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Week 18 Predictions, Player Props and Mapping The Playoff Landscape · NFL Game Previews

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: NFL Game Deview is a production of the NFL in
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: partnership with iHeartRadio.
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: Everybody.
• 0:12
  Speaker 3: Welcome to Game Debut, presented by Mercedes Benz, Patrick Claiba.
• 0:15
  Speaker 3: I'm back here with Greg Rosenthal and Cynthia Freeland.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: We enjoyed last week except for the fact that.
• 0:20
  Speaker 3: Greg Rosenthal has almost put enough distance to win the
• 0:23
  Speaker 3: regular season Picks Championship.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: Congratulations, Greg, I.
• 0:27
  Speaker 4: Thought this is the part where you get on me
• 0:29
  Speaker 4: for picking the Panthers last night. I don't like this
• 0:31
  Speaker 4: beginning part where we talk about my good record. Can
• 0:33
  Speaker 4: we put it up at least it just makes me
• 0:35
  Speaker 4: even more unlikable.
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  Speaker 3: Okay, Well, instead of a picture of your actual face,
• 0:39
  Speaker 3: we'll go to a picture that you love so much
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  Speaker 3: with you rocking the crown.
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: One hundred and sixty one and ninety five.
• 0:47
  Speaker 5: It's good, very good. Congratulations.
• 0:49
  Speaker 4: I've noticed Cynthia hasn't been as warm and friendly to
• 0:52
  Speaker 4: me around the office.
• 0:52
  Speaker 6: Exactly normal.
• 0:54
  Speaker 7: Yeah, you know, I feel like I'm like, well, we'll
• 0:57
  Speaker 7: see what happens in the playoffs.
• 0:58
  Speaker 5: Much like you did last year. Okay, different record, it's
• 1:02
  Speaker 5: all cumulative.
• 1:03
  Speaker 3: Let's get to the actually Bill's Dolphins. The game of
• 1:05
  Speaker 3: the week the team's met back in Week four forever ago.
• 1:08
  Speaker 3: Y'all remember that Josh Allen went superhero mode through four touchdowns.
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  Speaker 3: He ran one in Buffalo all over the Fins forty
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  Speaker 3: eight to twenty, and we get the rematch coming up
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: Sunday night.
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  Speaker 2: The stakes are high.
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  Speaker 3: The winner of Bill's Dolphins not only wins the AFC East,
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  Speaker 3: but they get the two seed overall in the AFC.
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: Also the scenario where the Bills, if they lose, they
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: can miss the playoffs entirely.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: What's gonna happen, Cynthia.
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  Speaker 5: I think this is.
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  Speaker 7: Gonna be a close game, but I think the Bills
• 1:37
  Speaker 7: managed to pull it off. I like how everyone's like
• 1:39
  Speaker 7: in South Beach. They're not actually in South Beach. They're
• 1:42
  Speaker 7: a little bit further north than that, Davy, But we're
• 1:44
  Speaker 7: good here twenty five to twenty four. And I want
• 1:46
  Speaker 7: to talk about Josh Allen and his O line. There's
• 1:49
  Speaker 7: a couple of things that I want to point out.
• 1:50
  Speaker 7: Because Josh Allen isn't necessarily the easiest quarterback to block,
• 1:53
  Speaker 7: where he holds onto the ball longer than most, and
• 1:55
  Speaker 7: he's always the threat to scramble. They don't often know
• 1:58
  Speaker 7: necessarily what he's gonna do if they're under pressure. But
• 2:01
  Speaker 7: this team thirty one point one. That's his season rate
• 2:04
  Speaker 7: being under pressure. That's the eighth lowest. And by the way,
• 2:06
  Speaker 7: his sack rate three point five is the lowest. So
• 2:09
  Speaker 7: lots of credit to Dion Dawkins's left tackle there, Walter
• 2:12
  Speaker 7: Payton min of the Year nominee. Really interesting stuff here.
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  Speaker 7: And by the way, they also have a forty seven
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  Speaker 7: point three run success rate. That rush rate, that's a
• 2:20
  Speaker 7: really big deal. That is number one in the NFL.
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  Speaker 7: That's better than the Niners. That's better than the Ravens.
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  Speaker 7: That's better than.
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  Speaker 5: The Eagles, it's better than the Rams. Wow, better than everyone.
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  Speaker 7: I was gonna name all thirty one teams, but didn't
• 2:32
  Speaker 7: if we had enough.
• 2:32
  Speaker 5: Time for that.
• 2:33
  Speaker 4: You know, I love it when I'm on the same
• 2:34
  Speaker 4: side as the model here.
• 2:36
  Speaker 6: I have the Bills winning this game too.
• 2:37
  Speaker 4: It's a little further in terms of the margin, twenty
• 2:40
  Speaker 4: seven to twenty three, and it's because of the defense
• 2:43
  Speaker 4: in Buffalo, Josh Allen the offense and they're ups and
• 2:45
  Speaker 4: their downs get so much attention that I think we've
• 2:48
  Speaker 4: lost one of the best coaching jobs by Sean McDermott.
• 2:51
  Speaker 4: On the defensive side in a long time, ed Oliver
• 2:53
  Speaker 4: there has stepped up as their premier defensive tackle. But
• 2:56
  Speaker 4: in the secondary where they've had those injuries, they've really
• 3:00
  Speaker 4: seen Razul Douglass this pick up, step up, Christian Bevenford
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  Speaker 4: step up. They've made a decision to bench Von Miller entirely.
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  Speaker 4: I think that's helping them out. And then their linebackers
• 3:10
  Speaker 4: and right dake Onon Jones is back, and then their
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: linebacker position. When they last played the Bills, uh, they
• 3:16
  Speaker 4: had Matt Milano. Now they've had Bernard and Terrell Dotson
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  Speaker 4: step up, and since Week thirteen they are fifth in
• 3:23
  Speaker 4: EPA per play allowed. I think it's the defense that
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  Speaker 4: gets them over the line. It's it's so clear you win,
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  Speaker 4: you make the playoffs. It's much more clear than our
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: producers telling me, oh, does the picks competition continue pass
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  Speaker 4: this week and they're like, well, we'll see how this
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  Speaker 4: week goes.
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  Speaker 6: I mean that makes no sense.
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  Speaker 7: Well, I mean ultimately last year you said it's a
• 3:43
  Speaker 7: different one in the playoffs because that I had one
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  Speaker 7: going away and.
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  Speaker 5: You couldn't get back. Now this year we changed.
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  Speaker 6: Depends I I'm winning. Yeah, we're gonna, we're gonna.
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  Speaker 3: We're gonna nail something down before the playoffs start. But
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: we were unanimous here. I've got the Buffalo Bills winning
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: this one as well. Twenty eight twenty six. Of course,
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: injury is a huge factor from We're gonna hope Jael
• 4:01
  Speaker 3: and Wattle plays in this game. No more Bradley Chubb
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: for the rest to this year and maybe a lot
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: of next year. But a huge factor in this game.
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: Last week for the Dolphins was Duke Riley matched up
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: with Justice Hill.
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  Speaker 2: It did not go well. It was the Justice Hill game.
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  Speaker 3: He doesn't have to play a dangerous running quarterback with
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  Speaker 3: a gifted pass catching running back this Oh wait, now
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be James Cook, who caught one pass in
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  Speaker 3: the first matchup, but that pass was for forty eight yards.
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  Speaker 3: I think he's gonna get a few more targets Sunday
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  Speaker 3: and the Bills win meme away offense.
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: We do still think the Dolphins are good.
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  Speaker 4: Yes, Dolphins fans, I vote you most likely to meet.
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  Speaker 5: Us, so most likely to meet us.
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  Speaker 3: But that's why we do it, because we want to
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: be mean, So we win no matter what.
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  Speaker 2: Tom for more or less.
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: Let's talk about some player props for Bills Dolphins greg
• 4:48
  Speaker 3: more or less than two hundred and eighty three and
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: a half total yards for Josh.
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  Speaker 4: Allen, it's gonna be more. It's gonna be way more.
• 4:54
  Speaker 4: It's either gonna be way more or way less, because
• 4:57
  Speaker 4: it's either gonna be a disaster.
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  Speaker 6: Don't you agree. I mean, he was a bit of
• 5:01
  Speaker 6: a mess last week. It's like it's either great or
• 5:05
  Speaker 6: it's awful.
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  Speaker 4: And I don't know what to think about this Dolphins
• 5:07
  Speaker 4: defense who had played so well but last week really collapsed.
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  Speaker 4: And Patrick mentioned how Bradley Chubb is out. They're also
• 5:13
  Speaker 4: without Xavi and Howard, their great cornerback, and so in
• 5:16
  Speaker 4: a big time game. I do trust Josh Allen. He's
• 5:19
  Speaker 4: been in so many of these over the last few years.
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  Speaker 6: He gets it done well.
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  Speaker 3: If he does turn the ball over a lot, maybe
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: that's more yards for him.
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  Speaker 2: Cynthia will talk.
• 5:27
  Speaker 3: About Lola though for more or less than one and
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: a half touchdowns.
• 5:29
  Speaker 7: We're going for more here Tyreek Hill. See that guy
• 5:32
  Speaker 7: running into the end zone. I know he was held
• 5:34
  Speaker 7: in check last time they matched up. However, this is
• 5:37
  Speaker 7: a guy who's gotten the most space to catch those
• 5:39
  Speaker 7: downfield passes. That's not like they are infallible in that secondary.
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  Speaker 7: I still think that Tyreek Hill really good as it
• 5:47
  Speaker 7: turns out.
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: Hey, you know what, Cynthia, I also agree Tyrik Hill
• 5:50
  Speaker 3: is very good. That's why I think he will have
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: over ninety one receiving yards. Earlier in this year, this
• 5:56
  Speaker 3: would not even be a question, but Tyreek dealing with
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: that ankle injury for the past few weeks. I still think,
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: you know, fifty percent of Tyreek Hill still gets a
• 6:03
  Speaker 3: pretty clol to one hundred receiving yards. So I got
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  Speaker 3: more there. Let's go over to the NFC now, though,
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: because everybody's been talking about the wild endings to last
• 6:12
  Speaker 3: year's Cowboys, I mean last week's Cowboys Lions game. I'm
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: very sorry, Cynthia, but let's not forget about Ceede Lamb's
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  Speaker 3: historic performance.
• 6:21
  Speaker 7: Back to throw the blutch him from the safety spot
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  Speaker 7: and crush out of states, then lunch to his life,
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  Speaker 7: throws on the round in.
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  Speaker 8: The middle of the Atlamic A fifty You ever get
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  Speaker 8: anywhere near him?
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: Lambs the cruel. If they wanted to CD Lamb ninety
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: two years Trump get us not for.
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  Speaker 6: The Dallas touchdown.
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: Time going to drive to excellence preserved by Mercedes been ceds.
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: The game would have been even better if the side
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: of the end zone wasn't lava. Cowboys and Commanders, Dallas
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: controls their playoff destiny. With a win, they claim the
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: NFC East thrown and the two seed in the NFC.
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: Do all of those things happen, though, of.
• 6:58
  Speaker 4: Course they happened, Patrick, It's they're playing the Commanders.
• 7:01
  Speaker 6: They haven't won in two months.
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  Speaker 4: Forty one to seven is the score, so that thirteen
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  Speaker 4: and a half points.
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  Speaker 6: That's not nearly enough.
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  Speaker 4: It's partly because of this Cowboys defense and Mico Parsons.
• 7:11
  Speaker 4: And when I watch Michael Parsons each week, he still
• 7:13
  Speaker 4: has a chance to win Defensive Player of the Year.
• 7:15
  Speaker 4: This is a theme throughout this show. All these defensive
• 7:17
  Speaker 4: players have a chance for one last statement that you
• 7:20
  Speaker 4: remember when I watch Parsons, I think I know the
• 7:23
  Speaker 4: sacks don't say it, but he feels like he's the
• 7:26
  Speaker 4: best defensive player in the league, and some other stats
• 7:28
  Speaker 4: do say it. He has the quickest time to pressure
• 7:30
  Speaker 4: ye in the league. He has the most pressure in
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  Speaker 4: the league. He has the best pressure percentage, in the league.
• 7:35
  Speaker 4: He's faced the most double teams in the league, and
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: despite those double teams, he has the most pressures through
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: those double teams.
• 7:41
  Speaker 6: And so I love it when the.
• 7:43
  Speaker 4: Next gen stats in the research department just supports my
• 7:48
  Speaker 4: eyeball test, which is that this guy actually is the best.
• 7:51
  Speaker 7: I love it when you talk about the research department
• 7:54
  Speaker 7: sex up the research department there for us.
• 7:56
  Speaker 5: I love it.
• 7:57
  Speaker 7: I'm with you on this one. I have a closer margin.
• 7:59
  Speaker 7: I have thirty to nineteen in this matchup. I'm curious
• 8:02
  Speaker 7: to see what version of this O line we get
• 8:05
  Speaker 7: heading into the playoffs. We know the Cowboys are going.
• 8:08
  Speaker 7: They brought in Lyle Collins this week. You don't often
• 8:10
  Speaker 7: see that happen so late in the game for a
• 8:13
  Speaker 7: team that's really this kind of hopeful in terms of
• 8:16
  Speaker 7: where their playoff inspirations or where they think they're going
• 8:19
  Speaker 7: to go. Aspirations are going to lie. So I'm curious
• 8:22
  Speaker 7: to see. We've seen some areas where they've really been
• 8:25
  Speaker 7: hampered by injuries and other times where it hasn't really
• 8:27
  Speaker 7: been such a big issue. So I'm really monitoring this closely.
• 8:31
  Speaker 7: It's not that I think that Washington has the end
• 8:34
  Speaker 7: all be all of pass rush. But the interior, those
• 8:36
  Speaker 7: two guys in the middle, they are really good. They
• 8:39
  Speaker 7: both went to Alabama. They're both really good. You can
• 8:42
  Speaker 7: look them up if you want to. Jonathan Allen, drunk
• 8:43
  Speaker 7: pain whatever.
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: We're good.
• 8:44
  Speaker 7: But they're going to be an interesting matchup for this
• 8:46
  Speaker 7: O line.
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, at one point the defensive line had a lot
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: of talent in total, and then they decided to donate
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: that defensive line too.
• 8:54
  Speaker 6: There seem like they're sitting some people there. I see
• 8:57
  Speaker 6: what you're doing.
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, it's unanimous here. I've got Dallas as well. I
• 9:01
  Speaker 3: think Dallas gets out in front and actually coase to
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: a win in this one. So thirteen and a half
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: feels a little bit rich for me. But I've got
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: a number. If you like correlation and causation.
• 9:10
  Speaker 6: I do.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: I got a number for you. Is the Canary and
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: the coal Mine. The harbinger.
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: Ricodoubell when he carries the ball more than five times,
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: Dallas is five and zero with an average margin of
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: victory of twenty seven points.
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: Look at the numbers, folks, The numbers are never wrong.
• 9:27
  Speaker 9: You give Rico Dowdle the ball six times and guarantees
• 9:31
  Speaker 9: guarantees the Dallas lit It is tough to find a
• 9:35
  Speaker 9: spot to talk about the Washington Commanders.
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: Late in twenty twenty three. We're gonna stay in the
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: NFC East, though.
• 9:39
  Speaker 3: The Eagles have lost four of their last five games,
• 9:42
  Speaker 3: none more shocking than the disappointment against the Cardinals, which
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: now hand off Connor straight ahead geese to the goal line.
• 9:50
  Speaker 6: And the cross for the go ahead touchdown.
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: James Conner punches it in and the Cards take the lead.
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: Hurt's waiting around, lets it develop, keeps one for the
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: end zone.
• 10:02
  Speaker 6: It is they are set there and that's the game.
• 10:06
  Speaker 8: The Cardinals come to Philadelphia and knock off the Eagles.
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: The Eagles and the Giants Philly can still win the
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: NFC East, but they do need some help. They're gonna
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: need to do so without Devonte Smith. Greg Can they
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: do it.
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: I think they do it, but I think it's difficult
• 10:22
  Speaker 4: because everything's difficult for the Eagles right now. Thirty four
• 10:25
  Speaker 4: to thirty is my score a shootout, and it's Jalen
• 10:29
  Speaker 4: Hurts who ultimately gets him over the finish line to
• 10:32
  Speaker 4: win this game. Even without DeVante Smith. I feel like
• 10:34
  Speaker 4: I'm taking crazy pills. Hearing people talk about the Eagles
• 10:37
  Speaker 4: this week and it's like, oh, Jalen Hurts, He's not
• 10:40
  Speaker 4: been great against the Zero Blitz and like they've had
• 10:43
  Speaker 4: some miscommunication offense. Has anyone watched this team? It's entirely
• 10:48
  Speaker 4: the defense. Jalen Hurts has played great in the last
• 10:50
  Speaker 4: two weeks. He played great last week against Arizona. They're
• 10:54
  Speaker 4: one of the worst, if not the worst defense in
• 10:56
  Speaker 4: the league, despite being a preseason Super Bowl favorite. My
• 10:59
  Speaker 4: pick numbers all say it it's the defense, and Jalen
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: Hurts is playing excellent football.
• 11:05
  Speaker 6: Is he the MVP?
• 11:05
  Speaker 4: No, But he's like a top seven or eight quarterback
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: and they have a top seven or eight offense by
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: basically every metric you look at. It's all on the defense,
• 11:14
  Speaker 4: and my guy, Jalen Hurts is gonna get it done
• 11:16
  Speaker 4: against this Giants team.
• 11:18
  Speaker 7: I love that I also have a win. I have
• 11:20
  Speaker 7: a more Winny win than you. Twenty seven to twenty
• 11:23
  Speaker 7: one is my final score. But I do want to
• 11:25
  Speaker 7: give a little love to Tyrod Taylor. Why because he's
• 11:28
  Speaker 7: actually making this Giants offense not just.
• 11:31
  Speaker 5: Like watchable, but fun to watch.
• 11:33
  Speaker 7: Look at this deep pass ye right in the bread
• 11:36
  Speaker 7: basket also their last matchup. He was a difference maker,
• 11:40
  Speaker 7: his ability to run, his ability to withstand pressure, because
• 11:43
  Speaker 7: we know this O line is an area that they
• 11:45
  Speaker 7: will be looking to improve come draft season. I just
• 11:48
  Speaker 7: feel like, in a game where these two franchises not
• 11:51
  Speaker 7: the best of friends, not BFFs trying to help each
• 11:54
  Speaker 7: other out Tyrod Taylor, they're gonna have a bunch of
• 11:56
  Speaker 7: fun things to watch him, like succeed and do well.
• 11:59
  Speaker 7: And I got to give him some love because it's
• 12:01
  Speaker 7: not easy to come in and those circumstances and perform well,
• 12:03
  Speaker 7: and he has.
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: And it would be tough to have high expectations for
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: Ty if you were playing the twenty twenty two Eagles defense.
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: But as Greg mentioned, it has been a struggle. If
• 12:12
  Speaker 3: you go back to those three games before they made
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: the switch at defensive coordinator, they gave up thirty four
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: points a game to three teams that had top ten
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: offenses in the NFL, And so they bring in Matt
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: Patricia and they've given up.
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: They've given up twenty six points a game.
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: Which is better, but that's against the seventeenth, twenty fourth,
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: and thirtieth ranks scoring offenses in the league. And I
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: want to go back and look at their best defensive
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: play from last week against the Arizona Cardinals. Sidney Brown
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: gets this interception, runs it all the way back for
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: a touchdown.
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: This was a bad throw by Kyler people.
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: Initially it looked like it was a miscommunication, but Kyler's
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: looking that way to that side of the field the
• 12:49
  Speaker 3: entire way. On the backside, Greg Dortsch has opened up
• 12:51
  Speaker 3: the scene for a touchdown because Sidney Brown is running
• 12:53
  Speaker 3: and covering grass like there's there's nobody over there.
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: It's just a.
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: Tough ideally stop the Eagles literally the entire game, and
• 13:01
  Speaker 4: it was.
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: Because a bad offense. Despite all that, we're all on.
• 13:05
  Speaker 6: Don't let us down. See if you're hurting my feelings.
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: Coming up, it's win and in for CJ.
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: Stroud and the Texans boll Demico Ryan squad take care
• 13:14
  Speaker 3: of business Saturday against the Colts. The loser misses the playoffs.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: Our picks next.
• 13:19
  Speaker 8: On game debut.
• 13:30
  Speaker 10: We're back on game devut and oh the AFC South
• 13:34
  Speaker 10: a division of intrigue currently favored the Jacksonville Jaguars with
• 13:39
  Speaker 10: the Texans and the Colts right there.
• 13:42
  Speaker 3: In fact, let's spend an entire block on the AFC
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: South as we first yeah to get into some winning
• 13:49
  Speaker 3: moves presented by Intoit Turbo Tax. The Jags and the
• 13:51
  Speaker 3: Titans first up, where a Jacksonville win they clinched the
• 13:54
  Speaker 3: AFC South for the second street season. Ryan Tannehill starts
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: for the Titans. Does Ryan Tannehill in the hopes of
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: the folks in Duvau?
• 14:03
  Speaker 6: I don't think he does.
• 14:03
  Speaker 4: You know what, he played well last week, well enough
• 14:05
  Speaker 4: that he could scare the Jaguars. But I like the
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: Jaguars to get to the playoffs, win this game twenty
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: four to sixteen. I don't like that so much going
• 14:13
  Speaker 4: into the game is based on how healthy the Jaguars
• 14:15
  Speaker 4: passing game is.
• 14:16
  Speaker 6: Christian Kirk is the dude.
• 14:20
  Speaker 4: I think turt It took him getting hurt for everyone
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: to realize how much.
• 14:25
  Speaker 6: He's the dude.
• 14:25
  Speaker 4: But when Trevor Lawrence needs to make a play, he
• 14:28
  Speaker 4: starts with Kirk and then he goes. I think to
• 14:31
  Speaker 4: Ingram is his next choice. And Kirk has been out
• 14:33
  Speaker 4: for a handful of weeks. He's been aiming towards this game.
• 14:36
  Speaker 4: He's questionable on the injury port, so's Trevor Lawrence probably
• 14:41
  Speaker 4: gonna play so's Zay Jones a little more uncertain. But
• 14:44
  Speaker 4: this is their passing game, and if they're all healthy,
• 14:48
  Speaker 4: they can take advantage of a Titans defense that has
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: given up a lot of big passes and I think
• 14:53
  Speaker 4: they find a way.
• 14:54
  Speaker 6: But if they're not, like, this feels a little dicey.
• 14:57
  Speaker 7: It always feels dicey between two divisions, these ANFC South teams.
• 15:00
  Speaker 7: It just feels like sometimes you can roll some dice
• 15:02
  Speaker 7: and figure out what happens there. But I have Jacksonville
• 15:05
  Speaker 7: winning this one twenty three to nineteen.
• 15:07
  Speaker 5: In this matchup.
• 15:08
  Speaker 7: I do want to talk about an area of positivity
• 15:11
  Speaker 7: for the Titans, and that is their defensive front. If
• 15:13
  Speaker 7: you're looking at what Harold Landry who went to Boston
• 15:16
  Speaker 7: College and Denico Audrey had been able to do, it's
• 15:19
  Speaker 7: been problematic for opposing quarterbacks. And if I'm looking at
• 15:23
  Speaker 7: you talk about the health of potentially Trevor Lawrence, et cetera.
• 15:25
  Speaker 7: One of the reasons why this is such a problem
• 15:28
  Speaker 7: is the old line. There's some issues there. They got
• 15:31
  Speaker 7: some issues there. So I don't know, if let's say, look,
• 15:35
  Speaker 7: we're seeing questionable it's likely Trevor Lawrence will play. He
• 15:38
  Speaker 7: kind of hated not being able to start last week.
• 15:41
  Speaker 7: He's got a perfect attendance type of guy, and it
• 15:43
  Speaker 7: didn't go.
• 15:44
  Speaker 5: But if there is an upset, it's good.
• 15:46
  Speaker 7: It's because these pass rushers are going to be terrorists
• 15:49
  Speaker 7: to him.
• 15:49
  Speaker 4: You feel like a perfect attendants type of definitely ninety No.
• 15:53
  Speaker 3: Yeah, not if you're hobbling and people are chasing you.
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: But everybody has that goal.
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: It's like, I'm going to break the record, and you know,
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: it's hard. It's hard to play every single game in
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: the league where the injury rate is one hundred percent.
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: But speaking of one hundred percent, and I chied all
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: of the time win probability because I'm.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: Watching to go up and down. It's math. I don't
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: know the numbers.
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: Josh Allen has added one hundred percent of win probability
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: over one hundred percent on his sacks this year per
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: Next Gen Steps. It means because we always talk about, oh,
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: this decision led to an increase of win probability. The
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: best decision that the Jags make is having Josh Allen.
• 16:31
  Speaker 3: It's good to sack the other team's quarterback, and on
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: those he's generated the second most pressures in the NFL.
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: The Titans offensive line really struggled. Cynthia's making the face
• 16:40
  Speaker 3: because here's the thing, win probability. Eh, but when it
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: confirms my priors, yay, I love it. Josh Allen puts
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: the team on his back and the Jags win. Take
• 16:50
  Speaker 3: the step for what you know?
• 16:52
  Speaker 6: I want to know how you're making a stinky face.
• 16:53
  Speaker 5: I got to look into this.
• 16:55
  Speaker 7: Does that mean they would have only won half of
• 16:56
  Speaker 7: as many games as they won this year?
• 16:58
  Speaker 6: Maybe he got them a whole Maybe the numbers might not.
• 17:02
  Speaker 4: Be the last time here. Josh right not excited.
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: Well, clarify.
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: Sticking with the AFC South, the Texans still have a
• 17:08
  Speaker 3: shot at the playoffs, and with CJ.
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: Stroud back under center, anything's possible.
• 17:13
  Speaker 6: First down, it's a Tennessee twelve yard live.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: CJ fakes the game, dumps.
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: It off short left, Brevin Jordan across.
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: The five walks in touchdown houstonton the hect of a
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: drive there orchestrated by c J. Stroud, Texans and Cults.
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: If the Jags lose to the Titans, the winner of
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: this game actually wins the division.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: What do you see taking place?
• 17:36
  Speaker 4: I think the Texans are going to the playoffs. They
• 17:39
  Speaker 4: get this win twenty three to twenty.
• 17:42
  Speaker 6: Why not.
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: It's gonna be more fun to watch c J. Stroud
• 17:46
  Speaker 4: in the playoffs. So this is a playoff game. It's
• 17:48
  Speaker 4: very exciting. I think it's a game for all these
• 17:51
  Speaker 4: guys to get known. They've played sixteen straight weeks at
• 17:54
  Speaker 4: one pm Eastern, which seems impossible, but I guess they
• 17:57
  Speaker 4: just didn't have any West Coast road trips.
• 17:59
  Speaker 6: C J.
• 18:00
  Speaker 4: Stroud returned last week after missy a couple games with
• 18:02
  Speaker 4: that concussion, and he was really sharp. He took what
• 18:05
  Speaker 4: the defense gave him against Tennessee. His feet look great.
• 18:08
  Speaker 4: Some of these deep outs, the Nico Collins, that is beautiful.
• 18:11
  Speaker 4: He just he throws that javelin and it gets exactly
• 18:14
  Speaker 4: where he wants it to be. So when I saw
• 18:17
  Speaker 4: him back to be in the old CJ. Stroud, I
• 18:19
  Speaker 4: knew the Texans were gonna win this game and give
• 18:21
  Speaker 4: us a more entertaining playoffs.
• 18:22
  Speaker 6: That's what I'm expecting.
• 18:23
  Speaker 7: I do love this playing game. It feels like like
• 18:25
  Speaker 7: the Tuesday before March Madness starts.
• 18:26
  Speaker 5: This is what this is.
• 18:28
  Speaker 7: When I'm looking at this matchup, A one point win
• 18:30
  Speaker 7: for the Texans twenty three to twenty two, about as
• 18:33
  Speaker 7: close as it can get. And why because my math
• 18:36
  Speaker 7: loves the Houston run defense. Not only have they been
• 18:40
  Speaker 7: excellent kind of this whole season, but they've actually gotten
• 18:43
  Speaker 7: better in recent weeks. So lots of different ways we
• 18:45
  Speaker 7: can measure them. You want to do EPA, Okay, fine,
• 18:48
  Speaker 7: I think they're you know, top five in pretty much
• 18:49
  Speaker 7: any metric that you want. But when you see everyone
• 18:52
  Speaker 7: playing together, remember they've had some injuries over the past
• 18:54
  Speaker 7: few weeks.
• 18:55
  Speaker 5: This is a really stingy front.
• 18:57
  Speaker 7: And by the way, I'm gonna go ahead and say
• 18:59
  Speaker 7: here my pick for offensive for defensive Rookie of the Year,
• 19:03
  Speaker 7: Will Innerson.
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: You very nice pick, in a very nice segue into
• 19:07
  Speaker 3: the reason that I think the Houston Texas win this game.
• 19:10
  Speaker 3: It is unanimous meme away and that's because, well, just
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: talk about Will Arison and what he's been able to do.
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: He's generated more pressures than any other rookie this season.
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: It was true coming into week fifteen, he missed fifteen
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: and sixteen, and it's still true per next g stats.
• 19:26
  Speaker 3: The Colt's biggest mismatch in this game is deep passing
• 19:29
  Speaker 3: against Houston. I don't think there's going to be time
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: for Gardner Minshew to uncork any deep shots. And I
• 19:35
  Speaker 3: think perhaps pending one upset that I've got to pick
• 19:39
  Speaker 3: later on in this show, which I will tease. I
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: think the two AFC South teams are going to be
• 19:45
  Speaker 3: in the dance this postseason.
• 19:47
  Speaker 5: Greg has it well, I know who's losing this.
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: We'll see up next.
• 19:52
  Speaker 3: Jordan love as Packers fans dreaming about the playoffs, but
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: are Justin Fields and the Bears looking to play spoiler
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: like the Lions did last year?
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: Are picks for Bears Packers next week?
• 20:13
  Speaker 8: Oh?
• 20:13
  Speaker 3: The Bears and the Packers. Green Bay clinches a wild
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: card spot with a win. Justin Fields and the Bears
• 20:18
  Speaker 3: looking to spoil things for the Cheesehead Nation for the
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: second year in a row.
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: What do you see happening?
• 20:24
  Speaker 4: I see heartbreak for the Cheeseheads once again. The Bears
• 20:27
  Speaker 4: go in there, get the win. They're gonna call it
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: an upset. I know they're three point underdogs. I don't
• 20:31
  Speaker 4: care they're playing better than the Packers right now because
• 20:34
  Speaker 4: defensively we've talked about that, but offensively, Justin Fields is
• 20:38
  Speaker 4: out here throwing dots in the snow. It doesn't make
• 20:43
  Speaker 4: a difference. These throws are just outrageous. I don't even
• 20:47
  Speaker 4: want to show you the throws where he runs around
• 20:49
  Speaker 4: and does something incredible athletically. He's doing that many times
• 20:52
  Speaker 4: a game too. But the way he's throwing the football,
• 20:54
  Speaker 4: the confidence that he's playing with, and most importantly the opponent.
• 20:57
  Speaker 4: There's one really good defense in this game, maybe a
• 21:00
  Speaker 4: top five defense in the NFL. That's Chicago's. Then there's
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: another defense in this game. That one is coordinated by
• 21:06
  Speaker 4: Joe Barry. I think the Bears get it done in
• 21:08
  Speaker 4: a big way. It's got to feel good going into
• 21:11
  Speaker 4: the off seas.
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you mentioned that Packers defense.
• 21:13
  Speaker 3: They gave up twenty four points to the Giants, thirty
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: four points to Tampa Bay, thirty points to the Carolina Panthers,
• 21:19
  Speaker 3: and they had.
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: A bounce back, but that was against Jared Hall and
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: the Vikings.
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: And I'm just watching, like, after Baker had this game
• 21:27
  Speaker 3: against Joe Barry's defense, it was, ah, yeah, Bakers, Baker's
• 21:30
  Speaker 3: coming back. And then they go the next week and
• 21:32
  Speaker 3: they're just getting carved up and it's happening so much.
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: And considering as Greg mentioned, the way that justin fields
• 21:38
  Speaker 3: and the offense are playing. I think green Bay scores,
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: but the Bears score more one more point twenty four
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: to twenty three.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: Bears win.
• 21:46
  Speaker 7: Okay, So here's one where the model and the stomach
• 21:49
  Speaker 7: they just don't see eye to I have twenty six
• 21:52
  Speaker 7: twenty two in favor of the Green Bay Packers, which
• 21:54
  Speaker 7: I guess would mean that, oh yeah, it's a prime number.
• 21:56
  Speaker 7: Oh yeah, But that Joe Barry gets saved by the Bears.
• 21:59
  Speaker 7: There's some pun there that I'm not gonna make. But
• 22:01
  Speaker 7: there's got to be some way that this works out.
• 22:03
  Speaker 7: But I do want to talk about montest sweat because
• 22:05
  Speaker 7: I'm going with my gut here, and my gut would
• 22:07
  Speaker 7: say that the Bears win this game. Montes sweat has
• 22:10
  Speaker 7: been this massive difference maker. There's a lot of people
• 22:13
  Speaker 7: out there that are saying, did Ryan Poles do good job?
• 22:15
  Speaker 7: Chase cleavelooh blah blah blah. I direct you to the
• 22:18
  Speaker 7: Montese sweat trade. This is an epic trade. He did
• 22:21
  Speaker 7: a good job of the GMing in this case and
• 22:24
  Speaker 7: in many other cases. So let's just let the man
• 22:26
  Speaker 7: live in peace, and let's just have the Bears let's
• 22:30
  Speaker 7: get I think they're gonna get the W but the
• 22:31
  Speaker 7: Model doesn't. So Model says those deep crossers are going
• 22:34
  Speaker 7: to be a problem. But you know whatever, we can
• 22:36
  Speaker 7: talk about my guy Ryan Poles here and how good
• 22:38
  Speaker 7: that Montes?
• 22:39
  Speaker 6: How about that DJ bore trade too? That's what I want. Yeah,
• 22:45
  Speaker 6: it has got undefeated.
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: If we get Cynthia versus the model numbers.
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: I want to see and Ryan Poles, who definitely doesn't
• 22:52
  Speaker 3: have any other big decisions to make.
• 22:55
  Speaker 5: What you're talking about.
• 22:56
  Speaker 3: It's time for quick pick presented by Zillo. The Vikings
• 22:59
  Speaker 3: and the Lions. Detroit basically locked into the three seed.
• 23:01
  Speaker 3: Minnesota has a glimmer like like a a little bit
• 23:04
  Speaker 3: of a shot at the playoffs.
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: Do the Lions close that door?
• 23:08
  Speaker 7: Synth slam bam, goodbye. I have the Lions winning this
• 23:12
  Speaker 7: one twenty six to twenty one. But I do want
• 23:14
  Speaker 7: to show you something I'm very concerned about as a
• 23:16
  Speaker 7: Lions fan. Yeah, did you see what Ceedee Lamb did
• 23:19
  Speaker 7: to the Lions defense? But I felt like, why did
• 23:23
  Speaker 7: they keep playing man coverage? You can't just single team
• 23:27
  Speaker 7: this guy. I guess whatever, a little safety help, but
• 23:28
  Speaker 7: the but this it did not go. Well, so I
• 23:31
  Speaker 7: will speak truth to this and ceedee. Lamb was a
• 23:35
  Speaker 7: big problem for.
• 23:36
  Speaker 4: Their line stumbling and literally they're on the ground and
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: stumbling in every one of these I.
• 23:40
  Speaker 7: Understand, and that's a problem. Sure, CJGJ will be back
• 23:44
  Speaker 7: to help out. Yes, but let's let's get that under control.
• 23:48
  Speaker 7: I don't know who I want to play, but I don't.
• 23:50
  Speaker 7: I'm very worried about this.
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: Also, it's hilarious. I've never seen that angle of the place.
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: CD threw his hand up the wrong direction because he
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: was covered, and then Dak throws at ninety two yard
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: touch Either Wayne won that game the Seahawks and the
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: Cardinal Seattle needs to win plus a Packer's loss to
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: make the playoffs. The leader of the Gino Smith Revolution
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: was Greg Rosezal.
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: Are you picking Gino here?
• 24:10
  Speaker 4: Well, I'm picking Gino to score a lot of points,
• 24:12
  Speaker 4: but I'm picking the Arizona Cardinals to win the game
• 24:15
  Speaker 4: against the Seahawks. You think I would play it safe
• 24:17
  Speaker 4: with the lead late, No, I'm picking the Cardinals to
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: win this game rather thirty.
• 24:21
  Speaker 6: To twenty seven. It's because of Kyler.
• 24:23
  Speaker 4: How nice is it to watch Kyler Murray in a
• 24:25
  Speaker 4: normal offense. Like it was like, Okay, we got to
• 24:28
  Speaker 4: bring Cliff Kingsbury. He knows this offense. Julian, how about
• 24:32
  Speaker 4: it's better to have Kyler playing like the rest of
• 24:34
  Speaker 4: the NFL. Drew petsiing not a lot of heat, but
• 24:36
  Speaker 4: I really like the way they're coordinating this offense.
• 24:39
  Speaker 6: And he can run, he can pass, he can do
• 24:40
  Speaker 6: it all.
• 24:41
  Speaker 7: In Cliff Kingsbury's defense that Bowl game where he started
• 24:44
  Speaker 7: a guy who had never started before.
• 24:45
  Speaker 5: That guy came out lights out. So we got we're here,
• 24:48
  Speaker 5: little credit.
• 24:49
  Speaker 3: There there we go shout out to Cliff Kingsbury, the
• 24:52
  Speaker 3: rams of the forty nine ers, both teams resting their
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: starters for this one, so we're getting finally Carson Wentz
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: versus Sam Darnold. I do hope wanted the forty nine
• 25:00
  Speaker 3: ers twenty six to twenty three in this one. And
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: I also want to take look back because we were
• 25:05
  Speaker 3: ropped due to mono nucleosis back in twenty nineteen, a
• 25:10
  Speaker 3: chance for us to see wins versus Darnold on the
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: teams that drafted them, but because of mono, it was
• 25:15
  Speaker 3: Carson Wentz going out there against Luke Falk. They won
• 25:19
  Speaker 3: thirty one to six, and now Sam's got.
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: A new team. But I just wanted to look back.
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: The Niners beat the wins led Rams by three, and
• 25:28
  Speaker 3: we were all on the forty nine ers. Let's shift
• 25:31
  Speaker 3: our focus to the NFC South, which has been difficult
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: to predict to all seasons because these teams still alive.
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: The Buck's currently the favorite to win according to fan Duel,
• 25:40
  Speaker 3: just ahead of the Saints and the Falcons at plus
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: six sixty.
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: So it's time for pizza Pizza.
• 25:45
  Speaker 3: Pre game predictions delivered by Little Caesars started with the
• 25:49
  Speaker 3: Bucks and the Panthers. With a win, Tampa can finally
• 25:52
  Speaker 3: claim the NFC South crown.
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: Do they finally take care of business? Cynthia?
• 25:56
  Speaker 7: They finally do twenty three to seventeen in this matchup.
• 26:00
  Speaker 5: I want to talk about the Pro Bowl here for
• 26:02
  Speaker 5: a second.
• 26:02
  Speaker 7: Why because Anti Antoine Winfield Junior, you know where he's
• 26:06
  Speaker 7: not going, Orlando on that day. He's played excellent this year.
• 26:10
  Speaker 7: If you look at ballhawk rate, which is something we
• 26:12
  Speaker 7: track with next Shen Stats all season.
• 26:15
  Speaker 5: Long, he's actually played really well. And we are the
• 26:17
  Speaker 5: Buddha Baker Show of record.
• 26:18
  Speaker 7: I do know that, and he did say maybe Booters
• 26:20
  Speaker 7: shouldn't have make it whatever, And I don't condone that at
• 26:23
  Speaker 7: all because we love Buddha, but he should have been there.
• 26:26
  Speaker 4: Like I think he's in all Pro. I think it's
• 26:29
  Speaker 4: baits and winfields. All Pro is just two safeties for
• 26:31
  Speaker 4: both leagues.
• 26:32
  Speaker 7: I just was, I was like, what, okay you and
• 26:35
  Speaker 7: I'm on round, say Brown, there's just huge snubs, huge snubs.
• 26:38
  Speaker 5: So I'm gonna give him some love here because obviously.
• 26:40
  Speaker 7: He watches this show and knows that what we say
• 26:42
  Speaker 7: actually matters.
• 26:43
  Speaker 5: Facts, facts.
• 26:44
  Speaker 6: You know what else matters?
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: What's that?
• 26:46
  Speaker 6: You know? The Todd Bowles Bowls of Sons?
• 26:48
  Speaker 4: You know, Todd Bowles has been getting this you know
• 26:51
  Speaker 4: train going, and he's gonna knock out the Panthers with
• 26:54
  Speaker 4: a twenty six to nothing victory.
• 26:56
  Speaker 6: One week eight seed. And why is it twenty six
• 26:59
  Speaker 6: to nothing?
• 26:59
  Speaker 4: Because I picked the Panthers last week and I'm petty
• 27:02
  Speaker 4: and they lost twenty six tons last week and they're gonna.
• 27:05
  Speaker 6: Do it again. I'm sitting living and dying at the
• 27:07
  Speaker 6: Panthers game.
• 27:08
  Speaker 4: I sat down at my desk at work at ten
• 27:10
  Speaker 4: am and I said, the Panthers are gonna do it today,
• 27:12
  Speaker 4: They're gonna smoke CJ. Bether And it was some of
• 27:15
  Speaker 4: the worst football I've seen offensively, defensively, it was depressing,
• 27:21
  Speaker 4: and it's a bad situation. Everything is going poorly for Carolina.
• 27:26
  Speaker 4: This offseason can't come soon enough, and they're going up
• 27:29
  Speaker 4: against a team that has absolutely everything to play for.
• 27:32
  Speaker 4: And once I saw Baker Mayfield is starting, Todd Bowles
• 27:35
  Speaker 4: announced that he's gonna be fine. He had that rib injury,
• 27:37
  Speaker 4: I knew it was gonna be twenty six.
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: Well, okay, I'm not gonna give you twenty six to nothing,
• 27:42
  Speaker 3: but I do agree with the Buccaneers win this game.
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: But I got good news for the Carolina Panthers and
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: the Panthers fans. You don't actually have the least efficient
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: passing offense in the league. That belongs in Flora Park,
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: New Jersey. That's the New York Chefs. But we can
• 27:54
  Speaker 3: talk about this Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense and the way
• 27:57
  Speaker 3: that they've played.
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: Down the stretch.
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: The numbers haven't necessarily been great, but they go into
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: this game against the Panthers offense that is struggling. And
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: I'll propagandaize Antoine Winfield Junior as well because if he
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: gets a second and a half.
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: He's leading the team in sacks at the safety spot.
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: What's going on? Pro Bowl voters?
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: Clearly, maybe you need to watch more games.
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: He's all over the field.
• 28:22
  Speaker 3: I think he makes plays as well as I was like, yeah,
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: Dyabi and Viteveya making huge plays against the Carolina Panthers.
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: Let's move over to the Saints.
• 28:31
  Speaker 3: Derek Carr showed up big time last week to keep
• 28:34
  Speaker 3: the dream of the playoffs alive in New Orleans.
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: Far takes the snap middle of the pocket.
• 28:41
  Speaker 6: Frowze caught far side, touchdown.
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: Joan Johnson and that's what she want to do.
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: Take the Paul drive it right down there. Froats car
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: throws it towards the angel looking for Taysom Hill.
• 28:53
  Speaker 3: Chasom Hill makes the catch on the near side and
• 28:56
  Speaker 3: that is a touchdown Touchasam Hill.
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: I love that Taysom Hill touchdown call.
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: It can't get any bigger fan heat wise than Falcons
• 29:07
  Speaker 3: Saints to determine a spot in the playoff, although some
• 29:10
  Speaker 3: Saints fans probably not necessarily interested in this team winning.
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: But Greg, how do you see this going?
• 29:14
  Speaker 4: I think the Saints are gonna close strong, they win
• 29:16
  Speaker 4: twenty seven to twenty three.
• 29:18
  Speaker 6: Who knows what happens in Atlanta.
• 29:19
  Speaker 4: If that happens, and if you've been tracking my results here,
• 29:22
  Speaker 4: I had the Seahawks lose, right, I had the Packers lose. Oh,
• 29:26
  Speaker 4: this would send the Saints to the playoffs as a
• 29:28
  Speaker 4: wild card.
• 29:29
  Speaker 6: We got two.
• 29:30
  Speaker 4: NFC South teams in the playoffs. Get crazy, people. Derek
• 29:33
  Speaker 4: Carr's playing better.
• 29:35
  Speaker 6: He's been playing his best football over the last month.
• 29:37
  Speaker 4: I would say three of his best four games as
• 29:40
  Speaker 4: a Saint have been over the last month. There was
• 29:42
  Speaker 4: that game against the Rams, which wasn't totally on him either.
• 29:45
  Speaker 4: He's just been steady and going into the season Saints fantated.
• 29:48
  Speaker 4: I said, is this an upgrade for Andy Daalton Derek Carr?
• 29:52
  Speaker 4: Because Andy Dalton, if you look at all the numbers,
• 29:55
  Speaker 4: like pff Adam as the seventh best quarterback in the
• 29:57
  Speaker 4: league last year. I don't think it was an upgrade
• 29:59
  Speaker 4: for most of this season, but this last month he's
• 30:01
  Speaker 4: been making much better decisions.
• 30:03
  Speaker 6: They're healthier.
• 30:04
  Speaker 4: The offensive line is playing well, which is important in
• 30:06
  Speaker 4: this matchup because Atlanta doesn't have much of a passer.
• 30:08
  Speaker 6: I think the Saints get to the playoffs.
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: I like that.
• 30:12
  Speaker 7: I don't have that because of where I have the
• 30:13
  Speaker 7: Green Bay Packers finishing, but I do have the Saints
• 30:16
  Speaker 7: putting this one twenty two to twenty one. Interesting enough,
• 30:20
  Speaker 7: I know that we're probably all in. The Saints is
• 30:22
  Speaker 7: my guest. So I just wanted to talk about Bejon
• 30:24
  Speaker 7: Robinson because he's had a better season than his numbers,
• 30:27
  Speaker 7: or at least fantasy numbers might suggest. In this last matchup,
• 30:30
  Speaker 7: in particular, they found an area of weakness, meaning especially
• 30:34
  Speaker 7: using him not just in the run game, but also
• 30:36
  Speaker 7: in the pass catching game. In fact, that was only
• 30:38
  Speaker 7: the second deep touchdown so twenty plus areer touchdown to a.
• 30:41
  Speaker 5: Running back this season.
• 30:42
  Speaker 7: The other was the Saquon Barkley, so that kind of
• 30:45
  Speaker 7: shows you he does have the stuff. So whatever happens
• 30:48
  Speaker 7: this year, okay, but next year moving forward, Bijon will
• 30:52
  Speaker 7: be a force. He's excellent. Even if Texas didn't win
• 30:55
  Speaker 7: and go to the National Game, say it, just say it.
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: It was a nice trip down memory lane to see
• 31:02
  Speaker 3: the Falcons win that game over the Saints. In the
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: Bijon highlights, Desmond Ritter was the starting quarterback then if
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: he was this time, I might be interested in pikets
• 31:10
  Speaker 3: because I think the Steelers, I mean, I think the
• 31:12
  Speaker 3: ceiling is a little bit higher with Desmond Ridder at quarterback.
• 31:15
  Speaker 3: I've got the Saints winning here as well. Twenty one
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: to twenty because I know Derek Carr and the Saints
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: love taking shots down the field, especially.
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: To now pro bowler Rashid Ssha.
• 31:25
  Speaker 6: Here here we go.
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: Thirt of sheets targets.
• 31:28
  Speaker 3: This year travel twenty or more air yards down the field.
• 31:32
  Speaker 3: Nobody in football has a higher percentage. One might be
• 31:35
  Speaker 3: all it takes in this one because the Saints defense
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: has been playing better as well. We're all on the
• 31:39
  Speaker 3: New Orleans Saints, and I too, I have a couple
• 31:41
  Speaker 3: of teams from the South making the playoffs. Me and
• 31:44
  Speaker 3: Greg on the same page there. The Ravens took care
• 31:46
  Speaker 3: of business last week, clinched the number one seed in
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: the AFC, and now they play host to the Steelers.
• 31:51
  Speaker 3: Lamar will be resting, so Tyler Huntley, twenty twenty two
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: pro bowler gets the start. Pittsburgh needs a win to
• 31:56
  Speaker 3: stay in the playoff hunt. Do they do it against
• 31:58
  Speaker 3: some backups?
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: Grit?
• 31:59
  Speaker 4: I think the Steelers do get it done twenty seven
• 32:01
  Speaker 4: to twenty.
• 32:02
  Speaker 6: Now.
• 32:03
  Speaker 4: In the past four years ago, the Ravens actually won
• 32:06
  Speaker 4: in this spot with their backups against the Steelers. Very similar,
• 32:09
  Speaker 4: and yet I think the Steelers team is different because
• 32:11
  Speaker 4: their quarterback is better. Now, is Mason Rudoff better than
• 32:15
  Speaker 4: like an old Ben Roethlisberger. He's definitely better than Kenny Peckett.
• 32:18
  Speaker 4: He's definitely better than Mitchell Trubisky. I know it's only
• 32:20
  Speaker 4: a two week sample size, but they're the third best
• 32:23
  Speaker 4: offense in the league according to EPA the last two weeks,
• 32:26
  Speaker 4: and we're seeing the big plays and he's allowing the
• 32:29
  Speaker 4: best part of their team wide receivers in their tight
• 32:32
  Speaker 4: end Friarth to show who they are.
• 32:34
  Speaker 6: Especially George Pickens.
• 32:35
  Speaker 4: But I also think of some third downs plays like
• 32:37
  Speaker 4: that where he's getting through his reads really quickly. There
• 32:40
  Speaker 4: was a throw to Deontay Johnson early last week where
• 32:43
  Speaker 4: he got to that third read. Deontay Johnson's always open,
• 32:46
  Speaker 4: throw it to Deontay Johnson.
• 32:48
  Speaker 5: It seems smart enough.
• 32:49
  Speaker 7: I just have a one point win for Pittsburgh in
• 32:52
  Speaker 7: this matchup twenty one to twenty.
• 32:54
  Speaker 5: I agree with you, the Ravens could easily win this one.
• 32:56
  Speaker 7: But I want to talk about someone who likely won't
• 32:58
  Speaker 7: be in Baltimore next year.
• 32:59
  Speaker 5: You know who that is.
• 33:00
  Speaker 7: Mike McDonald's not the singer, their defensive coordinator because he's awesome.
• 33:05
  Speaker 7: This team is ridiculous. His coordinating job absolutely knocked.
• 33:10
  Speaker 5: It out of the park.
• 33:11
  Speaker 7: The way that they build it through the spine of
• 33:13
  Speaker 7: their defense, the safety play Geno Stone. Do you know
• 33:15
  Speaker 7: any other teams didn't want Geno Stone?
• 33:17
  Speaker 5: Thirty one?
• 33:18
  Speaker 7: And you know what, this guy is just picking off
• 33:20
  Speaker 7: opposing quarterbacks like it's his job, because it is actually
• 33:24
  Speaker 7: his job. But Mike McDonald what he's been able to
• 33:26
  Speaker 7: do since coming from the University of Michigan with this
• 33:29
  Speaker 7: Ravens too. I hope that you know next week is
• 33:32
  Speaker 7: coach change Week.
• 33:33
  Speaker 5: What do we call it that? I'll rebrand it right,
• 33:34
  Speaker 5: Coach Change Week.
• 33:35
  Speaker 7: He better get his frequent fire miles.
• 33:37
  Speaker 5: Ready because you get in a lot.
• 33:38
  Speaker 7: He's gonna get a lot of interviews and it'll be
• 33:40
  Speaker 7: interesting to see where he ends up next season.
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: Or you can get or you can give Ben Johnson.
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: You know that's the.
• 33:46
  Speaker 5: Say away from Ben Johnson thought stay away from him.
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: That there I look Cynthia and Greg both. I think
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: the Baltimore Ravens can win this game. A Pittsburgh Steeler
• 33:54
  Speaker 3: fan tweeted a meme alert at me last week said,
• 33:57
  Speaker 3: pick against the Steelers again. Sure, I'll do it, Tylertley
• 34:00
  Speaker 3: as the Baltimore Ravens, all right, get a win, mainly
• 34:03
  Speaker 3: because what Cynthia was just talking about with Mike McDonald
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: and the defense, Yeah, the Dogs are barking. I will
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: take the stray bond here. Especially focus. We talked about JD.
• 34:11
  Speaker 3: Clowney last week. Let's talk about Justin Mattabuqut and the
• 34:14
  Speaker 3: season that he has had on the tier defensive line.
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: He's got the fourth most pressures in the league from
• 34:19
  Speaker 3: the idel position.
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: You go back earlier in.
• 34:22
  Speaker 3: His career, it's like, oh, well, you know, Matta Buguets
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: is going to be in as a run stop, but
• 34:26
  Speaker 3: he's not necessarily going to make plays in the passing game.
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: He's done it consistently all season long.
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they ran all.
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: Over the Seahawks. This is not the Seahawks defense. They
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: had the Seahawks in the conflict making the pass game
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: a little bit better. That the Bengals lost track of
• 34:39
  Speaker 3: George Pickens, which you cannot do. And so I think
• 34:42
  Speaker 3: rebelieving in Baltimore here makes a little bit more sense
• 34:45
  Speaker 3: than some folks might believe. Let's go to the Broncos
• 34:49
  Speaker 3: and the Raiders. As we get into some quick picks,
• 34:52
  Speaker 3: Jared Stidham against this former team of revenge game, does
• 34:56
  Speaker 3: he get vengeance?
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: Cynthia h No.
• 34:59
  Speaker 7: Las Vegas wins this one twenty one to nineteen in
• 35:02
  Speaker 7: the least vengeful revenge. But look, this is an interesting
• 35:06
  Speaker 7: matchup because Davante Adams, who has had weird a weird season,
• 35:11
  Speaker 7: let's just put it that way.
• 35:12
  Speaker 5: Yes, this guy's been open. He's really done a very
• 35:15
  Speaker 5: good job.
• 35:16
  Speaker 7: Last week especially, he was very good and they almost
• 35:20
  Speaker 7: won because of how well he's been playing. I also
• 35:22
  Speaker 7: wanted to point out that guys like him are going
• 35:24
  Speaker 7: to be the reason why either Antonio Pierce will get
• 35:27
  Speaker 7: the job or not. Meaning those voices that you're hearing
• 35:29
  Speaker 7: coming from that locker room, they're saying, hey, I'm co
• 35:33
  Speaker 7: signing for this guy. A couple weeks ago, you heard
• 35:35
  Speaker 7: maybe DeVonta Adams might be going to a green colored
• 35:38
  Speaker 7: team that's not having a good offense.
• 35:40
  Speaker 5: As someone else pointed out, not.
• 35:41
  Speaker 7: Me, But look, I think that when you have a
• 35:44
  Speaker 7: guy like Antonio Pierce and a guy like DeVonta Adams.
• 35:47
  Speaker 5: That's gonna be great.
• 35:48
  Speaker 3: Let's go to the Jets and the Patriots in Foxborough,
• 35:50
  Speaker 3: New England. Currently holding the third pick in the upcoming draft.
• 35:53
  Speaker 3: Who wins this AFC East battle of Titans.
• 35:56
  Speaker 4: I flipped my pick since our meeting. OK, I'm going
• 36:00
  Speaker 4: with my heart here. I actually believe the Patriots win
• 36:02
  Speaker 4: this game seventeen to sixty. And what could be Bill
• 36:06
  Speaker 4: Belichick's final game as head coach is what is so
• 36:10
  Speaker 4: funny here?
• 36:11
  Speaker 5: I have the opposite se satsquare all.
• 36:13
  Speaker 4: I mean, there's not gonna be a lot of offense
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: over under here is thirty and a half.
• 36:16
  Speaker 6: But I wanted to just show this man, Bill Belichick.
• 36:18
  Speaker 4: I got to pick him for all the joy he's
• 36:21
  Speaker 4: given to me in my life as a head coach
• 36:24
  Speaker 4: of the Patriots for the last twenty three years. And
• 36:26
  Speaker 4: can't you just imagine Foxborough Stadium, Jillette Stadium, everyone cheering
• 36:32
  Speaker 4: at the end of an ugly slugfest and Bill wave
• 36:35
  Speaker 4: into the crowd after doing the thing he does best
• 36:38
  Speaker 4: and loves most in the world, And that's beat the
• 36:41
  Speaker 4: New York Jets and make Woody Johnson regret the day
• 36:44
  Speaker 4: he ever bought that team, and then Bill.
• 36:46
  Speaker 6: Retired as HC And why ja he gets it done?
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: Yes?
• 36:50
  Speaker 5: Did you just sign it?
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah? Bill Belichick signed Greg Rosenthal.
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: Chiefs Chargers Kansas City locked into the three seed in AFC,
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: they're resting Patrick Mahomes. Blaine Gabert gets the start, Flanda
• 37:03
  Speaker 3: Gobert gets the win.
• 37:04
  Speaker 7: Yeah, I guess this one flipped for me on the
• 37:06
  Speaker 7: news that Keenan Allen and Joey Bosa were not playing.
• 37:09
  Speaker 7: But I do want to talk about how in this
• 37:12
  Speaker 7: game Keenan Allen would have been the difference maker. So
• 37:15
  Speaker 7: he's had a great season, so has Austin Eckler. These
• 37:18
  Speaker 7: are guys who, when you're looking at the opportunity for
• 37:21
  Speaker 7: the future, they're gonna build around the number thirteen. He's great.
• 37:25
  Speaker 7: So we'll just onward and upward, potentially getting not Ben
• 37:29
  Speaker 7: Johnson but Mike McDonald.
• 37:31
  Speaker 4: I like that we refuse to pick the Chargers here,
• 37:33
  Speaker 4: even as three and a half point face.
• 37:34
  Speaker 5: I had them.
• 37:35
  Speaker 7: I had them until Joey Bosa and Keenan Allen were
• 37:38
  Speaker 7: no longer playing.
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: I made the Charger's mistake last week. I'm not doing
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: the Browns and the Bengals. Cleveland locked into the five seats,
• 37:44
  Speaker 3: so they're gonna rest Joe Flacco. Jeff Driscoll gets the
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: start at quarterback, and I think Jeff Driscoll gets the
• 37:49
  Speaker 3: win in this because I saw the pass game down
• 37:52
  Speaker 3: late against the Kansas City Chiefs, and I saw I
• 37:55
  Speaker 3: saw Jake Browning get sacked four times in the last
• 38:00
  Speaker 3: possession alone. He got sacked six times in the game.
• 38:02
  Speaker 3: In fact, that's the second time this season that Jake
• 38:05
  Speaker 3: Browning has taken a sack on more than fifteen percent
• 38:08
  Speaker 3: of his dropbacks in a game. Jim Schwartz gets to
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: just sit back there.
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: And fire away in a YOLO game.
• 38:14
  Speaker 3: And I like the Cleveland Browns winners here over Cincinnati
• 38:18
  Speaker 3: looking forward. But I'm been looking forward to write this
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: down all day long.
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: Let's get some predictions for Week eighteen.
• 38:25
  Speaker 6: Greg Europe First, I'm so excited last week.
• 38:27
  Speaker 4: I told you the Bills were going to win the
• 38:29
  Speaker 4: division before Week seventeen.
• 38:30
  Speaker 6: That's still gonna happen.
• 38:31
  Speaker 4: By the way, now, I'm gonna give you some free
• 38:33
  Speaker 4: awards advice. Will Anderson Junior Cynthia mentioned him earlier. I
• 38:37
  Speaker 4: think gets the Defensive Rookie of the Year award. There's
• 38:40
  Speaker 4: some reasoning here. They're playing in primetime Saturday night. Not
• 38:43
  Speaker 4: a lot of people have watched the Texans. People like
• 38:45
  Speaker 4: to vote for winners. I think they win that game.
• 38:48
  Speaker 4: I think Anderson gets a couple sacks. Gardner Minshew fumbles
• 38:51
  Speaker 4: the ball and Will Anderson ends up passing Jalen Carter,
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: who's been slowing down later in the season. I also
• 38:57
  Speaker 4: think Josh Allen of the Jaguars has a much better.
• 39:01
  Speaker 6: Chance to win Defensive Player of the Year than then.
• 39:03
  Speaker 4: The odds would say he's plus ten thousand right now,
• 39:07
  Speaker 4: that's ridiculous.
• 39:08
  Speaker 6: He has sixteen and a half sacks.
• 39:10
  Speaker 4: If he gets like a three and a half sack game,
• 39:12
  Speaker 4: let's say gets the twenty. We're dumb as voters. We
• 39:15
  Speaker 4: like big round numbers, and he's going up against the
• 39:18
  Speaker 4: Titans offensive line. They can win their division. I think
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: he's got a shot to do it. The other Josh Allen, oh.
• 39:23
  Speaker 5: I love it.
• 39:24
  Speaker 7: I'm looking at Dalton Schultz and I think he hauls
• 39:26
  Speaker 7: in at least five passes or at least more than
• 39:29
  Speaker 7: four and a half passes.
• 39:31
  Speaker 5: I'm looking at this opportunity.
• 39:32
  Speaker 7: They need this game, and anyone who needs it feels
• 39:35
  Speaker 7: better when it comes to what the model will forecast.
• 39:38
  Speaker 7: Both teams need it, so I trust my projections for
• 39:41
  Speaker 7: both teams even more. And you also want to look
• 39:43
  Speaker 7: for people who need certain things. So if you need
• 39:45
  Speaker 7: another one Garrett Wilson, he needs like a few more
• 39:48
  Speaker 7: yards first, So look for incentives. Baby like Travis Kelce
• 39:52
  Speaker 7: sixteen more to get a thousand yard stuff, look for incentives.
• 39:55
  Speaker 5: It's it's like free stuff.
• 39:57
  Speaker 4: Baker Mayfield gets some million dollars if they win this game,
• 40:00
  Speaker 4: so you're gonna try to make it.
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: Yeah, we would all enjoy freeze stuff.
• 40:04
  Speaker 3: Justin Fields I think passes for more than two hundred
• 40:08
  Speaker 3: yards against the Green Bay Packers. It was one hundred
• 40:10
  Speaker 3: and eighty nine yards in the first matchup between these
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: two teams. A lot of stuff has happened since then.
• 40:16
  Speaker 3: I think the Bears passing offense has gotten better. I
• 40:18
  Speaker 3: think the Packers passing defense has gotten worse. So I
• 40:21
  Speaker 3: think you should write down this particular fact, which is
• 40:23
  Speaker 3: on your screen.
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: Two hundred yards.
• 40:26
  Speaker 3: Over for Justin Field one through the air on Sunday,
• 40:30
  Speaker 3: and again we're looking forward to We're looking forward to
• 40:32
  Speaker 3: all the games, Thanks for watching. Not a game debut
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: presented by Mercedes Bins. We're going to try to get
• 40:37
  Speaker 3: Greg locked in to whether or not we change for
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: the postseason, but.
• 40:42
  Speaker 6: Currently you're trying to take me down. It is what
• 40:44
  Speaker 6: you're trying to do. It's not gonna happen.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: NFL Game Deview is a production of the NFL in
• 40:53
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• 40:57
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