Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Dogs Early, Favorites Late & Jags Collapse | NFL Week 10 Recap
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: Hey, hello everyone. Sunday Week ten is wrapping up. Welcome
- 0:14Speaker 1: to the Favorites presented by DraftKings. I'm your host, Evan Abrams,
- 0:18Speaker 1: and I am joined by my fellow solo degenerate Kendra
- 0:22Speaker 1: Middleton Stucky and Brandon oh Oh Tonight, both doing separate
- 0:27Speaker 1: duties at the moment. But Kendra, what's going on? How
- 0:30Speaker 1: are you?
- 0:31Speaker 2: I had a great day of gambling, a terrible, terrible,
- 0:34Speaker 2: terrible day of fandom. We will get to the Jaguars collapse,
- 0:38Speaker 2: but other than that, I'm pretty good. How are you?
- 0:40Speaker 1: I'm doing fantastic. I put one bet in the app
- 0:42Speaker 1: for this day, Kyraen Williams. He scored a touchdown. We
- 0:44Speaker 1: move on to Monday Night Football. I am so sorry
- 0:47Speaker 1: about the Sad Cats, but yes that with Carolina a
- 0:52Speaker 1: few different things that just looked very sad today. But
- 0:54Speaker 1: we got our goats and our wotes, which we'll talk votes,
- 0:57Speaker 1: which we'll talk about in a second. Our biggest take
- 1:00Speaker 1: from the Sunday slike some unfortunate times for the Sad Cats,
- 1:03Speaker 1: and we will have an SGP on DraftKings for Monday
- 1:07Speaker 1: Night Football to deliver. But a recap of our two
- 1:10Speaker 1: Kings and a Queen parlay. It didn't go so well,
- 1:13Speaker 1: so we will pass on that a loser for this week,
- 1:16Speaker 1: but we have more picks to come, more good times.
- 1:19Speaker 1: So let's go first here goats and wotes. Kendrick, what
- 1:22Speaker 1: do you got?
- 1:23Speaker 2: My goat has to be Tony Romo saying the Patriots
- 1:27Speaker 2: are DTF. He said, they have details, toughness, and they finish.
- 1:33Speaker 2: That has to be my go for the day. I
- 1:34Speaker 2: never thought my goat would be Tony Romo, but that
- 1:36Speaker 2: was so funny, so funny. I'm curious if he knows
- 1:39Speaker 2: what like actually DTF means or if he was just
- 1:42Speaker 2: I'm sure he does, but that was ridiculous and I
- 1:47Speaker 2: loved it. My wote the Jaguars, specifically the defense what
- 1:52Speaker 2: to collapse Trevor Lawrence. That last fumble was just the
- 1:57Speaker 2: epitome of the Trevor Lawrence experience. I think that the
- 2:00Speaker 2: franchise and the fans have to seriously start looking at
- 2:03Speaker 2: him like we need to be making some I think
- 2:06Speaker 2: William Cohen hates him. Frankly, I think that he hates
- 2:08Speaker 2: his guts.
- 2:10Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's completely the correct to me based
- 2:12Speaker 1: off the performance today. But I will say this no BTJ.
- 2:15Speaker 1: That's not like you don't have what should be the
- 2:18Speaker 1: offense that's out there. So I think there's a little
- 2:20Speaker 1: bit missing. But listen, the the what you allowed to
- 2:23Speaker 1: Davis Mills in that game. It's just the numbers are
- 2:26Speaker 1: beyond it. Yeah, you did actually on them. You did
- 2:29Speaker 1: say you actually might have been Earth. You might have
- 2:33Speaker 1: been the one person on Earth who was scared of
- 2:34Speaker 1: Davis Mills. It would have been strout in this game.
- 2:36Speaker 1: You would have been like, give me the Jaguars. But
- 2:38Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, understood, all right, So my goats and
- 2:41Speaker 1: votes my goats here Mike McDonald's Sunday night, because he's
- 2:45Speaker 1: got to be having the best dinner tonight he's had,
- 2:48Speaker 1: and there's like he's had to have been on the
- 2:50Speaker 1: egg shells of all eggshells, and then tonight after beating
- 2:53Speaker 1: Buffalo today probably enjoying himself also another greatest of all
- 2:58Speaker 1: time performance today, anybody was holding an early ticket of
- 3:01Speaker 1: Houston as one and a half. I don't know if
- 3:02Speaker 1: anyone saw the end of that Jaguar Texan game, but
- 3:06Speaker 1: your usual just bs in the air ball goes somewhere.
- 3:09Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence hands it to Houston, who walks at the
- 3:12Speaker 1: end zone. Terrible bad beat, but Houston twenty six nothing
- 3:15Speaker 1: fourth quarter, forty to one on the live line, Kendra,
- 3:20Speaker 1: I am very very sorry and my worst of all time.
- 3:23Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, I am a closeted Giants fan because who
- 3:26Speaker 1: the heck cares? I was born and raised in New York.
- 3:29Speaker 1: Care more about the bets. But this performance today like
- 3:32Speaker 1: awful in one way where every time he enters the game,
- 3:35Speaker 1: the Giants immediately lose fourteen points somehow. And the other
- 3:39Speaker 1: way is the Giants should have wanted to lose the game, right,
- 3:42Speaker 1: I mean, from a draft pick perspective, there is no
- 3:44Speaker 1: reason when you lose neighbors, you lose CAM, you lose
- 3:47Speaker 1: Dart like it's over. Let's just lose games, get a
- 3:50Speaker 1: good draft pick, and move on with our lives. So
- 3:52Speaker 1: those are my takeaways. Anything else I.
- 3:55Speaker 2: Don't think so. I mean, as far as my goats,
- 3:57Speaker 2: most we're gonna get into the one o'clock games. But
- 4:00Speaker 2: I just the Jaguars collapse might be the worst regular
- 4:03Speaker 2: season collapse I've seen from them, maybe ever, And that's
- 4:06Speaker 2: really saying something.
- 4:08Speaker 1: Well, listen, in a season where you beat the Chiefs.
- 4:11Speaker 1: This is just not what you had scripted up as
- 4:13Speaker 1: the rest of the way. But again, I thought the
- 4:16Speaker 1: defense would play better. Like if this was a performance
- 4:18Speaker 1: where Jacksonville's offense just didn't do dittally, I think you
- 4:20Speaker 1: would have looked at him much differently than blowing this
- 4:22Speaker 1: type of lead and watching the past defense allow it
- 4:24Speaker 1: to Davis Mills. But that's just me, all right, So
- 4:27Speaker 1: why don't you take this other takeaways from one o'clock games?
- 4:30Speaker 1: What else hit your plate?
- 4:33Speaker 2: I think the Bills we kind of chat about this,
- 4:36Speaker 2: but I think they have to be gambling. There's no
- 4:38Speaker 2: way that that game went the way that it did
- 4:40Speaker 2: that end zone interception, like they that offense has to
- 4:43Speaker 2: be gambling. You can't tell me. You can't tell me otherwise.
- 4:46Speaker 2: I would like to submit them to the FBI as gamblers.
- 4:51Speaker 2: Jackson Dart talked about the Giants a little bit. I
- 4:53Speaker 2: think that he is legit, Like they found their quarterback.
- 4:56Speaker 2: They found their guy. Anytime touchdown score even with the concussion,
- 5:00Speaker 2: him wanting to still play incredible ten out of ten,
- 5:04Speaker 2: no notes. I don't know what his offensive Rookie of
- 5:08Speaker 2: the Year odds are. I get that his receivers are hurt.
- 5:10Speaker 2: His run game is just absolutely obliterated. But if he
- 5:13Speaker 2: keeps fighting and somehow isn't out for next week's game
- 5:16Speaker 2: with the concussion, which I think that he probably be
- 5:20Speaker 2: not a bad shout Tyler Shuck. Is he good?
- 5:25Speaker 1: I mean he's better than Spencer Rattler. I mean anything
- 5:29Speaker 1: is I think in that offense, anything is better than
- 5:31Speaker 1: Spencer Ratler. And Carolina puts up seven points. I mean
- 5:33Speaker 1: he had a few good throws. We'll see.
- 5:36Speaker 2: And then my other takeaway, Drake may was the MVP
- 5:38Speaker 2: favorite earlier. We talked when we were getting on here.
- 5:40Speaker 2: Maybe it is now Matt Stafford, but when we were
- 5:43Speaker 2: doing our notes, he was the MVP favorite plus two
- 5:45Speaker 2: to fifty. It's probably between the two of them now,
- 5:47Speaker 2: but that was I don't even know what it was
- 5:51Speaker 2: at the beginning of the season, but it was I
- 5:53Speaker 2: think eight to one at the beginning of last week.
- 5:54Speaker 2: And now here we are, Yeah.
- 5:56Speaker 1: I think he was. I put in my article. I'll
- 5:58Speaker 1: look it up again. It's like fifty to one or
- 5:59Speaker 1: something like that. So great value there obviously not anymore. Yeah,
- 6:04Speaker 1: the favorites at the top are where they should be.
- 6:06Speaker 1: It's it's Drake May, it's Jonathan Taylor, and it's who's
- 6:11Speaker 1: a guy I'm forgetting. Oh, Matthew Stafford, who just yeah,
- 6:14Speaker 1: put up another forty point performance for the Rams, So
- 6:17Speaker 1: I think that makes sense. My other takeaways from these games,
- 6:20Speaker 1: Underdogs killed it in that early window at one pm Eastern.
- 6:24Speaker 1: I believe six and one, I'm sorry, five and two
- 6:27Speaker 1: straight up, six and one against the spread with the
- 6:29Speaker 1: Giants losing and covering. So dogs did incredible afternoon I
- 6:33Speaker 1: believe favorites came back and wiped the slate, literally the
- 6:36Speaker 1: worst slate of games you've ever seen in your life.
- 6:38Speaker 1: The other funny thing is from like the Patriots standpoint
- 6:41Speaker 1: Travon Henderson. The experience was just amazing because early in
- 6:45Speaker 1: the game on the goal line, he ran like two
- 6:47Speaker 1: or three times and Varibel was so frustrated that he
- 6:49Speaker 1: couldn't get in, and then later in the second half
- 6:52Speaker 1: has a fifty five and sixty nine yard run. So
- 6:55Speaker 1: just absolutely hilarious stuff all around from me.
- 6:58Speaker 2: He really told them to shove it the way that
- 7:00Speaker 2: they had him on the bench at the beginning of
- 7:02Speaker 2: the season, and good for him, yes.
- 7:04Speaker 1: Completely completely. So those are my funny situations from the
- 7:08Speaker 1: window own. But other than that, do we even need
- 7:10Speaker 1: to talk about the four o'clocks? I mean literally, Dan
- 7:13Speaker 1: Campbell's play calling to me taking over on the offensive side.
- 7:16Speaker 1: The only thing I really cared about in this game
- 7:18Speaker 1: when when the Niners got within like fourteen, I was like, Okay,
- 7:22Speaker 1: maybe this is something we can you know, we'll need
- 7:24Speaker 1: to talk about, but nothing ever happened.
- 7:27Speaker 2: How about this, you power rank Seattle, Detroit and the
- 7:31Speaker 2: Rams for me top to bottom right now?
- 7:34Speaker 1: Okay, So like in a playoff picture situation, Seattle is
- 7:38Speaker 1: still third of those teams. I just don't trust them
- 7:41Speaker 1: as much. Like overall, what they've done on the road,
- 7:44Speaker 1: all those things, super super impressive, Like I just didn't
- 7:47Speaker 1: think they'd be here, But they're still third on that list.
- 7:50Speaker 1: Then still probably the Lions, Like I just have so
- 7:54Speaker 1: much faith in the Rams, like they're so close whenever
- 7:58Speaker 1: they lose, and they're still consist like week to week.
- 8:01Speaker 1: I'm just never worried about the bad game from them,
- 8:04Speaker 1: And when it happens is usually the Niners and it
- 8:07Speaker 1: wasn't today. So Rams, Lions, Hawks, what about you?
- 8:12Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna go Seattle one I'm gonna go
- 8:14Speaker 2: ooh wow. Yeah, you know that I've talked about on
- 8:18Speaker 2: I think our Thursday show and our show last Sunday.
- 8:20Speaker 2: I'm a Seahawks truther. I think that they're the best
- 8:23Speaker 2: team in the NFC.
- 8:24Speaker 1: Neutral Like actually right now, neutral field against those two
- 8:27Speaker 1: other teams, You would you like Seattle straight up right now?
- 8:31Speaker 2: I think I do. Yeah, I think I really do. Yeah.
- 8:34Speaker 2: I think that they're the best team that I've seen
- 8:36Speaker 2: right now. The only thing that kills them is sometimes
- 8:39Speaker 2: at home. Sam Darnold looks like he can choke up
- 8:42Speaker 2: a little bit. But the way that he's played the
- 8:44Speaker 2: last couple of weeks, especially on the road, especially on
- 8:47Speaker 2: the road, the way that this team has played, even
- 8:50Speaker 2: the defense day what to two defensive scores?
- 8:53Speaker 1: Yeah, crazy, look there make make Arizona look probably the
- 8:58Speaker 1: way they are, Like, I think the performance we've seen
- 9:00Speaker 1: before not who they are as a team. I think
- 9:03Speaker 1: this a little bit closer. But Seattle's x what they've
- 9:06Speaker 1: done on defense, their offensive line, like they are super complete.
- 9:10Speaker 1: Great question. I like that. Okay, so before we get
- 9:14Speaker 1: to the Sunday night football game, I'm gonna actually now
- 9:16Speaker 1: toss it to Kendrick for a word from our partners
- 9:18Speaker 1: from DraftKings.
- 9:19Speaker 2: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by Draftking Sports Book and
- 9:22Speaker 2: in partnership with DraftKings. Favorites listeners get a great offer
- 9:25Speaker 2: right now. New customers can bet five dollars and get
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- 9:47Speaker 1: Time for Sunday Night football. Let's talk Steelers at Chargers.
- 9:52Speaker 1: So anything at all do you have I need? I
- 9:55Speaker 1: need even if you don't have a bet, Give me
- 9:57Speaker 1: one word on this game.
- 10:00Speaker 2: Mccauughie's still in bet jail for me. I still love
- 10:03Speaker 2: the Chargers too much, dude. I can't get out of
- 10:06Speaker 2: bet jail with him. Him and the Patriots are locked away.
- 10:09Speaker 2: I hate to say it. For probably the rest of
- 10:11Speaker 2: the season. I think the Falcons call that I had
- 10:13Speaker 2: last week with the Patriots was probably the only time
- 10:16Speaker 2: I'm even going to disrespect them again this season. Like
- 10:19Speaker 2: I just I've got I can't. It's over. I can't
- 10:21Speaker 2: talk about either of these two. I love the Chargers
- 10:24Speaker 2: too much. I can't. I can't get to this game.
- 10:27Speaker 2: The Pittsburgh scares me, and I don't know why they
- 10:32Speaker 2: Sure Chargers, I know what, They're like that little brother
- 10:36Speaker 2: that just is getting bigger than you the older you get,
- 10:38Speaker 2: and you can't really fight him off anymore, but they're
- 10:40Speaker 2: still just he's still your little brother. I don't know
- 10:43Speaker 2: what it is. I can't get there on this game.
- 10:45Speaker 2: I want to be there, just not I This is
- 10:47Speaker 2: probably my I just want to watch this game of
- 10:49Speaker 2: the week.
- 10:50Speaker 1: This is a matchup of flaws, like both teams have
- 10:52Speaker 1: reasons where you don't want to bet on them. You
- 10:55Speaker 1: just kind of have to go a direction and hope
- 10:57Speaker 1: it's not as bad as the other one. Like Pittsburgh
- 10:59Speaker 1: has a lot of issues. The Chargers offensive line is
- 11:02Speaker 1: the scariest thing to me. If I had to pick
- 11:03Speaker 1: a side, I would take the Steelers in the side
- 11:06Speaker 1: and one DraftKings fun prop that honestly I thought was interesting.
- 11:10Speaker 1: I think so Chargers defense pretty good overall, they struggle
- 11:14Speaker 1: a little bit versus the tight end. So DK has
- 11:16Speaker 1: something where it's a John Who touchdown or a Fryarmooth
- 11:20Speaker 1: touchdown and you catch your bet it's plus one ten.
- 11:22Speaker 1: So basically don't have to choose. If it's Darnel Washington,
- 11:26Speaker 1: I apologize, But the other two tight ends, I think
- 11:29Speaker 1: it's a decent bet. So that would be one I would.
- 11:30Speaker 2: I like that. I like that research from you em
- 11:33Speaker 2: and Abrams. I think that that's a good call.
- 11:35Speaker 1: Do what I have to do. Just here for the moment,
- 11:38Speaker 1: all right, Monday night football time. So we are going
- 11:40Speaker 1: to put together an SGP. The way we're going to
- 11:43Speaker 1: do this is this. We are going to put two
- 11:46Speaker 1: bets on the table, and you and I are going
- 11:48Speaker 1: to decide one bet that leaves to leave us with
- 11:50Speaker 1: a three team parlay or a three leg parlay. So
- 11:54Speaker 1: I will be I will start first here. Now before
- 11:57Speaker 1: we start, I do want to say this, nick If
- 12:00Speaker 1: and then the luck rankings. Basically today four and oh
- 12:04Speaker 1: they had the Raiders, the Giants, the Jets, and the
- 12:08Speaker 1: Texans all four and oh. This week in week ten,
- 12:11Speaker 1: now they actually have a side on Green Bay in
- 12:14Speaker 1: this game. I don't know necessarily if you're gonna take
- 12:17Speaker 1: a side, if it's Eagles or Packers. To me, a
- 12:19Speaker 1: side is not the direction. If I did, I would
- 12:21Speaker 1: actually lean Philly. But nix So yeah, Nixey's value in
- 12:26Speaker 1: Green Bay. But do do you like a sign on
- 12:28Speaker 1: this game? Where are you going more props?
- 12:30Speaker 2: I talked about this with the boys while they were
- 12:33Speaker 2: bickering about this game, and for me, if I had
- 12:37Speaker 2: to pick a side, it would probably be Philly. I
- 12:40Speaker 2: just don't want anything to do with it. I don't
- 12:42Speaker 2: know who, I know who this Eagles team is. They're
- 12:44Speaker 2: gonna be that team. They're gonna give you an entire
- 12:46Speaker 2: quarter where both sides of the ball are gonna shit
- 12:49Speaker 2: the bed and you don't know which quarter it's gonna be,
- 12:51Speaker 2: but you know it's coming. It's just a matter of
- 12:53Speaker 2: how much can your opponent take advantage of that quarter
- 12:55Speaker 2: that Philly doesn't show up? And for me, the Packers
- 12:58Speaker 2: are inconsistent. I don't know who they are. I don't
- 13:02Speaker 2: know what teams that they are capable of beating in
- 13:04Speaker 2: the teams that they're not because of just the inconsistencies
- 13:07Speaker 2: they've had against opponents all season long. I'm also not
- 13:10Speaker 2: a Jordan Love Truther with you know, the T Tucker
- 13:13Speaker 2: Craft out for the rest of the season. I don't
- 13:15Speaker 2: know how their offense really is going to be any
- 13:17Speaker 2: I can't nope. I besides, once again, not that not
- 13:21Speaker 2: the thing for me. I'm gonna go any touch anytime,
- 13:23Speaker 2: touchdowns with my with my things here, I'm gonna go
- 13:26Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts anytime plus one oh five or a J.
- 13:29Speaker 2: Brown anytime plus one sixty five. My thoughts here, Hurts
- 13:32Speaker 2: is due. I think the last time he had at
- 13:34Speaker 2: any time was week six. AJ Brown. I feel like
- 13:37Speaker 2: they have to have a petty party for him, the
- 13:40Speaker 2: you're you're sorry, you're still here, We're gonna give you
- 13:43Speaker 2: a touchdown tonight type of beat.
- 13:46Speaker 1: Yeah. Iileen Philly too. The other what I tracked in
- 13:48Speaker 1: the app was Hurts and Saquon both to score of touchdowns,
- 13:53Speaker 1: both at plus money, Like, there are not a lot
- 13:55Speaker 1: of weeks where you can have both of them at
- 13:58Speaker 1: plus odds to score. I just think it's sitting there
- 14:00Speaker 1: because Philly is the underdog, and I honestly think they
- 14:03Speaker 1: probably shouldn't be in this matchup the two other So
- 14:07Speaker 1: that's what I put in aside. But we're gonna put
- 14:08Speaker 1: that aside because you've got Hurts, you've got aj Brown,
- 14:11Speaker 1: the two people I want to put up here, and
- 14:13Speaker 1: this is just a little bit different. But I have
- 14:16Speaker 1: two long shots to add to our parlave. So you
- 14:18Speaker 1: can pick one of these two long shots. I had
- 14:20Speaker 1: Savian Williams, who is about ten to one right now
- 14:24Speaker 1: with DraftKings, Like, really, at this point when you lose Craft,
- 14:29Speaker 1: there's a lot of options there in the red zone
- 14:31Speaker 1: for when I think the Packers will be trailing and
- 14:34Speaker 1: trying to get like a nice touchdown end of the game,
- 14:36Speaker 1: whatever it is, So saving Williams at ten to one
- 14:38Speaker 1: or maybe a better option. Luke Musgrave basically the guy
- 14:42Speaker 1: walking in for Craft in this matchup. They've said to me,
- 14:46Speaker 1: it's almost a narrative play because when you look at
- 14:48Speaker 1: some of the things they've said about Muskrave and during
- 14:50Speaker 1: this game, it's honestly ridiculous. Jordan Love called him a
- 14:54Speaker 1: key offensive weapon, their offensive coordinator called him a downfield threat.
- 14:58Speaker 1: Like I think they're gonna try to them involved. So
- 15:01Speaker 1: you can take your pick on either long shot and
- 15:03Speaker 1: we'll toss it with AJ Brown and Jalen Hurts a
- 15:06Speaker 1: little touchdown parlay.
- 15:08Speaker 2: I like the Luke Muskgraves look. They have to kind
- 15:11Speaker 2: of I think every young quarter the way that the
- 15:13Speaker 2: tight end position has kind of evolved since I was
- 15:16Speaker 2: a kid is so interesting, and I love that they
- 15:19Speaker 2: are not just primarily blockers anymore, but they're basically an
- 15:22Speaker 2: elevated receiver. Every young quarterback in the league right now
- 15:26Speaker 2: has a tight end or just a position group of
- 15:28Speaker 2: tight ends that they rely on. I like the look.
- 15:31Speaker 1: No, all right, it's tight ends. I'm obsessed with tight end,
- 15:34Speaker 1: especially in prime time games. The thing I do say,
- 15:36Speaker 1: I do love myself a blocking tight end, like someone
- 15:39Speaker 1: with very little routes run, who's like ten or twelve
- 15:41Speaker 1: to one to score a touchdown. So all about it myself,
- 15:45Speaker 1: all right. So that's the parlay. Jalen Hurts to score
- 15:47Speaker 1: a touchdown, AJ Brown to score a touchdown, and Luke
- 15:51Speaker 1: Musgrave to score a touchdown. New tight end one for
- 15:55Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. So hopefully that all goes well
- 15:58Speaker 1: the favorites. That's it today. We will return next out.
- 16:02Speaker 1: So yeah, that was good. I mean, we got to
- 16:05Speaker 1: everything we needed to go. Listen, if you watch that
- 16:07Speaker 1: afternoon slate, listen, go touch some grass. I think you
- 16:10Speaker 1: need to get outside for a few minutes because it
- 16:13Speaker 1: was terrible but fun. One o'clock games, Okay, four o'clock games.
- 16:16Speaker 1: I think tonight's going to be good, and more importantly,
- 16:19Speaker 1: Monday Night football Eagles Packers is going to be absolutely incredible.
- 16:22Speaker 1: So we will return Tuesday afternoon right here on the
- 16:25Speaker 1: Action Network YouTube page when we talk NFL Week eleven.
- 16:29Speaker 1: Good luck with all your bets tonight, and we will
- 16:30Speaker 1: see you next time on the Favorite podcast presented by
- 16:33Speaker 1: Drafting See Later Kendrew Right.
- 16:46Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or
- 16:50Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is
- 16:53Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler