Latest / Best of Business / Greg Smith: Devon Funds expert on the factors driving the NZ markets up
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from news Talk zed Be
- 0:12Speaker 1: follow this and our wide range of podcasts now on iHeartRadio.
- 0:17Speaker 2: Now, let's get an update from the markets today. Greg
- 0:19Speaker 2: Smith from Devin Funds is with us.
- 0:20Speaker 3: Hey.
- 0:20Speaker 2: Greg, Hey, it's very good to talk to you.
- 0:24Speaker 3: Now.
- 0:24Speaker 2: The key we market had a good session. It's up
- 0:25Speaker 2: zero point eight percent. What's been driving this optimism?
- 0:28Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what I mean, sort of running on the
- 0:30Speaker 3: back of the optimism in the US. I mean what
- 0:32Speaker 3: trade warth is and P five hundred, I mean that's
- 0:34Speaker 3: clawed back or its losses since Liberation Day and it's
- 0:38Speaker 3: actually been on a bit of a bit of a
- 0:39Speaker 3: record run. So I suppose you investors are sort of
- 0:42Speaker 3: pricing in, you know, the worst case scenario that you know,
- 0:45Speaker 3: when you produce that border a few weeks back, not
- 0:48Speaker 3: not happening. So, you know, we've got hundreds of deals
- 0:50Speaker 3: evidently coming in the next sort of two months. And
- 0:53Speaker 3: I suppose what we're really waiting on is some sort
- 0:57Speaker 3: of meeting of the minds between China and the US.
- 0:59Speaker 3: And it still seems to be a bit of cat
- 1:01Speaker 3: and mouse. You know, there's been conciliatory tones, there's been exemptions.
- 1:06Speaker 3: China seit on Friday. They're sort of already for hawks.
- 1:08Speaker 3: Trump said over the weekend that he's not going to
- 1:11Speaker 3: speak to Beijing this week, so I think that's what
- 1:13Speaker 3: investors sort of looking for that you know, that's going
- 1:15Speaker 3: to be better than feed from that regard. So yeah,
- 1:19Speaker 3: the US market's sort of pushing high. I mean the
- 1:21Speaker 3: New Zealand market didn't fall as most as much as
- 1:24Speaker 3: most anyway, but it's yes, sort of sort of clawing
- 1:27Speaker 3: things back as you mean it zero point eight percent.
- 1:30Speaker 3: We've got fish and park Or we know one of
- 1:32Speaker 3: our exporters, I suppose most in the frame with respect
- 1:35Speaker 3: to teriffs, but that's sort of in compliance of this
- 1:39Speaker 3: agreement between US, Canada and Mexico and has a lot
- 1:42Speaker 3: of its I suppose operations in Mexico which supplies the US,
- 1:45Speaker 3: and then we've got main freight as well, and that's
- 1:47Speaker 3: been sort of wearing a bit of toil from the
- 1:49Speaker 3: tariff side of things. But yeah, seventy five percent of
- 1:51Speaker 3: earning of earnings come from Australia New Zealand, so use
- 1:54Speaker 3: is a bit of relevant. I mean, it's only around
- 1:55Speaker 3: about eight percent of earnings, so that had a great
- 1:58Speaker 3: down Friday, up twelve percent on its training update. It's
- 2:01Speaker 3: up again today as well, by two point four percent.
- 2:04Speaker 2: What do you make of Trump and there's tariffs on
- 2:07Speaker 2: foreign made movies? People that have.
- 2:09Speaker 3: Well, I hate the whole tariff war has been a
- 2:12Speaker 3: bit of a soap opera, hasn't it. I mean it's
- 2:14Speaker 3: been sort of lurching from one drama to another, and
- 2:16Speaker 3: now it actually has Hollywood. So I've got potentially one
- 2:19Speaker 3: hundred percent tariff on movies not made in America. He
- 2:22Speaker 3: says he wants to stop the slow death of Hollywood.
- 2:25Speaker 3: I suppose as usual and as we've become accustomed to
- 2:28Speaker 3: with Trump and all things on the trade front been
- 2:31Speaker 3: quite light on detail. So is it going to apply
- 2:33Speaker 3: to just movie showing in cinemas? Is it going to
- 2:35Speaker 3: apply to things on streaming as well? But yeah, it's
- 2:38Speaker 3: certainly potentially gonna have an impact, obviously, Chris, like someone
- 2:41Speaker 3: was speaking today, but you know Lord of the Rings
- 2:43Speaker 3: made in New Zealand or movies made in Australia, you know,
- 2:46Speaker 3: Darre and it'd be potentially caught. So yeah, I'm not
- 2:49Speaker 3: going to be great for sort of the film industries abroad.
- 2:52Speaker 3: So yeah, pretty pretty amazing. We've sort of no stone
- 2:54Speaker 3: untouched with respect to the terwif form. We have to
- 2:57Speaker 3: sort of see where this all goes. But yes, it
- 3:00Speaker 3: just goes as suppose to the to the soap opera
- 3:03Speaker 3: that has been the trade war over the past five
- 3:05Speaker 3: weeks or so.
- 3:06Speaker 2: Lord, it would be a soap opera if it didn't
- 3:07Speaker 2: cost us so much. Greg, Thank you so much, appreciate it.
- 3:09Speaker 2: You awsome at Greg Smith of Devon Funds.
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