnesota so he's not
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 6: really a good form right. Now so that's not a great.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 6: Sign his numbers are pretty good on the, season low hit,
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 6: rate his walk rate is too.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: High, though LIKE i, said that's his like one major
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: issue is the.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 6: Walks his strikeout rate is a little bit, low BUT
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 6: i don't think he's like a massive strikeout. Guy Tampa
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 6: bay only has three guys to have seen.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: Him nine at. Bats he only.
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 6: Hits a single from four, tes three, strikeouts no, walks
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 6: one to eleven average of course two twenty two oh.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 6: Ps so, YEAH i MEAN i Think lambert might actually
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 6: pitch okay. HERE i think this game looks like a
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 6: first five under to. Me If jacks is actually gonna go,
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 6: here you, know even if it's behind an, opener first
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 6: five UNDER i think makes the most sense to me
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 6: in that. GAME i don't Think i'd really want to
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 6: risk it and do. It and the money is actually
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 6: backing the over seventy five per tickets ninety four percent
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 6: of the. Cash that's the full game, Though AND i
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 6: understand not wanting to play these bullpens or. Fading the
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 6: bullpens totals at eight and a. Half so it's right
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 6: there in like no man's, land like you figure it.
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 6: Out but, YEAH i think first five under is the
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 6: better way to look at. This Tampa bay is favored
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 6: a little bit public sixty five percent of, tickets but
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 6: seventy one percent of the cash on them. TOO i
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 6: don't know if i'd want to Back, tampa to be,
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 6: Honest houston may be a little bit undervalued as a
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 6: home dog. Here tampa's been, overperforming Man, LIKE i Think tampa's, Good,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 6: like you, know they're gonna be a playoff. TEAM i
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 6: don't think they're actually better than The, yankees you, know
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 6: or anything like. That so you, know laying a road
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 6: favorite price like that when you don't even know for
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 6: sure what they're starting situation is gonna, be you. KNOW i,
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 6: mean maybe you do just suck it up and Back.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 6: Lambert maybe you. Do maybe you do it in the first.
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 6: Five so, YEAH i think first five under is still
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 6: the better way to look at that. Game but first
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 6: five money line On, houston my makes some sense there.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 6: Too San francisco And, colorado this game almost made the
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 6: cut for.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: ME i like the total in.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 6: This, game but it is a little bit too high,
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 6: maybe BUT i like the.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: Over, Obviously colorado did lose yesterday six to, four losing
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: a win.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 6: Streak the first game of the series went way Over
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 6: colorado with a fifteen to three win yesterday's game went
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 6: under landed a. Ten it went under because it's a
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 6: course field, game AND i think the total was. Twelve
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 6: colorado used three relief pitchers. Yesterday Sar francisco also. Did
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 6: colorado not a good, bullpen drank twenty. Seven, then of
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 6: course it's not a good situation pitching a course, field
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 6: so that affects their numbers. Too San francisco has really
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 6: been surprisingly bad out.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: Of the bullpen this. Year they're twenty.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 6: Fifth they have not been a very good, bullpen so
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 6: these are both fatable. Bullpens San francisco's thirteenth in. Offense,
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 6: HOWEVER i don't think they're that, good AS i keep
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 6: pointing Out colorado ranked third in, OFFENSE i think they're
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 6: not quite that good. Either but they're a decent, offense
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 6: and they're starting to hit pretty, well and they're doing
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 6: some damage at, home which is kind, of you, know,
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 6: predictable because obviously this is a very offensive. Stadium this
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 6: is not a good pitching. Matchup Tyler molly is pitching
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 6: for The giants. Here this guy sucks five point six
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 6: seven E ra one point four to seven. Whip he's
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 6: been decent at home in the pitcher friendly environment for
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 6: The giants, there and UNFORTUNATELY i tried to fade him
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 6: not that long ago at home and it didn't work.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 6: Out but on the road he's been. Horrible eight point seventy,
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 6: Nine Homie, Ray you think that's gonna play well pitching
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 6: on the road in course field? Here probably not that
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 6: one game THAT i was talking. About he was good
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 6: against The a's or good. Enough was not good last
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 6: time out on the road Against arizona.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: Though he's JUST i don't think he's, good.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 6: Dude he's got a high hit, rate his walk rate
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 6: is too, high his strikeout rate is, Okay i'm not
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 6: liking What i'm seeing, here and he also gives up
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 6: a lot of fly balls and a lot of home,
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 6: runs so that's not. Good, well his fly ball rate
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 6: actually isn't that, high but his home run rate is too,
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 6: high so that's not a good sign. Either pitching in
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 6: Corps field and The, rockies they don't have great numbers against,
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 6: him only, like what do they? Have they have seven
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 6: hitters who face him only seventeen at. Bats they only
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 6: have one extra base hit a double From, goodman six,
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 6: strikeouts no. Walks they do have a two ninety four
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 6: average against, them so they do hit him for, contact
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 6: but they don't hit him for power six forty seven. Ops,
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 6: STILL i don't think he's gonna pitch well. STILL i,
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 6: mean he's got bad road. Numbers looks like he is
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 6: pretty flyball heavies or home run. HEAVY i, Mean Tanner
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 6: gordon is pitching on the other, side not good for The.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 6: Rockies six point six ninety ra one point five to
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 6: nine whip that's not. Good he's been really bad at
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 6: home nine point seven homeyra of course. COURSEFIELD i, mean
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 6: we know the. Deal it's not good to pitch, there
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 6: so we have home road splits are both extreme for both,
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 6: pitchers and they're both they're both opposed to these pitchers,
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 6: here so they're both in the really bad end of
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 6: their home road. Splits, GORDON i, mean he's just not pitching.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: WELL i, mean what do you.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 6: Expect he's got a really high hit, Rate his strike
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 6: gout rate is actually, good his walk rate is actually pretty.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 6: Good but he is an extreme flyball. Pitcher he allows
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 6: a lot of fly. Balls he's allowed a decent amount
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 6: of home runs, here and he gets hit pretty. Hard
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 6: SO i don't like. That and his numbers Against San
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 6: francisco are not. Good twenty two at bats is not
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 6: a giant sand not a giant sample?
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: Size or is?
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 6: It three eighteen batting average, allowed eight thirty oh, ps
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 6: three to two strike out walk.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: Ratio, yeah none of that is.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 6: Good SO i would play the over in this game
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 6: IF i was gonna do anything with. It it's this
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 6: one is probably the next one in for, Me, LIKE
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 6: i consider putting this on my card pretty.
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: Strongly it's just a little high for.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 3: Me.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 6: MAN i know it's high for a, reason, obviously but it's.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 6: THIRTEEN i, MEAN i don't. KNOW i, mean you, know
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 6: you AS i always, say, though you do want to
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 6: tend like you want to go over the highest, totals
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 6: right because the public's gonna look at that and think
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 6: that's so, High, like how COULD i possibly be playing?
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 6: Over sixty eight percent of the tickets are on the,
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 6: under ninety four percent of the cash on the, over,
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 6: though so the market is indicating on the.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: Over that is the WAY i would play that, game.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 5: You.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 6: KNOW i mean, again you might be able to find
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 6: a twelve and a, half and thirteen is a key.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 6: Number we don't talk about that, much but every odd
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 6: number is key in baseball because it breaks the. Tile
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 6: though the higher you, get the less important it. Is
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 6: but twelve and a half juice to the, over if
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 6: you can find that that makes a bit more.
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: Sense that's WHAT i would do in this.
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 6: GAME i would try to go over the twelve and
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 6: a half juice to the over and get off that key.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: Number. Thirteen San francisco is a slight.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 6: Favorite sixty six percent of tickets seventy one percent of
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 6: the cash On San. FRANCISCO i don't have a good
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 6: feel for the side, though you, KNOW i think the
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 6: total is where it's at in that. Game and again
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 6: you know it feels. HIGH i usually JUST i usually
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 6: just avoid totals when they're that.
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: High but the over makes the most.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 6: Sense and again when when it's that, high it's that
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 6: high for a. Reason AS i always, say usually the
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 6: odds makers are telling you something by where they put that.
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 6: Number you, know the odds, makers they always signal something
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 6: to you with with their, number you know WHAT i.
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 6: Mean so if it's really, low usually there's a reason for.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 6: It if it's really, high usually there's a reason for.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 6: It so you actually want to go under the lowest
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 6: totals and over the highest totals. Generally all, Right i'm
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 6: gonna be right. Back i'll talk about the rest of these.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 6: Games there are TWO wnba games and Two World cup.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 6: Games i'm gonna give out A World cup play and
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 6: it's really just a matter of kind of like fading public.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 6: OPINION i think with, One i'm gonna give out so
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 6: and maybe it's not what you think it. IS i don't,
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 6: know But i'll be back in a. Second, yep, INSIDE
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 6: i want to kill. Myself we're ON ohn. Seven run
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 6: over the last two days after tonight.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: It was just complete.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 6: Bullshit so that's That's i'm gonna start off this show
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 6: Horrible sunday one and.
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: FIVE i don't even know what to tell you above.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: THAT i just don't want to do this. ANYMORE i
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: have never seen anything like.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 6: This man with the slump, continuing two straight, losses not
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 6: a good day at.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: All own, FOUR i have not had a good. Season.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 6: Man with wookends the slump That i'm, on and the slump, Continues.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new. Peak, Actually i'm going to burn
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: My bruins hat. MAN i don't know what is going
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: on with The. Bruins. Archie is that what it? IS
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: i don't even know It's. MARCH i think who even? Knows?
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: MAN i don't know what day is. Anymore BUT i
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: don't even know what data is.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 6: Anymore man's back with you after the worst day THAT
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 6: i could possibly, Have back with you AS i always am.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: UNTIL i, die at least oh and. Two yesterday and
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: yesterday it did not go well for.
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 6: Me own, five the worst month That i've ever had
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 6: in my eighteen years doing.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: THIS i don't know what to even tell you about this.
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: Anymore the, slump the slump, discontinuous the slump. Continues somebody fucking.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 6: Kill, me. PLEASE i don't even know WHAT i should
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 6: do at this, point other than potentially end it.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: All all?
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 6: Right next game Is Milwaukee, ARIZONA i, Believe is that?
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: Right? Yeah all? Right this?
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 6: Game so this series we have the teams have split
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 6: the series of of ourm.
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: Which by the, WAY i believe is the. Case.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 6: YEAH i already mentioned that With colorado And San francisco
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 6: they split as. Well milwaukee And. Arizona here these seems
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 6: LIKE i, said, yeah they've. SPLIT i think the bulls
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 6: show up try to win the.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: Series. Here milwaukee has the better bullpen.
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 6: Here. MILWAUKEE i used two guys out of the. Bullpen
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 6: arizona used four yes, today So milwaukee's more.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: Rested.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 6: Now milwaukee is ranked lesser Than arizona based ON, whip
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 6: But milwaukee's got the better. Bullpen he array by more
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 6: than half a. Run they're ranked, Tenth arizona, seventh But
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 6: milwaukee is the better. Bullpen milwaukee's the better offense as.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 6: Well they're tied in tenth with The White Sox arizona twenty.
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 6: Seventh that is not good this starting pitching. Matchup to,
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 6: ME i don't think it's. Great brandon's sprote For. Milwaukee,
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 6: dude this, GUY i, MEAN i think he does have,
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 6: talent but it you, know it hasn't really tran totally.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 6: Yet five point two EIGHTY ra one point three to three.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 6: Whip that's not very. Good he is better on the,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 6: road for what that's, worth four point three to eight ROAD.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 6: Era he's been pitching a little bit better. Recently if
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 6: you look at what he did In, june he had
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 6: a low hit rate eighteen hits and twenty six, innings
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 6: twenty eight, strikeouts seven. Walks had a lot of strikeouts
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 6: over his last couple of, starts he does seem to
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 6: be kind of turning it around a little.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: Bit and he had to go to The rockies to The.
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 6: A'S i, mean he pitched pretty well in both of those,
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 6: games and that is not an easy task to go
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 6: pitch in those. Stadiums then he absolutely Dominated cincinnati In,
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 6: cincinnati which is still not an easy park to, pitching
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 6: although they did get to him a little bit more
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 6: the last time he pitched against, him because he pitched
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 6: against him twice in a. Row sprote maybe turning it
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 6: around a little bit. Here he's got a high strikeout,
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 6: rate so that does tell you he does have the
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 6: ability to fool major league hit. Ers he's got a
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 6: low hit. Rate his problem is the, walks and he's
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 6: allowed too many home. Runs, well but the walks are
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 6: really the main issue with, him so he's got to
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 6: turn that. Around he has not been good Against arizona
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 6: so far, though only fourteen at, bats not a, lot
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 6: but three fifty seven, average twelve to twenty three oh,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 6: ps five to two strikeout walk.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: Raceio that's not exactly.
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 6: Good SO i don't know what to do With sproute right, now,
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 6: man because he could be good it looks like he's
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 6: starting to turn it around pitching. Better he's in better
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 6: form right, now but he doesn't have good matchup numbers.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 6: Here Eduardo rodriguez is pitching for the D backs and
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 6: he's got really good numbers this. Season BUT i think
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 6: he's definitely a regression. Candidate we're gonna dig into those.
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 6: Numbers the rest of the numbers in a little. Bit
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 6: two point two to ONE E, ray that's definitely misleadingly.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 6: LOW i will tell you that right. Now his era
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 6: is going to go up one point one to. Eight
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 6: whip is still not. BAD i know he's been good
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 6: at home one point seven eight erra at. Home he
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 6: does look like he's pitching pretty well, here given that
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 6: he's allowed one or fewer earned runs in all but
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 6: one start.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: That was over the course Of. JUNE i mean he did.
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 6: That, Really he's pitched pretty well pretty much all season
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 6: as far as not giving up a lot of. Runs
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 6: he's got a low hit, rate but his strikeout rate
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 6: is very. Low So, RODRIGUEZ E. Rod he's a guy
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 6: that used to strike out more guys than he does.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 6: Now you, know like he was really good early in
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 6: his career at different points earlier in his, Career he's
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 6: had some. Surgeries you, know he's just not really what
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 6: he once. Was his strike his walk rate is still
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 6: a little bit high here in my, opinion and you,
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 6: KNOW i, MEAN i just think something is gonna kind
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 6: of you, KNOW i think he's gonna regress a bit.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 6: Here like his hit rate was still low over the
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 6: course Of, june but his walk rate was way too,
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 6: high and his strike out rate was still, low so
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 6: there are some concerns. Here numbers Against milwaukee are not
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 6: great in eighty nine of bats to seventy average seventy nine,
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 6: ops So milwaukee their bats do get the best.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: Of him a.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 6: Bit eighteen to fifteen strike up walk ratio is really not,
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 6: good although eight of the walks Are Gary, sanchez But
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 6: milwaukee does get to him a decent amount. There SO
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 6: i think this game looks like an over generally as.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 6: Well the money is agreeing with. That the totals at
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 6: nine fifty per tickets eighty two percent of the cash
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 6: on the. OVER i THINK i agree with, that although
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 6: both pitchers could do well, Here, LIKE i think there
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 6: is kind of a wide variance, Here like this game
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 6: is pretty. Unpredictable, LIKE i think there's a wide range
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 6: of possible results.
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: Here you, know SO i don't like games like.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 6: That sixty percent of, tickets seventy three percent of the
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 6: cash On milwaukee at minus won twenty.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: SOMETHING i don't know what to do with.
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 6: THAT i, mean the oddsmakers are telling You milwaukee is
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 6: the better.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: Team yes they. Are they have the better. Bullpen.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 6: Uh the starting pitching matchup is probably a lot closer
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 6: than the eras to make it, look SO i will
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 6: say that there isn't that much of a gap.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: Between these two starting.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 6: Pitchers, Yeah like you, know their ERAS i think are
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 6: a little bit misleading on both. Sides milwaukee is the
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 6: better offense, Too LIKE i, Said miami at The a's
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 6: gauge jump is.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: Pitching.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 6: MAN i don't want to jump on him in this one.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 6: Though i'm gonna stay off of this. One but The
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 6: a's are trying to avoid getting swept, here so maybe
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 6: there is something to looking at The a's. Here miami
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 6: is Playing seattle. NEXT i THINK i don't know how
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 6: big of a deal that, is but you, know Will
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 6: miami overlook The a's after winning the first two games
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 6: of the. Series Maybe miami does have the better, bullpen
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 6: but they used four relief pitchers.
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: Yesterday The a's where are we at if this would?
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: Load come? On, man wasting my?
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 6: Time oh my, god hopefully my internet is still.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: Working hopefully you guys can AM i still live?
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 5: Here?
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: Like what's going? On?
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 6: Yeah The a's used three or lead pitchers all, right.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 6: Whatever miami is ranked second in. BULLPEN i don't think
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 6: they're quite that. Good they're a pretty good, bullpen but
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 6: they're not that. Good The a's number twenty four, though so,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 6: yes Obviously miami is the better, bullpen as are.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: Ninth in, Offense miami is up to.
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 6: TWELFTH i don't know If miami is really that good offensively.
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 6: Either this is definitely an offensive stadium, though but both
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 6: pitchers in this matchup are pretty. Good Uri perez is
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 6: pitching for The marlins four point two ONE era one
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 6: point two to one.
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: Whip he's not.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 6: Bad he's still really young, man even though it feels
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 6: like he's been in the league for a long, time
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 6: BECAUSE i think he came into the league when he
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 6: was like twenty or twenty, one and he's already Had
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 6: Tommy john surgery and. Stuff his E r on the
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 6: road is not good, though five point three, five so
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 6: he pitches a lot better In, miami where it's more pitcher.
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 6: Friendly he walked four guys last time out in Course.
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 6: Field it was good that he held The rockies to
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 6: one and run though in.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: Course, field so that was.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 6: Good but he was wild after he didn't walk anybody
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 6: in three straight. Starts he had some wildness come up
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 6: in that. Game his wildness is his main. Issue he's
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 6: not very. Hittable he's got a low hit, rate a
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 6: strike gout rate is, high so he's got good stuff,
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 6: still but his.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: Walk rate is too.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 6: High and as far as this stadium, goes he's a
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 6: lot of decent amount of home.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: RUNS i know he. Was he was good in Course.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: Field he allowed one home run in Course field though
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: in that.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 6: Start but he's got a high fly ball, rate, Dude
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 6: so that's not exactly great for pitching in these stadiums like.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 6: This The a's stadium a very very home run friendly as.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 6: Well his numbers against The a's are, good though they
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 6: have a really small sample. Size three hitters have seen
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 6: him seven at. Bats he only hit is a double From.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 6: Langaliers two, strikeouts one, walk one forty three average five
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 6: thirty six, Ops So perez might have a little bit
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 6: of an extra advantage. Here so part of the REASON
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 6: i don't want to jump on jump IS i Think
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 6: perez might pitch well here because he is pretty. GOOD
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 6: i know fly ball rate is a, concern but The
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 6: a's hitters haven't really seen, him so that might be
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 6: a little bit of an. Advantage same advantage is gonna
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 6: be the case for gauge.
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: Jump jump has been good so. Far.
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 6: Man you, Know i've given out AND i think three
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 6: winners on the show with jump and maybe one. Push
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 6: Like i've given up plays on most of his. Starts
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 6: i'm not gonna do it here. Though two point nine
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 6: to THREE, ra one point one to Three. Whip he's
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 6: better on the road, somehow Or, No.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: No, six he's. Worse, yeah he's worse at. Home what
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: AM i?
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 6: Saying yeah he's at home. Here what AM i? Saying
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 6: his home stadium's? Bad it's The a's. Stadium, yes he's
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 6: not as good here at. Home four point nine to
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 6: eight home THE, Ra so it's a little bit of a.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 6: Concern wasn't good last time out here at home against The.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 6: Dodgers they just, really really got to him for a
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 6: lot of hits and a lot.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: Of, runs a couple of home.
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 6: Runs his command was still good, though five, strikeouts no,
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 6: walks and it was The, DODGERS i, mean obviously In
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 6: miami is a huge step down offensively from The. Dodgers jump,
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 6: overall still good stuff, here thirty five and forty. Innings
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 6: decent hit, rate his walk rate's still pretty, low strike
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 6: out rate is right at one per.
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: Inning he's not that extreme of a fly ball.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 6: Pitcher in, fact he's only allowed two home runs this entire,
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 6: season and they were both in that game against The,
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 6: dodger so he hasn't been allowing home runs other than.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 6: That so maybe he does have a slight advantage here Over.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 6: PEREZ i think maybe a first five under makes some
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 6: sense here in this, game BECAUSE i think this is
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 6: a pretty good starting pitching.
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: Matchup the money's backing the.
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 6: Over the totals ten fifty three percent of, tickets eighty
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 6: six percent of the cash on the. Over, MAYBE i
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 6: mean it does make more sense to go over full,
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 6: game of, course because you get The a's bullpen coming
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 6: into playing. Whatever BUT i think under first five makes some,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 6: sense and it's gonna be a high, number probably like
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 6: five and a. HALF i, think you, KNOW i, know
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 6: it's a very hitter can do the, ballpark AND i
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 6: really don't jump on unders like that in a stadiums like,
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 6: this but this starting pitching matchup to, me looks like
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 6: it may get there with an under in the first.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 6: Five so that's What i'm talking about, There, sab what's?
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: Up what are you talking?
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 6: About, oh, Hurricane, yeah that's, right the Sab, Yes, viagra that's.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 6: Right i'll talk about that WHEN i get TO i
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 6: forgot about. That thank, you, Sir, kyle thank.
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: You all, right all, Right toronto And seattle.
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 6: We get into some of these night. Games these games
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 6: are on the major networks. Too this game is ON Nbc.
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 6: Sports this is this is an evening, game but well
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 6: really it's like a it's an afternoon.
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: Game still In seattle, though so this is still on.
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 6: The afternoon board here weird slate like weird scheduling, today
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 6: but it.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: Is It's.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 6: Sunday it's still almost every game is in the afternoon
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 6: because most of these teams have to start a new series,
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 6: tomorrow so or maybe well or the.
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: Next day after.
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 6: THAT i should Say seattle won the game eleven and nothing,
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 6: yesterday so each team has a shutout.
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: Win in this.
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 6: Series so this is gonna be the rubber match of this.
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 6: Series it's a big, series. DUDE i think it means
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 6: more To, seattle As i've been, saying because you Remember
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 6: toronto Beat seattle in THE alcs last year and eliminated,
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 6: Them SO i think winning this series probably means more To.
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 6: Seattle seattle only use one relief, pitcher and they do
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 6: have the slightly better bullpen in my, Opinion toronto used.
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 6: Three toronto's bullpen is ranked better at eleventh With seattle at,
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 6: seventeenth BUT i don't THINK i buy That seattle's still
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 6: the better, Bullpen Eer ray AND i think there's still
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 6: the better. Bullpen the offenses haven't been that Good seattle twenty,
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 6: Fifth toronto twenty. Sixth that's not. Good and this is
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 6: a pitcher friendly ballpark. Here although we did see eleven runs,
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 6: yesterday the starting pitching matchup here on the surface looks
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 6: like it should be an Under you have two really
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 6: talented young pitchers going in this, game but their matchup
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 6: numbers are a little bit questionable. Here Trey savage is
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 6: pitching for The Blue.
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: Jays he's.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 6: GOOD i, mean he's still only twenty two years. Old
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 6: three point three FOUR, era one point one. Whip he's
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 6: been really good on the road two point two to
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 6: two roadyra so that looks.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: Good plus it's a pitcher friendly.
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 6: Park he's in pretty good form, here although his walk
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 6: number has been pretty high over the last, month but
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 6: it was mostly in two starts against The yankees In
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 6: houston where he was just out of control in both those,
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 6: starts and then his last start he pretty much dominated The,
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 6: mets didn't strike a lot of guys, out but he
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 6: had no walks in that.
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: One although it is The, mets.
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 6: But he's got a low hit. Rate his walk rate
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 6: is definitely too high. Though he's got to.
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: Get his control fixed.
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 6: Here and his strikeout rate is not as high as
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 6: you would, expect but it is. Okay so maybe he's
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 6: not quite as good as maybe people think that he
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 6: is right. Now and he hasn't been good Against seattle
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 6: twenty three at. Bats it's not a huge. Sample only
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 6: six of their hitters have faced. Him Josh naylor And
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 6: randy Arose arena are the guys that really do the
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 6: damage against. Him three forty eight, average nine to twenty
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 6: three oh, bs seven to three strike out walk ratio
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 6: still not good, though so You, savage you, KNOW i,
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 6: mean he looks like he should pitch well, here but
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 6: those matchup numbers do worry me a little. Bit Emerson
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 6: hancock For, seattle he's having a good season three point
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 6: four to seven E, ra one point zero five. Whip
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 6: he's been good at home three point three eight HOMEY
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 6: ra in this picture friendly. Environment had a bad home
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 6: start against The Red sox recently after a bad road
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 6: start Against, washington but he's settled back, down mostly with
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 6: a good start on the road At cleveland last. Time
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 6: but he did walk three guys in that, one which
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 6: is a little bit. Concerning but his walk grade hasn't
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 6: really been that bad over the course of the. Season
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 6: low hit, rate low walk, rate strike gout rate is decent.
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 6: Too so he's got good numbers and he's got better
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 6: command than You savage.
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: Does handcock hasn't been.
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 6: That good Against, toronto though they have seven hitters with
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 6: face and twenty one at. Bats it's not a huge.
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 6: Sample only one extra base, hit which is a double From.
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 6: Kirk five, strikeouts three, walks two eighty six, average but
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 6: the ops is low because they only have that one
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 6: extra base hit seven to, eight you. KNOW i, mean
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 6: my first instinct was that this game looks like an
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 6: under BECAUSE i think you do have two good starters
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 6: here and two pretty capable. Bullpens fifty eight percent of
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 6: tickets on the, over ninety percent of the cash.
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: On the over, though so the money's hitting the.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 6: Over but the odds makers threw this up here at
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 6: seven and a half juice to the. Under SO i,
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 6: mean the odds makers are pretty much telling you they
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 6: think it should be a low scoring game. Here SO
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 6: i don't. KNOW i, mean the under still makes some
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 6: sense to me. Here, uh the money is back In,
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 6: TORONTO i don't.
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: THINK i.
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 6: Agree sixty seven percent of tickets On, seattle sixty eight
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 6: percent of the cash On. Toronto some of it is
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 6: the Price seattle at minus one. THIRTY i think probably
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 6: the feeling as, well you're gonna give me a savage
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 6: as an, underdog you, know maybe that's why the money's
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 6: going in that, Way BUT i Think. SEATTLE i Think
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 6: hancock does have the matchup edge, here as it just
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 6: showed you the matchup. Numbers he's been better with command
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 6: And SEATTLE i think wants the game more because it's
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 6: still that revenge, spot WHICH i, think you, know revenge is,
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 6: overstated but when it's the team that eliminated you.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: Last, YEAR i think it does matter a little bit.
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 6: More SO i have a slight lean Towards seattle in that,
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 6: game probably full, game BECAUSE i do like their bullpen as.
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: Well San diego and The.
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 6: Dodgers this is one of two night WELL i don't
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 6: know THIS i guess doesn't qualify as a night. Game
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 6: it's ON, Nbc but this, GAME i think is it's
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 6: a late afternoon game because it's In La SO i
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 6: think the real night game is still The Red sox
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 6: game Against.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: Anaheim great game, There, Dodgers San.
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 6: Diego dodgers are on the verge of a four games
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 6: sweep pier and they're fourteen games ahead of ours Of.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 6: Arizona now in fifteen games ahead Of San. Diego, DUDE
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 6: i Thought San diego was still in second place here
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 6: in THE.
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: Ns this is getting.
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 6: Ridiculous The dodgers are going to go into cruise control
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 6: mode at some point. Here they may Overlook San diego
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 6: here in the last game of the.
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: SERIES i don't.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 5: Know.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: MAN i mean The. Dodgers they're only.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 6: Playing colorado next, though so do they really care that
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 6: much about?
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: That probably.
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 6: NOT i, mean they probably focused more On San diego
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 6: than us On. Colorado But San, diego you gotta think
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 6: they want this game. More but The dodgers are a
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 6: massive favorite. Here The dodgers pretty much have the edge
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 6: everywhere in this, game well except for the, BULLPEN i,
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 6: guess but the bullpen's are. Close dodgers used three elite pitchers.
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 6: Yesterday San diego also. Did dodgers are ranked better in the,
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 6: bullpen and their Bullpend Eer ray is actually a little
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 6: bit better at, fifth San diego. Thirteenth BUT i still
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 6: Think San diego's bullpen is the better. One but they
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 6: do have to contend with The dodgers elite number one,
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 6: offense And San diego is now dead lasting and or
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 6: tied in twenty. Ninth with The mets starting pitching does
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 6: not Do San diego any. Favors they're going with shap P.
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 6: Sears is he really the guy you? Want is he
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 6: really the stopper to try to end this losing street
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 6: and try to help you salvage a game in this?
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 6: Series this does not look good to me six point
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 6: nine to seventy R ray one point seven to four.
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: WHIP i don't think he's that.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 6: Bad he's only made two starts For San diego so
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 6: far this, year but eleven point five to seven Roady. Ray,
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 6: obviously it's gonna make sense that he's gonna pitch better
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 6: In San diego because they were a more pitcher friendly,
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 6: park and he was okay In San diego against The.
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: Braves he was awful last time out At.
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 6: Wrigley his overall numbers are not, good, dude high hit,
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 6: rate high walk, rate strike got rate.
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: Fine BUT i mean this is just not good.
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 6: Stuff numbers against The dodgers not, good and forty five
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 6: at bats three fifty six average allowed one thousand and
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 6: forty oh ps five to two strike got walk.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: Ratio none of that is. Good he's going.
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 6: Up Against Emmett, shean who is the better pitcher. Here
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 6: Although shean has had some struggles, recently he definitely is.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: Ballented though he's he's.
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 6: Better Than sears five point oh EIGHT rra one point
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 6: two seven. Whip that whip indicates that his era should
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 6: be lower than it.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: Is he's kind of struggled.
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 6: Though man he's basically the same home and, away very
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 6: similar in the splits. There, now he did bounce back
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 6: with a good start last time out against you know,
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 6: it Against San diego on the road At San, diego
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 6: an easy matchup probably, though facing a weak offense on
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 6: the road in a very pitcher friendly. Park he pitched
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 6: At San diego back In may as, well and he
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 6: actually wasn't good in that, Start so do what you
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 6: want with that.
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: Information but he's not all good Against San.
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 6: Diego his overall numbers definitely suggested that he's better than
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 6: his E. Ra though he's got a reasonably low hit,
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 6: rate his walk rate isn't very, high strike out, rate
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 6: strikeout rate is pretty. High he's given up a lot
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 6: of home, runs AND i think that's really what's kind
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 6: of screwed HIS, era is that his home run rate
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 6: is too, high so he's got to figure that. Out
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 6: his overall numbers Against San diego are not the, best
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 6: and forty one at bats to forty four average allowed
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 6: is pretty, good but an eight h eight ops is not.
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 2: Good so they have hit him for some power.
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 6: Here Although machado has two of the three home runs against,
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 6: him ten, strikeouts three, walks.
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 2: What do we do with this?
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 6: GAME i, Mean i'm leaving it, alone, obviously but The
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 6: dodgers are a massive, favorite and you, KNOW i don't.
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 2: KNOW i, mean this is.
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 6: Pushing it a little. Bit at minus two. TEN i, mean,
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 6: YEAH i think The dodgers match. Up you, know they
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 6: have the matchup edges, here but you, know maybe not
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 6: in the bullpen LIKE i, said but that might even
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 6: not even matter if the starting pitching goes wrong For
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 6: San diego, here but minus two, TEN i don't think
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 6: you lay that with The. Dodgers the money is actually
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 6: Playing San. Diego eighty six percent of tickets on The,
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 6: dodgers sixty four percent of the cash On San. Diego
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 6: you could take A San diego run line and hope
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 6: they stay in this.
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: GAME i wouldn't want to do.
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 6: THAT i think they have too many matchup disadvantages for me. Here,
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 6: YEAH i, MEAN i know they have the situational, edge
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 6: like the motivational.
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: EDGE i don't know if that's.
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 6: Enough I'M i am a situational, guy but in baseball
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 6: the matchups.
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: Do, matter and over maybe makes sense.
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 6: HERE i mean the total is pretty high at nine
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 6: and a, half sixty three percent of tickets ninety two
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 6: percent of the cash on the. Over neither pitcher has
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 6: particularly good matchup, numbers so maybe that is the better
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 6: way to look at, this to just go over the
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 6: team total or you, Know dodgers team total over makes
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 6: some sense for them to just you, know get some
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 6: runs off of seers, Here, Uh. Dodgers you're probably looking
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 6: at needing them to score like six runs here, though
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 6: though that's maybe pushing it a, bit all.
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: Right and then the last game is the night.
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 6: Game The Red sox have to play two Straight sunday night,
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 6: games which really really.
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 2: SUCKS i don't even know who they playing. NEXT i
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: don't even.
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 6: KNOW i think they might be returning home and they
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 6: don't play, tomorrow SO i don't. Know, Man red are
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 6: probably not gonna be good in a good spot when
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 6: they return. Home they should have a matchup advantage here
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 6: with the starting. Pitching but The Red sox are laying
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 6: a pretty big price. Here oddsmakers are telling, you, Man
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 6: they're telling you that The Red sox are better than
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 6: the record, looks and they have a decent pitcher on
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 6: the mound, here and they're telling you That anaheim is
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 6: just not that. Good Red sox used three relief pitchers.
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 6: Yesterday they do have the better, bullpen Uh anaheim used,
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 6: four which is not. Great Red sox are ranked sixth in.
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 6: Bullpen they got one of the better bullpen eras. Here
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 6: anaheim is twenty. Third that is not. GOOD i THINK
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 6: i might have said The dodgers by, accident stop being
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 6: the La angels Of. Anaheim, men you're The Anaheim, angels all,
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 6: right but, Yeah anaheim's bullpen is not. Good, Offensively anaheim's
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 6: a little bit better at twenty First Red sox twenty.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 6: Fourth Red sox, offense you, know has had some signs
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 6: of life recently, though and over the course of the
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 6: season they've been better on the. Road Red sox are
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 6: going With ron Your suarez on the mound, here he's
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 6: in a good season two point nine to four E
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 6: ra one point one to three whip another good pick,
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 6: dude between him And Sonny, gray who was good again.
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 6: Yesterday two good offseason, pickups, Man which is WHY i
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 6: thought The Red sox would be good this. YEAR i,
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 6: mean their Starting bidgeon rotation has been. Good that's how
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 6: pathetic their offense. Is and maybe they're like fundamentals because,
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 6: dude they have one of the best Starting bidgeon rotations in. Baseball,
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 6: like it's still a good rotation With crocheane not even in,
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 6: there and yet they can't win, games you, KNOW i
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 6: mean it's. Ridiculous suarez really good on the, road by the,
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 6: way two point one two roadyra Red. Sox their pyging,
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 6: rotation by the, way is just stacked with.
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 2: Lefties.
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 6: TWO i Think gray is the only righty in the
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 6: rotation at this. Point suarez has been good. Recently his
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 6: strike gout rates gone up. Recently Do he had a
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 6: really good month Of. June high strike got, ray low walk,
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 6: rate pretty low hit. Rate over the course of the,
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 6: season those numbers have pretty much been there as. Well
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 6: low hit, rate low walk, rate high strikeout rate all
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 6: pretty good. Here has good numbers Against anaheim as. Well
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 6: in thirty five at bats two twenty nine average SEVEN
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 6: o eight oh ps nine to four strike out walk.
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 6: Race Joseph suarez looks like he has a pretty good matchup.
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: Here he's going up Against Ryan.
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 6: Johnson, Obviously suarez he he's the better starting pitcher. Here
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 6: johnson is is like a huge question, mark, though Like
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 6: johnson has shown signs that he is a lot better
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 6: than his numbers. SUGGESTS i, mean his numbers look, awful,
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 6: obviously seven point FOUR, era one point five to two,
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 6: whip but he's really, young twenty. Three he's a really
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 6: really big right hander. Here, WELL i guess he's, not
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 6: like he doesn't weigh that, much but he is really.
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 6: Tall Not Randy, Johnson, Ryan he's not as tall As Randy.
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: Johnson he's not a, lefty But.
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 6: JOHNSON i, mean there are some things to actually like
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 6: when you start looking at his, numbers even though he
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 6: hasn't been good yet mostly six point five to Five
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 6: homie ra it's, bad but he is still way better
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 6: at home than he is on the. Road it's a
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 6: small sample, size but his opponent batting average is way
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 6: lower at home at two, twenty so he actually has
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 6: been better at. Home and he's been really good in
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 6: his last two starts Against baltimore and Against. Seattle eleven,
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 6: strikeouts one walk in those eleven innings with five hits
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 6: allowed in won earn run. Aloud that's pretty. Good So, johnson,
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 6: dude he seems to be figuring something. Out SO i
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 6: don't think he is what his numbers tell. You he
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 6: is over the, course of the season so. Far his
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 6: hit rate is too, high his walk rate is too,
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 6: high his strikeout rate is not that. High but, again
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 6: he seems to be figuring some stuff out. Here SO
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 6: i don't know what we're gonna get out of, him
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 6: BUT i do think that he is more talented than
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 6: his numbers make him. Look The Red sox have never
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 6: faced him, before so they might actually struggle Against johnson
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 6: because he has the unfamiliarity edge. Year so this game might,
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 6: be you, know a little bit closer in the starting
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 6: pitching than people think that it will. BE i know
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 6: the money is actually Being anaheim here WHEN i saw it.
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 6: Earlier Red sox are a pretty heavy favorite though there
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 6: at minus like one, sixty the money is definitely fading
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 6: them ninety percent of tickets on The Red.
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: Sox of, Course anaheim is also trying to avoid a.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 6: Sweep, remember So anaheim is one of those home teams
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 6: in that spot where they're trying to avoid a sweep
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 6: and The Red sox when they return, home they're gonna
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 6: play the or, no they're going to The White sox,
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 6: next excuse, me so they may look ahead to. THAT i,
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 6: mean The White sox have been a decent team this.
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 6: Year Red sox maybe get. Distracted maybe they pack it in.
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 6: Early maybe they think it's gonna be. EASY i don't
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 6: really want to Fade suarez, though But Red sox minus
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 6: won sixty something.
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: HERE i mean that. Price you could consider that price.
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 6: To be a little too, high you, Know johnson maybe
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 6: still being overlooked. Here potentially ninety percent of tickets sixty
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 6: five percent of the cash on The Red sox so
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 6: public on The Red, sox way less than the money
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 6: on it the public or excuse, me the money is
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 6: also playing the over fifty eight, percent and it tickets
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 6: ninety percent of the cash on the over EIGHT i
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 6: don't really think. SO i, MEAN i could see the
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 6: argument for a first five.
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: Under.
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 6: Here you Got, suarez whill we know that he's good
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 6: and he has good matchup. Numbers johnson is at least
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 6: unfamiliar and is pitching a lot better over his last
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 6: couple of. STARTS i could see this being low scoring
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 6: early in the. Game, Man so maybe a first five
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 6: under makes some. Sense and if you're gonna Play, ANAHEIM
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 6: i would still limit it to the first five as,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 6: well because their bullpen is just too. Bad But suarez
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 6: may still be the better starter, here and The Red
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 6: sox do have a bullpen, advantage so you, KNOW i,
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 6: MEAN i don't really want to Play anaheim, there even
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 6: though they they may have a situational advantage, there all,
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 6: Right SO i just have the two plays in, Baseball
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 6: let's go TO. Wnba there are two, games one in the,
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 6: afternoon which Is dallas And. Toronto Now, DALLAS i think
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 6: this will be the first time they're playing In, toronto
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 6: so they may be in a little bit of a
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 6: situational disadvantage because they're gonna have to go through customs.
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 6: Here toronto has not played since before The Commissioner's cup,
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 6: break so they've been off for more than a. Week
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 6: but they did lose their last game at, home so
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 6: they haven't even, traveled so they're staying at. Home could
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 6: be a good spot for, them, potentially some teams, will you, Know,
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 6: like the break is basically a momentum, Stopper so in my,
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 6: opinion whatever you were doing going into the.
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: Break that gets ended by the.
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 6: Break so the fact That toronto went into the break
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 6: on a bad note losing at, HOME i think that
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 6: means they're gonna come out with some focus. Here and
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 6: actually like play better. Here they get a good team
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 6: In dallas coming into their. Place dallas is gonna be
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 6: a little bit unfamiliar with this road venue here and
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 6: going through customs and whatever to get, There so a
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 6: different spot For. Dallas, However dallas has some advantages in
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 6: my opinion, too because they did play already out of
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 6: the commissioner's break On. Thursday they're not gonna be over you,
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 6: know they're not gonna be overworked or anything. Like they're,
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 6: not you, know, unrested because they did have a break
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 6: prior to that, game and they didn't play.
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 2: Well they barely Beat.
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 6: Connecticut SO i Think dallas might show up after a
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 6: bad performance against the worst team in the, league they
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 6: might show up with a better. Effort, however they do
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 6: have a huge game Against New york next ON, espn
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 6: So dallas might look ahead to. That SO i would
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 6: have a slight lean Towards toronto. Here i'm not gonna
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 6: play the, game but that would be my slight opinion.
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 6: Here dallas is public eighty three percent of, tickets eighty
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 6: eight percent of the cash on, them they're laying five
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 6: and a. Half BUT i THINK i would lean towards
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 6: taking the points With, toronto although the money looks like
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 6: it's slightly On, dallas but they are. Public the total
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 6: here is also ridiculously. High all the money has slammed the.
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 6: Over the total open at one eighty one and a,
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 6: half AND i think the highest total we've seen all
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 6: season is like one eighty.
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 2: Two this total is all the way up.
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 6: To one eighty four and a half, now so the
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 6: money has really really blasted the over. Already so there
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 6: is a strong professional. Opinion it looks like to me
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 6: on the over, here AND i think it makes some.
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 6: SENSE i think you're looking at two pretty bad defenses,
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 6: here so it makes some sense maybe the over, There
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 6: but you've lost, value like you really needed to get
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 6: to that when it was at one eighty one. Two
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 6: now that it's at one eighty, FOUR i think you've
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 6: lost too much value on, it or one eighty five
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 6: and a half at some of these.
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: Books, Yeah SO i MEAN.
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 6: I might lean over there just because of WHAT i
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 6: see in the, market you know the fact that the
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 6: total is that, High But i'm staying. Away the other,
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 6: game The Night game ON espn And Disney plus Between
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 6: indiana And. Vegas this has a really high total at
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 6: one eighty one and a, half and that seems a
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 6: little crazy to me because both of these teams are
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 6: actually gonna be without their best. Player Caylen clark is still.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 6: OUT i thought she might be, back but she's. Not
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 6: Las vegas is Without Asia wilson, still so they're not
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 6: playing in this. Game SO espn game where the one
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 6: draw of this game would have been that you get
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 6: to see two of the best players in the league
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 6: and they're both not.
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: Playing so that's.
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 6: Great vegas is the better, team although The oswegers are
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 6: kind of telling you they don't really have a significant advantage,
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 6: here especially with their their big Woman wilson out like
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 6: she dominates on the, interior so that is a big
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 6: blow To vegas without. Her, Now vegas did just win
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 6: Against chicago in that game WHERE i give them a
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 6: play on the, show BUT i tracked it as a
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 6: no play just BECAUSE i.
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: Said wait to see if you can get.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 6: This you, know still get either a seven and a
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 6: half or maybe a ten and a half If wilson
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 6: was coming. Back it didn't, happen and the number tank
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 6: to four and a, half and there's no WAY i
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 6: would have recommended it four and a. Half, however that
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 6: was this game Against. Chicago chicago should have, covered. DUDE
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 6: i mean they took the game into, overtime they had
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 6: the lead.
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 2: In the fourth. QUARTER i mean very very.
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 6: Irritated if you Had, CHICAGO i go plus seven and
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 6: a half or something in that, game you got absolutely.
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 6: Screwed you took a ridiculously bad, beat losing by eight
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 6: in overtime on.
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 2: A final foul with eleven seconds. Left just.
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 6: Ridiculous vegas is coming off that, GAME i think they
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 6: will be focused.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 2: Here they're staying at. Home by the, WAY i forgot
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 2: to mention these games are not in their home.
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 6: Arena they're still In Las, vegas where they're playing at
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 6: The Team Mobile arena instead of their home, arena which
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 6: is the Michelob Ultra. ARENA i don't, know, MAN i
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 6: don't know which is which In. VEGAS i, MEAN i
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 6: think both of these get used for different college basketball
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 6: like conference tournaments and.
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 2: STUFF i don't know how much that.
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 6: Matters vegas has not been particularly good at, home though
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 6: they are six and three at home. Now they were
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 6: five and three before that other. Game indiana not particularly
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 6: good on the. Road The indiana's record isn't really that
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 6: good right. Now But Kaylen clark is always hurt and
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 6: getting beat up by, players you, know on the. Court
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 6: it's a bad, situation, Man like these players are just
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 6: physically beating her. UP i don't, know but the spot
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 6: looks okay to me For, vegas BECAUSE i thought the
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 6: bad spot was that last game Against. Chicago they got
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 6: a scare Against, Chicago so you gotta Think vegas is
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 6: going to show up even If clark isn't. There vegas
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 6: is gonna try to win this. Game they only Play portland,
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 6: next which is not a big Deal, vegas you, know
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 6: coming off a bad performance really Against. Chicago indiana's coming
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 6: off a good looking game where they scored one hundred
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 6: and eleven points Against la and.
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 2: That was before the.
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 6: Break SO i Think vegas is at a little bit
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 6: of an extra advantage because they played after the. Break
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 6: and in this, CASE i actually liked that Because vegas
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 6: they've also already played.
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 2: In this, arena you know WHAT i, Mean and this
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: is an.
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 6: Arena that they usually don't play, in So vegas was
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 6: able to already adjust to this. Arena indiana is having
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 6: to come into this cold and they haven't played since Last,
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 6: saturday and they. Won LIKE i, said they put up
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 6: a huge amount of points Against. LA la is a
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 6: terrible defense defensive, team AND i talked about that back
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 6: on a handicap THAT i Liked indiana to cover in that,
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 6: game and they. Did vegas is not going to allow
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 6: that many. Points i'll tell you that right. NOW i
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 6: know this is a really high, total But indiana's not
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 6: scoring one hundred and eleven in this, one, Man and
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 6: that might be a little bit slow to.
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: Start And clark is, out you.
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 6: KNOW i Know clark was out for that game AGAINST la,
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 6: too But vegas is way better defensively THAN la even
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 6: With wilson not in. There, YEAH i, MEAN i Think
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 6: indiana might start a little bit. COLD i think the
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 6: fact that they went into that long break on a
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 6: good note it's not gonna be a good.
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: Thing coming into this.
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 6: One that was the injured player theory spot by the,
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 6: way Because clark got injured in that game Against. Phoenix
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 6: that was the game where they put the the arm
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 6: like they you, know they where they shoved her neck and.
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 6: Whatever alyssa whatever her name, IS i keep getting her
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 6: last name.
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: Wrong. Whatever So.
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 6: Indiana had an advantage in that game Against la and
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 6: that they were in the injured player. Spots you knew
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 6: they were gonna step up their game with but a
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 6: lot of times the second game after that they won't
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 6: do as. Well and For, vegas it's gonna be the
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 6: third game Without. Wilson and WHILE i Know, vegas you
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 6: could argue they don't have a rest advantage here Because
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 6: vegas has played two games since.
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 2: The last Time indiana.
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 6: Played Because vegas played The Commissioner cup, game they were
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 6: all the way on The East. Coast they had to
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 6: put in a big effort. THERE i, know BUT i
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 6: still think The vegas having that momentum kind of carried
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 6: through and the fact that they played at. HOME i
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 6: think that's actually gonna help them. More SO i actually
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 6: Like vegas in this. GAME i don't know what the
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 6: money is doing. Here the money's back In. INDIANA i
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 6: don't really like That vegas is playing three basically three
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 6: and a. HALF i Think vegas they can get the
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 6: job done, here both teams without their top. Player indiana
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 6: fifty nine percent of tickets eighty five percent of the
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 6: cash on, them THOUGH i don't like that market read On,
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 6: indiana SO i kind of disagree with both market reads.
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 6: HERE i Like vegas at home here money is also
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 6: slightly backing this ridiculous over at one eighty one and a.
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 6: Half the other one's more, ridiculous but this one is
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 6: also really. High So oddsmaker's telling you that they think
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 6: it's gonna be a high scoring. Game i'm not so
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 6: sure about. THAT i mean, MAYBE i, mean maybe people
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 6: are overreacting to the fact that both star players are out,
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 6: Here wilson And. Clark the scoring is gonna come from,
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 6: somewhere so maybe the game will still be higher. Scoring
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 6: BUT i don't, know, Man and that total does to
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 6: me look too high given what's going on. There all,
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 6: Right World, Cup i'm gonna give it out a play
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 6: in the first game. Here both games On, Fox fox One.
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 6: Telemundo first game Is brazil And, norway both teams that
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 6: they are coming in From, TEXAS i, believe so they
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 6: both have a similar travel spot playing In East rutherford
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 6: in The New york.
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 2: Area for this.
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 6: One to, me you, know there's one thing THAT i
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 6: really see going on in this, game.
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 2: And basically what's going on is.
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 6: Everybody is like everybody's talking about How argentina Wants england
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 6: to Beat mexico because they Want england to knock Out,
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 6: Brazil like that's what everybody's talking. About And i'm, like
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 6: so everybody's just assuming That brazil is gonna even be
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 6: in that. Game everybody's just Giving brazil this game, automatically.
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 6: Basically and you, know if you saw my, BRACKET i
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 6: actually Took norway in this, game and THEN i Took
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 6: england over Over.
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: Norway in the ensuing.
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 6: Match, YEAH i, MEAN i think it's kind of ridiculous
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 6: that everybody's just Assuming.
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 2: Brazil people Think brazil is like better.
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 6: Than, england AND i don't think they. Are And i'm
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 6: gonna talk about The england. Match it have been AND
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 6: i know they're not really much of a favorite in that,
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 6: one but the reason is where they're playing the, game
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 6: WHICH i wasn't really aware of WHEN i filled out
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 6: my brackt With england as my you, know value. Champion
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 6: england is gonna have a tough time, today But i'm
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 6: talking About Brazil. Norway i'm gonna give Oout norway either
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 6: wind draw or plus to have.
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 2: Go and remember this is only in the first nine.
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 6: Minutes i'm gonna Take norway to be close With brazil
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 6: through that stretch of the.
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 2: Game, MAN i like. IT i think everybody's just Handing.
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 6: Brazil this game Because, brazil you, know they're considered to,
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 6: be you, know like this. ELITE i mean they, ARE
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 6: i mean they have the Most World cup. Championships they're
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 6: an elite soccer. Country but this version of their team
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 6: is not the. Greatest you, know as we saw the
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 6: odds For brazil to win the whole, thing we're only
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 6: like seventeen or eighteen to one at the start of
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 6: The World, cup like they only had the seventh or
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 6: eighth best. Odds so this is not a Dominant brazil team.
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 6: Here And norway is the more battle tested team so
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 6: far in this. Thing so that's What i'm going with.
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 6: HERE i think everybody's just Overlooking. NORWAY i did look
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 6: At Action network And brazil is a public. Side brazil's
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 6: minus won twenty five on the three way, here so
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 6: we're taking the other side of. That so you're either
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 6: gonna find a win draw or the plus half. Goal
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 6: it's basically the same. Thing whichever market gives you the better,
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 6: number OR i would say just do. THAT i saw
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 6: the plus one oh, Five, yeah so what else AM
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 6: i gonna say?
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 2: Here? Yeah so.
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 6: Yeah according To Action, network the public is Taking brazil
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 6: and there's a slight cash disparity leaning Towards. Norway So
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 6: norway seems like it's kind of the more sharp or
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 6: not really sharp, side but professional side. Here, now if
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 6: you look At, brazil they really have not been that
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 6: impressive in The World.
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 2: Cup the best team they played Was.
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 6: Morocco AND i Know morocco's still in BUT i, mean, Dude,
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 6: MOROCCO i mean they pulled off one big upset, basically
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 6: and then they Beat canada. YESTERDAY i, mean and it
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 6: was misleading if you look at they won three to,
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 6: nothing but if you look at the stats in That
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 6: morocco game, yesterday it should have been like a one
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 6: Nothing morocco win, basically like they did.
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: Not put up that much.
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 6: Offense SO i don't, know, Man brazil drawing With morocco
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 6: doesn't really look good to.
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 2: Me and Then brazil Beat haiti In.
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 6: Scotland, OKAY i, Mean i'm telling, you, Man brazil is
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 6: not very battle. Tested norway is gonna be the best
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 6: team they've faced so far in The World. Cup they
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 6: Beat japan in the knockout Round japan's a competitive, team
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 6: no doubt about, that BUT i still Think norway is
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 6: better Than. Japan, Again i'm not very impressed With brazil's
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 6: run so. Far norway is more, impressive even THOUGH i Know.
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 6: Norway when they Played france they just benched. Everybody they
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 6: lost the, game of, course But norway didn't play their.
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 6: Starters But i'm more impressed By.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 2: Norway.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 6: Still, norway they beat In, rock nobody cares about, that
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 6: but they Beat, senegal who is definitely a competitive, team
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 6: and they Beat Ivory coast in their first knockout, game
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 6: which is more that's pretty impressive to. Me Ivory coast pretty.
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 6: Strong So, norway, dude they look good and they have
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 6: a lot of. OFFENSE i Think brazil may have some
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 6: issues here Slowing norway's offense, down And norway's a really good.
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 6: Offense so, like you, know you've Seen brazil holding all
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 6: these teams to a low scoring game, here AND i
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 6: think you could Play norway over their team total in
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 6: this game, too if you want to do. That, Like
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 6: brazil's played all these low scoring games, here but none
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 6: of these, offenses you, know of, course especially Not, Haiti,
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 6: scotland Even Japan. Morocco none of those offenses are as
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 6: good As. Norway With holland And noosa And Oude guard
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 6: all those guys. There this is a really Strong norway, offense.
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 6: Dude So norway they're not that much worse Than. BRAZIL
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 6: i Know brazil is still the better, team BUT i
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 6: Think norway has a decent shot, here AND i did
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 6: take them to advance in my. Bracket it would not
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 6: be that big of an upset if they did, that
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 6: even though it would be an. Upset but, Yeah i'm
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 6: gonna Take, norway. MAN i think they're the more ballot
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 6: tested team AND i think they're being overlooked, here so
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 6: that's What i'm. Doing the other, MATCH i was all
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 6: ready to Play, england. Dude england's plus one forty on
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 6: the three way, line so it looks like there may
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 6: be some value. There but it'll also gives me pause
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 6: because why Is england not that heavily. Favored Like england
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 6: is definitely better Than. Mexico the problem is this game
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 6: is In Mexico. City that's the main reason Why england's
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 6: not a heavier favorite. Here like if this game was
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 6: on a neutral, Site i'm almost certain That england would
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 6: be like minus one, Seventy LIKE i think that's how
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 6: big the home advantage is, Here SO i would not overlook,
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 6: that like it's gonna be an insane crowd. Here and
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 6: that's WHY i can't do, it because you know that
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 6: we just Saw england look very unimpressive Against Dr.
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: Congo Dr congo was winning that game one nothing for a.
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 6: While England Harry kanes scored two goals and they barely got.
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 6: By but if you look at this, Game england dominated this.
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 6: Game so as soon AS i saw this, GAME i
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 6: was ready to jump On england in their next, game
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 6: you know WHAT i? Mean because this was, misleading. Dude
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 6: england didn't play well as a huge, favorite so everybody's
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 6: gonna think That england, sucks, right and they definitely do.
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 2: Not and you look at this. Game they expected goals and.
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 6: Whatever england expected that they won this game two point one,
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 6: six two point seven to. Seven so this, game, yeah
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 6: which does you, KNOW i, know if you rounded it
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 6: is two to. One but everybody it felt like this
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 6: game where everybody it felt like it was this competitive.
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 6: Game BUT i just didn't really think that it really Was,
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 6: england you, know just wasn't really getting the breaks. There
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 6: england still won this. GAME i know the possession wasn't
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 6: that dominant For. England they're not really the greatest offensive,
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 6: team but their defense is really. Good and Once congo
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 6: put in that kind of fluke goal, early they never scored,
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 6: again AND i didn't really think they.
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 2: Would like as soon As congo.
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 6: Scored that, GOAL i my immediate thought Was england is
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 6: still gonna win this game two to, one like that's
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 6: that's WHAT i was. Thinking or it's gonna be one
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 6: one and they're gonna win in like extra time or something.
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 6: LIKE i Thought congo was not gonna score, again AND
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 6: i was. Right england's a good.
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 2: Defense.
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 6: Dude that was a misleading. Game SO i do still
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 6: Like england in this. Game BUT i Am i'm a
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 6: little bit worried because they do have to travel To
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 6: mexico for this And mexico isn't even. Traveling mexico is
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 6: just staying In, mexico so that is a big advantage to.
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 6: Them BUT i will, say you, Know, mexico they just Beat.
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 6: ECUADOR i almost gave Up mexico as a play. There
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 6: i'm pissed THAT i didn't Because mexico was good in that.
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 6: Game things got a little bit feisty at the. End
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 6: ecuador got a red card in the extra time there
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 6: when the game was already. Over if you look at
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 6: what happened in this, game, though it wasn't domination By.
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 6: Mexico expected goals one point h five two point seventy.
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 2: Five. Uh ecuador won the possession battle forty three.
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 6: Percent they just didn't really get any. Chances But mexico
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 6: really wasn't putting up a lot of. Offense, Dude mexico
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 6: only three shots on, goal two big. Chances that's not. Great,
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 6: Uh so there wasn't really a lot of offense. Here
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 6: mexico really didn't dominate this. Game so, yeah, DUDE i
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 6: think both matchups that these teams had were kind of Mist,
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 6: Like mexico looks really. Good mexico hasn't allowed a goal
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 6: yet In World cup, play which is pretty. Insane but,
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 6: again they played some bad teams in. Here ecuador was
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 6: the best team they played so, far and of Course
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 6: england is obviously gonna be the best team they played so,
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 6: far And england is more battle Tested, england you, KNOW i,
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 6: mean they did Play croatia in. There they Played, ghana you,
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 6: know so they're a little bit more battle tested. Here
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 6: it's not gonna be Easy. Mexico you, know In, mexico
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 6: it's gonna be really. DIFFICULT i could tell you that
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 6: the money was actually strongly Backing. MEXICO i could tell
• 1:56:35
  Speaker 6: you that the public actually looked like it was leaning
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 6: Towards england On Action.
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 2: Network BUT i Like england in this. Game my only
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 2: issue with it is the.
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 6: Location if this game was anywhere, ELSE i would give
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 6: Out england as a play of some, kind but you
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 6: would have to lay more of a favorite. Price, however
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 6: maybe there is, value, Dude it's just, that, dude home
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 6: advantage at soccer is just so. Massive i'm pretty sure
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 6: the little THAT i know about soccer tells me, that you,
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 6: know based on watching like The norway documentary that's out
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 6: there IN, espn like talking about how ridiculous it was
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 6: that they won that qualifying match In, italy Where italy
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 6: never loses In italy in international, play you.
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 2: Know WHAT i.
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 6: Mean so, YEAH i think it. IS i think playing
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 6: at home is really really a huge. Advantage But england
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 6: is still the better team and slightly.
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 2: Favored IF i was gonna play this.
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 6: GAME i would just Grab england at plus one forty
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 6: on the three away. LINE i think that's WHAT i would,
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 6: do or actually hold on What's england to? Advance let me,
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 6: see maybe that's actually the better Way i'm gonna look right,
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 6: Now england to. Advance you're probably actually looking at a
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 6: decent line on. This, Yeah england's that's WHAT i would.
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 6: Do england is only minus one twenty five to. Advance,
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 6: brazil by.
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 2: The, way it's minus two fifty.
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 6: Five but, Yeah england and minus one twenty five to,
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 6: advance that's the WAY i would play. This, yeah PROBABLY
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 6: i wouldn't disagree with taking them plus one forty on
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 6: the three way, uh.
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 2: You, know to.
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 6: Win but it seems a little dicey honestly to win in.
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 6: REGULATION i, mean this could be a low scoring. GAME i,
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 6: mean both of these teams have played good defense throughout
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 6: The World.
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 2: Cup they're both good.
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 6: Defensive teams for, sure SO i see this being a defensive.
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 6: Game under probably makes sense in this game, too to
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 6: go under the two and a half in THE uh
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 6: in the first ninety. MINUTES i could see this being
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 6: like a one to one, game you. Know but, Yeah
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 6: england to advance it minus won twenty. FIVE i think
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 6: does make some sense to. Me so that's gonna do. It.
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 6: Though for my, Plays, no what are you? Talking My
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 6: World cup record is six and, three. BRO i started
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 6: up five and. One uh in The World. Cup i'm
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 6: six and, three so, yeah don't bullshit.
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 2: Me gerald.
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 6: Six and three pretty good when it's not a SPORT
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 6: i know much. About we're gonna have A we're gonna
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 6: finish it off with a Winning World cup. Season, man
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 6: unless something goes. Wrong we gotta get this win. Today
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 6: but even IF i lose this one, Today i'm still
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 6: above five hundred.
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 2: Plays. Today one more.
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 6: Time very short card, Here mets minus one of, five
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 6: minus one of nine on the first five mets money,
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 6: line first five under a full, Game Tigers, rangers and
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 6: we're Taking norway either, wind draw or plus the half.
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 6: GOAL i Think brazil is is, overrated. RIGHT i think
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 6: everybody's just. OVERLOOKING i know everybody's talking About, holland but
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 6: it seems like everybody's just Expecting brazil to. Win because
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 6: everybody's talking About argentina Wants england to win so that
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 6: they can Beat. Brazil that's all everybody's talking about. Here
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 6: so it's like everybody's Assuming brazil is gonna Beat, norway
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 6: AND i know their favored to do, so but you,
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 6: Know i'm gonna Take norway to hang around in that.
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 6: One AND i did take them to advance in my,
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 6: bracket ALTHOUGH i went against what you, know the odds
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 6: say in that, one of, course but had to differentiate
• 1:59:59
  Speaker 6: my brack get a little bit, there and MAYBE i
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 6: was a little bit biased BECAUSE i still Like. HOLLAND i,
• 2:00:04
  Speaker 6: mean he's basically he's like a lumberjack to.
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 2: LIKE i think he just like.
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 6: Cuts trees just for the hell of it and drinks raw.
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 6: Milk And norway brought raw milk to THE. Us, hey,
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 6: man it's. Illegal THE us.
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 2: Is not gonna stop them from doing. That it's. Based,
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 2: Really norway is a pretty based, team.
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 3: Man but.
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 6: Anyway the other stupid thing about, that, though is that you,
• 2:00:31
  Speaker 6: know If england gets by This mexico, match which is
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 6: gonna be difficult because it's In, mexico but if they, do,
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 6: like if You're, argentina you should want to Play brazil
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 6: instead Of england Because brazil is not as good As, england.
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 6: Dude so that's the other stupid thing about The argentinian.
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 6: Fancier they Think brazil is better Than, england and based
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 6: on the what the oddsmakers are putting out, THERE i
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 6: don't think that's the. Case so, LIKE i think if
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 6: it comes down to An England brazil, MATCH i Think
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 6: england is going to be favored in that in that,
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 6: match you, know on a neutral so and if it
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 6: comes down to yet so like that should mean that
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 6: if You're, argentina you should want to Play brazil and Not,
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 6: england even THOUGH i know you're scared Because brazil Is
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 6: you're the reason Why argentina Wants brazil out is because
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 6: they Hate.
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 2: Brazil that's their biggest.
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 6: Rival if people don't know that IT'S i think it's
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 6: the biggest rivalry in international soccer Is Brazil argentina because
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 6: they're the two teams that have they're like two of
• 2:01:30
  Speaker 6: the top three in Like World cup wins or maybe
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 6: the top two.
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 2: WHATEVER i think it's two out of the top.
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 6: THREE i Think germany has the second most And argentina
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 6: has the third most something like. THAT i don't, know
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 6: correct me If i'm, wrong but, yeah, yeah IF i Was,
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 6: argentina they just don't know which team is the better,
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 6: team BUT i would for. THEM i would rather Play
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 6: brazil Than. ENGLAND i Think england is actually better and
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 6: people don't think that Because england plays like a defensive.
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 2: Style, anyway that's gonna do.
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 6: It learn a tone On, Twitter learn a toad On,
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 6: Instagram follow me, everywhere, like subscribe to the channel, here
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 6: get up to five, hundred, man let's do. This listen
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 6: on Audio, Apple, Spotify spreaker covered In yuke on. YouTube my,
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 6: voice you, KNOW i got to get it, back SO
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 6: i probably gotta stop doing this. Show, DUDE i gotta
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 6: stop blake yelling into the. MIC i don't, know, DUDE
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 6: i Just i'm a loud. TALKER i don't know what
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 6: to tell.
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 2: YOU i don't.
• 2:02:24
  Speaker 6: Know maybe MAYBE i should put my headphones back, on
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 6: and maybe that will help me limit my voice a little,
• 2:02:29
  Speaker 6: bit BECAUSE i, could you, know put my monitor up
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 6: and hear myself.
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 2: HERE i don't.
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 6: KNOW i got to figure out, something but THE i
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 6: don't like wearing the headphones because my head gets really.
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 6: Hot it's like wearing ear. Muffs man in the, summer
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 6: in one hundred degree heat up here In. BOSTON i
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 6: don't want to do. That ALTHOUGH i have air. Conditioning
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 6: this Isn't, europe SO i Have Central air, here?
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 2: Baby what else DO i?
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 3: Have?
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 2: Tom?
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 6: Oh, Yeah patreon dot. COMS i just learned to toad check.
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 6: Out check out My. PATREON i KNOW i haven't been
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 6: able to do the yuke stuff because of my. Voice
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 6: except for stuff that doesn't pressure my. VOICE i can't
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 6: do anything even remotely high right now, though.
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 2: Vocally what else DO i have to? SAY i. Don't
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 2: i'm all over the place this Morning.
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 6: Loser Cast, tuesday and, OH i will be On uh
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 6: here's the. THING i think it's what it's called the
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 6: pick is in podcast. GUYS i guess do another show
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 6: that'll be. TONIGHT i think we're gonna record it, tonight
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 6: BUT i think it might be uploaded tomorrow or, something
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 6: so keep on the lookout for.
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 2: That i'll be on that.
• 2:03:31
  Speaker 6: Show and, oh The New York giants g spot podcast
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 6: should be back at some. Point that's gonna do, it, yes,
• 2:03:41
  Speaker 6: sir don't do it. Yet don't, uh don't undersell my. Record,
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 6: Man i've Been i've been better in The World cup
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 6: than than. Baseball since The World cup. Started World cup
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 6: has been better for me than most other. Things, actually,
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 6: yeah we're Since World cup, started it's been my best.
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 6: Sport neomar also back For. Brazil, YEAH i, KNOW i don't.
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 2: KNOW i think he's got some.
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 6: Issues man In brazil's core is like kind of young
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 6: and an EXPERIENCE i don't, know. Man Although norway doesn't
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 6: really have Much World cup experience, though BUT i don't Know, norway.
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 2: Dude.
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 6: Norway, also if you look at their run to qualify
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 6: for The World, Cup norway was really good in international
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 6: play to qualify WHERE i know they didn't face too
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 6: many good teams, there but they did Beat italy, twice
• 2:04:25
  Speaker 6: including In. Italy AND i Know italy didn't qualify for
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 6: The World, cup but they were ranked twelveth in the.
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 6: World they're not like one of the Best italy teams
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 6: that they've ever, had but that was still a Strong italy,
• 2:04:37
  Speaker 6: Team so, YEAH i, mean and some of the other,
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 6: games Like norway was dominating teams in the qualifying, matches
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 6: like they're playing some bad teams and they're Like israel
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 6: AND i don't know some of these other really lowly,
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 6: teams but they were just crushing those. Teams so you,
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 6: KNOW i don't, know we'll see that's gonna do.
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 2: It peace but don't you go.
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 4: Quiet don't you fade from the.
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 1: Floor your, name, steal mean something to somebody for.
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 4: Show put the glass, down, baby.
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 3: Look at. Me, now.
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 4: Hold, on hold on nothing, nice, now.
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 3: Hold, on hold. On let me fo.
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 5: That bites, hard but it don't get the. Crown hold,
• 2:05:43
  Speaker 5: on hold on and stay with me now