Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Gambling on NFL Week 3 with Pro Gambler Simon Hunter

Transcript

Gambling on NFL Week 3 with Pro Gambler Simon Hunter · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. I Am going to be joined
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: by professional better Simon Hunter to talk about the week
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: three NFL games, to talk about our standing in the
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Draft Kings Pro Football pick Up National Championship. Don't forget
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: we went five and oh in the first week. But
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: oh no, oh, my freaking god. No, the tragedy, the
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: extraordinary agony that is betting the NFL. Simon, you're listening,
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: will introduce you in a second. You'll appreciate this because
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: as we text on Sunday mornings about our games, I'm
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: sitting with my thirteen year old trying to give him
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: a betting education, as every proper young teenage boy should get.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: So we're talking about all of our picks. We're talking
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: about the overs and the unders and the sides and whatever.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: And uh then we what, We sit down and we
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: watched Red Zone for like, you know, ten hours, and
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: then we watched the Sunday night game, and in between that,
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: we're watching the Lakers Nuggets game, and we are like
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: having the greatest sports watching day ever, except we watch
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: the Jets in garbage time sneak out another over for
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: the second week in a row, the Jets or two
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: and oh they are undefeated in ruining people's unders this season.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: We watch Learnard four net when the box are trying
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: to run at the clock score a touchdown to extend
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: the PA the Patriots. The Buccaneers lead, so the pay
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: the Panthers don't cover their eight and a half. And
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: then at night we watched the Patriots and we had
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: them plus three and a half in the contest. Uh,
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: stall out at the one yard line. So Simon Hunter
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: after going five know in the Draft Kings Pro Football
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: pick um contest last week we went two and three.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, when you stick to your stomach, Hey, Chad, Yeah,
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: that sucked man. Uh. It was one of those two
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: where it's funny. Like my my other boss, he never
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: really hits me up after like our shows or like
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: what I post stuff on Twitter. He rarely will come in.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: And I posted our picks and he immediately texted me
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: and said you should be fired for that Chiefs pick.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: And I wrote back, I know, going against all everything
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: I know and taking the Chiefs here, and he goes,
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: nine cent of the money is on the Chiefs minus
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: eight and a half Vegas is undefeated. That's all he
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: said back and that kind of kind of got me
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: nervous going to the one gain games. I was like, man,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: he's already calling his shot for this four o'clock game,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: and I think we were one and one got the
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: back door. I mean, the Eagles one was brutal because
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: it was twenty I think it was, and Carson was driving.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: You throw a Pixet pick in the end zone and
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: that was the end of that one. Let's what we had.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: Let's remind it we had. We had the Eagles plus
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: one and a half. We had the Dolphins plus five
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: and a half, we had the Chiefs minus eight and
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: a half. I think we had um the Cardinals minus
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: six and a half, and then we had the Patriots
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half. So yeah, Eagles was heartbreaking,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: Dolphins was lucky. Well that's when you played the numbers, baby,
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: that was just that numbers, that numbers too big. And
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: then the Cardinals when that was like, I thing gave it.
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: I was my that was my favorite bet last week.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: That was a no sweat. I mean the minute that
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: game started, Kyle I was running around you go, Okay,
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: this is this is what we expect from the Cardinals.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: But then as soon as I saw that Tyrod Taylor
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: was out, I was just floored because I love Herbert.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: I gave it out to our loyal listener, is on
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: Twitter um about a month ago that I liked him
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: for Rookie of the Year. Is a good sleeper at
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: a plus a thousand, nine hundred And when he came in,
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: Chiefs have no tape on this kid. They're literally are
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: running at It wasn't that much difference in offense, but
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: he was He would take actual deep shots, where Taylor
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: would just throwing deep and hope for a passenger perence.
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: But this kid was taking deep shots and putting it
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: rund the money. So I was sweating that Chiefs game,
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: and I gave out to uh. So I did one
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: of my big bets of the year, like one of
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: my four big bets, and so I gave it out
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: to our listener, and it is one of those you
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: gotta you gotta have big bullets because I'm I literally
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: tell my clients, we're putting your whole balance on this bet.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: You're going for a double up. So it was the
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: Browns money line, San Franz money line, and the chiefs
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: money line. So not only that wait wait wait wait
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: wait wait wait, explain to people a little bit, like
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: so people know earlier this summer when you came on
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: the podcast with me, we do a raise the pays
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: and we give away a prize and and uh, just
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: so people know, like we are doing another phrase that
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: pays this week. Every week Simon is joining the podcast.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: Every week we are doing a phrase that pays UM
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: And so this week, last week, the phrase the pays
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: was Simon says, Let's go undefeated. As a reminder, you
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: go review the podcast, use the phrase Simon says, let's
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: bounce back, and if we like it and randomly choose it,
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: you will win a free action network cooty. We will
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: announce last week's winner who used Simon says let's go
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: and defeated Um at the end of the show. But
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: one of the prizes we had done earlier in the
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: year was you would give away like one of your
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: three or four biggest bets of the year to a listener.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: And so this this was one of your biggest bets
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: of the year. Already we're in week two and you're
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: already feeling confident on that right and it's just I
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: it's more that I'm playing the numbers. That's like when
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: I put into my system like the Browns, the Chiefs
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: and San France money lines, they only kicked back that
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: I had a nine percent chance of failing, and so
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: I'm getting plus odds. So for my clients, they like
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: that that's a plus number. And when I give him
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: a double known questions, they all just play blindly because
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: they know that even if this one doesn't hit, the
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: next two will. That's just how I've built up my reputation.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I sent this one out and of course
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: they say nothing. I give it to the Twitter guy
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: and I could tell he was just like the Browns,
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: like money Line, and I know there's a bunch of injuries,
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: so he was kind of a little hesitant about it.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: But um, you know they rolled that was an easy
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: no sweat, San France easy no sweat, and that Chiefs.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: When I had given up, I had done the classic
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: turned the phone off because I was just knew I
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: wasn't getting destroyed. Just because like the fact that Bob,
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: like my boss, seating up in the morning about being
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: an idiot about taking the Chiefs, I knew he was
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: just waiting. He was waiting for the charges of win
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: because that was such a trap game that I stepped
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: right into. And sure enough, Patrick Mahomes saved save my
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: save of my bank roll and uh, my client's bank
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: roll with that just unbelievable come back. Unbelievable comeback. But
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: it also it did sort of recalibrate I think, and
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: we'll talk a little bit about this, like the Chiefs
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: can be vulnerable at times in ways that the Ravens
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: appear to not be vulnerable at times. Um. And there
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: seems to be less volatility with the Ravens, and especially
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: as their defense is getting better. And I say that
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: only because like those are the class of the league, right,
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: Like there's no real competition in the NFC. It's not
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: as top heavy as sort of the consistency that we've
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: seen the last two seasons from the Chiefs and the Ravens.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: Forgetting about the Packers for a second, I'm not that
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: sold on them yet, but so the Ravens to me
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: are already sort of separating themselves a little bit from
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs. Um And Yeah, that was just that was
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: totally crushing. Anthony Lynn Chris Ravan, one of our analysts
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: who you know and like who is also the co
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: host of the Action Network NFL podcast, which is blowing up.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: By the way, if people are not listening to that
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: as well as this, then they should be go download,
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: go subscribe the great review Um. He basically says, Anthony
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: Lynn is an automatic fade like he played that game
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: as if he just wants to be a mediocre coach
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: focused on a little bit better than a five record,
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: And the fact that he's saying to Rod Taylor will
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: play again is more indication to that. The fact that
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: he didn't go for it on fourth and one is
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: more of an indication to that, not going forward on
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: fourth on one and overtime. What's your take on sort
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: of the Chargers as a team and Anthony Lynn as
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: a better I think they got No I'm not gonna
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: say they got lucky in that game, but I think
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs did sleepwalk. You're just watching that first half.
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: Everything looked out of sorts. They didn't look like they
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: really were there for a win. And he's gonna get
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: a lot of flak eth and allen Um for those statements.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: But that's just coached off. That's just he's just acting
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: he's just gonna back his quote unquote starting quarterback and Taylor,
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: and he's gonna treat the rookie like he has to
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: earn that position. But everything I saw, that kid earned it.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: I mean he he looked better than Taylor has his
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: entire career in his first start. So to me, I
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: think it's a no brainer. I think they're gonna keep
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: playing him, but we'll see. He seems like he might
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: be staunched in and he's gonna really start Taylor again.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: And I don't know if I wanna, I don't want
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: to go too hard about that point on fourth and one.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: I think he was trying to play a little bit
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: too much of a chess match, thinking that he could
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: get another stop here with his defense and you get
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: the ball back, which thinking against my homes is is
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: losing thinking. I don't I don't know why he was
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: thinking that way, but I'm with Chris, I gotta knock
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: him on that. That's a game that if they would
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: have stolen that one, they would have been one on one,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: right net. I mean to no, that's that's a game
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: changing scenario for the entire season. So I don't think
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: that he failed his team in that spot. Completely failed
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: his team in that spot. It's disappointing. I actually like him,
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: like as a personality. You know, you get to know
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: these guys watching hard not to He just seems like
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: a guy that I want to root for and I
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: want to be able to coach that team for a
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: long time and to get a lot of opportunities to win.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: And um, I root for the Chargers as an underdog
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: team in that l A market. You know, playing in
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: that stadium is sort of the second the Clippers of
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: that that stadium. But Jesus Christ Simon, we gotta bounce back.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: So the good news is we're still seven and three.
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: Were still like in the money in the Draft Kings
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: Pro Football National pick Up, National Championship. But we gotta
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: make some moves, man, we need to find some winners.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: It's true. And I'm heartbroken that you took that Jets
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: under when I was nice and nice enough to send
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: you two easy overs and that Dallas over in the
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: Green Bay over. But you like unders. You live for
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: understat I don't know why you punish yourself. I'm not
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: the sharpest NiFe from the drawer. I don't have to
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: tell you something like it's like I just sometimes I
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: just make bad decisions. Yeah, Vegas, they're all on these
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: lines kind of early here because they're just like all
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: of us there. I'm in the same way with my
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: system right now. Is I'm trying to learn is like
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: go here with COVID lines. You can see these no fans.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: I definitely think it's having sluggish effects on some teams
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: where they're not coming out hard, they're starting slow. Uh,
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: these overs have been really cash and I mean these
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: defenses have not been tackling. So it's been kind of
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: funny here to start the year. Vegas is still catching
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: up with everything that's going on with COVID. All right, well, listen,
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: if you see some overs as we go through this
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: list and you feel strongly about them, you know, certainly
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: tell our users don't feel obligated to uh tell our
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: listeners don't feel obligated to stick to the sides. Let's
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: start with Thursday night. We're calling this are back in
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: the money week. We got Jaguars hosting the Dolphins. Jaguars
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: three point favorites. They showed so well this past week,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: um as did the Dolphins. Like both of these teams
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: are just play hard teams I think. I feel like
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: the line is perfect on this one. Yeah, the classic
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: minus two two and a half minus three just for
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: a home team on Thursday night, and what we were
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: Just like you just said. I love about both these teams.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: They don't care what the scores. They just keep fighting.
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: They don't care what they're supposed to be, how bad
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: they're supposed to be. And no, everyone knows. I'm one
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: of the biggest jack fans out there. I got plenty
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: of money on their over five and alf I mean
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: five and four and a half for the season win totals,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: and I do I do. I think a lot of
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: people are gonna roll the Jags here like a no
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: brainer home team on a Thursday night. I'm with them.
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: I like taking bad teams, but it does make me
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: a little nervous where the Dolphins are owing too, and
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about a lot in this upcoming podcast. Statistically
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: owned two teams straight up and two teams against eight
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: t s against the spread. They do good in Week three.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: I think it's like sixty two or sixty three pcent
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: out of cover rate. So this is one of those
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: where I'm gonna roll Jacksonville. I like the bad team
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: at home, but I don't feel confident enough to put
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: it in our in our picks, definitely not. And I
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: kind of like Miami. I actually think I trust Ryan
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick more than I trust Gardner Minshew fits magic, magic, magic,
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: but more important to have a starting Their best starting
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: corner is out Miami. I believe that's what Diggs went off.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: That's when they switching a rookie. That's when Diggs I think,
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: went for against this rookie. So it is that is
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: something we'll keep an eye on. Forget my analysis, then
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: let's move on. Let's transition to the early games. We've
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: got the Steelers minus three and a half getting about
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: the best eight five pent of the money still early. Um,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: that's the draft Kings number three and a half. This
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: feels this feels to me like the Steelers, and it's
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: it's one of those where it will hold your nose
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: kind of bet all the numbers. Everything you read, it's
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: gonna say how Houston is terrible, their alignes terrible, Pittsburgh
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: has arguably the best line of football. They're healthy. But
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: I took this number of five and a half on
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: Sunday night with Houston looking at They just played the Chiefs,
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: who you just said, he thinks one of the best
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: teams on football, and then the Ravens, who you just said,
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: he thinks one of the best teams on football. So
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: we're not gonna get lower value than you are right
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: now in the Houston every everyone's gonna be off Houston.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Houston has looked terrible. They've just been abused two games
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: in a row, didn't cover, didn't win straight up. So
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: it's back to that number I told you about. They
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: have a sixty chance of covering this. So that's one
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: of those where you're gonna bet this game. You gotta
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: take Texas and trust the numbers that Houston is going
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: to cover that number. I know, don't tell me that.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: Do not do not tell me that I've got a
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: bet on Houston. I've I've assiduously avoided Houston this year,
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: and you know what, other than this past weekend. So
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: in the first weekend, I felt great, like I didn't
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: have any of that Texas heart Texas heartbreak. We're like,
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: I'm miserable watching a team underperform. So don't give me
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: this bullshit. I know. I'm just trying to see the
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: fans right, this is this is a trap you got
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: you gotta go Texans here, all right? Do we like
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: him enough to be in the in the contest um?
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: It might be a little too sharp, I'll put on
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: the side for now. It could. It's a question mark
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: for us. Uh. Next game Titans Vikings Vikings plus two
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: and a half at home against the Titans. Dude, you
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: know what I'm gonna say here, come on, I know
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: and I know what you What I'm gonna say is
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: that this is one of those positions you're supposed to
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: take Minnesota at home, but there's no fans. So that's
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: what's really throwing me for a loop. Here go is
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: this is such an auto easy play in a normal
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: season with fans at home, but without it, the Titans
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: should steam all these guys there at every position they're better.
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: I even think Tannehill is a better quarterback than Kirk
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: right now. I think that something's wrong in Minnesota. Like
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: we were talking last week, they're using these first four
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: weeks as a preseason kind of for their defense. And
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: their defense actually even played terrible against the Colts. Their
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: offense was terrible. I couldn't believe how bad Kirk was
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: so it makes me nervous that it's again that situation
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: of an own two team own two against the spread,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: and we want to go against them. So that's the
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: only thing that gives me really big policy with the Titans.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: All right, then we're taking it out because I kind
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: of feel like this is the spot for the Vikings,
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: and what we've seen with the Titans two weeks in
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: a row is not really being able to put away
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: bad teams exactly, you know. And I don't know what
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: that is a function of UM against the Broncos and
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: against the against the Jaguars UM. So I don't think
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: we can in good conscious keep this team on our list.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: And and you and I are and you and I
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: are split, we are I mean, I know you like
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: the Titans, but you and I are split. Alright, This
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: next one, Oh my god, Bears Falcons Uh Falcons at
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: Atlanta are three and a half point favorites. What the freak?
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: What the dude? Dude? That Cowboys game was re ridiculous,
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: But it proved every single thing we've been saying about
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: the Falcons, dan Quinn, Matt Ryan. They are a sugar
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: rush of a franchise. They are a team that will
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: have no relevance. Generations from now you will think about
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Matt Ryan and Calvin Ridley and Julio Jones and they
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: will be thought of as less than the Dan Fouts
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: era Chargers. Yeah, I think people are gonna remember them
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: for fantasy. That's what. That's what Atlanta is there a
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: fantasy gold mine other than that. Yeah, this is uh,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be one of these games where everyone's
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: gonna come in on Atlanta. After last week, Bears haven't
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: looked good. Atlanta looked like they're right there. It's just
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: like you just said that was didn't you give out
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: live Cowboys money line? I did, and I gave it
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: out early. It was like they were down, they were
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: down twenty nothing, and I said, I said, now look,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: I said, look, Cowboys are plus four. You have to
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: take this. And it turns out I should have waited
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: until the middle of the fourth quarter even even that,
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: like I didn't. I think I saw it about twenty
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: minutes after you posted it and I got Dallas. I
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: think plus five fifty only like I only threw a
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: grain on it, but I was like, I like this angle.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: As soon as that fourth quarter started, I go that
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: that's dead. There is no mathematical way they come back
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: and cover that number. I saw our good friend Darren
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: tweeted out someone put like thirty five k or something
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: like that, live on Atlanta and maybe like a three
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: grand or a grand, and that will So people don't
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: bet that way, don't don't don't play it that scary.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: That's great. Let a second, it was plus five fifty.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: You threw a grand on it, So you want like
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: bucks on that game? Yeah, but I mean I told you,
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: man that the amount of money I had on that
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: Brown's Sam Franchie's game, I'd be I'd be dead. I
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: might be dead after that one because I was literally
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: like so confident, like I just said out to like
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: all the all the people, and I was just like
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: like I showed my own tickets. I was like I
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: probably had around a hundred k, not even joking on
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: like that game, and I was just all in because
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: I was just there's no way. So I think some
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: two that there was it was like over a seven
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: figure swing and on books from that chief skin that
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: field goal, like on teasers and stuff like that. I joked,
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: that's probably half from my clients because they were just
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: all into like no one was really I gave out
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: other bets, no one tallied these other bets. They're all
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: just on the one big bet. So yeah, man, I
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: was five grand, But it's great. You wann't have five grand.
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: I'm super excited for you. But if you have that
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: much money riding on that kind of bet, like are
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: you done for the year, Like you're playing from such
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: a positive at this point? Uh, not really becase. Honest,
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: I probably won one was that much Week one because
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: I couldn't miss Week one, especially with like the I
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: like giving out two team money lines. That's like my
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: favorite thing to give out. So I just feel like
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: any favorite you could think of, I like stacking them.
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: So if I felt really good last week about Pittsburgh's moneyline,
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: Green Bay's money line, I'll stack those and maybe I'll
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: throw in the Chiefs or I'll throw in Baltimore and
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: other things with that. So week one none of those
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: missed all those money lines because I wasn't on the
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: Colts money line like a lot of people, where I
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: was on the Jags money line. So when you have
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: when I had a Week one like that, That's what
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: I'm telling my clients as I say take everything we
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: one week one because you're not affecting your original bank
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: roll for the season and just put all of it
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: on this one big bet. That's the reason I took
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: an early big bet like that. It was just because
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: I'm in a good mode. I'm seeing the game pretty good.
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: Obviously I should the bet here. We went two and
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: three last week. But uh, for the most part, I've
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: been pretty spot on with like these money lines and
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: things like that. Where last week was a fluke week
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: where it was what fifteen in or No. Fourteen and
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: two favorites money lines, So I got lucky on that one. Yeah,
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: you shipped the bed on the five games that mattered,
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: and you did great on all your big money bets.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: Nice job, Nice job, Simon Hunter. It's still top forty
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: in the week two. That's all right the money. I mean, well,
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: are we skipping the Bears Falcons? Like, are we just
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: not including it? It's up to you. I love the Bears.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: I'm hoping this number keeps own because maybe the public
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: will come in with all the other sharp money and
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: just keep betting the land up because I allly know
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: their takeing one. I just told you the statistic they're
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: own two straight up, and they're one on one right
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: now in the spread. So a lot of people like
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: this Falcons, right. I like the value on the Bears.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: I think the Bears defense can actually get stops where
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: I don't have any faith in the Falcons defense to
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: get stops. Well, I gotta tell you, I kind of
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: like the Bears on this side too. All right, let's
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: put them in for now, all right. Uh, the injury
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: riddled San Francisco forty Niners visiting the break your heart
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: New York Giants. Look, even at four and a half,
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: the Giants are four and a half point underdogs here
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: even at four and a half, um, there's no way.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: And and right now the Giants getting you know, a
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: preponderance of the money, about six of the money coming
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: in on the Giants and the tickets. So what this
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: is telling you is that wise guys like the Giants
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: right now. I'm not betting Danny dimes um because in
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: two games now I have seen him, uh put the
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Giants in a position to both win and lose, and
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: he's just not going to be a guy that, like
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: you can count on to make the right decisions in
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: the moments when you need the right decision to be
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: made for your bet. It's just to me, he is
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: a no bet on quarterback until he gets his turnovers
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: under control. Right. Everything you said there is right. I
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: think maybe the sharp money came in early because they
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: were all bank on Nick Mullins making that start, because
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: he was horrible against the Jets. If the Jets could
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: actually stop a running back, then that might have been
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: a close game they could cover. But they're giving up
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: like fifty yard carriers on third and twenties there. The
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: Jets are just horrible. So I'm with them on the
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: Giants here early because that's the value if Nick. If
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: it is, Jimmy's gonna be out, Nick boss out. I
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: know another first round. I think Solomon Thomas is out,
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: Sam Frands banged up, and they're they're probably having nightmares
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: about this turf field that they just played on and
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: now they're about to play again at Met Life. So
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: I like that number. We can wait. I know you
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: don't want to play it in, so we probably won't
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: put it in. But if it comes Sunday and they
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: got Nick Molans and it will be hard not to
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: put the Giants in a four and a half. That's
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: just good value against a backup quarterback that's terrible. All right, listen,
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: here's what we're gonna do. We're gonna do exactly what
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: you just said. We're gonna wait because I don't want
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: sort of my biases and what I've seen to dictate
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: like making the wrong choice against the Math, just because
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: I'm going to be miserable on Sunday having to watch
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: this team. If we gets the right side on Sunday,
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: it's going to be the right side and I'm not
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: gonna do anything to change that. Um, So let's keep
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: them in there as like a maybe for now. Yeah,
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: this is one of the few games I was able
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: to work on this morning. And if like we got
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: Nick Molins and this this line should be minus two,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: minus two and a half same frame, So we're getting
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: good value there if it is him on the Giant.
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we'll just hold off on that one, all right. Uh.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: The Las Vegas Radars coming off a big win last
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: night against Drew Brees, who really look, it's like he
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: couldn't throw the ball downfield and was hobbling like my
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: eight h five and a half on the road against
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: the New England Patriots who completely broke our heart Simon.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: They were down with five minutes left or thirty five
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: minutes left. It's one of the first times in my
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: life I just turned it off. I'm like, you know what,
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: there's there's no I cannot see the math in which
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: they get an opportunity to even cover this game. So
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: I went to bed and did not realize until the
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: morning how heartbreaking it was and how much I'm how
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: happy I was that I just didn't do it, that
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: I didn't stay up to watch this game and be heartbroken.
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: That was horrible, and it was one of those I
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: was trying to go to bed too, but I just
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: kept picking up my phone and throwing on like the
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: Ottawa ever sports happened watching the game, and sure enough
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: Cam just kept making like they got a good stop
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: the Patriots, and they got the ball back. Cam had
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: a great drive, gets down to the one, and I
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: don't hate the play call they took it. They did
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: Cam from a shotgun. But when you have a guy
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: like that, I don't I don't get why he just
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: to go up to the line and just try to
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: jump it or anything like that. It was just weird.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: Adams really just he was a game changer for the
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: Seahawks in that game. There was a couple of times
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: where you could really feel his effect on the Seahawks
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: that he is just the highest of talent of safety
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: and he's a game change in that game. So this
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: week it's an easy pick where you got our team
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: that just went on the road. The Patriots lost coming
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: home against the team that just blew out a team
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: they shouldn't have blown out, coming all the way up north.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: Feeling good on a short week. I love this number.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: I got it seven and a half. So I think
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: the Raiders, the public's to me betting them, people who
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: live in Vegas for me betting them because this feels
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: like a high number, especially if you're seeing their offense
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: looks so good against New Orleans. But I'm gonna back
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: to Patriots here. Wow, you feel that good about it?
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: I do. I just feel like it's a great, great
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: spot where we're gonna get in value on the Patriots
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: just because they people should be behind, and they played
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks really well for I would say three quarters
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: of that game they had. They had a good quarter
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: there in the second quarter where they just didn't they
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: were just letting rust whatever you want. I mean, he
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: Russell Wilson is the next level where he only won
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: by five points. Their cars nowhere near the talent Russell
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: Wilson is. I think this secondary will have a much
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: better game here against the Raiders than they did against Seattle.
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: So Russell Wilson and Jamoral Adams, that was the kind
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: of game where you wanted to have bought stock and
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: in Russell Wilson is the m v P before that game,
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: because that is a sort of season narrative setting game
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: and broadcast where Chris Raybon had written about this last week,
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: like letting Russ cook right and how dominant he is
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: and how how all those old tropes about what you
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: think you need to be a championship team he completely
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: estimates because of the way he plays, like you know,
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: the the value of a good offensive line, things like that,
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: because he's such a game changer, he can do things
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: so differently, so all of a sudden And the one
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: thing he noted was the fact he's never gotten an
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: m v P bot. And Chris collins Worth talked about
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: this in the broadcast, like he said he voted for
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: him one year, but he sent his ballot in late
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: so it didn't count, and now all of a sudden,
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: like the narrative is going to be wait a second,
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: Russell Wilson never got him a VP vote. So right now,
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: I'm telling you, right now, m v P for the
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: NFL is coming down to Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray.
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. I think what's going to hurt
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: them is the fact that they're in that division where
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: there is no easy out. There's once later in the
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: season they're all playing each other. We'll really get a
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: good read on this, but if things keep going the
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: way they are, it's gonna be tough not to give
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: it to Lamar again, just because that team is hammed,
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: like you said, and it's been two years now there
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: Hammed so sale Lamari was able to go for a
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: team and two again and Russ has a great year,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: he swel them four, they're probably gonna give it to
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: They're probably gonna give it to him again. So I'm
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: still with you that I do love Russell, but I'm
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: still on Lamar from VP train. Matt Mitchell producer, Matt Mitchell,
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: can you give me a favorite while we're doing this podcast?
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: Look up the odds for Kyler Murray to win the
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: m v P and the Cardinals to win the NFC West,
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: Because I'm going to counter your narrative here, Simon and
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: say that whoever's whichever quarterback wins the NFC West will
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: win the NFL m v P this year. You got it.
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell is gonna look that up alright, So Patriots,
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: strong love for the Patriots. I could get behind that
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: Eagles five and a half at home against the Bengals.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: Good God, this is a train wreck of a team, Simon,
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: Hunter in your backyard, Uh, Carson wentz, like you mentioned,
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: through that pick when they really had a chance to
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: like they were playing well and they had a chance
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: to do some damage there and never got it back.
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: After Carson went through that pick in the end zone
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: and watching that game, Carson just looks scared. You had
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: a couple of times when you could have stepped up
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: got her first down by running it where he could
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: have stepped up hit a guy deep. But he's panicking,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: he's doing short tosses. He's not really letting the game
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: come to him. Like the year it's about two years
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: ago now, the year he should have won MDP that
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: he towards a c L. So I can't touch this game.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: If if you need me to pick a side, I'm
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: gonna lean Philadelphia just because of the statistic I gave
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: you that their own two straight up, their own two
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: against the spread. And it's still a rookie quarterback coming
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: on the road to play a veteran defense for the
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: most part. So I'll back to the US here, but
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: I would not at all, uh put them in our picks.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: By the way, the money is coming in on the Eagles,
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: the bets. The public is backing the Joe Burrow led
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals, probably because they loved watching him throw sixty
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: passes and sneak in the back door. Another disgusting loss
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: while we wanted in our survivor pool and our joint
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: draftking survivor pool. Um a really heartbreaking loss for the Browns. Uh.
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: In terms of being what was it, I think they
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: were I think it was six, five and a half
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: or six. And it was funny we started with survivor
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: pool already down to seventy thousand. Oh my god. Two
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: weeks in seventy crazy unbelievable Washington football team visiting said
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns. Uh Browns are a touchdown favorite. This kind
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: of makes sense to me, Like it's almost like, you know,
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: there's that transitive property, right. So the Washington football team
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: plays the Eagles in Week one, then the Eagles blow
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: up against the Rams in Week two. The Washington football
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: team just looks terrible in their Week two games. Like
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: it turns out the Washington football team is bad, but
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: the Eagles are really bad. So the number of a
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: touchdown kind of makes sense to me against the Brown's
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: team that UH performed admirably against the Bengals, an equally
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: bad team, and different books have this up to seven
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: and a half now with Washington. So when I look
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: at this football team there obviously there's the strength of
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: the whole team is that D line. And that's why
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: I like Kyler so much last week. He can expose
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: the D line like that because he's so quick he
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: can get around that stuff. Well, we got Baker, who's
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: a first read quarterback that stands back there like a
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: statue for the most part, he doesn't scramble much. I
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: do like this number a lot with Washington. The only
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: thing that's giving me hesitation it's their back to back
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: road games. So seven and a half, that's really enticing
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: because the Browns they're not a team that can hold
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: onto these leads that Burrow looked incredible against them passing
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: because they're really banged up right now, the Browns in
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: the second day. So I'm big here on Washington, but
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: I get it they're so ugly we don't have to
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: put them in. Well, dude, you're the professional like this.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: This is part of the game. Is we're not supposed
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: to bring a public mindset to these things because it's
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: it's people like me that would say, I'm not betting
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: the Giants. I'm not betting Washington. Like being a professional
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: better means you gotta bet the teams that you gotta
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: hold your nose on because that's where the value is
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: going to be. It's true if you're telling me Washington
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: is like according to your models, where where do you
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: have this game? I got six, so I got pretty
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: much we're gonna if it goes to seven, half, we're
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: gonna point the half of value. That's why I do
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: really like Washington here because it's people are buying in
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: on the Browns again, they're buying high and no one
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: wants to back Washington after they just got dominated by
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: what we were just talking about, maybe the m VP
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: of the league and Kyler Murray. So I do like
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: this Washington number here, we can put it in. All right,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: let's put it in. Let's put it in. We're putting
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: it in. So ugly Bills two and a half against
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: the Rams in Buffalo, dropping money coming in and I'm
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: gonna back the Bills here. Uh, the Rams are gonna
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: get the hype because they've looked really good two weeks
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: in a row. Let's go over here. They just beat
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: they beat the Cowboys, who have a horrible defense apparently,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: and then they beat the Eagles, who might be one
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: of the worst teams in football. And it's tough with
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: the Bills. I know, They've just played back to back
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: divisional games against two of the worst teams in their division.
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: And Josh Allen had moments where he looks really great.
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: He can get outside, he can throw on the just
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: on a rope right on time to the digs and
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: look great. But there's other times where he just misses
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: guy's wide open, their attend free in front of him,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: and he does stupid things. Still, Josh Allen so I'm
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: gonna back the Bills, but we don't. I don't want
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: to put them in our competition. I think it's too risky,
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: not knowing what Josh Allen, We're gonna get on that
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: on Sunday. I totally agree with you. I don't even
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: want to talk about this game. Let's move on to
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: another game. That is just disgusting. This is like make
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: you throw up your lunch in your mouth, disgusting, honest
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: to God. Like you're telling me the Jets and the
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: Colts at plus seven, the Jets are visiting Indianapolis and
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: Philip Rivers. What do we do here? So I got
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: I got this line at ten and a half now
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: with the Jets, and I don't even know how many
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: bets I did. I did a lot with the Colts
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: money line. I mean, it's been definitely be in our
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: survivor pool this week. It's a perfect week to just
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: to use the Colts against the worst team in football. UM,
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: normal year, not quarantine. This is a trap. This is
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: the time where you take the Jets after they have
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: just been dominated two games in a row. You're been
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: on the bounce back. But the Jets right now remind
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: me of Miami Dolphins. Last year, the Dolphins. Every week
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: they're losing by like forty points. To start the year.
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: They were just horrible until that kind of got healthy
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: and clicked later in the season. So I'm big on
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: fading the Jets here. But that's way too many points
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: the back Folk rivers that minus tend and a half.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: I'm cool to just staying away. Yeah, I want to
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: stay away. You're right, it's a ten and a half.
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: I looked at the opening number, so it's already moved.
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: It's already moved three and a half points. Yeah, the Jets.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: The Jets are done right now. Uh, next game in
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: the late late game window, Panthers Chargers. Chargers are what
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: do we see? Six and a half? Maybe a touchdown? Um,
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: a ridiculous amount of money. Of the money coming coming
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: in on the Panthers, Matt Mitchell, are we gonna walk
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: into the hornets nest on this one? I think so.
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: I'm walking to a fucking hornets nest? All right now,
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: be my companion. I need you to make me help
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: them be jealous of me. Of the money coming in
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: on the Panthers. Right now, they are seven point dogs
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: playing without Christian McCaffrey on the road at Los Angeles.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: Tell me why in the world would money be coming
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: in on the Panthers here, Simon Hunter, that's shocking that
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: that that higher percentage, because must the public must not
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: want to touch this game at all, So that's that's
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: just pure sharp money. It sounds like to me, Um
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: from their angle, I think Teddy Bridgewater at seven that
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: was a good number because in no world are the
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: charges blowing anyone out there. There ain't gonna be an
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: easy backdoor team. It feels like the whole year. We
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: might have just saw them play the game of the
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: year for them last week, like that was their super
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: Bowl and you got the Panthers coming off a divisional
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: blown Outlaws. So I'm with them. I backed the Panthers
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: here with the points. Um, I would definitely wait to
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: see what QB starting. I feel honestly better when Taylor
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: is starting. I do Herbert, So I would wait on
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: that number if you're gonna bet it. But you like
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: the Panthers in that spot, I do. I think that
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: it's after like a again, they just had where it
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: was close and they made a couple of little mistakes
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: where it made it turn into a blowout. They should
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: have covered that number. I think you're getting good value here.
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: On the next the following the week after, the Chargers
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: should have won against the Chiefs on this number. This,
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: this number should be three and a half four. Are
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: you saying we should put this in? Is that you're
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: saying I put the Panthers in for now? Yeah? You would, dude.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, the Hornets nest theory has worked out.
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: We are going in with the Panthers. Man, We're gonna
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: come out of this with a ledger that looks like Panthers,
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: Washington Football team, and Giants, and we are going to
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: have the worst, most uncomfortable Sunday of our lives. By
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: the way, UH Producer Matt Mitchell, producer Extraordinaire looked up
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: the Cardinals odds to win the NFC West, the Super Bowl, UH,
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: and the NFC and Carr and Kyler's MVP ods. Kyler
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: is fourteen to one to the to win the MVP
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: right now, so UH, that's still still great value. The
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: odds to win the NFC West about their plus it
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: looks like three fifty. They are eleven to one to
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: win the NFC and to one to win um the
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl. So if you like the Cards to win
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: the NFC West, you might as well bet Kyler to
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: win MVP because if he wins, and if he they
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: win the NFC West, he will have won the m
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: v P, and um, you might as well bet him.
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: If you like him to win the NFC too, you
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: might as well bet Kyler to win MVP, because that's
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: what's gonna have to happen, uh, in order for them
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: to do that. Fourteen to one. That is an interesting
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: a little that is. And another thing I like this
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: week is if if you if you like doing these
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: weird bets with divisions, I really like san Fran coming forth.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: So what you can do this week is you can wait,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: let san Fran hopefully beat the Giants. They'll be two
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: on one, and then you can take them to coming
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: fourth in the division. You'll get a good value on that,
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: because it is pretty good value right now because they're
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: all bunched up there. But early in the year I
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: really thought San Fran it was gonna be the fourth
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: team of that division. We talked earlier year. I like
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: they're under for wins and everything like that, and from
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: what I've seen from the Rams, the Seahawks and the Cardinals.
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: These teams are all humming. The Cardinals. If you look
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: at their upcoming schedule, they could be six and uh
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: in a couple of weeks. So I think that's a
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: good value what you're talking about right now. Taking Kyler
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: fourteen to one, fourteen to one the Draft Kings by
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: far along the side of anywhere Matt Mitchell looked fourteen
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: to one at DraftKings. Okay, so let's move on from
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: the Hornets nest. Let's go to Cowboys traveling across the
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: country coming off the greatest onside kick in history. They
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: are four and a half point dogs right now to
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks. This feels like a blowout, yeah if
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: if it does. Um, it also gives me pause where
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys, like they showed they're they're gonna keep fighting.
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: They might be a good backdoor team. But like I
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: could see the Seahawks being up eleven or twelve at
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: the end of the game and the Cowboys scoring, scoring
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: with thirty seconds left to make it five. So it
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: makes me a little nervous. Um, I'm sure all the tickets,
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: all the money are coming on the Seahawks as well.
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be a big public about this week. Um
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: not yeah, I mean it's early. Look it's only Tuesday afternoon.
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: Um right now, the money's coming out of the Cowboys. Wow,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: it's still early, like by look it's a four game
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: on Sunday. By Sunday off. I'm sure the money will
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: the tickets. I'm sorry, the tickets are coming in on Seattle.
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in and the Cowboys there you go, right,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: So that that's that makes more sense. I made a mistake, Simon.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: We're all human. Apparently you are because you went two
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: and three last week. Hey, oh, Nerd, that fucker. I
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: think your burner account keeps coming at me on Twitter?
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: Is that who that is? That's you keep re tweeting.
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: I love it, Like anytime they come at me. I
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: just like this stuff. It's like, fade me then I'm
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: so terrible, fade me, become a millionaire. Fading me if
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: I'm so bad. You are like looking into the maw
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: of gambling Twitter and saying, screw you. I don't care.
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: I've got a great life. I've already proven it. I
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: have not fun. No. I like when they come at
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: me because it's just like, yeah, I'm a phony fade mate,
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: go a gets me. Let me know how that works
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: out for you. So that's why I love it, and
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: I do too. I think it's right. I think it's
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: totally great. Meanwhile, I made a mistake. We're gonna move
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: on and we're gonna say, do we like the Seahawks
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: in this spot or do we just want to stay
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: away because we're worried about sort of the Cowboys ability
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: to backdoor this thing. Yeah, let's stay away. I'm a
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: little worried about the back door with this one. Well,
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: now we've got our favorite team in football, Like you know,
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals are five and a half point favorites
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: at home. The numbers moved up from three and a half.
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: Not a surprise because you've got the majority of the
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: tickets coming in on the Cardinals right now against the
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: Detroit Lions, who are really looking like a train wreck.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: But there is no But I actually don't know why
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: we wouldn't back the Cardinals here. Yeah, we're playing with
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: fire if we do it again. Um, I'm not totally
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: against it because I can easily see Kyler covering that
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: number against a really banged up lines defense and the
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: sharps are coming in on this number, so I think
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: it opens six and a half seven. Now it's down
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: to five and a half, even though a lot of
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: the bets are own Cardinals, and I think they're doing
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: they're they're banking on what I would talk about earlier
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: with the owen two oh and two, like oh and
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: two against the spread, owing two straight up. The lines
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: are due here to cover a number, But I still
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: think Vegas is overvaluing the lines as if they're still healthy.
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: And we have a Cardinals team who is healthy, So
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: I do think we're getting the best of the number.
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: You know, I'd be cool with taking the Cardinals. I
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: think I want to, Like, I agree with you. We're
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: playing with fire. We keep backing the Cardinals. We love
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: this team, but I don't know that Vegas is giving
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: them any credit at all at this point. Just look
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: at the look at some of the Kyler Murray numbers,
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: like fourteen to one to be m v P. He
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: is like completely on the runway to being m v P.
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: And this defense is really good. Yeah, and he's a
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: will breaker, like they'll have third down long third intents
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: and he breaks defense as will as by scrambling or
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: just hitting Hopkins on a little in and out. So
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: I do I love the Cardinals. I mean, I know
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: maybe I'm overlooking things here the lines, but like I
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: had this number at seven, So I do think we're
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: getting good value on on the Cardinals. And honestly it
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: might get lower before game time. Yeah, if the Sharps
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: keep hitting this number, because I think they really think
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: they have a read here, because they're they're thinking themselves, well,
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: this line was three just a couple of weeks ago.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: Now it's only the six five and a half to go.
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know if there's showing that much of a Justine.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're realizing how banged up the lines
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: defense really is. All right, Meanwhile, we are getting down
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: to like the quick here. We don't have that many
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: games left. We've got three games left. And right now,
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: right now are Slate Giants, Uh what are they? Plus
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: five and a half at home against a hobble Niners
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: team four and a half Washington minus plus seven and
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: a half um going on the road against an overvalued
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: Browns team. The Panthers without Christian McCaffrey is a touchdown
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: going across the country. To play the Chargers. Those are
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: three games so far that we like and we're agreeing on. Oh,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: we also like the Pats minus five and a half
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: against the Raiders, and what's that the Bears three and
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: a half? We also like the Bears. I had a
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: question mark with the Bears because like, the Bears like
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: didn't make it into our top four in the same
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: way those other did. And we love the Cars at
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: minus five and a half. So like, those are five
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: games that we love. So let's see if either the
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: Bears we can convince ourselves of the Bears coming out
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: of this or Buck said minus what is that six
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: on the road against the Broncos getting all the money? Um,
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: the Packers thirteen and a half? Woa, no, no, uh?
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: The Saints minus three against the Packers at home, that's
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: on that's on Sunday night. Or the Ravens minus three
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: against the Chiefs on Monday night. Let's do ourselves a
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: favor and just not that that one, Like, let's just
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: skip that. Yeah, that's that's crazy, that green baby moan.
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: Because I was four and a half. I got on Sunday,
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: so I got Green Bay four and a half against
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: the Saints and I think we're starting to hit a
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: hit a point here where not that we're overvaluing Aaron Rodgers,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: but he might have gone against two defenses that are
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: just hurt, banged up and young for the first two
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: weeks where he's looked incredible, and he might not have
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: Davante Adams this upcoming week. So Drew Brees might be
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: cooked and it might be time for Winston to step in,
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: and they need to go with a different look because
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: they can't win games with Drew Brees isn't throwing it
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: over ten to fifteen yards. He needs to go downfield.
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: He can't just chip away these different teams. So I'll
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: stay away from that one. You've lost the value on
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: Green Bay at this point, and with the Broncos and
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: Drift School as they're starting quarterback, it's making me nervous.
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: But I told you early in the year, whatever the
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: spread number is with the Broncos in September at home,
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: I take it. So it's already one to known this year.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: Who knows how they covered against the Titans, but they did.
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: They covered two and a half, So people can people
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: come in, they can really lay in and bed on Tampa.
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to just play it smart, played simple,
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: and just go with the Broncos plus six. I'm watching
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: our live odds page right now at Action network dot com.
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: You can download the Action Network app. The packers just
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: got hit. Um, that number just moved. So, uh, you're right,
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: like people are coming in on Aaron Rodgers fast and furious.
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: So then Simon again remindered everybody used the phrase that pays.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: Simon says, let's bounce back rate and review the podcast
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: and we will randomly choose the best one for a
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: free Action Network coodie. We will announce last week's winner
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: at the end of the podcast. Um, before we get
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: to that, I feel like I got five games I'm
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: looking at right now, most of which make me stick
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: to my stomach. And we're getting ugly this week, but
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: I think is gonna win. The public had their week
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: last week. All these money lines hit. Uh, these guys
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: that do these ten dollar parlays when they just take
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: every favorite money line, they're cashing their tickets for whatever
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: it is ten grain this week because every favorite just
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: one straight up. I think it's a good week to
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: be with us and being on the Vegas side back
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: in the Dogs. So I like our positions on a
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: lot of these games. Alright, So I'm gonna say it.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it out loud again. We got the
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: Giants and Danny dimes about plus four and a half
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: against visiting Hobble Niners. We got the Washington football team
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: plus I'm sorry. We got the Pats minus five and
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: a half so far against the visiting Las Vegas Raiders,
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: the Washington football team plus seven, maybe seven and a
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: half if he gets there. Against the Panthers plus seven,
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: good god, are you kidding me? The Christian McCaffrey less
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: Panthers plus seven, and then the Cards minus five and
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: a half. How much you want to bet we go
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: three and two in the games we lose are the
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: Paths and the Cards. We might end up switch on
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: the Panthers. We'll see, because I do love I do
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: love our pick with the Bears. We're gonna keep waiting
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: to see if can get better value on that number,
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: but I do love the Bears on the spot. Well, listen,
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: everybody needs to download the free, free, free Actual Network app.
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: Then go follow Simon Hunter. Because what happens is Simon
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: and I usually text on Saturday and Sunday mornings. Sunday mornings,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: we will settle on our final five and I will
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: put those picks into the app so everyone can follow.
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: You can follow Simon Hunter. Simon Hunter started before week
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: one with zero followers. Do you want to know how
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: many followers you have in the app right now? Oh? Wow?
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: In the Action app? Hit me with it. You have
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: followers in the Action Network app right now, which is
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: pretty good. I mean you started with zero and so
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: that's kind of amazing. Yeah, I'm really excited to disappoint
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: all those people. That's fun, dude. It took you two
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: weeks to turn so fucking bitter man man. All right,
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: all right, here we go, Here we go. It's time
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: for the phrase that pays as a reminder. As a reminder,
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: last week, we asked fans to rate and review the podcast.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: Those who did and used the winning phrase Simon says,
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: Let's go and feed it in their review were eligible
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: to win a free Action Network hoodie. We have loads
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: and loads of reviews, almost as many as Simon has
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: followers in the Action Network app, So thank you for that.
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: In a second, we will reveal the winner. But remember
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: we're doing another phrase to pay is I know I
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: just said it, but we're doing it again. Go great review,
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: use the phrase. Simon says, let's bounce back, and we
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: will randomly choose the winner to get a free action
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: that we're cootie the winner. The winner for last week's
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: phrase that pays is token Battle. Simon says, let's go
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: five and oh. Simon says, Chad peaked at fourteen and
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: is now a nerd dad. Not funny. You gotta put
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: the shirts me. You gotta get those shirts made that
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: if we can get into the merch business off of
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: me being a nerd dad and I can potentially profit
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: from that, that would be the most damn revelve thing ever,
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: like finding a way to profit off of Internet hate.
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: But we love Mr Token Battle. Token Battle. You've got
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: to email Matt Mitchell Matt dot Mitchell at Action network
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: dot com to receive your prize because you did not
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: leave your contact info. So everyone else who wants to
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: email Matt Mitchell if they hit the podcast, and you
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: can do that too, if you love the podcast, if
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: you just love Matt Mitchell for being available. All of
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: that a reminder download the Action Network gap to get
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: the picks in real time as we make them on
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: Sunday mornings. But until we get to that, Until we
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: get to that, a reminder, our picks Giants plus four
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: and a half against the Niners, Pats minus five and
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: a half with the Raiders visiting Washington, seven and a
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: half on the road against the Brownies Panthers plus seven
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: maybe going against the Chargers cards minus five and a half.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: They're playing the lines until next time. This has been
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: the favorites from the Action Network. Download Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts. Love you