Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB Witching Hour | April 23, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:04All systems going on? Clear left, what's going on? Everybody? Happy
- 0:38Tuesday. Hope y'all have it a great day. Talk of baseball with my
- 0:42man g Rising. Ten games today, no weather to worry about. Man.
- 0:46Outside of the name Pablo Lopez, that picture, it is pretty interesting.
- 0:50Coors Field Chicago win game. I mean, man, we got a
- 0:53pretty good slate in terms of bats. I'm excited talking with you, g
- 0:56Rising. Try and find some other pictures not named Pablo Lope as go collect
- 1:00Greg Gator Nation, Lyle, Richie Smalls, Cody camper Bro. Hope you
- 1:04guys doing well. Appreciate everyone hanging out like always throwing you right away,
- 1:08my man. How's your weekend? How's baseball been going? What's going on
- 1:12in your world? Oh? Man, can't complain, had a great week,
- 1:15Actually did a lot of Dan Bolan won our thirty two team league championship
- 1:21last week, which was pretty cool. Get a couple of grand from that,
- 1:23so I was excited. It's been like three or four years since my
- 1:26team won. But we beat a bunch of youngsters, A bunch of fifty
- 1:29year olds beat some twenty year olds, so that was pretty cool. Felt
- 1:33pretty good. But Man, been playing more DK lately. Yeah, I
- 1:36ain't like me title. I you know, I had all the money in
- 1:38my account from the Masters takedown I had. I just you know, shit
- 1:42just kept rolling it. Next thing I know, it just keeps going.
- 1:47Hey, not so bad, but uh yeah, been joining baseball so far.
- 1:51We're getting to that time of year, you know where some of these
- 1:53stats, you know, we got enough games in you know where we can
- 1:56kind of see what's going on. I've been kind of paying attention a little
- 1:59bit more to like I was kind of saying last week, just watching this,
- 2:01you know what teams are hot, which teams are not. Yesterday,
- 2:05man, I wasn't really happy with that Padres team at all. Man,
- 2:07They've been hitting like shit, and I'm thinking, I don't care if they're
- 2:09going in cores or not. As a team, they're hitting like shit.
- 2:13Then they lose Machado. I was like, I'm out. But worked out
- 2:15good man. If you check my core out yesterday, I had d r
- 2:19Nod in there as my core. I had Julian in there from Minnesota.
- 2:23I had the Braves and I had the twins. Heavier on the twins than
- 2:28the Braves, So that ended up working out pretty well for me. But
- 2:31yeah, hey, been exciting. I like this slate here today. Like
- 2:35you said, Pablo Lopez, I mean you gotta play him, right,
- 2:38I mean, the White Sox suck so but I think there's a bunch of
- 2:42other guys. I think it's gonna be fairly spread out, probably today at
- 2:46some pitching. I think there's some good low, you know, low low
- 2:49price options out there that look intriguing to me. I actually made a couple
- 2:54bets on some stuff already today, on some props, which I normally don't
- 2:58do. But when I was looking at some stuff, I thought, man,
- 3:00this don't seem right. But uh, either way, man, I
- 3:02think it's pretty good. I want to see if you know, you guys
- 3:05can talk me into any other sp two's over there on DK I was going
- 3:08pretty low, and I'm thinking, man, I you know, I can
- 3:12got some roof for some bats, even if I do use Lopez. But
- 3:15we'll get into that here as we move on. But man, can't wait.
- 3:21We got some draft coming up Thursday here in Detroit. We got some
- 3:23NFL drafts, so looking forward to that. But man, exciting times here
- 3:29and uh here around here, you can't even try to move around Detroit.
- 3:31Title it's like a freaking mess. Man. There's they got pensive shit over
- 3:36all these roads are blocked off. I got to go down there for work
- 3:38sometimes and it was some tough navigating today. How's the weather at least you
- 3:43got the sunshine out or is it back to back to the usual cloudy,
- 3:46dreary fifty two? What you got? Yeah, you know, it's been
- 3:51bouncing back and forth. We've had some sunny days here and maybe in the
- 3:53high sixties, which not too bad. We're getting there. We turned the
- 3:57corner, you know. We haven't, you know, been worrying too much
- 4:00about the cold. But yeah, you know how it is in north You're
- 4:02spoiled out there now. I mean you're Wisconsin boy, you know what's going
- 4:05on out here. I mean we're getting there. We're turned the corner.
- 4:09When that Saint Patrick's Day hits, that's like the start of it for me.
- 4:13So we're about, you know, six weeks past that now. So
- 4:15we're ready. We're ready for some summer over here, most definitely. I
- 4:20think these hitters are also ready for some warm weather too. Man, it's
- 4:25been a little rough. So yeah, I hope hopefully see more someone score
- 4:29at least double digits today, no more seven fours threes. One of these
- 4:32ten teams or twenty teams ten games got to put up a krooking number today.
- 4:36Got our man Rio win chat so I got the NBA slaveh playoff.
- 4:41It's just it's not just MLB going on right now. I mean, man,
- 4:44these games are great. That Denver Lakers game yesterday, just keep Cameron
- 4:47Denver Live. Felt lucky to get away with that one. But Pelicans and
- 4:53okay, see just before two night games and yesterday, I mean the next
- 4:58game is absolutely insane too. We've bet treated a really good playoff basketball so
- 5:01far. We still got plenty of time with that. Rio's done a great
- 5:04job showdown content, ben On points saw another shipper Actually let me pull it
- 5:09up quick who shipped hold on, hold on b Belky twenty one great showdown
- 5:15right up last night Rio first play hundred seventy five bucks. Awesome showdown,
- 5:20hold down logo there. So congrats to you guys, some Pick six winners,
- 5:25a lot of MLB winners as well. Shout out our guy killed Bill
- 5:29founding family member, been in here a long time shift that little fan Duel
- 5:32Live Final Baby or didn't ship got the live final with those twins, So
- 5:38shout out to you kill Bill. I see Jake right here, almost took
- 5:41it down yesterday. Ready to run it back today again. Ten games.
- 5:45We'll get right into it first. As always, though, shout out to
- 5:47our MLB sponsors sponsoring the shows. Four Deep, hey man, shout out
- 5:51to four deep as well. I see Tommy G. I put up pull
- 5:55up Twitter every single time Tommy G's cashing some that absolutely been on fire in
- 5:59these plays. I saw the canes. You want to give him a try?
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- 6:09not, you get twenty percent off using that promo code ship it not just
- 6:13picks education process as well. But he's definitely been on a heater. I
- 6:16have seen shout out four deep as the MLB sponsored if you want to join
- 6:20us at chipanation dot com. I know it's a weird golf week, Hoop
- 6:24still did a show prize. Schools are still pretty big. Got golf this
- 6:28week. MMA's back this week. NHL NHL Playoffs, we still got to
- 6:31there. MLB going on, NBA NASCAR, all the sports, no better
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- 6:51Let's talk some baseball. G rising at life fun. Always appreciate it
- 6:56from you guys. Hope y'all have it a great day out there. Ten
- 6:59game, We're gonna get right into picture. G Riisen nine point eight K
- 7:03to eight K. Marcus Stroman, Man feels like every time we're on the
- 7:06show, Marcus Stroman's on the freaking slate. It's absolutely crazy, say the
- 7:11same thing every time. Better in real life Pitcher than DFS. Pitcher gets
- 7:15a good matchup against Oakland, though Grayson Rodriguez sitting there at nine to six
- 7:18Pabla Lopez by far the chalk after Pablo Lopez. I do think ownership is
- 7:24relatively spread out. But he gets the nut match against these awful White Sox.
- 7:28Lopez been rounding in the form the K prop seven and a half,
- 7:31only two K props about five and a half today Lopez seven and a half,
- 7:35little juice on the under. Then Grayson Rodriguez six and a half some
- 7:40juice on the under. Actually minus one oh five minus won twenty five.
- 7:44So pretty much a coin flip there, Pablo Lopez over plus one ten otherise
- 7:47you get a bunch of five and a half, four and a half,
- 7:50even some three and a half k props. Throw it to you right at
- 7:53picture g riisen Stroman down to Max Freed nine point eight K to eight K.
- 7:58Yeah, start with I guess can start however you want, work your
- 8:01way up or start up, work your way down. How do you see
- 8:05pitching? I got to start from the bottom, work our way up.
- 8:07That seems like a little more fun. So you know, Max Freed,
- 8:09I mean at that price, I mean, yeah, he struggled a little
- 8:13bit here, but I mean this still guy is this guy's an ace man.
- 8:16I mean, this guy is a hell of a pitcher. I mean,
- 8:18yeah, he already had I think he had a matchup against Miami.
- 8:20Wasn't even last It seems like it was like last week. It seemed like
- 8:24performance. Yeah, two weeks ago, had a pretty good game, twenty
- 8:26six points. I mean this guy here. I mean I think after Pablo,
- 8:31like you said, I think it's gonna be pretty mixed up. I
- 8:33don't see really anybody yanking too much of the ownership. I think it's gonna
- 8:37be pretty mixed up for me. But I mean, you got to win
- 8:39equity. We've been looking at his pitch count ninety six, eighty four,
- 8:43ninety seven, so we like that. So, I mean we're sitting there.
- 8:46I mean I think it's kind of I mean, you hate to say
- 8:50safe, but I mean at this price, it's pretty damn safe, you
- 8:54know. So I think you're gonna see five six k's. You'll probably get
- 8:58five six inn's at him. They should he should be pitching with the lead,
- 9:01which is what you know, you want your pitcher to be doing.
- 9:03So yeah, I like Max Freed here. I think that's definitely interesting.
- 9:07Uh. I mean obviously I didn't look and see what Let's see, what
- 9:11are they minus? The braves are pretty pretty favorite obviously. Yeah. I
- 9:16mean, so I mean there's definitely minus like two fifty, minus like two
- 9:22seventy. Yeah. So I mean you look up at Waka, you know,
- 9:26moving on up. I really don't have any interest there, you know,
- 9:30Waka is a guy kind of like to pick on a little bit,
- 9:31So not really interested interested there now Gossman. I mean, you know,
- 9:37skill wise, Gossman's probably one of the better strikeout pitchers on the whole slate,
- 9:41but just hasn't been himself here lately. But I mean, does get
- 9:45a match up here against uh Kansas City. You know, Kansas City has
- 9:48been a team we've been stacking a little bit here, So I'm not really
- 9:52interested. I got Gossman ranked down a little bit lower than normal. You
- 9:56got Web over there against the Mets. I think that one's a little interesting
- 10:01at nine K if you if you wanted to go there, I think he'll
- 10:05be pretty low owned. You get a guy though, that does have some
- 10:07strikeout capability. Uh, you know, he'll be less than ten percent owned.
- 10:11So uh that's kind of interesting for me. But then you get over
- 10:13here to uh to Gilbert. I think Gilbert's interesting. I mean, this
- 10:18guy here has been been pitching lights out. I mean, this guy is
- 10:20really good. The only thing I don't like is the matchup, right,
- 10:24But I mean Texas has got a lot of power there. They don't really
- 10:28have too many high k strikeout bets. There above twenty five percent. You
- 10:31know, you're you got two in the middle carters twenty four percent, adoles
- 10:37Garcia sitting at twenty eight percent k rate, but everybody else is you know,
- 10:41you're your low twenties, so blow MLB average there. So, I
- 10:45mean, Gilbert definitely interesting if you wanted to go there. I think he's
- 10:48a pretty good pivot off of Lopez, if you wanted to do that,
- 10:52uh and not have Lopez in your lineup, especially on DK where the two
- 10:56pitchers site. Uh, so, I definitely find him interesting. You know,
- 11:00so above him, you got Pabolo Lopez. I mean, White Sox.
- 11:01That's all you need to see. There's a few teams that we're gonna
- 11:03start chasing around. Obviously, the White Sox are one of them. I
- 11:07mean they're already talking. The White Sox are gonna be one of the worst
- 11:09teams in MLB history. I mean they are pretty shitty. But you know,
- 11:15Pablo Lopez, he's definitely got the k upside as you mentioned, the
- 11:18K props sitting at a nice juicy number there, seven and a half,
- 11:22So definitely like that. And then moving up Grayson Rodriguez, I think this
- 11:26is pretty interesting. Too. I think Grayson is a guy that might go
- 11:30a little bit lower owned than we like, especially on DK at that price,
- 11:33He's sitting up at the second highest price pitcher. And then how in
- 11:35the house Marcus Stroman the highest price pitcher. I don't know. I mean,
- 11:39the dude's a ground ball pitcher. He's not really a strikeout pitcher.
- 11:43I mean he does get he has been pitching pretty well. I mean he's
- 11:46just a better real life pitcher than obviously a DFS pitcher. We want some
- 11:50strikeouts. So obviously, with that being said, I'm not really gonna be
- 11:54playing Stroman over on DK. But Grayson Rodriguez is definitely interesting. Lopez is
- 12:00going to be obviously full chalk. But yeah, there's a couple other guys
- 12:03too, you know here dow Low below this eight K that I think are
- 12:07kind of interesting as well. So I think, really title there's like,
- 12:11you know, seven or eight nine arms that you could legit make a case
- 12:15for here today if you take out Lopez. If there wasn't Lopez on the
- 12:18slate, man, I mean, I'd have a hard time telling you who
- 12:22the chalk pitcher probably would be. I think it would be a crapshoot for
- 12:26sure, and we'll get to lower priced pitching as well, because there's bats.
- 12:30If you want to go back to Coolsfield with San Diego some of these
- 12:33Cubs bats, these Braves. If you want expensive Yankees like there's obviously has
- 12:37to pay for it, but there's also twenty games on the slates. Hitting's
- 12:41been slow this year, like you need a nail pitching. If I'm playing
- 12:45yesterday, I played at the one fifty fifteen k off top. Not sure
- 12:48I'll do that today, but if I do, like I'm locking Pava Lopez,
- 12:52and again it's all risk tolerance, like I'm okay losing. I play
- 12:56hunt at the three dollars, I'm not MaxEnt, like I'm okay losing four
- 13:01to fifty dollars. That's it within my bank role. I don't know.
- 13:03I'm not okay losing. I guess twenty three hundred and all of it,
- 13:07so I don't max the fifteen dollars whatever. But I'm playing Pabo Lopez in
- 13:09every single lineup I bill just because a the White Sox are that bad,
- 13:13nine twenty three K, like he should be ten three, he should be
- 13:16like eleven K on this slate relative to everybody else. I mean, I'll
- 13:20take my chances figure out SP two and it also helps me. You can
- 13:24mix and match more SP two's if you just lock button Pablo Lopez. I
- 13:30guess you can. I guess mix and match more bats. Like, what
- 13:33do you think Pablo comes in at seventy percent sixty five percent in the lotto?
- 13:39Do you have any strong take? I mean I was thinking up the
- 13:43forties, maybe fifty, but I don't know about the sixty or seventy.
- 13:46But I think he definitely And only reason being is there there's so many other
- 13:48little there's so many other options. You know, we're not Yeah, you
- 13:52don't have to go that route necessarily, but uh for me, yeah,
- 13:56you're right. I mean you should just pretty much in, especially on DK
- 14:01because there's there's some low end pittures here that are definitely viable here today.
- 14:05But yeah, Lopez, for me, I mean the White Sox suck man.
- 14:09I mean, you don't have to overthink it. It's it's pretty easy
- 14:13for sure. So I'll be out. I mean, I'll go down quick,
- 14:16I'll go the opposite of you talked about him. Then I'll get you
- 14:18a K and below Stroman no fain. I don't think stroman' is the worst
- 14:22play like he'd be in my one to fifty pool, but I would need
- 14:24over thirty lineups to get there because I much prefer Grayson Rodriguez in his upside
- 14:28for two hundred cheaper at nine point six K. I really like Grayson Rodriguez,
- 14:33and I think you can easily fit Rodriguez, Pablo Lopez bats and still
- 14:37find like the Twins. We'll get to these. I mean, I love
- 14:41going right back to the Twins today. A lot of them are cheap,
- 14:43bottom of the order on some of these lineups, so not really much Stroman.
- 14:46I do like Stroman over Gilbert if find have picked, though, just
- 14:50because of the matchup. Man, Texas is tough, Gilbert is treated us
- 14:52well, but it's just not a team I love to pick on only a
- 14:56five and a half K prop. Yeah, I don't love Gilbert, don't
- 14:58love Stroman, love Rodriguez, lock Button, Pablo no Waka for sure,
- 15:05and then yeah, web Gosfin Freed, I think you mix in all of
- 15:07them. I don't know, man, I think Gossman with the most upside
- 15:11five and f K prop minus one fifty on the over, but his downside
- 15:16seems a lot. His four seems lower than Logan Webs. It seems lower
- 15:20than Max Freed as well. So I think that's why I just lock button,
- 15:24Pablo Mix and natch these other guys, because I don't have a strong
- 15:26take on any of these other ones. I know Brayson Rodriguez is my second
- 15:30favorites. He's tough on Righty's. I mean, you get Trout, you
- 15:35get the best, the best angels bats are Righty's. He can navigate this
- 15:39bottom of the order for sure. Yeah, I mean, by far my
- 15:43favorite. You get through War, you get through Trout, the bottom of
- 15:46the order's cheeks. So Rodriguez number two. I think you have the money
- 15:48to play both of them. I like Ostmint eight five Web's more like a
- 15:52safe play. Matt s Freed you get to win the strikeout is still four
- 15:56and a half, though I don't even love Freed much. So yeah,
- 16:00how I got it. No Stroman, no Gilbert, no Waka Lopez won
- 16:04Rodriguez two, Gossman three going down eight k below on this one. Though
- 16:11it's not often you see a coors Field pitcher getting a lot of ownership.
- 16:15I think Michael King might come in the second the third highest own pitcher on
- 16:18the slate because a Conrado's not good. Seven K for King coming off a
- 16:22monster performance ten strikeouts, and yeah, I mean he's seven K, like
- 16:27you get thirteen on this late At seven K, that could be on the
- 16:30winner because you're saving two point six k from Rodriguez, two K from Gilbert's,
- 16:37one point eight from web And to be honest, I haven't projected better
- 16:40than all of them. I haven't projected better than Gilbert, Webb, Gossman,
- 16:42et cetera. At that discount, I think he's gonna get ownership decent
- 16:47size favored as well. It is coors Field. I don't love throwing pitchers
- 16:51there. I especially don't love pitchers kind of chalky pitchers in coors Field that
- 16:56aren't aces. And it's not like Kingsmen great all year. He struggled a
- 17:00little bit early. I'm gonna throw it to you on this one. Definitely
- 17:02talking to start, but at least Severino's down there that could get some ownership.
- 17:07Dane Dunning, Griffin, Canning all the way, punt, JP Franz.
- 17:11I don't love these guys, no doubt about that. I will say
- 17:15my favorite down here. Oh gosh, I don't know. You mentioned Dane
- 17:22Dunning earlier. Maybe I would go Dane Dunning and Canning. No, I
- 17:25don't want to pick on Baltimore Seva Reino. I guess it's fine against San
- 17:29Franz. Maybe that'd be hitting at seven eight, But I prefer for Reid.
- 17:32I prefer Goffsman for a little more. I kind of want to say
- 17:34more in this upper range. Yeah, talk Michael King to start, and
- 17:37then talk at a K and blow. Yeah, Michael King is definitely got
- 17:41I'm gonna be looking at here today. Colorado stinks they're another team we're chasing
- 17:45around, like the White Sox. I mean, we saw what Ceased did
- 17:48yesterday. Came out, had a great game and you know, kind of
- 17:52started a little slow, but then he piled them up there at the end.
- 17:56But yeah, I think King is definitely played. Looking at his out,
- 18:00he did have one hundred and nine pitches. He's had ninety six ninety
- 18:03four, So I think that is definitely something that we like. I mean,
- 18:07we know the leash is there. I mean these the win equity is
- 18:12there. I think everything's in line there. And as you said, I
- 18:15mean at the Price. We're sitting here looking at seven K. I mean,
- 18:18man, this guy here, to me, you could see so many
- 18:21paths of this guy being on the winner. I think this guy here,
- 18:25it could be one of my favorite pitcher plays here today. But yeah,
- 18:29for me, everybody else down here, you know, it's, you know,
- 18:32kind of some shady wix. I'm not really interested in against Houston,
- 18:36as you mentioned Canning, no thanks, I don't want to attack Baltimore.
- 18:40But Dane Dunning I think is interesting. Seattle strikes out the second most.
- 18:42I mean they've been as absolutely Julio Rodriguez sucks right now. That dude can't
- 18:47hit a damn beach ball, so I mean can't. I mean, Dunning
- 18:51is definitely interesting. You got a guy sitting down there at sixty six hundred
- 18:53with a five and a half k prop. I mean, you don't see
- 18:56that that often, to be honest with you, be crazy either. I
- 19:00think that is the pivot off of off of King, and I will say
- 19:04quickly like, man, I just don't love if I'm jamming Pablo, I
- 19:08do not love eating too chalk. Whether it's like Lopez King, I think
- 19:12you just got to get a little different at bats. Again, this is
- 19:15the game theory. It's how you play them. It's not like, oh
- 19:18I'm fading this guy. So it's you can eat chalk, you can eat
- 19:22double chalk pitcher like King, Pablo and plenty of lineups. Just I wouldn't
- 19:26jam them with the San Diego Podres one through five. I guess they're not
- 19:29even gonna be mega chalk today. Some of these cubs are gonna get ownership.
- 19:32We'll get to bats. I think stack ownership will kind of be spread
- 19:36out as well. But you have to know, like stack the bottom the
- 19:38order on kind of a chalk your team or something. You can't just go
- 19:41jam in Cubs or or Podres or something with King with Lopez like everyone else
- 19:47and leaves zero dollars. So just want to say that I prefer Pablo over
- 19:51King. So if I had to fade one, I'd prefer fading King for
- 19:55sure. Personally, Yeah, I mean King has definitely played. But I
- 19:59think dunning to as you mentioned it is definitely a great pivot. I I
- 20:03like picking on Seattle right now. I mean, as we said, they're
- 20:04just striking out quite a bit. Uh. Dunning though, don't even thing
- 20:08that scares me is his walks like he's pretty wild sometimes. You look at
- 20:11his walks. He had four walks last game, He's had two three.
- 20:15I mean, you know, we don't need to give up a hit and
- 20:18then get a couple of walks and then you know, you get yourself into,
- 20:19you know, a biginning trouble. But I mean you're looking at him
- 20:22five ks, three k seven k seven k's. I mean, if I
- 20:26can get seven k's out of my sixty six hundred dollars Pitcher today, who
- 20:30you know, probably probably got a pretty decent shot at a win. I
- 20:34mean, that's pretty intriguing for me. So I think that's definitely interesting down
- 20:40there, but not really much else down there. I'm not playing France,
- 20:44you know, no way. Feldtner, I'm not really looking at Feldner is
- 20:47a little interesting, though. I mean, to be honest, that that
- 20:49dude. His k rate's been up a little bit this year. From the
- 20:52past is seeing Diego sucks man, especially without Machado. You know, I
- 20:57knew better than that one yesterday. But uh yeah, I'm not going there
- 21:02either. But man, at this bottom part, I think you got Dunning
- 21:03and King. I think Dunning is the perfect pivot off King if you really
- 21:07wanted to get crazy, you could put Dunning and King in a lineup insteap
- 21:11basically play whatever you want pretty much. I mean, you could load up
- 21:15on the braves if you want, if you wanted to, you could probably
- 21:18throw in some heavy Orioles too. But uh, yeah, I think that's
- 21:21interesting. I definitely like those two pictures down there below eight K What about
- 21:27uh I was going, I was making Charles on the right mic. Yes
- 21:30I'm on the right mic. But about Severino, like again, like fork
- 21:37prop little Juice on the over, He's been solid this year, you know
- 21:42the guy I mean, I mean, I can see it. I don't
- 21:48blame yet. He's just a guy. I don't like to play title.
- 21:51To be honest with you, Severino is just he's boom or bust a lot
- 21:56of times. I'm just not a fan there at all at this San Francisco
- 22:00are into too many strikeouts in that lineup either, So I'm just not There's
- 22:03other spots here that I like. Other than paying up a little too high
- 22:07for a sever Reno. I think I'd rather play Freed than sever Reno.
- 22:11Yeah, yeah, we talked about Freed, Ritchie Smalls. We definitely like
- 22:14him. Andrew just talked about Feldner. Him and I don't have much interest
- 22:18rankings all proprietary, there's no it's all data driven. Definitely check that out
- 22:22and the breakdown on the stack rankings page or the picture rankings page. Just
- 22:26because their number one, though, does not necessarily mean that we like them.
- 22:30I'm not playing Feldner, but jeer Isisen did make a case that is
- 22:33not the craziest thing. I will say, Yeah, Severno, I think,
- 22:37like Logan web sever Reino just man a seven total fifty five degrees sixty
- 22:41degrees a Pitcher's park in San fran on a slate that we're like fine with
- 22:47sixteen. I think Logan Webb and Severino in that game are two guys that
- 22:52I will be looking at, and I do think sever Reno come both of
- 22:55those guys. I think coming lower owned, then Freed, then King obviously,
- 22:59then Pablo Lopez, et cetera. So I break down pitching to cap
- 23:03it off. I definitely don't like that lower range much. The only guys
- 23:07down there that I play dumbing King, sever Arena below eight K. Yeah,
- 23:12I like staying up top. Grayson Rodriguez, Pavlo like those are the
- 23:15two. If you told me two pitchers score twenty eight plus today, I'd
- 23:19be surprised if what I mean, Pablo would for sure be the guy I
- 23:23think they're I think Grayson too, with the strikeout upside, Like I'm not
- 23:26really sure who unless you get a vintage Freez strikeout game, which you really
- 23:30don't see much. Gossman, but I don't like Case can get hot,
- 23:34like the Logan Web's not getting you ten eleven k's here. I guess King.
- 23:38I guess King, maybe two, Like he'd be the guy that I
- 23:41guess could get you twenty eight. We saw yes our last game. The
- 23:44ten k's it this coors Field, but Colorado's not good. I'm on an
- 23:48upside on this late again, it's gonna be Lopez, King, Freed,
- 23:52Rodriguez. I think in terms of ownership, I think kind of in that
- 23:56order, lock Button, Pablo, like Grayson upside, I like Logan Web
- 24:00in the pitching game, Gossman I like a little bit five and FK prop
- 24:06juice on the over long term sampled him being a good strikeoup pitcher. So
- 24:10I think taking a little risk, I guess for the upside against Case,
- 24:14I'm into and Yeah, Freda is safe for a win, but man,
- 24:18I don't I don't see him going out there and putting up twenty five plus
- 24:22in this one. So yeah, my top four Pablo one, Grayson two,
- 24:26Web three, Gossman four. I guess Seve would be five. What
- 24:32do you got again? Because that's I don't want to pay Pablo and King
- 24:34as much, is the reason I left him out. I think I got
- 24:38Pablo Gilbert or Pablo Rodriguez Gilbert King, and then I'd probably go Dunning than
- 24:48Freed. I like it. Yeah, the Dunning call definitely makes sense.
- 24:52And again this is more a DraftKings a two pitcher site fan Duel. I
- 24:56mean, Pablo's gonna be Meagan, let's just talk real quick, fanalgy Risen
- 25:00anybody, He's ten point two k, Grayson's all the way up at like
- 25:03ten point eight k. Obviously that should be flop Stroman at nine to seven.
- 25:07King's nine k, Freed's eight three. So I guess right there,
- 25:11there's a big enough discount one point nine k from Lopez down to Free.
- 25:15That's what stands out to be. Gosspin eight four, Severino eighty five.
- 25:18No things as much. I think i'd rather go, yeah, eight three
- 25:23or eighty four freed Gossman and just try and flip the build a little bit
- 25:26if I'm not playing Pablo on FanDuel, instead of like hoping Grayson matches them
- 25:30or Logan Web matches, et cetera. King, isn't that dead zone a
- 25:34little bit? Nine K? I don't think that's the craziest play either.
- 25:37He'll be a lot lower owned over there. But yeah, I'd still rather
- 25:41say like the eight hundred or try and five to twelve hundred for Pablo.
- 25:45Any thoughts on on FanDuel one picture side, Yeah, Pablo is gonna probably
- 25:48be the chucker. But I think if you play Pablo, you're gonna be
- 25:52stuck in the stacking like the Twins or somebody, you know, a really
- 25:55cheap stack. I think, you know, I I mean to me,
- 26:00I think Grayson Rodriguez is interesting over there. I mean, I think you're
- 26:03the picture. The top end pictures are going to be mixed up a little
- 26:06bit. I actually think that uh over on FanDuel, picture will be mixed
- 26:11up a little bit more over on DK, where Pablo Lopez is going to
- 26:14be extremely chalk and I bet you you know Lopez is probably in the mid
- 26:18twenties. Maybe I would sayntes on FanDuel just because it makes you not play
- 26:26some of the bats you may like, right, So I think some people
- 26:29are gonna look at that. I will say, I mean, you saw
- 26:30Cody Bounder at two nine Dan's via two nine's astros, right, Heck,
- 26:37they're just too cheap like some of these guys cores like Xander three to five
- 26:41in the one hole, he's used like four point two cakes. I think
- 26:45people will probably make your work to be honest, like a fifty five percent.
- 26:48I think it'll be real chalk on both Yeah, it'll be interesting to
- 26:52see. I when I was looking at thinking, I don't know if he'll
- 26:55be that choking. He may be very well, but we'll have to break
- 26:59it all down, check it out. Maybe tomorrow we'll we'll we could uh
- 27:03think back to this one here and see what Lopez was because I'm if he'll
- 27:07be that high. I've been kind of going back and forth a lot of
- 27:10times and something. The ownership is just especially I guess depends I play in
- 27:14some of the higher dollar stake stuff, so the ownership is a little different
- 27:17than some of the smaller ones. But Uh yeah, I think on FanDuel
- 27:22Lopez, I like Rodriguez. I think Gilbert is safe. I don't mind
- 27:25that at all. And I do think that's a pretty good pitching matchup in
- 27:29that Texas in Seattle game. I think both pitchers could be working off each
- 27:32other in that one. So I think that's why a little bit bump more
- 27:36over the dunning as well. But uh Man, for me, I mean,
- 27:40I'm just gonna probably lock in Lopez and see what happens. I'm I'm
- 27:42just kind of playing with my stacks. I'm trying to decide to be truthful
- 27:47if I even want to play Minnesota today. I was on him yesterday,
- 27:49and you know what, Minnesota is one of them teams. Everybody's on them.
- 27:52They suck, you know, but they all last year out Minnesota bit
- 27:57us in the ass. So they they came through for us once. But
- 28:03well they came through us through for us, putting up a seventh spot on
- 28:06a seven game slate where no one else put up with like four to three
- 28:08to like. It was just one of those slates where seven those performances don't
- 28:12always win you it kapler La, Like, there were some of those guys
- 28:15that absolutely nuked. But you had like Carlos Santana, you absolutely didn't want
- 28:21him. Jeffers, I think mighty got there, but you need Darnault.
- 28:23And people talk about Darneault. We're gonna get into bats right now. How
- 28:26do you not play Darnault? The answer is really simple. Baseball. There's
- 28:30one word, baseball. It's still succeeed three out of ten times you're a
- 28:33Hall of Famer. Of course, he's seeing the ball as well as anyone.
- 28:37Absolutely, I mean yet nuking. It seems like every time I pull
- 28:40up my phone, Travis Darnaut home run notification. But if he goes over
- 28:44four today, there's no surprise one bit about that. So baseball is the
- 28:48only word there. Adam, what's going on? Mark? What's going on?
- 28:51Mark? Absolutely bent on fire in all these streets Showdown? Every time
- 28:53I pull up the PGA discord something in the Showdown, Mark ship's ship and
- 28:57something big met him out here in Arizona. I hope you're doing well,
- 29:02my man. Let's talks and bats though on this ten game slates. Yeah,
- 29:06overview. I do think it's gonna be relatively spread out for bats.
- 29:10Cores obviously always get some, so I think the Padres against Feltoner one of
- 29:14the chalkier teams on the slates. Chicago good hitting weather today wins blowing out
- 29:18looks like roughly fifteen miles an hour. Think the Cubs against JP France.
- 29:22I think the Astros on the other side against Wigs get some ownership. Braves
- 29:26always gets some. They are expensive though, so like if you go King
- 29:30Pablo, like that's where people are gonna get the Acunias of the world,
- 29:34et cetera. But yeah, like, I don't think we just have one
- 29:37clear everyone's gonna go to this deck. I think Astros, Podres, Cubbies,
- 29:44and I guess Braves are the ones. Yeah, I mean Baltimore has
- 29:48been swinging. I guess a little better. I think those are the main
- 29:49stacks right there, though, and they're kind of all gonna eat into each
- 29:52other. So I say, right from the top, if there's one stat
- 29:56that you look at that's like, yeah, twins, I guess we'll get
- 29:59some. If there's one team you love today, whether it is Potter's,
- 30:02whether it is Cubs, Astros, just go way overweight. I think as
- 30:06an approach today, I don't think you worry about game theory and stack ownership
- 30:10enough on this slates since they all eaten eat into each other personally. So
- 30:15that being said, you rise in first game of the night, New York
- 30:18Yankees, Oakland Athletics, Marcus Stroman on the mound, Paul Blackburn on the
- 30:22other side. Eight total games in New York fifty five degrees. But you
- 30:26don't love to see Yankees and five for about four point eight runs authority right
- 30:32in this one. I don't love picking on Stroman. I'm not playing these
- 30:34a's. I really don't love picking on Paul Blackburn either. Normally he's in
- 30:38Oakland, but another better real life pitcher can keep the ball on the ground.
- 30:44I mean, with all that being said, though, if you want
- 30:45low owned Judge low owned, Sodo low owned, Stanton low owned, Rizzo,
- 30:49like, you're gonna get these guys low owned, and we know they
- 30:52do have obviously big time upsides, So any interests in these Yankees kind of
- 30:57contrarion. No, Blackburn's just a guy. He just doesn't get beat up
- 31:03that much. I mean, he's he's just a decent real life pitcher,
- 31:06not really a strike up pitcher, keeps a ball on the ground. But
- 31:08i'd you know, you can always play somebody like Judge or Stanton if that's
- 31:14where you want to go for some one offs. I'm just not interested.
- 31:15I'm not interested in any of the bats here in this game here either,
- 31:19So you know, sev Reno, I don't really like any Oakland bats.
- 31:23Nothing for me. I don't even really like any one offs in that game
- 31:26for Oakland. But you know, you could look at like I said,
- 31:30Judge or Stanton if you wanted to go there. I'm just not going to
- 31:33go there Blackburn. You know, he's mid twenty k rate. I mean,
- 31:40flyball rate is pretty low, ground ball rate's pretty high, doesn't get
- 31:44blown up. No reason to stack against a guy like that. Yeah,
- 31:47I mean, like I would go Sodo Judge one offs, maybe a Verdugo
- 31:52down below or something, but mini stack one offs at us. I'm not
- 31:55spending that much on Sodo and Judge. No, it does get your contrarion,
- 32:00no doubt about that. But like usually that's when if I'm playing the
- 32:02Braves, it's hard to go a five man Brave stack and leave off a
- 32:06Kunya and then play a Judge. Now you can do that again in King
- 32:09Line and Pablo Lopez King lineups. If you did something like that, like
- 32:14the Braves or the Padres, and you leave off to tease and you go
- 32:17Judge instead. Those are little ways to get different, but it is really
- 32:21hard to click that button. There's no doubt about leaving the best player off
- 32:23the stack to go to a random one off. It can work, obviously.
- 32:27Judges doubled on Upside, Soto et cetera six' two six y one,
- 32:30though it is most definitely up there not a game. I don't want
- 32:34much exposure to just Yankees at low ownership. Again for du Goo Soto Judge
- 32:40struggling so much. I mean they're hitting two hundred as a team in the
- 32:44last week with three homers. It's just kind of hard to click on that.
- 32:46It's not struggling besides Baltimore nowadays though none of these bass can wake up,
- 32:52that's true. We need to get a little bit warmer. You know,
- 32:53there's people saying, ah, it is the ball. You know they
- 32:57trying to you know, in the baseball and you know, try to you
- 33:00know, where are we going to get out of them humidors? Remember when
- 33:02that was up kind of like come on, let them hit the ball over
- 33:07the moon gets a ship. Yeah, we want to see some bombs.
- 33:09Let's get to this next game. Could see some bombs in this one.
- 33:13Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves seventy degrees, which sad to say, but seventy is
- 33:16one of the better game environments on the slate. Trevor Rodgers, Mats Freed
- 33:21on the mound eight and a half total five and a half. Almost the
- 33:24Braves are applied for Marlins, one of the lowest team totals on the slates.
- 33:29We talked about mattx Freed or you talked up of him a good bit,
- 33:32just a safe, safe pitcher. We don't love the k upside usually
- 33:36as much for him, very good in real life. Keep the ball on
- 33:37the ground. I'm not getting any of these Marlins, that's for sure.
- 33:43Trevor Rodgers, though not someone I love to pick on either as much.
- 33:45Really tough on lefties. So like the Matt Olsen's of the world and Michael
- 33:50Harris, they only have two lefties in their lineup or actually know the lineup,
- 33:53not even out yet. They're expected only have two lefties in the line
- 33:58of Olson Harris. Are you usually say you can play them to get different
- 34:00lefty Lefty I probably wouldn't even do that today as much. Travis Darnault,
- 34:06though everyone keeps talking about him. How do you not play him? One
- 34:08word baseball? But he is absolutely on fire. Yeah, it makes a
- 34:13lot of sense to click that name. He will get a little scene ownership
- 34:15though, Like everyone knows Travis Star knows is the hottest hitter in baseball right
- 34:20now, so people will click in regardless at a kind of tough cattri position.
- 34:24Yeah. To be honest, I don't love it, and you might
- 34:27be like, wow, title doesn't like the hottest hitter in baseball. Yeah,
- 34:30if he's gonna be like ten percent twelve percent just at the catcher position,
- 34:34I prefer to late really just to play him in stacks or nothing too
- 34:37much. Yeah, I don't know. What do you see? Trevor Rodgers
- 34:39not something I love picking on. But at the end of the day,
- 34:43seven runs for these Braves could be enough. Like yesterday, But if is
- 34:46out okay? Is it? Is it just Harris and Olsen? Yeah,
- 34:52they don't really have anybody else even really bounce in there. I know,
- 34:57especially with Alvinick. They're not gonna put kell Nick in there as Olson yet
- 35:00is just the ball in the seven just what we expected, Dusty Dusty Fletcher
- 35:06in the nine hole. Hey, that's all right, But you know,
- 35:09I mean, just as a rule of thumb, whenever I prefer to play
- 35:14braves against lefties, I mean, the braves absolutely destroy lefties. You know.
- 35:19Rogers. Sure in the past he hasn't been really a guy that gets
- 35:22blown up too much here, But man, this guy's fly ball percentage against
- 35:27righty's is almost at thirty percent. His hard hit rate is pretty high,
- 35:30forty one per man. I think a guy like Azunya today is gonna hit
- 35:35a bomb and probably hit two bombs. That was one guy there I'd have
- 35:38to have in my Atlanta stack today for sure. I definitely like me some
- 35:44or Zunia. I mean, he's gonna be hitting in front of dr not
- 35:46so. I mean, this guy here is gonna definitely see some pitches because
- 35:50you know, like you said, he's the hottest hitter in baseball right now.
- 35:52But I got I got corrected. Sorry, maybe maybe Marshall six numbers
- 35:58in ten games, but let's let's go back and look at some of the
- 36:00Is that the only six hits he's hit got? I don't know. I
- 36:02have to go back and look and Virshil is only like thirty seven hundred or
- 36:07something to which I don't understand either, but we'll get to that here coming
- 36:10up. But yeah, I mean Arcia gets a bump up there. He
- 36:14hits lefties pretty well. He's up there in the two hole, you know,
- 36:16the only one really struggling. Duval Lutt normally hits leftist pretty well.
- 36:21This guy, he just hasn't been hitting either right now, so maybe he
- 36:23writes the ship here today for them. But definitely like some braves. The
- 36:27Braves are one of my top stacks here today, probably my top three uh
- 36:30here today, But uh, yeah, I think there's a few teams here
- 36:34that can score some runs. Braves are obviously. I mean, I I
- 36:37think last week somebody put in the chat I gotta do stack the braves every
- 36:39day, and I've been winning money and uh for the most part, that's
- 36:44pretty much true, because I've been doing the same thing, uh pretty much
- 36:47every day. At least one of my three teams has definitely been a five
- 36:51man brave stack over on DK. Been doing fairly well. Last night,
- 36:53Like I said, I had five twins and three braves and did fairly well.
- 36:58But uh, yeah, I think definitely play a zunis my favorite bet
- 37:01here today. I like Garcia up there at the two hole as well.
- 37:05You can all go down to Harris if you want. But yeah, I
- 37:09think especially one through six is definitely interesting for me. Yeah. See I
- 37:16first of all, I played the Brads yesterday five man I did not win
- 37:19money, so confirmed it's not that that easy. You do have to get
- 37:22the right ones. It's easy for me though. David Fletcher's cheeks I did
- 37:27playing yesterday. If you want to throw them there, the nine hole felt
- 37:30the second base position in the stack at two point two k. I don't
- 37:32think it's crazy. But four to six Michael Harris, I wouldn't play him
- 37:36five nine Matt Olsen. And again this is more like on handbuilding one team,
- 37:39if you're playing twenty teams or one fifty or using an optimizer, he
- 37:44falls in there. Sure percent two percent Brads get to Rogers early and you
- 37:50get the bullpen like it obviously can work out, but on paper it's a
- 37:52much much more difficult matchup for the lefties. People will know that, and
- 37:57then if people go like five man Braids, they're gonna go Acuna r SI
- 38:02A'reiley, Ozuna, d'arnault, Duval some combination of them. And that's when
- 38:07I don't really want to go Lopez, King and those guys, because it's
- 38:12just too obvious. Most Brave stacks will have the same players. So if
- 38:15I'm gonna go Brads five man, I probably won't be playing King. If
- 38:20you don't love Lopez as much, maybe Yo Grayson is the pivot for Lopez
- 38:22and then go King or you go. People are still talking that San Fran
- 38:27game. If you want to go Savarino, Logan Web, five man,
- 38:30braids, something like that, because it's when we get to, like these
- 38:34cubs lineup one through nine, I think people are gonna stack. I don't
- 38:37think that's necessarily the case today with these lefties against the Leftian rogers. So
- 38:40just want to point that out. It's always how you play them. It's
- 38:45not you need to fade them. Just just know if they're Chalky, et
- 38:47cetera, mix and match playing in a sharp way where many aren't playing them.
- 38:52So yeah, definitely like the Braves, though top of the order,
- 38:55the righty's look really good. They are expensive. There's enough cheap pitchers on
- 39:00the slate to make it work. What's going on? King of Smack wins
- 39:04A lots in here, juice is in here. Hope you guys doing well.
- 39:07We got metro boom dropping some picture takes. I hope everybody out there
- 39:13having a great day. Like butt helps us out a ton. Subscribe button
- 39:15helps us out a ton. If you want to get to the top of
- 39:17the leaderboards, I heard just a little extra mojo, a little better chance.
- 39:22Get that ship a Nation logo on there that can ship you to the
- 39:24top of it. Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins seven total, and that
- 39:30is because Chicago like two point five runs. Man, You do not ever
- 39:35see that this lineup is Cheeks, Martem Model, Thanato, Dominic, Fletcher,
- 39:40Danny Mendick in the two hole, Nikki Lopez and the one hole.
- 39:44Yeah, I just played Pottle Lopez Minnesota side though Eric Fetti's cheeks too.
- 39:49Do you rise in now? You did make a good point. Though Twins
- 39:52were on the winter yesterday. You look at this lineup. Nobody above four
- 39:57point five k in this lineup. Bucks in the riffle at four to four
- 40:00looks crazy. Man, he has not been good. I don't love playing
- 40:04Carlos Santana this Kyle Farmer down there. I think a lot of people go
- 40:07to these Twins if they're going like a Grayson Rodriguez Pablo, if they want
- 40:13like a Chief Mini Stack to fill the lineup out. I don't know,
- 40:17man, I think these Twins will probably be overwhelmed after what happened yesterday.
- 40:21And I mean that, granted, this lineup's really not great either. Is
- 40:24this Twins lineup? So fifty five degrees? Not playing White Sox Fetty stinks?
- 40:30But I hope he is okay today because I don't really love these Twins
- 40:32personally. Yeah, Fetti was a guy used to pick on a couple of
- 40:36years ago. He goes over the KBO all of a sudden figures out how
- 40:39to strike out some guys. I mean his strikeout right right now is like
- 40:44twenty eight percent versus right He's he's down a pretty low number against lefties here.
- 40:49But yeah, you know, I'm not I don't have any interest in
- 40:52Fetti at all. The Twins don't interest me as much as they did yesterday.
- 40:57I do have some interest in them. I mean, maybe even if
- 40:59I played three teams. That's what I was trying to decide, because I
- 41:01think if you play some high end pitching. I think the Twins are gonna
- 41:05be really high owned just because how cheap they are. As you mentioned,
- 41:07I think they're a better play. Sorry, you're up, better play on
- 41:09FanDuel because there's so many cheap bats. I think you'll see the Twins a
- 41:14lot lower on on FanDuel as the fore man, because, like I said,
- 41:17like the Cubs are better priced, the Braids are a little better priced.
- 41:22The astro, like Draftkicks, has a little better pricing on hitters today,
- 41:24where I do think FanDuel and the SP two people are gonna punt SP
- 41:29two just go and Pablo, you need more. I do think you play
- 41:31it more on fandle that they're better. Yeah, that's a pretty good point.
- 41:36They will be probably not as chocky over there on fandom. That's a
- 41:38good one. But uh yeah, I mean the top. I mean,
- 41:42Julian's the guy that I really like. That dude is huge. I went
- 41:45to a Twins game last year and that guy was humongous man, and you
- 41:47could hear him hitting the ball. It was like this guy the sound off
- 41:51his bat was. I mean, that guy can hit the shit out of
- 41:53a baseball. I had a homer yesterday. But yeah, I think he's
- 41:58a guy i'd be looking at here. I mean, Lefty, Righty larnuck.
- 42:00He's pretty cheap, you know. It was a twenty eight hundred cure
- 42:04off thirty nine hundred up at the top. I mean, this whole lineup
- 42:07is pretty cheap. Uh, definitely like them yesterday. Not so I'm not
- 42:12sure today. Like, the Twins are kind of finicky for me. You
- 42:15know, they're not going to be a power for offense all year. I
- 42:19feel like if it's like I threw the dart yesterday and hit it, you
- 42:22know, it's like, man, it's just that that bullseye gets real small
- 42:24when it's a twin. Sometimes I just I kind of worry about it.
- 42:29Maybe I'm just kind of fearful from last year. Like that's one thing with
- 42:32like baseball DFS, when you start doing a couple of things and it burns
- 42:36you a few times in a row, you remember, you know, like
- 42:38especially when you're playing for you know, one hundred odds some days out of
- 42:42whatever how many days there are baseball throughout the season here. But man,
- 42:46I don't know, Man, the Twins are kind of scaring me just because
- 42:50they're starting to get some ownership. I want to play the Twins when nobody's
- 42:52on the Twins, you know, like when everybody's on the Twins, it
- 42:54just kind of worries me a little bit. And I just it just seems
- 42:58like this baseball season has been fading. The chalk and pitching hitting like nothing
- 43:02has really chalky has not been the way to go so far this year.
- 43:07So yeah, I think the Twins could be pretty popular today. I'm just
- 43:12I think I'm gonna bail. Yeah. The thing is, like I wish,
- 43:16to be honest, I wish I had a better read an ownership on
- 43:19this slate, like most lates has pretty obviously come on Cubbs, Podreys,
- 43:24Houston by far the top three. You play anyone but those three, they're
- 43:28gonna be eight percent or low or whatever it may be. I don't know,
- 43:31Like, to be honest, I don't know about the Twins. Like
- 43:36the names aren't great, the prices are very good, but it's not like
- 43:39people really might jam in double spen pitching at the end of the day.
- 43:44I think if you think Twins get a little overlooked, I think you play
- 43:46them if you think they come in at like twelve ten percent stack ownership.
- 43:52That's too high for me. And with these prices, with what they did
- 43:54yesterday, I think the top of the order does all get decent amount of
- 43:59ownership. I'm order not so much, but I don't really want to be
- 44:01playing a three man Carlos Santana, Kyle Farmer, Christian Basquez if I'm playing
- 44:07the Twins necessarily, so yeah, more so I'm out on them. I
- 44:09think again, fan duel a little better or yeah, one off mini stack
- 44:15to make a lineup work would make some sense there. Yes, you can
- 44:19go with Squid saying there, you know the reason why I'm playing Fetti.
- 44:22He scares me about Fetti. I kind of dove into is this is low
- 44:24k rate against the Twins and all the Twins powers from the left side.
- 44:28So that's what kind of worries me a little bit there, especially with you
- 44:31know, Julian Kepler. I just I don't know, I just think that's
- 44:36just a little bit more risky if he had, you know, if it
- 44:38was a bunch of righty dominated lineup, and the Twins absolutely suck against right
- 44:44handed pitching, so I mean they do k quite a bit. He just
- 44:46doesn't have a high enough k rate for me against lefties. But I would
- 44:51have had some interest in Fetti if if that k rate was a little higher.
- 44:55Yeah, makes some sense. I agree that. I agree too.
- 44:58Yep. Cathler back helps back yesterday did pretty solid. Twins ain't gonna do
- 45:01nothing usually, donn lsu So yeah, I'm fine fading the twins as well.
- 45:07Let's keep it going next game. Still plenty to talk about. Ten
- 45:09games on this late Toronto Blue Jays, Kansas City Royals, pretty good hitting
- 45:14weather, seventy degrees in KC, eight and a half total, Kevin Gossman,
- 45:19Michael Waka on the mound. This is one of those games where I
- 45:22mean I liked Gossman a little bit because the upside five and a half k
- 45:25prop minus one fifty on the over. But he's been hit around a little
- 45:29bit to start the year. These Royals, like Bobby Witt, can always
- 45:34play in a great short stole, has all the upside in the world left,
- 45:37he said Gossman better vindp in the three hole. MJ. Melendez Salvey's
- 45:40got pop first base catcher eligibility, and Nelson Blasquez someone I like to play,
- 45:45so I don't mind that middle of the order two through six. If
- 45:50Renfro's in there as well, his bell if he's in the nine hole,
- 45:52he can throw him in at one percent ownership in a five man stack,
- 45:57I mainly prefer Minisack and I mainly want to power Hunts in the middle of
- 46:00the order. But yeah, I don't think those guys are crazy. I
- 46:04Ben he means the one thats the Bobby wit Salvi's in there Toronto. I
- 46:07definitely have more interest in Waka. He's just and definitely let's up fly balls.
- 46:13I prefer left these a little bit, even though this is a right
- 46:15handed, heavy, right handed Toronto lineup, which is why I don't love
- 46:19it. Then you got varshow someone mentioned them earlier. Definitely looks like a
- 46:22great play Laddy. I think Laddy gets a little bit of ownership though.
- 46:28Four point seven k you're talking about like a price that stands out Boba Schett.
- 46:31Four point four k is cheap spring or four to four. These blue
- 46:36Jays are cheap guaranteed nine thingy at that's pretty good hitting whether yeah, I
- 46:40mean, if they're coming in five percent steck ownership six percent, I can
- 46:45get behind some of them. But I think Vladdie bo. I think those
- 46:47guys get Steen maybe Springer in the one hole var shows three to four,
- 46:52like people are definitely gonna play him. I guess, talk to me what
- 46:55you think about where the Blue Jays fall in line in terms of ownership.
- 46:59There's Dames, twenty teams, Coursefield, Chicago. I guess they might have
- 47:05to get overlooked a little bit and then I would have some interest in some
- 47:07Blue Jays. So yeah, right now, I like the blue Jays ministack
- 47:10for Casey if not playing Gossman in the heart of the order, what about
- 47:15you? Yeah, I'm not really a fan of this Blue Jay team.
- 47:19They haven't really been able to put it together really all that much here this
- 47:22year. But you know, you talk about Waka Waka, you just look
- 47:25at his numbers. His his fly ball percentage is pretty high to a lefties,
- 47:32but his fly ball percentage to righty's is only twenty two percent. He's
- 47:37got a ground ball rate of fifty one percent against righty's, which pretty much
- 47:40just Toronto lineup is righty dominated. I mean, if you wanted to look,
- 47:45ver Show is definitely one of the you know we mentioned earlier, six
- 47:47homers in his last ten games. He's pretty cheap over there on DK.
- 47:51I don't mind throwing him in, you know, like an MMA pool,
- 47:53maybe using him as a one off if you wanted to go there, if
- 47:55you needed an outfielder. But uh, you know, just isn't a guy
- 48:00that I normally like to pick on too much, just because he's just an
- 48:05old, wily veteran. Just doesn't seem to get beat up all that much.
- 48:07And Toronto right now just isn't putting it together as a team. I
- 48:10was just trying to see what they were hitting here recently together as a team
- 48:15in the last seven days. They're they're not doing too bad two forty one,
- 48:20but uh yeah, I just Toronto just isn't getting it done at this
- 48:23point for me. So I'm gonna stay off of that now. That Kansas
- 48:28City I think is interesting. Bobby Witt. I mean you gotta consider him
- 48:30almost every day. I mean, these Royals have been literally probably you know,
- 48:37the team that stands out the most of you know, which came kind
- 48:38of are surprising, especially in the DFS world. Been on a lot of
- 48:43team winning lineups here recently, a lot of the Royals, so you know,
- 48:45definitely been warming up to the Royals here. I mean, I I'll
- 48:49admit, there's a lot of teams I put on my do not play list,
- 48:52and uh, you know, unless it's just an extreme situation where the
- 48:55slate just you know, moves you that way, and the Royals on that
- 49:00list, you know, like they just didn't seem to hit as enough homers
- 49:04for me as a team. And I'm still kind of skeptical a little bit.
- 49:07But yeah, Varshow is definitely a guy you could look at here.
- 49:10But as far as a full stack, maybe a mini stack, I might
- 49:14be a little bit more interested in Schneider Mike. You know, you might
- 49:17want to go the five to six route if you wanted to go down there.
- 49:22I wouldn't probably go much further down than Schneider if you wanted to throw
- 49:25in Guerrero and then bounce down a little bit, if you wanted to do
- 49:29that with three man. But yeah, I think mini stack for both are
- 49:34in play for me. I wouldn't full stack either. I think both are
- 49:37though in play for mini stacks, Yeah, that makes sense. I have
- 49:40a little more I think interest in the Blue Jays guaranteed nineteen at bat.
- 49:44They're chief you can fit like a. Graysonnriguez, Pablo five Man. Yeah,
- 49:49I definitely look at Weather solid hitting Weather. I always like to guarantee
- 49:52nineth any at bats. They got some pop in the lineup. And now
- 49:54talk about another team that lets me down into on the Blue Jays. But
- 49:58the end of the day, who has them on me down to start this
- 50:00year? Finance sashing at all? These teams have been pretty rough pitchings dominated
- 50:05Svan Gross for bats and I do think they come in lower owned. So
- 50:07out of all the games we talked about so far, I think that's my
- 50:12sneaky game if I had to pick one, I do have some interest in
- 50:14Gossman. We talked about the cases for the Royals. They like to run
- 50:17as well, Like Bobby Wits got forty point upside that very few have on
- 50:22this lay at Kunya obviously there's a couple of guys out there. He can
- 50:25get it done in every way. Power in the middle of the order of
- 50:28the Blue Jays have power as well. I think walk is just and so
- 50:32yeah, a low key game. If you're going to surround chalk is how
- 50:36I look at this game right here? Next game, talk about some chalk
- 50:38we're gonna get some chalk bats in this one. Houston Astro Chicago Cups,
- 50:43JP Frans Jordan Wicks only sixty degrees in Chicago, but wins blowing directly out
- 50:49at fifteen miles an hour Wrigley Wig game ten total in this one fits the
- 50:54heart of summer, and it's like eighty degrees there. You're looking at twelve
- 50:58and a half or something right here. JP Frans, JP Franz reverse splitz.
- 51:02So you prefer the rights, but I still you can play Cody Dollinger,
- 51:07you can play talk me and Bush, et cetera. Prefer the rights
- 51:09though on that side. Jordan Wicks though more of a wildcard man lefty,
- 51:15so I definitely prefer. I don't know, man, his splits actually look
- 51:19pretty neutral as well. The sample isn't as big as hit big on on
- 51:22Wicks. So talk about talk about these astros. First, they're going to
- 51:25get some ownership, no doubt about that club's going to get some ownership.
- 51:30It's almost like these two. I wouldn't even be surprised to see higher own
- 51:34than than the podres. Talk to me on that, because yeah, people,
- 51:37everyone's met chirping Pottery's in our in our chats Feldner is not terrible.
- 51:43Astros have a higher team are about the same Cubs a little less, but
- 51:46the pricing, the Cubs are cheaper for the most part than uh than these
- 51:51Potters. So I guess this bottom the order is absolutely free for the Potters.
- 51:54Yeah, I don't know. Talk talk about this game and how they
- 51:58rank amongst the pods is just like favorite stacks on the slate. If ownership
- 52:01wasn't a thing, is it in this game? Yeah? I mean you
- 52:07could both sides of this game. Is interesting. He's got the highest total
- 52:09ten and a half wind blown out. Earlier in the day, it was
- 52:13actually up in the twenties. It was supposed to be blown out. I
- 52:15know you mentioned that that kind of died down a little bit. But you
- 52:19know, you look at this Houston side against the lefty Jordan Wicks. You
- 52:22know, Alvarez and Tucker absolutely smashed lefties. Both of them can just crush
- 52:27lefty, So definitely keep them in your stacks. I wouldn't worry about that.
- 52:31The only guy I'm really concerned about is Bregman. Bregman can't seem to
- 52:34hit a beach ball to save his life here. Recently, Diaz is definitely
- 52:37interesting. Penny is interesting. I like McCormick down there in the bottom part
- 52:42of that lineup also, So yeah, definitely Houston is a team that I
- 52:46am interested in here today. I like Houston Bats. I like the other
- 52:50side too, with the Cubs Bats. I think the Cubs are definitely,
- 52:53as you mentioned, they're going to be a cheap stack. Definitely somewhere I'm
- 52:57gonna want to be looking at here France, as you mentioned, reverse Splitz,
- 53:00tight pitcher, the righty's you know you got Horner Morale. Bush has
- 53:05been smacking the ship out of the ball here recently. So definitely like me
- 53:09some Bush who doesn't like Bush, right, I like Bush Beer, I
- 53:13like Bush wherever I got Bush. So, but yeah, give me some
- 53:20Cubbies. I think this game here, you're sitting at a ten and a
- 53:22half. I mean, you could even probably gamestack this one if you wanted
- 53:25to. Would be something you could look at here. But Cubs, I
- 53:29think you're gonna be a pretty popular stack. You know, are we talking
- 53:31who's gonna be the chalkiest stack? It could be the Cubs. I think
- 53:35they're in play for that here. It could be one really, I mean,
- 53:39along with the padres if if they're gonna if you want to go there,
- 53:44but uh yeah, I mean, hey, we like to have fun
- 53:46here. Yeah it's fun. I mean I could talk Bush all day,
- 53:53can be talking with each other. Oh man, that was pretty funny tweet
- 53:58though, And I know he caught a lot of shit for that. He
- 54:01actually stole that from somebody. I forgot who he stole that from. But
- 54:06man AB's Twitter account lately, I don't even know if that's him. That's
- 54:09like I'm debating if that's even him. Somebody said he stole who knows,
- 54:15but it could be him, CT, ESPN, whatever the hell they call
- 54:19it. But uh yeah, funny crapy, Well yeah, Garcia, baby
- 54:23what about I don't know if you followed all that people, Uh, he
- 54:27was going down as a thing too, and then he he's talking crazy and
- 54:30who knows what's all true what's not? The line goes crazy, that's two
- 54:34mil to win twelve mil on himself. With that line going like that,
- 54:37he's either a million IQ and he's too sharp or yeah he was sharp right
- 54:42there. But yeah, that's that's on another point. So how we got
- 54:44from Bush to ad to that? But yeah, it's good times. You
- 54:47never know where this show may be, especially if I have a safety meeting
- 54:51before the show. My brain goes one way and then it goes another way
- 54:53sometimes, and hey, that's how it works, man, that's life,
- 54:57baby, that's life. Always gotta have fun to keep it relaxed. Good
- 55:00to see you, Jordan. Hey, you weren't relaxed and amazing Jordan got
- 55:05him safety meetings. Nah, I got he was. Yeah, he was
- 55:07grinding, popped in, ready to get up there in the MLB leader boards.
- 55:12I know, be in the NBA streets as well. Good as see
- 55:15you. Though Jordan's I think someone said, oh, there you go.
- 55:19Someone else thinks he took over AB's account. Man, A d would have
- 55:22to sell that for a lot of cheese. Though, if he's getting framed
- 55:25the people, he probably don't even know what's happening. Man, I dude,
- 55:29probably don't even know. Gosh, I had plenty of safety. Don't
- 55:34worry about that. Jordan's in the safety meetings. Let's keep it rolling.
- 55:37That Astro's Cubs game is gonna be I think the strows are probably the highest.
- 55:42I don't know, man, people still don't love Lefty. Lefty and
- 55:45Tucker Albarez expensive a'ltu bay, but with Michael King down there, I do
- 55:50think Astro's Cubs is probably the most chalky game, honest late, even over
- 55:53Coors if I have a guess, but it is all relatively close. Again,
- 55:58I don't have a strong lean ownership. Now at ten and a half,
- 56:00all the optimizers are going to push people to Cubs. I mean,
- 56:04actually, yea, I'm glad you said that. I'm not saying wins blowing.
- 56:07And now again I'm not a weather man. Though all I did is
- 56:09I went to look at the total and it's now ten and a half,
- 56:13so I think if it was blowing and now we'd be looking at like a
- 56:16nine or something like that. So I assume it is still blowing out,
- 56:20but definitely worth taking a look at that. Do the A's get to Stroman.
- 56:24We'll talk about Stroman and the A's in a sec rick. Next game
- 56:28on the slate, Arizona Diamondback Saint Louis Cardinals eight and a half total,
- 56:31Tommy Henry, Stephen Matt's on the mound, sixty degrees in Saint Louis.
- 56:37I don't know, man, these Cardinals have been bad. Goldie Finally got
- 56:40one out yesterday. Aeronato against the lefty. Yeah, probably the middle of
- 56:45the order, Catreris against the lefty, Aeronado against the lefty, Goldie against
- 56:51the lefty. Don't love playing lefty. Lefty Tommy Henry is not good by
- 56:54any means. But man, these Cardinals aren't good either. Ge Rysen just
- 57:00mini stack in the middle of the order. For me, it's hard to
- 57:01get behind. It's hard to really see the Cardinals being on the winner in
- 57:05a five man stack at the end of the day on this ten game slate,
- 57:07is how I see it. So how do you see it? Yeah,
- 57:09I'm not a fan of the Cardinals. Actually, the Cardinals been a
- 57:13team that I've been kind of chasing around yesterday. Yesterday, I like that
- 57:15Brandon paf piff Path whatever his name is. I can't say. I can't
- 57:21say that dude's name, but gotta be fought. It's all of like correct,
- 57:23Brandon fo that's one I think I know, Paft whatever. But uh,
- 57:29I mean, the Cardinals are hitting one ninety in the last week with
- 57:31two homers. I mean they can't hit their way out of a damn paper
- 57:34bag. Which you're right, Goldsman, absolutely smoked a shit out of that
- 57:37one yesterday. But yeah, I got no interest in these Cardinals now.
- 57:42I think, you know, on the low end side here, I think
- 57:45these Arizona Bats might be a little bit interesting against matt I think you could
- 57:51definitely go there. I mean, Christian Walker is a guy that that I'd
- 57:54be looking at Gerry Els with smashing the shit out of it like Eugeno.
- 57:59You know, Marinos struggle a little bit, but Gritchik hits uh left as
- 58:02well. So Arizona's a team that I think is not getting talked about that
- 58:07you could definitely play. But uh yeah, Christian Walker is probably one of
- 58:12my top one off guys here today. He's going to be super super low
- 58:16on. Yeah. I mean if you get at moreno blaze at shortstops down
- 58:22below, I guess I don't mind some of them. You don't want to
- 58:24five man against Matts, No, I want the right I think I ministack,
- 58:29but I do like more one Austin. I keep finding myself liking some
- 58:32of these d Backs. One I gury Yell is not a bad play,
- 58:36But uh yeah, I think the d Backs are definitely interesting here today.
- 58:39Yeah, Mo Reno, good call. Enter my team is Moreno in the
- 58:43two hole, looks definitely good at three point ak both catchers in this game.
- 58:46Last time he went the two hole, wasn't it last week? And
- 58:49we talked about guys line up in Moreno. Somebody said Marino can't hit shit
- 58:53moving a two hole. He gets three hits that day. So you know,
- 58:58I like when managers move guys up in the bottom of the lineup in
- 59:00the tool because they know the dude behind the scenes is working at it and
- 59:04they want to give them a couple extra at bats. Yeah, one through
- 59:07six, you want the right You want righties against Matts. You got six
- 59:09righties right there one through six. I don't want Pavin Smith. Yeah no,
- 59:14not at first. I played walker Jake McCarthy down there, Newman's cheeks.
- 59:17I guess it fills out second short stop. And again I'm saying this
- 59:21like handbuilding. If you're playing twenty teams or one hundred and fifty teams and
- 59:24you land on a Pavin Smith or anybody really in a five man stat even
- 59:29though you don't Matt. Also we talked about earlier, just go with it
- 59:31like it's baseball, especially if your five man set gets there that very well,
- 59:36could mean they get to the starting pitcher in the first couple innings,
- 59:39you get a whole game of the bullpen and you're down eight to nothing.
- 59:43You're not the other team's not gonna be trying to play matchups righty, left,
- 59:45eas et cetera. They're gonna throw their bad arms try and get by
- 59:49with the day. Then the one percent two percent that had the wrong split
- 59:52before has the right splits against for majority of their bats. So again,
- 59:57this is just more matchups on paper handbuilding. I much prefer one through six
- 1:00:01if I am playing the d Backs, you prefer it as a mini stack
- 1:00:05though still only fifty five degrees sixty degrees in Saint Louis. And you said
- 1:00:10you didn't you prefer d Backs off the Cardinals side, Just oh yeah,
- 1:00:14I wouldn't stack the Cardinals for I mean, they're down there in the Indians
- 1:00:17range. I wouldn't stack the Cardinals to save from my life. For shit,
- 1:00:22I'm out, No way am I stacking the Cardinals? Can they until
- 1:00:24they can put a good week together? Like I said, they're hitting one
- 1:00:28ninety as a team, and I'm not going there. I'm not playing any
- 1:00:31team like that. But yeah, as I said, d backs. I
- 1:00:34think that one might be my sneaker of the day. All right, all
- 1:00:37right, that's the sneaky end of the day. I like it. We
- 1:00:39got four games left. Some of these will be quick. Right here,
- 1:00:44Mick, excuse me, Marritors, Rangers nine total, Gilberts, dang dumbing
- 1:00:47on the mound. I'll throw it right to you in this one because you
- 1:00:51did have some interest in day. You got interest in both pictures. Dunning
- 1:00:53is the cheap one. Gilbert you didn't love as much because the price,
- 1:00:57but he's been really good to start the year. I just don't love picking
- 1:01:00on Texas and the prices he was around. I preferred Rodriguez, Pablo,
- 1:01:05etc. For the upside. Not a game. I really love the bats,
- 1:01:09but man, it's gonna be super super low owned. Let these do
- 1:01:13get Dunning. So if I want to play anybody, JP Crawford in the
- 1:01:15one hole. And yeah, unfortunately this freaking Seattle team is full of righty's.
- 1:01:21I don't love righteys against Dunning as much, so yeah, you just
- 1:01:24hope you walk some matters. I think let's up some or lets up guys
- 1:01:29on base. And then a couple singles doubles, et cetera. To get
- 1:01:32Dunning out of there is how I see it, but not a game.
- 1:01:35I really love bats by any means. Yeah, I'm not a fan of
- 1:01:37any of the bats here either. I like both pictures. I think Dunning
- 1:01:42is like I mentioned earlier, I think that's my sneaky picture of the day
- 1:01:45too. I like his k prop at the price you're sitting there. He's
- 1:01:49sitting there at sitting at five and a half. I think that's interesting.
- 1:01:52I actually already bet on that too, five and a half k prop when
- 1:01:55I was doing some research. I thought, you know, see I was
- 1:01:59been striking out quite especially against Righty's, so I already bet on that when
- 1:02:02I was worried that would get up to maybe six and a half, which
- 1:02:05it didn't happen. But uh, yeah, I'm not a not a fan.
- 1:02:08But you know, in a normal circumstance where we wouldn't you know,
- 1:02:13I guess there's ten games. So if there was maybe six or seven games
- 1:02:17and with Dunning, that would be a perfect opportunity to hedge and stack against
- 1:02:22Dunning, you know what I mean. Like Seattle's actually the last week been
- 1:02:25hitting it pretty decent. But you know, I just I think Dunning is
- 1:02:31is just a good play here today. But if you're a M M E
- 1:02:35ing and don't be afraid to play Dunning, and I wouldn't be afraid necessarily
- 1:02:37to even stack against him as well, So you know, if you wanted
- 1:02:42to go that route, I'm not saying Dunning isn't going to be popular enough
- 1:02:45for to really get some major leverage off that. So you know, I'm
- 1:02:50not really a fan of it, you know, just because there isn't enough
- 1:02:53games. I think if there wasn't as many games, I think, you
- 1:02:55know, you might see Donning with a little bit more ownership. But with
- 1:03:00King in there, I think that's gonna take a lot of that ownership away.
- 1:03:04But a lot of times, if I think a pitcher is like a
- 1:03:07lights out kind of guy, like a sev Reno, like sometimes I just
- 1:03:10like to hedge it the other way. And you know, and I'm not
- 1:03:13saying play one hundred dollars worth against that, you know, throwing a fifteen
- 1:03:15dollars lineup against them, you know that That's what I'm talking about, because
- 1:03:20you know, if if that goes off and he's a chalky pitcher, you
- 1:03:22know, you're gonna be the leverage is severe. So I do like situations
- 1:03:27like that and not saying that's today, but I just bringing it up just
- 1:03:30because of you know, Texas has got a lot of power and Dunning.
- 1:03:35You know he can he can get blown up, but I also think he
- 1:03:37could most some of these guys down here today, I'll definitely yeah a piggyback
- 1:03:43on that. I brought it up with Kuchi in the past. I brought
- 1:03:45up with a little Gossman today, Like I like Gosslin a little bit.
- 1:03:47But if you're playing twenty teams in non gossipin lineups, you can play the
- 1:03:52other team like it's you're building a portfolio. Trying to take as less risk
- 1:03:58as possible. Is still the most up side, and baseball is the most
- 1:04:00varying sport out there. Like there's you run this slate today a thousand times.
- 1:04:06There's plenty of slates where Dunning's on the winner, and there's plenty of
- 1:04:09slates we're Dunning get shelled and then Seattle's on the winner. Like that is
- 1:04:13just baseball. Do not be scared just because you love a pitcher, like
- 1:04:16I'm not going to play the White Sox against Papo Lopez to day. If
- 1:04:19that's you, you want to do it. But just yeah, if you
- 1:04:21build a portfolio and you're playing ten twenty thirty teams, don't be scared of
- 1:04:27you play some goss and you play some of the other side, you play
- 1:04:30some Dunning, you play some Mariners and do it because you think, yeah,
- 1:04:32Dunning if he does walk a lot of guys like you can see the
- 1:04:36Mariners been hitting the ball pretty well. If you can see it both sides.
- 1:04:40I think I knew it personally, like one hundred percent. I played
- 1:04:44some Lanceln yesterday, played some debats on the adit to do that against Yeah,
- 1:04:47lance Lynn is a perfect example that guy can mow down eight guys and
- 1:04:50still give up three bombs. Yep. Yeah, So stuff like that for
- 1:04:55sure, do not be scared about that. In baseball one bit, three
- 1:04:58games left. G rise and appreciate everyone hanging one hundred and sixty people watching
- 1:05:01live, no watch on playback as well, say two seconds out of the
- 1:05:05day, like button hops us out a time, subscribe, button hops us
- 1:05:09out a time, and if you want to join us at the Nation weekly,
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- 1:05:16options include the discord, huge piece of our product, and you can use
- 1:05:20the promo code who fifteen to get you fifteen percent off MFL. You see
- 1:05:26right there. Not going on yet. Can't wait for the draft though,
- 1:05:29NBA going on, PGA going on, MMA going on, NHL going on,
- 1:05:31MLB going on, NASCAR going on. That's a lot of cheese right
- 1:05:35there. And I will say stuff like college football, spring games, smarty,
- 1:05:41I see posting a core in the discord for that very sharp member,
- 1:05:45tennis, some e sports, very knowledgeable people. That's not what we charge
- 1:05:48for a product. We do have Discord channels in there, though people are
- 1:05:51talking about it. Kim Helps in soccer drops her stuff. So many sharp
- 1:05:56members talking game theory, talking to other sports. Just an awfume some community
- 1:06:00in the discord. And I will say mainly my guy Sally out there,
- 1:06:04but a couple people. There is a Tilt Nation discord piece we have in
- 1:06:08there as well. If you're not feeling your golfer is going awful, your
- 1:06:12gig guy gets hurt, don't put it in the main channels, put it
- 1:06:14in the Tilt Nation channels. Three games left g Rise in Coors Field,
- 1:06:17San Diego, Pottery's Colorado Rockies Mike King, Ryan Feltner on the mound nine
- 1:06:23and a half total sixty degrees in Colorado. Colorado's gonna be low owned.
- 1:06:29So if you want to take a chance on them, Michael, Actually,
- 1:06:31I will say this right now. I like Colorado for the simple fact Michael
- 1:06:35King's gonna get ownership. I'm always a sucker for coovers Field and the Rockies
- 1:06:40bats are gonna be very low owned. Now they're lining up stinks, so
- 1:06:43that's the problem right there. Nolan Jones would be one of my favorites.
- 1:06:46Nickmahon, Charlie Blackman, Diaz at the catcher position. I do like it
- 1:06:51the park thought and leverage off a chalky pitcher. So I'm in for some
- 1:06:56of the Rockies. More likely than not they put up two runs. Do
- 1:06:59you lose your mind? Sobeit when they do win, you win all the
- 1:07:02cheese padres though I don't know, I'll that you talk about them. Feels
- 1:07:05like everyone doesn't want to play them. So if everyone's gonna go like Astro's
- 1:07:10Cubs and this game gets or Potters gets a little overlook the fourth hiest Own
- 1:07:15stack or something on the slates, I'm a sucker for it, but there
- 1:07:18is no Machado. The bottom of the lineup looks bad. I get it,
- 1:07:21I get the concern. How do you see it? Yeah? You
- 1:07:26know, I mean this game started out at ten and a half in Vegas,
- 1:07:29got bet down to nine and a half. You know, you're we're
- 1:07:30talking a corse Field game that lost the run. I mean, how you
- 1:07:34don't see that that often? I think that just has something to do with,
- 1:07:38you know, the burn last night of the Padres. I mean,
- 1:07:41only getting his three runs, very very weak. But uh yeah, without
- 1:07:45Machado. I mean, Machado is one of the main cogs in this lineup.
- 1:07:48I just I'm not a fan of playing this team right now. The
- 1:07:53Padres just not hitting very well overall as a team. Feldner is a guy,
- 1:07:57though. I mean, this dude's k rate's been up there here recently.
- 1:08:00I mean he's got thirty k rate against lefties. He's got twenty five
- 1:08:04percent k rate so far this year against righties. You know, I I'm
- 1:08:10not gonna play him. I mean, I'm not interested in playing them.
- 1:08:13I just don't think the Padres are gonna get to him. I I just
- 1:08:15don't I just don't see it, but it is Corsefield, sure, you
- 1:08:19know it is the best well the best park obviously for us to play.
- 1:08:24I mean, if this game is in San Diego, you know, I
- 1:08:27think this game is what a seven and a half maybe an eight game,
- 1:08:31you know, possibly, So I don't really have any interest. I'm not
- 1:08:35interested. I mean, if you want to talk one as I'm from the
- 1:08:38Rocky side, I think Blackman at the top of that lineup, maybe Nolan
- 1:08:41Jones. It would would be somebody I'd look at if you wanted to go
- 1:08:45there. I mean, the leverage would be absolutely huge if you If black
- 1:08:48Men hits a dong, especially over there on DK because he's I think King's
- 1:08:53gonna be pretty popular. So black Men, if you're not going King,
- 1:08:56I think black Men be a guy might look at for a one off.
- 1:09:00My team's here tonight. Yeah, And I will say I like, by
- 1:09:02far the Rockies way more on DraftKings than Fandle because of the leverage. Do
- 1:09:05not like the Rockies much on Fando one pitcher site, Pablo Lopez will be
- 1:09:11the guy two pitcher site. King's gonna get a lot more ownership, and
- 1:09:14that's where you get the direct leverage. You get the coors Field aspect again.
- 1:09:17King coming off a monster performance but struggled a little bit early. Nolan
- 1:09:21Jones, McMahon, black Vin Diaz. I'm interested in some of these lefties,
- 1:09:27but I will I will warn you a lot of the year the opposite
- 1:09:30side at coors Field. It usually is opposite side of the chalk at coors
- 1:09:33Field. There's almost always is these Rockies because they stink. I play it
- 1:09:38more than I should, and I like it even more. I play it
- 1:09:42more than I should. But it's where you actually get leverage off a pitcher
- 1:09:45because people don't like paying pitchers in coors Field. Now you get one of
- 1:09:48those rare double dip opportunities. Yeah, that's all I'm gonna say there.
- 1:09:53That's a good point about the leverage. You don't get that that off an
- 1:09:56in course, you don't see too many. And you know what, though,
- 1:09:59weight see it a little bit more than we have in the past,
- 1:10:00just because the Rocky sucks so bad. But yeah, that's a good point
- 1:10:04about getting the leverage off King there. But as I said, I think
- 1:10:08Blackman for me is one of the top one offs in the whole slate.
- 1:10:12Yeah, that's all I mean I'm not gonna keep talking about them though.
- 1:10:15It is the Rockies. At the end of the day, Yeah, more
- 1:10:17than likely they probably bust. But when they don't, you got a chance
- 1:10:19to win all the cheese. Two games left, Gee rise in Baltimore,
- 1:10:24Oreos, Los Angeles Angels eight and a half total sixty degrees, Grayson Rodriguez,
- 1:10:29Griffin, Canning on the mound. I like Baltimore, No Angels for
- 1:10:32me as far as the Baltimore side against Canning. Canning, Man, dude,
- 1:10:39these Baltimore. They can hit. This line up top to bottom,
- 1:10:42can hit. The pricing is fair, late night hammer not the best hitting
- 1:10:46weather. But yeah, I don't There's plenty of other games I didn't really
- 1:10:50like on this slates. I like Baltimore guarantee ninth that he had bad.
- 1:10:56I think one through nine is firmly in play. They don't break the bank.
- 1:10:59Only two guys Gunner above five k if this has been hurt, that
- 1:11:03guy's in the lineup. Only two four Jackson Holidays down there at three five.
- 1:11:09Yeah, one through nine, I think this lineups said play one of
- 1:11:12my favorite stacks. I'm gonna O's can hit, the Orioles can hit and
- 1:11:15a lot of these teams haven't been hitting, so I'll ride a hot team.
- 1:11:17What about you, man? The Orioles are probably my favorite stack here
- 1:11:23today. They're they're as you mentioned. Oh gosh, hold on, though,
- 1:11:26hold on, this is what I hate. I love the o's.
- 1:11:28You love the o's. Don't know how you don't like the o's. O's
- 1:11:30for the money, I will say. I bet we've been around too long
- 1:11:33to you rise and somehow everyone likes this. It usually doesn't end up well,
- 1:11:39that's all I have to say. Hey, that's all right, man,
- 1:11:41The O'SO. I mean, the numbers don't lie, dude. They're
- 1:11:44They're second in the MLB in the last week and slugging. They've been hitting
- 1:11:46the ship out of it. Jackson Holliday isn't looking too good. He's not,
- 1:11:50but you know what, Jacks recently, he's gonna you know, he's
- 1:11:55gonna find it. That kid's too good. But Santander's been hitting the ship
- 1:11:59out. I like Ryan Hearn there. I mean, all these lefties here
- 1:12:01against Griffin, Cannon, Mullins, Kwser Westburg's been hitting the ball pretty well.
- 1:12:05So Gunnar Henderson at the top of that line up. Man short stops
- 1:12:09absolutely loaded here today for sure, But man, Orioles for me one of
- 1:12:15my favorite stacks. You know, as the day went on, I woke
- 1:12:16up a little early. I was looking at baseball like eight this morning over
- 1:12:19here in Eastern time zone. You're you're in bad title, your thought?
- 1:12:24I actually yeah, I was five Fifteen's the arm over here, big man.
- 1:12:29I was looking at it, and I was thinking, Man, the
- 1:12:30Oriole is going to be a little sneaky here today. You know, it's
- 1:12:32sitting at an eight and a half game total. I thought, maybe I
- 1:12:35get some Orioles pretty cheap today, and I kind of I'm kind of realizing
- 1:12:40that going to be the case. But I do like the Orioles here today.
- 1:12:44I think the Orioles could be in the top handful of teams as far
- 1:12:47as favorite stacks here by most of the crowd here in the DFS world.
- 1:12:53But uh, yeah, give me some Orioles. You got that late night
- 1:12:56hamm or two that late stack get you across the finish line. So yeah,
- 1:13:00give me some Orioles. Bets. I'm a fan all the way around,
- 1:13:02and I will say, though, the Orioles, hey, it's like
- 1:13:05the Chicago game coops et cetera. But also you can play these guys one
- 1:13:11through nine. I think everyone sees that. Where then even in Baltimore's stats,
- 1:13:15you can be on different things, whereas like Braves, Akunya, Riley,
- 1:13:20o Zoom, et cetera. Like you don't want the leftis necessarily fletter
- 1:13:24at the bottom. It's very more. It's a lot more concentrated these padres.
- 1:13:28You want to play tatise like, otherwise that lineup looks awful. I
- 1:13:30think you could if you want to play five through nine on these orioles,
- 1:13:34I think you can play five through nine and that's not crazy at all.
- 1:13:38It's cheap. You can go with greats and Rodriguez like, I like that
- 1:13:41as well. You know, you can play five batters and then throw your
- 1:13:45pitcher in there as well. Paddock with five twins one of yesterday, So
- 1:13:48I totally like doing that as well. Rodriguez thros a jet or he gets
- 1:13:53the win. Ohways, give give them run support and they put a beat
- 1:13:56down on them. And yeah, one through nine is in play, I
- 1:13:58think, and that does have more options on how you can stack than but
- 1:14:01yeah, my favorite stack the o's. The o's are in this. I
- 1:14:04mean everyone's saying that is definitely always always concerns me, especially in the sport
- 1:14:10like baseball. I don't know. I'm not gonna say anymore, Jordan.
- 1:14:14Last game on the Slagg rise in. It's gonna take me a whopping five
- 1:14:17seconds, and that's because I just have to introduce the game. San Francisco
- 1:14:20Giants, New York Mets, Luis save Reno Logan web seven total, sixty
- 1:14:26degrees X give me the pictures. Yeah, I'm not a fan of either
- 1:14:30of the bats in this game. I'm not even really a fan of the
- 1:14:33pitchers. Maybe Web there, but uh yeah, I'm not going there.
- 1:14:39No bets for me. This game total is a seven. We we can
- 1:14:41just pass. But you know, going back to the Orioles, I mean,
- 1:14:44there's so many decent plays here today week A lot of us can like
- 1:14:45the Orioles. But I think you're still gonna see ownership on the Cubs.
- 1:14:48You're gonna see ownership on the Astros. You're gonna see ownership still on the
- 1:14:54padres here today. And I think you're gonna see some ownership on the Twins,
- 1:14:57especially if somebody goes high end pitching, especially over on D case.
- 1:15:00So I still think the Orioles are in a pretty good spot. I'm not
- 1:15:03really worried about the Orioles being too chalky here today, So I guess,
- 1:15:08hey, we're gonna ride with the Orioles. We'll be back here tomorrow and
- 1:15:11we're either gonna be laughing about it or we're gonna be like, damn it,
- 1:15:14we missed that one. But I think the Orioles for me. I
- 1:15:17like Santander today. I think he could definitely hit a bomb. I did
- 1:15:21look at Jackson Holliday's home run prop. He's sitting at like eight and a
- 1:15:25half, you know, eight and a half to one to hit a homer.
- 1:15:28The kid's too good of a hitter not to hit a homer. I
- 1:15:30just think his you know, his nerves were you know, they're coming up
- 1:15:33to the big leagues. But uh, I think when that kid starts hitting,
- 1:15:38he's he's gonna continue to hit. So you know we're gonna want to
- 1:15:41get on there early. So I wouldn't be afraid of playing Jacksonhi, I
- 1:15:44don't give a shit if he's one for thirty nine. That kid's too good
- 1:15:46to uh to not be hitting the baseball. Yeah, I mean, he's
- 1:15:50gonna be really long too. I'm totally good with it as well. That's
- 1:15:55all ten games and again, stack rankings, pitcher rankings, hitter rankings all
- 1:15:59on the site as well. Projections updated throughout the night. NBA Playoffs going
- 1:16:03on tonight, Hoop did the PGA show? Check that out? I know
- 1:16:05it's a different format this week. MMA going on this week, NASCAR going
- 1:16:10on this week. Sounds like a lot of money to be made over here.
- 1:16:13G Rising. Hoop fifteen gets you fifteen percent off monthly, six month
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- 1:16:44today is always G Rising. Appreciate everyone hanging out as always, keep saying
- 1:16:47as always, but we really do a lot of familiar faces makes these shows
- 1:16:51a lot of fun. Little over an hour fifteen talking some baseball. Let's
- 1:16:56get to the top of the leader boards tonight. Good luck out there,
- 1:16:59have a great night, be saved. Do you rise in un titled to look st