Latest / Look Forward / Powering the Future: Data Centers at the Crossroads of AI and Sustainability
Transcript
- 0:06Welcome to the Look Forward Podcast from S&P Global.
- 0:10My name is Molly Mintz.
- 0:12I'm the lead strategist for research and development at S&P Global Ratings.
- 0:17When this podcast originally launched six years ago, I was supporting the show as
- 0:22its executive producer behind the scenes.
- 0:26Now I'm thrilled to be back in the studio and in front of our audience
- 0:30as one of the shows new host.
- 0:33In today's rapidly Shifting Markets success depends on anticipating
- 0:38what's next on the horizon.
- 0:41The experts who excel are professionals who can spot emerging trends
- 0:45before they fully materialize.
- 0:48With the Look Forward Podcast, you can access the forward-looking intelligence.
- 0:51You need to navigate uncertainty with confidence.
- 0:56The Look Forward Podcast delivers fresh insights, deeper analyses, and
- 1:00innovative approaches that are essential in this rapidly changing world.
- 1:05To help you prepare for future risks and opportunities, we bring you specialist
- 1:10perspectives on capital markets, trade and supply chains, the multidimensional
- 1:15energy transition, sustainability and climate, global realignment technology
- 1:21and digital disruption and beyond.
- 1:24This podcast connects you with S&P Global's Look Forward Council,
- 1:29bringing cutting edge research on long-term trends and transformative
- 1:34market shifts, with a sharp focus on what these developments mean for the
- 1:39decisions that will shape your tomorrow.
- 1:42I'm looking forward to always learning with you.
- 1:46Data centers are the factories of the 21st century digital economy
- 1:51and essential to artificial intelligence driven transformation.
- 1:56The investment boom, powering this revolution is already becoming the
- 2:00largest contributor to US growth.
- 2:02S&P Global 451 research estimates that US data center capacity represents
- 2:09over 40% of the global total, and that figure is projected to continue growing.
- 2:16Asia Pacific follows as second with Europe, a distant
- 2:20third on the global stage.
- 2:22Nations worldwide are engaged in an AI race.
- 2:26Determining the future of economic competitiveness, national
- 2:31security, and societal paradigms.
- 2:34But expansion in the data center industry faces limitations due to ai, significant
- 2:39energy consumption, challenges and power demand constraints increased
- 2:44competition for opportunities and sustainability concerns over emissions
- 2:49and water stress among other risks.
- 2:53To discuss the frontier for data centers on the cusp of forthcoming research
- 2:57from S&P Global's, look forward council.
- 3:00I am thrilled to be joined by two pioneering subject matter experts
- 3:04from S&P Globals 451 research.
- 3:07Kelly Morgan, research director for data Center infrastructure at
- 3:11451 Research and Brian Partridge, head of Research at 451 Research.
- 3:17Kelly, Brian, thanks so much for coming on the Look Forward Podcast.
- 3:21Let's start off with the fundamentals.
- 3:25Would you please explain your roles and share with our audience
- 3:28why data centers are such an important focus for your research?
- 3:33Uh, I guess I can start.
- 3:34So, Kelly Morgan, I head up the data center team at 451, uh, where I've been
- 3:40covering data centers for 20 years and they were not that important until Gen AI.
- 3:45I mean, they were very important, but nobody knew about them.
- 3:48So I like to joke that now, uh, since Gen AI and this kind of massive increase
- 3:54in need and, uh, request for data center capacity, my mom knows what I
- 3:59do now, so I'll pass it on to Brian.
- 4:03Hey Molly.
- 4:04Hey Kelly.
- 4:05It's great to be with you both.
- 4:06So, I'm Brian Partridge.
- 4:08Uh, my role is I'm the global Head of research for 451 research.
- 4:12I've actually been with 451 for over 10 years, has worked for as
- 4:16an IT analyst for over 20 now.
- 4:18Um, S&P Global acquired 451 actually back in, uh, late 2019.
- 4:23So just a little context about 451.
- 4:25So.
- 4:26Our analysts have been tracking the evolution of the IT
- 4:29market for the past 25 years.
- 4:32Our clients tend to be a mix of tech vendors and users, service
- 4:36providers, energy companies, um, more recently investors.
- 4:41And we are really providing a range of intelligence focused
- 4:44broadly on the most disruptive tech innovations across a broad landscape.
- 4:49So what we're doing every day is our teams are focused on companies, we're
- 4:53focused on trends, demand signals across this broad stack stack of technologies.
- 4:59And so why data centers now?
- 5:01Well, the first thing to say, and Kelly just said it right, is they've
- 5:03always mattered to us, uh, and well before we've entered what we're calling
- 5:07the AI era, uh, and these buildings and all the stuff that goes in them
- 5:12is really the physical layer of it.
- 5:14Um, and I'll say that we've built one of the strongest teams around and data
- 5:19sets in the industry centered on data center operators, assets and markets.
- 5:25Um, but with AI now in the picture, it really requires a
- 5:28fundamental upgrade of the physical infrastructure to run those workloads.
- 5:34And we're gonna talk a lot about that today.
- 5:36Um, but really what.
- 5:37Is so important to know is that this AI boom has created this
- 5:40supercycle investment and data centers really sit at the front
- 5:45and center to this entire movement.
- 5:47Brian on that front, let's unpack how data center investments are
- 5:52increasingly moving the macro needle.
- 5:55Our latest look forward journal research finds that AI driven data
- 5:58center growth added roughly half a percentage point to us GDP in mid 2025.
- 6:06What's behind this surge?
- 6:07Will these investments translate into lasting productivity gains
- 6:11rather than just a construction boom.
- 6:14Yeah, I mean it's a lot to unpack, unpack there, but, but fundamentally, it's true.
- 6:18You know, data centers and the infrastructure that supports them
- 6:22are becoming a critical engine for the US economy and beyond.
- 6:27The recent surge investment isn't just about land or buildings, of course, and
- 6:31includes the servers, the racks, the cooling systems, the software and the
- 6:36r and d that power these facilities.
- 6:38So our analysis at S&P suggests that these combined investments added a roughly a
- 6:43half percentage point, as you mentioned.
- 6:45And that's a clear sign that AI infrastructure is now a major
- 6:49economic contributor, not just a tech narrative or story.
- 6:53And this shift is transforming the tech sector itself.
- 6:56When we think about the public cloud providers, we call them hyperscalers,
- 7:00um, in our world, Microsoft, Google, Oracle, AWS, they're now investing.
- 7:08With revenue CapEx ratios comparable to like what the telecom operators will do
- 7:13during a ma, a major network build phase.
- 7:16So that's really creating a high tech capital and energy intensive set of
- 7:19facilities, which is really not what they've traditionally done in the
- 7:23past, in, in, in a lot of corners.
- 7:25So the result of this is big tech is becoming more CapEx heavy, more energy
- 7:30intensive, increasingly influential on productivity, um, uh, widely.
- 7:37The key question which you raise, right Molly, is where and how?
- 7:41And when will this drive lasting productivity gains?
- 7:46So it's early.
- 7:47Our 451 research demand side data suggests that the expectations for scale remain
- 7:54high, but long-term impact here really depends on a number of factors, which is.
- 7:59How effectively AI can augment labor, drive efficiency, and
- 8:04integrate into business processes.
- 8:06And these are complex challenges.
- 8:08They require a complete rethink of workflows and the human machine
- 8:12interplay and it, that's not easy.
- 8:15Um, but essentially where we are today is the infrastructure is being
- 8:20ground for these transformations.
- 8:22And the translation to sustain economic benefits will vary
- 8:26by industry, by company.
- 8:29By specific processes, like for instance, in areas like software
- 8:33development and customer experience, the impact of AI is already
- 8:37pronounced and and producing outcomes.
- 8:39Some industries are still trying to figure out what they're gonna do.
- 8:42Obviously, capital is continuing to flow into digital infrastructure investments.
- 8:47I wanna note that these projects demand an enormous amount of upfront
- 8:51capital from a plethora of sources.
- 8:54While market fundamentals are healthy, the sector's capital, intensity, and
- 8:58reliance and AI could pose risks.
- 9:01Given that the ultimate timing of widespread a adoption and
- 9:04the eventual size of the overall market are yet to be realized.
- 9:08So Brian, how serious are these risks and what should market
- 9:12participants be watching for?
- 9:14Yeah, I mean, it's a great question.
- 9:15It's important question, and I, I would say generally the AI and the, uh, AI
- 9:21infrastructure and data center market are a very interesting spot right now.
- 9:25So when we think about where we sit today, the fundamentals, I would agree, are
- 9:29strong demand is outpacing supply, occup occupancy, and rate rents are rising.
- 9:36Pricing power is supporting sort of near term growth.
- 9:39At the same time, these projects are incredibly capital intensive,
- 9:43often relying on billions of dollars of public and private
- 9:46financing to get up off the ground.
- 9:49And in the end, success really depends on AI revenue materializing
- 9:52at scale, which it has not yet.
- 9:54So we really need to watch and understand the demand signal.
- 9:57This is something that 451 is, uh, doing every day, especially around inference.
- 10:03And what we're looking for is sustained enterprise adoption beyond pilots.
- 10:08This is called AI diffusion, and watching this mix from training to inference
- 10:13because inference is really where the rubber hits the road for AI monetization.
- 10:18Other risks that we're actively monitoring as our clients are as well is are
- 10:22things like speculative construction.
- 10:24So those are like building projects without committed tenants.
- 10:28And if a lot of that happens and we've seen some signs of potentially
- 10:31some of that sort of bubbling up, it creates potential for
- 10:35oversupply, especially demand slows.
- 10:38We're also monitoring structural constraints in policy, tailwinds.
- 10:42Things like power, availability on the grid, behind the meter, the permitting
- 10:47required to get new power, infrastructure up and running equipment, lead times
- 10:52and regulatory signals, whether they be about sovereign compute requirements,
- 10:56incentives, sustainability rules.
- 11:00All of that will determine.
- 11:01You know which regions can best service their AI demand, and which
- 11:06projects at the micro level may face execution or stranded asset risk.
- 11:10At the same time though, there's tremendous upside here, which is
- 11:14why there's so much excitement and momentum in this space, right?
- 11:17This isn't just about buildings and servers.
- 11:20This is about powering breakthroughs in science technology, accelerating
- 11:24things like drug discovery, immense productivity gains.
- 11:28The potential here for economic and societal value goes far beyond
- 11:32traditional returns, so it's essential to be mindful of the risk factors.
- 11:38Also understand that the risks are about transform transformational
- 11:42impact across these industries.
- 11:44So to summary, right, the takeaway is that strong fund fundamentals exist today.
- 11:50Certain companies sectors may get overheated depending on their
- 11:53local market dynamics or what's happening within the company.
- 11:56This is a highly competitive field, which is actually quite healthy for the
- 12:00market, and not everybody's gonna win.
- 12:03So what's required for our clients is an active approach to risk management
- 12:08and paying close attention to the market signals that are relevant
- 12:11to your specific set of exposures.
- 12:14Now, Kelly, over to you.
- 12:16Let's change gears and look at data centers, energy demands,
- 12:20specifically electricity.
- 12:22How are data centers impacting the US power grid and what
- 12:26challenges does this pose?
- 12:29Yeah, well one of the key issues has been the sudden rise in data
- 12:34center demand for electricity.
- 12:36So in the US data centers were typically growing by about six to 8% a year,
- 12:41sort of single digit growth in terms of their demand for electricity.
- 12:46And then all of a sudden post ChatGPT as generative AI has taken
- 12:51off that demand increase to 19-20%.
- 12:56You know, we have it at.
- 12:57Anywhere between 15 to 20% over the next few years.
- 13:01Uh, and so that was already a huge leap right there.
- 13:04And there have been plenty of challenges just with supply chain
- 13:08and getting these things built.
- 13:09But when it comes to energy, this was a particular challenge because the US
- 13:14energy grid was actually used to pretty flat growth for the past, I think decade.
- 13:19There's been relatively flat growth in terms of amount
- 13:22of energy use, and although.
- 13:25There were plans that that would grow due to electric vehicles
- 13:28and various other things.
- 13:29This pretty much took the industry by surprise.
- 13:33Uh, and then, so as a result, there are lots of challenges.
- 13:37Getting that kind of newly requested amount of power to the
- 13:41right place at the right time.
- 13:43And another key challenge here is that the time horizons for data
- 13:47centers are very different than the typical time horizons for utilities.
- 13:51So a data center can be built in a year to two years, assuming
- 13:55all their permitting is lined up.
- 13:57Whereas building a new power plant right, is on a much longer timescale.
- 14:01And even the transmission lines and getting substations put in and all
- 14:04the infrastructure requirements for power that can take, um, anywhere
- 14:09from 5 to 10 years in a lot of cases.
- 14:12So that means fundamentally we're in a crunch at the moment.
- 14:16Uh, where the utilities are, are getting pressure from the data centers.
- 14:19The data centers, having always kind of requested data center capacity
- 14:24and requested energy and not had to really worry about getting it.
- 14:29I mean, in some locations they did, and now all of a sudden that is pretty
- 14:32much the key constraint to growth in particular locations around the us.
- 14:37So lots going on trying to balance those two aspects out really.
- 14:43So in this context, what role do onsite energy solutions play?
- 14:49Yes, so that is kind of the hoped for relief valve.
- 14:53I would say.
- 14:54A lot of data center firms are kind of planning that if they can't get their
- 14:59power and time, they could set up their own power behind the meter to either.
- 15:06Sort of transition them to an eventual grid connection or perhaps just
- 15:10be used to power the data center.
- 15:12That of course, adds, um, a huge level of complexity.
- 15:18A lot of these data centers are not used to becoming power plant
- 15:22operators, so there's that.
- 15:24It adds a whole level of CapEx that, folks weren't prepared for necessarily, right?
- 15:29You're building your data center, but you also have to build a, a natural
- 15:32gas fired power plant and it may not be easy to get everything you need to
- 15:39build that behind the meter power either.
- 15:40So as a, a company at S&P, we're doing a lot of research on.
- 15:46Where might behind the meter power be required?
- 15:49Where might it be needed?
- 15:51What are the options?
- 15:52Uh, you know, I think the preferred option at the moment for a lot
- 15:56of data center firms is to use natural gas fired power plants.
- 16:00But those turbines, uh, that are required to build, those are all
- 16:04sold out for the next few years.
- 16:06And also in a lot of locations, the quantity of natural gas
- 16:10might just not be available.
- 16:12In the next year, right?
- 16:13So there, there are all kinds of challenges there and some things that
- 16:17might be sort of quick and easy to connect, such as, um, solar power, right?
- 16:22Or in some locations, maybe wind power.
- 16:25Uh, typically data centers haven't wanted, uh, kind of uneven power, right?
- 16:30They want very steady supply that's very reliable.
- 16:34They're not used to dealing with supply that might.
- 16:38Not be consistent.
- 16:39So the industry is looking at options like batteries and various
- 16:44ways to, to get around that.
- 16:46But it, it's certainly, I would say, pushing the, enter the whole
- 16:50industry to become more creative and look at a lot of different
- 16:53solutions to try to get around this.
- 16:56Okay.
- 16:56Kelly, another question for you.
- 16:58How can data centers balance growth with sustainability goals?
- 17:04Oh yes, that's back to me.
- 17:06So part of this challenge with the renewable energy, uh, when we've asked
- 17:11most of the big data center consumers, right, the, the firms that want to
- 17:16use these data centers to put their AI equipment do still plan to try to meet
- 17:22their sustainability targets, so they haven't just thrown those out the window.
- 17:27Due to generative AI to meet those sustainability targets, we get
- 17:31back to that question of whether you want to connect a solar farm
- 17:35directly to your data center, and what kind of issues does that pose?
- 17:39Typically, up until now, the data center providers have been, um, paying for
- 17:45green energy to be added to the grid, but not directly to the data center.
- 17:50I think that will continue the top it firms have been the, essentially
- 17:55the top customers for PPAs, for paying for these, um, renewable
- 18:00resources to be added to the grid.
- 18:02That will continue, but we are also seeing some other efforts, um, to both
- 18:08make the data centers more efficient.
- 18:10To use less water, for example.
- 18:12And the challenge there is that often to use less water, you need to use more
- 18:15power, so then you need more green power.
- 18:18They're looking at longer term approaches to add more sustainable power, so
- 18:23that in some cases could be nuclear.
- 18:25They're looking at things like geothermal in certain locations, right?
- 18:28So any options.
- 18:30And then we are seeing certainly in, in some locations, and this is pretty
- 18:34complicated to do, but uh, we're seeing it in Europe for example, quite a lot.
- 18:38Um, having the data center become part of a really an energy
- 18:43ecosystem so that they're feeding leftover heat from the data center.
- 18:48So a lot of energy goes into the data center.
- 18:51Comes out as heat essentially.
- 18:54And that heat can be used for other things.
- 18:56So it's being plugged into heating systems to heat people's homes.
- 19:00It can be plugged into industrial systems, um, greenhouses, for example.
- 19:05We're seeing that, we're seeing data centers, heat swimming pools, right?
- 19:09So there are also ways to become, uh, sustainable in, in sharing
- 19:14kind of the output of, of what they're, what they're producing.
- 19:19Okay.
- 19:20Looking outside of the us, the Middle East is also emerging as
- 19:25a global data center force driven by cloud computing and AI demand.
- 19:30With Saudi Arabia in particular, experiencing a digital transformation
- 19:36as it seeks to diversify its economy.
- 19:39Kelly, what's driving this momentum and what unique opportunities and
- 19:43challenges are defining this market?
- 19:47So on Saudi Arabia, um, essentially what we're seeing for data center growth
- 19:53globally is that we're seeing it I think in a similar way to the, the way
- 19:59private, uh, public cloud expanded.
- 20:02So.
- 20:04It initially was launched in the us, got the first start there, and
- 20:08that's what we're seeing with AI.
- 20:10Um, AI has been kind of kicked off in the US and that's where most of the
- 20:14growth comes from initially, but then.
- 20:17It, it becomes, it ends up being rolled out around the world.
- 20:21And typically, uh, it providers, AI providers would start with
- 20:26key hubs in key locations, right?
- 20:29So they're looking for one or two hubs in Europe, some hubs in, uh, Asia
- 20:34hubs in the Middle East, and we have.
- 20:37Quite a few countries around the world now, kind of vying
- 20:40to become those main hubs.
- 20:42And one of the key issues, uh, one of the ways that determines whether
- 20:46you'll become a hub is whether you have energy available and then also to
- 20:50a certain degree, government support.
- 20:52And that's what we're seeing in Saudi Arabia.
- 20:55So I think the kingdom of Saudi Arabia is making an effort to become one of
- 20:58those key hubs to serve Middle East.
- 21:01I think Africa, possibly part of Europe.
- 21:04And the, the benefits that they can offer are, uh, state government,
- 21:10uh, kind of approach, you know, a government support system to help data
- 21:15centers get permitting, to help align power infrastructure with data center
- 21:20infrastructure, where that's needed.
- 21:22And then just in general to, uh, provide available power to these things
- 21:27and to kind of provide a way of, uh.
- 21:30Forward looking planning to make sure there will be enough power
- 21:34to support the data center demand.
- 21:36So that's what we're seeing there.
- 21:38Brian, I'm bringing this back to you.
- 21:40Looking forward to 2026, what themes do you expect to change the AI and
- 21:46data center narrative, and what trends are you most excited about?
- 21:52Yeah, sure.
- 21:52Like right now as we speak, we're sort of finalizing the agenda, um, and I'm
- 21:57taking an input from a broad swath of stakeholders across S&P on, on the key
- 22:02sort of items we're gonna work on as part of the Look Forward Council right now.
- 22:07But I'll call out three major trends that we're excited about and we'll be investing
- 22:11our time and energy and sort of uncovering and, and, uh, covering next year.
- 22:16It has to start on this whole evolution from sort of the training.
- 22:21Mode or phase of, of AI, uh, adoption to inference and really understanding
- 22:28the implications of what that's gonna look like globally and in and
- 22:32in the hot spots of the marketplace.
- 22:35Um, that's going to really have a, a great amount of impact on the data
- 22:40center footprint that's required.
- 22:41How much compute is gonna be required at different locations.
- 22:45You can think of it like from the, a very, very large data center all
- 22:48the way out to somebody's pocket.
- 22:50And AI is gonna actually live in all of these places.
- 22:53And the inference phase that are require more far-flung compute,
- 22:57which has, um, you know, impact on, on all of these different things.
- 23:01So really understanding what are the applications and use cases of AI that
- 23:06are gonna, that are gonna drive the architectural requirement and where
- 23:09the inference needs to be is something that we're looking at closely.
- 23:13Uh, the other thing I would say is sort of compute sovereignty.
- 23:17Um.
- 23:18And, and overall sort of global strategy around ai.
- 23:21So we're already focused on this, but it's interesting and we have plans to
- 23:24sort of double click on different, um, countries to understand what are they
- 23:30doing to secure their compute capacity, how are they building sustainable, uh,
- 23:36and uh, reliable supply chains to actually bring the, the, these ecosystems together.
- 23:42And, uh, and speed's the name of the game here.
- 23:45How are they dealing with critical minerals and ensuring that they've got
- 23:49access to the rare earths and copper and things that they need in order
- 23:54to compete to, to do what Kelly said, which is to create their AI hubs.
- 23:58And then there's just so much interesting innovation happening
- 24:02within the AI stack itself at the data center layer, like in terms of.
- 24:08Heating, uh, cooling and efficiency designs.
- 24:12I mean, these AI data centers are, are a rethink of how data centers are built.
- 24:17So we we're gonna be seeing a lot of innovations in places like liquid cooling.
- 24:22Um, Kelly mentioned behind the meter.
- 24:24I mean, we see that as a really interesting.
- 24:26Opportunity for us to bring value to those ecosystems, but also a place for
- 24:31innovation and, and, and potentially even like around the corner, things
- 24:35like what's the role for small, uh, modular reactors on the nuclear
- 24:40side, uh, down the line to sort of support some of these requirements.
- 24:44So there are many, many things that we're focused on, but I, I would call
- 24:48out those three as maybe the, the, the most interesting and exciting.
- 24:53Kelly, what can we additionally expect for the global energy and resource
- 24:57challenges shaping data center expansion?
- 25:01Well, as I think Brian was saying, we're trying to figure out what the next likely
- 25:08source of energy generation will be, and certainly nuclear is in that conversation.
- 25:13Lots of investment being made there.
- 25:15The key question there is timeline.
- 25:18Uh, but yes, all over the world, I think a lot of countries are looking
- 25:22at their plans for growth on both the energy generation side and transmission.
- 25:31One of the key issues really everywhere, I think.
- 25:34Uh, but we've certainly seen this in places like the UK and China.
- 25:38And the US alot of times your key generation hubs, particularly for
- 25:43renewables, are not in the locations where either the data centers wanna be
- 25:48or certainly where your population is.
- 25:51So I think a lot of countries are doing re rethinking about how to get
- 25:56that power to the right location.
- 25:58Do you bring it from Scotland down to London?
- 26:00Do you bring it from Western China to Eastern China or do you try to
- 26:04get all the data centers to move to Scotland and Western China?
- 26:07So that's all being discussed and debated and I think a lot of government policies,
- 26:13you know, government regulators are trying to figure out how to set up policies
- 26:16to, to determine this going forward.
- 26:19And since we have the crystal ball in our hands, looking into the future, how close
- 26:25is the market to seeing quantum computers integrated into traditional data centers?
- 26:33What hurdles do we have left to actually overcome?
- 26:37Well, yes, that is a great crystal ball question.
- 26:40Uh, quantum computers are mostly in the lab.
- 26:44They're starting to move out of the lab.
- 26:45We are starting to see real compute happening, uh, but they do require very
- 26:51specific, uh, setups, I would say so.
- 26:54There are various types of quantum computers.
- 26:57Some require very cold infrastructure.
- 27:00Everything has to be super chilled.
- 27:03Others require, or maybe in a way all of them, but some of them are more
- 27:07focused on, uh, seismic isolation.
- 27:10There can't be any movement.
- 27:12Others need protection from, um, electromagnetic rays, for example.
- 27:18So they require some very specific things that typically don't
- 27:21exist in current data centers.
- 27:24So I think as quantum computing grows, we're likely to just see
- 27:30continued builds of specific quantum computers rather than seeing them move
- 27:35into typical regular data centers.
- 27:38Um, interestingly, they're also in slightly different spots than most
- 27:41of the mega data center markets.
- 27:43There are near where there are labs and research, uh, and advanced.
- 27:48You know, work being done on quantum computing.
- 27:52Uh, so places like Boston, Silicon Valley is, is a classic.
- 27:57Boston isn't known for a huge number of data centers.
- 27:59We have a few.
- 28:00I live here, but not a lot.
- 28:02Uh, but so we are starting to see some expansion of that.
- 28:05I think one of the key questions that we're still waiting to figure
- 28:09out is whether quantum will disrupt AI and whether actually quantum
- 28:14computing could take over some of that work currently expected to be
- 28:18done by AI and whether that will kind of impact the energy requirements
- 28:23and so far in terms of energy.
- 28:26Required for quantum computing.
- 28:28It will depend which type we end up sort of seeing used the most.
- 28:33Uh, the, certainly the ultra cooled data centers use plenty of energy, so that
- 28:38might not end us end up saving energy, but perhaps they'll do a lot more calculations
- 28:44in one, sort of using the same amount of energy, uh, than AI computers.
- 28:48We're all, that's all still to be determined, but coming soon.
- 28:53So of course with all of these dynamics at play, understanding the nuances of
- 28:58how rapidly the digital revolution is adapting and advancing is more critical
- 29:04and clearly more competitive than ever.
- 29:07Brian.
- 29:08Where is S&P Global?
- 29:10Investing in talent and tools to better crystallize and forecast
- 29:14data center and energy demand.
- 29:19Yeah, sure.
- 29:19So I'll, I'll speak for the, the, um, the parts of S&P where
- 29:23Kelly and I are most involved.
- 29:24And you know, what I can say is we're investing heavily both in
- 29:27talent and tools to really help our clients navigate this fast.
- 29:32Fast moving environment and that's across data center, AI, it and energy.
- 29:38So things that we're working on is, and I wanna make sure everyone
- 29:41understands we already have global coverage, but what we're gonna be
- 29:44doing is, is developing even deeper global coverage in hotspot regions.
- 29:49And I would call out places like the Middle East, which we've talked
- 29:52about, even Africa and India.
- 29:55To, to get deeper and broader in the understanding and surfacing for our
- 30:00clients, the regional dynamics that are driving the data center growth
- 30:03and, and energy dynamics in the market.
- 30:05You'll see a lot more, um, quantitative and forecasting
- 30:10enhancements coming from our teams.
- 30:13We're growing our quantitative modeling team to do, um, forecasts
- 30:17and US energy demand by region, by energy, region by state.
- 30:22We're extending our planning horizons well beyond what would be traditional
- 30:25in the IT world of five years, all the way out to, to what's required
- 30:29to energy, which goes out beyond 10.
- 30:32You'll see a lot more strategic.
- 30:34Um.
- 30:35Strategy, uh, strategic modeling from us and scenario modeling.
- 30:39So developing a number of ai, uh, driven electric electricity demand scenarios.
- 30:45Um, looking at grid constraints and partnership with the power teams,
- 30:50tracking the regulatory impacts at the state, local level, federal levels,
- 30:56and really just generating the insights that are required to navigate this
- 30:59fast moving market for investors, for operators, and for energy ecosystem.
- 31:04Participants.
- 31:06It's clear that data centers are a critical engine for ai,
- 31:10cloud, and economic growth both domestically and globally.
- 31:15Thank you, Kelly and Brian, for these essential insights.
- 31:20Thank you for listening to the Look Forward Podcast.
- 31:23To read the research we discussed, please visit sp global.com.
- 31:29I'm Molly Mince and I'm looking forward to advancing essential
- 31:33intelligence with you next time.