Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 150 - 10/28/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 150 - 10/28/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 150 of the All Systems Go Sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Monday, a new week begins Halloween week, I may add the
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final week here in the month of October.
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Before you know it it'll be Thanksgiving, you know November
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and then before you know it it'll be Christmas, it'll be New
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year. So the year is flying by and we
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got a lot to do today. We got a lot to talk about, a
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lot to catch up on. 1st off, I have a 5 pack of sweats for you
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guys tonight on a big Monday I got 2 plays in the NFL, Big
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Monday at Football showdown. Tonight, the G men and the
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Pittsburgh Steelers. Steelers are going to crush
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them, right? They're going to kill.
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They're going to kill the lowly Daniel Jones Giants, right?
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Well, not so fast. Stay tuned for my breakdown.
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I'm going to hit football, got to play on the side as well as a
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player prop, but hopefully will come through for us with a great
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rhythm edge. Then I have a pair of NBA plays
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for you guys. There's a trend that we've
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noticed so far to start the NBA season.
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We've taken advantage of it a little bit, going to try to take
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more advantage of it for tonight.
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And then one play in the NHL in particular, a road favorite with
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a pretty good, pretty good amount of systems here that are
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matching up on this road favorite.
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So overall, 5 pack, you guys know the drill.
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Can we find a way to win three or more?
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Let's try to go three and two. He got a profit and have a
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winning night. Now, looking back toward the
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weekend, pretty decent weekend. You know, I had probably fewer
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bets than I usually have, but I'll be honest with you guys, I
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really didn't love the college football slate.
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Ended up losing our one official college football play, UCF,
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which was the fishiest line of all time.
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And hey, the public got it right.
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BYU ended up rolling in that one.
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But I must say, there are a lot of people, I'm not going to name
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names, but I'm going to kind of allude to a few people who
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really annoyed me afterwards. And they kind of were talking,
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oh, you know, they told me it was a sharp play on UCF.
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What? You know, what about that
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unranked home fav ranked opponent?
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OK, the system caches like 67% of the time.
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This is the one out of three times that it didn't cache.
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Sometimes that happens. It doesn't mean that the system
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is broken, just sometimes sharp moves don't come through.
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So again, don't worry about the one off here to kind of make a
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case for or against the system. Look at the long term system
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match. So again, UCF didn't come
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through, but I'll make that play 10 times out of 10.
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Did however, on Saturday get a big win in biting in the UFC as
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our guy Ilya Taporia move to 16 and O how to knockout TKO in
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round 3. And now I was doing a little
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research. I'm like, OK, you know how we've
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been doing thus far or you know, basically since the all systems
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GOPOD was launched. Well, guess what, that UFC
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winner with Taporia on Saturday was our second straight UFC win.
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We're now three and one our last four.
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But more impressively, guys, remember we had that 12 bout
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winning streak, 15 and three our last 18 UFC picks here.
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So let's see if we can keep that rolling for another another
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slate this upcoming weekend. And I'll just warn you guys
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right now because I know it's a Monday, but my buddy ended up
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coming across a little bit of money.
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I'm not going to tell you how he got some money, but he said,
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hey, I want to celebrate and he actually picked out a suite for
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myself and four of our friends. So it's going to be me and the
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boys going to MGM in Springfield this upcoming weekend and we
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will be going nuts. We're going to be betting on
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biting, we're betting on pretty much everything.
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So it's one of those. We usually try to do it for
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March Madness. It's kind of an impromptu thing.
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But I'm very much looking forward to a weekend with the
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boys getting a suite at The MGM in Springfield.
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It's not Vegas, it's Western Massachusetts, so don't be too
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jealous here. But I'm very much looking
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forward to a weekend with the boys sweating games, which will
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be probably betting a lot of UFC.
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But anyway, one in one we won our UFC bet.
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Ironically, we lost our UCF bet. But then Sunday winning day got
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the Falcons. Remember that was a big sharp
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dog to fave line move. Bunch of injuries to Tampa Bay.
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Falcons came through on the money line.
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The Colts also came through, covered that number.
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Remember they were what, plus 6 + 5 down to plus what was it,
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+44 and a half Somewhere around there.
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But we had the line move toward the Colts as a divisional dog
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came through, lost but covered the number.
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And then the Cowboys lost for us late, but it got a little
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interesting. You know, I was like, OK, I, I
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left it at half time and they're up 5:50.
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I came back, they're down like 20 to six or or 20 to 10, right.
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They got pretty much got away from them.
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But it got interesting late. Couple garbage touchdowns.
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There's a chance with about a couple minutes left for Dak
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Prescott to come down and score and win the game.
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And what happens, you know, four shots all in completions end up
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losing it. So either way, still winning
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Sunday, two and one overall. So let's see if we can start off
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our week here and finish up the week or the month, I should say,
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of October on a hot streak. So let's talk NFL because of
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course, we wrap up NFL Week 8 tonight.
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Let's go to the Steel City, Pittsburgh hosting the New York
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Giants and a couple things going on for this one guys.
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So let's first set the stage and I'm going to give you what I'll
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be sweating here for tonight. So coming in this one, pretty
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much you have two teams trending in opposite directions.
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The G men, the Arrow's pointing down.
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They're two and five. They've lost two straight, just
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got blown out by the Eagles 28 to 3, did not cover as a
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three-point home dog. You know the Steelers, they're
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looking up, they're five and two.
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They've won two straight, just took down The Jets 3517 easily
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winning outright as a 2 1/2 point home dog.
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So what do you see across the market here?
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Well, the early opener for this game was Pittsburgh -4 but then
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once we saw the Giants get blown out and Pittsburgh look really
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good against The Jets, we saw this line shoot up all the way
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to Pittsburgh -6 then it got up to Pittsburgh minus 6 1/2.
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So it's pretty much one sided movement in favor of the
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Steelers. And what's very normal to me
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guys. And think back to Thursday.
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What was the big one of the big things we talked about on a
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Thursday football game with the Rams and the Vikings, It was the
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fact that the Rams were so effing contrarian, pardon my
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French, but only getting what, 10% of bets?
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Well, similar spot here for the Giants.
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Giants are only getting 17% of bets.
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Everybody's playing Pittsburgh here, 83% of spread bets.
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Now, again, we saw this line get up to Pittsburgh minus 6 1/2.
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What's suitable to me here, guys, is not only are the Giants
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insanely contrarian, So give me a prime time game and a dog's
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only getting 17% of bets. I pretty much know where I'm
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going to go. But what I like in particular is
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that there was some buyback on the Giants this game.
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Got up to Pittsburgh minus 6 1/2 and then you saw a couple bites
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at the apple from Wiseguys on Giants +6 and half with the hook
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and now it's back down to six. So I kind of like the fact,
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like, on the one hand, I'm kind of annoyed that I wasn't able to
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jump on the 6 1/2 while it was available.
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So I'm kind of like, you know, hey, they lose by 6.
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I could have covered in one of the hook.
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But I do like the fact that even though it's gone, you know, the
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fact that it came back to the side only getting 17% of bets
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tells me that was some pretty strong buyback that hit the
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Giants and caused that line to fall back down South.
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Little bit of buyback there a little bit of late sharp action
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on the Giants. Of course, giants insane
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contrarian play just like those those Rams less than 20% of bets
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and you want to bet against the public in these heavily bet
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primetime games, but also a ton of system matches here on the
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giants. I got a lot of system matches
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lighting up on the G men one just very basic Rd. dogs.
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You know, public loves home. Favorites Rd. dogs this year are
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40 and 33 against the spread 55%.
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Big dogs, the big German shepherds, the big Bernese
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mountain dogs, those dogs are +6 or more.
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They're 21 and 10 against the spread this year. 68%.
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Brian Dayball Brian Dayball as a dog is 21 and 13 against the
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spread 62%. But when Brian Dayball is
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getting what was it? 6 points or more, 10 and five
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against the spread, 67% Daniel Jones Daniel Jones is a road dog
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in his career. 18 and 9 against the spread, also 67% ATS.
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And then a little cherry on top, we have a dog off a blowout
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loss. Now, you hear me say all the
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time, but when you get blown out, like we just saw the Giants
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lose 20 to 3:00 to Philadelphia, no one wants to play it.
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They think you're terrible. Maybe you are, but it's all
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about value when you're looking at sports betting long term.
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So when those teams get blown out, they're very valuable the
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next week because they're undervalued, probably doesn't
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want to play them. So if you look at these dogs off
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a blowout loss of 20 points or more dating back since 2018, a
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pretty good sample size. Those teams are 94 and 76
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against the spread 55%. Also, it's a classic buy low
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sell high G men have lost two straight got just got blown out.
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Pittsburgh is 1/2 straight. They have rolled against The
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Jets. They beat up on the Vegas
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Raiders right before that. But then little cherry on top.
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The last angle here for me is a correlative betting dog, very
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low total. We'll get to the total in a
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second here, but it's all the way down to 36 1/2.
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You're getting a dog touchdown, you know, not the extra point,
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but touchdown plus six in a very low total game of 36.
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That's good correlative betting because if a, if the odds makers
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are expecting a low scoring game, it's going to be harder
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for Pittsburgh to cover that number as the favorite.
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So you add it all up here, guys, I got to go G men.
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I'm taking G men +6 holding my nose, putting on the hazmat
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suit. I'll add this.
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Scott Novak is 59% ATS to the road team and then our friends
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at Rhythm who do a great job of giving us these AI models and
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predictions for game bets and player props.
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I have two Rhythm system matches.
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One says the Giants should be plus 3.9 and the other one says
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Giants should be plus 4.8. So even if you take the 4.8,
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still 6 points around A5 point game, four point game.
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Hopefully we'll cover this number.
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And also it's just, you know, kind of inflated off the opener,
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which again, true opener here was closer to four.
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So I'm going to take the points with Pittsburgh or sorry, I'm
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going to take the points with the G men here.
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Giants plus six. I leaned pretty hard to the
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under. My only concern is that I missed
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the best of it. Open as high as 39.
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It's down to 36 1/2. Public is pounding the over 74%,
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yet it fell. We have seen these prime time
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unders even though they have not done very well this year.
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It's been surprising to me we haven't seen prime time unders
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and prime time dogs bark as much as we have in recent years.
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Hopefully that is a good sign for regression tonight to the
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prime time dog and under. But historically, since 2019, we
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do have prime time unders 59% and we also have the Giants as
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the number one under team in football.
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They're tied with the Chargers, but Chargers and Giants both six
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and one to the under. So add it all up, guys.
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It's a strong lean to the under for me.
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I'm just worried I didn't get a better like 373839 somewhere
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around there. So I'm going to stick with my
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side bet here, which will be on the G men getting the points.
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Can you find a way to lose by 5 or less?
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Let's go Giants. I'm on giants, the G men +6 now
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player prop for you. Let's focus on a supplementary
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backup guy that probably isn't getting a ton of action around
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the market, but has some good indicators here, hopefully to go
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over his receiving prop. It's not Malik neighbors, it's
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Darius Slayton slot guy, backup kind of, you know, second, third
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string wide receiver for the G men.
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But if you look at Darius Slayton, number one, first thing
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I noticed is his receiving prop is 27 1/2 yards and rhythm is
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predicting 35.3. Also, if you kind of start to
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use rhythm a little bit more, you're going to notice some like
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stars, which if you have a green star, it basically means there's
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a lot of good data on that prop versus some props that have kind
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of like it's like a caution flag basically.
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Well, this one has a star, so I like that.
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But Darius Leighton, you're buying low on him.
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He only had one catch for 11 yards last week, but he has gone
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over this number in three of his last four.
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He's gone over this number in seven of his last 10.
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You also look at Pittsburgh, they're allowing 217 passing
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yards per game, which is 20th in the NFL, so bottom 3rd.
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And they've actually given up to 74 through the air in the last
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three games. That's the second most in the
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NFL. And then also think of it this
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way, you know, if you're, you know, Mike Tomlin and how you're
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going to attack or you know, kind of combat, the Giants
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offense is probably trying to clamp down on Malik Neighbors,
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the stud rookie. So if Malik Neighbors is going
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to get Joey Porter Junior, who was a really good cover corner,
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hopefully that leaves Slayton, you know, over the middle, you
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know, one-on-one good, good opportunity against your second
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or third cornerback. So in addition to the G men in
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the +6, I'm going to root for Darius Slayton.
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I'm sweating in pocket. Darius Slayton over 27 1/2
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receiving yards. Now over to the NBA.
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I've noticed one thing in the NBA, guys, I mentioned this at
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the outset. We've seen a particular
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advantage. I, I should say toward higher
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scoring games, toward overs, or if you're like me in Boston,
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even though I don't have the accent overs, I'm going to go
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over in a couple games tonight. Now, let me just tell you right
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off the bat, NBA overs this year to start the season are 24 and
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19. That's 59%.
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You've cashed about 5 units overall, so $100 bet on every
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over. You're up nearly 500 bucks.
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That's a 12% ROI. So just knowing that, hey, we're
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seeing some overs come through here right now, let's try to
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take advantage of this. So the first game that I focused
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on is a big match up here tonight, one of the most heavily
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bet games of the night. Cavs and the Knicks, 2 good
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teams in the Eastern Conference. Now, in terms of the side, we
13:48
haven't seen much movement. You know, if you look at kind of
13:50
where this open and where it stayed, you basically have the
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Knicks around a 2 1/2 point home favorite at Madison Square
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Garden. They're getting around 65% of
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bets, yet the line hasn't moved. I just see a couple books juiced
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up like it may get to three, but overall, not much in the way to
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report in terms of the side, but we got some sharp money here
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hitting this total. Now I'm going to go over, as I
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mentioned, we got this over trend, but this is what I
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noticed for this game. First off, currently we've seen
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74% of bets, but over 80% of dollars on the over tells.
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We got some smart money going over here.
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We've also seen this line rise a bit.
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Now most shops open Cavs next around 222 or 222 1/2.
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Now you're looking at a bunch of shops that are at 2:23 and a few
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more that are at 223 1/2. So it's not a massive, you know,
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234 point steam to the over, but it is slightly ticking up here.
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The other angle here that I noticed is a decent rhythm edge.
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The Cavs next rhythm prediction for the total is 224.6, so
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basically 225. The other thing is it's a short
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spread. You know, the Knicks are only
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favored by 2 1/2 points. So do we see a back and forth
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competitive game? Maybe you get overtime if we
15:05
need it. But as always, you know, I
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mentioned it quite a bit, but if I'm playing it over, I want a
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short spread, like 5 or less. That way, hopefully get scoring
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back and forth. And really, this is a play on
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the offensive efficiency of both teams because the Cavs come into
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this one, number two overall in the NBA.
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And offensive efficiency, the Knicks are #3 so both top three
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offenses in the NBA. New York dead last in defensive
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efficiency, which is surprising from a Tom Thibodeau team.
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And Cleveland is number six in terms of pace.
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So we have really good offenses, in particular, one bad defensive
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team and one really fast team with a short spread and a rhythm
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edge. So add it all up, guys.
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We have an opportunity here hopefully to go over.
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Now I'll mention it. You do have one book offering
15:51
over 2/22/22 and 1/2 that's ESPN bet.
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So I took the over 222 and half at ESPN bet Fanduel's at 2:23
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and then pretty much every other book is 223 1/2.
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So may not make may not seem like it may not seem like it
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makes a huge difference. But again, this lands on 2/23.
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You catch your over ESPN bet, you lose your overseas or bet
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MGM. Hopefully it doesn't matter and
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it flies over for everybody. But as always, you know, big,
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big thing we focus on emphasis on this pod is, is getting the
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best number cuz it's not just picking the right side, it's
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getting the best number. So I took the Cavs, Knicks over
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2/22 and 1/2 at -115 at ESPN bet again, I think you can easily
16:33
find the 2/23. At least try to get that 223
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instead of a 223 1/2. But let's go Cavs next to the
16:39
over next game that caught my eye, Sacramento Kings hosting
16:44
the Portland Trail Blazers. It's a late night game tonight,
16:46
10:00 on the West Coast. Both these teams haven't started
16:50
great. Blazers 1 and 2, Kings O and
16:52
two. Now the Kings are a big
16:54
favorite. They open around -12 1/2.
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They're up to -13 they look kind of sharp.
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They're only getting 45% bets, but over 70% money.
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This is the second leg of a back-to-back for the Blazers.
17:04
Kings arrested. They haven't played since
17:06
Saturday, but once again, I'm going to look for a high scoring
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game here. Noticed a lot of steam on this
17:11
over this. Kings and Blazers total open at
17:15
2:26, 226 1/2, I should say, or 227.
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Now you're at 2:30 and some books are even 230 1/2.
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You do have 229 1/2 at one book at at ESPN bet.
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So I don't know what ESPN bets doing.
17:28
Maybe they're dropping the ball or maybe they're just, you know,
17:31
kind of taking in some some money the other way, but they're
17:35
a little bit lower than the rest of the market.
17:36
It's fine by me. We have seen this total really
17:39
get steam to the over. The other angle here is a huge
17:42
discrepancy. Bet first dollars to the over
17:45
this Blazers and Kings total only 52% of bets are going over,
17:51
but 94% of dollars are going over.
17:54
That's a huge discrepancy at DraftKings.
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Basically tickets are split 5050, but over 90% of the money
18:00
is on the over, which is why we've seen this total rise.
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So when I saw that bet split, I'm like damn, something's going
18:05
on here. I want to be with that sharp low
18:07
bets, higher dollars bet split. Sacramento is very good
18:11
offensive efficiency #6 so far in the NBA, defensive
18:15
efficiency, both these teams are bad.
18:17
Sacramento's 24th, Portland is 22nd, and Sacramento is fast.
18:21
In terms of pace, they're #5 in the NBA, little cherry on top,
18:25
we have three over referees, Mark Lindsay, Jason Goble, Jenna
18:29
Schroeder, They're all between 52 and 54% historically to the
18:33
over. So basically, big steam to the
18:36
over, huge bet split. Good offense, Sacramento, but
18:40
both teams bad defense. Shop around.
18:43
I got that over 229 1/2. Again, some books are a little
18:48
bit lower here or some books are a little bit higher.
18:50
I should say 2:30 or 230 1/2, but I'll be going with that
18:54
over. So I got Kings and the Blazers
18:57
over 229 1/2 and Cavs, Knicks over 222 1/2.
19:02
Now to finish up the pod, let's go to the ice.
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Let's go to the NHL. Got some NHL games here to sweat
19:08
guys. Let's talk about big match up
19:10
here in Buffalo, NY. That's right, the Sabres.
19:14
Sabres at home are hosting the Florida Panthers.
19:17
Big favorite here. Or you know, kind of a decent
19:21
line. Florida's around -155 I think
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this is a kind of a big Rd. favorite number for a reason.
19:27
I'm going to lay it with the Florida Panthers tonight.
19:28
Guys. Give me the Panthers.
19:30
We've seen some good steam in favor of Florida.
19:33
They open around a -, 145 favorite -150 now they're up to
19:37
-155 So we've seen this line get steamed up in favor of the
19:41
Panthers. Let me give you the best number
19:44
here as I dial up my app because you are seeing some books as
19:47
high as -160 again -155 is your best price.
19:52
That's available right now at Bet MGM.
19:54
But both FanDuel and Caesar's are around -160 so shop around.
19:58
I got Florida at -155 but again, one way steam in favor of
20:02
Florida. Now, Florida matches a ton of
20:04
systems for me. This was my biggest system match
20:08
tonight and a lot of them are basically Rd. favorite system
20:11
matches. So one would be a road favorite
20:13
off a win. So again, you don't have the
20:16
home ice, but hockey's kind of the one sport where home ice or
20:19
being home team doesn't matter as much.
20:21
Kind of because you're on the ice, you got the boards, you
20:24
know, kind of the crowd doesn't make as big of an influence.
20:26
But Rd. favorites off a win, they are 22 and 14 this year,
20:30
61% since 2021. They're 64% with a 3% ROI.
20:35
So boom, we got one match there, rested Rd. division favorites
20:40
since 2020, 167 percent, 8% ROI. And then my number one system
20:46
would be favorites off a win versus an opponent who missed
20:49
the playoffs the previous year. Overall this year it's 20 and
20:53
1165%. And that is right at the
20:55
historical norm since 2021. Favorites off a win versus an
20:59
opponent who missed the playoffs. 484 and two, 5865%
21:04
with a 5% ROI. Also, I'm going to bank on
21:07
hopefully Bobrovsky playing well tonight against Luko Pekka, Luo
21:12
Kunen. Their numbers are similar.
21:14
Bobrovsky is 4/2 and 13.11 goals against 880, six, 8%.
21:19
It doesn't seem that great. Lukunin is 3/2 and 1/3 point O
21:23
one goals against 899 save percentage.
21:26
But one thing I noticed, Bobrovsky is much better rested
21:30
than Lukunin. Lukunin is making his fourth
21:32
straight start and you have Bobrovsky who sat the last game.
21:37
Spencer Knight came in in goal. So Barrovsky had a night off,
21:41
rested, ready to go. Lukunin making his fourth
21:44
straight start. Hopefully that's a benefit
21:45
toward the rested Barbrovsky. Also, it's a bit of a revenge
21:49
spot. These teams actually play a
21:51
little bit earlier this year, even though it's a, you know,
21:53
it's a young season at this point.
21:55
And believe it or not, Florida lost to Buffalo 5:00 to 2:00.
21:58
So as a Stanley Cup champ, think that's something that maybe you
22:01
can motivate you tonight. Then also a big advantage,
22:03
special teams in favor of the Panthers on the power play.
22:06
They're cashing 20% of the time. Buffalo is only cashing 4% of
22:11
the time. Count it 12344 percent penalty
22:15
kill 89% Florida, 78% for Buffalo.
22:19
So good. Good move here on the road.
22:21
Favorite bunch of good system matches.
22:23
Rested goaltender, better special teams revenge spot.
22:26
I'm going to go Florida Panthers guys shot Brown.
22:28
I got the Panthers at -155 that about does it for episode 150 of
22:35
the All systems go Sports Betting podcast powered by
22:38
rhythm. This is the part of the pod
22:40
where we wrap things up and I start by asking a favor of you.
22:43
Could you please do me a solid make my day and make my day by
22:48
doing one thing? Could you please give this
22:50
podcast a five star review? If you enjoy the pod, if it's
22:53
become maybe a staple of your day, whether you play every game
22:56
I mentioned and recommend, or you pick and choose or you tail
22:59
you fade, whatever, the fact that you take the time out of
23:02
your day to listen it means a lot to me.
23:04
If you feel like this pod is valuable, provides good
23:06
insights, has maybe shown you a thing or two about a thing or
23:09
two when it comes to sports betting, then let me know you
23:12
appreciate it. By giving it a five star review
23:14
on Spotify or iTunes, you can just go to rate and review.
23:18
Five stars would help us to grow the pod, rise up the charts,
23:21
gain more listens, gain more credibility in the market.
23:24
It would very much mean a lot to me.
23:26
Of course, if there's an option to click a follow button, do
23:29
that. That way you get alerted as soon
23:30
as it drops each day. And if you also want to
23:33
recommend it to a friend, that'll be great as well because
23:36
word of mouth is always the best way.
23:38
If someone you respect, you know, recommend something to
23:40
you, you kind of, I think you put more stock into it.
23:43
But seriously guys, thank you as always for tuning in and being
23:46
part of the grinders with blinders data-driven crew.
23:49
Secondly, if you enjoy this pod and maybe you are intrigued by
23:53
data-driven sports betting, you never really knew that this was
23:56
a way to bet on sports. You always thought, hey, let me
23:58
just like, you know, bet with my gut instinct or bias.
24:00
Let me do my own research. Let me figure out, you know,
24:03
what the best play is by kind of my own deductive reasoning.
24:06
And maybe you didn't see the results you're looking for.
24:09
Now you're saying, hey, let me learn to read the market.
24:11
The market is very efficient. The market takes in a lot of
24:14
smart money. Let's see where the money is
24:16
flowing. If you have never taken a
24:18
contrarian approach before, focused on line movement or
24:22
looked at bet splits or system matches, maybe this is now
24:25
starting to help you gain, gain some, gain some units one.
24:28
Maybe you're doing a little bit better by taking a data-driven
24:31
approach, not betting with your gut instinct or bias anymore.
24:33
But if that is the case and you want to learn more about
24:36
data-driven betting, or maybe you have someone in your life
24:39
who's new to betting and has no freaking clue where to begin,
24:42
guess what? I wrote a book.
24:43
I would love for you guys to buy a copy of my book.
24:46
It's called the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
24:48
Just go to Amazon.com, type in the Everything Guide to Sports
24:51
Betting, pick up a copy for you or a friend or a buddy or a
24:55
colleague or as a makes a great gift.
24:58
It's only about 20 bucks and hopefully it's got some great
25:01
ROI because if you cash a few bets, it pays for itself.
25:04
But it's got everything I've learned in the industry, how
25:06
lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line movement,
25:08
how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or
25:11
online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
25:14
management plan. It's all included in the
25:16
Everything Guide to sports betting.
25:19
Next, have you taken advantage of Juice Reel or Rhythm yet?
25:22
Well, if you haven't, now is the time to download both of the
25:25
apps, but do it in a particular way.
25:27
Please download both Rhythm and Juice Reel by clicking the
25:29
custom links that are located in the bio description of this
25:32
podcast. Each pod will have a
25:34
description. It'll say something like an
25:36
episode 150. Josh dishes out a, you know, 5
25:39
pack of sweats across NFLNHLNBA. OK, Scroll down, scroll, scroll
25:45
past that. You'll see a link for Juice Reel
25:47
and a link for Rhythm. Click those links.
25:49
It's very important to use those links so that Rhythm knows and
25:52
Juice Reel's Juice Reel knows that.
25:54
I sent them your way because I want to do my part to help both
25:57
of them grow, but they're great sports betting apps that are
26:00
based on data, not opinion, not bias, and they help me win.
26:03
I think they're going to help you win so you can take
26:07
advantage or sign up with those custom links and then you will
26:11
get data-driven models and predictions for both game bets
26:14
and player props from Rhythm and then Juice Reel.
26:17
You can just tell the Robo Jackson best bet picks.
26:20
I noticed that one of them tonight is on the G Men plus the
26:23
points. So I love to see that.
26:25
But then also arbitrage opportunities, bets and dollars
26:28
breakdowns for all the different games from people who have the
26:30
rhythm or juice real app as well as the sharp mush plays, which
26:35
help me to figure out where the smart money is.
26:37
Another indicator for me. So go sign up for both.
26:39
I think they're gonna help you and just again, consider them a
26:42
couple more tools in your sports sports betting data-driven
26:46
toolbox. So that about does it everybody.
26:49
As always, I'll leave you with a couple things.
26:50
First, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
26:54
River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
26:57
Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, or
27:00
Plain Ridge Park Casino R.E.M. Jam Springfield, which I will be
27:03
next this upcoming weekend, we're out in the desert where
27:05
the true grinders get down, or Billy Walter sends his number
27:08
runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South
27:11
Point, or Sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
27:13
stadium swim pool. When you cash a big ticket at
27:16
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me,
27:19
you know, show me some nice tickets from over the weekend.
27:21
Show me an Ilya Taporia biting UFC ticket.
27:25
Show me a Falcons money line. Show me a Colts plus the points
27:29
ticket. Guess what?
27:30
First one's on me, next one's on you.
27:32
We'll post about the book and sweat some sharp contrarian
27:35
plays together. So that's it guys.
27:37
Hope you have a great Monday night here.
27:39
As always, stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the
27:42
public, place yourself on the side of the house.
27:43
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
27:46
Will smart money win every time? No, not every time.
27:49
UFUCF was sharp as AGD tech, they were as sharp as it gets.
27:54
They lost, they didn't cover. Again, That's going to happen
27:56
sometimes. But don't let that loss make you
27:59
question smart money. Remember, smart money is not
28:01
invincible, but it's going to win 55 to 60% of the time.
28:05
So if you're playing the long game, you always want to be on
28:07
that UCF side, not that BYU side.
28:11
It's not always about the one off result.
28:13
It's about historically that spot, that system.
28:16
How does it do? And again, if we can put
28:19
ourselves on the path to 55%, we're going to be successful
28:22
sports bettors long term. So as always, stay sharp, stay
28:25
contrary and bet against the public.
28:26
Place yourself on the side of the house.
28:27
Always be with the smart money, never against it, against the
28:30
public, with the house, with the pros.
28:32
Flat bet, avoid parlays. Get that CLV.
28:35
We can do that. And I'm confident that we can
28:38
then guess what we're going to be successful sports bettors.
28:40
So enjoy the sweats everyone. Let's let's let's kick off our
28:44
week, hopefully on a winning note and we'll be back at it
28:46
tomorrow for a big Tuesday, which will be episode 151 of the
28:51
All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
28:54
Good luck everybody, have a great Monday night.