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Final Look At Saints-Commanders And Score Prediction · AFR Saints

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Saints Commanders Sunday from the Dome Noon. Commanders are up
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: to seven and a half point favorites. That game opened
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: a round a field goal three to three and a half.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: When the news of Derek Carr's injury and likely being out,
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: that line shot up and it hasn't done anything but
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: continue to climb. Washington just has a ton to play for.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: The Commanders right now have an eighty five percent chance
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: to make the postseason per ESPN analytics. If the Commanders
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: beat the Saints, that jumps up to ninety two percent.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: They're eight and five. They'd go to nine and five
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: with a win against New Orleans. With a loss, their
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: playoff odds the Commanders would fall to sixty eight percent.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: So the Saints, as we know, have a less than
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: one percent chance of making the playoffs. For New Orleans.
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: This isn't about making the playoffs for New Orleans. This
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: is about two things for Darren Rizzy. He's trying to
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: win this job. Darren Rizzy's been the head coach for
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: four games. He's three and one. They played an atrocious
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: football game last week up in New York, like two
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: bad teams, and somebody had to win it. The Saints
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: won it, and the one game they lost was certainly
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: one that got away against the Rams. Otherwise you would
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: be squarely in the division mix in the NFC South,
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: which you are not right now. So that's one Darren Rizzy.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: Number two is Jake Hayner. It's very likely going to
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: be Jake Hayner's first career start, and so Hayner wants
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: to play well and prove that he should be. A
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: guy that the Saints are considering potentially is the heir
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: to Derek Carr and maybe a long term app option
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: at least have the option to play again if Derek
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: Carr is out. That's it. That's really that's the extent
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: of what you're playing for here for New Orleans. But
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: the reality is the Saints are a bad football team.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: There's no way around this. Every time we talk about
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: the Saints and every game they play, you have to
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: mention it. Like the Saints this year when they played
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: teams with a winning record, they are oh and six
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: outright and o and six against the spread. The Saints
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: have not covered at one or covered a single game
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: this year against the team with a winning record, so well, yes,
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: it's been nice to see the Saints get some wins
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: here with Darren Rizzy is the introm to break the
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: seven game losing streak that was just dreadful and miserable
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: to go through. It's nice to know that Dennis Allen
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: is no longer the coach, the albatross around the collective
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: neck of this franchise. You're still a very bad football team.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: Your wins were against the Panthers, the Cowboys, the Falcons, Browns,
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: and Giants. Ain't nobody good. Washington is good, and they
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: have a lot to play for a few things. When
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: I look at the game, we've seen the Saints now
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: without Derek Carr three times. I mean, I guess you
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: could throw in at the end of the Kansas City
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: game or the end of the game against the Giants
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: when he was injured. But really for full games, it
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: was Tampa, it was Denver, and it was the Chargers.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: He scored twenty seven against Tampa, ten against Denver and
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: eight against the Chargers. And the twenty seven against Tampa
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: is like a big asterisk because you got down three
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: scores in that game and then your rallied to take
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: a lead right before half, and then you didn't score
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: again all twenty seven of your points were in the
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: second quarter in a flurry, but three of the four
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: quarters you were shut out. And then the next game
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: you scored ten. In the next game he scored eight.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: They can't score, and the Saints aren't going to score
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: this weekend. I understand Washington's scoring defense is middle of
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: the pack in the NFL. There's seventeenth. And Washington's rush
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: defense isn't very good. And Deron Payne is if you
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: missed it, Deron Payin on Friday, who had been practicing
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: all week, apparently suffered a back injury. He went from
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: not listed at all in the injury report to not
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: practicing at all on Friday with that back injury. So
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: his status is questionable right now for the game. But
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: you just got finished playing the New York Giants, who
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: are one of the worst teams in the NFL, maybe
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: the worst team in the NFL one week where they
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: didn't have Dexter Lawrence, who's the most dominant interior player
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: statistically anyway right now this year in the NFL, they
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: don't have Dexter Lawrence. And you go out there and
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: you run for ninety two yards on thirty three carries,
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: two point eight to carry. Why am I to believe
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: that's going to be any better against the Washington team
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: that's playing motivated with their playoff hopes. I shouldn't say
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: in the balance, but still very much to play for.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: Then the other side of this is New Orleans against
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: a rushing quarterback. The Saints have been atrocious historically against
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: running quarterbacks, and sometimes year to year that doesn't always
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: play forward, but that has been the case again this year,
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: and now you're facing Jayden Daniels, who is right there
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: with Lamar Jackson among the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: So when that has been an achilles heel for New
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: Orleans over the last decade, I don't know why it
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: would be any better this week. I mean, Jayden Daniels
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: is averaging over five yards of carry, He's rush for
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: five hundred ninety yards. He's only fifty yards behind Brian
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: Robinson on the season in rushing. He's got six rushing touchdowns.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: This is just this is a bad matchup in every way.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: You don't have good receivers. Marshawn Lattimore is available for them,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: that's gonna bolster their secondary. You're not very good at
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: running the football. They're not very good at stopping the run.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know why that's dramatically going to improve. You
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: don't have Derek Carr, you're playing Jake Haner making his
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: first career start. You flip it around, there's just nothing.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: There's no matchup in this game where I go, yep,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: that's the thing that benefits New Orleans. That's how they're
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: gonna win the game. It's just gonna have to be
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: a hideous football game like you played last week in
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: New York, and you find a way to win a
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: terrible game like we just saw on Thursday Night football
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: with the Rams and the Niners. It was a field
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: goal game. It finished twelve to six. Like that's the
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: kind of thing you would need, or you would need
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: something like what happened when the Saints played the Falcons
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: the first time, and the Saints that game, despite not
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: allowing an offensive touchdown by the Falcaus, you just gave
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: them scores. New Rashid Shihi did a stupid thing and
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: try to field a ball inside the five yard line.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: You just handed them a score on special teams like
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: those are the types of breaks the Saints would have
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: to get in this game, and it's just in the NFL,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: it's so hard to predict those things. That's why the
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: Saints are seven and a half point underdog. So look,
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: I don't think I'm not picking the Saints to win.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's gonna be any surprise to anyone.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to win this game, and
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna win next week either. At
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: Green Bay. I think they have a great chance if
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: Derek Carr is back to beat the Raiders in the
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: second to last week, and then I think they're gonna
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: play Tampa in the final week of the season, and
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: Tampa's gonna be playing for the division, and I think
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Tampa's gonna beat him. So I think the Saints have
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: one win left. It's gonna be against the Raiders, and
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: I don't think the Saints do anything offensively Saturday or
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Sunday in the Dome. I think Jade and Daniels and
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: the Commanders win this twenty seven to ten. I think
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: it is a relatively easy win for the Commanders. I
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: don't think that they will be in any way challenged
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: in this game because I don't know that there's any
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: where in this game, the Saints can challenge the Washington Commanders.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: So give me the Commanders to beat the Saints, and
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: I think this final month of the season is going
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: to be a real challenge. Mayde even more complicated by
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: the fact that you don't want Derek Carr, likely this
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: week and for the foreseeable future.