Latest / Investor Exchange / Why British & Malayan Holdings HY2025 Loss Masks A High-Growth Pivot
Transcript
- 0:02Time for another Investor Exchange podcast. Here are your hosts, Matt and Sally.
- 0:07Welcome back to another Deep Dive. Today, we are opening a file that looks at
- 0:14first glance like a pretty standard financial report.
- 0:16A very old, very established company. Right. But when you start to peel back
- 0:20the layers, it feels a lot less like accounting and, I don't know,
- 0:25more like a detective story. It really does.
- 0:27We're looking at British and Malayan Holdings Limited, or BMH.
- 0:31And for anyone who doesn't know, this isn't some flashy tech company.
- 0:36Not at all. These guys have been around for over a century. They're in the business
- 0:39of trust. I mean, literally.
- 0:41Trustee services for families, corporations. It's usually a very steady,
- 0:46predictable world. Usually.
- 0:47But the financial results they just put out for the half year ending December
- 0:5031st, 2025 are, well, anything but sleepy.
- 0:55It's a classic good news, bad news situation.
- 0:57That's the perfect way to put it. The tension is real.
- 1:00On one hand, you have the income statement showing some, you know,
- 1:03really impressive growth. Revenue is climbing.
- 1:05But on the other hand, you have the balance sheet and the cash flow statement,
- 1:08which tell a story of some pretty significant cash burn. And that's our mission today.
- 1:13We're going to put on our investor hat. We need to figure out if this is a company
- 1:16that's successfully turning a corner or if they're burning the furniture to keep the house warm.
- 1:22It's a vivid analogy, but it's an appropriate one. And our evidence for this
- 1:26is the half year announcement and their financial statements.
- 1:29OK, so let's start with the good news side of the ledger. You just looked at
- 1:33the top line, the revenue. Right.
- 1:36You'd probably be pretty happy. You might be. The headline number is $877,000
- 1:42in revenue for the half year.
- 1:44And that's a 17% jump compared to the same period last year.
- 1:48And that's a big deal in this industry, right?
- 1:50It is. In the world of trustee services, you don't typically see these double-digit
- 1:54growth spikes. It's a mature business.
- 1:56So yeah, 17% really stands out. Where did that come from? Was it just them raising fees on everyone?
- 2:02It doesn't look like it. It looks like genuine volume. The documents break it
- 2:06down. And the heavy lifter was trustee fees.
- 2:09That one line item was over S-602,000 dollars.
- 2:12So they're actually winning new clients. It suggests they are.
- 2:15They're getting signatures on contracts, which is the hard part.
- 2:18And that's incredibly sticky revenue, isn't it?
- 2:20I mean, once you pick a trustee, you don't just switch them out six months later. Exactly.
- 2:24The switching costs are huge. So when they land these clients,
- 2:28that sex $602,000 should, in theory, become a stream of income for years.
- 2:33That's the bull case. I also saw another number in there that caught my eye.
- 2:37Other service fees. The jump was pretty wild.
- 2:40It was. It went from about $502,000 last year to over S-273,000 this year.
- 2:48More than double. What kind of thing falls into that bucket?
- 2:50It's likely ancillary services, maybe, you know, tax filing help,
- 2:55special administration fees, or maybe one-off setup fees for those new clients.
- 2:59It's a good sign. Shows they're not a one-trick pony.
- 3:01Right. They're finding more ways to monetize their client ways.
- 3:04Okay, so the core engine is revving up. But there's a second engine here,
- 3:07and it's a line item that can be confusing.
- 3:10Share of profit from equity-accounted associate. Right. It's a bit technical,
- 3:15but it's crucial for BMH.
- 3:17The simple way to think about it is, imagine you own a restaurant,
- 3:20but you also bought a 30% steak in the bakery next door.
- 3:24You don't run the bakery. But because you own a big chunk of it,
- 3:27accounting rules let you claim 30% of their profit on your own income statement.
- 3:32So BMH has a bakery next door that's doing really well. In a manner of speaking, yes.
- 3:37And this associate is having a great year. The profit share from it jumped to S$353,000.
- 3:43That's up from just $72,000 the previous year. Wow, it more than doubled.
- 3:48It did. But I have to be the skeptic here.
- 3:52Is that S-153,000 actual cash in the bank, or is it just a number on a spreadsheet
- 3:58to make the profit look better? That is the key question.
- 4:01Generally, with equity accounting, it's a paper profit unless that associate pays out a dividend.
- 4:06It boosts their total income line to S-1.1 million dollars, but it doesn't necessarily
- 4:11help them pay the rent on Friday.
- 4:13And that's a vital distinction because despite all this growth,
- 4:16when we get to the bottom line, the picture changes a lot.
- 4:20It really does. Despite $1.1 million in total income, they posted a loss.
- 4:25A loss of S714,000.
- 4:28Correct.
- 4:29Now, to be fair, management will point out that this is an improvement.
- 4:33Last year, the loss was $793,000.
- 4:36So they've trimmed it by about 10%. Right. They're moving in the right direction.
- 4:40Sure. Less bad is better than worse. But a $700,000 loss on S1.1 million of
- 4:46income is still a pretty steep deficit.
- 4:49Where's all that money going? It's the classic problem for a service business.
- 4:52If you look at the expenses, one number just blocks out the sun.
- 4:56Employee benefits. Salaries, bonuses, all that. Right. That number was $1.04 million.
- 5:02Wait, hold on. Let's do the math on that. Their revenue from customers was $877,000. Yep.
- 5:08And their staff costs alone were over a million dollars.
- 5:12That's it. So before they pay for rent or electricity or a single paperclip,
- 5:15they're already underwater just on salaries. That sounds like a structural problem. It is.
- 5:18Now, the good news, if you can call it that, is that staff costs were flat compared
- 5:22to last year. So they're controlling headcount.
- 5:25But they're stuck with this high fixed cost base. But if staff costs were flat
- 5:30and revenue went up, the loss should have shrunk by more than it did.
- 5:34Something else must have gone up. You're spotting the leak. You have to look at other expenses.
- 5:39That bucket jumped 25% to S-678,000 dollars.
- 5:44That's a big jump. What's in there? The notes are pretty specific.
- 5:47Professional fees and commission expenses.
- 5:49Ah, commissions. Yes. So let's go back to that growth story.
- 5:53We said revenue is up 17 percent, and that's great. But if commissions are way
- 5:58up, aren't they just buying that revenue?
- 6:00That's the cynical but very valid take. It's their customer acquisition costs.
- 6:05They're paying intermediaries, maybe financial advisors, maybe lawyers to refer
- 6:10clients. So the big question is about sustainability.
- 6:12If they stop paying those commissions, does the revenue growth just stop? It might.
- 6:18But here's the counter argument. In this business, you pay the commission once,
- 6:23but the client might pay you fees for 20 years. The lifetime value argument.
- 6:27Exactly. So spending $50,000 now to get a client who pays you S $10,000 a year
- 6:33for a decade is a fantastic investment.
- 6:37It requires cash. You have to survive that upfront payment.
- 6:40Which brings us to the part of the report that really got my attention,
- 6:43the cash position. This is where the story gets a little scary.
- 6:47Let's slow down here because the numbers are stark. Yeah. Let's go back to June 2025.
- 6:52How much cash did they have? In June, the group had about $4.435 million in
- 6:58cash and equivalents, a healthy amount. Okay, sample $4.4 million.
- 7:01Now fast forward just six months to December. What's left? It dropped to S3.277 million dollars.
- 7:07That's a drop of over 1.1 million dollars in six months. Yes.
- 7:11Let's break that down. S1.1 million dollars.
- 7:14It's roughly, what, S42,000 dollars flying out the door every single week?
- 7:17When you put it like that, it really highlights the burn rate.
- 7:20And remember, their accounting loss was only $714,000.
- 7:23So the cash burn is actually much higher than the reported loss.
- 7:26So where did the extra cash go? It's a mix of working capital changes and some investing activities.
- 7:32But regardless of where it went, the fact is the liquidity pool drained by 25% in half a year.
- 7:38And if you're a shareholder, that trend is terrifying.
- 7:42Simple math says you have about 18 months before the lights go out.
- 7:45That would be true if cash were their only liquid asset. But we need to look
- 7:50at the safety net. This is why they aren't in immediate danger.
- 7:53OK, what's the safety net? They have a line item called other financial assets.
- 7:56It's worth about several hundred two point two million dollars.
- 8:00And what's in there? Is it some, you know, hard to sell property?
- 8:03No, it's actually very high quality. The notes say it's Singapore government
- 8:07treasury bills and commercial paper.
- 8:08T-bills. OK, so that's basically cash. You can sell those in minutes. Precisely.
- 8:12So to get the real liquidity picture, you add the S3.2 million dollar cash to
- 8:16the S2.2 million dollars in these investments.
- 8:19That gives them roughly 5.5 million dollars in total liquid ammo.
- 8:22A 5.5 million dollar war chest.
- 8:25Okay, that changes the math. At the current burn rate, that gives them,
- 8:28what, two and a half, maybe three years? Roughly. Which is a decent runway.
- 8:33It means they don't have to panic today. They have time to let this commission strategy play out.
- 8:38There's one other hero on the balance sheet we should mention. Or the lack of one.
- 8:43Debt. Zero borrowings. In a world with volatile interest rates,
- 8:48having zero debt is a superpower.
- 8:51Imagine if they had a $5 million loan. The interest payments alone would make
- 8:55their loss so much worse.
- 8:57It gives them breathing room. A lot of it. They don't have a bank breathing down their neck.
- 9:02So they have the war chest, they have no debt, but they are still bleeding cash.
- 9:07What's the plan to stop the bleeding? Well, management's commentary on the outlook is sober.
- 9:12They call the domestic trust business competitive and challenging.
- 9:16Which is corporate speak for it's really hard to make money right now.
- 9:19It is. But they say they're working on increasing BMT's profile.
- 9:23That's their subsidiary and strengthening the pipeline.
- 9:26Which lines up with spending on commissions. Exactly.
- 9:28They're trying to grow their way out of the problem. But there was a cryptic
- 9:32little sentence in there.
- 9:33It was vague, but it felt important. Did you see the bit about partners? I did.
- 9:39They said they are in discussions for new opportunities with prospective partners.
- 9:44Let's read between the lines. Why does a century-old trustee company suddenly
- 9:48need a prospective partner? I think it comes down to one word.
- 9:52Scale. The fixed costs in this industry, compliance, IT, legal,
- 9:57are astronomical. It costs almost the same to run a trust company with 100 clients
- 10:02as it does with 1,000. Exactly.
- 10:04And BMH is small. They might be realizing they just don't have the scale to
- 10:08be profitable on their own anymore.
- 10:10So a partner could mean a merger or an alliance to share costs. It could be.
- 10:15Or it could be a signal that they're open to being acquired.
- 10:18If you have a valuable license, a century of brand heritage,
- 10:22and a clean balance sheet, but you can't make a profit.
- 10:25Sometimes the best move is to sell to someone who can. That has a whole other
- 10:28layer of intrigue for an investor.
- 10:30It's a definite possibility. And you can see the pressure building when you
- 10:34look at the net asset value or NAV. Right. The book value of the company.
- 10:38The NAV per share dropped from 94 cents in June to 86 cents in December.
- 10:43That's a nearly 10% drop in six months. That's the cost of this turnaround.
- 10:48They're spending the company's equity to try and restart the growth engine.
- 10:52As an investor, your slice of the pie is shrinking today in the hope that it
- 10:56creates a much bigger pie tomorrow.
- 10:58It's a race against time. And speaking of shareholder value...
- 11:02I assume there was no dividend. No, no dividend declared. And honestly,
- 11:06if they had paid one while burning S1.1 million dollars in cash,
- 11:10that would be a huge red flag. It would be totally irresponsible.
- 11:13Completely. Management said they are conserving cash for business growth.
- 11:17It's the only logical move they could make. Okay, so let's wrap this up.
- 11:21We've gone from revenue spikes to cash drains.
- 11:23If you had to give the bull case and the bear case for BMH right now, what would they be?
- 11:28The bull case is that this is a turnaround story in the making.
- 11:31Revenue is growing at 17 percent. They have a perfect balance sheet with zero
- 11:35debt and a $5.5 million cushion.
- 11:37And there's the wild card of a strategic partnership or even a buyout.
- 11:41That's something telling.
- 11:42OK, now the bear case. The bear case is that the core economics are broken.
- 11:47They're losing over $700,000 a half year.
- 11:50Their staff costs alone are more than their revenue.
- 11:54And the growth they're seeing is expensive. It's bought with commissions.
- 11:59It really does come down to that raise.
- 12:01Can revenue grow fast enough to cover those fixed costs before the cash runs
- 12:05out? That is the essential equation.
- 12:07They are in a transition, transitions are expensive, and they're risky.
- 12:11But they're also where the biggest opportunities can be found.
- 12:14So for the listener who's been with us, what's the one question they should
- 12:17be asking themselves as they look at this?
- 12:19I would look past the accounting laws for a second and ask this.
- 12:22Is the core business model scalable?
- 12:25We saw that staff costs are flat while revenue is rising. That's the key.
- 12:29If they can double their revenue without doubling staff.
- 12:33This becomes a cash machine. But if every new dollar of revenue needs a new
- 12:37dollar of expense... And they're just running on a treadmill.
- 12:40Watch that operating leverage. That's the signal. Are they building a software
- 12:43company that scales or a consultancy that doesn't? That's the distinction, exactly.
- 12:47Well, British and Malayan Holdings has definitely given us a lot to chew on today.
- 12:52A century-old mystery with a very modern problem.
- 12:55It will be fascinating to see what the full-year results look like.
- 12:58We will definitely be here to cover it. Thanks for guiding us through the numbers. My pleasure.
- 13:02And thanks to you for listening. We'll see you on the next Deep Dive.
- 13:06This content is intended to serve strictly and only as an informational,
- 13:10independent, objective summary of recent events and should in no way be interpreted,
- 13:16construed, or relied upon by any party as inside information or financial advice.