Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3382 CNN Predicts DOOMSDAY for Democrats in Midterms!!!

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Ep. 3382 CNN Predicts DOOMSDAY for Democrats in Midterms!!! · Turley Talks

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  [SPEAKER_01]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: On Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: Good morning, everyone.
• 0:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: Grab your coffee.
• 0:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's another beautiful day to smell Democrat desperation in the morning.
• 0:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: See an animal places.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: is officially sounding the alarm for the Democrats.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Their own data analysts, the very same pro-democrat pollsters that were telling us from months that Kamala was going to be the next president.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: are now predicting total and complete doom for the Democrat party.
• 0:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: They just delivered the most devastating analysis of Democrat prospects for a midterm imaginable and they couldn't spin their way out of it.
• 0:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: The bottom line is this.
• 0:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: Democrats are behind their two thousand six and two thousand eighteen paces when it comes to the generic congressional ballot.
• 1:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: What are we talking about here?
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  [SPEAKER_00]: All right, the Democrats first is the Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, the margins.
• 1:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: Look at where we are now.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Democrats are ahead, but by just two points.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Look at where Democrats were already ahead by in twenty seventeen.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: They were behind by seven points.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: About two thousand five on the generic congressional ballot.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Behind, excuse me, ahead by seven points ahead by seven points.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: And now they're only ahead by two points.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Their lead is less than half.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Less than half of where it was in either two thousand seventeen or two thousand five in July of those years the year before the midterm election.
• 1:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: Yes, Donald Trump may be unpopular but Democrats have not come anywhere close to sealing the deal at this particular point.
• 1:42
  [SPEAKER_02]: It wave wave looks very different.
• 1:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yes.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: So as you can see, that was CNN's Harry Endon.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: They're senior data reporter.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: He just ran the numbers on the twenty twenty six midterms.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: And what he found was so bad for Democrats.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: You can literally see the pain in his eyes.
• 2:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats are only ahead by two points on the generic congressional ballot.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: But when you look at that lead, that little margin and light at the historical context, the previous midterms.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: It's a disaster.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: In twenty seventeen, the year before the massive Democrat wave, when they won forty plus seats, Democrats were ahead by seven points at this time.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: In two thousand and five when they reclaimed Congress from the Republicans, they again were ahead by seven points.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Right now their lead is two.
• 2:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Oh, but here's where it gets absolutely brutal for the Democrats.
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  [SPEAKER_02]: But yes.
• 2:38
  [SPEAKER_02]: All right.
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  [SPEAKER_02]: This is the generic ballot test.
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  [SPEAKER_02]: This is when you test people as a generic question.
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  [SPEAKER_02]: Of course, the house races aren't generic.
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  [SPEAKER_02]: There are four hundred and thirty five of them.
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  [SPEAKER_02]: What happens when you go race by race?
• 2:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: What happens when you go race by race?
• 2:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: Well, it's the same idea.
• 2:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: Okay.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: House seat ratings with the GOP president like back in two thousand five and of course, two thousand seventeen more net pickup seat chances.
• 2:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: Well, last time around look at that Democrats were ahead by thirty three seats.
• 3:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: How about two thousand five Democrats were ahead by seven seats?
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  [SPEAKER_00]: What's going on right now?
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  [SPEAKER_00]: It's actually Republicans.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Actually, Republicans with more net pickup chances at plus twelve according to the cook political report when you add in the likely's the leans and the toss up races.
• 3:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: So it's not just on the generic ballot where Democrats are behind their two thousand seventeen and two thousand five pace.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: It's actually when it comes seat by seat.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: You see that at least at this particular point, Republicans actually have more net pickup opportunities.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: This doesn't look anything like those wave elections back in two thousand six or two thousand eight.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: It doesn't look so according to the cook political reports,
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  [SPEAKER_01]: competitive race rankings.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: They found something that should terrifying Democrat leadership.
• 3:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: In twenty seventeen, Democrats had a thirty three seat advantage and pick up opportunities.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: In two thousand five day at a seven seat advantage.
• 3:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Right now Republicans, Republicans, the ones will actually have a twelve seat advantage.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, this according to Cook's political report.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: So what you got to understand here is that our good friend Seth Cashle, the election analyst who had a near a hundred percent prediction record for twenty twenty four.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: He argues it about eighty five percent of house seats are safe.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: So that amounts to about three hundred and sixty six seats.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: They're very unlikely to flip every midterm election.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: It all comes down to fifteen percent
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  [SPEAKER_01]: of house seats for sixty-nine seats.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Right now as we speak, Democrats currently hold forty-six of those sixty-nine flippable seats, meaning they're the ones on the defense.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: They're the ones who have to win the vast majority of competitive seats just to stay even.
• 4:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's the massive disadvantage of the Democrats are in right now.
• 4:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: And again, the key here is right now, as we speak, there's something amazing in the works in Texas and Ohio that's compounding this electoral disaster for the Democrats.
• 4:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: We talked about this in some of our other videos.
• 4:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: Texas and Ohio are already redrawing the congressional maps to solidify their deep red congressional majority.
• 5:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: So Texas Republicans are meeting right now to potentially flip five more seats and Ohio is legally required to redraw their map before twenty twenty six and between these two states.
• 5:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: The GOP is poised to pick up seven new solid Republican seats.
• 5:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: Seven new seats just in time for the midterms, which will make for an awesome firewall for Mike Johnson in the house.
• 5:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: In fact, just those seven seats alone with those just those seven seats.
• 5:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats would have to win every single competitive seat just to stay even just to stay where they are right now.
• 5:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: So this redistricting alone could determine who controls America for the next decade.
• 5:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then on top of that, we've got the massive voter registration advantage for Republicans, which we've been talking about a lot now.
• 5:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Remember, voter registration is the key predictive indicator for how an election is going to turn out.
• 6:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Poles can help gauge sentiments of voters, but voter registration is actually very predictive in terms of who is going to come out to vote and how they're going to vote.
• 6:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: So voters who just registered about are most likely to be the ones who will come out to vote and how they registered is very predictive of who they will vote for.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: You don't register Republican only to turn around a couple months later in vote Democrat.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: That's very rare.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: And the Republicans are absolutely crushing it with voter registration all over the country.
• 6:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: We talked about this last week, the big one, Pennsylvania, the state that decided the last election.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: In just one month, Republicans registered five thousand new voters while Democrats lost three times.
• 6:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's an eight thousand vote swing in just thirty days.
• 6:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: And as this trend really continues, Pennsylvania is not going to be a swing state by twenty twenty eight by the time JD assumes the mantle.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Pennsylvania be more akin to Ohio than any other state.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: But it's not just Pennsylvania North Carolina saw three thousand new Republican registrations with five thousand Democrat losses last month.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Nevada gained a thousand Republicans lost two thousand Democrats and states that weren't even competitive in twenty twenty four shifting red.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: So New Mexico gained a thousand Republicans lost a thousand Democrats in the single New Jersey.
• 7:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Right?
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  [SPEAKER_01]: They gained two thousand Republicans while losing five thousand Democrats last month.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: So we've got the devastating polling for Democrats.
• 7:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: We've got the redistricting which is giving a seven new solid Republican seats for the midterms.
• 7:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: We've got the voter registration trends all moving in the GOP's direction and to make things even more devastating for Democrats.
• 7:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: We've got the White House taking action on authorizing a mid decade resensus of the fourteen states.
• 8:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: There are either undercounted or overcounted in the twenty twenty senses.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: A lot of people don't realize that the twenty twenty senses overcounted blue states in undercounted red states.
• 8:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: And the result of that is we basically got wrong.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Blue stage should have far less representatives and electoral votes.
• 8:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: And red stage should have far more.
• 8:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: So instead of a Republican majority of two twenty to the Democrats to fifteen in the House, which we have now as a result of that box, twenty twenty senses, instead we should be looking at a Republican majority of like two thirty six to one ninety nine.
• 8:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now it's coming.
• 8:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's inevitable.
• 8:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're going to get a new electoral map in twenty thirty, but the problem here is that
• 8:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: That, two, thirty, six to one in one, ninety, nine map is a reality now.
• 8:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: So Seth Cashell is recommending that President Trump uses emergency powers to ram through changes to the electoral and representative redistributions for a mid-decade census change.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: And that means it'll be over for the Democrats.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: They'll be locked out of both executive and legislative power at the federal level for the foreseeable future.
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Not a bad way to start your day, huh?
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  [SPEAKER_01]: Enjoy your coffee.
• 9:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'll see you in the studio later on for more breaking news and analysis.
• 9:20
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• 9:22
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• 9:23
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• 9:24
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