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The Favorites - NFL Wild Card Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's the favorite podcast presented by FanDuel. It's NFL playoff time,
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  Speaker 1: seven or visit c CpG dot org slash chat in
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  Speaker 1: eight Hope and Why, or text Hope and Why for
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  Speaker 1: six seven three six nine in New York, one five
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  Speaker 1: to two seven zero zero in Wyoming, or visit one
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume of Podcast Network.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: I'm Chad Melman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: I am joined as I am for every episode by
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, my co host, my colleague, my
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: compadre celebrating twenty four hours after his birthday on the
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: podcast Fresh as a Daisy Professional Better Simon Hunter. Hello,
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: saw him in another Chad One of those birthdays I
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: hated as a kid, but as I got older, it's
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: pretty good. Time. Got Christmas, New Year's and then my birthday,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: so it's a on fun three weeks worked, Yeah, luckily.
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: I love my job and what I do. But I worked,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: I went to my favorite spot, watched uh watched the
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: game and it was nice. I got to go to
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: bed at halftime. So my birthday present to myself was
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: a full eight hours of sleep, which I haven't had
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: and probably four months, so it felt good. Sleep in
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: just lay in bed and do nothing and gave myself
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: a little break. I was gonna say, what did you
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: do when you got to the place. Uh. Once the
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: first five minutes of the game were over, it was real.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: It was time to go home. No, that's the best
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: feeling ever. People was like, well, I like a good
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: close game when I bet because I like it to
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: be fun. And I'm the other way. I want no sweat,
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: give me a blow at every time, or kill me.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: Like if I'm on the TCU side, great, it's over.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: I can go to bed a halftime. I lost that bet.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: That was a bad bet. So I'm one of those
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: I don't like to be teased or sucked in. I
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: think I have any type of fate I wanna. I
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: want a quick death. So that was a nice win
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: where you knew two minutes and like you just said,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: if you're on the right side, day not. I mean
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: that was class of college football one team. I mean
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: you you wouldn't see that A championship game you will
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: never see. I don't think our lifetime a team win
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: and they put up sixty five points, why the other
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: team puts up seven? I just don't think that's possible.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: That was a very college football game of do you
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: see you you know on any given night maybe, but
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: that night they played a team that there's a reason
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: they have a munch of one star I mean five
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: star athletes. So that was just two different worlds. So
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: that was that was a good time watching. Georgia had
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: freshmen that looked like they belonged to the NFL like
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: they they are. He could be the example of why
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: you should just get rid of the rule that you
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: got to be in klage for three years playing in
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: the NFL, because these were grown men playing at a
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: different speed and a different caliber than their competition last night.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: A couple of things I want to get to. We're
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: obviously going to talk about wild Card weekend. Great great
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: set of games, seven games over the course of the weekend. UM,
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: a few things that I want to do. I want
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: us to A. Let's shout out the Detroit Lions and
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: Dan Campbell who just come to fucking play. And that game,
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: by the way, the way the line moved played out
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: exactly the way we thought it would. We waited and
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: waited and waited for the Seattle game to end. Seattle
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: makes the kick, Uh, we know the Lions are out.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: The line shot up, got up to five five and
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: a half. We said, play the Lions, wait for the line.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: I got it at five and a half. You got it.
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: I think at five and a half to um and uh.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: They not only did they cover, they won, but it
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: played exactly the way we thought it would. Fucking love
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: Dan Campbell was so good for the NFL. Love that
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: Lions team. They did everything we wanted to do next year.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: Might have to fade him next year, but that's okay.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: I love them this year they were our team and
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: as people know of this show, no one loves shooting
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: their own horns more than us. So that was one
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: of those weekends much needed. Got smacked around the weekend
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: before play my worst weekend of the year, and just
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: came out. Not that everything happened that we said, but
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: like it was never ending middle dreams, like that middle
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: play of hedging Titans, that hitting. I love that because
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: people can see what it's people hold on. Not that
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: people who are listening live on AMP or the podcast
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: wouldn't know. But we were touting not just the Lions
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: season win total. We were tied in the Jags to
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: win the a F c South when it was as
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: long as thirteen to one, we said, up until seven
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: to one, take it. We both bet that. Uh, we
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: played the Jags. We had that bet, and then we
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: both played the Titans at plus six six and a
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: half on Saturday night. Yeah, we got a very fortunate bounce.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: I mean that was one of the latter screams I've
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: had all the year when he got striped sack and
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: that bounced right to him. That's like, yeah, one of
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: those moments. So that's the dream. And then that Chargers
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Denver game, that's the definition of a pros game. Pro
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: came in. Most pros came in on the Denver in
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: a limited line of you know, three and a half three,
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: yeah right, And that that was one of those where
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: like I took it three and a half, took it three,
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: it went went to three the other way with the Chargers.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: We said we liked it three. It was a rare time.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: I said I wouldn't. It's not what I goes tell
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: people to buy the point. I was just like, roll
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: the dice and weight maybe I'll get up. Got very
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: lucky charge and went up to four a half. I
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: got it a four and a half on Sunday. Yeah,
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: so I saw four and a half early Sunday. More,
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: that's when I was like finalized everything I was doing.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: It was just perfect middle play UM two games like
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: it's always funny with I don't want to call him informants,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: but you do get a lot of you can yet
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: a lot of info from different teams, different things that
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: get leaked, blah blah blah, and a guy I pay
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: a decent amount of money to give me info. I
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: was literally seeing read about to kill this guy because
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: I bet my biggest betther day was Atlanta because that
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: good word that Brady was not going to play. And
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: what happens for first drive he comes and drives Field,
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: scores a touchdown. I go, okay, no problem. Gets that
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: first drive and gets a touchdown. That will be it
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: for Brady comes back out of for the next drive
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: and I'm literally like I was boiling of, like this
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: guy again, pay a lot of money for this. MFO
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: told me that was a really good tip. Brady was
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: gonna maybe do one drive if that UM got lucky.
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: Eventually Brady got taken out Atlanta came back at one.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Same thing with that Chargers game. I was told good,
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: good authority that we would not be seeing Herbert. They dude,
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: damn played near the whole game like he came out.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: I think it was midway through whenever Mike Limbs got her.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: I think the coach sharpened up and took him out
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: or it was like he took some type of hit
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: like sack. But yeah, that was that was a dream
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: chats where you get double medals, and like you just said,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: we we hyped up the lines. I gave out what
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: our five would have been, UM was a four on one,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: which was like again we wish, we wish our contests
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: went longer where we always do pretty well in these
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: last week so nice just for the fans of the
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: show again on the FOURUM one for picks and obviously
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: the show picks do good. I think our only bad
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: loss was that Brown's pick. So overall it was a good,
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: good end of the season. A couple of things. Number one, uh,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: that Falcons one you came out of nowhere with on
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: Sunday morning because we didn't talk about it all during
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: the year, which I paid for. I give out the
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: free people. That's why it's always blows my one people. Bitch,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: It's like you don't even know what goes on behind
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: the scenes. You came out of nowhere with that. On
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: Sunday morning. You talked about it and convinced me. And
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: I've learned enough to know that just because we don't
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: talk about a game during the week doesn't mean that
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: you're not going to go heavy on it as soon
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: and like, as soon as I hear you mentioned the game,
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: I'm like, fuck, he loves this game. And sure enough, Uh,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: you mentioned it and convinced me. It's why people have
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: to watch. Convinced me before the games beyond Action Network HQ,
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: in the Action Network at me, Simon Raybond, croner Um
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: gave it out on my best bet article which closed
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: you at s for the season. All free, all not bad,
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: click on a link every Sunday. I was never worried
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: about Brady in that game, because they had said early
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: in the game he needed nine completions too and twelve
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: pass attempts to like set some new season long record
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: for him, and so I just assumed, all right, he's
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: gonna play until that happens. And it's basically what happened. Um,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: the Broncos and Herbert we gave out Broncos as as
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: the exact decision on Tuesday at plus three and a half,
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: I decided and I bet the Chargers plus four and
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: a half. I decided I was fine if Herbert played,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: because I would have bet the Broncos at plus three
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: and a half at home against Herbert and the Chargers.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: It was the middle of the season, right, Like, I
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: just think the Broncos have a good defense. The Chargers
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: don't play well as favorites like I would have taken
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: that bet regardless, So I find myself being okay with
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: it whether Herbert played. Recap Foxhole. Was the Browns lost
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: that obviously? Simon says was the Titans um e D
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: was the Broncos plus three and a half, Big Balls
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: Rams plus six and a half. I think he wanted
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: us to be on the Saints, and I had to
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: talk to you off this Saints to go to the
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: Rams at plus six and a half. Season long scoot
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: roulette came down in the final week. You're the Titans
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: plus six. I had the Browns plus two and a half,
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: so you are the winner on that front. Congrats to me.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: The Chicago Bears have the number one overall pick thanks
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: to Lovey Smith, former Bears coach, decided to get fired
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: and go for the win instead of instead of taking
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: the loss. UM. One more thing I want to do
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: before we get into it. Well, you know a year
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: the last time what last time the Bears of the
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: first pick overall? I think it was um and then
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: the last time they were in contention was seventy lost
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: a coin flip to the Pittsburgh Steelers, who drafted Terry Bradraw.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: Chicago has been in that spot a couple of times.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: The Bulls in seventy nine had a coin flip for
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: the first overall pick, lost it. Lakers got Magic Johnson,
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: Bulls got David Greenwood. That's crazy. Well three years later
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: we got four years later we got Michael I would say,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: is a bearrass fan. It definitely broke your guys away,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: like this is uh, that was crazy. All the little
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: things had to happen for What were you guys to
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: start the year? Do you have three ones to start
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: the year? I think we lost two on one. It
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: was something crazy like then you won one game the
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: rest of the way, So now we lost eleven in
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: a row. I think longest Bears and ever by the way,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: it was the greatest losing season I've ever had as
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: a Bears fan. Like every week felt after that that
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: Washington Commanders lost on a Thursday night. Every week felt
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: like we were learning more about justin fields we were
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: still losing. He was giving us hope. You know, your
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: last win was Chad what it's what knocked us on
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: our survivor pool was that the Patriots. Jesus, that has
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: to be it. That's crazy. So that was the last
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: time you guys had won. All the season was to
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: knock this survivor. Look, now, we've got one of the
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: youngest rosters in the NFL. We've got more have space
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: than anybody. We've got a quarterback we believe in. We've
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: got the number one pick and don't need to draft
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Bryce Young. I don't let people think that though if
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: I was that, I would tell people were happy to
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: drive Bryce Young. The market is open, baby, all right.
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: Last thing, we gotta get to wild card weekend. But
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: September one of this year, we did a podcast before
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: the season began and which you and I both gave
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: our seatings for what we thought the playoffs would be.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: You go first, you give yours. I'll start for NFC.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: So I gave out from my seventh seed, I thought
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: it was gonna be Lions. Sixth seed I thought was
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys. That seed I thought would be Rams. Fourth
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: seed that was forty Niners. Three seed had the Bucks
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: to seed green Bay, and then one seed the Eagles.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: So Eagles made sense from my one seed. Gave them
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: out almost all summer about them being the one seed
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: having the easiest schedule. You go back and you look,
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: it's shocking that three teams from the NFC East made
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: into the playoffs. And that was my whole thing, was like,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: we have a week to the vision. I just thought
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: to be Eagles and then maybe Cowboys sneaking in there
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: in the sixth seed turned out easily the best division
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: in the NFC. Eagles made it, Giants made it, Cowboys
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: made it. Um So my my big misses this year
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: missed on the lines, missed on the Rams, obviously missed
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: on green Bay, the two seeds, but looking back big
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: most people are in line with that that. I feel
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: like the general public like the Vikings, so I would
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: say most people that would be their flipping was for
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: green Bay. But most people looking back, what had green
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: Bay making it? So Um was right there. The Lions
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: for that final spot. Sam with Green Bay would have
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: been good either way, but Seattle the true chakra. Even
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: if I think back, I guaranteed I had a couple
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: of bets Seattle worst record. I just was not a
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: Geno Smith believer. So Um, big swinging and miss on
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: the NFC. Do you have your NFC ready, chat? I
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: do have a Vikings at seven. You got Cowboys at six.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: I had the Hams at five, So we're all taking
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: a swing in a miss spo on that. I had
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: the Saints at four. Obviously. You know what happened was
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: I remember as the season got closer, a lot of
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: wise guy love on the Saints season win total over
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: and so I was just sort of taking a flyer.
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: And I think you drivers of the boat, Chad, you dadded, Brady, Yeah,
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: that's true. I had the Packers at three, I had
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: the Eagles at two, and I had the Niners at one.
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: There you go, you're there on the four nights. You
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: believe in? Was a trailer answer that, Well, you know,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: I believed in Kyle Shanahan, and and that's kind of
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: been proven right Kyle Shanahan. It's like they used to
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: say about about like Chuck Noll, he can take yours,
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: take his and beat yours, and take yours and beat
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: his like bum Phillips used to say that, I feel
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: like car Shanahan could do that, right, he could take
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: like he could take the record. His record would disagree
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: with that statement, though he literally just crossed five percentage
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: this year. You know, I have an irrational left for
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: the guy. I just think he's brilliant. I do too.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: I'm just saying it's it's one of those where without
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: Jimmy g getting done really much in his career. But
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: Brock Purdy, I mean, I know we haven't talked about
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: it much. We will obviously once their game comes up.
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: But it's the craziest thing I can remember since I
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: mean Ben Roethlisberger, maybe as a rookie. I mean, the
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: guy is five and oh head into the playoffs. So
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: you want to do ANFC now, yeah, you go ahead,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: you start all right, AFC. I did a little better, uh,
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: starting seven seed. I had the Bengals sneaking in six
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: seed Chargers, five seed, the Bills, four seed Jaguars, three
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: seed Miami two seed Ravens, one seed the Chiefs, obviously
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: the big miss. I had Miami overtaking the Bills winning
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: their division. Those are clearly cream of the crop this season.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: I mean there was a couple of games Josh Allen
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: didn't play that well, defense picked them up and vice versa.
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: They were just what the Bill is expecting to be,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: a very well coached team. No doubt in my mind,
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: even if two was healthy all season, maybe I'm a
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: closer battle to the end. That was the Bills of division.
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: They're just They're just the best team. Um Ravens, I
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: feel like that was a smart pick, even midway through
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: the season and taking them to be top seed. Lamar
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: got hurt. We just saw happened. They fell apart. I
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: had six out of seven. I think it shows you
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: sort of how the class of the a f C
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: and how how much parody there is in the NFC,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: or just how much worse the NFC is in the
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: a f C. I had Chargers seven, Bengals six, Chiefs five.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: That was a big miss for me. Jabs four. Here's
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: the biggest miss, Broncos three. You've been teasing me all
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: year about about my belief in Russell Wilson. I had
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: Ravens two, and I had Bills one pretty damn good. Yeah,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: I'm honestly, I'm thinking I didn't realize that I was
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: setting sudden the FC. That's that's shocking. But I literally
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: looked back now and it was pretty simple. I just
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: literally took the best when I viewed quarterbacks in the
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: kind of played out that way where NFC. I mean,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: we've heard it at nauseam. It's wide open because there's
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: no good quarterbacks. So yeah, that's exactly definitely the headlines
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: going into these playoffs. All right, Well, look, I thought
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: I was taking the best quarterbacks to I just assumed
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Russell Wilson was one of the best quarterbacks. He still Sally,
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: Me and Chad are gonna be all in on Denver
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: and most likely next year because that's a great biolo team, dude.
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: The luck ranking geniuses Billy Ward and Nick Giffin and
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: Sean Croner, they're already in the lab figuring out like
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: the best season wind total luck ranking options, um, and
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: I'm already anxious about it. And that way, NFL wild
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  Speaker 1: West Virginia. Alright, first game, we're stepping up, by the
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: way this week. Reminder we will do big balls Foxhole.
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: Simon says, an exact decision, probably the last weekend of
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: the year. We can do it, just because this is
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: the last weekend. There's enough games to do it also
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: or nine and a half point favorites hosting the Seattle
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: Seahawks Saturday afternoon. I feel like this line's come down
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Used to be double digits. Yeah, smart
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: group came in took look Seahawks for a lot of reasons,
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: which I'll go over right now. But I'll say this
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: before we're going to play the same thing I said
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: exactly last year. I am a regular season better than
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: the sense that I use a model. When you use
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: a model basically breaks down sixteen games and it's gonna
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: give you a couple of games that really stand out
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: on the best line value. How many games we got
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: this week? Jed? Is it six? Yeah, it's six, But
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: we just lost ten games already, A small That's always
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: say about colleges the way to go. If you're gonna
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: bet a college, you're gonna bet football college. There are
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: way more games. We have sixteen games any week every week.
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: That's really tough. Now, we just lost ten. I me,
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: and you'd have six games now to go through. Last
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: year we killed it. I mean I don't. I'm pretty
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: sure you had to better me. I think you're a
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: twelve and three. I was living four our best bets
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: for all these games. That's that was amazing. I'm not
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: gonna put my chest out and say yeah, that's because
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: we're that good. Last year, every game I feel like
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: it came down to three points. Like that was an
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: amazing here to bet underdogs because we kept, you know,
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: losing straight up, we kept covering those dogs. So it's
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be shocked to knowing, Like I'm looking at these
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: lines this week, I'm on a lot of dogs. And
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: if you want to go against my model, completely get
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: it because instead of getting sixteen games to model, I'm
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: getting six and that takes a ton of value away.
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: So I always say to people there's gonna be a
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: lot of secrepancy. There's a lot of pros verse pros
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. That's just how it is because it's
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: just so few games. So um a game right here.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: I like, the really smart groups have come in heavy
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: on the Seahawks. I mean, what was that Thursday night game?
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: I think they won on a short week on the road.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: This four team. The big reason for them is something
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: that I'm gonna talk about a bunch is this is
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: the time to fade first time starter quarterbacks in the playoffs.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: It's rare where you get a first time started quarterback
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: that's a rookie, so you kind of throw that stat
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: out because you know as the first time starter as
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: well in these playoffs. So I'm my big reason I
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: know it's gonna The most public sign of this fort
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: And team is just that I've not that I've lost
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: total facing Gino. I just feel like it's been figured
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: out and I'm I love the story. Everything about it
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: was great. But he had what two picks in that
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: game against the Rams, Like he literally looked in Nimick
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: and it was Baker Mayfield that kept him in it.
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: He kept turning the ball of the right back again
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: them short field. So Brock Purty and untalked about story.
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: I know all these four fans are literally pulling their
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: hair out, especially once a Dam like, why don't you
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: guys talk more about how epic and how great this
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: foeur Nis team is? And it's I feel like, what
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: is there left to say? Me and Chad always talked
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: about how great Shannahan is and how great this team is.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna let it scare me off. The
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: big number. It's like, my I really want to take
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks. It's a divisional game. I must always take
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: the dog in a divisional rematch in the playoffs. But
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: it's just everything in my body, everything just in my
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: model as well, Like I make this game eleven. It's
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: telling me that's a good number then for this four
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: nine team. So I'm on it. But if Chad is
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: on the Seahawks, I honestly get it, like you're taking
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: the divisional dog in this spot. It's just everything that
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Shanahan acts a party to do, he does. And then
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: you're factoring McCaffrey in the rain, which you're calling for.
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know if people are found this and they're
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: gettinghit by like a once in a generation tsunami. Right
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: in north northern California. There's bad rain, bad weather. Even
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: more favorites are really well coached, schemed up offense. And
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: we saw it last year. The two the two verse
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: seven seeds a big deal. The two seeds just just
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: I mean Bills, Bills in the Chiefs. You could flip
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: either want could be the one seed. Golos and the
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: forty niners, you can flip either want to be the
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: one seed. They're probably gonna blow them. The hell out.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: So the fact that it's such a big number really
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: doesn't scare me off of this one. I'm just I
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: usually change things up in the playoffs. This is one
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: of those most people thought on the Seahawks I did too.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: MODEL like forty nine and I like the n I
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: think that's a good number of good side we talked
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: about all season long, and you emphasize this. You have
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: to think about the circumstances and what's happening on the
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: field late in the year as much as you think
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: about the systems and the precedent and sort of how
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: these games historically play out. Yeah, I never even considered
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: the Niners here. I've kind of just been waiting for
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: the number to go back down. I think the game
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: opened at seven and then got bet up a lot
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: vandal thank you. They hung a six and a half.
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they already fired that guy, but
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: that was the worst line I saw hung got a
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: penny down on the six and a half, got a
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: decent chunk down at seven, another decent chunks seven and
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: a half, and they just said forget it, moved all
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: way to ten. So it's it's been ten nine and
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: a half since that opening number. But yeah, fandal, I
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: would say they're the only book I saw open six
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: and a half. Most books opened seven and seven a
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: half and got bet up the eight and a half,
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: nine and a a half, ten and a half. Ten. Yeah.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: I actually wonder if this might come down a little
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: bit more. But I like the Niners in every matchup.
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: The Niners are dominant defensively. I think the Seahawks have
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: been exposed. I think the Seahawks didn't win this past
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: weekend because of Gino. I think they won because of
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: mistakes made by the Rams. I think the forty Niners
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: are probably as good as the Eagles as a dominant team.
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: I love the Niners in this spot. It's weird to
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: say how much I love the Niners as a nearly
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: double digit favorite. No no, I would say, as an
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: Eagles fan, I am a static of people kind of
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: left them for dead. I've heard a couple of bookmakers
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: locally talk about the fort Nights come to Philly. They
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: got them pegged. Right now is at one point favorite,
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: So the forty Niners are I would say the high hyped,
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: most like team right now in the NFC. I mean,
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: it's very, very good vibes when you have a guy
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: step in and start five and up in his career,
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: so it's we're gonna see him have a meltdown game.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: It has not happened yet. Like this kid in every
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: game whenever they asked him to do like that Raiders again,
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: their Raiders put up a ton of points. This kid
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: kept the offense in it. So I don't know what
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: to makeup. I'm telling you, it's like Roethlisberger. Roethlisberger stepped
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: in on that Pittsburgh team as a rookie and they
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: had a great defense and a great run game. The
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: rest worked itself out. It's the same thing here. It's
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: like they just have all the pieces that are all
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: that was missing every year is that quarterback position. So yeah,
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: John Lynch could end up winning the Executive of the Year,
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: Shannon Coach of the Year just and incredibly put together
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: team before dinner. So they deserve it to be ten.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Deserve it between nine and a half. That they're deserved
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: that respect right now. By the way, the rain is
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: one thing that it makes me a little squeamish about
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: petting a huge number because there's so many, so many
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: things that that could go wrong. Chargers opened his two
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. This line has moved aggressively
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: on the road at the Jags. It's now down to
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: pick plus one. Why do I like the Jags here?
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: That's all. That's all your buddy, Simon. They're making that
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: line movement. This is one of my uh yeah, I
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: just been betting it since it opened. It's been betting
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: this one. Another game we got coming up where I
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: couldn't fight it, like, shoot, that's all a little high,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: and I was like, yeah, that's exactly what they would do.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: They would make the public Darling Herbert, the guy with
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: the more wins, the team that you know everyone's looking
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: down on this nine and eight Jaguars team a little
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: bit um just because Trevor Lawrence didn't play well in
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: that game against Tennessee. So two and a half was egregious.
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: One and a half made a little bit more sense
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: now that it's a pick. This is what it should be.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: This game should be a pick. You can still find
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: one and a half you're listening live, I'd grab it,
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: or if your coward, you can throw in a teaser
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: with something, um, get teaser with the bucks. That will
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: be a game coming up. Just it's just a good
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: number on the team that I like this Jaguars team,
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: And we already talked earlier of the coaching matchup, to
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: me is the biggest difference in this game. I have
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: a coach in Peterson, I know exactly what I'm getting
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: from him. He does gamble, but when he gambles, it
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: feels more sound and like the reasoning behind it. Where
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: Stanley does it, it just seems like madness and chaos
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: with this Chargers team. So, um, I feel like not
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: enough is being made up that Mike Williams injury. How
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: big of a deal it is to a team that
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: you know, having two receivers that are that dominant and
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. We saw how that kind
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: of flipped the Charger season when they both came back,
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: Like that's that's a big deal to that offense and
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: to Herbert himself. So I don't have a much info
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: on that yet, but I know with the Jaguars side,
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: they I think they're down. Um, it might be an
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: offensive lineman, but overall they're pretty healthy. Receivers are healthy,
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: Travisy Gans healthy, and we saw yeah boasts got a
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: little banged up in that game. He came back in,
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: But Boast is a pass rusher, he's not really a
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: run stopper. So to me, that's where this game is
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: really flipped. Where the Jaguars are actually pretty good against
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: the run. We saw against Derrick Henry. They took that away.
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: That was pretty surprising. Um the Chargers not so much.
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: They still have big, big issues stopping the run. So
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: when these two teams played earlier this year, that's what
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: the Jaguars did. And Doug Peterson knows that. You go
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: back and watch the film. He ran a lot of
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: run pass options. So you got a quarterback and Lawrence
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: that ken run and a running back and Travis etn
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: that's incredibly quick and fast through holes. It's it's a
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: nice matchup for this Jaguars team. So makes sense if
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: you look at the charge right now, the public, all
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: the tickets are coming on the Chargers. The money is
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: coming on the Jaguars. That's pro money betting this number down.
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: So if you do like the Chargers, maybe I'll wait.
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: It might be I'll get a better number if you
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: can't find a pick yet, I do think, like Chad said,
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: they'll keep going down towards the dry towards the Chargers
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: in this matchup. It's kind of interesting to me that
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: the Chargers would open his favorites, Like anyone who watches
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: football record, Yeah, but anyone who watches football can see
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: the jaz Wars have gotten better, better, better and better
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: over the course of the year. Yeah, more fundamentally sound,
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: more comfortable in the offense. And now you see the
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: way Doug Peterson is coaching them. He it's almost like
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: they've been layering, layering, layering, layering, right. They're opening up
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: the full playbook in ways, whereas the Chargers there there's
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: so much variants. You don't have any idea what Brandon
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: Staley is going to do. And sometimes he likes to
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: frame it, I think publicly as he and I'm not
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: saying he does this on purpose, but it gets framed
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: as he's so crazy it's genius. But sometimes I think
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: it's reckless. Honestly, I lets saying, you want to you
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: wanna do that? Fox wish I make this. Simon says,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: because the lines moving. I feel like it's got to
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: be Simon says, because the line is moving and you're
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: gonna lose the value soon. In fact. Yeah, so grab
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: the one and a half if you can. That's that's
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: a good number, it says Jack's plus one and a half.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: Let's do it. We do what science says. Let's talk
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: about the Dolphins visiting the Bills. The Bills make me
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: want get your feels something, to throw your hand on something,
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: throw your hand back to Troa Now the Bills. I'm
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: making it happen. You know, the Bills are interesting past
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: few weeks against the Bears, against the Patriots, big numbers eight,
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, and they don't look good for
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: fifty to three quarters of the game and then like
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden, they're up ten, they're up seventeen,
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: they're up one, like they have built a massive lead
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: and pummeled the team. Yeah. No, They've been good against
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: really bad teams. And I feel like we can all
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: most most of us can be in agreement here in Miami.
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Not that good of a team. It's uh got issues
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: right now. And the biggest issue is there's no Ta
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: like Ta for all the critics and everything. Everyone knocks him,
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: he was running that offense really well. So I would
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: love to take my aim here. I mean, we just
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: saw Bill's team let the Patriots run all over them.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: Uh that's kind of been Achilles Hill of this Bill's
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: team this season. Very fortunate with two kick returns in
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: that game that kind of made it impossible for the
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: Patriots to come back. It's just you got Mac Jones
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: already down fourteen because the two kick returns going against
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: Josh Allen, who's just at another level. It's just never
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: gonna work out for that Patriots team. So I wanted
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: to take Miami, but I can't do it. And I
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: mean there's a bunch of reasons, but I try to
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: keep it simple. Stupid, especially in the playoffs. UM quarterbacks
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: making their first start, what is it since two thousand
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: once since two thousand two, there are fourteen and thirty
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: five against the spread. So Skyler Thompson whatever this dude's name,
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: is most likely making his first start. So the three
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: guys that fit that would be Jones, Skyler if he
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: is the starter, and Huntley if he is the starter
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: this week. So obviously Daniel Jones first career playoffs start.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: Last year we had three guys make but also put
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: by the way, justin Herbert Trevor Lawrence. Yeah, uh sorry,
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: this is against other quarterbacks that haven't started it, so
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: basically those guys can't see, so they're out. Same with
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: the other game we just talked about what brought Purty
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: and Gino Smith. Yeah, I haven't played yet, so it's
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: only when they're facing quarterbacks that have played it. So
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: last year absolutely hurts um he got crushed, Kyler Murray
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: got crushed and Mac Jones got crushed. So that it's
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: a big deal. QB making us first start in the
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: playoffs against the quarterback that's been there before kind of
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: knows the speed of it and the difference that's a
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: huge number, Like this is what's killing me. Like the
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: same with the Sehawks, where it's like these are divisional matchups.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: It's the third time they've played each other. What the
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: hell am I doing? Why am I not taking the dog?
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: But it's just between the quarterbacks in the coaching, I
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: think in both matchups there's big discrepancies. And you know,
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: give give Pete Credell, Pete Carroll of his credit for
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: what he's done with the Seahawks team. I I love
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: what Mike Daniels did, but he doesn't have the weapon,
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: which was too which was the reason they had won
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: all those games, and they lost five straight games. I mean,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: the Jets gave that one away, um, and that matchup
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: against Miami, they just won't have the same opportunity against
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: this Bills team. I thought that was the game. The
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Bills were gonna have a letdown in that game after
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: everything they had gone through that whole week. For sure,
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: the offense would sputter, they'd have issues everything. It's like,
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: how's your head in football when you're thinking about your
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: brother who's still in the hospital this week? None of
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: that all right, It's just a completely different beast. They've
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: had a week to get over it. Just the Bills
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: at home Orchard Park and this matchup. Man, it's just
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: thinking about it makes me get fired up. It's it's
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: just a no brainer. Take the Bills here. Um, hopefully
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: you'll have a ten. I do think ten's a key number.
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: Not crazy about getting the ten a half, but if
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: that's what it is, that's it is. Um, I make
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: this number up to thirteen, So I do think you're
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: getting good value here. But once again, me and Chad
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: just talked about it's it is not like us to
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: be taking such big favorites, but it's it's playoffs. It's different,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: And I was gonna say, I'm looking at this board
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: right now, and I do feel like there's a lot
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: of stuff that's different for us in this game, in
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: the in this playoffs, like we're gonna talk about, I
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: agree with you, by the way, I love the Bills here.
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: I think I think that it's the exact right time
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: to be betting them. The next game is the Giants
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: and the Vikings. Of course we'd automatically want to take
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: the Giants, but I don't feel that way. I don't
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: know what to do with it, because I'm right there
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: with you. It's like, I feel like this number should
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: be three and a half. The books don't want pushes.
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: They are not here for pushes. So them hanging this number,
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the hell they do with it
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: because I feel like you're right there right like they're
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: scaring me off taking the Vikings because it's three. Where
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: it's like, all right, I'll just take the Giants. Last
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: time they played it, it was a three point game, right.
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: The Vikings won on the last second field goal from
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: sixty yards away. I'm just gonna go off what I
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: just talked about that fourteen thirty five quarterbacks making their
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: first playoffs start against the quarterback that has not played
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: that has played in the playoffs before, and Kirk has
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: played the playoffs, He's been in the scenarios before at home.
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: I gotta do it, Chat, It's just a good number.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: Like I'm begging them to give me a two and
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: a half with the Vikings, but they're not doing it.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: They're keeping it three. The money in the tickets for
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: most people right now is on the Vikings. So if
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: you are Giants better, maybe you get the three and
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: a half. But um, definitely one of those lines. I'll
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: just watch all week. I haven't bet it yet. I'm
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: just gonna wait and watch. Maybe it goes to two
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: and a half. Maybe it goes to three and a half.
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: It goes three and a half, I'll probably be sucked
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: in take the Giants, but two and a half three.
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: I like the Vikings. I'm a waiting on this game
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: right and just I don't I don't feel rushed. I
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: can be patient if it stays where it is. You know,
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: it's the opposite of how you feel that a lot
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: of the games we've just been talking about, whether it's
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: the Niners at nine and a half, or the Bills
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: at ten or ten and a half, or even the
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: Jaguars at one and a half, which is still available
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: with fan duel. I just bet it using a quick
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: slip on Action Network app. No advantage here. I either
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: want the three and a half or I want the
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: two and a half. The Baltimore Ravens just signed ro
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: Kwan Smith to a one million dollar deal. Was sixty
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: million guaranteed, you told me in Matt Mitchell bat before
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: we came on the air. Obviously, as a Bears fan,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: I loved ro Kwan Smith, didn't hate that they didn't
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: resign him. But this Ravens defense since he joined has
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: been unbelievable. And here's a few stats that Evan Abrahams
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: sent me that I read on green Dot Daily. I
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: say red because it's basically what I did read on
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: green Dot Daily, our daily show Action Network app at
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: could Neggy actual first nine weeks of the season before
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: ro Kwan Smith joined the Baltimore Ravens on October thirty one,
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: Ravens were tenth in d v o A against the
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: past After seven Ravens have allowed a hundred and thirty
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: two total points since Week nine, the first ro Quan game,
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: second fused in the NFL Sundstisco just eight passing touchdowns
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: and since week nine, allowing Patrick Queen to move over
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: and get into a different position, three sacks amongst linebackers.
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: That's fourth Queen and ro Quan together nineteen QB pressures
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: since week nine, third most amongst linebacker duo's also their
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: d v O A against the versus the rush improved
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: from twenty to three. I love the Ravens defense. If
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: I can get anyone other than Anthony Brown. It's hard
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: enough to play them against the Bengals. I'm completely thrown
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: out the last game. It was a matchup where both
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: these teams knew they were going to play each other.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: I feel like the Ravens kind of fell on their
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: sword where it's like we're playing our third stringer quarterback here,
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: like we're not going to be a fully healthy Bengals team.
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: But the game they did play earlier this year, obviously
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: it's different because Lamar played in it. It was a
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: nineteen seventeen absolute battle and it's just a back and forth,
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: slug it out fast. That's exactly what we're going to
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: get here. People. And that's what's hilarious. All the money,
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: all the bets are pointing on the Bengals. That is
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: so risky to me, so risky. This this matchup screams trap.
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: Everything about it is a trap line. Uh. The fact
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: that the bookmakers hung it, they literally hung it Sunday
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: without knowing any information on Lamar. They hung a six
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: pros game in I know a couple of really smart
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: guys that came in took it up because they were like,
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: this is gonna run up to seven and a half. Eight.
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: They didn't move to half a point. They moved to
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: six and a half. And it's just been sitting there
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: for almost seventy two hours now. So you better really
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: do some soul search. And if you listen to the
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: show and you instantly bet that Bengals team, you should
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: know better. Uh this this this one of those lines
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: we don't do here and Chad nailed it. It's gonna
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: be a defensive battle. Not enough people are realizing that
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: the Bengals have lost key guys on that offensive line
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: that's going to be a big deal against I really
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: really tough front that this Ravens runs out there. So
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: looking at the matchup. Go ahead, tease tea since I
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: think I still think since he wins, I think they advance.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: I think this is going to be a three point game.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: The fact that it's six and a half makes the
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: books tell me it's gonna be a six pointer. Maybe
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: it goes over time, whatever it is. The books are
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: really staunched on their belief the Bengals will win. But
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: they will win this game by six. Please everyone coming
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: and bet this bangles team in six and a half.
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: So um, interesting move by the bookmakers fading my own
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: model as well. My model has this at seven, so
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: it means the value right now is on the Bengals.
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: I just do not trust it. It feels like an
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: incredible trap line and a really tough a f C
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: North Division that's just always a battle, especially in the playoffs.
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: I love it. I love it. Yeah, this um, this
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: to me should be our fox Well, how do you
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: feel about it? You know me, regardless of what's going on,
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: I'm a foxhole guy. I commit to a team, I
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: commit to a city. I'm a foxhole guy. Love it,
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: love it, want some more of it? Was thinking the
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: exact same thing. Yes, Ravens plus six and a half,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: and I will say, like pros line by far pro's
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: line in the week, it's truly only pros are betting
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: this Ravens, the pros and the books. That's who needs
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: the Ravens. It stays the same. If it's uh Tyler Huntley,
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: I feel like it moves up. If it's Anthony Brown,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: and then I'd probably stay away and it goes if
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: it's Anthony Brown's the same thing we did last week
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: with Nathan Peterman was named the starter against the Vikings.
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: You buy out of your position. I think, even if
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: it's a ship number, you buy out your position just
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: get peace of mind. Yes, it would be brutal, obviously
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: if you lose both. I can't see that happening with
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: that kid. So um to me, turn on turn on
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: your alerts with Twitter, wherever your file that gives you
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: your NFL updating news. That would be a big deal.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: If it's not Lamar, if it's not Huntley, if it's
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: if it's a third stringer, that that would be pretty terrifying.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: But I honestly probably let it ride. I probably wouldn't
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: buy on my position. I'll just hit I'll just hit
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: the Ravens if they get up to ten. I'm just
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: it's whatever. It's me at this point. I just believe
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: in what you just talked about. Just believe in this defense.
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: I believe in the run game, the coaching, everything with
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: the Raymonds. I just loved this spot for this team.
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: This is one of those where I'm gonna dig in
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: and I'll bet it all week most likely. Um, But
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: like Chad just said, I'm not gonna bet too much
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: yet because I really want to know it's going to
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: the quarterback position. We're on a Tuesday. We will know
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: for sure by Thursday, midday Friday if Flamar is gonna play.
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: If he does not practice today Tomorrow Thursday, it's a
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: done deal. I just don't see hardball. Let him do
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: a walk through Friday and playing in this game. So, UM,
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: wait and see if you like. I just grabbed the
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: six and aft to be safe in case it was
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: Lamar and the Strops town to six. Alright, So the
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: last game on the board the Monday nighter Cowboys visiting
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: the Buccan years. Um, I want to say that I
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: loved this game when it was plus three for the Buccaneers.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Those threes I'm looking right now, That's why I'm sort
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: of hesitating for a second. Those threes are no longer available.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: It's two and a half across the board, and by
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: the way, it's headed towards two pretty fast. I'm looking
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: at a bunch of different books. It's reduced juwe said
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: every book plus one oh four at FanDuel. It's a
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: plus one hundred at another book, plus one oh five
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: at another book. So you're not gonna get that two
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: and a half much longer. I still like the bucks here, though,
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: because I don't trust Mike McCarthy. I think he's a
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: bad situational coach. I think Dak Prescott has not looked
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: sharp since coming back from his injury. Books in seven
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: straight games against a past defense that is really good.
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: So that alone, and I don't mean just like yards,
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: I mean yards per attempt sacks top ten. They're just
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: a sound past defense. And Tom Brady all of a
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: sudden is setting records again at forty five years old.
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: And in Week seventeen, the last full game, he played
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: through four and thirty yards and had his full complimentary
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: receivers and they looked amazing. I'm getting a better quarterback,
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: a better defense, potentially against in a matchup. And by
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: the way, the Cowboys given up like twenty seven points
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: a game the last five games against not very good quarterbacks. No,
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: it's Jad's right there, that's what. So that's what Bruto though,
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: because we talked whatever was nine this morning, I I said,
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: there's only one game I wanted to give out right
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: away early in the morning, was that Tampa game because
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: that line was gonna move. And that's what stinks. Like
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: we had to wait for the show, and by the
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: time we do our show the lines two and a half,
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, would still take it, But it feels
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: weird because I know me and Chad we both got three.
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: We've been bet in the three, and I'm gonna still
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: take the two and a half. But yeah, if you
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: if you missed the three, you can take the two
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: and a half, but it might keep dropping. You'll probably
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: just end up taking their money line anyway. So for
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: this matchup, Chad nailed it. It's you're basically back in
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: Brady against a really, really, really bad secondary and all
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: the weapons are back, like Godwin's fully healthy, Evans is
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: healthy playing, and Govin and the slot is gonna be
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: a big deal. Mike Evans outside, it's gonna be a
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: big deal. But that that, to me, is gonna be
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: one of those things of it's gonna be Brady versus
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: Dad d line of the Cowboys. That's what. If you're
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: gonna back the Cowboys, you're not backing them because you're
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: just like, oh, Dad should tear them up. No, no
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: one's got faith in Doc anymore. He uh, he tied
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: the league and interceptions and he missed I think four
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: or five games. Like that's that's a bad season. Um,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: I know he's no good, Simon, no good. I know
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: he's got his defenders. But facts your facts. It's just
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: that he's putting a really good situation with a really
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: good offense that Cooper Rush was able to win with
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: that should be playing better. He just hasn't been. So
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: we knew weeks ago this matchup is gonna be what
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: it is. We talked about it, we knew we were
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: gonna be on Brady Brady's career. It's the stupidest step,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: but I love it because it's just it means something.
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: He has never lost to the Cowboys. He's seven and
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: on his career against the Cowboys. That was crazy. I
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: hung at three. I I I think they hung it
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: because they expected the public to forgive the Cowboys on
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: laying such an egg against Washington. But no one is, like,
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: people do not trust this Cowboys team in the playoffs.
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: Everyone knows all the jokes and the memes about how
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: you're relevant the Cowboys have been since the nineties, Like
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: they're just a team that performs well in the playoffs
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: and then let you know, let things go wrong in
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. Same with McCarthy. That's why I never will
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: get the hiring. It's like you're hiring a guy that
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: he had won one Super Bowl on a year that
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers having out of body experience, Like you go
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: back and watch that tape, um it might have been.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: Rogers was out of this world good on that offense.
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: And that was nothing to do with McCarthy. He doesn't
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: have that in Dak, Like there ain't no having to
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: come in insane run here with Dakdak is going into
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: this playoffs as low as one can. Feel like he
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: completely laid an egg last week. So me, Chad hate it.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Like if they would have blown out Washington, we would
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: have got three three and a half on Tampa here
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: that would have been a gift, would have been amazing,
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: but they loaded total egg. We don't care. We're still
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: gonna take the value. This line is closer to minus
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: one for the Dallas. That's what I make it. We
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: were getting free points here and just an overreaction of
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: the Bucks are bad. But like Chad just said, they're
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: not as bad as they were in the middle of
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: the season. They've gotten guys back, their defense has gotten
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: health here. The offense, the offensive line is still bad.
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: I'll give them that. They still have a lot of
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: issues offensive line for this Tampa team, but they have
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: the wide receivers now, so I don't if it's gonna
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: be quick passes whatever Brady is gonna do. You're getting
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: one of the most clutch quarterbacks in football as a
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: dog at home against one of the most unclutched quarterbacks
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: and coach and football so um, a little foreshatting is
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: most likely to be one of our big balls. Bet
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: uh next next show. But we want the three give
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: us a three, bookmakers, so hopefully it gets back to
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: a three. I feel more confident taking that three six games.
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: As you noted this weekend, we have three dollars that
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: we like two of them home dogs Bucks and Jags
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: short home dogs Ravens were betting the six and a
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: half right now, and then we like two huge What
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: the fun? But hey, in our defense, they're both home,
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: so we're not. We're not some psychosts taking big favorites
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: on the road. They're both home but too cute. And
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: I feel like in this round that's where you might
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: see stuff like that. Yeah, just in general though, like
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: I saw last week, I had a lot of people
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: reach out. Um I basically was an island taking the
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: Chiefs against the Raiders. Like someone sent me. Everyone had action,
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: had taken the Raiders, and I was the only that
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: didn't take the Raiders. And I told him, well, I
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: don't feel too much confident. I'm just betting the number
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: where I think it's a good number. And it worked
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: out for me. This following game, the guys, same guy
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: messing me, goes, all of you guys are on the
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: Titans again, should I go to Jaguars and fade you guys?
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: I was like, dude, it does not work that way.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: You can't just keep blindly fading people. I was like,
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: that does not work long term that way, and that
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: feels like the same anything with here where we regular
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: season would probably be taking these big these big dogs
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: if it was the middle of the season, but it's
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: the playoff time and we've just seen head coaching the quarterbacks.
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: It's just it's the big reason these lines are what
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: they are, so uh to me, don't feel great about
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: taking those big favorites, tad. I would say my favorite
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: bets right now are those dogs we bet. But I
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: do like the Bill's number. I think you're getting good value,
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: and same with the Fourtis, both numbers I'm not allowed
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: as a good value. So I do feel confident right
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: now betting them. Would you put fewer units on the
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: big favorites, No, but I'm more likely to take a
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: coward move and tease them, Like I hate doing teasers
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: for the most part, because I do. You do lose
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: value for them like long term taking teasers. But that's
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: one of those where I can't fall people if they
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: tease these two where they tease um, you know, the
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: Bengals down and tease Tampa up, or tease the Jaguars
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: up and tease down the Bengals. Like there's just a
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: bunch of good teaser options. This week because if you
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: take it down from the ten, you're taking them through
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: the seventh. That's the reason you're teasing it. You're just
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: trying to cut to get it down through the seven,
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: which obviously is a key number when these two teams
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: play on that Thursday night the final was the forty
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: Niners and Seahawks. Like teasing that number down whatever it was,
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: that definitely interesting worked out for those people. So um.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: To me, I'm not the biggest teaser guy, but playoffs,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: I completely understand why people tease down these numbers. What
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: do you have the Bills Dolphins power rated at? I
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: know you have the Jet the Niners Seahawks at eleven
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: in the games at nine and a half? What are
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: the Bills fans with Skyler? That's what I'm assuming it's
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: Skylar to what could happen? Like, seriously, people keep competitioning
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: about their like, how can they allow this to happen?
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: It's an independent doctor, It's literally someone not affiliated with
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: the team. The heagle will go and get cleared by
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: if he's able to play, Miami will play him. That
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: to me is the difference here, where if this number
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: kind of feels like it will drop, if it is
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: to uh, um, if it's Skylar, and if it's definitely Skylar,
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: I do feel like it's gonna go up a little
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: more so with Skyler in there. I have a thirteen
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: with toa I got alway down to eight and a half. Wow,
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: it was worth a lot, okay, just for sure compared
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: to uh Skyler, who's their first stringer. Makes sense? Makes sense? Alright?
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: Uh Foxhole, we got the Ravens plus six and a half,
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: Simon says, Jacks plus one and a half. Exact decision
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: bucks plus two and a half, the choice between the
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: unthinkable and the impossible executive decision. We also lean niners,
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: we lean bills. Were waiting on some movement for the
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: Giants and the Vikings. It is weird are having a
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: much smaller slate this week. I know our Thursday show
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: is gonna be like twenty five minutes. I'm sure Matt
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: Mitchell loves that. Yeah, right, exactly, all right. This has
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: been the favorites from the Volume podcast Network. Guy him
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: Chad Mollment. He is Simon Hunter for producer extraordinaire Matt Mitchell.
• 51:55
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