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College Football Betting Preview with Collin Wilson · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I am Chad Norman. It is going to be college
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: football season in a matter of weeks. We're down from
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: this day as we are recording, we are down to
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: about seventeen days until week zero begins. In case you
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: haven't noticed, we have a brand new podcast feed for
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: all of our podcast for all of our college podcast content,
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus, which debuted a number twelve on
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: the iTunes Sports Charts this week. It is hosted by
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Colin Wilson and Stucky, the same great college football podcast
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: they always used to do on the Action Network feed,
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: only now it's brand new feed, Big Bets on Campus.
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: Everyone go check it out. I think we'd be remiss
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: even of the Favorites. It tends to be focused on
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: the NFL, and Simon Hunter is going to be coming
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: on uh for the second episode we do this week,
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: along with Chris Raybon. But we gotta do a little
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: bit of college um because eventually some of these college
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: guys are gonna be in the NFL. You want to
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: know what you want to know right now before it
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: gets too late. Colin Wilson, Pig Suey, whoo whoo, Pig
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: suey whoo, Pig suey chat win total of five and
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: a half at five point six. I hope Arkansas can
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: make a bowl. We were a three win team that
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: made the Texas Bowl and COVID canceled it because the TCU.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: I hope there's no COVID. I hope these vaccination rates
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: go way up for these teams and we don't have
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: any issues whatsoever this fall. What am I supposed to
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: do with college football column? Why is it going to
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: be any different than Clemson's the best, Ohio States the best,
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: Alabama's the best, Oklahoma's the best, Georgia's the best. Give
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: me something to root for season long. That is not
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: about those four or five teams. If you want that
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: kind of drama, then you have to go to the
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: Group of five. But you know, I think it's like
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: I both agree on our podcast that Georgia and Oklahoma
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: is going to be the national championship game. These are
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: the teams that don't have any turnover in their coaching stabs.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: These are the teams that don't have turnover at the
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: quarterback position. All the other big blue bloods do. Uh
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: and I hate to say it, but we've turned into
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: the n B A. We used to joke when we
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: started podcasting five years ago, we knew the Warriors would
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: be in the finals. We knew it for nine months.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: And now college football has turned into a sport where
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: six teams can win the national championship. I mean, we're
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: still looking at only ten teams that have ever ten
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: programs have only ever made the College Football Playoff. It's
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: it's really uh. This is the season where Cincinnati is
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: going to be probably the best group of five to
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: ever play in the college football playoff era, and they'll
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: have no chance, even beating Notre Dame, they'll have no
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: chance to make the playoff. Well, well, let's talk about
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: that for a second. A. I love Cincinnati being great.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: I love it because in a lot of ways, you
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: could argue Luke Fickle, who's the coach at Cincinnati, got
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: totally screwed at Ohio State right because he had to
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: manage that team for a shitty period of time in
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: the program's history, and instead of getting real consideration to
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: eventually be the head coach at Ohio State, it's clear
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: to him that he's not going to get that, so
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: he goes to Cincinnati and has turned a mediocre, moribund
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: program that would be good every fourth or fifth year
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: into a group of five juggering what people are all
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: of a sudden saying they are the tip of the
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: spear on the argument for expanding the playoff to get
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: teams like Cincinnati into it. Good for him, good for Cincinnati? Yeah,
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: I completely agree, and I think Cincinnati is the team
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: if you you're not gonna get one of these teams
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: in unless you have to win conference champions And I
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: think the bar was really the Playoff Committee set the
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: bar when they said Alabama as a one loss at large,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: we'll get in above an Ohio State with two losses.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: So I think if we're looking down the line, I
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: think since I can go in defeed, I think they
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: win their conference. I think they can beat Notre Dame.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: They have two shutdown corners. Desmond Ritter's explosiveness was off
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: the chart last year. But I really interested to see
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: if Michigan fires Jim Harbor at the end of the
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: season and Luke Fickle is the head coach of mission
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: of Ohio State's biggest rival, that would be heck of
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: a storyline. I didn't even consider that. You know what's interesting,
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: I listened to UM. I listened to the Big Bets
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: on Campus podcast this past week. It was the Big
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: ten episode and it's brilliant and and you guys talked
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: a lot about Michigan, a lot about the luster of
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: that brand name, how it's influencing the season win totals
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: for that team. Breakdown the Michigan, the reality for Michigan
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: and what you see versus what bookmakers tend to see
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: and how they post the number and what the discrepancy is. Yeah,
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: that's that's a real problem for Michigan is that they're
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: in a very heavy betting state, so there's going to
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: always be an appetite for the Wolverines. And then there's
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: just this class of alumni and fan that grew up
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: on Michigan football and still thinks that their national title
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: relevant or that they're even conference relevant, and they're not.
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: You've got quarterback to play has just been in the dumps.
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: Milton last year had more way more turnover worthy plays
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: than actual big time throws. He moves on. Some of
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: their other skill town has moved on. You know, the
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: running back went to u c. L A. Now We've
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: got a kid Mcnamerican that's played one game, looked okay,
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: We've got Bowman coming in from Texas Tech. It's it's
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: kind of a mess. And I think it starts at
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: the top because herball went and got Josh Gadness as
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: offensive coordinator after having this amazing season for Alabama. He
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: was the next coming of all offensive coordinators. What we
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: thought we were gonna get with Josh Gadis is what
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: we got with Joe Burrow uh down at LSU that season,
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: and it just never happened for Gaddis on the defense. Meanwhile,
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: the I'm sorry, it just never happened on the offense. Meanwhile,
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: the defense continues to get torched. Uh, they're switching schemes.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: There's players you know coming in that it's just not
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: up to the recruiting talent that they've had in the past.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: So I think Jim Harbas do for another six seven
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: win season, a bowl that Michigan fans don't want to
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: be in. But yet the oddsmakers set this total at
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: seven and a half. Why because they know they're gonna
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: get over money all day on seven and six and
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: a half. It's just a team in a state where
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: there's heavy amount of betting where you can't set an
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: actual number if it's lower, it's Harbaugh a fraud. As
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: a coach, he wears on, he wears thin on on players,
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: and that's what happened with the Niners. And then the
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: Niners players are like, listen, I'm a pro. I don't
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: need this ship. You're up in my face all the time,
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: and and you know you grind on me. That's just
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: how he is a coach. Now, you can get away
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: with that at the college level. These are kids are
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: in and out of the program in three years. But
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: the fan base I think is a little liared of
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: some of you know, why are we hanging back with
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: the joes of the Big ten? Why are we having
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: problems with some of the bottom seller tins. We were
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: not challenging Ohio State anymore. We're you know, the discrepancy
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: is getting larger between us and the blue bloods of
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: the conference. We haven't made a college football playoff. We
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: haven't sniffed the playoff. Uh. You know, it's really up
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: to the boosters, the fans in the alumni about how
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: they feel about one of their own, because you know
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: what's gonna happen once they fire hardball. We gotta go
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: out and get a Michigan guy. If we don't get
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: a Michigan guy, it's gonna be Rich Rodriguez all the way.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: It's many I forgot Michigan fans saying that they have
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: been in the cocktail. Yes, a Michigan man. It's who
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: are you gonna go get? Right? And if there's no
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: one there that has Michigan ties, then here we are,
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: you know, running the same circle. Wow, that would be fascinating.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: At the end of the year of Luke Fickle has
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: the opportunity to take Michigan. Is there any chance someone
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: like Luke Fickle says I'm pretty happy at Cincinnati and
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: doesn't attempt to take a Michigan job. Or is the
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: way college football is going and especially with Oklahoma and
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: Texas now headed for the SEC, coaches are going to
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: there's even more of a premium on those Power five
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: schools because that's the only way you're going to get
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: a chance to play for a national title. It's it's
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: a big balance between what are your career aspirations versus
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: your comfort and life? All Right, Luke Fickle's you know,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: Ohio just his entire career and his love of Ohio
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: can cannot be said enough. But at the same time,
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: if a team from the SEC it is drawing just
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: tons of money and they're throwing tons of money at
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: you to come to their program, you obviously have to
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: make a decision to go. Why Matt Campbell's never left
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: Iowa State, I have no clue. They have a ceiling
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: on them from a wind total perspective, from national expectations perspective,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: and the more that he doesn't make the Cultural Playoff
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: or win the Big Twelve, then he's going to be
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: letting fans down, even though they've only had three nine
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: win seasons and program history since the eighteen nineties. So
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: these coaches like Fickle and Matt Campbell, at some point
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: they've got to gravitate to where the money is. And
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: if you have career aspirations, I mean, we all do
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: in the field that we're in. We want to do
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: better and climb that ladder. Cincinnati and Iowas Iowa State
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: are not final destinations. I don't really feel they need
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: to climb the ladder anymore. We are the top of
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: the ladder. We I'm like, I'm like standing on a
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: rung that doesn't even exist, Colin, there's nothing left for
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: me to climb. Anything from here on out is just
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: kind of showing off. Um. You mentioned Iowa State, that program,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: that team outside of the ones, we mentioned another program
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: that has huge upside this year. Yeah, they do. And
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: I think what we mentioned on the Big twelve podcast
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: was there's a ceiling to this team. And I listen,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: I'm not a hater of Iowa State, and I'm not
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: a hater of Matt Campbell, but and they run this
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: beautiful offense that integrates two tight ends, three tight end sets,
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: lots of motion going to confuse you, and Rock Party
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: wins everybody bets in October. That's great, but you're still
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: going to three overtimes against Northern Iowa. You still haven't
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: beat Kirk Ference at Iowa. Uh, you're losing to group
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: of five schools in September. And I think we have
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: to remember that as loaded as his team and as
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: talented as his team is, there's still just three stars.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: Maybe if a four star like Greece Hall was a
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: four star in there, and when you go up against
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: an Oklahoma team that is just shocked full of five
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: stars and four stars. I think I said this in
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: the podcast that Iowa State since seventeen has had three
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: recruits that have been four stars, and that time Oklahoma
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: has had eighty four five and four star athletes come
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: through the program. So there's only so I mean, I
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: love the players and they're fantastic, and Breece Hall should
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: be mentioned for Heisman, but I'm sorry, but there's just
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: a huge gap and talent. All right, So you mentioned Heisman,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: and I do want to get to Heisman. Uh. But
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: before we do that, in in order of operations, here,
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: here's how I want to lay out what we're going
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: to do over the next fifteen minutes. I want you
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: to give me the best future value right now for
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: making the college football playoff. Number one, I have five
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: questions you will need to answer them. Best future value
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: for making the college football playoff right now Oklahoma. So,
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma has the path of least resistance. If you look
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: at some of these other teams. Clemson and Georgia play
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: each other at the beginning of the season, one of
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: them has to lose, uh, and that means that they
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: have no room for air and the rest of their schedule.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: Remember what I said, the college while playoff does not
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: like two lost teams, and they've proved it for it
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: doesn't matter if you in your conference. So with Clemson
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: and Georgia, one of those is automatically going to have
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: a big mark, big strike against them. Alabama breaking in
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: a new quarterback, new offensive positions. This team that we
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: saw last year might have been the best in college
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: football history. A ten game SEC schedule just flew through
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: it like there was no tomorrow. But they're breaking in
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: a new quarterback. Ohio State is also breaking in a
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: new quarterback. But I would say that their schedule isn't
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: it's tough. But Oklahoma best wide receiver unit in the nation,
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: uh one of the top three offensive lines, top three
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: defense in the nation, and Spencer Rattler, who's leading the
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: odds for to win the Heisman. There's just not enough
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: defense on this schedule to stop them from getting to
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. And keep in mind like they can chuck
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: a game because of the way it's set up in
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: the in the Big Twelve, it's round robins, So you
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: can lose a game and you're fine. All you have
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: to finish is top two in the in the conference
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: and play for the conference championship and listen, Alex Grench.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: We said this on our podcast on Action Never three
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: years ago, Alex Grench, after he gets a couple of
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: years under his belt. This defense that is in the
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: Rose Bowl with Baker Mayfield was just a bunch of
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: lawn chairs and statues standing out there in Pasadena. And
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: once Alex Crench comes in, they're gonna be loaded with
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: havoc and chaos. And last year they finished top twenty
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: and that's not going to stop. His Oklahoma defense is
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: for real alright. So, uh, Simon Hunter just joined us.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: I do want to give him a chance to ask
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: any questions if he has any. Uh. Simon was delayed
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: for a dental appointment, and it is just very brave
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: of him generally to be able to get on the podcast,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: uh and join us right now. Simon, Hello, Hello, chat Colin.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: We're stucky by the way, the funk if I know,
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: I just slapped him, like, where the funk are you?
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: Unbelievable man. I was looking forward to seeing him in Colin. Now, Well,
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: at least we have the better one, right, the smarter one,
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: I should say, we definitely got. We got the more
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: eloquent one for sure. Um, well, now I've listened to
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: the show man, I love it. You guys are I
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: just love um? It's fun here and what all what
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: different pros think and view and it's awesome when you
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: line up with other people I trust. And I'm just like, okay,
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: So not that I'm like low nup, but I am
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: kind of I just got the itch, you know what
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: it is. It's football season. So I definitely enjoyed your
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: guys new show. And uh, I know man Mitchell's love
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: and what do you guys? Top ten now on the
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: rating board. Wait wait till we tell the world about
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: what we think about Western Kentucky. Once we do, I care,
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: we'll be top three in the national podcast. I love
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: Simon is such a professional. He comes on a mouthful
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: and novacaine and just plugs the new podcast and shines
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  Speaker 1: on Matt Mitchell and now a word from our friends
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  Speaker 1: My first question long as odds to make the colful
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: playoff the value you like? You like Oklahoma, give me
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: the season wind total over that you love the most
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: right now? Any conference group of five power five doesn't matter.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: U c l A over seven. I compared this in
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: the pack Tol podcast to like a buffet. I keep
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: going back to the buffet and I want to eat this,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: and I want to eat that, and I want to
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: eat this, and I wanna eat that. And those two
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: teams are Utah and u c l A. And I'll
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: stick with U c l A on the wind total
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: because Utah, I think is gonna win the packs fell
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: South they host U c l A. But year four
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: for chip Kelly, we have the highest retention. Now, and
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: I think about this. U c l A always recruits
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: at extremely high level with chip Kelly, and so does
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: Texas AY and M. But Texas A and M has
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: like thirty retention rate of all the recruits that they
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: brought in u c l. A has retained se They've
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: completely taken advantage of this super senior rule. Their defense
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: returns everybody, which is kind of a good thing and
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: a bad thing. They couldn't stop the rush, so hopefully
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: that improves a little bit. But Dorian Thompson Robinson can
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: score on any play on any yard marker. And yes,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: I know about the turnovers, and I know that he
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: can be volatile at times. But what people aren't paying
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: attention to this year is they went out, Kelly went
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: out and got San Jose States passing game coordinator and
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: he said, passing game coordinator from San Jose State. Yeah,
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: they turned that program around. Remember San Jose State was
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: like undefeated and Nick Starkle was dropping bombs on everybody
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: late at night and people were like, who the hell
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: is San Jose State? Well, the passing game coordinator is
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: now the quarterbacks coach for U c l A, Ryan Gunderson,
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: former Royals Award nominee. And if he can trim down
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: just some of the mistakes and the inconsistencies the DTR has,
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: you see a A is a major player in this
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: Uh there, I think absolutely they are contender in the
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: South and I'll take over seven any day. U c
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: l A comes up so infrequently when we talked about
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: college football these days, the fact that a team from
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: the Pac twelve would be a contender. Do you think
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: if they Trent, if they put dtr in a better
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: position to take care of the ball, this is a
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: team they can contend in the Pact twelve and potentially
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: contend for a college football play off. I mentioned it
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: on our Pact twelve podcast, should be out this week
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: on on Big Bets on Campus, and I think Stuck
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: shot it down immediately, like national contention for a Pac
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: twelve team, No way. There's a lot of talent, especially
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: in this Pact twelve South, and a lot of people
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: want to point to USC, but I don't think the
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: air raid could they have their problems? Uh Utah and
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: u c l are heavily, heavily talented, lots of lots
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: of defense from the Utah perspective. Arizona State to the
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: problem with Arizona State is just this cloud, these recruiting
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: violation cloud that's that's hanging over them right now. And
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: the question comes out every year can they be in
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: the national title picture? I think Oregan takes a step back. Uh,
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: you know that to blow the podcast that we I'm
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: under Oregan at nine wins too many changes. I don't
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: like the defensive coordinator move Anthony Brown is they're gonna
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: be their quarterback. They're gonna get walled Wahio State and
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: Week two. So your best chance of being nationally relevant
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: is going to come out of the South, and to me,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: that's Utah and U c l A. Al Right, next question,
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: your favorite I have a feeling you know the answer
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: to this. Your favorite under for all a hundred and
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: twenties stunting college football teams? Favorite under is The first
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: bet I put in this season was back in Mark.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: I think during March Madness. These numbers started coming out
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: and it didn't matter if it was the East Coast
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: or West Coast. I was hitting this as many places
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: I could until I got shut down by one book.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: And that's Notre Dame under nine. I had the state,
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: I had the team run. You thought I was gonna
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: go Indiana, and listen, Indiana had a kind of a
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: rabbit's foot up their ass last year and maybe that'll stay.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: There are some redeeming qualities that they have, but Notre
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: Dame on the other hand, is going through everything you
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: want to look for when it comes to an under
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: Their defensive coordinator who is just can work magic, Clark Lee.
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: He is now the head coach at Vanderbilt. So they
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: now have a new defensive coordinator, Marcus Freeman, and Marcus
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: Freeman is a great recruiter, but that doesn't help now.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: And he's going to change the scheme to a three
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: three five over a four to five. So you have
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: a ton of production that's been lost on both sides
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: of the ball. Ian book is not there anymore. Jack
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Cohen from Wisconsin is now the quarterback, but he's more
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: of like a game manager. It's not really an explosive
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: quarterback whatsoever. They don't have any explosiveness or experience on
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: the outside. Uh. Their main passing plays are gonna be
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: to a tight end dump over the middle. Uh. They
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: lose some of their great offensive linemen and if you
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: look at their offensive or last year brand new Tommy Rees,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: uh upped their rushing rate, like they jumped up to
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: one of the highest rush teams on the nation, like
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: Army level. Like, so they're not gonna pass the ball
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: that much. They don't have any explosiveness on the outside.
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: Jack Cohen, Well, I've seen enough out of him from
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin to know that this is not a ten win team.
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: Defense is undergoing a schematic change and they lost some
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: of their best tacklers. So Notre Dame under nine with
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: that schedule, I'll take it all day. Well, I'll tell
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: you what they do have Chad plugging away here. The
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: volume has their own thing called Inside the Garage. It's
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: a podcast of the Neitre Dame guys. I actually check
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: it out. You're breaking my heart because I wanted to
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: bet their over because I like the dudes on the show.
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: That's heartbreaking. But there's no friendship and gambling. Like I said,
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: I bet against my own favorite team. So I give constant.
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: I gotta bet that under. I'm gonna take that under South.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Are you all be coming on today to plug? Is
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: that that's like, that's your role in the podcast today.
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: I'm selling out so hard right now, Chad. It's unbelieab
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: but maybe it's the novocain. You might be right. Give
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: me a little posest. Let me leave you this. Simon
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: so Clarkeley was their defensive coordinator and he's from the
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: School of mike Elco. Mike Elco, who's at Texas A
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: and m before Mike Elco and Clarkley we're at Notre Dame.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: That's when they have their four and eight season, and
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: it was just an absolute I mean, they just fell
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: off a cliff and it's because of the defense. And
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: now here they are without either Mike Elko or clark Lee. Alright,
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: two more questions for you. The next question. Last question
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: will be about the Himan. The next question, give me
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: the four teams that will be in the College Football Playoff.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Georgia and Oklahoma in the national
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: championship games, so that leads to other spots. One is
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: gonna be Ohio State. There's just not a lot of
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: resistance in that conference. If you look at Penn State's schedule,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: it's brutal. I mean, even if they were to beat
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: Ohio State, there's still two losses on that schedule. Uh So,
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: Ohio State shouldn't have any problems and maybe challenged by
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin in the in the Big Ten Championship. But Ohio State,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna take is the third team and then the
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: fourth team. Outside of that, you're really looking at an
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: Alabama team that should possibly lose the Georgian SC Championship
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: as I'm predicting, or a Clemson team that may lose
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: to Georgia in the very beginning. So the fourth to
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: me is an extreme wild card. The one thing I
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: do know, it's not gonna be Cincinnati, which is gonna
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: be really upsetting to me after they beat Notre Dame
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: and have the schedule to be there. So I'm just
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: gonna go with Alabama as an at large into the spot. Uh.
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: The committee has proven before they like brand names, they
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: like TV ratings and and you. They're gonna take that
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: over a one loss pack twelve champion. They're gonna take
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: Alabama as a one loss team any day. So that
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: that would be my that would be my college ball.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: I did not expect you to say Georgia and Oklahoma
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: in the finals. That would be nice for Georgia. They've
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: had some hard luck and it was it's starting to
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: feel like they will forever be a great team that
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: gets forgotten because they play in the same era as Alabama.
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: So they need a year like what you're talking about
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: to crack through and have that legacy memorable status. The big,
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: the big difference for Georgia everybody needs to realize is
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: that Todd Monkan is their offensive coordinator now and they
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: aren't afraid to pass on first down with J. T. Daniels.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: That's the problem with George in the past. They were
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: living college football fifteen years ago when it was all
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: about rushed on first down, second down, third Now we're
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: gonna pound the rock. That doesn't work in college football anymore.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: Last question, I'm going to bet who's going to win
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: the Heisman. You mentioned Spencer Rattler, you mentioned Brock Purty. Uh,
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: give me your best future value to win the Heisman
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: Trophy and it's uh, it's gonna be tough to be
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: Spencer Rattler. And the reason why I say that is
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: because if you look at the history of the Heisman
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: Trophy and the voters, ou players continue to win this.
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: And remember, after you win up Heisman, you get a vote,
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: so that the base of voters continue to expand as
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: as oh you voters. So it's hard to go past
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: Spencer Rattler and what he has. But if I had
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: to throw uh somebody out there, Casey Thompson at Texas,
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: I believe what Steve Sarkesian's do and out down to
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: Texas is going to pay off. It's going to be huge.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: He's setting a new culture completely different than what Tom Herman.
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: But for Casey Thompson to win that for Texas, they've
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: got to win the Big Twelve, and I don't think
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: that's possible. So I will point to a team that
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: I think can absolutely win uh their conference championship, and
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: that's North Carolina and Sam How. What Sam How has
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: been able to do since the day that he was
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: a freshman has shown that he's NFL ready. He has
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: an NFL arm uh and we're gonna find out this
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: year because he loses a couple of explosive weapons that
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: are now in the NFL. But I don't think it's
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: gonna matter. Mac Brown has recruited just fine. They're gonna
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: put up serious numbers. They're not gonna face Clemson until
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: the last game of the year, right before the Heisman.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Voters have to get that ballance submitted. Uh if I
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: had to take a shot outside of Spencer Rattler to
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: be Sam How And that's why I bet for number
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: one pick. I love doing that bet too. Like future
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: bets using the number one pick. I bet him as well.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: I just I love like I watched his tape. I
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: love that kids say to me is the highest ceiling
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: right now for any of these kids coming out next
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: year in the draft. A little added bonus for the draft,
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: just for people to get primed. Colin Wilson, you were
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: saying Oklahoma will be the longest, the best future value
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: to make the college football Playoff. You like Georgia and Oklahoma,
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: Alabama and Ohio State in the College Football Player. If
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: you like Georgian Oklahoma playing the national title game. You
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: think Spencer Rattler is most likely to win the Heisman,
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: but Sam Howell is a good long shot. You love
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: the U c l A Over, you hate, you love
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: the Notre Dame under. Everybody who needs more in depth
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: conversation about everything related to college football. The best college
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: football podcast on the internet machine is Big Bets on
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: Campus with Colin Wilson and Stucky. The new Pack twelve
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: episode is out right now. Go download, Go follow, go subscribe,
• 26:46
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• 26:51
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• 27:00
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• 27:04
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• 27:08
  Speaker 1: Check it out. I Love you, ye,