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The Favorites - NFL Week 10 Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's the Favorites presented by FanDuel. Football season is here
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  Speaker 1: moment more this football season. Must be twenty one or
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  Speaker 1: step or text next step to five three three F
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  Speaker 1: two in Arizona one eight eight seven eight nine seven
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  Speaker 1: seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org slash chat
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  Speaker 1: in Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it in Indiana,
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  Speaker 1: visit ks gambling help dot com. In Kansas call one
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  Speaker 1: eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight hope and why or text hope
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: and why four seven three six nine. In York, Tennessee,
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: redline is one eight eight eight nine eight nine called
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: one eight hundred five to two four seven zero zero
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  Speaker 1: in Wyoming or visit www Dot one gambler dot net
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: in West Virginia. Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: the Volume Podcast Network. I'm Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: of the Action Network. We are live on AMP thanks
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: to everybody who's flooding in to join. I am joined
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: as always by my co host, my BFF, my companion
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: professional letter Simmon Hunter. Hello, so I am in Chad.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: What a weekend from sports feels like? It was like
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: two weekends and one just feels like the longest weekend ever,
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: but a good long weekend. Some bad but overall good
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: long weekend. Well, look, you're sad because of the Phillies
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: and us listened to the bonus episode on Friday. You
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: know that, me and Simon and Matt Mitchell and Rory
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: from the Volume Network who's on the helping to produce
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: the show. We were all in Lexington this past weekend.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: We did a live show there. Simon, Matt Mitchell and
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Stucky Action Network o G co host of the BBOC
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: podcast the Action Network podcast. Listening to both They're amazing.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: He lives in Lexington. Took us to a couple of
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: bars that his wife runs. We watched the Phillies game
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: on Thursday night, later into the evening. Tough night, but
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: I love seeing our fans, Loved hanging out with people,
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: love having people buy us shots. Saturday morning, Matt Mitchell
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: went to the airport in Lexington trying to get back
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: to his hometown of Schlamizo slamazl Milwaukee, Wisconsin through Chicago. Delayed, delayed, delayed, delayed. Yeah,
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: pretty rough Saturday for me. Got delayed six hours at
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: the Lexington airport with our colleague Alex Monico before I
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: shot you this message, and if you don't want to
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: hear me yelling, just skip ahead. Two minutes the day
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: of Breeders Cup, I get to the airport nice and early.
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: I run into Alex Monico there with the volumes. Nice.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: We're hanging out. Happened a nicetime. Oh Our flight to Chicago,
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: the last flight leaving the airport in Lexington today, is delayed,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: then delayed again. We look at each other like, I
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: think we're gonna be boned here. We're not gonna be
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: able to catch our connections in Chicago. If there's one
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: more delay. Then we see the gate agent smiles. She
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: grabs the pilot. Pilot smiles, he grabs the p a
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: to give an announcement. We're like, okay, we're in luck,
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: and the guy goes, all right, good news. The ground
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: stop at in Chicago has ended and we are good
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: to fly out. And then like he's like he's doing
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: an improp set. He waits like three Mississippi and goes
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: in two and a half hours, and everyone's booed in
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: the like night at the fucking Apollo at the fucking terminal.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Everyone's gonna miss their connections. We go to the bar,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: we start watching the only people having a worse thing
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: than us, the Tennessee Volunteers. Because we bet on him.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: We go, okay, you know what, We're gonna be fine.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: We'll catch a red eye or whatever out of Chicago.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: And I'm like, I could just rent a car and
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: I'll just drive home from Chicago, whatever it takes. We
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: get another announcement that there's a full ground stop in
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Chicago again, but that's the fucking president is flying in
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: and we hit a weather delay election cycle. Air Force
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: one visit Parlay. I say funk this, I grab my ship,
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: I get in a rent of car. I'm driving on
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: I six now to do the seven hours home to Milwaukee.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: My wife's left me. She's remarried. I think she made
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: a guy named Hank. My kids are calling him dad
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: now and I just I just live on the road
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: in this rented Nissan which is now my condo. Goodbye
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: to my old life. That's what he does or his
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: family as a Phillies fan, proud of the boys. It
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: was a fun ride. The worst part of that we
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: were up to one. I really that was when I
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: really bought in. I dip my toes and I believed.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: But in the back of mind, I was like, come on,
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: Houston's gonna beat us. I got the two one lead
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: was all in. I don't know if you even chat
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: even has ever even been depressed. He's such a happy guy,
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: but something like me. I probably get depressed once a week.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: I'm just a downer guy where it's like, even when
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: things are going good, I get down. So I woke
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: up Sunday dead. Like you know when those movies they
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: have the camera above the guy laying in bed with
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: his covers tucked in on him. You're just laying there
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: looking at the ceiling. That was me. I could not
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: sleep my slipgudule was all messed up from the traveling.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: But I was literally like one of those things, like,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: what's the point of life? What are we doing here?
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: What are any of us doing here? Hopped on a
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: zoom call with Chad and the other people at work
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: with I don't know. It kind of brought me back
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: a little bit. If me and Cha didn't have a
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: good day though, I tell you this much, that might
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: have been it for the boys. But luckily Chad it
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: worked out because I was like, not that sports complete
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: out of things, but it is the ultimate distractor, right Like,
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: I didn't have time to mourn, had to get right
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: to work. So still hurting, like it's Tuesday now. I'm
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: still like even everyone I wake up, I just can't
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: believe baseball is over. I think I'll be over end
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: of the week. But as a true die hard Phillies fan,
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: it hurts, like my my soul hurts right now. But yeah, Chad,
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: we were about to dive into it, but we're just cruising.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: So the vibes are immaculate with the football right now.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: But that Phillies lost hurt. You know, It's funny. I
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: don't really get depressed I figured, I'm preternaturally optimistic. We
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: did have an amazing week, right, so are big balls
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: better the week we basically swept the board? Big balls
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: better the week Tennessee plus twelve and a half. I
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: made you do it, covered Washington plus three and a half.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: That was Simon says, you were on it right away.
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  Speaker 1: Exact decision the Bears. That was a squeaky one, but
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: it worked out. It was exciting. Uh, Foxhole, you were
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: on it since minus seven. You didn't waiver a little
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: bit Sunday morning after convinced me, Avon made his case
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: for the Panthers. You're like, I might buy out, but
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: it's just me being nice to my coworker who's seven
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: hitting setting percent of the season right now. Check did
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: feel a little weird. It did feel a little weird.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: You caved a little too quickly out of here. What
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: What was my exact quote? I said, I'd either only
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: place since here, I'd buy out. I never wavered on
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: everything in Carolina. Don't get defensive. You're about to get
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: defensive because Matt Mitchell was in the taxi ride at
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: the airport. He heard everything you said about Caroline and Chad.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: You're not gonna speak out of this. Let's just say that.
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: Let's say you can follow all these picks in the
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: Action Network Gap download for free. This is under the
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: handle of the favorite podcast you can get the Big Balls.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: Simon says, exact decision in foxhol every week. That's where
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: we track them. Yeah, separate handle. Phase five. This is
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  Speaker 1: the one we do for our contest four and one
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: this week Seattle plus Washington plus three and a half,
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: Chicago plus four and a half, Atlanta plus three and
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: a half. But when we lost was one you surprised
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: me with on Sunday morning, and I I'm going to
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: take the blame for this because you threw in the
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: Raiders minus one and a half, which I never liked.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: I told you I didn't like. I said, this is
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: gonna be the week the Jack's put it all together
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: they did. You said, if I don't do this, if
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: we don't do this, I will hate myself. No, no, no,
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: I said, I would hate myself way less doing this
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: than taking the Colts because you liked. I don't know
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: why you love the Colts. And I just refused because
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: it had already bet New England. I had taken New
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: England first. Half as luckily for our fans would follow
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: me in the action app got that bet, but I'm
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: with you, like the Raiders want to made me feel
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: gross too, But I just said you, I cannot take
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: the culture. Even you said it best. It was a
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: good number for the Colts, but there was just something
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: funky about the mojo of that game. So no matter what,
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: we were gonna because again Chad keeps taking these road
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: public Dogs. I don't know what's going on with chat
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: these last two weeks, but I don't get it. Chatty.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: You're you know better. You knew that Carolina was a trap.
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: I do that. But listen, you got out of the foxhole.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Don't say it. Act like you can't hop out of
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: that foxhole. I hopped out of the foxhole. How could you,
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: my companion. I know it was wrong. It was wrong.
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: No more Public Dogs, though. You gotta stop doing it.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: You're getting killed by the way we killed on Seattle.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, but I mean I we both love that one.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: That was a no brainer. How do we not talk
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: about Detroit? I think there are two and a half
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: So I wasn't gonna do that again. That that was
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: definitely a miss. I mean again, holy crap, Green Bay.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: But yeah, a week we're traveling. Chad, we talked in
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: that that morning. I said best to you where I
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: was like, we probably should take our bio week here
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: because we do have to take a week off in
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: our contest. But I said, do I have three here
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: that I feel like it's a guarantee three? And now
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: luckily those three hit and then we just had needed
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: Seattle for that fourth one. So yeah, the Raiders one
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: I never felt good about, like full of regret, no doubt.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: But when they were up seventeen, nothing, you know that
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: feeling Chads like fun. Yeah, nailed that one and uh
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: quickly fell apart in that second half. So upsetting. Well,
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: we're four and one. We're two games out of first
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: in a million dollar contest. I can't believe we're only
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: two games out of first. After going four and one,
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: we were three games out. I'm disappointed we didn't pick
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: up two games. It's a competition. I think we have,
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: like I don't even know, twenty thousand entries. So the
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: fact we're in the point zero one percent or whatever
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: we're at now, it's it's pretty sweet. Above sevent were
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: ten weeks in, had yet to have a losing week. Chat. Uh,
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: either at this going to run. I know, damn held
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: Chad has never had this go to a run. Nine
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: straight winning weeks is insane for a contest, pickle, unbelievable.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: All right, let's get to it. Let's get to it.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: Thursday night football, we got a rematch of the Falcons
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: and the Panthers. We had the Panthers in a miracle
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: cover two weeks ago against the Falcons. Yeah, down the
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: road at Carolina, three point favorites. Look, we all know
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: the play here. The play is the under? What under ten?
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: It doesn't matter, but we have to have an opinion
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: on this, either for the contest or otherwise. Uh. And
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Like as much as I want to take the Falcons,
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: I do know that taking the home dogs on Thursday
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: nights generally to cover the totals forty forty four and
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: a half. It's kind of what we do. But I
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: don't like it for a contest. Yeah. And again we
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: got burned last Thursday on the under. They hit a
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: two pointer at the end of the game. Stupid little
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: penalty and that's why I went over. But you just
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: keep riding the trends, guys. We just keep betting these
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: primetime unders and they usually keep coming through for us,
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: where the public will just bet these lines up and
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: we're getting free points on the under. So look at
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: this game. Chat is probably right, that's probably the move.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: But how can I not take the Panthers like they're
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: just give me three and a half please, I'm begging
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: the book give me three and a half. I would
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: love that, But I get there. You know you probably won't.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: You probably won't right now. It's of the tickets, six
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: six percent of the money, so it's not trending that way.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: Bigger delta on the tickets right now and the money,
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: I would say, yeah, it's gonna happen. Um, I don't
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: see it unless we get to you know, seven fifty
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: five on Thursday night. Yeah, so then, like again, I
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: wouldn't make one of my bigger bets. But to me
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: and this divisional kind of a matchup, this will be
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: in a short week, we blindly take the Panthers. What
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: we expect to happen here is Atlanta will win by
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: a field goal. That's just how this game shapes up.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I mean last week against the Chargers, they had a
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: missed field goal, they had a fumbled Varanto the game.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: Like Atlanta easily could have won that game. This number,
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: no doubt would be minus four, minus three and a
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: half if they had, so hopefully give us the bump
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: of three points we don't deserve for Carolina because it's
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: a good number right now. Three is what this number
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: should be. It's what I have it at. I just
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: prefer to take the home dog on the Thursday night,
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: so three and a half that that'd be a real
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: gift by the sports book if we could get there.
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: Margo's Mariota also missed Kyle Pitts. Why yeah, that was brutal.
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: Would have been a lead extending touchdown. Our favorite team
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: in Germany, the Seattle Seahawks, the Buccaneers. Buccaneers are two
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites right now. Here's what's interesting.
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: I was gonna take the Buccaneers at minus two and
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: a half, but I hadn't seen the splits yet. The
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: bets are on the Seahawks. Of the money is on
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. We've hit peaks Seahawks. You know, we did
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: the same thing with Atlanta, and we bet Atlanta that
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: extra week. They ended up losing to Cincinnati. I think
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: last week was a peak Seahawk moment. I think it's
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: a different game against the Buccaneers. I think this is
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: a get right spot at a short number. Sure it is,
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: but guess what, I will not be sucked in. Every
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: week I had these damn pros hitting me up, being
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: like quit taking. The Seahawks is gonna catch up to him.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: And every week they keep winning for me, and they
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: keep covering, so I'll keep riding. I love the Seahawks.
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: Fun fact, Chad, you ever heard of man? No? No,
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: it's the die heart loyal fan base in Germany that
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: are all Seahawks fans. Yeah, random little fact. They have
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: one of these big fan groups there in Germany that's
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: apparently going to be like a home home game for them,
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: like they have that many fans in Germany. I'm so
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: scared the German. Don't let the Germans come after. I
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: love everything about it. Would be a gift again, another
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: gift if the books get us up to three, because
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: I think what you had talked about where a lot
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: of people view as is that Tampa's turned the corner here,
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: turn the season around kind of game for them, last
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: second come back against the Rams. What a joke. The
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: rams are to let that happen. In that game. You
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: have a team here, Seahawks, other side of the world, right,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: do you know throws a pick six, goes down the field,
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: has two incredible drives to put his team back in
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: the lead. Like I know, I probably for the same way.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: When he threw that pick, I was like, Okay, that's it.
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: You know, I had a nice run. That's how it's
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: gonna end it here. That like that's classic gino. Um No,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: this team is humming. So maybe I'll get caught. Maybe
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: because of the flight to travel all this other stuff.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: I can't buy that stuff. It's like modern medicine. These
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: guys get right. I mean they're all these you know,
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: billionaire airplanes. Uh team airplanes has everything you need on it.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: I just can't. I can't get behind that. It's too
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: long a flight. And I know a lot of people
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: are actually capping that that there's like a four hour
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: difference in flight time or five hour difference. It doesn't
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: matter to me. I love the Seahawks. I'll just keep
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: taking them as a dog is they just keep people
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: just keep waiting for that the what we call to
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: catch a falling knife. With them like that, You're just
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: waiting for it to happen, like they're gonna fall off
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: a cliff here any day. Now the Seahawks will, but
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: you, you you know, just keeps playing at a high level.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: He has these mental moments that's like exactly what I
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: look for in an elite quarterback. So I don't I
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: don't get it either, Chad. It's mind blowing. We talk
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: every year, there's always these surprise teams. No one saw
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks coming. No one did. Like again, the bookmakers
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: talk about the biggest they had all the summer on
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: them was about four hundred bucks. I think that's the
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: biggest bet I've seen on them for a super Bowl future.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: So no one believes in the Seahawks, and here they
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: are leading the division six and three, still get no
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: respect from the public or the bookmakers, making Tom Brady
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: a favorite. It's maybe, Chad right here, I'm gonna get caught,
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: but I just can't see it. I think Tampa still
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: has major issues on that offensive line. Tom's got no time.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: It's just an issue for that team. Are you saying
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: it's town versus time? I'm saying, Uh, the time is
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: not one yet, right, Tom's not the issue. I feel
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: like you agree for Tampa, right. So dude, he had
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: that terrible Facebook series. What was the called to right right? Yeah?
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: When he kissed his son on the Seahawks And I
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: don't want to spend too much time in this because
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: we're not going to put it in the contest, so
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: we'll see. Um. I love I mean, I love Seahawks man.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: There's there's just good everything. I agree with you. I
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: don't think anything about them has been flukey. I think
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: their defense is getting better and better. They were really
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: great against Kyler Murray. They kept him contained a lot
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: of sacks. I mean, I love Kenneth Walker, love him.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: And what happened on Sunday is exactly what we thought
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: would happen. We said it would happen. Kenneth Walker second
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: half of the game would start to dominate. He is
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: a big, strong guy who's super fast. Gino had that pick.
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: I'm like, oh boy. And then he came back and
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: he did great, and he was he was locked in
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: on a couple of Lockett had some bad plays and
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: he was throwing darts. I don't disagree with you. I
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: don't like the spot. That's my thing. I don't like
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: the spot. It's fair again they're in a bad spot
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: last week. It's just they're just that good. They're kind
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: of the team that breaks the mold. Um. That was
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: the biggest public side we were on last week, right Seahawks,
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: and it was one of our better bets. They won
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: by ten. Uh Jaguars visiting the Chiefs. The Chiefs or
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorites. I hate it, but
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: Chad knows we have to do here. I mean, it's
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: the same thing we did last week with the Titans.
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: Like as soon as that quarterback went out, the amount
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: of message I got there, like are you care that
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: it's not Tan Allen? It was like, no, we weren't
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: betting it because it was Tanned in the first place.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: It's the Chiefs team for some reason in these positions. Um,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: we have the data back it up. They just don't.
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: They don't cover if they're if they're bigger, then what
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: was the chapter If they're more than a seven point favorite, Um,
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: they cover it like below forty five clips. So just
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: going off the trends, we like the Jacks here, but
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: also what we saw last week with their offense, I
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: thought that was big for Trevor Lawrence down seventeen. They
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: did it like they kept driving up and down the field. Again,
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: that was one of the main games I had on
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: my TV um. I couldn't believe what I was watching
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: because we've seen it with them. They they are this
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: team that even when they came back, I still thought
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: we were gonna have a winner with the Raiders, just
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: because we've seen Jaguars come back. But then they just
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: fall apart in that fourth quarter. But they put it
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: all together and that's again a momentum flipping kind of thing.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: So the Chief stole one last week. I remember earlier
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: in the year we tried to fade them after they
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: stole one against the Raiders. I think they put up
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: forty four points against that Fortyars defense. So in the
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: back of my mind, it's like, got to take the Jaguars.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: But I've seen this where the injury puts them through
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: a hell of week of practice and they come out
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: even harder. So a little scary for that perspective, But
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: the problem you just is screaming, you gotta take the Jaguars.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: So interesting to hear what other pros are saying this
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: week about this game, because I do like this number. Uh.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: That was a Travis Etienne breakout game. And by the way, reminder,
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: you gave away Travis Etienne uh anytime touchdown and convinced me,
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: then gave it, gave out a two to go pet
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: on him for two touchdowns which also came through. Uh.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: It was plus four hundred Texans plus six and a
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: half at the New Year of Football, Giants trending towards
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: the Pros Joe's game. I mean, inevitably, you're always gonna
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: get the Pros on the Giants and the Texans at
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: this point. But I don't know if I feel strongly
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: enough that I'm making us a contest game. We might
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: have to, though, because this is gonna be one of
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: the like I feel like you just nailed it where
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: the public will be all over the Giants and will
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: probably end up having to take the Texans. But I
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: hate it. I think me and Chad we had bad
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: run against going against this Giants team. We stayed away.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: It's like the Seahawks against him. That was a no brainer. Um,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: I finally gotta win against this Giants team. But they're
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: probably sucking me in here because again this line is
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: too big, like We know the Giants they're not that good,
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: and we know that Daniel Jones will play as well
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: at home. He plays better on the road. So to me,
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: this is just reeks of the Giants if they win
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: this game. They went by maybe a field goal, maybe
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: four points. Six and a half is so many points,
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: especially where we've seen Houston they have a good run
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: game like that that kids are real. He was running
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: all over that Eagles team. We've seen teams got run
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: against the Giants team. So I'm with you, Chad probably
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: won't be one of my favorite five. But another game
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: where it's like I feel like I don't have a
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: choice here, I have to take Houston. Yeah, football is ugly. Yeah,
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: that was like that watching that Houston Eagles game and
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: watching it with Matt Mitchell on that Thursday night we
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: were in Lexington. It was excruciating, right because they kept
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: it close cost us our first half. Eagles BETA kept
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: it close. I had the Texans to cover um, which
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: they did, and uh, you were against me on that one.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: And then I think Matt Mitchell also had like Texans
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half in the third quarter and
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: in the second half he lost every one of those bets.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: It was hit the third quarter. He did, yea and
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: a half. They kicked the field goal. That's right, that's right,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: that's right. But no, that's that's what life is like
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: betting for this Texas team. You need to get lucky, right.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: They got an opening drive touchdown and they didn't score
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: again until like the last seconds of the first half,
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: and they got all they got was a field all
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: the rest of the game and they covered. So like,
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: that's again when we talk about taking the dog and
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: the big numbers, that's the prime example. It's like, no
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: one has any idea how Texans covered that number, but
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: they did because it was fourteen. It was such a
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: huge number. So, um, can they get lucky two weeks
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: in the road. Yeah, I feel like you're that's what
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: you're kind of saying here. I don't know, hopefully not
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: as good a team. They're not playing as good a
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: team right the Vikings. This is an interesting one right now,
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: six and a half point underdogs at the Bills. We
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: don't know the status of Josh Allen m case keenum
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: is the backup quarterback for the Buffalo Bills. I mean,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: it's a past for me until I get a better
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: sense of who's plan. I mean, it's probably an auto
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: play for me on the Vikings, just in the sense
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: that even if he is playing, we know there's an
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: injury there with Josh Allen, right, so you expect him
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: to be wounded playing in this game. If he does play, Um,
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: I want to take them if there's no injury, obviously,
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: no brainer, because we've been waiting to catch this Vikings
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: team and last week crazy man like Vinjage kirk Cousins.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: If there is ever some you could say a one
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: o'clock game opening drive, puts up a touchdown and then
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: does nothing until about three minutes left in the game
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: where they got a field going a touchdown after like
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: you said, Ah, they had a terrible turnover by Washington.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: It's it's one of It's just that year for the Vikings.
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: So I'm with each other, like I want to take
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: the bills here. Um, but man, that's that's a big deal.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: If this guy he's he's hurt a major muscle in
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: his arm right now. Again, what they said is they're
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: gonna update today. It's an injury that could require Tommy
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: John surgery. So I'm sure man Mitchell is losing the
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: miner and I'm just waiting for an update. But it's
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: like a major deal. So I grabbed the seven and
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: a half. I'd still grab the sixth snap just in case. Again,
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: you can buy this position easily if he does come back. Um,
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: but to me, I wounded Josh Allen on a team
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: that he is. That team, like we've seen that offense.
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: It's literally built around Josh Allen. That's a huge deal
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: if he misses any type of time or even this game.
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: So I want to take like I said, I wanted
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: to take the builds here. This is gonna be a
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: nice spot for them, coming off a bad divisional loss
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: against the Vikings team that no one knows how they're
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: seven oh one, but jeez, they've just been lucky all season.
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: This Vikings team again, they've played three backup quarterbacks. They
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: might be getting their fourth this week if it's case Keeno.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, I can't even imagine how Matt Mitchell is
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: getting through the day right now. Uh. Someone asked me
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: if I was more anxious for the broth of child
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: or this decision. I said, I got two kids. I
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: only have one Josh Allen. So I definitely feel like
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: throwing up all over the place until I find out
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: that he's uh anything less than think it's it's fine,
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: It's fine. Here's the game that I feel strongly about.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: And by the way, we haven't given a Simon Says
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: an exact decision or a foxhold yet. Lions on the
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Road at the Chicago Bears. Bears are two and a
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: half point favorites. Earlier today we had to give out
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: a couple of picks. The pick I gave out was
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: the Bears minus two and a half, and I had
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: a lot of reasons, but I want to hear your
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: thoughts first, because you actually didn't respond on that show.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: So yeah, you know classic game where it's like every
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: fiber in my body is saying take Detroit like this
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be the public spy and the Bears. But
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: I'm a Fields believer, like I just I love what
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: I'm seeing from the kid. I love the way they've
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: been scheming him up. Ever since that Washington game. We've
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: seen a change in this offense um and how they
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: moved the ball Detroit outside. That's another big reason I
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: kind of want to fade it. We've seen golf be
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: horrible outdoors we've seen this offense not be able to
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: move the ball outdoors, and we've seen their defense give
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: up tons of runs, tons of yards to running backs
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: and running quarterbacks. Now we have arguably the best running
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: quarterback in football. So I know, child, I'm I'm right
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: with you. Where it's like the we're scared of it
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: because it's gonna be the most public side probably this
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: week one of the games that's gonna be the highest
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: public side. Um. But the Bears just feel like the
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: smart side this week. If it's under three, it might,
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: it might get to three by time you hear this.
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: But two and a half I have no problem to
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: take on that number. It's bouncing around right now. Was
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: that three? It's tad two and a half right now?
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: It goes back and forth. Let me give some stats, uh,
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: then I gave out on green Dot Daily today the
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: Bears are top two in every single Russian category. The
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: ones that mean nothing to better is like total yards
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: on the ground, as well as the ones that do
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: mean something, such as first downs on the ground, which
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: is an indicator of you're moving the ball on first
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: and second down and you're getting first downs early in
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: a series. Explosive plays on the ground, twenty plus and
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: forty plus touchdowns on the ground yards per carry. This
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: is a dominant running team because of justin fields, because
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: of Khalil Herbert and the Lions on the flip side.
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: Don't be fooled by the fact that they only gave
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: up nine points to Green Bay. They're terrible on defense.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: They are bottom two in every single rush category. To me,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: this is about a close game, the Bears owning the clock,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: owning the ground, and the books haven't adjusted to field yet.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: That's what I really think it is, too, because again
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: we talked last week, we thought that line from close
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: for a three or three and a half almost looked
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: like Diddiot's right. But luckily McDaniels one four and a
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: fourth and one stepp kicking that field goal, and now
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: we we've got lucky. Four or four and a half
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: was a great number and it worked out. I'm tempted
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: to make them my exact decision, but I made the
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: Bears my exact decision last week, and it feels there's
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: no rule. Chad, I don't know. It feels too homeless
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: to go back to back. Why not? And if you're hot,
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: you're hot. Exact decision on the Bears. Executive decision on
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears minus two and a half, the choice
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: between the unthinkable and the impossible? Are you with your
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: orders executive decision? Yeah, two and a half of the
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: key there. I'm surprised you didn't claim it for Simon says,
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: because it's going to move to three, and you already
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: know the two. I'm gonna be on chat. You already
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: know my secrets. It's true. This game is very interesting
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: to me. Saints at the Steelers Steelers plus three right now?
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: I know what do we do here though, because we
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: don't even know who the Saints quarterback is. So I
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: wanted to take Andy Dalton. If it's not I'm world
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: learning pretty quickly here. If it's not prime time, you
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: take Andy. If it's a prime time game, God forbid,
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: do not take any Dolton. How do I keep doing?
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: I keep not seeing these stats about him melting down
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: at prime time? She was the game start's action. We'll
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: tweet it out. It's like, yeah, he's six and sixteen
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: and primetime games. It's like, jeez, just left that money
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: on fire. Uh, he fucking sucks any Dultan, I don't
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: have to do here. Every every ounce of my body
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: wants me to take the Saints. They're the better team.
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: They're the more complete team we've seen Pittsburgh. They've been
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: a seller at they're seller the deadline, but not even that.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: I just they had their offenses no identity, like if
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: they just have nothing there where. The Saints, I know
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: exactly who they are and what they are. So I
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: don't know. I'll probably pass this one for right now,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: but I'm leaning towards the Saints. I just think they're
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: the better team. It was like a Mike Tomlin rob
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: Rod to me, Yeah, it probably straight up win this game, bro,
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: win this game. The Steelers had to buy the Saints
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: have a short week, a home dog. If you're gonna
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: get right and rally the troops around the guys in
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: the locker room, can you pick it, you know, an
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: extra week to learn. Yeah, the Saints coming off a
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: really devastating loss. That feels to me like you're taking
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: the Steelers here, and by the way, you're hoping to
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: get him at three and not have it go to
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: two and a half because the money's coming in on
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: the on the Steelers right now. On the line is
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: moving Browns. Boy, this number is moving too. Opened it
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: four down to three and a half. Visiting the Dolphins.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: We got a pro Joe alerts of the tickets on
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins, of the money on the Browns. Simon Simon says,
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: grabbing says. When Simons says, do we do what sciences
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: and we blew? I mean we were laughing because we
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: talked this morning. I told Chad I loved it up
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: plus four and now it's already moving to plus three
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: and a half, so I would just grab it forward's
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: at three. Does the same scenario last week we had
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: with Washington in Atlanta, Like we saw those numbers of
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: three and a half, the pro's headed went down to
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: three and that's a lapp in this game. It's just
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: a classic scenario of Miami. They are four real like that.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: Then then when that Bears game is a big deal
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: because I really didn't think that was kind of a
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: trapped spot for them. Like going on the road back
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: to back, playing out on the elements to a two
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: is showing up right. I mean the Wattle Tyreek Hill combo.
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: It's crazy, like we we rarely see things like this
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: where um again, people have talked about are gonna talk
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: about all week. Just the fact that my Home's on
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: pace for his best season ever passing and Tiree Hills
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: on his on pace for his best receiving year ever.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: So him him getting two thousand yards again, I get
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: white people trying to make the MVP argument for him.
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: There's just there's other quarterbacks this year. They're clearly carrying
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: their teams. So I just could never see why receiver
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: getting over the quarterback position. But it is cool what
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: tire is doing, Like he's open all the time. You
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: watched all twenty two, Just never any green space for
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: him in a league that it's really it's really hard
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: to find open space, right. All these guys are so
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: fast with athletic he's just a notch above it. So
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna see I get why the public will come
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: in on Miami right there, tied for forst in that division.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: But the Browns just they're not They are bad, right,
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: their defense does have issues, but their offense has so
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: many weapons. I just always can see them keeping up
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: with teams like Miami. Here that Miami coup put up points.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: We just saw last week with the Bears. You can
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: move the ball in them, especially on the ground and
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: comes in Nick Chubb, one of the best running attacks
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: and all football. So matchup wise, I like Cleveland here
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: um the reason making this time and says I just
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: I just want to make sure Peoplen get the three
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: and a half before it goes to three. I hate
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: I hate people getting pushes like what happened last week. Yep, yep,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: I'm with you. Uh three and a half across the
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: board right now, get it while you can. Broncos plus
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: three at the Tennessee Titans, let's ride baby, come on,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: come on. It's one of the best defenses football arguably
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: going up against a right yeah yeah, like again, Russell Wilson,
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: we can goind them always one. This is gonna hurt
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: like a mother when we back them and lose this game.
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: But this is kind of the spot we we've we've
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: fade Rabel like we love Rabel as a dog. He's
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: very he's good to us as a dog, but as
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: a home favor Usually these are kind of games they
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: dropped the ones you don't see coming. The public is
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: going to be all over Tennessee. I don't even know
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: what the splits are, but they just went toe to
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: Toe would arguably the best team of football in the
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: Chiefs in Arrowhead in a primetime game like that right there,
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: Especially if you bet Tennessee last week, you're loving them
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: because it was like a no sweat, no brainer bet
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: and you're feeling good. Um, they're gonna back them against
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: a Denver team that everyone hates. Like again, Russell Wilson
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: has become a joke of the league. We've done well,
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: We've faded them earlier the season. I always talked about
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: there's a second half of the season. This is usually
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: want to come back in on the other side, and
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: it's like a guy that I'm gonna start back and
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: we'll probably end up being Denver just because people have
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: a really bad view of this team. Um, but yeah,
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: give me, give me the great defense against either a
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: rookie quarterback or a backup, backup and injured Ryan Tannehill.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: I love that position in Um, it's bumped up to three.
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: I get see you get into three and a half
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: of the public coming in so heavy. But I would
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: grab the three just in case. I don't think it's
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: going there. Yeah, So I'd grab it just in case. Now, Um,
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: this is one of the bets I made right when
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: I saw get the three from two and a half,
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: I grabbed the denver Um been sitting there all day now,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: So clearly the books don't mind you grabbing the three
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: because the public, the public is coming in that heavy
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: on the Tennessee Titans. It's uh, it's a plus three
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: minus one fifteen right now, get it while you can.
• 34:31
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  Speaker 1: Tennessee redline is one eight d eight eight nine one
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: hundred five hundred in Wyoming, or visit www one eight
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: hundred gambler dot net. In West Virginia, the Colts are
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: on the road, six and a half point underdogs against
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Raiders. This is one of the most
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: surreal games we've got Jeff Saturday, no offensive coordinator. You've
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: got former pro coaches on the at least one former
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: pro coach, and Gus Bradley on the staff coaching the
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: best unit that the team has against the Raiders, who
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: are truly in ft right now. No, this it to me.
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: This is a outright pass like it makes no sense.
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: You're only inviting misery if you decide to beat this game.
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, one of the best life lessons you have
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: in life is watching what happens when guys who make
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: an incredible fortune have their own business give that business
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: to their sons. And we have two teams here, two owners,
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: both their daddies gave them their businesses, and you've seen
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: what both has happened with both franchises. So Jimmy say,
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: luckiest man ever to luck into Peyton Manning, Like what
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: the would the Colds be if they never had Peyton
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: manor Andrew Luck this franchise. It's terrifying. Like it's someone
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: that's a fan of sports teams, it is terrifying how
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: damaging owners can be. And we all know that all
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: sports they make or break teams. So the story goes
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: that Jeff Saturday was there last weekend for some Super
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: Bowl event. All the X players were there and he
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: was in JEMC was just talking about the team and
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: what he had views of the team and his vision
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: of the team, and then little did he know, he
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: didn't even know right, he couldn't believe he was there.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: He got called in a week later be the interim
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: head coach of a team, like a guy from TV.
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: So just terrifun. I feel horrible for Colts fans, but
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: I told you guys weeks ago when the usually took
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: Matt Ryan out, I viewed them as taking I viewed
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: that fact they went oh too to Tennessee. That was
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: the attorney point of the season where they're like, Okay,
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: we'll tank this year, we'll get one of these top quarterbacks.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: And that's the move. If that is really what he's doing,
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: Jim Mercedes a genius, And I take back everything I said,
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: because that's what this is, like that we expect him
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: to be horrible, right, Chad, Like everything about this screams
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: horrible decision, the move, the no c the awkwardness of
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: the whole thing, right, Like this guy coming in from
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: the outside compared to all these guys who have been there,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: hate it like I want to take the Colts bad
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: because I know no one else is gonna take it.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: And that's a huge number for an all for Raiders team.
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: But holy crap, what an absolute train wreck of a
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: franchise right now. That again, just a couple of weeks ago,
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: they were sitting there at three three and one like
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: they weren't out of it by any means, and it's
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: completely gone sideways these last couple of weeks. Well, look,
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: normally this is the exact spot where you take team
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: like the Colts. Uh, We've had a lot of success
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: over the years backing an underdog team with a coach
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: who had just gotten fired, or a team that is
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: making a quarterback change because the line gets so for
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: the for the favorites. This is fucking insanity. It's like
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: you you will let one reality star as president United
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: States and you just assume that anybody who's on TV
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: who can say something smart in thirty seconds or less
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: should be coaching the team. How do you, as Gus Bradley,
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: how do you and Jack Leonard, how Fox is there
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: as as like John Fox is there? How do you,
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: as anybody who has spent your career doing this for
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: a living standing in front of people, trying to motivate people.
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: It's hard to stand in front of a room and
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: tell people why they have to do something if they
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: have no faith in your ability to lead and don't
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: believe that you've put in the work or don't think
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: you know how to do it. I'm not denigrating Jeff
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: Saturday as a player. He was an amazing player in
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: respect and he had the credibility of a guy who
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: could stand up to Peyton Manning, and Peyton Manning relied
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: on him. He won a Super Bowl, fantastic center, one
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: of the best centers in the time he was playing.
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: Come huh, yeah, I mean Galaxy brain and me wants
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: to say Raiders fired McDaniels right now and hire Frank Reich.
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: That would be the move of moves. But again, they
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: have a kid running that we're gonna zation complete, completely terrifying.
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: If I was a Vegas fan again, this this guy
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: I can't get over. Like, if I ever build anything
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: out of my life to have my own ownership, no
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: chance I would leave it to my son. It's just
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: it just seems like it's a disaster. Every time I
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: promise you I will have nothing to leave to my
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: kids guarantee. So that's another pass. Uh. The Cowboys are
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: visiting the Green Bay Packers, and the Packers right now
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: are five and a half point underdogs, the biggest home
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: underdog Aaron Rodgers has been since two thousand and third.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: Do you hear that shot? I didn't hear anything. Those
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: are the bullets flying above our heads as we hoped
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: down into a foxhole. We're going to the foxhole on
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. Green Bay Packers, Let's climb down
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: into the foxhole. No brainer, Chad. As soon as you
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: saw this line a little I felt he probably the
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: same feeling with me. This little smile comes across your face.
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: You think you fucking suckers. This is where you feel
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: like we're the smartest people in the room. Because this
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: is a classic pros verse Joe's the pros will be
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: all over this one. We don't even care if we
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: lose this one. This is literally a bet you make
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: every single time. Green Bay. I don't even know they're
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: the least respected team in football. They have to be.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: Anyone that was left on them last week, there was
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: like five people left that were still betting Green Bay
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: for some reason, that was it. They lost to that
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: game against Detroit seeing Rogers started two picks in the
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: red zone. That had to end it. Right, there's gonna
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: be no one left. Chat, it's just gonna be mean
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: you when it's Fox will your brother. I'm telling you,
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: it's it's like the Bengals last week. Honestly, it's just
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: a game where it's uncomfortable. I hate it. I don't
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: only want to do this. You have to do this stuff.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: It's like you love to fade public perception. Who cares
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: what happened last week. It's all about this week. And
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: then this week you have a Green Bay team at
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: home against the Cowboys, team historically plays at against them.
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy, first time coming back to this stadium where
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: all those years he spent. That's gotta be a big deal.
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: That's gotta that's gotta fact him doing the emotion of
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: this game. And again, emotions are a big game of football.
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: We saw the time coaches have these stupid blunders in
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: these games that really dictate a lot of games and
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: can get games closer when they should. So, man, I
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: love the fact of this line. It keeps jumping up.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: I would have taken it for us three and a half.
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: No brainer to me on Green Bay. The fact that
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: it's creeped all up to five and a half now
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: just because like I just said it, everyone's gonna have everyone.
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: I'm saying, everyone will have Cowboys and their teasers, their
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: money line parlays. This is this is gonna be one
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: of the biggest needs of all the sports books. Happy
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: to take that position, Happy to take a position on
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: Green Bay. So um man, I can't believe it's gone
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: up to five and a half. But again, it's not
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: a surprise like the Green Bay. This is the worst
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: we've ever seen them in the Aaron Rodgers air right
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: at least since his rookie year. I think he was
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: six and ten his rookie year. Will be lucky to
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: get the six and eleven, but this is one of
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: those games they have to at least cover, right, Like
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: you just see this being a close battle just because
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: of um, what's going on with the Screen Bay team.
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: Do you think it would get up to um uh
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: five and a half because there's a lot of tickets
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: and um cowboys on the Cowboys right now? Yeah, this
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: will be this is like again, you can you can
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: go to your sports book when you make bets. You
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: can talk to hold one set hold on what sect?
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: I say five and a half because now I'm looking
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: and the line is basically moved to five. So do
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: we think it will go higher? Yeah? Because again, uh,
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: it's weird because I don't I'm not even trying to brag.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: But like Chad knows, and I talked to him this morning.
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: It's not just talking to him, reaching out to all
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: my runners and all these other gamblers, and I know
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: exactly what they're doing, so I can tell you the
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: pros they've hit this number, saying with the Browns number
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: like that, just a no brainer bet today that I
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: knew a lot of people would be on. Um. Yeah,
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: I can I see getting back up there. Sure, but
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: again it's professional money that's gonna keep smacking that down.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: So um, it all depends when the pros can do.
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: If they if they let it sit and in the
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: public keeps coming in, maybe books will bump it back
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: up to try to get more money in. But I
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: can promise you it comes Sunday. We'll see tweets that
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: this is going to be ten to one. The amount
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: of tickets written on the Cowboys compared to Green Bay.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: The money will probably be twelve one one written on
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys compared to Green Bay, just because of all
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: the parlays and teasers that will be on the Cowboys.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: So you can roll the dice can wait. But like
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: I just said, I'd grab that five and a half.
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: You can still get it. It's five, Yeah, throw a
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: little bit on there. I just can't see it dipping
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: below four comes Sunday. So worst case scenario, you'll grab
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: a four and a half, which is again a key number,
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: UM five and a half, five, five and a half.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: We we view those as dead numbers. We still grab
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: them just because it's good value. What would you bet
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: this down too? I may get three, but I wouldn't
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: bet it. I wouldn't bet at three. I'd bet it
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: down to three and a half. Okay, because again it
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: feels like the Cowboys will still win this game. They're
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: the better team, they have the better defense. You expecting
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: to win this game. It's just again, we'll have this
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: in our money line around Robin. This is it for
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: Green Bay season. If you don't win this, it is
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: officially over. I mean, look, Mike McCarthy against Aaron Rodgers's
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: essentially what we're saying, crazy, just crazy. I like this game.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: We're adding it to the list Packers plus five, Bears
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: minus two and a half, Browns Jesus Christ Brown's plus
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: three and a half, and Vikings if we can get
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: six and a half. If there's no h if Josh
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: Allen is out, there's there's a couple of the games.
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: There's at least one more game that I'm dying to
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: discuss that. I feel pretty strongly about Cardinals visiting the Rams,
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: Cardinals three point underdogs on the road. I don't have
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: any strong opinion on this right now. Yeah, I hate
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: I feel like I'm supposed to take the Cardinals here
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: because they're the better team, but man, just just awful.
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: It's like I could be convinced right if I hear
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: other shark groups are on it, But right now, sitting here,
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: like man, I don't even know if I have more
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: than five on this, Like I have other games. I
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: got five figures on right now, four figures. This is
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: nothing for me earlier in the week. So Cardinals feel
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: like the right side of the smart side, more complete team.
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: They actually have a pass rush that you could see
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: getting to Stafford. Stafford just hasn't looked right all season. Again,
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: take away Cooper Cup. This Rams team has no identity
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: on offense. He really is the team right now. So
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: Cardinals feel like the smart side. But I'm with Chet. Can't, can't,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: can't make this one of my five Yet I have
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: high single figures on the Bears right now. I love
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: it alright. The next game, the next game, and for
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: a reminder, foxhold was Packers plus five. Simon says it
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: was Brown's plus four. It's really Brown three and a half.
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: Exact decision is Bears minus two and a half. The
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: next game that I want to talk about the Los
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: Angeles Chargers visiting the San Francisco forty Niners. The Chargers
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: are seven point underdogs. I'm telling you right now. I
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: am telling you right now, Simon. We have hit peak
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: over correction, way peak over correction. The market has come
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: down so far on the Chargers and gone so far
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: up on the Niners. Charges plus seven is an auto play. Yeah,
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: and I had the way from my guy having Abrams
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: put out this article. But all the trends will back up.
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: Fading Shanahan prime time favorite. Never good. You always take
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: the other side in these positions, and historically it will
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: work out for you, um Chargers as a big dog.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: That's where we like them. We don't like them as favorites, right,
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: Like we joked last week, they're not They're not a
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: good team as a favorite person and they always played
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: teams close that they should beat up on this team again,
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: no one expecting them to beat up on him, right,
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: You're expecting this to be a closer game, especially towards
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: this fort nine side. Such a letdown spot right for
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: the Niners. Like Chad just said, they've been sitting back
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: all week here about how great they are as they
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: sit there at four and four, so crazy to think
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: they might drop this game. Then they'll be four and five,
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: and that is a massive, massive deal for that Seahawks
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: team sitting there at six and three. But oh, seven points,
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: seven points for Herbert here. I love that. I love that,
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: just the chances of the back door at that big
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: one number for a guy that won't stop slinging it.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: So I'm right there with CHADU love it at seven.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: Hopefully it stays there all week, but could easily see
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: this number dropping down as the week goes along. Here
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: I feel like we could come back around to this
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: game on Thursday. Is a big balls bet, yeah, I
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: mean it doesn't take huge balls yet though, because I
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: feel like like that you were spot on Tennessee last
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: week that one legit that took some ball. If that
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: was scary, I was scary to do this one. I
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: feel is like this is just the smart right play
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: where it's like, no fear, we just got we gotta
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: bet this one year. Um. But man, the Keenan Allen
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: injury and the Mike Williams injury, the Chargers clearly need
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: that back. Right. They only put up twenty points against
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: a bad secondary in that Atlanta team last week, so
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: support naries don't got to go to a secondary either, right,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: we've seen them get lit up by passing offenses. You
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: could wait and see right, hoping keen Allen then come back.
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: But I would just grab the seven because I think
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: a lot of other people will grab it now. I
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: could see a drop in a six and a half.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: Six is a week goes along here, grabbed the seven,
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: all right? Last game, last game on the board, Commanders
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: visiting the Eagles. Commanders eleven point dogs. That's that's crazy, really, Yeah,
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: it is. I I don't know. To me, I look
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: at this and it's just the whole thought of Heineke
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: where it's like it's all fun and good. It's been
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: great when he's done. Chad. We've seen these moments though,
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: right like to pick six moments with him or just
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: turning the bowl over in the middle of the field.
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: He doesn't play well against good defenses, and he's beat
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: up on the Vikings defense. We don't think it's that
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: good of a defense. Played the Colts. We don't view
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: them as that good of a defense. And then they
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: barely be Green Bay at home. We don't view is
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: that good of a defense. So this could be the
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: first Heineke test. Just be careful everyone, I just see
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: that this would be one of the bigger public dogs
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: of the week. You know, I love a prime time dog.
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: I hate prime time dogs of the public loves like
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: Usually that's a bad sign. So it's early in the
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: week now, I don't know what the public is gonna
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: do on this number. I'm just going off a hunch.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: I could see them hitting. It's just in the fact
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: that they've been good, they've been competitive Washington. That d
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: line they have is for real. Eagles let a lot
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: of people down last week that bet them right, I
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: think the only one by twelve, So yeah, big big number.
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: I kind of view it as a nice spot for
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: an Eagles team coming off what is it, twelve days
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: or eleven days of rest because they played on a Thursday.
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing on Monday. Maybe I'll do my thing,
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: keep doing the Eagles first half. I mean again, it
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: was a brutal beat last week, but look of all
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: the things had to go wrong for them not to
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: cover that first half, and it takes a lot, clearly
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: for that to happen. So Eagles, I guess you're right.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: Check Like, maybe I can't force you to make this
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: one of our five yet, but I feel like you'll
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: agree only if we see that the public keeps coming
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: in on this Commander side and we keep seeing the
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: number go up. Because it wasn't ten with the ten
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: and a half, I'm seeing a couple of books at
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: eleven now, So yeah, totally. Clearly professionals like the Eagles
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: as well, um because it's it's again, it's a good
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: matchup for their defense against a heinekey guy who likes
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: to turn the ball over. Eagles lead the league and turnover,
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: so a lot of things to look at in this one.
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: But as you sit there on Tuesday, yeah, I'm not
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: gonna blindly bet the Eagles yet, I need I need
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: to look into this number a little bit more. Our
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: faves or Bears minus two and a half, Packers plus
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: five Browns plus three and a half Chargers plus seven
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: on the runway Jack's plus nine. I to have Texans
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half, Vikings plus six, Broncos plus three.
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: I expect we'll get some sharp calls. Oh yeah, these
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: games shoo. I don't know, man, this might be a
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: this might be the week to pass. I feel no
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: knowing that we have to pass for a week. We're
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: so hot though, it feels like we're holding on so
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: tight the ball or is the ball gripping us. I
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: can say you feel that way, as you said here
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday, but noing you. I feel like by the
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: time we get the Sunday, like, no fucking way we
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: passed this week. No way we're fucking passing this week.
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: Not a chance. This crew that is listening to this
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: podcast has done an amazing job at keeping the favorites
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: in the top one of sports podcasts. We appreciate you.
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: You are so kind to listen to us. We loved
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: meeting so many of you in Lexington. It was great.
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: It was fantastic. Yeah, really cool. Any family met man
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: like everyone we ran into offering to buy drinks. Yeah.
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: I didn't linger though too long, which is the key
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: to meeting people like get in, give your five to
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: ten minutes, like shoot the ship with us, and then
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: get the funk out. Right are you telling are you
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: telling our fans you don't want to like, you don't
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: want to be with the riff raff for too long.
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: I'm just saying that's the point of view. I'll talk
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: to anybody for a while. Okay, they're good guy. I'm
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: one of those if you approach someone, I feel like
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: you get the five at ten minutes and at that
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: point you're holding them up from let them go back
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: around back about their regular life chat. He lives for
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: this me. I don't. I have no interest in being famous,
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: but I do love meeting people. Shooting the ship like
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: that was cool, But um, yeah, it was definitely. It's
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: definitely a different feeling. Everything you say is a lie, right,
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: keep sending in the reviews five stars, folks, that's one
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: of the ways we stay in the top one. That's right, yet,
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: keep those positive reviews on Apple Podcasts coming. I will
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: select five reviews next week and we'll give away some prizes.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: If you've already love to review, take your wife's phone,
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: take your friend's phone, steal off phone on the subway,
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: doesn't matter. Just leave a new review and we'll name
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: some winners next week. Thanks guys. Feedback As a gift,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: download us from Apple Podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: your podcasts. For Matt Mitchell, for Simon Hunter, I am
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: Chad Meman. This has been the favorites from the Volume
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: podcast Network. Until next time, I Love you,