Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 264 - 4/24/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 264 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:26Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:29I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:37Happy Thirsty Thursday, but more importantly, the long wait is
- 0:42over today. Tonight is the NFL draft so get
- 0:46ready guys. I've added a few more NFL prop
- 0:49bets for you for the draft here tonight.
- 0:50I'm going to focus on the will they be a first round pick
- 0:54market cuz I've seen some a lot of movement here.
- 0:57We've had the final round of mock drafts released here by
- 1:00important people who are in the know.
- 1:01And I've also seen again, some opportunities to kind of cross
- 1:04reference specific books. Like for example, one player is
- 1:09-450 to be selected in this certain spot at one book,
- 1:13another book he's -1100. So we're going to try to play
- 1:17some, some some books off each other, see if we can make some
- 1:19money betting the NFL draft. So I actually have overall four
- 1:24NFL draft bets for you guys. I already had one from
- 1:27yesterday, which has moved. So if you guys got in on a Mecca
- 1:30IGBUCA at -300 because now he's like -650 to go in the first
- 1:35round. I also want to let you guys know
- 1:37that between now and the draft tonight before the markets
- 1:39close, I may be adding some more NFL draft prop bets, looking at
- 1:43some late movement and kind of looking at where these trend
- 1:47lines are moving especially as word leaks out.
- 1:49So if there any bets that come after the podcast between now
- 1:52and when the the 1st overall pick in the draft get started.
- 1:55You can find those best bets on the Juice Reel app which cost
- 1:59you $4.99 a week. Again I consider it a tip jar.
- 2:02If you enjoy the pod which is free, go sign up for those best
- 2:05bets which are located on the Juice Reel app.
- 2:08Now that being said, let's look toward toward today, guys, aside
- 2:11from the NFL draft, I do have a three pack of sweats for you,
- 2:14including two Major League Baseball bets, one favorite, one
- 2:18dog that's got a lot of sharp reverse line movement.
- 2:21And I do a play for you in the NBA playoffs as well.
- 2:24So the three pack of MLB and NBA plays for tonight and then a
- 2:27bunch of NFL draft prop bets. Hopefully we can get down on and
- 2:31make some money on as well. Now looking back to her last
- 2:34night, bit of a frustrating night. 1 and 2 -, 1.35 units.
- 2:38You didn't have a great hit in the NBA with the Houston Rockets
- 2:41that favored out off a loss system that bounced back line
- 2:44move again as low as -1 1/2 up to -4 remember at the time there
- 2:493 1/2 or 4. So beat the closing line on that
- 2:51one. Got a good winner there with the
- 2:53the Rockets getting it done for the team.
- 2:55But the frustrating losses were the Diamondbacks.
- 2:58Diamondbacks, you know, we got them like -145 they close as
- 3:02high as like -165 And then the Red Sox, Red Sox were around
- 3:06-138 or so they close like -145 Both of those teams let us down.
- 3:12The Arizona game was really frustrating because they had
- 3:14multiple leads. And then Tampa Bay would take
- 3:17the lead back, and then Arizona would take the lead back.
- 3:19And there was a chance there. Bottom of the 10th where all
- 3:22they had to do was cross one run across the plate and get a win
- 3:26for us. Couldn't do it.
- 3:27And then they were down to in the bottom of the 11th and I
- 3:29said, oh, we ain't getting this one.
- 3:31And then they get bases loaded one out guy.
- 3:33It's into a double play. So that Arizona one was a bit
- 3:36frustrating. But either way, guys, let's see
- 3:37if we can have a good night here on a Thirsty Thursday as we kick
- 3:41off the draft and get back to MLB and NBA playoff betting.
- 3:45So I'm going to leave the draft toward the back end.
- 3:47I do want to get to a Major League Baseball game quickly
- 3:50because this is a game that's coming up shortly.
- 3:51So hopefully the pod will be produced and uploaded so you can
- 3:54follow it. Let's get right into it.
- 3:56I'm going to look at a 3:45 PM Eastern Time first pitch between
- 3:59the Milwaukee Brew Crew and the San Francisco G Men.
- 4:03Now, let's set the stage. Talk line movement.
- 4:05I'll give you my play for this one.
- 4:07So Giants are 16 and 9 on the year.
- 4:09They've taken the 1st 2 of this first two of three in this
- 4:13four-game series. So the final game is here today.
- 4:15They had a big win last night, 4:00 to 2:00 as a -, 145 home
- 4:19favorite. So pitch a match up for this
- 4:21one. Brewers 13 and 12 on the year.
- 4:24They're going to go with Tobias Myers.
- 4:25He's making his season debut. He was nine and six with an ERA
- 4:29of three last year. But this is first start of the
- 4:31season here tonight. You know, the Giants are going
- 4:33to go with the righty Landon Roop.
- 4:35He's two and one with a 4.09 ERA.
- 4:37Now, what have we seen across the market?
- 4:40Well, nothing but steam on the G Men.
- 4:42Give me the Giants here, guys. They opened as low as a -, 130
- 4:45-, 135 home favorite. We've now seen the Giants get
- 4:48bet up to around -145 I'm looking at them now.
- 4:52They're -155 -, 160. So I put the Giants in the
- 4:56juicer lap earlier today at -142 I'm loving the fact that the
- 5:00sign continues to rise in favor of San Fran.
- 5:03So tells me that we have further smart money hitting the Giants
- 5:05even though the lines getting a little more expensive.
- 5:08So non-stop steam on the G men. Now that's what's here.
- 5:11Giants look pretty good, 72% of money line bets, 74% of money
- 5:15line dollars at DraftKings and at Circa in particular, 63% of
- 5:20money line bets, 94% of money line dollars.
- 5:23So good low bets, higher dollars, sharp discrepancy at
- 5:26both DraftKings and Circa. Now we layer in a lot of system
- 5:29matches here on the San Francisco Giants.
- 5:31Home favorites 163 and 8167 percent, 11% ROI this season.
- 5:37Home favorites of the winning record 84 and 3272 percent, 17%
- 5:42ROI. Favorites of the line move in
- 5:44their direction 159 and 8565 percent, 8% ROI.
- 5:49And then lastly, non division home favorite off a win with at
- 5:53least $0.05 of steam in your direction.
- 5:55Those teams are 45 and 1970% with a 13% ROI.
- 6:00So San Fran is lighting up a lot of good system matches here for
- 6:03today. Giants will also have that
- 6:05correlative betting favorite low total totalness 1/7 and 1/2.
- 6:08It is juiced under. So line moving to the favorite
- 6:10total getting juiced under a good correlative betting.
- 6:13Hopefully the favorite wins a low scoring game.
- 6:15I'm going to bank on the Giants, their bullpen hopefully
- 6:19performing well here today. Let's get a good start at a
- 6:21Roop. But the G Men team ERA out of
- 6:23the pen is 2.69, fourth best in baseball.
- 6:27Brewers are the 6th worst five point O 7 ERA Giants also at
- 6:32home pretty good six and three Brewers just four and eight on
- 6:35the road. And then a little cherry on top,
- 6:37pop open the Juice Reel app. We have a 10% sharp mush edge
- 6:41here in favor of the Giants. So nothing but steam toward the
- 6:44G men. Good bet splits, good system
- 6:47matches, correlative betting, better pen, better at home.
- 6:51I'm back in the giants here guys.
- 6:52I got a -, 142 earlier today. Now your best number I believe
- 6:56is -155 if you haven't played it yet at both DraftKings and ESPN,
- 7:00bet now playing a dog here. Again, favorites have been very
- 7:05good in Major League Baseball. You might ask yourself, why are
- 7:07we playing all these favorites? Why?
- 7:08Why are we always laying the chalk?
- 7:10Well, because favorites have done very, very well.
- 7:12If you look at favorites this season, they are now 223 and 143
- 7:17on the season. That is a win rate of 61%.
- 7:20If you're betting 100 bucks literally on every single
- 7:22favorite this year, you're up nearly $600.00.
- 7:25So again, it's been a chalky year.
- 7:27Baseball has been historically A chalky sport, but that doesn't
- 7:30mean you never bet a dog. And I found a dog tonight I
- 7:32thought was worth firing on. Let's go to Texas Rangers and
- 7:36they're not the Oakland Athletics.
- 7:38The Sacramento ways before they switching go to Vegas in that
- 7:41beautiful new new ballpark that I think has either a retractable
- 7:45roof or I know they're going to break ground here pretty soon.
- 7:48I think they move in what, two years or so?
- 7:50But anyway, looking toward this match up here in Sacramento.
- 7:54This is the rubber match of the series.
- 7:56You had the Texas Rangers when the first one eight to five.
- 7:59Athletics bounced back and won five to two last night.
- 8:02A's are now 11 and 13 on the year, Rangers 14 and 10 on the
- 8:06year. So pitch a match up for this
- 8:08one. We have Jacob degrom going for
- 8:10the Rangers. He is O and one with a 3.32 ERA.
- 8:14He'll be opposed by JT Ginn, who's one and one with a 3.6 O
- 8:18ERA. Now what are we seeing across
- 8:20the market? Well, degrom's on the bump.
- 8:22Texas is the is the better team, but the line is really dropping
- 8:26toward the A's. Texas open this game as high as
- 8:29a like -150 favorite. They're now down to like -130 So
- 8:36big move here in favor of the athletics.
- 8:38They've gone from plus 125 now down to plus 1/15.
- 8:42And what's notable to me is that at least the DraftKings,
- 8:45everybody's playing the Texas Rangers.
- 8:47They're getting nearly 80% of money line bets.
- 8:50But even though everyone's playing Texas, the line is
- 8:52dropping toward the A's. So this is kind of a classic
- 8:55reverse line move. Play public Texas line dropping
- 8:58toward the A's. Think of it this way too.
- 8:59If Texas is getting all this support, you know, why is the
- 9:03price on Texas now getting cheaper?
- 9:06You know, public would say, oh, I love it.
- 9:07I'm going to double down on Texas.
- 9:08I like the -150 I love them now -130 I would.
- 9:12If you look at Circa really good bet split at circa 56% bets,
- 9:16over 90% of the money is on the A's.
- 9:19So really contrarian to DraftKings with the reverse line
- 9:21move. And at circa great low bets,
- 9:23higher dollar split on the A's. A's would match for me a
- 9:27divisional dog with a high total.
- 9:29So total this one is 8/8 and 1/2 Actually some books even up to 9
- 9:33More expected run scored, more variance, more upset
- 9:35opportunities. I do like the fact that a couple
- 9:39things here. One I'm going to bank on is the
- 9:41offense of the A's. They're hitting 25235 homers,
- 9:44105 runs scored versus the Rangers, hitting only 222 with
- 9:4827 home runs and with 77 runs scored.
- 9:52Also you look at Corey Seeger, he just got put on the injured
- 9:56list. So their best player for Texas
- 9:58is out and the A's did just call up their top prospect.
- 10:01I believe his name is Kurtz who has been mashing and is not
- 10:04hitting like 7th that that lineup is looking pretty good
- 10:07with all these good young players for the A's.
- 10:10Lastly, couple righties on the bump.
- 10:11A's are hitting 11th best in baseball against righties.
- 10:14Texas is hitting 27th, so I know it's been a chalky year.
- 10:18We hit out, hit on a lot of favorites, but one thing we do
- 10:22like is a sharp reverse line of especially a divisional matchup
- 10:26with a dog. High total situation.
- 10:29So I'm going to take a shot on the A's here.
- 10:31Now most books are at plus 1/15. I was able to find a + 120 on
- 10:35the A's that was at Bet MGM. So San Fran and the A's so we
- 10:40can at least get one of them. If we could get 2, I'll be even
- 10:42better. Now over to the NBA.
- 10:45We had a fantastic system match that came through for us
- 10:48yesterday. Favorites, awful loss.
- 10:50I'm looking toward another favorite awful loss.
- 10:52System match here for tonight. So let's go to the early one.
- 10:557:00 The Knicks and the Detroit Pistons.
- 10:59So setting the stage for this one.
- 11:01This is now game three of the series.
- 11:03Knicks won the opener 123 to 112.
- 11:06Then Detroit came back and won the second game 100 to 94.
- 11:10So as the series shifts to Detroit, what have we seen
- 11:13across the market? Well, nothing but movement
- 11:16toward the Knickerbockers. This game open at around to pick
- 11:19them. Some shops opened.
- 11:20Detroit -1 some shops open. Knicks -1 we can split the
- 11:25difference. Basically say it's a it's a coin
- 11:26flip opener. All movement liability has come
- 11:29down on the Knicks. Knicks are now betting up or
- 11:32have been bet up to -1 1/2. So whether it's a dog to fave or
- 11:36pick them to fave or just a -, 1 to 1 1/2, we got the move going
- 11:39toward the Knicks. We also have some good bet
- 11:43splits here. If you look at the spread bets
- 11:45at DraftKings, 62% bets, 73% money is on the Knicks and I'm
- 11:50going to play the Knicks on the money line.
- 11:52You couldn't, you can get them right now at Bet MGM -118 on the
- 11:55money line. Other books are like -120 -, 125
- 11:59S. Of course, shop around, get the
- 12:00best price, but the money line splits really jumped out to me.
- 12:03So if you're looking at a, you know, a spread sport with a
- 12:06spread around, you know, one or a pick or something like that,
- 12:09don't just look at the spread because it's the spread sport.
- 12:11Look at the money line splits because a lot of times wise guys
- 12:14again like to money line short favorites like I do protect
- 12:16yourself. So I played Knicks money line
- 12:19and what what jumped out to me is that at DraftKings, the
- 12:22Knicks are getting 55% of money line bets but 75% of money line
- 12:27dollars. And that Circa out in the
- 12:29desert, they're getting 33% bets but 90% of money line dollars.
- 12:35So both DraftKings and Circa have some really, really good
- 12:38sharp bet discrepancies in favor of the Knicks, which jives with
- 12:41the line move toward the Knicks. If we look at some system
- 12:45matches here that favor playoff favorite off a loss now 2 and O
- 12:48this postseason, it's now 75 and 52 ATS 59% with a nearly 15% ROI
- 12:57since 2020, the COVID year. We do have, excuse me, favorites
- 13:00in general 12 and 10 ATS 55% this season.
- 13:04Playoff line move is the basically the is the line moving
- 13:08in your direction in a playoff game.
- 13:09Well, if that happens, usually that's a pretty good sign.
- 13:12Those teams are 13 and 6 ATS 68% and oh by the way, playoff
- 13:17favorites just winning these games straight up, which is all
- 13:19we care about. Just hashtag win the damn game
- 13:22cuz we're going money line here with the Knicks.
- 13:24Well, playoff favorites are 16 and six straight up 73% this
- 13:28postseason. So all these systems are
- 13:30lighting up on the Knicks. Good bet split line movement.
- 13:33I also like the fact that at rhythm I have two green star
- 13:36recommended plays, both on the Knicks money line with a
- 13:41predicted final score of 110.2 to one O 8.3.
- 13:45So I like the fact that rhythm is also kind of on our side here
- 13:48going with the Knicks. And then lastly on the money
- 13:51line at trap at at juice reel, a 6% sharp mush edge in favor of
- 13:56the Knicks. So you had me at favorite after
- 13:59after a loss, favorite off a loss, however you want to call
- 14:01it, spot the cash with Houston last night we got a match on the
- 14:04Knicks. I'm going Knicks money line.
- 14:06I got him at -118. Now to finish up the pod, let's
- 14:11talk some NFL draft. Now when it comes to betting NFL
- 14:14draft, at least in my my case, the way I approach it, I'm
- 14:17looking at the latest then final mock drafts and I'm looking at
- 14:21line movement because again, things leak out.
- 14:23People talk to people that's come in from people who have
- 14:26sources. These late moves can be very,
- 14:28very meaningful and very often predictive.
- 14:30So we did talk 1 yesterday. The first bet that I placed was
- 14:34the Ohio Statewide receiver, a Mecca Egg buca -300 to be a
- 14:38first round pick. Well, I hope you played it.
- 14:41Remember at the time he was -300 and I want to say who was it?
- 14:46It was -500 at FanDuel. So we're getting a good number.
- 14:49Well, now he's -650 to be a first round pick.
- 14:52So I don't know if you want to lay 650 now.
- 14:54You kind of missed the boat there.
- 14:56But hopefully you listen to the pod and put in -300 to be a
- 14:59first round pick because Egg Buca again is now double that
- 15:02price. I'm going to give you a couple
- 15:03more that I think still have some value.
- 15:06Next one for me, first defensive back selected.
- 15:09Other than Travis Hunter right now you have JA de Baron.
- 15:14He is -195 at FanDuel to be the first pick, first defensive back
- 15:20selected. He's out of Texas.
- 15:22A lot of mocks have had him even in like the top ten, top 15.
- 15:26He is my play, so I bet JA de Baron -195 to be the first
- 15:31offensive back other than Hunter at FanDuel.
- 15:35What I like is that if you look at his over under draft
- 15:39position, 18 1/2 juiced under -165 Will Johnson, who is the
- 15:46runner up here, I think he's like +200 or something, but his
- 15:50over under is 24 1/2. Now that is juiced under -128
- 15:54but if we can get JA de Baron -195 at FanDuel, first DB
- 15:58selected, his over under is 18 1/2.
- 16:00Johnson is 24 1/2. That's a pretty big, you know,
- 16:046-6 draft position edge Baron over Johnson.
- 16:09So I'm going to play Jade Baron. I already did put him in the app
- 16:13to be the first DB selected out of Texas and he's -195 at
- 16:18FanDuel. Next one, the one I alluded to,
- 16:201st tight end selected. Now, if you haven't been paying
- 16:23attention, it's either Tyler Warren, the big dude out of big
- 16:27tight end out of Penn State, or it's Colston Loveland out of
- 16:31Michigan. But here's what I noticed.
- 16:34Johnny, Johnny Baron, Tyler Warren to be the first tight end
- 16:39selected at Caesar's is -925. Tyler Warren to be the first
- 16:45Titan selected at FanDuel is -1100 But Tyler Warren to be the
- 16:51first Titan selected is only -450 at DraftKings.
- 16:56So we are literally getting an incredible buy low spot.
- 16:59I know -450 you say Josh -450 that's a huge minus number, but
- 17:04other books are double that. What I like about Warren, and I
- 17:07played him -450 at DraftKings, first tight end is that is over.
- 17:11Under is 9 1/2, It is over -140 Colston Loveland is 17 1/2 now
- 17:18that is juiced under -370 But once again, we talked Baron
- 17:22versus Johnson. That was like basically a six
- 17:25pick edge. This is basically a, you know
- 17:28what, 7.7 draft position edge. And again, this is how I think
- 17:33you can make money. You're betting on the same
- 17:35thing, but you're betting at a different book with a better
- 17:37number. So part of this, these draft
- 17:40bets for me, it's not just, you know, seeing the movement, but
- 17:42it's also, you know, getting the best number.
- 17:44Now, if, if Warren was -800 at DraftKings, yeah, it's better
- 17:48than 925 or 1100, I probably wouldn't play it though.
- 17:51But -450 again, that's, that's a play for me.
- 17:55So I did play Warren. Last bet for me.
- 17:59Or maybe not be the last. There could be more.
- 18:01By the way, anyone, anyone else's spring allergies getting
- 18:03to them? I got to admit, I love spring.
- 18:05You know, you know, it's getting warmer, all the the trees and
- 18:09the flowers are blooming, but it's killing me with my
- 18:11allergies. Claritin, where you at?
- 18:13You haven't even kicked in yet. Anyway, Jackson Dart, the
- 18:17quarterback out of Ole Miss. I've seen some movement on
- 18:20Jackson Dart to be a first round pick.
- 18:22He was -350 yesterday. Now he's -450 at DraftKings, at
- 18:27FanDuel, he's -600 to be a first round pick.
- 18:30One thing that I like about Dart other than that movement is Joe
- 18:33Shane's kid. If you remember on Hard Knocks,
- 18:37the kid said to his dad, you better take Jayden Daniels and
- 18:40his dad, the guru there. The idiot GM didn't listen to
- 18:43his kid. Daniels becomes a, you know, a
- 18:45stud. Joe Shane's kid.
- 18:47I noticed on Instagram he tweeted out a package of like
- 18:51highlights on Jackson Dart and then he deleted it.
- 18:54So maybe that's a sign. Maybe you should listen to the
- 18:57kid. But that jumped out to me.
- 18:59And then I also heard a report that Jackson Dart is in the
- 19:01running to be drafted 9th overall to the Saints.
- 19:05Jackson Darts over under position I believe is 24 1/2.
- 19:08Might have come down a bit, but I played Jackson Dart first
- 19:12round pick -450 again, it's a big number, but I think there's
- 19:17reasons to think he'll go in the first round and he's -600 at
- 19:20FanDuel. So I'm holding in pocket a Mecca
- 19:24Egg Buka first round pick -300 Jodi Baron, first defensive back
- 19:28selected outside of Travis hunter -195 Tyler Warren first
- 19:33tight end -450 and Jackson Dart first round pick -450 and all
- 19:38the big numbers. But we're not looking at these
- 19:41bets as you know, becoming millionaires, but grinding out
- 19:43hopefully a small profit in the NFL draft, which again, would be
- 19:47a nice, nice thing. So Ibuka, Baron, Warren dart,
- 19:51those are my plays here for tonight.
- 19:53But remember, I could have some more.
- 19:55So you could definitely monitor the all systems go best bet
- 19:59picks on the Juice Real app. See if I add some more.
- 20:02So that about does it for episode 264 of the All Systems
- 20:05Go sports Betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 20:08Of course. This is the part of the pod
- 20:09where we wrap things up and I start first by saying thank you.
- 20:12Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
- 20:14busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
- 20:17sharp data-driven breakdowns with me.
- 20:20As always, if you do enjoy this pod, could you please do me a
- 20:23solid give it a five star review in the App Store.
- 20:27That would mean a lot help us to continue to grow the pod.
- 20:29If you want to recommend it to a friend or leave a nice note in
- 20:32the review section or click the follow button.
- 20:34That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day, that would
- 20:37be great as well. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 20:40betting breakdown data-driven sharp contrary and bedding
- 20:43following the market, making sharp bets with our head and not
- 20:46our heart based on data, not emotion or bias.
- 20:49Well, if this style of betting appeals to you and you want to
- 20:50learn more about data-driven betting or maybe you just I want
- 20:54to let me know you appreciate the pod or have someone in your
- 20:56life who wants to get into sports betting but has no
- 20:59freaking clue how it works or where to begin.
- 21:01You know what you should do. You should go to Amazon.com and
- 21:04type in the everything guide to sports betting.
- 21:07That's my first book I ever wrote really providing the
- 21:09data-driven blueprint on how to attack the sports betting
- 21:12market. And while you're at it, you
- 21:14should pre-order a copy also on Amazon.
- 21:16Just type in the NFL short betting playbook.
- 21:19My new book coming out August 12th.
- 21:21So pick one up or both you would make my day.
- 21:24I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games
- 21:26at the sports book together. Of course, sign sign both copies
- 21:29for you. Next, if you haven't done it
- 21:31yet, go download rhythm and juice reel, my two favorite
- 21:34sports betting apps on the market.
- 21:36Rhythm obviously does a great job powering this pod, giving us
- 21:39their AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
- 21:42player props. And then we have juice reel.
- 21:45We can get the all systems go best bet picks for $4.99 a week.
- 21:50You could also follow the robo Jackson best bet picks, the
- 21:53sharp Bush indicators, the arbitrage opportunities, the
- 21:56shop for the best line futures, sync up your sports books, get a
- 21:59running report card of your action and all the dollar
- 22:02breakdowns for both spread money line and total from everyone who
- 22:06has synced up their books on every game, which I think is
- 22:08really cool as well. So download Rhythm, download
- 22:11Juice rail and then all you got to do is is give him a five star
- 22:15view while you're at it cuz that would make my friends at Rhythm
- 22:17and Juice feel very happy. Lastly, do you have a live odds
- 22:22page? Well, if you don't, you need
- 22:23one. You got to know all the games
- 22:25that day that are being played. So you can just First off know
- 22:27what you can bet on, but then also you got to be able to track
- 22:30the opening line, the current lines, shop for the best line,
- 22:33pull up the line history, pick off the, you know, half point or
- 22:37a better money line price. It's very, very critical and
- 22:40there are many live odds pages out there, but in my opinion,
- 22:43the best one at the best value play in terms of the product and
- 22:47the price is Odds Logic. And I'd love for you guys to
- 22:50give him a shot. I have a special code.
- 22:52If you type in oddslogic.com/josh 123, that's
- 22:58Odds logic.com/josh 123. Make sure you have the slash
- 23:02Josh 123 at the end. If you do that, you'll get a 70
- 23:06free trial to test it out if you like and keep it.
- 23:08You're going to get 50% off your first month.
- 23:11So again, that's Odds logic.com/josh 123.
- 23:15So that about does it for episode 264 of the ASG pod.
- 23:19As always, I'll leave you guys with a couple things.
- 23:21One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 23:24River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
- 23:27Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain
- 23:30Ridge Park Casino R.E.M Gem Springfield, my neck of the
- 23:33woods in Massachusetts or of course, out in the desert where
- 23:36the true grinders get down. Where Billy Walter sends his
- 23:39number runners with lowest juice possible is found at the South
- 23:42Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
- 23:45stadium swimming pool when he cashed a big ticket at Circa.
- 23:47You're going to walk up to me. You're going to show me a nice
- 23:50Rockets favored after a lost ticket.
- 23:52Also show me a Tigers ticket. That wasn't a podcast play, but
- 23:55you might read the sharp report or seen the play on juice rail.
- 23:58I was nice to get see a Tigers win earlier in the day as well,
- 24:02but of course, first one's on me next one's on you.
- 24:04We'll post about the book. So what some data-driven plays
- 24:07all night long. So wish you the best of luck
- 24:09everybody, as always, 1 and 2 two and one O and two two and O
- 24:14again, the previous day should never influence the way we look
- 24:18at the current day. We're just going to continue to
- 24:20grind the data-driven blueprint betting games with our head, not
- 24:23our heart. And if we can do that, find the
- 24:25games that fit our model against the public, with the house, with
- 24:28the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line
- 24:31value. If we can do that, and I'm
- 24:33confident that we can, then guess what we're going to be
- 24:35successful sports bettors. So have a great night,
- 24:38everybody. Enjoy MLB and the NBA, and let's
- 24:41see if we can have some winners here in the NFL draft.
- 24:43I'm excited. What are my Patriots going to
- 24:45do? It's probably going to be Will
- 24:46Campbell. That's probably the smart thing
- 24:49to do because we haven't had a left tackle in years.
- 24:51But do they trade down, stockpile some picks and maybe
- 24:53get Campbell anyway, we sell. We shall see, but anyway, guys
- 24:57have a great night right back at it tomorrow.
- 24:59That'll be a big Friday edition episode 265 of the All Systems
- 25:03Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 25:06Good luck everybody and enjoy the draft.