Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 435 - 1/19/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 435 - 1/19/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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Hello and welcome to. Episode 435.
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Of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast
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powered by. Rhythm.
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I am your host, Josh. Applebaum What's going on
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everyone? Happy Monday, a new week begins
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as we shift to the second-half of January. 1 day closer one
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week. Closer to the Super Bowl.
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So Can you believe it? We are now down to the Final
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four after an absolutely. Epic weekend of bets.
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In which? We had a pretty weekend guys,
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3:00 and 1:00. +1. .69 units. We did have that epic,
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incredible game with the Broncos and the Bills stayed true to
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that. Dog to fave line move.
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That fade the trendy dog puffle Public Buffalo.
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But. Line went to the Broncos.
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And boy, did we have to sweat that.
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Thing Josh Allen was once again. Incredible.
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He made some mistakes. But man, I.
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Honestly, as great as it was cashing Broncos.
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Money line. I feel for the Bills fans out
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there because. Again, what does it catch?
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Anymore I'm happy. That that Brandon Cooks catch
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was called a pick. Again, could have gone either
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way. Again, there's been multiple
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games where you don't. Know what it catches anymore?
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But. We know the breaks.
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Don't. Go our way and.
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Sometimes we lose, so we're going to celebrate when the.
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Breaks go away and we win, so it was a great.
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Hit there with the. Broncos I also had a nice hit.
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With the Patriots. That's right, my.
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Patriots after a couple 4 and 13 seasons.
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They're on the the. Doorstep of the Super.
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Bowl. And now they're going to face
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Jarrett. Stidham as Bo Nicks not again
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tough injury will not play in the AFC Championship.
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We have seen New England, they were sitting around minus. 5 1/2
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I'm seeing some. Shops get down to 4 1/2 so
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maybe. There's some belief that.
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Denver can cover that number. So we shall see.
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We got a whole week. To talk about that one.
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But Patriots coming through. In the snow.
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An old school. Snow game at Foxborough.
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Reminds me it wasn't quite nearly.
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The tuck roll game when I was 13 years old.
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I'll tell you. That's how old I am now I'm 38.
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But I remember 13 years old. Next to my dad, watching Tom
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Brady in the Tuck rule game. Kicking off the dynasty minute.
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Terry in the snow. But all about that Patriots game
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yesterday. Again, that line was.
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Liability toward Pat's the whole time -2 1/2 up to 3A.
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Lot of shops are juiced up and going to 3 1/2 and remember.
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That was a tough schedule spot Short.
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Week for the Texans and our friends at Rhythm actually had
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Patriots around -4 1/2 even close to -5 SA.
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Nice edge there with New England coming through covering the
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number. How about the bears again?
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I got a good buddy. Of mine from college.
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Who's from Chicago? Big.
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Bears fan, I texted. Him go bears they covered.
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The number, so again we got a four.
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It got down to 3 1/2, end up losing by three.
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But that was a tough. One too, because Kayla.
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Williams. He had one more little rabbit
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out of the hat. With his magic, with.
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That, you know, running. Backwards and just you.
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Know chalking it up. Corner of the end.
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Zone. Incredible touchdown on 4th down
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to tie it, but then you lose in overtime so it was a tough one,
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especially on a turnover. We did get our bears +4.
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Only loss was the Niners. Got some CLV, got 7 1/2 closed
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at 7:00 but. They got their doors blown off
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but either way guys with A4. Pack of playoff.
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Games 3:00 and 1:00. Plus 1.69 units.
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You'll love to see it, so we're going to see if we can.
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Bring that magic, that momentum into tonight, because you do.
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Have another huge. Football game we're.
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Going to have. The final game of the college.
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Football regular season tonight. That's right, the national
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championship game we're looking of course at.
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The Miami Hurricanes and the Indiana.
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Hoosiers and. This is a play that we talked
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about on the pod. Yes, that was.
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It Thursday, Friday. I'm saying we should.
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Bet this now because it might move.
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It has moved. And I hope you guys played this
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earlier, but I'll give you a full update here.
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On Miami and Indiana a a big bet here for tonight.
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And by big bet, I mean I'm. I can't wait to.
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Sweat it, but. Again, it doesn't mean it's 10.
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Units, it's one unit like any other play, but I will talk to
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national championship here for tonight.
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The other final four games, I told you again just to set.
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The table and we're going to let the.
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Dust settle here. Get into the system matches the
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splits. The line movement.
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But we had patriots. Opening around -5 1/2 down to 4
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1/2. Against Stidham in Denver.
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Well, Rams in Seattle. Opening Seattle -2 1/2 three
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we're pretty much still 2 1/2 for. 3 So I was surprised that
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line was so short. I think the public.
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Is hammering Seattle in this spot?
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Which I get it. They looked like absolutely
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just, you know, incredible. Getting it done there at home.
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As I should have played The Who was it the Kenneth Walker, you
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know, multiple touchdowns. There, but right now. 88.
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Percent of spread bets are on the Seahawks. 85% of bets are on
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the. Patriots.
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So again, my my hand might be forced here.
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Those are two. Contrarian.
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Plays with Denver and with the Rams and a couple of.
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Them are in some decent teaser. Zones as well.
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So what do you think? Should we take Denver 4 1/2 to
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10 1/2 and Rams 2 and a? Half to 8 1/2.
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Those are some long teasers going through key numbers.
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But again. Haven't played anything yet.
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But anytime you have a. Huge weekend like that.
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With a divisional. Round here, you're always look.
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Into the next week and then. Of course, after that week off.
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And then the Super Bowl. So with that being said, after a
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three in one 1.69 unit weekend. With the Broncos.
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Pats and bears coming through for us.
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Let's see if we can. Keep it going here on a Monday
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night. So with that being said, let's
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get into the big game here, guys, and again, I always want
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to mention this. I do know there's.
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A huge college basketball slate today.
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There's NBA, there's NHL. But when football is winding
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down and trust me, once the Super Bowl ends.
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And the Champions crown, We're just going to be dying.
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For football, you know, for the next 6 months, so I didn't want
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to force a. Couple other plays here let's.
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Just stick to the biggest championship game tonight.
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So let's talk. Miami and Indiana now.
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If you remember or. Listen to the pod from end of
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last week. You know where I'm going here.
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And you know, I'm loving this line movement, so let's set the.
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Stage talk. Splits system, matches line.
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Moves rhythm. Juice Trail.
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I'll give you my play for this one so.
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The granddaddy of them all. College ball playoff
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Championship game the Super. Bowl of college football is
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tonight. This game will be played.
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If you haven't heard. In.
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Or at, I should say, Hard Rock. Stadium in Miami Gardens.
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Florida. Which is the home of the Miami.
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Dolphins. So Miami.
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Miami. This is a de facto.
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Home game for Miami. I think we'll get to that in a
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second here, but. A lot of talk I've.
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Heard is Oh, Fernando. Mendoza, Did you hear he grew up
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one mile from the stadium? I've heard that a million times.
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Yeah, that's awesome. It's a home.
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Game for him, but the home team is really Miami.
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Lack of travel and probably the crowd being a lot of fans of
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the. U here but anyway.
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Let's stick to the data the the betting market and what we've
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seen. Transpire thus far.
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Miami comes in 13 and 2. They are the.
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Ten Seed just outlasted. Ole Miss 31 to 20.
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Seven in the semi. Finals covered as a. 3 1/2 point
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neutral site favorite Don't remind me.
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I had the Rebels 3 1/2. Lost by 4.
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That was a tough one, but anyway.
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Indiana, 15 and O, the one seed trying to finish off the perfect
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season, dominated Oregon. 56 to 20.
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Two in the semis. Easily covered as a. 3 1/2.
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Point neutral site favorite. So what do you sit across the
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market here? Well, this game opened Indiana
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around a 7 1/2. Point neutral site favorite.
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And if you remember. Pretty much all of last week,
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what we saw initially was the line move toward Indiana.
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Indiana went from. -7 1/2 up to -8 1/2 also at that.
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Time we knew that, hey. That was a huge, huge public.
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Plan Indiana if you. Look at the splits.
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Guys, everybody and their mother is going Hoosiers here.
7:26
Maybe not that they don't respect Miami, but just anytime,
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and you'll see this quite a bit, an undefeated team that is land
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chalk that's blown through everybody.
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And they have the. Heisman Trophy winner.
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And they also have Kurt Zignetti as their as as their coach Who's
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becoming. Kind of this new.
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I don't. Know if the new Belichick, the
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new Bear? Bryant, the new Sabin.
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But public's going to latch on it.
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They're going to say Indiana's blown out everybody.
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You know, maybe if this line was 14, we'd see a different story.
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But this is an. Automatic public play, don't
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think. About it back the.
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Hoosiers. Now.
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Hoosiers are great. They've been incredible.
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I bet against them a couple times I took Oregon.
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Felt good about beating. The closing line plus 4 1/2 got
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down to 3 1/2. They blew Oregon's doors off, so
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it might just be, hey, Indiana's so good they'll cover this
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number. But.
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What do we? Always talk about on the pot.
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Not letting emotion not. Letting fandom, not letting
8:14
media narratives talk us into. Or out of a bet.
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If we're going to win or lose a bet, we're going to win or lose
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it. Based.
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Upon what? The data?
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The numbers. And the dollars are telling us
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not what outside sources or own personal biases are telling us
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so. Right now you're getting 68% of
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spread bets at DraftKings on Indiana Big Public Book.
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We did see Indiana go up. From -7 half up to -8 and half.
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But if you remember, when we were talking on the pod on
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Friday, I was telling you, I was telling everybody.
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Hey, we should probably. Jump on the 8 1/2 now.
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Because I was noticing. At that time it wasn't -8 1/2.
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-1. 15 toward the. Hoosiers like it.
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Was going to 9 on that. Friday, you're starting to see
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the juice settle out. Or kind of settle down to -110?
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But then also see a couple shops start to juice up the plus. 8
9:00
1/2 So that was really big to me again on Friday that the plus 8
9:04
1/2 Miami was getting. Juiced up to around -115.
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I believe at that time maybe one book had gotten.
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Down to 8. But that told me, told me, OK,
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you know, Miami is a very unpopular play number.
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One I want to. Go against the public in a
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heavily bet nationally televised game.
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So you're in a really good contrarian.
9:22
Spot just to. Fade the public, regardless of
9:24
the slate. Movement but getting the 8 1/2
9:27
we should probably jump on it because it looks.
9:28
Like it's getting. Down to.
9:29
Eight. Well, guess what?
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This is a tweet by Dave Dave. Dave Purdum, who's great, he
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works. For the gambling beat.
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On ESPN. But as I was.
9:38
You know, I had Twitter. Open and I was.
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Watching the games, the. Football games yesterday and.
9:41
Then my live odds page up but he tweeted out something to the
9:44
effect of. Late movements break in Miami
9:47
that 8 1/2 is getting. Down to 7 1/2.
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And when I saw that, I was like. OK, here we go.
9:53
That means late money is breaking toward EU.
9:55
Plus the points. And I'm glad we.
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Identified that based on the juice and I think that's so
10:00
important when you talk. About the juice because?
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Again, the vig, the vigorous, whatever you want to call it.
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What's important with the juice is.
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You know the public. Only looks at the juice in terms
10:09
of the price that they have to. Pay.
10:11
And often times, public is going to.
10:13
Want to get, you know a lower juice price which is known as
10:16
reduced juice? Or a plus money juice price
10:18
they're going to avoid. -115 - 1. 20 just because they don't
10:21
want to pay that. But I think if you bet long
10:24
enough, you know that there's no way around it you.
10:27
Got to pay the juice other than you could.
10:29
Join of course Novig and use promo code Josh 12. 3 when you
10:32
download novig as a betting. Exchange Get.
10:34
Better juice prices, but. The point being.
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Is that juice lets you know which the way the.
10:38
Wind is which way? The wind is blowing as the Great
10:41
Bob. Dylan once said.
10:42
So the whole point. Is don't just look at the juice
10:45
as what you have to. Pay.
10:46
Yeah, that's true. But look at it as kind of
10:49
letting you. Like.
10:50
Open a window into. Where the liability?
10:53
Is where that next move might be anytime we talk about something.
10:56
Being juiced up. That means most likely that's
10:59
that's the side getting liability and the line is going
11:01
to. Move next in favor of that.
11:02
Team Now, it may not always happen.
11:04
Like you could get, you know, juiced up. +8 and half. -115 -
11:08
1. 20 and then maybe. Evens out or goes the other way,
11:10
but normally you're getting juiced up.
11:13
Most likely the next move. Is going to be in your.
11:14
Direction So the fact that Miami, even though they're very
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unpopular. Only getting about a. 3rd of
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tickets. Even less than that, and the
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most. Heavily backed game.
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Of the season, primetime ESPN and let 8 1/2 got down to 7 1/2
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over the last 24 hours. Great.
11:30
Indication of big money. Coming in.
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So we open seven and a half and we're basically back down to 7
11:36
1/2 even though Publix hammering the Hoosiers.
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So what is that called guys that?
11:40
Is a line freeze. Line freezes when you have heavy
11:42
heavy betting one side Indiana. But the line really hasn't.
11:45
Moved. Now it has moved because it went
11:47
update and half and then. Back down to seven and half.
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But if you do it, just go. Open the current.
11:52
And you can do this when you're. Looking at your.
11:53
Odds Logic Live Odds page again Odds logic.com/josh 1237 Day
11:58
free trial 50% off your first. Month, but the open column and
12:01
then all the current. Prices if they're.
12:03
All the same, even though it's heavy betting in One Direction,
12:06
that's an easy way. To identify a line, freeze so
12:08
that. Tells me pros like us hit the 8
12:11
1/2 with Miami couple days ago, now we're down to. 7 1/2.
12:16
Now Miami would match as a dog who can score system play, so
12:20
they're averaging nearly 31 points.
12:21
Per game thereby. Increasing the chances,
12:24
hopefully they can backdoor, cover or keep pace.
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Also home field, as I mentioned, you know this is not I mean this
12:29
is basically their home stadium, not technically, but again they.
12:33
Play a lot of. Games.
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Here, it's in Miami. You'd expect.
12:35
A lot of you know a lot of support in.
12:38
Favor of EU here, so we'll take it.
12:40
If you look into some systems. Historically, if you look at
12:44
the. Championship game.
12:45
In which a dog. Either has the line stayed the
12:48
same or? Move in their favor.
12:49
So this would be a stay the same 7 and half, still 7 and half.
12:52
Those dogs are 4. And one against.
12:54
The spread. In the championship game since
12:55
2015. Hurricanes one day rest
12:58
advantage, nothing huge. They last played January 8th.
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Indiana played the 9th. The important thing with?
13:05
The side so. Again, I hope everyone's holding
13:07
an 8 1/2. We talked.
13:07
About this on the. Pod, I put it into the juice
13:10
Drill app. If you follow those, those plays
13:12
for $4.00 and. $0.99 a week. But I did notice earlier today.
13:16
You still had it. One point plus 8 1/2 with.
13:19
DraftKings. Well, guess what?
13:21
That's gone. There's No 8 and a halfs
13:23
anymore. So if you want to play it.
13:25
Seven half. Is your best price.
13:27
But the one thing I do like, even if you missed that better
13:29
number, is once again, pay attention to the juice.
13:33
I'm seeing a lot of shops juicing up still.
13:36
The Miami side plus. 7 1/2 - 115 + 7 F -120 that tells.
13:42
Me that even though this line is falling back a full point toward
13:46
EU, they're still making you pay a higher price to.
13:48
Back to you. Which is a good sign because
13:50
Publix all over Indiana. So now if we get down to 7.
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This no longer becomes a. Straight line freeze it.
13:57
Would be then a. You know, a straight up reverse
13:59
line move play which would make it even.
14:00
Sharper to make it. Even better, we have.
14:03
Our friends at Rhythm. Projecting 2 models on this
14:06
game, both telling us to take. Miami.
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First model has Miami plus 3.1, Second model has Miami plus four
14:14
point. 6 So again, awesome to see that.
14:18
You know, the market is moving back toward Miami.
14:20
They're really fitting everything we look for.
14:22
So again, I hope they can cover here.
14:23
Because I'm really excited to sweat them, but late.
14:26
Movement in their favor. Super contrarian.
14:29
Low bets higher, higher dollars at a lot of these shops, not a
14:31
ton. But like 30%?
14:33
Bets you know. 4040% dollars. But then we have rhythm telling
14:36
us. It should be closer to a three.
14:37
4-5 point game. So I am going with Miami.
14:41
Again, 7 1/2 is your best. Price right now you might hate
14:44
that and say man, I could have gotten an 8 1/2, which you could
14:46
have, which a lot of. Us did, but.
14:48
Still, you might beat the closing line because.
14:50
It's juice. Toward Miami, and maybe it gets
14:52
down to. 7:00 So we shall see. I did want to mention the total
14:56
because I'm seeing a another dose of under money come.
14:59
Up here total open around. 48 1/2.
15:02
It got down to 47 1/2 when I wrote the Sharp report for
15:05
visen.com earlier today. Now you know.
15:08
Early to late. Afternoon.
15:09
I'm seeing this get down to 40. 6 1/2 So this line is moving
15:13
down the line is moving toward Miami.
15:15
You know, if you think about correlative betting, usually
15:18
it's a good sign when the totals dropping and the lines.
15:20
Moving toward the dog. Like if this was moving.
15:22
Up to like 9 and the total is getting.
15:24
Closer to 50, that's. Usually a sign like in Indiana.
15:27
And a blowout high scoring game. But the fact that.
15:30
Both the line is. Moving toward the dog.
15:31
And the totals falling. Good, good correlative.
15:34
Sign there toward EU. You look at.
15:36
DraftKings 27% bets 40% dollars on the under.
15:40
Circa 22% bets 66% dollars on the under.
15:44
So we got good splits, low bets, higher dollars at both DK and
15:48
the Sharp book out in Vegas, both teams.
15:50
Play really good defense. Indiana's giving up 12 points a
15:53
game, second in the college football overall in Miami,
15:56
giving up around 15. That's fifth.
15:58
They're both kind of slower in terms of pace of play.
16:00
Miami's 66th in tempo, Indiana's 79th and.
16:04
Again, there's 136. Teams temperature shouldn't be a
16:07
huge issue, but again, Florida. Miami Things can change on a on
16:12
a drop of a pin. But you do have.
16:14
Around, you know. Low 60s, High 50s.
16:16
Partly cloudy skies around 10 mile per hour winds.
16:19
So again, that at least. Windy a little bit leads to the
16:23
under, but I will say. Hard Rock Stadium, it's it's
16:26
it's open, but there's kind of a.
16:28
Little bit of an awning that kind of extends a little bit.
16:30
Over the. Over the seats so.
16:32
It's not like a. True open field field windy
16:34
under. But still, total is falling.
16:37
That is a good sign toward the under and toward EU, But yeah,
16:39
it all up here. Guys, I'm holding Miami.
16:41
Plus 8 1/2 I. Hope you are too, but at least.
16:44
If you want to get on the action, you're a little bit.
16:46
Late you can still. Get that seven half, but let's
16:49
go Miami, I'll mention. This as well.
16:52
This is a really interesting. Tweet that I noticed and it was
16:56
curt. Signetti being interviewed.
16:58
By I don't know who. It was but he.
17:01
The the money quote. Here is quote I think the. 8 1/2
17:05
point. Spread is a setup.
17:07
So this just. Jumped out to me for a couple
17:09
reasons in the context. This is like a 2 minute video, I
17:12
should probably retweet it but he just goes at length about.
17:15
How great Miami is. They got a great quarterback,
17:17
they got a great. Defense, they're at home.
17:20
You know, they got all these, these great players on special
17:23
teams and yadda, yadda, yadda. On their offensive.
17:24
Line is huge. And I think the A&F point
17:27
spread. Is a setup so.
17:29
That tells me again 1 He knows what.
17:32
The spread is so. Anyone who?
17:34
Thinks these people. Don't know, they know.
17:37
Number. 2 Is he being legit saying this is going to be a
17:41
tough game, or is he kind of gassing us up?
17:43
Like Lane Kiffin, what the rat poison used to do so.
17:46
I don't know, but it was just. Notable to me that.
17:48
He's kind of saying. Like again.
17:50
And think of it this way, if he's making it sound.
17:52
Like there's a really tough game if they cover blow him out.
17:55
Then maybe you know. It just.
17:56
Proves how great. They are maybe if.
17:58
It's a closer game, they win close, then he can say.
18:00
OK, they're a really good team, but I I rarely hear a coach give
18:04
you the number like that. I think the 8 1/2 point spread
18:06
is a setup. So maybe he's lying.
18:08
Maybe he's legit. But maybe that's a little.
18:11
Bit of an omen here. That maybe he feels like, you
18:14
know, there should be a closer spread.
18:16
If he's being honest. But again, who knows?
18:18
I just thought that was funny. But either way, guys, after a
18:21
great weekend of divisional round NFL playoffs, let's see if
18:24
we. Can keep it going and get Miami
18:26
to cover this number let's. Go EU.
18:29
So that about does it for episode 435 of the All.
18:32
Systems go sports betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
18:35
Of course that's. The part of the.
18:37
Pod where we wrap things up. And I always start first by
18:40
saying. Thank you.
18:41
Thank you for listening. Thank you for tuning.
18:43
In. Thank you for grinding the ups
18:45
and downs, the good days, the bad days, the hot streaks, the
18:47
cold streaks. With me because just like in
18:49
life, there's ups and downs and betting, but we're sticking the
18:52
model, sticking the. Blueprint and if you.
18:54
Value the insights. If you catched a couple tickets
18:56
over the weekend, guys using the.
18:58
Data-driven approach then I would love.
19:00
For you to support the pod. Help me grow the pod by giving
19:03
this podcast. A five star review.
19:06
On Spotify or iTunes. If you'd also like.
19:08
To leave a comment. Rate and review, click the
19:11
follow button, Retweet the pod when I tweeted out.
19:13
Recommend the pod to a friend. That would all be fantastic.
19:16
Next if you enjoy. This style of sports betting
19:19
breakdown data-driven. Sharp contrarian betting
19:21
focusing on the numbers. Not the teams as a as.
19:25
An old adage once. Was said pros bet numbers, not
19:28
teams and that really kind of changed everything for me
19:30
because. Once you.
19:31
Get out of. Betting based on you know your
19:34
your impression of the the. Team.
19:35
And you start to learn. Numbers.
19:37
You know your your ROI is going to you're going to going to.
19:40
You know, get up. Here a little bit so which which
19:43
is always the goal if you do want to learn more about
19:45
data-driven betting. You want to support the pod?
19:47
You want to let me know you appreciate the pod or you?
19:49
Have someone in your life who could use some data-driven.
19:51
Tips. I would love for you to go to
19:53
Amazon.com and type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook or the.
19:57
Everything Guide to sports. Betting grab one or.
19:59
Both of my books, which I'm very proud of, and.
20:01
If you want. To bring them.
20:02
To the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
20:04
I'll. Buy a beer.
20:05
Or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games together.
20:07
Next, have you downloaded? Rhythm and Juice reel yet my 2.
20:10
Favorite sports betting apps? They help me win.
20:12
They're going to help you win. Rhythm.
20:14
Great. For their AI backed.
20:15
Models and predictions for game bets and player.
20:17
Props as well as Juice Reel, some of your great features.
20:20
Of course, with Juice Reel you can I can hold out the tip jar
20:23
and you can throw in a $5.00 bill if you feel so.
20:25
Generous by by signing. Up to the all systems go, best
20:29
bet picks. For $4.99 a week.
20:32
Located on the Juice Reel app, you also get the Robo Jackson
20:36
best bet picks the. Sharp mush indicators.
20:38
The arbitrage plays the shop for.
20:40
The best line futures. All available when you download.
20:42
Juice Reel. So download Rhythm download.
20:45
Juice Reel give them a 5 star. Review in the App Store.
20:48
Next, do you have a live odds page?
20:50
If you don't have one, you need one.
20:52
You got to be able to check the market.
20:54
Got to be able. To you know.
20:54
Find the the signal amongst the noise got.
20:57
To be able to. See what the games available to
20:59
bet are. On are that day.
21:01
Live scoring. Live in game wagering odds.
21:03
More importantly for me. Have that.
21:05
Opening column that never changes all the current.
21:07
Odds to the right from the different books.
21:09
And locate Steam Shop for the best line.
21:12
Find that best number. You can do it all with odds
21:15
logic. So if you need a live odds page,
21:17
if you. Don't have one, but you need
21:18
one, or you have. One that's expensive and you?
21:21
Want to get a more affordable one?
21:22
Or you have one that's. Free, but it's delayed.
21:25
You have no clue where the the information is coming.
21:27
From it's not. Accurate.
21:28
It's coming from. Offshores or who the.
21:30
Heck knows that I'd love. For you guys to.
21:32
Give. Odds Odds Logic a shot.
21:34
So for a. 7 day free. Trial and 50.
21:36
Percent off your first. Month of service.
21:38
Just go to. Oddslogic.com.
21:42
Josh 123 next. Have you downloaded?
21:45
Novig yet? I mentioned earlier, but Novig
21:48
is going to give you way better juice prices because you're
21:51
going up against other betters. And not the house.
21:54
So for example, instead of paying -1. 15 -, 120.
21:57
I'm looking right now. Game day.
21:59
At Novig with the. Miami and Indiana game and they
22:03
have. Miami plus 7 1/2. -1 O 6.
22:06
And they have Indiana. -7 1/2 at plus one O.
22:09
Five. Those are by far the best prices
22:11
you're going to get. 46 1/2 / -1 O 246 1/2.
22:15
Under -1 O. Three again, best prices.
22:18
Around because you're not going up against the house.
22:21
You're going up against other betters.
22:23
So go download the Novig app and when you.
22:26
Fund your account. There should be a little promo
22:27
code little box. Put in Josh 123, they'll tack on
22:31
an extra 25 bucks for you. So that about does it for
22:34
episode 435 of the ASG pod. As always, getting back in the
22:38
swing of things on a Monday, I'll leave you with.
22:39
Two final thoughts guys. 1. Whether I see you at the
22:43
Borgata? In Atlantic.
22:44
City Twin River in. Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
22:46
Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, the
22:49
Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge park casino MGM Springfield or
22:53
the. Nash and my neck of the woods on
22:54
the border. Of Massachusetts.
22:56
And Nashua, NH are out in the desert.
22:58
Where the true grinders get down Or Billy.
23:00
Walters. Sends his number runners.
23:01
Where the lowest juice possible is found.
23:03
At the South point or sweating, sharp contrarian plays.
23:06
Jump in the stadium. Swim pool.
23:07
When you catch a big ticket at Serco, you're going to walk up
23:10
to me and you're going to show me a Pats -3 ticket.
23:14
A Bears da Bears plus 4 ticket. A Broncos money line ticket.
23:19
Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
23:21
you. Then we're going to post about
23:22
the book and sweatshop contrarian plays all night long.
23:26
So as always, guys coming off a three in one weekend or a one in
23:28
three weekend, a four and O&O and 4A2 and 2A good weekend a
23:32
bad. Weekend a fantastic.
23:34
Weekend. A terrible weekend again,
23:36
whether we're hot or cold or grinding somewhere in the
23:38
middle. We never.
23:39
Want to get? Too high or too low?
23:41
Just going to stick. To the model, stick to the
23:42
blueprint. And find games that fit that
23:45
system and that system goes. A little bit like.
23:47
This we're looking for. Games that are against the
23:49
public. With the house with.
23:50
The pros Flat bet. Avoid parlays and get that CLV.
23:54
If we can do that, we're going to be.
23:55
Successful sports bettors. So have a great Monday,
23:58
everybody enjoy the national championship game, so it's going
24:01
to be a long way until the next. College football game after this
24:04
we'll see if we can finish off with a.
24:05
Winner Let's go Miami cover this number.
24:09
Lose by 7 or. Less.
24:10
How about that so. Everyone's happy.
24:13
But good luck everybody. And I'll see you tomorrow for?
24:15
Episode 430. Six of the all.
24:17
Systems go sports betting. Podcast powered by rhythm.
24:21
Good luck everybody, and let's go the you.