Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / MLB Wild Card, Parlay of the Day, Fade or Not to Fade & More!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Seven one in three NFL teams, We're gonna tell you
- 0:03Speaker 1: exactly how.
- 0:04Speaker 2: To bet them.
- 0:05Speaker 1: The wild Card starts today, We're gonna tell you how
- 0:09Speaker 1: to bet those, plus a whole lot of sports betting
- 0:12Speaker 1: information coming your way. This is the best betting show ever.
- 0:16Speaker 1: I'm Lawrence Pressman, Joe Raniery joining us, and of course
- 0:19Speaker 1: the great Art de Caesar. Gentlemen, Wow are the Jets horrible?
- 0:26Speaker 1: The Battle of the Capri Pence and Miami One art
- 0:30Speaker 1: to Caesar? And did you take more bets on the
- 0:32Speaker 1: Jets game or the Denver game? Oh?
- 0:35Speaker 3: The Denver game by far. The Jet Dolphin game was
- 0:38Speaker 3: kind of a low handle game for a Monday night game.
- 0:42Speaker 4: Now.
- 0:42Speaker 3: I think it's because they had another Monday night game
- 0:45Speaker 3: to bet, you know, man, It's just nobody seemed to
- 0:49Speaker 3: have any interest in the game.
- 0:50Speaker 1: Wonder why Yeah, Joe sportscrap terrible price, terrible dude, it
- 0:56Speaker 1: was the Battle of the Capri pens, dude. Aaron Glen
- 0:59Speaker 1: versus Mike mc annual uh art. Have you seen Joe
- 1:03Speaker 1: nii's dating profile. He is wearing capri pants. I'm not
- 1:06Speaker 1: even kidding.
- 1:07Speaker 5: I wouldn't even know where to get capri pants Art, Like, honestly,
- 1:11Speaker 5: I'd have no idea where you can pick those up
- 1:13Speaker 5: besides the press closet. That would be the only place
- 1:16Speaker 5: I would know to look.
- 1:18Speaker 1: I will say I'm officially go ahead, Art.
- 1:21Speaker 3: I've never seen anyone more fascinated with someone's dating profile.
- 1:26Speaker 3: That's not stating, I mean it's unbelievable.
- 1:30Speaker 4: Every show.
- 1:31Speaker 1: Well you know why, Art, I'm trying to do the
- 1:34Speaker 1: guy a solid right you help? Thank you profiles for
- 1:39Speaker 1: a living?
- 1:40Speaker 5: Yeah?
- 1:40Speaker 1: Right? Dating?
- 1:41Speaker 5: Hi so high? Shocker yeah shocker. Yeah, my name is.
- 1:48Speaker 1: Jo Nia like slow walks while talking about NFL football
- 1:53Speaker 1: fast jogs while thinking about baseball, Art, how did the
- 1:57Speaker 1: books do this past weekend in college football and NFL?
- 2:01Speaker 1: What was the best position you had and the worst?
- 2:06Speaker 4: Saturday?
- 2:07Speaker 3: Was the best Saturday we've had all year, one of
- 2:10Speaker 3: the best we've had, maybe in two years. It felt
- 2:13Speaker 3: like we won every decision, All the big games went
- 2:17Speaker 3: our way. Oregon was good, Alabama doing what they did
- 2:22Speaker 3: even earlier in the week when we took all this
- 2:23Speaker 3: Alabama money, we took all this Georgia money late because
- 2:27Speaker 3: we got under the field goal. It was really an
- 2:30Speaker 3: outstanding day. I can't pinpoint one game. I can't even
- 2:33Speaker 3: pinpoint a game we lost on. But then you have
- 2:36Speaker 3: to go to Sunday, where outside of the Giants winning
- 2:41Speaker 3: early for us and being the only basically big time
- 2:45Speaker 3: dog to do anything for us that helped. You would
- 2:49Speaker 3: have thought that the Sunday night game ending in a
- 2:52Speaker 3: tie was positive.
- 2:54Speaker 4: It really wasn't.
- 2:55Speaker 3: We really needed Dallas outright because it would have killed
- 2:59Speaker 3: all the money line or lays with green Bay in it.
- 3:02Speaker 3: Obviously those become voids as far as that leg goes.
- 3:06Speaker 3: So Sunday was not as positive as Saturday.
- 3:11Speaker 4: Sunday.
- 3:11Speaker 3: We really outside the Giant game could get a game
- 3:14Speaker 3: to land our way. And then last night, everything you
- 3:18Speaker 3: know that rolled over from Sunday rolled into Denver on
- 3:23Speaker 3: money lines and teasers, and that was no sweat for
- 3:26Speaker 3: the people. So NFL Sunday slash Monday not as positive
- 3:31Speaker 3: for the sports books.
- 3:32Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm glad you brought that up.
- 3:34Speaker 4: Art.
- 3:35Speaker 5: If we could just take a look here at our
- 3:38Speaker 5: three team NFL parlay from the past week, I'm starting
- 3:42Speaker 5: to sense a theme here. You added land on the
- 3:44Speaker 5: money line that was that seemed to get a lot
- 3:46Speaker 5: of juice once Daniels was ruled out there and then oh,
- 3:50Speaker 5: look at that Jacksonville three and a half. That was
- 3:53Speaker 5: an outright win. That had to be pretty decent for
- 3:56Speaker 5: the books. That Oh look at the press that the
- 3:59Speaker 5: team total over at sixteen and a half. Art, that's
- 4:04Speaker 5: how many points did Cleveland actually get there in that game?
- 4:08Speaker 5: I believe ten ten, ten, So that's not coold, that's
- 4:12Speaker 5: under okay, just wanted to clarify that.
- 4:14Speaker 1: So I guess I'll use this opportunity everyone to give
- 4:18Speaker 1: out a promo code for my NFL. I started the
- 4:21Speaker 1: season nineteen and nine. That's nineteen wins, nine losses. I'm
- 4:28Speaker 1: sixty eight percent. I'm the second most profitable handicapper wage
- 4:32Speaker 1: you talk, and I'm kicking the crap out of Joe Rniari.
- 4:36Speaker 1: You can get thirty days all access to my NFL.
- 4:41Speaker 1: Use the promo code NFL thirty. That's at thirty. That's
- 4:45Speaker 1: thirty days to my NFL. Thank you for setting me
- 4:49Speaker 1: up so beautifully, Joe Rnari.
- 4:51Speaker 5: That was that was a problem. I'm glad you're brought
- 4:54Speaker 5: up college football too. If we can take a look
- 4:56Speaker 5: at the college football three team parlay from the S show,
- 5:00Speaker 5: Oh Ye're not President Houston laying thirteen and a half
- 5:03Speaker 5: and they barely what Washington unfortunately got their ass handed
- 5:08Speaker 5: to them by a hot Oh but look at Duke.
- 5:10Speaker 5: Duke did win outright, look at that press. So at
- 5:14Speaker 5: least one of us is holding up their end of
- 5:17Speaker 5: the bargain there on.
- 5:19Speaker 1: These three teams just gives me a perfect opportunity to
- 5:23Speaker 1: promote my five percent.
- 5:25Speaker 5: There we go, There we go this Saturday.
- 5:30Speaker 1: What kind of bends are you taking on the wild
- 5:32Speaker 1: card games today? Anything we need to know about?
- 5:37Speaker 5: Yeah?
- 5:37Speaker 3: Absolutely, I mean obviously, you know, if you love baseball,
- 5:39Speaker 3: this is an enormous day for baseball, and we love this.
- 5:42Speaker 3: Where we start with all the games, you know, basically today, tomorrow,
- 5:46Speaker 3: and Thursday. So early money for us came in on Cleveland.
- 5:51Speaker 3: We took sharp money at plus one fifty and not
- 5:54Speaker 3: Cleveland down a plus one forty. Cubs and Padres has
- 5:58Speaker 3: been pretty good two way accent. Basically we had to
- 6:00Speaker 3: pick them Cubs slight favorite minus one eight.
- 6:04Speaker 4: We're on the low end of the Yankees.
- 6:06Speaker 3: We were minus a dollar twenty five, where basically everyone
- 6:09Speaker 3: else in the market was a dollar thirty. Now we
- 6:12Speaker 3: deal the ten cent splits in baseball. We try to
- 6:15Speaker 3: be as fair as we can with our baseball split.
- 6:18Speaker 3: So that's why we were just a little bit lower
- 6:20Speaker 3: on the Yankees because we're dealing minus one fifteen on
- 6:23Speaker 3: the Red Sox anyway, which most people are Dodgers, obviously
- 6:27Speaker 3: almost a two dollars favorite. They're very popular in parlays.
- 6:31Speaker 3: All the totals are low. You got three sevens and
- 6:34Speaker 3: a six, and I would say as far as series
- 6:36Speaker 3: prices go, the two we've seen the most money on
- 6:40Speaker 3: are the Padres, which we had as high as plus
- 6:43Speaker 3: one oh five now minus one oh five. And we
- 6:47Speaker 3: saw some money on the Indians at plus one fifteen
- 6:51Speaker 3: slash Guardians. I know it was called the Indians, but
- 6:54Speaker 3: we didn't really move off the Indian number. It was
- 6:58Speaker 3: still plus one fifteen when I left work last night,
- 7:01Speaker 3: it's still plus one fifteen. It wasn't necessarily sharp money.
- 7:04Speaker 3: It was just people looking to fade the Tigers. I
- 7:08Speaker 3: will say the Padre money at plus one oh five
- 7:11Speaker 3: for the series was sharp money.
- 7:13Speaker 5: Art I'm still saying the Brewers for when we look
- 7:17Speaker 5: at World series prices, you know, it feels like, all right,
- 7:20Speaker 5: there were Phillies and Dodgers. Yeah, we get it does
- 7:23Speaker 5: make a difference who makes it from the American League,
- 7:25Speaker 5: because apparently National League's gonna win everything. But I'm still
- 7:28Speaker 5: seeing the Brewers that what seven to one would It
- 7:32Speaker 5: feels like there's still some value here in the World
- 7:35Speaker 5: Series future markets, as long as you don't think the
- 7:38Speaker 5: chalk is gonna rain here.
- 7:40Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, we're a little bit larger over six
- 7:42Speaker 3: to one. And it's interesting that you bring up the
- 7:44Speaker 3: World Series. We win on everybody who's not named the
- 7:49Speaker 3: Padres and the Reds.
- 7:51Speaker 4: The Dodgers for us is a tiny loser.
- 7:55Speaker 3: And I don't even like for us if we lose
- 7:58Speaker 3: a little bit on the Dodgers, that's a win because
- 8:01Speaker 3: of the way they've basically bet the Dodgers here over
- 8:04Speaker 3: the last three or four years. I mean to see
- 8:07Speaker 3: the Dodgers coming to this and I know they haven't
- 8:09Speaker 3: been good, but the Dodgers to be as high as
- 8:11Speaker 3: five to one for us basically all season, you know,
- 8:15Speaker 3: opening they were two to one, and you know, five
- 8:18Speaker 3: to two, and you started seeing that and for them
- 8:21Speaker 3: to creep up that way and the Dodgers you got
- 8:22Speaker 3: to remember too, with the popularity now of future parlays,
- 8:27Speaker 3: Dodgers are in a lot of future parlays, you know,
- 8:30Speaker 3: Dodgers to Bills. You know, you see a lot of
- 8:33Speaker 3: that type of stuff too. So we don't mind being
- 8:35Speaker 3: a small loser on the Dodgers. We don't think the
- 8:39Speaker 3: Reds are gonna win. The Padres is the team we
- 8:42Speaker 3: really want to avoid.
- 8:44Speaker 2: Go Blue Jays, Go Art.
- 8:46Speaker 1: The Caes are joining us like always Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday,
- 8:49Speaker 1: Risk Manager over at the Westgate super Book.
- 8:53Speaker 2: Jor Niari, slave to Sports Grid.
- 8:57Speaker 1: Guys hit that like button. Well, dude, you work at
- 9:01Speaker 1: Sports Squid more than any human being on the planet.
- 9:03Speaker 1: I mean you literally are on that show twenty four
- 9:06Speaker 1: to seven.
- 9:07Speaker 2: Am I wrong?
- 9:08Speaker 5: I'm also on this show every goddamn day of the
- 9:11Speaker 5: week two as well. There, Braan, So yeah, talk about him? Yes,
- 9:17Speaker 5: thanks very much.
- 9:18Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, you might need a new dating profile.
- 9:21Speaker 5: Oh god for.
- 9:23Speaker 1: This coming week, arn't the Caesar? Before we get into
- 9:26Speaker 1: our parlay of the day and are fate are not made?
- 9:29Speaker 1: You want to talk Bucks, Seahawks, Giants, Saints, Pats and Bills.
- 9:34Speaker 1: Where's the money going in these three games?
- 9:36Speaker 3: Yeah, let's just start with the three games, you know,
- 9:38Speaker 3: our weekly rundown and we start just hammering some of
- 9:40Speaker 3: these games. Look Ahead lye on this game was Tampa
- 9:44Speaker 3: Bay minus one. We're now Seattle minus three, minus one eighteen.
- 9:49Speaker 3: I think eventually we will hit three and a half.
- 9:51Speaker 3: There are plenty of three and a half's out there.
- 9:53Speaker 3: Bucks are still dealing with some offensive line issues. Seattle's
- 9:56Speaker 3: been good Seattle on a short week, so as of
- 9:59Speaker 3: right now, we will need Tampa in the game. This
- 10:02Speaker 3: Giant Saint game is very fascinating. Look aheadline on this
- 10:05Speaker 3: was Giants minus three. Now they go to the rookie quarterback,
- 10:09Speaker 3: they win a game, but still the game reopened as
- 10:12Speaker 3: a pick them. We've seen a little bit of Saint
- 10:14Speaker 3: money which has moved us to Saints as a slight
- 10:17Speaker 3: home favorite now minus one. I think that's fascinating. It
- 10:21Speaker 3: does seem though, and they did it last week. They
- 10:23Speaker 3: drove that Saint number all the way down to fourteen
- 10:26Speaker 3: at kickoff against the Bills. I mean, it feels like
- 10:29Speaker 3: they've got the Saints every week that is not stopping
- 10:32Speaker 3: this week and then Patriots Bills believe that's the Sunday
- 10:36Speaker 3: night game. Look aheadline on that was Buffalo minus eight
- 10:39Speaker 3: and a half got all the way up to nine
- 10:41Speaker 3: and a half when we reopened the game, and then
- 10:44Speaker 3: we've seen some Patriot money which has taken us down
- 10:47Speaker 3: to seven and a half.
- 10:47Speaker 1: People.
- 10:49Speaker 3: You know, bills have been good, but they haven't been
- 10:51Speaker 3: that sharp. Divisional game people are happy to take over
- 10:54Speaker 3: a touchdown. But you know, Buffalo being a Sunday night
- 10:57Speaker 3: game with the seven seven and a half eight out there,
- 11:01Speaker 3: they're going to be very popular for moneyline parlays and
- 11:04Speaker 3: teasers will need New England in the game, regardless of
- 11:07Speaker 3: the early money that's come in on them.
- 11:09Speaker 5: On the side art, we got a right one month
- 11:12Speaker 5: in the book, September is done in the NFL. Now,
- 11:16Speaker 5: a year ago we saw the well the shops, A
- 11:20Speaker 5: lot of contrarian betters made out in September, and then
- 11:23Speaker 5: once we got to October, November, December, it was chalk
- 11:27Speaker 5: in public USA here. How are we trending so far
- 11:31Speaker 5: through a month?
- 11:33Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean last year was incredible with the Trump
- 11:35Speaker 3: and you know we have been fighting it early in
- 11:37Speaker 3: the season too. I mean you see every Sunday when
- 11:40Speaker 3: I'm sitting in that risk room, I see so many three, four, five,
- 11:44Speaker 3: sixteen parlays, all moneyline favorites, all teasing the favorites. I mean,
- 11:50Speaker 3: it just feels like the people who were probably very
- 11:53Speaker 3: successful last year are just rolling that concept into this year.
- 11:57Speaker 3: I mean, Sundays haven't been I think out of you know,
- 12:00Speaker 3: the four Sundays, we've had really one dynamite Sunday and
- 12:03Speaker 3: then the rest of them either like a small winner
- 12:05Speaker 3: or a small loser. You know, Like I said last week,
- 12:08Speaker 3: it was not a profitable NFL week for us, So
- 12:12Speaker 3: you know, we're we're kind of fighting against the tide
- 12:13Speaker 3: a little bit right now.
- 12:15Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's a perfect lead in for me to
- 12:17Speaker 1: promote my parlay record. I have had five money line
- 12:23Speaker 1: parlays and I have won all of them, five and
- 12:27Speaker 1: zero used the promo code.
- 12:29Speaker 2: Okay, fine, aren't.
- 12:32Speaker 5: But Art, let me ask you a question though, because
- 12:34Speaker 5: we had a lot of outright dog winners this past week,
- 12:37Speaker 5: right Jacksonville, you had Pittsburgh, you had the Giants, and
- 12:42Speaker 5: we had a lot of outright winners here from a
- 12:45Speaker 5: goals yeah, I mean so almost Dallas there, so really
- 12:49Speaker 5: even still, it wasn't it was just blaff of the books.
- 12:52Speaker 4: Huh.
- 12:53Speaker 3: You know it's funny when you talk about Pittsburgh. You
- 12:56Speaker 3: talk about Jacksonville. Those are games two and a half, three,
- 12:59Speaker 3: three and a half in the ring, right, The ones
- 13:01Speaker 3: we really need to happen are like the Giants and
- 13:04Speaker 3: Dallas Howard. Like I said that game ending of the tie,
- 13:07Speaker 3: no joke was a six figure swing for US. Dallas
- 13:10Speaker 3: swinging outright would have been enormous for US. Yeah, Pittsburgh
- 13:15Speaker 3: was good as far as the side goes, because it
- 13:18Speaker 3: felt like every bet we took was on Minnesota. So
- 13:21Speaker 3: that was good just from like, hey, this was a
- 13:23Speaker 3: good single game win. But outside of like the big
- 13:29Speaker 3: seven point favorites in parlays, those are the ones we
- 13:32Speaker 3: need to lose. We need those teams to go down.
- 13:34Speaker 3: We need, you know, we need Detroit to go down
- 13:37Speaker 3: the Cleveland. We need those, you know, the Bills to lose.
- 13:40Speaker 3: We need those type of things. That's why the Giants
- 13:42Speaker 3: early was good, but it didn't salvage today. Denver losing
- 13:46Speaker 3: Monday night would have been missed for US.
- 13:50Speaker 2: I'm sure you.
- 13:50Speaker 1: I'm sure you had a lot of teasers and part
- 13:53Speaker 1: money line parlays going into that. All right, let's turn
- 13:56Speaker 1: our attention to college football real quick, guys, hit that
- 13:59Speaker 1: like button and make sure to comment. I forgot to
- 14:03Speaker 1: give out a word of the day yesterday. The word
- 14:05Speaker 1: of the day today is schmock. Schmock.
- 14:10Speaker 5: Yes, yes, the first word that popped into my head. Shock.
- 14:14Speaker 1: You were you were in the middle of writing your
- 14:16Speaker 1: dating profile. So I understand that, Ohio, ball State, Duke,
- 14:22Speaker 1: cal Vandy, and Bama.
- 14:25Speaker 2: Where's the money going to these three games?
- 14:28Speaker 4: Yeah?
- 14:28Speaker 3: This Mac game has seen some pretty good action. Ball
- 14:30Speaker 3: State's taking a lot of money at sixteen and a half.
- 14:33Speaker 3: We're all the way down to fourteen and a half
- 14:35Speaker 3: now on that game. Seen some under money as well,
- 14:37Speaker 3: fifty one and a half down to fifty. This Duke
- 14:40Speaker 3: colgame is fascinating. All these three games in college seem
- 14:45Speaker 3: to just get back and forth all week two and
- 14:47Speaker 3: a half, three, two and a half three. We saw
- 14:49Speaker 3: initial Cal money at three. Now we've seen Duke money
- 14:51Speaker 3: at two and a half. Weird spot for Duke. They
- 14:53Speaker 3: have to go and play a super late game on
- 14:56Speaker 3: the West coast seven thirty kick and that's ten thirty
- 14:59Speaker 3: East co It's gonna be a tough game, but that's
- 15:01Speaker 3: seen really good split action. I'd be shocked though, if
- 15:05Speaker 3: we don't need Cal in the game because it feels
- 15:08Speaker 3: like Duke is a little bit more popular, especially with
- 15:10Speaker 3: the public and the sharps. And the Vandy Alabama game
- 15:14Speaker 3: is also fascinating. Vandy took money a plus ten and
- 15:17Speaker 3: a half, but we didn't budge.
- 15:19Speaker 4: Off that number.
- 15:20Speaker 3: The total went from fifty seven to fifty five and
- 15:23Speaker 3: a half. Bama obviously comes off the really big win,
- 15:27Speaker 3: and Vandy has been very under the raidar and they
- 15:30Speaker 3: beat Alabama last year. I know we're gonna see Alabama
- 15:34Speaker 3: money yet we just have not seen it yet. And
- 15:37Speaker 3: I think it's you know, like I said, it's to know.
- 15:39Speaker 3: You have to note when even we took that sharp
- 15:42Speaker 3: not sharp, but we took that initial flood of Vanderbilt money.
- 15:45Speaker 3: We did not move off our original number. We're not
- 15:48Speaker 3: worried about taking more Vanderbilt money. If we need Alabama
- 15:52Speaker 3: in the game, we'll feel good about that.
- 15:54Speaker 5: Interesting couple of really big games coming up this week here,
- 16:00Speaker 5: maybe none bigger than the Florida State and Miami game.
- 16:03Speaker 5: And all I'm seeing is Florida State money. I mean,
- 16:06Speaker 5: what do we have in a look ahead here? Spot?
- 16:08Speaker 5: What was it seven to seven and a half and
- 16:11Speaker 5: I'm seeing four and a half now in the spot,
- 16:14Speaker 5: which is crazy to me.
- 16:16Speaker 3: Yeah, we had six and a half on a look ahead.
- 16:18Speaker 3: You know, I saw some places open that game four
- 16:21Speaker 3: and a half five, We were four on our opener.
- 16:26Speaker 3: You know it's early and I haven't really I think
- 16:28Speaker 3: Florida State's the right side in the game. I think
- 16:30Speaker 3: getting over a field goal in the game at home
- 16:32Speaker 3: is the right move. Florida State was in a weird
- 16:35Speaker 3: position last Friday playing that game in Virginia. Game they
- 16:38Speaker 3: could have won anyway. But yeah, that game's gonna see
- 16:42Speaker 3: really good.
- 16:42Speaker 4: Two way handle.
- 16:43Speaker 3: It's old school Miami Florida State game that actually means something.
- 16:47Speaker 1: Art the Caesar, let's get into our par lay of
- 16:52Speaker 1: the day.
- 16:53Speaker 2: Am I the one that's gonna mock this up?
- 16:55Speaker 5: Are we taking bets on that? What's the line on
- 16:57Speaker 5: the press? Screwing this up here?
- 17:00Speaker 2: Art?
- 17:00Speaker 5: What do we got currently?
- 17:01Speaker 3: Well, it's baseball and he can't at the blue ja. Yeah,
- 17:08Speaker 3: I'm gonna say, I'm gonna open my line, and I
- 17:10Speaker 3: know I'm gonna get pounded on my opening number.
- 17:12Speaker 4: I'm gonna lay.
- 17:13Speaker 3: I'm gonna say opening yes minus a dollar fifty when
- 17:16Speaker 3: I take a max when I take a max bet.
- 17:18Speaker 4: I'm instantly gonna go over two.
- 17:20Speaker 5: Dollars, absolutely one bet. Yeah, consider it over two dollars
- 17:24Speaker 5: because the money is rolling in hard here. Yeah, you guys,
- 17:34Speaker 5: what's leg number one?
- 17:37Speaker 4: All right, I'll do Leg one Leg one? And you
- 17:40Speaker 4: know it could be that.
- 17:41Speaker 3: I'm a Yankee fan and I'm super nervous, but I
- 17:44Speaker 3: think Crotcha is the best pitcher in baseball, I really do.
- 17:48Speaker 3: I know Schoopl's phenomenal. I know Scheins is phenomenal. All
- 17:51Speaker 3: the pressure is gonna be on the Yankees here at home.
- 17:53Speaker 3: You're giving me him at plus one fifteen, give me
- 17:56Speaker 3: the red sox mm praz Joe?
- 17:59Speaker 5: Do you want me to go? Okay, press now I'll
- 18:01Speaker 5: go because somebody's got to come up with a winner here.
- 18:04Speaker 5: Very simple. I'm gonna go to a late game with
- 18:06Speaker 5: the Dodgers and the Reds. Depending on which Hunter Green
- 18:10Speaker 5: shows up will depend on which way this game goes.
- 18:13Speaker 5: But since he's horrible on the road and much better
- 18:16Speaker 5: in Cincinnati, and this game being a Chez ravine, I
- 18:20Speaker 5: am going to lay the one in this game here,
- 18:24Speaker 5: I'll go Dodgers minus one. I think this has got
- 18:28Speaker 5: a six to two Dodgers win written all over it.
- 18:31Speaker 5: How about you, Prez Well.
- 18:34Speaker 1: I will go with scooball Detroit first five.
- 18:39Speaker 2: So Detroit first five. There we go.
- 18:42Speaker 1: That is our parlay of the day.
- 18:45Speaker 2: Hit that like button.
- 18:46Speaker 1: Subscribe to channel, make sure to comment. Guys, let's get
- 18:49Speaker 1: into fade or not. We're talking about one and three
- 18:54Speaker 1: NFL teams. And the reason I want to discuss the
- 18:56Speaker 1: one in three NFL teams is this is basically their season.
- 19:01Speaker 1: You win your two and three, you're in it, you're
- 19:04Speaker 1: feeling better. You lose your one and four, you're basically done.
- 19:09Speaker 1: Let's start with the Miami Dolphins, and this is a
- 19:12Speaker 1: team that has a pathway to a few wins in
- 19:16Speaker 1: the next couple of weeks. Joe, I'll start with you.
- 19:20Speaker 1: I'm looking to bet on Miami moving forward. I took
- 19:25Speaker 1: them as a circa bet against whoever the hell the Jets,
- 19:30Speaker 1: So I've already started to look towards betting Miami, Tyrek
- 19:37Speaker 1: Hill or not. That's I say they're a bet on team. No,
- 19:42Speaker 1: they're hot trash on so many levels here. No, they
- 19:45Speaker 1: are not a bet on team.
- 19:46Speaker 5: They are a faith They're going to be one in
- 19:49Speaker 5: six coach is going to be fired. Front office is
- 19:52Speaker 5: going to be changing. It is down. That is not
- 19:55Speaker 5: a good football team, president, any which way, shape or form.
- 19:59Speaker 5: The defense is atrocious. Anybody with half a pulse should
- 20:04Speaker 5: be able to beat this Miami team. Not buying it.
- 20:06Speaker 5: They're a fade for me. I beout you aret.
- 20:08Speaker 3: Despite their win last night, They've been a fade for
- 20:10Speaker 3: me ever since their Week one debacle, and I just
- 20:14Speaker 3: think that's who they are. They're not the team that
- 20:16Speaker 3: basically snuck out with a win last night against the
- 20:19Speaker 3: bad Jets.
- 20:20Speaker 4: I do not like anything I see out of the Dolphins.
- 20:22Speaker 1: They're minus one and a half against Carolina on the
- 20:25Speaker 1: road this week. Let's turn our attention to the next team,
- 20:31Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Raiders. And this is a I don't
- 20:36Speaker 1: know what to do team well coached, maybe I.
- 20:42Speaker 2: Don't know what to do with the Raiders. You guys go.
- 20:45Speaker 3: Art well, they look it looks like they're gonna lose
- 20:48Speaker 3: their tackle. Who's their best offensive lineman? Jenty obviously had
- 20:52Speaker 3: a breakout game, but Gino Smith is still the quarterback
- 20:55Speaker 3: if he's gonna still be the quarterback, and I know
- 20:57Speaker 3: their backups aren't any good. I gotta fade them. It's
- 21:00Speaker 3: though this week you saw plus you saw money on
- 21:03Speaker 3: them at plus seven against the Colts, it's now six
- 21:06Speaker 3: and a half. I just don't like Gino Smith, so
- 21:08Speaker 3: I'm fading the Raiders.
- 21:10Speaker 5: Joe I could not be in more agreement here within
- 21:14Speaker 5: art is Gino Smith leads the league in interceptions. He
- 21:18Speaker 5: can't figure out which team to throw it to. Uh,
- 21:21Speaker 5: don't trust him. Great final, you know, you know, welcome
- 21:24Speaker 5: to the NFL Ashton genty, But very hard to trust
- 21:28Speaker 5: this team when the back is against the wall on
- 21:31Speaker 5: any competitive teams over five hundred, for Gino you're in trouble.
- 21:35Speaker 5: He's done a great job of beating all of the
- 21:38Speaker 5: crap teams under five hundred teams. He looks like a
- 21:40Speaker 5: world beater. Yeah, but anytime he steps up the competition
- 21:44Speaker 5: levels up, he's a turnover machine. You can't trust him.
- 21:47Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't understand what people's infatuation with him is. Guys,
- 21:52Speaker 1: Let's turn our attention to the Baltimore Ravens. We did
- 21:56Speaker 1: not expect them to be one in three. The line
- 21:58Speaker 1: was minus nine and a half. This week against Houston,
- 22:01Speaker 1: Lamar is out. It's minus three and a half. There's
- 22:04Speaker 1: a three on board already, Cooper Rush. I mean, could
- 22:09Speaker 1: you This sounds like they have to change the entire
- 22:12Speaker 1: offense to me, I can't make heads or tails on
- 22:15Speaker 1: how Cooper Rush is a backup to a running quarterback.
- 22:18Speaker 1: But Harborn knows better than me. I don't know what
- 22:22Speaker 1: to do with this team either. Their defense looks horrid.
- 22:25Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna look to fade them.
- 22:27Speaker 5: Joe, it's not Lamar Jackson that worries me with the Ravens.
- 22:33Speaker 5: It's every other injury on the defensive side of the
- 22:37Speaker 5: ball that worries me. There with Rokwan Smith, their best
- 22:41Speaker 5: linebacker questionable, Marlon Humphrey and the secondary question they have injuries,
- 22:47Speaker 5: cluster injuries on a defensive side of the ball that's
- 22:50Speaker 5: extremely worrisome. I think offensively they'll be fine. If Lamar
- 22:55Speaker 5: needs a couple of weeks, I think they'll be good
- 22:57Speaker 5: to go. But I am waiting see until we get
- 23:01Speaker 5: how many of these defensive guys are actually going to
- 23:04Speaker 5: be available to them hard Otherwise it's very hard to
- 23:07Speaker 5: trust them here.
- 23:08Speaker 4: Oh it's got to be a wait and see it. Pros.
- 23:10Speaker 3: First of all, obviously the quarterback, but you hit it, Joe.
- 23:12Speaker 3: It's the defense that's been awful. They got a million
- 23:14Speaker 3: injuries there. There's no way with all the other games
- 23:17Speaker 3: you can bet this week and go run of the
- 23:19Speaker 3: counter and bet this Raven game. And you mentioned present.
- 23:22Speaker 3: We're three on the game. You know, I know there's
- 23:24Speaker 3: a lot of three and a half. We also, this
- 23:26Speaker 3: is a game. We don't do this a lot. This
- 23:29Speaker 3: is a game that we're kind of smaller limits right
- 23:31Speaker 3: now on the game because you know, it's just and
- 23:35Speaker 3: it's we rarely do that. Maybe once a year twice
- 23:38Speaker 3: a year you put a game out like that where
- 23:41Speaker 3: we open it with smaller limits, and we had to
- 23:44Speaker 3: do that with this game.
- 23:45Speaker 1: A Art this seson joining us Art, let's go to
- 23:47Speaker 1: uh well just really quick, Art. Ravens are minus one
- 23:52Speaker 1: eighty to win the division. They were minus two hundred yesterday.
- 23:57Speaker 1: Are you are you taking any pet on that? I
- 24:01Speaker 1: the value, the money value is a little whack. But
- 24:05Speaker 1: there is a pathway.
- 24:07Speaker 3: Well, of course there's a path especially two because two
- 24:09Speaker 3: of the teams can't win. You know, the Bengals can't
- 24:12Speaker 3: win and obviously Cleveland can't win. Now it's just do
- 24:15Speaker 3: you trust in Pittsburgh You're right, I mean we That
- 24:18Speaker 3: just goes to show you how good we still and
- 24:20Speaker 3: how much we still believe in Baltimore and you know,
- 24:23Speaker 3: all their infrastructure and their coaching and if Lamar comes
- 24:25Speaker 3: back and all the pieces they have that them to
- 24:28Speaker 3: almost still be a two dollars favorite in that division
- 24:31Speaker 3: at one in three is remarkable.
- 24:34Speaker 1: Yeah, Browns one in three, horrible spot for this for
- 24:37Speaker 1: them this week. I'm looking to fade them this week
- 24:40Speaker 1: and to basically fade them moving forward. I understand they
- 24:44Speaker 1: have a good defense, but even that is going to
- 24:46Speaker 1: quit at some point. I'm a fade on the Browns.
- 24:50Speaker 2: Joe.
- 24:50Speaker 5: The total is thirty six and a half, Like, you
- 24:54Speaker 5: gotta be kidding me in this game here, and why
- 24:57Speaker 5: are we continuing to wheel out week and at Ernie's
- 25:00Speaker 5: and Joe Flacco Browns? Like, what are you waiting for here?
- 25:04Speaker 5: You got two young quarterbacks. You got to figure out
- 25:07Speaker 5: what the future looks like. The future ain with weekend
- 25:10Speaker 5: at Bernie's, Like, you like, get them off the field
- 25:13Speaker 5: and see what these young guys have. But to me, offensively, Prez,
- 25:18Speaker 5: There'll be no overteaen totals with Joe Flacco in your
- 25:22Speaker 5: future under center are call me crazy.
- 25:25Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, Prez you said it. Their defense is
- 25:27Speaker 3: really good and keep them in some games. Eventually that
- 25:30Speaker 3: will quit. The big thing is when do they try
- 25:33Speaker 3: one of these guys? When do they try Gabriel? When
- 25:35Speaker 3: do they try Shador? At what point do we get six? Yeah,
- 25:40Speaker 3: I just can't put my money on the Browns. It's
- 25:42Speaker 3: impossible for me to do. Maybe you could look at,
- 25:45Speaker 3: you know, totals. I mean, I know these totals are low,
- 25:48Speaker 3: but you know the Browns can't score and they can
- 25:50Speaker 3: hold some people.
- 25:50Speaker 4: Maybe you got to look that way.
- 25:52Speaker 5: They haven't scored twenty points yet this year, I don't think,
- 25:55Speaker 5: gord I don't think they've hit the twenty point mark yet.
- 25:57Speaker 5: So their total is fifteen and a half week.
- 26:00Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the under.
- 26:04Speaker 1: That's a lot of points for that team. The Houston Texans,
- 26:07Speaker 1: they got off the stide look decent win. They didn't
- 26:12Speaker 1: look that great. But this is a team that is
- 26:15Speaker 1: well coached. They made the playoffs the last two years.
- 26:18Speaker 1: That division is not yet run away from them. With
- 26:24Speaker 1: all that said, I think this is a fade team
- 26:27Speaker 1: moving forward.
- 26:27Speaker 3: Art Yeah, I mean, if they get to play the
- 26:29Speaker 3: Titans every week it will look that good exactly like
- 26:32Speaker 3: you said, even at twenty six nothing, what was it
- 26:35Speaker 3: six nothing at the half?
- 26:36Speaker 4: I mean it wasn't like they were great in that
- 26:39Speaker 4: first half.
- 26:40Speaker 3: Tennessee was still kind of creeping around, you know, trying
- 26:43Speaker 3: to steal that game. But they're a net. I'm with you, Prez.
- 26:46Speaker 3: I have to fade the team. Their offensive line is
- 26:48Speaker 3: still not great. And listen the book. I don't think CJ.
- 26:51Speaker 3: Shroud is that good. I know he runs for his
- 26:53Speaker 3: life every week, but I don't know he has regressed
- 26:56Speaker 3: big time.
- 26:57Speaker 5: I love shout out to cam Ward had to comment
- 27:00Speaker 5: of the weekend. When asked to describe it, He's like,
- 27:03Speaker 5: we as right now, like we can't win a game.
- 27:06Speaker 5: We talked this and yes and they are. But you
- 27:09Speaker 5: know what, so is Houston. And I'm with you, Prez
- 27:13Speaker 5: here that game was six nothing going into the fourth quarter, Like,
- 27:16Speaker 5: are you kidding me? They still can't run the ball.
- 27:18Speaker 5: They just traded Cam Robinson their offensive tackle for some
- 27:22Speaker 5: reason because like what, the backup was so much better
- 27:25Speaker 5: to the Browns. So I don't get it to me.
- 27:28Speaker 5: There's no way you can trust them to score enough
- 27:31Speaker 5: points to beat anybody in the NFL much less this week.
- 27:36Speaker 1: So before we get into the Giants, and we've got
- 27:38Speaker 1: the Giants and the Panthers left, what do you do
- 27:42Speaker 1: with this Baltimore Houston game? I mean, you got a
- 27:45Speaker 1: backup quarterback, but they still have a power running game
- 27:49Speaker 1: in Baltimore against a team that really is struggling to
- 27:53Speaker 1: score but playing a horrible defense.
- 27:56Speaker 2: How do you attack this game?
- 27:58Speaker 4: Art?
- 27:59Speaker 3: I think I think for me, the only way I
- 28:02Speaker 3: can look is Baltimore, but I wouldn't love it. I
- 28:05Speaker 3: think at three even on a money line, at minus
- 28:08Speaker 3: one fifty minus one sixty, I think Baltimore is still
- 28:11Speaker 3: better than Houston despite them not playing Lamar and I
- 28:15Speaker 3: understand all the injuries, but Baltimore, especially at home too,
- 28:19Speaker 3: I think that's the only way to look.
- 28:21Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that, Joe, New York Giants and Panthers,
- 28:26Speaker 1: I'll combine them together. I'm looking to bet on the Giants,
- 28:32Speaker 1: likely not this week, and as far as the Panthers go,
- 28:36Speaker 1: I'm staying away from this team and I have a
- 28:39Speaker 1: couple of years.
- 28:39Speaker 2: What are you doing well?
- 28:41Speaker 5: The Giants are going to be This is an interesting
- 28:45Speaker 5: game this week to see what happens here, is the
- 28:47Speaker 5: public going to run to the window to back you know,
- 28:50Speaker 5: Dart here? Do we think they finally figured something out?
- 28:53Speaker 5: Or did New Orleans show you enough competitive wise against
- 28:57Speaker 5: Buffalo that you know, maybe more money will come towards them.
- 29:01Speaker 5: It's kind of a wait and see. I think with
- 29:04Speaker 5: the Giants. I think there's gonna be some value opportunities
- 29:07Speaker 5: with them, but maybe not right now and until. Listen,
- 29:11Speaker 5: Bryce Young's doing a great job of great game, you suck,
- 29:14Speaker 5: Good game, you suck. He sucked last week, so maybe
- 29:18Speaker 5: he'll be good this week.
- 29:20Speaker 1: It's more like great game, you suck, you suck, you suck,
- 29:23Speaker 1: you suck.
- 29:24Speaker 2: Great game ten you sucks.
- 29:26Speaker 5: Sounds like your day, That's what it sounds like.
- 29:30Speaker 2: Yeah, my day, Yeah, profile.
- 29:33Speaker 3: I think the Panthers are a wait and see approach.
- 29:35Speaker 3: I think maybe you could find some spots with them. Listen,
- 29:38Speaker 3: they had a moment against the Cargos with their back
- 29:40Speaker 3: door cover.
- 29:41Speaker 4: Obviously they blew at lant Out. They're just really hard
- 29:44Speaker 4: to figure.
- 29:44Speaker 3: I think the Giants are real interesting because obviously they
- 29:47Speaker 3: get you know, we all said it was a bad
- 29:49Speaker 3: spot for the Chargers last week, and it was, and
- 29:52Speaker 3: now the rookie's got to go on the road. I
- 29:54Speaker 3: know it's against the worst team in the league, but
- 29:56Speaker 3: he still has to go on the road. I feel
- 29:58Speaker 3: like the public will be on the Giants. I've already
- 30:00Speaker 3: told you early money from you know. The indicators that
- 30:03Speaker 3: we like with groups are on the Saints Day, but
- 30:05Speaker 3: the Saints every week. I think there will be spots
- 30:08Speaker 3: with the Giants, especially at home. The art will be
- 30:10Speaker 3: better at home, and their defense is fine. You got
- 30:12Speaker 3: to pick and choose with the Giants.
- 30:15Speaker 5: Man Art.
- 30:16Speaker 1: That was our longest segment with you ever. Wow, it
- 30:19Speaker 1: was amazing, great work. Thank you for doing this, and
- 30:22Speaker 1: you guys can see art on these long versions on
- 30:26Speaker 1: Tuesday and Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. We only get them
- 30:29Speaker 1: for about twelve minutes.
- 30:31Speaker 2: Art.
- 30:31Speaker 1: Thanks for doing this, brother, kick ass, and I hope
- 30:36Speaker 1: we win our parlay.
- 30:37Speaker 5: Of the day.
- 30:38Speaker 1: Damn it, ladies and gentlemen, standing ovation for art to
- 30:42Speaker 1: Caesar guys, before we get into the rest of the show.
- 30:46Speaker 1: In the comment section right a dating profile for Joe Nire.
- 30:49Speaker 2: I'm curious how.
- 30:50Speaker 5: It would help you know this is never going to
- 30:52Speaker 5: see the light of day, right. You just need to
- 30:54Speaker 5: know this, right, because I'm.
- 30:56Speaker 1: Gonna light it in around the whole show, all right,
- 30:59Speaker 1: why right, so that you can't edit it out? Come on, man,
- 31:03Speaker 1: keep this thin. I challenge you to keep this in.
- 31:09Speaker 1: Guys are about to go on the clock. We got
- 31:12Speaker 1: our NFL best bets, our college football best bets. Joe's
- 31:15Speaker 1: going to take apart every wild card game, and we
- 31:17Speaker 1: got some incredible questions in the mail bag section Joe
- 31:22Speaker 1: from Solutions to world problems. He wants to know when
- 31:26Speaker 1: do we bet money line verse spread? When do we
- 31:29Speaker 1: buy a half point versus a point? Teasers? Good ones
- 31:34Speaker 1: verse bad? Joe and I are going to take all
- 31:36Speaker 1: three of those questions apart. Hit that like button. Subscribe
- 31:40Speaker 1: to our channel, and guys, please, I do have a
- 31:44Speaker 1: promo code up for you, guys for my NFL it
- 31:48Speaker 1: has been absolutely incredible. I'm nineteen to nine on the season.
- 31:52Speaker 1: You guys can get thirty days all access for only
- 31:55Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty nine dollars. Use the promo code
- 31:58Speaker 1: NFL thirty. That's NFL thirty as well. It is five dollars. Tuesday,
- 32:06Speaker 1: I have a NFL total up, Joe. It's a four
- 32:10Speaker 1: percent play. What do you got going for the clients
- 32:12Speaker 1: over at wage you.
- 32:13Speaker 5: Talk, two five dollars bets, says, one in Major League
- 32:18Speaker 5: baseball and a wild card and one in college football.
- 32:23Speaker 5: I would hop on and grab both of those rather
- 32:25Speaker 5: quickly over at the page at wager Talk, as both
- 32:29Speaker 5: those lines likely moving quickly.
- 32:32Speaker 1: Here there we go, and guys, Joe's killer in baseball,
- 32:36Speaker 1: So yeah, five dollars for his baseball play. Okay, Joe.
- 32:41Speaker 1: Let's turn our attention to NFL best bets, and here
- 32:43Speaker 1: is one. I'm going with Denver and Philadelphia over the
- 32:48Speaker 1: total of forty three and a half forty four. And
- 32:51Speaker 1: I know it's counterintuitive in the sense that these are
- 32:54Speaker 1: running teams, but does it matter. Philadelphia just put up
- 32:58Speaker 1: thirty one against Tampa Bay, they put up thirty three
- 33:01Speaker 1: against LA they put up twenty against Kansas City on
- 33:05Speaker 1: the road, good defense, and they put up twenty four
- 33:09Speaker 1: against Dallas. This team will run, run, run, and they'll
- 33:12Speaker 1: have a play action pass fifty yards. This team can score,
- 33:17Speaker 1: and we know that they're struggling on defense. Twenty five
- 33:21Speaker 1: points they allowed to Tampa Bay, twenty six to the Rams,
- 33:24Speaker 1: and Denver is stretching the field. Guys, bo Nix is
- 33:27Speaker 1: throwing long bombs and connecting every now and again. They
- 33:30Speaker 1: put up twenty eight against Cincinnati, and frankly could have
- 33:33Speaker 1: put up more if they needed to. Twenty against the Chargers,
- 33:36Speaker 1: twenty eight against Indianapolis, twenty against Tennessee. Both of these
- 33:41Speaker 1: teams are regularly in the twenties, and both of these
- 33:44Speaker 1: teams can score. Take over the total of forty three
- 33:48Speaker 1: and a half.
- 33:49Speaker 5: Like it, Prez, all right, let's just keep it simple.
- 33:52Speaker 5: We talked about this earlier across the pond, Minnesota taking
- 33:56Speaker 5: on the Browns. This total is dropping now thirty six
- 34:00Speaker 5: and a half. I have no idea why Joe Flacco
- 34:03Speaker 5: is still under center, but as long as he is,
- 34:05Speaker 5: we might as well take advantage here. We have not
- 34:09Speaker 5: seen this Browns team score twenty points yet in the game.
- 34:12Speaker 5: They're going to need to if they're ever gonna beat Minnesota.
- 34:15Speaker 5: I don't think they will. Their team total is fifteen
- 34:18Speaker 5: and a half. It's three to three and a half
- 34:20Speaker 5: in the marketplace from Minnesota, who's been there now for
- 34:23Speaker 5: a last couple of weeks. I think they'll They've got
- 34:26Speaker 5: enough help now offensively back with Addison and company. I
- 34:31Speaker 5: expect Carson Wentz and this Minnesota team to kind of
- 34:35Speaker 5: pull away here from Flacco in this lack of an offense.
- 34:38Speaker 5: I will lay it here with Minnesota press.
- 34:41Speaker 1: Yeah, Joe, real quick, before we get into our college football.
- 34:44Speaker 1: We've just had DraftKings. Move that number to four and
- 34:48Speaker 1: a half.
- 34:49Speaker 5: There you go, thine and a half.
- 34:50Speaker 1: Most of the places don't let that phase you, guys.
- 34:53Speaker 1: They cover three and a half, they cover four and
- 34:55Speaker 1: a half. Two Joe and airy college football best. I'm
- 35:00Speaker 1: going to shock you with mine, dude. This is not
- 35:03Speaker 1: a typo, guys. Kent State is playing Oklahoma, and ken
- 35:09Speaker 1: State's team total is three and a half. Three and
- 35:12Speaker 1: a half, not thirteen and a half. Three and a half,
- 35:16Speaker 1: one touchdown, two field goals, three safeties, a field goal
- 35:20Speaker 1: and a safety. It all gets us there. Now, I
- 35:23Speaker 1: understand this Oklahoma team just shot a team out. They're
- 35:26Speaker 1: not going to shut two team out. Two teams out
- 35:28Speaker 1: in a row. And this Kent State team can score
- 35:31Speaker 1: well at least ten points. They put up ten points
- 35:35Speaker 1: in each of their last few games against ranked teams
- 35:38Speaker 1: Texas Tech and Florida State. Plus Oklahoma's QB is out.
- 35:43Speaker 1: Will that affect the blowout?
- 35:46Speaker 2: No?
- 35:47Speaker 1: But it will give Kent State maybe one extra possession.
- 35:50Speaker 1: I think this game is going to be a total blowout.
- 35:53Speaker 1: I think Oklahoma will have all their backups in in
- 35:55Speaker 1: the third quarter, and I think ken State will find
- 35:58Speaker 1: their way into the end zone. This is a hold
- 36:01Speaker 1: your nose wait till blowout time begins, and take ken
- 36:05Speaker 1: State over three and a half team total.
- 36:08Speaker 5: That's a unbelievable number, pres Stocking. Three and a half
- 36:12Speaker 5: is just absolutely crazy, all right. One of my best
- 36:15Speaker 5: bets last week for clients was Louisville to get it
- 36:19Speaker 5: done on the road, laying four and a half against Pittsburgh.
- 36:22Speaker 5: Now they come home. They got that outright win, and
- 36:25Speaker 5: now they're coming home, Pres, and they get to take
- 36:28Speaker 5: on a Virginia team that just pulled the upset of
- 36:31Speaker 5: all upsets here against Florida State, so much so that
- 36:34Speaker 5: their fans while they bum rushed the field and celebrated
- 36:38Speaker 5: like they actually won a national championship. Oops. Sorry, this
- 36:43Speaker 5: is the ultimate letdown spot here on the road. Now
- 36:46Speaker 5: for Virginia, I love Louisville to keep this rolling like
- 36:50Speaker 5: this team. I expect Miller Mosson Company to put up
- 36:55Speaker 5: some points in Louisville's defense to get enough stops to
- 36:58Speaker 5: cover this game seven and a half. I got no
- 37:01Speaker 5: problem backing Louisville Prez Chill.
- 37:04Speaker 2: Let's keep it.
- 37:05Speaker 1: Moving, brother, two minutes each segment. It's comet for an
- 37:08Speaker 1: MLB rundown full wildcard games. They're all today. How do
- 37:11Speaker 1: we bet each one of them? All?
- 37:13Speaker 5: Right? So, one thing they all have in common press
- 37:16Speaker 5: that we should all know is that look at the
- 37:17Speaker 5: totals in each of these games, seven six and a
- 37:20Speaker 5: half six seven. Are you starting to sense a theme here?
- 37:25Speaker 5: And it's going to start off early today with the
- 37:27Speaker 5: Guardians taking on Detroit Tier two teams that have been
- 37:32Speaker 5: absolutely horrific offensively, especially against right handed pitching here, which
- 37:37Speaker 5: is why the Guardians are going with Gavin Williams one
- 37:40Speaker 5: point eight eight ERA in four September starts. He is
- 37:44Speaker 5: two wins already in the last month against these Tigers.
- 37:47Speaker 5: School Goles pitch great, but Schools lost both games against
- 37:51Speaker 5: the Guardians. I don't see how we're getting a ton
- 37:54Speaker 5: of runs in here. I know it's low six six
- 37:56Speaker 5: and a half, but it's worth continuing to expect a
- 38:00Speaker 5: three to two, three to one game here. I am
- 38:02Speaker 5: on the under expecting unexpected with wriggly ten mile an
- 38:07Speaker 5: hour breeze is blowing in at Wrigley Boyd on the mound,
- 38:11Speaker 5: who is kind of running out of steam here? But
- 38:14Speaker 5: I always like a team that can hit the long
- 38:16Speaker 5: ball in the postseason versus a team that well doesn't.
- 38:20Speaker 5: And the Padres, well they don't. The Cubs are a
- 38:24Speaker 5: better home run hitting team. I think that's gonna matter
- 38:26Speaker 5: because Pavetta on the road has not been good. I
- 38:29Speaker 5: am gonna be backing the Cubs to get it done
- 38:32Speaker 5: in this spot. Game one. Don't forget about the Yankees,
- 38:35Speaker 5: of course, and Croche going for Boston. Listen, Freed has
- 38:40Speaker 5: been every bit is good for the Yankees. That total
- 38:44Speaker 5: three and a half in the first five, Prez, I
- 38:46Speaker 5: don't think either team is getting anywhere near the kind
- 38:50Speaker 5: of run support that you think they will. I think
- 38:53Speaker 5: the under three and a half in the first five
- 38:55Speaker 5: is the best look. And I had mentioned earlier part
- 38:57Speaker 5: of my half of the parlow here of the day,
- 39:02Speaker 5: the Dodgers laying one go to the alternate market. There
- 39:05Speaker 5: lay the one. I believe they got this game five
- 39:09Speaker 5: to two, six too. Somewhere in that ballpark. I believe
- 39:12Speaker 5: the Dodgers will cover it. And that is your Major
- 39:15Speaker 5: League Baseball wild Card rundown PRIs There we go, guys.
- 39:20Speaker 1: You can see me on wager Talk today. And also
- 39:22Speaker 1: I'm doing the NFL Presidential Address later. It'll be up
- 39:25Speaker 1: at a pm Eastern. It's five dollars Tuesday at wager Talk.
- 39:28Speaker 1: I've got an NFL total up for you guys, nineteen
- 39:31Speaker 1: to nine on the NFL season. Joe as a baseball
- 39:35Speaker 1: play and a college football play as well as five dollars.
- 39:39Speaker 2: Check that out.
- 39:40Speaker 1: Joe, let's go to our mail bag, and I want
- 39:42Speaker 1: to talk about solutions to world problems. He asked some
- 39:45Speaker 1: great questions. Guys, put questions up in our comments section.
- 39:51Speaker 1: We'll read them and answer them. If you have nothing
- 39:53Speaker 1: to say, just put the word schmuck up. That's the
- 39:56Speaker 1: word of the day. Joe, Earthly Solutions wants to compliment
- 40:00Speaker 1: you on your brilliant hurricane call last night in Miami.
- 40:03Speaker 2: Well done.
- 40:04Speaker 1: He also wants to compliment me on calling both Monday
- 40:07Speaker 1: night football games.
- 40:08Speaker 2: Correct, thank you for that.
- 40:10Speaker 1: Now, with that said, he asks the following questions, when
- 40:14Speaker 1: do you bet a money line versus spread?
- 40:17Speaker 2: We've done a very deep dive on.
- 40:18Speaker 1: This, and I'm going to speak specifically about football, both
- 40:22Speaker 1: college and NFL. Anytime you can get a money line
- 40:27Speaker 1: of minus one thirty five, which is associated with minus two,
- 40:33Speaker 1: you are better off on the money line. So if
- 40:36Speaker 1: it's minus two and a half minus three, you take
- 40:39Speaker 1: the point spread. If it's minus two or lower, you
- 40:43Speaker 1: take the money line. When do you buy a half
- 40:47Speaker 1: point in the NFL or college football? Joe, I'm going
- 40:50Speaker 1: to ask you this too, but my answer is never.
- 40:54Speaker 1: Never do you buy a half point or a single
- 40:58Speaker 1: point ever.
- 41:00Speaker 5: There, Joe, Not in college. I would never buy points
- 41:04Speaker 5: in college any way, shape or form. The variance is
- 41:07Speaker 5: just too great. It's a waste of money at that
- 41:10Speaker 5: particular point and press very rarely in the NFL, Am,
- 41:14Speaker 5: I going to be running to the window to take
- 41:17Speaker 5: a two and a half and buy half a point
- 41:19Speaker 5: to get it three. I'm not buying it. The books
- 41:23Speaker 5: and the lines in the NFL are the sharpest areas
- 41:26Speaker 5: in all of sports. Here are half a point here
- 41:29Speaker 5: or there. Just don't find many situations where I think
- 41:32Speaker 5: the value warrants spending the extra money.
- 41:35Speaker 1: Yeah, tomorrow we'll talk about teasers, which ones are good
- 41:38Speaker 1: or bad? But the half point one is a big,
- 41:41Speaker 1: big conversation and real quick. Guys, in an isolated incident,
- 41:47Speaker 1: you might regret not buying a half a point. I understand,
- 41:50Speaker 1: but over one hundred bets, it will not make you money.
- 41:53Speaker 1: You will lose money. When do you buy a warranty
- 41:57Speaker 1: at Best Buy? The answer is never exactly the same.
- 42:02Speaker 1: Do not buy half points Joe. What a fun show,
- 42:07Speaker 1: maybe our longest today thanks to Art to Caesar, thanks
- 42:10Speaker 1: to you guys. Put up a pro dating profilva Joe
- 42:14Speaker 1: ran are in the comments section. He does not want
- 42:17Speaker 1: to see it, so that makes put up two Joe
- 42:20Speaker 1: anything else exactly. Lots of love everyone, Let's all win together.