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SUNDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/8/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five. I don't even know.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: What to tell you above that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season. Man
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: broins hat Man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: possibly have with you, as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two.
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: years doing this. I don't know what to even tell
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: you about this anymore. Slumpays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you. Toadstool Sports, Sunday, March eighth.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: Oh I didn't change the I gotta change the title
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: on this. Oh my god, I'm gonna fix it right now. Yeah, dude,
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: I copy and paste and I'm like, oh crap, I
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: forgot to update the dates and doing it right now.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: Though yesterday we did all right. Yesterday we went to
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: one and one. Is that what it was? I think
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: it was two one and one yesterday. I'm pissed because
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: the one loser should have been a winner. Well I'm
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: not gonna say it should have been a winner, but
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: it would have been if I got the better number
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: on it. We did get the win with Georgia Tech.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: They almost won the game out right. That was no
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: sweat with Georgia Tech. On the cover of that huge
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: number there. I was right about some of the other
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: basketball games, unfortunately. I mean that that's what happens when
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: you have so many games on the board, and then yeah,
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: you wind up being right about more of them than
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: you're not right about. If you if you know what
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: you're doing here, would have been awesome to get the
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: money line on that one. And then Long Island, Dude,
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know why that line dropped to six, because
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: the thing was, of course, the mercy Hurst game ended,
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: and then, as I've been telling you, if Mercyhurst makes
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: the final in the Northeast Conference, which they did because
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: they won yesterday, then basically that Long Island versus Wagner
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: game that became the de facto championship game, and whoever
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: won that game was was going to.
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: Make the NCAA tournament.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: So but I don't understand why that line would drop
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: right because it was still the semi final either way,
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: So why would the line change right like you still
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: are assuming you're gonna get a competitive effort out of
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: both teams. But I guess it becomes the championship and
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: then the line drops to six. It makes no sense
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: it dropped to six, and then of course Long Island
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: wins by eight, so they don't cover the eight and
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: a half but they do cover the six. Yeah, I
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, They probably shouldn't have covered any of
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: the numbers though. Really, I mean, it was a low
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: scoring game. It was pretty close for most of it, so,
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: you know, but Long Island was the better team.
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: They did pull away. They had the lead for.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: Almost the whole game, even though it was a small
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: lead for a lot of it.
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, And then we got the push
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: with Nashville.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: Nashville was out to a one nothing lead and then
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: they never scored again until the final like minute and
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: a half when they pulled back to within one goal luckily,
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: I guess. But they did have more shots in the game, so,
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, there were some They had won all the
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: face offs to won on like sixty percent of the
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: face offs, so there were some aspects of that game
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: where they did outplay Buffalo. I think it was in
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: that game, and then not Memphis, the Memphis Grizzlies. They
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: were winning by probably about twenty points in the first
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: half of that game. Then they were like already losing
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: at halftime. Dude, I'm so sick of it. It was
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: almost like the Clippers again the previous night, and it
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: kind of was because Memphis did wind up covering the number,
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: but they didn't win. They lost by three. They did
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: have a lead late in the game. They were still
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: right there in that game for the rest of the game.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: I don't think they it might have been a wire
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: to wire cover. I'm not even sure there was ever
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: a point where they weren't covering, but I don't know
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: because they didn't pay that much attention to it. Anyway,
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out five plays today, two college basketball,
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: one hockey, two NBA.
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: We'll see what.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah, the NBA is a little bit questionable, but well, dude,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: NBA end of season, NBA you really have to like
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: because you know the like the nature of this thing
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: is you're gonna wind up on a lot of bad teams.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: You have to figure out, like, is this bad team
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: gonna give you effort in this particular game, you know
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: what I mean. So you have to try to gauge that.
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: So we'll see.
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: And I'm already not having a fun recently because the
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: book that starts with a B, which is a newer
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: one around here. It just so happened that most of
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: the winning bets that I've had.
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: Over the last few days or whatever.
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: We're all with that book, including Georgia Tech yesterday, and
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: now I'm already I'm limited there, so that's great. I
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I don't even know if I want
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: to keep doing this anymore. It's just it's not fun
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: when you have options taken away from you. Yeah, I mean,
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: there might be like no way of even continuing to
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: do this anymore. Man.
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm gonna.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Continue to do the show, but we'll see. I don't know, man.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, plus, I just got back into it after
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: you guys know, because I didn't have my money freed up.
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: It took a while, you know, to get that.
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: And now I come back and it's almost like it's
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: this almost like newer landscape, which I mean, we've only
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: had this particular landscape.
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: For a little while now with all.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: The the on, you know, the online landscape, let's say.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: But you know, we'll see because Massachusetts is about to
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: bring a law in that the book has to tell
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: you why they're limiting you, you know what I mean,
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: and that law is not an effect yet, so I
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: don't know. All right, let's get into college basketball. Man.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: This is the last day of the regular season of
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: college basketball. But we're gonna talk about all the Conference
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Champs Conference tournament games, of course, starting with Campbell and
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: UNC Wilmington. I told you guys, Campbell was gonna win
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: yesterday against Stony Brooks. Stony brook not a good team,
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: so Campbell has a game under the belt in the tournament.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: And you know, I always talk about things like that
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: when a team has that game out of the way
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: in the tournament, they're used to playing in that venue.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: Now these games all in Washington, DC, that is an
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: advantage to that team. Campbell did not do too badly
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: against UNC Wilmington. They lost both games during the regular season,
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: but they only lost by three and five points. So
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: Campbell does match up okay against UNC Wilmington. And UNC
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: Wilmington they struggle against teams to go faster, and Campbell
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: is one of those teams of the running at Campbell's
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: So it is certainly not guaranteed that UNC Wilmington wins
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: this game. And UNC Wilmington hasn't played since they finished
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: the regular season beating Elon, so I don't know, man,
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: And they've finished pretty hot, even though they did lose
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: to Charleston in there, which I guess the loss to Charleston.
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: I think is probably not bad for them because it
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: ended a long win streak of theirs, so they got
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: that loss kind of out of the way, but they
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: still wound up winning seven of their last eight games
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: or something like that. And you know, I don't like
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: it when a team is hot and then they have
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: to take a long break and then they go into
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: the conference tournament.
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: So I would lean to Campbell in this game plus
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: the points. They'll definitely be an underdog here. The money
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: seems like it disagreeing with me.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Wilmington eight point favorite, eighty three percent of the tickets,
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the.
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: Cash on Campbell.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the first game up there, and yes, I
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: will agree with Campbell plus the points there, mister Pinzy.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: What's up? Thanks for hanging out all right? Next game up, Well,
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go conference by conference as I have
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: been doing. Hopefully we can get through these quick. Drexel
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: and Monmouth are playing in the next game up in
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: the Colonial. Drexel won yesterday against Northeastern, so they have
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: a game under their belt. So again that's a little
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: bit of an advantage to Drexel having a game under
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: the belt.
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: In the the.
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: Regular season, Drexel got destroyed by Monmouth at home, and
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: they actually destroyed them on the roads.
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: The road team won each matchup.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: In this in this regular he's in series, the road
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: team one each matchup by twenty plus points, which is
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: something you're usually not gonna see.
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: So that makes this very unpredictable.
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: The fact that the road team wanted to blow out
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: in both games, like, what's gonna happen when they're on neutral. Well,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: the one thing that you do know is that Drexel
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: played a game already Monmouth did not. Monmouth end of
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: the season on a three game win streak beating Northeastern.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: What else is new to finish the regular season, So
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: that means Monmouth has been off. That means Monmouth could
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: have their momentum disrupted a little bit. Drexel is used
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: to this venue. Now, Monmouth is the better team, but
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: they are up to a three and a half point
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: favorite now from a one point favorite, seventy tickets, ninety
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on them. I know Monmouth
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: is the better team here. Drexel really is not that good.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: They're kind of a fraudulent whatever seed they are here,
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: I think they're they're a five seed. I don't even
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: think they're fifth best team in this conference. They're good
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: on defense though, that's the thing, so Drexel will be
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: getting points as a pretty good defense here. In fact,
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: I believe they're the better defense over Monmouth slightly. Monmouth
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: also better on defense than offense, but a little bit
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: more balanced. I would still probably toward taking the points
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: with Drexel in that one. It's a low total in
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: the one thirties, so points will be at a premium there.
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: Drexel at least says the game under their belt, but
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: that one is not a strong opinion. The next game
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: up almost made the card for the show today thowsand
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: at Charles or sorry, thousand and Charleston again from Washington
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: d C. In the Colonial Conference. We're in the quarterfinals.
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: I think thousand got a game under their belt yesterday
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: they beat Hampton. Not an impressive win against one of
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: the weaker teams in the conference. But I like that
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: because you get that game out of the way, you win,
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: you can move forward, you have momentum. Now they're playing Charleston,
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. Tewsand actually won the one time
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: they played this year they won Towsand beat Charleston at
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: home tousand, they can match up against Charleston. The other
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: really good thing about Towsand is they're a good defense,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: so they can definitely defend their a top one hundred
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: defense and ken bumb But they're not good at scoring
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: and they are kind of.
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: An unlucky team.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: They slow the game down and that's what they're gonna
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: try to do here because Charleston wants to go a
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: bit faster, more of a mid tempo team. Charleston's definitely
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: the better offense here. They're more balanced. Believe it or not.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: Charleston's actually better on defense than offense themselves. But Towsand
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: is the better defense here. They're going to be the
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: underdog getting points. And Charleston is the eighteenth luckiest team
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: in the country according to Ken bomb And Charleston is
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: not played in this tournament yet. And the last time
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: they played, they'd won five games in a row and
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: they finished the regular season beating UNC Wilmington in a
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: huge comeback. So if that's the last time Charleston played,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: I don't like that at all. Man. They've been sitting
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: on that win that whole time, and they have that
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: five game win streak now disrupted. I like Towsand in
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: this game, Charleston is up to two and a half here,
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it's coming on them early. But yeah,
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Towsand in that game, That's the
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: way I would look at it. Do with that information
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: what you want to. And then William and Mary and
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: Hostra is probably the best game being played in the
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: Colonial today, which probably that's why it gets the late billing. Now,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's the only reason why William and
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Mary has the momentum here, because they beat Elon yesterday,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: so they have one game out of the way in
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: the tournament, which again I think is a plus.
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: Hostra is the.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: Best team in this conference power ratings wise, but they
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: finished the season with four wins in a row went
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: into the break, so now they've had a lot of
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: time off. They have not played yet in this tournament,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: so again I think I'm gonna have to lean to
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: William and Mary in this one. Looking at the regular season,
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: I think Howstra won the one regular season matchup. Let
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: me see, where was that game? I don't even see
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: it here?
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: No, they lost.
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: Actually, Women and Mary sped the game up and we
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: were able to win that game.
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: Now, some of these.
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: These teams, like especially Wilmington, as I've already mentioned, Wilmington
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: is a slow based team, and they lost both games
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: to Wayim and Mary, and they hardly lost any other
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: conference games on the season.
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: So Women and.
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: Mary has been able to successfully speed some of these
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: teams up.
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: And Hostro is another one of them.
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: Hostra goes really slow, and William and Mary was able
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: to speed them up and beat them. I would probably
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: lean to Wyllim and Marry here Man, And I know
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: it doesn't mean much, but it just seems like Hostra
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: is like always one of the best teams in this conference,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: and they never make it far on this tournament, maybe.
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: Because they always get a higher.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: Seed and they come in cold and then they lose
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: right away. You know, it's just the nature of this
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: tournament structure and the tournament structure, even though you think
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: the tournament structu would set up better for.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: These slower based teams.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: Though like for Charleston, they need to they kind of
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: rely on the offensive timing, they play a little bit faster,
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: so them losing momentum is gonna hurt them more. Hofstra
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: I think being a slower paced team, the losing the
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: momentum won't be as bad for them.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: On Hofstra, they're a five point favorite, up from four
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: and a half, sixty seven percent of tickets ninety one
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. I'd probably need to
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: taking the points with William and marry them still in
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: that one, but that one not really a strong opinion
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: for me on that one. The one that I really
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: like in that conference is thousand. All right, CBS Sports
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: at noon, we have the Patriot League going on with
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: the two versus three match on Colgate and Lehigh. And
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: as I've been telling you, Colgate is actually the better
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: team here, although they're only a very small favorite here now.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: Part of that reason might be the Colgate actually got
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: swept during the regular season by Lehigh. The game the
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: score was almost the same in both games. A LEGI
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: won seventy seven to seventy six and seventy eight to
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: seventy seven.
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: In the two games, so two to one point wins
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: if you dig.
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: Into the box scores. Though one of the games that
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: they Colgate only hit like one three pointer, so there
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: were I think it was the second game there were
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: some definite outliers here.
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: Let me say, I want to.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: Make sure I get this right. Sorry, they hit three
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: three pointers. That's still ridiculous. So Lehigh in the second
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: game was plus thirty from behind the arc and they
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: only won the game by one. That should tell you
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: that cold Gate is kind of the better team here still, man.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: So that was the second game, the one at Lee High,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: the one at home for Colgate. Colgate won the rebounding
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: battles slightly. They did it more threes than they did
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: in the other game. Obviously, Lehi's the team and hits
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: more threes, or they take more threes, I should say,
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: And they did in that game two and won the
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: three point battle. That game was, you know, legitimately closer
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: though on the statue, But that second game was really
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: a major outlier. Colgate should have won the game at
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: Lee High probably it was just Lehigh hit way more
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: threes than they did. Now, both these teams have played
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: in the tournament already. Colgate had an easy win over
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: Loyola Maryland. I believe both teams played two nights ago,
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: so that's not really a concern here. And Lehi won
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: on a ridiculous three point buzzer beater from half court
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: to get by holy Cross after Lei had to come
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: back to beat holy Cross man. So on the one hand,
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: you could say, well, that's gonna make Lehigh more focused here? Right?
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: They looked really bad.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: Because they almost lost to the ten seed, And that's true,
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: like when the two seed almost loses to the ten seed,
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: the two seed a lot of times will show up
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: with more intensity. But I've been telling you Lei is
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: overrated too, and they were not that heavy of a
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game. Colgate at least had an easier
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: time of it, and I think played an earlier game.
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: Although when you have a day off, I don't think
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: it matters as much. But I think I would still
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: need to Colgate here. The money is coming in on
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Lehigh though sixty six tickets ninety two percent of the
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: cash on them. Colgate is a two point favor even
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: though they're the lower seed, which is something I look
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: for the lower seed as a favorite, where the seeding
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: is telling you something different than what the oddsmakers are
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: telling you, and the odds makers are telling you who
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: is truly the better team. So I would I like
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: Colgate there, and then the other game in this conference
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: area BU and at Navy, and these games are at
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: the home arenas by the way of the higher seed,
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: So that game is actually at Lehigh. So the oddsmakers
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: are obviously telling you Colgates the better team because they're
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: favored on the road in that game. So just keep
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: that in mind that that game is at Lehigh and
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: the second game is at Navy in the afternoon. Here,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: these are the semifinals in this conference, BU and Navy,
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: the top four seeds are all still live here. Whether
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: you think they're the top four I don't think they're
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: the top four teams. I think Lehigh is not one
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: of the top four teams. The rest of these teams
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: basically are. BU was able to beat American for a
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: second straight time in another close game. They won on
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: a final second shot to win that game. Otherwise it
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: looked like it could go into overtime in that one,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: BU got the win.
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: Now they got to go.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: To Navy, though, But BU has actually played well against
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: Navy during the season. They lost by five the last
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: time they were here at Navy, and they lost by
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: eight at home to Navy, So BU played pretty well
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: against Navy. Now, the thing that I like about Navy though,
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: other than the fact that they're obviously.
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: The best team in this conference, is that.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: Navy just had a real scare in their last game
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: in this conference tournament. So all the teams in this
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: conference have played in the tournament already for a game,
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: and Navy just barely got by buck Nell. They were
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: losing that game at halftime. Man, So Navy barely got
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: by buck Nell. So a lot of times when you
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: have the better team, there was a big favorite that
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: barely escaped. A lot of times, they'll give you much
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: better effort in the next game. Now, if you look
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: at the money, though, it is coming in on BU.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: Now Navy is the better defense here. BU is the
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: better offense. BU has played well against them this year.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: Navy seven point favorite here, eighty eight percent of tickets,
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of the cash on Navy. So
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on BU. You know, I
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: don't know. I kind of went back and forth.
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: On this game.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: I think I would still kind of lean to Navy though,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: because Navy knows that they didn't do that well the
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: last time they were here against BU. They didn't do
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: well in their first conference tournament game. BU had much
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: more of a tough game getting through Americans, so I'd
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: probably still need towards laying it with Navy here. Plus
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: I do want to see Navy get into the tournament
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: because I want to see Navy up against Nebraska in
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: the tournament, because I think that's gonna be a good
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: That's like the best draw that Navy could get in
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: the tournament in like a three fourteen game, because Navy.
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: I do still think Navy's overrated though. They're thirty first
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: in luck according to kem Bomb, but they are top third,
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: top one hundred defense, but they're not very good on offense,
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: and of course they do slow it down. So a
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: defensive team that doesn't score well, you don't really necessarily.
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: Want to lay points with them.
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: So you know, obviously it's a stay away from me
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: in that one stacks. What's up?
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out?
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: All right? Then we have the Missouri Valley. This is
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley Championship game between Northern Iowa and Illinois.
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: Chicago, And these are two of the top.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Three defenses in the conference. Defense winning out in this tournament? Man,
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: what else is new? First of all, I think the
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: way that I would lean in this game is obviously
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: the under. This is a conference that's notorious for having
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: unders all over their their tournament because it's kind of
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: a larger venue that they playing in Saint Louis. But
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: the totals already dropped five points from one twenty three,
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: so I think if you wanted the under, you really
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: had to jump on it, like right away. But I
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: think this is going to be a grind of a game.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: These two teams are both way better on defense than offense,
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: especially Northern Iowa, very very disparate there.
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: Northern Iowa was very bad.
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: On offense and they're almost elite on defense. Illinois Chicago
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: is a little bit more balanced, but they're they're better
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: on offense than Northern Iowa and the worst on defense
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: in Northern Iowa, but still quite good defensively. So yeah,
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: I like the under in this game, and that is
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: the way that I would approach that game rather than
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: the side. But again, you've I think you've lost too
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: much value on it at this point. One twenty three
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: is like really cutting it. As far as the side.
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa is the better team. I think they're the
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: second best team in this conference behind Belmont. They barely
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: got by Bradley yesterday. Well, I don't want to say that.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, Northern Iowa was winning that game by double digits,
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: like throughout most of that game. It got close near
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: the end, but again, Northern Iowa was also coming off
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: the most difficult game that either of these teams has
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: had during the tournament. Northern Iowa had to beat Illinois
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: State and they did so pretty easily. And Illinois State
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: is a legit team in this conference, so that was
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: the best opponent either these teams had to get through
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: during the conference tournament. So you got to give credit
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: to Northern Iowa there. Then they actually had an easier game.
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: I know, Bradley's the two seed, but they're like actually
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: the seventh best team in the conference.
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: So Northern Iowa was able to beat them.
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: It didn't look that impressive of the fact they only
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: beat them by four. You I see, everybody I think
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: is gonna give you, I see more credit for blasting
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: the Cinderella of the tournament. Drake. I told you guys
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: yesterday Illinois Chicago would win that game and cover, and
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: I was correct. U I s got through Murray State
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: before that. Murray State's an okay, team, you know, I
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: like Northern Iowa here. They are the better team. I
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: think that's what it's gonna come down to here. But
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: you're gonna have to lay points with a heavily defensive
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: focused team. So I don't know, man, but I think
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: the public's gonna like you I see a bit more
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: at this one because they don't like ugly offense, which
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: is when Northern Iowa gives you, and they're gonna like
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: that Illinois chicag like they're gonna see that Illinois Chicago
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: beat Drake, who was the darling of this tournament. Oh
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: that means Illinois like Illinois Chicago kind of just I think,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: legitimize themselves in the public's eye. And as you can
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: see here, Northern Iowa was minus three and a half.
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: They're the better team, they're the favorite here.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: Sixty three percent of tickets around Illinois Chicago fifty four
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: percent of the casual in Northern Iowa. That in Northern
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: Iowa was just more used to being in this conference
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: tournament in like the later games of this conference tournament.
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: Their program, it's been in this conference for forever. Illinois
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: Chicago's actually pretty new to this conference, you know, so
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: I think it's almost gonna be well. Northern Iowa just
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: has more familiarity with it, although of course Illinois Chicago's
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: played multiple games in this tournament now anyway, But Northern Iowa,
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be almost kind of more like defend,
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: you know, to defend the old.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: Guard against the newcomer.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: But even if you don't consider that, I think Northern
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Iowa is the better team. It's a low enough points
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: spread where they probably should get it done, even though
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: they are a very defensive team.
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: Do what's up man?
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: Queen's Yeah, dude, their their coach retweeted me yesterday. I
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: said I was rooting for them today pretty much just because.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: I liked that guy.
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna root for them, even though you know I
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: don't have. I'm not gonna have. There's not gonna be
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: a play for me on the game anything like that.
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: I'll give you an opinion on the game, which you
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: probably won't like, but you know, well I might have
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: an opinion on the total in that game too.
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't know.
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else I have to say about it,
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: but you know, it'll be a fun game to watch.
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: I think the Big South Final is happening on ESPN two.
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: That Northern Iowa u I C games on CBS by
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: the way for that final. Also at twelve ESPN two
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: Winthrop and high Point. We knew it was gonna come
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: down to this. I mean Winthrop high Point in Winthrop,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: these are obviously the two best teams in this conference.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: I do think high Point is significantly better than Winthrop
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: even and then the rest of the conference is below that.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: Both teams got through Winthrop got through a Presbyterian and
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: they barely got by them yesterday, So Winthrop's had a
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: couple of close calls here. Now people are gonna look
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: at this and think that Winthrop should be able to
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: cover this because high Point has not been able to
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: beat them by margin either time this season. Winthrop lost
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: by two at high Point the last time they played,
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: and Winthrop beat them by seventeen at home. So Winthrop
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: has looked really good against high Point during the regular season.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: But I think when it comes down to it, I
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: don't know, man. I do think high Points gonna win
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: out here as the better team. High Point they didn't
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: do too well yesterday either against unc Asheville, so both
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: teams kind of had an escape yesterday the high Point one, though.
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: I just think high Point just kind of took their
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: foot off the gas. Like I was looking at the
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: score in this game, and high Point was winning most
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: of the game by more of a margin than this. Yeah,
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: they were winning by almost double digits with like four
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: minutes left, and then.
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: It got a bit close closed at the end.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: But high Point was never really in danger of losing
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: that game.
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: Winthrop was definitely.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: In danger of losing yesterday. I watched the end of that.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Although that does mean that Winthrop will get scared into focus.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: High Point was the bigger favorite in the games yesterday though,
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: and high Point, of course is the better team, and
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: they are favored here. They're favored by probably six. I
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: was gonna say six and a half. They're up to
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: seven now. All the money's coming in on high Point.
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: They're up from five to seven here, ninety one percent
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: of the cash on high Point, fifty to fifty on
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: the tickets.
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: I'd have to lean to high Point.
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: But seven is kind of, you know, getting a little
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: bit iffy there, because seven is a key number in
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: basketball where teams stop potentially fouling the three possession threshold.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: I think people are gonna be misled by looking at
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: the regular season matchups between these two.
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: I do not agree.
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: I think high Point wins this game, and I think
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: they cover as well.
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: I do not think it's too big.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Matthew, you're a You're a North Carolina guy, right, You
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: and Garrett both North Carolina guys. Here in the chat.
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: This total has dropped a lot too, down to one
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: sixty and a half. These two, these teams could definitely
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: both score. So yeah, that total looks like it's getting
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: a bit low, man, uh dropping seven points, Like you know,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: I think I would go over in that one. A
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: high will Wait a minute, A high Point is North Carolina,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: Winthrop is South Carolina?
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: Am I right about that?
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: I don't know the I don't know which Carolina is
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: whitch anymore. I think I'm right about that, though, right,
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: maybe I'm not right? All right, but yeah, I think
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: a high Point gets a done. Man. Winthrop does have
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: dun Comb back, remember, uh, so they do have their
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: big man back, their best player. He surprisingly, he made
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: a surprise appearance late later on in the game two
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: games ago where they should have lost to Charleston Southern Dude,
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: the public kind of leaning towards Winthrop is kind of
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: ridiculous with the fact that Winthrop absolutely should have lost
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: the game to Charleston's Southern, But it's like people don't
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: even remember that anymore, even though that was two days ago.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: The refs absolutely helped Winthrop out in that game. They
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: were down seven with forty seconds left, so they could
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: already be gone. Duncombe, I still don't think he's one
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: hundred percent. Like I watched some of both of the
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: Winthrop games there He's like, he's really uh, dude, He's
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: got his shirt untocked, his jersey untalked, He's like sweating all.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: Over the place.
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: I'm like, I don't think this guy's one hundred percent, dude. Like,
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give him credit for being out there and
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: putting in the effort and getting out there, but I
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: think he's still hurt.
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: Man, Duncombe.
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: We'll see.
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: But he is a big body out there, you know.
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: Stick him under the basket and let him get rebounds
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: and let him put in shots, you know, from underneath
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: the basket, I guess, But still I don't know, man,
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: although I will say that you know, from from an
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: NCAA tournament perspective.
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: I think Winthrop.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: It depends on who they would match up against in
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament.
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: But because Winthrop has that guy.
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: If he is a little bit healthier by then, they
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: might actually be more dangerous in a tournament setting against
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: some like if they draw some like big conference scene
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: that doesn't really have the size. I don't know, man,
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: although high Point is you know, high Point doesn't exactly
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: have the size to match up against that guy either though,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: So I think that's kind of been the That's why
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: high Point has struggled against Winthrop because I think they
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: don't have the size to match up against him. But
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: he's not playing at one hundred percent right now? Man,
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: thirty SoC what's up? Yes, Thigs are hanging out all right.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: I'm doing all the conference tournaments first, man, here's your
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Atlantic Sun.
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: Conference final.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: By the way, I forgot to congratulate the two auto
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: bids that were clinched yesterday. Congratulations to Long Island, who
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: will almost certainly be a sixteen seed. They are the
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: winners of the Northeast Conference despite not having played in
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: the in the final yet they're in because Mercy Hearst
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: is their opponent and Mercy Herris is ineligible. We're gonna
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: talk about that on Tuesday because that is probably gonna
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: make my card.
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: And then congratulations to Tennessee State.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: Who had an easy game last night against the fraudulent
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: Moorhead State. As I've been telling you, Morehead State just
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: lost one game too late. Man, they should have lost
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: to Simo. It would have been a more interesting final
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: of Osimo against Tennessee State. But Tennessee State, they were
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: the best team in that conference when it came down
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: to it. They're gonna be one of the really low
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: seeds as well, THEO like a fifteen or sixteen.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: But congratulations to them. They are in.
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: The Tennessee State Tigers and the Long Island Sharks are
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: both in, so they go, all right, here's your Atlantic
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: Sun Conference final here Queens and Central Arkansas. Queens just
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: beat Austin p to get here.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: Big win for Queens.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: Man against Austin P who I think was the best
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: team in the conference, Queens was able to get by them.
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: I didn't think that was gonna happen. I thought Austin
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: P was gonna beat them. That's not what happened. Queens
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: led the majority of the way. It was pretty close
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: until Queen's pulled away at the end. Austin P did
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: not shoot well in the game. Queens hit a lot
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: of threes and that's what did it. Queens, by the way,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: still terrible from the free throw line, apparently.
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: Austin P.
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: By the way, not a good sign that Austin P
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: was at the line way more and they still lost
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: the game, although Austin P dominated the rebound battle and
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: that's not a good sign for Queens because I always
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: like to look at who won the rebounding battle because
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: the paint presence is a factor that is bigger and
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: it doesn't really change because it really just has to
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: do with your physicality and size. There. Queens isn't really
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: that type of team. Man. They shoot, that's what they do.
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: They're heavily focused on offense. They're not a good defense,
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: and that's the problem. They're eightieth on offense according to
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Ken Pump, but three twenty fourth on defense. That's really bad.
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: And they play fast. So they're one of those teams.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: You know, I don't like teams that are that style. Dude.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: I love their coach. I love Grant Leonard awesome, dude,
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: love that he follows me love that he retweeted me yesterday.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna root for Queens because he follows me. From
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: my rooting perspective, I'll root for them, but from you know,
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: actually trying to pick who's gonna win this game. I
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: can't get on board with a team that plays that style. Man.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry, even though I know that's that's either the
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: coaching style or that style fits you know, the players
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: that that team has. But Central Arkansas is just the
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: more balanced team, man, And they are the better team here.
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: They are the second best team in this conference behind
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: Austin p I think Queens is fourth, but like if
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: you look at the power ratings, I think they're behind
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: lipscumb in the power ratings. Central Arkansas beat Florida Golf
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: Coast yesterday.
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: I thought they would because they.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: Had a bad game against them the last time they
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: had played them, and they are the better team over
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: Golf Coast. So Central Arkansas was able to get through
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: that game. Yeah, Central Arkansas, They're just more of the
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: balanced team here, man. So Central Arkansas they're very balanced. Actually,
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: they're right in the middle of kem pom's rankings and
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: everything defense and offense. They are lucky, although I think
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: they're still I think they're less lucky than Queens still,
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: and Central Arkansas is more of a mid tempo team
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: as well. Yeah, both these teams are lucky according to Kempum,
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: but I believe Queens is the more lucky teams. I
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: get that right, Yeah, by two, but I think by
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: two spots. Yeah, you know this game, all right, let's
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: we'll look at the side. You know, I do lean
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: to Central Arkansas. They dropped from three and a half
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: to two. Now that it's a two. I think the
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: money line would be the way to look at Central Arkansas.
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: Sixty five percent of tickets.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: Ninety percent of the cash on them, The money is
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: coming in on them. I also don't think I would
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: really disagree with an over, even though I almost want
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: to blindly play unders in championship games because the championship game,
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: you you know, usually teams are gonna focus more on defense,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: They're gonna take fewer risks, not want to make mistakes.
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: But in a game like this where we have won
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: really bad defense and a really good offense, really.
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: For Queens, I just think.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: A Queen's game is just like I think, more often
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: than not, is going to go over the total and
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: now the total drop to one fifty six, you're getting
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: value on it the initial money like the Steam was
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: on the under though. Uh but you know, in that case,
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think I really agree with it. But we'll
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: see what happens there. Man. And when you look at
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: what do these teams do during the regular season, they
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: only play, know, they did play twice. I think Central
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: Arkansas on won by ten at Queens, and they beat
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: Queens at home by five the last time. So now
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: Central arkansall probably didn't cover that number, and let me say, no,
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: they did. They're only Wow, they're only two and a
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: half at home. That doesn't make any sense. Conseder Arkansas
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: is the better team. I can't believe they're only two
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: and a half at home. I don't know DraftKings. I
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: don't know what was going on with that number, but
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: I expected that they were like five six point favorites
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: at home. So I don't know the fact that they
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: were two and a half at home and they're two. Yeah,
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: and they're two here on a neutral you know, it
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: almost seems like that makes the two a little bit
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: too high. And I think maybe that's why the three
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: and a half dropped to two. I think it was
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: maybe more of a numbers play there, like how could
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: they be favored by more in a neutral than they
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: were at home? That type of thing, And I would
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: agree with that sentiment. But I do still think they're
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: the better team here. And this game is in Jacksonville, Florida,
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: by the way, so you know, the site doesn't really
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: help either team. The Winthrop and High Point games in
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: Johnson City, Tennessee, by the way, so again, no real
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: location edge for either team there. Yes, sir dude, of
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: course I'm going to root for the guy who follows
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: me on Twitter.
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: Man, I gotta do it. I have to do it.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: I said I would when I tweeted it out. And
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: I don't have a play on the game, so you know,
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: I have my opinion on the game. But you know,
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: like who I think is gonna win, But you know
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: it's I don't think it's a strong bet, so there
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: you go.
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I'll root for Queens.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: By the way, whichever team wins that game will make
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: their first appearance in program history in the NCAAA tournament.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: So congratulations to both of those teams for getting to
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: the final here.
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: But whichever team wins.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: Neither team has ever been to the tournament before, neither program,
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: So there you go. I think Central Arkansas for the
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: women's has been in their tournament before, but the men's
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: team has never been there. By the way, Central Arkansas,
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: They're women's team name is the Sugar Bears, whereas the
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: men's team is just the Bears, which is probably even gayer,
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: to be honest. But and the fact they're purple but
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: no purp, well, dude, you know it's wild.
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: Purple is the color of royalty, but it's queens.
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: Who are the royals? What's up with that? They don't
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: have the royal color. They're like navy blue. Well, navy
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: blue is a royal color as well, though well not
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: as royal as royal blue, I guess for the Kansas
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: City Royals.
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I'm dude. My mind is going.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: Everywhere right now. And Queens's logo is a lion though.
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: All right, I gotta get through the rest of these
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: conference tournament games. First, man, the Horizon League has a
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: game here.
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: The Horizon League, dude.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: Their tournament structure is so weird, so you remember, like
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: they have multiple days off between a lot of their
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: rounds in the tournament, which is interesting in a way
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: because it means the team doesn't have to play like
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: four games of four days five games in five days
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: like Georgia Southern is gonna have to. Here. Now, the
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: way that that Horizon League tournament is structured is the
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: top excuse me, the bottom two seeds that I think advanced,
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: have to play each other. And that's this game. I'm
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: pretty sure it's the seven versus the five, and then
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: I believe the winner of this game is then going
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: to play the number one seed. I think, who's still
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: alive Right State?
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: And then.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: And then I think the two and the three already
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: are set up to play each other. I think that's
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: how it works, so because I think those are the
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: teams that are left. So I think the two and
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: the three are Robert Morris and Detroit Mercy.
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: Detroit Mercy.
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's very good, but I think that
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: matchup is already set to be played, and then the
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: winner of this game is.
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: Gonna play Right State.
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. This conference tournament is insane, but
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: Northern Kentucky did get a win over Oakland, you know,
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: and I did say whoever won that game. I thought
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: might be able to make a run in this tournament
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: because Northern Kentucky's not that bad. They're not the seventh
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: best team in this conference. They're probably a top five
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: team in this conference. Oakland was as well, and Northern
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: Kentucky beat them by one. I thought Oakland was a
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: decent shot to make a run because their coach has
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: really experienced whatever, But Northern Kentucky got the win.
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: Now they're playing Green Bay, who.
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: You know, you got to give Gottlieb credit, even though
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: I think he's an insane person, you got to give
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: him credit for the turnaround that he has, you know,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: made for this program here at Green Bay, you know
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: what I mean. They won like three games last year
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: or something like that, probably and it was probably more
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: than that. But they had a really bad season last year,
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: and he said he was gonna turn them into a
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: winning team this season, and he did. So you got
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: to give him credit for that at least. But I
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: don't know if Green Bay is gonna get through this
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: one man. They beat IPFW. So yeah, both these teams
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: have won a game in this tournament. This tournament now
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: has moved to a neutral location, so in the first games,
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: the home team hosted the games, I think, But now
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: all the games are in Indianapolis now, which I think
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: actually helps Northern Kentucky location wise because they're that's closer to.
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: Indianapolis than Green Bay is.
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: I know, Doug Gottlieb at the end of Green Bay's
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: game was shouting out to the crowd, telling you know, oh,
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: you Green Bay fans, you know, getting your RVs, getting
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: your winn of Bagos and you know that's like, that's
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: what he said, getting your win to Bagos and head
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: to Indianapolis. Now, you know, I mean Green Bay will
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: they'll have decent crowd supporting the game too. I think
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: Northern Kentucky is gonna benefit from the location a little bit. Though. Now,
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: as far as what this line looks like here, Northern
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: Kentucky is the favorite. So even though they're the seventh
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: seed in Wisconsin, green Bay is the five seed. We're
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: just green Bay now. It's one of those situations where
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: the lower seed is actually the better team. According to
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers, Northern Kentucky's around a two and a half
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: point favorite at this point. Seventy nine percent of tickets,
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash on them. I'm gonna lean
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: in Northern Kentucky here, man. Even though it looks like
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: they're kind of the public side here, I don't know
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: that the public is really getting heavily involved in this
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: particular game. Yeah, I think Northern Kentucky is gonna get
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: it done. I think Gottlieb is going to drop out finally.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: You know, just I think the experience factor or inexperienced
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: factor might catch up to them here. Northern Kentucky. As
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: you can see here, they are actually the better team.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: That's probably the way that I would go in that one.
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at what they did in the regular season
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: against each other. Northern Kentucky lost the last matchup at
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: home to Green Bay, so they might actually make some
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: adjustments to show up here on Northern Kentucky. The one
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: thing I don't like about that is that Northern Kentucky
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: hit twelve threes and they still lost the game in overtime,
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: so that's not a good sign. Green Bay did out
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: rebound them and have the lead for most of the game,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: so that's not a good sign for Northern Kentucky. I
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: will say that Green Bay was the better team in
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: that game. They out rebounded them. Northern Kentucky lost both
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: regular season matchups, actually, but they lost in overtime at
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: home by three, and they lost at Green Bay by
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: two earlier in the season. So take from all that
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: when you want to. Man, Northern Kentucky was the favorite
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: in both games, though green Bay shot really well in
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: the game at home, so Northern Kentucky, even though they
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: did get out rebounded. That's the thing, Northern Kentucky. They're
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: not the better rebounding team here, so I don't like that,
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: even though they're the better overall team.
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I just I don't know.
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: I don't think I could jump on a team that
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: isn't the better rebounding team though, even though my opinion
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: is that they probably do win the game. But yeah,
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: and you know that green Bay went at home. A
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: lot of it was because they were a really hot
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: shooting team in that one and they barely won. So
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: and Northern Kentucky was the favorite in both games and loss.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: So and by the way, if Northern Kentucky was a
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: four and a half point road favorite against Green Bay,
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: now they're two and a half on a neutral it
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: kind of looks like there is some value there on
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: the Northern Kentucky side, even if yeah, you do have
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: to adjust the power ratings a little bit, but a
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: four and a half point road favorite, that would really
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: indicate that Northern Kentucky should be like a seven point
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: favorite on a neutral, so you know which that would
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: be too high, But two and a half is quite low,
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: all right? ESPNU At four pm we have a well,
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: the semi finals are on ESPNU for the Soapcon four
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: teams left in the Soacon. The first game up is
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina and East Tennessee State. All these games are
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: in Asheville, North Carolina, and we do have a North
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: Carolina team still in with UNC Greensboro and Furman, who
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: I believe is in South Carolina? Am I getting the
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: Carolina's right? I think they're not too far away from
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: that location? Well, I guess Western Carolina I guess wouldn't
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: be that far away either, so well, really the location
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: because Asheville is kind of like in the the apple Achians, right,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: the apple Atchians, So I think all of these teams
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: are actually not that far away. East Tennessee is not
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: that far away either, So location wise, I don't think
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: it's that bad for any of these teams.
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: Now, what I think East.
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is probably thrilled about is the fact that they
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: have to play Western Carolina here, and they actually lost
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: both games to them. During the regular season, East Tennessee
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: only had five conference losses, two of them were to
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina, so it looks like they might have some
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: matchup issues against them, even though East Tennessee is the
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: better team.
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: To me, this seems like a bit of a matchup concern.
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: The games were close, they lost by four on the
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: road and two at home, so maybe East Tennessee will
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: make some adjustments here. Western Carolina did shoot pretty hot
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: against them on the road, but they did outrebound them
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: on the at East Tennessee as well.
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: East Tennessee did lose.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: His nine and a half point favorites, though, so they
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: probably remember that and they'll probably try to turn it
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: around here now. The fact that that was the last
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: time they played each other, although it was pretty early
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: in the season. Still, and if East Tennessee was nine
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: and a half at home on a neutral, you know
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: you're gonna see in admitted their three point favorites here.
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: Really they should be if you think the nine and
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: a half was accurate. They really should probably be like
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: six here. So it looks like there is maybe some
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: line value in East Tennessee, but the money is still
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: fading them here. Now East Tennessee they won that. Both
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: teams have played in this tournament already. East Tennessee beat
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: the Citadel and they didn't look that good in doing so.
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: But I like, you know, a lot of times the
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: team will come in rusty. I do like it when
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: the better team looks bad and they still escape.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: A lot of times they'll play better in the next game.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina beat Mercer, which is a much better win.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: Mercer is a better team than the Citadel, so Western
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: Carolina had a more difficult game there. I think that
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: was the five versus four matchup. East Tennessee is the
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: one seed here. They are the best team in this conference.
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: Now from that perspective, yeah, East Tennessee would make sense.
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: From the live value perspective, they make sense from the
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: situational angle, where they didn't look that impressive against a
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: much weaker team. Western Carolina just beat a better team
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: and Mercer. I think Mercer is a slight favorite in
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: that game probably, so you know, the situational set up
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: does say East Tennessee State here, but all the money
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: is saying otherwise, even though they are only a three
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Fifty six percent of the tickets are on
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee and eighty one percent of the cash on
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina, So it seems like a lot of the
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: real money likes Western Carolina to potentially pull off the
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: upset here or at least cover. But if they cover,
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: they're probably winning the game here. So it's very very
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: interesting this conference. You know, East Tennessee is the best
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: team here, but this conference has been a down conference
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: this year.
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: They're usually really they're usually a really competitive conference, but
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: they're a good conference.
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: This year they're I would say they're still competitive, but
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: they're not as good of a conference this year. Man,
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens with that one. Pete, what's up?
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: Man?
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee State just up I twenty six from w CU.
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: So these teams are.
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: Arrivals, I guess in a way because they're close geographically.
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: I didn't really know that.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: All right, Well, that does make sense though, because Western
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: Carolina is on the border of East Tennessee. So all right,
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: then the other game in that conference is oh no, wait,
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: I already talk about both games in that conference, right Yeah? Wait?
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: Did I where is?
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: Oh?
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: No, I didn't talk about it.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: You U and see Greensboro and Furman is the other game, Yeah,
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: I already I kind of alluded to it already. Now
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: you would see Greensboro, they've played two games in this
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: tournament already. One of them was kind of a bye though,
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: even though they played. They beat vm I VM by
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: so you know, I mean easy, easy win for UNC
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: Greensboro there. So that was basically like having a bye.
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry to vm I, but that is what it is.
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: Then you U and see Greensboro had a nice win
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: knocking out the overseeded two seed Wafford yesterday. I'm UNC
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: Greensboro where like three and a half point dogs in
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: that one. They're playing well right now, though Man Wawford
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: was a vulnerable team there. Wawford not actually the second
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: best team in this conference. But now you would see
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: Greensborough was running into the team that I think is
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: actually the second best team in the conference. Furman.
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: Uh, even though they even the Furman.
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: Is the sixth seed or no, the five seed. I guess.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: Furman beat Samford yesterday in a close game that was
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: a battle. I watched it. Furman had it in hand
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: at the end though. It was a good win for
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: Furman yesterday day, though I watched the end of it.
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: So Furman has played one fewer game than you would
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: see Greensboro. But again, I don't think that matters that
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: much because beating VM, I who cares, But you would
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: see Greensborough did pull off the upset yesterday. Furman had
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: a difficult game too against Samford. Samford is not a
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: bad team.
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: Which actually that that might have been the three versus six.
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: I think it was because East Tennessee's Yeah, it was
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: because East Tennessee is the one. Western Carolina is the
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: five seed, Greensboro is the seven, and yeah, Furman's got
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: to be the six. Yeah, all right. Anyway, Furman's up
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: to seven and a halfway favorite here. So the number
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: did go through the key number seven seventy nine percent
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: of tickets and only seventy six percent of the cash
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: on them, So Furman is the public side with less
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: of the money on them. So that does mean the
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: money's coming in towards UNC. Greensboro plus the points Man
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: doesn't necessarily mean they're gonna win the game. But the
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: money seems to like UNC greens bro It was kind
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: of an undervalued commodity here. They're outside of the top
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: three hundred and Ken Palm though, and they're lucky according
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: to Kembalm, and they're a bottom twenty defense, so I
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: don't know that.
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: There's that much to like about them.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: Furman is outside the top two hundred though, although they
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: are the better team and they're the significantly better defense,
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. I don't really think Furman is
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: gonna lose the game. You know, as far as the spread,
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: the market is saying UNC greens were on the spread,
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: but we'll see what happens in that one man. And
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: then oh yeah, as far as what these seems did
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: with each other during the regular season, let me just
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: look real quick, UNC Greensboro.
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: Let me see against UNC Greensboro.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: One at Furman and lost at home against them, Furman
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: blew them out in Greensboro, and then Greensboro won by
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: three on the road. So between all that, Furman was
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: still the better team though, But the most recent matchup,
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: UNC Greensboro beat them at Furman. You know, Furman was
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: a pretty big favorite in that game, probably double digits
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: so if that was the last game that happened, you know,
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: Furman's really gonna take them seriously this time.
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if I agree with UNC Greensboro
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: plus the points there. Man, I don't even really think
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: I do. The market is saying that I kind of
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: slightly disagree with it, but of course that's obviously that's
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: not a play that I'm giving out. I haven't given
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: out any plays yet, I don't think on the show.
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: My strongest opinion I've talked about so far as towsand
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: all right, Sun Belt Sun Belt up next. Yes, for
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: the Sun Belt, we have a Southern Miss and Troy.
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss has won three games in the tournament, already
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: beating jam U, Texas State in app State yesterday, pulling
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: off an upset of a very good defensive app State team.
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss getting the win there, they got the moment.
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: They're riding the momentum. Man, But now they're playing a
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: fourth game in four days. And that's what happens with
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: these wide ass tournament brackets, you know what I mean.
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: But a lot of times the team will get momentum
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: and they'll keep going.
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: And you see that happening with both of these games.
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: Today, you have a team that's gotten hot and run
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: through a bunch of games. Troy is the best team
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: left in the conference. I think they were actually the
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: second best team in the conference behind Arkansas State, who
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: lost all the tie breakers and had to be the
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: seventh seed. Troy is the one seed they wound up
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: ahead of everybody else because they got to play you
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: on Monroe in the final week. Troy hasn't played since then,
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: which I don't like because that means Troy's coming into
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: this game after a long layoff, so I think that's bad.
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: They don't have the momentum. But I think what's good
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: is they lost at Southern Miss very shortly before the
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: end of the season, so I think they're gonna remember that,
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: and I'm assuming they were a favorite in that game.
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: Troy did absolutely destroy Southern Miss in the earlier matchup
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: at home. Troy is definitely the better of these two teams,
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: but Southern Miss does have the momentum edge and the
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: fact that they played in the conference tournament already, you
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: know which Troy has not done.
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: Troy has to come into this game cold.
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: The game's in Pensacola, So Southern Miss I think does
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: have a pretty good crowd showing up for this. Troy
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: is located in Troy, Alabama. I don't know exactly where
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: in Alabama that is. I think it might be further
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: north though, so Southern Miss. I think as a slight
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: location edge here, Troy comes in as a five point favorite.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: They are definitely the better team here, but eighty four
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets only fifty the cash on Troy. Now,
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: on the one hand, like I said, I think Troy
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: will bounce back from having lost their last matchup to
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss. But the fact that they've had so much
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: time off they got to come into this game and
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss is already on a roll. You got to
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: try to figure out when is Southern Miss gonna get tired?
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean?
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: Is it going to happen in a fourth game.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: In four nights? Maybe? But the money is all coming
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: in on Southern Miss here. Man, So the market, Reid
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: says Southern Miss in this case, I don't think I
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: have that strong of a reason to disagree. Troy is
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: one fifty eighth and ken bomb. They're a very fairly
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: balanced team and at least for them. They play slow, so,
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: you know, a slow paced team, it's easier for them
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: to have a long layoff and jump back into the game.
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: Southern Miss tries to.
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: Go way faster, although their defenses are almost ranked the same,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: believe it or not, Even though Troy's a slow paced team,
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: Troy is not a great defense. In fact, Southern believe
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: it or not, Southern Miss is actually a better defense
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: by six ranking spots. Southern Miss is a lucky team though,
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: according to Ken Pum, but they're not that much worse
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: than Troy. Really, they're almost in the top two hundred, Like,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: this is not a good Sun Belt conference. Man. So
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: Troy's in well, dude, la, I thought you met Louisiana.
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: I'm like, no, they're definitely in Alabama. Doth in Alabama.
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: Troy is in Troy, Alabama, right, I think the name
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: of the town is I thought the name of the
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: town was Troy.
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know. I usually I know.
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: I'm usually good at geography and I know a lot
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: of sports. You own land there WHOA all right, well
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: I will I will trust you on that, all right,
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: So maybe Troy will have a good crowd at that game.
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: Then anyway, I'll slightly agree with taking the points with
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: Southern myss. They are the better deepfense technically and they're
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: getting points, so I like that at least, and they
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: have the momentum, not a strong opinion. And then the
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: other game in that conference is Georgia Southern and Marshall.
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: These games are still only on ESPN, plus Marshall is
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: the two seeds, so these are the semifinals in this conference.
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: I don't think Marshall is legit man. Marshall's very bad
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: on defense, believe it or not. They lost both matchups
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: at Georgia Southern, and they lost handily, and that's who
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: they're playing this time. They lost by fourteen and by seventeen.
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: And even though I think Georgia Southern is an overrated team,
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: I think Marshall also is Georgia Southern. The last two
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: games that they've had, they got a good path here. Man.
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: Like I thought Georgia Southern was gonna be out immediately
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: because I liked Old Dominion.
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: I think Old Dominion was.
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: A very underrated team, and Georgia Southern escaped through that.
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: Then they pulled up an upset against Arkansas State who
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: I thought was the much better team. They upset Southern
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: Alabama as well. South Alabama. Then they finally got an
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: easy draw. But now they're playing a.
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: Fifth game in five days.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: So with Georgia Southern, you gotta wonder winn gonna get tired,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean? Fifth game in five days
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: is insane.
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: And if they make.
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: The final, they'll play a sixth game in six days,
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: and that is actually a possibility, which is insane. I
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: don't know if we've ever seen a team do that,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: and this is one of the only conferences where it's
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: even possible for that to happen. This and the West
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: Coast Conference, I think maybe not even that, because this
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: conference has more teams in the tournament. I think no,
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: maybe I'm wrong about that, But Georgia Southern did take
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: care of Coastal Carolina yesterday. Coastal Carolina not a good
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: team though, even though they were the three seed. They're overrated.
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: I think Marshall is overrated too, though, and Marshall has
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: to come into this game cold, so Marshall's had a
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: lot of time off, and again, I don't know that
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: having all that time off is that helpful, especially a
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: team like Marshall. Marshall plays fast and they rely on offense.
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: Their defense is not even inside the top three hundred,
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: So Marshall very bad on defense, and a team like
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: that that goes fast and they play offense, it's not
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: good for that team to have a lot of time off. Man.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: But the one good thing for them is they lost
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: their last game at home to Georgia Southern. That's the
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: last time they played, so they're definitely gonna remember that
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: and they will might be able to fix some things
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: showing up in this game. But dude, Georgia Southern had
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: the upper hand against them. Man, Even though I think
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern is definitely an overrated team. Like I said,
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern's really bound on defense as well, in fact,
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: even worse than Marshall sixty eighth in luck. They also
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: play fast, so we got a fast paced games setting
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: up here with two decent offenses and two terrible defenses.
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: The only I like the over in this game, to
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: be honest.
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: The only problem is that Marshall having that long layoff
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: might mean that their offense is gonna start slow.
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: That's the only issue that I have with this.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: But you're gonna have probably a really tired Southern miss
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: team at some point here, So the over does kind
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: of make sense in this game. Both teams are really
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: high in the luck index. I'm gonna be honest, I
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: think whichever team wins this game is gonna lose in
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: the final. Uh. These two teams, they're both actually pretty bad.
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: Marshall is the favorite here, four and a half sixty
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: two per tickets on them fifty two percent of the
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: money though on Georgia Southern the cash, So the money
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: is on the Georgia Southern side here. The total dropped
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: a little bit, but yeah, I mean I'll agree with
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern slightly on the side they I'll agree with
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: the money in that one. I think the over might
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: be the better look in this game still, though, one
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: sixty eight and a half actually seems that't I know
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: it's it's a high total, but it almost seems low
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: for a matchup like this, So I think it over
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: makes sense in that game. All right, Charles, what's up?
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out?
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: All right? Then?
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: What else do we got here?
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: Man? I still have to do NHL and NBA, although
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: hopefully that's gonna be a lot quicker because I go
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: through all the conference tournament games. Usually my Sunday show
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: is usually quicker than this. We're almost done, though I
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: haven't gotten to either of my plays yet. One of
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: them is in the conference tournaments, the other is in
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: the regular season. Let me see here, So I am
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: going to hit the rest of those games real quick.
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: Oh and then we got to talk.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: About the Big Sky. Actually, hold on, I'm trying to
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: go into order here. Uh No, we're gonna talk about
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: the matt Ac next, I guess because they're continuing today
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: as well. They're in their semifinals, Marist and Merrimac, which
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: is maybe the more interesting of the two games today.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: Maris had a really tough game yesterday against Quinnipiac. I
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: watched the end of that game. Maris was winning that
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: whole game pretty much. They were winning by margin in
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: that game, and then they let the leads slip and
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: they almost lost. It was a tough game at the
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: end of it. Man, it was very close at the end.
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: So Maris is coming off of a more difficult game,
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: So keep that in mind. Now.
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: Marist, I don't know what the deal is.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they match up really badly against
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Merrimack because they lost both games bad against Merrimack. They
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: lost by thirteen at home, and then at Merrimack they
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: got absolutely embarrassed. They lost by twenty five points on
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: the road. So Merrimack has absolutely handled them. Maybe it's
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: a little bit misleading though, maybe Maris. You know, maybe
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: Maris will turn it around here. The fact that they
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: got embarrassed so badly the last time they played them,
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: maybe Maris is going to show up with a little
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: bit of a better effort this time. Merrimack interessing team.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're definitely.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: Better on offense than Maris.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: Maris is a terrible offense, but Marius is good on defense.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: Maris is just very imbalanced. Merrimack is a much more
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: balanced team. Both teams like to play slow, so this
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: is going to be a slow based game, which is
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: why the total is crazy low. In the one twenties.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: I still wouldn't even disagree with an under here. The
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: only thing is both teams did play yesterday. Although Merrimack
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: had a much easier game, they absolutely blew wowed a
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: pretty bad Sacred Heart team who somehow got through i
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: Oonna the game before that, which gave Merrimack a much
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: easier opponent. I think Iona would have given Merrimac, you know,
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: a run for their money. I think, but Merrimack got
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: an easy matchup yesterday, but that means they got an
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: easy game, so they're coming off the much easier effort.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: This game is really hard to predict. The money's coming
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: in on Merrimack. They're four and a half point favorite here,
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of ticket, sixty six percent of the
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: cash on Merrimack. I mean, I don't have really that
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: much of a reason to disagree with it, other than
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, it does look like Merrimack is just dominated Marit,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: you know, but sometimes that can be misleading. But I
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: think if you dig into the box score, Merrimack was
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: the better team. It's just Merrimack doesn't have that much size,
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: although Maris doesn't really either. Marist is the better defense
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: getting points though, and you know, sometimes I will look
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: towards the better defense getting points.
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: Under I do think it's worth considering.
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: In this game, it's at one twenty five with some
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: juice coming in the other one twenty five and a half,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: which I think is an appropriate line. The money looks
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: like it is kind of coming in on the under
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: there that might be preferable to the side. To be honest,
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see both teams playing slow. As
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: far as Merrimack, they're also better on defense than offense,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: but they are more balanced.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: But they're also very lucky.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: According to cam Bum they're twelfth in luck and Maris
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: is much unluckier, outside the top two hundred in luck.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: It's just that Maris is pitiful on offense, really good
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: on defense, top almost the top sixty defensively though, so
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: it's an interesting matchup. And then the other game in
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: the matt Act is Fairfield in Sianna. Sianna is not
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: favored by too much here. These games are in Atlantic City,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: New Jersey. By the way, I don't know, man, I
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: think that. And Pensacole I already said Pensacole is where
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: the sun Belt is, but yes, this is in New Jersey, dude,
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: I think it's pretty odd that Cianna was only laying
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: two and a half here. Fairfield has actually won two
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: games in the tournament. They beat Manhattan and then they
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: beat an overrated Saint Peter's team, which one thing we
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: gotta be aware of is did Fairfield actually have yesterday
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: off or did they play yesterday? Let me see, Yeah,
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: they had yesterday off, so that's something to be aware of.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: So I think, actually, I think Merrimack might have too.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: Let me see, I don't know how the matt Ax
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: schedules their shit here. Yeah, Merrimack didn't play yesterday either,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: so yeah, that's actually an edge form Merrimac here. Merrimack
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: had yesterday off and Maris played pretty late last night,
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: so Maris definitely is an arrest disadvantage in that game.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: So that's something to consider.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: Man. That's probably part of the reason why some of
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in a Merrimack there, so definitely
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: something to consider.
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: That's also probably why Sianna.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: Is not favored by as much because I think they
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: played yesterday, so they kind of get screwed like the
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: higher seeded team had to play yesterday.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: They didn't play that well against Mount Saint Mary is
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: the thing.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: They got through it, But the fact that Fairfield is
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: the lesser team in Fairfield didn't have to play yesterday
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: is kind of stupid, man. So I didn't consider that
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: when I recommended Sianna as a future in this conference tournament.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: Although as I pointed out yesterday. I think for the future,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: I think doing the role over makes more sense. I
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: think I still like Sianna in this game, though. Sianna
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: lost at Fairfield by fourteen late in the season, the
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: second to last game of the regular season, so that's
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: fresh in Sienna's mind, and that was I think that
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: was a pretty misleading result.
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: They did win at home.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: By eight against Fairfield the game on the road. Sienna
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: was actually favored on the road at Fairfield, so that
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: really kind of indicates they should be like a four
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite here. The thing is, again
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: they're getting the number is getting shaved down because Sianna
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: is unrested here.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: They're now a two point favorite.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets only fifty percent of the cash
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: on them, so the money is saying Fairfield here. I
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: kind of think Sianna gets through this one. We'll see, though,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: I mean this conference tends to be pretty chaotic, and
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: again having a setup where the higher seed gets screwed
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: up having to, you know, come in unrested. I think,
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: at least I think Sianna played the earlier game yesterday
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: than Maris did, though.
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: But we'll see.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: I think there is at least a little bit of
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: line value on Sianna here. And the good thing for
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: Sianna is then at played prior to that, So Fairfield
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: did have to play two games in this tournament already,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: Sianna's only played one, So I think that that's fine
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: for Sianna, to be honest. I mean, yeah, they played yesterday,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: but they didn't play for a few days prior, so
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So not every back to
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: back is as bad as every other. And the fact
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: that they had a lot of rest before yesterday, I
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: think the tiredness won't be there yet for Sianna. So
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: I actually kind of would lean Sianna money line in
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: that one.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: All right, man, this has taken me a while.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: We do have the Southland Conference in action as well.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: The opening round in the Southland.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: I think Houston Christian is playing New Orleans now. Houston Christian,
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: I believe they beat New Orleans both times this year.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: They beat them by one at home and they beat
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: them on the road earlier in the season. I want
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: to say I think they did. Maybe, yeah they did,
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: they beat them by nine on the road. But Houston
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: Christian is not the better team, man, I mean we're
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: talking about a New Orleans team that beat TCU Houston Christian.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: These teams haven't played since the regular season ended, although
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: it ended not that long ago. Houston Christian finished the
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: season winning two of three.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: New Orleans finished the regular season losing two, So one
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: of them was to MacNeice, though, and they almost won
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: that game.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: So and then I gave you guys Southeast Louisiana because
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: New Orleans I believe Southeast Louisiana was their last game
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: that they played because they weren't gonna make the conference tournament.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: So I gave you guys them in that game that
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: was a winner. So New Orleans kind of took an
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: ugly loss there, but it was an understandable loss off
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: that game against MacNeice a huge game for them there.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: So I think New Orleans bounces back. New Orleans is
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: the better team here. This is a game where I
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: dug into the box scores and yeah, I just don't
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: think it bears out that Houston Christian was really the
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: better team. New Orleans is laying five points here for
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: a reason. I would probably lay it in this one
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: with New Orleans, but I don't really have that strong
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: of an opinion on that one, but they definitely are
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: the better team there. Then the second game in the
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: early rounds of the Southland is Northwestern State and Nichols.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: These teams, I believe, only played once during the regular season,
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: and Nichols won by two at Nickels, so it was
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: a very close game.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: No, they played twice, my mistake.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: Nichols won both, but it was by a combined five points.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: Nichols won by three at Northwestern State. Although I think
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: Nichols is the better team team, Northwestern State finished the
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: season with two losses. Though Nichols is not favored by
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: a ton here. They finished the season with a loss
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: to MacNeice. They did lose by double digits though this game,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: it's really difficult to gauge this one. Nichols is only
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: two and a half way favorite here. I think they're
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: the better team though, and Nichols had a really difficult
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: out of conference schedule.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: That's one thing.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: They battle tested themselves intentionally out of conference, So that's
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: one thing you gotta give to Nichols. They played Kentucky,
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: they played Oklahoma State, Murray State not a bad team either, Creighton,
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: you know, so they did play some pretty good teams
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: in the out of conference probably better than Northwestern State did.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: Who did Northwestern State play? I mean they played Texas
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: A and M. They got drilled, though, they played Grand Canyons,
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: so you know they played a decent out of conference
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: I guess San Francisco.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but yeah, I think Nichols did battle
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: test themselves a little bit more. They're two and a
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: half here. I would I'll be going with Nickels to
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: get through that game, but that game is I have
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: almost no opinion on that game. Then we got Big
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: Sky in action with this. The best teams in the
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: Big Sky are getting into the action today. Idaho State
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: won their game, I believe last night they beat Northern
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: Arizona in the opening round. So that's a little bit
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: of an advantage man. Again, these teams have played last night.
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: These games are all in Boise, which isn't really that
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: close to Idaho State, but the games are in Boise. Now,
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: the teams that played last night, I think are they're
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: at a little bit of an advantage man, because they
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: had a little bit of rest. They played last night,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: they got used to the venue.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: They gotta win.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: Ido State beat a pretty bad Northern Arizona team last
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: night only beat them by eight. They're coming in they're
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: facing Portland State. Now. The good thing for Portland State
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: is time off might not hurt them that much because well,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: first of all, they had three losses before they finally
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: won their last game of the regular season. They sputtered
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: down the stretch, so sometimes it's good that you get
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: the reset when you're playing poorly at the.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: End of the season.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: Like it would be a lot worse for them if
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: they had some really positive momentum gets stalled out at
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: the end of the season.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: That wasn't the case. But they won their last.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: Game, which I think is all right, and ended their
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: losing momentum.
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: The other good thing for Portland.
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: State is that they're a slope ase team, so it's
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: easier for those type of teams to overcome the having
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: a lot of time off. They're more of a defensive
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: team as well. There I believe they're the best defense
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: in this conference. In fact, they're forty six overall in kembum. Actually,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: they're not as slow as I thought. They're more of
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: a mid tempo team. Really weird, given that they profile
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: as a low scoring defensive team. Their offense is bad.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: Their defense is the best in the conference. But I
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: do think they're a bit overrated. Ken Bum has them
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: fairly lucky, won thirty six in luck. I think the
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: momentum edge does kind of go to Idaho State here
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: as far as what they did during the regular season,
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: Portland State demolished them at home by twenty three points
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: and they beat them on the road by six. So
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: Portland State was the better team in both games than
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: they are. They beat them both times. But in a
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: setup like this, the money's coming in on Idaho State.
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: The numbers are already up to seven and a half on
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: Portland State. Now the money's coming in on Idaho State.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: I kind of agree with that.
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: Fifty six percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: cash on Idaho State. So the money is coming in
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: on the Idaho State side. I'll agree with it, but
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: it's not that strong of an opinion for me. And
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: then the other game the other Idaho team is playing, Uh,
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: the Big Sky is kind of weird.
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: They stagger their games.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: So the the four to five match up, in the
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: three six matchup, I mean they haven't played, they have
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: not gone yet. So this is Portland State is the
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: one seed. Idaho State won one of the games with
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: the lower seeds Idaho one. I think Idaho's the seven
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: seed and beat the I think Idaho actually beat the eight.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: I think they were the the seven and they beat
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: the eight. I think is the way the Big Sky
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: does it. I think Idaho State was the nine seed
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: and they beat the ten. I think they do something
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: really weird like that in this conference, which kind of
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: makes sense because then the you know, the winner of
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: the lesser two teams playing off gets to play Portland State.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: It's similar to the NBA.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: Like the NBA play and even though it's not a
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: round rob and it's actually kind of similar to that,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: so that the you know, in the NBA, I think
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: the lowest two play each other, in the highest two
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: play each other first. Anyway, Montana State power ratings wise,
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: they are actually the best team in this conference even
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: though they're the two seed. Problem for them is they
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: finish the season with three wins in a row and
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: they haven't played since then, so that could be a
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: little bit of a momentum stopper. Idaho is better than
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: Idaho State. Idaho is a legit team in this conference.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: I think they're one of the better five maybe six
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. They're seed at seventh, so that's
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: not way off from how good they are now. They
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: got to win last night, easy win. It was the
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: later game I watched a little bit of the end
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: of that against Sacramento State. Easy win for Idaho. But
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: that means they have a game under the belt. They
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: didn't have to exert themselves. I think they do have
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: an advantage coming into this one. I think they could
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: maybe give Montana State a little bit of an issue here.
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: Montana State's only a two and a half point favorite.
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not, seventy five percent of tickets, it's
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on them, so they're
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: also public. Yeah, I'll lead to Idaho in this one. Man,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: Idaho is not that much worse than Montana State. These
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: teams split the regular season. The home team won each matchup,
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: Idaho one at home early in the regular season by
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: three in the Montana State one at home by seven.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: So the games were both pretty close. Yeah, so that's
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: a that's the big sky for you there. We do
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: have a final in on CBS Sports late at night.
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: We have the final for the Summit League. Oh, I
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: should have talked about the West Coast, but whatever, I'll
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: get to that.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 2: The Summit League.
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: North Dakota got the ridiculous comeback upset win as a
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: double digit dog against Saint Thomas last night. North Dakota
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: is a false three seed in this conference. Man, I
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: think they were like the fifth or sixth best team
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: power ratings wise in this conference. That was an absurd upset.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: I think they're going down in this game. They played
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: the later game last night. They pulled off a double
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: digit upset. I know they're playing their rival here, but
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State handled them real easy both times this year,
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: which I guess might mean North Dakota State will take
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: them for granted a little bit. But this is the
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: championship game and North Dakota State will show up. They're
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: the better team. North Dakota State won the first game
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: at North Dakota by seventeen, and then they won at
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State by thirty three. So North Dakota has
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: been completely non competitive in both games against them. They're
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: coming off of a monster upset that the game wound
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: up being decided by a free throw, and I mean
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: it was a foul. I mean, I guess you gotta
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: call it, but it's ridiculous to win the game on
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: a free throw, wither point one second left or whatever
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: it was. The free throw shooter that won the game
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: is like a fifty six percent free.
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 2: Throw shooter two.
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: So for North Dakota, absolutely sad and ridiculous to see
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: Saint Thomas lose that game. The game looked like it
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: was over for most of it. Saint Thomas had a
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: double digit lead in that game. I have no idea
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: how they blew that game. North Dakota State beat Omaha
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: earlier in the day yesterday, easy win for them, They
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: won us a favorite. Whatever I think North Dakota State
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: wins this game, I don't really.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: Have a whole lot to say about that.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: Otherwise, North Dakota State's also getting the money even though
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: they're nine and a half point favorites, seventy one percent
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: of tickets, seventy nine percent of the cash. I wouldn't
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: even disagree with that. I know the public is probably
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: gonna be on that side too if they look at
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: this game. But yeah, I don't see them losing that game,
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: to be honest, North Dakota, Yeah, they're they're an overrated
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: two seed. Man. By far, North Dakota State is the
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: second best team in the conference to Saint Thomas, and
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: they are the one seed and they're not that much
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: worse than Saint Thomas. Porland State, Yeah, they're they're an
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: illegitimate team. Porland State, They're gonna lose in this tournament.
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: You know. I kind of like Northern Colorado to bounce them.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: I don't see Portland State winning that conference at all. Yeah,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State, I'm pretty sure they will win. Saint
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: Thomas obviously blew it all right. West Coast Conference. To
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: finish this off, they get the ESPN two billing, and
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: we're in the semifinals. No, we're in the quarterfinals. My mistake,
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: it's it's always two games every night. So it confuses me.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: With these wide brackets. The four and the three seed
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: are jumping into the fray here though. In the quarterfinals,
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: we got San Francisco in Oregon State. Sar Francisco wound
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: up being what seed do they wind up getting it?
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what seed they wound up getting,
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: But I think San Francisco has an advantage here, man,
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: because they played one game in the tournament already, and
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: they had an easy win against Portland. Portland kind of
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: a darling in this conference because they beat Gonzaga during
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: the regular season. They won two games in the conference tournament,
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: but they're done. San Francisco got the win. These games
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: were all at the Orleans in Vegas. The Summit Conference,
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: by the way, is in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, for
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: what that's worth. San Francisco got the job done last night.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: Easy win for them in the earlier game yesterday too,
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: So I think they set up very nicely here and
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: in fact, this is gonna be a play. We're gonna
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: lay the points with San Francisco minus three and a half,
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: and you might be thinking that's insane.
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: Why would I do this when.
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: Well, first of all, they're the lower seed and they're
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: laying points, So what do you think that means? The
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: Osburgers are telling you they're the better team here. Oregon
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: State is a false four seed, and you might look
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: at this and think, well, why would I want to
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: do this? Because San Francisco just played Oregon State at
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: home and they lost the game horribly. They almost lost
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: by thirty points, ninety to sixty three. Yeah, I know,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: but look at this game and look at how misleading
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: that was. Oregon State shot sixty percent from three, They
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: were plus twenty one points from three point race. They
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: had more free throw attempts as well, by almost double digits.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: They shot fifty six percent from the field, and in fact,
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: sar Francisco actually had twelve more field goal attempts in
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: the game and made fewer than Oregon State did.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: So this is a very misleading result.
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: I know Oregon State won the rebound battle, but this
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: is a misleading result. Sarrancisco couldn't hit any shots in
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: the game, thirty eight percent from the field, twenty percent
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: from three. This looks like there's gonna be a huge
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: regression from this game. Oregon State again, fifty six percent
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: for the field, it's sixty percent from three.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: That's not gonna happen again.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: And yeah, Oregon State actually won the first game too
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: at Oregon State. Oregon State's kind of a weird place
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: to have to go to. You know, they're new to
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: this conference for the most part. These teams that are
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: that have been in this conference for forever, they still
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: struggle when they go to Corvallas because it's just a
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: weird trip. They're not used to that venue, so I
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: can give San Francisco a pass for losing this game.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: Oregon State did shoot really well in this game to him.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: By the way, San Francisco only made four threes in
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: this game, and again they had more field goal attempts
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: in the game, so not everything was what it looked
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: like in this game either, and Oregon State won the
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: game by eight. San Francisco, by the way, they were
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: four and a half point favorites on the road in
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: this game, and now they're only three and a half
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: on a neutral even though they were four and a
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: half at home or is using on the road in
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: that game, and then at home obviously they were a
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: big favorite that game. They lost by thirty points. They
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: were favored in that game by a significant margin.
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: They were favored by eight and a half.
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think we're getting a little bit of
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: live value here as well because of those results. Oregon
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: State also is this is the first time they're playing
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: in this tournament this year, and man, they did lose
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: their last game of the regular season, so they don't
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: really have their momentum totally stopped here. But they haven't
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: played in the tournament yet, so I think that's another
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: advantage to San Francisco. Sarah Cisco is also more used
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: to this arena because they play here every year and
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: Oregon State's only played here like one or two times,
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: even though I know they were in the PAC twelve.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: The PAC twelve also played in Vegas for their tournaments,
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: so they won't be distracted by you know, the sites
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: in Vegas or whatever. But I think Oregon State is
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: a massively fraudulent four seed in this conference tournament. They're
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: not the fourth best team, Oregon State sixteenth in lock
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: according to Kenbaum. They're almost not even in the top
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: two hundred defensively, and in fact, San Francisco is the
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: better defense, even though they're not as good defensively as
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: they are offensively. In fact, San Francisco is the better
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: team on both sides of the ball, and they're like
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: twenty ranks spots better on defense as well. In they're
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: the less lucky team. They're in the mid range of
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: lock according to kent Bomb.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 2: They're almost the top one hundred team.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: According to kent Bomb, and if you look at ken
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: BOM's rankings in this conference, he's got Gonzaga one, Saint
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: Mary's two, Santa Clara three. Nobody's surprised by that. But
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: then he has Pacific four, Seattle five, and San Francisco six,
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: and all three of those teams are really close to
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: each other, grouped all within eight ranking spots of each other. Then, actually,
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: believe it or not, Washington State, then Royal and Mary Mount,
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: then Oregon State. So he has Oregon State is the
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: ninth best team in the conference. So yeah, no, no,
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is the better team here. People are gonna be,
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: you know, just misled by the seedings and misled by
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: the results from the season. San Francisco is getting the
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: money and now it looks like a little bit although
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: I guess the public percentages on them too, somewhat five
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: percent to take a sixty six percent of the cash
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: on San Francisco. There, I'm laying it San Francisco. That's
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: the first play that I have for you. And then
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: Pacific and Santa Clara are playing in the late night game.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara, we know the pressure is on the man.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: And that's what I don't like about Santa Clara here,
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: because they're on the bubble, squarely on the bubble. So
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be paying a premium if you
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: want Santa Clara here, and they still haven't played since
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: the end of the regular season. Pacific, on the other hand,
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: has won at least one game in the conference tournament.
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: They won last night against Seattle. I think Pacific has
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: won two games, actually, which does me they're playing a
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: third game in three days.
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: No, they only played one my mistake.
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: They beat Seattle last night, so Pacific has one game
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: under their belt. So I think that's good because again
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: they're used to the venue. Now they come into this
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: game with some momentum. Santa Clara is more of an
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: offensive team, so they're good on both sides of the ball.
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: But Santa Clara plays fast.
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: A fast offensive team like Santa Clara do not want
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: to have time off and then come into a tournament
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: like this. So I would take the points to the
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: Pacific here man, and again everyone knows Santa Clara bubble team.
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 2: I think they'll win the game.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: But from a points red perspective, I think you're paying
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: too much of a price for them. They're up to
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half now, ninety two percent of tickets,
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on them. It looks
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: like the money is coming in on Santa Clara, But
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: that ticket percentage is really high for my liking, and
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: I know how the odds makers work. Man. Again, everybody
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: knows this is a bubble team here in Santa Clara.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: So and people I think are kind of rooting for
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: a team like that. You know, so, I think you're
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: paying too much of a premium. All right, let's do
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: the regular season and then I will get out of here.
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: I don't have too many games to really talk about
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: the American conferences finishing the regular season, not a whole
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: lot to talk about there. I'll give you the TV
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: games for you. Big ten, we have number eleven Illinois
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: at Maryland. Illinois is better than the eleventh best team,
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: but they've had some close losses in here. They did
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: get back on the right track with an easy win
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: over Oregon in their final home game, blowing them out.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: But now they're going on the road to Maryland. They
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: already beat Maryland at home by nineteen points. I don't
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: really see Illinois showing a ton of effort in this game.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: They should win, but covering is a different story.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: Is a huge road favorite here and it is a
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: weird travel spot for Illinois. It is a bigger game
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: for Maryland, I think because it's Maryland's final home game.
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: Illinois is coming off a blowout win by almost thirty points,
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: whereas Maryland just lost by more than thirty points. So
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: it's one of those games where it's like one team
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: had a ridiculously bad game, one team had a really
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: good game. Those things tend to see some regression back
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: to some sort of mean So I would take the
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: points with Maryland if I was gonna play this one
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: final home game.
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: It's a big deal.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: It's a little bit of revenge, you know, it's a
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: big deal to get Illinois in your final home game.
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: You know, Illinois is still playing for seeding I think
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: in the conference tournament, but that doesn't really matter that much,
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: of course, and they can win this game without covering obviously.
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: They're fifteen and a half point favorites now up from
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: fourteen and a half, seventy six percent of the tickets
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: and only seventy three percent of the cash on Illinois,
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: so the money is fading Illinois in that one, and
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: I agree with that sentiment. There then we have the
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: biggest game of the day. Well, I don't even know
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: if I want to call it the biggest game of
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: the day, but the biggest regular season game of the day,
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: let's call it. That is the Battle of Michigan, Part two,
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: number eight, Michigan State at number three Michigan. Michigan already
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: won at Michigan State pretty easily if you remember, so
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a little bit of revenge
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: maybe from Michigan State. Here. This is on CBS at
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: four point thirty pm. It'll be an interesting game. A
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: Michigan coming off a really close call against Iowa. But
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: you remember I gave you, guys Iowa on the show
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: in that game, weird spot for Michigan. They were coming off,
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: they were coming up beating Illinois, huge win beating Illinois,
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: and they had this game on deck. So it was
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: a weird spot having to go to Iowa. Man and
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: Iowa gave it. They're all in that game, falling just short.
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: So Michigan might show up with a little bit more
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: effort this time, but you know you're gonna get after
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: out of Michigan State too. Michigan State wasn't that good
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: in their last game either. In their final home game,
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: they got by Rutgers by four. Now, granted, Rutgers kind
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: of made a cosmetic at the end. Michigan State was
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: winning that game by like double digits with a couple
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: of minutes left. It wasn't They were never in danger
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: of losing that game. They took their foot off the
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: gas at the end and Rutgers as close as they
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: got was four points, like right at the end. But
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: still not a great result from Michigan State there. So
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: both teams kind of coming off results that don't look
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: that good. Both these teams are definitely legit. It is
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: a pacing contrast where Michigan is going to try to
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: speed the game up, Michigan State wants to slow it down.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: Michigan is the better team and at home so they
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: may be able to speed it up. They dropped from
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: eleven to nine and a half here. It's like it's
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: one of those games where when you see number eight
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: versus number three, the public tends to want to grab
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: the underdog when the line is really big, thinking, oh,
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: this is a competitive game, this is a lot of
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: points to be laying. So a lot of times, from
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: the professional perspective, you do want to actually lay the
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: points in games like this, Michigan is coming off of scare.
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: I know it's revenge for Michigan State, but you don't
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: want to overrate that. Michigan is definitely the better team here,
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: even though it's three versus eight, Michigan is They're an
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: elite team. Man, It's like them and Duke at the top.
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: And then there's kind of a gap even to even
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: dropping to Arizona.
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: There's kind of a gap there.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: In my opinion, sixty five percent of the tickets and
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash on Michigan State.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 2: So they look like a public side there.
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: Michigan State does it look like a public dog, So
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: I would fade that. So yeah, I would lean to
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: laying it with Michigan. And then my other play is
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: the Fox game at five pm, and it looks like
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: we're it looks like we're taking a public side here,
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: and I don't like the way this is looking with
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: less of the money on it. Now. It was Nebraska
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half a little while agoing now
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: it looks like it's you're getting a little bit of
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: a better number on it, and now it looks like.
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: It's basically six everywhere.
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: Now even I see five and a half, but Nebraska
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of tickets and only sixty nine percent
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: of the cash. And I actually thought that we had
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: to jump on this number because I was like, well,
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: the public's probably going to be on Nebraska. I thought
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: this line was going to get to seven, dude, because
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: I thought the professionals would come in on Nebraska as well.
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: I don't understand the market here because I like Nebraska
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: in this game a lot. I don't get the market
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: read here where I mean. I guess it's just because
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: you know, the professionals always want to fade these ranked teams,
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: Oh, it looks so easy to play Nebraska here.
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: I mean it does. But I think this is a
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: great play on Nebraska here man. And here's why, if
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: you don't already know, I gave you guys, Iowa in
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: their last game, and why was that? It was because
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: Michigan was in a sandwich spot having to go on
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: the road. Iowa plays really well at home. Iowa was
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: seven and two straight up at home. Coming into that game,
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: I felt that Iowa was going to slow the game down.
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: Iowa was coming off a terrible game against Penn State,
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: so I thought you were getting extra line value in Iowa.
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: And what happened, Yeah, we got the cover in Iowa
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: almost won the game outright. Iowa had chances, man, in
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: that game. There was one point where they did fall
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: behind by margin in the second half, and they came back.
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: Even though Iowa, you know, kind of a slow paced team,
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: their offense is not that bad. And they came back
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: and almost beat Michigan in their final home game.
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: And that was a monster game for Iowa.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: Dude.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: Now they're coming off of that and they're playing a.
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: Nebraska team who was not going to take them lightly
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: this time because Nebraska lost their game at Iowa. And
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: I believe I gave out. I don't know. Did I
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: give out Iowa was a play in that one? I
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: don't remember. Let me see, h No, I don't think
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: I did, but I think I leaned to Iowa in
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: that game. But anyway, I think the fact that Iowa
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: beat Nebraska and slowed the game way down at home,
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: that's gonna motivate Nebraska more here.
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 2: And I just don't know what.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: Is Iowa gonna have left in the tank after that
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: huge performance against Michigan. I know this is another big game,
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: but I don't see them having a whole lot left
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: here and Nebraska, this is this is what put me
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: over the edge here and I wanted to go to
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: Nebraska here. Nebraska just lost horribly at UCLA by twenty points, dude,
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: so they're coming off a pretty ugly loss. I think
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: they're gonna bounce back here.
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: This is their final home game.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: I know they're traveling back from the Pacific coast and
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a weird travel situation to
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: have to do that, But this is their final home game.
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: Man, They're back at home.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: You're gonna get an effort out of Nebraska, and I
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: believe they're gonna speed the game up here. I think
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: they will be able to successfully do that. Ken Bom
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: has them winning this game by six. I believe as well.
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: So it's right in line with where the number is.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: That's fine. He does have Nebraska the twelfth best team,
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: Iowa the twenty third. Now he does have Iowa being
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: very unlucky, so Nebraska is a bit more of a
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: lucky team. I know. I usually don't like that. Actually,
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: why do I keep thinking Nebraska is a fast paced team.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: They're not.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: They're also a slope based team.
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm thinking to my apologies, but
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: Nebraska is the way better defense. It's interesting. Nebraska is
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: an elite defense, but their offense is iffy, so they're
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: kind of an imbalanced team. Iowa is much more balanced
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: between offense and defense. So yeah, Normally I would say, yeah,
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: it does make you know, in a normal situation, I
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: would kind of like Iowa. But in this spot, there's
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: no way you have, you know, Nebraska coming off of
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing loss in Iowa coming off basically their super Bowl,
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: their game of the year, and it's a little bit
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: of a revenge motive for Nebraska here. This is a
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: rivalry as well, So yeah, even if you get the
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: effort out of Iowa, I think the fatigue might set
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: in there. So yes, we will have Nebraska minus the
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: points in that one. And yeah, I really don't like
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: the market reading that one though, but I really like
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: the situational set up there, and I think that's it.
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: Like all the night games are conference tournament games and stuff,
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: so that's it. Let me take a break. I'll be
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: back in a second and we'll do NHL not a
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: ton of NHL, And I'm gonna try to go through
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: it fast. NHL and NBA as we have the college
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: basketball starting shortly. Man hold on h all right, we're
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: back NHL, TNT and HBO, Max Sure TV as a
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: doubleheader coming up in the afternoon. Minnesota and Colorado was
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: the first game up. Pretty good game, Minnesota coming up
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: beating Vegas. So they're having to play two pretty big
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: games in a row here.
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: On the road, by the way.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: But they and they beat Tampa Bay the game before
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: that too, so yeah, they'll get up for this game.
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: But they did just win at Colorado five to.
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: Two coming out of the Olympic break. First game out
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: of the break, they won here five to two, so
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: I think there will be some revenge motivation for Colorado
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: here or you know, Colorado will bounce back from that,
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: I would say, and make some adjustments there.
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 2: I don't think the game was really would have looked
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 2: like on the scoreboard.
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: Now. The problem for Colorado is they were turning on
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: from a road trip less than a week away, but
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: there were away since Monday, and you know I talk
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: about when teams are turning on from road trips, it's
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit difficult. You know, you got to get
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: back to home life stuff like that. A lot of
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: times that caused a distraction. They did just beat Dallas,
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: which was a big win on the road on Friday,
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: So I don't want to do anything with this game.
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: But I do think Colorado they're not gonna overlook a
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: team that just that just came into their house and
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: beat them, and that was in fact, the last time
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: Colorado lost was to this Minnesota team, So I don't
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: see them overlooking them. The money is actually coming in
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: in Colorado for what that's worth. Up for minus what
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: sixty five to minus one seventy six, fifty two percent
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty two percent of the cash in Colorado,
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: So the money is coming into Colorado for what that's worth.
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: I can't really get there with a team that's coming
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: back from a road trip, especially coming off of a
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: big win. Uh, But I do think Colorado does probably
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: win this game.
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 2: Maybe a puck line could be worth a look there.
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, as far as the total is concerned, usually I say, well,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: both teams are in bad spots, and over kind of
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: makes sense. But in a game where it looks like
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: you might get a lot of focus out of both teams,
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure about that. The money is coming
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: in on the under, I'd probably still lean over. It's
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: a pretty high total still, it's six and a half,
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: and it's probably high for a reason, but that's not
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: one that's that I want anything to do with. And
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: then the second game of the day, Bubbleheaders, Boston at Pittsburgh.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: The Bruins just beat Pittsburgh at home, but now they're
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: on the road. The Bruins are very good at home
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: this year, and they're not really good on the road,
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: so they might struggle in this one. They're on a
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: back to back, although I think Pittsburgh also is. The
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: Bruins won yesterday at home, of course, against Washington. Pittsburgh
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: just had a big rivalry game yesterday though against Philadelphia.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home though Pittsburgh is. That game was
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: a big game though, went into a shootout, so they
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: are coming off with that. But you know, there is
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: kind of a quick revenge angle here, if you want
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: to call it that.
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on.
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: The Bruins though, for what it's worth, and you know,
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: obviously I hope it happens because I'm rooting for the Bruins,
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: and I do think I really think both of these
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: teams are overrated. Like looking at the team's records, they
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: look good, but I don't think either of them are
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: actually that good. Pittsburgh, I don't even know what's going on.
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: I know, I know Crosby got hurt around the Olympic break.
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: I have no idea if he's back or not. I
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: think Malkin got hurt as well, because I feel like
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: we're like, I feel like this is twenty years ago
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: talking about those guys. I don't even know how much
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: it matters that those guys are, whether those guys are
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: in a rout. I have no clue.
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 2: But Pittsburgh did drop from minus one thirty to minus
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 2: one eighteen. Fifty nine percent of the tickets.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: Is sixty five percent of the cash on Boston, so
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: the money is sort of indicating on the Bruins for now.
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: I kind of leaned the other way there towards Pittsburgh,
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: but no strong opinion for me there. Tampa Bay and Buffalo.
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay did finally end their losing streak with an
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: easy win against Toronto. That was yesterday, So now they're
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: playing a back to back here, third game in four days,
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: fourth game in six days in a fifth game in
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: eight days, all in different cities as well, which is.
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: Not an easy thing to do. Buffalo coming into this one.
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: Let me see, Buffalo has played six games, they won
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: six games in a row, excuse me, and they won yesterday. Unfortunately,
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: they beat us with Nashville, though Nashville did push Buffalo.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: Yeah, got the win there.
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: They're at least staying at home, so I think the
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: spot is a little bit better from them, even though
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: Tampa did just end that losing momentum, so that's good
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: for them. Tampa did just lose at home to Buffalo though,
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: on the February twenty eighth, during that losing streak, they
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: got embarrassed six to two, so there might be a
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: little bit of quick revenge angle here for Tampa. The
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on Tampa. I mean, this game
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: is really hard for me to figure out. Tampa down
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: from minus one fifteen to minus one o eight, seventy
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on them seventy nine percent
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on Buffalo.
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's a.
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: Pretty big cash versus ticket disparity there. I guess I
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: would have to agree with Tampa for that reason. Then
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: I think both teams are in decent spots to show up,
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: though I worry about all of Tampa's travel though, that's
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: the problem. Next game up will be the play I'm
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: gonna give out, and I found it basically turning it
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: into a spread. Bet. We're gonna take the Chicago Blackhawks. Oh,
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: I've forgotten the best bet. Oh, we're gonna take the
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: Blackhawks on the puck line plus one and a half.
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: Here at Dallas, Dallas is coming off a heartbreaking loss,
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: man an ice breaking loss to the Colorado Avalanche, and
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: that ended a long win streak for Dallas. You know,
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: I talk about this. Dallas hadn't lost. It's well before
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: the All Star Break. I didn't one. I don't know
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: how many games in a row. This is ten games
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: in a row, you know. I talk about this When
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: a team is on that much of a win streak
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: and they have that win streak snapped, especially if it
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: was in a huge game like that was and went
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: into a shootout against Colorado, I think they're gonna suffer
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: a hangover effect. Man, I think that's what we're gonna
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: see here. Now. They gotta play Chicago, and they got
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: bigger games on deck against Vegas, Edmonton, Detroit. All those
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: games are gonna I think draw more of their focus
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: than this one. And Dallas they're a very good team,
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: I know they are, but you know, during that win
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: streak that they had, they did beat a lot of bad.
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: Teams during that win streak too.
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: So meanwhile, Chicago, I think is gonna come into this
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: game real embarrassed because they just took pretty much the
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: worst loss that you could possibly take as a home
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: favorite to Vancouver. They lost six to three to the
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: worst team in the NHL. I mean, that is real bad.
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: So I think you're gonna see a much better effort
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: and you can kind of explain why that happened, because
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: Chicago was returning home from a road trip that took
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: them into elevation. They had some big games and they
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: went up to Canada, and you know, I talk about
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: that when a team returns home from a road trip,
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: especially when they're playing a bad team with a much
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: bigger game on deck, a lot of times you'll get
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: a bad effort out of that team.
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 2: And that's what happened. You had a flat effort there.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: Also, even better for us here is that soder Bloom
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: was in Net for Chicago there. That means Night will
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: be back in net here for us. I think here
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: he's the better goalie here for the for the Blackhawks,
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: So I'm assuming he's going to be in net here.
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: So we get a lot going for us in this one. Man,
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get the effort out of Chicago here.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: Dallas maybe not so much as far as Dallas is
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: a goalie situation. I think it will be Ottinger again
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: in net here. I'm not entirely sure about that. You
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: never really know when they when they're gonna roll out
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: to Smith. Sometimes they do that in some of their
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: lesser games. Let me see, I'm gonna see if we
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: have a prediction on this, because I want to know.
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: None of it's confirmed right now that the prediction on
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: daily face off is soda Bloom, Sodor Bloom against Ottinger.
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: That it's not gonna be soder Bloom. You gotta be kidding, well,
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: unless is Night hurt. Hold on, let me see. I
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: still like this play anyway. It's a situational play. I'm
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: not getting off of this play anyway, But hang on,
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: let me see. I mean, I would have to assume
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be night unless he's injured. Man, Nope, he's
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: out because he's sick. Holy shit. So it's not gonna
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: be night. He's not accompanying the team to Dallas because
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: of an illness, so it is going to be sodor
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: Bloom again. Even given that, I still like the play
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: though that would have made it even better.
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: But I still like it.
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: She squealed. What's up? Thanks for hanging out, man, I'm
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: doing all right. How are you all right?
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: Yeah? Dallas is an insanely public side here.
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: Minus two seventy is the money line, ninety seven percent
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash. We're doing
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: it anyway, man, We're fading Dallas in this one, all right.
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: Detroit and New Jersey.
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: This is the first of the ESPN doubleheader at night here,
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: having to compete with college basketball, though this is a
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: This is an okay game. Detroit coming in off a
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: loss to Florida. They've lost two games in a row,
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: though they were pretty big games against Vegas and Florida,
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: and they have Florida again on deck. And that was
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: a close loss to Florida. There was an empty net
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: goal at the end of that game, so they almost
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: beat Florida in a way. Well, they almost at least
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: had a tie against Florida late in the game, potentially there,
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: so they are coming off a big game. They're in
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: a Florida sandwich with Florida again on deck. So I
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: don't love the spot for Detroit. Here. New Jersey is
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: pretty hot right now. They've won four games in a row.
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: They just beat New York the Rangers, but they played yesterday,
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. It was a pretty satisfying win.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: I think whenever New Jersey gets to beat the Rangers,
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: especially six to three in front of your home crowd,
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: I think that's pretty satisfying. They had a couple of
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: days off prior to that, so I'm not too worried
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: about the fact that it isn't back to back, So
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: I do think I lean in New Jersey. Here. Detroit
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: is up to minus one o eight for minus one
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: oh five. Here, Odsmaker's telling you Detroit's the better team
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: because their favorite on the road.
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that, but sixty two.
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: Percent of ticket seventy percent of the cash on Detroit,
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: I do disagree with that side, though I don't disagree
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: that Detroit's the better team, but I would lean to
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: the Devils in that game as the home dog.
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 2: All right, Saint Louis and Anaheim.
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: Let's see here. Saint Louis, they're coming off beating San
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: Jose in overtime a couple of days ago, staying in
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: California not really well. I don't know if that's yeah.
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that's a huge deal or not.
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: San Jose is not that great. Anaheim's really good at home.
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: By the way, as I've pointed out many times, Anaheim's
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: coming off a much better win though after crushing the Islanders,
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 1: they beat a pretty good Montreal team in a shootout.
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: Good win for Anaheim there. Man, they continue to be
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: really good at home, but they could possibly be in
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: a letdown off of that.
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: I think the win for Saint Louis over San Jose is.
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: Less of a big deal there, So this might be
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: a game where I might actually lean towards fading Anaheim
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: at home. Here. I don't want to do it, but
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's down for minus one seventy eight to minus one
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: seventy eight, or nine percent of the tickets ninety eight
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Anaheim, I would lean towards
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. You know, maybe a make your own puck
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: line situation or plus one puck line if you can
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 1: find it. But no real opinion for me on that one,
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: a very weak opinion for me. And then ESPN Doubleheader
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: Game two is Edmonton at Vegas. Pretty good game, but
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: between two teams that are kind of underperforming this year.
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: Edmonton just got smoked by Caroline on Friday, big game,
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: but maybe they will have a bounce back from that
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 1: going out on the road. A lot of times you'll
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: be focused when you start a road trip, so I
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: don't dislike the spot for Edmonton in this one. Vegas
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: is coming off losing at home to Minnesota and that
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: was a return home spot. And you know, I talk
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: about it over and over again when a team returns
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: home from the road, a lot of times they'll have
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: a bad game, and then if they do, it'll be
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: better in the next game because they'll now be settled.
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: Stuff will be out of the way that they have
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: to do at home. So positive spot for both teams here.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on Vegas. They're down for minus
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: one fifteen to minus one of seven. They have fifty
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: four percent of the tickets seventy nine percent of the
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: cash on them, so the money looks like it's indicating
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: on Vegas. And we have a ridiculous total here seven,
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: although it is used to the under, but you almost
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: ever see a total start start touching seven in hockey.
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's insane. But yeah, do with that information
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 1: what you want to, I guess, But yeah, I mean,
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: if it's that high, it's usually that high for a
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 1: reasonable though. I actually think both teams are in focus
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: spots though, so I actually don't really like the over
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: in that game. But yeah, I mean you would probably
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: lean under slightly in that game. But yeah, Vegas is
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: getting the money. It's not a game I want anything
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: to do with. Let's go to the NBA and then
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: I'll get out of here. I got two plays in
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: the NBA. It's a big NBA board. There's an ABC doubleheader.
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: Sunday is a big NBA day. Boston at Cleveland. Celtics
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: are coming off that emotional game that they had at
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: home with the return of Jason Tatum, which sometimes you'd
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 1: argue that would be a reverse injured player spot. Though
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: when your star player comes back, and you know a
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: lot of times you won't do as well in that game,
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: and you'll do.
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 2: Better in the next game.
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: But he was rusty at the beginning, but he wanted
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: to putting up a double double in twenty seven minutes. Man,
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: he did all right, and they won the game by twenty.
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: Now they're going on on the road off of what
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 1: I think was a pretty emotional return. There might not
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: be the greatest spot for the Celtics here now, having
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: to go to Cleveland. Cleveland's coming up a big win
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: themselves against Detroit, but they haven't played since the third
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: so they're the way more rested team here. Although the
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: rest might not help you, like when you go into
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: the rest on a good note like that they won
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: two games in a row, though they barely got by Brooklyn,
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: But going into the extra rest on a really good
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: winning note like that against Detroit, that might not be
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: good because it might hurt like your momentum a little bit.
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: But yeah, it's a difficult handicap. I think I would
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: still lean to Cleveland here. Unfortunately got a roof of
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: the Celtics though as a fan obviously for me, But
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: Celtics sixty eight percent of tickets, only fifty five percent
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 1: of the cash. They look like a public side, very unfortunately,
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: and the Calves have flipped from a plus one and
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 1: a half dogs to a one point favorite. So I
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: don't like seeing that. It looks like the market is
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: saying Cleveland. I'm not going to disagree with that, mister Pinze.
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I suppose I should check that. That is
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: a good point, I guess Mitchell, I think you're right.
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you're right. Well, yeah he.
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: Hasn't been out that long, but yeah, he's been out
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 1: since the twenty fourth.
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: You're right. He it looks like he's probable to play here.
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: So Mitchell is coming back, so he is the best
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 1: player on Cleveland. So you're right.
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 2: That does mean it's.
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: A little bit of a reverse injured player spot there,
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: So that's interesting. You know, the Osiggers are kind of
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: telling you the Celtics are still the slightly better team here.
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: But yeah, you're right, So it is a reverse injured
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: player spot for the Calves here. Another reason to just
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: stay away because when that star player comes back, you know,
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: I look to fade that team because you know, they
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: got to get used to him playing again. He hasn't
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: been out for that long, but still you gotta get
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: used to playing with him again. He's been out for
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: like over probably an over week or whatever.
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 2: You know, you have to get used to.
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: Him playing again. He might be a little bit slow
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: to get back, you know. So you're right that is
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: a concern with Cleveland there. Thank you for pointing that out.
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: Maybe I need to look into the personnel a little
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: bit more, and I do. The NBA Knicks are at
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: the Lakers in the other game in the afternoon ABC doubleheader.
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: Here Knicks are coming off an absolute destruction of Denver
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: in Denver, beating them one forty two to one oh three.
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: You gotta think they're kind of right for a letdown
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: after that. I know this is a big game on
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: TV against the Lakers, but that that win just looks
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: way too good on the road at Denver, and the
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: Knicks played a really close game against Okay, see the
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: game before that too, So I don't like the spot
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: for the Knicks here. Lakers coming into this staying at home.
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: They are playing a third game in four days, but
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: people will see that they just lost at Denver. So
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: oh my god, the Knicks killed Denver, who beat LA
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: in Denver? So this looks really easy, right, you play
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: the Knicks in this game, because you know that that
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: means you got to play the Knicks. I disagree with that.
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 1: You can't do that like transitive thing. Man, It's all
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: about the specific situation. Lakers are coming off a much
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: easier win over Indiana where unfortunately they covered because I
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: gave that play out. The money's coming in on the Knicks.
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: But I do not agree with that. The Knicks down
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: from three and alfter three. There's no way that I
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: would lay points to the team that just did what
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: the Knicks just did to Denver. Sixty tickets, eighty one
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Knicks. Yeah, I don't
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: agree with that. I would take the points of the Lakers,
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 1: even though I do agree that the Knicks.
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 2: Are the better team.
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 1: The Osburger's telling you there are enough the better team
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: that they're laying points on the road there in a
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: terrible spot or kind of a terrible spot. But yeah,
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: I would have to take the points of the Lakers.
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: Detroit at Miami. Detroit is coming off. Let me see
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: that they lost to Brooklyn. Yeah, that's right, that was
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: a horrible loss yesterday. But remember they were turning over
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. It wasn't the greatest spot. I
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: told you I leaned to Brooklyn plus the points on
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: the show here yesterday.
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 2: It was a horrible game for Detroit.
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: Detroit was winning the game by a lot and they
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: blew the game. I don't know how Brooklyn came back
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: in that game and won. Brooklyn. You know, these teams
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: that are dead will put an effort in random games,
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: and I try to like identify it's not totally random,
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: because you know, you're playing the Detroit Piston. So that
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 1: does seem like it's a game that a team like
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn would actually put it in an effort in, and
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: they did. And now we're looking at the Detroit team
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: that should be kind of a bounced back mode after
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: that that was a horrible loss. The problem is, look
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: at their schedule right now. I mean they're playing a
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: back to back, third game in four days, fourth game
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: in six days, fifth and eight, and a six game
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 1: in nine days with travel between all of them and
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: almost all of them on the road. That's or six
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 1: game in ten days. I guess that's all really really
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: difficult to do. Man. Now they're going to Miami, but again,
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: they should be kind of in a bounce back spot
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: because of that horrible loss, so conflicting factors in this game.
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: Miami just pulled off a nice upset at Charlotte. It
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: feels very weird to say that was an upset, but
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: I believe it was. In fact. Yeah, Charlotte was seven
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites in that game, so Miami's
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 1: coming up a big upset. I don't think they're gonna
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: overlook Detroit, and Miami at least is staying at They're
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: back at home. They've been at home for most of
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: the recent games, so the travel spot is definitely better
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: for the Heat. Here. Pistons are up to a two
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: point favorites, seventy four percent of tickets and only seventy
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on them. Normally, I would
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: say the Pistons should be in bounced back mode because
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: they just lost as a huge favorite and the Heat
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: just won as a as an underdog. Normally, I'm gonna
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: say that the Pistons would make sense in a situation
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: like that, but because of the travel it looks pretty awful.
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 2: So I have to stay away from the game. The
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 2: market read is saying to take the Heat plus the points.
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 1: You know, I I have a difficulty handicapping that game
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: from the side obviously. I mean, just too many factors involved, man.
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 1: But that's all the information for you. I don't even
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if I could really give you
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: a leen on it. Dallas at Toronto. Dallas losing to
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: Boston in their last game and playing a third game
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: in four days, fourth and six, fifth and eight, all
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: in different cities. That's not easy to do, having to
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: go up to Toronto. But they've lost every one of
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: those games, so they might still give you an effort,
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 1: just because, you know, because they keep losing. Toronto coming
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: into this game, played pretty tough against Minnesota in their
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: last game. Now they're coming back home, they get Dallas,
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: and up next they have a bigger game against Houston.
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: So it does look kind of sandwichie for Toronto here,
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: even though they have the rest edge here. I'd probably
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: actually lean to Dallas in this one, but Toronto does
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 1: have a couple of days off here, so they are
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: the better rested team for sure here and better travel
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: spot for them. But they are the public side sixty
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: three percent of tickets, only fifty seven percent of the
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: cash on the raptors. They're up to ten and a
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, and we know the Raptors are not
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 1: a good home team, so asking him to lay a
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: lot of points like this at home definitely not something
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: I would want to do. I would lean towards taking
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 1: it with Dallas there all right. Next up is a
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: game I almost gave. I almost added this to my card,
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: Washington at New Orleans. I like Washington in this game,
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: but I hesitate because Washington did catch Utah in a
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: good spot to catch.
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 2: Utah, and they still didn't do well.
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 1: But now Washington has two days off, they're starting a
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 1: road trip. A lot of times when you're playing bad,
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: you go out on the road, you have some days off,
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum. A lot of times you will
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 1: show up focus. For once. We got to kind of
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: figure out is this Washington team are they going to
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: be focused?
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, they look like they're kind of, you know,
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 2: at this one.
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: I don't want to say they're you know, tanking, throwing games, whatever,
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: but they're not playing well. They're an injured team. Athough,
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: it looks like Czar is back here. Sar let me see,
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: he is like one of their better players. They're big man.
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: He came back Oh, it looks like this is his return,
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: so I guess that'll keep me off of this game too,
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: because he's like one of the best players on Washington.
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: It looks like he's back for this game, so that
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: worries me as well that he's back in this particular
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: game for Washington and he hasn't played for a month,
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: So that worries me when you get one of your
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 1: best players back, you know, Yeah, that definitely worries me
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 1: for Washington there. But I still like Washington as far
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: as the side. I mean, it was close to being
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 1: a play for me, so I still got to lean
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: that way. And it's because New Orleans is returning over
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: from a road trip where they were on the road
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: for over a week since February twenty six. They went
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: into Elevation, into Utah, they had some games in LA,
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: they went out to the Pacific Coast. They played pretty
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 1: close against a decent Phoenix team, played them to within two.
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: They're only three and a half point underdogs in that game,
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. But now they're returning home from
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: all that. They're playing a third game in four to
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: eight is fourth and six fifth to eight, A sixth
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: game in nine days and a seventh game in eleven days,
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. It is a really really bad
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: spot for the Pelicans, and they have bigger games on deck,
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: if you want to call it that, against Toronto and Houston.
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: So I would still have to take the Wizards in
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: this one. The money is saying the Pelicans. I don't
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: know why they're up to ten and a half point favorite.
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: So the Pelicans really been laying ten and a half
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: against anybody, even the Wizards, who may very well be
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 1: the worst team in the NBA. I don't know. Man,
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the tickets ninety two percent of the
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: cash on the Pelicans. I don't agree with that cash
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: percentage either. I like the Wizards in that game, but
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: it does not quite make my card. Next game up,
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: we're gonna we're gonna play the Milwaukee Bucks here. Man,
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 1: we're gonna get into some best bets again. Here, we're
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: gonna take the four with the Bucks. We're gonna fade
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 1: the Orlando Magic in this one. I think the Magic
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: are in a pretty bad spot. I think it's a sandwich,
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: and I believe the reason why Orlando's a favorite like
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 1: this on the road. I think it's got to mean
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: that Yannis is out again here. Man, He's a game
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: time decision, but I think it means he's not gonna play.
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 1: He played in their most recent games, so he played yesterday.
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: So if that's the case, it's kind of an injured
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 1: player spot for the Bucks, you.
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 2: Know what I mean.
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: They're used to not playing with him. He played, He's
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: played three games since he came back, you can see here.
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 2: But you know, I always talk about it.
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: First game your star players out, a lot of times,
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: the team will step up their.
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 2: Game, you know what I mean.
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 1: And I think you will get an effort out of Milwaukee.
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 1: They played well in their last game, which does show
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: you they're at least putting in some effort here. So
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 1: I think you might get extra effort because they're getting
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: points here, which I think means Giannis will miss this
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: game for Orlando. I think it's a bad spot. Man.
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 1: They just went on the road to Minnesota yesterday and
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: they upset Minnesota. Now they're playing on a back to back,
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 1: third game in four days, all in different cities, going
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 1: to this Milwaukee team that I know, Milwaukee, he did
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 1: just beat them the last time they played them. They
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 1: zigzagged each other and they split the series in Orlando
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: back early in February one and one. I just don't
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: think that's enough of a motivator here for Orlando. They
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: have a huge game on deck on ESPN against Cleveland
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 1: as well. This is a sandwich spot. I think it
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 1: might be an injured player spot for Milwaukee. I guess
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: I would check that just to make sure about Orlando
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 1: now laying points on the road on a back to back.
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 1: That's a situation I like, man because a lot of
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 1: times the team that's not on the back to back
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: will be overvalued. But in a situation like this, it
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: seems like they're not well. Actually, Milwaukee is on a
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 1: back to back.
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 2: Two my mistake.
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 1: But the good thing about Milwaukee is they're staying at home.
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: Is their fourth home game in a row. They had
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: two days off before yesterday. They had an easy win yesterday,
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: so they should be rested enough. And they ended a
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: four game losing streak, so I think that's good. When
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 1: you end that losing streak, go'll give you momentum. So yeah,
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: we'll be on the bucks here. I don't know what's
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: going on with the percentages. Sometimes the percentages are kind
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: of out of whack on pregame when the line moves
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: for like an injury or something like that. We see
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: fifty per tickets seventy four percent of the cash on
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 1: the Magic But yeah, I don't know if those percentages
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: are really accurate. I like the Bucks. We're gonna take
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: the Bucks in that one plus the points. Alright, NBC
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 1: and Peacock. They have a night doubleheader here. The first
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: game up pretty good one with Houston at San Antonio.
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 2: One of the best games of the day.
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: I mean this game and then Boston Cleveland are probably
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: the top two games of the day as.
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 2: Far as how good the games are.
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 1: Houston coming off a win over Portland that wasn't that impressive.
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 1: Portland played the pretty tough. They've had a day off.
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 1: They're staying in the state of Texas, although having to
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: go down to San Antonio. But I think they're gonna
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: give you an effort here. Man, it's a big, big
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: game for Houston to have to play. This upstart San
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: Antonio team has been one of the best teams in
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: the NBA this year. San Antonio did just barely get
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: by the Clippers, though, and that was the game I
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: gave you guys the Clippers on the show on Friday,
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 1: and the Clippers should have won the game. The outright
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: san Antonio had to make a huge comeback in that game,
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 1: and they did, but they got a scare. So they're
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: probably coming into this game in a better situation. Off
• 2:00:09
  Speaker 1: of having a scare like that, you probably get a
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: better effort out of the Spurs this time throughout from
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 1: four and a half to five and a half here,
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: I think both teams might be ready to give you
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 1: effort here. The money is coming in on the Spurs
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: for what that's worth, seventy two tickets, eighty six percent
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. I'm not going to disagree
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 1: with it, but it's not a game that I love
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 1: by any means. The next game up is the final
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 1: best bet, and we are going to take the Indiana
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: Pacers again. Give them another shot to cover for us
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: Man against the Portland Trail Blazers. I don't like the
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: spot for the Blazers here at all.
• 2:00:41
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 2:00:41
  Speaker 1: The Blazers, they're returning on from a road trip. They've
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 1: been on the road since Thursday, February twenty six. They
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: went to Chicago, Charlotte, Atlanta, Memphis Houston. So you know,
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 1: for a Pacific Coast team like that, having to make
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 1: a trip like that, it's a long trip.
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 2: They were on the road for a while over a week.
• 2:00:58
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home, and you know, I always
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: talk about this when a team returns home from a
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 1: road trip, a lot of times it's a bad spot.
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 1: They get distracted, they have to get back to home life,
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 1: and it's worse for them because they just played Houston
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 1: pretty close. They lost by seven to finish the road
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: trip on Friday, and they were kind of in that
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 1: game pretty late in the game, and they're within one
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 1: or two possessions late in that game, so it.
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 2: Was a big game for them.
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: Now they play Indiana, who is easy to overlook, and
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: after this, they got Charlotte, who's a very hot team
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: right now. And in fact, Portland lost at Charlotte during
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: that road trip, so I think they might be looking
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: ahead to Charlotte. Man gonna be a little bit of
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: a quick revenge game, if you will. There. As far
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: as Indiana, yes, I know, they did just play the Lakers.
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 1: They didn't cover for us, though they still lost by eleven.
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: The game really wasn't even that close. They almost back
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 1: toward the cover, but they were never in that game really.
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: Now they're still they're already on the Pacific coast. So
• 2:01:55
  Speaker 1: I think the travel spot is a little bit better
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: for Indiana, even though they're having to go up from
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 1: LA to Portland here. Both teams have similar rest here Indiana.
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're giving you an effort in certain games,
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 1: and this is just a horrible spot for Portland where
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 1: you're getting a lot of points with Indiana here. So
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: I think it's worth the shot here. I think we
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: will get an effort out of them here. The money's
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 1: agreeing with me on this. The Blazers eight and a half.
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: Like I said, fifty five percent of the tickets are
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 1: on Portland, sixty three percent of the cash on the Pacers.
• 2:02:24
  Speaker 2: I like it. Probably my favorite of the NBA plays today.
• 2:02:29
  Speaker 1: We'll do it Indiana plus the points. Chicago at Sacramento.
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: This is an ugly game. Chicago did just get an
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: upset win at the Suns, which was a nice win
• 2:02:40
  Speaker 1: for Chicago. They played fairly tough against Okay, see the
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 1: game before that too, So Chicago is giving you effort
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: over the last few games. They have a couple of
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: days off, but they got bigger games on tap against
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: Golden State, LA, the Lakers, then the Clippers, so I
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 1: think they might look past the Sacramento team in a
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 1: spot like this. It's not a game that I really
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 1: want to get in, uh they. I mean, that was
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 1: a ten and a half point upset for the Bulls
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: against Phoenix, So that was a big upset. The problem
• 2:03:07
  Speaker 1: with the Kings is they're not putting an effort right now. Man,
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 1: They're an injured team, Like I don't know how much
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 1: effort they're putting in.
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 2: I liked them against New Orleans.
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: They lost by ten. I mean, I don't know what
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: to gauge from that. Giving up one hundred and thirty
• 2:03:19
  Speaker 1: three points. It doesn't exactly smire confidence. A lot of
• 2:03:22
  Speaker 1: times you will want to jump on a team that
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: just did that. They're staying at home, they do have rest,
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 1: they haven't played since Thursday.
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 2: Kind of an embarrassing.
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 1: Loss there, but I thought it was a good spot
• 2:03:31
  Speaker 1: to fade New Orleans in that game. I almost had
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 1: that game on my card. Good thing I didn't. All
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 1: that being said, I would still have to lean to
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: the Kings in this game though. All the Bulls it
• 2:03:41
  Speaker 1: looks way too easy to play the Bulls right now.
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 1: The public is never going to play the Kings. All
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: the Bulls down from three and a half to two
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 1: and a half here, it looks really easy to play
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 1: the Bulls. Fifty three percent of tickets seventy two percent
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Bulls. Don't know if I
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: agree with that market percentage or not, but I would
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: fade the Bulls there. I would play the Kings if
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: I was going to play.
• 2:04:00
  Speaker 2: But it's a horrible game.
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 1: That's probably why the line is so low that the
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: Bulls have questionables, mister pinzy, But yeah, saving me from
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: not talking about the personnel here in a game like that,
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: I don't even know how much it really matters, to
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 1: be honest, But yes, Giddy, I guess is the big
• 2:04:17
  Speaker 1: one there. He's a game time decision. Let me see,
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 1: he's questionable. So yeah, that's something to be aware of.
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: Is Giddy gonna player or not. He's the biggest, He's
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: really the big one there. And then Jalen Smith, who
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: I think they got into trade not that long ago.
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 2: He's questionable as well.
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 1: Those two guys are you know, somewhat bigger players for
• 2:04:37
  Speaker 1: the Bulls. Of course, Giddy is like their best player.
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 1: And then the Kings, I mean they got a lot
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 1: of problems. We know their best two players, Simonas and
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 1: Levine are not coming back this year. Murray and Hunter
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: are both out as well. You know, Kings have a
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: lot of issues there themselves, all right. And then Charlotte
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: at Phoenix is the second game of the Peacock NBC
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: Sports doubleheader there or Peacock NBC, whatever you want to
• 2:05:02
  Speaker 1: call it. It's on the NBC family. This is actually
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 1: kind of a sneaky good game. I mean, both these
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 1: teams are better than people think they're. Well, people kind
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 1: of know the Hornets are good. Now, the Hornets might
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: be in a tough spot because they did just lose
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 1: a six game win streak in a tough game against Miami,
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 1: although they did lose a big favorite. So sometimes I say,
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 1: when the team loses a big favorite, they'll bounce back
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: from that in the next game. But when you lose
• 2:05:24
  Speaker 1: a win streak, sometimes it'll hang you over into the
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 1: next game.
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 2: So I don't know which way it's gonna go for Charlotte.
• 2:05:29
  Speaker 2: Now they are starting a road.
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 1: Trip against some pretty decent Phoenix teams and they might
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: show up with effort for that reason. Phoenix comes into
• 2:05:38
  Speaker 1: this game off of barely getting by New Orleans, so
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna give you effort as well, and
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home. That was not a good performance
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 1: for Phoenix there, and Phoenix had that lost The Bulls.
• 2:05:48
  Speaker 2: Mixed in there too, which is also bad.
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: The money is coming into the Hornets throw up from
• 2:05:52
  Speaker 1: three and a half to four and a half here,
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 1: I die don't know, seventy three percent of tickets, ninety
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on the horn and it's
• 2:06:01
  Speaker 1: I would I would somewhat lean to the Suns here.
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 1: The Suns are one of the best against the spread
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 1: teams in the NBA this year, and they're getting points
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 1: at home. They're a pretty good home team too. I
• 2:06:11
  Speaker 1: think Devin Booker is playing, so seeing the Hornets is
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 1: a favorite like that is crazy, but yeah, I think
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: I would probably interest taking the points there.
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it.
• 2:06:24
  Speaker 1: We're gonna have to go get some lunch, put out
• 2:06:26
  Speaker 1: the Instagram videos, you know, the drill the place today
• 2:06:29
  Speaker 1: one more time. We're laying the points in Nebraska. In
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 1: college basketball, you can get a little bit of a
• 2:06:33
  Speaker 1: better number on that now, laying it with San Francisco
• 2:06:36
  Speaker 1: as well. We're taking the Chicago Blackhawks on the puck
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: line in hockey, and I would just sprinkle on the
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: money line. Make it like a spread bet NBA. We
• 2:06:46
  Speaker 1: got Milwaukee and Indiana both plus the points. That's gonna
• 2:06:50
  Speaker 1: do it. Thank you, sir, Thanks everybody for hanging out.
• 2:06:53
  Speaker 1: Learn It Toad on Twitter, you can subscribe to me there.
• 2:06:55
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• 2:06:59
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• 2:07:01
  Speaker 1: good rob reviews here, good comments?
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 2: What else?
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 1: What else should I say here? What else do I
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: even always talk about? We're on audio as well, Spotify, Apple,
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: give me good reviews. I got tonight's Man, it's all
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: in my ear. It's freaking me out. It's thrown me off.
• 2:07:16
  Speaker 1: Can't think anymore. Ah, yes, I'll listen on Apple, Spotify,
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 1: give me good reviews there covered in you because my
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on YouTube. Check that out, Patreon dot com,
• 2:07:25
  Speaker 1: slash learn the Toad where I might give you some
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 1: of your requested you content, but I gotta like put
• 2:07:32
  Speaker 1: some more clarifications in there, man, because the requests are
• 2:07:36
  Speaker 1: getting a little bit too out of control, so you know,
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 1: I gotta figure something out about that. And then now
• 2:07:41
  Speaker 1: loser castle me back on Saturday or on Saturday, what
• 2:07:44
  Speaker 1: that was yesterday. I'm so out of it right now,
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 1: loser castling me back on Tuesday.
• 2:07:49
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it.
• 2:07:50
  Speaker 1: I might be back later today or tonight to do
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 1: another one of the conference tournament breakdown videos for the
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 1: remaining small conferences because they think all the rest of
• 2:07:59
  Speaker 1: their brackets, and then I'll do one for the big
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: conferences after that, because I think all the big conferences
• 2:08:04
  Speaker 1: and the American Conference are all done today, so you know,
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna separate them out that way for
• 2:08:11
  Speaker 1: those videos. So subscribe to the channel here beyond the
• 2:08:14
  Speaker 1: Lookout for that.
• 2:08:14
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it.
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: Peace, guys,