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UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Fall system's going clear the left of.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: What is going on?
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: Everybody happy Wednesday doing this day early. I'm headed out
• 0:41
  Speaker 3: to Colorado tomorrow and we have Matt Ka Kenny w
• 0:47
  Speaker 3: what's going on, Kenny Sheets Ricardo? Yeah, I think that's
• 0:51
  Speaker 3: all for Matt Ky Sheets, Kenny Ricardo heading to Philadelphia
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: where this is fight's taking place UFC three thirty for
• 0:59
  Speaker 3: the live final.
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: Congrats to you guys.
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: I believe there's fifteen people and we have four of
• 1:03
  Speaker 3: them from ship in Nation headed over there. Big props
• 1:06
  Speaker 3: to you guys, Big congrats two hundred and fifty k
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: up top for this one. That's gonna be a lot
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: of fun. We are looking at twelve fights for this car.
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: Two five rounders Islam makachev Ian, Gary McKenzie, Durn Jillian
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: Robertson both for the titles. So we have two five
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: round fights. And then we did just get news that
• 1:24
  Speaker 3: this morning that it was supposed to be Jose Achoa
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: Charles Johnson a Choa was a big boy favorite. He
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: is out in steps Eduardo Chapelin. We do not have
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: any odds, props anything for this fight right now. Kenny
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: says he knew a bookmaker and he has it or
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: he thinks it's going to be around minus one eighty,
• 1:42
  Speaker 3: so when we talk about it, I have not looked
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: at it at all. We can kind of go base
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: on a minus one eighty plus one fifty number. Regardless,
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: though Charles Johnson will definitely be one of the most
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: popular fighters on the slid at only sixty nine hundred,
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: will only be more popular if the line is closer
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: and if the fight's expected to go to since Charles
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: Johnson throws decent amount of volume, but dogs are relatively
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: tough to come by. A lot of big favorites on
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: this card. Another thing, you can see the first eight
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: fights we're gonna talk about all expected to go the distance. Wait, nine, eleven, ten,
• 2:15
  Speaker 3: Actually the first nine one two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine,
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: all of these fights are expected to finish. I don't
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: know if I said go the distance, I'm a little
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: thrown off, but yeah, nine are expected to finish. We
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: will see about the Johnson Chaplin fight. Two of the
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: five rounders are expected to go the distance slightly obviously
• 2:34
  Speaker 3: we know though they can still get there with big
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: scores even if it does go the distance. Hope everybody
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: out there doing well, time to bring in Big Marley.
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: You can see that. Not that his normal set up
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: some technical difficulties prior, but we do have him live
• 2:47
  Speaker 3: with us right now.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, man.
• 2:50
  Speaker 4: For some reason, my WiFi went out right before we
• 2:52
  Speaker 4: started the show, so hopefully everything is all right through
• 2:54
  Speaker 4: the phone.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep trying to get it to go if
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: I can during the show, but we'll see how it goes.
• 3:00
  Speaker 4: He said, Kenny thinks it's gonna be minus one eighty
• 3:02
  Speaker 4: minus one eighty four.
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: Who chapelin Eduardo Johnson the Dog?
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, I just did. Like that was the last
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: thing I gotta do.
• 3:10
  Speaker 4: I watched some highlights on Eduardo and then it all
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: went out, so I have just a basic understanding of
• 3:16
  Speaker 4: who he even is.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: But he looks pretty decent. So I think I'm ready
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: to rock and roll.
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: If you are cool, Yeah, I'm ready to rock and roll.
• 3:23
  Speaker 3: That one I have not looked into. I will admit
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: I am waiting for lines to come out, for props
• 3:28
  Speaker 3: to come out, and then if it is minus one
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: eighty range, Eduardo will be either eighty five hundred or
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: eighty seven hundred.
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: Since we know that DraftKings does not like to price
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: people the same.
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: Those are the two open spots that he will be
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: priced into right there.
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I got nothing else to add. Again, all we
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: asked for is the like button and substribe button helps
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: us out a ton.
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: We're gonna start bottom the top, like always, with the
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: biggest favorite and the highest price fighter on the card.
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: Mitzebec oral By minus nine hundred taken on Jeremiah Wells
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: plus six thirteen minus two hundred for this fight to finish.
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: Orbi minus won seventy five inside the.
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: Distance Wells plus eight point fifty Orbi in round one
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: plus two forty. Many of you guys probably remember oil
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: By's performance last time out, where he went nineteen for
• 4:16
  Speaker 3: twenty four on takedowns for twelve and a half minutes
• 4:19
  Speaker 3: of control time and one hundred and sixty eight DraftKings
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: point ninety six hundred dollars. Fighters have been biting me
• 4:25
  Speaker 3: in the ass recently. Rebeccy gets a monterter score. Yadaia
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: last week had a phenomenal score. I didn't I put
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: underweight on both of them. I was even with the
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: field and Rebecy since he came in lower O than expected.
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: Orbi not sure I can necessarily go too underweight. The
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: reason for that wells fifty percent takedown defense. I expect
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: Orbi to come out wrestle early and often. With all
• 4:50
  Speaker 3: that being said, he's still ninety six hundred and the
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: upper tier is very very loaded this week, so I
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: think he won one hundred and twenty plus from him.
• 4:57
  Speaker 3: He is very live to do, so it's obviously to
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: project someone to score one hundred and twenty DraftKings points though,
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm not playing wells. I'm definitely gonna play
• 5:05
  Speaker 3: some oral by. I'm curious to hear your take on
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: him at this ninety six hundred dollars price take.
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: Mute.
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not against it.
• 5:14
  Speaker 4: I don't love paying the ninety six hundred dollars either,
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: but for a guy who can wrestle and shoot twenty
• 5:20
  Speaker 4: plus takedowns, I'm not gonna ever x somebody out like that,
• 5:24
  Speaker 4: even if he was ninety eight hundred, to be honest
• 5:25
  Speaker 4: with you, So I'm fine with it. But it just
• 5:28
  Speaker 4: kind of depends on how many underdogs you like, what
• 5:30
  Speaker 4: other favorites you want to get to as well.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: So that's why I have it as a three star.
• 5:33
  Speaker 4: I'm absolutely fine doing whatever I can afford with oral By,
• 5:37
  Speaker 4: but I'm not gonna play any Wells. I don't see
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: how he has any advantages in this fight. He is,
• 5:42
  Speaker 4: he's powerful, he's got wrestling in his background. He could
• 5:45
  Speaker 4: get a knockout, but I really think the knockout is
• 5:48
  Speaker 4: his only real hope in this matchup, because I don't
• 5:50
  Speaker 4: see him having many to minute success against a guy
• 5:53
  Speaker 4: like oral By, who I think is a better and
• 5:56
  Speaker 4: more aggressive wrestler than he is. So I'm just gonna
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: x out Wells. If he gets that knockout, I'm screwed.
• 6:01
  Speaker 4: But Orby is gonna be my easy pick in this one,
• 6:05
  Speaker 4: and it's just gonna matter if I can afford it
• 6:07
  Speaker 4: or not. I don't really love too many underdogs on
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: this card, but there are two title fights and I'm
• 6:12
  Speaker 4: not against either one of those underdogs, So if I'm
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: playing one or either of them, then Orby just becomes
• 6:17
  Speaker 4: that much easier to click on.
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with all that dogs relatively tough, But
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: that being said, I am also a little spoiler fine
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: playing both five round fight dogs and also with Charles
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: Johnson at sixty nine hundred that also will make Orby
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: more popular with the new fight replacement Again, Johnson was
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: like a plus three to eighty three underdog, now finds
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: himself as a plus one fifty dog only sixty nine hundred.
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: That opens up when people do play him. It is
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: a lot easier to spend for Oralby. So yeah, people
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: usually only think of, oh the Johnson is now much
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: better play. His ownership goes up. It does change the
• 6:52
  Speaker 3: rest of the slate though, and I think Orby is
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: one of the biggest I don't know if you want
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: to see beneficiaries, but it's a lot easier to fit him.
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: But that raises his ownership more than it would have
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: been if a Chowa Johnson was still on the card.
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: Last thing to note on this fight or By open
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: minus four hundred now minus nine hundred. So a lot
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: of money has come in on oral Bi since open,
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: and there's been a good amount of live movement on
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: this card.
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: So that is one two note.
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: Let's go to the next fight, also a fight that
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: has had some line movement. This fight opened as a
• 7:23
  Speaker 3: straight actually it was minus one fifteen. Remis minus one
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: oh five. Neil Magni. Now Remiz has taken money, finds
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: himself as a minus one forty favorite Magni plus one
• 7:32
  Speaker 3: twenty on the way back minus two hundred for this
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: fight to finish, Rahimage plus one twenty five inside the
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: distance Magni plus two forty round one prop for Brahimage
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: opened plus three to fifteen out plus three twenty five.
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: I mean Brian Image has been good as of late.
• 7:48
  Speaker 3: He's a very good grappler. I think he has my
• 7:50
  Speaker 3: preferred play because he has a lot more round one upside.
• 7:54
  Speaker 3: I think he can submit Magni in the first round.
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: He is also six years younger. With all that being said,
• 8:00
  Speaker 3: if Brianimage can't do it early, that's where Neil Magne
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: usually makes his money, and as Bride gets buttered, he
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: extends fights he wears on his opponents can.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: Get a third round finish. I like this fight at
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: eighty two hundred.
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: Ak curiosity of your take when we talk about this
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: fight and then Gore Luke both of them in the
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: mid tier, you have them both as three stars. But
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: I do prefer this fight personally. I like Brai Image
• 8:21
  Speaker 3: is my preferred play. I think he has more round
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: one upside. With that being said, though Magne can still
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: score one hundred plus if if he wins and that
• 8:29
  Speaker 3: would be due to Brahimage hiring Magne, taking over mixing
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: and takedowns, and he has a solid inside the distance
• 8:35
  Speaker 3: prop himself again at plus two forty.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: So I'm in on this fight at eighty two hundred
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: and AK, what about you? Yeah?
• 8:42
  Speaker 4: I like it really for the same reasons Briimge is.
• 8:46
  Speaker 4: If he wins, I would imagine it's a first round.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: He is dangerous.
• 8:50
  Speaker 4: I don't really expect knockouts from him, but he's very
• 8:53
  Speaker 4: dangerous with submissions, and if he tries to wrestle aggressively,
• 8:58
  Speaker 4: I think he can get Magne down him easily and
• 9:00
  Speaker 4: maybe work his way to a back choke him out,
• 9:03
  Speaker 4: maybe even in the first sixty seconds. But if he
• 9:06
  Speaker 4: doesn't get that first round finished, I think the takedowns
• 9:08
  Speaker 4: are just gonna be harder to come by. He's gonna
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: slow down, and Magni, even at like forty years old,
• 9:14
  Speaker 4: I just don't expect him to slow down. He's a
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: cardio machine, and I think rounds two in rounds three
• 9:20
  Speaker 4: would be Magni and he could pick up the pace
• 9:22
  Speaker 4: as Brii Maich starts to slow down. So I do
• 9:26
  Speaker 4: think both guys have one hundred point potential. If Magni
• 9:29
  Speaker 4: loses the first round and doesn't score much, I would
• 9:32
  Speaker 4: worry about how much he could score in those second
• 9:34
  Speaker 4: two rounds unless he's able to get a finish of
• 9:37
  Speaker 4: his own. But really, Braimiser would be somebody I'd kind
• 9:41
  Speaker 4: of want to max at his first round prop just
• 9:43
  Speaker 4: because I don't even feel good about him winning after
• 9:46
  Speaker 4: the first round, and I really don't feel good about
• 9:48
  Speaker 4: him scoring well if it does get past the first
• 9:51
  Speaker 4: round too. I don't expect him to be chain wrestling takedowns.
• 9:54
  Speaker 4: It's just more if he gets one, he could finish
• 9:56
  Speaker 4: it early. But I think all of his wins are
• 9:59
  Speaker 4: in the first round and a half, and I would
• 10:01
  Speaker 4: expect the same thing here if he were to get
• 10:03
  Speaker 4: his hand raised.
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: I just don't trust him enough.
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: So I picked Magne's my pick to win because he
• 10:08
  Speaker 4: had the plus next to his name, But I just
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: don't expect Magne to have much first round equity himself.
• 10:14
  Speaker 4: So I think there's a wide range on both sides
• 10:16
  Speaker 4: of this one one where I'm kind of fine just throwing.
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: It into the pot.
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: If I uh am making a Magni lineup and I
• 10:23
  Speaker 4: have the two hundred dollars extra.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Let me just duplicate it. Do the same thing with
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: Briey Moush.
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't argue that at all.
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: And actually, the more you talk and the more I
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: thought about it, I don't know that necessarily. If I'm
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: gonnat cap Brian Midge at is round one, that's plus
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: three twenty five, that's twenty three and a half percent.
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: But I guess I don't want too much more than
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: that because yeah, second round Brie Image finished. Let's say
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: he scores ninety six. I mean, you take ninety six
• 10:48
  Speaker 3: all day at eighty two hundred. But again, right now,
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: nine of the twelve fights are expected to finish. All
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: these first nine fights we talk about are gonna finish.
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: We're gonna see some big boys scores on this one,
• 10:59
  Speaker 3: and then again the two of the three. Right now,
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: we don't know Johnson chaplain odds right now. So I mean,
• 11:05
  Speaker 3: I'm not even gonna talk about this one. But durn
• 11:07
  Speaker 3: Robertson Makacheff Gary expected to go the distance. Obviously, they're
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: five round fights. If Robertson wins, she's almost surely gonna score. Well,
• 11:15
  Speaker 3: it's kind of hard to see Gary winning and not
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: scoring well against Islam. We'll get there when we get there, though,
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: But yeah, I like Briany image. I like his round
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: one prop. I guess the more you talk, the more
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: the lead, the less interests I had in Magni, because yeah,
• 11:28
  Speaker 3: if he just gets dominated round one, taking down, spends
• 11:31
  Speaker 3: time on his back, even if he has a dominant
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: rounds two and three, like, he needs like a buzzer
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: beater finish, I think in a second or third round
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: and just a fully one way traffic to get there,
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: which he can. I mean, he had a great comeback
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: against Jake Matthews, but eight K you still need to
• 11:46
  Speaker 3: actually score at that price.
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: So Rahi Mauge definitely my preferred play.
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: Maybe a little less interest in this fight than I
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: initially had when you talked about it, but still a
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: solid one of target. Obviously, it's minus two hundred to
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: finish at eighty two hundred and eight K. Last thing
• 12:00
  Speaker 3: to note, I already mentioned the age gap, but Magni
• 12:02
  Speaker 3: is in most fights big height end reach advantage five
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: inches of height eight inches in reach. He will have
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: the advantage in this one. All right, I'll throw it
• 12:12
  Speaker 3: to you to kick off this next fight. Lucas Fernando
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: minus two eighty Rafael Tobias plus two thirty. This fight's
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: also minus two hundred to finish Fernando minus one twenty
• 12:21
  Speaker 3: five inside the distance Tobias plus four fifty Fernando round
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: one plus two to fifty.
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: What you got, Yeah.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: This is the one.
• 12:30
  Speaker 4: I really don't know too much on how it's gonna
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: play out because of the Tobias side.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: He is young.
• 12:36
  Speaker 4: I expect him to make improvements. He's He's a stocky
• 12:41
  Speaker 4: guy who has a little bit of power. He can
• 12:42
  Speaker 4: throw some LG kicks here and there, but I really
• 12:45
  Speaker 4: think he's gonna have to rely on wrestling and maybe
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: a submission game for him to win this fight, because
• 12:50
  Speaker 4: I think Fernando is gonna be the more proven, better,
• 12:54
  Speaker 4: more technical striker overall, and he's coming over as the
• 12:58
  Speaker 4: LFA champion too, has more proven experience that he's beaten
• 13:03
  Speaker 4: as well, and I think if Tobias isn't improving, I
• 13:07
  Speaker 4: would imagine Fernando's gonna get a knockout at some point.
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: So that's what I picked to happen.
• 13:12
  Speaker 4: He is my preferred play for that reason, but I
• 13:15
  Speaker 4: think there's just more unknowns on the Tobias side, and
• 13:17
  Speaker 4: if he is able to win a wrestling based game,
• 13:20
  Speaker 4: then he's got a pretty solid ceiling in his in
• 13:24
  Speaker 4: his DFS outcome, so I'm not again still he's not
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: one of my favorite underdogs that I'm looking to click on,
• 13:30
  Speaker 4: but I also think he's gonna be pretty low home
• 13:33
  Speaker 4: and maybe he could be a sneaky way to try
• 13:35
  Speaker 4: and get a solo first place, So I'm okay.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: With either side. I lifted as a three for that reason.
• 13:41
  Speaker 4: But when I'm going in to make handbill lineups, I'm
• 13:43
  Speaker 4: probably clicking on Fernando first, seeing what I could do
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: with the lineup there. If I don't love it, then
• 13:48
  Speaker 4: I'll go to other favorites, and if that leads me
• 13:50
  Speaker 4: to Tobias, then so be it. But give me Fernando
• 13:53
  Speaker 4: to get a knockout.
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: This is one of my least favorite fights on the card.
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: The reason like Mannando a ninety one hundred even if
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: he gets a first round finish, which again is plus
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: two point fifty, he's a striker durn five round fight
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: one hundred less Islam one hundred more five round fight,
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: and then there's Ribevics for more who I like. There's
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: Joel Alvarez, Dante Johnson, Jalen Turner. All those get three
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: are expected to finish inside the distance, which I probably
• 14:20
  Speaker 3: would just rather take Fernando out, leave the two hundred,
• 14:23
  Speaker 3: leave the three hundred as a way to get difference.
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: He just falls in a range that's really tough for me.
• 14:28
  Speaker 3: It will lower his ownership, It'll make him as a
• 14:31
  Speaker 3: pivot so in really chalky teams. It's not the worst idea,
• 14:34
  Speaker 3: but I prefer Tobias just because he's two k less.
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: We need dogs on this card, and if he wins,
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: it's more than likely gonna be through wrestling. I think
• 14:42
  Speaker 3: I don't think he can strike with Fernando, so I
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: think he needs a wrestle. He's plus six hundred to
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: win by sub plus one thousand to win by KO,
• 14:50
  Speaker 3: which does show that a lot of his past do
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: come on the mat. And I'll take really any win
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: at seventy one hundred this week.
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: So do I love.
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: Tobias Not really, but he's gonna be one of the
• 15:01
  Speaker 3: lower owned options in the lower tier that I do
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: have interest in.
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: As far as line movement.
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: In this one, Fernando opened minus one eighty, took all
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: the money he was minus three twenty two days ago,
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: and then there's been.
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: A little buyback on the Tobias side.
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: So yeah, obviously Fernando probably knocks him out or dominates
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: a striking decision, but that doesn't necessarily score at ninety
• 15:25
  Speaker 3: one hundred Tobias if he wins. When he wins, I
• 15:28
  Speaker 3: feel more confident he's on the optimal And yeah, I
• 15:31
  Speaker 3: mean seventy one hundred versus ninety one hundred is a
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: big difference on this card. So I'm gonna say Tobias
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: my preferred play, but one of my least favorite fights
• 15:38
  Speaker 3: to target on the card. Again, I just want to
• 15:41
  Speaker 3: say appreciate everyone hanging out with us, like Bun subscribe
• 15:44
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• 15:47
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• 15:50
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• 15:52
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• 15:59
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• 16:03
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• 16:05
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• 16:07
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  Speaker 3: in for PGAMLB, MMA, Nascar. You will get all of
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: that within this five days. PGA locks tomorrow on Thursday.
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: We also do have showdown content Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: MLB is every single day MMA of course NASCAR on Sundays.
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: A lot of great screenshots in the Nascar discord I
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: saw last week.
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: Shout out to Eric the Game, who does a phenomenal job.
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: And next thing you know, if you did do like
• 16:39
  Speaker 3: the monthly college football will be here before you know it,
• 16:42
  Speaker 3: one week before NFL and the NFL coming up to
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: so a bunch going on. If you just start saying,
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: I play MMA and I just need that single sport
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: MMA twenty nine dollars for the month, only twenty dollars
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: more if you want to add sabersim. MMA does not
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: stop cards pretty much every single week and.
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: Are very good.
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: We would love to have you and definitely do get
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: in the discord if you do join. It looks like
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: Big Marley. Let's see take him out there, at him there,
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: We got Big Marley back. All right, let's head over
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: back to the stone and we are headed to the
• 17:17
  Speaker 3: next fight on the card, another mid tier fight. Trish
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: On Gore minus one seventeen at Vicente Luke minus one
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: o three minus one sixty for this fight to finish,
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: Core plus one thirty five inside the distance Luk plus
• 17:29
  Speaker 3: two forty. Another fight with line movement, like most of
• 17:32
  Speaker 3: these have. Luke opened minus two or minus one fifty five.
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: Two minutes later he was plus one oh five and
• 17:39
  Speaker 3: then it's bounced back and forth about like fifteen to
• 17:42
  Speaker 3: twenty cents since then, but now it's minus one seventeen
• 17:46
  Speaker 3: minus one O three Gore. This is again as the
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: as you can see, of all the fights expected to
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: finish within the first nine, this is the least of
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: them to finish at minus one sixty, still a mid
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: tier fight expected to finish. I'm curious that you're taking
• 18:00
  Speaker 3: how this one goes. And then if you had to
• 18:01
  Speaker 3: pick this fight or the Brahimage Magni fight, which one
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: would you prefer. And right when I say that, I
• 18:07
  Speaker 3: don't know how long he's been gone. I was talking
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: to myself though, So I will take it away myself.
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: Big Marley comes back, we'd love it. Otherwise it'll be me.
• 18:16
  Speaker 3: Let me just remove him, let me get to and
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: bear with me throughout this. I haven't done too many
• 18:23
  Speaker 3: solo shows and it's a lot of talking, but I'll
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: do my best. Oh my gosh, that's unreal. Then I
• 18:39
  Speaker 3: actually hit the fucking back button. I know we're still
• 18:43
  Speaker 3: We're still live. I know you can hear let me
• 18:45
  Speaker 3: pull up the stone. Couldn't get any worse, Big Marley,
• 18:47
  Speaker 3: you got me all flustered, My man, you hear me,
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: Big Marley, Big Marley?
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: Do you hear me?
• 18:58
  Speaker 4: God?
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: I could not hear you. Now I can hopefully hopefully
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: that sticks up. What are we on right now?
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: Luke Gore take it away all right?
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I'll stay.
• 19:08
  Speaker 4: But uh, this is one where I feel like the
• 19:11
  Speaker 4: line was a little bit off because of Gore's last win,
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: which was impressive, And I also think we got a
• 19:18
  Speaker 4: lot of washed Luk built into this line as well.
• 19:22
  Speaker 4: But I think overall, what they have done in their careers,
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: what they are good at in the cage. I slightly
• 19:28
  Speaker 4: favored Luka in this matchup. I think he's the more
• 19:30
  Speaker 4: dangerous rappler. I think he's the more proven striker too,
• 19:34
  Speaker 4: but he is the one who has lost a step.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: On the feet.
• 19:37
  Speaker 4: I would worry about a striking match, especially if the
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: volume and the power starts adding up on the Gore side.
• 19:43
  Speaker 4: I think Gore could knock him out, But easiest path
• 19:47
  Speaker 4: to victory for Luka I think would be to.
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: Take and.
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: All right. I removed him. He was breaking up a
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: little bit and.
• 20:02
  Speaker 3: Trying to connect your audio to your air pods or
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: something if you have it. It was a little staticky too,
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: but you're good. I'm just I'm gonna remove you for
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: not or just mute yourself quick and then we'll get
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: Big Marley's take after that if he can.
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: So. Yeah, he's on the Luka side.
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: You can see from the stars, I'm on the trayschon
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: Gore side. I mean, it's hard to feel that confident
• 20:23
  Speaker 3: in a seven and four fighter, but it wasn't too
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: far removed from Luk having brain bleeds.
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: I am definitely worried about his durability.
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: I was worried about a last fight though, and he
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: costs me pretty big against Calvin Gaslam. He broke the
• 20:36
  Speaker 3: slate as a dog. He heard him submitted him. Gore
• 20:40
  Speaker 3: I think can win by knockout. He is low volume
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: so I'm a little concerned that this fight is only
• 20:45
  Speaker 3: minus one sixty to finish. The longer the fight goes,
• 20:48
  Speaker 3: even if it is a third round knockout, again, you
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: still need to score at eighty four hundred this week.
• 20:52
  Speaker 3: So I'm not in love with the Gore side, but
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: I do think he has knockout potential at any time
• 20:58
  Speaker 3: than a nasty guillotine. If luke us shoot or does
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: hurt him and then he panic wrestles, Gore can lock
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: up a guillotine as well. Again, luk skill for skill. Offensively,
• 21:09
  Speaker 3: he is the better fighter. He scored or he's finished
• 21:11
  Speaker 3: twenty one of his twenty four wins eleven Ko's ten submission.
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: He is very well rounded.
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: He's just thirty four, and that's like forty four in
• 21:19
  Speaker 3: fight years with how much damage. He's a crude. So
• 21:22
  Speaker 3: I'm on the Gore side. I don't feel too confident
• 21:24
  Speaker 3: with it. I prefer bri Image Magne if having to
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: choose the fight, and I'm an ask Big Marley hopefully
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: we got him back. You can finish what you're saying,
• 21:34
  Speaker 3: and then do you prefer the go this fight or
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: the Brahimage Magni fight.
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: Can you hear me.
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: Now, yeah, I think you sound a little better, all right.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: Coo cool.
• 21:43
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm just on the Luka side because of I
• 21:46
  Speaker 4: think he's him being a little more proven fighter all around.
• 21:49
  Speaker 4: But if he were to look to grapple, I just
• 21:52
  Speaker 4: got to give him a clear favorite in that one.
• 21:55
  Speaker 4: I don't know if you heard the beginning, but I
• 21:56
  Speaker 4: feel like the line has a lot of built in
• 21:58
  Speaker 4: Gore and his last win, which was an impressive win
• 22:02
  Speaker 4: and then washed Lukas what kind of what everyone's betting
• 22:05
  Speaker 4: on in my opinion, but I favor Luk slightly. I
• 22:08
  Speaker 4: think he's gonna be one of my highest own underdogs
• 22:10
  Speaker 4: on the card. I'll be underweight to Gore. The more
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: lineups I make, the more.
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: I'm interested in Gore.
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: But I just like other favorites too much to make
• 22:17
  Speaker 4: him one of my core plays or somebody who I'm
• 22:20
  Speaker 4: really looking to click on with my handbuilds, unless there's
• 22:23
  Speaker 4: under other underdogs like a Charles Johnson that I.
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: Hey, at least we almost got his full take on
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: that fight. You could tell he likes the Luka side.
• 22:36
  Speaker 3: One thing to note for the inside the inside the
• 22:39
  Speaker 3: distance props on both guys, Gore was plus one fifty
• 22:43
  Speaker 3: at open now plus one thirty five. Luke was plus
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: two to fifty now plus two forty. So both guys
• 22:49
  Speaker 3: individual inside the distance prop has gone the right way
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: if you do want to play it Big Marley and
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: I are on different sides, but I cannot argue if
• 22:56
  Speaker 3: I did have more Luke when it was all said
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: and done. The six hundred savings goes actually a pretty
• 23:00
  Speaker 3: long way on this card. If we ever do get
• 23:04
  Speaker 3: him back, I'll ask him which fight he prefers, Gore
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: lu K, Brahimaje Magny.
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: I prefer brahimaj Magni. If having to choose, we'll keep
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: a rolling next fight on the card. Dante Johnson minus
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: two forty five. Eric mcconico plus two oh three minus
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: two hundred for this fight to finish, Johnson minus one
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: fifteen inside the distance mcconico plus four hundred.
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean this fight is kind of weird. So
• 23:27
  Speaker 3: Dante Johnson eight to oh six wins by knockout, one
• 23:30
  Speaker 3: by submission. A very pretty poor look against Cody Brundage
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: last fight. He did win a split decision, He only
• 23:38
  Speaker 3: landed forty five significant strikes, though Short showed pretty bad
• 23:42
  Speaker 3: fight IQ mcconico on the other side eleven and four,
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: four wins by knockout, three by submission, but all four
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: of his losses have come by knockout. I'm very worried
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: about the durability, and Dante Johnson does hit very hard. Now,
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: he's very short for the division, as you can see
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: right here. He'll he had a four inch, yeah, four
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: inch height disadvantage and a three inch reach disadvantage, so
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: he has to get on the inside.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: But he is strong.
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: He can get on the inside, and when he does,
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: he will definitely have a power advantage, and mcconico's chin
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: cannot withhold the power from Johnson. With all that being said,
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: he's Johnson's eighty eight hundred coming off a complete stinker,
• 24:24
  Speaker 3: isn't gonna wrestle. I don't think too much in this fight,
• 24:27
  Speaker 3: so I think we do need a first maybe second
• 24:30
  Speaker 3: round finish for him to be optimal. And I think
• 24:33
  Speaker 3: as far as the minute winner, I expect it to
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: be competitive, so mconical. I expect to be a low
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: owned dog. I think he's very live in this fight.
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: Plus four hundred inside the distance isn't too bad. Johnson's
• 24:45
  Speaker 3: still eight to Zer kind of unproven as a pro.
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: If mcconico doesn't get cracked, I think it's gonna be
• 24:50
  Speaker 3: a pretty competitive fight. I prefer saving the fourteen hundred,
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: and a lot of that just has to do with
• 24:55
  Speaker 3: the upper tiers so so loaded on this card, So
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: I plan on capping my Johnson exposure somewhere around his
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: run one prop hiss round one prop plus two fifty
• 25:05
  Speaker 3: twenty eight point six percent. I mean that is going
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: to be his round one prop is higher than I
• 25:11
  Speaker 3: expect his ownership to be. With all that being said,
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: I don't think all of his round one wins are
• 25:16
  Speaker 3: optim on this card. You obviously take it, but we're expecting,
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: or at least i'm expecting a lot of big scores
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: in the upper tiers. So yeah, just a mid fight.
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: Meconico might prefer play. I think I'm fine with some Johnson.
• 25:28
  Speaker 3: What about you?
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean.
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I stay in here.
• 25:32
  Speaker 4: I might have to keep leaving the show and come
• 25:33
  Speaker 4: back in because you can't allow uh so I have to.
• 25:36
  Speaker 4: I have to figure what the hell's going on here.
• 25:38
  Speaker 4: But I am definitely on the meconico side for a ceiling.
• 25:41
  Speaker 4: I think he's just the more powerful striker, the more
• 25:45
  Speaker 4: imposing wrestler, the guy who's going to be pushing forward.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Kind of setting the pace.
• 25:50
  Speaker 4: I wouldn't call him like a volume striker or anything,
• 25:52
  Speaker 4: but I just expect him to be the one, you know,
• 25:55
  Speaker 4: hunting for the knockout anyway, So I do like your
• 25:59
  Speaker 4: first round on his ownership.
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: I think that does make sense.
• 26:02
  Speaker 4: I would really not feel good about him if he
• 26:05
  Speaker 4: made it at a round one unless he was gonna
• 26:07
  Speaker 4: get multiple takedowns and or multiple knockdowns, which I never
• 26:10
  Speaker 4: want to project.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: And then I agree.
• 26:13
  Speaker 4: I think mcconico is really live to win a point
• 26:16
  Speaker 4: fighting matchup here, but I don't expect him to have
• 26:19
  Speaker 4: any real ceiling. I think he could score like forty
• 26:23
  Speaker 4: five to seventy five, which maybe it could be enough
• 26:26
  Speaker 4: as an underdog. I'm not going to x him out,
• 26:28
  Speaker 4: but he's not even one of my favorite underdogs to
• 26:31
  Speaker 4: click just I'd rather have a guy who has a
• 26:33
  Speaker 4: higher ceiling and less of a chance to win than
• 26:36
  Speaker 4: a guy like mcconico, who I think if it goes
• 26:38
  Speaker 4: the distance, then he's got a decent chance of getting
• 26:40
  Speaker 4: his hand raised.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: So for me, it's gonna be more so Johnson or pass.
• 26:47
  Speaker 4: But the more lineups I make, the more I am
• 26:49
  Speaker 4: interested in mcconico, and the more I need underdogs. I mean,
• 26:52
  Speaker 4: I think Charles Johnson will probably end up opening that
• 26:55
  Speaker 4: up more than I want to get to mcconico. But
• 26:57
  Speaker 4: he'll he'll be what twice his own or something which
• 27:01
  Speaker 4: has four.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Times different Yeah.
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: Possibly, Yeah, that's kind of like Jillian robertson Charles Johnson.
• 27:08
  Speaker 3: I think the lower tier will be very concentrated this week,
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: so trying to find names that aren't like those two.
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: I don't like Jeremiah Wells much.
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: I'm fine Tobias kind of in the same boat as mcconico,
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: but I feel better about mcconico winning. I do think
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: Tobias probably has more upside in his wins. But if
• 27:26
  Speaker 3: you tell me mcconico's scoring seventy this week, I'm gonna
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: have like fifty five sixty percent. I'm taking seventy on
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: this card and running. A lot of that has to
• 27:35
  Speaker 3: do with a like, I think the upper tier just smashes,
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: and I don't love too many dogs to win. So
• 27:41
  Speaker 3: even if I know like a sixty nine hundred Charles
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: Johnson scores forty five. I really like it, like it
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: allows me to do a lot of things in the
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: upper tier. But he's gonna be a lot higher on mcconico.
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: Being thirteen percent own scoring seventy five sounds a lot
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: more appealing that way. And yeah, I think he is
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: very live in this fight. And Dante Johnson, he can
• 28:01
  Speaker 3: be a little wild, He can close the distance mechanical,
• 28:03
  Speaker 3: could maybe clip him and drop him. So I think
• 28:06
  Speaker 3: there could be possible sneaky upside on the mconico side.
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: I see we lost Big Marley again, big back man.
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: That is Hey, I love your picture. That's a sick picture.
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: But that is a very ballsy unless you're playing one team, obviously,
• 28:20
  Speaker 3: but good luck to you. That is not something I
• 28:23
  Speaker 3: will be looking to do, but I will keep that
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: in mind when watching the fight on Saturday. All Right,
• 28:28
  Speaker 3: let's get to an absolute banger. We got Jalen Turner,
• 28:31
  Speaker 3: we got Quay Fernandez. Let me get Big Marley back
• 28:34
  Speaker 3: in here. Quick Turner minus one at fifty five Quay
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: Fernandez plus one thirty five minus four hundred for this
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: fight to finish, which is the most likely on the card.
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: Turner minus one oh five inside the distance Quay Fernandez
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: plus one seventy five, turnerund one open plus two fifty
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: now plus two twenty five. I'm miss loading up on
• 28:53
  Speaker 3: this fight. But Quay Fernandez, I always like joke like, oh,
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: this guy's becoming my favorite fighter half Joe half not.
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: But what I do love is you guys know I
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: love my like kicks and Quay Fernandez is starting to
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: become the king of like kicks. Got a TKO last
• 29:09
  Speaker 3: fight by like kicks against Harry Hardwick. He is nasty,
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: nasty at range, spams them his opponent's legs. It takes
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: like two or three of them, and you can tell
• 29:19
  Speaker 3: that it starts paying or taking a toll on them.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: Once your leg's gone. In UFC, you can't explode as much.
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: Then you have to switch dances to where you're not
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: as comfortable, and it just changes the whole dimension of
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: the fight. I think Quay Fernandez is going to let
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: me remove that. I think Fernandez from the get go
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: he's gonna spam like kicks. We've seen Jalen Turner quit
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: in the past. Jalen Turner retired for a little bit
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: as well. I think Turner is gonna need this not
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: needed on the mat since he has a lot of
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: power and he's very long and hits hard. But if
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: he doesn't get takedowns, I think Fernandez is gonna be.
• 29:54
  Speaker 3: Takeover as the fight goes. I think the legs of
• 29:57
  Speaker 3: Turner will go Jalen Turner can quit. I think kway
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: Fernandez has seventy six hundred and plus money right now
• 30:03
  Speaker 3: is the side to be on. He's my pick. Turner
• 30:07
  Speaker 3: has a lot of upside, has a lot around one upside.
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: It's easier to leave money on the table when you
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: play him eighty six hundred. But Fernandez is who I
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: have more interest in. He's my pick to win.
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: And I see Big Marley has four stars, Fernandez two Turners.
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: So do you see it the same? Yeah? You can't
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: hear anything, all right?
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: Ah shit, Yeah I can't hear anything. My headphones on.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: Can you hear me?
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: Hey, just side, I'll be back.
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: I'll be back.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you're good, You're good.
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: I can just take this at this point, I might
• 30:42
  Speaker 3: as well just do it myself. Yeah, you can find
• 30:46
  Speaker 3: Big Marley in the discord as well, though. All right,
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: let's uh, let's get to the next fights. Another very
• 30:53
  Speaker 3: solid fight. Joel Alvarez and cheatya Na Joe Kwani. Minus
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: three hundred is Alvarez plus two forty five is cheating.
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: Let's uh, minus two fifty for this fight to finish
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: Alvarez minus one fifty five inside the distance cheety plus
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: four point fifty Alvarez in round one plus two hundred.
• 31:11
  Speaker 3: I mean this is an absolute banger. So I put
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: these odds up on Tuesday. It was minus two seventy
• 31:17
  Speaker 3: Alvare and Tuesday's yesterday from when we're recording the show.
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: So he goes minus two to seventy yesterday and man,
• 31:23
  Speaker 3: I just refreshed and O it's minus three thirty.
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: Someone legit.
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: Yeah, someone just hit Alvarez like minutes ago or something
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: unless I didn't refresh. So Alvarez has taken sixty cents
• 31:34
  Speaker 3: since Tuesday, eighty nine hundred. He has good money line
• 31:38
  Speaker 3: value minus one fifty five inside the distance after opening
• 31:41
  Speaker 3: minus one forty is good inside the distance prop value.
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: I always love Joel Alvarez. This dude is very, very nasty.
• 31:49
  Speaker 3: Twenty three and four used to fight at lightweight. We
• 31:52
  Speaker 3: had one of the biggest frames, Like we just talked
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: about Jaylen Turner.
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: You can see very similar, he has.
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: Finished all twenty five or excuse me, let me get
• 32:03
  Speaker 3: this right. He's only been the distance twice in twenty
• 32:06
  Speaker 3: five pro fights. Seventeen of his wins have been by submission,
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: five have been by knockout, So every single win of
• 32:13
  Speaker 3: his twenty three have come by finish majority by submission.
• 32:18
  Speaker 3: With all that being said, it's a little hard because
• 32:20
  Speaker 3: he doesn't take people down. He either drops some his
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: opponents make a mistake. He finds ways to get the
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: fight to the mat without offensive wrestling himself, which is
• 32:31
  Speaker 3: a little concerning.
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: Because Cheety is not going to wrestle.
• 32:33
  Speaker 3: He is a stone cold striker, a powerful striker at
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: that six', three just Like, alvarez will have a three
• 32:40
  Speaker 3: inch height. Advantage But ALVAREZ i still think the better.
• 32:44
  Speaker 3: MINUTE i think he's the better striker per. MINUTE i
• 32:47
  Speaker 3: like his leg, KICKS i like his. JAB i worry
• 32:50
  Speaker 3: About cheety's. Chin he's been in some. Wars and then
• 32:53
  Speaker 3: if this fight does hit the mat at any point
• 32:55
  Speaker 3: or gets down, THERE i think it'll be over very shortly.
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: After So i'm really excited for this. One i'm a
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: Big Joel alvarez. GUY i think he's better on the.
• 33:03
  Speaker 3: FEET i think he's better on the. Mat he is
• 33:06
  Speaker 3: definitely my preferred, play BUT i do worry a little,
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: Bit like over one and a half is minus one forty,
• 33:11
  Speaker 3: five it opened plus one. Twenty if this fight does
• 33:15
  Speaker 3: get to the second, round especially the third, ROUND i
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: do worry a little bit About elvaz scoring enough at
• 33:20
  Speaker 3: eighty nine, hundred SINCE i don't expect him to, wrestle
• 33:24
  Speaker 3: and especially if it's getting the third. Round if he did,
• 33:27
  Speaker 3: WRESTLE i think it'd be finished, already AND i don't
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: expect him to be landing like eight significant strikes per
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: minute or something like. That we are in The Big
• 33:34
  Speaker 3: cage In philly this, Week SO i do Like. ELVRES
• 33:38
  Speaker 3: i like minus three hundred minus one fifty five inside the,
• 33:41
  Speaker 3: distance BUT i do worry about his upside a little.
• 33:44
  Speaker 3: Bit if this fight does get, extended which it is
• 33:46
  Speaker 3: expected to, do so plus two hundred and round one For.
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: Elvrez that's thirty three. PERCENT i, mean that is really.
• 33:53
  Speaker 3: Strong i'll probably cap it somewhere about forty thirty eight Percent,
• 33:57
  Speaker 3: elvarez BUT i do think he's a very strong.
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: PLAY i LIKE.
• 34:01
  Speaker 3: CHIEDI i like him more If alvarez ownership is in
• 34:05
  Speaker 3: like the mid. Thirties the Higher alvarez, is the MORE
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: i Like chid for. Leverage he is live for a
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: knockout at any. Time he does have a lot of.
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: Power BUT i do worry that he's gonna be worried
• 34:16
  Speaker 3: about getting taken down or just staying on the. Feet
• 34:18
  Speaker 3: he's not gonna get off as much As alvarez, is
• 34:21
  Speaker 3: And alvarez we'll walk him.
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: Down So alvarez my pick to win this.
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: ONE i like him a good amount IN, dfs BUT
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: i wouldn't say and no fight in my, opinion you
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: have to go all in. On so definitely not an
• 34:33
  Speaker 3: all in fight. Here all, right let's get to the
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: next fight on the. Card the second biggest favorites actually,
• 34:40
  Speaker 3: yeah tied for the second biggest favorite now Is Es
• 34:43
  Speaker 3: rivavick's minus six Fifty Edson barbosa plus four to seventy
• 34:46
  Speaker 3: five minus two seventy for this fight to, Finish ribavis
• 34:50
  Speaker 3: minus two ten inside the Distance barbosa plus seven to
• 34:53
  Speaker 3: twenty Five Riva vix round one plus one fifty. Five
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: we're talking line. Movement whoever opened this, LINE i hope
• 35:01
  Speaker 3: he's fired by. Now you've got it or he she,
• 35:03
  Speaker 3: Whatever you got to find a new career. Path minus
• 35:06
  Speaker 3: three Hundred Edson barbosa at open somehow it took sixteen,
• 35:10
  Speaker 3: minutes so the dude must have fell asleep after making
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: the line sixteen minutes. Later Though barboso is a plus
• 35:16
  Speaker 3: two to forty five, dog now he's plus four seventy.
• 35:19
  Speaker 3: Five you can see a ten year age gap, here
• 35:22
  Speaker 3: and it just comes down to two primary, strikers one
• 35:25
  Speaker 3: of them against forty and one's, thirty And ribovis just
• 35:28
  Speaker 3: has so much more.
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: Power then you go and you look at.
• 35:31
  Speaker 3: It barbosa has been knocked out five times in his fourteen.
• 35:36
  Speaker 3: Losses riavis throws a lot of, volume is quicker Than,
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: barbosa hits, Harder he's just better at every single dimension of.
• 35:44
  Speaker 3: STRIKING i don't expect this fight to hit the. Mat
• 35:47
  Speaker 3: with all that being, Said rebovicks is ninety four. Hundred islam's, Cheaper,
• 35:52
  Speaker 3: Mackenzie dearn's, Cheaper, Alvarez, Dante, Johnson, turner and then you
• 35:57
  Speaker 3: only pay two hundred, more and then you get oral
• 35:59
  Speaker 3: by who's gonna Wrestle Wressel, Wressel SO i do expect
• 36:02
  Speaker 3: that to Keep ribevic's ownership, intact AND i end fine
• 36:06
  Speaker 3: playing Some, ribeviks even at a really tough price tag
• 36:10
  Speaker 3: In chalkier. Teams, AGAIN i Think gary's, Fine robertson's, Fine
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: Charles johnson's, Fine tobias. Mcconaco there are enough dogs in
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: this car that you can make it, work and it's
• 36:20
  Speaker 3: gonna be In chalkier teams more than likely WHEN i
• 36:23
  Speaker 3: Play ribevicks. AGAIN i talked about the money line that
• 36:26
  Speaker 3: has gone to. Him riovicks opened minus one seventy five
• 36:29
  Speaker 3: inside the. Distance now he's minus two. Ten ribaevick's opened
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: plus two fifteen in round. One now he's plus one fifty.
• 36:36
  Speaker 3: Five he's taking money in every which. WAY i think
• 36:39
  Speaker 3: he absolutely Dominates. BARBOSA i think he knocks him out
• 36:42
  Speaker 3: in the first. Round you almost, want probably like a
• 36:44
  Speaker 3: round two buzzer beater though for him really to get
• 36:47
  Speaker 3: there at ninety four. Hundred but you'll take a round
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: one finish at this ownership as. WELL i do not
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: plan on Playing. BARBOSA i think he is one of
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: the worst plays on the. Slate let me grab a
• 36:58
  Speaker 3: drink of. Water this is a lot of, talking And
• 37:00
  Speaker 3: i'm not used to, that so one. Second all, right
• 37:08
  Speaker 3: we are. Back we got four fights. Left one hundred
• 37:11
  Speaker 3: more of one hundred more Than Sabon ribeviks Is Monsieur Abdul,
• 37:16
  Speaker 3: malik who's minus six. Fifty he's taken On Dustin soulsfics
• 37:20
  Speaker 3: plus four to seventy five minus two hundred for this
• 37:23
  Speaker 3: fight to, Finish monsur minus one sixty inside the, Distance
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: dolswu's plus seven Hundred monsour in round one plus one.
• 37:30
  Speaker 3: EIGHTY i we just talked About rivaviks at ninety four.
• 37:34
  Speaker 3: Hundred every good thing about, Him ribavics same money. Line
• 37:38
  Speaker 3: he's one hundred, cheaper but he has a better inside
• 37:40
  Speaker 3: the distance, prop he has a better round one. Prop
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: he throws more volume on the. FEET i just don't
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: really see how ninety five Hundred monsieur gets to be.
• 37:50
  Speaker 3: Optimal is he gonna wrestle a? LOT i don't, Know probably.
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: Not soulsus is fine on the. MAT i Think monsour's
• 37:57
  Speaker 3: best path is to stay on the feet and knock him.
• 37:59
  Speaker 3: Out Stole swoos has been knocked out in the, past
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: But i'd.
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: Prefer going one hundred more for oral by by a.
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: Mile i'd prefer going one hundred less For Reba, vicks
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: And i'd prefer Going islam and leaving the, money Going
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: durm and probably leaving the. MONEY i don't plan on
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: really playing this fight at. ALL i Think monsieur And
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: Stole swoos are fades even around one finished For. Monsieur
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: can it get, there of, sure but over one and
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: a half in this fight minus one, THIRTY i think
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: this is gonna be one of those fight fades for.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: Me it's hard to come up with many a fight
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: fhades that you're confident on when nine of the twelve
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: fights are expected to finish and then two of them
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: that aren't our five round.
• 38:39
  Speaker 3: Favorites so or five round. Fights SO i Think i'm Fading.
• 38:43
  Speaker 3: MONSOUR i Think i'm Fading dustin in fifteen teams or,
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: less And i'm hoping that this fight does not get.
• 38:49
  Speaker 3: THERE i am curious Here Big marley's take. Though again
• 38:52
  Speaker 3: get in the. Discord that's another reason to be a,
• 38:55
  Speaker 3: member to see Why Big marley does have this as
• 38:57
  Speaker 3: a four, star because he obviously has different takes THAN i.
• 39:00
  Speaker 3: Do the next, fight, again this was supposed to Be
• 39:03
  Speaker 3: jose At Choa Charles. Johnson there's ninety three hundred To
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: shoa sixty nine Hundred. Johnson it was like minus five
• 39:10
  Speaker 3: point fifty plus three eighty out is the choa this
• 39:14
  Speaker 3: will lead to CAN i mentioned that at the top
• 39:17
  Speaker 3: Of kenny thinks it's going to be about minus one
• 39:19
  Speaker 3: eighty plus one fifty With eduardo as the. Favorite that
• 39:22
  Speaker 3: would Make johnson, severely severely under owned in this. One
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: probably if those are the correct, lines you could See
• 39:30
  Speaker 3: johnson like forty five percent owned in large field, stuff
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: even higher in single entry. STUFF i don't know forty
• 39:38
  Speaker 3: five Percent. Johnson the thing with him IS i expect
• 39:42
  Speaker 3: this fight to probably be expected to go the. Distance johnson's.
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: Scrappy he could throw solid. VOLUME i know it doesn't
• 39:49
  Speaker 3: show that he throws a ton of, volume only point
• 39:51
  Speaker 3: four to seven.
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: Takedowns but he has good.
• 39:52
  Speaker 3: Cardio he can, grapple he can, wrestle he can, strike
• 39:56
  Speaker 3: he is well. ROUNDED i don't know much about This
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: eduardo Cap i'm not going to pretend THAT i.
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: Do i'm waiting for the. Odds i'm waiting for the.
• 40:03
  Speaker 3: Props he's probably either going to be eighty five hundred
• 40:06
  Speaker 3: or eighty seven. Hundred my guess IS i won't have
• 40:08
  Speaker 3: too much interest on that, side SINCE i do Respect.
• 40:11
  Speaker 3: Johnson When i'm Playing, Johnson i'm probably wanting to fade
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: at least one of these five run, fights leave some
• 40:17
  Speaker 3: money on the, table play a very low Owned meconico
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: or something like. THAT i want to get different in the,
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: spot or do a couple things to get different WHEN
• 40:27
  Speaker 3: i am Playing Charles.
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: Johnson BUT i have.
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: To see where the line's, at where the line goes,
• 40:32
  Speaker 3: to what the fight to finish prop and all that
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: good stuff. Is and of course you can find all
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: of our content the write UPS mma the slate. Station
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: all my thoughts will be in there when we do
• 40:42
  Speaker 3: have more information on this. One so it's hard to
• 40:44
  Speaker 3: talk about it right.
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: Now what's, UP?
• 40:47
  Speaker 3: Ysn great to, see hope you're doing well and shout
• 40:50
  Speaker 3: out to. You he won ten thousand in The.
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: What was?
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: That would you just win ten thousand IN? Ysn was
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: it Imb All Star break or something Like, no it
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: was a preseason shout out to Little neck The hall
• 41:04
  Speaker 3: Of fame game had his TOWERS ysn one ten gs
• 41:07
  Speaker 3: in the pregame or The hall Of fame game in,
• 41:10
  Speaker 3: Preseason so love to see. That and, yeah shout out
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: to Little. Neck we don't charge FOR nfl preseason, content
• 41:18
  Speaker 3: but he is in the, discord just another perk to
• 41:20
  Speaker 3: get in, there so shout out to. You, yep we
• 41:24
  Speaker 3: got two fights, left both five round. Fights McKenzie duran
• 41:28
  Speaker 3: looking for her first title, defense taking On Gillian robertson
• 41:32
  Speaker 3: minus two five during plus one seventy. Seven Is robertson
• 41:35
  Speaker 3: plus one twenty for this fight to, finish durn plus
• 41:38
  Speaker 3: one fifty. Five inside the Distance robertson plus six. Fifty
• 41:43
  Speaker 3: it's as far as line movement in this. One durn
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: open minus two to, fifty got as low as minus three.
• 41:49
  Speaker 3: Thirty let me make SURE i got that. Right, no
• 41:53
  Speaker 3: got as low as minus two SEVENTY a couple of days.
• 41:55
  Speaker 3: Ago robertson has gotten some. Buyback now it's minus two
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: to five plus one seven. Seven i'm kind of surprised
• 42:02
  Speaker 3: actually that durn is only minus two to zero. FIVE
• 42:06
  Speaker 3: i get it's like it's the woman's. Division it's or
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: it's a woman's. Fight it's relatively they're more competitive in.
• 42:14
  Speaker 3: General robertson can grapple durnk and, grapple so you can
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: say it might cancel each other, out BUT A i
• 42:20
  Speaker 3: Think durn's the better. Grappler if it gets to the,
• 42:22
  Speaker 3: MAT i Think robertson needs to be on top to
• 42:25
  Speaker 3: have the, advantage and even THEN i Think durn might
• 42:27
  Speaker 3: be able to find her way to get out of.
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: It but on the, feet like.
• 42:30
  Speaker 3: It's not often IT Kensi durn's the better, striker BUT
• 42:33
  Speaker 3: i don't see How robertson is too competitive in the
• 42:36
  Speaker 3: striking in this One box punches with their, faces has
• 42:39
  Speaker 3: no with her, face has no power coming on the way.
• 42:42
  Speaker 3: Back durn has continued to approve on the. FEET i
• 42:45
  Speaker 3: Think durren can keep it on the feet if she
• 42:47
  Speaker 3: wants to for as long as she, wants and win
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: a decision that, way possibly get a. Knockout and that
• 42:53
  Speaker 3: kind of leads me to not loving this fight. Again
• 42:57
  Speaker 3: it's going to be high. Owned it's five, rounds of,
• 42:59
  Speaker 3: course in a. Vacuum it's gonna look good And i'm
• 43:01
  Speaker 3: gonna play. Some BUT i do have my concerns If
• 43:04
  Speaker 3: dern just takes the striking approach at NINE. K i
• 43:07
  Speaker 3: keep talking without all these upper tier fighters and how
• 43:10
  Speaker 3: much upside they. Have NINE k is a price That
• 43:13
  Speaker 3: i'm probably needing one oh five one ten plus to.
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: Feel good about being.
• 43:17
  Speaker 3: Optimal and if she's gonna be forty five percent owned
• 43:21
  Speaker 3: or forty percent, owned that's a lot of. Ownerships So
• 43:24
  Speaker 3: i'm a little concerned about this fight at ownership for
• 43:27
  Speaker 3: dfs Now. Robertson even Though i'm not picking her at
• 43:32
  Speaker 3: plus one seventy seven is thirty six percent, chance it's
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: hard for me to see her winning this fight and not,
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: scoring because if she, WINS i think it's gonna be
• 43:40
  Speaker 3: her having, success getting on top on the, mat getting offensive,
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: takedowns and that obviously.
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: Scores that's seventy two.
• 43:47
  Speaker 3: Hundred So durn's my, pick but my preferred play might Be,
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: robertson AND i see that As Big marley's because he
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: has more stars on her Than. Durham but just for
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: the simple, fact not All durn's wins are gonna score
• 43:59
  Speaker 3: enough to be, optimal especially SINCE i think she's gonna
• 44:02
  Speaker 3: strike it quite a, bit and When robertson, wins LIKE
• 44:04
  Speaker 3: i don't think she's winning a striking. Match and even,
• 44:06
  Speaker 3: SO i Say i'm gonna be fine with seventy five
• 44:09
  Speaker 3: at seventy four hundred from, Mcconico i'm gonna be fine
• 44:12
  Speaker 3: with eighty eighty five From robertson if she did get
• 44:15
  Speaker 3: that at seventy two.
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: Hundred So i'm torn on. This durns my.
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: Pick robertson's probably might preferred, play BUT i probably come
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: in underweight when it's all said and done on this
• 44:25
  Speaker 3: five round. Fight what's? Up al great to. See, yeah
• 44:29
  Speaker 3: we can, begin definitely not. Restarting there's been some technical.
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: DIFFICULTIES i accidentally exited. Out it's been a, mess but
• 44:36
  Speaker 3: what we appreciate everyone hanging out with us, still Like
• 44:38
  Speaker 3: Bud subscribe button does help us out a. Ton AND
• 44:41
  Speaker 3: i just want to say again good luck To, kenny
• 44:44
  Speaker 3: To Matt, kay To, ricardo To sheets in THE Mma
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: live final this week In. Philadelphia they put him up
• 44:51
  Speaker 3: in a suite two hundred and fifty thousand in the first.
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: Place that is, awesome awesome. Stuff SO i congrats to
• 44:56
  Speaker 3: you and good. Luck AND i Believe Matt kay has
• 44:58
  Speaker 3: multiple tickets If i'm not. Mistaken all, right it's the
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: last fight of the. Night it is Is Zam, makachev it
• 45:06
  Speaker 3: Is Ian Machado. Gary we Have islam at minus three
• 45:10
  Speaker 3: Thirty Ian gary plus two sixty seven plus one thirty
• 45:13
  Speaker 3: for this fight to, Finish islam plus one. Forty inside the,
• 45:16
  Speaker 3: Distance gary plus eight point. Fifty this line Opened islam
• 45:20
  Speaker 3: minus three. Hundred it got as low as minus four
• 45:23
  Speaker 3: Hundred islam a little over a week, ago and then
• 45:27
  Speaker 3: since Then Ian gary has taken. Money now it is
• 45:30
  Speaker 3: minus three thirty plus two sixty. Seven it's so impressive
• 45:34
  Speaker 3: What islam's doing at thirty four years. Old i've never
• 45:36
  Speaker 3: picked against the. Guy i've always been Team, habib Team.
• 45:40
  Speaker 3: Islam these guys are just built. Differently they have, cardio
• 45:43
  Speaker 3: they have the wrestling that is next to, none and
• 45:46
  Speaker 3: yet wrestling in this sport is. Dominant it's with all
• 45:50
  Speaker 3: that being, said, THOUGH i think at money line, VALUE
• 45:55
  Speaker 3: i think this Is i'm most interested In gary THAN
• 45:58
  Speaker 3: i have Against islam any of his opponents in the.
• 46:00
  Speaker 3: Past AND i Know voth gave him a great, Fight
• 46:02
  Speaker 3: pooria gave him a great. FIGHT i kind of x
• 46:05
  Speaker 3: those guys out and didn't even really give him much
• 46:07
  Speaker 3: of a. CHANCE i do Think Ian gary has a
• 46:11
  Speaker 3: decent chance to win this, fight and the reason for.
• 46:14
  Speaker 3: That on the, FEED i am Giving gary the striking
• 46:16
  Speaker 3: advantage again at one. Seventy this is Only islam's second
• 46:20
  Speaker 3: fight at one to seventy since making them move. Up
• 46:22
  Speaker 3: you can see the five inch height disadvantage the four
• 46:25
  Speaker 3: inch reached disadvantage For. Islam gary not a fun fighter
• 46:29
  Speaker 3: to watch in my, OPINION i believe his last six
• 46:31
  Speaker 3: have all gone the. Distance with that being, said he
• 46:34
  Speaker 3: knows how to. Win when you're this high and this
• 46:37
  Speaker 3: close to a, title you do not want to take
• 46:39
  Speaker 3: the chances when you're a low fighting in the first
• 46:42
  Speaker 3: fight of the, night the second fight of the, night
• 46:44
  Speaker 3: you're a, newcomer you, do, unfortunately have to take some
• 46:46
  Speaker 3: chances to be a fun fighter to make your way.
• 46:49
  Speaker 3: Up Ian gary has always had a very high. Ceiling
• 46:53
  Speaker 3: people knew who he. Was he's always been a great.
• 46:55
  Speaker 3: Fighter he didn't have to fight like. That so he
• 46:58
  Speaker 3: fights in best ways to in to limit his damage
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: and he does very good at. It then he goes
• 47:03
  Speaker 3: To brazil to learn jiu. Jitsu you, know he's been
• 47:05
  Speaker 3: working on his wrestling and defensive wrestling this whole.
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: Time Michael Venham, page he struggled on the feed a little.
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: Bit he uses grappling as wrestling and got it done that.
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: Way is it?
• 47:17
  Speaker 3: Enough can he be defensively sound. Enough can he get
• 47:19
  Speaker 3: up when he's taken? Down can he Make islam? Work
• 47:22
  Speaker 3: i'm gonna have some IN. DFS i usually x out
• 47:25
  Speaker 3: whoever's Fighting, islam and that's not going to be the
• 47:27
  Speaker 3: case this. Week and his, ownership we talked about it,
• 47:30
  Speaker 3: Earlier Charles johnson's with his new opponent and him going
• 47:34
  Speaker 3: way up in, ownership that will Lower gary's, ownership Lower robertson's.
• 47:38
  Speaker 3: Ownership johnson will take some of that, away which honestly
• 47:42
  Speaker 3: Makes gary And robertson more appealing for that.
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: Reason SO i think this is going to be a
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: pretty competitive.
• 47:49
  Speaker 3: Fight, now WOULD i be surprised If islam just goes,
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: out gets a take down every round and dominates on.
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: TOP i guess ACTUALLY i might be a little surprised
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: if it is that one way. Traffic it Is Islam
• 47:59
  Speaker 3: makhachev at the end of the, day, Though BUT i
• 48:01
  Speaker 3: Think Ian gary can keep his distance in the big,
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: cage can start attacking the, legs can Jab AND i
• 48:07
  Speaker 3: think he's gonna defend a decent amount of. Takedowns islam's
• 48:10
  Speaker 3: not gonna stop going for the, takedowns though more than.
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: Likely he probably gets his hand. Raised but at.
• 48:15
  Speaker 3: Ownership at the money line that we're looking at right,
• 48:19
  Speaker 3: NOW i would rather bet plus two seventy Three gary
• 48:22
  Speaker 3: than lay minus three thirty five On, islam which AGAIN
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: i have not said in many of his fights in
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: terms of, DFS i do think some fight fades are
• 48:31
  Speaker 3: live in this. Car in this fight as, well it's
• 48:33
  Speaker 3: gonna be very very high. Owned and we just Saw
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: gamer At seal killed not be optimal ninety percent last,
• 48:40
  Speaker 3: week so you can always fade anything IN. Mma if
• 48:43
  Speaker 3: this fight does, boss you have more of a chance
• 48:45
  Speaker 3: to get a solo. Shipper with all that being, Said
• 48:48
  Speaker 3: islam has not scored less than one hundred a nine
• 48:51
  Speaker 3: of his last ten, fights he.
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: Scored over one.
• 48:53
  Speaker 3: Hundred with that being, said one oh five one oh
• 48:56
  Speaker 3: seven might not be enough this week at ninety two,
• 48:59
  Speaker 3: hundred SO i would in fully lock or if this,
• 49:02
  Speaker 3: FIGHT i Think gary slows fights. Down if he can
• 49:05
  Speaker 3: win a round or two on the, feet if he
• 49:06
  Speaker 3: can stuff takedowns and get a striking, match this fight
• 49:09
  Speaker 3: could bust that, way and maybe Even gary could win
• 49:13
  Speaker 3: or be optimal in a decision or in a. Loss
• 49:17
  Speaker 3: If gary, wins he should score fine and more than
• 49:20
  Speaker 3: likely be Optimal gary in a. LOSS i felt better
• 49:23
  Speaker 3: about his chances before The Charles johnson sixty nine hundred
• 49:27
  Speaker 3: dollars price. Tag he probably doesn't get there in a,
• 49:30
  Speaker 3: loss But i'm not going to have one hundred percent
• 49:32
  Speaker 3: of this. FIGHT i do think it's viable if he
• 49:34
  Speaker 3: can stuff, takedowns if he can get mainly a striking.
• 49:36
  Speaker 3: Match islam wins a decision with only a couple of
• 49:38
  Speaker 3: takedowns and eight minutes of control, time that might not
• 49:41
  Speaker 3: be enough at ninety two, hundreds so probably more Overweight
• 49:46
  Speaker 3: gary when it's all said and done in this, fight
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: WHICH i have not been on that side at, all but,
• 49:50
  Speaker 3: yeah one p seventy is a different. Beast Jack della
• 49:54
  Speaker 3: did not have the answers For. ISLAM i Think Ian
• 49:56
  Speaker 3: gary has a much better. Chance what's up bringing the?
• 49:59
  Speaker 3: Noise definitely looking forward To saturday In. Philadelphia we have
• 50:02
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