Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Is Biden Sabotaging Trumps Bitcoin Plan? ($6.5B Plot EXPOSED) | EP 1157
Transcript
- 0:01Yo, did the US just dump 69,000 Bitcoin 11 days before Trump
- 0:08takes over office in the US, the DOJ has officially announced
- 0:14allowed the release of 69,000 Bitcoin, which equates to $6.5
- 0:21billion. Don't you think the timing of
- 0:24this is really coincidence? Really a really really big
- 0:28coincidence literally weeks before trump takes office.
- 0:32We all know how the incoming trump administration feels about
- 0:37Bitcoin Donald Trump's son Eric Trump historic speech Bitcoin
- 0:42Mina Trump appointing pro Bitcoin positions all over his
- 0:48cabinet. There's a lot of rumors and
- 0:50speculation that what we want to shed on light today.
- 0:54So let's get right into explaining what really happened
- 0:58on today's show. I'm going to bring up my
- 1:00legendary Co host, my optimist fields, who's in the Co host
- 1:05seat today anyways, just jump straight into it, man.
- 1:07This was on purpose Opti. Let's just let's just let's just
- 1:11take away all doubt. This was on purpose.
- 1:15This was to sabotage the incoming administration.
- 1:19We know their plans for a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 1:22We saw the pictures of Michael Saylor at Mar a Lago talking
- 1:27with Eric Trump. I'm sure that Michael Saylor met
- 1:30with the president. Of course, you have Sachs coming
- 1:33in. You have Howard Lupnik, who was
- 1:35just on Anthony Pompliano's podcast talking about buying 10s
- 1:39of millions of dollars worth of Bitcoin, buying hundreds of
- 1:42millions of dollars worth of Bitcoin.
- 1:44He just got appointed head of commerce.
- 1:46I mean like obviously and. Densler and Gensler.
- 1:50'S leaving and Gensler's leaving and then you guys remember the
- 1:53last three and remember the last four years like our industry was
- 1:57attack which essentially forced our industry to you know get
- 2:01into the political discussion right.
- 2:03So this is 100% no no doubt in my mind an attempt to sabotage
- 2:10this whole Bitcoin strategic Bitcoin reserve thing in the
- 2:13United States. Anyways, here's an article.
- 2:15The article is from Decrypt U.S. court green light sale of $6.5
- 2:21billion in seized Silk Road Bitcoin the US government has
- 2:26secured final approval in the Northern District of California
- 2:30to liquidate crypto's largest ever federal seizure, signaling
- 2:35the closure of a complex 4 year legal battle over billions in
- 2:39Bitcoin tied to the infamous Silk Road marketplace.
- 2:44Chief U.S. District Judge Richard Seberg
- 2:47denied a motion to block the forfeiture of 69,370 Bitcoin,
- 2:54clearing the Department of Justice to sell the $6.5 billion
- 2:58in assets, according to a court document filed December 30th.
- 3:03A couple thoughts here. Same as the thing with Germany.
- 3:06Germany sold 50,000 or roughly $50,000 fifty 50,000 Bitcoin
- 3:12when Bitcoin was at like 60 or 70K.
- 3:15They got absolutely wrecked. And the thing that like really
- 3:19interests me the most is they're selling something that has
- 3:22absolute scarcity. They just can't create more of
- 3:26it for something they can create out of thin air.
- 3:29That makes no sense whatsoever. But I don't think it's supposed
- 3:34to make sense. It they have to continue the
- 3:38system, they have to legitimize the system.
- 3:42And the best way to legitimize the system is say, you know
- 3:45what, this Bitcoin thing is worthless.
- 3:48We have to sell it for this Fiat because the Fiat is what
- 3:51actually matters, right? Or at least that's what they're
- 3:54trying to signal. I also think that it's quite a
- 3:57coincidence that again, you know, this is the year after the
- 4:01halving, which in a historical context tends to be the best
- 4:05year for Bitcoin. The year after the halving is
- 4:08the year of the parabolas. And just like the bull market of
- 4:122021 when the Chinese Communist Party banned Bitcoin mining, I
- 4:17believe it cut the last bull market short.
- 4:20Isn't it a coincidence that again, the Biden administration,
- 4:24you know, are like 11 days until they're out of office, out of
- 4:28power, is trying to sabotage 1 of Trump's, you know, key
- 4:33running points Like it's, it's just, it's, it's ludicrous.
- 4:37It's absolutely hilarious. And look, whoever thought
- 4:40because we got a lot of crap for it, it's simply Bitcoin when we
- 4:44decided to essentially say, you know what, it's probably a good
- 4:47idea idea that Trump wins because his party's taking a pro
- 4:51Bitcoin stance. His administration is taking a
- 4:54pro Bitcoin stance as well. I, I, we didn't get into the
- 4:59other political issues because that's not this type, That's not
- 5:01that type of show. But I mean, like, like, it would
- 5:05have been terrible. I think if, if this current
- 5:08administration got more, it got more years in office, I think, I
- 5:11think our industry would have been in real, real trouble.
- 5:13And I think this is a great, it is great evidence of that,
- 5:17right? It goes on to say Judge C Borg
- 5:20is known for high profile cases. He recently rejected arguments
- 5:23that Google under Alphabet adequately disclosed how attract
- 5:27user activity. The tech giant now faces a
- 5:29possible trial in August. It's unclear while the document
- 5:33relating to the seas Bitcoin has surfaced this week.
- 5:36I mean, total coincidence. Again, all of this is
- 5:38coincidences, You know, none of this is, is, is is.
- 5:43None of this is by chance. You know, none of this is on
- 5:45purpose. It's just, it's all coincidence.
- 5:48You know, like the 30% Bitcoin mining tax, you know, operation
- 5:52choke point 2.0, you know the the articles that were released
- 5:57by the legacy media basically saying that Bitcoin was used for
- 6:00money laundering, even though we know that the vast majority of
- 6:02illicit finance is done within the traditional financial
- 6:05system. All of that is a coincidence.
- 6:07Of course, you know it's all coincidence.
- 6:09It goes on to say the development confirms prior
- 6:11reporting in October last year when it appeared the US
- 6:14government was free to sell the seas Bitcoin from a Silk Road
- 6:18affiliated wallet. Now, again, I don't know if you
- 6:21guys remember, but one of the key talking points that Trump
- 6:24said in his historic keynote at the Nashville Bitcoin conference
- 6:29is that he promised that if he were to get elected, he was
- 6:32still running for office at the point at that at that point, he
- 6:36wouldn't sell any Bitcoin that the US government had, right?
- 6:41So again, 11 days before he's being sworn in, sworn in, the
- 6:46DOJ just happens to drop this massive bombshell.
- 6:50Like, come on now, come on. Anyways, here is Joe Burnett,
- 6:57great content creator. I believe he's with the company
- 6:59Unchained. And here's British auto.
- 7:02I recently just recorded a, a a podcast with British auto by the
- 7:05way, that should be dropping in about a week or so.
- 7:07British Auto says we have people selling Bitcoin and we're on the
- 7:11verge of 20 strategic Bitcoin reserves after USA hits the go
- 7:15button. It's truly remarkable how frail
- 7:17people's can't say that we are quite possibly one domino away
- 7:22from hyper bitcoinization. The reason that I wanted to
- 7:25bring that up again, I think they're trying to stop the
- 7:29momentum. There's really no other
- 7:31explanation for that, right? We know how we know how Gary
- 7:35Gensler feels about Bitcoin. We know how the current DOJ and
- 7:41the Treasury Department feel about the industry.
- 7:43We know how much pressure they put on banks to essentially
- 7:49isolate them from the traditional financial system.
- 7:52There's leaked documents that have come out that have
- 7:55literally shown that there is pressure from the government
- 7:59being put on banks to essentially not allow not bank
- 8:04the the crypto and Bitcoin industry, which of course forced
- 8:08our industry to become part of the donor class in Washington.
- 8:12DCI don't think we would have done so if we weren't forced to
- 8:16do so. So, you know, it's funny how all
- 8:19this works, you know, vengeful until the very moment they leave
- 8:24office, which is just, you know, it's fitting.
- 8:28I'm glad we're turning the page. I really hope that over the next
- 8:33two to four years, Bitcoin adoption in the United States
- 8:38accelerates to a point where it becomes a non partisan issue.
- 8:45Because the last thing that I want to happen is whether
- 8:49there's a certain political party in office.
- 8:52It's good for Bitcoin, and if there's another political party
- 8:54in office, it's bad for Bitcoin. And then it just becomes this
- 8:58pendulum. I think that would be terrible
- 9:00for the industry. I think Bitcoin is for everyone.
- 9:03It doesn't matter what your ideological beliefs are, you
- 9:06know, if you're on the right, you know, protects your
- 9:08sovereignty. It protects, you know, your
- 9:10ability to, you know, move freely with your wealth if
- 9:14you're on the left. It's the most inclusive,
- 9:16equitable money the world has ever seen.
- 9:18It protects the lower middle classes from the ravages of
- 9:21inflation. Like, I mean like it it it this
- 9:25is not a partisan issue. So I hope that over the next two
- 9:30to four years, people like Elizabeth Warren can't run on
- 9:34the platform of I'm building an anti crypto army because the
- 9:39fact is, is that Bitcoin is for everyone.
- 9:42I think the people that stand the most to lose from Bitcoin
- 9:48are politicians that have taken advantage of the money printer.
- 9:54I think it I think it boils down to that.
- 9:56So I think, you know, this is this is a very slimy move.
- 10:00I think that this could have definitely played into the
- 10:03recent price volatility that we had in Bitcoin, especially to
- 10:07the downside. We fell from like 100,100 and
- 10:102000 to 92,000 or 91,000. So yeah, I mean, this is this is
- 10:16kind of snaky. This is kind of slimy Opti, I'm
- 10:18not going to lie. Like right, right until the way
- 10:21out. They're just like, you know
- 10:22what, they just flipped everyone off and they're like, you know,
- 10:26we're we're we're not going to just give over the keys.
- 10:28You know, we're going to fight all the way.
- 10:30We're going to fight all the way to the very end.
- 10:32And some there's some rumors also that they they've
- 10:35apparently already sold that Bitcoin.
- 10:38So I don't know if that's true, but I mean, that could explain
- 10:41why we still haven't started pumping yet.
- 10:43Optia, what's your take? Yeah, Well, you know, jumping
- 10:47off that last point, I did just see Arkham Intelligence
- 10:50essentially drop a meme that says like they're saying the US
- 10:53government has sold that Bitcoin.
- 10:54It's but if you look on chain, it's allegedly still there
- 10:58though there are a lot of rumors going on right now that
- 11:00essentially that Bitcoin has already been sold, which I think
- 11:04would kind of explain the the reason why the price is coming
- 11:07back down to 93 K right now. And so you know these are all
- 11:11rumors and speculations right now.
- 11:13Obviously, I think everyone's watching this.
- 11:15This is a huge news story as far as I'm concerned, though, I
- 11:18think the really big tell here is that this announcement came
- 11:24out December 30th. Maybe it's because it was the
- 11:27New Year's and it kind of got swept under the rug, you know,
- 11:29giving them kind of the benefit of the doubt.
- 11:31The interesting part is why is it coming out now?
- 11:34Obviously, 11 days before Trump gets into office, we're hearing
- 11:38this news come out and it really does feel like the final, you
- 11:41know, F you from the Biden administration to the American
- 11:44people, when in reality it's like it, it is the best course
- 11:49of action here to be stacking Bitcoin for.
- 11:52I would argue America in general, though, kind of a
- 11:56pulling back. I, I was talking with Shao Nico,
- 11:59you know, our boy out there. So shouts out the Sao.
- 12:02I know he listens on the podcast every day.
- 12:04And I, I have been kind of becoming a little more
- 12:07conflicted on this Bitcoin SPR news, considering how they got
- 12:11that Bitcoin. You know, most of that Bitcoin
- 12:13is from the Silk Road confiscation here.
- 12:17So, you know, first they steal it and then they sell it.
- 12:20Like what's new? Same story as we've been hearing
- 12:23before and then kind of going further, like as much as I do
- 12:27want an SPR, the the technicalities of rolling over
- 12:32the Silk Road Bitcoin into the strategic Bitcoin reserve and
- 12:35the US government kind of profiting off of it.
- 12:37It does make me feel a little icky here.
- 12:39But you know, if the US government does sell that
- 12:42Bitcoin, this might be the best news for 2025.
- 12:44It's like, hey, they sell that 200,000 Bitcoin, they get a
- 12:48discount for the price and then they have to buy Bitcoin back.
- 12:50You know, if Trump comes in, they have to buy all that
- 12:53Bitcoin back essentially on spot markets, which means that's a
- 12:57lot of buying pressure. That sounds like numbers going
- 13:00to go up. So I don't know.
- 13:02It is very interesting to watch. And I think, you know, obviously
- 13:06we don't want to get into speculations.
- 13:07We don't want to turn into simply TMZ here, but the rumors
- 13:11about them actually selling all that Bitcoin is very
- 13:14interesting. As far as I'm I'm thinking it's
- 13:17like that is an interesting story.
- 13:19Of course, it's all speculation here, but it would kind of line
- 13:23up with a lot of things we've seen come out of the Biden
- 13:25administration. We've known and a lot of the
- 13:27people, the talking heads on the left have acknowledged the fact
- 13:31that fighting the Bitcoin or quote UN quote crypto industry
- 13:34was a really bad move. And they had to kind of keep the
- 13:37public optics out there that oh, wait, we're not actually
- 13:40fighting you. And so I think it would be a
- 13:43huge news story if we come to find out that actually they've
- 13:46sold all of that Bitcoin and all of that pandering we saw from
- 13:50Kamala about, hey, we're pro Bitcoin here.
- 13:53You know, we're not trying to fight the industry anymore.
- 13:55Like would we be surprised? No, but I think that would be a
- 13:59huge revelation for a lot of people where publicly they're
- 14:03saying, oh, we're going to embrace the Bitcoin industry and
- 14:05then privately they're selling all of this Bitcoin on the back
- 14:09end. So I think that would also be an
- 14:11incredibly huge news story. But the fact that the DOJ is
- 14:15approving the sell of this Bitcoin, on the one hand, it's,
- 14:19it's, it sounds like a, you know, old story here, you know,
- 14:23new, new boss, same story. But I don't know, I'm kind of
- 14:28feeling OK with the US government having to buy Bitcoin
- 14:31on the spot market. They have to get Bitcoin like
- 14:34everyone else. You have to buy it.
- 14:36So hey, I don't know, I'm a little conflicted here cuz like,
- 14:40I don't want them to, to transfer all that stolen Silk
- 14:43Road Bitcoin into a way to pay off their national debt.
- 14:47But I'm also like, you know, I guess cheap shats for us, we get
- 14:50it on discount. Is this just a classic fun
- 14:52playbook where, you know, they're trying to keep the price
- 14:55under 100K, sell all of that Bitcoin, you know, give a big
- 14:58middle finger to the Trump administration if they do pull
- 15:00the trigger on the SBR. So man, it's it's very
- 15:03interesting. 2025 looking like a crazy year already. 100% And
- 15:08another thing too, like you have to understand the symbolism
- 15:11here, right? The symbolism is basically
- 15:13saying, you know, Trump got a mandate from the American
- 15:17people. If anyone's not worst like well
- 15:20versed in American politics, the Republican Party usually never
- 15:23wins the popular vote. Trump won the popular vote.
- 15:26He won the House and he won the Senate.
- 15:29And essentially, even though that was a clear message from
- 15:33the American people that refuted Biden's policies up until the
- 15:38very last moment, he's basically saying, I don't care what you
- 15:43guys think, I'm going to do this anyways.
- 15:46And I'll tell you what the probability of this SBR
- 15:51executive order going through just went up by 5 because if you
- 15:57think this is going to stop Trump, you know, from getting an
- 16:01SPR in just because they're they're dumping Bitcoin right
- 16:05before he goes into office. I mean, this isn't bolding in
- 16:10bolding him more than anything. He just went on TV yesterday and
- 16:15said he's going to rename the Gulf of Mexico to Gulf of
- 16:18America. He just said he was going to buy
- 16:20Greenland and he's calling Canada the 51st state.
- 16:24Do you think this is going to stop, you know, the plans that
- 16:28he had, it's going to embolden him more than anything.
- 16:31And another thing also, if you guys are not well versed in
- 16:34American politics, this is his second term.
- 16:36He doesn't need to run in for office again.
- 16:39And what tends to happen, and what tends to happen with
- 16:45America, with American presidents on their second term,
- 16:48is that they they they go a little bit, they go a little bit
- 16:50harder in the pain because they realize, like, this is my last.
- 16:54Like this is my last. I can't run for president
- 16:57anymore, right? So, yeah, I mean, I think this
- 17:00is going to backfire. We're going to confirm if this
- 17:03is real news. I think this so-called, you
- 17:07know, release of this news was symbolic.
- 17:10I think it was on purpose and I think it was an attempt to
- 17:14sabotage this momentum that the Bitcoin movement is picking up,
- 17:19specifically with the donor class, specifically in
- 17:22Washington, DC. It's entrenching itself within
- 17:26the traditional financial system, whether that's Michael
- 17:29Saylor, Larry Fink, of course, the official Republican Party
- 17:34platform. Yeah, I mean, it's crazy.
- 17:37And this also tells me two guys that we're winning because they
- 17:41wouldn't want, they wouldn't have to do this unless they
- 17:45feared it, right. But what is it that they fear?
- 17:48I think I know what it is they fear.
- 17:50I think it is that. Look, if Bitcoin proves to be a
- 17:55superior store of value, if Bitcoin proves to be a solution
- 18:01to a lot of the governments, you know, financial problems, I
- 18:06mean, I think that puts a lot of people out of a job.
- 18:08I think that that that that gets a lot of people asking questions
- 18:13about the Fiat money printer. I think that gets a lot of
- 18:16people asking questions about the current system, which a lot
- 18:20of these politicians in Washington, DC benefit from.
- 18:24So I think that's really what it's about.
- 18:26But I think that this is just another example of US winning
- 18:30because they wouldn't do this if we weren't winning.
- 18:33So anyways, we'll see what happens we'll stay on top of it.
- 18:37We'll have an update for you guys.
- 18:39He's gonna buy if even if they sell this 69th out, which I
- 18:43think the number is hilarious. If even if they sell this 69,
- 18:47even if they sell this $69,000 Bitcoin, I think Trump's just
- 18:50going to buy it, buy it back up my.
- 18:52Opinion yeah, yeah, Nico on on that last point.
- 18:54I I think that's a that's a huge point to kind of stress here is,
- 18:59you know, the fact that they are so concerned with Bitcoin right
- 19:02now just goes to show that they understand the stakes at hand.
- 19:06And we've been saying that for a long time that like the people
- 19:09in power aren't naive or stupid. They understand what is going
- 19:12on. And they as as we've shown last
- 19:15year with Operation Choke .2 point O and all the stuff that
- 19:17came out, they have actively tried to stop the adoption of
- 19:21Bitcoin. And I think this might be, you
- 19:23know, one last attempt to kind of add more FUD into the the
- 19:27Bitcoin space and, and scare away normies from buying
- 19:30Bitcoin. So obviously it's going to
- 19:32backfire. But I think it's very important
- 19:34to remember, like Bitcoin is an important movement right now and
- 19:38more people holding Bitcoin really kind of, you know,
- 19:42dismantles all the power going on right now.
- 19:45And things are changing. You know, the times are changing
- 19:47right now and you guys are on the front lines, every single
- 19:50one of you guys that are holding Bitcoin hanging out in the chat
- 19:52and just us talking about this. It's not just about Nico and I
- 19:56talking about this, it's about everyone in the chat having
- 19:58these conversations with your friends and.
- 20:00Family and who knows how big this movement can get if we are
- 20:03all communicating this final message.
- 20:05It's like look, they're actively working against you and here's
- 20:09all the data for it hit people in their fields and I I think I
- 20:13think we really are winning really hard, you know, being
- 20:16unburdened. What was it?
- 20:17Unburdened by what has been or whatever.
- 20:20Whatever it was, anyways. Anyways, let's go, let's go.
- 20:24Yeah, absolutely. Guys, if you guys are enjoying
- 20:25the show so far, make sure to smash that like button.
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- 20:42If you guys are enjoying the show so far, make sure to smash
- 20:46that like button. All right everybody before we
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- 22:55We have tons to talk about. Let's check it out.
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- 24:50At the time of recording, the Bitcoin price is 92,370 block
- 24:56height 870 878,509 sats per dollar 1083 market cap 1.83
- 25:04trillion Bitcoin versus Gold Market cap 9.84% Percentage
- 25:09issued 94.32% Decline from all time high -14.7% realized
- 25:16monetary inflation 1.09%. The grand scheme of things, we
- 25:21are just getting started now. Some very, some very interesting
- 25:25things. Also shout out to Danny for
- 25:29taking over the What Bitcoin Did podcast from Peter McCormack.
- 25:33Shout out to Peter McCormack. I believe he he's he's
- 25:36continuing his podcast. He changed it to the Peter
- 25:39McCormack show. The best of luck to him.
- 25:41Great content creator. But congratulations to Danny for
- 25:45taking over the What Bitcoin Did podcast, a very popular podcast
- 25:49in Bitcoin. Seems like he had Odell on
- 25:52recently. And Odell was talking about
- 25:55essentially how if Bitcoin were to perform similarly to the 2016
- 26:01cycle, the the price would trade near $2,000,000 per coin.
- 26:05Now a couple things here before I play you guys.
- 26:08The clip, it's about a 2 1/2 minute clip, but one of the
- 26:12things that I've been saying. For a while.
- 26:14Now is we as a community have forgotten what a blow off type
- 26:20blow off top cycle feels like. The last time we've had one was
- 26:25in 20/17/2017. That's a long effing time from
- 26:31now. That's that was a long time ago.
- 26:33That was eight years ago. Oh my God I've been doing this
- 26:36for almost a decade. We don't even know what a blow
- 26:38off top feels like. 2021 was like it was a let down it we
- 26:43didn't. OK so the reason I'm saying this
- 26:45is we all have PTSD. We don't know what that feels
- 26:49like. The reason that I'm saying all
- 26:51of this is because we don't, because we don't know what that
- 26:53feels like. No one's expecting it.
- 26:56So what I'm seeing, the general consensus for this cycle, like
- 27:00the general consensus for last cycle was 100K guaranteed.
- 27:03That was guaranteed last cycle never happened.
- 27:06The general consensus this cycle is 120 KA, 150K200K.
- 27:11That's it. Wrap it up law of big numbers.
- 27:13It's over. But what I'm seeing is you know
- 27:18what the return of Bitcoin was in 2016?
- 27:21It was like 130%. You know what the return of
- 27:26Bitcoin was in twenty 24130%. You get where I'm going with
- 27:34this. So you know what the return was
- 27:37in 2017 it like 20X like 2000%. So I'm not saying it's going to
- 27:42do the same. I'm not saying that, but but if
- 27:46it did 20X times, 100,000 is $2,000,000.
- 27:52I'm not saying that's going to happen.
- 27:53I'd be happy with the 5X. That would be incredible.
- 27:56But anyways, I'll play you guys a clip from Odell and then me
- 28:00and Opti will talk about it. Let's check it out.
- 28:03If if you're going to say super cycle, right, we have 3 cycles
- 28:06that we can compare against. We have the 2012 cycle, the 2016
- 28:11cycle and the 2020 cycle. Now the 2020 cycle I think was
- 28:15artificially suppressed and broken because of FTX, Celsius,
- 28:19Grayscale, Barry Silbert, all the different paper Bitcoin
- 28:22games that were played out and then blew up.
- 28:25So it didn't go as high as it would and went lower than it
- 28:28would have in the bear. So if you go and then you
- 28:31compare it to the 2016 having cycle, right?
- 28:34And why are there cycles there cycles because every four years
- 28:36on average bitcoins has this pre planned supply shock.
- 28:40But because people are retarded, it's not priced in.
- 28:45At some point you'd expect all future having to be priced in,
- 28:47but we're still far away from that.
- 28:49So if you compare it to the 2016 cycle, if it was, if it was
- 28:53exactly the same top and bottom of the 2016 cycle, you're
- 28:56talking roughly 2 million Bitcoin top, 400,000 Bitcoin
- 29:01bottom. Now I think like some people
- 29:03without thinking about the math would be like, Oh my God, that's
- 29:06a super cycle. That's insane.
- 29:07Like how do we pump that much? No, that's just doing what we
- 29:10did in 2016. So I think you'd have to see
- 29:14four to be definitionally considered a super cycle.
- 29:17You'd have to see a blow past $2,000,000.
- 29:19I don't think there's many people that are calling for that
- 29:21right now. I would love to see that.
- 29:23I'd be cool with seeing that. But I, what I expect here is
- 29:28we'll see a slightly amplified traditional cycle because of
- 29:33nation state FOMO, because of ETFs, because of all this new
- 29:36money that has been unlocked. We will see a cycle that
- 29:39probably would have been amplified if you didn't factor
- 29:41in that new demand compared compared to not factoring that
- 29:45new demand. But I still expect at some point
- 29:49an 80% drawdown where everyone gets wrecked.
- 29:52And when that'll happen, I don't know when that'll happen.
- 29:54It'll happen when we're all incredibly bullish and we think
- 29:56it's not going to happen. And the important, the important
- 29:59contrast, I think with gold is like gold is, you know, bowling
- 30:03with bumpers, like there's a circuit Breakers, like it's a
- 30:06completely controlled market. Like Bitcoin is a, is the
- 30:09closest thing to a free market humanities ever seen.
- 30:12And humans are inherently volatile.
- 30:14And we panic and we do all this crazy shit.
- 30:16We do degenerate shit. All the suits are going to do
- 30:19crazy degenerate stuff that we can't even imagine.
- 30:22Like we're already seeing the early innings of it.
- 30:24Vivek is launching an ETF that buys Bitcoin bonds.
- 30:28The bonds that are then lent went to micro size.
- 30:31Micro size you can buy Bitcoin, while Bitwise is making an ETF
- 30:34that buys the Bitcoin company buys the companies that buys the
- 30:37Bitcoin. And they're going to do all this
- 30:38different stuff on top of all that stuff and collect fees and
- 30:41everything. So the degeneracy is going to be
- 30:44ridiculous. There's no circuit Breakers,
- 30:47people will panic and we'll probably have another 80%
- 30:50drawdown at some point. And I would say that would also
- 30:53break the definition of super cycle, which is like a we
- 30:57wouldn't have like a traditional bear market ish type of
- 30:59scenario. If you, by the way, if you know
- 31:01how to read between Matt's lines, that sounded a lot to me,
- 31:04like he was calling for a $3,000,000 Bitcoin price, you
- 31:07know? No price predictions.
- 31:12Dude, everyone can't help themselves but but to talk about
- 31:17it. But I mean, I agree.
- 31:18I agree with Matt 100%. I think, you know, Bitcoin tends
- 31:22to do the exact opposite of what everyone expects.
- 31:26Everyone, I think is expecting it to the downside.
- 31:29You know, we're already 10 days into the year and let's just say
- 31:34like, I'm not that happy. You know, it's been pretty lame.
- 31:40I think we broke 100K once already.
- 31:44But yeah, I mean, I think his reasoning behind it was was on
- 31:47point. I mean, look, you have nation
- 31:49state FOMO. You have institutional FOMO, you
- 31:54have the right the positive regulatory environment with the
- 31:57Trump administration coming in. You see how the current
- 32:00administration is so scared of that and they're trying to
- 32:03sabotage it with the trying to sell $69,000 Sixty 9000 Bitcoin,
- 32:09right, 11 days before Trump goes into office.
- 32:12I mean, yeah, you, you have a, a perfect situation for an
- 32:16explosive blow off top scenario. And again, we have not
- 32:21experienced one since 2017. So it's been a very, very long
- 32:27time. And because we have not
- 32:29experienced one since 2017, I think people forgot or forget
- 32:33what that truly feels like. So I'm very excited for it Now
- 32:39in regards to the 80% correction, Bitcoins done this
- 32:43so many times. But one of the things that I
- 32:45think a lot of us agree on, we all have different reasons as to
- 32:49why we believe 2020 and 2021 didn't perform the way it did.
- 32:54But it seems like the general consensus in the community was
- 32:57that that specific cycle was a let down.
- 33:00That specific cycle didn't perform the way that we all
- 33:03expected it to perform. And I think that this cycle, it
- 33:08looks like its current trajectory, looks like it's
- 33:11going to be amazing. And again, because it hasn't
- 33:14happened for so long, I think not that many people are
- 33:17expecting it. Like not that people, not that
- 33:19many people remember what that feels like, nor are they
- 33:22expecting it. And you have the right
- 33:26properties in place, the right environment in place on the
- 33:30regulatory level, on a nation state level for it to be
- 33:33absolutely explosive. So I do agree with Odell there.
- 33:37Now, will we hit $2,000,000 per coin?
- 33:40I mean, that sounds absurd. But if I told you in January of
- 33:462017 when the price of Bitcoin just broke 1000, that at the end
- 33:51of the year it was going to be at $20,000, you would have given
- 33:55me the same response. You would have been like, you're
- 33:58crazy. That's that's absurd.
- 34:00So I don't know where bitcoins going to end up at the end of
- 34:03the year, but like look a 5X from the top or a 3X from the
- 34:09top IS300 thousand $500,000 Bitcoin that that's not a lot in
- 34:14Bitcoin terms. And everyone has to remember on
- 34:17a historic in a historic sense, Bitcoin tends to perform the
- 34:21best the year after the halving and that year is this year.
- 34:26That year is 2025. Opti straight up your alley,
- 34:29bro. Hopium straight in the morning
- 34:31coming from Odell himself. Odell tends to be, you know,
- 34:35very reserved when it comes to price speculation and all that
- 34:38stuff, but I think his logic is very sound and how he got to
- 34:43those conclusions. What do you think?
- 34:45Yeah, well, first of all, shouts out to American Huddle because I
- 34:48also was reading between the lines and it does sound like
- 34:50Odell was saying $3,000,000 Bitcoin.
- 34:53No, that's yeah, man, I I'm the reigning bullet hard on the
- 34:58show. And I've been saying something
- 35:01very similar as Matt Odell for I don't even know, probably the
- 35:06majority of last year. And we, you know, we dove into
- 35:10all of what we thought were the reasons, whether it was the
- 35:13China mining ban, whether it was like what Odell was saying with,
- 35:17you know, FTX, Celsius block file, all of that fake Bitcoin
- 35:21paper, Bitcoin being sold, which was artificially suppressing the
- 35:25price. And This is why we probably had
- 35:27a lack lackluster bull run in 2021.
- 35:31And I've been saying for again for a long time that it, to me,
- 35:35it feels like we are going to get like a double pent up demand
- 35:40now with this next bull run and potentially this year.
- 35:43And, and you know, as much as I do like the Super cycle meme,
- 35:47I'm still kind of like I did. I don't think we're there yet.
- 35:50But if what Odell is saying does play out, you know, we go to
- 35:55something ridiculous like $2,000,000 per coin for a split
- 35:59second. And then the bear market comes
- 36:01down to like whatever, 400K or something per coin, whatever the
- 36:05mass is. Like I am OK with that cycle
- 36:07playing out. And it really is licking in the
- 36:10past just a normal Bitcoin cycle.
- 36:13And so I'm also kind of in the camp that I think the the having
- 36:17cycles are still in play. And I think we are going to see
- 36:21an incredible blow off top, especially considering all of
- 36:24the demand that we're seeing. 2024 was a foundational year
- 36:27where institutional capital is able to come into Bitcoin now
- 36:30with everything. And we're going to cover some of
- 36:31this stuff right now in the in the news segment.
- 36:34With all the new ruling and regulation that is potentially
- 36:36on the horizon and already in place, it does seem like we're
- 36:40going to get a lot of capital, get injected into the Bitcoin
- 36:44market just itself. And to me, that just means, you
- 36:47know, we'll probably get like a double blow off top, which may
- 36:50be the price is going to run to an extraordinary price here.
- 36:55And, you know, as a Bitcoiner, you forget how it feels to see
- 37:00the Bitcoin price run. And Mike Odell was saying when
- 37:03the price does start running and you start to, you know,
- 37:07essentially price your net worth in like yachts and houses and
- 37:11supercars, that's when you know the blow off top is coming.
- 37:15And when you see the price start going to crazy levels, it really
- 37:19does feel like it's never coming back down.
- 37:21And we haven't felt that in a long time in Bitcoin and with
- 37:24everything playing out, whether it's institutional capital.
- 37:27Should we pull it up Opti? Should we pull up the psychology
- 37:29of Wall Street? I mean, you can, yeah, pull it
- 37:31up while I'll rent a little more because I do.
- 37:34I do want to hit one more point, but yeah, once the price starts
- 37:37running and you you're in Bitcoin, like every morning is
- 37:41like Christmas morning and you see the price just keep running
- 37:44and you're like, yo, this is absolutely insane.
- 37:47And seeing your net worth, you know, double and triple and like
- 37:50you get more, you know, more in a day than people make in a
- 37:54year. Like it starts to literally blow
- 37:57your mind and your psychology starts you, you really start to
- 38:00get rewired and like, this is absolutely insane.
- 38:02Now the second part before you pull up the chart, Nico, that I
- 38:05also want to touch on is what Odell was saying in the end.
- 38:09Like I know a lot of Bitcoiners are saying that the shit coin,
- 38:14what's it shit coin season or whatever they want to call it,
- 38:16like it's never going to happen again.
- 38:18I think we're going to see a whole new level of it.
- 38:21Like Odell was saying, we're seeing, you know, Wall Street
- 38:24come into Bitcoin and the stuff about the vague and the Bitcoin
- 38:28bonds and what was it Bitwise? I think buying, you know,
- 38:32Bitcoin standard treasury fund or whatever that whatever it was
- 38:37that were that they did like it's gonna compound and Wall
- 38:40Street is gonna continue to play dumb Wall Street games to
- 38:43essentially try to acquire as many fees as possible.
- 38:46And I think we're entering in a new round of shit coiner, though
- 38:50it might be on top of Bitcoin and it's going to obviously be
- 38:53using paper mechanism, traditional financial, you know,
- 38:57accounting to to pump these bags.
- 39:00And so yes, maybe this shit coin space might not be as pumpy as
- 39:04it used to be, but I think we're going to see a whole new round
- 39:07from Wall Street because Wall Street can't help themselves.
- 39:09And it's going to be very glorious to see Wall Street get
- 39:12absolutely wrecked trying to play these games with Bitcoin.
- 39:14And like that's going to be the tears that I'm going to be most
- 39:17excited for. Really kind of, you know,
- 39:19latching on to what our boy Nolan says all the time on his
- 39:22old show, the breakup. He just, you know, shouts out to
- 39:25Nolan. He just spun up a new which I'm
- 39:27super hyped to watch. Bitcoin is going to
- 39:30fundamentally break Wall Street and we're going to, in the next
- 39:355-10 years in the Bitcoin industry or rather the Bitcoin
- 39:38network itself, prove that the people at Wall Street aren't the
- 39:41smartest people in the room and they're going to continue to do
- 39:44their degeneracy. They're going to get wrecked.
- 39:46There isn't going to be circuit Breakers to save them.
- 39:49So we might need one final flush here and it's going to be with
- 39:53Wall Street. So, you know, I wouldn't be
- 39:55holding shit coins. Obviously, this is simply
- 39:57Bitcoin, but we know that Wall Street's going to be playing
- 39:59some really degenerate games and they can't help themselves.
- 40:03And part of that means that they're going to get wrecked.
- 40:05And you know when the water. Seeds, when the tide goes back,
- 40:08we're going to see who isn't wearing pants here and all of us
- 40:11humble bit corners just stacking, you know, staving,
- 40:14staying solvent, acquiring as much Bitcoin, playing the
- 40:18accumulation games like we're the ones that are going to win
- 40:20while everyone gets crazy. So back to what I was saying.
- 40:23When you start pricing your net worth and all this crazy Fiat
- 40:27games, that's when you know you should be staying humble and
- 40:29stacking as much Bitcoin as possible because that's when
- 40:32you're most likely to get wrecked.
- 40:34So I don't think we're out of the woods yet.
- 40:35It's going to be a crazy 5 to 10 years.
- 40:37I think this is going to be a multi decade generational thing.
- 40:40But hey, we're in it for the long run.
- 40:42Just stay humble, stack sad, stay solvent.
- 40:44This is how we win. Absolutely I think that's a
- 40:47really, really good point. I also, I dropped a poll guys in
- 40:50the YouTube chat right now and I want to pull this up so we can
- 40:55talk about it. So guys, at the end of the day,
- 40:58you know, we, we look markets. It's a it's psychology, right?
- 41:04It's psychology and it's just the way it is and you feel it.
- 41:08You feel this, you know, at the tops, you feel this at the
- 41:11bottoms, you feel the full despair.
- 41:14Let me know where you guys think we are.
- 41:16I I, I dropped it. I said, where are we in the
- 41:19Bitcoin cycle? Are we at disbelief?
- 41:21Are we at hope? Are we at optimism?
- 41:22Are we belief? And I pull up the chart so it
- 41:26shows you kind of, you know, where everything is, right?
- 41:29There's capitulation, there's anger, there's depression,
- 41:32right? And and again, if you've been in
- 41:34Bitcoin long enough, you have felt every single one of these
- 41:38emotions, right? It's all part of it.
- 41:40But I'll tell you what I do not I opti.
- 41:43Let me ask you, like, do you feel belief?
- 41:47Have you felt belief? Belief yet?
- 41:49I have not felt belief yet. No.
- 41:50Optimism. Kind of.
- 41:52Kind of. I think we're in the like hope
- 41:54and we're about to hit the optimism like it this.
- 41:58It really feels like we're at the but.
- 42:00It's a point where it's like it's a finicky hope.
- 42:02Yeah, it's I'm. Starting to feel the like I I've
- 42:05yet to see, especially since we haven't broken past 100 Ki have
- 42:08yet to feel the like this rally's real moment.
- 42:11And so I think we're like, you know, at that consolidation
- 42:14before the optimism pump. So yeah, I I would say that's
- 42:19where we're at. It's it's like a finicky hope.
- 42:22Let us know in the in the live chat guys what you think right
- 42:25now, 57 of you guys, 58 of you guys voted the vast majority.
- 42:30No, not the vast majority. It's tied between 34% of people
- 42:34think it's hope, 37% of people think it's optimism.
- 42:39So it seems like they agree with us, Opti.
- 42:41It's between the hope and optimism stage is where a lot of
- 42:45people think we are. I don't think we're even close
- 42:48to belief. We're not close to thrill.
- 42:51I haven't felt euphoria. I'm I'm basically dead inside
- 42:54metaphorically. I haven't felt that like in a
- 42:57very, very long time, at least since 2021 and it was cut short.
- 43:022021 was a was a big let down. So anyways, let us know in the
- 43:05chat where you guys believe we're at.
- 43:08But guys, we're going to hit the news.
- 43:09We have tons to talk about today, specifically the news
- 43:13Standard Charter debuts crypto services in Europe with new
- 43:18license and they talk about offering custody.
- 43:23Now, if you guys don't remember, one of the things that Michael
- 43:26Saylor said needed to happen in order for Bitcoin to hit
- 43:30$5,000,000 per coin was for banks to be able to custody
- 43:36Bitcoin. So it seems like that's moving
- 43:39ahead, full steam ahead. So we're going to cover that
- 43:41news. We'll be right back.
- 43:43We're going to hit the news. I want to give a very special
- 43:46shout out to our sponsor Compass Mining.
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- 46:06Anyways, I have a special treat for you guys other than Opti.
- 46:12I have a video, and essentially it's the video of Michael Saylor
- 46:18explaining the three catalysts that need to happen in order for
- 46:22Bitcoin to hit $5,000,000 per coin.
- 46:25Let me put it at 1.2 times the speed because it's a little bit
- 46:29slow. There we go.
- 46:30Let's play it and then we're going to talk about it.
- 46:33I think there's three things. Look, first of all, it's going
- 46:35up by a factor of 10. Why do they fix any of the
- 46:37stuff, right? It's going to go a lot.
- 46:38It's going to be a grind up by a factor of 10 just because gold
- 46:41is broken and the coins going to replace gold and now everybody
- 46:45in the universe knows they need a non sovereign store of value
- 46:47in the form of a bearer instrument.
- 46:49So now they're looking the amount of stories for last year.
- 46:53People said inflation may be coming, we're not sure.
- 46:55Now the mainstream narrative is flipped to inflation is here,
- 46:57you need inflation hedge. So it's going to grind up to
- 47:00replace gold. It'll go to $500,000 a coin
- 47:02regardless of whether they fix these things.
- 47:04But there are three things that are massive catalyst that cause
- 47:07an acceleration. And I don't think that those
- 47:10three things don't take us to 500,000, they take us to 5
- 47:12million a coin, right? Those three things are a spot
- 47:16ETF where someone can go ahead and buy $100 million of Bitcoin
- 47:19by a security, an ETF security. I think that's 1/2 is your bank
- 47:24is going to custody it for you and lend against it.
- 47:27And three is I can mark it up or mark it down on my balance sheet
- 47:32based on fair value. Para pursue, it'll be para
- 47:35pursue to the way I'd handle Apple stock or at least that
- 47:37good if it's if you have property with fair value
- 47:40accounting by the way, it becomes parapusu to the way
- 47:44you'd handle Treasury bonds on a Treasury balance sheet.
- 47:47Treasuries are better than stocks because Treasury is
- 47:50property, whereas the stock is a security and you're tapped out
- 47:53at 40% of your balance sheet is security.
- 47:55So, so it would be a major, major breakthrough if you saw
- 47:59any of those three things. And I'll end with this one
- 48:02observation I tweeted this last week.
- 48:03But I still, I think it's very powerful.
- 48:05It's if the banks can hold this stuff on their balance sheet,
- 48:08then a whole new class of investors are going to buy it.
- 48:11People are going to put in billion and multi billion dollar
- 48:13orders to buy it as a treasury asset.
- 48:15Nobody's going to sell it because, because there's no
- 48:17reason to sell it if you can borrow against it at Libor plus
- 48:20art sulfur plus 50 basis points, right?
- 48:24So you'll be, you'll be boring against Bitcoin.
- 48:25It's so for plus 50 or so, for plus 100 basis points, no one's
- 48:28ever going to sell it. And then as I joked, you won't
- 48:31be able to afford it. I mean, you will be able to
- 48:32afford it, but you know, everybody gets Bitcoin at the
- 48:34price they deserve when the banks normalize it and you can
- 48:37draw $100 million credit line at 100 basis points from an FDIC
- 48:41insured bank at that point, right?
- 48:44We're going to blow through the market cap of gold by a factor
- 48:46of 10, right? So I, you know, I think the best
- 48:49thing is those three things are highly likely to happen.
- 48:52I don't know if they happened in 36 months or 24 months or 12
- 48:54months, but I would be shocked if it's more than 36 months.
- 48:57And I hope, guys, I hope it doesn't happen in 12 months,
- 49:01because my view is the longer it takes, the more progressive the
- 49:04grind, the more time I have to buy more of it.
- 49:07So he was 100. What was the date on this?
- 49:12Wasn't this? 20 dude it was 2022 bro.
- 49:15I wish I brought microstrategies.
- 49:17I don't know what I was thinking, dude.
- 49:18Like, come on now. OK, so let's break it down for
- 49:23anyone. Let's, let's weave it back in.
- 49:25Let's, let's lame the three. Let's name the three points #1
- 49:28change in the fasby accounting rules so that it could properly
- 49:32reflect, you know, on, on, on, on on a company's balance sheet,
- 49:37the the benefits of Bitcoin accounting wise #2 the approval
- 49:41of a spot Bitcoin ETF and #3 the ability for banks to custody
- 49:46Bitcoin. First, two things have already
- 49:50happened. Those things have already come
- 49:52to fruition. Remember in the beginning of
- 49:54last year, January 10th of 2024. Literally a year ago.
- 49:59Literally a year ago or a year ago tomorrow the approval of the
- 50:03spot Bitcoin ETF, but Gary Genzer was like grinding his
- 50:06teeth in the process also the change in the fasbi accounting
- 50:10rules. I'll, I'll read you some of the
- 50:12details here. The, the financial accounting
- 50:15standards boards issued new accounting rules for crypto
- 50:19assets in December of 2023, which will take effect for
- 50:22fiscal years beginning after December 15th, 2024.
- 50:28So this just came into effect, right?
- 50:31And then the reason I wanted to cover this topic today is
- 50:35Standard Chartered debuts crypto services in Europe with new
- 50:39license Now goes on to say Standard Chartered, one of the
- 50:42world's largest banks, is debuting cryptocurrency services
- 50:46in Europe after obtaining a digital asset license in
- 50:49Luxembourg. The bank announced on January
- 50:529th that it is establishing a new entity in Luxembourg to act
- 50:57as its European Union regulatory entry point for offering crypto
- 51:01and digital asset custody services.
- 51:06I'm going to say that again. The bank announced on January
- 51:119th that is establishing a new entity in Luxembourg to act as
- 51:15its European Union regulatory entry point for offering crypto
- 51:20and digital asset custody services.
- 51:25So one of the largest banks, the TLDR, one of the largest banks
- 51:29in the world has just announced today that they're offering
- 51:34custody services. And that was the third thing,
- 51:40the third catalyst that Michael Saylor said needed to happen in
- 51:45order for Bitcoin to hit $5,000,000 per coin and actually
- 51:4910X the market cap of gold. Now, the reason that this is so,
- 51:54this is such a big deal is because again, banks need to
- 51:58have this ability in order for people to effectively use
- 52:02Bitcoin as collateral. Because at the end of the day,
- 52:05Bitcoin is the best collateral ever on the face of the planet.
- 52:09It's superior to gold, it's superior to real estate because
- 52:13it's physical characteristics. You could send it anywhere
- 52:16immediately, anywhere around the world.
- 52:18You can verify the custody of it.
- 52:21You can verify that it's real. Like imagine verifying gold, you
- 52:25know, like how do you verify the authenticity of gold?
- 52:28You have to literally open up the gold bar and make sure that
- 52:31there isn't tungsten inside, right?
- 52:33So, yes, I mean, this is massive.
- 52:36This is huge. And to connect the dots with
- 52:39what Odell was saying earlier on the show when we played you guys
- 52:43that clip, this is what he was talking about.
- 52:45Like all bets are off. When Wall Street and Tradfi come
- 52:49in here and they start getting a taste of number go up
- 52:53technology. I think things are going to go
- 52:55absolutely crazy and they already are going absolutely
- 52:59crazy. So bullish news overall.
- 53:02Standard Chartered Bank announces that they are
- 53:06releasing custody services in Europe with a license.
- 53:10Everything checking all the regulatory check box.
- 53:15Now, of course, is this good for the revolution?
- 53:17Not necessarily the revolution, individuals taking Bitcoin into
- 53:20self custody. But regardless, from a number go
- 53:24up perspective, I think this is incredibly, incredibly bullish
- 53:28news. Opti, what's your opinion?
- 53:30Yeah. Well, also let's not forget that
- 53:33BNY Mellon also got approval in the States.
- 53:35So now we have it on, you know, both sides of the Atlantic that
- 53:39there are banks that are now essentially going to be able to
- 53:42custody that Bitcoin. Now, personally, I would not
- 53:45trust the bank to custody my Bitcoin, but I do understand
- 53:48that for a lot of people out there, they still have some
- 53:52semblance of trust in these institutions.
- 53:54And so that is going to allow for a lot of capital to start to
- 53:58flow into Bitcoin because of these quote, you know,
- 54:00safeguards out there. And so it is obviously very
- 54:04bullish in regards to price. It does seem like Bitcoin is
- 54:07maturing. It's starting to saturate all of
- 54:09Tradfi and you know, quoting something that I said, I think
- 54:12it was last week or maybe the beginning of this week, is that
- 54:16to have Bitcoin fundamentally take over the world, we do have
- 54:20to use all of the traditional financial technology that is out
- 54:24there. And that's how Bitcoin
- 54:26completely wins. And so as much as a Bitcoin, I'm
- 54:29a purist where I'm like, you should be holding your Bitcoin
- 54:31in personal custody. I do understand the need for
- 54:35using all of the tools available to us from the traditional
- 54:38financial sector to help proliferate and push the
- 54:42adoption of Bitcoin. So as much as I wouldn't be
- 54:45using banks, obviously this is one of those developments that
- 54:48I've been saying with is further proof that Bitcoin is maturing.
- 54:522024 seemed to be the year where we put the foundational bricks
- 54:55down so that now, you know, Bitcoin is, is thoroughly
- 54:59saturating popular culture. And I think 2025, as we do see
- 55:03the price start to run, I think it's going to be very hard to
- 55:06ignore Bitcoin. It's going I, I really do feel
- 55:08like we're going to see that 2017 type bull run and the FOMO
- 55:13that we're going to see is kind of going, you know, harkening
- 55:16back to what Odell was saying in the beginning of the show.
- 55:19Maybe we do see some crazy, you know, 7 figure prices in
- 55:24Bitcoin, even if it's just for a moment.
- 55:26And I, I do think that retail is going to come back very strong
- 55:30in the Bitcoin once all of this FUD is really put the rest
- 55:34because as we've been showing it, especially on this show
- 55:36today, the, the powers that be are starting to lose control of
- 55:41not only the economy, but the narrative here.
- 55:44And hey, if it does come out and show that the, the Biden
- 55:48minister sold all that Bitcoin and yet they're sabotaging us a
- 55:52potential to pay back the debt, I think people, I think more
- 55:56people are going to wake up. And so yes, I think this is a
- 55:58great development. Obviously, I'm not, I'm not the
- 56:01biggest fan of banks, but hey, we knew this was going to happen
- 56:04eventually, but it's still more important than ever for all of
- 56:07us to take Bitcoin into custody, continue to run those, etcetera.
- 56:11But in regards to kind of one thing Odell was also saying in
- 56:14the beginning, I think one of the bigger stories that for us
- 56:17Bitcoiners is old news at this point is just how big of a bad
- 56:21impact or rather negative impact the FTX, you know, Sam Bakeman
- 56:25freed moment had on the industry.
- 56:27And we're still kind of getting out of that.
- 56:29And so, hey, you know, as much as we don't trust banks, there's
- 56:32still people that do trust banks.
- 56:33And I'm sure they'd much rather trust a bank than a SPF
- 56:37character to hold their wealth. So this is seemingly a good
- 56:41development in the Bitcoin space.
- 56:43I'm sure we will see some other banks follow soon or or maybe
- 56:47you know, the the powers that be.
- 56:48We are picking winners and choosers still.
- 56:50But it's looking like, you know, in 11 days, well, we will see
- 56:54some clarity. Obviously, it won't happen day
- 56:56one here. But I think if Trump does is if
- 57:00Trump is able to get into office first and foremost.
- 57:04We'll. We'll see some crazy stuff, some
- 57:07crazy stuff happen right now, especially when you consider
- 57:09what's going on in the macro landscape, You know, the
- 57:13treasuries aren't looking very strong right now and people are
- 57:16trying to move away from treasuries.
- 57:17So people are looking for an alternative and I know a lot of
- 57:20people, we even have people in the chat that say it all the
- 57:22time. It's like we're going back to a
- 57:24gold standard and it's like okay bro, like happening.
- 57:29And to me it's going to go to Bitcoin.
- 57:32So, hey, you can make your bet and go into gold and keep your
- 57:36purchasing power level for, you know, the next 20 years if you
- 57:39want, or you can follow the wave and remember the, the report
- 57:43from Fidelity, obviously now Fidelity is kind of like a
- 57:46Bitcoin company and now they, they have the whole digital
- 57:48asset wing. So maybe maybe it is a little
- 57:51biased, but I really like the, the part of the report where it
- 57:55says like, yeah, you're not late to Bitcoin, you're just early to
- 57:58a new era. And this is where we are right
- 58:00now. So hey, you know, have fun with
- 58:02your pet rock, AKA a yellow rock, and we'll have fun playing
- 58:06with our Bitcoin. So hey, like the bets are on.
- 58:09Let's go. Yeah, absolutely.
- 58:11Opti's on effing fire today. All right, ladies and gentlemen,
- 58:15stay tuned. We have a lot to cover.
- 58:17We'll be right back. We're going to hit the culture.
- 58:19I don't even know what Opti's going to cover today, so I'm
- 58:21excited. I want to give a shout out to
- 58:25our sponsor Hive Digital Technologies.
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- 58:59hivedigitaltech.com. I totally just cut opti off I.
- 59:14Apologize, I was just going to tease.
- 59:17It he cuts me off all the time so.
- 59:20Speaking of, Speaking of. Sorry, not sorry guys.
- 59:25I do want to give a very special shout out to simply bitcoins
- 59:28sponsor bit block boom. Guys this is going to be one of
- 59:31the best Bitcoin conferences of the effing year.
- 59:35It's going to be amazing the year of the parabola.
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- 1:00:02the lunch, they have the dinner, they have the workshops, they
- 1:00:05have the conference days. It's going to be absolutely
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- 1:00:16It's going to be one of the best Bitcoin celebrations of the
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- 1:00:54All right, everybody, Opti. Let's not pull this up yet.
- 1:00:58What do you have for us today? Yeah, so shout out the wine that
- 1:01:01gives. He's trolling us in the chat.
- 1:01:03Shouts out to you bro crack it up okay okay guys well look it's
- 1:01:09the new year you know we're in 2025 we haven't had a chance to
- 1:01:13kind of talk about you know not not like self helpy here but
- 1:01:17some goals for 2025. Obviously, everyone likes to set
- 1:01:20goals for 2025 and so today shout out to my boy Mitchell
- 1:01:25Hoddle Zoomer out there absolute go I I love his work and I'm
- 1:01:30really going to just kind of steal his ideas here.
- 1:01:33So I'm crediting Mitchell Hoddle here completely on today's
- 1:01:37culture, but I think it's a great framework considering that
- 1:01:41every Bitcoin has the stacking goals.
- 1:01:43We all want a stacking goal, you know, and as the price starts
- 1:01:47running, I think it's, it's very important to I, I wouldn't say
- 1:01:52be realistic because I want you guys to, to strive for
- 1:01:56excellence, strive for vitality, you know, with, with some, some
- 1:02:00willpower, get to your goals. And obviously the goal we've
- 1:02:03always been talking about here for a long time on simply
- 1:02:06Bitcoin is just try to acquire one Bitcoin.
- 1:02:08And when Nico and I kind of got into Bitcoin, we had our boy
- 1:02:11American Hodo being like get to 6.15 Bitcoin and that was out of
- 1:02:14the reach for a lot of people. And so shouts out to Mitchell
- 1:02:17Hodo. I'm gonna pull up his tweet now
- 1:02:19because he is, I, I think might be hitting on a trend here.
- 1:02:24So again, at Mitchell Hoddle on Twitter, I'm gonna read his
- 1:02:27tweet and then we'll kind of talk about it.
- 1:02:29Considering we are in the new year, people are setting New
- 1:02:31Year's goals. I'm sure as a Bitcoiner, you're
- 1:02:34setting stacking goals and you should be thinking about your
- 1:02:37finances moving into 2025 and make sure that you stick to
- 1:02:40these because as the price of Bitcoin gets crazy, we want you
- 1:02:44guys to stay solvent, stay humble stacks.
- 1:02:45That's all that good thing. Anyways, Mitchell Harto isn't
- 1:02:48the only one thinking about this, but he is able to put this
- 1:02:50in this tweet that that I, I think is really great.
- 1:02:53So I'm gonna, I'm gonna jump off the work here for Mitchell
- 1:02:55Harto. All credits to Mitchell He goes.
- 1:02:57I've been thinking about I've been thinking about this a lot
- 1:03:00recently. How much Bitcoin is enough?
- 1:03:02Of course, American huddle in our day called for 6.15 British
- 1:03:06huddle all of last year was calling for one Bitcoin.
- 1:03:09Now for most people, the 6.15 train is probably gone,
- 1:03:12including a lot of single digit millionaire boomers out there.
- 1:03:16So getting to 1 Bitcoin is still possible for the paper wealthy
- 1:03:19boomers if they're willing to like he lock or take an early
- 1:03:22withdrawal penalty on the retirement account.
- 1:03:25But if they haven't already begun stacking by now, they are
- 1:03:27likely too much of A coward to run off the Tran 5 plantation in
- 1:03:31such a big way. So it begs the question, what
- 1:03:34should the universal stacking goal be for the class of 2025?
- 1:03:37Obviously, it's a new class, a new era.
- 1:03:40More people are going to join in the Bitcoin.
- 1:03:42And if you start saying, you know, get the 6.15 or one in
- 1:03:46Bitcoin, maybe it turns people off.
- 1:03:47But personally, that makes me want to stack more Bitcoin.
- 1:03:50And, and that's the whole point here.
- 1:03:52So what if you're a young person just starting your career?
- 1:03:55What if you haven't had decades to accumulate assets that could
- 1:03:57be reallocated to Bitcoin? What if you work a quote normal
- 1:04:00job, have bills to pay, kids to feed, and minimal surplus
- 1:04:03income? If you just got Bitcoin within
- 1:04:05the last year, stacking 100 million SAT's one whole Bitcoin
- 1:04:09is an impossible task if you're starting from zero, especially
- 1:04:12as this thing continues to run up, which we expect it to do
- 1:04:16this year in 2025. So what are you to do?
- 1:04:19And this is I think the crazy part.
- 1:04:20Whereas the longer you are in Bitcoin, the more you realize
- 1:04:24that the stack you have currently might be in an
- 1:04:27astronomical amount of wealth moving forward.
- 1:04:30And so Mitchell Harto is putting, you know, speculating
- 1:04:32here. And so what's the new number?
- 1:04:34What number should you try to acquire in Bitcoin if you are
- 1:04:37new to Bitcoin? And he says just .33 Bitcoin or
- 1:04:4033 million sets or 1/3 of a coin At 100K Bitcoin, this is roughly
- 1:04:46$33,000 worth of Bitcoin. And the median net worth for an
- 1:04:49American in their 30s is about $35,000.
- 1:04:53So safe to assume most of that isn't liquid.
- 1:04:56But boldly assuming they have 10K lying around, they can smash
- 1:05:00by and get themselves their first 10 million sats or .1
- 1:05:03Bitcoin or a 10th of a coin. And if they bring in 45 KA year
- 1:05:08after tax and aggressively stacked with half of their
- 1:05:10income, they should be able to call their way to a 33 million
- 1:05:13sats or 1/3 of a Bitcoin over the next few years as the
- 1:05:16Bitcoin price rips higher into the six figure territory.
- 1:05:20Now this is where the interesting stuff happens.
- 1:05:23Let's do some napkin math. There's going to be, you know,
- 1:05:26essentially hard cap 21 million Bitcoin, but when you look at
- 1:05:29how much lost Bitcoin is out there, how much Bitcoin is held
- 1:05:32in strong hands, the mass starts getting crazy.
- 1:05:35So there's a million Bitcoin, which is the Satoshi coins,
- 1:05:38there's roughly about 5 million Bitcoin that are lost and that
- 1:05:42might be a lowball estimate. And then there's 5 million
- 1:05:45Bitcoin that are perma huddled, which is, you know, in strong
- 1:05:48hands. Now you're down to about 10
- 1:05:50million Bitcoin. Now the US government has
- 1:05:53200,000. Maybe it's less now you know,
- 1:05:56China has about, I forget what the number is like 175,000
- 1:05:59Bitcoin. So I expect Trump will pad an
- 1:06:02SBR up to a nice clean 1,000,000, but we'll go with
- 1:06:05this for now. So well, that's still
- 1:06:08speculation, but 500,000 for micro strategy, 1.1 million
- 1:06:12Bitcoin in the ETS and obviously those keep climbing.
- 1:06:16So now we're looking at roughly maybe, you know, 8.2 million
- 1:06:20Bitcoin that are realistically available.
- 1:06:22So for 8 billion people on the earth to compete for 8.2 million
- 1:06:27Bitcoin, that's about .001 Bitcoin, which is 100,000 sets.
- 1:06:32So the math starts going down. You're like, yo, this is getting
- 1:06:35crazy. So having a third of a Bitcoin
- 1:06:37will put you more than 300 times above the average.
- 1:06:41And moreover, if we reach sat down parity in real terms, this
- 1:06:44would be $3.3 million in purchasing power and not for a
- 1:06:48modest retirement. Now, the point is, try to get as
- 1:06:51many sets as possible. But if you're young, if you're a
- 1:06:53new listener, if you're, you know, barely getting into
- 1:06:56Bitcoin, dipping your toes into Bitcoin, maybe 1/3 of a Bitcoin
- 1:06:59is a decent goal for 2025. Now, of course, we highly
- 1:07:05recommend that you just try to stack as much Bitcoin as
- 1:07:09possible. This is the goal.
- 1:07:10I really do think we should strive for excellence here.
- 1:07:13So if you do have the possibility of getting to 1
- 1:07:17Bitcoin, maybe you don't do it all in one year, Maybe that's
- 1:07:20over, you know, a lifetime. Maybe that's in the next bear
- 1:07:23market. Who knows what's going on.
- 1:07:25But while I was kind of thinking about this, obviously if 2025
- 1:07:29people are setting their goals, usually their goals are like go
- 1:07:31to the gym, you know, get fit, which I was trolling Nico about
- 1:07:35earlier, but there should be financial goals right now.
- 1:07:38And I think we all need to set some financial goals.
- 1:07:41And I think if you're new here, 1/3 of a Bitcoin might be it,
- 1:07:44you know, it might be something you can do.
- 1:07:47And again, while I was thinking about this, I was kind of
- 1:07:49inspired by Nikko's story, not the docs, Nikko's story the
- 1:07:52whole time. Nikko's talked about it a lot.
- 1:07:55But in 2016, you know, when Nikko got into Bitcoin,
- 1:07:59basically starting from zero, sleeping on friends, couches,
- 1:08:02doing whatever he can to stack Bitcoin.
- 1:08:04If you're a young buck, you know, maybe under 30, maybe if
- 1:08:08you're hitting thirty, you shouldn't probably do this.
- 1:08:10But like in your mid 20s, maybe you should be doing something
- 1:08:13similar. Like, it might not be glorious
- 1:08:16right now, but like moving in with your parents, living on
- 1:08:18your friend's couch, stacking as much Bitcoin as possible, taking
- 1:08:22on a second job, door Dashing, Uber and whatever you got to do
- 1:08:26right now, it's not the time to take the foot off.
- 1:08:28Yeah, you take your foot off the gas pedal.
- 1:08:30Because even when I got it in 2017, and I'm sure Nico feels
- 1:08:33the same way, like, you know, we, we did as much as we could
- 1:08:37at the moment, but in hindsight, we're still thinking like, man,
- 1:08:40I could have probably gone harder.
- 1:08:42Like I could have definitely gone harder.
- 1:08:44And so for everyone out there, it's really just, you know, this
- 1:08:48is one of those moments where I want you guys to strive for
- 1:08:51excellence. So doesn't matter what your
- 1:08:53holdings are right now, this isn't about, you know, pocket
- 1:08:56watching other Bitcoiners. This is about your personal
- 1:08:59finances. What can you accomplish in 2025
- 1:09:02and where is your stack right now?
- 1:09:05And how much are you willing to sacrifice to live a better life
- 1:09:07in five to 10 years? And I think we should all
- 1:09:10continue to do this even if we do have Bitcoin already, even if
- 1:09:13we have a decent stack and we're OK with our stack, I think we
- 1:09:16should all kind of focus on let's get our cash flow up for
- 1:09:202025. Let's make sure that the simply
- 1:09:23Bitcoin audience out there is the richest audience period.
- 1:09:27And we are at the peak of excellent, a peak of human
- 1:09:30excellence here. So I don't know, I, I'm going to
- 1:09:33give all of the credit to Mitchell Hoddle shouts out to
- 1:09:36him. I'm kind of just jumping off the
- 1:09:38back of his work. You know, I'm basically stealing
- 1:09:41his work here today. But I was thinking about this
- 1:09:43exact thing and like, OK, it's 2025.
- 1:09:46Maybe maybe, you know, we got to put the put the gas or put your
- 1:09:50foot on the pedal and try to stack as much as possible, get
- 1:09:52our cash flows up. Maybe there's a chance for us to
- 1:09:55acquire more Bitcoin than we thought.
- 1:09:57If we do enter a bear market, you know, if we just do a slow
- 1:10:01grind up forever, then just do what you can.
- 1:10:05But if 2025 is a crazy parabolic year and we do return to maybe
- 1:10:10this level or the mid 6 figures, I just don't want you guys to
- 1:10:14feel like you could have done more.
- 1:10:15This is this is a time like this is a time where you can change
- 1:10:18literally the trajectory of your entire bloodline.
- 1:10:21Take this moment very seriously. This is a very important moment
- 1:10:25in the history of humanity. And you're on the front lines,
- 1:10:28man. Let let's not let's not be,
- 1:10:30let's not be OK with being average here at simply Bitcoin.
- 1:10:33Keep stacking. You know, it's very interesting,
- 1:10:36Nika, and this is where I'll pass it off to you.
- 1:10:38It is so, so interesting. And we always do the how Which
- 1:10:42Bitcoin do you need to retire? 1 You guys yell at us
- 1:10:44constantly, but it is interesting you guys love.
- 1:10:47That episode it gets numbers every time.
- 1:10:49And it's funny how the number just keeps going down.
- 1:10:51Like 6.15 was attainable for a lot of us in 2017.
- 1:10:55One Bitcoin was attainable for a lot of us going up into 2025.
- 1:10:59Now we're seeing 2025 like with 100K Bitcoin. 100K is a lot of
- 1:11:04money for many people, especially when you consider the
- 1:11:07the the average the national average.
- 1:11:09In the US in particular, which is one of the wealthiest nations
- 1:11:12in the world, most people barely have $10,000 saved.
- 1:11:15Most people can barely pay for a $400.00 emergency.
- 1:11:19So savings is how you basically secure and make society more
- 1:11:25prosperous. Guys do not get caught in these
- 1:11:27memes of like oh you're hoarding these bitcoins you're a bad
- 1:11:31person. It's like no savings is how we
- 1:11:33built society. Continue to save, double down on
- 1:11:36your saving, make some sacrifices this year and keep
- 1:11:39stacking. Anyways, I'm done ran I I I feel
- 1:11:43good New Year's. I'm feeling Nico, I told you
- 1:11:46this morning I'm like jacked up this more than usual today and I
- 1:11:48only drink 2 cups of coffee. So I don't know I'm I'm I'm got
- 1:11:52a new supplement regimen. Your boys fired up today, but
- 1:11:55Nico, what's his thoughts? Mitchell Hoddle 33 million stats
- 1:11:581/3 of a Bitcoin. It seems like our goals here at
- 1:12:02as Stackers are just slowly but surely going down because, hey,
- 1:12:06you know, Jeff Booth meme here. Like as as Bitcoin goes up, the
- 1:12:10world should get cheaper. And if you're living on the
- 1:12:11Bitcoin standard, your life gets cheaper.
- 1:12:14It's such a life hack. It's absolutely incredible.
- 1:12:18Yeah, so I mean, first of all, you absolutely crushed it.
- 1:12:22And you know, I think it's, it's important to, to, it's important
- 1:12:29to kind of zoom out when in doubt, right?
- 1:12:32Like when I got into Bitcoin, you know, I felt like I was
- 1:12:38really late. I think the first coin I got was
- 1:12:41I got $700.00 or something like that, roughly around that area.
- 1:12:46And I was, and I knew people that got Bitcoin was like $100
- 1:12:49or like $10. And I felt like I was super
- 1:12:52late. But at the time I was pretty, I
- 1:12:55was somewhat young. I was like 2320222324 around
- 1:13:00that that age group. And I remember I did everything
- 1:13:05in my power to accumulate as much Bitcoin as humanly
- 1:13:10possible. So like I was putting like 80%
- 1:13:14of my income into Bitcoin and I, I really, really didn't do it
- 1:13:20for revolutionary reasons or whatever.
- 1:13:22I did it because I, I was desperate and I hated my
- 1:13:25situation and I did that for like, or like really, really
- 1:13:32like wake up in sweats, like thinking about, you know, what
- 1:13:36can I do? I was, I was working in real
- 1:13:39estate, you know, I was doing like basically everything in my
- 1:13:45in, in my power to like figure out, you know, how to mine more
- 1:13:52Fiat so I could buy more Bitcoin.
- 1:13:55And, you know, looking back, it was one of the best decisions
- 1:14:01I've ever made in my life financially.
- 1:14:04And you know, I got so much outside pressure at the time.
- 1:14:08It was like, go back to school or like do this job or like work
- 1:14:13the corporate ladder and like all that stuff.
- 1:14:15But I don't know what it was. I just, I just, I was like,
- 1:14:19Bitcoin is my way out, right? And I still think that same
- 1:14:24opportunity exists today. If, you know, if you're a young
- 1:14:29buck, like if you're just starting out, you know, you're
- 1:14:32hungry, you're in your 20s, early 20s, mid 20s.
- 1:14:37And you know, again, this is my 9th year.
- 1:14:41Holy shit. Dude, Boomer confirmed.
- 1:14:44Like. Nine years, dude.
- 1:14:46Like God damn. It's, it's, it's, it's pretty
- 1:14:52crazy, you know, but when I started, I, I was, I was broke.
- 1:14:56Like I, I didn't, you know, like I, I was, I was not in a good
- 1:14:58place. And you know, I just, I just
- 1:15:02kept going. I just put my head down and I
- 1:15:04acquired as much Bitcoin as possible.
- 1:15:06And if we're right about Bitcoin, if you think if this
- 1:15:08thing's going at $10 million per coin, you know, in 21 years,
- 1:15:12like .33 Bitcoin, what Opti is saying, that's three, that's
- 1:15:16$3.3 million, right? It's more money than most people
- 1:15:20will ever acquired in their, in their entirety of their lives.
- 1:15:26So I, I think that's something to keep in mind.
- 1:15:30And you know, I hope that like if you're just getting in, if
- 1:15:35this is your first cycle, perhaps this is your second
- 1:15:38cycle. What I always tell people is it
- 1:15:41takes 2 cycles to succeed in Bitcoin.
- 1:15:44And the reason I say that is because like the first cycle,
- 1:15:49you're probably going to get wrecked, like more than likely.
- 1:15:53And then the second, but at the end of the first cycle, so like
- 1:15:57four years, you're going to realize you made a good
- 1:15:58decision. And then the second cycle, full
- 1:16:02cycle, you're going to be relatively wealthier compared to
- 1:16:07the people around you, compared to where they're started,
- 1:16:10because remember, they're on a Fiat standard.
- 1:16:13And 3rd cycle, I don't know. I haven't, I'm not there yet.
- 1:16:15So I'll let you know how that ends up.
- 1:16:17But yeah, like that's the advice that I give to people is like
- 1:16:23plan for the long term. It takes 2 cycles in Bitcoin to
- 1:16:26really break free, to really be in a better financial situation
- 1:16:31compared to where you started. You don't need tons of capital,
- 1:16:34you don't need whatever. You just need to work hard and
- 1:16:38save in Bitcoin. Like that extra dinner or that
- 1:16:41extra trip could just like you don't need it, like just just
- 1:16:46put your head down, work saving Bitcoin and you know, things
- 1:16:52just get progressively better over time.
- 1:16:54But it's not a get rich quick scheme.
- 1:16:57It's not going to make you absurdly wealthy overnight or
- 1:17:00like whatever. That's why the all coins have so
- 1:17:03much appeal because of their volatility.
- 1:17:05But it's like it's a very sure bet to live a very prosperous
- 1:17:11life if you have like kind of like long term thinking, right?
- 1:17:17So yeah, that's what I would say.
- 1:17:19Like Bitcoin is hope. And if you are older, you've
- 1:17:23probably had more time to accumulate wealth.
- 1:17:26So it's not so much a matter of building from zero, but it's a
- 1:17:30matter of reallocating your wealth to Bitcoin because more
- 1:17:35than likely Bitcoin is going to outperform any other investment
- 1:17:39vehicle, investment asset, maybe except for MicroStrategy.
- 1:17:44No Buy Bitcoin, stop being. So, yeah, that's my advice.
- 1:17:55That's my advice. And you know, I, I'm very
- 1:17:58confident, very confident that, you know, very confident that if
- 1:18:04you're starting now, you're a young person or you're older
- 1:18:07person, you have wealth, you start saving a Bitcoin,
- 1:18:11reallocating those resources to Bitcoin.
- 1:18:13You start now. In four years, you're going to
- 1:18:16call me or you're going to text me and you're going to be like,
- 1:18:19dude, great. I that was fabulous.
- 1:18:22And eight years, you're going to be like, Nico, you're a genius.
- 1:18:24And I'm going to say, no, I'm not a genius.
- 1:18:27I just you, just you, just this bitcoins.
- 1:18:29That's what Bitcoin does. Anyways, guys, if you guys
- 1:18:32enjoyed the show, make sure to make sure to smash that like
- 1:18:40button Subscribe if you feel like we provided you value.
- 1:18:44And of course, we'll be back tomorrow for a brand new episode
- 1:18:49of Simply Bitcoin Live. Opti's going to be in the host
- 1:18:52seat with Chris Alamo tomorrow. So you guys are going to enjoy
- 1:18:55the show. I'll see you guys on Monday.
- 1:18:57Love you all. I'll see you guys on the next
- 1:19:00episode of SBL. Peace out, everybody.
- 1:19:04Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
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- 1:19:11independence.