Latest / Pod Save America / “America’s Crazy Uncle.” (Town hall recap)
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:23Speaker 1: On today's pod, Dan talks to Pennsylvania Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman.
- 0:27Speaker 1: about the race and what could be the tipping point
- 0:29Speaker 1: battleground state. Before that, we'll talk about the dueling Trump-Biden
- 0:34Speaker 1: town halls, how the pandemic continues to affect the campaigns,
- 0:37Speaker 1: and we'll answer a few of your questions. A few
- 0:40Speaker 1: quick housekeeping notes before we start. Check out this week's
- 0:42Speaker 1: episode of Pod Save the World, where Tommy and Ben
- 0:44Speaker 1: talk about the Trump administration's troop withdrawal timelines in Afghanistan,
- 0:49Speaker 1: why K-pop stars BTS are taking criticism from China, and
- 0:54Speaker 1: North Korea's gigantic new missile. Great combo of topics there.
- 0:58Speaker 1: Happy 150th episode to our friends at Keep It. Ira,
- 1:02Speaker 1: thank you for finally inviting me on the 300th episode.
- 1:06Speaker 1: I look forward to that. I'm glad that we're not
- 1:09Speaker 1: fighting anymore. I love you all. And I look forward
- 1:13Speaker 1: to coming on Keep It in another 150 episodes. So
- 1:17Speaker 1: thank you. Our Fuck Gerrymandering Fund has been so successful.
- 1:22Speaker 1: that we've added some new states. So please donate to
- 1:24Speaker 1: help flip state legislatures across the country. Go to votesaveamerica.com
- 1:28Speaker 1: slash fuck Jerry. Super important. And before we get to
- 1:33Speaker 1: the news, we have just for you an exclusive new
- 1:37Speaker 1: internal poll from the Doug Jones for Senate campaign that
- 1:41Speaker 1: has Jones with a one point lead over Republican Tommy Tuberville,
- 1:46Speaker 1: 48 to 47. The October 11th through 14th poll of
- 1:52Speaker 1: 801 Alabama voters has Jones up 16 points with independents
- 1:57Speaker 1: and 65 to 23 among voters who've already cast their ballot. Dan,
- 2:02Speaker 1: can Doug Jones pull off another miracle in Alabama?
- 2:05Speaker 2: Well, he certainly can, according to this poll. I mean, look,
- 2:08Speaker 2: Doug Jones is exactly the right person we want in
- 2:10Speaker 2: the United States Senate. He is in politics for all
- 2:12Speaker 2: the right reasons. Fairbank, Maslin, the pollsters that did this
- 2:15Speaker 2: poll are very legitimate. I've worked with them in the past.
- 2:17Speaker 2: Joe Trippi, who's a senior advisor to Doug Jones. who
- 2:19Speaker 2: you may recall from a recent episode of Campaign Experts React,
- 2:23Speaker 2: is a longtime and legendary Democratic consultant. I mean, if
- 2:27Speaker 2: they say he has a shot, it seems like he
- 2:28Speaker 2: has a shot, but he's only going to be able
- 2:30Speaker 2: to take advantage of the opportunity he has if he
- 2:33Speaker 2: has enough money to do it, which is why we
- 2:35Speaker 2: encourage everyone who is looking to help Senator Jones to
- 2:38Speaker 2: contribute to his campaign. A final push here, and I
- 2:40Speaker 2: think Doug Jones could actually pull off what would be
- 2:43Speaker 2: the upset of the entire cycle if he can do this.
- 2:46Speaker 1: Look, Polls obviously can be wrong. They can be off.
- 2:50Speaker 1: But for those of you who are thinking, oh, it's
- 2:52Speaker 1: an internal poll, so maybe it's not right. At least
- 2:56Speaker 1: on the Democratic side, you and I have worked on
- 2:57Speaker 1: a lot of campaigns. It does not behoove Democratic candidates
- 3:02Speaker 1: to come up with fake internal polls because they are
- 3:05Speaker 1: making decisions based on those polls. They're trying to figure
- 3:08Speaker 1: out where the electorate is. So, you know, if that's
- 3:11Speaker 1: where they think the race is, that's where they think
- 3:13Speaker 1: the race is. It may be wrong, but that is...
- 3:15Speaker 1: you know, it could be a race. And Doug Jones
- 3:20Speaker 1: needs our help, DougJones.com to donate. Again, we want as
- 3:24Speaker 1: many paths to 51 Senate seats as possible. We have
- 3:29Speaker 1: not locked up the Senate yet by any means. So
- 3:32Speaker 1: anywhere in the country where there's a Senate race that
- 3:35Speaker 1: a few dollars might help a Democrat, I would encourage
- 3:38Speaker 1: everyone to donate.
- 3:40Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's right.
- 3:40Speaker 2: I would say one more thing about this is, Doug
- 3:43Speaker 2: Jones's political profile is consistent with being a Democrat who
- 3:48Speaker 2: can win Alabama in the right year. 2017 was the
- 3:51Speaker 2: right year. This might be the right year again. He
- 3:53Speaker 2: is running against Tommy Tuberville, who is a former football
- 3:57Speaker 2: coach who has literally no idea what he's talking about.
- 4:00Speaker 2: Healthcare in this race, like in every race around the country,
- 4:03Speaker 2: is an absolute top issue. Doug Jones has a huge
- 4:05Speaker 2: advantage on that. Tommy Tuberville is basically a less talented Trump.
- 4:09Speaker 2: And so There is an opportunity here. And if Doug
- 4:12Speaker 2: Jones has the resources, he might be able to pull
- 4:13Speaker 2: it off. And if we win this race, it makes
- 4:15Speaker 2: the path to taking control of the Senate so much easier.
- 4:19Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. It's yeah. OK, let's get to the news.
- 4:24Speaker 1: Thursday was supposed to be the night of the second
- 4:26Speaker 1: presidential debate until Donald Trump declined to participate after the
- 4:29Speaker 1: commission made it virtual because he contracted COVID. Instead, both
- 4:34Speaker 1: candidates held separate town halls. Biden's was moderated by ABC's
- 4:37Speaker 1: George Stephanopoulos. And Trump's was moderated by NBC's Savannah Guthrie. First,
- 4:42Speaker 1: I want to talk about the controversy over Trump's town hall.
- 4:46Speaker 1: A lot of liberals and journalists, including quite a few
- 4:49Speaker 1: journalists and staffers at NBC, were upset with the network
- 4:53Speaker 1: for rewarding our super spreader president with an event that
- 4:56Speaker 1: aired at the same time as Biden's town hall, especially
- 4:59Speaker 1: since Trump was the one who pulled out of the
- 5:01Speaker 1: second debate and hasn't exactly been forthcoming about his health. Dan,
- 5:05Speaker 1: what did you make of that controversy?
- 5:08Speaker 2: Do you know how sometimes in the course of a
- 5:10Speaker 2: day spent mostly on Twitter, you just decide there are
- 5:13Speaker 2: certain things you don't have the energy to understand? This
- 5:16Speaker 2: is one of them. Can you help me understand? Like,
- 5:19Speaker 2: what is the, what's the argument against it? I'm not
- 5:22Speaker 2: saying it's wrong. I just fully.
- 5:24Speaker 1: This is going to be hard for me because I,
- 5:26Speaker 1: I was, I didn't understand it at all either, but
- 5:29Speaker 1: I will give it a whirl.
- 5:30Speaker 4: Okay.
- 5:32Speaker 1: So like, you know, Trump throws a temper tantrum. He
- 5:34Speaker 1: pulls out of a debate. he hasn't been forthcoming about
- 5:36Speaker 1: his health, so you don't know if he's infectious. And
- 5:39Speaker 1: so NBC decides to step in and say, okay, well,
- 5:41Speaker 1: we'll give you a forum anyway to talk to people
- 5:44Speaker 1: and we'll do it opposite Joe Biden. I still, I'm
- 5:47Speaker 1: telling you, I mean, I just want to look at
- 5:50Speaker 1: things at this point with, you know, just over two
- 5:54Speaker 1: weeks left until the election from a purely political standpoint,
- 5:57Speaker 1: what is going to help Joe Biden win? That's literally
- 6:00Speaker 1: all I fucking care about right now.
- 6:01Speaker 2: Okay.
- 6:02Speaker 1: And, Having Trump speak to voters on national television for
- 6:07Speaker 1: 60 minutes is probably going to help Joe Biden win.
- 6:12Speaker 1: That was all that was going through my mind. More Trump,
- 6:16Speaker 1: as we have been saying for years now, is never
- 6:21Speaker 1: a good thing when it comes to undecided voters, swing voters,
- 6:25Speaker 1: voters on the margins. I'm not talking about his base.
- 6:28Speaker 1: If Trump wins this election, it's because his base was
- 6:31Speaker 1: fired up and he got even more Trump voters out
- 6:33Speaker 1: there registered and that's how it happened. It's not because
- 6:35Speaker 1: he convinced them during this fucking town hall.
- 6:38Speaker 2: Well, I think that there is probably a lesson in
- 6:40Speaker 2: this and it's a reminder, which is how do you
- 6:42Speaker 2: feel about your cable company?
- 6:45Speaker 1: Well, I've cut the cord. Now we just have- Right.
- 6:48Speaker 2: Well, everyone hates their cable company. A cable company owns NBC, right? Ultimately,
- 6:53Speaker 2: and this is not about the journalists at NBC. This
- 6:56Speaker 2: is about how business decisions are made. And we constantly
- 6:59Speaker 2: want large media companies owned by even larger for-profit corporations
- 7:04Speaker 2: to do the quote unquote right thing. They are businesses.
- 7:07Speaker 2: They're always going to do what is best for business.
- 7:10Speaker 2: And that is what happened here. Yes, it is unfair
- 7:12Speaker 2: to reward. I've now figured out why people are mad
- 7:14Speaker 2: about this. It is unfair to reward Trump for basically
- 7:17Speaker 2: lying to the debate commission, getting COVID, spreading it to everyone,
- 7:20Speaker 2: backing out of the debate, and then rewarding him for
- 7:23Speaker 2: that ridiculous behavior with this town hall. But NBC is
- 7:27Speaker 2: a business and they are in it to make money.
- 7:30Speaker 2: and they want ratings and they want to sell ads.
- 7:32Speaker 2: And that is what they are doing here.
- 7:34Speaker 5: Right or wrong.
- 7:35Speaker 2: This is always going to happen.
- 7:37Speaker 1: And I will say this, I get it. We have
- 7:40Speaker 1: a couple of weeks to go. Everyone is very anxious.
- 7:42Speaker 1: Everyone is very worried. Everyone is nerves are frayed. I
- 7:46Speaker 1: am there too. And people just, anything that seems like
- 7:51Speaker 1: it could shake up the race worries, people, people want
- 7:53Speaker 1: to do something. I would just say to everyone, You
- 7:57Speaker 1: got to focus on what's going to get Joe Biden
- 8:00Speaker 1: to 270, right?
- 8:02Speaker 2: And I know what that is now.
- 8:04Speaker 1: It is not boycotting an NBC town hall, folks. It's
- 8:09Speaker 1: just not.
- 8:09Speaker 2: No, you know what it is?
- 8:10Speaker 1: It's not that.
- 8:12Speaker 2: I think after last night, what it is, is we
- 8:14Speaker 2: should take all the energy that went into boycotting the
- 8:16Speaker 2: NBC town hall and use it to pressure CBS to
- 8:18Speaker 2: give Trump a two-hour town hall. Right after a football game.
- 8:23Speaker 1: See, that's something that could get Joe Biden closer to 270.
- 8:26Speaker 1: That's my point. Stuff like this is going to happen
- 8:30Speaker 1: in the next two weeks. When it happens, go to
- 8:33Speaker 1: the phone bank, go to the text bank, talk to
- 8:36Speaker 1: people you know about Joe Biden, what he stands for.
- 8:38Speaker 1: That is the most productive use of our time at
- 8:40Speaker 1: this point. Make sure the people in your life who
- 8:42Speaker 1: might not vote, go vote. How do you think Savannah
- 8:44Speaker 1: did as a moderator? Fabulous.
- 8:48Speaker 2: She was great.
- 8:49Speaker 1: I think it was one of the best the best
- 8:51Speaker 1: Trump interviews that I have ever seen. And I say
- 8:55Speaker 1: interview because, you know, she did have to make room
- 8:57Speaker 1: at some point for voters to ask questions, but she
- 9:00Speaker 1: decided in that town hall early on that she was
- 9:02Speaker 1: going to treat at least the beginning like a straight interview.
- 9:05Speaker 2: Because it's been a number of years now, Savannah is
- 9:08Speaker 2: often thought of, she's the host of the Today Show.
- 9:10Speaker 2: It's a morning show. She's often interviewing movie stars and
- 9:12Speaker 2: celebrities in addition to politicians. But before that, she was
- 9:17Speaker 2: a White House correspondent. Every single morning for the years
- 9:20Speaker 2: that Savannah was the White House correspondent, she would call
- 9:23Speaker 2: me at like 6.30 in the morning because she would
- 9:26Speaker 2: have to do a morning Joe hit as part of
- 9:27Speaker 2: her job. Sorry, Savannah, I'm glad you graduated from that.
- 9:30Speaker 2: And would kick my ass every morning, right? Like she
- 9:34Speaker 2: is smart as can be. She is a lawyer by training,
- 9:37Speaker 2: incredibly talented. And she approached this like every interview with
- 9:42Speaker 2: Trump should be approached. And she knew her facts. She
- 9:45Speaker 2: did not back down. She held them to account. She
- 9:47Speaker 2: did not let him just vomit verbal applesauce onto the
- 9:50Speaker 2: stage and move on to the next thing. She did
- 9:52Speaker 2: a she did a phenomenal job. Uh, like we were biased.
- 9:54Speaker 2: We were friends of hers. She's, I think the, was
- 9:56Speaker 2: the second ever guest on a podcast that we've done together. And, uh,
- 10:01Speaker 2: but she was a superstar last night and it was
- 10:03Speaker 2: awesome to see.
- 10:03Speaker 1: Well, and like you said, yeah, we've known Savannah a
- 10:05Speaker 1: long time. I've always been a big fan. She's a friend, but, um,
- 10:09Speaker 1: I will say the other thing that made it so
- 10:12Speaker 1: good and what makes Savannah such a good journalist and
- 10:14Speaker 1: why the today show host role is such a good
- 10:17Speaker 1: fit for her She's just very normal and down to earth.
- 10:20Speaker 1: And she approached the interview like a human being at
- 10:23Speaker 1: home who's skeptical of this lunatic president asking him questions, right?
- 10:31Speaker 1: She was nice. She asked very piercing questions in a
- 10:34Speaker 1: very congenial tone. And she followed up very sharply, still
- 10:39Speaker 1: maintaining that very congenial tone. and smiling the whole time
- 10:43Speaker 1: at him, right? Like she was not, she did not
- 10:46Speaker 1: go super hard at him. She was not playing for
- 10:48Speaker 1: the cameras. She was not, you know, like some of
- 10:52Speaker 1: the people who interviewed Trump do. She just was like,
- 10:54Speaker 1: she stuck on one question, followed up when he lied.
- 10:57Speaker 1: She stayed there. She didn't leave. And she kept following up,
- 11:00Speaker 1: following up, following up until he finally answered the question,
- 11:02Speaker 1: which a lot of times he didn't. And he just dissembled.
- 11:05Speaker 1: Because as every interview with Trump that has gone really
- 11:09Speaker 1: poorly for Trump, it's because the interviewer in question does
- 11:12Speaker 1: not let him move on to the next topic. And
- 11:14Speaker 1: they don't move on to the next topic. They just
- 11:16Speaker 1: keep following up on his lies and on him just
- 11:20Speaker 1: babbling until he, you know, until he finally says something.
- 11:24Speaker 2: I mean, that is an interesting thing, which is reporters go,
- 11:26Speaker 2: we've seen this in interviews with more normal presidents, like
- 11:29Speaker 2: the one we work for, reporters go into it and
- 11:30Speaker 2: there's like, I know I have 20 minutes or 30
- 11:33Speaker 2: minutes and I have to get to these seven things.
- 11:35Speaker 2: And so when the president doesn't answer the question on
- 11:39Speaker 2: the first or even the second try, you move on.
- 11:41Speaker 2: And what I thought was really good about Savannah, and
- 11:42Speaker 2: I think Jonathan Swan did this and Chris Wallace and
- 11:45Speaker 2: the other sort of good performances by interviewers with Trump,
- 11:47Speaker 2: is they've been willing to cover less topics to try
- 11:50Speaker 2: to get answers on some of them. And I thought
- 11:53Speaker 2: that's the right way to do it. Because I watched
- 11:55Speaker 2: the Biden interview in real time and the Trump interview afterwards.
- 11:59Speaker 2: And I was shocked by how short the Trump one
- 12:01Speaker 2: felt and how few topics they actually got to. But
- 12:03Speaker 2: by that approach, you actually got hit, forced his hand
- 12:06Speaker 2: to try to answer some of them. And I thought
- 12:07Speaker 2: it was very interesting. It was very fruitful for viewers
- 12:11Speaker 2: trying to understand more about who this lunatic is.
- 12:13Speaker 1: Now, the early ratings out say that Biden's town hall
- 12:17Speaker 1: was narrowly more popular than Trump's, although we should note
- 12:21Speaker 1: that there's a few cable networks that NBC owns like MSNBC,
- 12:26Speaker 1: Telemundo that are still out there. So as the ratings
- 12:29Speaker 1: come in today, you know, Trump could pull ahead. But
- 12:31Speaker 1: at the very least, it seems like they're roughly similar.
- 12:35Speaker 1: And one of the fears about this town hall was
- 12:38Speaker 1: that Trump would swamp Biden in the ratings, which, you know,
- 12:41Speaker 1: I have to say again, I kind of wish more
- 12:43Speaker 1: people watched Trump's town hall.
- 12:45Speaker 2: Super Bowl ratings for Trump is what we want.
- 12:48Speaker 5: You know?
- 12:49Speaker 2: Beam it into the cortex of the American people. Like, yeah.
- 12:54Speaker 1: I'm hoping as the ratings come in, it's more ratings
- 12:56Speaker 1: for Trump. That's what I'm hoping.
- 12:57Speaker 2: That's right. Like, I mean, I think it is, like,
- 13:00Speaker 2: ratings are... like a pretty imperfect metric of enthusiasm. Like
- 13:06Speaker 2: it is exciting that this many people wanted, chose Biden
- 13:08Speaker 2: over Trump. I think that is a good sign. I
- 13:11Speaker 2: think it speaks to enthusiasm among our supporters. It probably
- 13:13Speaker 2: even speaks to some swing voters who probably think they
- 13:17Speaker 2: know all they need to know about Trump, but want
- 13:19Speaker 2: to check out the other guy. And so I think
- 13:21Speaker 2: that's all positive. But in general, we want the American
- 13:25Speaker 2: people seeing Trump speak because that is bad for him.
- 13:28Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about some of the notable moments.
- 13:30Speaker 1: Savannah kicked off the night by trying to pin down
- 13:32Speaker 1: Trump on the timeline of his COVID infection. A little
- 13:35Speaker 1: bit later, she and one of the voters pressed Trump
- 13:37Speaker 1: on whether he's now changed his mind on the importance
- 13:40Speaker 1: of masks. Let's take a listen to both of those interactions.
- 13:44Speaker 6: When was your last negative test? When did you last
- 13:47Speaker 6: remember having a negative test?
- 13:50Speaker 4: Well, I test quite a bit, and I can tell
- 13:52Speaker 4: you that before the debate, which I thought it was
- 13:54Speaker 4: a very good debate, and I felt fantastically.
- 13:57Speaker 3: I had no problem before. Did you test the day
- 14:00Speaker 3: of the debate?
- 14:01Speaker 4: I don't know.
- 14:02Speaker 5: I don't even remember.
- 14:02Speaker 4: I test all the time.
- 14:03Speaker 3: But I can tell you this.
- 14:05Speaker 4: After the debate, like I guess a day or so,
- 14:09Speaker 4: I think it was Thursday evening, maybe even late Thursday evening,
- 14:13Speaker 4: I tested positive.
- 14:15Speaker 3: That's when I first found out about it.
- 14:16Speaker 6: Well, back to the debate, because the debate commission's rules,
- 14:19Speaker 6: it was the honor system, would be that you would
- 14:21Speaker 6: come with a negative test.
- 14:22Speaker 3: You say you don't know if you got a test
- 14:24Speaker 3: on the day of the debate? I had no problem. Again,
- 14:25Speaker 3: the doctors do it.
- 14:26Speaker 5: I don't ask them.
- 14:27Speaker 4: I test all the time.
- 14:29Speaker 3: Did you take a test, though, on the day of
- 14:31Speaker 3: the debate?
- 14:31Speaker 4: If you ask the doctor, they'll give you a perfect answer. Yeah.
- 14:34Speaker 4: They take a test, and I leave, and I go
- 14:35Speaker 4: about my business.
- 14:36Speaker 6: So did you take a test on the day of
- 14:37Speaker 6: the debate, I guess, is the bottom line.
- 14:39Speaker 4: I probably did, and I took a test the day
- 14:41Speaker 4: before and the day before, and I was always in
- 14:43Speaker 4: great shape, and I was in great.
- 14:45Speaker 3: Shape for the debate.
- 14:46Speaker 4: And it was only after the debate, like a period
- 14:49Speaker 4: of time after the debate, that I said, that's interesting,
- 14:53Speaker 4: and they took a test, and it tested positive.
- 14:55Speaker 6: So just to button it up, do you take a
- 14:57Speaker 6: test every single day?
- 14:58Speaker 3: No, no, but I take a lot of tests. Okay,
- 15:00Speaker 3: and you don't know if you took a test the
- 15:02Speaker 3: day of the debate?
- 15:02Speaker 5: No. Possibly I did. Possibly I didn't.
- 15:05Speaker 1: Here's the mask one.
- 15:06Speaker 4: As far as the mask is concerned, I'm good with masks.
- 15:09Speaker 4: I'm OK with masks. I tell people wear masks. But
- 15:11Speaker 4: just the other day, they came out with a statement
- 15:13Speaker 4: that 85 percent of the people that wear masks catch it. So,
- 15:18Speaker 4: you know, that's what I heard and that's what I saw.
- 15:22Speaker 4: And regardless, but everybody's tested and they're tested often. And
- 15:27Speaker 4: I also knew. That, hey, I'm president. I have to
- 15:30Speaker 4: see people. I can't be in a basement. I can't
- 15:33Speaker 4: be in a room. I can't be, I have to
- 15:35Speaker 4: be out.
- 15:36Speaker 6: You can see people with a mask though, right?
- 15:38Speaker 4: I can, but people with masks are catching it all
- 15:41Speaker 4: the time.
- 15:42Speaker 3: Has your opinion changed on the importance of mask wearing?
- 15:46Speaker 4: No, because I was OK with the masks. I was
- 15:48Speaker 4: good with it. But I've heard many different stories on masks.
- 15:51Speaker 4: I mean, I had, you know, being president, you have people,
- 15:54Speaker 4: they bring meals, they bring this. And I had an
- 15:57Speaker 4: instance recently where a very wonderful person is bringing me
- 16:01Speaker 4: a meal and he's playing with his mask and he's
- 16:03Speaker 4: touching his mask all over the place. And then he's
- 16:05Speaker 4: bringing a plate in and I'm saying, well, I don't
- 16:07Speaker 4: know if that's so good.
- 16:08Speaker 3: I mean, the good news, I didn't eat it, okay?
- 16:10Speaker 3: I decided not to eat it.
- 16:11Speaker 4: This was a month ago. But look, you have on
- 16:14Speaker 4: the masks, you know, you have two stories. You have
- 16:16Speaker 4: a story where they want, a story where they don't want.
- 16:19Speaker 3: I am all for it.
- 16:20Speaker 6: I don't get that because it's just all of your
- 16:22Speaker 6: public health officials, your administration, they're in unison about this.
- 16:27Speaker 1: So it seems to me from these answers that the
- 16:29Speaker 1: president didn't get tested right before the debate, was probably
- 16:31Speaker 1: infectious at the debate, does have some kind of lung damage,
- 16:35Speaker 1: He said later, they said the lungs are a little
- 16:37Speaker 1: bit different, a little bit perhaps infected when Savannah was
- 16:40Speaker 1: asking him about that. And he clearly hasn't learned a
- 16:43Speaker 1: thing from his illness.
- 16:46Speaker 5: What about you?
- 16:47Speaker 1: What was your takeaway there?
- 16:49Speaker 2: I mean, the testing thing is a gigantic issue with
- 16:51Speaker 2: this debate coming up next week. How is the debate
- 16:55Speaker 2: commission going to change its honor system for ensuring that
- 16:58Speaker 2: the next president of the United States may not catch COVID, right? Like,
- 17:01Speaker 2: how are they going to change that? Like, I don't
- 17:04Speaker 2: know if you have gotten a COVID test, you know
- 17:05Speaker 2: anyone who has, but they stick a Q-tip very far
- 17:08Speaker 2: up your nose. You would remember when it happened, right?
- 17:10Speaker 2: The debate's a memorable day in a seven-day week.
- 17:13Speaker 3: I mean, you know, look.
- 17:15Speaker 1: I've gotten a COVID test up the nose. I've gotten
- 17:16Speaker 1: one of the finger prick ones, which I know is
- 17:18Speaker 1: what they have at the White House, some of the
- 17:19Speaker 1: rapid ones. No matter what it is, you remember getting
- 17:22Speaker 1: a fucking COVID test. Of course he knows the COVID test.
- 17:26Speaker 1: It's obvious. It is obvious what happened that the last
- 17:29Speaker 1: time he probably got a COVID test was Saturday, the
- 17:32Speaker 1: day of the Amy Coney Barrett super spreader event. And
- 17:35Speaker 1: then the White House just told the debate commission that
- 17:37Speaker 1: that COVID test was still valid, even though clearly he
- 17:41Speaker 1: caught COVID in between that event or at that event
- 17:44Speaker 1: and the debate.
- 17:45Speaker 2: Or he had it before because the pre, the White
- 17:48Speaker 2: House rapid tests are the same rapid tests you see
- 17:51Speaker 2: the NFL using. And if you track the NFL very closely,
- 17:54Speaker 2: it is constant. Like, you know, this team has four
- 17:57Speaker 2: positive tests. And then the next day they do the
- 17:59Speaker 2: PCR test and they don't have them or vice versa
- 18:02Speaker 2: or That is not a reliable enough measure. And I
- 18:05Speaker 2: am convinced based on nothing. So file this in a
- 18:08Speaker 2: conspiracy theory if you want. But I have my personal
- 18:12Speaker 2: conspiracy theory is that Trump, remember when the first time
- 18:15Speaker 2: he ever got the test and he complained for like
- 18:16Speaker 2: 30 minutes about the pain in his nose and how
- 18:19Speaker 2: far up there. I am convinced that he refuses to
- 18:21Speaker 2: take the PCR test.
- 18:24Speaker 1: Oh, yeah, because he doesn't want it up there. But
- 18:25Speaker 1: I think you can take the PCR test, not up
- 18:27Speaker 1: the nose, too. I think they can do it other ways.
- 18:30Speaker 2: If that is the case, then my conspiracy theory has collapsed.
- 18:33Speaker 1: Faster than it's going on. I will say the first
- 18:36Speaker 1: time I got a COVID test was the PCR test
- 18:38Speaker 1: up the nose. And I was like, oh, God, this
- 18:40Speaker 1: is going to be awful. I don't love medical things.
- 18:42Speaker 1: And then it happened and I was like, that is
- 18:44Speaker 1: like minorly uncomfortable. It wasn't bad at all. And the
- 18:46Speaker 1: nurse who gave it to me, she was like, yeah,
- 18:48Speaker 1: you know, the president went on TV and said that
- 18:50Speaker 1: it was a horrible test and now people are worried
- 18:52Speaker 1: about it. He's never helpful on anything that he does.
- 18:56Speaker 1: Nothing he ever does is helpful.
- 18:57Speaker 2: Get that lady in a town hall.
- 18:59Speaker 1: Yeah, this random nurse just complaining about the president unprompted.
- 19:02Speaker 1: I also think on the mask issue, like this is.
- 19:05Speaker 2: It's insane.
- 19:06Speaker 1: This young woman, the young woman who asked the question
- 19:09Speaker 1: is a frontline health care worker. She was undecided. I
- 19:12Speaker 1: think maybe leaning Biden. I think her mom was leaning Trump.
- 19:14Speaker 1: They both asked questions together. But like, have you changed
- 19:17Speaker 1: your mind on masks? Here's what Chris Christie, who spent
- 19:20Speaker 1: four days in the ICU, said yesterday. He's been saying
- 19:24Speaker 1: it again today. I was he said I was wrong.
- 19:27Speaker 1: People should wear masks. And then he talked about Trump's
- 19:30Speaker 1: answer last night and said, He should not have just
- 19:33Speaker 1: said it's okay to wear masks. He should have encouraged
- 19:36Speaker 1: people to wear masks and he should have encouraged people
- 19:38Speaker 1: to social distance because I didn't do either of those
- 19:40Speaker 1: things and I ended up in the ICU for four days.
- 19:43Speaker 1: Chris Christie, who is someone who like faced death because
- 19:48Speaker 1: of COVID and said, you know what? I was a
- 19:49Speaker 1: fucking idiot. idiot I learned a lesson people should wear
- 19:51Speaker 1: masks like if Trump had just said that even on
- 19:55Speaker 1: that one issue like it would have made me nervous
- 19:58Speaker 1: because I actually think it would have helped him politically
- 20:00Speaker 1: a little.
- 20:01Speaker 2: Bit I mean the whole thing was a layup that
- 20:05Speaker 2: he threw over the backboard a layup but like here
- 20:08Speaker 2: is an 80% issue with no political downside at all.
- 20:15Speaker 5: Mr.
- 20:16Speaker 2: President, would you like to support it here with no pushback?
- 20:20Speaker 2: Absolutely not.
- 20:22Speaker 1: More than half of his base, not his base, more
- 20:25Speaker 1: than half of the Republican party is in favor of
- 20:28Speaker 1: everyone wearing masks.
- 20:29Speaker 2: I mean, and he even like, he clearly was instructed
- 20:33Speaker 2: to by his now COVID immune staff to endorse masks.
- 20:39Speaker 2: Because he kind of hafted it several times. He said, Savannah,
- 20:41Speaker 2: you and I are on the same side of masks.
- 20:43Speaker 2: I'm fine with masks. But he could never, he can't
- 20:45Speaker 2: actually get himself in that position because then he would
- 20:48Speaker 2: say he's for them. And then he would spend the
- 20:49Speaker 2: next five minutes undermining that point by talking about this
- 20:52Speaker 2: fake study of 85% and telling that very weird story
- 20:54Speaker 2: about the person fingering their mask. He cannot bring himself
- 20:58Speaker 2: to do the most obvious thing he could do to
- 21:00Speaker 2: help himself because Anything that suggests that COVID is serious
- 21:04Speaker 2: reminds him of his absolute historic pathetic failure to protect
- 21:08Speaker 2: the American people. COVID is this interesting mirror that it
- 21:12Speaker 2: forces Trump to look at himself and see himself as
- 21:15Speaker 2: the absolute failure that he has always, I think, probably
- 21:18Speaker 2: known down deep that he really was. not to psychoanalyze them.
- 21:22Speaker 2: That's why he can't bring himself to just admit he
- 21:24Speaker 2: was wrong on one thing or adopt the most obvious
- 21:27Speaker 2: safe things. He can't do that because it reminds him
- 21:29Speaker 2: that he's screwed up and he is not who he
- 21:31Speaker 2: likes people to think he is.
- 21:32Speaker 1: I mean, it's not just COVID though. He's literally never
- 21:34Speaker 1: been able to say he was wrong on anything his
- 21:37Speaker 1: entire life. Yes, this is true. I mean, it is
- 21:39Speaker 1: his one consistent theory of politics. Never admit you're wrong.
- 21:43Speaker 1: Never admit a mistake. Never say you're sorry ever, no
- 21:46Speaker 1: matter what. And by the way, saying like, it's okay
- 21:48Speaker 1: if you wear a mask, that's not the fucking point
- 21:50Speaker 1: of masks. Like masks don't work if it's just a
- 21:53Speaker 1: choice and you can wear one if you want and
- 21:54Speaker 1: you don't have to, you know, like that's not how
- 21:56Speaker 1: masks work. The masks are effective if everyone wears a
- 21:59Speaker 1: fucking mask. Unbelievable that we're still saying that now. Anyway,
- 22:04Speaker 1: because Trump is the nation's most famous conspiracy theorist, Savannah
- 22:08Speaker 1: had to spend some time on a few of the
- 22:10Speaker 1: nuttier things he's tweeted recently. She asked if he would
- 22:13Speaker 1: disavow QAnon, which the FBI- Trump's FBI has called a
- 22:17Speaker 1: domestic terror threat. Trump declined. She then asked why he
- 22:20Speaker 1: tweeted a ludicrous conspiracy that Barack Obama and Joe Biden
- 22:23Speaker 1: had SEAL Team 6 killed, the members of which are
- 22:27Speaker 1: very much alive. He didn't have a great answer for
- 22:29Speaker 1: that either. Let's listen to both clips.
- 22:32Speaker 3: Outwards announcing, let.
- 22:33Speaker 6: Me ask you about QAnon. It is this theory that
- 22:39Speaker 6: Democrats are a satanic pedophile ring and that you are
- 22:43Speaker 6: the savior of that. Now, can you just once and
- 22:47Speaker 6: for all state that that is completely not true and
- 22:51Speaker 6: disavow QAnon in its entirety?
- 22:54Speaker 4: I know nothing about QAnon.
- 22:56Speaker 3: I just told you. I know very little.
- 22:58Speaker 4: You told me, but what you tell me doesn't necessarily
- 23:00Speaker 4: make it fact.
- 23:01Speaker 3: I hate to say that.
- 23:03Speaker 4: I know nothing about it. I do know they are
- 23:05Speaker 4: very much against it.
- 23:07Speaker 3: Pedophilia.
- 23:08Speaker 4: They fight it very hard, but I know nothing about it.
- 23:12Speaker 6: If you'd like me to study the subject, I'll tell
- 23:15Speaker 6: you what I do know about.
- 23:16Speaker 4: I know about Antifa and I know about the radical
- 23:19Speaker 4: left and I know.
- 23:20Speaker 3: How violent they are and how vicious they are.
- 23:22Speaker 4: And I know how they're burning down cities run by Democrats.
- 23:26Speaker 3: Not run by Republicans.
- 23:26Speaker 6: Republican Senator Ben Sasse said, quote, QAnon is nuts. And
- 23:31Speaker 6: real leaders call conspiracy theories conspiracy theories.
- 23:34Speaker 3: Why not just say it's crazy and not true?
- 23:37Speaker 4: He may be right. I just don't know about QAnon.
- 23:40Speaker 3: You do know.
- 23:41Speaker 6: Just this week, you retweeted to your 87 million followers
- 23:44Speaker 6: a conspiracy theory.
- 23:46Speaker 3: That Joe Biden orchestrated to.
- 23:47Speaker 6: Have SEAL Team 6, the Navy SEAL Team 6, killed
- 23:50Speaker 6: to cover up the fake death of bin Laden. Now,
- 23:54Speaker 6: why would you send a lie like that to your followers?
- 23:56Speaker 3: You retweeted it. That was a retweet.
- 23:58Speaker 4: That was an opinion of somebody, and that was a retweet.
- 24:02Speaker 3: I'll put it out there. People can decide for themselves.
- 24:04Speaker 2: I don't get that.
- 24:05Speaker 3: You're the president. You're not like someone's crazy uncle who
- 24:07Speaker 3: can just retweet whatever. That was a retweet. And I
- 24:11Speaker 3: do a lot of retweets.
- 24:12Speaker 4: And frankly, because the media is so fake and so corrupt,
- 24:16Speaker 4: if I didn't have social media, I don't call it Twitter,
- 24:19Speaker 4: I call it social media, I wouldn't be able to
- 24:21Speaker 4: get the word out.
- 24:22Speaker 1: Retweets are not endorsements. That's true.
- 24:25Speaker 2: I mean, that is true. That is true.
- 24:28Speaker 1: I mean, Savannah saying that you're not somebody's crazy uncle was,
- 24:32Speaker 1: to me, basically sums up Trump and the whole entire race, right? Like, yes, no,
- 24:38Speaker 1: he actually... A lot of voters right now, hopefully a
- 24:42Speaker 1: majority of voters in states that add up to 270,
- 24:45Speaker 1: see him as America's crazy fucking uncle, retweeting crazy shit
- 24:51Speaker 1: like this. I'm so glad she brought that up. I
- 24:53Speaker 1: was hoping she would bring that up because we are
- 24:56Speaker 1: so inert to Donald Trump's craziness on Twitter that I
- 25:02Speaker 1: didn't even realize until a day later when someone pointed
- 25:04Speaker 1: it out on Twitter that he had retweeted this conspiracy
- 25:08Speaker 1: about obama and bin laden and seal team six and
- 25:10Speaker 1: all this bullshit and a whole bunch of reporters didn't
- 25:12Speaker 1: even write about it until a day later and suddenly
- 25:14Speaker 1: everyone realized remembered that he had done that because he
- 25:17Speaker 1: tweeted so many crazy things in a row but like
- 25:19Speaker 1: the idea that you're the president united states and you
- 25:21Speaker 1: would just promote promote a conspiracy theory that your predecessor
- 25:26Speaker 1: and your political opponent had the people who killed bin
- 25:30Speaker 1: laden killed and the blood i mean what the fuck
- 25:32Speaker 1: is he doing.
- 25:34Speaker 2: I mean, the crazy uncle was the exact right way
- 25:36Speaker 2: to describe Trump because, you know, we talk about this
- 25:38Speaker 2: a lot. But if anyone in your family, it would
- 25:41Speaker 2: most likely be your uncle, said the things Trump said,
- 25:44Speaker 2: posted the things Trump's posted on social media, there would
- 25:45Speaker 2: be a family meeting about it, right? And hopefully that's
- 25:48Speaker 2: what this election is, is like the America's family meeting
- 25:50Speaker 2: about the crazy uncle that we have to do something about.
- 25:52Speaker 2: I mean, the conspiracy theory in this case is insane.
- 25:55Speaker 2: Like it is, as I understand it, the Bush and
- 25:59Speaker 2: Obama administrations colluded together to keep bin Laden alive in Iran.
- 26:03Speaker 2: And To then bring him.
- 26:06Speaker 1: It's not even worth it.
- 26:08Speaker 2: But I mean, it's so crazy. I mean, it is
- 26:11Speaker 2: why ultimately having Trump have to face the public and
- 26:15Speaker 2: speak in public is politically good for Democrats because it
- 26:19Speaker 2: prevents people from tuning it out. It prevents the media
- 26:22Speaker 2: from sort of sanitizing and trying to take the crazy
- 26:24Speaker 2: things he says and fit it into a traditional framework
- 26:27Speaker 2: of how a president acts. And it is just all
- 26:30Speaker 2: of the craziness, all the stupidity, all of the narcissism,
- 26:32Speaker 2: all of the meanness On display for the whole country
- 26:35Speaker 2: to watch. And that and that is what happened in
- 26:37Speaker 2: this answer as well.
- 26:38Speaker 1: Which it normally isn't unless you are paying attention to
- 26:41Speaker 1: his Twitter feed all the time. And most of the
- 26:43Speaker 1: country is not on Twitter. But like, you know, Brian
- 26:45Speaker 1: Stelter pointed this out at CNN, like, you know, Trump
- 26:48Speaker 1: usually does interviews and speaks in public in safe spaces.
- 26:52Speaker 4: Right.
- 26:52Speaker 1: He talks to Sean Hannity. He talks to Laura Ingraham.
- 26:55Speaker 7: Right.
- 26:55Speaker 1: He talks to all his friends on Fox. And they
- 26:58Speaker 1: will never ask him about these crazy conspiracies and crazy
- 27:00Speaker 1: tweets because most of the time they're promoting it on
- 27:02Speaker 1: their network as well. And so the rare moments when
- 27:07Speaker 1: Donald Trump steps outside of his right wing MAGA media
- 27:11Speaker 1: safe space and actually sits for a real interview and
- 27:15Speaker 1: a reporter calls him on one of the many occasions.
- 27:17Speaker 1: crazy things he says or tweets on a daily basis,
- 27:20Speaker 1: he falls apart. He falls apart. And the whole country
- 27:23Speaker 1: gets to see that. I mean, like, how do you
- 27:25Speaker 1: think it, how do you think both those things play
- 27:27Speaker 1: with people who are just hearing about these conspiracies for
- 27:29Speaker 1: the first time? I would imagine that a lot of voters,
- 27:32Speaker 1: a lot of people who are just tuning into town
- 27:34Speaker 1: halls who aren't sort of political junkies might not have
- 27:37Speaker 1: never heard about QAnon themselves. They probably certainly haven't heard
- 27:41Speaker 1: about that crazy conspiracy about seal team six. Like, what
- 27:44Speaker 1: does that seem like to people? Do they just see it?
- 27:46Speaker 1: Do you think they see it as noise? Do you
- 27:47Speaker 1: think they see it as, yeah, something's a little wrong
- 27:49Speaker 1: with this guy?
- 27:51Speaker 2: I think to the extent that people, if people dig
- 27:53Speaker 2: into any of it, to what QAnon is or what
- 27:55Speaker 2: this conspiracy is going to be deeply, deeply, deeply concerned
- 27:58Speaker 2: about what is going on in this country. I think
- 28:00Speaker 2: for someone who was sort of surfing the news, who just,
- 28:03Speaker 2: or maybe just like, maybe didn't tune in this town hall,
- 28:05Speaker 2: but saw a clip of that on social media or
- 28:07Speaker 2: heard about it from someone. It is a reminder to
- 28:10Speaker 2: these voters that Trump is focused on everything but the
- 28:14Speaker 2: most important issue facing the country. 216,000 people have died
- 28:20Speaker 2: in the last few months. 8 million people, we learned
- 28:22Speaker 2: the other day, have slid into poverty in the last
- 28:24Speaker 2: few months. And Donald Trump is retweeting conspiracy theories, defending QAnon.
- 28:27Speaker 2: He's not focused on the thing that matters. And that is,
- 28:30Speaker 2: I think, ultimately been Trump's undoing this whole campaign is
- 28:33Speaker 2: his inability to to understand the moment we are living
- 28:37Speaker 2: in and offer a message and agenda that deals with that. Instead,
- 28:39Speaker 2: he is off just dealing with the craziest things in
- 28:41Speaker 2: the darkest corners of the Fox News expanded universe. And
- 28:44Speaker 2: that is a place where the overwhelming majority of voters
- 28:46Speaker 2: do not live and do not understand. And so it
- 28:49Speaker 2: creates a disconnect. And that is very, very dangerous for
- 28:51Speaker 2: a politician facing re-election.
- 28:53Speaker 1: And we should say before we move on, like he
- 28:55Speaker 1: didn't just refuse to disavow QAnon there. He basically praised them.
- 28:59Speaker 1: He said, well, I know that they're fighting against pedophilia very,
- 29:02Speaker 1: very hard, which, you know, Ben Collins at NBC, who's
- 29:05Speaker 1: done a lot of reporting on QAnon, very deep reporting,
- 29:08Speaker 1: said that's basically as close to an endorsement as QAnon
- 29:12Speaker 1: could hope for and that they are probably rejoicing right
- 29:14Speaker 1: now because it was not just, oh, I don't know
- 29:17Speaker 1: who they are. It was a wink and a nod
- 29:19Speaker 1: to a conspiracy cult that, again, the FBI, Trump's FBI
- 29:25Speaker 1: director that he appointed, have called a domestic terror threat.
- 29:30Speaker 1: These are not just like loony conspiracists, they are dangerous.
- 29:33Speaker 1: They're dangerous people. So I do think Trump was a
- 29:37Speaker 1: little bit less of an angry asshole during some of
- 29:39Speaker 1: the voting. questions in the second half of the town hall.
- 29:42Speaker 1: But I think then he had a different problem. Like
- 29:44Speaker 1: every time he was asked what he'll do about a
- 29:47Speaker 1: certain issue in his second term, he either didn't answer,
- 29:50Speaker 1: talked about his first term and his record, or he
- 29:53Speaker 1: just made shit up. Like how much do you think
- 29:55Speaker 1: that matters? Because I do think like, as I was
- 29:58Speaker 1: watching him, he sort of calmed down Because he wasn't
- 30:01Speaker 1: screaming at Savannah. He was interacting with voters. And so
- 30:03Speaker 1: if you sort of watched it, you're like squinted. You're like,
- 30:07Speaker 1: maybe he sounds a little more normal in the second half,
- 30:10Speaker 1: but I don't think he was offering any real answers
- 30:12Speaker 1: to folks.
- 30:13Speaker 2: I think he sounded more normal than Trump did in
- 30:16Speaker 2: the first half. But I think that is a grand
- 30:19Speaker 2: perversion of the word normal. The words he said did
- 30:21Speaker 2: not make sense. Like if you were to read a
- 30:23Speaker 2: transcript of that, you would think there was some sort
- 30:25Speaker 2: of massive transcription error because it meant nothing.
- 30:29Speaker 4: Right.
- 30:29Speaker 2: The words meant nothing. He had no idea. The health
- 30:31Speaker 2: care question was just insanely absurd.
- 30:34Speaker 1: The best thing that happened on the health care question.
- 30:36Speaker 1: And again, this was, you know, a credit to Savannah's
- 30:38Speaker 1: moderating is she you know, someone asked about his health
- 30:42Speaker 1: care plan. He does the whole thing about how Obamacare
- 30:44Speaker 1: is awful. The question was like, what are you going
- 30:45Speaker 1: to do about health care? He had nothing to say
- 30:47Speaker 1: about it. Yelled about Obamacare for a while. Talked about
- 30:50Speaker 1: protecting preexisting conditions, which is a lie. And then Savannah's like,
- 30:53Speaker 1: here's the thing. you've been president for four years. You controlled,
- 30:57Speaker 1: Republicans controlled both houses of Congress and you never replaced Obamacare.
- 31:01Speaker 1: What happened? And he was like, uh, well, we did
- 31:05Speaker 1: replace the individual mandate. She's like, yeah, well, what about
- 31:06Speaker 1: the rest of the bill? I thought you were going
- 31:08Speaker 1: to give us better healthcare. He doesn't have a fucking
- 31:11Speaker 1: answer on what he's going to do about literally any
- 31:15Speaker 1: issue in the second term if he's reelected.
- 31:18Speaker 2: Nick, he has no, he only wants to win reelection
- 31:20Speaker 2: to own the libs. Yeah, own the libs and slow
- 31:25Speaker 2: down his criminal prosecution at the state level. I mean, deadly.
- 31:30Speaker 2: I'm not kidding about that. But he has no idea
- 31:34Speaker 2: what he's doing. And the health care answer, it was
- 31:38Speaker 2: just a reminder that Trump is a tremendously incoherent liar.
- 31:42Speaker 2: Some of the politicians who were able to survive in
- 31:45Speaker 2: 2018 by telling big, huge, massive lies about their super
- 31:49Speaker 2: pre-existing conditions They were deeply dishonest, but they were– they
- 31:54Speaker 2: could fool people. Trump's lies make no sense. They're conflicting.
- 31:59Speaker 2: The words don't make sense. And I can't imagine any reasonable,
- 32:04Speaker 2: truly persuadable voter listened to that or watched that and
- 32:07Speaker 2: thought this is something– this man has any idea what
- 32:11Speaker 2: he's talking about and is someone who will stand up
- 32:12Speaker 2: for men in healthcare.
- 32:14Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Frank Luntz did a focus group of
- 32:16Speaker 1: undecided voters. And by the way, we should say undecided voters,
- 32:19Speaker 1: focus groups of undecided voters at this point are probably
- 32:22Speaker 1: going to lean a little more Republican the closer we
- 32:26Speaker 1: get because Biden's lead is large enough in the polls
- 32:30Speaker 1: and a lot of people have made up their minds.
- 32:32Speaker 1: The remaining people, you know, could be a little more.
- 32:35Speaker 2: Yeah, it's probably 730 or 80-20 Republican at this point. Right.
- 32:40Speaker 1: And they're still undecided. So it tells you something. But
- 32:43Speaker 1: he once said that undecided swing state voters said that
- 32:47Speaker 1: the more the president spoke last night, the worse he looked.
- 32:51Speaker 1: So I don't even there was this there was a
- 32:53Speaker 1: lot of commentary on Twitter about this 45 year old
- 32:57Speaker 1: white woman who asked Trump about DACA. And she started
- 33:00Speaker 1: the question by saying, you have a really nice smile
- 33:02Speaker 1: to the president. And, uh, everyone was like, Oh God,
- 33:06Speaker 1: she's like a MAGA person. She's a Trump person. This
- 33:08Speaker 1: is awful. Afterwards, a reporter caught up with her and
- 33:11Speaker 1: asked her, she was voting for her. And she said, Biden,
- 33:14Speaker 1: even though she, even though she told Trump, he had
- 33:16Speaker 1: a nice smile. She's, she's voting for Biden. I mean,
- 33:18Speaker 1: I don't, do you think he did himself any good
- 33:21Speaker 1: at that at all? Is there anything I keep trying
- 33:24Speaker 1: to say to all this stuff? Is there anything we're missing?
- 33:26Speaker 1: Anything we're missing on this?
- 33:27Speaker 2: No, you said it right. That Trump could still win
- 33:30Speaker 2: for a whole host of things, reasons that have to
- 33:32Speaker 2: do with voter suppression. But if he were to win,
- 33:34Speaker 2: it is not because of what he said last night.
- 33:36Speaker 2: We have spent so much time over the last four
- 33:38Speaker 2: years talking about how Trump's biggest political problem is his tweeting.
- 33:43Speaker 2: I actually don't think that's true. His biggest political problem
- 33:46Speaker 2: is speaking. When people see him speak, he reminds them
- 33:50Speaker 2: of everything they hate about him and hate about politics.
- 33:53Speaker 2: He is stupid.
- 33:55Speaker 3: He is angry.
- 33:57Speaker 2: He is pathetic. And he is mean. And none of
- 34:00Speaker 2: those are appealing qualities. And they are particularly unappealing in
- 34:04Speaker 2: a time of absolute national crisis. Every time he speaks,
- 34:09Speaker 2: he looks way too small for the moment we are
- 34:11Speaker 2: living in. And so that's why we said earlier, CBS,
- 34:15Speaker 2: host a town hall. ESPN, host a town hall. HBO,
- 34:18Speaker 2: town hall. Give that man as much airtime as he wants.
- 34:21Speaker 1: And the other thing that you know, we've always said
- 34:24Speaker 1: is that he's focused on himself and not focused on
- 34:27Speaker 1: everyone else, right? Like he is, everything is about him.
- 34:30Speaker 1: Everything goes back to him. He is so self-obsessed. Like
- 34:33Speaker 1: every question goes back to him.
- 34:34Speaker 5: Me, me, me, me, me.
- 34:35Speaker 1: I did this. I did this. He feels wounded. He
- 34:38Speaker 1: feels upset. It's always about him. It's just exhausting. It's
- 34:41Speaker 1: fucking exhausting.
- 34:43Speaker 2: He embodies everything. the contrast message against them, which is
- 34:46Speaker 2: why it's a good message. Like he, you know, sometimes
- 34:48Speaker 2: you have a message and it came in and you say,
- 34:50Speaker 2: this person, you know, has gone Washington or they're a
- 34:53Speaker 2: creature of special interest, but then they'll be out there
- 34:55Speaker 2: when they campaign. They don't seem like that. When you
- 34:57Speaker 2: say that Trump is not up to this moment, that
- 34:59Speaker 2: he is someone who has not grown in office, he
- 35:01Speaker 2: is someone who puts himself first. Every time he walks
- 35:04Speaker 2: out of the White House, every time he speaks, everything
- 35:06Speaker 2: he does reinforces that message. He is incapable of not
- 35:09Speaker 2: reinforcing it.
- 35:12Speaker 1: Last question before we move on to Biden's town hall.
- 35:14Speaker 1: If you were watching last night's town hall as the
- 35:16Speaker 1: Biden debate prep team, was there anything that would help
- 35:19Speaker 1: you prepare for the final debate next week? Biden's just got,
- 35:22Speaker 1: we got to get through one more debate here. One
- 35:25Speaker 1: more chance for Trump to really shake things up. Was
- 35:28Speaker 1: there anything you noticed about Trump's performance that you would?
- 35:32Speaker 2: I think if you can, this is a foreign policy debate,
- 35:35Speaker 2: which I think we should note. So that makes it
- 35:37Speaker 2: a little more challenging. Any conversation you can have with
- 35:40Speaker 2: Trump on healthcare is a giant winner for Biden. Any conversation,
- 35:43Speaker 2: if you can bring it back to masks in any way,
- 35:45Speaker 2: like anything in the world of coronavirus where Trump has
- 35:48Speaker 2: to talk about it is bad for him because he
- 35:50Speaker 2: cannot say the things that people want him to say.
- 35:53Speaker 2: He will not bring himself to do it. But I
- 35:54Speaker 2: think the biggest thing, which I think was also the
- 35:56Speaker 2: takeaway from the debate, is Biden's just got to kind
- 35:59Speaker 2: of ignore Trump on that stage. Correct misstatements about his record,
- 36:03Speaker 2: defend himself without being defensive, as I think he did
- 36:05Speaker 2: well last time. Don't let him rattle you and just
- 36:08Speaker 2: use the national audience to tell people about your plans.
- 36:10Speaker 2: And don't worry about, like Trump is going to disqualify
- 36:12Speaker 2: himself by his mere presence on that stage. And you
- 36:15Speaker 2: just go out there and talk to people because you
- 36:16Speaker 2: have a captive audience about what you would do as president.
- 36:19Speaker 2: Because the contrast of the two men, and we'll talk
- 36:22Speaker 2: about this in the context of the town halls, embodies
- 36:24Speaker 2: what this race is all about. So just Joe Biden
- 36:26Speaker 2: being Joe Biden and letting Trump be Trump is exactly
- 36:28Speaker 2: what Joe Biden needs to become president.
- 36:30Speaker 1: I mostly agree with that. I would say, I think
- 36:33Speaker 1: that Joe Biden needs to continue to keep Trump off
- 36:38Speaker 1: balance because I think if you watch that town hall
- 36:42Speaker 1: last night, like when Savannah kept pressing him on what
- 36:46Speaker 1: his plans were or what he was going to do
- 36:48Speaker 1: or voters did, um, he gets angry and he dissembles
- 36:52Speaker 1: and he looks worse. Like I am sure Trump advisors
- 36:55Speaker 1: are telling him, tune it down, take it down a
- 36:58Speaker 1: couple notches on this last debate.
- 37:00Speaker 2: Right.
- 37:01Speaker 1: And I know that is, it is probably impossible for
- 37:04Speaker 1: Trump to do, but I, Even if he takes it
- 37:06Speaker 1: down a few notches, you could imagine the press grading
- 37:10Speaker 1: it as a big win for him.
- 37:11Speaker 5: Right.
- 37:12Speaker 1: And I think that like I think what Biden needs
- 37:15Speaker 1: to accomplish is the most important thing. Tell people about
- 37:17Speaker 1: your plans. People are wondering what Biden stands for. What's
- 37:19Speaker 1: he going to do like that? That's number one. Get
- 37:21Speaker 1: out of there with that. But I think Biden needs
- 37:24Speaker 1: to continue to press him on. What would you do?
- 37:27Speaker 1: Why don't you tell people what you would do on
- 37:29Speaker 1: health care in a second term? Why don't you tell
- 37:30Speaker 1: people what you would do to stop COVID right now?
- 37:33Speaker 1: Not what you've done. Not not excuses about the past.
- 37:36Speaker 1: Talk about the future. This is a race about the future.
- 37:38Speaker 1: What are you going to do? I think he should
- 37:40Speaker 1: keep pressing him because, like, I think the danger is
- 37:43Speaker 1: if Biden completely ignores him. and Trump sort of takes
- 37:46Speaker 1: it down a notch and then spends all of his
- 37:47Speaker 1: time either attacking Biden or just like dissembling, then Biden
- 37:52Speaker 1: could just, you know, it could look like a slightly
- 37:54Speaker 1: better performance than the first debate.
- 37:58Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's right. I think you may have
- 38:00Speaker 2: said this in what I remember, although I don't remember
- 38:03Speaker 2: if you just remember to be very good advice for
- 38:05Speaker 2: Biden before the first debate. You know, I was doing
- 38:08Speaker 2: some research for some debate stuff and I went back
- 38:10Speaker 2: and I watched the moment where Candy Crowley fact-checked Mitt
- 38:14Speaker 2: Romney on Benghazi. And there is this moment where Romney
- 38:18Speaker 2: is stomping around the stage, and he's sure he has
- 38:20Speaker 2: nailed Obama on whether Obama called Benghazi an act of terror.
- 38:24Speaker 2: And it's Obama's time to talk. And Obama goes, no, governor,
- 38:28Speaker 2: go ahead, and just lets him walk right into the trap.
- 38:31Speaker 2: And there is an opportunity, I think, for Biden to
- 38:33Speaker 2: give his time back when Trump can't answer a question
- 38:38Speaker 2: about some policy issue or something else, be like, no, no, no, Mr. President,
- 38:42Speaker 2: please explain your health care plan. Go ahead. Take my time.
- 38:44Speaker 1: And that's important because the Trump campaign has essentially telegraphed
- 38:49Speaker 1: in a whole bunch of stories over the last couple
- 38:50Speaker 1: of weeks that they are going to tell Trump to
- 38:53Speaker 1: let Biden talk more, believing that if Biden talks more,
- 38:56Speaker 1: he will just give long winded answers and he'll commit
- 38:58Speaker 1: a gaffe and that Trump should just hold back and
- 39:00Speaker 1: not interrupt him so much. So I do think for
- 39:02Speaker 1: that reason that it's important for Biden, Biden to let
- 39:06Speaker 1: Trump talk a lot and specifically about about second term plans,
- 39:10Speaker 1: because we know it's most important to people watching from
- 39:13Speaker 1: home to find out what these two candidates are going
- 39:15Speaker 1: to do to improve their lives. That's what people are
- 39:16Speaker 1: looking for. And Trump doesn't have a good answer on that.
- 39:19Speaker 1: He just didn't come up with a second term agenda.
- 39:21Speaker 1: And you should expose that. All right, let's talk about
- 39:31Speaker 1: Joe Biden's town hall, which was quite a different affair
- 39:34Speaker 1: in just about every way. I thought CNN captured it
- 39:36Speaker 1: best with their story about the two events. Quote, on ABC,
- 39:39Speaker 1: Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden was explaining his plan to
- 39:42Speaker 1: raise taxes on people making more than $ 400, 000 per year.
- 39:44Speaker 1: On NBC, President Donald Trump was equivocating about the existence
- 39:49Speaker 1: of a satanic cult of pedophiles. Here's a clip of
- 39:53Speaker 1: Joe Biden answering that question on taxes.
- 39:56Speaker 7: So you can raise a lot of money to be
- 39:59Speaker 7: able to invest in things that can make your life easier.
- 40:02Speaker 7: make you change your standard of living by making sure
- 40:05Speaker 7: you have affordable healthcare, by making sure you're in a
- 40:07Speaker 7: situation where you're able to send your kid to school
- 40:10Speaker 7: and if you have a student debt you can deal
- 40:12Speaker 7: with it, making sure that you're home, you can pay
- 40:15Speaker 7: your mortgage. Made in America, if you actually insist that,
- 40:19Speaker 7: whatever that product is, made in America, including the material
- 40:23Speaker 7: that goes into the product, It's estimated we're going to
- 40:26Speaker 7: create somewhere between another 4 and 6 million jobs just
- 40:29Speaker 7: by doing that. But what's happening now? Under his trade policy,
- 40:33Speaker 7: a lot of this is going overseas. You get a
- 40:35Speaker 7: benefit from going overseas if you have much of it
- 40:38Speaker 7: being made overseas. So if you send it overseas, you
- 40:41Speaker 7: get a 10 percent tax increase on your on a product.
- 40:45Speaker 7: If you make it in America and you bring it back,
- 40:47Speaker 7: you get a 10 percent growth. If you bring back
- 40:50Speaker 7: a company and you're going to open up an old facility,
- 40:54Speaker 7: you get a 10 percent tax credit for all you invested.
- 40:57Speaker 3: That actually works, George.
- 40:59Speaker 1: So you watch the Biden town hall before the Trump
- 41:01Speaker 1: town hall. I did the reverse. What was your overall
- 41:04Speaker 1: take on on how Biden did?
- 41:07Speaker 2: They did very well. It was just comfortingly normal, right?
- 41:12Speaker 2: Biden had tried to answer questions. There were details in
- 41:15Speaker 2: those questions. I thought he did a very good job.
- 41:19Speaker 2: Some of the answers were better than others, but on
- 41:20Speaker 2: the whole, I think it was a very, very good performance.
- 41:22Speaker 2: And I find it impossible to imagine that a reasonable,
- 41:26Speaker 2: truly persuadable voter could watch both town halls and not
- 41:29Speaker 2: feel dramatically more comfortable with Joe Biden in the White
- 41:32Speaker 2: House than Donald Trump.
- 41:33Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 41:34Speaker 1: I think Biden's answer on masks was also a pretty
- 41:38Speaker 1: telling contrast to Trump's answer. Here's the clip on that.
- 41:42Speaker 7: The words of a president matter.
- 41:43Speaker 2: Absolutely.
- 41:44Speaker 7: No matter whether they're good, bad, or indifferent, they matter.
- 41:48Speaker 7: And when a president doesn't wear a mask or makes
- 41:50Speaker 7: fun of folks like me when I was wearing a
- 41:52Speaker 7: mask for a long time, then, you know, people say, well,
- 41:56Speaker 7: it mustn't be that important. But when a president says,
- 41:59Speaker 7: I think this is very important. For example, I walked
- 42:02Speaker 7: in here with this mask, but I have one of
- 42:04Speaker 7: the M95 masks underneath it. I left it in my
- 42:08Speaker 7: dressing room, the room I was in before I got here.
- 42:13Speaker 7: And so I think it matters what we say. And
- 42:17Speaker 7: we're now learning that. that children are getting the virus,
- 42:21Speaker 7: not with as serious consequences, but we haven't, there's been
- 42:25Speaker 7: no studies done yet on vaccines for children. So there's
- 42:29Speaker 7: a long way to go, but we can make progress
- 42:31Speaker 7: in the meantime and save lives.
- 42:33Speaker 1: So I thought that was a really great answer and
- 42:37Speaker 1: quite a contrast from Donald Trump's answers to Savannah. Ezra
- 42:42Speaker 1: Klein had a really great take on the night and
- 42:43Speaker 1: the whole race that you and I were talking about
- 42:46Speaker 1: last night. Specifically on that answer, he wrote, this was
- 42:50Speaker 1: again and again Biden's point. The words of the president matter.
- 42:53Speaker 1: The behavior of the president matters. The comportment of the
- 42:56Speaker 1: president matters. The example of the president matters. Biden talks
- 42:59Speaker 1: policy often and reasonably well, but he hasn't been putting
- 43:02Speaker 1: on a clinic in wonkery. He's been putting on a
- 43:04Speaker 1: clinic in decency and it matters.
- 43:06Speaker 2: It shouldn't.
- 43:07Speaker 1: Decency should be table stakes, too unremarkable to mention. But
- 43:09Speaker 1: right now it does. What did you think of that?
- 43:13Speaker 2: I thought the P it was a great piece and I, uh,
- 43:15Speaker 2: am often jealous of the way Ezra makes arguments and
- 43:17Speaker 2: his use of the hierarchy of needs as a way
- 43:19Speaker 2: to explain this campaign was very, very smart. Um, and
- 43:24Speaker 2: I think, I think it is completely true and it,
- 43:28Speaker 2: and it, and this is a point Ezra has made
- 43:29Speaker 2: me throughout the primary as well. And is there are
- 43:33Speaker 2: certain things that political obsessives and political professionals like us
- 43:37Speaker 2: really value, right? Eloquent rhetoric, policy, wonkery, um, grand theories
- 43:43Speaker 2: of political change. Those are the things that drew us
- 43:45Speaker 2: to Barack Obama. But it's not really what voters always want,
- 43:48Speaker 2: particularly in a time of crisis. And I thought it
- 43:51Speaker 2: was a very strong, it was a good argument. I
- 43:55Speaker 2: do think it undersells how good a candidate Biden has
- 43:58Speaker 2: been in this race. He has been phenomenally disciplined. Everything
- 44:03Speaker 2: he does, and I think some of it comes very
- 44:05Speaker 2: naturally to him, but everything he does, everything he says,
- 44:09Speaker 2: undergirds the argument for why him and why not Trump.
- 44:12Speaker 2: That entire NBC town hall was all about Trump. His retweets,
- 44:18Speaker 2: what it meant for him, his grievances with the questions
- 44:21Speaker 2: from Savannah, his being incredibly excited because some voter said
- 44:25Speaker 2: something nice about his smile. And the Biden event was
- 44:28Speaker 2: nothing about Biden. He told stories about his life and
- 44:32Speaker 2: his father, which he often does, but it was always
- 44:34Speaker 2: grounded in a way of talking about how to help
- 44:36Speaker 2: other people. Notably, he stayed afterwards for well over an
- 44:40Speaker 2: hour talking to all the voters. I was just very, very,
- 44:47Speaker 2: very struck in that town hall by– and maybe this
- 44:51Speaker 2: is all of our expectations lowered by living in the
- 44:53Speaker 2: Trump era. But just what a tremendous breath of fresh
- 45:00Speaker 2: air having just a good, normal, decent person who wants
- 45:04Speaker 2: to do the right thing in office would be for
- 45:06Speaker 2: this country. It should be table stakes. Ezra is right,
- 45:10Speaker 2: but it is not. And I think Biden can do
- 45:12Speaker 2: a lot more than that, for sure. But at the
- 45:14Speaker 2: bare minimum, he understands that in this campaign better than
- 45:18Speaker 2: anyone else, including us, has.
- 45:20Speaker 1: The bar is low, but Trump hasn't crossed it. And
- 45:23Speaker 1: Biden has. I mean, David Axelrod always says that when
- 45:30Speaker 1: an incumbent's up for re-election, the race is about finding
- 45:34Speaker 1: out who's going to be the remedy to that incumbent
- 45:37Speaker 1: and not the replica, right? People want to look for
- 45:40Speaker 1: what they most dislike about the incumbent and who's going
- 45:43Speaker 1: to be the remedy for that. And I think when
- 45:47Speaker 1: you ask what's wrong with Trump, the largest majority of
- 45:52Speaker 1: voters in this country, if you ask them what most
- 45:55Speaker 1: people agree is wrong with Trump, they would probably say
- 45:59Speaker 1: he's a fucking asshole.
- 46:01Speaker 5: Right.
- 46:01Speaker 1: Like like we have, you know, as liberals, we have
- 46:04Speaker 1: a million things that we'd say is wrong with Trump.
- 46:05Speaker 5: Right.
- 46:06Speaker 1: He's an extremist. He's a racist. He's a xenophobe. He's
- 46:08Speaker 1: a sexist. But the most people in this country, when asked,
- 46:12Speaker 1: even some Republicans, even non-voters, even people who don't pay
- 46:15Speaker 1: attention to politics, would say that guy is an asshole
- 46:18Speaker 1: and he is cruel and his cruelty and his self-absorption.
- 46:24Speaker 1: has created this level of chaos around him that has
- 46:28Speaker 1: hurt all of us in the midst of a once-in-a-generation crisis, right?
- 46:33Speaker 1: That is the problem. And Joe Biden's, like, the genius
- 46:38Speaker 1: of his campaign in the general election was to understand
- 46:43Speaker 1: that what people want is decency again they want a
- 46:47Speaker 1: lot more than that i want a lot more than
- 46:48Speaker 1: that i want like a whole bunch of great progressive
- 46:50Speaker 1: policies to pass i do but right now the more
- 46:53Speaker 1: immediate emergency in this country is that we have a
- 46:56Speaker 1: man in office who is cruel and nasty and self-absorbed
- 47:00Speaker 1: while we are all going through a recession and a
- 47:02Speaker 1: pandemic and he is not fit to do that job
- 47:06Speaker 1: and he has made politics miserable he has made the
- 47:08Speaker 1: country miserable he's made us feel bad all the time
- 47:10Speaker 1: he's made us feel exhausted and what joe biden did
- 47:12Speaker 1: during that town hall a lot of his answers were
- 47:14Speaker 1: too long He was he rambled through some of them.
- 47:18Speaker 4: Right.
- 47:18Speaker 1: He got way into the weeds on some policies. But
- 47:22Speaker 1: again and again, every single moment of that town hall,
- 47:25Speaker 1: he tried. He tried. He tried to show that he
- 47:27Speaker 1: was a decent person. He tried to show that he
- 47:29Speaker 1: would listen when there was a young black man who said,
- 47:32Speaker 1: you know, why should I? You know, I don't maybe
- 47:34Speaker 1: he doesn't like Trump, but why should I vote for you?
- 47:36Speaker 1: I was thinking of not voting at all. And a
- 47:38Speaker 1: lot of young black men are wondering whether they should
- 47:40Speaker 1: vote at all. And Biden gives this very, very long
- 47:42Speaker 1: answer about education and criminal justice and stuff like that.
- 47:45Speaker 1: And at the end, he's like, was that good? Was
- 47:48Speaker 1: that OK? And the voter was like, yeah, I think so.
- 47:51Speaker 1: And Biden sensing that maybe it wasn't enough for him
- 47:53Speaker 1: was like, come find me afterwards. Come find me afterwards
- 47:57Speaker 1: and I'll keep talking to you. And that is who
- 47:59Speaker 1: Joe Biden is. He is not the perfect candidate. He's
- 48:02Speaker 1: not going to be the perfect president. but the guy
- 48:05Speaker 1: is fundamentally decent and he's going to fight like hell
- 48:08Speaker 1: and really try to be a president for the whole
- 48:10Speaker 1: country and really try to work his ass off to
- 48:14Speaker 1: make people's lives better. And that came across in that
- 48:17Speaker 1: town hall more than anything else. And it is the
- 48:20Speaker 1: antithesis of the person that we have in office right now.
- 48:25Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 48:25Speaker 2: Your view, you know, your sort of point about people
- 48:29Speaker 2: agreeing Trump is an asshole is, I think, 100% right.
- 48:31Speaker 2: And I think that that is unanimous agreement. And the
- 48:34Speaker 2: disagreement is not whether Trump's an asshole. It's whether he's
- 48:36Speaker 2: an asshole for me or whether he's an asshole for himself.
- 48:39Speaker 2: And that's the difference between Trump 2016 and Trump 2020.
- 48:41Speaker 2: In Trump 2016, his argument was, yeah, I'm an asshole,
- 48:45Speaker 2: but I'm going to fight for you. I'm going to
- 48:47Speaker 2: use my assholery to benefit you to stand up against
- 48:49Speaker 2: the deep state and the swamp and all of that.
- 48:52Speaker 2: And now let's just, I'm an asshole who only cares
- 48:53Speaker 2: about myself. And you're sick. You've lost relatives. You've lost
- 48:57Speaker 2: your job. And I don't care about any of that
- 48:59Speaker 2: because I'm more worried about myself. And that is the difference.
- 49:01Speaker 2: And campaigns are ultimately the meeting of the person in
- 49:05Speaker 2: the moment, right? And the best campaigns are when the
- 49:07Speaker 2: true essence of the candidate is what the electorate is
- 49:12Speaker 2: thirsting for. Obama in 2008 was exactly what they wanted.
- 49:15Speaker 2: People wanted hope. They want someone who stood up against
- 49:17Speaker 2: the Iraq war. They want the opposite of George W.
- 49:19Speaker 5: Bush.
- 49:20Speaker 2: And Joe Biden is, even though he is also a
- 49:24Speaker 2: white man in his 70s, is the opposite of Donald Trump.
- 49:30Speaker 2: Joe Biden, who talked to that person, talked to people
- 49:34Speaker 2: for hours after that, who genuinely cared whether he answered
- 49:38Speaker 2: the question these people had the courage to ask, is
- 49:40Speaker 2: the Joe Biden that we have known for many, many years.
- 49:43Speaker 2: And the fact that he gets to be his absolute
- 49:47Speaker 2: true essence of himself also happens to be the best
- 49:49Speaker 2: possible political argument he can make for his election. And
- 49:51Speaker 2: that is exactly where you want to find yourself in
- 49:52Speaker 2: a campaign.
- 49:54Speaker 1: Yeah, he's not a savior. He's not a fire-breathing populist.
- 49:59Speaker 1: He hasn't been the most progressive person his whole life,
- 50:00Speaker 1: but he is a decent public servant who is trying
- 50:05Speaker 1: his best. And that is not what we have in
- 50:08Speaker 1: the White House right now. And that is it. And look,
- 50:11Speaker 1: it's like you said, 40 something percent of the country
- 50:15Speaker 1: is still going to say, you know, over the next
- 50:18Speaker 1: couple of weeks, Donald Trump is an asshole for me.
- 50:21Speaker 1: It's just going to happen. But the question is, have
- 50:23Speaker 1: enough of them said, you know what? I thought he
- 50:25Speaker 1: was an asshole for me. But after four years, it
- 50:29Speaker 1: doesn't seem like he's done too much for me. Doesn't
- 50:31Speaker 1: seem like he's done too much for me. And if
- 50:33Speaker 1: enough people say that, that's it. Then that's the election
- 50:36Speaker 1: right there. One more development we should talk about before
- 50:39Speaker 1: answering a few questions. The Biden campaign announced on Wednesday
- 50:42Speaker 1: that Kamala Harris's communications director, a flight attendant on her
- 50:45Speaker 1: campaign plane, and a flight attendant on Joe Biden's campaign
- 50:48Speaker 1: plane all tested positive for COVID. Harris and Biden have
- 50:51Speaker 1: both tested negative and said that they weren't close to
- 50:54Speaker 1: the people who are infected and said that they were
- 50:56Speaker 1: wearing N95 masks. Meanwhile, Trump continues to his super spreader
- 51:01Speaker 1: tour of big rallies in the battleground states. Dan, how
- 51:04Speaker 1: do you think the Biden-Harris campaign handled announcing this news?
- 51:07Speaker 2: Well, first, I just want to send our best wishes
- 51:09Speaker 2: out to Liz Allen, who is Kamala Harris' communications director.
- 51:12Speaker 2: She's our former coworker from the White House. She is
- 51:14Speaker 2: one of the best people you will ever meet in politics.
- 51:17Speaker 1: Yes, she is.
- 51:17Speaker 2: And so, you know, well wishes.
- 51:19Speaker 6: To her, for sure.
- 51:19Speaker 2: And I hope everyone listening should offer the same. They
- 51:22Speaker 2: handled it exactly the way they've handled everything else. And
- 51:25Speaker 2: I wrote about this this morning in my newsletter, that
- 51:27Speaker 2: it embodies their strategy. which is they compare the statement
- 51:32Speaker 2: they released, which laid out the timeline, the testing protocols,
- 51:36Speaker 2: the precautions the campaign takes on a daily basis to
- 51:39Speaker 2: keep Kamala Harris and Joe Biden, their staffs, the reporters
- 51:42Speaker 2: covering them, and everyone they come in contact with safe,
- 51:45Speaker 2: with how Trump has handled it. It exuded responsibility. And
- 51:51Speaker 2: that is actually, I think... excellent politics. That is the
- 51:55Speaker 2: right way to, that is the right thing to do
- 51:56Speaker 2: politically in this environment because it's a perfect contrast with
- 51:59Speaker 2: our deeply irresponsibly dangerous president. But like, I think it
- 52:03Speaker 2: is the advantage of, they handle it this way because
- 52:07Speaker 2: they take this very seriously. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
- 52:10Speaker 2: are leaders who understand that modeling good behavior is what
- 52:15Speaker 2: leaders do and good behavior saves lives in a pandemic.
- 52:19Speaker 2: And Also, it is helpful that Biden has as his
- 52:22Speaker 2: advisors a bunch of people who have worked on these
- 52:25Speaker 2: issues in real life, in real time, outside the context
- 52:27Speaker 2: of campaign in government, right? Whether it's Ron Klain or
- 52:31Speaker 2: Tony Blinken and Tom Donilon and Anita Dunn, who was
- 52:33Speaker 2: there in the White House during H1N1, who understand how
- 52:36Speaker 2: serious leaders treat serious issues like this. And that statement
- 52:42Speaker 2: would have come from a very highly functioning, transparent White House,
- 52:46Speaker 2: not a presidential campaign. It is to their uh, substantive
- 52:49Speaker 2: and political credit in my view.
- 52:51Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 52:51Speaker 1: I'm sure that they were all like very worried and
- 52:54Speaker 1: scared and worried for Liz as, as they all should
- 52:56Speaker 1: have been. I think that they also thought to themselves,
- 52:59Speaker 1: as we announced this news, this is an opportunity for
- 53:02Speaker 1: us to show, um, how different we are and how
- 53:06Speaker 1: different we're going to react from this white house and
- 53:08Speaker 1: how this white house handled that. And they did that
- 53:09Speaker 1: very well. Um, I also thought, my next thought was,
- 53:14Speaker 1: stay home, everyone. Go back to the basement. Like, I don't,
- 53:19Speaker 1: I have, I mean, that is, you know, it's still
- 53:22Speaker 1: the nightmare, right? That over the next two weeks, that
- 53:24Speaker 1: with all the precautions that all of them are taking,
- 53:27Speaker 1: you know, someone could still catch it. Including Joe Biden
- 53:30Speaker 1: or Kamala Harris, which would be fucking awful.
- 53:33Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, 100%. I think, you know, I was
- 53:36Speaker 2: incredibly comforted by reading about all of the steps that
- 53:40Speaker 2: they take.
- 53:41Speaker 1: Joe Biden telling George Stephanopoulos now he's wearing two masks.
- 53:46Speaker 1: Trump's on zero masks. Biden's up to two masks. He's
- 53:49Speaker 1: got an N95 and then another one on top.
- 53:51Speaker 5: That was great.
- 53:52Speaker 2: Do you think if Trump puts on one mask, Biden's
- 53:54Speaker 2: going to add two more masks?
- 53:55Speaker 1: I would, yeah. I would start wearing them all over
- 53:57Speaker 1: my face, head. Joe Biden should wear a fucking hazmat
- 54:01Speaker 1: suit for the last two weeks.
- 54:03Speaker 2: I mean, the last thing any campaign wants to do
- 54:05Speaker 2: is take one of their two principles off the campaign
- 54:08Speaker 2: trail with less than three weeks to go, right? I mean,
- 54:12Speaker 2: that is a big deal for that campaign. Probably the
- 54:16Speaker 2: voters of the Biden campaign is most concerned about turning
- 54:19Speaker 2: out are the ones who are most likely to be
- 54:21Speaker 2: excited by hearing from and seeing Kamala Harris. They could
- 54:27Speaker 2: have made an argument to themselves that because of the
- 54:29Speaker 2: precautions that we take, we do not have to take
- 54:32Speaker 2: Kamala Harris off the trail. We can put in some
- 54:34Speaker 2: other mitigating steps. But they erred on the side of
- 54:37Speaker 2: caution because that is the right thing to do. And
- 54:40Speaker 2: it is also the core message of their campaign, that
- 54:42Speaker 2: they are going to do things the right and responsible
- 54:44Speaker 2: way because that's how you save lives.
- 54:47Speaker 1: Okay. Let's take a few questions before we get to
- 54:51Speaker 1: your interview with Lieutenant Governor Fetterman.
- 54:55Speaker 5: Questions.
- 54:56Speaker 1: Paul Miller asks this. Several months ago, it seemed the
- 54:59Speaker 1: overall sentiment shared on Pod Save America was that Mayor
- 55:02Speaker 1: Pete's appearances on Fox News were, on balance, doing more
- 55:05Speaker 1: disservice by giving legitimacy to Fox News than being of
- 55:08Speaker 1: benefit by reaching Republican swing voters. Pete's had a few
- 55:11Speaker 1: recent and last couple weeks solid appearances on Fox, which
- 55:13Speaker 1: have garnered more eyeballs on Twitter. Do you all still
- 55:16Speaker 1: feel as if you'd suggest he not make such appearances?
- 55:20Speaker 2: Well, this is primarily my pet issue, of which I
- 55:23Speaker 2: have argued with many people about. And I will just
- 55:25Speaker 2: clarify my position. I am wholly agnostic on whether Democrats
- 55:30Speaker 2: want to appear for interviews on Fox News, whether you
- 55:34Speaker 2: want to do an interview with Bret Baier or Chris Wallace.
- 55:36Speaker 2: If I was advising a candidate, I would probably say
- 55:39Speaker 2: not worth the time and energy. But I think that
- 55:41Speaker 2: is a debate of good faith. My biggest complaint in
- 55:44Speaker 2: the thing that I think is and was and is
- 55:48Speaker 2: a mistake are doing these town halls with Fox that
- 55:50Speaker 2: offer them legitimacy as a news organization. And my concern
- 55:55Speaker 2: was undermine the efforts done by media matters and sleeping
- 55:58Speaker 2: giants and others to persuade advertisers to walk away from
- 56:02Speaker 2: the dangerous white supremacy and climate denialism that pervades Fox.
- 56:07Speaker 2: So I think Pete did a great job in these interviews.
- 56:09Speaker 2: I very much enjoyed watching them. So if he wants
- 56:14Speaker 2: to keep doing them, for now an election or forevermore.
- 56:17Speaker 2: I am totally fine with it. I thought, you know,
- 56:19Speaker 2: he is probably the one, like if you had to
- 56:21Speaker 2: pick one Democrat to go on Fox, Pete has proven
- 56:23Speaker 2: himself to perhaps be that Democrat.
- 56:25Speaker 1: I think he has done a fantastic job over the
- 56:27Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. I've always been more conflicted about
- 56:31Speaker 1: this question. And look, I fucking hate Fox News. It
- 56:36Speaker 1: is my forever wish that a liberal billionaire will buy
- 56:39Speaker 1: the network and shut it down. I hope to wipe
- 56:41Speaker 1: Fox News off the face of the earth. At some point,
- 56:45Speaker 1: I helped start a media company.
- 56:47Speaker 2: Peacefully, peacefully.
- 56:48Speaker 1: Peacefully, of course, obviously. I helped start a media company
- 56:52Speaker 1: to hopefully someday compete with Fox News and the right-wing
- 56:56Speaker 1: media ecosystem. Like, I think it's one of the most,
- 56:58Speaker 1: you know, destructive forces in the country. But while it exists,
- 57:02Speaker 1: I do think that going on that network as a
- 57:06Speaker 1: Democrat and a Democrat like Pete or other Democrats who
- 57:08Speaker 1: can argue really well and piercing the information bubble of
- 57:13Speaker 1: some of the people who watch Fox News is important.
- 57:16Speaker 1: And I think, look, The poll, you know, Nate Cohn
- 57:19Speaker 1: in the New York Times has done all these polls
- 57:22Speaker 1: of the race so far. And, you know, Nate pointed
- 57:24Speaker 1: out the other day, half of Joe Biden's margin right now,
- 57:28Speaker 1: especially in some of these northern battleground states, is due
- 57:31Speaker 1: to people who voted for Donald Trump switching and saying
- 57:35Speaker 1: now they're going to vote for Joe Biden or people
- 57:37Speaker 1: who voted third party and saying they're going to vote
- 57:38Speaker 1: for Joe Biden. There are plenty of people who watch
- 57:42Speaker 1: Fox News who have decided that even though they voted
- 57:45Speaker 1: for Donald Trump, They're going to now cast a ballot
- 57:48Speaker 1: for Joe Biden, which means that persuasion is still possible.
- 57:52Speaker 1: And if people's information ecosystem is only Fox News and
- 57:56Speaker 1: Ben Shapiro and all this stuff, and every once in
- 57:58Speaker 1: a while you can pierce that information bubble and make
- 58:01Speaker 1: a case and maybe reach some of them, it's probably
- 58:04Speaker 1: worth it. You know, it's not worth spending all your
- 58:07Speaker 1: time there. It's not worth like sitting there with Sean
- 58:09Speaker 1: Hannity and having him like scream at you the whole
- 58:11Speaker 1: time and not let you talk.
- 58:12Speaker 3: Right.
- 58:12Speaker 1: Like pick your battles on Fox. And I totally get
- 58:16Speaker 1: your point on the town halls. But I do think
- 58:19Speaker 1: it is on balance helpful just because as we have
- 58:22Speaker 1: learned from this election, at least so far in the polls,
- 58:25Speaker 1: persuasion is still possible. It's not just about turning out
- 58:29Speaker 1: more of our people than their people.
- 58:31Speaker 2: No, I think it is important to talk about the
- 58:34Speaker 2: scale of these things before people get too excited about them,
- 58:36Speaker 2: which is Brett Baer gets, I don't know, 800,000 viewers.
- 58:40Speaker 1: Very true.
- 58:41Speaker 2: So the Venn diagram of persuadable voters who are watching
- 58:47Speaker 2: Brett Baer at the moment in which Pete is on
- 58:49Speaker 2: is pretty small. So I think you were exactly right.
- 58:53Speaker 2: Persuasion is very important. Piercing the ecosystem is important. Creating
- 58:57Speaker 2: viral moments that get shared on social like Pete has done.
- 59:00Speaker 2: is a good way of doing that. You are spitting
- 59:04Speaker 2: in the ocean of white supremacist propaganda if one of
- 59:08Speaker 2: the main strategies for combating it is Democratic politicians doing
- 59:12Speaker 2: Fox News interviews, right? There are strategic opportunities for it,
- 59:15Speaker 2: but there are limits as well. I'm never going to
- 59:19Speaker 2: let go of this issue, but it's a huge problem.
- 59:20Speaker 1: I know. No, look, the main strategy for combating it
- 59:23Speaker 1: is this, crooked media. That is our answer to that.
- 59:28Speaker 5: Okay.
- 59:29Speaker 1: Um, Raina Thompson from Facebook asks, why do polls vary
- 59:33Speaker 1: so much?
- 59:36Speaker 2: Because it's a cruel world.
- 59:40Speaker 1: Well, polling is one part art, one part science, right?
- 59:45Speaker 1: And the art part is figuring out what the electorate
- 59:50Speaker 1: is going to look like, right? So you poll 500 people.
- 59:54Speaker 1: and the 500 people that you randomly poll all happen
- 59:58Speaker 1: to be college-educated white voters who live in a city,
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: that's not what the electorate's going to look.
- 1:00:04Speaker 5: Like, right?
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: So in each sample, the pollster has to figure out, okay,
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: the sample of people that I talk to, is that
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: reflective of who's going to end up voting on election day?
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: And so some pollsters think maybe I'll get more Democrats
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: than Republicans on election day. Other pollsters think maybe I'll
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: get more Republicans than Democrats. Others like maybe the white
- 1:00:26Speaker 1: vote will be this. The other one might say the
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: white vote will be lower than this and there'll be
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: more black voters. And the way they make all these judgments, look,
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: they're not just picking numbers out of the air. They're
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: looking at party registration. They're looking at party ID. They're
- 1:00:38Speaker 1: looking at how you voted in the past. They're looking
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: at where you live. They're looking at your education level.
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: So there's a number of decisions that each pollster makes
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: on about what the electorate's going to look like, what
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: proportion of which demographic is going to be in the
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: final set of people who vote on election day that
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: differs from pollster to pollster. And that's why they all
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: look different. Did I get it? Do you think that's right?
- 1:00:59Speaker 1: I did.
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: I guess what the very tiresome and ridiculous metaphor uses,
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: why doesn't all pizza taste the same, right? Sometimes it's
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: made by good people, sometimes made by bad people, sometimes
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: it's got different ingredients. It's It is an inexact art
- 1:01:11Speaker 2: and science, which is why, as all of the people
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: named Nate and others say, look at the average of
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: the polls, right? That will hopefully take out some of
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: those fluctuations in methodology and accuracy and competency between the
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: people doing the polls.
- 1:01:26Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: And look, and of course, the thing that is keeping
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: us up at night, keeping everyone up at night is,
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: you know, in 2016, the state polls in the northern
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: battleground states were wrong because they largely underestimated the number
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: of non-college educated white voters who were going to show
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: up on election day who happened to be very favorable
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: to Donald Trump. And that is because they didn't reach
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: a lot of those people by phone. And so the
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: question is, are the polls again underestimating the number of
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: non-college whites that are going to show up at the polls?
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: Have pollsters found a way to reach more of those
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: voters this time so that the sample is more reflective
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: of what the electorate is going to be? And we
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: don't know.
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: Well, we don't know that. We do know that this
- 1:02:15Speaker 2: time around, there's just a lot more state-level polling done
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: by traditionally well-qualified pollsters, right? So there was just very
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: few state polls in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, because people at
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: all levels of politics thought those states were not not
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: super competitive. And so when you only have six polls,
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: it's more likely for it to be off than if
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: you have 36. And so this time around, I don't
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: know whether they're right or wrong, but I do know
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: that we know more than we did last time. And
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: the more polls you have, the more it flattens out
- 1:02:46Speaker 2: the error rate. And so we have more information, whether
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: that information will be right or wrong. We'll find out
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: in two and.
- 1:02:53Speaker 5: A half weeks, John.
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: We'll see. Last question. David Cummings asks, what does Biden's
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: huge fundraising in September and August mean for his campaign?
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: What can you do with 400 plus million dollars in
- 1:03:03Speaker 1: cash on hand?
- 1:03:06Speaker 3: Run lots of ads.
- 1:03:08Speaker 2: Well, look, ultimately what it does is it gives Biden
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: the capacity to have several well-funded, well-organized paths to 270.
- 1:03:16Speaker 2: Trump is making decisions right now about states he's throwing
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: overboard that he can't win, states that he just has
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: to bet he's going to win based on demographics like
- 1:03:25Speaker 2: Ohio and Iowa. And Biden is able to press his
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: case in Georgia. He's forcing Trump to spend money in Georgia, right?
- 1:03:31Speaker 2: Right as of last week, based on the data from
- 1:03:34Speaker 2: advertising analytics I looked at, the only state that Trump
- 1:03:39Speaker 2: is outspending Biden in that Hillary Clinton won in 2016
- 1:03:42Speaker 2: was New Hampshire. Biden is outspending Trump in the vast
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: majority of states. Trump is outspending Biden in Georgia, Ohio, Iowa,
- 1:03:52Speaker 2: and maybe Texas. I think that's it. And Biden is
- 1:03:55Speaker 2: pushing everywhere else. So Biden is putting himself in a
- 1:03:57Speaker 2: place where he is able to press his case, put
- 1:03:59Speaker 2: Trump on the defensive. And that is important in any
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: presidential election, but particularly in what happened in a pandemic
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: where you just do not know what the conditions on
- 1:04:09Speaker 2: the ground are going to be in terms of how
- 1:04:10Speaker 2: mail ballots are counted, whether there are errors in which
- 1:04:14Speaker 2: ballots are sent out, whether the coronavirus cases are going
- 1:04:19Speaker 2: to spike in the lead up to election day that
- 1:04:21Speaker 2: could impact the ability of people to vote in person.
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: And so the more states that you're able to be
- 1:04:28Speaker 2: competitive in, the better chance you have. And that's ultimately
- 1:04:31Speaker 2: what this gives Biden. It gives his campaign flexibility to
- 1:04:35Speaker 2: pursue as many paths as possible. And Trump is once again,
- 1:04:37Speaker 2: trying to draw an inside straight. Now, before we get cocky,
- 1:04:40Speaker 2: he drew, he drew one last time.
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: He drew last time, but you know, Axios has the
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: story this morning about how, you know, Trump officials and
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: senior campaign officials in the Trump campaign are bracing for
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: a loss, you know, but when you really dig into
- 1:04:52Speaker 1: the piece, Bill Stepien, the campaign manager, basically, they're basically
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: giving up on Wisconsin and Michigan. It looks like they're,
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: they don't think that they can win Wisconsin and Michigan
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: right now, which, but, the path to victory, if they
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: lose Wisconsin and Michigan is still, they win Pennsylvania, they
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: win Florida, they win Arizona, they win North Carolina. And
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: then of course the ones like, you know, the outside shots, Ohio, Iowa, Georgia, they,
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: they win those too. But that would be now it
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: would be if, if they won, if they win Pennsylvania,
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: Florida and Arizona and the second congressional district in Maine. Um,
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: and then we don't win the second congressional district in
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: Nebraska and then it would be 269, 269, which is
- 1:05:38Speaker 1: fucking nightmare. But if we did win the second congressional district,
- 1:05:42Speaker 1: then Joe Biden would hit 270 and it would be
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: by one. But so that's how, just to say, that's
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: how narrow the path is, but still a possible path, right?
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: Like we have not put Pennsylvania away. Joe Biden has
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: not put Pennsylvania away. He has not put Florida away.
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: He has not put Arizona away. And the Trump campaign
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: knows that. And so they are, that's their inside straight.
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: And like we said, he did it last time, but
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: we'll see.
- 1:06:04Speaker 5: We'll see. $ 400 million.
- 1:06:06Speaker 2: But it's like Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and their campaign
- 1:06:09Speaker 2: work their ass off to raise all that money, grassroots donors,
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: a gazillion events, everything, just tremendous enthusiasm support. And then
- 1:06:19Speaker 2: Sheldon Adelson and his wife wrote an $ 85 million check
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: to preserve American Republican super PAC that is going back
- 1:06:26Speaker 2: up on air in the exact state you mentioned right
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: now as we speak. Which is a testament to why
- 1:06:30Speaker 2: we have to absolutely fix our campaign finance system, but
- 1:06:32Speaker 2: it just shows the challenges the Democrats.
- 1:06:34Speaker 5: Are up against.
- 1:06:34Speaker 3: That's right.
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: All right.
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: So keep working hard.
- 1:06:37Speaker 2: All right.
- 1:06:37Speaker 1: When we come back, we'll have Dan's interview with Pennsylvania
- 1:06:41Speaker 1: Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman.
- 1:06:51Speaker 2: He's Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, John Fetterman. Welcome to Pod
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: Save America.
- 1:06:54Speaker 5: Thank you for having me.
- 1:06:55Speaker 2: There is probably no state... in the country that Democrats
- 1:06:59Speaker 2: are more worried about than Pennsylvania? What's happening on the
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: ground there right now with less than three weeks to
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: go before the election?
- 1:07:05Speaker 8: Well, I think the vice president is a particularly strong
- 1:07:08Speaker 8: candidate for Pennsylvania for any number of reasons. I've always
- 1:07:12Speaker 8: maintained that the secret to winning Pennsylvania, electorally speaking, lay
- 1:07:17Speaker 8: in the margins of the red rural counties. There's typically
- 1:07:22Speaker 8: around 55 or so red counties in in any given
- 1:07:27Speaker 8: election cycle. And each individual county doesn't have a lot
- 1:07:32Speaker 8: of votes that would necessarily swing the election, but as
- 1:07:35Speaker 8: one would go, they stack one on top of each
- 1:07:38Speaker 8: other and it adds up pretty quickly. And that's how
- 1:07:40Speaker 8: Donald Trump won in 2016. The vice president is more
- 1:07:45Speaker 8: popular across the board than Secretary Clinton was in 2016.
- 1:07:49Speaker 8: So that dynamic I think is working. That being said,
- 1:07:53Speaker 8: the president remains very popular and has a very distinct
- 1:07:57Speaker 8: and loyal following here in Pennsylvania. And I think Pennsylvania
- 1:07:59Speaker 8: should be treated as a margin play, even though the
- 1:08:02Speaker 8: dynamic is different.
- 1:08:04Speaker 5: In my estimation than it was in 2016.
- 1:08:07Speaker 2: What do you think has changed since 2016 within the
- 1:08:11Speaker 2: Pennsylvania electorate?
- 1:08:13Speaker 8: I think one of the key things that's changed that
- 1:08:15Speaker 8: is absent in my experience that was very prevalent in
- 1:08:19Speaker 8: 2016 was convincing the left flank of our party to engage. Uh, during,
- 1:08:25Speaker 8: during the 16, I was a surrogate for secretary Clinton
- 1:08:29Speaker 8: and I was often kind of labeled a sellout or like,
- 1:08:32Speaker 8: you know, what are you doing? You know, shillery and
- 1:08:35Speaker 8: that kind of thing. What's the difference. And, and now
- 1:08:38Speaker 8: you don't hear anybody, you know, leading that charge because
- 1:08:41Speaker 8: now after four years they realized that, Hey, uh, there
- 1:08:45Speaker 8: really was a difference. Um, So there's much more unity
- 1:08:49Speaker 8: on the ground across the various factions of our party,
- 1:08:56Speaker 8: without a doubt.
- 1:08:57Speaker 5: And also, I'm also.
- 1:09:02Speaker 8: My first statewide race manager is now in charge of Pennsylvania.
- 1:09:06Speaker 8: He manages Pennsylvania for the Biden campaign. And I really
- 1:09:09Speaker 8: emphasized to Brendan when he took the job, you gotta
- 1:09:12Speaker 8: get the vice president to small county Pennsylvania. And they've
- 1:09:16Speaker 8: gone to Cambria. They've gone to Erie just a couple
- 1:09:19Speaker 8: of days ago, and they've really flipped the dynamic of
- 1:09:24Speaker 8: the Clinton campaign on. And I think overall, other factors
- 1:09:28Speaker 8: make it much more favorable than it otherwise would have
- 1:09:32Speaker 8: been in 2016. They're not making that same catastrophic mistake.
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: Is there a county or something you're going to be
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: looking for on election night, Tabaz, to sort of give
- 1:09:44Speaker 2: you a sense of how to feel like what we,
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: is there a canary in the coal mine or a
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: sign of hope that you're looking for and that all
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: of our listeners should look for?
- 1:09:51Speaker 5: Yes.
- 1:09:52Speaker 8: Uh, I, I've always said, uh, tell me who wins
- 1:09:55Speaker 8: Erie County. They win Pennsylvania. And in this particular election that,
- 1:10:00Speaker 8: that will pick the president. Uh, I believe Erie is, is,
- 1:10:03Speaker 8: is Pennsylvania's premier bellwether County. And it was just ranked
- 1:10:09Speaker 8: on a recent New York times article confirming as, as such, uh,
- 1:10:14Speaker 8: And also another key one is Luzerne County as well
- 1:10:18Speaker 8: has gotten some more write-up recently. Luzerne went strong for
- 1:10:22Speaker 8: Barack Obama in 2008. He continued to carry it in
- 1:10:26Speaker 8: 2012 to Mitt Romney, although by a smaller margin. And
- 1:10:31Speaker 8: Donald Trump won it by 2016 by 20 points. And
- 1:10:35Speaker 8: that kind of remarkable swing and margin stacked one on
- 1:10:40Speaker 8: top of the other with these other 50 plus counties
- 1:10:43Speaker 8: was the decisive margin of 45,000 rough votes between him
- 1:10:49Speaker 8: and Secretary Clinton in 2016.
- 1:10:51Speaker 2: And what do you think, looking back at 16, accounted
- 1:10:54Speaker 2: for that swing? Was it, you know, sort of diminished
- 1:10:58Speaker 2: turnout on our side, you know, sort of the a
- 1:11:01Speaker 2: lot of vote switching in combination to what, you know,
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: what sort of drove that? Because I mean, you obviously
- 1:11:05Speaker 2: know this stuff a lot more deeply than I do.
- 1:11:07Speaker 2: But as someone who worked on both Obama campaigns, Pennsylvania
- 1:11:09Speaker 2: was a state that we considered very, you know, although
- 1:11:12Speaker 2: it would be close, you know, very securely in our column.
- 1:11:15Speaker 2: You know, Obama did not run ads and did not
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: campaign in Pennsylvania 2012. And it obviously shifted very dramatically.
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: And so what sort of accounted for that shift? Is
- 1:11:23Speaker 2: it was it unique to 2016 or is it part
- 1:11:25Speaker 2: of a longer term trend.
- 1:11:26Speaker 5: We should be watching? Well, I think it's I think
- 1:11:28Speaker 5: it's a little of each.
- 1:11:30Speaker 8: And to your point, yeah, Barack Obama did fabulously well.
- 1:11:34Speaker 8: And when you look at some of the counties, he
- 1:11:36Speaker 8: won in 08 and 012. It's remarkable the way that,
- 1:11:39Speaker 8: and then when you consider the way the map looks today,
- 1:11:42Speaker 8: or looked in 2016 and is looking in 2020. What's
- 1:11:48Speaker 8: changed also is that Pennsylvania is switching too. The Southeast
- 1:11:55Speaker 8: is becoming more blue, but the Southwest is becoming more red.
- 1:11:59Speaker 8: So it's like for every county we pick up in SEPA,
- 1:12:02Speaker 8: We lose one in southwestern Pennsylvania. Another key dynamic, no
- 1:12:07Speaker 8: one thought Donald, the Clinton campaign never thought Donald Trump
- 1:12:10Speaker 8: could win Pennsylvania, to your point, after the Obama performance.
- 1:12:15Speaker 8: And they created this illusion that if you just went
- 1:12:19Speaker 8: to Philadelphia and Pittsburgh and had big rallies and drew
- 1:12:22Speaker 8: out the margin in Allegheny County in Philadelphia, that would
- 1:12:25Speaker 8: be sufficient in the collar counties. And they realized that
- 1:12:30Speaker 8: after it was over, that Trump synthesized margins that were
- 1:12:34Speaker 8: unprecedented in counties, picking up 75, even 80% of the vote.
- 1:12:40Speaker 8: And again, stacked on 55 counties. Actually, I think it's
- 1:12:44Speaker 8: more than that. Secretary Clinton, I think, won seven counties
- 1:12:46Speaker 8: in Pennsylvania in 2016. So you're talking 60 counties that
- 1:12:53Speaker 8: Trump won by the margins that they've never seen before.
- 1:12:56Speaker 8: And that was the deciding factor. And Joe Biden, Has
- 1:13:00Speaker 8: eaten into that one. I think his biographical roots in
- 1:13:03Speaker 8: pennsylvania is very helpful the fact that he is perceived
- 1:13:07Speaker 8: as a more um core democrat in the the obama
- 1:13:12Speaker 8: kind of mold as well as the fact that he
- 1:13:16Speaker 8: won the primary and his opponents painted him as just
- 1:13:20Speaker 8: that a an old an old school democrat somebody that's
- 1:13:23Speaker 8: no longer in touch with the party and and I
- 1:13:25Speaker 8: think now um The vice president is uniquely situated to
- 1:13:29Speaker 8: win Pennsylvania. And the Trump campaign is trying to use
- 1:13:33Speaker 8: fracking as a wedge issue or things. And that just
- 1:13:36Speaker 8: simply is unsophisticated and naive at this point, in my opinion,
- 1:13:40Speaker 8: because given the pandemic, given the George Floyd uprising, given
- 1:13:45Speaker 8: 2020 in the Supreme Court, fracking has receded into the background.
- 1:13:50Speaker 8: It is not on the minds of any voter at
- 1:13:53Speaker 8: this point in any meaningful way that's going to move
- 1:13:56Speaker 8: the poll numbers, nor can the Trump campaign redefine or
- 1:14:01Speaker 8: define the vice president in Pennsylvania, in my opinion.
- 1:14:04Speaker 2: Yeah, you brought up the Supreme Court, which I found interesting.
- 1:14:06Speaker 2: How much of a conversation is that among voters there?
- 1:14:09Speaker 2: Is that an issue that has risen more to the
- 1:14:11Speaker 2: forefront since the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg?
- 1:14:14Speaker 5: Yeah, absolutely.
- 1:14:15Speaker 8: That certainly has become an issue. But There's also a
- 1:14:19Speaker 8: resignation among Democrats that it's a foregone conclusion. And I
- 1:14:24Speaker 8: think that's why these hearings aren't getting the kind of
- 1:14:26Speaker 8: sensational coverage that other ones have gotten in the past,
- 1:14:29Speaker 8: because it's a foregone conclusion that this is going to
- 1:14:32Speaker 8: be like the last the last thing that they can do,
- 1:14:35Speaker 8: the last victory lap before the election. So, and then
- 1:14:42Speaker 8: I think if Joe Biden wins, I think the real
- 1:14:44Speaker 8: problems are going to emerge, not with trying to bring
- 1:14:47Speaker 8: the right more unified, it's gonna be among the Democratic Party,
- 1:14:52Speaker 8: because I think you're going to see a lot of
- 1:14:54Speaker 8: factions of our party that are now very united in
- 1:14:57Speaker 8: defeating Donald Trump right now.
- 1:14:59Speaker 5: Suddenly, if Joe Biden does win, particularly if we take
- 1:15:02Speaker 5: the Senate, would.
- 1:15:06Speaker 8: Immediately become much more like, hey, this is a priority.
- 1:15:09Speaker 8: We got to make this happen. It's going to be,
- 1:15:11Speaker 8: I think, difficult to kind of keep a direction.
- 1:15:16Speaker 2: You know, when you talked about Biden's strength in Pennsylvania
- 1:15:20Speaker 2: vis-a-vis Hillary Clinton in 16, a lot of the, you know,
- 1:15:24Speaker 2: a lot of the sort of the words you use
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: are unique to Biden, right? He obviously has Pennsylvania roots.
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: That is not something that is necessarily replicable. He is
- 1:15:34Speaker 2: to the, you know, he won the primary in part
- 1:15:36Speaker 2: by being either Because of or despite being closer to
- 1:15:40Speaker 2: the center than probably the median primary voting Democrat, you know,
- 1:15:45Speaker 2: if Biden is able to hold on and win Pennsylvania,
- 1:15:48Speaker 2: he does it, you know, in part because of these
- 1:15:50Speaker 2: sort of the anomalous characteristics of his candidacy. It sort
- 1:15:55Speaker 2: of portends that Pennsylvania could continue to slide in the
- 1:15:58Speaker 2: red direction in future elections. And that's, you know, 20
- 1:16:01Speaker 2: electoral votes. What do you think the party needs to
- 1:16:04Speaker 2: do to stop that from happening over the long term
- 1:16:06Speaker 2: in Pennsylvania? Can we keep it a bluish purple state?
- 1:16:10Speaker 5: No, I believe we are going to keep it a
- 1:16:12Speaker 5: blue state. I really do.
- 1:16:16Speaker 8: The suburbs in SEPA continue to expand and swell with support. Again,
- 1:16:22Speaker 8: I return to that. If you are able to cut
- 1:16:26Speaker 8: off the Trump margin, and it's a specific term, then
- 1:16:31Speaker 8: that sucks all the oxygen out of the room for
- 1:16:33Speaker 8: Trump or any statewide Republican candidate. And that means investing,
- 1:16:39Speaker 8: whether it's in broadband or in infrastructure or in health
- 1:16:43Speaker 8: care across these counties that have been utterly left behind
- 1:16:46Speaker 8: in many parts of Pennsylvania in these regions. And that's
- 1:16:49Speaker 8: one of my pet issues is legalizing marijuana because I
- 1:16:52Speaker 8: think it would benefit red.
- 1:16:54Speaker 5: County farmers across Pennsylvania.
- 1:16:57Speaker 8: Not allowing or ignoring 50 plus counties across Pennsylvania simply
- 1:17:03Speaker 8: because they don't have the huge population centers is critical
- 1:17:06Speaker 8: to Pennsylvania's fortune. In 2019, we had a superior court
- 1:17:11Speaker 8: race and there were four candidates for two slots and
- 1:17:14Speaker 8: there were two Republicans, two Democrats, and they split the
- 1:17:17Speaker 8: vote right down the middle. And then among those four candidates,
- 1:17:20Speaker 8: there was one half of 1% separated all of them.
- 1:17:23Speaker 8: So Pennsylvania is very solidly a blue state. When we
- 1:17:26Speaker 8: are able to redistrict our state legislature after the 2020 census,
- 1:17:33Speaker 8: I think we'll have a legislator much more in line
- 1:17:36Speaker 8: with the democratic will of Pennsylvania. We got new congressional districts.
- 1:17:40Speaker 8: And I think you'll see, and we also are in
- 1:17:43Speaker 8: a position to potentially take back the state house as
- 1:17:45Speaker 8: well too. So I think we are trending bluer but
- 1:17:49Speaker 8: we need to make sure we are making strategic investments,
- 1:17:53Speaker 8: both from a moral perspective, as far as I'm concerned,
- 1:17:55Speaker 8: but a strategic one in smaller red County, rural Pennsylvania.
- 1:18:00Speaker 2: And so that, so the sort of the key to
- 1:18:02Speaker 2: holding on to Pennsylvania in addition to your position on marijuana,
- 1:18:06Speaker 2: which I very much agree with is having sort of
- 1:18:09Speaker 2: a real economic agenda that we actually deliver on is
- 1:18:13Speaker 2: a huge part of that.
- 1:18:14Speaker 4: Is that right?
- 1:18:15Speaker 5: Absolutely.
- 1:18:16Speaker 8: There's some people in my party that get frustrated that,
- 1:18:18Speaker 8: They think the key is to tease out new turnout
- 1:18:21Speaker 8: in Philadelphia and recruit more voters.
- 1:18:24Speaker 5: And that's great.
- 1:18:26Speaker 8: And at the expense of these more rural, older, you know,
- 1:18:31Speaker 8: working class voters, what have you.
- 1:18:33Speaker 5: And I'm like, why would you ignore one or the other?
- 1:18:36Speaker 8: It's like, yes, vote. You don't have to choose one
- 1:18:39Speaker 8: or the other. I would not get overly invested in
- 1:18:42Speaker 8: that there's one true narrative. But what is undeniable is
- 1:18:46Speaker 8: that Trump threaded the needle in 2016 by formulating margins
- 1:18:50Speaker 8: that were unprecedented and unanticipated by the Clinton campaign and
- 1:18:54Speaker 8: that's why and that's how he won and You know
- 1:18:58Speaker 8: the governor and I ran in 2018 less than two
- 1:19:01Speaker 8: years after Trump did and we had a swing of
- 1:19:03Speaker 8: over 900,000 votes so, you know, we carried our state
- 1:19:07Speaker 8: by 850,000 votes so This idea that there are just
- 1:19:13Speaker 8: irredeemably racist or red parts of Pennsylvania that won't move,
- 1:19:17Speaker 8: that's just not true. I wouldn't be sitting here as
- 1:19:19Speaker 8: your Lieutenant Governor if that was the case. Pennsylvania responds
- 1:19:24Speaker 8: to agenda and our agenda needs to be firmly centered
- 1:19:27Speaker 8: in making sure that no region of Pennsylvania gets left
- 1:19:31Speaker 8: behind the way some of these parts objectively have.
- 1:19:35Speaker 2: So last question for you, what advice are you giving
- 1:19:40Speaker 2: people in Pennsylvania about how to vote, given some of
- 1:19:42Speaker 2: the concerns about mail balloting and the Supreme Court decision
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: that makes it, I think, impossible to fix a rejected ballot?
- 1:19:50Speaker 5: Sure.
- 1:19:51Speaker 8: Well, as of the last count, we have over 2.6
- 1:19:54Speaker 8: million ballots for mail requested, and more than 97% of
- 1:19:59Speaker 8: them have gone out. And what I'm telling people is
- 1:20:03Speaker 8: trust the United States Postal Service. I think some people
- 1:20:06Speaker 8: forget that When you mail your ballot, and Pennsylvania has
- 1:20:09Speaker 8: already paid the postage, so you don't even have to
- 1:20:11Speaker 8: provide a stamp, is that it's a local delivery. It's
- 1:20:14Speaker 8: not like they're not all sent to Anchorage, Alaska, and
- 1:20:16Speaker 8: then sent back and through somewhere. It can go as
- 1:20:20Speaker 8: little as five blocks if you're in Philadelphia. I mean,
- 1:20:22Speaker 8: this is not a complex logistical issue. And vote by
- 1:20:27Speaker 8: mail in Pennsylvania works. We didn't have one single instance
- 1:20:30Speaker 8: of fraud detected in our June primary. And I'm telling folks,
- 1:20:33Speaker 8: trust the United States Postal Service. And if you insist,
- 1:20:36Speaker 8: go ahead and drop it off at a drop box.
- 1:20:39Speaker 8: What I am concerned about and what I have sounded
- 1:20:41Speaker 8: the alarm, in my opinion, is these folks that say,
- 1:20:44Speaker 8: I've been spooked by the chaos that the other side's
- 1:20:49Speaker 8: trying to foment about vote by mail.
- 1:20:51Speaker 5: I'm going to vote in person.
- 1:20:52Speaker 8: But the problem is, is that you must bring your
- 1:20:55Speaker 8: ballot and your envelope and everything into entirety or you
- 1:20:59Speaker 8: can't vote on election day. unless you cast a provisional ballot.
- 1:21:04Speaker 8: And that's an entirely longer, in-depth process that the system
- 1:21:09Speaker 8: was not designed to accommodate. And that would blow up
- 1:21:11Speaker 8: the lines and create mass scale chaos. And I think
- 1:21:15Speaker 8: that with 2.6 million ballots, if that affects just 10%
- 1:21:20Speaker 8: of voters, you're talking a significant number of votes that
- 1:21:23Speaker 8: could be thrown into play, given that idea that you
- 1:21:27Speaker 8: can't just show up and say, well, I threw it
- 1:21:30Speaker 8: out or I lost it or I didn't bring all
- 1:21:31Speaker 8: of it.
- 1:21:33Speaker 5: And that's why I'm.
- 1:21:34Speaker 8: Telling people, look, don't let the misinformation and the lies
- 1:21:38Speaker 8: spook you from voting for a male. That is a solid,
- 1:21:42Speaker 8: secure and true way to vote in Pennsylvania.
- 1:21:45Speaker 2: Well, thank you so much. This was fascinating. We are
- 1:21:47Speaker 2: going to be watching Erie and Luzerne County now very
- 1:21:50Speaker 2: closely because of this interview. And thanks for everything you're
- 1:21:52Speaker 2: doing and good luck down the stretch here.
- 1:21:54Speaker 5: Thanks again for having me on.
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: Thanks to Lieutenant Governor Fetterman for joining us today. Everyone
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: have a great weekend and we will see you next week.
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: I think next week we're going to do Monday, Wednesday,
- 1:22:08Speaker 1: Friday again because we have the, I think, last scheduled
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: debate next Thursday night.
- 1:22:15Speaker 2: Look, I think we're going Monday, Wednesday, Friday, no matter what.
- 1:22:17Speaker 2: So if Trump cancels that debate, we'll still be here.
- 1:22:21Speaker 2: We'll pass our test and we'll be here.
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: Have a good weekend. Go make some phone calls.
- 1:22:24Speaker 5: Bye. Bye.
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: Pod Save America is a Cricket Media production. The executive
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