Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 05/18/26
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: All systems going clear the lift, What is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 1: Ship at Nation YouTube station? Back in our early to
- 0:45Speaker 1: compensate for my boy Matt here schedule, because hey, sometimes
- 0:50Speaker 1: life gets in the way of DFS, day jobs, kids, dad, life, everything,
- 0:54Speaker 1: you name it. But we're fluid, we're flexible, and we're
- 0:57Speaker 1: ready to give you the breakdown tonight's nine game slate
- 1:01Speaker 1: on DraftKings and FanDuel locking at six oh five Lord's
- 1:05Speaker 1: time Zone and Matt, I'll bring you in, man, we're
- 1:08Speaker 1: talking a little pre show. Not the best weekend overall
- 1:11Speaker 1: for you, some close calls on my part, but hopefully
- 1:15Speaker 1: both of us put it together here tonight and find
- 1:17Speaker 1: our way all the way up top. I know the
- 1:18Speaker 1: Nation had a big week again. Tampbell had a really
- 1:21Speaker 1: big week in the PGA Championship over the weekend. Shout
- 1:25Speaker 1: out to Aaron Raie mister two Gloves getting a job
- 1:27Speaker 1: done there playing absolutely incredible on Sunday. That was fun
- 1:30Speaker 1: to watch. But happy Monday, brother, how are you?
- 1:35Speaker 2: Yeah you too, man, Always good to see your face
- 1:37Speaker 2: talking some ball on Monday. Yeah, appreciate you getting on
- 1:40Speaker 2: early with me. My four year old has an event
- 1:43Speaker 2: that last minute. My wife really really wanted me to
- 1:45Speaker 2: go too, so we're making it happen. Appreciate you getting
- 1:48Speaker 2: on early with me. Yeah, rough weekend in the DFS streets.
- 1:52Speaker 2: But great thing about the DFS is we're always talking
- 1:54Speaker 2: about what's happening that day, and we've got a fun
- 1:57Speaker 2: slate to talk about tonight with easy, good hitting spots
- 2:01Speaker 2: like all over the slate. So excited to break this
- 2:03Speaker 2: one down with you, man.
- 2:05Speaker 1: Yeah, looking forward to it. It's definitely a condense. It
- 2:07Speaker 1: a pitcher spot for me and spread on an offense,
- 2:11Speaker 1: which is crazy to say when we got coors Field,
- 2:13Speaker 1: but cours Field is probably one of the least interests
- 2:18Speaker 1: I have, and it's not really just because of ownership.
- 2:21Speaker 1: It's just we got really good spots across the country,
- 2:24Speaker 1: really really good weather outside of coors Field. Cours Field
- 2:27Speaker 1: is actually probably some of the worst weather on the
- 2:30Speaker 1: slate in terms of temperatures and hitting conditions. Obviously, we
- 2:32Speaker 1: know it's a great park there, but we got a
- 2:34Speaker 1: regularly win game with my fellow Burgers heading down south
- 2:39Speaker 1: on I forty one there, shooting over to Wriglely to
- 2:42Speaker 1: take on the Kubbies, who haven't lost since nineteen twelve.
- 2:45Speaker 1: It seems like when the Titanic went down at home,
- 2:48Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens there, but it should be
- 2:51Speaker 1: a fun one to break down. Before we do, though,
- 2:54Speaker 1: do got to just give condolences big guy in the sky, right,
- 2:58Speaker 1: our guy Djen. We came over, we merged with him
- 3:02Speaker 1: and his crew, all of the back end people, and
- 3:05Speaker 1: then obviously his community that he had built as well.
- 3:09Speaker 1: It's one year since we lost him, So big guy
- 3:12Speaker 1: in the sky up there, I know he's looking down
- 3:14Speaker 1: and hopefully we got some DJN seventy five good mojo
- 3:18Speaker 1: rolling here tonight. And hey, new guys in the back,
- 3:21Speaker 1: hopefully you haven't built your lineups yet, so shout out
- 3:24Speaker 1: to him. Rest in peace to our guy James. But yeah,
- 3:28Speaker 1: let's jump right in here, Matt. I'm gonna go ahead
- 3:30Speaker 1: and pull it up on the screen. Here, got the
- 3:35Speaker 1: dry run up on the screen. I did sort it
- 3:37Speaker 1: by a projected score. There's three pitchers that really kind
- 3:40Speaker 1: of headlined the slate. Brian Wu, You, Moto, Mackenzie Gore,
- 3:44Speaker 1: all great arms, fair price point. Then you got Ryan Weathers.
- 3:48Speaker 2: Jch Gin.
- 3:48Speaker 1: Outside of those five, it's pretty much gonna be just
- 3:51Speaker 1: spread out everywhere in terms of ownership, no one really
- 3:54Speaker 1: getting anything outside of those I'll say four Woo Young, Motor,
- 3:58Speaker 1: Gore and Weathers is gonna get some ownership for sure
- 4:01Speaker 1: for sure, But outside of that, it's it's really nobody.
- 4:05Speaker 1: You could definitely make a case to probably play three too,
- 4:08Speaker 1: probably those five, and cut it off after that. Obviously,
- 4:12Speaker 1: you can mess with guys like Shelday Minaga, Noah Schultz
- 4:15Speaker 1: in that Pitcher's ballpark if you want to mess out there.
- 4:18Speaker 1: He's shown some upside this season out in Seattle. Great ball,
- 4:21Speaker 1: great place to pitch out there. Robbie Ray, don't know
- 4:25Speaker 1: if I love that. Michael King gets a tough matchup
- 4:28Speaker 1: against the Dodgers, but he always has upside, especially at home.
- 4:30Speaker 1: In that Pitcher's ballpark. It's just kind of a lot
- 4:33Speaker 1: of blast spots. And even even those kind of five
- 4:37Speaker 1: main arms right that are are gonna get played projected
- 4:39Speaker 1: ownership wise, they're the best projected points per dollar. Everything
- 4:43Speaker 1: kind of checks out for those five arms. None of
- 4:46Speaker 1: them are like bulletproof by any means. By far and
- 4:48Speaker 1: away Yamamoto, I think is the clear cut span. San
- 4:51Speaker 1: Diego has just been brutal against right handed pitching, Yamamota
- 4:54Speaker 1: has been a beast. He's gonna have a good leash,
- 4:57Speaker 1: gonna upwards of one hundred pitches there Great Pitchers Ballpark,
- 5:01Speaker 1: one of the best out there in San Diego obviously,
- 5:04Speaker 1: so he looks really good for me. Showed a Monaga
- 5:07Speaker 1: ninety five hundred fly ball pitcher with a Wrigley win
- 5:09Speaker 1: game against the Brewers team who just does not strike out,
- 5:13Speaker 1: So that doesn't excite me very much. But he's gonna
- 5:16Speaker 1: be unowned up there. Sandwich for team though too. Break
- 5:19Speaker 1: down this top tier eight K and above Gore all
- 5:21Speaker 1: the way up to Yamamoto. Really hit on Yamamoto, Wu Weathers,
- 5:25Speaker 1: and Mackenzie Gore as four of the best pitching options
- 5:29Speaker 1: on tonight's late.
- 5:32Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you that it does look pretty
- 5:34Speaker 2: straightforward as to who's gonna get ownership and who looks
- 5:37Speaker 2: like the best plays on paper. That said, I'm also
- 5:40Speaker 2: in agreement with you that even those guys are bulletproof
- 5:44Speaker 2: at all. I mean, you look at Yamoto at Wu,
- 5:48Speaker 2: who I think pretty clearly the top two pitchers on
- 5:51Speaker 2: this slate as far as talent price matchup, like those
- 5:55Speaker 2: guys are gonna be the too highest one. In my opinion,
- 5:59Speaker 2: Yamamoto has gotten gotten a couple times recently. Wu has
- 6:04Speaker 2: not been the same pitcher that he was last year.
- 6:08Speaker 2: I like the matchup for Wu better than Yamamoto. Despite
- 6:13Speaker 2: the struggles of the Padres this season and how good
- 6:15Speaker 2: the White Sox have been, I still I'm still buying
- 6:19Speaker 2: the talent level and the Padres maybe more than I should.
- 6:22Speaker 2: They just swept Seattle over the weekend. Now maybe a
- 6:24Speaker 2: lot of that was their pitching, so similar matchups, I
- 6:27Speaker 2: guess for both of them. I slightly prefer Wu because
- 6:31Speaker 2: he's cheaper, but I also get the idea and I
- 6:34Speaker 2: saw it like throwing run in our discord of you know,
- 6:37Speaker 2: stacking against the really chalky Wu on this slate, which
- 6:40Speaker 2: we'll get too later. But as far as me personally,
- 6:43Speaker 2: I'm likely to just play a lot of Wu, probably
- 6:47Speaker 2: play a lot of Yamamoto, even though I don't feel
- 6:49Speaker 2: as good about it, because still a believer in his
- 6:53Speaker 2: talent level and when he's got his best stuff, Like
- 6:57Speaker 2: if he has his best stuff, I just say tonight
- 7:00Speaker 2: he should have a very good Like he doesn't have
- 7:04Speaker 2: the highest upside. He doesn't have the highest upside of pictures,
- 7:07Speaker 2: but you know, his floor is usually really really solid,
- 7:10Speaker 2: so he's got his good stuff tonight, expect a good performance.
- 7:15Speaker 2: Gore is kind of an odd man out for me,
- 7:17Speaker 2: not exactly sure what to make of him. What's your
- 7:19Speaker 2: take there?
- 7:21Speaker 1: Yeah, lets you get a drink of water there and
- 7:24Speaker 1: clear your throat there. But yeah, I agree. I do
- 7:29Speaker 1: have Young Modo just ahead of Brian Wu, just because
- 7:32Speaker 1: I think salary is fairly loose here tonight. There is
- 7:35Speaker 1: a cheaper picture that I like a ton. I played
- 7:38Speaker 1: him in much worse spots down below that I think
- 7:43Speaker 1: you can make work. And there's obviously cheap bats across
- 7:46Speaker 1: the slate when we're talking eighteen teams, So for me,
- 7:48Speaker 1: the seven hundred dollars doesn't make a ton. And I
- 7:51Speaker 1: do think between those two are far and away SP
- 7:54Speaker 1: one and two in the slate. Brian Wu and Yamamoto
- 7:56Speaker 1: both gonna be owned as such as as well. Excuse me,
- 8:00Speaker 1: so I do have Young Moto over Wu. I do
- 8:04Speaker 1: like Ryan Weather's a ton on the slate twenty three
- 8:06Speaker 1: hunt or right around twenty five percent ownership projected. He's
- 8:11Speaker 1: just been good, He's been great. I mean when you
- 8:14Speaker 1: take a look and peel back the onion of today's
- 8:16Speaker 1: slate In terms of Sierra, right, I like to look
- 8:18Speaker 1: at sierra for pitching. That's kind of the best metric
- 8:21Speaker 1: metric that I like to kind of just glance right.
- 8:23Speaker 1: It takes into account obviously everything and all the lucky
- 8:27Speaker 1: and babe it and stuff like that. Weather's by far
- 8:31Speaker 1: and away has the best Sierra on the slate. He's
- 8:34Speaker 1: got a really good k rate. He's got a decent
- 8:36Speaker 1: matchup here Blue Jays. Yeah, they don't strike out a ton,
- 8:39Speaker 1: but I just it hasn't been the same Blue Jays
- 8:43Speaker 1: team of last year right where they were worlds. Here
- 8:45Speaker 1: he's runner out there, obviously falling to the Dodger. So
- 8:49Speaker 1: I'm in on Weathers. I like him a ton. I
- 8:51Speaker 1: put him ahead of Wu. Actually, when you account for ownership,
- 8:55Speaker 1: those three guys are gonna be over the field on
- 8:57Speaker 1: probably all three of them. Mackenzie Gore is the trusting
- 9:00Speaker 1: one to me. I do like him just because the
- 9:04Speaker 1: strikeout upside that he can have. His k prop is
- 9:08Speaker 1: sitting at five and a half, which is right in
- 9:11Speaker 1: line with the rest of these guys on the slate.
- 9:13Speaker 1: We know his leash is gonna be there because especially
- 9:17Speaker 1: right Texas, this is their horse, right, this is this
- 9:20Speaker 1: is one of their main guys. Right. Obviously they got
- 9:22Speaker 1: to ground, but Gore is one of their one of
- 9:24Speaker 1: their main guys. Their bullpen's not great. It isn't coors Field,
- 9:27Speaker 1: but again, it's not like it's eighty degrees in coors Field.
- 9:30Speaker 1: The wind is blown in. It's in the mid thirties,
- 9:33Speaker 1: I mean upper thirties in this game. It's gonna be
- 9:36Speaker 1: like thirty seven degrees the whole duration of this game
- 9:38Speaker 1: with ten mini hour winds blown in. So from that standpoint,
- 9:42Speaker 1: I just like I think Mackenzie Gore is really interesting.
- 9:45Speaker 1: The ownership does scare me a little bit, but again,
- 9:47Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a condensed pitching pool and really yum Momoto, Wu, Weather's, Gore,
- 9:51Speaker 1: and JG Ginn are going to kind of headline those
- 9:54Speaker 1: Those five are kind of my main interest there. So
- 9:56Speaker 1: I do put Gore behind Yamamoto, Wu and Weathers a
- 10:01Speaker 1: couple other guys up here. I will mention like I said,
- 10:03Speaker 1: I think in large field tournament stuff, not a single entry,
- 10:07Speaker 1: not a three max stuff. I think he can take
- 10:09Speaker 1: shots on Michael King Dodgers for what it's worth right
- 10:13Speaker 1: for their caliber have been quote unquote scuffling. They obviously
- 10:17Speaker 1: just busted out for fifteen runs yesterday. But Michael King,
- 10:21Speaker 1: when he's on, I mean, he has elite strike on
- 10:26Speaker 1: stuff to strike on anyone right, regardless of the of
- 10:28Speaker 1: the matchup. Now, obviously that can go both ways because
- 10:32Speaker 1: he can get wild and walk himself right out of
- 10:34Speaker 1: the inning, and San Diego can turn it right over
- 10:36Speaker 1: to their their bullpen, which is obviously nails. But I
- 10:40Speaker 1: mean Michael King five and a half k prop slight
- 10:42Speaker 1: juice to the under there plus one seventeen. I think
- 10:46Speaker 1: if you're looking for a tournament, large field, tournament pivot
- 10:49Speaker 1: up in this top tier, it's probably Michael King for me,
- 10:52Speaker 1: and then Imanaga just because I don't think I don't
- 10:55Speaker 1: think either. No, I don't think nobody anybody really plays
- 10:58Speaker 1: either of those guys. And I got I got both
- 11:01Speaker 1: of those guys I think can match the potential ceiling
- 11:05Speaker 1: of a guy like Yamamoto, Brian wu Weathers, even Mackenzie
- 11:08Speaker 1: Gore on the slate, right, which are the four pitchers
- 11:10Speaker 1: that everybody wants to play? So Michael King and Imanaga
- 11:13Speaker 1: I think would be the two guys that I'm gonna
- 11:16Speaker 1: keep it in the pool. I'm definitely gonna be overweight
- 11:18Speaker 1: on in tournaments because it's not gonna take much. I mean,
- 11:20Speaker 1: those guys are gonna be sub ten percent on because
- 11:23Speaker 1: all the ownership of the guys around them. It's just
- 11:25Speaker 1: a perfect I mean, I would play just about anyone
- 11:28Speaker 1: in this situation, especially on a slate like this where
- 11:31Speaker 1: offenseid that is going to be spread out. I know
- 11:33Speaker 1: pitching is very condensed, but what if what if these
- 11:37Speaker 1: two guys are two guys you need, and then you
- 11:39Speaker 1: can play some of the more popular stacks in the
- 11:42Speaker 1: slate like the Cubs if you want to and not
- 11:45Speaker 1: worry about a damn thing. Right, So, I do think
- 11:47Speaker 1: those two guys are interesting. I was gonna say Seth
- 11:49Speaker 1: Lugo too, but the weather there really scares me. He
- 11:52Speaker 1: would he would if the weather was better for pitching,
- 11:55Speaker 1: and we'll have to honor that. He would be the
- 11:57Speaker 1: other guy to have interest in the tournaments. But really, realistically,
- 12:00Speaker 1: it's it's Young Moto Woo, Weather's Mackenzie Gorey which headline
- 12:03Speaker 1: in this top ak range. Any additional takes there, yeah.
- 12:07Speaker 2: I'll let you get a sip of water now, So
- 12:09Speaker 2: I like King. I think that the reason for King
- 12:12Speaker 2: is you're kind of playing off you Wu and yamamoto struggles.
- 12:16Speaker 2: As we talked about, those guys are not infallible to
- 12:19Speaker 2: getting hit, So all of a sudden you just get
- 12:23Speaker 2: a good performance from King. You don't need major upside.
- 12:28Speaker 2: Wu and Yamamoto aren't great. He's a little bit cheaper
- 12:31Speaker 2: than both, much much much lower owned, so you can
- 12:35Speaker 2: play whatever bats you want. I see that with King Gore,
- 12:39Speaker 2: I think is classic boom or bus like. That's kind
- 12:43Speaker 2: of what he's been this year, recently throughout his career.
- 12:47Speaker 2: His upside's really really high here, but man like he's
- 12:51Speaker 2: just struggled more often than not. He's his price tag
- 12:57Speaker 2: looks appealing, and I understand the ownership, and I again
- 13:01Speaker 2: don't think he's a bad play because Wu and Yamamoto
- 13:05Speaker 2: are not two guys that you feel like super super
- 13:09Speaker 2: safe with right now, but certainly you feel better within
- 13:12Speaker 2: that better with them than you do Gore or cheaper,
- 13:15Speaker 2: lower owned as high upside. Though I like your Weather's
- 13:18Speaker 2: call too, I don't really need to add much there.
- 13:20Speaker 2: He's just been really really good this year, and I
- 13:21Speaker 2: think people are scared off by that price tag.
- 13:23Speaker 1: Agreed, Yeah, people are shocked to see that price tag.
- 13:27Speaker 1: He is pitching in the Yankee Stadium, which just scare me.
- 13:30Speaker 1: There is some kind of wind blown out towards like left,
- 13:33Speaker 1: which is obviously better than blown out to right up
- 13:36Speaker 1: right with the with the park dimensions there, it's just
- 13:40Speaker 1: I think the reasoning for Gore is, I mean, you
- 13:42Speaker 1: just look at this Rockies lineup. It's much better than
- 13:45Speaker 1: last year. Obviously, when we played Rockies a fair share.
- 13:47Speaker 1: This year, we're going to continue doing so, especially when
- 13:50Speaker 1: they're at home, and they could definitely do it against
- 13:53Speaker 1: the bullpen. But I expect Gore to go pretty long here.
- 13:55Speaker 1: You look at the strikeout rates for the Rockies on
- 13:58Speaker 1: the current season against left handed pitching thirty two k rate,
- 14:02Speaker 1: and you're looking at Gore. I mean, yeah, the last
- 14:04Speaker 1: thirty days he hasn't had a stuff. But you peel
- 14:06Speaker 1: back the onion. You look at last year, you look
- 14:08Speaker 1: at the combined this year and last year, he's he's
- 14:12Speaker 1: about a twenty eight percent k rate arm right, so
- 14:16Speaker 1: good strikeout matchup, good pitch counts. Weather is more favorable
- 14:21Speaker 1: to pitching than hitting than what typically coresfield is. So yeah,
- 14:26Speaker 1: it's just hard for me to get away from a
- 14:28Speaker 1: guy like Mackenzie guard eight k who can post a
- 14:30Speaker 1: thirty piece on this slate because he can go out
- 14:32Speaker 1: there and strike out ten Rockies, right, he's probably gonna
- 14:35Speaker 1: give up a run or two or a couple runs.
- 14:37Speaker 1: But again, I don't think any of these guys really
- 14:40Speaker 1: goes out there and gets a clean, clean outing, right,
- 14:43Speaker 1: like a complete game shoutout, or like a seven seven
- 14:46Speaker 1: innings pitched, no earn runs eight k's or something like that, Right,
- 14:51Speaker 1: I think all of these guys really really get tagged
- 14:54Speaker 1: a little bit at least so that that helps Gore's
- 14:57Speaker 1: case is well there down belowing Really, JT. Ginn's the
- 15:01Speaker 1: only guy I have interest in down here. I'm just
- 15:04Speaker 1: a believer in his talent. I played him last time
- 15:06Speaker 1: in I think it was the last time we were
- 15:09Speaker 1: on the slate last Monday, right when the Cardinals were there,
- 15:12Speaker 1: I think, and it was much better hitting conditions in Sacramento.
- 15:15Speaker 1: Gin did serviceable. I think he scored like fifteen draftings
- 15:18Speaker 1: points or something like that, which was decent. If he
- 15:20Speaker 1: goes out there and gets you fifteen, I'd play one
- 15:21Speaker 1: hundred percent Jtgin tonight at seventy five hundred, So can
- 15:25Speaker 1: he gets you fifteen? I think so? I mean his
- 15:28Speaker 1: k prop's good, his outs props are good. We know
- 15:31Speaker 1: the angels have power and the winds blown out there.
- 15:33Speaker 1: But when you have power, well, you swing and miss
- 15:36Speaker 1: a lot and the strike ups are there. So JT.
- 15:39Speaker 1: Gin I think is really interesting. Big park up grade
- 15:42Speaker 1: and not a big park upgrade, but it's a park
- 15:44Speaker 1: upgrade at least for him pitching in Anaheim here than
- 15:47Speaker 1: it is pitching in West Sacramento. So Gin's the main
- 15:50Speaker 1: guy down here for me. Outside of that, I mean,
- 15:54Speaker 1: I don't really want to take any shots. I don't
- 15:56Speaker 1: think you can trust m I with his control shoes there.
- 16:00Speaker 1: He does have a ceiling at that price point, and
- 16:03Speaker 1: he does have the least right. He can go one
- 16:06Speaker 1: hundred plus pitches at sixty four hundred, but he can
- 16:08Speaker 1: also walk eight of these twins twins hitters, it feels like, right,
- 16:12Speaker 1: So he'd be kind of the guy that has upside
- 16:15Speaker 1: and that Noah Schultz would be the other one if
- 16:18Speaker 1: you're really looking to spread out. But I'm looking more
- 16:20Speaker 1: to kind of condensed pitching and spread out on an offense.
- 16:23Speaker 1: So a lot of these guys that are kind of
- 16:25Speaker 1: fringe guys aren't gonna have a big share in my
- 16:28Speaker 1: portfolio as a whole. But what do you see down
- 16:31Speaker 1: here below? Ak?
- 16:32Speaker 2: Yeah, see it pretty similarly. Again, I think it's the
- 16:36Speaker 2: top dog here. Like our Pitcher rankings at him number
- 16:40Speaker 2: one overall for a while today they still might so
- 16:44Speaker 2: to kind of tell you all you need to know
- 16:45Speaker 2: about how we feel about him, Angels at home against
- 16:49Speaker 2: righties have been awful. They strike out a ton, so
- 16:52Speaker 2: I get it. Rock solid play at seventy five hundred.
- 16:56Speaker 2: I don't know if he has the upside of the
- 16:57Speaker 2: top guys, but you're not paying for it, so yeah,
- 17:00Speaker 2: I can get on board there. Schultz also boom or bust. Yeah,
- 17:07Speaker 2: IM my man, he just walks too many guys for
- 17:09Speaker 2: me to really want to play. Your point about his length,
- 17:13Speaker 2: I get, but I don't know between him and Zach Allen,
- 17:18Speaker 2: who used to be a huge fan of like, I
- 17:21Speaker 2: just don't know if I want to get get down
- 17:23Speaker 2: to those guys when there's really good options up top.
- 17:27Speaker 2: So I think it's yeah, mostly Gin Schultz, I guess im.
- 17:33Speaker 2: I I don't think Walbert yourrena is like the worst
- 17:37Speaker 2: play in the world, you know, getting the Athletics out
- 17:41Speaker 2: of Sacramento. But I think I'd rather play again, even
- 17:44Speaker 2: if he's higher on. So yeah, I'm most I'm most
- 17:46Speaker 2: likely going to spend up on pitching with Gin the
- 17:49Speaker 2: one maybe outlier.
- 17:51Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you there too. And it's not like
- 17:53Speaker 1: we're going to see JT. Ginn at like thirty percent
- 17:55Speaker 1: ownership like we are of Yamamoto Wu, Mackenzie Gore, and
- 18:00Speaker 1: then probably Weathers. I mean those guys, all four of
- 18:02Speaker 1: those are gonna definitely be higher owned than Gin is
- 18:05Speaker 1: gonna be quote unquote that the popular cheap guy, if
- 18:08Speaker 1: it will. But I mean it's nothing crazy, and you
- 18:11Speaker 1: don't need that. I mean, seventy five hundred goes a
- 18:14Speaker 1: long way in terms of salary. Leaf get you on
- 18:17Speaker 1: a little bit of different roster construction than people going
- 18:19Speaker 1: Yum Motobrian Wu. And if they do need that salary there,
- 18:23Speaker 1: they're gonna go to Mackenzie Gore. Right, So just naturally
- 18:26Speaker 1: there you're on a different roster construction than what the
- 18:29Speaker 1: field is. So I think JT. Ginn is really good obviously.
- 18:31Speaker 1: Noah Schultz is kind of the other guy that I
- 18:34Speaker 1: have interested in down here, just because there is strikeouts
- 18:38Speaker 1: in that seatle lineup. It's in Seattle, which is Pitchers Ballpark. There,
- 18:42Speaker 1: Schultz is at least showing a ceiling his four and
- 18:45Speaker 1: a half k prop heavy juice to the over which
- 18:47Speaker 1: is the best down here. I mean, he's minus one
- 18:49Speaker 1: forty one over four and a half k's And if
- 18:52Speaker 1: he gets you five strikeouts, right and gin gets you
- 18:56Speaker 1: four strikeouts, well, right there, you just leap bound just
- 19:00Speaker 1: left every team in that range because you can basically
- 19:04Speaker 1: build the exact same team with JT. Ginn as you
- 19:06Speaker 1: can NOA. Schultz in tournaments right there, direct pivot Noah
- 19:09Speaker 1: Schultz interesting leash leash concerns pretty similar between both of them.
- 19:15Speaker 1: So that's kind of the main guys I'm looking at there.
- 19:18Speaker 1: My Pitcher pool would probably be headlined with obviously Yamamoto,
- 19:22Speaker 1: Brian wu Weathers, Mackenzie Gore, Gin, Noah Schultz, King Yamamoto.
- 19:27Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna be over the field on all three
- 19:29Speaker 1: of those guys, because again, like I said, it's not
- 19:31Speaker 1: gonna take much to get overweight. But any any closing
- 19:34Speaker 1: takes here from the pictures before we jump over tal kidding, no, we.
- 19:38Speaker 2: Look, we see it pretty similarly like if ideally you'll
- 19:41Speaker 2: just play Yamamoto and Wu and you can get different
- 19:43Speaker 2: with bats. But the Gore weathers king for me again,
- 19:48Speaker 2: there are some recentable pivots to get away from the
- 19:50Speaker 2: chalk who we mentioned looks good but not perfect as
- 19:54Speaker 2: a decent way to put it.
- 19:57Speaker 1: I agree there, Let's head over to Yankee Stadium. We've
- 20:00Speaker 1: got the Blue Jays and the Yankees. Should be a
- 20:02Speaker 1: fun series here. Gonna be eighty degrees in Yankee Stadium,
- 20:07Speaker 1: some slight win, kind of more blowing across the field,
- 20:10Speaker 1: so it's not really helping, not really hurting too much. Obviously,
- 20:13Speaker 1: Yankee Stadium does play above average with the crackerjack dimensions
- 20:16Speaker 1: in the corners, and obviously Yankees are no stranger to
- 20:20Speaker 1: building their lineup around knowing that right with all of
- 20:24Speaker 1: their acquisitions that they go out and get. Don't love
- 20:27Speaker 1: the Yankees here against Lefty Patrick Corbyn typically is someone
- 20:33Speaker 1: who everybody just wants to go ahead and blindly stack against.
- 20:36Speaker 1: And this guy's actually I mean he's not really a
- 20:39Speaker 1: gas can, right, I mean he's he gives up stolen bases. Yes,
- 20:44Speaker 1: he'll give up power to righty's, but the Yankees are
- 20:46Speaker 1: much better at built lineup against right handed pitching than
- 20:50Speaker 1: they are left handed pitching. And then when you add
- 20:52Speaker 1: in the Toronto Blue Jays bullpen, which is the best
- 20:54Speaker 1: in baseball at a three point one to three x fit,
- 20:59Speaker 1: could the Yankees a slate, Yeah, they can break any slate,
- 21:02Speaker 1: and they're in the category of stack every time they're
- 21:04Speaker 1: on the slate, But five and a half implied run
- 21:08Speaker 1: total does seem a little high. Judge Cavalleira. Actually, Cavallero
- 21:12Speaker 1: is still injured right so it's probably gonna be Vope still,
- 21:15Speaker 1: so Judge by far and away the best player. Ro Sorry,
- 21:17Speaker 1: you're you're probably looking at two at bats. Rice and
- 21:22Speaker 1: Bellinger have been really good. Gold Smith is a historical
- 21:25Speaker 1: lefty hitter, so for me, it's really Goldman and Judge
- 21:29Speaker 1: are kind of the two favorite bats. Rosary, I think
- 21:31Speaker 1: is a fine salary saver, but I expect two at
- 21:33Speaker 1: bats from him as a full stack. I don't really
- 21:37Speaker 1: have a ton of interest here in The Yankees obviously
- 21:39Speaker 1: could go south. Patrick Corbyn could just be mediocre like
- 21:44Speaker 1: he's always been, and the Yankees could jump on him
- 21:46Speaker 1: here at home, where Yankees typically are much better at home.
- 21:50Speaker 1: It's just it's it's tough for me. I like them
- 21:52Speaker 1: much better against right handed pitching than I do left handed.
- 21:55Speaker 1: But what do you see here?
- 21:57Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't disagree with you about liking them MORBs,
- 22:00Speaker 2: rightis and lefties. I don't know if I agree with
- 22:04Speaker 2: you on Corbyn not being a gas can. Like he's
- 22:07Speaker 2: not the worst pitcher in baseball, but I think he's
- 22:10Speaker 2: due for some aggression. You just look at some of
- 22:12Speaker 2: his numbers. He's striking out No. One. His era is
- 22:16Speaker 2: like close to four, which is solid, but it's over
- 22:18Speaker 2: six the expected. So I just feel like he is
- 22:23Speaker 2: due to come back down to earth. I don't love
- 22:25Speaker 2: stacking this Yankees lineup against lefties, as you talked about,
- 22:28Speaker 2: just the pinch hit risk. The guys in there, some
- 22:31Speaker 2: of them I just don't really want to roster, and
- 22:32Speaker 2: they're expensive and they're getting owned. So for me, it's
- 22:37Speaker 2: more of that stuff than like not liking the spot
- 22:40Speaker 2: they're in. There are just spots out like more or
- 22:44Speaker 2: as much or more that aren't getting the love that
- 22:47Speaker 2: are cheaper, So I'll just go to one of those stacks,
- 22:49Speaker 2: you know what I mean.
- 22:51Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's kind of a that's probably a better
- 22:53Speaker 1: way to put it, and I probably said it wrong there.
- 22:56Speaker 1: I mean Corbyn does have what a six point one
- 22:58Speaker 1: I expected era, but again he almost all of that,
- 23:03Speaker 1: especially his home runs and stuff, come from the right side. Yeah,
- 23:06Speaker 1: Judge is live to hit two or three home runs
- 23:08Speaker 1: here tonight, but he's gonna be owned as such too.
- 23:10Speaker 1: Judge is by far in the way the best play here.
- 23:13Speaker 1: Like I said, I mean two at bats for Rosario.
- 23:18Speaker 1: I mean, this lineup is just not not the best
- 23:21Speaker 1: against it. And Corburn is actually decent against left handed hitters. Yeah,
- 23:25Speaker 1: he doesn't have a ton of strikeout stuff, so balls
- 23:27Speaker 1: are going to be playing and anything can happen then,
- 23:29Speaker 1: But at these salaries, and they're gonna get a little
- 23:33Speaker 1: love with other spots on the slate with much better
- 23:36Speaker 1: hitting conditions as well. I just I like other stacks
- 23:39Speaker 1: a lot more. I would not be shocked though, to
- 23:41Speaker 1: see the Yankees be a team that you need at
- 23:43Speaker 1: the end. They always have that capability. Just when you
- 23:46Speaker 1: add in the pinch hit issues. How much better Corbyn
- 23:51Speaker 1: is against lefties compared to righty's In the lineup he's
- 23:54Speaker 1: gonna see and then that Toronto Blue Jay's bullpen. It
- 23:57Speaker 1: does put the Yankees down the list a little bit.
- 23:59Speaker 1: For I do want to call it Vlad. I think
- 24:02Speaker 1: Vlad's a great one off option on the slate. Whether
- 24:05Speaker 1: it's gonna get ownership, Vlad can hit any lefty. He's
- 24:09Speaker 1: been good, ben decent. Forty seven hundred feels pretty pretty
- 24:13Speaker 1: cheap for Vlad on the slate, So I think he's
- 24:16Speaker 1: a He's a really good one off, and in a
- 24:18Speaker 1: lineup like that, maybe you pivot to, like, uh, Michael King, right,
- 24:24Speaker 1: you can play Michael King and since you're not playing
- 24:26Speaker 1: Ryan Weathers in that same price here, play a Vlad
- 24:29Speaker 1: as one off in your stack. There you're you're just
- 24:32Speaker 1: kind of double. It's just a good roster construction thing
- 24:35Speaker 1: that I like to do. If I'm not playing the
- 24:37Speaker 1: pitcher in that range that ever a lot of people are,
- 24:40Speaker 1: and that has a realistic shot to the ceiling, well,
- 24:43Speaker 1: if he doesn't get there, maybe it's because Vlad right
- 24:47Speaker 1: does enough damage to kind of limit his his ceiling.
- 24:50Speaker 1: Next spot in slate, Royals and the Red Sox really
- 24:53Speaker 1: really good hitting conditions here in this one it is
- 24:55Speaker 1: also not a great outlook in terms of weather here
- 25:00Speaker 1: Roth has to take his orange. Does seem like the
- 25:03Speaker 1: game is going to start on time, but there's gonna
- 25:05Speaker 1: be storms moving in and no promises on what they
- 25:09Speaker 1: tend to do throughout that. Probably the fifth or sixth inning,
- 25:12Speaker 1: it looks like, is what kind of the storms are anticipated.
- 25:16Speaker 1: So could be a chance where you see like how
- 25:19Speaker 1: five six in in game and it just doesn't finish,
- 25:23Speaker 1: or something like that. Seth Lugo, okay, real life Arm.
- 25:28Speaker 1: Sunny Gray, Okay, real life Arm. I'd really like this
- 25:31Speaker 1: game more if the weather wasn't the situation. I do
- 25:35Speaker 1: think both stacks are still in play here just because
- 25:37Speaker 1: of the weather. I mean, there's like twenty mile hour
- 25:41Speaker 1: winds blown out here in Kaufman Stadium eighty degrees in
- 25:45Speaker 1: a hitters ballpark that's gonna play hitter friendly this year
- 25:48Speaker 1: with the new dimensions. I think it would be really
- 25:51Speaker 1: really interesting if the if I knew we're getting nine
- 25:54Speaker 1: inmings here. But what do you see in this one?
- 25:56Speaker 2: I see it exact same as you like. I very
- 26:00Speaker 2: rarely play weather games on slates like this where there's
- 26:04Speaker 2: other really good spots, but man, I really like both
- 26:07Speaker 2: both these teams here, like Lugo, I mean, he just
- 26:12Speaker 2: gets lit up by everyone. Right now, it seems so
- 26:16Speaker 2: hard night to like Boston this spot, who's super cheap.
- 26:20Speaker 2: I know they haven't been great this year, but again
- 26:22Speaker 2: they're kind of one of those teams where I'm still
- 26:24Speaker 2: buying their talent. And again I'll go back to them
- 26:26Speaker 2: being super cheap with expensive pitching. We like Jared Durant
- 26:29Speaker 2: four K. I mean, they got guys hovering around four
- 26:33Speaker 2: K that are usually a lot more expensive and other
- 26:35Speaker 2: guys that are like low two K range. So I
- 26:39Speaker 2: like Boston here. I like Casey also because Sonny Gray
- 26:43Speaker 2: isn't very good either right now in my opinion, they've
- 26:46Speaker 2: also been pretty disappointing. But now you get them back home.
- 26:49Speaker 2: You talked about the dimensions being you know, made for
- 26:54Speaker 2: offensive improvements this summer in Kansas City. Just have to
- 26:58Speaker 2: wait and see what the weather tells us in this game,
- 27:01Speaker 2: because I really want to play it, but I'm not
- 27:04Speaker 2: sure that I'm willing to take the risk on a
- 27:06Speaker 2: slate with other really good spots if it really does
- 27:09Speaker 2: look like this game is going to be shortened or
- 27:11Speaker 2: it might not play. We'll just have to wait and see.
- 27:14Speaker 1: Yeah, if you're going to play it, to go in
- 27:15Speaker 1: on it, I would avoid this game whatever optimizer you use.
- 27:20Speaker 1: Obviously we use Saber sim over here. I would create
- 27:23Speaker 1: a rule to if I'm playing this, to have at
- 27:25Speaker 1: least three other hitters, right, So I want at least
- 27:28Speaker 1: three teammates if I'm playing one hitter from this game.
- 27:32Speaker 1: So it's it's either a four or a five man stack,
- 27:35Speaker 1: and you're just going in on it, because the last
- 27:38Speaker 1: thing I want is a lineup that's in contention to
- 27:42Speaker 1: be up there. And my guy misses two at bats
- 27:45Speaker 1: because the game ends after the five innings or five
- 27:49Speaker 1: and a third or whatever they call it at right,
- 27:51Speaker 1: So if that's the case, go in on it. Play it.
- 27:54Speaker 1: I think it's really really good. If the weather was better,
- 27:57Speaker 1: I would love both of these teams in terms of staff.
- 28:00Speaker 1: They do fall down the list a little bit with me,
- 28:02Speaker 1: just when you add in the risk and stuff like that,
- 28:04Speaker 1: but I will not be shying away from this in
- 28:07Speaker 1: my MV portfolio. I will say that probably too risky
- 28:10Speaker 1: for me in the main team single entry, three max stuff,
- 28:13Speaker 1: But m me, I think it's it's really really interesting
- 28:15Speaker 1: because you are also going to get an ownership discount
- 28:18Speaker 1: compared to what you normally would here because of the
- 28:20Speaker 1: weather concerns. When we do have the Wrigley win game,
- 28:23Speaker 1: we have cours Field in this state, we have other
- 28:25Speaker 1: good spots that people want to play, so they normally
- 28:28Speaker 1: people would see twenty mine hour wins eighty degrees and
- 28:31Speaker 1: hit a friendly ballpark and be like, oh yeah, let's
- 28:33Speaker 1: just hitch our wagon there and load it up. With
- 28:36Speaker 1: the weather concerns, it's going to suppress ownership. People are
- 28:40Speaker 1: gonna avoid it with nine other or eight other games
- 28:42Speaker 1: on the slate. So I do think in m me,
- 28:44Speaker 1: it's a really really good spot to going on.
- 28:46Speaker 2: They did move it up an hour two, so like
- 28:49Speaker 2: maybe that or a half hour, so that does help.
- 28:52Speaker 2: Like maybe that's not making it go a full nine,
- 28:55Speaker 2: but that extra thirty minutes could be pretty big.
- 28:58Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that extra thirty minutes could could depending
- 29:00Speaker 1: on how quick the innings go, right, could be two
- 29:03Speaker 1: additional innings. You could get to the eighth inning instead
- 29:05Speaker 1: of the six or something like that. Right, does help
- 29:07Speaker 1: a lot there. So with that, I'm gonna have to
- 29:11Speaker 1: kind of relook at stuff. But I do have interest
- 29:14Speaker 1: definitely in both sides of it. Prefer the Boston side,
- 29:16Speaker 1: like you said, just because Lugo has been bad against
- 29:19Speaker 1: both sides, but he's actually been pretty bad against righty's too.
- 29:23Speaker 1: Wilson Gatre has been murder and Baseball's Raphael is always
- 29:26Speaker 1: a guy I like. And then obviously you got lefty
- 29:28Speaker 1: power in there. A bray you Duran, Mickey Gasper schevdack
- 29:32Speaker 1: I Ham his favorite player there, Marcela Mayer, Yoshida, these
- 29:37Speaker 1: guys can all hit bombs, the winds blown out. Kansas
- 29:39Speaker 1: City's bullpen's not good. So yeah, as a stack, I
- 29:44Speaker 1: prefer Boston Royal side. You can definitely steal on Sunny
- 29:47Speaker 1: Gray as well, so mckel Garcia Bobby Witt do have
- 29:49Speaker 1: added upside there. Isaac Collins Isabella will run a little
- 29:53Speaker 1: bit too. So I do like, actually like this lineup
- 29:56Speaker 1: that the Royals throughout there, because you can really do
- 29:59Speaker 1: if you want two stack five through nine, nobody play,
- 30:02Speaker 1: and nobody's gonna play that you could do whatever you
- 30:03Speaker 1: also whatever else you want. And they're just as cheap too,
- 30:07Speaker 1: I mean, Jensen thirty five hundred, sal Perez at twenty
- 30:09Speaker 1: nine hundred, is just hilarious to me. That has to
- 30:14Speaker 1: be one of the better plays in the slate. I
- 30:16Speaker 1: know you do have to choose if you are going
- 30:18Speaker 1: to the Royals between the two. I chose wrong yesterday
- 30:21Speaker 1: and in my core had the Guardians right, five man
- 30:24Speaker 1: Guardians with Vinnie p and I went Carter Jensen and
- 30:27Speaker 1: still sell Prez. If I go Seal Prez, we have
- 30:30Speaker 1: a much better day. So it does suck picking between
- 30:33Speaker 1: the two. But I mean, either way, both sides of
- 30:35Speaker 1: this game are are super cheap. It's good hitting weather.
- 30:39Speaker 1: Bullpens are kind of mediocre on the on the Red
- 30:41Speaker 1: Sox side, not great on the Royal side. So I
- 30:44Speaker 1: can definitely see this game going crazy. The weather is
- 30:47Speaker 1: the big concern there in that one. Next ont On slates,
- 30:50Speaker 1: I mean, with Richardson coming off an absolutely just she
- 30:54Speaker 1: lacking performance. I mean maybe that was two starts ago
- 30:57Speaker 1: where he won a complete game, shout out there and
- 30:59Speaker 1: just owned everybody, Astro is gonna be one of the
- 31:02Speaker 1: more popular stacks on the slate here, which is interesting
- 31:08Speaker 1: to me. Astros' chalk against a right handed pitcher. I know,
- 31:11Speaker 1: Simon Woods. Richardson is not good and he's trash and
- 31:14Speaker 1: I'll stack any team, so naturally I'm gonna have some interest,
- 31:16Speaker 1: but I don't put the Astros. I mean I prefer
- 31:19Speaker 1: both offenses personally myself in that Red Sox rolls game
- 31:22Speaker 1: ahead of them. I like some other teams we're gonna
- 31:26Speaker 1: talk about ahead of the Astros. Jordan Alvarez, I think
- 31:29Speaker 1: is a really good play obviously on this slate, and
- 31:32Speaker 1: won't be shocked to see that the Astros get there,
- 31:37Speaker 1: just because the Twins bullpen and worst than baseball. Astro's
- 31:39Speaker 1: bullpen not much further behind, so I do expect to
- 31:42Speaker 1: see runs in this game. It's one of the higher
- 31:44Speaker 1: totals on the slate because of the bullpens on both
- 31:46Speaker 1: sides of being terrible, and both these starting pitchers are
- 31:49Speaker 1: not good. Am I could walk to guys, throw a
- 31:52Speaker 1: meatball over the heart to play Ryan Jeffers, Josh Bell
- 31:54Speaker 1: could hit a home run. You're sitting right there at
- 31:56Speaker 1: three runs in the first inning, right, so I can
- 31:59Speaker 1: definitely see have to success in tournaments, I prefer the
- 32:01Speaker 1: Twins side more in this one. I just love stacking
- 32:04Speaker 1: against a guy who could just give you free passes
- 32:07Speaker 1: and then has to hone it back in, come over
- 32:09Speaker 1: the heart of the plate, and these Twins hitters can
- 32:11Speaker 1: just gear up, wait for that fastball and just launch
- 32:14Speaker 1: it right. So I think the Twins are more interesting
- 32:17Speaker 1: personally myself and tournaments than the Astros. Both sides are
- 32:19Speaker 1: gonna get played. Astro is one of the more popular
- 32:22Speaker 1: stacks on the slate. And if I like the chalky
- 32:25Speaker 1: pitching like I do, I like to look elsewhere in
- 32:29Speaker 1: terms of offenses here, But what do you see in
- 32:31Speaker 1: this one target field?
- 32:34Speaker 2: So I am seeing that it looks like the Twins
- 32:36Speaker 2: are gonna be using Kendrick's Rojas. Is it either an
- 32:38Speaker 2: opener or a guy to give them a few innings here?
- 32:41Speaker 2: And I don't know if Simeons wood Richardson is the
- 32:45Speaker 2: move to the pen or if he's just they're using
- 32:46Speaker 2: an opener ahead of him. That would not be good
- 32:50Speaker 2: for the Astro stack, because even though there's plenty of
- 32:53Speaker 2: pitchers on the Twins, I like to pick on none
- 32:56Speaker 2: of them as much as Simeon Woods Richardson, who's just
- 32:58Speaker 2: been awful this season, so, especially at ownership, if the
- 33:02Speaker 2: Astros are still gonna get get love here, I don't know.
- 33:06Speaker 2: Probably out there I don't know how much ownership they
- 33:10Speaker 2: really get outside of like the guys you want, like Alvarez,
- 33:12Speaker 2: who's always a good play, so I wouldn't be afraid
- 33:15Speaker 2: to play them. They just don't stand out to me.
- 33:18Speaker 2: The Twins. I like that call. You're basically just saying, like,
- 33:23Speaker 2: insert stack against Emi here because he could walk however
- 33:27Speaker 2: many guys, and when you have that situation, you're always
- 33:29Speaker 2: live for three run Homer's Grand Slams, which is king
- 33:33Speaker 2: on DraftKings. So I don't love the Twins lineup. There
- 33:36Speaker 2: are better stacks, but I think their upside is real here.
- 33:41Speaker 1: Yeah, I do too, And then I mean when you
- 33:43Speaker 1: add in how bad the Houston bullpen is too. Got
- 33:46Speaker 1: to look at the lefties. But Saturday they used five
- 33:50Speaker 1: of their arms, and then yesterday use Bolton for fifty
- 33:52Speaker 1: one pitches. So Bolton's gonna be unavailable. The other guys
- 33:55Speaker 1: are all available and will likely come in there. I
- 33:59Speaker 1: do know. I'm pretty sure they have a couple lefties
- 34:03Speaker 1: in there. Yeah, so Okert's available. He's a lefty, so
- 34:10Speaker 1: he'll probably pitch for sure. So there is some concern
- 34:14Speaker 1: Pinchhick there right with some of these guys. But more
- 34:19Speaker 1: so guys like like Austin Martin. If he starts, he's
- 34:23Speaker 1: gonna be fine, right, and then you'd like him even
- 34:25Speaker 1: more because he does smash lefties. So I don't know.
- 34:30Speaker 1: I think it's pretty interesting just because nobody's gonna play
- 34:33Speaker 1: the Twins. And yeah, the hitting conditions aren't great here.
- 34:37Speaker 1: I do see all the reports I see are saying, right,
- 34:42Speaker 1: Kendre Rojas set to open the game because it is
- 34:46Speaker 1: swr's rotation spot day. Nothing solidified though that he is
- 34:50Speaker 1: coming behind him. So even if he doesn't come behind him,
- 34:55Speaker 1: I do think you have you can have some Astros
- 34:57Speaker 1: interest just because the bullpen is not good there. But
- 35:00Speaker 1: I hate a targeting bullpen game, especially when a team's
- 35:02Speaker 1: getting ownership. And I'm pretty sure this ownership is gonna
- 35:05Speaker 1: hold because look at these price points, I mean, twenty two,
- 35:10Speaker 1: eight thirty three, I mean give me Boston, give me
- 35:14Speaker 1: the Twins, or give me the Royals at equal salaries
- 35:18Speaker 1: in terms of the stack at a fraction of the
- 35:20Speaker 1: ownership of the Astros. So yeah, Astros, I think are fine.
- 35:25Speaker 1: I'm gonna be well under that if this ownership holds
- 35:29Speaker 1: true there, and even if they were unowned I still
- 35:32Speaker 1: don't love them here in the spot. I just don't
- 35:34Speaker 1: like the Astros much against right hand pitching, especially against
- 35:37Speaker 1: a bullpen game. So probably said way too many words there,
- 35:41Speaker 1: but we we do see it pretty pretty similar in
- 35:43Speaker 1: that one takes us to Wrigly. Wrigly win game. Here,
- 35:49Speaker 1: Cubs gonna get ownership. Probably the chuckiest stack on the slates,
- 35:54Speaker 1: right up there with the Rangers. It's definitely those two
- 35:56Speaker 1: far and ahead. It's probably it probably goes Cubs Rangers
- 35:59Speaker 1: Astros at least right now in terms of projection projection.
- 36:03Speaker 1: Brewer's side not get in the sane love because showda
- 36:06Speaker 1: Inmanaga right, Imanaga good name recognition, does have strike on ability,
- 36:13Speaker 1: but he's also a fly ball guy, and this Brewers
- 36:16Speaker 1: team just doesn't strike out against left handed pitching. They
- 36:18Speaker 1: don't have a ton of power as a full stack there.
- 36:21Speaker 1: I got to have my Brewers up the list just
- 36:23Speaker 1: because I don't think anybody really plays them in this game.
- 36:26Speaker 1: The exact team hitting conditions all nine and at bats.
- 36:29Speaker 1: Shoda is definitely a guy that could go out there
- 36:31Speaker 1: and mow this team down for sure, won't be shocked.
- 36:34Speaker 1: But also, I mean Cherio's looked really good. Controller's Gary Sanchez.
- 36:38Speaker 1: You do have to choose between those two. I lean
- 36:41Speaker 1: Gary Sanchez over Contrere's personally myself. Andrew Vaughan being back
- 36:44Speaker 1: does help against the lefty a lot. Renheath has been
- 36:47Speaker 1: really really good lately. I think this is really interesting.
- 36:52Speaker 1: There is some Pinchick concerns with guys like Joey Otiz
- 36:55Speaker 1: Blake Perkins. If those two guys do make the start there,
- 36:59Speaker 1: Cubs thing full throtto. You want lefties against Sprot. Cubs
- 37:02Speaker 1: have a lot of really good lefties. Pca is starting
- 37:04Speaker 1: to hit the ball better than he has. I think
- 37:06Speaker 1: he had a home run yesterday or the day before.
- 37:08Speaker 1: I saw that come across. Cubs my top overall stack
- 37:11Speaker 1: on the slate. Brews do have a good bullpen and
- 37:13Speaker 1: Ashby will likely pitch in this one as well, which
- 37:17Speaker 1: does hurt some of those lefties in there. If the
- 37:19Speaker 1: Cubs do jump on Sprot early but break down Wrigley here, Yeah.
- 37:24Speaker 2: It's hard enough to like the Cubs in the spot
- 37:26Speaker 2: like Sprot is a guy who can get got, and
- 37:28Speaker 2: you presume if they get out to him really early
- 37:31Speaker 2: and showed a pitch as well, you're not going to
- 37:33Speaker 2: see the best arms from Milwaukee. Ashby included, if this
- 37:37Speaker 2: game is close, you will, but maybe they hold him off.
- 37:41Speaker 2: If the Cubs just jump out on sprot It's kind
- 37:43Speaker 2: of what you're planning for here. I am a little
- 37:46Speaker 2: bit concerned on ownership, just because we know how much
- 37:49Speaker 2: people want to play these Wriglar win games. For good reason.
- 37:54Speaker 2: Ownership like not included. The Cubs are the are the
- 37:58Speaker 2: top stack on the board. They look really good here.
- 38:02Speaker 2: The Brewers, man, this is a This is a tough one.
- 38:05Speaker 2: Like I think both Shoda and the Brewers have really
- 38:08Speaker 2: high upside, and neither will get love because they look
- 38:12Speaker 2: at the other side. You don't really want to pick
- 38:14Speaker 2: on the Brewers in a win game with an expensive Shoda,
- 38:19Speaker 2: but you don't really want to play the Brewers, who
- 38:21Speaker 2: are also kind of expensive in spots against Shoda. I
- 38:25Speaker 2: really get the case for playing either side. Showda's been
- 38:27Speaker 2: really really good this year, but it's a different spot
- 38:30Speaker 2: for him against a different team. So I also get
- 38:33Speaker 2: stacking the Brewers in the win game. They'll be like
- 38:37Speaker 2: a fifth as owned as the Cubs something like that.
- 38:40Speaker 2: So yeah, I get both sides of that. And then
- 38:43Speaker 2: certainly the Cubs look like one of, if not the
- 38:45Speaker 2: top overall stack on the board. Ownership will be there.
- 38:48Speaker 2: But I don't think it gets too crazy because we've
- 38:51Speaker 2: got a bunch of other really good stacks tonight.
- 38:54Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you there too. The other case too,
- 38:56Speaker 1: for Shoda is the Brewers just don't hit the ball
- 38:58Speaker 1: in the air a ton you're looking at Renhitho and
- 39:03Speaker 1: Cherio or not even Renheitho and Contreras based on this
- 39:07Speaker 1: current season. If you if you take a look at
- 39:09Speaker 1: last season, Andrew val Gary Sanchez come up there. So
- 39:14Speaker 1: I see it the same way as you. I mean,
- 39:16Speaker 1: neither side's getting get love. I think both sides. They
- 39:18Speaker 1: would not be shocked to see show to go out there,
- 39:20Speaker 1: strike out eight of these guys and post a seven
- 39:23Speaker 1: innings pitch or six innings pitch, get us like twenty
- 39:26Speaker 1: some DraftKings points, twenty five DraftKings points potential for the
- 39:29Speaker 1: win as well, and I won't be shocked to see
- 39:32Speaker 1: the Brewers jump on him and then this game go
- 39:34Speaker 1: go crazy once you get to the bullpen. So yeah,
- 39:37Speaker 1: definitely have more interest in the field than the Brewers.
- 39:39Speaker 1: That's always another day ending and wise, everyone would say
- 39:43Speaker 1: out there, but it's for a good reason. Here, it's
- 39:45Speaker 1: the exact same conditions we play tournaments. Everybody's on one side,
- 39:50Speaker 1: nobody's on the other side. Just makes sense to do that,
- 39:53Speaker 1: right if they're they love the one side for a reason, Right,
- 39:56Speaker 1: because main reason regularly win game. Everybody runs to it
- 40:00Speaker 1: while the other team on the other side is pitching
- 40:03Speaker 1: or hitting in the exact same conditions. Yeah, it's a
- 40:06Speaker 1: better pitcher, but these guys are all major league hitters
- 40:08Speaker 1: at the end of the day, so it And again,
- 40:13Speaker 1: you don't even have to full stack, right, Wrigley win
- 40:15Speaker 1: games too. I mean people either stay all in or
- 40:19Speaker 1: all out. I think you can get in here and
- 40:20Speaker 1: just home run hunt, right because you are going to
- 40:23Speaker 1: see a ton of five man cub stacks. Well what
- 40:25Speaker 1: if you just do a two man stack and you
- 40:27Speaker 1: pick your home runs like a Suzuki Ian hap Right, Yeah,
- 40:30Speaker 1: both of those guys are gonna be owned, but majority
- 40:32Speaker 1: of that ownerships with three other cubs alongside of them. Right, Well,
- 40:36Speaker 1: what if you're five stack or your four stack outscores
- 40:39Speaker 1: those other cubs guys? Right like the Carson Kelly's, the
- 40:42Speaker 1: the Dansby Swanson's the Bregman's the Horners, Right, those guys
- 40:47Speaker 1: get outscored. Well, naturally, you're better than all of those
- 40:51Speaker 1: cub stacks, right, So I do like it. From that standpoint.
- 40:55Speaker 1: Takes us to course field here. This is gonna be
- 41:00Speaker 1: definitely a decent chunk of ownership here in the Rangers,
- 41:02Speaker 1: but not so much as we normally would here. If
- 41:05Speaker 1: number one, the weather was better, at number two, we
- 41:07Speaker 1: didn't have to rig the game commanding a bunch of
- 41:10Speaker 1: the ownership there. His Jose Quintana is just not good.
- 41:13Speaker 1: He's a gas can. I don't love this. Rangers lineup
- 41:16Speaker 1: against left handed pitching. Feel very similar about the Astros
- 41:20Speaker 1: against right hand pitching as I do the Rangers against
- 41:22Speaker 1: left handed pitching. Josh Young, Jake Berger, McCutcheon, Higecioka, those
- 41:27Speaker 1: guys all hit left. He's pretty good. Zeke Duran if
- 41:30Speaker 1: he's hitting down there, I don't mind him. He's been
- 41:34Speaker 1: probably one of the Rangers better hit better hitters as
- 41:37Speaker 1: of late. I think the Rangers are fine, Rockies are fine,
- 41:39Speaker 1: but this is just a game I don't love here.
- 41:42Speaker 1: I mean, it's upper thirties, right, you're talking like eighty
- 41:46Speaker 1: five degrees in majority of the spots here, and this
- 41:48Speaker 1: game is gonna be fifty degrees colder, right, I know
- 41:51Speaker 1: it's Course Field. I know. Course Field is not usually
- 41:54Speaker 1: a home run park. It's more just run scored because
- 41:57Speaker 1: of the outfields are huge in the elevation, right, the
- 42:00Speaker 1: ball just travels with the gap. These guys running around
- 42:02Speaker 1: the bases could definitely happen here. But I don't really
- 42:06Speaker 1: love this game on either side, to be honest. Here
- 42:10Speaker 1: overall from an offensive side, what do you see them?
- 42:13Speaker 2: Yeah? Man, it's tough when you got a game even
- 42:16Speaker 2: in Courtsfield, you know, fifty degrees colder than a bunch
- 42:19Speaker 2: of other spots, especially with a line up like the Rangers.
- 42:25Speaker 2: You know, Corey seekers out at least again today. I
- 42:28Speaker 2: know we went back to test to Texas for like
- 42:30Speaker 2: some imaging. So this lineup just isn't very good now.
- 42:35Speaker 2: The flip side of that is they're really cheap in
- 42:38Speaker 2: cores against a pitcher who isn't good, and they're not
- 42:41Speaker 2: even gonna be the highest owned stack on the slate,
- 42:44Speaker 2: So I have some interest there. The last time we
- 42:48Speaker 2: had like weather like this, I feel like where it
- 42:51Speaker 2: was iffy in Colorado, was that Mets series, and they
- 42:54Speaker 2: the Mets ended up going off at least one of
- 42:56Speaker 2: those nights, and they weren't very highly owned. Even with
- 43:01Speaker 2: the Mets struggles. However, they're still a much higher upside
- 43:05Speaker 2: offense than the Rangers are. Right now, it's just a
- 43:07Speaker 2: matter of like what side of the coin are you on?
- 43:10Speaker 2: Like it's almost like the movable objects meets the stoppable
- 43:14Speaker 2: force with Kintana and Cores against the Rangers. Hard to
- 43:19Speaker 2: know exactly what to do with them, especially in cold
- 43:22Speaker 2: weather like this. The Rockies I think offer leverage against Gore,
- 43:26Speaker 2: who will be owned, but their pricier than the Rangers,
- 43:31Speaker 2: and Gore is a pitcher, I respect. I think they're
- 43:34Speaker 2: just too expensive for the spot part of the appeal
- 43:37Speaker 2: with the Rangers how cheap they are. So I liked Texas.
- 43:41Speaker 2: I think I like them more than you, but I
- 43:43Speaker 2: don't love them here either.
- 43:45Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I do think this is a rinse
- 43:48Speaker 1: and repeat, right. I do recall we had I don't
- 43:51Speaker 1: know if it was a Wrigley win game or we
- 43:52Speaker 1: had really good weather, hitting weather maybe Sacramento or something
- 43:55Speaker 1: in that Mets series, right when it was like thirty
- 43:58Speaker 1: five degrees or four degrees right there was like snow
- 44:01Speaker 1: or something to pregame when the Mets were in there,
- 44:03Speaker 1: and the Mets busted off for like twelve runs or
- 44:05Speaker 1: fifteen runs, whatever it was. He needed them to win tournaments.
- 44:09Speaker 1: I could definitely see the case there for the Rangers.
- 44:11Speaker 1: I just hate this lineup against lefties. I just do.
- 44:14Speaker 1: There's lefties in that chicken that Rockies bullpen. Rockies Bullpen's
- 44:17Speaker 1: kind of middle of the road in terms of x
- 44:19Speaker 1: FIP rankings there, So yeah, won't be shocked definitely if
- 44:22Speaker 1: I'm picking in side it it's the ranger side for
- 44:24Speaker 1: me for sure. Josh Young Jake Berger by far and
- 44:27Speaker 1: away my two best or two favorite hitters in on
- 44:30Speaker 1: the ranger side. And then Hunter Goodman I will call
- 44:32Speaker 1: out Hunter Goodman and Jordan Beck I think are interesting.
- 44:36Speaker 1: They do hit lefties really well. But again, I'm not
- 44:39Speaker 1: really signing up to pick on mackenzie. Go are one
- 44:42Speaker 1: of the better pitching options on the slate, especially with
- 44:45Speaker 1: this type of weather in in course field, Travis does
- 44:50Speaker 1: say how good is the Jay's bullpen. Blue Jays bullpen
- 44:53Speaker 1: in terms of x FIP is the best in baseball.
- 44:56Speaker 1: They're always really really solid. But it's them. Atlanta San
- 45:01Speaker 1: Diego are the three best bullpens in terms of x
- 45:03Speaker 1: FIP three point four, and then you're in terms of Atlanta,
- 45:07Speaker 1: and then you look at Toronto three point one to three,
- 45:09Speaker 1: so three tenths better than Atlanta, who's been really good,
- 45:14Speaker 1: and they're even better than San Diego. And obviously we
- 45:17Speaker 1: know how good San Diego's bullpen is in terms of
- 45:20Speaker 1: x FIP, so Toronto's bullpen really really good. Next game
- 45:24Speaker 1: of the slate, we've got Walbert Arena here. I think
- 45:28Speaker 1: he's playable below a K like you mentioned there, I
- 45:33Speaker 1: do think you can stack against them, just because you
- 45:35Speaker 1: do have that Angels bullpen behind him as well, and
- 45:38Speaker 1: Urina could give it up. I'm more on you, Arena,
- 45:41Speaker 1: I think here than I am on the A's. But
- 45:44Speaker 1: Nick Kurtz is getting it going. Shay laying Lears has
- 45:47Speaker 1: been really good, Ciderstrom's good, Ricker hit a bomb yesterday.
- 45:51Speaker 1: If Cartes is in there, I think he's interesting. Or
- 45:55Speaker 1: Bothy I think he's interesting as well. JT. Again, if
- 46:01Speaker 1: I had I think, if I had to pick a
- 46:02Speaker 1: side here for a stack perspective, I think I might
- 46:05Speaker 1: mess around with some of these Angels just because Gin's
- 46:10Speaker 1: gonna get played. We know his struggles at times, right
- 46:14Speaker 1: and we know the power that this Angels team has.
- 46:17Speaker 1: The wind is blowing out here, temperatures in the seventies.
- 46:20Speaker 1: It is a good place to hit here tonight in Anaheim.
- 46:25Speaker 1: How do you see this one? What do you what
- 46:26Speaker 1: do you see in this one?
- 46:28Speaker 2: I really want to like the Angels against the Gin,
- 46:31Speaker 2: who I think only gets steamed because there are expensive
- 46:34Speaker 2: ats and he just looks like the obvious guy to
- 46:36Speaker 2: play cheaper. And the Angels have been so bad against
- 46:40Speaker 2: right handed pitching, and I get it. I think Gen
- 46:42Speaker 2: is a solid play himself, but man like still a
- 46:46Speaker 2: good place to hit. Still an Angel's line up out
- 46:49Speaker 2: of respect, I wish they had more lefties I liked?
- 46:51Speaker 2: Is the problem? Like, that's why I think Gen is
- 46:53Speaker 2: a good play, because all the Angels hitters that you
- 46:55Speaker 2: want to play are rightys, and you really only want
- 46:57Speaker 2: lefties against Gin. So as much as I want to
- 47:01Speaker 2: play the Angels and feel like they could just they're
- 47:05Speaker 2: gonna explode, I just have a feeling one of these games,
- 47:07Speaker 2: like everything on paper says Gain is a good play.
- 47:10Speaker 2: So because of that, I'm either more likely to play
- 47:13Speaker 2: gain or just not play it at all and stack
- 47:16Speaker 2: the Angels if you want to play some of their
- 47:18Speaker 2: good bats, even the righty's, I'm cool with it, or
- 47:21Speaker 2: even stack them. Like if you're playing a ton of lineups, yeah,
- 47:24Speaker 2: or playing twenty or more, i'd be getting some Angels.
- 47:27Speaker 2: I'm not playing that many tonight, so I probably won't.
- 47:30Speaker 2: I think the A's I think they end up getting
- 47:33Speaker 2: some love here. It looks like they're projected decent for
- 47:36Speaker 2: as far as ownership is concerned across the industry, I
- 47:40Speaker 2: don't know what to make a Walbert Urania yet, but
- 47:44Speaker 2: I do feel like in the ownership i'd rather play
- 47:48Speaker 2: teams like the Angels. You know, we'll get to like
- 47:50Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks. I'm out on the A's away from Sacramento.
- 47:54Speaker 2: If they're going to get some love now, it's again
- 47:56Speaker 2: not ownership i'd be concerned about. But I just like
- 47:59Speaker 2: other teams we've talked about more, the Cubs, the Rangers,
- 48:04Speaker 2: the Red Sox and Royals, who I'm really high on.
- 48:06Speaker 2: So I just don't know if tonight's the night for
- 48:09Speaker 2: me to get to the athletics. Nick Kurt is always
- 48:11Speaker 2: a phenomenal play and he is seeing the ball well
- 48:13Speaker 2: right now.
- 48:15Speaker 1: Yeah, I will say, I mean Urino has been pretty
- 48:18Speaker 1: solid so far, but you look at his minor league numbers,
- 48:21Speaker 1: they're not good. They're they're trash. You look at even
- 48:23Speaker 1: his his SIERRA on this late four point seventy three
- 48:27Speaker 1: not great. I know his era is sitting what at
- 48:31Speaker 1: three three something, three point two something like that. There
- 48:36Speaker 1: is definitely a case to be made for the A's.
- 48:38Speaker 1: I would prefer full stack in it then kind of
- 48:41Speaker 1: picking off mini stacks or one offs here, just because
- 48:45Speaker 1: Urina does have a ground ball lean as well, and
- 48:49Speaker 1: maybe these maybe his his era does does hold true.
- 48:53Speaker 1: And I know his expected era is good. It's right
- 48:56Speaker 1: there on the stone right two point nine to seven.
- 48:59Speaker 1: I can definitely see the case though for for the A's,
- 49:02Speaker 1: and they're gonna be I mean, I'm seeing right now
- 49:06Speaker 1: projected ownership at twenty percent, just because the guys you
- 49:10Speaker 1: want to play at least in including in your stacks
- 49:12Speaker 1: are fifty six, fifty nine, forty four, forty nine four
- 49:15Speaker 1: K for Cortes. It is an expensive stack. But in
- 49:20Speaker 1: a situation like that, I do think maybe just play
- 49:25Speaker 1: the A's pair them up with JT. Gin And and yeah,
- 49:28Speaker 1: find it that way, right, I think that's how you
- 49:30Speaker 1: just go and then you you have the added right
- 49:34Speaker 1: hopefully hopefully the A's do their thing and again gets
- 49:38Speaker 1: the extra four points for the win. There. It's just
- 49:41Speaker 1: it's in tournaments. I think the Angels are interesting, but
- 49:44Speaker 1: I do definitely now looking into it further prefer the
- 49:47Speaker 1: A side of it. In terms of the stack, I mean,
- 49:49Speaker 1: I just wish there was better lefty hitters for for
- 49:52Speaker 1: for the Angels, There's just not. I mean, Adam Frazer
- 49:55Speaker 1: might make an appearance here tonight, Mankata, Josh Lowe, Shanuwell.
- 49:59Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not really scared of these guys. And
- 50:02Speaker 1: you look again, between this year and last year, two
- 50:04Speaker 1: hundred and seventy seven played appearances, he's a thirty percent
- 50:07Speaker 1: strikeout rate pitcher to right handed hitters. You look at
- 50:10Speaker 1: the Angels on the season against righty's twenty eight percent
- 50:12Speaker 1: k right as a team, right, So, I do think
- 50:15Speaker 1: this is an elite strikeout matchup for j T. Ginn.
- 50:18Speaker 1: And even if he gets tagged for a solo home
- 50:20Speaker 1: run or a two run shot from a guy like
- 50:22Speaker 1: Netto or Trout or God forbid one of those lefties right,
- 50:25Speaker 1: he has the strikeout upside to match it. So I
- 50:28Speaker 1: think that's how you play it, and I think the
- 50:30Speaker 1: tournaments it's interesting to pair up the A's and JT.
- 50:33Speaker 1: Ginnon play it that way. Next spot, Mariners, White Sox
- 50:38Speaker 1: out in Seattle. Brian Wu on the mound, NOELH. Schultz.
- 50:41Speaker 1: You want lefties against Brian Wu. White Sox have some
- 50:43Speaker 1: really good ones. White Sox been one of the more
- 50:45Speaker 1: surprising teams. This team is gonna be. I mean, these
- 50:48Speaker 1: guys might not even have a one next to their
- 50:50Speaker 1: ownership number. They might see zero points, something Antonasi I
- 50:55Speaker 1: think is interesting. Vargas has been incredible, which has been
- 50:59Speaker 1: nuts this year? I do. I mean Murakami and Colson
- 51:02Speaker 1: Montgomery our play every day for me, no matter what,
- 51:05Speaker 1: I'm gonna be over the field on especially the lefties
- 51:08Speaker 1: for the White Sox. I just Seattle. You can still
- 51:12Speaker 1: hit home runs there? You can still I mean cal Raley,
- 51:14Speaker 1: what do he hit fifty some home runs almost sixty
- 51:16Speaker 1: home runs last year and he played half his games
- 51:19Speaker 1: in this ballpark. You can definitely still hit here. It's
- 51:22Speaker 1: not ideal, right, but at no ownership in tournaments. I mean,
- 51:28Speaker 1: I think a one off or a two man stack. Murkammi, Montgomery, Antonasi,
- 51:35Speaker 1: even Ben attend he's been decent. Kellennick's been what Kellennick
- 51:38Speaker 1: has what two home runs since he's come up. He's
- 51:40Speaker 1: twenty two hundred dirt cheap a lefty against Brian wu
- 51:43Speaker 1: where he struggles Drew romeods showing power. I mean, the
- 51:46Speaker 1: White Sox are a dangerous lineup against right handed pitching
- 51:49Speaker 1: Brian Who's gonna be the most popular pitcher on the slate.
- 51:52Speaker 1: He sits eleventh in our pitcher rankings. Everything points to
- 51:56Speaker 1: me playing a shitty White Sox team in a shitty
- 51:58Speaker 1: ballpark tonight. I don't know. I think it's pretty interesting. Mariners.
- 52:04Speaker 1: I don't have as much interest against Noah Schultz. I
- 52:07Speaker 1: just don't like the Mariners much Against lefties. J Rod
- 52:11Speaker 1: a Rose, Raina are good, but the rest of it's
- 52:13Speaker 1: filled with guys like Ruschneider is gonna get pinch it
- 52:15Speaker 1: for Connor Joe if he makes it, pinch it for
- 52:18Speaker 1: Mitch Garver, if he's in there and Carol Raley's not
- 52:22Speaker 1: in there, he's gonna get pinch it for There's just
- 52:25Speaker 1: a lot of pinch it concerns with the Seattle in
- 52:27Speaker 1: this ballpark, don't love it. If I'm picking a side,
- 52:30Speaker 1: it's it's the White Sox side with that glorious Elward
- 52:35Speaker 1: In terms of leverage against Brian Wu, and these guys
- 52:38Speaker 1: are good hitters. Mur Comedy is a beast, Montgomery's a stud.
- 52:41Speaker 1: Antonasi has been really good. He can swipe. So I
- 52:44Speaker 1: do think the case there for the White Sox is
- 52:45Speaker 1: fairly intriguing here.
- 52:48Speaker 2: Yeah, I get the case from the White Sox. It's
- 52:49Speaker 2: really all about the leverage for me there on paper.
- 52:52Speaker 2: I just think we's a really good pitcher, especially at
- 52:55Speaker 2: home against the An offense that is good but still young,
- 53:01Speaker 2: still unproven. I think if Wu has his good stuff today,
- 53:05Speaker 2: he should have no problem carving this lineup up. If
- 53:07Speaker 2: he doesn't, the White Sockx have real upside, and that's
- 53:09Speaker 2: where the leverage comes in. They're also expensive, so they're
- 53:13Speaker 2: not going to be played. As you mentioned, I get
- 53:16Speaker 2: it from a leverage standpoint. I don't know. I doubt
- 53:18Speaker 2: I'm personally gonna play the White Sox, but I certainly
- 53:21Speaker 2: understand it. I might have a little more interest in
- 53:24Speaker 2: Seattle than you. I like Schultz as an arm in general,
- 53:28Speaker 2: high on his upside, high on his talent, but he's
- 53:30Speaker 2: another guy that struggles to keep guys off of off
- 53:33Speaker 2: the bases, and all of a sudden you're putting guys on.
- 53:38Speaker 2: You open up the door for the same thing we
- 53:40Speaker 2: talked about with Emi, you know, multiple two three run
- 53:43Speaker 2: home runs, grand slams. So I think Seattle has a
- 53:49Speaker 2: role on this slate, even though like it's not the
- 53:52Speaker 2: cleanest path. And I respect Schultz enough where I'm certainly
- 53:56Speaker 2: not in love with them, and I'd have to be
- 53:58Speaker 2: making a bunch of lineups to place the I guess
- 54:00Speaker 2: it's just that I think I like them a little
- 54:02Speaker 2: bit more than the field.
- 54:04Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, White Sox bull playing not not great either,
- 54:07Speaker 1: So there is that case. It's just if I'm playing
- 54:10Speaker 1: aside in this one, i'd risk rather. I mean, they're
- 54:12Speaker 1: both gonna be the same ownership. I'd just rather play
- 54:14Speaker 1: against a pitcher who's gonna be the most popular on
- 54:16Speaker 1: the slate, then play play the other side. But I
- 54:19Speaker 1: get both both cases. I just think Murk Comedy's good
- 54:22Speaker 1: at baseball, and I think Montgomery's good at baseball, and
- 54:24Speaker 1: I play those two anytime they're on the slate, and
- 54:27Speaker 1: even more so when when it's against the pitcher. Everybody
- 54:30Speaker 1: wants to play, and I get it. I'm gonna have
- 54:32Speaker 1: a ton of WU as well, but in lineups where
- 54:34Speaker 1: again my portfolio in tournaments, I'm gonna have lineups where
- 54:39Speaker 1: when I'm not playing WU, I have interest in the
- 54:41Speaker 1: White Sox because if Wo's not getting there, there's a
- 54:43Speaker 1: reason he's not getting there. It's not just because he's
- 54:45Speaker 1: not going to strike out guys. I mean, he still
- 54:47Speaker 1: does have to strike on arm and he still can
- 54:49Speaker 1: strike these guys out. It's probably because some of these
- 54:52Speaker 1: guys either hit home runs or they just manufactured runs
- 54:56Speaker 1: and kind of stay stay stay hitting. So I do
- 55:00Speaker 1: think from that perspective, it is interesting heading up to
- 55:04Speaker 1: San Diego. Michael King, you have a moto on the mound.
- 55:06Speaker 1: Two pitchers. I think you can play. Michael King was
- 55:08Speaker 1: a nice pivot up in the top tier. I think
- 55:10Speaker 1: that's gonna get on no ownership right there in that
- 55:13Speaker 1: eighty eight hundred that could post a ceiling. Not necessarily
- 55:17Speaker 1: signing up to play Michael King against the Dodgers offense.
- 55:21Speaker 1: Otani Freeman Tucker, you want lefties if you're playing. But
- 55:25Speaker 1: if Michael King has his stuff, I mean, I don't
- 55:28Speaker 1: really think anybody. I mean, he's got wild, wild stuff,
- 55:31Speaker 1: incredible movement on his pitches. He is a good arm
- 55:35Speaker 1: he gets very wild at times, and if you get
- 55:37Speaker 1: very wild against the Dodgers, that poses troubles. But Padres
- 55:41Speaker 1: are easily I mean, they can just run right to
- 55:44Speaker 1: their bullpen, which is really good, and then I hate
- 55:46Speaker 1: playing bullpen and platoons. Dodgers definitely have the upside to
- 55:49Speaker 1: get there. They're not going to get played, so that's
- 55:52Speaker 1: naturally a case to stack them. I mean, I probably
- 55:57Speaker 1: slightly prefer the Dodgers over the Yankees because both teams
- 56:00Speaker 1: are gonna kind of be in the same boat in
- 56:02Speaker 1: my opinion. But still, I don't know. It feels weird
- 56:06Speaker 1: not to have a ton of interest in the Dodgers
- 56:08Speaker 1: here tonight. For what it's worth, Padres, I'm not not
- 56:13Speaker 1: playing against the Almamoda. If I'm gonna stack against one
- 56:15Speaker 1: of the truck it's going to be against Brian Wou
- 56:17Speaker 1: than Yamamoto myself personally. But what do you see in
- 56:20Speaker 1: this one?
- 56:21Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the Dodgers are unowned, They're so expensive
- 56:24Speaker 2: against King in this ballpark, there's merits to stacking them
- 56:27Speaker 2: on any slates Tonight's included, So I get that. I
- 56:30Speaker 2: respect King enough where I'm not gonna blow my wile
- 56:33Speaker 2: on the Dodgers here certainly one off, so Tony seems
- 56:35Speaker 2: to have found it again. The Padres, like, I get it,
- 56:41Speaker 2: and I think the way you're looking at it is
- 56:44Speaker 2: more logical, and I think the field sees it similarly.
- 56:47Speaker 2: But I think I'd rather stack against Yamamoto than Wu
- 56:51Speaker 2: here because I think that both teams are going to
- 56:54Speaker 2: be crazy low owned. Neither of them are cheap. Both
- 56:59Speaker 2: Yamamoto and Wu have had up and down years the
- 57:03Speaker 2: Padres I mentioned, though, they just swept Seattle. In Seattle,
- 57:06Speaker 2: Gavin Sheets is red hot Tatise. I know all the
- 57:10Speaker 2: talk about in the no homers. He's still hitting the
- 57:12Speaker 2: ball hard. San Diego runs and they're used to playing
- 57:17Speaker 2: at home. So yeah, I don't really like either of them,
- 57:21Speaker 2: but I think I get the merit of San Diego
- 57:23Speaker 2: just as much as the White Sox, even though, like
- 57:25Speaker 2: I said, I think the way you're looking at it
- 57:27Speaker 2: probably is more logical because of how good the White
- 57:31Speaker 2: Socks have been this season and Wu's up and down
- 57:34Speaker 2: nature this season. I just kind of feel similarly about
- 57:37Speaker 2: the Padres and Yamamoto other than that there isn't really
- 57:41Speaker 2: much from this game. It's Yamamoto for me, the clear
- 57:44Speaker 2: number one from this game, then probably King, then the
- 57:48Speaker 2: two offenses.
- 57:49Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I agree with you. Obviously, Oltani, great
- 57:54Speaker 1: play on this slate. He's gonna be on owned at
- 57:56Speaker 1: that salary even as one off right where usually Otani
- 57:59Speaker 1: you never seen him under ten percent on any slave
- 58:01Speaker 1: he is just because optimizers drive baseball. His projections always
- 58:04Speaker 1: off the chart. He hasn't been running as much, which
- 58:07Speaker 1: does hurt a little bit there. But he found his
- 58:09Speaker 1: groove yesterday, found his groove on Saturday, helped me almost
- 58:13Speaker 1: ship the MMME contest there with limited builds. So I
- 58:17Speaker 1: get the reasoning Gavin Sheets, though twenty nine hundred is
- 58:21Speaker 1: a really good play. I will say that dual position
- 58:24Speaker 1: eligibility so you don't have to burn a first base spot.
- 58:27Speaker 1: You can play him as a value outfielder, as a
- 58:29Speaker 1: pivot off of some of those rangers, and that in
- 58:31Speaker 1: that similar price tier in Coors Field, So I get
- 58:34Speaker 1: the reasoning there. You want the lefties right. I think Jackson,
- 58:38Speaker 1: Merril Song and Sheets, Sheets would be far and away.
- 58:44Speaker 1: It probably goes Sheets, Song and then Jackson. Actually all
- 58:47Speaker 1: three of them, they're all three are cheap. Second base
- 58:51Speaker 1: is a week position, so I don't mind a twenty
- 58:53Speaker 1: seven hundred dollars Song who probably is going to strike out,
- 58:56Speaker 1: but he has at least shown home run upside on
- 59:01Speaker 1: the season. Takes me to the last game here. Roof
- 59:04Speaker 1: going to be opening out in the deserts are gonna
- 59:07Speaker 1: be anywhere somewhere in the upper eighties, low nineties typical
- 59:11Speaker 1: Arizona weather, but it is roof is going to be
- 59:14Speaker 1: open because it's not one hundred and ten like it
- 59:16Speaker 1: has been. Giants. I have interest in the giants here.
- 59:20Speaker 1: I know you're probably gonna say Zach Allen's decent. I
- 59:23Speaker 1: just think Zach Allen's lost it. I don't I stacked
- 59:25Speaker 1: again some last time it worked out. I'm gonna stack
- 59:28Speaker 1: this shitty offense again against Zach Gallon. Arizona bullpen doesn't
- 59:33Speaker 1: have I know they have one lefty or they did,
- 59:37Speaker 1: let me see. Nonetheless, I don't think there's much pinch
- 59:42Speaker 1: hit concerns here. Giants are getting it going a little bit.
- 59:46Speaker 1: They almost shipped me this late yesterday. They did good
- 59:49Speaker 1: for me on Saturday, or not yesterday, excuse me. Saturday
- 59:54Speaker 1: days are running together, but nonetheless they did well for
- 59:57Speaker 1: me on Saturday. I think the Giants are here again.
- 1:00:00Speaker 1: Zach call and I just think is just I don't
- 1:00:03Speaker 1: think he's the same. I think he's lost it. And
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: then Robbie Ray is a better arm, but you can
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: still steal on them. I mean, Marte, Carrol Perdomo are
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: not of Vargas. That top five I think is interesting.
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: Good hitting weather here, Giants, bullpen is dog shit. I
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: think there's a case for offense on both sides of
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: this one. Better hitting conditions here. I do prefer the
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: Giants though in tournaments here, and I'm getting the Giants
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: on owned on the slate. Devers at four to four,
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: he's getting it going. Don't love Jung Ho Lee, but
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: he's been good. Ariahs found some home run power. I
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: know the wind was blown out there in Sacramento, but
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: this is going to feel much better than where they're
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: normally playing out in San fran Right. They're playing in
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: the desert. It's hot, the roof's going to be open.
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: Some winds blown out here. I do think this is
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: an interesting spot. You what do you see to around
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: us out?
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: Yeah? I agree with you here. The only thing I
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: don't know if I agree on it. I like Samford
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: more than Arizona because, yeah, I don't disagree that Gallon
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: might be washed. At least he's not in a good
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: stretch right now. Robbie Ray away from San Francisco all
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: of a sudden, you get him an open air in Arizona.
- 1:01:15Speaker 2: A Diamondbacks lineup that seems to have found itself a
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: little bit in Colorado, even a little bit before that
- 1:01:22Speaker 2: in the latter stages of the Texas series. I'm in
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: on both offenses here. Both offenses again seem to have
- 1:01:28Speaker 2: found themselves a little bit. Two bullpens I'm not worried
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: about at all. Two starters that I think could be
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: out of this game on the early side. So yeah,
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: I don't really have a strong preference between San Francisco
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: and Arizona. I just like both sides of this game,
- 1:01:43Speaker 2: I think more than the field does.
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you there. We see it to eye.
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: It's hard to kind of rank one above the other,
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: but I just do get the slight lean just with
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: the full nighting at bends guaranteed on the giant side,
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: So when it's pretty similar from a matchup stand point
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: and everything like that, I'll give the slight lean to
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: the side where the hitters I want. I don't really
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: worry about their pinchhick concerns. They got full guaranteed nining
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: at bats and I stack a hands galon every time
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: he's on the slate. So yeah, that's all nine games.
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: We talked pitching, we talk hitting Matt to run out
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: the show, your favorite pitching combination, your top three stacks,
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: and then home run coffee you have one?
- 1:02:28Speaker 2: Yeah, man, I think Gore. I like Gore more than
- 1:02:31Speaker 2: I did when we first started the show, just because
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: of the weather and the price tag. I'm still gonna
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: say my favorite combo is Yamamoto Wu, but I don't
- 1:02:38Speaker 2: feel amazing about that favorite stack. I'm gonna say Boston.
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: I really like Boston against Lugo. Here. Lugo just stinks
- 1:02:48Speaker 2: right now, so I'm in on Boston. Hopefully the weather
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: plays out in the favor of playing them or being
- 1:02:54Speaker 2: able to play them. I also like Kansas City in
- 1:02:56Speaker 2: that game, and yeah, what you.
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: Got, did you have a home run call.
- 1:03:04Speaker 2: Oh yeah, all right, home run call. We are going
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: to go with a guy from that last game. We
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: just talked about price tags falling on DK Cruss, his
- 1:03:13Speaker 2: left handed pitching, not having a good year, but probably
- 1:03:17Speaker 2: the unluckiest hitter in baseball so far. Love playing against
- 1:03:21Speaker 2: leftiest k Tell Martego in yard tonight.
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: I like that for my favorite pitching combination, I'm gonna
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: go Ryan Weathers and Yamamoto. I also like JT. Ginning
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: a ton obviously there. I just think his strikeout upside
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: is there. Angels don't have a ton of lefties to
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: really throw at him. That's what you want. It's a
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: ideal matchup for a guy like jtgen who is very
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: very reverse or very very splitzy right, really good against
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: righty's terrible against lefties right. So I do like him
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: a lot as well. But Weathers and Yamamoto are kind
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: of my two top guys there offense wise. Cubs have
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: a ton of interest the Cubs. I do like both
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: sides of that Royals in Red Sox game, So I'm
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: with you there. I think that game is really interesting,
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: and then I will I'll throw the Twins in there.
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: I just don't think the Twins get any ownership. Im
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: I has talent, but he could just not have it.
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: And if he doesn't have it, I think the Twins
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: have upside in tournaments there. And then my home run call,
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: I'm going to the top of the Brewers lineup. I'm
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: going Jackson Cherio. You have to spend up to get him.
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: But I do like this spot here against the flyball
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: guy win blown Out show Day and Monaga. Chario is
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: going to be right around ten percent of nothing crazy.
- 1:04:34Speaker 1: I think he hits one deep and if you want, yeah,
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: I'll just leave it at Chario to finish this off here. Matt,
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: Appreciate you jumping in. Appreciate you talking basis here. All
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: the contents up, slate plans up. I know I dropped
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: my nuggets in the Discord. Cords are going to be coming.
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: We'll be in the Discord answering any questions, but Formatt,
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: I maid's good luck tonight in those contests. Hope to
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: see the ship Nation logos. F top. We're out of here, sass.