Latest / The Retail Podcast / Part 1. Unpacking the $100 Billion Shrinkage Challenge
Transcript
- 0:00Hello, Welcome to a special three-part episode where we talk
- 0:04about the biggest problem in retail right now, which is
- 0:08theft. With US retailers like Target
- 0:10and Walmart Home Depot grappling the rising inventory shrinkage
- 0:14leading to significant profit losses, this issue has cost the
- 0:17industry over $100 billion, double that of 2015.
- 0:22Increased theft incidents, either violent ones, are
- 0:24prompting measures like surveillance plexiglass.
- 0:27However, balancing security with a seamless shopping experience
- 0:31is an ongoing debate. In the United Kingdom, the Coop
- 0:35reported its highest ever levels of retail crime, with over
- 0:38175,000 incidents in the first half of 2023.
- 0:43Over the next three episodes we'll take a look of the problem
- 0:46of shrink or theft, talk to experts in the field and look at
- 0:51real life solutions on what retailers can do to protect
- 0:55themselves from the etab offices in the UK.
- 0:59I'm joined by Leandro Blank. Who better to talk to about such
- 1:04an important problem in retail than the experts?
- 1:08Leandro, welcome to the podcast. What I'd love to start by doing
- 1:12is getting your view on what is lost.
- 1:15First of all, thank you Annex for having us in the in the
- 1:18podcast. I would say that Nos.
- 1:21It's a very broad concept. That nowadays we are seeing lot
- 1:27of noise and lot of news around fast specifically, but it's
- 1:30actually a bigger challenge for retailers which includes from
- 1:34the loss that happens in during the process supply chain
- 1:37inventory, stock error in the process of accounting and
- 1:42pricing. It also includes product waste
- 1:46and spoilage. So all the product that it goes
- 1:49out of stock because the expire date has reached.
- 1:53And then the third, Peter, is the the theft, which is now the
- 1:57most hot topic in the press and the news and everywhere but we
- 2:01see in theft, we can also split it into two different
- 2:05categories, organized crime and what we call opportunist theft.
- 2:10It's a client that goes to the store, sees an opportunity,
- 2:14doesn't scan, doesn't pay for something.
- 2:16You see that he can he or she can get away with that.
- 2:19And then they repeat that I becomes a behavior.
- 2:22Yeah. So these two aspects are
- 2:24different. Within this theft pillar of
- 2:27loss, is there one that causes more of a headache for
- 2:30retailers? Is there one that's prioritized
- 2:33when you're talking to retailers?
- 2:36I guess all of them are in the agenda.
- 2:39But what we are seeing is that specific specifically theft,
- 2:43it's in the rise, right because of the dynamics that we are
- 2:46seeing now in the in the current economic situation.
- 2:50So rising cost of living, the diminishing margins from the
- 2:54retailers are making this theft the one that it's now becoming
- 2:58the really hot topic because it's in the rise.
- 3:01The other tool, for example the process, the ones related to
- 3:03processes or the one related to product waste are more or less
- 3:07being managed by the retailers. But the one that it's purely
- 3:11related to theft, that's the one that it needs to be put under
- 3:14control at the moment. So can it be put under control
- 3:16in reality? Can you really help retailers or
- 3:19is it just marketing? It can be put under control.
- 3:21There are some initiatives going on as everything in life.
- 3:24With everything that is an upside and then downside, sure.
- 3:27So every initiative, every solution we have a trade off.
- 3:31So I think that the challenge remains how to mitigate the
- 3:35risk, yeah. Theft without stopping trading,
- 3:38yeah, because that's in stores are there to enable trade.
- 3:42So if you put lots of barriers and lots of products behind the
- 3:46cabinet counters when they closed in cabinets, then yeah,
- 3:50you're going to reduce loss where you're impacting sales at
- 3:53the same time. So that's I think for me the
- 3:56main challenge how to put theft under control and mitigate the
- 4:00risk, Yeah, but at the same time I'm what I was going to say
- 4:03improve the customer experience, but at least don't make the
- 4:06customers don't have any work on it, right.
- 4:07I don't make it worse. It's.
- 4:08Not make it worse. Yeah, because it's interesting
- 4:10because again, the NRF report that focuses in and and in the
- 4:15UK, the Federation of Small Businesses has also they
- 4:18launched a report in July about what are for small shopkeepers
- 4:23or small medium enterprises, how much of a problem it is for
- 4:26them. And obviously they're asking for
- 4:28change in the UK law as they are in the US to make any type of
- 4:33shop crime more than petty theft, which is the way they
- 4:36look at it. But this whole thing about
- 4:38friction and having the right amount of friction to prevent
- 4:42theft or the right amount of friction to allow a great
- 4:46customer service. What I found interesting when I
- 4:50was reading the report and some of the solutions had to mitigate
- 4:54was this whole concept of, you know, capturing live video and
- 4:59then using AI or this new world of AI and data to help store
- 5:04staff get themselves out of positions of danger.
- 5:07Exactly, because that's the other big problem is no retailer
- 5:10wants their associates to be in danger.
- 5:13I just wondered if you have any thoughts on that in terms of
- 5:16best ways to help retailers. So we understand the problem,
- 5:19but what is the solution? That there is no one single
- 5:22solution for every retailer and there is no one single batch
- 5:25point that will solve all the problems.
- 5:28Yeah, So what we see that works. Is that, first of all, each
- 5:32retailer has a different dynamic, different operating
- 5:35model and so we need to approach every retailer as a new
- 5:39development. So we will end up with a bespoke
- 5:42solutions for every retailer based on their need, on their
- 5:46specific dynamics and their specific customer experience
- 5:51that they want to deliver to the client.
- 5:54So just working from your experience, when you're talking
- 5:57to these people, what is that one thing that they come to you
- 5:59with? Like, I know everyone's
- 6:01different, but yeah, are they? Is it theft as a problem in
- 6:05general that's driving their conversation with you right now?
- 6:09I think that now the main challenge that we're seeing is
- 6:13that, but it's not really a measure of loss, right?
- 6:19Where it's happening in which products when, So there is lack
- 6:24of information. Got you.
- 6:26So I think that. 1st, we need to start there.
- 6:29We need to understand where is loss happening and once we will
- 6:32understand that, then we can propose a solution.
- 6:35It's really hard to measure the absence of something, so losses
- 6:40something that it's not there. So our approach is probably
- 6:43measuring the when we can convert a potential loss into a
- 6:48safe opportunity. Yeah.
- 6:50So that's something that it can be measured and can be then also
- 6:55put in the in a in a. Highlight within the
- 6:58organization because everyone understands the language of
- 7:00sale. Yeah, in a retail environment
- 7:03because until now I think loss was more on the on the back end
- 7:07was a for the loss prevention officer somewhere in the back
- 7:11and very isolated from the rest of the of the organization.
- 7:14Yeah. But when you translate that into
- 7:16a sales discussion, how we can by preventing laws and loss,
- 7:21actually it transformed that into a sales opportunity.
- 7:25Then that is that something real?
- 7:27I mean does that like? Just to give one example, yeah
- 7:31non scan and attempt and it says checkout.
- 7:36Yeah, if we can convert a non scan attempt into an that's a
- 7:41sales, right, but you're. Transforming, and in that case,
- 7:45is that that's an innocent mistake that someone may have
- 7:49made, but the retailer will lose anyway.
- 7:51Or or innocent. It only broke.
- 7:53Yeah. Interesting.
- 7:55Interesting. Why are they focusing on it now
- 7:58when it's been around for so long?
- 8:00Since there is written, there is loss.
- 8:01So it's been always a problem until now is budgeted and it was
- 8:06in the P&L, somewhere in the P&L.
- 8:09But now there are two dynamics as I I I said it beginning that
- 8:13I'm putting this on the hotspot on one side notice increasing,
- 8:18yeah, on the other side profits are going down, margins are
- 8:22going down. Yeah, so now.
- 8:24Reducing loss has become a pocket loss margin, the pocket
- 8:29of growth for the retailers. So nowadays actually investment
- 8:33in loss prevention initiatives is his number one investment.
- 8:36The other thing I hear and and I'm sure retailers are probably,
- 8:40you know, when you go to any trade fair, you see loss
- 8:44prevention through computers, loss prevention through AI, loss
- 8:47prevention through data, loss prevention through dates, Los
- 8:49prevention through pause. Where do you start?
- 8:51How do you how do you tackle this problem?
- 8:54Every single problem might be tackled with a touch point with
- 8:58a single touch point. But the the real value to really
- 9:02address loss in a holistic way and with a multi dimensional
- 9:06approach because loss is a multi dimensional problem is by
- 9:10connecting all these dots together.
- 9:12So and not only the touch points that are related to loss
- 9:16specifically like a vision technology could be, foot fault
- 9:20could be, transactional data could be.
- 9:22Time of day, weather. So all the data points that we
- 9:25have, we have around and written store.
- 9:28If we connect all those together, we can extract the
- 9:31patterns on the data that could give us insight and we copilot
- 9:35to the store manager to know when something could happen.
- 9:39I think that's where the value lies.
- 9:41That sounds like science fiction.
- 9:43I mean like, I mean I love the idea of Copilot and and you know
- 9:48which business doesn't want to enable their store manager,
- 9:51their store associates to help them.
- 9:54I mean NRF for example. Again the the report said one of
- 9:58the pieces of advice that they give to the executives or the
- 10:01retailers, do not ask your colleagues to engage, record the
- 10:06incident, gather the data and in the US they're trying to share
- 10:09the data. But I mean how does that?
- 10:12Is there a way of bringing it all together?
- 10:14There is. We're working on initiatives.
- 10:16But rather than me talking about it, yeah, don't you come to our
- 10:19office in the showroom in in Sweden and you can see it for
- 10:22yourselves. I sound fantastic.