skinny.

Latest / Trade with Conviction

Episode 72: Venezuela shocks the market: heavy sour pressure and the global crude reshuffle

The team kicks off 2026 by unpacking why flat price looks deceptively calm while physical markets are quietly shifting underneath. The discussion spans Venezuelan crude disruptions and heavy sour dislocations, Saudi OSPs and a softening Asian crude complex, tumbling freight reopening arbitrage routes, and tightening signals in gasoline and light ends. Across crude, gasoline, fuel oil and distillates, the episode focuses on how barrels are being displaced rather than lost, and why geography, logistics and benchmark behaviour matter more than headline noise right now.

Key Takeaways:

Heavy sour…

The skinny

The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.