Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NASCAR DFS - Bass Pro Shops Night Race, 2025 | DraftKings Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: All system's gone clear.
- 0:10Speaker 2: We lift on.
- 0:40Speaker 1: Good evening and welcome to this weekend's NASCAR quick hit.
- 0:44Speaker 1: Here for ship at Nation, I am Eric, also known
- 0:48Speaker 1: as the Game on Discord, and tonight we are going
- 0:51Speaker 1: to be discussing the Bass Pro Shops Night race taking
- 0:55Speaker 1: place at Bristol Motor Speedway. But of course, before we
- 0:59Speaker 1: go ahead and break down the slate, let me of
- 1:02Speaker 1: course mention us ship at nation dot com. You are
- 1:05Speaker 1: one stop shop for all things DFS. We have expert
- 1:10Speaker 1: projections slate plan the Stone, which I have up on
- 1:14Speaker 1: the screen right now. One of the most fantastic Discord
- 1:18Speaker 1: communities in all of DFS. We're partnered with Sabersim, the
- 1:23Speaker 1: number one optimizer in DFS. Folks, if you haven't joined
- 1:28Speaker 1: us already, you really owe it to yourself to check
- 1:31Speaker 1: us out over at ship at nation dot com. All right,
- 1:35Speaker 1: we have five hundred laps on tap for Saturday night,
- 1:38Speaker 1: which means a ton of dominator points. In fact, we
- 1:43Speaker 1: have three hundred and fifty of them, and we will
- 1:46Speaker 1: absolutely want to target those points. And I am recommending
- 1:50Speaker 1: between two and three dominators per lineup, So five hundred laps,
- 1:56Speaker 1: three hundred and fifty dominator points, maybe more if they're
- 2:00Speaker 1: over time, two to three dominators per lineup. As far
- 2:04Speaker 1: as practice goes on Friday, nothing really to write home about.
- 2:09Speaker 1: The only real incident, if you can really even call it,
- 2:12Speaker 1: that would have been Bubba Wallace kind of got into
- 2:15Speaker 1: the wall very slightly, But nothing really to write home about,
- 2:20Speaker 1: nothing of any concern, and I highly doubt he will
- 2:24Speaker 1: be going to the rear. The other major talking point
- 2:29Speaker 1: of Friday was tirewear, or the lack thereof tirewear, as
- 2:38Speaker 1: it seemed to be fairly non existent during practice. Why
- 2:43Speaker 1: is that a story, you may ask, Well, NASCAR was
- 2:47Speaker 1: really hyping up on NASCAR and Goodyear was really hyping
- 2:52Speaker 1: up a brand new tire compound which would have extreme
- 2:56Speaker 1: levels of fall off, which would really make this race
- 3:00Speaker 1: a wild card of a race. And instead that's not
- 3:05Speaker 1: what we saw in practice at all. In fact, Brad
- 3:09Speaker 1: Keselowski was quoted as saying, these tires will be able
- 3:13Speaker 1: to run all day long. If that ends up being
- 3:17Speaker 1: the case, track position and pitch strategy will be key,
- 3:22Speaker 1: as passing in the next gen car is notoriously difficult. Okay,
- 3:30Speaker 1: so assuming that these tigers do not fall off as
- 3:34Speaker 1: goodyear at NASCAR predicted, which is what we're seeing right now.
- 3:39Speaker 1: Track position and pitch strategy will be key, as well
- 3:44Speaker 1: as staying on the lead lap in stage one will
- 3:48Speaker 1: be key. I went ahead and looked at last Springs
- 3:55Speaker 1: race here at Bristol as well as the last Summer
- 3:59Speaker 1: Night Race Bristol. In both races, at the end of
- 4:04Speaker 1: stage one up to the twenty fourth place car was
- 4:10Speaker 1: a lap down. So from twenty fourth on back they
- 4:15Speaker 1: wore a lap down and it went at the stage caution.
- 4:18Speaker 1: The twenty fourth car got their lap back. So in
- 4:24Speaker 1: my opinion, you kind of want your player pool to
- 4:27Speaker 1: be in that upper half. Do we have some deeper
- 4:32Speaker 1: place differential plays yet we do? Ryan not Ryan Priest.
- 4:37Speaker 1: Chase Briscoe starts what thirty first, he's a fantastic place
- 4:42Speaker 1: differential play tomorrow, but there's a very real possibility that
- 4:49Speaker 1: he gets trapped a lap down in stage one, and
- 4:55Speaker 1: if that happens, it makes for a very very long
- 4:59Speaker 1: day and it kind of caps your upside because laps
- 5:07Speaker 1: will be being picked off here in fifteen second sixteen
- 5:10Speaker 1: second laps. Cars will be going a lap down quickly.
- 5:15Speaker 1: If twenty four cars are a lap down and you're
- 5:19Speaker 1: in thirty first place. You can only in theory, get
- 5:25Speaker 1: you up to twenty fourth and then hope to God
- 5:28Speaker 1: you get the lucky dog right. So staying on the
- 5:33Speaker 1: lead lap in stage one, in my opinion, is a
- 5:36Speaker 1: real key. Or tomorrow at Bristol, and now let me
- 5:41Speaker 1: do a quick rundown of the slate. And this will
- 5:45Speaker 1: be a quick rundown because a little peak behind the curtain.
- 5:47Speaker 1: It is eleven seventeen on Friday evening and my little
- 5:52Speaker 1: boy is starting to roll around in bed, and I
- 5:55Speaker 1: want to get this video done before he wakes up
- 5:57Speaker 1: and demands his nighttime bottle. So we have a surprising
- 6:02Speaker 1: pole sitter in aj Allmendinger. However, he was very fast
- 6:07Speaker 1: in practice. It wouldn't surprise me if he steals some
- 6:11Speaker 1: laps lad in stage one. Will he be able to
- 6:17Speaker 1: keep and hover around the top ten all day? That
- 6:20Speaker 1: remains to be seen, but I don't hate taking a
- 6:24Speaker 1: chance on the dinger on Saturday night. Then we have
- 6:27Speaker 1: Ryan Blaney starting on the outside pole. He's probably everybody's
- 6:31Speaker 1: like first dominator like option. I think the vast majority
- 6:36Speaker 1: of the public assumes that Blaney will be able to
- 6:38Speaker 1: get around Almondinger fairly quickly in Stage one on Saturday Night.
- 6:44Speaker 1: But again the Dinger has been fairly strong recently, so
- 6:49Speaker 1: it wouldn't surprise me if he leads some laps on
- 6:51Speaker 1: Saturday Night. Sindrick and Ty Gibbs rep next. I really
- 6:56Speaker 1: don't have any interest in Cindric, but I'll take a
- 6:59Speaker 1: chance on Time Gibbs. Then we have my bulk of
- 7:04Speaker 1: dominator options. Larson, Hamlin Byron Wallace and Bell Larson. I
- 7:11Speaker 1: did some research before this video, before every video obviously,
- 7:15Speaker 1: and Larson led literally like eight hundred and sixty some
- 7:22Speaker 1: laps out of one thousand over these last two races
- 7:27Speaker 1: at Bristol. Like I understand that Larson has been quote
- 7:31Speaker 1: unquote down lately, and he has been. But if there's
- 7:36Speaker 1: any track that can write the current wrong that Kyle
- 7:40Speaker 1: Larson is facing, it's Bristol. Is he going to lead
- 7:44Speaker 1: four hundred plus laps tomorrow? I don't know, but it
- 7:49Speaker 1: wouldn't shock me if he did. Denny Hamlin, he's just
- 7:53Speaker 1: as good as Larson. Has he led eight hundred plus
- 7:57Speaker 1: laps over the last two races. No, but he is
- 8:01Speaker 1: just as good as Larson. Here William Byron. It wouldn't
- 8:05Speaker 1: surprise me to see byron sneak away victory here. Also,
- 8:09Speaker 1: he's cheap, I mean cheap for will E b ninety
- 8:12Speaker 1: eight hundred. God take a shot at that right. Bubba,
- 8:16Speaker 1: in my opinion, has been the hottest driver at NASCAR recently.
- 8:21Speaker 1: I have no issues including Bubba in my dominator pool
- 8:25Speaker 1: and taking a shot, especially at that nine thousand dollars
- 8:28Speaker 1: price tag. I love it. And last for my possible
- 8:31Speaker 1: dominator place is Chris Bell at ten two. He's excellent
- 8:35Speaker 1: here as well. He's been kind of quiet lately, so
- 8:40Speaker 1: it wouldn't surprise me at all. There's been there's a
- 8:43Speaker 1: few races a year where Chris Bell just sticks up
- 8:46Speaker 1: the show. Wouldn't surprise me if Bristol was one of
- 8:51Speaker 1: those races where Bill stunk up the show, then we
- 8:56Speaker 1: have a whole bunch of GPP plays. In my opinion, Stenhouse,
- 9:01Speaker 1: host of ar Chastain Barry is excellent at short tracks,
- 9:06Speaker 1: but I just don't know if I can get down
- 9:07Speaker 1: with him at Bristol. But he is within that upper
- 9:11Speaker 1: first twenty four, so he'll probably be in the playerpool
- 9:16Speaker 1: just based on that. Ricky Stenhouse, He's he's always across off.
- 9:21Speaker 1: For me, a host of ar is fast. I could
- 9:27Speaker 1: maybe see somebody trying to take him out because it
- 9:30Speaker 1: is Bristol, but it's not the Bristol of the nineties
- 9:34Speaker 1: where it's around the bottom and you're rooting a gougean.
- 9:36Speaker 1: So I don't think he'll be dumped. So I have
- 9:39Speaker 1: no problem taking a chance with Hope so far. Chastain,
- 9:42Speaker 1: I'm fine with him as well. Reddick, sure, why not?
- 9:46Speaker 1: Bowman Elliott great. Justin Haley was very fast in practice,
- 9:53Speaker 1: and I don't anticipate all that practice speed moving over
- 9:57Speaker 1: towards the race, but it wouldn't surprise me if he's
- 10:00Speaker 1: a little bit of an ownership bump, just based of
- 10:02Speaker 1: how good he was in practice. Brad Kesilowski, I love
- 10:06Speaker 1: me some Brad k On on Saturday Night. He's a veteran.
- 10:11Speaker 1: He knows what it takes to get around Bristol. Love
- 10:14Speaker 1: me some Brad k John Hunter, Needwood check. He's been
- 10:17Speaker 1: trending upwards lately. I'll take a chance on him. Ryan
- 10:20Speaker 1: Priest of course, Busher of course. H Logano. Anybody feel
- 10:27Speaker 1: like Logano is too expensive for his current performance? Like yeah,
- 10:31Speaker 1: like I get like he's how many time champion and
- 10:35Speaker 1: he can win any given Sunday, But I just don't
- 10:38Speaker 1: think he's worth a ninety two hundred dollars price tag.
- 10:41Speaker 1: Uh And I say that now and watch it goes
- 10:44Speaker 1: and sneaks on sneaks the victory on Saturday on Saturday night.
- 10:48Speaker 1: So I have no problem taking a chance on him,
- 10:51Speaker 1: but I'm not gonna go out of my way to
- 10:52Speaker 1: get him. Austin Dylon, he's he's right around that lap
- 11:00Speaker 1: down mark What did I say, twenty four cars? Yeah,
- 11:03Speaker 1: twenty four cars for a lap down each of the
- 11:05Speaker 1: last two races here at the end of stage one,
- 11:09Speaker 1: So he's right around that spot where I'm thinking of
- 11:13Speaker 1: clicking off. Zaye Smith is going to be a no
- 11:16Speaker 1: for me. I'll take a chance with Michael mcdowe because
- 11:19Speaker 1: he's Inspire equipment, so he's fast. Cole Custer is going
- 11:23Speaker 1: to be a no for me. Eric Jones I'll take
- 11:26Speaker 1: a chance on because I like his his actual driving talent,
- 11:31Speaker 1: even though I don't trust a car he's in currently.
- 11:33Speaker 1: Shane Van Ginsbergen will be quite literally the first click
- 11:37Speaker 1: off for me. Riley Herbs is going to be a no.
- 11:40Speaker 1: Chase frisc goes a yes. It would not surprise me
- 11:45Speaker 1: at all to see him get caught a lap down,
- 11:48Speaker 1: But based on his current performance and how fast he's
- 11:52Speaker 1: been everywhere lately, we have to assume he's going to
- 11:56Speaker 1: be able to keep on the lead lap during stage one. Kyle,
- 12:03Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. He's projecting well, but he's going
- 12:07Speaker 1: to be a no for me. Has he been doing
- 12:10Speaker 1: kind of better recently? Yeah, his f recent form is
- 12:14Speaker 1: now up to a D. But still I can't get
- 12:19Speaker 1: into it for eight thousand dollars with him. Austin Hill
- 12:23Speaker 1: is going to be a no for me. Cody Ware
- 12:25Speaker 1: is going to be a no for me, Daniel Suarez
- 12:28Speaker 1: is going to be a no for me. Gilly's going
- 12:30Speaker 1: to be a no for me. Ty Dylan's going to
- 12:33Speaker 1: be a no for me. And guess what, folks, Corey
- 12:35Speaker 1: Hymn Chad Fincham also were going to be a no
- 12:38Speaker 1: for me. So really, I'm going to focus the majority
- 12:42Speaker 1: of my player pool on those drivers starting in the
- 12:45Speaker 1: top twenty three. I'll include Austin Dlon in that, and
- 12:51Speaker 1: I'll take some very very few shots on drivers starting
- 12:55Speaker 1: outside of those top twenty four positions. As of now,
- 13:00Speaker 1: there's no drivers to the rear, but I'm quite literally
- 13:03Speaker 1: recording this at eleven o'clock on Friday night, so I
- 13:06Speaker 1: don't expect to hear any drivers to the rear news
- 13:09Speaker 1: until like Saturday for five o'clock in the afternoon, so
- 13:13Speaker 1: plenty of time for that news to break. And that's
- 13:17Speaker 1: it for the video. I'm going to go ahead now
- 13:20Speaker 1: and focus on creating the projections. We finalizing the projections.
- 13:23Speaker 1: The first run is done, as well as ownership as
- 13:27Speaker 1: well as getting a slate plan rode up. So good
- 13:30Speaker 1: luck in everything I know. We have college football today
- 13:33Speaker 1: and MMA and then NASCAR in the evening and of
- 13:37Speaker 1: course NFL Sunday, so good luck in all your slates
- 13:41Speaker 1: this weekend. There's any questions on this slate, please feel
- 13:44Speaker 1: free to tag me in discord, And as always, let's ship.
- 13:49Speaker 2: Its hands still most and still mother has eggs, and
- 14:17Speaker 2: then still mather psst and then still mad and hands
- 14:32Speaker 2: mother bussted and mons
- 14:40Speaker 1: And buns eggs and still mad and sst and still
- 14:51Speaker 1: the mad and s