Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 398 - 11/18/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to. Episode 398 of the All Systems.
- 0:19Go sports betting podcast. Powered by rhythm, I'm your.
- 0:23Host Josh. Applebaum What's going on,
- 0:30everyone? Happy Tuesday.
- 0:32Another day here in the arena, guys, and we got a lot to talk
- 0:35about on today's podcast. We're going to.
- 0:37Walk through the garden. Because we got a couple
- 0:39different sports to hit on. Guys, we have a big matching
- 0:42Tuesday, so. Three games in matching.
- 0:44If you forced me to play, you know, a position in each game.
- 0:47I would have. One for you, but I tried to
- 0:49whittle it down to. Some of the.
- 0:51Sharpest plays here. Of the of the night or not on
- 0:53the board so do have. One play here for.
- 0:55You on a side in matching little college football.
- 0:58On a Tuesday, which is always. Nice.
- 1:00And then big game in college basketball, I'm going to focus
- 1:03on the most heavily back game of the night with a really sharp
- 1:06line move. So if you're.
- 1:07Looking to. Take some points here with a
- 1:09dog. Let's hope they can bark.
- 1:10For us, so big play in college basketball and then one play in
- 1:14the NBA, I'm looking at a total which tanked, fell a ton,
- 1:18starting to rise back up and rhythm is saying, hey, this
- 1:21thing should. Should fly over hopefully.
- 1:22So I do have a a total for you looking toward an over in the
- 1:25NBA, so a three pack. Overall 1 college football, 1
- 1:29college basketball and one NBA. As always guys, a three pack
- 1:33let's. Try to eke out.
- 1:34Two winners and go 2 and 1 eke out a winning day.
- 1:37That, of course, is always the goal.
- 1:39Now looking back to our last night after a great five and O
- 1:42Sunday, unfortunately no breaks. Yesterday.
- 1:44O and 3 -, 3 units started off not great.
- 1:48With the Las Vegas. Raiders letting us down, man,
- 1:51they. Just got their doors blown off
- 1:52and just couldn't get anything going offensively.
- 1:54Could not. Stop the Dallas.
- 1:55Cowboys. So hey, 80% of tickets took
- 1:58Dallas. The public gets the laugh on
- 2:00that one. Last laugh I should.
- 2:02Say and as my old my my. I was almost going.
- 2:05To say my old most favorite player of.
- 2:06All time Mr. Pedro Martinez once said tip the tip.
- 2:10My cap call. The Yankees.
- 2:11My daddy. Well, I tip my cap, call the
- 2:13public my daddy, because they didn't think about it.
- 2:15They laid it with Dallas and Dallas easily cover that number.
- 2:18So not a great result for contrarians or for other sports
- 2:21books. So we'll give the public the
- 2:22winner on the Dallas Cowboys. Also looking at college hoops
- 2:27came up short which was frustrating with.
- 2:29Tennessee Tech. Because they had a good sharp.
- 2:31Line move -2 1/2 up to 4/4. And 1/2.
- 2:33Got a good -170 money line? That close like -190.
- 2:37Let's. Read that game correctly but
- 2:39ended up losing by two. They're up early, then they were
- 2:41down big and then came back. Couldn't complete the comeback,
- 2:44so Tennessee Tech. Let us down there and then.
- 2:47Also to throw a little gasoline. On the fire.
- 2:50Or a little. I don't know salt in the.
- 2:52Wound some dirt on the grave, whatever.
- 2:53You want to call it our guy Duncan Robinson?
- 2:56Came up just short over. 16 1/2 points in rebounds.
- 3:00He landed on 15. So it was a little literally
- 3:03too. Shy of cashing her over and the.
- 3:05Frustrating part there was it was kind of a a big blow out
- 3:08there. For the Pistons and Duncan,
- 3:10Robinson was in in garbage time late.
- 3:13And he had. Three different.
- 3:15Opportunities to shoot a three, missed all three of them, so he
- 3:18hits one of those late in the fourth quarter.
- 3:20We cashed. Over unfortunately comes up just
- 3:22short with. Our prop bet So as always, guys
- 3:24looking to start a new winning streak here for today matching
- 3:27college hoops NBA. Let's run through it.
- 3:30All see if we can hopefully pick out some winners.
- 3:32So I want to start off with some action.
- 3:34Because of course we got a triple header here in college,
- 3:38college football, I should say, and.
- 3:39Again, I don't get it. All three games are at 7:00.
- 3:42O'clock, this is something that I just, I don't know, I'm a old
- 3:45man shouting at the at the cloud like that Simpsons gift.
- 3:49But why are they? All at 7:00.
- 3:50Give me a six, an 8A10. Of course, you got to put it all
- 3:53at the same time, but either way, guys.
- 3:55Lean on one game that really jumped out to me, Akron.
- 3:58And Bowling Green. So let's set the stage talk
- 4:00line. Movement split system matches.
- 4:02I'll give you my play for this this matching.
- 4:04Game here tonight. So going into it, we have.
- 4:07Akron 4:00 and 7:00 on the year they.
- 4:09Just saw their two game win streak come to an end.
- 4:11Lost to Kent State, 42 to 30. Five in overtime lost outright
- 4:16as a 7 1/2 point home. Favorite another hand bowling.
- 4:18Green 3:00 and 7:00. They have dropped four in a row
- 4:22and just came. Up short against Eastern
- 4:24Michigan, 2721. Didn't cover.
- 4:26As a three-point Rd. dog. So what have you seen across the
- 4:29market here? Well, this game opened mostly
- 4:31bowling. Green -3 1/2 No, I did.
- 4:34See a couple books, open a. Little higher like -4 1/2 -, 5
- 4:37that quickly got down to 3 1/2 and then since that time it's
- 4:41only dropped further. Away from.
- 4:43Bowling Green and toward Akron. So now we're seeing Akron down
- 4:46to plus. Three and if you.
- 4:47Pay attention to the threes, they're all juiced up on the
- 4:50Akron side. Plus 3 -, 115 -, 120 and some
- 4:54books are even down to. 2 1/2 so from open a current it's very
- 4:57clear it's all been one way movement.
- 4:59I always. Look at line movement.
- 5:01Open a current and then I want to look at the moves in between
- 5:03and say hey it was. Has it been a straight line
- 5:06from? One team to the other or is
- 5:07there? Has there been buyback and back
- 5:09and? Forth maybe ping ponging?
- 5:11Sharp money, especially around a key number and a hook.
- 5:13But no. In this case it's.
- 5:15Always been moving. Toward Akron.
- 5:17So it tells me Akron getting some smart money here tonight.
- 5:19Then we look at the bet. Splits at DK.
- 5:21Akron is getting. 53. Percent of spread bets, 67% of
- 5:25spread dollars. So basically that's a. 5050 line
- 5:28move 53. Percent is basically down the
- 5:30middle. Public doesn't know what to do,
- 5:32but what do we always talk about?
- 5:335050 line shouldn't move at all, yet it has moved.
- 5:36Toward. Akron in this spot.
- 5:38Then we look at Circa 89% of spread bets, 99% of spread
- 5:42dollars on Akron. So on Vegas.
- 5:44You're seeing a big. Predominance of sharp money.
- 5:48Both Pro and Joe you could call it.
- 5:50But I would say. It's more pro because you don't
- 5:52get a ton of recreational betters.
- 5:54Going to Circo, it's really high limits.
- 5:55And cater to wise guys as we always talk about.
- 5:58So again. People always ask me like DK
- 6:00versus Circo, you get both of them at at Visen.
- 6:04Dot com which I'm. An analyst for and.
- 6:05They're a great resource, but DK is where the public is.
- 6:09Sharp money typically is where Circa is if you ever want if
- 6:12you. Ever see discrepancies where?
- 6:13One is totally different than the other.
- 6:15Just remember they're taking in accruing.
- 6:17Bets from a different clientele DK more average Joe's drunk at
- 6:21the bar regular guys, whereas again circa more the sharp pro
- 6:26bettors, but both have good low bets higher.
- 6:28Dollars in favor of Akron the. Line is moving toward Akron.
- 6:31We have seen Maxion. Dogs getting between.
- 6:33Three and seven points. Performed pretty well.
- 6:35They're 30. 5 and 25 against the spread 58 percent 11% ROI since.
- 6:402022. And then you guys probably
- 6:42remember. Our grinder system.
- 6:43If you're a short Rd. dog, getting.
- 6:45Four or less. Good system historically since
- 6:482012 you're going up on. Over.
- 6:50A decade at this point. There's 663.
- 6:52And 595 against the spread 53% with a 2% ROI and.
- 6:57Again, it may not seem great but 52.3% is your break even point.
- 7:03So if you had bet 100. Bucks on every.
- 7:04Short Rd. Dog 4 or less.
- 7:06You're actually up nearly $3000. Over that long time frame then
- 7:11we look at couple other angle. Angles here we look.
- 7:14At our sharp mush advantage from our friends at Juice Reel and
- 7:18noticed a 9% sharp mush edge in favor of Akron, I will admit.
- 7:23You know, we have seen a little. Bit of under money here too.
- 7:25So it's always nice when the line moves toward the dog.
- 7:27In the under, because this total opened 47 1/2, it's down to 46
- 7:311/2 and. What's notable?
- 7:32To me is the public is hammering.
- 7:33The over nearly 70%. Of bets at DK but the total.
- 7:37Fell. So it tells me reverse line move
- 7:39on the under and also circa 75% bets 90% dollars on the under.
- 7:44So again, we always talk correlative.
- 7:45Betting this wouldn't technically.
- 7:46Be a dog. Low total.
- 7:48I mean, 46 1/2, that's kind of a higher NFL game.
- 7:51That's a lower end in college. But to me lower.
- 7:53End in college is closer to like 40.
- 7:55Like if you look at the Western Michigan, Northern Illinois.
- 7:57Game tonight. That total is like 38 and a
- 7:59half. 39 if. You look at that.
- 8:01U Mass. Ohio.
- 8:02Game it's like. 54 1/2 so. I guess it's a little lower end.
- 8:05But the point being. When you see the line move.
- 8:07Toward the dog, Akron. And the total start to fall
- 8:10toward the under. Typically, that's a good sign.
- 8:12For a dog. Because few amount of expected
- 8:14points scored. Lower scoring game, harder for
- 8:16the favorite to cover that number.
- 8:18So you add it. All up here, guys, I'm taking
- 8:19the points with Akron now, of course.
- 8:21You got to shop around because there's a lot of.
- 8:22Two and a halfs out there. But you can still hopefully get
- 8:26a three. Why is that important?
- 8:28Because, again, Akron loses by three.
- 8:30You want to. Push that bet instead of lose
- 8:32that. Bet, and I was.
- 8:33Thinking of maybe buying it up to 3 1/2.
- 8:35Hoping for a 3 1/2. I could have bought it up to 3
- 8:381/2 at -125 I felt that was kind of a little little rich.
- 8:42So I ended. Up just taking the +3.
- 8:44At a nice reduced juice plus. 3 - 1 O 5 at bet MGM but pretty
- 8:49clear. Line keeps.
- 8:50Moving Akron I'm. Going to take a shot on the.
- 8:51Zips plus three tonight in action now.
- 8:56I would argue this is the most heavily bet prime time game
- 8:59we've talked about so. Far in the college.
- 9:01Hoop season because I've been doing pretty decent.
- 9:03Other than last. Night with our obscure.
- 9:05Sharp line moves. This is a game.
- 9:07That is by far the most heavily bet game of the night.
- 9:09Which? Gives me an opportunity.
- 9:11To follow a sharp. Contrarian move.
- 9:13Now I'm talking about. 6:30 PM Eastern Time, the State Farm
- 9:16champions. Classic in Madison Square.
- 9:19Garden, New York City, home of the Knicks.
- 9:21The Michigan State Spartans against the Kentucky.
- 9:23Wildcats now first thing you got to know guys, this game is super
- 9:26popular, super heavily bet again, ESPN.
- 9:30Little bit. Early 6:30 So make sure if you
- 9:32want to play it, you get it in time.
- 9:34But when we look at those. Obscure sharp line moves, low
- 9:36bet line move tells us pros are on it.
- 9:38When you get to these really heavily.
- 9:39Bet games. I lean a little more into
- 9:41contrarian because this game. You go into a bar anywhere
- 9:45across America. They're going to have.
- 9:46This game on TV at six. 30 So it's very heavily bet, very
- 9:50popular. I want to go.
- 9:51Contrarian and bet against Obviously the popular play here
- 9:54from. The betting public.
- 9:55But I also want some element of smart money and wouldn't you
- 9:58know it, Michigan State Spartans.
- 10:00Have both elements here, so let's just start off with.
- 10:03The line move we. Open this game at.
- 10:04Kentucky around A6. Point favorite.
- 10:07Remember neutral site it is not. At Rupp Arena.
- 10:10OPEN Kentucky -6. The line is down to 4 1/2.
- 10:14So right off the bat, what does that tell us?
- 10:15It tells us in a very big heavily bet.
- 10:18Popular primetime game Publix all over Kentucky, and yet the
- 10:22line is moving toward. Michigan State.
- 10:24So Michigan. State +6 down to plus 4 1/2 boom
- 10:27tells. US smart money's going Michigan
- 10:29State. Then we look at the bet.
- 10:31Splits just mentioned a second ago.
- 10:32But the popular play with the public is to.
- 10:35Say, give me the Kentucky. Wildcats in the points right now
- 10:38you were getting. 62. Percent of spread bets.
- 10:41Going Kentucky so even if you. Take away the 1 1/2 point line
- 10:44move. Toward Michigan State.
- 10:45It's still just a. Contrarian bet against the
- 10:47public most heavily bet Game of the night play.
- 10:50So only 38% of spread bets on Michigan State get the line
- 10:53moved in their favor. It's also been pretty much one
- 10:56way I mean. Some books even touched as low
- 10:58as 4 briefly throughout the day. And it's never really gotten up
- 11:02to 5 or back up to five, I should say.
- 11:04So it tells. ME liability on the Sparty side
- 11:06here. Then you look at circa, circa,
- 11:09again, we just mentioned how the clientele's different, but circa
- 11:1367% of spread bets 94% of spread dollars.
- 11:17Are on Michigan State so good low bets, higher dollar split.
- 11:19At circle from the pros contrarian play with a.
- 11:22With a reverse. Line move on Michigan State at
- 11:25DraftKings. One advantage I was looking at.
- 11:28When I was looking at some of the advanced analytics,
- 11:30offensive rebound. Percentage offensive rebounds
- 11:32are huge because. You get extra possessions, you
- 11:34get put backs. They're also demoralizing when
- 11:36you're defensively, you think you got to stop.
- 11:38And then you give. It up and they score on you but.
- 11:40Michigan State actually ranked 6th best in the country at
- 11:44offensive rebound percentage, 46%.
- 11:47Kentucky's 39%. That's 43rd in the country.
- 11:50Tom Izzo has a dog and a heavily bet primetime game when he's
- 11:53undervalued and unpopular. I'll take that as.
- 11:55Well, Rhythm has Kentucky or Sorry on Michigan State plus
- 11:593.9, so if you're getting the 4 1/2 still.
- 12:02A little. Bit of an edge there on the
- 12:03rhythm prediction and oh by the way, a 6% sharp mush edge.
- 12:08On Michigan State from our friends at Juice Real.
- 12:10So it's the. Most heavily bet Game of the
- 12:11night by far. Again.
- 12:13ESPN you can easily. Watch this one time.
- 12:15If you want. And yet the line is going toward
- 12:17Michigan. State even though the.
- 12:18Public is hammering Kentucky. So again I was thinking, should
- 12:21I buy it up to five? Should I wait it out?
- 12:23I decided to once again jump on a bit of a reduced juice play.
- 12:28I got Michigan State plus 4 1/2 -. 1 O 5 at FanDuel so.
- 12:33Win the damn game or lose by 4 or less, but I'm going Sparty
- 12:36most heavily back in the night. Sharp contrarian reverse line
- 12:39move. Michigan State Plus. 4 1/2.
- 12:42Now over to the NBA. No player prop guys, but I got a
- 12:46total for you I want. To look at the Celtics and the
- 12:49Brooklyn Nets tonight. This is a 730 game.
- 12:52Celtics come in seven and seven on the year.
- 12:55I have their over. 40 1/2. Win total.
- 12:57So I'm probably have to sweat this thing all year.
- 12:59I'm just hoping you. Hover around 500.
- 13:01Most of the season. But Celtics have won 3 or 4.
- 13:04They just beat the. Clippers, 1:21 to 1:00. 18 you
- 13:07look. At the Nets, they're one of the
- 13:09worst. Teams in in the NBA.
- 13:10They're 2:00 and 11:00. They just had their first one in
- 13:13quite a while. They beat Washington. 129 to one
- 13:15O 6. So what are we seeing across the
- 13:17market here? Well, a tiny little line.
- 13:20Move toward the Celtics again. You would expect them to be a.
- 13:22Big favorite they are they? Open -10 1/2 Some books are up
- 13:25to 11 but I want to focus on the.
- 13:27Total. Because I think there's an.
- 13:28Opportunity to kind of. Buy low.
- 13:30On the dip here and also take advantage, hopefully of a really
- 13:33good rhythm discrepancy. The Celtics.
- 13:36Nets total it. Opened as high as. 225 1/2 I'm
- 13:39looking for some injuries. I really don't see any.
- 13:41Obviously, Jason Tatum's out for the Celtics, but we knew that,
- 13:44you know, for quite a while at this point.
- 13:47And the total? Open 225 1/2.
- 13:48Immediately got bent down. So it fell all the way down to
- 13:52221 1/2 at one point. However, did it continue to?
- 13:56Fall down and get closer to 220. No, once it got to 221 1/2.
- 14:00That's when you started to see. A lot of wise guy buyback, buy
- 14:03low and hit that over and cause it to rise back up to two. 22
- 14:07and a. Half at ESPN bet, but other
- 14:09books. Are two 23223 1/2.
- 14:12So I'm saying we should maybe buy law on this dip and play
- 14:16the. Over now if you look at.
- 14:18The splits that look pretty good at.
- 14:19Circa on the over 67% of bets, but over 95% of dollars on the
- 14:24over. So pros out in Vegas also
- 14:26playing the over here. It is also a.
- 14:29Rhythm Green star recommendation for me because I have two system
- 14:33recommendations on the over. First one is 224.6.
- 14:37Second one is 225. .1. So again, you get a 224, you
- 14:42cash this thing. Now I jumped on over 222 1/2.
- 14:46-1. 10 at ESPN Bet. That should still be available,
- 14:49so in that regard. A 223.
- 14:51Would cash for you but the Green Star recommendation 225.1.
- 14:56Provides a little bit of a gap there, a little wiggle room to
- 14:59hopefully cash this over. Now offensive efficiency Celtics
- 15:02are 11th in the country or in the country.
- 15:04Here I am thinking. Of college again in the NBA, the
- 15:07Nets are 29th. In defensive efficiency.
- 15:10So that's why you obviously see a big spread.
- 15:12But I have some system plays on this over as well now.
- 15:16One thing we've noticed. Overs, overs.
- 15:18Have done well just. In general.
- 15:20In the NBA this season, overs are.
- 15:22Let me just. Update this for you.
- 15:24They are 115 and 90. Two on the year, that is a 56.
- 15:29Percent win rate, 6% ROI. If you isolate it in.
- 15:32Terms of just conference overs, we've actually seen them perform
- 15:36even better if it's a conference game.
- 15:38The over is 85 and 6158.2. Percent.
- 15:42With an 11% ROI then also have a system match.
- 15:45Called Big Home Dog Go. Over SO.
- 15:48If you are a. Big home dog.
- 15:49Of 11 points or. More Play the over.
- 15:52Since the start of last year, that's 41 and. 3058.
- 15:55Percent, 10% ROI. And think of it this way like.
- 15:59Typically. If it's a big favorite, you want
- 16:01to lean. Under because they're probably.
- 16:02Going to get a big. 15. 2025 points take your foot off the.
- 16:05Gas just end the game it's. A little different when you're a
- 16:08big home dog and you're getting down big, typically what?
- 16:11You're going to want to do. Is fight till the end to at?
- 16:13Least make the score look a little bit better.
- 16:15So because of that system, big dog, big dog, big home dog go.
- 16:19Over if you're a. Dog at home of 11 points or
- 16:22more, you're hitting the over 58%.
- 16:24Of the time over the course of the last two seasons, so the
- 16:27total. Fell a ton, but it's starting to
- 16:29rise back up. You can still get.
- 16:31Over 222 1/2. -110 at ESPN bet. That's what I did.
- 16:35Again, shop around, because some books are. 220. 3/2/23 and 1/2.
- 16:38But rhythm is. Predicting closer to 225 so.
- 16:41I'm gonna. Hope for some points here and
- 16:43hope that a big home dog go over system match can hit for us.
- 16:46I played over 222 1/2 - 110. Celtics and Nets.
- 16:51ESPN bet so Celtics Nets over. Michigan State 4 1/2, Akron +3.
- 16:57See if we can find a way to get 2 out of 3 eek out a winning
- 17:00night. Of course, that is always the
- 17:01goal, so that about does it for episode. 398.
- 17:05Of the all systems go sports betting podcast powered by
- 17:07rhythm, this is the part. Of the pod where we wrap things
- 17:10up, I start first, as always, by saying thank you.
- 17:13Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you for
- 17:16taking. The time out of your day to pull
- 17:18up a chair to the. Virtual bar and sweat some sharp
- 17:20do driven breakdowns with me. If you do enjoy this pod, if you
- 17:23value the insights, if you feel like you've gotten a little.
- 17:25Bit sharper since listening. Hopefully you're beating closing
- 17:28lines. Hopefully you're making.
- 17:29Sharper bets and cashing some tickets.
- 17:32But if that's the case and you want to help me grow the pod or
- 17:35show some appreciation? I would love for you to do
- 17:38something that. Costs you no money.
- 17:40All you got to do. Just click the five.
- 17:42Star button under review rate review five stars for the pod on
- 17:46iTunes or Spotify would help us to continue to gain some
- 17:49momentum with the podcast here. And then of course, you can also
- 17:52leave a nice review. You can.
- 17:53Recommend the pod to. A friend you can.
- 17:55Click the Follow button. All available.
- 17:57When you rate and review and give a.
- 18:00Give a thumbs up. For the pod, I'd very much
- 18:02appreciate that. Next, if you enjoy the.
- 18:04Style of betting breakdown, Data-driven, sharp contrarian
- 18:07betting focusing on line movement.
- 18:09Bet split system matches. What the betting market is
- 18:11telling us, not our bias and our heart.
- 18:14We got a bit with our head, not our heart.
- 18:15If you haven't learned that by now, that's a.
- 18:17That's a rule you got. To learn at some.
- 18:18Point but anyway, if you want to learn more about data-driven
- 18:21betting. I know the holidays are coming
- 18:23up. Why don't you get some some
- 18:24holiday shopping out of the way right now?
- 18:26Just go to Amazon.com and type in.
- 18:28The. NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 18:30It's a new book. Of mine came out about 3 months
- 18:33ago, very proud of it, but it's got basically everything I've
- 18:36learned how to. Bet the NFL.
- 18:37From a data-driven perspective. Got a lot of system matches
- 18:40there. Throughout the year and of
- 18:42course before you know it, obviously playoffs and and Super
- 18:45Bowl, but a lot to dig into with that book.
- 18:48Makes a great. Stocking stuffer.
- 18:49Great gift. Also you can search my first
- 18:52book, The Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
- 18:54Pick that up as well. But grab one or both.
- 18:57Bring him to the sports book I'll sign him for.
- 18:58You buy a beer or ginger ale and sweat some of these games here
- 19:01together tonight. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
- 19:04and Juice Real Yet? My 2.
- 19:05Favorite sports betting apps, Rhythm for their AI backed
- 19:07models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 19:10Reminder Thursday night, couple nights from from now we'll have
- 19:13another Rhythm rundown. Looking forward to that with.
- 19:15My buddy Kate Harper and then also Juice Reel.
- 19:18Juice Reel has some great features.
- 19:20First off, if you enjoy the pod you want to get.
- 19:22The plays early you want to. Support the pod.
- 19:24Tip your pod host you can spend. $4.99 a.
- 19:28Week. Yep, 5 bucks.
- 19:29Not a lot, but. You can get the plays from the
- 19:32Juice Reel. The Juice Reel app and get them
- 19:37as. Soon as I play them, so
- 19:38hopefully beat some closing lines like that.
- 19:40Celtics over 222 1/2 boom, you'll get that a lot of the
- 19:43market set two 23223 1/2, but you're also going.
- 19:46To get the robo. Jackson best bet picks the sharp
- 19:48mush indicators the arbitrage plays the shop for the best line
- 19:51features all. Available when you download
- 19:53Juice Rail So. Download Rhythm.
- 19:55Download Juice. Rail.
- 19:56You'd be off and running making sharp bets with two of my
- 19:58favorite. Apps on the market.
- 20:01Next you have a live odds page. If you don't have one, you need
- 20:04one. You got to be able to track the
- 20:05market. What are the line open at?
- 20:07Where is it now? Pull up line.
- 20:08History as soon as the odds get lit up in red and.
- 20:11Then orange or then green and then yellow.
- 20:14You know that the lines are moving.
- 20:15So if you like to bet, you better.
- 20:16Jump on it now or wait. It'll tell you to wait because
- 20:19if you like the other side, maybe you're waiting for the
- 20:22hook and it's juiced on the. -3 - 1. 15 you see a.
- 20:25Book go to. 3 1/2. You wait it out, say hey.
- 20:27I can get the 3 1/2 or 3 1/2's falling down to three.
- 20:30Grab it now. Again, this is how you can use
- 20:32the. Odds logic.
- 20:33Live odds. Page to help you make.
- 20:35Sharper bets and get better numbers.
- 20:37But if you'd like to test it out, all you have to do is go
- 20:39to. Oddslogic.com/josh 1/2.
- 20:44Three, that'll give you a 7 day free trial.
- 20:46And 50% off your first? Month of service next.
- 20:50Have you given Novig a shot? Novig is a betting.
- 20:53Exchange if you haven't done it, test it out.
- 20:56Cool thing about a betting. Exchange.
- 20:57Is you're going to. Get better juice prices so
- 20:59instead of paying -115. -120 you're.
- 21:02Going to pay minus one O 5. -1 O 6.
- 21:05Plus one O 2 plus one O 4 because you're going up against.
- 21:08Other betters and not. The house who's going to gouge
- 21:10you with the high juice prices? Also, if you win and you're
- 21:14doing well. You're not going to get limited.
- 21:15Or booted. So give Novig a shot.
- 21:17Just. Download the novig.
- 21:19App and when you fund your account, put in Josh 123 in the
- 21:22promo code for 100. Percent deposit match.
- 21:25Up to 25 bucks so that about. Does it for episode. 390.
- 21:29Eight of the ASG pod on a big Tuesday guys as.
- 21:32Always two final thoughts. Whether I.
- 21:33See you at the Borgata. In Atlantic City, Twin River in
- 21:36Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
- 21:39Sundown in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston plain Ridge
- 21:42park casino MGM Springfield. Or the Nash in my neck of the
- 21:45woods on the. Border of Massachusetts and New
- 21:47Hampshire. We're out in the desert where
- 21:49the true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his
- 21:51number runners, where the. Lowest juice possible.
- 21:53Is found at. The South Point.
- 21:55Or sweat and sharp and train plays.
- 21:57Jumping in the stadium swimming pool when you.
- 21:58Catch a big ticket. At Circo, you're going to walk
- 22:00up to me and we're just going to we're just.
- 22:02Going to shake our head. And chug a beer because the
- 22:04Raiders let us down, Tennessee Tech imploded and Duncan
- 22:08Robinson came up two freaking points, rebounds short.
- 22:11But either way, guys, we're going to get right back at it,
- 22:13get right back on the saddle, hopefully have a winning night
- 22:16here for tonight. So coming off in O and three or
- 22:18three and O two and one, A1. And two, a winning.
- 22:21Night, a losing night, a great day followed by a terrible day
- 22:24or terrible day followed by a great day.
- 22:26Hey, there's going to be ups and downs and betting.
- 22:28You got to be disciplined with your bankroll management.
- 22:30You got to stay the. Course think long term.
- 22:32Never get too high when things are good.
- 22:33Never get too low when things are bad.
- 22:36Because when we go O and three, we're never as bad as we think.
- 22:38When we go 5 and O, we're never as good as we think.
- 22:41We're always somewhere in the middle.
- 22:42And always grinding. And that's really.
- 22:44The name of the game taking that?
- 22:46Next bet mentality. Next shot mentality.
- 22:48Approach and sticking to the numbers and and finding those
- 22:52games that. Fit our model.
- 22:53Which at this point you might know go something like this
- 22:56games that are. Against the public with.
- 22:57The house with the. Pros Flat bet.
- 23:00Avoid parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're.
- 23:02Going to be successful sports bettors long term, so have a
- 23:05great Tuesday night everybody, Let's go.
- 23:07Sparty, Let's go Akron. Let's get points in the Celtics
- 23:10game and I'll be right. Back at it tomorrow for episode
- 23:13399. Of the All Systems Go sports
- 23:16betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 23:18Good luck everybody and have a great Tuesday night.