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Construcción Plural - Programa 1117 · Construcción Plural - Radio Trend Topic

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Plural construction, the renowned journalistic program of political analysis and current in its twentieth
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season, with the leadership of Fernando Mauri and a team of prestigious analysts.
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Listen to him on radio train topic. Believe me if I understood you well
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with the taxes on the fare, the rates keep all the monca. People
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are running out of money buying us the buck now. He told you,
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although you look like an economic commentator, you see that you understand the cooperadministra
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is piqué, that is, people are drier than country cookie. He just
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can' t, he can' t buy dollars, he can buy us
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morfe and he can buy us medicine. You can' t buy pastia,
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you can' t buy pinchta, you can' t buy comb, you
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can' t buy comb. Nothing can buy. It' s small details.
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So much doctor, while giving me a wafer that said I don'
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t have stereo. Sorge small detail of home microeconomics. What do we care
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about in macroeconomics? So much so trust me that soon we' re going
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to change the face of the poor country they' re going to disfigure it
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more. He' s not a bastard yet. The only thing we ask
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for is a small after today so that tomorrow we can have tomorrow in Argentina
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power with which our greatest Treaty dreamed, but a small sacrifice today for our
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children. A small sacrifice today for our albums to have tomorrow they inherit a
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large, round, warm, quiet and literate midwifery listen to me since I
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was little, I have heard that you have to sacrifice nothing of the future.
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The national motto has always been to fuck yourself today to enjoy tomorrow and
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one puts the other, but the future, by decision, piles what.
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Such a good afternoon, how we' re doing here. We are closing
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the week in plurial construction, with many trans audios my presentation and the batch.
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We' ll be listening to Right in Roiter, Gambina and Roffman.
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I saw him yesterday. Eduardo Fidanza, the director of Ponarquia, sometimes interviewed
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by us. Maybe we' ll probably re- interview him in the next
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few days or in the next few weeks. Speaking of public opinion, he
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said that for them, for Polyarchy, there are fifty- five or forty
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- five favors from the Milley government. I promised myself to doubt it.
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We talk to Uruguay, we don' t talk to other funtors in onion
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of I think it' s my time It can' t be fifty-
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two forty- eight. It can be forty- eight, fifty- two.
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But more than that, what it says is that the government' s
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approval of the eighty- day term of office is few. It is one
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of the lowest compared to previous governments, that is, the Moon of a
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thousand who also wins the clan, the level is higher. I say this
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is all back with the triumph of a thousand and the Political Church of Acá.
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It' s all there, but I' m telling you something not
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to eat in Miracle' s lies. He' s not the most popular
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president, he' s maximum. All that is in public, even though
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he leaves the glory of the Twitter records or the records you said you'
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re a copelo. There was a devotee at the school where he studied,
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where similar chris fainted. Much of what is important because in an incredible case,
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the rawness of the fair is applied everywhere to the rawness of Milay I
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say that they are covered by YouTube videos that no legislator in Argentina has so
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many YouTube reproductions of their speeches. Well and that also trust if in my
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law that says you represent him new, you' re not going to end
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up being what other presidents were to manage federal funds according to the political position
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to the governors that we have Halder Word of Tucumán, who has been favored,
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because it' s someone that I will add to the president regarding fabric.
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One may doubt whether to close it or not to what extent it can
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be optimized, whether or not to fire some. Let' s discuss it
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made a home stop here according to gender. There has been ideological subjugation Now,
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speaking of professionalism, I do not know a partisanship. One may well
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ask whether the model of my law and perhaps for communication in transmission. Bonocerlo
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prurcero pluriality of Friday in Congress, when he opened the extraordinary ones, where
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everyone who was not the official was invisible and we talked about fabric in parti
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partí in partí dizados others. Well, the broadcast was Grigoyen' s diary
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getting me read in the copybook said abortion is murder. We know it'
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s your opinion, but now it' s a need aggravated by the bond
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and I can prove it to be delusional. Let' s say totally not
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this mystical Jewish Catholic Miley as it were, spoke in nice way to educate
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among elementary school boys. Brother José Luis is a teacher to be copelo,
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in addition to explaining to us the value of that dead before dirty, that
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is to say that they did not get dirty in the session a paramon with
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politics. Somehow look at the quilombo we' re doing. He talked about
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kilombo, that is, I like elementary and high school antistic classes and I
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take care of the words I use. If I' m not a person
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to communicate bad words, but I say electric day. He spoke of kilombo
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every day and we found a new curru and we took him out all the
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time talking about corruption and so on, which was blatant the menemist, also
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the chimerist later, but I say quilombo and curro. But above all and
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the school boys gloves, that is, what example gives him the ultimate authorship
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of a president I saw him as a teacher. Speaking of which, it
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' s a luxury. The President who we have to do some things,
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a President who does not promote effort, exploits the life of sacrifice in a
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mechanical religious line, in a dehumanizing rigor, not in pursuit of healthy meritocracy,
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but rather retired sacrifices of small and medium- sized enterprises. That is
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the sacrifice of a liberal president who yesterday repeated that taxes are a remembrance of
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slavery. It is imposed that allow misuse, theft and so on, but
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paint the poor and the public school, attend a hospital and others to pause.
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And we' re still in this plural construction of scabbard. We remind
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you that you can find us on social networks, on our website where we
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extend our journalistic work. We find ourselves on Twitter under the Nick Arroba,
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Instagram approaches, fer M two thousand twenty- two, firm de Farmauriy two
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thousand twenty- two and, as always where we upload audios of the program
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analysis of specialist columnists. Our website manages blogs com ar approaches this summer wherever
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you go, enjoy it in full with the best meat in the world,
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Argentine meat, in contrast to the best Argentine meat recipes or very well,
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very well. Second, plural building blocks just to present the audios. Alberto
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Justo an Roy has a geopolitical look, an analysis of perspectives of specialized matter
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about the year. This year, which is good that it began is n
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January, obviously, in international political matters, and the economic gaze of Julio
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Ambina and later of Alejandro rof Manchales announces for the coming weeks the Presence,
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as always has liked to line the gulf are Alejandro Roffman and in the Kipper,
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but also that they were this week, but also of Dr Juan José
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Waresti, of Camilo Tiscornea, among others. We listened to Justo an Roiter
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Agan Bina Rofman. See you Tuesday Thank you Good afternoon. The conflicts in
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Ukraine, the wars taking place in Ukraine and the Middle East, focus international
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attention. They are in the media almost all the time, especially now that
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two years of war have taken place in Central Europe, in Ukraine, with
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an uncertain course, since there is like a stationary war. But violence continues
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and diplomacy remains absent, so that these East Middle Eastern conflicts focus attention on
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a dangerous world, unordered in this context monopolized by war and geopolitics the two
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Gs, the report on global risks of two thousand twenty- four, which
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is produced annually by the World Economic Forum, was recently published last January.
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It is a prestigious report of scale, I would say, with great research
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work, where work is done on different dimensions of problems, threats risks.
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It is interesting to consult this report two thousand twenty- four. The PITO
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was published on January 10, two thousand twenty- four. It is very
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interesting to consult it, because what we are going to see is that there
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is a plurality of crises. In parallel to the predominance of these two g
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not of the geopolitical warrior. The report is dominated by what the report itself
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calls the three non- climate crises, conflicts and technological change. These are
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the dynamic structural forces that are undermining global stability, because, apart from these
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thirteen, there are others that are partly derived from this force, from these
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structural forces. In part, for example, the global risk report of two
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thousand twenty- four is very important and warns about cyber security, because or
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rather warns the security authorities, because it has expanded is significantly the challenge of
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cyber crime. How many six of us already have here and emerging technologies are
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providing solutions to cyber insecurity, but everything is a phenomenon that causes a gap
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or fracture between countries, as the most advanced societies are those that are best
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prepared to protect themselves against these cyber challenges. The gap between States is widening.
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Countries capable of becoming resilient, as the report says, from the use
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of new technologies and countries that increase their vulnerability. And here it' s
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interesting to stand out. For me, this is very important, not the
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report says, but it does say a work written by Malamud and Eschenoni two
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years ago, a year after the pandemic, about the very few advances in
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Latin America in the protection against cyber- crimes against insecurity, there was very
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little progress in Latin America in the development of major technologies. This point is
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interesting because, according to these authors Malamud Eschnoni, Latin America was the region
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that most declined in terms of strategy, in terms of issues related to strategic
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relevance. Latin America lost strategic relevance, and one of the reasons is the
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very little progress in the development of major technologies or artificial intelligence. Very little
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of this good. Returning to the global risk report two thousand twenty- four.
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Cyber criminals are using increasingly sophisticated tools such as generational artificial intelligence, and
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they are using it to increase their chances of making profits. Artificial intelligence also
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creates gaps between the countries that can and the countries that suffer. Like you
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said Cides. The risk and global report always works on the gaps that arise
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not only between States as a result of the further development of larger technologies,
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but also within States, the gaps that are occurring at the social level,
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as it is a very comprehensive report. Apart from artificial intelligence matters, we
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note the autonomy of private sector companies, which increasingly gain influence over the legislative
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segment. This is an issue that is happening in countries that may be advanced.
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The climate issue is interesting. It is very interesting, a great space
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dedicated to the climate issue because, in short and difficult to summarize here because
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it is very long, it is like that the world is staying in front
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of the climatic crises and warns that we will have to adapt to the changes
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that are coming. It' s a rather disturbing fact. In short,
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to conclude, what are the main global risks in two thousand twenty- four,
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according to reports or global risks. Well here he went on to list
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the top ten. It' s interesting. The first is the environment,
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the extreme climate. The second is the misinformation generated by artificial intelligence. The
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third global risk is social and political polarization, which I told you today not
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only internationally, but also within States. The fourth theme is the cost-
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of- living crisis, which is interesting in relation to the situation in many
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countries, particularly in Latin America. Fifthly, cyber attacks, which we talked
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about briefly just now. Sixthly, that of that economic acceleration, which is
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a little the engine that, in parallel, sustains the developments of geopolitics.
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Seventh, the disruption of the supply chain of critical goods and resources. The
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key theme. All are key, but some more or closer to affecting us
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The eighth global risk is the intensification or outbreak of an armed conflict. The
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nine is the disruption of the chain, its mminis of our food and the
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ten is the censorship or erosion of the freedom of expression. This is number
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one. As a major concern, the climate crises or extreme weather to others
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in which even I do not read them here, but like public debt,
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the arms race, others are important. So this is what the global risk
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report presents to us, two thousand twenty- four. It is very important
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to read it in order to have an idea of how the world is working
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or dysfunctional in a context of lack of order and something worse than the lack
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of order, but a situation where there is a global confrontational disorder as a
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result of which all powers should be engaged in working on these issues are confronted
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with each other. The legislative year began with Javier Miley' s speech on
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Friday i March and one. It can be said that there were no surprises,
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since the essence of the speech was the continuation of the inaugural election speech
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as president in international forums such as the Davos Forum, the World Economic Forum
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or the US Conservative Summit, and the end of the speech, posing a
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calabo to subscribe on May 25, is a ratification of reactionary structural reforms,
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such as labor reform, the reform of the welfare system. Let us say
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the essential spirit of what is raised in the decree of urgency number 70 which
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is in parliamentary debate at this time was the spirit of the so- called
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omnibus law or basic law for the restructuring of Argentina, an issue that is
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raised again because the agreement, the pact of 25 May next with governors,
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heads of political parties former presidents, is subordinated to prove previously that legislation fallen
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in Parliament. We can say that, in any case, the novelty,
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if there is any novelty, is a new call for political debate by the
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political forces in Argentina, after the frustrated treatment in Parliament of the basic law.
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But as life continues, the week opens with the closure of Telan,
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not allowing workers to enter with a message of temporary work leave while winding up
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the Official Fund Agency. The continuity of an economic policy that is of adjustment
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demanded in the presidential discourse as chainsaw and blender chainsaw, has to do with
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decrease of public expenditure. As we have pointed out many times today in the
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debate, on the one hand, retirees are claiming a recomposition of income,
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state workers, others of the strong injured and, of course, public universities
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that, having frozen the budget two thousand twenty- four with the values of
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two thousand twenty- three, see that in the short term they cannot continue
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to function. And it' s a presumption for the privatization of public universities.
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Therefore, this adjustment policy advances with the chainsaw to reduce the adjustment.
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But of course, above all, the liquation of a public expenditure with frozen
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budget on the basis of a decrease in revenues and, of course, with
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less revenue, with a budget of two thousand twenty- four frozen to the
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budgets of two thousand twenty- three. Every public game seems to be liquefied
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by that, in liquefaction and adjustment as central issues of public policy. And
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now in debate to move forward with structural changes, let us insist mainly on
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labor reform, preditional reform, which are two mechanisms to remove rights of workers,
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retired workers, retired in passive activity beyond how they dress it, which
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is a great consensus of the business sectors in Argentina and, of course,
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resisted by social union organizations. In the middle of this, the adjustment is
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explained in the fiscal balances. Fiscal balance achieved in January, most likely in
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February, when we know the final data on what primary spending has been like,
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including interest payments, to see if February repeated the situation in January.
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What marks the privileges of economic policy is in the financial equation, in the
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fiscal equation and very little account is taken of the social needs of the population,
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especially in deterioration of popular income, wages, pensions, social plans and,
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of course, to the extent that these sectors receive less income. All
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that part of the entrepreneurship linked to the placement of production and services in fixed
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- income sectors is also deteriorating. That is why the vast majority of the
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population suffers the consequences of economic policy, of an economic policy that has been
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strongly demanded and that will be continued in the short and medium term perspective,
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according to the presidential speech until the next Hello. How are Alejandro Roffan and
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his usual weekly column. I wanted to start today by giving an open picture
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of the economic and social situations of the great majority of the inhabitants of the
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country that would be said to be at this point is quite desolate. If
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you notice the data that is accumulating from January to March. It cannot but
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be seriously alarmed because we are going through a course that implies a sharp fall
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in the real income of those who work daily or of those who did so,
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who are retired today and, at the same time, very little encouraging
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prospects in terms of the same statistical reference, the income devoid of the inflationary
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distortion perceived by the eighty or ninety percent of the population increasingly narrowed by the
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inflationary overflow. What the Government intended from the outset, two central issues.
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A fundamental issue had to do with the evaluation of more than one hundred and
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thirty percent of the dollar, the highest in all the modern and contemporary history
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of Argentina and that provoked a stampede of prices. Logically, it couldn'
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t be anything else. That stampede of prices was manifested at twenty- five
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percent in January, in December, forgiveness twenty in January, probably sixteen in
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February and something else in March. In other words, real income has been
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decaling, except for very specific sectors that managed to adjust their wages through collective
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agreements. The strong inflationary thrust has led to the fall of available resources in
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the pockets of the vast majority of the population. We are discussing, for
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example, the issue of the judicious and we warn that they have lost thirty
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- three percent of their income until March. It has cut back on me,
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for example, the purchasing power of my retirement by a third with regard
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to what happened in October last year, and that necessarily reverberates in all activity.
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The decline in the income of those who work or work previously weakens the
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sales of essential products consumed by the inhabitants of the country. As this item
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falls, labour demand weakens, on the one hand, that is, there
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have already been significant cuts in the labour market for many infarcts, accepting much
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more to the SME sector that is targeting its goods and services to the domestic
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market than to large economic corporations that, in many cases, have part of
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their sales destined abroad and that have benefited long from the devaluation of December.
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That is to say, there is a dark clear picture where those who see
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it clearly refer to a very small nucleus of producers with large ex- profting
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participation, for example, large volume producers of soy, seamless tube to talk
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about aluminum, to talk about coditis, who skipped the revenues of their producers
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because they basically sell from abroad in proportions greater than one hundred percent, the
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rest nothing more. No backsliding, serious backsliding. The second effect is that
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product of the other objective, which is to reduce the deficit of steel fiscar.
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Why the Government sold it as a decision to make inflation disappear. But
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that is not true in that environment and well knowing that it lies very well,
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because experience from all over the world indicates that the vast majority of countries
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today have deficiency and fiscal, but none of our inflation rate, for example,
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the United States. In the year two thousand twenty- two, the
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deficit was twelve percent of the gross product, but inflation was three percent.
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Then, evidently, it has nothing to do with one another. The zero
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fiscal deficit is to negotiate with the Monetary Fund and other creditors who demand it
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to make sure they will receive cure. And only what happens then with the
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tax collection that is coming down, that loses certain effectiveness and that has to
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increasingly reduce the level of public spending so that it appears as it happened in
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January. In significant titles highlighted by the government that there was no deficit,
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but really the cost of having noéfici was given by the large reduction in
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spending had a positive impact, even though the fall in fiscal recourse was 11
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percent year- on- year February versus February last year, marking a very
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dangerous decline for the future. What happened to other items that accompany the economic
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weakening of a macro type and that affects the employment and income of active and
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passive workers. I said, in the final part of my deca intervention earlier
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that the real fall in income of the national fixed was eleven percent, estimating
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a reaction February 24th February 23rd, but in reality, potentially it is much
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more low because in the month of February entered a special levy for the subscription
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of a bond for importers, which is for the only time in such a
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way that in March it will already take effect and the fall will be even
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greater. The net tax collection of precisely the variations that involve taxes that are
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collected only once, as in the case that the medium would refer only and
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the country tax if it is sewn two thousand sixteen year with two thousand twenty
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- four for the month of February marks a spectacular decrease. The level,
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if you take out that item that we just said, is half the approximate
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level of last year and two thousand twenty- two and the third part that
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the two thousand seventeen and two thousand eighteen, a fiscal breakdown that will force
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the government to increase the adjustment, to continue to reduce the contribution that it
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makes to pay its workers' salaries, maintaining the prohibition of using fiscal resources
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for public works. It is the first time in Argentine history that the public
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works sector is closed. This cannot be done for a long time, unless
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the entire general infrastructure of the functioning of the economy is weakened, with a
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very negative impact on employment. It is estimated that they will be lost if
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the closure of the public works continues approximately 200, 000 direct works of the
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field of construction and so many indirect ones and really a very serious effect on
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the level of the occupation. What is the other character we attach to this
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very restrictive economic policy? That is the case with consumption. Retail consumption fell
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by 27 per cent in the first quarter according to the corporate headquarters of SMEs
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coordelination to last year' s first rime. Nor can you keep that negative
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item much longer for two reasons. On the one hand, because it is
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going to cause a massive closure of small and middle companies, which are the
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ones that occupy ninety percent of Argentine employment and, secondly, that will result
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in a lower level of tax revenues, with a vicious circle that, as
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the best level, the worst level of forgiveness of tax revenues, must increase
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the contraction in spending And that is a vicious circle that ends up collapsing the
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project. It has already happened in other adjustment experiences that the State could not
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compress itself at the pace necessary to achieve the desired zero fiscal effissis. Meanwhile,
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society is the one that suffers, it is the one that is behind
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the cost of this economic and social dismanagement, which has certain deadline of effectiveness.
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There' s going to be a time when you won' t be
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able to keep it. I give two very simple examples. The amount of
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State expenditure involved in the rejuvenation of its workers is also an explosive presence if
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it is to be further compressed at truly excessive levels. The government or proposed
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to university professors a six percent increase for this year. Starting, of course,
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with an initial calculation in February six percent of February on the level of
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invention. Increased cost of living is really an unimaginable dispossession. It says plural
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construction led by Fernando Mauri by Radio Trentopic