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Felix Prehn - Banks Just Told Big Clients to SELL…+ Stock Market News 20 June 2025 · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Felix and Winston here, and I want to explain to you in the next few minutes, similarly to what would happen if you were actually working at a big bank.
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: You were sitting in that morning meeting where the whole team was brought up to speed with what's going on out there so you can make better decisions today and every day thereafter.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: Now we're going to run through why the US actually won't go to war until 4pm, why Goldman Sachs says sell, and I'll show that full research doc to you so you really understand it.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: I don't just run out and sell stuff randomly.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: That's not what this is about.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: I'll also explain to you why Tesla is up, why the Fed is wrong, and I think it's important that we share with retail investors things like this here, like the full, unadulterated research from Goldman Sachs, which most people never, ever get to see, because I think it's important that you and me well, we deserve to have the same information edge, don't you think so?
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: And if you think that, by the way, put I agree in the chat or down below, and that way I know that you actually want this kind of level of information and be able to put out more of that here for you and in the very same vein, winston and I have also planned for you an educational class that will teach you the protocol that the most successful traders and investors in the world have been using for literally decades.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: And well, we use them every week and we're doing pretty, really nicely, and it's way simpler than you think and you can actually learn the foundation of that in like less than an hour and it's completely free.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: Our special class tomorrow, on a Saturday, so that all you wage slaves can attend.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: It's part of Winston's mission here to make a million gold retrievers financially free, so that more of them can be out there and play during the day and won't have to put up with cats like in here.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: How can you sign up for that?
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Well, it's tomorrow, that's Saturday, at 10 am Eastern time, and you can get access to that at felixfriendsorg slash class.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: And that cat is very, very noisy, isn't she?
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: Winston Crikey, we're going to have to do something about that.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: But you see, most people will say, well, actually I'm not going to sign up for that one or this one, I'm going to talk about these here in a second as well.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: You're like, oh, I'm busy on Saturday and then I'll do it another time.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: Well, there is one thing that I learned from a mentor of mine, and he said someday means never.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: So think about that.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: Let me know if you're going to join us on Saturday, put an S in the chat, if you are, and let me walk you through what's going on out there.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: These are not glasses.
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: I actually don't need glasses.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: Perfect eyesight, he says smugly.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: These are dark.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: What are they called Blue light?
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: Okay, we're going to have to do something about that cat.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: Give me one second, I'll do something about that cat.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: I'll show you the pre-market while I put that one in a cupboard.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: Not literally All right in, you get In, you get All right.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: Okay, enough of that.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: What is it with cats?
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: They want to get in, they want to get out.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: They want to get in, they want to get out.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: They really just want a full-time doorman, don't they?
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: Having all the S's there, guys, blue light protection that's exactly what this is about.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: They arrived today.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: I thought I'd try them see how the world looks in yellow, and apparently it protects your eyes.
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: It's very good.
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: And obviously got lights on in here studio lights and also apparently you sleep better, so which would be nice.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, I actually sleep very well, except for last night where one of these rotters kept me up from about midnight till 3am.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: So not Winston, of course.
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: Winston sleeps like a, like a puppy.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: Like a puppy.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: He's just perfect, that guy Katz, on the other hand.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: So before we look at what Goldman Sachs is going to say here, I think it's more topical that we talk about war, and this is a very, very nice summary of the whole thing.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: Feel free to take a screenshot of that.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: So rose-colored, that would be nice, wouldn't it Make everything green?
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: Everything looks more like money.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: That would work for me.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: Now, for example, I can't see my mouse here.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: Okay.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: So the White House said that he's going to make a decision in the next two weeks.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: He sort of wants to make it a bit unclear when it's going to happen.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: They also believe that there was a risk Iran could make a nuclear bomb in a very, very short period of time.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: They've also apparently asked the Israelis not to attack the Fordow nuclear facility, where they do the enrichment, and yeah, that's pretty much it, that's pretty much it.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: So that's kind of that.
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: And then they're obviously trying to figure out, like whether they could actually destroy it or not.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: But that's a whole lot of this conversation.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: We don't need to have really um and then um.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: This is this is from um press also uh, apparently trump has signed up on a bombing campaign.
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: Um, but the ultimate targets, the centrifuges buried at least eight meters below the surface, will, as of this writing, not be struck until the weekend.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: The delay has come.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: This is important for US investors as Trump's insistence, because the president wants the shock of the bombing to be diminished as much as possible by the opening of Wall Street trading on Monday.
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: You see, the world is just, the world is Wall Street and Wall Street's on Monday.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: You see, the world is just, the world is Wall Street and Wall Street's the world.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: That's why bankers feel so important.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: Smack bastards, hey.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: So that therefore means it's possible that after 4 pm today, maybe even after the post-market trading session is closed, you might get that war escalating.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: And if it does well, we'll see what happens.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about it.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: Right, get an app for your PC for blue light.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: That's true, but I've got great big lights here around me and they obviously are not blue lit.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: So anyway, I'll tell you how that goes.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: Come and join me on Saturday for our masterclass, felixfriendsorg slash class as he struggles to speak today.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: And then let's jump into this.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: So Goldman Sachs puts this out every day and I'm not going to read you through the whole thing because it's a bit boring, but essentially what they're saying is that the AI, so they basically split the world into two.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: They're saying that we can't write on this, but we can write on that, and I'll explain this chart to you in a second as well.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: It's actually quite nice wearing this.
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: They say the world consists of AI beneficiaries.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: That's a long word to spell, even for me.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: I know I've got an extra I in there, but that's just the way my brain works.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: And then there are also those who basically, you know AI losers on boring language here from the president.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: So they're saying that's the way that works, and this as an example.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: Here is an ETF which is called ARTI nothing to do with art, but it stands for AI, something iShares, futures, ai and Technologies ETF or something like that.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: And they're basically saying that the whole sector of AI is very overbought.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: And their point to this indicator down here in trade vision, which is the RSI and again, you can get yourself a free trial of trade vision down there.
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: I'm just playing with the app and I can tell you, guys, alerts are coming very shortly.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: We're just finishing off the UI and I'm sure I shouldn't have told you that I get killed for it.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: But there you have it.
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: Alerts are coming very, very soon, which is going to be super cool.
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: So you can be like, hey, I want to know if my stock drops below the 150-day moving average line or something, and you get a notification on your app, on your phone, which is going to be amazing.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to that.
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: So that's what they're saying.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: They're basically saying AI is overcooked.
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: I disagree with them.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: I think these guys don't actually understand the benefit of AI and I think the AI stocks will continue to outperform massively.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: So I don't think Goldman Sachs is right on this one, but that's what their thesis is.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: And they're basically suggesting an options trade, a bearish options trade on like the sort of AI basket, ai stocks, and they're saying it's cheap.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: It might be cheap, but I think it's weird.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: I don't think it makes any sense at all, to be honest with you.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: But yeah, they're basically arguing that AI is overdone.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: So I think it's an odd one.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: I don't think it makes any sense.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: I think AI stocks will continue to go up a lot, because I think the real benefit is nowhere near where it's going to be and where it's visible.
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: Yet I love hearing your cats, yeah, well, yes, most of the time, not at 3 in the morning, I think that's when I take issue with the buggers.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: So yeah, so that's that.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: Now, volatility is looking pretty good, and you would expect and we look at Tesla in a second as well.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: I promised you that right, tesla and also Fed.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: But just you know you can't ever distract me in a second as well.
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: I promised you that right, tesla and also Fed.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: But just you know you can't ever distract me with a VIX chart.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: And look at that candle.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: This is today, right, vix, the fear index.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: What's it doing?
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: Why am I putting two eyes in everything?
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: It's weird, isn't it?
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: I blame the glasses.
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: Anyway, we're down at 19.30.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: That is not like panic station.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: Even oil prices are down, which is really, really weird.
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: So everyone's kind of like it might be all right.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: Maybe they come to an agreement.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: Maybe the Iranian Ayatollah the supreme leader, maybe he's a really reasonable chap.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: Maybe he's going to be like you know what?
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: We don't enrich uranium.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: You don't bomb us.
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: Let's be friends.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: Oh, and we love Israel.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: I know we said all of that but wiping them off the face of the earth and we called you the big Satan, but in reality, we're nice people.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Let's go for a drink.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, you never know, right.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: Stranger things have happened, but I sort of don't see it happening somehow.
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: Now, this is a tweet.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: Why do we still call them tweets when they're now Xs?
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: That cat is so noisy.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: Elon gave a bunch of interviews and he says this Tesla works very closely with XAI and he's basically saying we came to the realization that robots are going to happen, whether or not we build them, so you can either be a spectator or participant.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: I'd rather be a participant.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: Now it's pedal to the metal on humanoid robots and digital superintelligence, and that's, of course, bullish for Tesla.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: That sort of talk that's what we've been waiting for, right, that's what we want to hear, and Tesla is looking pretty sweet.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: Pre-market at $3.28 here, which is that was Wednesday, but yeah, we're at where did we close?
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: $3.21.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: We're now at $3.27, so $6 up, which is the sort of thing that we want to see, right, but still below that purple line, although with my funky glasses on that line now looks kind of brownish.
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: That, my friends, is the 150 day moving average line.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: I shall explain its full magic to you if you come and join me tomorrow at felix friends, at org slash class for our free live stock investing masterclass to take you to levels you've never dreamt of in terms of, hopefully, profitability.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: Um, can we talk about how crazy ava has been?
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so some of you guys who are still in that ava thing, you're trying to make me feel bad, right?
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: So, um, I is, it's, it's and it's going and going and going, right.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: So I sold this at an 80 profit and I'm very, very sad about it because you lovely people are at what it's literally off the charts.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: How much are you up by crazy level, right?
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: 262 percent, right?
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: So that's the kind of breakouts that I'll teach you to find tomorrow, because it's textbook.
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: It really really is textbook.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: Like, that little pattern here is precisely what we look for, precisely.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: So it looks very, very good and I'm very, very happy you guys are making more money than me.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: So it looks very, very good and I'm very, very happy you guys are making more money than me.
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: No, honestly, it's amazing.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: And we've got plenty of stocks that are winning, he says, trying to not cry no, no, it's all good.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: Honestly, I kind of taught myself not to look back and look back at these, but obviously Derek keeps reminding me.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: But when you make 80% on something, you take the money, you put it in something else and that's maybe up 10%, 20%, 30% or something.
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: It just doesn't matter.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: We don't need to be at the top.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: Of course it's nice if you're in them.
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: So my stop was a little tight.
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: There's a lesson in that.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: There's a lesson in that and that's also why we track them.
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: And that's also why we track them.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: And that's another thing we do inside Trade Vision.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: We track right, we track our trades so you can see stuff that's open.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: This is just obviously one of my portfolios.
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: But you can see here, like you know, mtplf we're up 60, 60, what?
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: 67%, for example, on that one.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: So that's one.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: You know I put a little bit of money in that, a very, very small amount in this portfolio at least, so you can see where that is, you can see how it's going up and how it's tracking, and if you do multiple buys and sells and so on, you can see all of that as well.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: So very, very important actually to journal, because otherwise you don't really learn from your experiences.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: You feel I feel for you okay.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah, garden Theory, you got stopped out when I did.
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: Yes, lessons learned indeed, right.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: But if your lesson is, I only made 80%.
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: I think we're on the right side of history.
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: The problem is people who are down 80% and that's not us.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: And if you never want that to be you again, then come join me on Saturday.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: So wait, does Felix think the US will go to war?
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: I do, yeah, I do, I do.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: I just think.
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: First of all and this obviously gets into politics, so you can obviously disregard my opinion on this at all I think, first of all, the US defense lobby is incredibly powerful and incredibly convincing.
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: Secondly, there are a lot of people in this just general sort of system of administration who obviously are on that gravy train.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: War is good, right, this has been been de-doctrinated that way.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: And thirdly, nobody really wants around with a nuclear weapon, and the biggest threat to taking that out I mean, you've watched Top Gun was the Iranian air defense, right, israel seems to have disabled that.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: So therefore, literally you could fly any old bomber over the top and you can drop stuff.
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: So the risk is relatively limited.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: So I think Trump doesn't want to go down as the guy who permitted the Iranian bomb.
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: Their time is up.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: They basically know they are going to get bombed or invaded by somebody or other unless they have a nuclear bomb, which is why countries like North Korea and Pakistan and they wanted nuclear bombs Because all the other guys who didn't do them look at Iraq or Libya or all those countries, syria and so on they all got invaded.
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: So it's kind of like a fairly black and white choice, I think.
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: So hopefully it'll be a short and limited war and hopefully there'll be no US ground troops and all that kind of madness, and hopefully we won't irradiate all of Iran with nuclear materials.
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: But none of that's up to me and it doesn't really matter all that much.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: I'll just focus on making sure that our money is doing beautiful things, like this lovely little chart here from from aeva right.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: So that's my opinion on that.