Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Blinks, Yawns, Clones & Birds | NFL Week 10 Best Bets

Transcript

Blinks, Yawns, Clones & Birds | NFL Week 10 Best Bets · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The crown
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: is yours. I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by my two faves,
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: the Red Hot Stuckey and Kendra. Seriously, folks, if you
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: are not tailing these two week to week, you're costing
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: yourself some money. On today's episode, we will submit our
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: official plays for the week. We've got our stat of
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: the day, two Kings and a Queen Parlay hit last week.
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: We'll see if we can do it again. We've got
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Kendra's pickle prop and the return of Action or Distraction.
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: Let's kick things off with Evan Abram's shrimply unbelievable stat
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: of the week straight from the primer, and we're gonna
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: go to Miami for this one. Josh Allen has started
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: eight career road games where he was favored by over
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: a full touchdown two and six ats in those games.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: They've already failed to cover against Miami once this season,
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: that was at home, and the Bills are coming off
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: of the emotional win of the season. We didn't touch
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: on this game on Tuesday's episode, so let's start there. Kendra,
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: are we touching this game with a ten foot poll
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: Bills minus nine and a half.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: I don't think so.
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: No, the Bills have been really bad covering big numbers
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: this year. We watched what happening with them with the Saints.
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: I just can't get there. I think the Dolphins are
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: probably better than the Saints, especially as currently constructed. I
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: just can't get to that window. And I think the
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: Dolphins might come out swing in a little bit this weekend.
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: Obviously they had some issues with the GM, kept the
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: coach around, didn't make any trades at the deadline. I
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: think the Dolphins are figuring out.
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: That this is what they're stuck with. Move it or
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: lose it.
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: A lot of people on you know, contracts that might
• 1:47
  Speaker 3: want to go elsewhere at the end of the year.
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: I got to figure out what's going on with Tua.
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: Bills just can't cover a big number this season. Can't
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: get there. I would love to because it feels like
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: the Bills are back. It feels like the Bills have momentum.
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: I saw that they were maybe bringing Gabe Davis off
• 1:59
  Speaker 3: of the pre to squad, but can't do it.
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: Don't not for me. You can't get there.
• 2:03
  Speaker 4: What about you, Stuckey?
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: This number was two touchdowns in Buffalo and now we're
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: down to nine and a half. Do you think that
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: this is a proper home field advantage adjustment for the
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. The percentages are overwhelming on Buffalo this week.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: Perhaps people overreacting to the Dolphins moving Jalen Phillips in
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: at the trade deadline. They didn't go in full fire
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: sale mode. But where do you read how do you
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: read this one?
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 2:31
  Speaker 5: I mean this the first game, what Buffalo closed, didn't
• 2:35
  Speaker 5: that close like eleven and closed eleven and a half.
• 2:38
  Speaker 5: Buffalo won by ten in that game, but Miami had
• 2:41
  Speaker 5: some chances. But Miami is now worse off. They have
• 2:43
  Speaker 5: injuries on defense, they have traded some pieces, they've this
• 2:48
  Speaker 5: roster is a mess. The Bills, I also think, are
• 2:51
  Speaker 5: trending up on defense, like they were struggling on defense
• 2:54
  Speaker 5: earlier in the year. But you got guys like Bishop
• 2:55
  Speaker 5: playing better, the emergence of Hairston at corner. So but
• 3:01
  Speaker 5: they they lost Hoit last week. They've lost Oliver. But
• 3:05
  Speaker 5: I do think their defense in general, because the back
• 3:07
  Speaker 5: end has been the issue, they can still generate pressure.
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: Now.
• 3:09
  Speaker 5: The run defense I think is still a bit vulnerable.
• 3:11
  Speaker 5: So maybe miamual op success there, and that's what you
• 3:13
  Speaker 5: kind of want with a bigger dog, But I think
• 3:15
  Speaker 5: this line is pretty much dead on like numbers wise,
• 3:21
  Speaker 5: I might have to look at Miami if this creeps
• 3:24
  Speaker 5: up into double digits, but I'm not sure i'd get there.
• 3:27
  Speaker 5: It's not the best spot for the Bills right coming
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: off that big win going down to South Florida. But
• 3:33
  Speaker 5: I'm just not sure where this Miami team is at
• 3:37
  Speaker 5: mentally and also physically with all the injuries and just
• 3:40
  Speaker 5: bodies that are missing. So this is probably one of
• 3:44
  Speaker 5: the easier passes on the void for me, a game
• 3:46
  Speaker 5: I want to totally avoid.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: We keep waiting for the bottom to fall out, and
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: maybe it happened last week. They did get blown out
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: by the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football. This is
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: another one. Then this is a reason to back the
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. Is dirty, disgusting dog. I am looking to
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: add another gross dog to my sheet for this week,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: so maybe I can be sold on one before the
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: end of the episode. Since two thousand and three dogs
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: of seven or more at home after losing by twenty
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: plus points in their previous game, sixty nine forty six
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: and one ats. That's sixty percent and that signals the
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins.
• 4:21
  Speaker 5: But we will it's a great Bilo cell high spot.
• 4:23
  Speaker 5: I'll tell you that.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, all year feels like a bilo in the
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. So that's it's trying.
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: Last week, I mean, they blew out the Falcons, but
• 4:31
  Speaker 5: like I'm just saying in principle, like you have the
• 4:33
  Speaker 5: Bills coming off this huge win as a home dog
• 4:36
  Speaker 5: over the Chiefs. The Dolphins got blown out on Thursday night.
• 4:39
  Speaker 5: At least have some extra rest and prep here. Divisional game,
• 4:43
  Speaker 5: a lot of familiarity on both sides. So if I
• 4:47
  Speaker 5: had to bet it at nine and a half, it
• 4:49
  Speaker 5: would be Miami or nothing. But definitely with like a.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Ten back to football in a moment. Time to delve
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: into the weird, the bizarre, the random. I'm gonna kick
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: it back over to you Stuckey for your random question
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: of the week.
• 5:02
  Speaker 5: Hey, this is a dumb question. Let me ask you
• 5:06
  Speaker 5: a personal question kind of question?
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: Is that is question?
• 5:10
  Speaker 5: This is a hypothetical test your critical thinking skills, and
• 5:13
  Speaker 5: it's kind of it's kind of personal too. You have
• 5:15
  Speaker 5: to take one of these two offers you get, I
• 5:17
  Speaker 5: give you fifty dollars every time you yawn, or one
• 5:20
  Speaker 5: cent every time you blink. What do you think you
• 5:23
  Speaker 5: would take.
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: One cent every time I blink?
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: I think I would take the fifty every time I yawned,
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: because I can kind.
• 5:29
  Speaker 4: Of control that. That's I mean I can.
• 5:33
  Speaker 5: It's gotta be a natural yawn. You can't be like then.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: If I don't sleep on purpose, then I'd be yawning
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: a lot and.
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: Twenty thousand times a day.
• 5:44
  Speaker 5: Now I think you blink, Yeah, you blink like a
• 5:46
  Speaker 5: thousand times. It's a thousand times an hour. So yeah,
• 5:50
  Speaker 5: I mean I'm up a lot. I'm up like eighteen
• 5:52
  Speaker 5: twenty hours a day. So like, in order to get
• 5:55
  Speaker 5: to twenty thousand, So say you've blinked twenty thousand in
• 5:58
  Speaker 5: a day. If you get one cent, then you're at
• 6:02
  Speaker 5: two hundred dollars, So you'd have to yawn four times.
• 6:05
  Speaker 4: I think.
• 6:06
  Speaker 6: I for I'm definitely yawned four times a day.
• 6:08
  Speaker 5: I don't know how often I y I feel like
• 6:09
  Speaker 5: I don't. Now they say the average person yawns three
• 6:12
  Speaker 5: to five times, so like, this is a pretty fair bet.
• 6:16
  Speaker 5: But if you're a person that yawns more or like
• 6:19
  Speaker 5: if you're like, all right, I'm just gonna stay up more.
• 6:22
  Speaker 5: But like, is it really worth it for a couple elections.
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: I do think you're guaranteed to blink every single day,
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: You're not guaranteed to.
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: Yawn every single day.
• 6:30
  Speaker 3: So I think in the long term, the blinking makes
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: more sense than the yawning because there are days where
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: like I'll sleep in and then I'll go to bed
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: really early. Am I really yawning that much in that day?
• 6:39
  Speaker 5: But probably people yawn a couple times a day without
• 6:42
  Speaker 5: realizing it, like people also yawning on their nervous It.
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: Could be like a coffee addict rest.
• 6:48
  Speaker 4: If you're not yawning, you're just not working hard enough.
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: I think it's also when you get excited.
• 6:54
  Speaker 5: So yeah, I think I'm the mat It's close. It
• 6:57
  Speaker 5: it comes down to a personal preference. And then like
• 7:00
  Speaker 5: some people just yawn more than others.
• 7:03
  Speaker 7: Evan break the tie Chat says we yawned fifteen times
• 7:06
  Speaker 7: a day.
• 7:07
  Speaker 8: That is not correct, solicit. There is no way you
• 7:14
  Speaker 8: just have to do that. Now, there's no way that's true.
• 7:16
  Speaker 8: I'll go with blinking because I want to get paid.
• 7:21
  Speaker 5: Maybe, but that's something twenty times a day, it says
• 7:26
  Speaker 5: the average person yon four and not a chance. I
• 7:30
  Speaker 5: think a lot of us yawn without realizing it's like
• 7:32
  Speaker 5: you don't clock it.
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: I'm going to try and think about this over the
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: next week. Every time I yawn, I'm going to like
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: try and add like a little like take mark to
• 7:39
  Speaker 3: like notes.
• 7:40
  Speaker 5: Okay, I'll try to do the same.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: I also don't want to be conscious of every blink
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: that I have throughout the day because it gets I
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: mean thinking about it right now and it's.
• 7:48
  Speaker 5: Then you're like just trying to blink extra morning.
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: You could make extra money though, because you can make
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: yourself blink, But then you like.
• 7:54
  Speaker 5: Would yeah you would, it would Yeah, it would like
• 7:57
  Speaker 5: ruin your mental state of mind. You can't focus on anything.
• 8:01
  Speaker 5: You're just sitting there trying to get as many sense
• 8:04
  Speaker 5: as you can every second of the day. So I
• 8:07
  Speaker 5: don't know, that's my weird question of the day.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: We're gonna clock that one as distraction time for our
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: game show this week, Action or Distraction.
• 8:16
  Speaker 5: This is distracted distracted.
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: I'm not stacky.
• 8:19
  Speaker 5: I want it on the action.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna start with Kendra Davis Mills is in c J.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: Stroud is out for the Houston Texans. The Jags are
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: now flipped to favorites in this AFC South Showdown. Action
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: or distraction on the Jags as favorites on the road.
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: I don't cammel on the Jacksonville Jaguars, and we are
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: a Jaguars podcast. However, I would prefer if it was CJ.
• 8:46
  Speaker 3: Stroud because the Jacksonville Jaguars historically do not perform well
• 8:49
  Speaker 3: against backup quarterbacks.
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: I think that they could lose this week badly.
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: They just for whatever reason we saw about Jake Browning
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: right like he's kicked the Jags ass last year with
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: Flacco or was it two seasons ago with Flacco knock
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: them out of playoff contention. Just backup quarterbacks in the
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: Jaguars oil and water.
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: Nope, cannot get there.
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: I feel like the Texans are probably going to beat
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: the Jags this week. I said that they would split
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: the home and home at the beginning of the season.
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: I'm sticking there. That's how I feel. I don't know
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: what it is about a backup quarterback. I want nothing
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: to do with it. I prefer if it was to J.
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: Stroud.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: Davis Mills has been pretty terrible. I give myself one
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: teaser per week because if they give, just given where
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: the juice is now on teasers across sports books, if
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: you do too many, your win percentage has to be
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: ridiculous in order to cash out on that. So I
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: give myself one, and I've done a really good job
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: this year of hitting on those.
• 9:46
  Speaker 4: But you don't want to overdo it.
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: Jags, when they were at plus one and a half,
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: kicked up to seven and a half along with your
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: plant the flag game Kendra, the Lions down to two
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: and a half, which is now not the best of
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: the number on that side, but it is on the
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: Jag side. I still think that teasing the Jags in
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: this game, maybe the Texans.
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: Don't tease through zero zero. Teasing through zero is you're
• 10:11
  Speaker 5: just giving up three points for no reason. I think
• 10:14
  Speaker 5: right now, if that's one piece of advice you ever
• 10:16
  Speaker 5: takes from this podcast, never tease through zero. I cannot.
• 10:20
  Speaker 5: I mean, I could walk you through how why that's
• 10:23
  Speaker 5: horrendous for like hours, but just please never do that.
• 10:28
  Speaker 5: If you're listening, you can do what you want, Brandon,
• 10:30
  Speaker 5: You're allowed to, But if you're listening, don't tease through zero.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: So I do I tease. I tease games every single week.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: I'm completely with you on that. If you want to
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: bet the Jags and that was the only way you
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: could get to the window on it, then fine, but
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: you have absolutely missed the best of it.
• 10:50
  Speaker 4: I would not do that as well.
• 10:52
  Speaker 5: But I do think that well now, like I mean,
• 10:55
  Speaker 5: you're this isn't your You're telling us about your teases
• 10:58
  Speaker 5: that's no longer available. I think now something that is available,
• 11:01
  Speaker 5: the Texans are worth a tease teasing the Texans up
• 11:05
  Speaker 5: over seven. As a dog, I actually liked the Texans
• 11:07
  Speaker 5: if I had to choose a side here. The Jags
• 11:10
  Speaker 5: do have a troubled history against backups, although the last
• 11:11
  Speaker 5: time they played Mills they did win thirty one to three.
• 11:13
  Speaker 5: I think Nico Collins is owned to the Jags as well,
• 11:18
  Speaker 5: like Davis Mills isn't great.
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: Kirk revenge game, Yeah, Christian.
• 11:23
  Speaker 5: Kirk revenge Mills isn't great. But and they do have
• 11:27
  Speaker 5: their tackle is hurt, which Houston's been improving their pass protection.
• 11:31
  Speaker 5: Like last week, they weren't awful against the Broncos. The
• 11:34
  Speaker 5: generated as much pressure as anybody Broncos at their second
• 11:36
  Speaker 5: lowest pressure rate of the season. But they lost tight
• 11:38
  Speaker 5: As Howard as a concussion, and one of the things
• 11:40
  Speaker 5: that they've done to help shure up their pass protection,
• 11:43
  Speaker 5: they're going more jumbo, they've gone more six offensive linemen.
• 11:45
  Speaker 5: So without Howard, even on your standardowns, when you have
• 11:48
  Speaker 5: Blake Fisher in there, who's terrible, that could ruin things
• 11:52
  Speaker 5: for the offense. But this is still the best defense
• 11:54
  Speaker 5: in the league at home. The Jaguars offense still not
• 11:59
  Speaker 5: a well old machine.
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: And I don't think BTJ is going to play this week.
• 12:03
  Speaker 5: Yeah, they're they're banged up too, so.
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: Which might help everyone involved.
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: To be honest, like, I think he needs to sit
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: down and shut up for a couple of weeks. Love him,
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: mean it, but he needs a mental He needs a
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: mental he needs a mental health day.
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: And just like I.
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: Jacoby, I think is going to play obviously, So just
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: let him go in there, take you know, Btj's reps,
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: give him a breather. I think that that would be
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: the best scenario for everyone involved. Blame it on an injury, whatever,
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: let him sit cool down.
• 12:32
  Speaker 5: Figure, you have enough bodies, a lot of receiver he
• 12:34
  Speaker 5: doesn't like, they're like they're last week, So yeah, I
• 12:39
  Speaker 5: think as a dog, the Texans are worth a look.
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: Now.
• 12:42
  Speaker 5: I also really love him as a teaser because I
• 12:43
  Speaker 5: did tease them last night up over seven and I
• 12:47
  Speaker 5: paired them with the Jets. Both I think make a
• 12:51
  Speaker 5: ton of sense. The best teaser options are through three
• 12:57
  Speaker 5: through seven, and especially if there's a lower total. Points
• 13:00
  Speaker 5: are at a premium, right, so you're the points that
• 13:02
  Speaker 5: you're getting. Say, if you tease a dog that's two
• 13:04
  Speaker 5: and a half up to eight and a half and
• 13:05
  Speaker 5: the totals fifty five, there'll be more points. Points are
• 13:09
  Speaker 5: not as valuable in that game as they are in
• 13:11
  Speaker 5: a game with a total of thirty seven. So yeah,
• 13:15
  Speaker 5: the Jets, Jets Brown's point should be at a premium,
• 13:18
  Speaker 5: whether too horrific offenses. So yeah, I like Jets Texans.
• 13:23
  Speaker 5: That's my favorite teas of the week, Stucky.
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: The most disgusting game of the week by far is
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: that Jets Brown's game. The Jets they fire saled the deadline.
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: This line moved from Jets minus two to Jets plus
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: two and a half.
• 13:37
  Speaker 4: Chin or distraction on the line move here, I mean,
• 13:39
  Speaker 4: you've already.
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: Told us how you're playing into this, but perhaps the
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: biggest dump at the deadline.
• 13:47
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I think it's the lines probably moved
• 13:49
  Speaker 5: too far. Now, granted, not all linemans are created equally.
• 13:52
  Speaker 5: You know, moving from minus two to plus two and
• 13:55
  Speaker 5: a half, you're not crossing any key numbers. You're not
• 13:58
  Speaker 5: crossing any secondary numbers. Now with these two offenses in
• 14:01
  Speaker 5: a total thirty seven, you could argue every point matters,
• 14:04
  Speaker 5: but you know, every like a four and a half
• 14:07
  Speaker 5: point move from two and a half up to you know,
• 14:11
  Speaker 5: seven is exponentially more impactful than going from minus two
• 14:16
  Speaker 5: to plus two and a half. I think it's moved
• 14:20
  Speaker 5: too far because like, you're not gonna have sauce. Gardner's
• 14:22
  Speaker 5: obviously really good in one of the best corners in
• 14:25
  Speaker 5: the NFL, but it's the Browns offense in weather, Like,
• 14:29
  Speaker 5: his loss is not going to be that the Browns
• 14:31
  Speaker 5: want to run the ball, but that's their So like
• 14:34
  Speaker 5: Williams would be the bigger impact here. He's a good
• 14:37
  Speaker 5: run stopper, but like he's a he's a defensive tackle.
• 14:42
  Speaker 5: They're not worth like that much. And I mean, Gabriel
• 14:47
  Speaker 5: can't already see you now he's gonna have to deal
• 14:48
  Speaker 5: with weather. So yeah, like, I don't think I think
• 14:53
  Speaker 5: we've gone too far here, And I would look at
• 14:57
  Speaker 5: the Jets. I personally tease them, but it's this goes
• 15:00
  Speaker 5: to three, it's it's one hundred percent the Jets, I mean,
• 15:02
  Speaker 5: and you gotta remember the Browns defense also isn't the
• 15:05
  Speaker 5: same caliber unit whenever they're on the road. I mean,
• 15:07
  Speaker 5: it's been that way for years, and this is a
• 15:12
  Speaker 5: Browns offense. If you look at success rate the bottom
• 15:14
  Speaker 5: five quarterbacks and success rate, you know, around forty percent
• 15:19
  Speaker 5: is like Nicks Ward Ross go down a couple of
• 15:27
  Speaker 5: rungs and that's before you get the gab or it
• 15:29
  Speaker 5: was at like thirty six thirty seven percent. So yeah,
• 15:32
  Speaker 5: I don't think the loss of Gardner is that really
• 15:35
  Speaker 5: that impactful in this particular matchup, especially given the condition.
• 15:39
  Speaker 5: So I think this line's moved too far. It would
• 15:41
  Speaker 5: be Jets or nothing for me, But I personally tease them.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: One of the dirty, disgusting dogs that people can buy
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: into this week would be the Jets. Another one is
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: the other team that shares a stadium with them. And
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: we have an A grade luck game Giants plus four
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: and a half against the Chicago Bears. So the we've
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: seen people that bet unlucky teams with an A grade
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: twenty eight, sixteen and two, that's sixty four percent ATS
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: A graded road teams are eighteen and seven ATS that's
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent. Stucky's pod friend Chris Raybond on the
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: Giants this week, Kendra, I know you hate this slate,
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: and this is part of the reason why I would think,
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: but action or distraction on getting to the window on
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: the Giants.
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: I this would probably have been my pickle game of
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: the week if we were still doing that bit, just
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: because the Bears will let up points and Jackson Dart
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: is probably the best kind of quarterback to create something
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: out of nothing in the NFL right now in my opinion,
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: which might be a hot take to some because he's
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: a rookie, but like he has no weapons and is
• 16:47
  Speaker 3: still figuring it out. He's you know, scoring any time
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: touchdowns without these weapons.
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: Whatever.
• 16:52
  Speaker 3: I just I would love to back the Giants here
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: because I think the Bears are a little bit fraudulent.
• 16:58
  Speaker 3: Their defense is just so bad, both like they can
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: put up points and the Giants defense is kind of
• 17:02
  Speaker 3: their saving grace right now. But where are the Giants
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: going to get these points from. That's the issue for me.
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: I would love to back the Giants in this spot
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: because I think the Bears are overrated here. I just
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: don't know where they're gonna get the points from. That's
• 17:13
  Speaker 3: the big thing for me. I'd probably maybe look at
• 17:15
  Speaker 3: the under in this game, even though, like it's clear
• 17:17
  Speaker 3: that the Bears can score points. It's just I would
• 17:21
  Speaker 3: love to back the Giants. Don't know where they're going
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: to get those points from to cover that number.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: Their turnover differential this season has been ridiculous plus thirteen
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: and that's the reason why we get there. On the
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: Luck rankings. The Bears are at thirty, the Giants are
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: at thirtieth in the Luck rankings. Caleb Williams still holding
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: onto the ball way too long and this is probably
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: not the defensive line that you want to do that against.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: To me, the Giants are in consideration for me is
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: that disgusting score.
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: Who's going to score?
• 17:51
  Speaker 5: I mean, anyone could score on the Bear the Bears.
• 17:52
  Speaker 5: Bears defense is really bad. But the thing I worry
• 17:54
  Speaker 5: about here, this is a tough game to cap because
• 17:58
  Speaker 5: one who's playing the Giant secondary. I mean because they're decimated.
• 18:03
  Speaker 5: I mean it's like Flatt and Holland a debo are
• 18:06
  Speaker 5: they going to play? Because I mean once you start
• 18:09
  Speaker 5: getting to their backups, there's no depth there. It is
• 18:13
  Speaker 5: as bad as bad can be. You do not want.
• 18:17
  Speaker 5: I mean, Banks is already like in there now, Phillips
• 18:20
  Speaker 5: is question well, like it's a mess, so who's playing there?
• 18:22
  Speaker 5: They also have some offensive line injuries worth noting. Their
• 18:28
  Speaker 5: tight ends are banged up, but there could be weather,
• 18:32
  Speaker 5: There could be a lot of wind, and so that
• 18:35
  Speaker 5: will like help their secondary, but that also could help
• 18:38
  Speaker 5: the Bear secondary. The Bear secondary without Gordon, without Johnson
• 18:41
  Speaker 5: is a disaster and our.
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: Defense is a hole is a disaster.
• 18:45
  Speaker 5: Which yeah, but if there's a lot of if there's
• 18:47
  Speaker 5: a lot of wind and that it limits the passing attacks,
• 18:51
  Speaker 5: it's gonna help both secondaries. And then where this might
• 18:54
  Speaker 5: be decided is the Bear's rushing attack right now is
• 18:59
  Speaker 5: elite number one in the NFL in success rate since
• 19:01
  Speaker 5: October first. They are running all over everybody. Ben Johnson
• 19:06
  Speaker 5: has that run game cooking, and the Giants have the
• 19:09
  Speaker 5: worst run defense in the NFL. I mean they can't
• 19:12
  Speaker 5: stop any rushing tack. They got a good pass rush,
• 19:15
  Speaker 5: they cannot stop their run. So if this becomes a
• 19:17
  Speaker 5: weather game.
• 19:18
  Speaker 3: If I have to convince myself of the wins to
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: bet on a game though, I'm just not going to
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: do it.
• 19:23
  Speaker 5: Yeah, you don't have to bet. I'm just I'm just
• 19:25
  Speaker 5: giving my thoughts.
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: Like, no, I get it.
• 19:26
  Speaker 5: So like if the Bears are if this becomes a
• 19:29
  Speaker 5: running game, the Bears have a much better offensive line,
• 19:32
  Speaker 5: their running game is much better, and the Giants run
• 19:35
  Speaker 5: defense is much worse than the Bears run defense, so
• 19:38
  Speaker 5: that ultimately could be the difference. The other thing to
• 19:41
  Speaker 5: keep in mind, you're gonna get a couple of these
• 19:43
  Speaker 5: Giants games a year. I've already lost money on one.
• 19:46
  Speaker 5: There was two last year. There was one already this
• 19:49
  Speaker 5: year against the Chiefs. They didn't have a kicker because
• 19:51
  Speaker 5: Gnou got hurt in warm ups, and then they had
• 19:54
  Speaker 5: to go for two and they had to go on
• 19:56
  Speaker 5: fourth downs. This happened against Washington last year and they
• 19:59
  Speaker 5: went scored like three touchdowns and twenty eighteen points. You know,
• 20:03
  Speaker 5: it's hurt. I don't know if he's gonna play. Are
• 20:05
  Speaker 5: they going to trot him out there hurt? Or like
• 20:09
  Speaker 5: they don't like I guess it could be. It could
• 20:11
  Speaker 5: be uh coo coo. I think is on their practice
• 20:14
  Speaker 5: squad they cut the Irish guy after you missed the
• 20:16
  Speaker 5: extra points. But then this is outdoors with wind like
• 20:19
  Speaker 5: the giants kicking situation could be.
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: I'm anungai game question mark.
• 20:23
  Speaker 5: Yeah, he's he's probably he was a monster less like, yeah,
• 20:27
  Speaker 5: that's what I worry about the matchup is because the
• 20:29
  Speaker 5: bear should be able to run all over the giants
• 20:31
  Speaker 5: and wind that could be there.
• 20:33
  Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I mean I'm gonna I'm with Kendra.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: The wind thing like that should probably tilt our our
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: betting thoughts on totals. If that is your deciding factor
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: for a side, then you don't love the bet as
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: much as you think you do. Action or distraction on
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Brock Party coming back for the San Francisco forty nine ers,
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: It's possible. We still don't have word on that. Does
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: this matter as you cap the game Stucky action or
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: distraction on Party?
• 21:00
  Speaker 5: How would I rather have Matt Jones in there? Especially
• 21:02
  Speaker 5: like a first game? So I think Party is better,
• 21:06
  Speaker 5: not significantly, But I don't think he would be in
• 21:09
  Speaker 5: the first game. I mean he could be, but I
• 21:12
  Speaker 5: think like you have the rust. You see a lot
• 21:14
  Speaker 5: of these quarterbacks come back the first game, there's some
• 21:16
  Speaker 5: rust they have to shake off. You don't even know
• 21:19
  Speaker 5: is he going to be able to push off? Is
• 21:20
  Speaker 5: he going to be fully healthy? So I think it
• 21:22
  Speaker 5: would add a lot of variants. And if I was
• 21:24
  Speaker 5: wanting to back the forty nine ers, and also I
• 21:28
  Speaker 5: actually like the over in that game, I would want
• 21:32
  Speaker 5: Mac Jones in there. I do think that the forty
• 21:34
  Speaker 5: we don't even know about this forty nine ers defense
• 21:36
  Speaker 5: is because they haven't really played anybody and they've been
• 21:38
  Speaker 5: getting shredded, like they got destroyed by the Texans. They
• 21:41
  Speaker 5: got the Giants removing the ball on them with a
• 21:43
  Speaker 5: bunch of backups and hurt offensive line. Now you're going
• 21:46
  Speaker 5: up against one of the best offenses in the NFL
• 21:49
  Speaker 5: and the Rams they play fast, they will throw a lot,
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: and then the forty nine ers are fairly fast compared
• 21:56
  Speaker 5: to years past with Mac Jones. And I think this
• 22:00
  Speaker 5: defense is probably the most overrated unit in the league
• 22:03
  Speaker 5: right now. I mean, they'd like rank like number one
• 22:05
  Speaker 5: EBA per play statistically, they they're like great out as
• 22:09
  Speaker 5: the best defense in the league. Well, that's what happens
• 22:12
  Speaker 5: when you play Cooper Rush and the Ravens. Last week
• 22:18
  Speaker 5: Tyler Shuck and the Saints. They played the though No,
• 22:24
  Speaker 5: but I'm just saying, so, I think they're over Their
• 22:25
  Speaker 5: defense is overrated. This is not This secondary is extremely vulnerable.
• 22:29
  Speaker 5: Like when they played Mac Jones and the forty nine Ers,
• 22:32
  Speaker 5: who didn't have half their team. Kittle didn't even play
• 22:35
  Speaker 5: in that game. The forty nine Ers beat them, and
• 22:39
  Speaker 5: Mac Jones threw for three hundred and fifty yards and
• 22:42
  Speaker 5: he was throwing to Kendrick Bourne fifty times, just looking
• 22:46
  Speaker 5: at Born and throwing him and Jake Tanjas. So I
• 22:50
  Speaker 5: think the Rams defense has gotten overrated over the past
• 22:53
  Speaker 5: few weeks because of who they played. Like you play Shuck,
• 22:57
  Speaker 5: that the Jags offense and Cooper Rush in your past
• 23:01
  Speaker 5: three games, You're gonna look a lot better statistically than
• 23:04
  Speaker 5: you probably are. So I think the forty nine ers
• 23:06
  Speaker 5: we have success moving the ball. It's crazy. This is
• 23:08
  Speaker 5: a crazy stat These teams have met fourteen times since
• 23:12
  Speaker 5: twenty nineteen, including the playoffs, the underdog has gone thirteen
• 23:15
  Speaker 5: and one against the spread. Ten of the fourteen have
• 23:18
  Speaker 5: been won by the underdogs. If ten of the fourteen
• 23:20
  Speaker 5: games have been outright upsets. Two teams very familiar with
• 23:23
  Speaker 5: each other. There's not a lot of home field either
• 23:26
  Speaker 5: way because of travel, There's fans are there from both teams,
• 23:31
  Speaker 5: So generally speaking, this has been an underdog matchup. But
• 23:36
  Speaker 5: I just fear for this forty nine Ers defense in
• 23:39
  Speaker 5: the state that it's in. I mean, they got nothing
• 23:41
  Speaker 5: left going up against this Rams offense with Nikua good
• 23:44
  Speaker 5: to go, which is huge against the forty nine ers zones.
• 23:48
  Speaker 5: It could get ugly, but I think the forty nine
• 23:50
  Speaker 5: Ers score their fair share of points. But I do
• 23:52
  Speaker 5: think it matters because party could just be like right now,
• 23:55
  Speaker 5: the mac Jones in rhythm with the offense and he's
• 23:58
  Speaker 5: doing a good job already. Comes back, it could be
• 24:02
  Speaker 5: rusty and it could just throw everything off, and you
• 24:03
  Speaker 5: can't afford that against the Rams, to get behind with
• 24:05
  Speaker 5: that forty nine Ers defense. So I do think it matters.
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: And That's where I'm at with San Francisco is I want.
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: I want to back San Francisco. I want to like
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: them better with Brock Purdy out there, and I can't
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: quite convince myself that he's better for them right now,
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: even if I'm not a long term believer in mac Jones,
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: and so it's this sort of weird mental gymnastics where
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: you like one quarterback better than the other, but you're
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: not sure that they're better for the specific moment. Also,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: historical momentum here not on San Francisco's side.
• 24:37
  Speaker 4: This is from the primer this week.
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: Since Christmas of twenty twenty three, the forty nine ers
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: are one in fourteen against the spread after an outright win.
• 24:46
  Speaker 4: That is the worst mark of any team in the NFL.
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: So Kyle Shannan having a hard time backing up that momentum.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: Tom Brady cloned his dog who passed away in twenty
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: twenty three. Kendra, let's wrap up our game show action
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: distraction on that not being something we need in our society.
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: It's weird, Okay, So.
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: I'm very much on this is like the peak of
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: having fucket money. But Tom Brady is not the first
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: celebrity to do this. My question at the end of
• 25:14
  Speaker 3: this would be, since we're all dog people, if you
• 25:16
  Speaker 3: would clone your dog. However, Tom Brady's cloned his dog
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: Barbara streisand clone her dog Samantha to have two poppies
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: named Miss Violet and Miss Scarlett, so she had two
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: clones of her dog, and then Paris Hilton also cloned
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: her dog Diamond Baby, into twins named Diamond and Baby.
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: Simon Cowell has also used pet cloning services before. Would
• 25:38
  Speaker 3: you guys clone your dog if you could. I'm in
• 25:42
  Speaker 3: the camp of no, because there's my dogs. I've always
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: had rescues. I will always rescue. There's dogs who need
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: need Holmes. However, however, I will say Paris Hilton has
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: influenced me because I saw that her dog lived to
• 25:52
  Speaker 3: fourteen because she was doing red light therapy with her dog.
• 25:55
  Speaker 6: So me and my dog do red light therapy together
• 25:56
  Speaker 6: every morning.
• 25:57
  Speaker 4: What the fuck is red light therapy?
• 26:00
  Speaker 6: Oh my gosh, you have to look into it.
• 26:02
  Speaker 3: I've been doing red light therapy for years in Saunas,
• 26:04
  Speaker 3: but I got one of the like industrial red light
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: things for my apartment. So now I sit on my
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: floor my underwear in the morning with my dog and
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: we do red light therapies together. It's supposed to like
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: help you live longer. It helps your skin, it helps
• 26:16
  Speaker 3: your hair, it helps like your energy. You should look
• 26:19
  Speaker 3: into red light therapy. I'm sure Stucky knows about red
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: light therapy.
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: He gives that energy. Yeah, I do that every morning,
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: so yes, yes, yes I knew it.
• 26:29
  Speaker 5: I have no idea what that is. Ah, so I
• 26:32
  Speaker 5: know I would never clone my dog. Your dog is
• 26:34
  Speaker 5: your own. It's like he's my dog, and I don't like,
• 26:37
  Speaker 5: I don't I want, I will cherish.
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: The personality is the same.
• 26:41
  Speaker 5: Do you think I don't think.
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: The genes are identical, you would think, but I mean
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: twins have similar genes and have different personalities, so I
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: would lean towards probably, but who knows.
• 26:54
  Speaker 4: I don't think. I think we should abandon the cloning thing.
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: It's it's just fucking weird and it is a waste
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: of money because because a.
• 27:00
  Speaker 5: Lot of a lot of the dog's personality is shaped
• 27:02
  Speaker 5: by their experiences. So like you could say that if
• 27:05
  Speaker 5: they're in the same like the juture genetics and your
• 27:08
  Speaker 5: experiences in your environment, So if it isn't the same environment,
• 27:12
  Speaker 5: you could have similar But like any if you get
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: a new dog, like their personality. A lot of times
• 27:17
  Speaker 5: your pets take on your personality in a lot of ways.
• 27:20
  Speaker 5: So like even if you got a new dog, their
• 27:21
  Speaker 5: personality would be shaped by you.
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: And but they're yeah, they're doing this with like dire
• 27:26
  Speaker 3: wolves though, in science, to see if we can like
• 27:28
  Speaker 3: clone dinosaurs again. So I'm like, are we really just
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: using our money to like low key fund dinosaur cloning.
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: If we're gonna bring back now, if we're gonna bring
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: back animals that no longer exist, that can get down
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: on cloning. But if we're just cloning animals that are
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: already overpopulated in our world, then I don't understand.
• 27:45
  Speaker 3: Okay, if you could clone an animal that doesn't exist
• 27:48
  Speaker 3: anymore to have it as a pet, what would it
• 27:50
  Speaker 3: be tri serratops next, I'm gonna be a velociraptor for sure.
• 27:54
  Speaker 4: They're way too vicious. I like that you want to
• 27:57
  Speaker 4: you want to plant either?
• 27:58
  Speaker 6: I told you earlier I would want to.
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: It's a rattlesnake on the head, So yeah, I mean I.
• 28:03
  Speaker 5: Think that there's a they're they're trying to clone wooly
• 28:06
  Speaker 5: mammoths and bring them back.
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, hell yeah.
• 28:11
  Speaker 5: Those are for like the ecosystem and in the Arctic,
• 28:15
  Speaker 5: and for like climate change reasons because they were like
• 28:18
  Speaker 5: a huge part of If you have them, they trample
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: snow and it would then it gives you colder winters
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: and the permafrost doesn't melt as quickly. That's one of
• 28:31
  Speaker 5: the main reasons.
• 28:31
  Speaker 4: Red Light Therapy doesn't know that he knows.
• 28:34
  Speaker 6: Are blue footed boobies extinct?
• 28:37
  Speaker 5: No, I They're my wife's favorite animal. And we saw
• 28:46
  Speaker 5: plenty of them in the Galapagos Islands.
• 28:49
  Speaker 4: Oh yeah, and we got like a.
• 28:51
  Speaker 5: Bunch of blue footed booby like there. They have so
• 28:55
  Speaker 5: much stuff down there, like, I love boobies shirts. Now,
• 29:00
  Speaker 5: that is my wife's favorite animal.
• 29:01
  Speaker 6: To bluefoot have been okay, so they're still around.
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: I would clone one of those.
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: I just blinked like twenty times. Somebody owes me a dollar.
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna clone Kendra right now. Two Kings and a
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: Queen parlay coming up right now. She'll tell us about DraftKings.
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: The Favorites podcast has teamed up with DraftKings sportsbook, where
• 29:19
  Speaker 3: new customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred
• 29:22
  Speaker 3: back in bonus bets if your bet wins and three
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: months of NBA League Pass to get started, use promo
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: Code of Favorites when signing up with DraftKings. Again, use
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: Code of Favorites when signing up and bet five bucks
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: to get three hundred back and bonus bets. If your
• 29:35
  Speaker 3: bet wins plus three months of VA League pass, the
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: crown is yours.
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: Kendra, What prop has you gonna pickle this week? Before
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: we get to our community parlay?
• 29:46
  Speaker 5: Okay, we're in a pickle. Now, I'm really in a
• 29:49
  Speaker 5: pickle now, all right, look we're gonna pickle again.
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: Hey yeah, okay, you guys.
• 29:56
  Speaker 3: Drake London of the Person has me in a pickle
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: this week? Do we fade or follow his monstrous game
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: last week in a matchup that seems to favor him
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: once again?
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: Is he getting sauced this week? Did they go back
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: to Bijon?
• 30:08
  Speaker 6: He was a real money maker for people last week.
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: I want to think this offense has figured it out
• 30:12
  Speaker 3: how to use him, etc. The price is plus one
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: forty five for in any time. I don't know if
• 30:17
  Speaker 3: I can get there or not. I need you guys
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: to convince me or not. This is I'm letting you
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: guys control my brain like Plankton in that episode.
• 30:24
  Speaker 4: A SpongeBob is getting sauce still a thing.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: I feel like the Colts way overpaid for sauce Gardner
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: with the two first round picks, But I'm gonna tell
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: you to do it because the Colts have been There's
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: a reason why they made this trade. They have been
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: a sieve against opposing wide receivers. London's a beast. There's
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: no reason why he shouldn't have a good game here.
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: So whether you want to go receptions yards, touchdown, pick
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: your favorite poison. I think Drake London props make a
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: lot of sense this week, Stucky.
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: What do you think.
• 31:00
  Speaker 5: London or the Falcons?
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: Drake London?
• 31:04
  Speaker 5: I don't know it. It's hard to say, Like how
• 31:06
  Speaker 5: much is Gardner gonna play? How are they going to
• 31:08
  Speaker 5: use him? Is he fully up to speed? I think
• 31:11
  Speaker 5: he's gonna start, but it's like a short week with
• 31:14
  Speaker 5: travel on a new defense, so I don't know. Are
• 31:17
  Speaker 5: they going to have him follow London? Are they going
• 31:20
  Speaker 5: to keep it simpler for him? I can't give it
• 31:22
  Speaker 5: insight because I just, I just I really don't know.
• 31:24
  Speaker 5: There's a lot of uncertainty there, which is why, like
• 31:26
  Speaker 5: I bet the Falcons, but I don't like my bet
• 31:30
  Speaker 5: as much. Obviously I bet it earlier in the week.
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: I also bet the Falcons.
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: Well, they're in Germany. This is not a US game,
• 31:35
  Speaker 3: This is a Germany game.
• 31:36
  Speaker 4: Now, if London was in London, this would be a lock.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we can use the same sort
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: of overseas translation with his last name.
• 31:44
  Speaker 4: Is the reason to bet.
• 31:44
  Speaker 5: This, Yeah, it's now. The Falcons have offensive line injuries.
• 31:49
  Speaker 5: They could be without both their guards. They're already without
• 31:52
  Speaker 5: their right tackle, and the Falcons they can get pressure.
• 31:56
  Speaker 5: Their defense should be healthier. They should get like Harrison
• 31:58
  Speaker 5: Bowman back this week. But the problem is they can't
• 32:02
  Speaker 5: stop the run. And they cannot stop the run like
• 32:08
  Speaker 5: at all, and especially with diabloout, and you got like
• 32:12
  Speaker 5: it's it's bad. Their their backup their depth at linebacker.
• 32:15
  Speaker 5: So that's problematic against Jonathan Taylor. And after last week,
• 32:21
  Speaker 5: Jane Steichen has been pretty vocal about the fact that
• 32:24
  Speaker 5: he didn't get the ball to Jonathan Taylor. More So,
• 32:26
  Speaker 5: I feel like this is going to be a heavy
• 32:29
  Speaker 5: Jonathan Taylor game. He should have success on the ground
• 32:33
  Speaker 5: that would in turn make Atlanta start to come in
• 32:37
  Speaker 5: help bring their stafeties down, and then that's going to
• 32:39
  Speaker 5: set up some easy plaction throws. Now, I do think
• 32:42
  Speaker 5: this line is still too high, but like adding Sauce
• 32:45
  Speaker 5: Gardner and like our producer just said that the Colts
• 32:48
  Speaker 5: have been number one against number one receivers. Yeah, well
• 32:50
  Speaker 5: a lot of that, well, a lot of that is
• 32:52
  Speaker 5: with Charvarius Ward has been statistically the best cornerback in
• 32:56
  Speaker 5: the NFL this year, but with him out and there's
• 33:00
  Speaker 5: a lot of noise in those dbo a verse number
• 33:02
  Speaker 5: one receivers. But with him out, it was pretty bleak
• 33:06
  Speaker 5: on the outside. But now you add Sauce Garner, you
• 33:09
  Speaker 5: kind of plug that gap. And then once Award comes back,
• 33:11
  Speaker 5: they have arguably the best collection of corners in the NFL.
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: But that's I thought London was gonna have a huge game,
• 33:16
  Speaker 5: and he should have, but now Gardner kind of cloud
• 33:19
  Speaker 5: He's at the offensive line injuries to match up with
• 33:21
  Speaker 5: the running game. Now the caveat is I do think
• 33:24
  Speaker 5: the line is a bit too high. The Colts are playing,
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: you know, it's a grass field, so I think it
• 33:28
  Speaker 5: helps Atlanta a little bit. And Daniel Jones could always
• 33:32
  Speaker 5: pumpkin this game away. So but I did bet the
• 33:36
  Speaker 5: Falcons don't love it. If I were to recommend what
• 33:39
  Speaker 5: to do now, I would wait see if the seven pops,
• 33:41
  Speaker 5: then I would take Atlanta. If not, I'd probably avoid it.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: It is our first opportunity to buy low on this
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: red hot, white hot Colts team. We haven't really had
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: these chances because they've been such cover spreading monsters. And
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: then Daniel Jones did have that game where he pumpkined
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: on Halloween.
• 34:03
  Speaker 4: It happened.
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: So do they go back to what they've been for
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: the entirety of the season. I think, very, very rarely
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: this year we had a chance to buy low on
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: this Colts team. We've been waiting for the fade. We
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: kind of forgot about it. Stucky bet them last week,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: but as a community podcast here, we didn't do it.
• 34:24
  Speaker 5: I would not. You're not really I don't think you're
• 34:26
  Speaker 5: really buying low in the Colts. I mean they're laying
• 34:28
  Speaker 5: six and a half on on a neutral field against
• 34:31
  Speaker 5: the Falcons. That is not buying.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: I haven't said by low at six and a half.
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: I'm just bringing up.
• 34:39
  Speaker 5: This is just a number number because they lost, Like
• 34:44
  Speaker 5: this number was, this number was like trending to five
• 34:48
  Speaker 5: and now at six and a half, and like it
• 34:53
  Speaker 5: wasn't even going to be six and a half if
• 34:56
  Speaker 5: the Colts, if the Colts won last week, this wasn't
• 34:58
  Speaker 5: going to be seven in any world so I don't
• 35:01
  Speaker 5: think you're buying low at all on the Colts and
• 35:03
  Speaker 5: think on a losing streak maybe there's a chance. But
• 35:06
  Speaker 5: the Colts six and a half points better than the
• 35:08
  Speaker 5: Falcons on a neutral field is the furthest thing from
• 35:12
  Speaker 5: buying low. I like the Falcons of the number, like
• 35:14
  Speaker 5: I think this should be like four and a half
• 35:15
  Speaker 5: four now with Gardner, the offensive line, injuries, the rushing.
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: Matchup, neutral field.
• 35:22
  Speaker 5: It's a little dice here, But now this is not
• 35:26
  Speaker 5: buying low in the Colts.
• 35:27
  Speaker 3: Do we think the Germans like Daniel Jones because they've
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: seen him play before? Do we think it's going to
• 35:33
  Speaker 3: be Like, because I've been to games abroad, they're pretty neutral,
• 35:36
  Speaker 3: just people going to see a game. But because the
• 35:38
  Speaker 3: Germans have, you know, been like are we do we
• 35:41
  Speaker 3: think that it's going to be a Colts crowd.
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: I think ninety nine percent of Germans and attendance don't
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: know who Daniel Jones is.
• 35:48
  Speaker 6: But they no, that's not true. They watched him play
• 35:50
  Speaker 6: what was it last year or the year before.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: That's a forgettable experience, by the way, to poke a
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: hole in my own thought exercise of the by.
• 35:58
  Speaker 5: Low kind, by the way, I don't. I don't know,
• 36:02
  Speaker 5: I don't know. I could speak some German, that's my own.
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: Oh okay, I was like, did sneeze fifty eight percent
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: of the bets right now in the Indianapolis cults?
• 36:09
  Speaker 4: So uh no, you guys are right, not a bilo.
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: But it was Hey, listen, if they lose this week,
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: maybe the bilo comes next week.
• 36:16
  Speaker 4: Something to keep it.
• 36:17
  Speaker 5: I gotta buy next week, so you'll be buying.
• 36:19
  Speaker 4: The bye well to be by b ye Low. Let's
• 36:23
  Speaker 4: get to it.
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: Two kings and a queen parlay each nominate two, we
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: battle over who we stick in there, three leg parlay,
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: and then we send you on your merry way. Kendra,
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: I'm curious to see what direction you go with this
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: because I know how much you hate this slate, So
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: will you even nominate anything you could?
• 36:54
  Speaker 5: The way?
• 36:55
  Speaker 6: Here's here's my plan.
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: I wrote out all of the bets that I was
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: not even gonna bet anything this week outside of the
• 37:01
  Speaker 3: lions that I got with A three earlier this week.
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: But I'm gonna give you guys what I have, and I'm.
• 37:06
  Speaker 3: Gonna let you guys pick. Okay, I hate this. I
• 37:08
  Speaker 3: hate the slate so much I hate it. I want
• 37:10
  Speaker 3: to be on the Falcons. I did wind up getting
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: to the window on them just because the neutral field
• 37:14
  Speaker 3: aspect convinced me too. So you have the Falcons, the Lions.
• 37:17
  Speaker 3: I got it minus three, they're now minus eight, So
• 37:19
  Speaker 3: that's an option for you. And I also have the Ravens.
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: But I know that Kravitz also has the Ravens. So
• 37:25
  Speaker 3: those are your three options. Those are every single bet
• 37:27
  Speaker 3: I have for the week. I hate the slate, I
• 37:29
  Speaker 3: want nothing to do with it. I hate everyone all
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: the time.
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: But those are your choices.
• 37:34
  Speaker 4: I don't I don't have the Ravens. I like the
• 37:37
  Speaker 4: I like the total.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: More specifically, I did put in the app Ravens money
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: line over forty one parlayd even money. That is a
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: bet that I have, but we don't put parlays into
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: the parlay, so I'm not gonna see that one up.
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: I would nominate the total in that game, though at
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: its full price.
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: I still think it's so we just put Stucky in
• 37:57
  Speaker 3: a blender and go both of us.
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: Ravens. You with the total, meet you with the Raid.
• 38:05
  Speaker 5: What are your nominations, Kendris, You don't even think I have.
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: The line you can take the Lions at the eight
• 38:11
  Speaker 3: or the Ravens to cover.
• 38:13
  Speaker 6: Those are your really, once again shitty options.
• 38:17
  Speaker 5: I guess we'll start off and I guess I'll book that.
• 38:19
  Speaker 5: I mean, I bet the Falcons so and I show
• 38:21
  Speaker 5: value the number. There's a lot of things I don't
• 38:23
  Speaker 5: like about it.
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: But okay, Falcons.
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: I don't like these International games. I would vote Ravens.
• 38:30
  Speaker 5: Evan, if we can go Raven's first half money line.
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: Evan com on that.
• 38:36
  Speaker 5: That was going to be one of mine. But Evan,
• 38:38
  Speaker 5: do you want to help us break it?
• 38:40
  Speaker 7: Ravens first half money line would be the one for me.
• 38:43
  Speaker 7: What if you buy low in Atlanta? What if you
• 38:45
  Speaker 7: just can completely do the opposite of what we just
• 38:48
  Speaker 7: talked about and call Atlanta buy low and take the.
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: Falcons Atlanta just cover. Does it count as a by
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: low if you're coming off of a cover.
• 38:55
  Speaker 6: Well, that was.
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: The Falcons cannot put together more than two weeks at
• 39:01
  Speaker 3: a time if you look at their schedule, and this
• 39:03
  Speaker 3: would be the third week, which.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: Is the only reason I did get to the WINNO
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: on the Falcon.
• 39:08
  Speaker 7: The Falcons. The Falcons have forty nine er issues, which
• 39:11
  Speaker 7: is they don't play well after playing well, They don't
• 39:14
  Speaker 7: string together playing well.
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: They have a look ahead too.
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: What if we just we're taking the buy but they
• 39:20
  Speaker 3: still have the Chiefs after that?
• 39:22
  Speaker 4: What if we just put your Drake London prop in here.
• 39:24
  Speaker 5: No, we don't want to prop in here.
• 39:26
  Speaker 7: Oh yeah, because the Colts are number one.
• 39:30
  Speaker 5: How about all right? What about our kender Do you
• 39:32
  Speaker 5: like Ravens first half money line?
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: I like Raven's first half money line, Kendri, do you
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: like it?
• 39:36
  Speaker 5: It's Kendrick's pick that bucket.
• 39:39
  Speaker 3: I think that we should just go all Ravens here,
• 39:43
  Speaker 3: just once, stuck in their corner.
• 39:45
  Speaker 5: Yeah, Raven's first half is gonna be one of my picks.
• 39:47
  Speaker 5: For what it's worth, Lamar first half sixty one to
• 39:49
  Speaker 5: thirty six and two against the spread, covered by a
• 39:52
  Speaker 5: field goal per game, fifty three thirty and two against
• 39:54
  Speaker 5: the spread. As a favorite has a favorite away from home,
• 39:57
  Speaker 5: He's twenty eight ten and one against the spread, covering
• 40:00
  Speaker 5: by five points per game in the first half. It's
• 40:03
  Speaker 5: insane extra deal. Their defense is much better. A week's
• 40:07
  Speaker 5: one through five, they were thirtieth and ep A per
• 40:09
  Speaker 5: play since then, seventh in EPA per play fourth and
• 40:12
  Speaker 5: success rate ninth and dropback EPA. I think they come
• 40:15
  Speaker 5: out hot here. He's been very good against NFC teams,
• 40:17
  Speaker 5: teams that don't really see him a lot. I think
• 40:19
  Speaker 5: they shocked him early. They can hit explosive runs. The
• 40:22
  Speaker 5: Ravens Rundy's still really bad, but the Vikings aren't efficient
• 40:25
  Speaker 5: running the.
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: Ball, so I like that Vikings suck. I'm gonna say it.
• 40:29
  Speaker 4: Listen, the sale has been made. I think we've locked
• 40:31
  Speaker 4: it in Ravens.
• 40:33
  Speaker 5: First half money line, Brandon, what are your cheap choices?
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: Mine are bucks minus two and a half against the
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: Pats or that same game Ravens Vikings over forty nine
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: halves bucks.
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: I like the box.
• 40:46
  Speaker 5: I don't like either. Uh so I'll let Hevin. What's
• 40:50
  Speaker 5: your vote? I mean, I just don't have any feel
• 40:51
  Speaker 5: on either.
• 40:52
  Speaker 4: Yes, Evan, would we do this to him?
• 40:56
  Speaker 7: I hate both of these as well, but I think
• 40:58
  Speaker 7: it would be more fun with Baltimore and having both
• 41:02
  Speaker 7: sides on that game, having two things in the same game,
• 41:05
  Speaker 7: so we could be rooting for a lot. Let's just
• 41:06
  Speaker 7: root for Baltimore to go up twenty eight nothing in
• 41:09
  Speaker 7: the first.
• 41:09
  Speaker 5: Half balls to the Ravens over and the Ravens first
• 41:15
  Speaker 5: half money line. It will be good because if the
• 41:19
  Speaker 5: Ravens get up, it's gonna make Minnesota throw and not
• 41:23
  Speaker 5: lean on the run, and mistakes will probably happen, and
• 41:26
  Speaker 5: that game couick it squirrely. All right, my two choices.
• 41:30
  Speaker 5: I played the Commanders, but I know you guys are
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: going to vote for that. I think that ridiculousity. The
• 41:36
  Speaker 5: Lions are broken right now and have no offensive line
• 41:39
  Speaker 5: and can't run the ball, so I'll nominate the Cardinals.
• 41:44
  Speaker 5: Now I'm waiting for a seven, but I'd still bet
• 41:46
  Speaker 5: six and a half. We were talking about a real sell,
• 41:50
  Speaker 5: a real by Low or Sell high. This is I
• 41:52
  Speaker 5: think a real cell high Seattle, so throughout the peak
• 41:54
  Speaker 5: of their market, I do think they're legit. But like
• 41:57
  Speaker 5: the Cardinals, I think are still the most underrated team
• 42:00
  Speaker 5: in the NFL.
• 42:01
  Speaker 6: Teams are my darlings.
• 42:03
  Speaker 5: You guys, well, we haven't got there.
• 42:05
  Speaker 7: I think you'll get a seven again.
• 42:07
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I think we'll get a seven, which is the
• 42:08
  Speaker 5: only thing I'm worried about. But the Cardinals offense is
• 42:11
  Speaker 5: better with persette, and by the way, they are perfectly
• 42:14
  Speaker 5: designed to stop the Seattle offense because they don't allow
• 42:17
  Speaker 5: exposa passes. Seattle goes heavy and off play action, and
• 42:20
  Speaker 5: Darnold's been great. He's been great against the blitz. The
• 42:22
  Speaker 5: Cardinals don't blitz. They will play their three high safety looks.
• 42:25
  Speaker 5: They held They've done the best job against Seattle's offense
• 42:28
  Speaker 5: all year. They held him the twenty points. And by
• 42:30
  Speaker 5: the way, in that game, they didn't have all their corners.
• 42:33
  Speaker 5: Williams didn't play, who else didn't play? Will Johnson didn't play.
• 42:38
  Speaker 5: They just added Walter Nolan, who looked tremendous, their first
• 42:40
  Speaker 5: round Draftfic who made his debut this week. So this
• 42:43
  Speaker 5: Cardinals defense is structurally built to slow down Seattle's offense,
• 42:47
  Speaker 5: and this Arizona offense is just They can play with anybody.
• 42:50
  Speaker 5: They have played with everybody all year. They haven't lost
• 42:52
  Speaker 5: by more than four and they've lost like three or
• 42:54
  Speaker 5: four games at the last second, including one against Seattle.
• 42:57
  Speaker 5: I think this nine is too high. The only thing
• 43:00
  Speaker 5: I'm worried about is I think we'll get a seven eventually,
• 43:02
  Speaker 5: but it's at six and a half now. But that
• 43:05
  Speaker 5: would be a choice, and my other one would be
• 43:09
  Speaker 5: I wouldn't say the Packers too, but you're not going
• 43:11
  Speaker 5: to vote for.
• 43:11
  Speaker 4: That, definitely not so. Still waiting on that three to
• 43:16
  Speaker 4: pop up, by the way, stuck you or is that?
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: Oh?
• 43:19
  Speaker 5: I didn't say it would I said you might as
• 43:20
  Speaker 5: well wait, just like you might as well.
• 43:22
  Speaker 4: I'm sitting it too. I got the best of the bat.
• 43:25
  Speaker 4: I'm not gonna fight with you about my parents.
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: Are fighting in the kitchen again.
• 43:29
  Speaker 5: Yeah, yes, I guess my mine would be Cardinals plus
• 43:32
  Speaker 5: six and a half and we'll go Jets. Money on, Like,
• 43:39
  Speaker 5: the Browns shouldn't be a road favorite here.
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: I can't bet that Jets Browns game. I don't want
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: anything on that game, period. So I'll go Cardinals plus
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: six and a half. They showed some fight last week.
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: I like their defense Seattle. I mean this is probably
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: peak of the market for them. They've been so good.
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: Top five offense, top five defense, divisional Matt getting nearly
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: a touchdown.
• 44:02
  Speaker 4: It makes sense to bet Arizona here.
• 44:04
  Speaker 5: I'll go Cardinals, Kendrick, Cardinals or Jets.
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna probably say the Jets.
• 44:12
  Speaker 7: Angry Birds, all right, we got it.
• 44:15
  Speaker 3: Fuck you guys are gonna make me cheer against the Seahawks.
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: You hate it here?
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: Everything a week It's the All Birds, two Kings and
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: a Queen Parlay presented by DraftKings.
• 44:27
  Speaker 4: The Crown is yours. These birds are real.
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: Ravens Ravens first half money line Ravens Vikings over forty
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: nine and a half Cardinals plus six and a half
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: against the Seahawks. Even the Cardinals are going up against
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: another bird, a bird time Cacaw And that'll do it
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: for today's episode special Thanks to our producers Gifford Golden,
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: David Payne, our stats guy and tie breaker Evan Abrams.
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: Week ten recap coming your way Sunday night. Catch it
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: on on the Action Network YouTube page. Thanks so much
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: for tuning in. We'll see you next time right here
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: on the Favorite podcast presented by DraftKings, Fly Birds Fly.
• 45:19
  Speaker 6: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or
• 45:24
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• 45:27
  Speaker 6: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler