Latest / Elon Musk Podcast / SpaceX Elon Musk Mars Multiplanetary Speech from All Hands At Starbase April 6, 2024

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SpaceX Elon Musk Mars Multiplanetary Speech from All Hands At Starbase April 6, 2024 · Elon Musk Podcast

• 0:00
  So what I was what I'm going to go through to tonight is the
• 0:05
  overall overall sort of path to making life multiplanetary.
• 0:11
  So we're doing a lot of good things at space XI mean Starlink
• 0:16
  is incredible providing connectivity throughout the
• 0:18
  world and also you know paying for a lot of what we're doing
• 0:23
  here and Falcon 9 is the the primary lift launch vehicle for
• 0:29
  for earth just doing more non SpaceX launches than anything
• 0:33
  else And but Starship is what is well well Starship is Starship
• 0:41
  is the first design of a rocket that is actually capable of
• 0:45
  making life multi planetary where success is one of the
• 0:48
  possible outcomes no rocket before this has had the
• 0:53
  potential to extend life to another planet and and I'll I'll
• 1:03
  sort of wax esoteric here for a minute because this this may
• 1:08
  sound sort of unusual but when you think about the question of
• 1:15
  where are the aliens which I get asked a lot this is like the
• 1:22
  Fermi paradox where are the aliens And I've not seen any
• 1:27
  evidence that there are aliens on earth A lot of people think
• 1:31
  there are aliens on earth and I'm like great I'd like to meet
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  one you know for a while there when I was getting my green card
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  and everything it said alien registration card.
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  I'm like, OK, but this this question of where the aliens, I
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  think a very profound one, because I'm aware of no evidence
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  of aliens whatsoever, which means that I think we're
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  probably alone. And if you look at the history
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  of Earth, like how long has Earth been around?
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  If, assuming that physics is correct, the universe is about
• 2:12
  13.8 billion years old. Earth is about four and a half
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  billion years old. When you think about the how how
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  old is civilization? I think the the right measuring
• 2:24
  point for civilization in my view or or a a good measuring
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  point would be the advent of writing.
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  So the first writing is generally considered to be the
• 2:35
  ancient Sumerians. Where are they now?
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  They died out but the about 5500 years ago was archaic pre pre
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  cuneiform. In fact I suggest it's like an
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  interesting rabbit hole to read about the history of writing.
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  So if you consider say like OK, civilization, I think if you
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  don't have writing you kind of need writing for civilization.
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  So so there's only been around for like a little over 5000
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  years out of four and a half billion years that Earth has
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  been around and the 13.8 billion years of the universe.
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  So we're all of human. Civilization is basically the
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  blink of an eye. It's like a just a fraction.
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  It's almost it's nothing. And I think that that probably
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  means that that consciousness is incredibly rare and perhaps
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  fleeting. It may not last for very long
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  because otherwise we would have, I think we would have seen
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  aliens, some kind of sign of aliens.
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  I think the most likely explanation is that
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  consciousness is is so rare that that you and and does that
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  consciousness actually extend to another planet.
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  Does that consciousness extend to another star system?
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  I mean ultimately if we're able to become a a space bearing
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  civilization, a multi planet species and ultimately a a multi
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  stellar species and go out there and explore all these star
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  systems. I think we may find that there
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  are many long dead one planet civilizations.
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  We and as you've heard me say before we don't want to be one
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  of those lame one planet civilizations.
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  I mean we want to be a multi planet civilization, ultimately
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  be a multi stellar civil civilization, be out there among
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  the stars, like you know make science fiction, not fiction
• 4:38
  forever can make Star Star Trek real.
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  That's so that's why I think that there's there's there's a
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  high urgency to making life multi planetary because this is
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  the first time in Earth's 4 1/2 billion year history that it's
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  been possible to extend life or consciousness beyond Earth.
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  And we've got to do that while civilization is still strong.
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  So that's that's that's the overarching goal of the company
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  is extend life sustainably to another planet.
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  Mars is the only option really and to do so ideally before
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  World War Three or some kind of bad thing.
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  The the key thing is that we we need enough people and enough
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  tonnage on Mars such that Mars can survive and continue
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  consciousness. Even if something would happen
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  to Earth now I still think well obviously I'm not talking about
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  abandoning Earth or anything like that and we want Earth to
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  be as good as possible for as long as possible but there are
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  certain things that may be outside of our control so.
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  So we want to just get get to Mars to be a self-sustaining
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  civilization as quickly as possible.
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  And I I think this can be done in around 20 years.
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  So. And this, this, you know, giant
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  Starship factory that we're building is obviously key to
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  that. And the launch sites that we're
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  building here and at and at the Cape and elsewhere in the future
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  will be key to that. I mean, it looks like CGI.
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  I mean it's hard to believe that that is unfiltered video.
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  That's just the actual what the camera saw, no filters, no
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  nothing. That's actually what the camera
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  saw, which is insane. So, you know, you're doing
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  incredible work that I think almost no one thought would
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  actually happen. So it's well that that this,
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  this strange spot, this we're basically on a sand spit by the
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  Rio Grande near the beach and that is actually the gateway to
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  Mars has to be like if if this was a movie, you'd be like, no
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  way, come on too, too implausible.
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  But it's it's real and that's due to you guys.
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  Congratulations, this is a side by side of the three flights.
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  You can see how thrust away it improved significantly.
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  So we've we've made tremendous progress from Flight 1 to Flight
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  2 to Flight 3, and we got Flight 4 coming up in about a month or
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  so. And with Flight 4 we should if
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  we get you know if fate smiles upon us, we'll get through the
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  high heating regime and smash into the ocean at a controlled
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  spot and then to hopefully be able to also do this with the
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  with the booster land on a essentially a virtual tower.
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  If if the landing on the virtual tower with the booster works
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  then we will actually try with flight 5 to come back and land
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  on the tower. No, that's very much a success
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  oriented schedule but but it is in the realm of possibility.
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  But I would say like the the odds of us actually being able
• 8:40
  to catch the the booster with the Mechazilla arms this year.
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  I think I don't. I don't want to tempt fate,
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  knock on wood. But I think the odds of actually
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  catching the booster with the tower probably like 80 or 90%
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  this year, which is insane. Like, actually, when we first
• 9:00
  talked about it, it sounded so batshit crazy.
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  We're going to have a giant. It's like literally bigger than
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  Megazilla from this movie that you'd catch like the, like the
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  the biggest flying object ever made with mechanical arms out of
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  the air, then we're going to do it.
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  So yeah it may not work you know necessarily the first time but
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  it you know it will work. So really Starship is is really
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  the key to making life multi planetary and preserving the
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  lighter light of consciousness that's what it's all about and
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  it it may end up being the most important thing that that we
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  ever do. I think that you're you're like
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  the light of consciousness is like this this tiny candle in a
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  in a vast darkness and that candle has only been lit for a
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  very short time and it could easily go out.
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  So we obviously want to preserve that that the tiny light of
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  consciousness on Earth but extend it to Mars and then
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  ultimately to the rest of the solar system and then start
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  going to others other star systems.
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  And I mean I won't be allowed to see that but unless I'm like
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  frozen or something like that But but I, you know I think at
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  some point we will discover many civilizations that maybe lasted
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  a million years or 2 million years or 10 million years but a
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  civilization that lasted a million years which would be you
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  know vastly longer than our civilization has lasted.
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  I mean that that's only the the 3rd decimal point so like 13.8
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  billion something something years if your if your
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  civilization lasts a million years it's only goes that third
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  digit pass the decimal point goes up one and that's a million
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  years. So I mean I'd say like we should
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  think like how do we make civilization last a million
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  years. You know, we often get caught up
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  in like the day-to-day things, but we want them to have at
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  least a million year civilization, if not 100 million
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  year civilization or a billion year civilization.
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  So absolutely crucial to that goal is becoming a multi planet
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  species. People often people often ask
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  why, Why Mars? Well there's not a lot of
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  options frankly. So Venus is a super heated high
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  pressure acid bath. So not, not what you don't don't
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  want to go to Venus, but and then the moon is close, but it
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  it it doesn't have an atmosphere, the gravity is only
• 12:00
  one sixth out of Earth and it's missing a lot of key resources.
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  So also the the the the insulating value of the moon
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  relative to Mars is much less. So if there's something that
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  takes out of like let's say there's a World War three global
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  thermonuclear warfare, they'll probably throw a few nukes at at
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  the moon. So whereas it's way harder to to
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  to shoot Mars with with in which Mars would see it coming and
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  probably have some time to stop the inbound missiles.
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  So that the the the the value of Mars the the the difficult or
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  the distance and time required to get to Mars actually has an
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  insulating benefit to the for the continuation of
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  consciousness. Even if there's something
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  terrible happens on Earth. And and then once we go beyond
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  Mars there's there's some asteroids like Cerus, some of
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  the moons of Jupiter Starship would ultimately be capable of
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  of reaching anywhere in the solar system and then we'll need
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  something a new level of technology to go to other star
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  systems. But if we can't at least get to
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  Mars then other star systems are hopeless.
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  I mean it's a fixer upper of a planet, OK, needs some work, but
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  it is it's it's really the only option for becoming
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  multiplanetary and long term. We can warm up Mars and we can
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  there. There would be, we can densify
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  the atmosphere and there'd be a liquid ocean on about 40% of the
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  surface, so we could make it an Earth like planet long term.
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  So let's see we've we've we've learned a tremendous amount from
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  when we started the company and and at first could we're unable
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  to get even a small rocket to orbit to now where we've done
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  three 327 successful launches almost 300 landings in fact you
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  know give it a few weeks and we'll have done 3300 landings, 2
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  161 reflights. So many times I was told that
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  that reusability was was impossible and even if you did
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  it there would there would be no point because nobody would want
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  to fly rockets that much. But now we routinely fly and
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  land the booster and we recover the fairing.
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  So we've learnt A tremendous amount from the Falcon program
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  that is then feeding into the Starship program and Falcon and
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  Starlink are what obviously keep keep the company going.
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  So I just like to give a hand to the the Falcon team for the
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  incredible work that they're doing.
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  And then Dragon Wow 45 launches of Dragon it's amazing and we've
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  flown flown 50 crew members to orbit 46 to the space station
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  and everyone has come home safely which is the most
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  important thing. So you know incredible work by
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  the Dragon team. So skim a hand that was couldn't
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  ask for a better outcome. And Starlink actually if you
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  look at the sort of the the plot of the all the satellites going
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  around Earth, this look kind of scary actually.
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  But there's there's 6000 satellites in operation, over
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  6010 thousand lasers, almost 3 million customers.
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  So Starlink is doing a lot of good for people, for people on
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  Earth who don't either don't have Internet access or it's
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  very expensive. And so it's doing doing a lot of
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  good you know on Earth. Because when I say we want to be
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  a multi planet species I'm you know we obviously want Earth to
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  be as good as possible and Mars to be to be great.
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  So Starlink is is doing a tremendous amount of of that and
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  we're learning a lot by having this big fleet.
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  Starlink will also be very important for high bandwidth
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  communication to and on Mars. So from a from a tiny rocket to
• 17:04
  Falcon 9 which is a much bigger rocket, many iterations of
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  Falcon Nine and then Falcon Heavy and then Starship and
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  Starship will get bigger. Obviously, you know this, this
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  year if if things go according to plan, SpaceX will do probably
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  90% of all Earth mass to orbit, and then China will do about 6%
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  and the rest of the world will do about 4%, which is pretty
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  wild. And then once Starship is
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  flying, we'll be doing over 99% of all Earth mass to orbit,
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  which you kind of have to do in order to build a city on Mars.
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  And I should say we'll also build a a a lunar base as well.
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  So it might as well along the way.
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  So you can see that actually Falcon One was really, yeah,
• 18:06
  half a ton to orbit welling grief, slight error on the slide
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  there. So Falcon One was about half a
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  ton to orbit. Falcon 9, depending on in
• 18:16
  expendable mode, I would do probably 25 tons to orbit.
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  And yeah, Falcon Heavy probably 70.
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  Anyway, these these are just obviously rapidly increasing
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  numbers and Starship in its final configuration or its final
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  form will probably do well over 200 tons to orbit with full
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  reusability and be able to fly, you know, multiple times a day.
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  So. So I'm pretty confident we will
• 18:50
  achieve that this year like I said probably 8090% this year
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  and and then there's recovering and reusing the ship, the ship
• 19:01
  will take longer. So the ship I think we will want
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  to have at least two consecutive successes of a given design
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  that's land at a specific point in the ocean or smashed into a
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  specific point in the ocean before we try to bring it back
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  to the launch site because we do, we do not want to rain
• 19:24
  debris over Mexico or the US. So my guess is probably next
• 19:30
  year is when we will be able to reuse Starship.
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  But I think it's it's I think it's highly likely that this
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  year we will bring Starship to or the ship, the ship side of it
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  to a controlled point in the ocean and have it basically land
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  on a virtual virtual tower in somewhere in the in the Pacific
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  or the Indian Ocean. And we've already proven that we
• 19:55
  can do the final phase of landing.
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  So coming from sort of a belly first position to rotating the
• 20:03
  ship and landing vertically we proved that right here.
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  So what we just really we just need to be confident that we can
• 20:10
  get through the high heating portion of the of of RE entry.
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  Reliably and then we'll bring the ship back and it will land
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  on the tower as well. And we're going to build more
• 20:21
  mekazillas. So there's going to be two
• 20:24
  launch towers here and and I think and then two launch towers
• 20:29
  at the Cape as well. So we'll have four launch towers
• 20:35
  for 4 Starship probably you know by sometime next year.
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  So we're aiming to have the first Cape launch tower and
• 20:49
  launch system operational around the middle of next year and
• 20:54
  that'll be important for launch Azimuths that are sort of fly
• 21:00
  over land. So I think what what we should
• 21:08
  probably expect is that we, we do the kind of the development
• 21:11
  launches here, test anything new here, build the, build the
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  Rockets and then play most of the operational launches would
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  be from the Cape. So this year, we're planning to
• 21:27
  build another roughly 6 boosters and ships and and that
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  production rate will increase a lot next year.
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  That's why we're building the the giant factory.
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  Ultimately, we'll need to build a lot more ships than boosters,
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  especially for Mars, because it's the you'll actually want to
• 21:55
  use the ship. Take apart the ship and use it
• 21:58
  for raw materials on Mars, because the ship materials will
• 22:01
  be so valuable you most of the ships you wouldn't want to bring
• 22:04
  back, you'd want to just use them for raw materials.
• 22:08
  Eventually we will want to bring ships back and I think we want
• 22:11
  to give people the option of coming back because they're more
• 22:13
  likely to want to go if there's some option of coming back.
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  But I think most of most of the people that go to Mars will
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  probably never come back to Earth.
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  So and we'll need to ramp production to pretty high
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  numbers like I think ultimately probably a ship every like
• 22:36
  multiple ships per day basically.
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  And then next year we're aiming to demonstrate ship to ship
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  propellant transfer. It's it's hard to make this not
• 22:50
  look a little bit naughty because it's two ships
• 22:55
  connecting and doing a fluid transfer just what it is.
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  But it is this is actually a very important this is a very
• 23:08
  important step on going to Mars because you need to put to get
• 23:10
  the ship to orbit and then do orbital refilling kind of like
• 23:14
  aerial refuelling and and that's that's really you'll need about
• 23:21
  about 5 or 6 refilling missions for everyone mission that goes
• 23:27
  to Mars. So roughly 5 to 1.
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  So and and this will also be very important for the Artemis
• 23:35
  program for the to to get back to the moon.
• 23:38
  So we want to have a ship that is, well, it's going to be a
• 23:41
  specialized ship for the moon like this.
• 23:47
  So the moon obviously there's no Mechazola, so we need landing
• 23:50
  legs and you don't need a heat shield and you don't need flaps
• 23:55
  because there's no atmosphere. So the moon ship would be
• 23:58
  specialized and now ultimately I think we we want to build a moon
• 24:06
  base, moon base alpha and have a permanently occupied base on the
• 24:13
  moon like that would be super exciting.
• 24:17
  And so you'd have a bunch of ships that are specialised for
• 24:21
  going to and from the moon, but they never come back to, they
• 24:26
  never land back on Earth. They just would would dock with
• 24:30
  propellant, propellant tankers to get overload refilling.
• 24:35
  So in terms of performance, we've made dramatic progress on
• 24:39
  on every level for Starship. It's remarkable that we can see
• 24:46
  the Raptor engines and how how it, how it has evolved from you
• 24:53
  know optimistically 185 tons to 280.
• 24:58
  And I think ultimately we'll probably the booster engines
• 25:02
  will will aim to get the booster engines over 330 tonnes of
• 25:05
  thrust which would mean 10,000 tonnes of total thrust at lift
• 25:09
  off. So and then the Raptor 3 also
• 25:17
  will not need a heat shield. So Raptor 3 looks looks very
• 25:21
  simple and it is actually simplified in a lot of ways, but
• 25:25
  a lot of the complexity is hidden because we have integral
• 25:28
  cooling channels in in many parts of the engine that that
• 25:32
  don't exist in Raptor 2. So in order to not have a heat
• 25:36
  shield it has to be very resilient, but that it is
• 25:40
  actually what Raptor 3 would look like.
• 25:42
  Looks like Raptor 3 looks like it's missing a bunch of parts,
• 25:45
  but actually those parts have either been deleted or they've
• 25:49
  been integrated into the system and like I said with integral
• 25:52
  cooling channels and where where you need secondary plumbing, the
• 25:55
  secondary plumbing has also been integrated into the pump and
• 25:59
  into the the chamber jacket. And yeah, so it's much simpler.
• 26:08
  Well it's it's it's yeah it's actually extremely difficult to
• 26:12
  build Raptor 3 but but it will be easy to integrate and will
• 26:18
  have higher performance and lower total mass and be more
• 26:24
  reliable. So
• 26:52
  well that can go on for a while. So I I find it interesting to
• 26:57
  look at the if you look at the the flame tail on Starship and
• 27:03
  how long it is, it's a it's a very long flame tail which is
• 27:08
  due to the fact that the the the chamber pressure well it's it's
• 27:12
  just outputting a lot more yeah a lot more gas at a higher
• 27:16
  velocity. But I think the flame tail is
• 27:19
  like maybe 1000 feet long. It's like more than twice the
• 27:22
  length of the rocket and that will actually get as as we
• 27:26
  increase the thrust that will get longer.
• 27:28
  So yeah and inevitably the rocket grows in height.
• 27:35
  So Starship 2 we're aiming for like I currently flight 3 would
• 27:40
  be around 40 or 50 tons to orbit.
• 27:45
  So the current design, Starship 2 will be over 100 tons and then
• 27:49
  Starship 3 will be over 200 tons.
• 27:53
  And yeah, it's going from around 7000 tons thrust to over 8000.
• 28:02
  But I I think we'll we'll we'll end up ultimately with more than
• 28:05
  three, more than 10,000 tons of thrust, probably 7 or 8000 tons
• 28:12
  of lift off mass and at least 10 meters taller.
• 28:16
  We'll see. Tends to grow, Yeah, exactly.
• 28:28
  So it probably grows a bit more than that, even really.
• 28:35
  So if you look at Falcon Nine, it's we're not going to do the
• 28:38
  length to diameter of Falcon Nine.
• 28:40
  That would be crazy. But Falcon 9 is a very long
• 28:44
  rocket, and so I suspect it'll probably get a bit longer than
• 28:51
  this. But at 200 tons per flight,
• 28:54
  fully reusable, that is, that is pretty incredible.
• 28:59
  And yeah, this will be on the order of 500 feet tall.
• 29:10
  And then we're this, this, there's thousands of design
• 29:15
  improvements here. So I mean, I think maybe the
• 29:22
  most, one of the most profound things is Starship 3 will cost
• 29:26
  less per flight than Falcon one. So that's the difference between
• 29:32
  if you've got a fully reusable rocket or an expendable rocket.
• 29:37
  The fully reusable rocket with low cost propellant and
• 29:41
  autogenous pressurization actually costs less than a a
• 29:46
  tiny expendable rocket. So and it'll do like I said,
• 29:51
  Falcon one is about half a ton to orbit.
• 29:53
  The Starship 3 will be 400 times more payload for less than the
• 29:58
  cost of a Falcon one. Ultimately, I think we might be
• 30:02
  able to get the cost per flight to Earth orbit down around
• 30:07
  $2,000,000 or $3,000,000. So these are sort of unthinkable
• 30:14
  numbers from the, you know, nobody ever thought this was
• 30:18
  possible, but we're not breaking any physics to achieve this.
• 30:22
  So this is within the without breaking physics, we can do
• 30:25
  this. So the Mars missions are two
• 30:32
  years apart or 26 months. And if you look closely at the
• 30:39
  Starlink router, you see the the home and transfer from Earth
• 30:45
  orbit to Mars orbit. And that's basically to say to
• 30:52
  people, the Starlink system that you're buying is helping get
• 30:56
  humanity to Mars. I think it's pretty cool.
• 31:01
  So roughly every two years, thousands of ships would depart
• 31:05
  from Earth to Mars. It would look like Battlestar
• 31:08
  Galactica, but in a good way, you know, hopefully without
• 31:12
  being chased by the Cylons. But it would be an incredible
• 31:16
  thing to see these thousands of ships departing every every 26
• 31:19
  months. For Mars.
• 31:23
  What this diagram is basically saying is that for getting to
• 31:27
  Mars, we would essentially create a kind of a propellant
• 31:35
  depot ship. The propellant depot would look
• 31:38
  more like a hot dog than like a spear, surely just makes a long
• 31:43
  ship with a lot of insulation, and we'd pull that ship up and
• 31:50
  then shortly before or as as they're going to Mars, the ships
• 31:56
  would take off with, I don't know, a couple 100 tons of
• 32:00
  payload from Earth reach orbit with very almost no propellant.
• 32:04
  And then get refilled by the tanker and then go to Mars and
• 32:09
  and land go all the way to Mars with over 200 tonnes of useful
• 32:12
  payload. Then on Mars at in the beginning
• 32:16
  we would I think we would simply reuse the ship materials so most
• 32:20
  of the ships wouldn't come back but then over time you'd want to
• 32:23
  bring the ships back so you could reuse them and and for
• 32:26
  that we would need to create methane chapter 4 and oxygen O2
• 32:30
  on Mars which you can do with H2O and CO2.
• 32:34
  So the atmosphere is CO2 and there's plenty of water ice H2O
• 32:38
  and so it's it's kind of like tailor made for well actually
• 32:43
  the reason we have methane oxygen system is because you can
• 32:47
  make methane and oxygen on Mars fairly easily.
• 32:50
  Like not just not a total walk in the park but the ingredients
• 32:54
  are readily available to create methane and oxygen on Mars.
• 32:59
  So so you build a propellant depot and and bring the ships
• 33:06
  back and build out as quickly as possible a self-sustaining
• 33:11
  civilization on Mars. And we want to get the we want
• 33:14
  to get the cost of going to Mars such that almost anyone could
• 33:17
  afford it. So like if somebody were to just
• 33:21
  work hard on Earth save up and that they'd be able to go to
• 33:23
  Mars. So it's like anyone ideally
• 33:27
  almost anyone could go to Mars and I think you'll see a lot of
• 33:29
  governments also sponsor people and ultimately we'll we'll want
• 33:34
  to get. So there's kind of an optimal
• 33:39
  landing zone on Mars where you have resources so you've got
• 33:43
  access to water or frozen water that you're not too close to the
• 33:48
  poles so you can use solar power.
• 33:50
  It would it would be nice to use nuclear.
• 33:53
  I don't know if we'll get get the approval, but nuclear would
• 33:56
  be very handy on Mars because you can use the heat and you can
• 33:59
  generate electricity. So and then you kind of want to
• 34:03
  be about two kilometers below sea level.
• 34:06
  So if Mars did have an ocean, you'd actually be quite deep in
• 34:10
  the ocean at least at 1st. And yeah, so let's see, that's
• 34:21
  Mars kind of kind of want to land about halfway between the
• 34:27
  the pole and the equator in a kind of a deep area of Mars.
• 34:34
  If if you the deeper it is, the more you can use the atmosphere
• 34:37
  to break and the atmospheric density is higher.
• 34:43
  So these are all the things that would have to be developed.
• 34:47
  So as people ask me, are we developing these things?
• 34:49
  I'm like not yet because this is the cart and we need the horse
• 34:53
  first, so the rocket is the horse and then this is the cart.
• 34:58
  But ultimately we'll need all these things, lesser power
• 35:01
  generation, mining in general, ice mining, propellant
• 35:04
  production, long duration life support construct, a lot of
• 35:08
  construction and and the global communication.
• 35:13
  So I think this would open up a lot of opportunities for
• 35:16
  entrepreneurs that want to create any create things on
• 35:20
  Mars, whether that is a propellant.
• 35:22
  Well, I think we'll have to do the propellant depot.
• 35:24
  But whether it's like iron ore refining or a pizza joint or a
• 35:29
  bar, you know, there'll be an opportunity to do all the things
• 35:33
  that we like on Earth, on Mars, like a Mars bar would be, yeah,
• 35:41
  great. So I think I think probably the
• 35:46
  a rough order of magnitude guess for what you need, how many
• 35:49
  people do you need for a self-sustaining city is about a
• 35:52
  million and several million tonnes of of cargo.
• 35:58
  So yeah, which we can do and we can do this in 20 years.
• 36:08
  But like I said, in order for it to be self-sustaining, you
• 36:11
  actually need the entire base of industry.
• 36:12
  You can't be missing any element.
• 36:14
  So that's that's really what's going to take take a while is do
• 36:18
  you have everything you need to survive on Mars At that point
• 36:21
  the future of consciousness is assured.
• 36:27
  So if you do 10 launches a day at 200 tons per launch, million
• 36:34
  and a half tons to Leo per opportunity, you you net that
• 36:37
  out to a quarter million tons to Mars per opportunity.
• 36:42
  So that means you can get to 1,000,000 tons in about 8 years
• 36:48
  since the opportunities of two years apart.
• 36:55
  So I think it's pretty doable. And I'm like, we're actually
• 36:58
  going to do this, Are we? You know, we are actually going
• 37:02
  to do it, which is insane to think so.
• 37:06
  Millions of tons to Mars. Yeah, Wild.
• 37:13
  And we're going to build a lot of vehicles.
• 37:18
  So yeah, several thousand vehicles per year is what we'll
• 37:25
  need, which really quite, quite doable actually.
• 37:34
  It sounds like a lot, but it's very doable.
• 37:39
  Yeah. If you compare it to sort of car
• 37:41
  production, it's a small number. Of course this is much bigger
• 37:45
  than a car. But even if you look at the
• 37:47
  total tonnage, the it's still very, it's very doable to both
• 37:52
  several thousand vehicles a year.
• 37:55
  So that's what we need to do and we're going to do it.
• 38:02
  And then long term, we'll probably have some offshore
• 38:04
  launch sites. They can just imagine all of
• 38:34
  these starships waiting in orbit for the planets to align and
• 38:40
  then this gigantic Starfleet taking off from Mars.
• 39:33
  All right, So we're actually going to do this.
• 39:37
  And when you think about where this started out, this was
• 39:41
  literally just a like a, a sandbar where we're standing
• 39:45
  right now. And now look at what we've done
• 39:47
  here and that we've gotten three flights off of Starship and
• 39:51
  we've got a 4th, 4th 1 coming up and we're building a gigantic
• 39:55
  factory that will be able to output a massive number of
• 39:58
  ships. So.
• 40:01
  It's surreal, but it but it's real.
• 40:05
  So we're actually going to do this.
• 40:06
  We're going to take humanity to Mars and I'm confident you can
• 40:12
  do it.